Finance 539 Quantitative Portfolio Management - Vanderbilt ...
Finance 539 Quantitative Portfolio Management - Vanderbilt ...
Finance 539 Quantitative Portfolio Management - Vanderbilt ...
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<strong>Finance</strong> <strong>539</strong><br />
<strong>Quantitative</strong> <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong><br />
Owen Graduate School of <strong>Management</strong><br />
Professor Craig M. Lewis<br />
Fall 1998 – Module I<br />
Overview<br />
This course is designed to cover the subject of quantitative portfolio management. As the<br />
title suggests, we examine a particular aspect of the portfolio management process that<br />
focuses on quantitative stock selection. Over the term we will develop analytic tools that can<br />
help us make informed investment decisions.<br />
Teams<br />
By the end of the second class, you will be expected to join a team of from three to five<br />
members. Teams will submit all exercises, and your grade will depend in large part on the<br />
quality of the work of your team.<br />
Grades<br />
Grades will be given to each team based on overall performance on the exercises. Each<br />
individual on the team will receive the team grade modified to account for individual<br />
performance on oral reports.<br />
Course Website<br />
Some of the course materials are available on the course website at<br />
http://mba.vanderbilt.edu/faculty/Craig.Lewis/<strong>Finance</strong><strong>539</strong>.htm<br />
Course Text and Readings<br />
The following book is the required test for the class.<br />
• Richard C. Grinold and Ronald N. Kahn, Active <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>, Probus Publishing,<br />
Chicago, Ill., 1995<br />
The following books provide alternative discussions of the topics covered in Grinold and<br />
Kahn.<br />
• Edwin J. Elton and Martin J. Gruber, Modern <strong>Portfolio</strong> Theory and Investment Analysis, Fifth<br />
Edition. New York: John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 1995.<br />
• David G. Luenberger, Investment Science, Oxford University Press, 1998.
• William F. Sharpe, Macro Investment Analysis Course Materials, http://wwwsharpe.stanford.edu/328_97.htm,<br />
1997<br />
Course Material<br />
Introduction<br />
Matrix Algebra<br />
Matrices<br />
Matrix Operations<br />
Gauss<br />
Lewis lecture notes<br />
Optimization<br />
<strong>Portfolio</strong> Selection Problem<br />
Lewis lecture notes, Word file for download<br />
Asset Pricing Models<br />
<strong>Portfolio</strong> Theory<br />
• Lewis lecture notes, Word file for download<br />
The Capital Asset Pricing Model<br />
• Richard Roll, A Critique of the Asset Pricing Theory’s Tests; Part I: On Past and<br />
Potential Testability of the Theory, Journal of Financial Economics, 4, March 1977, 129-<br />
178.<br />
• Chapter 2, Grinold and Kahn, “Consensus Expected Returns: The Capital Asset<br />
Pricing Model”<br />
The Arbitrage Pricing Theory<br />
• Chapter 7, Grinold and Kahn, “Expected Returns and the Arbitrage Theory”<br />
Factor models<br />
• Lewis lecture notes – Risk Control Models - download<br />
• Chapter 3, Grinold and Kahn, “Risk”<br />
• Chapter 8, Luenberger, “Models and Data”<br />
• W.F. Sharpe, “Factor Models, CAPMs, and the APT,” Journal of <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>,<br />
Fall 1984, pp. 21-25.<br />
• Eugene Fama and Ken French, “The Cross-Section of Expected Returns,” Journal of<br />
<strong>Finance</strong>, 47, June 1992, 427-466.<br />
• Eugene Fama and Ken French, “Common Risk Factors on the Returns on Stocks<br />
and Bonds,” Journal of Financial Economics, 33, February 1993, 3-56.
