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KEENJHAR LAKE RESORT<br />

PROJECT<br />

Development of a Tourist <strong>Resort</strong><br />

Under Public Private Partnership<br />

at<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>, Thatta<br />

<strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> Tourism<br />

Department<br />

PPP Unit<br />

Finance Department<br />

Advisors:<br />

Ernst & Young<br />

Ford Rhodes Sidat Hyder<br />

Meinhardt (Pakistan)<br />

Private Limited<br />

Haidermota & Co.


Table of Contents<br />

1 Disclaimer ............................................................................................................................... 5<br />

2 Abbreviations ......................................................................................................................... 7<br />

3 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 8<br />

4 The Tourism Industry ........................................................................................................... 9<br />

4.1 International Tourism.................................................................................................... 9<br />

4.2 Tourism in Pakistan .................................................................................................... 10<br />

4.2.1 Estimates and Forecasts .................................................................................... 11<br />

4.2.2 GNP Contribution ................................................................................................. 12<br />

4.2.3 Inbound Tourist Traffic and Tourism Receipts .............................................. 12<br />

4.2.4 Outbound Tourist Traffic and Expenditures ................................................... 13<br />

4.2.5 Motivation .............................................................................................................. 13<br />

4.2.6 Average Spending Levels .................................................................................. 14<br />

4.2.7 Exports & Tourism Earnings ............................................................................. 14<br />

4.2.8 Tourism and Employment .................................................................................. 14<br />

4.2.9 Tourism and Regional Development ................................................................ 14<br />

4.2.10 Domestic Tourism................................................................................................ 15<br />

4.3 Tourism Attractions in <strong>Sindh</strong> .................................................................................... 15<br />

4.3.1 Tourist Destinations ............................................................................................ 16<br />

4.3.2 Eco-Tourism.......................................................................................................... 17<br />

4.4 Tourist Sites under consideration for development ............................................. 17<br />

4.5 Eco friendly Tourist <strong>Resort</strong> in <strong>Sindh</strong> ....................................................................... 19<br />

5 Pakistan – Profile and Overview ...................................................................................... 21<br />

5.1 Country Profile ............................................................................................................. 21<br />

5.1.1 Overview ................................................................................................................ 21<br />

5.1.2 Demographics ...................................................................................................... 21<br />

5.1.3 General Macroeconomic Indicators ................................................................. 23<br />

6 Province of <strong>Sindh</strong> – Profile and Overview ...................................................................... 28<br />

6.1 Province Profile ........................................................................................................... 28<br />

6.2 Regional Connectivity ................................................................................................ 29<br />

6.3 Demographic and Socio-economic Profile ............................................................. 31<br />

7 Overview of Thatta and surrounding districts ............................................................... 32<br />

7.1 Introduction to Districts surrounding <strong>Keenjhar</strong> .................................................... 32<br />

7.2 Overview of Thatta and Badin District ..................................................................... 32<br />

2<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


7.3 Hyderabad District ....................................................................................................... 33<br />

7.4 Karachi District ............................................................................................................ 33<br />

7.5 <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> .............................................................................................................. 34<br />

7.5.1 Proximity ............................................................................................................... 34<br />

7.5.2 Socio-economic Conditions: Surrounding area ............................................ 34<br />

7.5.3 Site Conditions: 100kms radius ........................................................................ 35<br />

8 <strong>Project</strong> Overview ................................................................................................................. 36<br />

8.1 <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> .............................................................................................................. 36<br />

8.2 <strong>Project</strong> Concept ........................................................................................................... 37<br />

8.3 <strong>Project</strong> Objectives ....................................................................................................... 38<br />

8.4 Operating Model .......................................................................................................... 38<br />

9 Development Framework ................................................................................................... 40<br />

9.1 Site Analysis ................................................................................................................. 40<br />

9.2 Conceptual Design ...................................................................................................... 41<br />

9.3 Visualizations ............................................................................................................... 43<br />

10 Conceptual Master Plan ................................................................................................. 44<br />

10.1 Infrastructure Development ....................................................................................... 45<br />

10.2 Development Package I .............................................................................................. 46<br />

10.3 Development Package II ............................................................................................. 47<br />

10.4 Synopsis of DP-I and DP-II ......................................................................................... 48<br />

11 Analysis on Commercial Viability ................................................................................ 49<br />

11.1 <strong>Project</strong> aims and objectives ...................................................................................... 49<br />

11.2 Tourism opportunities at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> ................................................................ 49<br />

11.3 Demand Generators .................................................................................................... 50<br />

11.4 Survey of Recreational spots near Karachi ............................................................ 52<br />

12 Development Parameters .............................................................................................. 55<br />

12.1 Development parameters ........................................................................................... 55<br />

13 <strong>Project</strong> Development Strategy ...................................................................................... 58<br />

13.1 Marketing strategy for Farmhouses ......................................................................... 58<br />

14 Financial Analysis ........................................................................................................... 61<br />

14.1 <strong>Project</strong> Cash Flows ..................................................................................................... 61<br />

14.2 Development Period Cash Flows ............................................................................. 62<br />

14.2.1 Estimated <strong>Project</strong> Costs – <strong>Resort</strong> Zone ...................................................................... 63<br />

14.2.2 <strong>Project</strong> Development Timelines ................................................................................ 63<br />

3<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


14.2.3 Development Outlays ............................................................................................... 64<br />

14.2.4 <strong>Project</strong> Financing Assumptions ................................................................................. 64<br />

14.3 Operational Period Cash Flows ................................................................................ 66<br />

14.3.1 Revenue Assumptions............................................................................................... 67<br />

14.3.2 Cost Assumptions ..................................................................................................... 68<br />

14.4 <strong>Investment</strong> Analysis.......................................................................................................... 70<br />

14.4.1 Upside Potential ....................................................................................................... 70<br />

15 <strong>Project</strong> Implementation Framework ............................................................................. 71<br />

15.1 Implementation Structure .......................................................................................... 71<br />

15.2 Role of the Developer ................................................................................................. 71<br />

15.3 Role of the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company ................................................................... 71<br />

15.4 Concession Agreement .............................................................................................. 71<br />

15.5 Concession Period ...................................................................................................... 72<br />

15.6 Payment Security Mechanism ................................................................................... 72<br />

4<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


1 Disclaimer<br />

This Information Memorandum (“the Memorandum” or “this Document”) has been compiled<br />

by Ernst & Young Ford Rhodes Sidat Hyder (“Transaction Advisors”), on behalf of the<br />

Tourism Department and the PPP Unit, Finance Department, Government of <strong>Sindh</strong> (“the<br />

Client”), on the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> (“the <strong>Project</strong>”).<br />

This Memorandum is confidential and is provided solely for the information of the recipients<br />

(“the Recipients”) for providing preliminary information regarding the <strong>Project</strong>. While the<br />

information contained herein is from sources believed to be reliable, it is not represented to be<br />

accurate or complete and should not be relied upon as such. The information provided is on a<br />

best efforts basis and neither the Transaction Advisors nor the Client have any obligation /<br />

liability of any nature whatsoever relating to the gains and/or losses incurred by the<br />

Recipients based on any information provided.<br />

The information contained in this Memorandum is selective and does not include a description<br />

of any risks. It does not purport to contain all the information that the Recipients may require<br />

and is subject to updates, expansions, revisions and amendments. However, neither the<br />

Client nor its Transaction Advisor, undertake any obligation to update, expand, revise or<br />

amend any information or to correct any inaccuracies contained in this Memorandum or to<br />

provide the Recipients with additional information at any time whatsoever.<br />

Neither the Client, nor its Transaction Advisors, nor affiliated partnerships or bodies<br />

corporate, nor the directors, shareholders, managers, partners, employees or agents of any of<br />

them (“the Parties”), make any undertaking, representation or warranty, express or implied, as<br />

to the accuracy, reasonableness or completeness of the information contained in this<br />

Document. All such Parties expressly disclaim any and all liability for, or based on, or relating<br />

to, any information/ errors/ omissions contained in the Memorandum, or based on or relating<br />

to the Recipient’s use of the Memorandum. Furthermore, the Parties will not have any liability<br />

to any of the Recipients or any other person under law, equity or contract, or otherwise for<br />

any alleged loss, expense or damage of any nature whatsoever which may arise from or be<br />

incurred or suffered in connection with anything contained in this Memorandum or from any<br />

matter deemed to form part of the same.<br />

This Memorandum is not a prospectus and does not constitute or form any part of any offer or<br />

recommendation to invest in the <strong>Project</strong> nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be<br />

relied upon, in any way in connection with any contract relating to any contractual<br />

arrangements that the Recipient may enter into with the Client or its designated/ nominated<br />

entity (ies). Any interested party (including the Recipients) shall be deemed to acknowledge<br />

that it has not relied on or been induced to enter such arrangements or agreement by any<br />

representations or warranty set out herein or otherwise. The information provided in this<br />

Document does not constitute a personal recommendation nor does it take into account the<br />

particular investment objectives, financial situations and/or needs of individual Recipients.<br />

The Recipients should read and consider all of the information contained in this Memorandum<br />

and should conduct their own independent investigations and analysis in respect of the same.<br />

The contents of this Memorandum are not to be construed as legal, financial, or tax advice.<br />

Before acting on any advice or recommendation contained in this Document, the Recipients<br />

should consider whether it is suitable for their particular circumstances and, are strongly<br />

advised to seek professional advice. Each Recipient should consult his, her or its own legal<br />

advisor, financial advisor and/or tax advisor for legal, financial or tax advice. The Recipients<br />

are required to conduct their own due diligence and seek their own advice prior to making any<br />

investment decision relating to the transaction and the <strong>Project</strong>.<br />

5<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


This Memorandum is for information only and is not an offer to enter into any kind of<br />

transaction whatsoever. This Document (including its contents) is confidential, being for use<br />

only by the persons to whom it is issued, and may not be used for any other purpose. This<br />

Memorandum (or any part thereof), may not be copied, distributed, published, reproduced or<br />

disclosed to any other person by the Recipients to third parties other than the Recipients’<br />

professional advisers for the purpose of considering their interest in the <strong>Project</strong> and obtaining<br />

advice in respect thereof. Additionally, the provision of this Document may be restricted by<br />

law. This Memorandum is for distribution only to the persons of the kind to whom it may<br />

lawfully be issued. Persons to whom this Memorandum is provided are required to inform<br />

themselves about and to observe any such restrictions.<br />

This Memorandum includes certain statements, estimates and projections with respect to the<br />

anticipated future performance of the <strong>Project</strong>. These statements, estimates and projections<br />

are based on a hypothetical business model envisaged by the Client and its Transaction<br />

Advisors. Certain statements in this Memorandum constitute “forward-looking statements”. All<br />

statements other than statements of historical facts included in this Memorandum including,<br />

without limitation, financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management<br />

or future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to products), are<br />

forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown<br />

risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause actual results, performance<br />

or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements<br />

expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements<br />

are based on numerous assumptions based on anticipated business strategies of the<br />

prospective investors/ developers/ consortia to the <strong>Project</strong>, including their subsidiaries, and<br />

the environment in which the prospective investors/ developers/ consortia to the <strong>Project</strong>,<br />

including their subsidiaries, will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak<br />

only as at the date of this Memorandum. All such statements, estimates and projections<br />

reflect various assumptions and best estimates made by the Client and its Transaction<br />

Advisors concerning anticipated results, which assumptions or estimates may or may not<br />

prove to be correct. There are no assurances whatsoever that such events as stated in the<br />

estimates or projections will occur and the Client, Transaction Advisors and the Parties shall<br />

not be liable or responsible to the Recipients in any manner whatsoever in respect of the<br />

same.<br />

This Memorandum has been delivered to interested and invited parties (including the<br />

Recipients) for information only and upon the express understanding that such parties will use<br />

it only for the purpose set out above. Furthermore, the Memorandum does not create an<br />

obligation on the Client to consider any offer, and reserves the right, without prior notice and<br />

without giving reasons, to reject any or all proposals and/or to negotiate with any prospective<br />

bidder on any terms (and whether individually or simultaneously with any other prospective<br />

bidder) with respect to the <strong>Project</strong>. The Client reserves the right, without advance notice, to<br />

terminate the Expressions of Interest solicitation process at any time. The issue of this<br />

