GMG's Top 100 Roto Keepers - DobberHockey - The Dobber Sports ...
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GMG’sMARKETBUZZ<br />
October2012<br />
Volume3/Edition2
Table of Contents – October 2012 Edition<br />
GMG’s Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 2<br />
<strong>Top</strong> <strong>100</strong> <strong>Roto</strong> <strong>Keepers</strong> – Extended Categories ..................................................................................... 3<br />
<strong>Top</strong> 25 Combo Ranks – PIM / PPP & A / +/- ........................................................................................... 7<br />
Player Profiles – Ryan Kesler, Marcus Foligno, Brent Seabrook, Daniel & Henrik Sedin ........................ 8<br />
GMG’s Final Thoughts ..................................................................................................................... 11<br />
Who are the Black Aces? .................................................................................................................. 12<br />
GMG’s Introduction – October 2012 Edition<br />
I’d like to start off by saying thank you for the amazing feedback in regard to last month’s <strong>Roto</strong> PDF<br />
(Volume 3.0). It is much appreciated and fuels the flame to bring another collaboration of sorts down<br />
the road. That said, with the lockout in full effect, this month’s guide will focus on some odds and ends<br />
in the hockey world.<br />
Recently, <strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> had its experts draft and boy, was it a dandy. <strong>The</strong> competition was great, the<br />
jokes were flying, and for a few hours, it really did feel like we had a season around the corner. This<br />
time, each manager handed in a report on their thoughts on the draft, their team and the opposition. If<br />
you missed it, check out Part I, Part II, Part III and Part IV.<br />
As for the Entry Divisions, all leagues have started their respective discussion threads in the<br />
<strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> forums, and you can find them here. Well respected forum member, Pengwin7, went<br />
one step further and created a <strong>Top</strong> 50 Players Report based on the draft pick average. This is a great<br />
reference check.<br />
In other news, the <strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> team proudly welcomes Rick Roos (Holding Court) and Terry Campkin<br />
(Geek of the Week) to the fold. If you missed their work thus far, click on their names above.<br />
Wondering about the NHL players playing overseas (and for farm teams)? <strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> has you<br />
covered: lockout player tracker.<br />
This month features the top 25 players who excel at A / +/- and PIM / PPP, several player profiles and<br />
my Trade Fever influenced final thoughts.<br />
This Friday (10/19), I will be attending the Hamilton Bulldogs home opener via press pass, acquired<br />
through <strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> & <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects. <strong>The</strong> first of many AHL games this season, I think.<br />
Gates Imbeau<br />
Assistant Manager - <strong>Dobber</strong><strong>Sports</strong>.com<br />
Writer - Fantrax.com<br />
Email: gates@dobbersports.com<br />
Twitter: @gm_gates
GMG’s <strong>Top</strong> <strong>100</strong> <strong>Roto</strong> <strong>Keepers</strong><br />
<strong>Roto</strong> Legend<br />
Categories – G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SOG, Hits & Blkd shots<br />
<strong>Roto</strong> Focus: (<strong>Top</strong> three strongest categories per player)<br />
No symbol allocation = Average // Hash tag (#) = Monster<br />
