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The <strong>Armenia</strong>n Reporter | February 28, 2009<br />

<strong>National</strong><br />

Washington briefing<br />

by Emil Sanamyan<br />

Obama proposes 2010<br />

budget, as Congress<br />

funds 2009<br />

President Barack Obama made<br />

his first budget proposal since taking<br />

office, calling for an overall increase<br />

in funding for the State Department<br />

<strong>and</strong> other international<br />

programs to $51.7 billion, or $4.5<br />

billion more than the Fiscal Year<br />

2009 spending estimate, the White<br />

House announced on February 26.<br />

Country-by-country breakdowns,<br />

including that for <strong>Armenia</strong>, were<br />

not available at press time. But the<br />

overall increase may help reverse<br />

the trend of recent years with U.S.<br />

aid programs for post-Soviet states<br />

declining from $452 million in 2007<br />

to an estimated $346 million in<br />

2009.<br />

Meanwhile, on February 25, Congress<br />

passed the Omnibus spending<br />

bill for Fiscal Year 2009. According<br />

to the Democratic Party<br />

managers’ report accompanying<br />

the legislation <strong>and</strong> made available<br />

to the <strong>Armenia</strong>n Reporter, the legislation<br />

set aside $48 million in aid to<br />

<strong>Armenia</strong> <strong>and</strong> $8 million to Nagorno-<br />

Karabakh. There was also $3 million<br />

in foreign military financing for <strong>Armenia</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> Azerbaijan, each.<br />

Overall, <strong>Armenia</strong> aid program remains<br />

one of the largest in Europe<br />

with only Kosovo ($120.9 million),<br />

Ukraine ($71.5 million), Russia ($60<br />

million), <strong>and</strong> Georgia ($52 million)<br />

receiving more funding. Aid to<br />

Azerbaijan was set at $18.5 million.<br />

The legislation mirrored closely<br />

the spending levels proposed by<br />

the House Foreign Operations Subcommittee<br />

last summer. (See this<br />

page in the <strong>Armenia</strong>n Reporter for<br />

July 17, 2008.)<br />

There is also substantial cut in<br />

Millennium Challenge Corporation<br />

programs, set at $875 million, down<br />

from $1.35 billion requested by the<br />

Bush administration.<br />

HRW study cover.<br />

Reports review<br />

<strong>Armenia</strong>’s post-election<br />

crisis<br />

Allegations of misconduct by<br />

<strong>Armenia</strong>’s law-enforcement agencies<br />

during post-electoral collisions<br />

last year should be thoroughly<br />

investigated, the New<br />

York-based Human Rights Watch<br />

(HRW) urged as part of a detailed<br />

study released on February 25.<br />

The watchdog also called on the<br />

United States <strong>and</strong> the European<br />

Union to make their engagement<br />

with <strong>Armenia</strong> contingent on such<br />

an investigation.<br />

The 64-page HRW report, “Democracy<br />

on Rocky Ground: <strong>Armenia</strong>’s<br />

Disputed 2008 Presidential<br />

Election, Post-Election Violence,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the One-Sided Pursuit of Accountability,”<br />

is perhaps the most<br />

comprehensive available account<br />

of <strong>Armenia</strong>’s latest post-election<br />

crisis.<br />

The study is based on interviews<br />

with 80 witnesses, participants,<br />

<strong>and</strong> victims of the March 1–2 clashes<br />

in Yerevan, conducted in March<br />

<strong>and</strong> April last year.<br />

Also released on February 25 was<br />

the State Department’s annual<br />

study of human rights practices<br />

worldwide. Its <strong>Armenia</strong> chapter, in<br />

addition to compiling human rights<br />

issues throughout 2008, retained a<br />

controversial reference to the <strong>Armenia</strong>n<br />

republic of Nagorno-Karabakh<br />

as a “region of Azerbaijan.”<br />

There were community <strong>and</strong><br />

congressional complaints when<br />

the reference was first introduced<br />

into the report in 2006. State Department<br />

officials claimed at the<br />

time the reference did not signal a<br />

change in U.S. policy. There was no<br />

public reaction when the reference<br />

was repeated last year.<br />

Thomas de Waal. <strong>Armenia</strong>n Reporter.<br />

Expert recommends<br />

change of rhetoric on<br />

Karabakh<br />

“Both internationally <strong>and</strong> locally,<br />

the language used about the [Karabakh]<br />

dispute needs to change for<br />

progress to be made” in the peace<br />

process, the leading Western expert<br />

on the conflict Thomas de Waal<br />

argued in a paper for the Conciliation<br />

Resources, a British charity.<br />

The 20-page paper titled, “The<br />

Karabakh Trap: Dangers <strong>and</strong> dilemmas<br />

of the Nagorny Karabakh conflict,”<br />

released online on February<br />

24, provides a review of the status<br />

quo in the <strong>Armenia</strong>n-Azerbaijani<br />

st<strong>and</strong>off <strong>and</strong> outlines potential future<br />

scenarios.<br />

As immediate steps, Mr. de Waal<br />

recommends “less use by international<br />

officials of formulas about<br />

‘territorial integrity’ <strong>and</strong> “self-determination’<br />

which obscure more<br />

than they reveal” about the conflict;<br />

he also urges “an end to the<br />

talk of war” by Azerbaijan <strong>and</strong> a<br />

distinction between the rights of<br />

Karabakh <strong>Armenia</strong>ns <strong>and</strong> <strong>Armenia</strong>n-controlled<br />