Memorandum shall not be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Client to<br />

proceed with any transaction.<br />

All inquiries and requests for further information in respect of this Memorandum must be in<br />

writing, and directed to the Client. No verbal discussion with any staff or advisor of the Client<br />

or the Transaction Advisors or the Parties, or any of their respective subsidiaries and/ or<br />

affiliates, can change, add to or clarify any of the material contained in this Memorandum.<br />

Recipients should only rely on written additions or clarifications issued by duly authorized<br />

representatives of the Client. Email communications from authorized representatives of the<br />

Client will be deemed as written communications.<br />

6<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


2 Abbreviations<br />

EOI<br />

Expression of Interest<br />

RFP<br />

Request for Proposal<br />

PPP<br />

Public Private Partnership<br />

GoS<br />

Government of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

PCP<br />

Population Census of Pakistan<br />

KP<br />

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa [formerly North West Frontier Province (NWFP)]<br />

CAGR<br />

Compounded Annual Growth Rate<br />

PSLM<br />

Pakistan Social and Living Standard Measurement<br />

GDP<br />

Gross Domestic Product<br />

FY<br />

Financial Year<br />

FDI<br />

Foreign Direct <strong>Investment</strong><br />

PKR<br />

Pakistani Rupee<br />

US$ / USD United States Dollar<br />

EDL<br />

External Debt and Liability<br />

KSE<br />

Karachi Stock Exchange<br />

b<br />

Billion<br />

m<br />

Million<br />

UNWTO<br />

United Nations World Tourism Organization<br />

GNP<br />

Gross National Product<br />

SBP<br />

State Bank of Pakistan<br />

ADB<br />

Asian Development Bank<br />

OPEC<br />

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries<br />

NH<br />

National Highway<br />

KPAC<br />

Keerthar Protected Area Complex<br />

FAR<br />

Floor Area Ratio<br />

ID<br />

Infrastructure Development<br />

DP-I<br />

Development Package I<br />

DP-II<br />

Development Package II<br />

O&M<br />

Operation and Maintenance<br />

DHA<br />

Defence Housing Authority<br />

WTTC<br />

World Travel & Tourism Council<br />

T&T<br />

Travel and Tourism<br />

km<br />

Kilometres<br />

NW<br />

Northwest<br />

N<br />

North<br />

S<br />

South<br />

SE<br />

South East<br />

7<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


3 Introduction<br />

With almost 180 million people, a growing middle income class, young and educated<br />

population and consistently growing remittances from increasing number of Pakistanis<br />

working abroad, tourism is an economic sector that holds tremendous potential in Pakistan.<br />

Despite limited investment and government support in the past, the potential of the industry<br />

can be estimated from the amounts being spent on tourism activities by Pakistani people and<br />

businesses in and out of Pakistan.<br />

Pakistan, with its diverse culture, historic treasures, and numerous natural endowments,<br />

boasts of a variety that offers something for everyone to enjoy. It has all the elements of being<br />

a tourist haven, offering a glimpse of the sub-continental culture, as well as a profound blend<br />

of landscapes ranging from the costal beauty of the Arabian Sea in the South to the wondrous<br />

mountain ranges in the North. From untamed deserts to the historic ruins of Mohenjo-Daro,<br />

Harappa and Taxila, to the caves of Balochistan, and the Mughal architecture in Lahore,<br />

Pakistan has a huge potential to become an attractive tourist destination for the world.<br />

Pakistan is enriched with natural beauty and landscape, carrying strong potential to become<br />

attractive tourist destination. In fact despite lack of infrastructure development (the “ID”) and<br />

incentives to support this sector, tourism has developed well particularly in the northern parts<br />

of Pakistan. <strong>Sindh</strong>, with its rich history and culture and its beautiful landscapes, from its<br />

beaches and wetlands to its deserts, hills, farmlands, ports, archeological sites and its mega<br />

city, Karachi (the commercial hub of Pakistan), has so far not been able to effectively develop<br />

the tourism industry in the province.<br />

The Tourism Department, Government of <strong>Sindh</strong>, (the “Tourism Department”) is now actively<br />

looking at developing the tourism industry in <strong>Sindh</strong> to leverage off from the large industrial<br />

and commercial base and the huge demand for leisure and recreation in the growing middle<br />

and high income population of the province and of the country i.e. Pakistan. At the same time,<br />

the Government of <strong>Sindh</strong> (the “GoS”) views the tourism industry to be sector that can provide<br />

the economic stimulus to local economies in the hinterlands of the province by creating job<br />

and business opportunities and improving the livelihoods of people in the hinterlands.<br />

Expenditure on tourism induces a chain of transactions requiring supply of goods and<br />

services from related sectors. The consumption demand emanating from tourist expenditure<br />

also induces more employment and creates a multiplier effect on the economy. Tourism thus<br />

has the potential to stimulate other economic sectors through its backward and forward<br />

linkages across various sectors including agriculture, horticulture, handicraft, transport,<br />

construction, etc.<br />

The Tourism Department sees public private partnerships (the “PPP”) as the most efficient<br />

and effective method for developing the tourism sector, whereby the private sector would<br />

bring its operating models focusing on customer care and operating efficiencies. It is<br />

envisaged that the GoS would act as the facilitator and regulator, providing infrastructure and<br />

support services that complement the investments being made by the private sector and<br />

monitoring service and maintenance standards.<br />

8<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


4 The Tourism Industry<br />

4.1 International Tourism<br />

Tourism had been rising steadily internationally, especially in the Asia-Pacific region until<br />

2008 when, following global economic meltdown, there was a fall in demand, with implications<br />

for some of the region’s developing economies.<br />

According to United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (the<br />

“UNESCAP”) the global growth in international tourist arrivals fell from 6.7% to 2.0% between<br />

2007 and 2008, thus reflecting an extremely volatile and unfavorable global economy.<br />

However, as the world comes out of recession, tourism growth is also likely to be modest in<br />

the coming years.<br />

Over the period 1995-2007, tourism around the globe continued to experience steady growth<br />

of 4.2% per year, thus confirming its status as the world’s largest growth industry. Between<br />

the years 2006 and 2007, international tourist arrivals increased by 6.7% to 900 million. All<br />

regions of the world registered increases in tourist activity during such period with the Asia-<br />

Pacific region leading the rankings with a 10.4% increase.<br />

Between 1995 and 2007, the<br />

Asia-Pacific region’s share of<br />

total arrivals increased from<br />

18.7% to 25.7%. Steady growth<br />

was also recorded in Africa:<br />

Over the same period, its share<br />

grew from 4.2 to 6.0%. North<br />

America and Europe, on the<br />

other hand, despite increases<br />

in their absolute number of<br />

tourist arrivals, saw their shares<br />

of the market decline as<br />

depicted by the adjacent chart.<br />

Between 1995 and 2007, the<br />

Asia-Pacific region’s share of<br />

total tourist arrivals increased<br />

Percentage Share<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

1995 2005 2007<br />

Asia and the Pacific<br />

Africa<br />

Europe<br />

Latin America and Carib.<br />

North America<br />

Source: UNESCAP Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2009<br />

from 18.7% to 25.7%. Steady growth was also recorded in Africa over the same period – with<br />

its share growing from 4.2 to 6.0%. However, North America and Europe, on the other hand,<br />

despite increases in their absolute number of tourist arrivals, saw their shares of the market<br />

decline. The aforementioned statistics relating to the global tourist arrivals in various regions<br />

are depicted by the adjacent chart.<br />

Within the Asia-Pacific region, the strongest performance was in the South and South-West<br />

Asia sub region, with a hefty increase in tourist arrivals in 2007 of 14.4%. This growth was<br />

sustained by the robust performances of Nepal (+37.2%), Turkey (+17.6%), India (+14.3%)<br />

and Maldives (+12.3%). The South-East Asia sub region, which used to be the region’s<br />

leader, became the second best performer with a 11.7% increase with major contributors<br />

being Malaysia<br />

The East and North East-Asia sub region, led the growth in tourist arrivals with an increase of<br />

21.1% in 2007. China’s growth in arrivals (+9.6%) also contributed to the sub region’s<br />

continuing high performance. Indeed, in recent years China has become a world tourism<br />

leader – both inbound and outbound. Since 1995, tourist departures from China have grown<br />

tenfold. Among the beneficiaries of China’s outbound travel growth were Japan with a 13.8%<br />

increase of visitors in 2007 and Hong Kong with an 8.4% increase.<br />

The North and Central Asia sub region also had a solid performance, averaging a 7.7%<br />

annual growth in arrivals over the period 1995-2007. Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan<br />

were major contributors to this growth.<br />

The growth in arrivals has been accompanied by a large growth in income. Between 1995<br />

and 2007 worldwide receipts from international tourism more than doubled to $1,028 billion.<br />

9<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


As in the previous years, Europe received almost half ($466.9billion) of world revenue, while<br />

almost one quarter ($241.7 billion) went to Asia and the Pacific. Between 2000 and 2007, the<br />

region increased its share of global tourism receipts from 19.1% to 23.5%, consolidating its<br />

position as the second-highest tourism earner.<br />

Tourism can have a huge economic impact as visitors spend money on accommodation, food<br />

and drink, and local transportation. Within the Asia-Pacific region, several countries depend to<br />

a substantial extent on tourism. The chart presented below illustrates tourism receipts as a<br />

percentage of the Gross Domestic Product (the “GDP”) for certain selected countries for 1995<br />

and 2007.<br />

Kyrgyzstan<br />

Malaysia<br />

Hong Kong, China<br />

Thailand<br />

Singapore<br />

Phillipines<br />

Australia<br />

Turkey<br />

Bhutan<br />

Srilanka<br />

Indonesia<br />

India<br />

Pakistan<br />

Bangladesh<br />

2007 1995<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12<br />

Percentage<br />

Source: UNESCAP Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2009<br />

As per the United Nations World Tourism Organization (“the UNWTO”) the number of<br />

international tourist arrivals worldwide reached 247 million between January 2009 and April<br />

2009, down from 269 million compared to the same period in 2008, declining by 8%. Results<br />

reflect the severe impact of the global economic crisis and all the associated causes and<br />

effects, exacerbated in some regions by concerns about the outbreak of the influenza virus.<br />

The UNWTO World Tourism Barometer 2009 has revised its previous forecast and expects<br />

international tourism to decline by between -6% and -4%.<br />

4.2 Tourism in Pakistan<br />

Tourism has been a major social phenomenon of societies all along and is motivated by the<br />

human desire for leisure, adventure and entertainment. The motivation for development of<br />

tourism also includes social, religious and business interests. The importance of tourism as<br />

an instrument for economic development and employment generation, particularly in remote<br />

and backward areas has been recognized the world over. Tourism is one of the largest<br />

service industries globally in terms of gross revenue as well as foreign exchange earnings.<br />

Tourism is among the significant economic sectors in Pakistan that has huge potential to<br />

achieve high growth rates if supported effectively by the government. Support from the<br />

government can be in the form of providing infrastructure, utilities, services as well as other<br />

incentives for private investor in the form of project support under PPP arrangements. It has<br />

the capacity to capitalize on the success of the country in the services sector and provide<br />

sustainable models for growth. It offers the potential to stimulate other economic sectors<br />

through its backward and forward linkages across various sectors like agriculture, horticulture,<br />

handicraft, transport, construction etc. Expenditure on tourism induces a chain of transactions<br />

requiring supply of goods and services from related sectors. The consumption demand,<br />

emanating from tourist expenditure also induces more employment and creates a multiplier<br />

10<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


effect on the economy. Consequently additional income and employment are generated<br />

through such linkages.<br />

Tourism industry is overwhelmingly represented by the private sector service providers while<br />

public sector has a significant role to play in infrastructure areas either directly or through<br />

other mediums such as PPP. Another important feature of the tourism industry with reference<br />

to Pakistan is its contribution to national integration and preservation of natural as well as<br />

cultural environment and enrichment of social profile.<br />

4.2.1 Estimates and Forecasts<br />

According to World Travel and Tourism Council (the “WTTC”), Pakistan is estimated to have a<br />

