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WHAT IS THE BEST MEASURE OF EMPLOYMENT AND ... - TARA

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sharing and so on These developments have increased the blurring of the<br />

boundaries between work and unemployment An additional complication has<br />

been the veritable explosion in recent years of a whole range of special State<br />

employment and training schemes where participants themselves may have<br />

genuine difficulties in deciding whether they are at work or unemployed<br />

Using data from the Labour Force Surveys (LFS) from 1983 to 1986 this paper<br />

examines the extent to which the traditional rigid distinction between work and<br />

unemployment may no longer hold Different measures of labour force<br />

aggregates and unemployment rates are presented and discussed, in this<br />

context the concept of underemployment is also considered The detailed<br />

analysis of the structure of unemployment identifies more clearly the<br />

population groups which might be targeted for special labour market<br />

measures<br />

As an official Statistician I must hastily point out that the question asked in the<br />

title of the paper is not meant to suggest that the currently published measures<br />

of employment/unemployment are in any way unreal or invalid The purpose is<br />

rather to alert users of the data to the fact that quite different measures can be<br />

obtained depending on the approach or concepts used The time may well be<br />

opportune to broaden our traditional approach to the measurement of<br />

employment and unemployment in Ireland I hope that the discussion and<br />

subsequent reaction to the paper will help us all to better understand the<br />

relative advantages and disadvantages of the various alternative measures<br />

which might be used to replace or complement the current statistics<br />

Labour Force Estimates - Historical Approach<br />

At the outset I think it is best to set the present measures of labour force<br />

aggregates in Ireland in their historical context Labour force estimates<br />

compiled up to the mid 1970's were based on the periodic stocktaking counts<br />

given by the Census of Population The estimates for intercensal and<br />

postcensal years were based on interpolations using the range of relevant<br />

indicators available at the time In general, the Census-based labour force<br />

estimates were derived from the respondents' statements of their "usual<br />

principal occupation" in conjunction with a description of the "employment<br />

status" and the name and nature of business of the employer<br />

Being just one of many topics to be covered in a Census, the number of<br />

questions devoted to establishing the labour force status is of necessity very<br />

limited Furthermore, since the Census questionnaire is designed for<br />

self-completion by the public the content and wording has to be relatively<br />

simple and easily understood by all sections of the population Thus<br />

complicated filtering procedures which are possible when trained interviewers<br />

are used, are totally out of place in the Census However, it is also probably<br />

fair to say that the labour market of even 10/15 years ago was considerably<br />

less complex than in recent years and, therefore, more capable of<br />

measurement by fairly simple questions<br />

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