former Azerbaijanipopulated<br />

areas.<br />

“On both sides, [there is a need<br />

for] mention of regret for the<br />

shared tragedy of war, of the deep<br />

common culture <strong>and</strong> of the necessity<br />

<strong>and</strong> value of living together as<br />

neighbours <strong>and</strong> partners in the future,”<br />

the expert concludes.<br />

Mr. de Waal is author of Black<br />

Garden: <strong>Armenia</strong> <strong>and</strong> Azerbaijan<br />

through Peace <strong>and</strong> War, the only<br />

thorough study of the conflict<br />

available in English, released as a<br />

book in 2003.<br />

Polls note Muslim<br />

suspicion of U.S.,<br />

worldwide religiosity<br />

Most Muslims oppose terrorist attacks<br />

against civilians but are also<br />

suspicious of the United States <strong>and</strong><br />

endorse the al Qaida objective of<br />

removing American military bases<br />

from the Middle East, according to<br />

surveys conducted last year <strong>and</strong> released<br />

on February 25.<br />

The World Public <strong>Opinion</strong> poll<br />

found that a significant number<br />

of respondents in eight Muslim<br />

countries studied support attacks<br />

on U.S. military forces deployed in<br />

the Middle East. While majorities<br />

hold a negative view of Osama bin<br />

Mediators fault Azerbaijan for threatening war<br />

Laden <strong>and</strong> al Qaida, they also believe<br />

that Islamist groups should be<br />

allowed to participate in the political<br />

process.<br />

In Turkey, 87 percent of respondents<br />

believed the United States intends<br />

to “weaken <strong>and</strong> divide” Muslims<br />

<strong>and</strong> 77 percent thought the<br />

U.S. naval presence in the Persian<br />

Gulf was a “bad idea.” Turks were<br />

split on attacks against U.S. forces<br />

in Iraq, with 40 percent disapproving<br />

<strong>and</strong> 39 percent approving of<br />

such attacks.<br />

In Azerbaijan, 67 percent of respondents<br />

believed the U.S. goal<br />

was to undermine Muslims <strong>and</strong> 66<br />

percent called U.S. military presence<br />

a “bad idea.” Nevertheless,<br />

fully 76 percent of Azerbaijanis also<br />

opposed attacks on U.S.-led forces<br />

in Iraq. (Azerbaijan was the only<br />

country included in the survey to<br />

have had a contingent in Iraq until<br />

last year.)<br />

In a separate Gallup poll of<br />

worldwide religiosity released on<br />

February 9, Azerbaijan was determined<br />

to be the least religious majority-Muslim<br />

country in the world.<br />

Only 21 percent of Azerbaijanis<br />

surveyed responded affirmatively<br />

when asked if religion was an important<br />

part of their life.<br />

By contrast, 75 percent of Georgians<br />

<strong>and</strong> 70 percent of <strong>Armenia</strong>ns<br />

said they were religious. In the<br />

United States two-thirds of respondents<br />

described themselves<br />

as religious. Egypt, Bangladesh,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Sri Lanka, topped the ranks of<br />

the most religious countries worldwide.<br />

f<br />

President Obama <strong>and</strong> cabinet members discuss the administration’s budget<br />