Travel and Tourism (the “T&T”) demand of PKR 1,050b in 2010, less imported goods and<br />

services including T&T spending abroad of PKR 264.5b, amounts to an overall T&T Economy<br />

GDP of PKR 786.2b. Overall, the T&T sector supports 2.4 million jobs across Pakistan,<br />

however direct industry GDP and employment is PKR 291b (equivalent to 2% of GDP) and<br />

869,000 jobs (representing 1.6% of total employment) respectively.<br />

The adjacent chart indicates the sectors comprising<br />

T&T demand in 2010 for Pakistan as per the WTTC<br />

Report 2010 for Pakistan, which states the following:<br />

„ Contribution of T&T to the GDP is expected to<br />

rise from 5.3% (PKR 786.2b) in 2010 to 5.5%<br />

(PKR 2,205.1b) by 2020;<br />

„ Real GDP growth for T&T economy is expected<br />

to be negative 3.7% in 2010, but would average<br />

5.8% per annum over the coming 10 years;<br />

„ Export earnings from international visitors and<br />

tourism goods are expected to generate 3.8% of<br />

total exports (PKR 81.7b) in 2010, growing (on<br />

nominal terms) to PKR 232.2b in 2020; and<br />

„ T&T investment is estimated at PKR 356.9b, or<br />

13.8% of total investment in 2010. By 2020, this<br />

is projected to reach PKR 1,036.0b or 13.3% of<br />

total investment.<br />

8% 3%<br />

38%<br />

34%<br />

3%<br />

14%<br />

Personal T&T<br />

Business T&T<br />

Government Expenditures Capital <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Visitors Exports<br />

Source: WTTC Report 2010 for Pakistan<br />

Other Exports<br />

THIS AREA IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


The table below illustrates the major indicators of tourism in Pakistan as forecasted by WTTC<br />

Table: Major Tourism Indicators from 2010 – 2020 : Estimates and Forecasts<br />

2010 2020<br />

PKR<br />

(billion)<br />

% of<br />

Total<br />

Growth 1<br />

(%)<br />

PKR<br />

(billion)<br />

% of<br />

Total<br />

Growth 2<br />

(%)<br />

Personal Travel & Tourism 395.0 3.4 10.4 1,386.9 4.4 8.2<br />

Business Travel 151.2 1.0 (3.7) 433.8 1.1 6.0<br />

Government Expenditures 30.9 2.0 2.0 86.7 2.1 5.8<br />

Capital <strong>Investment</strong> 356.9 13.8 (6.6) 1,036.0 13.3 6.1<br />

Visitor Exports 81.7 3.8 2.2 232.2 2.5 5.9<br />

Other Exports 34.9 1.6 5.5 151.0 1.6 10.5<br />

T&T Demand 1,050.7 5.8 1.0 3,326.8 6.5 7.1<br />

Direct Industry GDP 290.6 2.0 (1.2) 792.3 2.0 5.5<br />

T&T Economy GDP 786.2 5.3 (3.7) 2,205.1 5.5 5.8<br />

Direct Industry Employment 3 869.3 1.6 (1.3) 1,138.2 1.6 2.7<br />

T&T Economy Employment 3 2,400.4 4.3 (3.8) 3,235.5 4.4 3.0<br />

1 2010 real growth adjusted for inflation (%);<br />

2 2011-2020 annualized real growth adjusted for inflation (%); and<br />

3 000 jobs<br />

Source: World Travel and Tourism Council Report on Tourism in Pakistan 2010<br />

4.2.2 GNP Contribution<br />

Tourism Receipts (YOY)<br />

Receipts PKR mn<br />

18,000<br />

15,000<br />

12,000<br />

9,000<br />

6,000<br />

3,000<br />

0<br />

2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07<br />

60.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-10.0%<br />

YOY % change<br />

Source: State Bank of Pakistan<br />

Contributions from the tourism industry have remained at 0.2% of Gross National Product (the<br />

“GNP”) during 2005-06. The GNP of Pakistan for the same period was PKR 5,285 billion, as<br />

reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (the “SBP”), the exchange earnings for the same<br />

period amounted to PKR 13.2 billion.<br />

4.2.3 Inbound Tourist Traffic and Tourism Receipts<br />

Inbound Tourist Traffic refers to the number of international tourists who stay at least one<br />

night in a collective or private accommodation in the country visited. Same-day visitors are not<br />

included. The data refer to the number of arrivals and not to the number of persons.<br />

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International tourism receipts are the receipts earned by a destination country from inbound<br />

tourism resulting from expenditure made by visitors from abroad, on lodging, food and drinks,<br />

fuel, transport in the country, entertainment, shopping, etc.<br />

Long term trends of foreign tourist arrivals and tourism receipts of Pakistan reflect irregular<br />

trends during the last decade as exhibited in the adjacent table.<br />

Year<br />

Tourist Arrivals in<br />

"000s"<br />

Receipts<br />

(US$ Million)<br />

Tourism Receipts<br />

as a percentage<br />

of GDP<br />

1995 378 582 0.7%<br />

2000 557 Not available- Not available<br />

2005 798 828 0.6%<br />

2006 898 Not available Not available<br />

2007 840 900 0.5%<br />

Source: UNESCAP Statistical Yearbook for Asia and Pacific 2009<br />

According to UNESCAP foreign tourist arrivals increased continually from 378,000 in 1995 up<br />

to 898,000 in 2006. However, in 2007 tourist arrivals saw a slight decline when they went<br />

down to 840,000. This was primarily on account of the decline in global tourism. During the<br />

period, 1995 - 2007, tourist arrivals increased at a CAGR of approximately 7.5%. Tourism<br />

receipts have also continued to increase throughout the period 1995-2007.<br />

4.2.4 Outbound Tourist Traffic and Expenditures<br />

Outbound Tourist Traffic refers<br />

to the number of departures that<br />

people make from their country<br />

of usual residence to any other<br />

country for any purpose other<br />

than a remunerated activity in<br />

the country visited.<br />

Outbound tourism expenditure<br />

includes expenditures on<br />

lodging, food and drinks, fuel,<br />

transport in the country,<br />

entertainment, shopping, etc.<br />

USD Millions<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

1995 2005 2007<br />

Outbound Tourism Expenditures (USD Millions)<br />

1.60<br />

1.40<br />

1.20<br />

1.00<br />

0.80<br />

0.60<br />

0.40<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

Percentage<br />

%age of GDP<br />

Source: UNESCAP Statistical Yearbook for Asia<br />

As the data in the table above illustrates there is a significant demand for outbound tourism in<br />

Pakistan. Although a significant part of this is also attributable to religious tourism for<br />

purposes of Haj and Umra, it is estimated that this should account for about half of the traffic,<br />

which indicates a sizable component of T&T for business and leisure. This continues to grow<br />

over the years, with expenditures exceeding nearly US$ 2b in 2007.<br />

The statistics clearly indicate the ability of Pakistanis to spend money on trips abroad, be<br />

these for business or leisure. It also indicates the potential for tourism industry in Pakistan, if<br />

the country was not faced with lack of infrastructure to support the tourism industry, which<br />

drives Pakistanis to travel abroad for tourism activities. It would also be unreasonable to<br />

ignore the significant latent demand for tourism in segments that seek affordable leisure<br />

activity. The cost of air travel certainly restricts, if not prohibits, people from taking recreational<br />

trips out of the cities in <strong>Sindh</strong>’s urban centres, including Karachi.<br />

4.2.5 Motivation<br />

Using the western definition, motivational analysis of foreign tourists to Pakistan during 2006<br />

is given in the following table.<br />

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Motivation for Foreign Tourists<br />

0%<br />

5% 15%<br />

3%<br />

21%<br />

56%<br />

Holiday/Recreation<br />

Business<br />

Family Visit<br />

Meetings/Conventions<br />

Archaeology/Historical Sites Others<br />

The adjacent image illustrates that more<br />

than half of foreign tourist arrivals in<br />

Pakistan were for family visit (56%),<br />

followed by business (21%),<br />

holiday/recreation (15%) and meetings/<br />

conventions (3%) according to a T&T study<br />

in 2007 by the Ministry of Tourism,<br />

Government of Pakistan. These four factors<br />

of motivation combined, account for about<br />

95% of the total arrivals. Very few tourists<br />

came to Pakistan for other reasons i.e.<br />

religion, archaeological/historical sites,<br />

sports, study and health.<br />

Source: T&T study, Ministry of Tourism<br />

4.2.6 Average Spending Levels<br />

According to the data of SBP, average spending per foreign tourist increased by 25% from<br />

US$ 232 in 2005 to US$ 290 in 2006. Similarly, spending per tourist per day also increased<br />

by 24% from 9 US$ in 2005 to 12 US$ in 2006.<br />

4.2.7 Exports & Tourism Earnings<br />

Export receipts have grown at an annual rate of 15% between 2002 and 2006, while earnings<br />

from tourism have increased at an annual rate of 19% over the same period. The place of<br />

tourism in foreign exchange earnings improved in 2005-06 as compared to 2004-05 i.e. from<br />

12th to 11th.<br />

International travel receipts as a percentage of earnings from exports remained the same i e.<br />

1.3% in 2005-06. Their share in the combined receipts of merchandise and service items also<br />

remained the same i.e. 1% in 2005-06 as was in the previous year.<br />

Tourism receipts were higher in all twelve months of the year 2006 as compared to the same<br />

months of 2005, which resulted in an increase of 40% overall receipts during 2006.<br />

4.2.8 Tourism and Employment<br />

Tourism is labor intensive and provides an ideal mechanism for increasing employment in the<br />

service sector. The principal employers in the tourism sector are hotels, restaurants and travel<br />

agents / tour operators.<br />

During 2005-06, there were 1,761 hotels with 41,146 rooms, 226 air conditioned restaurants<br />

with seating capacity of 25,814 and 2,142 travel agents/ tour operators. Other tourism<br />

services such as, airlines, road transport, souvenir shops etc. also provide employment to a<br />

large number of people besides paying taxes, license & registration fee etc. to the public<br />

exchequer. It is estimated that the hospitality industry and travel trade employed more than<br />

600,000 people directly in 2005-06. However, as indicated above, the sector overall supports<br />

2.4 million direct and indirect jobs across Pakistan, out of which 869,000 jobs are provided<br />

under direct employment in the T&T sectors (representing 1.6% of total employment).<br />

4.2.9 Tourism and Regional Development<br />

Tourism, being a labor intensive industry creates more jobs and opportunities in the areas,<br />

which are not suitable for industrial development. It helps in the redistribution of wealth in<br />

remote areas and creates a range of job opportunities from highly qualified people to people<br />

with low academic profile, such as waiters, cooks, housemaids and janitorial workers.<br />

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It is estimated that more than half of total income earned by the people from tourism sector<br />

came from backward districts, and/ or areas having certain tourist attractions. These areas<br />

were mostly, Murree, Galliat, Northern Areas, Swat, Ziarat, Abbottabad, Kaghan, Naran, Azad<br />