4 – Consistently puts up massive numbers in this stat.<br />
3 – Consistently puts up great numbers in this stat.<br />
2 – Consistently put up above average numbers in this stat.<br />
MOV – Movement // LM & 2M – Previous monthly rank.<br />
TV & PRV: (current worth vs. should & could be worth)<br />
Trade Value – Grade influenced by perceived value.<br />
Potential <strong>Roto</strong> Value – Two season peak performance.<br />
M = Monster trade value / Monster roto potential. (<strong>Top</strong> 10)<br />
A = Very High trade value / Massive roto potential. (<strong>Top</strong> 25)<br />
B = High trade value / Great roto potential. (<strong>Top</strong> 50)<br />
C = Decent trade value / Good roto potential. (<strong>Top</strong> 75)<br />
(<strong>Top</strong>) = Potential finish in the stated rank in a two season span.<br />
(R) = Youth/Rebuild – room for growth<br />
Disclaimer / Additional Information<br />
This is not a player to player draft guide, simply because<br />
the flow of draft, positions required and many other needs<br />
come into play. <strong>The</strong> goal of this list is to push poolies to<br />
realize the proper trade value and potential value of the<br />
<strong>Top</strong> <strong>Roto</strong> <strong>Keepers</strong>, using the <strong>Roto</strong> Rank as the foundation.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Trade Value (TV) grade reflects what the player’s<br />
perceived worth could be currently at the trade table.<br />
This can help determine overrated vs. underrated players.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Potential <strong>Roto</strong> Value (PRV) highlights a two year peak<br />
performance. <strong>The</strong> higher the player is ranked on the roto<br />
list, the more likely they are to reach their PRV. If used<br />
correctly, this could enhance your return on investment.<br />
** If you are looking for a calculated and true numbers<br />
game, Frozen Pool and Fantasy Hockey Geek (FHP) of the<br />
<strong>Dobber</strong> <strong>Sports</strong> Network are two very valuable resources.<br />
Salary and positional requirements do not affect rankings.<br />
<strong>Roto</strong><br />
Rank<br />
Skaters<br />
Name / Position / Team<br />
TV PRV <strong>Roto</strong> Focus<br />
(Strongest Categories)<br />
MOV LM 2M<br />
1. Alex Ovechkin, LW – WSH M M SOG : # G : 3 Hits : 3 1 1<br />
2. Sidney Crosby, C – PIT M M G : 3 A : 3 PPP : 3 2 2<br />
3. Evgeny Malkin, C/RW – PIT M M A : 3 G : 3 SOG : 3 3 3<br />
4. Steven Stamkos, C – TBL M M G : # PPP : 3 SOG : 3 4 4<br />
5. Zdeno Chara, D – BOS B+ M +/- : # Hits : 2 A : 2 5 10<br />
6. Corey Perry, RW – ANA A+ M G : 3 PIM : 3 SOG : 2.5 6 9<br />
7. Claude Giroux, C/RW – PHI A+ M A : 3 PPP : 3 G : 2 7 5<br />
8. Nicklas Backstrom, C – WSH A+ M A : 3 PPP : 3 +/- : 2.5 8 8<br />
9. Scott Hartnell, LW – PHI A- M PIM : 3 Hits : 2.5 G : 2 9 12<br />
10. Dustin Brown, LW/RW – LAK B+ M Hits : # +/- : 2.5 SOG : 2 10 17<br />
2
11. David Backes, C/RW - STL B+ M Hits : 3 PIM : 2.5 +/- : 2.5 11 16<br />
12. Shea Weber, D – NSH A+ M Hits : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 G : 2 12 13<br />
13. (R) Gabriel Landeskog, LW – COL A M Hits : 3 SOG : 2.5 G : 2 13 24<br />
14. Zach Parise, LW – MIN A+ A+ SOG : 3 G : 2.5 A : 2 14 6<br />
15. Daniel Sedin, LW – VAN A A+ G : 2.5 PPP : 3 +/- : 3 15 7<br />
16. Henrik Sedin, C – VAN A A+ A : # PPP : 3 +/- : 3 16 11<br />
17. Kris Letang, D – PIT A- A+ A : 2.5 +/- : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 17 23<br />
18. James Neal, LW/RW – PIT B+ A+ G : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 18 13<br />
19. Dion Phaneuf, D – TOR B+ A+ Hits : 3 PIM : 2.5 BS : 2 19 31<br />
