Effect of FDI on Employment Generation - international indexed ...
Effect of FDI on Employment Generation - international indexed ...
Effect of FDI on Employment Generation - international indexed ...
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Internati<strong>on</strong>al Referred Research Journal, February, 2012. ISSN- 0975-3486, RNI-RAJBIL 2009/30097;VoL.III *ISSUE-29<br />
Research Paper—Commerce<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Effect</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Employment</strong> Generati<strong>on</strong><br />
February, 2012<br />
* Associate Pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>. H.O.D. <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Commerce Dept. Mahila Mahavidyalay, Amravati.(M.S.)<br />
Introducti<strong>on</strong> :<br />
Nati<strong>on</strong>al Council <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Applied Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Research,<br />
2010<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> has played an important role in the<br />
process <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> globalizati<strong>on</strong> during the past two decades.<br />
The rapid expansi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> by multinati<strong>on</strong>al enterprises<br />
(MNEs1) since the mid-eighties may be attributed<br />
to significant changes in technologies, liberalizati<strong>on</strong><br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> trade and investment regimes, and deregulati<strong>on</strong><br />
and privatizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> markets in many countries<br />
including developing countries like India. Fresh investments,<br />
as well as mergers and acquisiti<strong>on</strong>s, (M&A)<br />
play an important role in the cross-country movement<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> While the quantity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> is important, equally<br />
important is the quality <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g>. The major factors that<br />
might provide growth impetus to the host ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />
include the extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> localizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the output <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />
foreign firm's plant, its export orientati<strong>on</strong>, the vintage<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> technology used, the research and development<br />
(R&D) best suited for the host ec<strong>on</strong>omy, employment<br />
generati<strong>on</strong>, inclusi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the poor and rural<br />
populati<strong>on</strong> in the resulting benefits, and productivity<br />
enhancement.<br />
Investment Outlook<br />
A number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> studies in the recent past have<br />
highlighted the growing attractiveness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> India as an<br />
investment destinati<strong>on</strong>. According to Goldman Sachs<br />
(2003), the Indian ec<strong>on</strong>omy is expected to c<strong>on</strong>tinue<br />
growing at the rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5 per cent or more until 2050.According<br />
to the A.T. Kearney (2007), India c<strong>on</strong>tinues<br />
to rank as the sec<strong>on</strong>d most attractive <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> destinati<strong>on</strong>,<br />
between China at number <strong>on</strong>e and the United States<br />
at number three. India displaced the United States in<br />
2005 to gain the sec<strong>on</strong>d positi<strong>on</strong>, which it has held<br />
since then. <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows in 2006 touched $19.6 billi<strong>on</strong><br />
and in 2007, total <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows<br />
Fdi In India And Its Growth Linkages in India stood<br />
at $23 billi<strong>on</strong>, showing a growth rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 43.2 per cent<br />
over 2006. In 2008, total <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows into India stood<br />
at $33 billi<strong>on</strong>. One <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the most important and sensitive<br />
areas for developing countries is foreign direct<br />
investment (<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g>). It is now defined as not <strong>on</strong>ly a<br />
simple transfer <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey, but as a mixture <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> financial<br />
and intangible assets such as technologies, managerial<br />
capabilities, marketing skills and other assets.<br />
There is a major debate in the literature regarding the<br />
28<br />
RESEARCH<br />
* Dr. Sushama Deshmukh<br />
impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth. The traditi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
argument states that an inflow <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> improves ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />
growth and thereby enhances employment<br />
opportunities. Most studies (Hill and Athukorala 1998<br />
have shown that <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g>'s social and distributi<strong>on</strong>al impact<br />
<strong>on</strong> the host country has been generally favorable<br />
in developing countries <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> various regi<strong>on</strong>s. Apart from<br />