Kashmir and other smaller resort areas.<br />

4.2.10 Domestic Tourism<br />

Composition of Domestic Tourists<br />

15%<br />

20%<br />

7%<br />

8%<br />

19%<br />

13%<br />

18%<br />

Students<br />

Skilled agriculture and fishery workers<br />

Housewives<br />

Sales workers<br />

Businessmen<br />

Government officials<br />

Others<br />

Source: Domestic Tourism Survey, Ministry of Tourism<br />

Based on the findings of the Domestic<br />

Tourism Survey carried out by the<br />

Ministry of Tourism, Pakistan, it was<br />

estimated that in all 43 million domestic<br />

tourists travelled within the country<br />

during 2006.<br />

Domestic tourism is mostly concentrated<br />

among those below 40 years of age.<br />

Most domestic tourists i.e. 31% fall in<br />

the age group of 16-30 years, followed<br />

by 25% between 31-40 years, 17% from<br />

the age under 15 years and 41-50 years<br />

each, and 10% in the age group of 51<br />

years and above.<br />

As the above chart depicts, one-fifth of domestic tourists were students, followed by 19%<br />

skilled/agriculture & fishery workers, 18% housewives (which most likely represents family<br />

holidays), 13% sale/ service workers, 8% businessmen, 7% government officials and 15%<br />

other categories.<br />

Over half of the domestic tourists were motivated by social calls followed by recreation,<br />

business and health. These four motivating factors, combined together, formed 85% of the<br />

travel within Pakistan.<br />

Domestic tourists usually use three types of accommodation; either a relative's house, or<br />

hotels and/ or their own houses which combined together makes up for more than 94% of the<br />

total accommodation used. More than three-quarters of the tourist preferred to stay with their<br />

relatives while the use of hotel accommodation was 15% only. Nearly 90% of domestic<br />

tourists travel by road, 9% by rail and 2% by air.<br />

4.3 Tourism Attractions in <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> holds many tourist attractions, such as wildlife sanctuaries, beaches, lakes, historical<br />

sites, tombs of several Sufi saints and shrines, etc. A few examples of the same are given<br />

below:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Wildlife protected areas at Keerthar National Park<br />

Hill stations at Gorakh Hill<br />

Tombs at Makli and Chaukandi and<br />

Shah Jehan Masjid<br />

Shrines at Sehwan Sharif<br />

Due to its varied geography and long history, <strong>Sindh</strong> hosts numerous spots of interest, which<br />

can be developed in to tourism spots. The districts of Thatta and Badin have popular ecotourism<br />

locations, including <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> and Keerthar National Park. There are a number<br />

of places of cultural and religious significance, such as mosques, shrines and temples, as well<br />

as ancient tombs and forts as well as remnants of ancient civilizations, scenic hill ranges,<br />

unexplored forests and deserts.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


4.3.1 Tourist Destinations<br />

Chaukundi Tombs: 27kms from Karachi<br />

on the National Highway (“the NH”), on the<br />

distant horizon one sees clusters of<br />

unusual graves in the shape of stepped<br />

pyramids. The distinguishing features of<br />

these graves are the superb carving and<br />

engraving of the slabs with various designs<br />

of jewellery, floral patterns and even horses<br />

and their riders. The adjacent picture<br />

exhibits and illustration of the elaborate and<br />

exquisite carvings and Islamic architecture<br />

for which Chaukandi tombs are famous.<br />

Makli Tombs: Approximately 101kms from<br />

Karachi is the largest necropolis in the<br />

world (Makli). The elegant use of beautifully engraved sandstone on the graves is a feature<br />

unique to this site.<br />

Shah Jehan’s Masjid: Shah<br />

Jehan’s Masjid, situated on<br />

Thatta’s outskirts, is<br />

representative of Muslim<br />

architecture. It was built in<br />

1647 A.D. by the Mughal<br />

Emperor Shah Jehan, and is<br />

said to have the most<br />

elaborate display of blue-andwhite<br />

tile work in the subcontinent<br />

as can be seen in<br />

the adjacent picture.<br />

The Shah Jehan Mosque has<br />

99 domes and is considered a<br />

masterpiece of Mughal<br />

architecture.<br />

Indus Valley Civilization: The Indus Valley was home to the largest of the four ancient urban<br />

civilizations of Egypt, Mesopotamia, South Asia and China. Most of its ruins, even its major<br />

cities, remain to be excavated and the ancient Indus script has not been deciphered. Many<br />

questions about the Indus people who created this highly complex culture remain<br />

unanswered, but other aspects of their society can be answered through various types of<br />

archaeological studies.<br />

Discovered in 1922, Moenjodaro (in <strong>Sindh</strong> province) was once a metropolis of great<br />

importance, forming part of the Indus Valley Civilization with Harappa (discovered in 1923 in<br />

the southern Punjab), Kot Diji (<strong>Sindh</strong>) and recently discovered Mehrgarh (Balochistan).<br />

Moenjodaro is considered as one of the most spectacular ancient cities of the World. It<br />

hasmud and baked bricks’ buildings, an elaborate covered drainage system, a large state<br />

granary, a spacious pillared hall, a College of Priests, a palace and a citadel. Harappa,<br />

another major city of the Indus Valley Civilization, was surrounded by a massive brick wall<br />

fortification. Its other features and plans of the city were similar to that of Moenjodaro. The Kot<br />

Diji culture is marked by well-made pottery and houses built of mud-bricks and stone<br />

foundations. Mehrgarh, the oldest Civilization (7,000 B.C), remains of which were found in the<br />

district Kachhi of Balochistan recently, was the pioneer of the Indus Valley Civilization. The<br />

evidence of crop cultivation, animal husbandry and human settlement has been found here.<br />

The inhabitants of Mehrgarh were living in mud-brick houses and learned to make pottery<br />

around 6,000 B.C.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


4.3.2 Eco-Tourism<br />

Marine Turtles & Mangrove Forests: A<br />

drive to the beaches of Hawks Bay and<br />

Sandspit (near Karachi) is one of the<br />

greatest sources of pleasure to a nature<br />

lover. It provides a unique tour of the<br />

shores of the Karachi coast where the<br />

Green Turtle and Olive Ridley are found<br />

during the nesting seasons. During<br />

autumn, after the monsoons when the sea<br />

is calmer, the visitors can sit quietly on the<br />

beach on a moonlit night and watch the<br />

turtles come up and repeat what they have<br />

been doing for generations i.e. laying their<br />

eggs and leaving them in the enclosing<br />

warmth of the soft sand for the heat of the sun to incubate till young hatchlings, perfect<br />

miniatures of the adult, emerge and scramble to the sea. Visitors in this area may also wish to<br />

tour the Somiani Bay Mangrove Forest that is the breeding ground for fish and shrimps and<br />

home to many resident and migratory birds.<br />

Bird Watching, <strong>Keenjhar</strong> & Haleji <strong>Lake</strong>s: In the northeast of Karachi, forming the end of the<br />

chain of the great lakes lie the beautiful fresh water lakes of Haleji and <strong>Keenjhar</strong> in the district<br />

of Thatta. Some forty<br />

thousand birds including over<br />

70 species of waterfowl find<br />

refuge here during the winter<br />

months. These lakes can be<br />

regarded as one of the most<br />

important wintering areas for<br />

waterfowls in Eurasia.<br />

Flamingos, Pelicans, Purple<br />

Gallinules, Ducks, Coots,<br />

Herons, Pheasants, Tailed<br />

Jacanas, are just some of the<br />

birds that can be observed<br />

here, undisturbed in their<br />

natural habitat. Besides<br />

providing an excellent opportunity for bird-watching, there are also tours of the surrounding<br />

areas which allow for exploration of the historical monuments of Thatta and Chaukandi.<br />

Thatta has the largest necropolis in the world with beautifully engraved sandstone on the<br />

graves.<br />

Indus River: Indus is one of the greatest rivers of the world. It originates high in the<br />

mountains of Tibet and flows through Ladakh in <strong>Sindh</strong> before flowing into the Arabian Sea.<br />

On its 3,200kms journey it passes through the great Himalayan and Karakoram ranges, the<br />

fertile plains of the Punjab and the vast desert of <strong>Sindh</strong>. Near the great Nanga Parbat (8126<br />

m), it forms the borderline between the Asian and Indian continental plates. The Indus is<br />

blessed with a rich variety of wildlife throughout its journey. Among these are various resident<br />

and migratory birds, mammals, reptiles and fish. The Indus Blind Dolphin is one of its most<br />

famous inhabitants.<br />

4.4 Tourist Sites under consideration for development<br />

Keerthar Protected Area Complex (KPAC): Keerthar National Park is one of the largest<br />

wildlife reserves in <strong>Sindh</strong>. The Keerthar Range forms the boundary between the Lower Indus<br />

Plain (east) and southern Balochistan (west). It consists of a series of parallel rock hill ridges<br />

rising from 4,000 ft (1,200 m) in the south to nearly 8,000 ft (2,500 m) in the north. Keerthar<br />

National Park is Pakistan's second biggest National Park.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


Keerthar is an area of outstanding beauty and wildlife which provides an important habitat for<br />

a variety of mammals, birds and reptiles characteristic of the arid subtropics. Approximately<br />

one third of the park<br />

lies in the north of<br />

Karachi district and<br />

two thirds in the<br />

south-west of Dadu<br />

district. The park is<br />

part of a 447,161<br />

hectare protected<br />

areas complex, being<br />

contiguous with the<br />

Mahal Kohistan<br />

Wildlife Sanctuary<br />

(70,577ha) to the<br />

south and the Hab<br />

Dam Wildlife<br />

Sanctuary (27,219ha)<br />

to the south-west.<br />

There are two tourist centers in the Park managed by the Sind Wildlife Management <strong>Board</strong>,<br />

namely Khar and Karchat. The centres offer cottage and dormitory accommodation and<br />

guides are available. There are some 671kms of un-metalled roads within the park, most of<br />

which are traversable only by a four-wheel drive vehicle.<br />

Gorakh Hills: At an elevation of almost 6,000 ft, Gorakh Hill is 93kms away in the north west<br />

of Dadu District along with (Khuzdar) Balochistan Border. It is the highest point of the<br />

Keerthar Mountain Range in <strong>Sindh</strong> and a unique adventure point for nature lovers. In the<br />

summer season, the temperature ranges between a maximum of 25°C during the day time to<br />

5°C at night. Temperatures during winters are well below zero with occasional snow fall<br />

making it the only region in the province of <strong>Sindh</strong> where it snows. Gorakh hills could serve as<br />

a hill resort for the locals of <strong>Sindh</strong> and Balochistan as well as the international community.<br />

There is an opportunity to<br />

develop Gorakh Hills into a<br />

well managed hill station. In<br />

this regard, the GoS has<br />

established Gorakh Hills<br />

Development Authority<br />

(GHDA) which has<br />

developed a master plan for<br />

the site and is in process of<br />

making development plans<br />

for the site. The Tourism<br />

department is actively<br />

looking to develop the<br />

infrastructure and initial<br />

development packages and<br />

has appointed a team of<br />

technical, financial and<br />

legal consultants to assist<br />

them in this task.<br />

Buddhist Pilgrimage & Development of Buddhist Shrines: A study should be made on the<br />

basis of a similar study undertaken taken by the Planning and Development Division of<br />

Pakistan with the same title. Development projects for archaeological sites such as Mohenjo-<br />

Daro should be undertaken in order to enhance tourism in <strong>Sindh</strong>. Further, Hindus and<br />

Buddhists should also be kept in mind when undertaking these studies.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


4.5 Eco friendly Tourist <strong>Resort</strong> in <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> is rich in cultural heritage varying from religious sites in Sukkur, Thatta and the Sehwan<br />

districts to the relics of ancient civilizations like Mohenjodaro and Rannikot Fort and is marked<br />

by its diversity and its close ties to the great Indus Valley Civilization of the third millennium<br />

B.C. Despite all this, efforts made to acknowledge the remarkable value of this cultural<br />

heritage as a tool for understanding history, archaeology, as well as for the promotion of<br />

tourism in the area, have been largely ineffective.<br />

There are also a number of natural and man-made wetlands in <strong>Sindh</strong> that offer potential for<br />

tourism. These wetlands can act as the base upon which the tourism industry can be<br />

developed in <strong>Sindh</strong> and its history and culture celebrated with its people and shared with the<br />

rest of the country and indeed the world.<br />

In order to facilitate tourism, schemes are being developed for establishing world class tourist<br />

facilities at selected wetlands on a PPP basis. The GoS intends to provide land on long term<br />

lease at concessional rates to the private sector to develop supporting infrastructure for<br />

tourism activities, while it provides links such as road access and other utilities in connection<br />

to the development sites. The role of the GoS would be to facilitate the private sector in<br />

developing and operating these facilities in an eco-sensitive manner.<br />

GoS has identified <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> in Thatta District one of its first tourism projects to be<br />

developed on a large scale. It plans to develop a carefully selected site at the lakeside as a<br />

world-class eco-friendly tourist resort, with a large recreational area to add to its economic<br />

viability. Key facts on the lake are summarized below:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> (also known as Kalri <strong>Lake</strong>) is situated at a distance of 113 km from<br />

