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Evonik Fermas.pdf - Sario

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In 2050 over 9 billion people will need<br />

healthy food with scarcer land and water<br />

•Population<br />

• 35 % increase in population<br />

• 70 % of population becomes urban<br />

6.7<br />

bn<br />

2009<br />

9.0<br />

bn<br />

2050<br />

49%<br />

urban<br />

2009<br />

70%<br />

urban<br />

2050<br />

•Standard of living (affluence)<br />

• 10 % increase in food energy intake<br />

• 30 % increase in meat intake<br />

•Technology<br />

• 17 % decrease in land per capita<br />

• 70 % increase in water required<br />

for agriculture<br />

2850<br />

kcal<br />

2009<br />

0.23<br />

ha<br />

2009<br />

3130<br />

kcal<br />

2050<br />

0.19<br />

ha<br />

2050<br />

40<br />

kg<br />

2009<br />

2009<br />

52<br />

kg<br />

2050<br />

12200<br />

km 3<br />

7200<br />

km 3 2050<br />

Source: FAO 2009, OECD 2009, Bruinsma 2009, own calculations<br />

June 2011 2011 | Health | Health Corporate & Nutrition & Nutrition Presentation Page Seite 6 6

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