20. Patrick Sharp, C/RW – CHI B+ A+ SOG : 3 G : 2.5 +/- : 2.5 20 22<br />
21. Milan Lucic, LW – BOS A- A+ PIM : 3 Hits : 2.5 +/- : 2.5 21 20<br />
22. Anze Kopitar, C – LAK A- A+ A : 3 PPP : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 22 29<br />
23. Ryan Callahan, RW – NYR B+ A+ Hits : # SOG : 2 G : 2 23 19<br />
24. Ryan Kesler, C – VAN - IR B M G : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 24 40<br />
25. Dustin Byfuglien, RW/D – WPG B+ A SOG : 3 PIM : 2 G : 2 Up 28 20<br />
26. Erik Karlsson, D – OTT A+ A A : 3 PPP : 3 G : 2 Up 29 21<br />
27. Jamie Benn, C/LW – DAL A- A A : 2.5 G : 2 SOG : 2 Dn 25 26<br />
28. P.K. Subban, D – MTL A- A PIM : 3 SOG : 2 BS : 2 Dn 26 34<br />
29. Alex Pietrangelo, D – STL A- A A : 2.5 PPP : 2 BS : 2 Dn 27 32<br />
30. Steve Ott, C/LW – BUF B- A PIM : # Hits : # A : 1.5 30 25<br />
31. Ryan Getzlaf, C – ANA A- A A : 3 PPP : 2.5 Hits : 2 31 15<br />
32. Jonathan Toews, C – CHI A- A +/- : 3 A : 2 G : 2 32 37<br />
33. John Tavares, C – NYI A A G PPP SOG Up 34 28<br />
34. Eric Staal, C – CAR A- A- SOG : 3 G : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 Dn 33 27<br />
35. Drew Doughty, D – LAK A- A- A : 2 Hits : 2 PPP : 2 35 47<br />
3
36. Alexander Edler, D – VAN B A- A : 2.5 BS : 2 +/- : 2 36 49<br />
37. Jeff Carter, C – LAK B A- SOG : 3 G : 2.5 PPP : 2 37 35<br />
38. Alex Burrows, LW/RW – VAN B A- +/- : 3.5 G : 2 PIM : 2 38 41<br />
39. Evander Kane, LW – WPG A- A- SOG : 2.5 Hits : 2 G : 2 39 36<br />
40. Pavel Datsyuk, C/LW – DET A- B+ A : 2.5 +/- : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 40 30<br />
41. Phil Kessel, RW – TOR A- B+ SOG : 3 G : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 41 50<br />
42. (R) Logan Couture, C/LW – SJS B+ B+ SOG : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 G : 2.5 42 57<br />
43. Dany Heatley, LW/RW – MIN B- B+ PPP : 2.5 G : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 43 44<br />
44. Mike Richards, C/LW – LAK B+ B+ A : 2 PPP : 2 PIM : 2 44 42<br />
45. Bobby Ryan, LW – ANA B+ B+ G : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 A : 2 45 33<br />
46. Ryane Clowe, LW/RW – SJS B- A- PIM : 2.5 Hits : 2 A : 2 46 59<br />
47. Dan Girardi, D – NYR C+ A- BS : # Hits : 3 +/- : 2 47 86<br />
48. Dan Boyle, D – SJS B A- A : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 BS : 2 48 79<br />
49. Joe Thornton, C – SJS B+ B+ A : 3 PPP : 3 +/- : 2.5 49 75<br />
50. (R) Marcus Foligno, LW – BUF C+ B+ Hits : 2.5 PIM : 2 A : 2 50 91<br />
51. Henrik Zetterberg, C/LW – DET A- B+ SOG : 3 A : 2.5 G : 2 51 38<br />
52. Joe Pavelski, C/RW – SJS B+ B+ SOG : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 A : 2 52 45<br />
53. Ryan Suter, D – MIN B+ B+ +/- : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 A : 2 53 67<br />
54. Rick Nash, RW – CBJ B+ B+ SOG : 3 G : 2.5 A : 2 54 56<br />
55. Max Pacioretty, LW – MTL B B+ SOG : 2.5 G : 2 A : 2 55 60<br />
56. Mike Green, D – WSH B B+ PPP : 2 G : 2 +/- : 2 56 62<br />
57. Ilya Kovalchuk, LW/RW – NJD A- B SOG : 3 G : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 57 39<br />
58. Alex Semin, RW/LW – CAR B- B G : 2 +/- : 2 A : 2 58 58<br />
59. Marian Gaborik, RW – NYR - IR B- B G : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 A : 2 59 71<br />
60. Marian Hossa, RW – CHI B- B G : 2 A : 2 SOG : 2 60 51<br />
4
61. Brad Richards, C – NYR B- B A : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 61 63<br />
62. Keith Yandle, D – PHX B B A : 2 PPP : 2 SOG : 2 62 48<br />
63. (R) Kevin Shattenkirk, D – STL B B A : 2 PPP : 2.5 BS : 2 63 78<br />
64. (R) Nail Yakupov, RW – EDM A B Hits : 2 SOG : 2 G : 2 64 89<br />
65. Brent Seabrook, D – CHI C B- Hits : 3 BS : 2.5 +/- : 2 65<br />
66. Michael Del Zotto, D – NYR C B- Hits : 2 BS : 2 A : 2 66 99<br />