Karachi, 70 Km from Hyderabad and approximately 20 km north and north east of Thatta<br />

City.<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is a Ramsar Site 1 . The Ramsar Convention applies on designated<br />

wetlands of international importance whose conservation and preservation is supported<br />

by “159 contracting parties” (countries).<br />

1 The Convention on Wetlands (Ramsar, Iran, 1971) - called the "Ramsar Convention" - is an intergovernmental treaty that<br />

embodies the commitments of its member countries to maintain the ecological character of wetlands of international importance<br />

and work towards the “wise use” of these wetlands through national land-use planning, appropriate policies and legislation,<br />

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►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

The National Highway (N-5) passes very close to the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> while Jhimpir<br />

Railway Station, the first station after Karachi is also located in close proximity.<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> is the largest freshwater lake in Pakistan spread over an area of 145 sq km<br />

with an irregular shoreline of 192 km. The maximum depth of the lake is 8 meters.<br />

The lake is an important source of drinking water for Karachi and supports major fishery.<br />

A variety of breeding, passage and water birds make their way here in winter. The lake<br />

also has a rich flora of submerged, floating and emergent aquatic plants.<br />

Lack of overall infrastructure and control over exploitation of the lake resources is leading<br />

to the loss of environment and deterioration of the natural habitat around the lake.<br />

The overriding objective of the <strong>Project</strong> is to create an eco friendly tourist destination which<br />

would provide high quality business and recreational facilities, supported by infrastructure and<br />

amenities within a secure and wholesome environment that encourage extended stay at the<br />

site. The GoS also intends to develop infrastructure and facilities to further facilitate<br />

commuting to the lake.<br />

Plans are also under way to plan and develop the Thatta city and district area to meet the gap<br />

in infrastructure, utilities and services that has eluded many small urban cities and towns in<br />

interior <strong>Sindh</strong>. This is not only expected to improve the quality of lives of people who are<br />

resident there, but also enable the city to support tourism activities and furthermore it would<br />

add to the value of projects at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>.<br />

management actions, public education and international cooperation regarding development projects and conservation of site<br />

species<br />

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5 Pakistan – Profile and Overview<br />

5.1 Country Profile<br />

5.1.1 Overview<br />

Pakistan is the 6 th largest country of the world with a population estimated at 180 million<br />

according to the Population Census of Pakistan – September 2009. It lies between 23°35’ to<br />

37°05’ north latitude and 60°50’ to 77°50’ east longitude, touching the Hindu Kush Mountains<br />

in the north and extending to the Arabian Sea. Pakistan is bounded by Iran in the west,<br />

Afghanistan in the north-west, India in the east and south-east with Arabian Sea in the south.<br />

It shares a common border with China alongside Gilgit and Baltistan in the northern part. It<br />

covers 796,096 sq kms and is divided into four provinces namely: <strong>Sindh</strong>, Punjab, Khyber<br />

Pakhtunkhwa (KP) [formerly known as North West Frontier Province (NWFP)] and<br />

Baluchistan.<br />

Climatically, Pakistan enjoys a<br />

considerable measure of variety where its<br />

north and north western areas are<br />

extremely cold in the winter while the<br />

summer months, from April to September,<br />

are pleasant. The coastal strip in the south<br />

normally has a moderate climate. The<br />

Indus Valley plains are extremely hot in<br />

the summer with cold and dry weather<br />

during the winters. Monsoonal rains fall<br />

late during the summers. Due to the<br />

rainfall and high diurnal range of<br />

temperatures, humidity is comparatively<br />

low.<br />

The country has an agricultural economy<br />

with a network of canals irrigating a major<br />

part of its cultivated land producing major<br />

crops such as wheat, cotton, rice, millet<br />

and sugar cane.. The main natural<br />

resources comprise natural gas, salt, coal<br />

and iron whereas cotton, textiles, sugar,<br />

cement and chemicals also tender an<br />

important role in the economy of Pakistan.<br />

Pakistan is an Islamic country where 97% of the population is Muslim and the remaining 3%<br />

comprise Christians, Hindus, Zoroastrians and others.<br />

English is the official language while Urdu, used as a medium of understanding throughout<br />

the country, is the national language. According to the Summer Institute of Linguistics, a total<br />

of 72 languages are spoken all over Pakistan.<br />

5.1.2 Demographics<br />

► Population Reference Bureau, figures for mid 2009 classify Pakistan as the sixth most<br />

populous country in the world. Population grew during 1972 to 2009 at a compounded<br />

annual growth rate (“the CAGR”) of 2.3%. The country’s population is estimated to double<br />

by the year 2045 if it grows at 1.8% per annum.<br />

► The population density has increased to 209 persons per sq. km. in 2009, from 42.5<br />

persons per sq km in 1951 which is almost a fivefold increase. A large percentage of the<br />

urban population of Pakistan is centred in three major urban agglomerations: Karachi,<br />

Lahore and Faisalabad.<br />

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► Furthermore, according<br />

to a 1998 census, about<br />

56% of the population<br />

was based in the<br />

province of Punjab, 23%<br />

in Sind, 16% in KP and<br />

5% in Baluchistan. The<br />

same rate of population<br />

division was observed in<br />

estimates for the year<br />

2008 according to the<br />

Economic Survey of<br />

Pakistan 2008-09.<br />

Table: Population Profile of Pakistan<br />

Population Mid-2009 180,808,000<br />

Birth Rate (annual number of births per 1,000 total<br />

population)<br />

30<br />

Death Rate (annual number of deaths per 1,000 total<br />

population)<br />

7<br />

Rate of Natural Incr. (birth rate minus death rate) 2.3<br />

Natural Increase/Decrease, Annual 3,883,000<br />

Population Mid-2025 (projected) 246,286,000<br />

Population Mid-2050 (projected) 335,195,000<br />

Population Change 2009-2050 (projected %) 85<br />

Population Gain/Loss, 2008-2050 122,425,000<br />

► As per the 1998 census,<br />

the population of Punjab<br />

Population Age


5.1.3 General Macroeconomic Indicators<br />

GDP<br />

Pakistan experienced a period of<br />

high growth rate from 2003 to 2007,<br />

after which the global economic<br />

slowdown and specific internal<br />

issues in the country contributed to<br />

a reduction in economic growth.<br />

Real GDP grew by 2.0% in 2008-09<br />

as against 4.1% last year, falling<br />

well short of the growth targeted of<br />

4.5%. The intensification of war on<br />

terror in settled areas, coupled with<br />

other domestic factors like political<br />

turmoil and unstable law and order<br />

situation, acute energy shortages,<br />

10%<br />

9%<br />

8%<br />

7%<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

0%<br />

Source: Pakistan Economic Survey 2008-09<br />

GDP Growth Trend<br />

2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-<br />

10(target)<br />

supply shocks, augmented by external factors like worsening of international financial crisis<br />

feeding into shrinkage of external demand and the uncertainty about global recession, tested<br />

the resilience of Pakistan’s economic fundamentals.<br />

USD Millions<br />

Foreign Direct <strong>Investment</strong> (FDI)<br />

6,000<br />

5,000<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

USD Billions<br />

0<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Feb<br />

2010<br />

FDI (US$m)<br />

Source: <strong>Board</strong> of <strong>Investment</strong>, Government of Pakistan<br />

Worker’s Remittances<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Feb<br />

2010<br />

Workers Remittances (US$b)<br />

Source: <strong>Board</strong> of <strong>Investment</strong>, Government of Pakistan<br />

Total Foreign Direct <strong>Investment</strong> (“the<br />

FDI”) (excluding worker’s remittances) for<br />

the fiscal year 2008-2009 i.e., from 1st<br />

July 2008 to 30th June 2009 was $3.72<br />

billion compared to $5.2 billion in 2007-<br />

08. This fall was led by the global<br />

financial crisis as most countries around<br />

the world faced severe cutbacks in<br />

private capital inflows. However,<br />

Pakistan’s inflows were further impacted<br />

by the deteriorating security environment.<br />

Worker’s remittances continue to boast<br />

an increasing trend and have amounted<br />

to US$ 7.81b during FY09 and have<br />

already reached US$ 5.79billion just<br />

before the end of the third quarter of<br />

FY2010. They are further expected to<br />

reach nearly US$ 8.7b by the end of<br />

FY2010 if this trend continues. Some<br />

analysts have raised concerns that this<br />

growth is mainly attributable to one-off<br />

transfers from expatriates who lost jobs<br />

in the Middle East, USA and Europe in<br />

the wake of the global economic crisis.<br />

However, it is equally possible that a<br />

structural shift has taken place after the<br />

actions against alleged illegal activities<br />

by some foreign exchange companies has been taken, which imposes transfers through legal<br />

channels and thereby reinforces this positive trend.<br />

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Exports<br />

Exports and Imports<br />

The trend of Pakistan’s exports of<br />

major items remains concentrated<br />

on five items namely cotton<br />

manufactures, leather, rice,<br />

synthetic textile and sports goods.<br />

These five categories accounted<br />

for 73.5% of the total exports<br />

during the period July 2008 –<br />

March 2009.<br />

Imports<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Target<br />

Exports Imports<br />

FY10<br />

Source: Pakistan Economic Survey 2009 , SBP Economic overview 1st Quarter FY10<br />

Imports declined by 9.8 percent and stood at US$ 28,922.4 million during the period July<br />

2008-April 2009 as against US$ 32,059.4 million of the corresponding period last year. The<br />

overall import bill is lower by $ 3,137 million than imports in the comparable period of the<br />

previous year. Import compression measures, lowering domestic demand, coupled with fall in<br />

international oil prices from the highs in early 2008 that had a crippling effect of Pakistan<br />

economy, have started paying dividends and imports have witnessed a slowdown.<br />

Depreciation of the rupee had also played a significant role for lower imports during FY2009.<br />

Imports continue to decline during the initial quarter of the fiscal year 2010. However, it is<br />

forecasted that this trend will reverse and imports will rise in the months ahead with an<br />

expected revival in domestic manufacturing, and rising international commodity price.<br />

Per Capita Income<br />

Per capita income has grown at an<br />

average rate of above 13% per<br />

annum during the last five years,<br />

rising from US$ 586 in 2002-03 to<br />

US$ 1042 in 2007-08. Per capita<br />

income depicted a marginal increase<br />

of 0.3% in 2008-09 when it rose to<br />

US$ 1,046 in 2008-09.<br />

Real per capita income in rupee<br />

terms has also increased by 2.5%,<br />

as compared to 0.3% growth last<br />

year.<br />

Per capita Income (US$ m)<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09<br />

Source: Pakistan Economic Survey 2009<br />

Employment<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Labor Force and Employment<br />

2001-02 2003-04 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08<br />

Labor force Employed<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Pakistan had a recorded labor force of 51.78<br />

million people in 2007-08 compared with 50.33<br />

million people in 2006-07 – an increase of 1.45<br />

million. However, the gender composition of<br />

Pakistan’s labor force remained the same with<br />

79% male and 21% female workers.<br />

As per the Labor Force Survey 2007-08 the<br />

total number of people employed in FY08 was<br />

49.09 million, 1.44 million more than the<br />

previous year. Although unemployed workers<br />

increased in absolute terms during FY2008, the<br />

unemployment rate remained constant at 5%.<br />

Source: Labor Force Survey 2007-08<br />

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The informal sector contributed more than seven-tenth (73%) of employment in main jobs<br />

outside agriculture, while formal sector activities were concentrated more in the urban areas.<br />

Nearly 44.6 percent of the labor force was employed in agriculture, indicating an increase<br />

from the previous year’s figures.<br />

GDP Overview<br />

With international and domestic economic pressures, GDP growth has been estimated at<br />

3.3% for the year 2009-10; with agriculture sector growth estimated at 3.8%, manufacturing at<br />

1.8% and services sector at 3.9%.<br />

The Nine Points Economic Agenda of the Government forms the strategic thrust for the<br />

economy. Major elements of the strategy are:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Ensure economic recovery consistent with stabilization.<br />