bringing in a package <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> highly productive resources<br />
into the host ec<strong>on</strong>omy there have been a visible positive<br />
impact <strong>on</strong> the creati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> jobs not <strong>on</strong>ly in those<br />
sectors attracting <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows but also in the supportive<br />
domestic industries. Foreign Direct Investment<br />
(<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g>) is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten seen as a driver for ec<strong>on</strong>omic development<br />
as it may bring capital, technology, management<br />
know-how, jobs and access to new markets.<br />
Policy-makers have, therefore, tended to emphasize<br />
the benefits that <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> can bring to host ec<strong>on</strong>omies,<br />
particularly in developing countries. Accordingly,<br />
many governments have developed policies to encourage<br />
inward <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g>. While <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> and multinati<strong>on</strong>al enterprises<br />
(MNEs) are <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten perceived to be beneficial for<br />
local development, they have also aroused much c<strong>on</strong>troversy<br />
and social c<strong>on</strong>cerns. For example, MNEs have<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten been accused <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> taking unfair advantage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> low<br />
wages and weak labour standards in developing countries.<br />
MNEs also have been accused <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> violating human<br />
and labour rights in countries where governments<br />
fail to enforce such rights effectively<br />
Trends in <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows into India :<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows grew steadily through the first<br />
half <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the 90s but stagnated between 1996-97 and<br />
2003-04 (Table 1.1). The year-<strong>on</strong>-year fluctuati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
until 2003-04 make it difficult to identify a clear trend;<br />
however, inflows have been increasing c<strong>on</strong>tinuously<br />
since 2004-05. During 2008-09, India registered <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
inflows <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $33.6 billi<strong>on</strong> and total cumulative inflows<br />
from August 1991 to March 2009 have been to the<br />
tune <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $155 billi<strong>on</strong>.<br />
See Table 1<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> outflows from India :<br />
Indian companies are reaching overseas destinati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
to tap new markets and acquire technologies.<br />
While some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the investment has g<strong>on</strong>e into green<br />
field projects, a major porti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Indian overseas investment<br />
went into acquiring companies abroad. Ac-<br />
ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION
Internati<strong>on</strong>al Referred Research Journal, February, 2012. ISSN- 0975-3486, RNI-RAJBIL 2009/30097;VoL.III *ISSUE-29<br />
Table 1.1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> Inflows (August 1991 -November 2008)<br />
Year<br />
Amount <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> inflows<br />
Rs. crore US$ milli<strong>on</strong> Annual Growth $ Value<br />
1991-92 375 129<br />
1992-93 1051 315 144.2<br />
1993-94 2041 586 86.0<br />
1994-95 4241 1314 124.2<br />
1995-96 7317 2144 63.2<br />
1996-97 10170 2821 31.6<br />
1997-98 13317 3557 26.1<br />
1998-99 10550 2462 -12.5<br />
1999-00 9409 2462 -30.8<br />
2000-01 18404 4029 87.0<br />
2001-02 29269 6130 52.1<br />
2002-03 24681 5035 -17.9<br />
2003-04 19830 4322 -14.2<br />
2004-05 27234 6051 40<br />
2005-06 39730 8961 48.1<br />
2006-07 103037 22826 154.7<br />
2007-08 (P)+ 137935* 34362 50.5<br />
2008-09 (P)+ 159354^ 33613 -2.2<br />
August 1991 - March 2000 58471 15483<br />
April 2000 - March. 2009 559474 125329<br />
August 1991 - March 2009 617945 140812<br />
Source: Secretariat for Industrial Assistance, various <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> Fact Sheets.<br />
Note: + RBI has included the amount <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> US$ 92 milli<strong>on</strong> for the m<strong>on</strong>th <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> April 2007.<br />
* Partially Revised ^ Preliminary P Provisi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
quisiti<strong>on</strong>s bring with them major benefits such as<br />
existing customers, a foothold in the destinati<strong>on</strong><br />
market and the niche technologies they require. Due<br />
to the rapid growth in Indian companies' M&A activity,<br />
Indian companies are acquiring internati<strong>on</strong>al firms<br />
in an effort to acquire new markets and maintain their<br />
growth momentum, buy cutting-edge technology, develop<br />
new product mixes, improve operating margins<br />
and efficiencies, and take worldwide competiti<strong>on</strong> head<strong>on</strong>.<br />
It has emerged as the most acquisitive nati<strong>on</strong> in<br />
