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Current Conditions in Global Credit Markets - NYU Stern School of ...

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Historical Default Rates and Recession<br />

Periods <strong>in</strong> the U.S.<br />

14.0%<br />

HIGH YIELD BOND MARKET 1972 – 2006<br />

12.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

Periods <strong>of</strong> Recession: 11/73 - 3/75, 1/80 - 7/80, 7/81 - 11/82, 7/90 - 3/91, 4/01 – 12/01<br />

72<br />

74<br />

76<br />

78<br />

80<br />

82<br />

84<br />

86<br />

88<br />

90<br />

92<br />

94<br />

96<br />

98<br />

00<br />

02<br />

04<br />

06<br />

Source: E. Altman (<strong>NYU</strong> Salomon Center) & National Bureau <strong>of</strong> Economic Research<br />

13

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