67. Dennis Seidenberg, D – BOS C- B- BS : 3 Hits : 2 +/- : 2 67<br />
68. Jarome Iginla, RW – CGY B B- G : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 SOG : 2.5 68 54<br />
69. Patrick Marleau, LW – SJS B- B- SOG : 2.5 G : 2 A : 2 69 61<br />
70. Johan Franzen, LW/RW – DET C+ B- +/- : 2.5 G : 2 SOG : 2 70 76<br />
71. Jason Spezza, C – OTT B+ B- A : 2.5 G : 2 PPP : 2 71 55<br />
72. Mikko Koivu, C – MIN B B- A : 2.5 PPP : 2 +/- : 2 72 70<br />
73. Kevin Bieksa, D – VAN C B- +/- : 3 PIM : 2 Hits : 1.75 73 80<br />
74. Patrice Bergeron, C – BOS C+ B- +/- : 3 A : 2 SOG : 2 74 77<br />
75. (R) Taylor Hall, LW – EDM A B- G : 2.5 A : 2 PPP : 2.5 75 43<br />
76. Jeff Skinner, C/RW – CAR B+ B- G : 2 A : 2 SOG : 2 76 64<br />
77. Patrick Kane, C/RW - CHI A- B- A : 2.5 SOG : 2 G : 2 77 46<br />
78. Duncan Keith, D – CHI B B- A : 2 PPP : 2 BS : 2 78. 68<br />
79. Tyler Seguin, C/RW – BOS A B- +/- : 3 A : 2 G : 2 79 52<br />
80. (R) Ryan N-H., C – EDM A B- A : 2.5 PPP : 2.5 G : 2 80 69<br />
81. Joffrey Lupul, LW/RW - TOR B- B- PPP : 2.5 A : 2 SOG : 2 81 72<br />
82. Brandon Dubinsky, C/LW – NYR B- B- Hits : 2 PIM : 2 A : 2 82 85<br />
83. Martin St. Louis, RW – TBL C+ B- A : 3 PPP : 2.5 G : 2 83 97<br />
84. Wayne Simmonds, RW – PHI C- B- PIM : 2.5 Hits : 2 G : 1.5 Up 97 93<br />
85. Mark Giordano, D – CGY C- B- BS : 2.5 PIM : 2 A : 2 Up 90<br />
5
86. Jordan Staal, C/LW – CAR B C+ A : 2 +/- : 2 G : 2 Dn 84 73<br />
87. Daniel Briere, C/RW – PHI C C+ A : 2 SOG : 2 PIM : 2 Dn 85 96<br />
88. Blake Wheeler, RW – WPG B- C+ A : 2.5 SOG : 2 Hits : 1.5 Dn 86 87<br />
89. Mike Ribeiro, C – WSH C C+ A : 2.5 PPP : 2 SOG : 1.5 Dn 87 90<br />
90. Chris Kunitz, LW – PIT C C+ Hits : 2 +/- : 2 A : 1.75 Dn 88 74<br />
91. Brad Marchand, C/LW – BOS B- C+ +/- : 3 PIM : 2.5 G : 1.5 Dn 89 81<br />
92. Niklas Kronwall, D – DET B C BS : 3 A : 2 PPP : 2 Dn 91<br />
93. David Clarkson, RW – NJD C C PIM : 3 Hits : 2 G : 2 Dn 92 65<br />
94. Brent Burns, D – SJS B C A : 2 BS : 2 SOG : 2 Dn 93<br />
95. Ryan McDonagh, D – NYR C- C BS : 3 +/- : 3 Hits : 2 Dn 94<br />
96. T.J. Oshie, C/RW – STL B C- +/- : 2.5 A : 2 Hits : 1.75 Dn 95 82<br />
97. Travis Hamonic, D – NYI C- C- BS : 2.5 Hits : 2 PIM : 2 Dn 96<br />
98. Tomas Plekanec, C – MTL C C- A : 2 SOG : 2 PPP : 2 98 92<br />
99. Thomas Vanek, LW – BUF B C- G : 2 SOG : 2 PPP : 2 99 83<br />
<strong>100</strong>. Loui Eriksson, LW/RW - DAL B C- A : 2.5 +/- : 2.5 SOG : 2 <strong>100</strong><br />
A GMG MARKET BUZZ PRODUCTION – 2012<br />
Gates Imbeau serves as the assistant manager of the <strong>Dobber</strong> <strong>Sports</strong><br />
Network (dobbersports.com). On the 15 th of every month, he releases the <strong>Top</strong><br />
<strong>100</strong> <strong>Roto</strong> Players PDF and he runs the Black Aces, otherwise known as the<br />
<strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> farm team. Gates also pens a weekly Studs and Duds report at<br />
Fantrax.com and appears as a guest on <strong>The</strong> York Report via nextsportstar.com.<br />
Born and raised in Sudbury, ON, now resides in Hamilton, ON. Gates holds a B.A<br />
in Communications specialized in Advertising and can be found on twitter<br />
(@GM_Gates) or in his “Office” via the <strong>Dobber</strong> <strong>Sports</strong> forums. He can also be<br />
reached by email at gates@dobbersports.com.<br />
6
Combo Ranks : A / +/- (min. 35A / plus-10) Combo Ranks : PIM / PPP (min. 70 PIM / 10 PPP)<br />
Rk Player A +/- RK Player PIM PPP<br />
1 Henrik Sedin 67 25 1 Steve Ott 175 12<br />
2 Sidney Crosby 57 32 2 Corey Perry 110 27<br />
3 Claude Giroux 60 12 3 Scott Hartnell 135 17<br />
4 Joe Thornton 60 10 4 PK Subban 115 20<br />
5 Anze Kopitar 52 20 5 Milan Lucic 130 15<br />
6 Patrice Bergeron 40 27 6 Dion Phaneuf <strong>100</strong> 20<br />