Maintain momentum of agriculture growth together with support policies for revival of<br />

industries;<br />

Address critical infrastructure gaps in water, power and transport for enhancing<br />

competitiveness;<br />

Achieve Millennium Development Goals and reduce poverty through a comprehensive<br />

social protection system with an exit strategy;<br />

Facilitate balanced development in the country by reducing regional disparities; and<br />

Rehabilitation and reconstruction of conflict affected areas.<br />

Agricultural Sector<br />

Agriculture has grown at an average rate of 4.1% per annum since 2002-03 to 2008-09 and<br />

grown by 4.7% in 2008-09 against a target of 3.5%, primarily on account of record production<br />

of wheat (23.42 million tons), rice (6.9 million tons) and maize (4 million tons).<br />

Manufacturing Sector<br />

Large scale manufacturing registered a negative growth of 7.7% from July 2008 to March<br />

2009 as against 4.8% positive growth in the comparable period last year.<br />

Services Sector<br />

In FY2009, the services sector grew by 3.6 percent against the target of 6.1 percent and<br />

actual outcome of 6.6 percent. A slowdown in economic activities, worsened by the energy<br />

crises, has impacted the performance of this sector too. In relation to domestic economic<br />

slowdown the decline in foreign inflows of funds impeded growth prospects in this sector.<br />

Other indicators<br />

Workers’ remittances totalled US$ 6.3b during the period July-April 2009 as against US$ 5.3b<br />

in the comparable period of last year, depicting an increase of 19.5%. Major remittances were<br />

from US (22.6%) and UAE (21.5%).<br />

Pakistan’s current account deficit expanded by 23.5% to US$ 8.547 billion during July-April 09<br />

as against US$ 11.173 billion in the corresponding period of last year.<br />

FDI showed a decrease of 13.8% during July to April 2009, amounting to US$ 3205 million as<br />

against US$ 3719 m during the comparable period last year.<br />

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Foreign Exchange Reserves followed a v-shaped recovery pattern declining from US$ 11.4b<br />

at end June 2008 to US$ 6.4 billion on 25 th November 2008 and then recovering to US$ 11.6<br />

b by the end of May 2009. The import coverage ratio improved to 18 weeks as of May 2009.<br />

The exchange rate after remaining stable for more than four years, lost significant value<br />

against the US$ and the rupee fell 16.3% during July 2008-October 2008. With the signing of<br />

the Standby Arrangements with IMF, the rupee got back some of its lost value and with<br />

substantial import compression, and improvement in overall external balance including revival<br />

of external inflows from abroad, the exchange rate hovered around Rs.80.50 during April<br />

2009.<br />

The country’s debt burden ratio declined from 50.9% at the end of 2001-02 to 27.6% of GDP<br />

by June 2008; however, it increased to 27.9% by September 2008.<br />

In relative terms, External Debt and Liability (the “EDL”) as a percentage of GDP increased<br />

from 28.1% at end-June 2008 to 30.2% by end-March 2009— an increase of 2.1% points.<br />

This is the highest ever rise in a single year for almost one decade depressed economic<br />

growth and the massive depreciation of rupee against the dollar partially explains this<br />

increase in EDL as a percentage of GDP. The EDL stood at 31.2% at the end of the first<br />

quarter of FY2010, witnessing a decrease of 0.4% points. Pakistan’s foreign exchange<br />

earnings have been falling due to sluggish performance of exports and volatile capital flows.<br />

Capital Markets<br />

The Karachi Stock Exchange (the “KSE”) 100 index hit its peak at 15,739.28 points on 21<br />

April 2008 and by August 2008, the capital markets went into a tailspin, declining by 43% from<br />

its peaks. As a safety measure the Pakistan stock exchange authorities placed a floor on KSE<br />

at the level of 9,144 points, which resulted in a virtual halt of the stock market.<br />

The index underwent a gigantic loss of 58.3% to close at 5,865 points on 31 December 2008<br />

as against 31 December 2007. The market capitalization experienced a huge fall of PKR<br />

2,471b (US$ 47b) since 31 December 2007. Prices nosedived due to waning macroeconomic<br />

fundamentals, a worsening law and order situation and international capital flight.<br />

The market resumed to its normal cycle after more than 4 months of delay on 15 December<br />

2009. Thereon, after suffering further decline, the KSE-100 share index has witnessed growth<br />

from 12 March 2009 and registered an increase of almost 2,000 points till the first week of<br />

April 2009. During this period the KSE-100 index improved to over 7,500 points, breaking the<br />

psychological barrier of 6,000 and 7,000 points.<br />

Since the commencement of the FY2009 equity investors had embarked on a fractional<br />

recovery of their fortunes with<br />

an upsurge in the KSE-100<br />

KSE 100 index<br />

index of 22.5%, driven up<br />

chiefly by signs of returning 16,000<br />

economic stability.<br />

14,000<br />

The aggregate market<br />

capitalization decreased by<br />

43.4 percent during 2009 to<br />

stand at PKR 2,137.3 billion on<br />

May 15, 2009 compared to<br />

PKR 3,777.7 billion at the end<br />

of FY2008. According to figures<br />

released by KSE, the total<br />

market capitalization during<br />

March 2010 stood around PKR<br />

2,753 billion. The magnitude of<br />

the fall in the market capital in<br />

terms of USD is comparatively<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

-<br />

Dec 2004 Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Dec 2008 Dec 2009<br />

Source: Karachi Stock Exchange<br />

KSE 100 index<br />

12-Mar-<br />

10<br />

greater, up to 52%, during the same period amid increasing rupee-dollar parity. The market<br />

has become more attractive.<br />

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During FY2010 Pakistan’s financial markets have seen positive results. The KSE saw a<br />

renewed foreign buying interest especially towards mutual funds. Recently various blue chips<br />

such as National Bank of Pakistan, Oil and Gas Development Corporation have recorded<br />

outstanding results which further attracted local and foreign investors. As a result the KSE<br />

index crossed the 10,000 points mark in during the 3 rd quarter of FY10 and hit a nineteen<br />

month high on 1 st April 2010.<br />

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6 Province of <strong>Sindh</strong> – Profile and Overview<br />

6.1 Province Profile<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> is the third largest province in terms of area with its capital in Karachi, the most<br />

populous metropolis of the country and Pakistan’s commercial hub. The Province of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

forms the lower Indus basin and lies between 23°35’ to 28°30’ north latitude and 66°42’ to<br />

71°1’ east longitude. It is about 579 kms in length from north to south and nearly 442 kms in<br />

its extreme breadth (281 kms average). In terms of area, the province is 140,915 square kms,<br />

almost equal to England and Bangladesh.<br />

Geographically speaking the word "<strong>Sindh</strong>" denotes the lower half of the Indus Valley from<br />

Bhakkar down to the sea and from the Keerthar in the west to the desert of Thar in the east.<br />

The province is bounded on the north by Baluchistan and the Punjab, on the east by<br />

Rajisthan (India), on the south by the Runn of Kutch and the Arabian Sea and on the West by<br />

Lasbela and Kalat districts of the province of Baluchistan.<br />

At the time of independence from the<br />

British occupation in August 1947, the<br />

population of <strong>Sindh</strong> was estimated at<br />

5.5 million. Today, after the passage of<br />

over sixty years, population of the<br />

province stands around 40 million as<br />

per the <strong>Sindh</strong> Government website,<br />

half of whom now live in urban centres<br />

like Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur,<br />

Mirpurkhas, Tando Adam, Nawabshah,<br />

Larkana, Shikarpur, Khairpur, Badin<br />

and other smaller towns. <strong>Sindh</strong> is<br />

primarily an agrarian province and<br />

nearly one third (944 km) of its 2,880<br />

km length traverses the province.<br />

The climate of <strong>Sindh</strong> ranks among the<br />

hottest and is most variable. The<br />

average temperature of the summer<br />

months is 35°C and winter months are<br />

16°C. But the mercury frequently rises<br />

in summers to 45°C and occasionally<br />

to 50°C. The northern parts of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

are marked by extreme temperatures.<br />

Jacobabad recorded its highest temperature, i.e. 52°C, in June 1919.<br />

Cotton, rice, wheat and sugarcane are the main crops produced in <strong>Sindh</strong>. Rice is by far the<br />

most important crop cultivated. It is the only crop that can be grown in the annually inundated<br />

lands within the delta of the Indus and a larger quantity and much finer quality is produced in<br />

the Larkana district. Rice cultivation is also done in Jacobabad, Sukkur, Badin, Thatta and<br />

Dadu, whereas cotton is produced mainly in Sanghar, Nawabshah, and Hyderabad.<br />

Sugarcane is another important crop which is chiefly grown in the Ghulam Mohammad<br />

Barrage zone in South. <strong>Sindh</strong> is also renowned for its quality fruits, such as bananas and<br />

mangoes.The waters on the coast of <strong>Sindh</strong> are rich with seafood and are considered to be<br />

some of the best fishing spots in the world. Surmai, pomphret, lobsters, shrimps and sharks<br />

are some notable species of sea water. Whereas dolphins, crocodiles and Pallas exist in<br />

plenty in the sweet waters of the Indus, Manchar, <strong>Keenjhar</strong>, Haleji and other lakes.<br />

The province of <strong>Sindh</strong> has traditionally been rich in wildlife heritage. Keerthar National Park,<br />

about 70 kms North West of Karachi, is enlisted as a world heritage site and wildlife protected<br />

area. <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>, Gorakh Hills, Haleji <strong>Lake</strong> and Thar area are also of paramount<br />

importance and hold a vast potential for tourism.<br />

Though chiefly an agricultural and pastoral province, <strong>Sindh</strong> has a reputation for textiles,<br />

pottery, leatherwork, carpets etc. The craftsmanship of the people of <strong>Sindh</strong> began during the<br />

28<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


period of Mohenjo-Daro civilization. Their polished ornaments and articles of apparel made<br />

out of muslin and wooden lacquer work have won praise within and outside the country.<br />

6.2 Regional Connectivity<br />

Road<br />

At the time of independence, <strong>Sindh</strong> inherited only about 1,039kms of blacktopped roads,<br />

mostly 9 ft. to 12 ft. in width. The only major road at that time was the National Highway<br />

running from Karachi to Reti, bordering on Punjab, and having a length of 664kms. Today the<br />

total road network in <strong>Sindh</strong>, including federal roads, approximates to 36,500kms in length.<br />

According to a survey conducted<br />

by Road Management Unit in<br />

year 2000-01, about 70% of the<br />

road network was in poor<br />

condition and required<br />

reconstruction / rehabilitation.<br />

Taking cognizance of the<br />

situation the province is now<br />

allocating Maintenance and<br />

Replacement (the “M&R”) funds<br />

at an annual growth of 20% over<br />

the previous year allocations.<br />

This is a welcome change and 70% of the M&R funds are utilized on the basis of prioritizedroads<br />

and 30% on emergency road-works.<br />

The Asian Development Bank (the “ADB”) and Organization of the Petroleum Exporting<br />

Companies (the “OPEC”) funded PKR 14.4 billion <strong>Sindh</strong> Road Sector Development <strong>Project</strong><br />

and it includes 3 provincial highways covering 164 kms and Rural Access Roads of 1,200<br />

kms. Details of the project are given in the table above. Furthermore, the Hyderabad-<br />

Mirpurkhas and the Hyderabad-Badin road covering approx 165km are currently being<br />

constructed under a PPP structure.<br />

The image below depicts the road network in the immediate vicinity of <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>. As is<br />

apparent, the National highway (NH) passes closest to <strong>Keenjhar</strong> while a cluster of secondary<br />

and access roads in the Thatta district connect to the National Highway, increasing ease of<br />

transport for the people of Karachi and Thatta districts. Provincial Highways, S60 and S90,<br />

and some of their tributaries are well connected for this purpose.<br />

Figure: <strong>Sindh</strong> Roadmap<br />

Source: Government of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

Table: <strong>Sindh</strong> Road Sector Development Program<br />

Road<br />

Cost Work<br />

(PKR million) Completed<br />

P1-Thatta-Sujawal Road-301 Kms 740 98%<br />

P2-Nawabshah-Padedan 67.5 Kms 2,573 69%<br />

P3-Padedan Ranipur – 66.4 Kms<br />

48%<br />

Construction of 1200 Kms of Rural<br />

9,995<br />

Access Roads<br />

89%<br />

Sector Reform 306 Completed<br />

Source: Department of Transport, Government of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