proposal on Jan. 24 at the White House. White House photo: Pete Souza.<br />

n Continued from page <br />

to the Minsk Group peace process,<br />

<strong>and</strong> asked the co-chairs to intensify<br />

their efforts to help the parties<br />

bridge their remaining differences<br />

with regard to the Basic Principles.<br />

“In subsequent public statements,<br />

both presidents underscored their<br />

enduring commitment to the Minsk<br />

Group’s mediation effort. Therefore,<br />

the Minsk Group’s co-chairs will<br />

visit the region before the end of<br />

February to help the parties to accelerate<br />

their efforts to finalize the<br />

Basic Principles. The Minsk Group<br />

co-chairs will not allow the peace<br />

process to be subverted by legalistic<br />

or historical discussions, though<br />

they will remain sensitive to historical<br />

concerns expressed by the parties<br />

to the conflict, all of which must<br />

be addressed in due course. The<br />

co-chairs further believe the abovementioned<br />

reports should have no<br />

bearing on negotiations within the<br />

Minsk Group in pursuit of a peaceful<br />

<strong>and</strong> political settlement of the<br />

Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, to<br />

which both presidents committed<br />

themselves in their Moscow Declaration,”<br />

the statement read.<br />

On February 20 the Foreign Ministry<br />

of Azerbaijan disseminated<br />

the contents of two documents<br />

that Agshin Mehdiyev, Azerbaijan’s<br />

representative to the United<br />

Nations had been sent to the United<br />

Nations Secretary General. The<br />

first document presents Azerbaijan’s<br />

version of the Karabakh war. It<br />

clearly states in the document that<br />

Azerbaijan can “liberate by military<br />

means” the territories under the<br />

control of <strong>Armenia</strong>n forces.<br />

According to the Russian-language<br />

daily Zerkalo published in<br />

Baku, the second report says that<br />

respecting the territorial integrity<br />

of states is a founding norm of international<br />

law <strong>and</strong> the principle<br />

of self-determination cannot be<br />

viewed as a right for separation.<br />

And so, according to Azerbaijan,<br />

Nagorno-Karabakh can exercise<br />

self-determination only within the<br />

bounds of Azerbaijan’s territorial<br />

integrity.<br />

United Nations<br />

resolutions<br />

Since 2004, Azerbaijan has continually<br />

tried to place the settlement of<br />

the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict or<br />

any component of the conflict on<br />

the agenda of the United Nations<br />

General Assembly <strong>and</strong> thereby win<br />

political points – as General Assembly<br />

resolutions are not compulsory.<br />

On March 14, 2008 – while <strong>Armenia</strong><br />

was in a state of emergency<br />

– Azerbaijan succeeded in its efforts<br />

<strong>and</strong> the United Nations General<br />

Assembly adopted a resolution “reaffirming<br />

the territorial integrity of<br />

Azerbaijan, dem<strong>and</strong>ing withdrawal<br />

of all <strong>Armenia</strong>n forces from all occupied<br />

territories there.”<br />

By a recorded vote of 39 in favor<br />

to 7 against (Angola, <strong>Armenia</strong>,<br />

France, India, Russian Federation,<br />

United States, Vanuatu), with 100<br />

abstentions (among them all other<br />

EU states), “the Assembly also reaffirmed<br />

the inalienable right of the<br />

Azerbaijani population to return to<br />

their homes, <strong>and</strong> reaffirmed that<br />

no State should recognize as lawful<br />

the situation resulting from the occupation<br />

of Azerbaijan’s territories,<br />

or render assistance in maintaining<br />

that situation.”<br />

Defining that resolution as “bogus,”<br />

Vartan Oskanian, <strong>Armenia</strong>’s<br />

foreign minister at the time, said,<br />

“I hope that Azerbaijan understood<br />

the message of the international<br />

community. Following the example<br />

of the co-chairs, the majority of the<br />

member-states refused the unilateral<br />

approach.”<br />

Azerbaijan is trying to discredit<br />

<strong>Armenia</strong> in international bodies<br />

with such resolutions. By taking the<br />

Karabakh issue or any component<br />

of that issue to the United Nations,<br />

the authorities in Baku believe that<br />

they can receive the ready support<br />

of at least the Islamic countries<br />

within that organization.<br />

Earlier, on September 8, 2006,<br />

Azerbaijan scored a point when<br />

the UN General Assembly adopted<br />

a resolution on ecological damage<br />

from fires in the Karabakh conflict<br />

zone. The wording of such resolutions<br />

is more important for Azerbaijan<br />

than their substance, because<br />

as a rule Azerbaijan’s territorial<br />

integrity <strong>and</strong> the issue of the territories<br />

being occupied by <strong>Armenia</strong>n<br />

forces are restated in those resolutions.<br />

And so, the resolution about<br />

the fires was titled, “The situation in<br />

the occupied territories of Azerbaijan,”<br />

a formulation that satisfies the<br />

claims of Azerbaijan.<br />

Earlier still, in autumn 2004,<br />

Azerbaijan accused <strong>Armenia</strong> at the<br />

United Nations of illegal resettlement<br />

in Nagorno-Karabakh <strong>and</strong><br />

its adjacent territories <strong>and</strong> for conducting<br />

a policy of appropriation.<br />

The effect was that in January–February<br />

2005, the OSCE sent a factfinding<br />

group to the territories.<br />

That group stressed in its report<br />

that <strong>Armenia</strong> was not conducting<br />

a policy of settlement <strong>and</strong> appropriation.<br />

In recent years Azerbaijan has<br />

frequently recalled the four resolutions<br />

that were adopted by the<br />

United Nations Security Council on<br />

the Karabakh issue in 1993. During<br />

the Karabakh war, Azerbaijan<br />

was the one that ignored the calls<br />

of the intermediating states <strong>and</strong><br />

organizations <strong>and</strong> did not wish<br />

to stop military activities, expecting<br />

that by regrouping its military<br />

forces it would reach its goal: seize<br />

Karabakh <strong>and</strong> deport all of the <strong>Armenia</strong>ns<br />

from there. Azerbaijan<br />

ignored the dem<strong>and</strong>s of those four<br />

resolutions, expecting to force a<br />

political full stop to <strong>Armenia</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Nagorno-Karabakh through success<br />

in the military field. f

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