7 Daniel Sedin 40 22 7 David Clarkson 120 15<br />
8 Nicklas Backstrom 50 12 8 James Neal 85 25<br />
9 Evgeni Malkin 52 10 9 Ryan Getzlaf 70 25<br />
10 Zdeno Chara 35 33 10 Dustin Byfuglien 80 22<br />
11 Pavel Datsyuk 47 17 11 Mark Giordano 80 20<br />
12 Kristopher Letang 45 17 12 Ryane Clowe 105 15<br />
13 Loui Eriksson 45 15 13 David Backes <strong>100</strong> 15<br />
14 Jonathan Toews 42 22 14 Zdeno Chara 85 17<br />
15 David Perron 35 22 15 Brenden Morrow 105 10<br />
16 David Krejci 45 10 16 Nick Foligno <strong>100</strong> 10<br />
17 Brian Campbell 45 10 17 Wayne Simmonds 95 10<br />
18 Ryan Suter 40 17 18 Brandon Dubinsky 95 10<br />
19 Alex Pietrangelo 40 17 19 PA Parenteau 75 15<br />
20 Tyler Seguin 40 15 20 Daniel Briere 75 15<br />
21 Joe Pavelski 40 12 21 Gabriel Landeskog 75 15<br />
22 Keith Yandle 40 10 22 Ryan Malone 75 15<br />
23 Matthew Carle 40 10 23 Marcus Foligno 70 15<br />
24 Jordan Staal 37 12 24 Chris Stewart 80 10<br />
25 Logan Couture 37 10 25 Kyle Quincey 80 10<br />
2012-13 projections based on blended results from FantasyHockeyGeek, <strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> and GMG’s Market Buzz.<br />
7
Player Profiles<br />
Ryan Kesler, Marcus Foligno, Brent Seabrook<br />
Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin<br />
Ryan Kesler, C – VAN<br />
Think back to the 2010-11 season when Corey Perry broke out, scored 50 goals, and was labeled the<br />
"<strong>Roto</strong> King". Poolies instantly fell in love with Perry and his stock went through the roof. To date, Perry is<br />
still considered to be rotisserie's best right winger. A sound argument indeed. Yet, even though Perry<br />
took home the hardware and shined bright in the limelight, a bigger roto beast was hiding in his shadow.<br />
Often overlooked is the fact that Ryan Kesler actually finished that same campaign as the true rotisserie<br />
leader. Seems odd, but take a look, the Vancouver forward likely finished first overall in your roto<br />
league, especially those that included hits and blocked shots.<br />
In a similar fashion, fast-forward to the end of the 2011-12 season and the standings will indicate that<br />
even though both players had down years, Kesler once again managed to beat Perry in overall roto.<br />
Admittedly, any league that features positional requirements, Perry will win this argument. Unless, of<br />
course, your league includes faceoffs won, then balance should restore itself. Either way, the purpose of<br />
this report is to get poolies to remember number 17's name before it is too late. Why? It may be in your<br />
best interest to snag the injured forward while his stock is at its lowest.<br />
In most leagues and drafts, poolies shy away from injured players to start the season. Usually for good<br />
reason. However, this campaign is an anomaly. For players like Kesler, who wouldn't be playing either<br />
way, as time passes their value slowly inches up to the rest of the pack. Basically, the longer the NHL<br />
lockout, the better it gets for Ryan Kesler.<br />
Previously published at Fantrax.com<br />
IR – Sleeper pick.<br />
Marcus Foligno, LW – BUF<br />
If you are looking for the next young gun to emerge as an all-round roto contributor, look no further<br />
than Marcus Foligno.<br />
Having only witnessed a small sample size at the NHL level, several strengths can be highlighted in<br />
Foligno's game. First off, one aspect that tends to be very misleading is last year's point-per-game pace.<br />
Impressive? Yes. However poolies cannot expect the younger Foligno to repeat that feat. To support<br />
that argument, should your league count points only, Marcus will not be the gem you are looking for.<br />