National<br />

Highway<br />

River<br />

Indus<br />

Secondary<br />

Roads<br />

Provincial<br />

Highway<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong><br />

<strong>Lake</strong><br />

29<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


Rail<br />

The image below outlines the railway track passing <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>. The track runs parallel to<br />

a road track passing by the same area. Major stops lying on the rail path are Karachi, Landhi,<br />

Jummah Goth, Bin Qasim, Badal Nala, Marshalling Yard Pipri, Gaddar, Dhabeji, Ran Pethani,<br />

Jungshahi, Braudabad and Jhimpir. The track goes further to Kotri, Hyderabad, Nawabshah<br />

and others. The Jhimpir Railway Station is the closest station to <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> and is only an<br />

hour and a half of journey time from the Cantt station of Karachi.<br />

Airports<br />

The adjacent image represents airports in<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong>, which also hosts the busiest airport of<br />

Pakistan, located in Karachi i.e. the Quaid-E-<br />

Azam International Airport. Airstrips are<br />

available at various other district headquarters<br />

which mainly include Hyderabad, Nawabshah<br />

and Sukkur. Lastly, two military airbases are<br />

placed near the coast of Karachi. The airstrips<br />

closest to <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> are situated at<br />

Karachi and Hyderabad.<br />

Sea Ports<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong>, hosts two of the major sea ports of<br />

Pakistan, namely the Karachi Port and Port<br />

Bin Qasim, as shown in the adjacent map.<br />

30<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


6.3 Demographic and Socio-economic Profile<br />

Population forecasts for the decade i.e. from<br />

1998 to 2007 have been made on the<br />

assumption that the past trends have continued<br />

at least during this decade. The growth trends<br />

during the inter-censal period of 1981-98 have<br />

provided the basis for these projections. If<br />

things move with the current pace and direction,<br />

the likely scenario of the province after a<br />

decade is delineated in the adjacent table.<br />

Table: <strong>Sindh</strong> Demographic Indicators<br />

Indicator<br />

Statistics<br />

Urban population (%) 49<br />

Rural population (%) 51<br />

Population growth rate (%) 2.8<br />

Gender ratio (male per 100 female) 112.24<br />

Economically active population (mn) 22.75<br />

Source: 1998 census<br />

Table: <strong>Project</strong>ed Population of <strong>Sindh</strong> up to 2030<br />

Population in millions<br />

1998 2007 2020 2025 2030<br />

Pakistan 132.4 168.1 245.6 272.1 326<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> 30.4 39.0 63.5 64.2 89.8<br />

Source: <strong>Sindh</strong> Vision 2030, Government of <strong>Sindh</strong><br />

In 2007, Karachi remained the largest city and<br />

Tando Muhammad Khan the smallest district of<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong> even though their shares in total<br />

population changed. The share of Karachi<br />

increased from 32.38% in 1998 to 32.4% in<br />

2007, whereas the shares of Nawabshah,<br />

Naushero Feroze, Hyderabad, Khairpur and<br />

Jacobabad appear to decline because of low<br />

growth rates. The share of Tharparkar rose<br />

substantially from 7.9% to about 9% percent of the total. If the current trends prevail, the GoS<br />

is looking at addressing and managing the needs of approximately 90 million people by the<br />

year 2030.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


7 Overview of Thatta and surrounding districts<br />

7.1 Introduction to Districts surrounding <strong>Keenjhar</strong><br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is strategically located in<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong>, between Karachi and Hyderabad.<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> site is located about 22 kms<br />

from Thatta City and is about a 20<br />

minutes drive from the Makli tombs. The<br />

total population within a 100 kms radius<br />

of <strong>Keenjhar</strong> is illustrated in the adjacent<br />

chart and roughly 24.8million comprising<br />

the Karachi District, the Hyderabad<br />

District, the Thatta District, the Dadu<br />

District and the Badin District. Section 3<br />

of this document has outlined the profile<br />

of the province of <strong>Sindh</strong>, providing a<br />

demographic and socioeconomic profile<br />

as well as giving an overview of various<br />

tourist attractions and tourism sites under<br />

development.<br />

The districts surrounding <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> are largely driven by agriculture and livestock.<br />

However, compared to the rest of the province, the production is relatively lower. 62% of the<br />

total <strong>Sindh</strong> province area is arid and contributes towards production of rice, sugarcane, cotton<br />

and wheat.<br />

7.2 Overview of Thatta and Badin District<br />

According to the Household Survey Data (Jan 2005), 20 percent of the households relying on<br />

fishing as an occupation in the Thatta and Badin Districts, which have an estimated<br />

population of 1.4 million. In 2005, only 6% of the population was earning income of PKR<br />

8,000 or more per month. Almost 88% of the population resides in rural area and the<br />

population base indicates a high level of younger population. The overall literacy rate as per<br />

1998 census is 22% (Urban-46% and Rural-19%), whereas electricity is available in only 21%<br />

of the rural housing units.<br />

Despite the industrialization in Thatta and Badin, the local community has not benefitted much<br />

and their contribution to the workforce for these industrial units has remained as low as 5%.<br />

The major industries present in Badin district include six large scale sugar mills and 70 rice<br />

husking units, whereas the Thatta district houses over 30 industrial units. In addition, Badin<br />

provides 45% of the total crude oil produced in Pakistan.<br />

More than 78% of the housing units in Thatta District and 82% in Badin District are one room<br />

houses whereas merely 15% or less of the housing units in the two districts are pucca units.<br />

Two-thirds of the housing units are constructed with wood and bamboo while more than half<br />

the housing units were constructed at least 10 years ago. There is considerable overcrowding<br />

in houses, which are poorly constructed and provide an inadequate structure.<br />

Out of the total population of Thatta City (i.e. 1.4 million), 25% is economically active of which<br />

85% work in the fishing and agriculture sector. 88% of the population lives in rural areas of<br />

the Thatta district and the overall literacy rate was 22% in 1998 (46% in urban and 19% in<br />

rural) and unemployment was 18%.<br />

18,000<br />

2,892<br />

1,113 1,136<br />

1,689<br />

72% 12% 4% 5% 7%<br />

Karachi District<br />

Hyderabad<br />

District<br />

Thatta District Badin District Dadu District<br />

Population (000s)<br />

32<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


7.3 Hyderabad District<br />

The Hyderabad District is spread over 1,235 sq kms, comprising 4 Talukas with a population<br />

exceeding 2.8 million as per the 1998 census. This district houses Hyderabad City, which is<br />

the second largest city of the province. Significant funds have been spent in the district on<br />

construction and in creating and improving road infrastructure. There are on average 6<br />

persons per household, where 18% of the population is aged less than 15 years.<br />

Literacy rate in Hyderabad is 52.6% and 34.9% among males and females respectively.<br />

There is a reasonable network of schools providing primary, secondary, middle school and<br />

higher studies. In addition there are also 2 Universities in the district. Access to government<br />

schools is reported by 73% of the households; however a serious lack of access to college<br />

level institution was reported by 85% of the households.<br />

A budget of over PKR 5billion was announced for the Hyderabad district, with a major chunk<br />

of the budgetary allocations going towards improvement and initiating of health and education<br />

sector schemes. Giving due importance and immediate relief to this important aspect of city<br />

life 32 schemes of PKR 249.9million were executed including development and rehabilitation<br />

of 18 parks and playgrounds of high standard by the District Government. Additionally, the<br />

famous Rani Bagh, Abbas Bhai Park, Open Air Theatre and Zoo have also been renovated at<br />

a cost of PKR 150million. Major recreational areas include Niaz Cricket Stadium, exhibition<br />

and parade grounds, Rani Bagh, Abbas Bhai Park, <strong>Board</strong> stadium, Giddu Park, Hill Park,<br />

Hyderabad Gymkhana, Hyderabad Sports Complex, and a few cinema houses etc.<br />

The proportion of adult males who are employed is estimated to be greater than 65%. Income<br />

categories under PKR 12,000 per month accounts for nearly three fourths of the total<br />

households, however 36% of the population of rural Hyderabad earns PKR 6,000 or less per<br />

month. Three fourths of the total households, stated above, represent the target market for<br />

the Recreational Zone while the higher income group level is also targeted for the <strong>Resort</strong><br />

Zone. The district is an important industrial and commercial centre with economic activities<br />

including textile, rice, sugar, cement and hosiery mills followed by manufacturing of glass,<br />

soap, ice, paper and plastics. Ornamented silks, silver work, gold work and lacquer are also<br />

some of its exclusive products.<br />

7.4 Karachi District<br />

Karachi District plays an important role in the national economic activity of Pakistan. The chart<br />

below indicates a snap shot of the contribution of Karachi to the entire economic activity of<br />

Pakistan. .<br />

40% of Financial activity<br />

30% of manufacturing<br />

40% of large scale manufacturing<br />

50% Bank Deposits<br />

Karachi<br />

20% Federal Revenue<br />

95% foreign trade passes through Karachi<br />

33<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


The population of Karachi is estimated to be in the<br />

range of 16 to 18 million, which is growing by 5%<br />

according to CDGK. As per the 1998 census, the<br />

male-female ratio is 54:46 where 38% of the<br />

population is 15 years of age or less. Furthermore,<br />

60% of the population is represented by age group up<br />

to 24 years. According to KSDP 2020 plan, the<br />

population of Karachi is expected to reach 27.5 million<br />

by the year 2020. Total number of households was<br />

estimated at 2.1 million with an average size of 7<br />

persons per household.<br />

7%<br />

3%<br />

16%<br />

14%<br />

20%<br />

According to the Socio-economic Study and Proposal<br />

for Livelihood Improvements conducted by the World<br />

Bank and City Myers Statistics (2007), 14% of the<br />

households had income levels in excess of PKR<br />

25,000 per month in 1998. Presently, it is estimated to<br />

be close to PKR 50,000 per month.<br />

40%<br />

5000 or below 5000 to 10000<br />

10000 to 15000 15000 to 20000<br />

20000 to 25000 25000 and above<br />

Karachi is the financial hub of Pakistan and houses key individuals involved in manufacturing,<br />

trading, services and other businesses. A large population plans international trips to the<br />

UAE, Far East and other areas. Given the fact that a world class facility is prepared at<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong>, such individuals are bound to visit with their families by taking a break from their<br />

daily work routine.<br />

One should note that people from large urban centres in <strong>Sindh</strong> travel to Murree and other<br />

tourist destinations in the provinces of Punjab and KP for a change of climate and recreation.<br />

This indicates that a tourism destination of the type envisaged in this <strong>Project</strong>, will be able to<br />

attract some of this traffic and fill the huge latent demand for developed tourism activities for<br />

urban and rural <strong>Sindh</strong>. A resort at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>, with allied recreational facilities, would<br />

attract many of these visitors to <strong>Keenjhar</strong>, particularly for short stays. Being close to Karachi,<br />

the attractiveness of the location should not be limited to peak (holiday) seasons only.<br />

It is expected that a resort at this location should benefit from the huge corporate demand for<br />

destinations for their corporate activities( which is presently limited to PC Bhurban) some of<br />

the water parks just outside Karachi and significant travel outside Pakistan. In addition, a<br />

destination with the development mix, as is being proposed for this <strong>Project</strong>, provides<br />

something for everybody. It offers the exclusivity and tranquility to a large number of high net<br />

worth individuals that reside in Karachi who wish to have a peaceful retreat away from the city<br />

or simply wish to take a short recreation and retreat (“the R&R”) break at a world class facility<br />

that is an hour and a half drive from home. At the same time, it provides recreational activities<br />

and a nature retreat for the large young population of Karachi on weekends, and holidays.<br />

7.5 <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong><br />

7.5.1 Proximity<br />

The total population surrounding a 2kms radius around <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> accommodates some<br />

