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Limitations and areas for fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>vestigation<br />
Prediction was modest <strong>to</strong> moderate:<br />
– only 12-13% of variance on Physical<br />
– 30-38% of variance on Social-Emotional<br />
– 20-22% of variance on Learn<strong>in</strong>g<br />
‣ Selection of predic<strong>to</strong>r variables – many o<strong>the</strong>rs could be <strong>in</strong>cluded<br />
‣ Outcome Indices are composite measures – more differentiation may be<br />
possible with more f<strong>in</strong>e-gra<strong>in</strong>ed outcomes<br />
For <strong>the</strong> future :<br />
Explicit test<strong>in</strong>g of mediational hypo<strong>the</strong>ses<br />
• e.g. is impact of poor neighbourhood and low <strong>in</strong>come mediated through<br />
parent<strong>in</strong>g and maternal depression?<br />
Test<strong>in</strong>g for non-l<strong>in</strong>ear and <strong>in</strong>teractional effects<br />
• e.g. do parental hostility and consistency <strong>in</strong>teract with child reactivity, with<br />
synergistic effects on Social-Emotional?<br />
Different predic<strong>to</strong>rs and pathways for different subgroups?<br />
• E.g. ‘comorbid’ groups; Indigenous and recent migrant groups; children<br />
with specific conditions
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