8
Rotisserie is a different story. While comparisons will always be made between Marcus and Nick Foligno,<br />
fans of the game will quickly see that the younger sibling plays with more of a physical edge, resulting in<br />
big hits, and loves to use his energy to get the job done. That includes blocked shots, penalty minutes<br />
and shots on goal.<br />
Over a prorated season, poolies in extended roto leagues will come to expect 45 points, 15 PPP, 70 PIM,<br />
130 SOG, 200 hits, 55 blocked shots and a positive plus/minus. In other words, that collective stat line<br />
makes Marcus Foligno a worthy piece to a puzzle that includes the categories listed above.<br />
In comparison : last year, Wayne Simmonds had a career year in terms of rotisserie numbers,<br />
highlighted by 28 goals, 114 PIM, 197 SOG and 140 hits. Prorated, Marcus looks to be just as effective<br />
overall, albeit with slightly opposing strengths. <strong>The</strong> difference between the two is that while Simmonds<br />
may have exceeded expectations in certain categories or capped himself out, Foligno will likely grow<br />
into his strengths, thus resulting in greater numbers down the road, furthering his roto worth. (Author’s<br />
note : Simmonds has since been bumped a little in the <strong>Top</strong> <strong>100</strong> – thanks [forum member] Carcillo!)<br />
Previously published at Fantrax.com<br />
Potential all around roto gem<br />
Brent Seabrook, D – CHI<br />
For those of you in leagues featuring defensive categories such as hits and blocked shots, players like<br />
Brent Seabrook tend to become much more valuable. This knowledge allows poolies to adjust their draft<br />
strategy and potentially shift their focus to acquire team needs more efficiently and effectively.<br />
On the surface, many managers shrug off Seabrook. Likely because aside from that one 48-point, 15 PPP<br />
season, he otherwise averages in the low thirties with single digit power play points. However, in that<br />
same big season, Seabrook finished the campaign with an even plus/minus, whereas he finished plus-20<br />
or more in the surrounding seasons since 2008-09.<br />
This results in a consistent 30-point defenseman who posts up an excellent positive rating, but may<br />
occasionally give up defensive numbers to boost up offensive stats. Meaning, in standard rotisserie<br />
leagues, this Blackhawk makes for a solid fifth or sixth depth D option. But add in hits and blocked shots,<br />
and this becomes a different story.<br />
In the last three seasons, Seabrook has posted no less than 198 hits alongside an average of 157 blocked<br />
shots. <strong>The</strong>se totals have him sitting in the top ten yearly for both categories combined. This translates<br />
well for his overall worth as leagues that cater to these stats will see Seabrook’s value rise above or at<br />
least equal his defensive partner, Duncan Keith.<br />
Depending on which categories are in play, you may be able to draft or acquire Seabrook on the cheap.<br />
While he may never have the same trade value or name value as Duncan Keith, he can and will be a<br />
valuable asset on your team.<br />
Previously published at Fantrax.com<br />
In extended roto? Take note.<br />
9
Daniel Sedin, LW – VAN & Henrik Sedin, C – VAN<br />
After a handful of years and countless drafts later, are the<br />
Sedin twins no longer viewed as first round selections? It<br />
seems that the combination of a subpar season and an extra<br />
birthday candle results in the Swedish brothers taking the<br />
back seat… especially Henrik Sedin.<br />
Fact is, 2012-13 drafts have not been so kind to the former<br />
Hart Trophy winner. In the four drafts that I have watched<br />