emerging nati<strong>on</strong>s, according to global c<strong>on</strong>sultancy<br />
KPMG (2008) in their Emerging Markets Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Acquisiti<strong>on</strong>s Tracker. Table 1.2 shows that <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
outflows from India have increased c<strong>on</strong>sistently since<br />
2000 at US$18.5 billi<strong>on</strong> in 2008-09, compared to <strong>on</strong>ly<br />
US$1.4 billi<strong>on</strong> in 2001-02.<br />
Table 1.2 India's <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> Outflows (Debit)<br />
Year<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> Outflows (US$ milli<strong>on</strong>)<br />
2000-01 829<br />
2001-02 1,490<br />
2002-03 1,892<br />
2003-04 2,076<br />
2004-05 2,309<br />
2005-06 6,083<br />
2006-07 15,810<br />
2007-08 PR 21,312<br />
2008-09 P 18,596<br />
Source: Reserve Bank <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> India (2007, 2008). Handbook <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Statistics<br />
<strong>on</strong> Indian Ec<strong>on</strong>omy; RBI Bulletin July, 2009.<br />
Note: P: Preliminary, PR: Partially Revised<br />
R E F E R E N C E<br />
Current Scenario <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Employment</strong><br />
In Indian Service<br />
Sector : The number<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> service sector jobs (skill<br />
and unskilled) has increased<br />
in India, new findings<br />
have revealed. A survey<br />
c<strong>on</strong>ducted by the<br />
country's Labor Ministry<br />
indicated that during the<br />
last quarter, employment<br />
in the industry rose to<br />
15.72 milli<strong>on</strong>, Channel<br />
News Asia reported. The<br />
research revealed that two<br />
sectors have shown the<br />
str<strong>on</strong>gest improvement in<br />
terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> hiring levels; informati<strong>on</strong><br />
technology and<br />
business process<br />
outsourcing. Commenting <strong>on</strong> the findings, Nimish<br />
Adani, chief executive <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> workosaur.com, told Channel<br />
News Asia: "As far as employment is c<strong>on</strong>cerned,<br />
there have been certain short-term initiatives taken<br />
by the government." There has been an infusi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
stimulus packages in sectors which were<br />
laborintensive. So, there has been a marginal improvement."<br />
Finance Services sector is growing with rapid<br />
rate, Finance sector is the sec<strong>on</strong>d preferred choice <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
students <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> management postgraduatein top B-Schools<br />
in India, following figures are explaining the preference<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> skilled pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>essi<strong>on</strong>al in Indian service sector.<br />
For analyzing the percepti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> skilled toward various<br />
segment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> service sector.<br />
Summery : <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> is an important stimulus for the ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />
growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> India.<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> shown a tremendous<br />
growth in sec<strong>on</strong>d decade (2000 -2010) that is three<br />
times then the first decade <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> in services sector.<br />
Banking & Insurance is first and Telecommunicati<strong>on</strong><br />
is sec<strong>on</strong>d segment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> service sector which pick the<br />
growth in sec<strong>on</strong>d decade <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> reforms.<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> create high<br />
perks jobs for skilled employee in Indian service<br />
sector.<str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> has helped to raise the output, productivity<br />
and employment in some sectors especially in service<br />
sector. Indian service sector is generating the proper<br />
employment opti<strong>on</strong>s for skilled worker with high<br />
perks.<br />
1. Siddharthan (2006), "Regi<strong>on</strong>al Differences in <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> Inflows: China - India Comparis<strong>on</strong>," 2. (MINISTRY OF<br />
COMMERCE & INDUSTRY, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA) World Bank, 1999, World Development Indicators,3.<br />
Report <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ASSSOCHAM <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> in 2008-09 4. Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Survey <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> India, 2005-2009 5. ECONOMY WATCH, various data tables, various data tables<br />
6. EXIMIUS export Advantage, <str<strong>on</strong>g>FDI</str<strong>on</strong>g> in services sector, March'06. 7. Focus WTO, Services, Source WTO, Vol. 8, No. 4 Nov Dec 2006 8. Global Investment<br />
Report, Unctad, 20 9. Fdi In India And Its Growth Linkages Department Of Industrial Policy&Promoti<strong>on</strong>(ministry<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>commerce&Industry,Government Of<br />
India) 10 World Investment Prospects Survey2009-2011<br />
RESEARCH ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION<br />
29