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district both bef<strong>or</strong>e and after completion. However, <strong>the</strong>re <strong>do</strong>es appear to be a significant<br />

reduction in <strong>the</strong> gap around <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> completion. Finally, it is interesting to <strong>not</strong>e that,<br />

while <strong>the</strong> gap between prices in <strong>the</strong> ring and <strong>the</strong> community district falls immediately<br />

after completion in <strong>the</strong> 500-foot ring, it appears to take longer f<strong>or</strong> <strong>the</strong> effects to be felt in<br />

<strong>the</strong> m<strong>or</strong>e distant rings. The maj<strong>or</strong> decline in <strong>the</strong> 1,000-foot ring occurs between one and<br />

two years after <strong>the</strong> completion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> homeownership project. In <strong>the</strong> 2,000-foot ring, <strong>the</strong><br />

decline continues through year three. One plausible explanation is that <strong>the</strong><br />

homeownership projects have a m<strong>or</strong>e sudden impact on <strong>the</strong>ir immediate surroundings,<br />

but that, over time, <strong>the</strong>y may bring benefits to m<strong>or</strong>e distant areas as well. (This is also<br />

consistent with <strong>the</strong> fact—discussed below—that after 10 years <strong>the</strong> impact in <strong>the</strong> 500-foot<br />

ring appears to dissipate—while <strong>the</strong> effects are persistent in <strong>the</strong> 2,000-foot ring.)<br />

Figure 8<br />

Percent Difference Between Prices in 500 Foot Ring and Community<br />

District, by Time to Completion<br />

0<br />

-10 -5 0 5 10 15<br />

Percent Difference Between Ring and CD<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

-30<br />

Time to Completion (0= 1 year bef<strong>or</strong>e)<br />

Figure 8 graphs <strong>the</strong>se percentage differentials by <strong>the</strong> year relative to project<br />

completion and clearly shows that <strong>the</strong> gap has declined over time. One year bef<strong>or</strong>e <strong>the</strong><br />

completion <strong>of</strong> a homeownership project (marked by zero on <strong>the</strong> graph), <strong>the</strong> sales price <strong>of</strong><br />

a building within 500 feet <strong>of</strong> a future site is on average 10.4 percent lower than <strong>the</strong> price<br />

<strong>of</strong> a comparable home sold in <strong>the</strong> same year in <strong>the</strong> same community district. In <strong>the</strong> years<br />

22

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