over the last few days, Henrik has gone on average 34th<br />
overall - big dip to say the least. His counterpart, Daniel, has been a bit luckier, having been selected on<br />
average 15th overall. This is mostly due to being a dependable goal scoring left winger over the ever so<br />
deep center position.<br />
Reality check - depending on your league’s categories, Daniel is still arguably the second best left winger<br />
in NHL fantasy drafts. Though pools that include penalty minutes and/or hits may have players such as<br />
Scott Hartnell, James Neal and roto-monster in the making Gabriel Landeskog making a solid bid for the<br />
runner up spot to Alex Ovechkin.<br />
Daniel Sedin’s best three categories are goals, plus/minus and power play points. Sprinkle in some shots<br />
on goal and you know exactly what to expect and what to build upon from the left side. Flip to Henrik<br />
and simply replace goals (and SOG) with massive assists. Having recorded at least 60 assists in his last six<br />
seasons and a total of 470 assists since the last lockout makes Henrik one of the best (if not the best) in<br />
that category.<br />
Now some could argue that plus/minus is a tough category to predict. True or not, there are certain<br />
players you can depend on and you can definitely expect the twins to deliver in that regard. Statistics<br />
show that this is usually the case for most of the Vancouver Canucks and their Eastern rival, the Boston<br />
Bruins.<br />
In any draft, the role of a manager is to build the best team<br />
possible with how the cards are dealt to them. Strategies<br />
change on the fly and nothing is fixed. <strong>The</strong> first few picks<br />
shape the foundation of a team and it is the GM's duty to<br />
build around those strengths. If drafting the twins, make sure<br />
to balance them with a David Backes or Dustin Brown type<br />
player. If that is not possible, draft as necessary and pick up<br />
value where value is due.<br />
Previously published at Fantrax.com<br />
No longer first round picks?<br />
10
GMG’s Final Words<br />
A Game Within the Game…<br />
Know Your Roots Part I – Add on Incentives<br />
A great way to protect not only the face value, but hidden value of your assets is to know their roots. If<br />
the player in question is one you drafted in an inaugural or entry draft, then easy peasy. However,<br />
should that player have been acquired by trade, it is important to keep a tab on the additional value<br />
instilled into them.<br />
Understanding the difference between face value and hidden value of an asset’s true worth will help<br />
determine the inevitable path of a fantasy franchise. <strong>The</strong> better you are at realizing the impact of these<br />
values, the better your chances are at improving your team through trades and defending yourself from<br />
incoming threats.<br />
<strong>The</strong> more obvious of the two is face value, also defined as the current worth of an asset. Face value can<br />
be a combination of writer projections, potential, past and recent production. Hidden values are<br />
elements such as, but not limited to, favoritism (name, team, nationality, handedness), trade<br />
momentum (hype, streaks, favoritism, perceived value) and in this particular case, add on incentives.<br />
Think of add on incentives as the cumulative net worth for any given player. Every time that player<br />
moved in a trade, what was priced? Did it improve their overall worth or lessen it? This is especially true<br />
if you happen to be on the receiving end. Why? Because you need to keep track of what you paid for<br />
your assets. Assign that cost to those respective assets and carry it over to future discussions.<br />