• Wayne Ferson and Cambell Harvey, “The Risk and Predictability of International<br />
Equity Returns,” The Review of Financial Studies, 6, 1993, 527-566.<br />
• Lewis lecture notes, Word file for download<br />
Homework #1 – <strong>Portfolio</strong> Theory and the DOW 30,<br />
• Solution to HW #1 – effset.m<br />
Homework #2 – Factor Models – Fama-MacBeth Approach<br />
• Solution to HW #2 – not yet<br />
Homework #3 – Factor Models – Fama-French Approach<br />
• Solution to HW #3 – not yet<br />
Active <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong><br />
Measuring Exceptional Stock Price Performance<br />
• Chapter 4, Grinold and Kahn, “Exceptional Return, Benchmarks, and Value Added”<br />
• Brad Barber and John Lyon, “Detecting Long-Run Abnormal Stock Returns: The<br />
Empirical Power and Specification of Test Statistics,” Journal of Financial Economics,<br />
43, March 1997, 341-372.<br />
• John Lyon, Brad Barber, and Chih-Ling Tsai, Improved Methods for Tests of Long-<br />
Run Abnormal Stock Returns, July 1997, unpublished working paper.<br />
Residual Risk and Return: The Information Ratio<br />
• Chapter 5, Grinold and Kahn, “Residual Risk and Return: The Information Ratio”<br />
The Fundamental Law of Active <strong>Management</strong><br />
• Chapter 6, Grinold and Kahn, “The Fundamental Law of Active <strong>Management</strong>”<br />
Valuation<br />
Readings<br />
• Chapter 8, Grinold and Kahn, “Valuation in Theory”<br />
• Chapter 9, Grinold and Kahn, “Valuation in Practice”<br />
• J. Abarbanell and B. Bushee, “Fundamental Analysis, Future Earnings, and Stock<br />
Prices,” Journal of Accounting Research, Spring 1977, 1-24.<br />
• S. Stickell, “Reputation and Performance Among Security Analysts,” Journal of<br />
<strong>Finance</strong>, December 1992, 1811-1836.<br />
<strong>Portfolio</strong> Implementation<br />
Information Analysis<br />
• Chapter 11, Grinold and Kahn, “Information Analysis”
• Keith Ambachster and James Farrell, Jr., “Can Active <strong>Management</strong> Add Value?”<br />
Financial Analysts Journal, November/December 1979, 39-47.<br />
• Ronald Kahn, “What Practioners Need to Know About Backtesting,” Financial<br />
Analysts Journal, July/August 1990, 17-20.<br />
<strong>Portfolio</strong> Construction<br />
• Chapter 12, Grinold and Kahn, “<strong>Portfolio</strong> Construction”<br />
• Vijay Chopra and William Ziemba, “The Effects of Errrors in Means, Variances, and<br />
Covariances on Optimal <strong>Portfolio</strong> Choice,” Journal of <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>, 18, Winter<br />
1993, 6-11.<br />
• Phillippe Jorion, “<strong>Portfolio</strong> Optimization in Practice,” Financial Analysts Journal,<br />
January/February 1992, 68-74.<br />
Transaction Costs, Turnover, and Trading<br />
• Chapter 13, Grinold and Kahn, “Transaction Costs, Turnover, and Trading”<br />
Performance Analysis<br />
• Chapter 14, Grinold and Kahn, “Performance Analysis”<br />
• W. Goetzmann and R. Ibbotson, Do Winners Repeat?” Journal of <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>,<br />
Winter 1994, 9-18.<br />
• W.F. Sharpe, “The Sharpe Ratio,” Journal of <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>, Fall 1994, 49-58.<br />
Homework #4 – Alpha Models<br />
• Solution to HW #4 – not yet<br />
Dynamic <strong>Portfolio</strong> Strategies<br />
Asset Allocation<br />
• Chapter 15, Grinold and Kahn, “Benchmark Timing”<br />
• W.F. Sharpe, “Asset Allocation: <strong>Management</strong> Style and Performance Measurement,”<br />
Journal of <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>, Winter 1992, 7-19.<br />
• Joe Brocato and P.R. Chandy, “Does Market Timing Really Work in the Real World?<br />
Journal of <strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Management</strong>, Winter 1994, 39-44.<br />
• Robert Cumby and David Modest, “Testing for Market Timing Ability,” Journal of<br />
Financial Economics, 19, 1987, 169-189.<br />
Style Analysis<br />
Readings<br />
• Stephen Brown and William Goetzmann, “Mutual Fund Styles,” Journal of Financial<br />
Economics, March 1997, 373-400.
• John Christopherson and C. Nola Williams, “Equity Style: What It Is and Why It<br />
Matters,” The Handbook of Equity Style <strong>Management</strong>, Edited by T.D. Coggin and F.J.<br />
Fabozzi, published by Frank J. Fabozzi and Associates, 1995 pp. 1-22.<br />
• W.F. Sharpe interview on Style Analysis