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Workshop: Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling for Ecologists Tom ...

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<strong>Workshop</strong>: <strong>Bayesian</strong> <strong>Hierarchical</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Ecologists</strong><br />

October 7-18<br />

The goal of this workshop is to provide an entry point into contemporary statistical techniques (i.e.<br />

likelihood and <strong>Bayesian</strong> modelling frameworks) <strong>for</strong> ecological researchers at the Department of<br />

Ecology (SLU). Specifically the workshop will:<br />

(1) teach the foundations and applications of <strong>Bayesian</strong> <strong>Hierarchical</strong> modelling<br />

(2) provide extensive experience in applying these techniques to real data<br />

(3) provide the foundation required <strong>for</strong> ongoing self-teaching<br />

<strong>Tom</strong> Hobbs<br />

Professor <strong>Tom</strong> Hobbs from Colorado State University, USA<br />

http://www.nrel.colostate.edu/hobbs-lab/ has agreed to lead this workshop. <strong>Tom</strong> is a world-leading<br />

researcher whose work links empirical data to ecological models in natural and agricultural systems.<br />

He is the author of many scientific papers showing how to use empirical data to in<strong>for</strong>m ecological<br />

models. He is currently writing a book on understanding <strong>Bayesian</strong> statistics <strong>for</strong> ecologists.<br />

The <strong>Workshop</strong><br />

The workshop will be run during 10 days in October 2013 (Week 1: Oct 7-11 & Week 2: 14-18), with<br />

each day approximately structured in the following way:<br />

08:30-09:00 questions regarding the previous day’s exercises<br />

09:00-10:00 lecture + small exercises<br />

10:30-12:00 major computer exercises<br />

13:00-14:30 lecture + small exercises<br />

15:00-17:00 major computer exercises<br />

Thus, there will be lots of interaction and active learning during the course<br />

The analyses will be run in the R programming environment using JAGS. For those not familiar<br />

with R you will need to work through a set of R exercises prior to the course to give you the necessary<br />

programming experience <strong>for</strong> the exercises. In addition, the course will be structured so that people<br />

will work in groups of two or three during the computer exercises, with participants put together<br />

depending on their skill level and familiarity with the R-programming environment (i.e. we will<br />

combine people with different skill levels so that the more experienced can help the less experienced<br />

during the course).


Where, what and when?<br />

Week 1: Akademihotellet (Övre Slottsgatan, Uppsala)<br />

Course*: Likelihood, probability distributions,<br />

programming MCMC, understanding Bayes theorem and<br />

deriving it from the laws of probability, advantages of<br />

<strong>Bayesian</strong> approaches over frequentist<br />

Details: Day conference facilities, fika and lunch provided<br />

<strong>for</strong> 5 days. Dinner and accommodation (if needed) are the<br />

responsibility of the participant – we have special rates <strong>for</strong><br />

staying at Akademihotellet<br />

*as a guide only<br />

Week 2: Akademihotellet (Övre Slottsgatan, Uppsala)<br />

Course: <strong>Bayesian</strong> hierarchical modelling, dynamic statespace<br />

models, model selection<br />

Details: Day conference facilities, fika and lunch provided<br />

<strong>for</strong> 5 days. Dinner and accommodation (if needed) are the<br />

responsibility of the participant – we have special rates <strong>for</strong><br />

staying at Akademihotellet<br />

Who and how much?<br />

There is space <strong>for</strong> a maximum of 20 participants and the course is open to all researchers – including<br />

PhDs.<br />

The Department of Ecology at SLU in conjunction with the Ecology Research School and a grant<br />

from the August T Larsson Guest Researcher fund will cover most of the costs involved; however, it<br />

may be necessary that each participant needs to contribute a few thousand SEK <strong>for</strong> the 2 week course<br />

(exact amount to be confirmed).<br />

What will I get?<br />

You will get a brilliant and in-depth 2-week introduction into the world of contemporary statistical<br />

ecological modelling using a <strong>Bayesian</strong> hierarchical framework. You will get the conference facilities,<br />

fika and lunch provided in Uppsala. <strong>Tom</strong> will also distribute course notes and copies of his lectures<br />

during the two weeks. For PhDs the course credits will be 4.5 ECTS.<br />

How do I apply (or <strong>for</strong> more in<strong>for</strong>mation)?<br />

Contact: Matt Low at matt.low@slu.se<br />

In case the course is oversubscribed there will need to be some selection of participants – could<br />

applicants please motivate, in a few lines, why this course would be of value to them in their work<br />

here at SLU.

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