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Extreme Weather, Climate and Natural Disasters in Ireland

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<strong>Extreme</strong> <strong>Weather</strong>, <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Natural</strong> <strong>Disasters</strong> <strong>in</strong> Irel<strong>and</strong><br />

the Annals. However, numerous other factors may<br />

be proposed to expla<strong>in</strong> reduced oak growth, some of<br />

which are non-climatic, such as pest outbreaks or the<br />

deliberate coppic<strong>in</strong>g of trees for human consumption of<br />

oak timbers, known to produce reduced tree-r<strong>in</strong>g widths<br />

<strong>in</strong> many species <strong>in</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g years (Rackham, 1990).<br />

Of the potential additional climatic factors, extremes<br />

of precipitation (wet <strong>and</strong> dry) are a further potential<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluence, as are storm events where branches are torn<br />

from trees, potentially <strong>in</strong>duc<strong>in</strong>g growth decreases as<br />

seen after coppic<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

5.3 Conclusions<br />

● Annual ra<strong>in</strong>fall extremes, extracted from multi-year<br />

series as 99th percentile amounts are far more<br />

spatially variable than daily precipitation amounts.<br />

While the 50% decorrelation distance for annual<br />

ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong> Irel<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Brita<strong>in</strong> is approximately 240<br />

km, the annual 99th percentiles of daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall are<br />

correlated by less than 50% over all distances. This<br />

●<br />

●<br />

●<br />

illustrates the localised nature of extremes, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

benefit of consider<strong>in</strong>g multiple, spatially distributed<br />

proxies when possible.<br />

There is a correspondence between <strong>in</strong>cidents<br />

of reported cold <strong>in</strong> the documentary evidence<br />

(Annals) <strong>and</strong> the record of explosive volcanism (with<br />

consequent cool<strong>in</strong>g effects) from the GISP2 ice core.<br />

Tree-r<strong>in</strong>g chronologies from multiple locations<br />

offer a means of overcom<strong>in</strong>g the localised nature<br />

of <strong>in</strong>dividual proxies. Many, but not all, low-growth<br />

years from the ‘Belfast’ oak chronology, derived from<br />

oaks from most of Irel<strong>and</strong>, correspond with episodes<br />

of cold reported <strong>in</strong> the Annals.<br />

More than 50 bog burst or ‘l<strong>and</strong>slides’ <strong>in</strong> peatl<strong>and</strong>s<br />

have occurred <strong>in</strong> the past century. They are the<br />

results of extremes <strong>in</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall follow<strong>in</strong>g dry periods<br />

(sometimes associated with human activities) <strong>and</strong><br />

have led to loss of human life as well as extensive<br />

ecosystem degradation.<br />

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