When a particular player is brought up at the trade table, before making any hasty decisions, make sure<br />
to do a background check and carry over the aforementioned added cost (what you originally paid for<br />
them in the first place). You will then be able to cross reference those original players to the potential<br />
ones coming in. Do you like your team better before all the moves, after all of the moves, or are you<br />
content with where you are?<br />
To be a successful manager, you must strive to improve your overall team’s worth through drafts and<br />
trades (or at least keep it status quo). Knowing the roots of your assets and applying the add on<br />
incentives technique may help you react to offers more efficiently and allow you to make better<br />
judgement calls.<br />
Part II will dig deeper into the combination of face value and hidden value as well as provide additional thoughts on<br />
knowing your roots and breaking down net worth with examples.<br />
Best,<br />
Gates Imbeau<br />
Assistant Manager - <strong>Dobber</strong><strong>Sports</strong>.com<br />
Writer - Fantrax.com<br />
Email: gates@dobbersports.com<br />
Twitter: @gm_gates<br />
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Who are the Black Aces?<br />
NHL Team Coverage -<br />
Shakedown - Chicago Blackhawks<br />
TK12555 - Toronto Maple Leafs<br />
littleranger - New York Rangers<br />
donions - Edmonton Oilers<br />
Big Ev - Ottawa Senators<br />
ericdaoust - Montreal Canadiens<br />
dmvincent - Detroit Red Wings<br />
Vincent Vega – New York Islanders<br />
Flyer Fan - Philadelphia Flyers<br />
Atlanta<strong>Sports</strong>Fan - Winnipeg Jets<br />
tgraveline - San Jose Sharks<br />
Bomm Bastic - Buffalo Sabres<br />
ridinryan44 - Vancouver Canucks<br />
newper - New Jersey Devils<br />
4T2 - Boston Bruins<br />
mapletreemarty - Colorado Avalanche<br />
jeffl97 - Anaheim Ducks<br />
First Round Pick - Calgary Flames<br />
Keytolife - Florida Panthers<br />
mounD – Pittsburgh Penguins<br />
uofmehockey –Nashville Predators<br />
InnocentBystander - St. Louis Blues<br />
Fast Tony DeNiro - Columbus Blue Jackets<br />
Fighting Emu – Carolina Hurricanes<br />
NoWayOut – Dallas Stars<br />
sixhands – Washington Capitals<br />
Ross the Boss Palmer – Minnesota Wild<br />
T.B.D / Open - Tampa Bay Lightning<br />
T.B.D / Open - Los Angeles Kings<br />
T.B.D / Open - Phoenix Coyotes<br />
Graduated Writers -<br />
Tim Lucarelli – prev. Eastern Edge (2011-12)<br />
Brendan Ross – co-manager <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects<br />
Steve Laidlaw – Cage Match<br />
Eric Daoust – Capped / <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects<br />
Ryan Goddard – <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects<br />
Tim Graveline – <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects<br />
Miika Arponen – <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects<br />
Mac Vincent – Frozen Forensics / <strong>Dobber</strong>Baseball<br />
Michael Amato – Wild West<br />
Brandon Landry – IR Report<br />
Rick Roos – Holding Court<br />
Peter Harling – prev. IR Report (2011-12)<br />
Yas Guthe – prev. <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects (2011-12)<br />
Evan Hotham – <strong>Dobber</strong>Prospects (hiatus)<br />
2012-13 <strong><strong>Dobber</strong>Hockey</strong> Studs & Duds Crew - T.B.D<br />
Studs & Duds Weekly Recap via Fantrax.com -<br />
Gates Imbeau - @GM_Gates<br />
2011-12 Pengwin7’s Depth Charts<br />
Interested in joining the NHL Team Coverage,<br />
Newsfeed and/or Studs & Duds crew for the 2012-<br />
13 season? Send me an email at the contact<br />
information below.<br />
PDF Editor : Gates Imbeau<br />
Email – gates@dobbersports.com<br />
Twitter – @GM_Gates<br />
12