40,000 people living in 39 villages. These comprise some 5,500 households, with an average<br />

household size of just over 7 persons. Roughly 73.3% of the houses built are kacha.<br />

7.5.2 Socio-economic Conditions: Surrounding area<br />

As per the Socioeconomic Study and Proposal for Livelihood Improvements conducted by<br />

World Bank (2005) and the Preliminary Socioeconomic Baseline Study Report by World<br />

Wildlife Fund (2007), there exists a lack of basic health facilities and absence of utilities<br />

infrastructure in the area. In addition, there also exists lack of employment opportunities.<br />

According to our survey conducted during the second half of 2009, the monthly earnings of<br />

the habitats range between PKR 2,500 to PKR 4,000 during peak season i.e. November-<br />

February from fishing which is the main occupation within the 2kms radius. <strong>Of</strong>f season<br />

earnings are generally about PKR 1,000 or lower, during which common sources are:<br />

34<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Bird hunting / catching is done at least 4 months in a year when fishing is off season;<br />

Stone mining – local labour takes 3 to 4 days to fill one truck load with stones from the<br />

surrounding area – compensation is about Rs 150 per person; and<br />

Porters at train stations and bus terminals.<br />

Absence of any development has resulted in exploitation of the surrounding areas, which has<br />

resulted in degradation of the natural flora and fauna in a large area. We were informed that<br />

locals had cut off trees in certain areas so that visitors can use their thatched huts for shade.<br />

7.5.3 Site Conditions: 100kms radius<br />

Four major cities exist within the 100kms radius of <strong>Keenjhar</strong> these include Karachi,<br />

Hyderabad, Thatta and Kotri. The total combined population of these major cities nears 20<br />

million.<br />

Approximately 2 million people living in the 100kms radius have earnings of PKR 47,000 per<br />

month (PKR 25,000 per month as per 1998 census) and hence havethe capacity to spend<br />

money on holidays.<br />

The largest city, Karachi, is among the ten most populated cities in the world, with an<br />

estimated population between 16 to 18 million. <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is easily accessible through<br />

National Highway and the Rail Link from Karachi to Hyderabad via Jhimpir, the nearest<br />

railway station to the Site (approximate distance: 10 – 15 kms)<br />

Areas within the immediate proximity of the <strong>Project</strong> site (mainly Thatta district) generally lack<br />

basic infrastructure facilities such as schools, electricity, gas, health etc. The unemployment<br />

rate is very high and there is a heavy reliance on fishing by the people living in nearby<br />

villages, thus minimal exposure to other income generating avenues. Fishing conditions have<br />

been deteriorating over the years mainly due to lack of control over fishing and measures<br />

need to be taken to replenish the lake with enough seed to maintain the level of catch for the<br />

fishermen.<br />

Literacy level is generally very low followed by a lack of basic skills due to minimal or no<br />

vocational trainings. Skilled labor is mainly procured/ moved from other bigger cities like<br />

Karachi and Hyderabad.<br />

The proposed <strong>Project</strong> will be a source of economic stimulus and an environmental lifeline for<br />

the area, offering:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Managed tourism activities that work in harmony with the environment,<br />

Increased economic activity, providing business and employment opportunities,<br />

An alternate income generating avenue for the local population that integrates them with<br />

the development and conservation activities; and<br />

A socio-economic and environmental uplift for the area.<br />

35<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


8 <strong>Project</strong> Overview<br />

8.1 <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong><br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> (also known as Kalri<br />

<strong>Lake</strong>) is situated at a distance of 113<br />

kms from Karachi, and about 20 kms<br />

north and north east of Thatta town. It<br />

lies between the longitude of 68 and<br />

69 degrees north east and latitude 24<br />

and 25 degrees north. It is the largest<br />

freshwater lake in Pakistan with an<br />

area of 145 sq kms and an irregular<br />

shoreline of 192 kms. The maximum<br />

depth of the lake is 8 m. The lake is<br />

fed by the Kalri Baghar Canal (KB<br />

Feeder) originating from Kotri barrage<br />

that enters at the northwest corners,<br />

and by many other small seasonal<br />

streams entering the western and<br />

northern shores. The only outlet is<br />

through the Jam Branch Canal at the<br />

southeast corner of the lake. The<br />

National Highway N-5 passes very<br />

close to the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> while<br />

Jhimpir Railway Station, the first<br />

station after Karachi, is also located<br />

very close to the lake.<br />

Keenhar <strong>Lake</strong> spreads over 9,842<br />

hectares, covering approximately<br />

25,000 acres.<br />

The lake is a very important source of<br />

drinking water for Karachi, serves a<br />

valuable function in flood control, and<br />

supports major fishery. A variety of breeding, passage and water birds make their way here in<br />

the winter. The lake also has a rich flora of submerged, floating and emergent aquatic plants.<br />

However, lack of overall infrastructure and control over use of the lake resources is leading to<br />

loss of environment and deterioration of the habitat of fauna around the lake.<br />

Situated fairly close to Pakistan's largest urban area, Karachi, the sanctuary offers excellent<br />

potential for nature-oriented recreation, conservation education and scientific research. The<br />

inhabitants of the villages surrounding <strong>Keenjhar</strong> are occupied mainly in fishing, agriculture,<br />

stone mining and mat-making. These areas generally lack basic infrastructure facilities such<br />

as schools, electricity, gas, health etc. Unemployment rate is very high and literacy level is<br />

generally very low.<br />

Table: Key Features of the <strong>Lake</strong><br />

Surface Area<br />

Storage Capacity<br />

Usable Capacity<br />

Average Depth<br />

Length of Embankments<br />

Maximum Height of Embankments<br />

Main Water Supply Source<br />

Outlets<br />

Source: Indus for all Programme-WWF-Pakistan<br />

9,842 Ha<br />

0.508 Million acre feet<br />

0.38 Million acre feet<br />

6 m<br />

31 Km<br />

9 m<br />

Kalari Baggar Feeder (Upper)<br />

Kalari Baggar Feeder (Lower)<br />

The area is characterized by a<br />

dry subtropical monsoonal<br />

climate with very hot summers<br />

and mild winters. Average<br />

annual rainfall is 175 mm, most<br />

of which falls during the<br />

summer<br />

monsoon.<br />

Temperatures range between<br />

an average minimum of 1°C -<br />

2°C in January to a maximum<br />

of 47°C in summers.<br />

36<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


8.2 <strong>Project</strong> Concept<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>, being a Ramsar Site, is a wetland of international importance and the<br />

proposed <strong>Project</strong> site selected for development is completely undeveloped and largely barren.<br />

There are no settlements on the site selected for the resort, therefore this development will<br />

not result in any displacements. However, the local population, which is living in extreme<br />

poverty, should benefit from the economic stimulus generated by the development and at the<br />

same time be engaged in the conservation of the lake site.<br />

Based on the above analysis, the <strong>Project</strong> requirements can be summarized as follows:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Creation of a destination point for domestic and international tourists<br />

Eco-sensitive development and operation & maintenance (the “O&M”) processes<br />

Focus on low density development for environmental considerations<br />

Integrate site conservation and restoration as part of the <strong>Project</strong> program by engaging<br />

the local population and visitors in environmental preservation and restoration<br />

Maximize value enhancement of the <strong>Project</strong> area.<br />

The development strategy pivots on lake conservation as one of the key objectives. Hence,<br />

any development created would need to have a low density and a very strong O&M<br />

programme to minimize any adverse environmental impacts. In planning the <strong>Project</strong> outputs<br />

requirements, it was concluded that the resort and the annexed recreational development<br />

should offer something that makes the location a unique destination point. This effectively<br />

means that the products offered should be such that visitors are encouraged to stay for a<br />

longer duration (overnight to three days), thereby enhancing commercial viability.<br />

It was also considered important to maintain exclusivity and yet offer something for<br />

everybody. The design challenge was therefore to keep these two elements adequately<br />

segregated. In order to achieve enhanced commercial viability of the <strong>Project</strong>, a number of<br />

products need to be created to provide visitors with an incentive to stay longer.<br />

From a <strong>Project</strong> financing perspective, the development mix proposed is one that it should be<br />

able to generate revenues from the <strong>Project</strong> so as to partially fund the development cost. This<br />

is expected to reduce the investment required in the <strong>Project</strong> and help enhance the overall<br />

viability of the other products.<br />

Based on the above and the commercial assessment and benchmarking analysis carried out<br />

by GoS and the <strong>Project</strong> advisors, it was decided that the <strong>Project</strong> would have the following two<br />

development components:<br />

► A Hospitality cum residential component, which would offer exclusivity and security<br />

and house the following hospitality and residential products:<br />

„ <strong>Resort</strong> Hotel and Chalets;<br />

„ Serviced Apartments;<br />

►<br />

„ Conventions;<br />

„ Golf Course; and<br />

„ Private Residential Farmhouses which would be the real estate component of the<br />

<strong>Project</strong> that maybe utilized to generate project financing.<br />

A Recreation component that would provide varying entertainment facilities, including<br />

the following:<br />

„ Amusement Park;<br />

„ Theme Park;<br />

„ Water Park;<br />

„ Sailing club and boat house, with water-sports and boating facilities;<br />

„ Shopping mall, with food court and Cineplex;<br />

„ High street shops with local arts and crafts display shops;<br />

„ Amphitheatre; and<br />

„ Medium cost (2 to 3 star) lodgings.<br />

37<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


8.3 <strong>Project</strong> Objectives<br />

The overriding objective of this <strong>Project</strong> is to create a word class eco-friendly tourist destination<br />

that would provide high quality recreational amenities and would support the infrastructure<br />

within a secure and wholesome environment and thus, encourage long term lodging on the<br />

site.<br />

It is also intended to develop infrastructure to facilitate commuting to the lake. However, the<br />

<strong>Project</strong> objectives can be summarized as follows:<br />

Promotion of Tourism in <strong>Sindh</strong>: Seek to create a world class eco-friendly tourist<br />

destination in <strong>Sindh</strong>. The <strong>Project</strong> shall aim to provide a destination for the people of the<br />

province with entertainment as well as recreational avenues and a place where people can<br />

spend quality time with their families.<br />

Tourism Facilities for the people of <strong>Sindh</strong>: Provide the people of the province with a resort<br />

destination within driving distance from their homes.<br />

Environmental Preservation: Incorporate a development, operations and maintenance<br />

framework that minimizes any adverse impact on the existing environment and seeks to<br />

reverse some of the effects of degradation caused by unplanned development and<br />

exploitation of the <strong>Lake</strong>’s surrounding areas. The <strong>Project</strong> in itself shall provide for<br />

environmental regeneration opportunities to mitigate the adverse impact previously caused by<br />

the uncontrolled exploitation of the <strong>Lake</strong>.<br />

Social Uplift: Use the <strong>Project</strong> as an economic stimulus for the surrounding area and create<br />

employment opportunities for people locally and around the province. The <strong>Project</strong> would<br />

provide employment opportunities mainly to the local population (where locals currently live<br />

under extreme poverty conditions) and will in turn would help in uplifting the lake<br />

surroundings.<br />

Private sector <strong>Investment</strong>: Search for ways to encourage private sector investment in the<br />

<strong>Project</strong> infrastructure; and<br />

Financial Viability: Make the <strong>Project</strong> financially viable for development under the PPP model<br />

in order to attract private sector investment in the ID of this <strong>Project</strong>.<br />

8.4 Operating Model<br />

The following were considered to be the key objectives when establishing the framework for<br />

development of the PPP transaction structure for this <strong>Project</strong>,<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Clear output requirements of a mix of commercially viable products<br />

Clear identification of responsibilities of parties<br />

Attractive project returns for private sector to solicit interests in the <strong>Project</strong><br />

Provide investors flexibility for value enhancement and facilitate fund raising<br />

Structured mechanisms for <strong>Project</strong> monitoring and clear mechanisms for dispute<br />

resolution and settlement<br />

Government’s role: The GoS’s role in the development would be that of a <strong>Project</strong> facilitator<br />

as well as of a regulator. It would provide required assistance to the private partner in<br />

implementing the <strong>Project</strong> and provide necessary support to develop the infrastructure and<br />

access to the <strong>Project</strong> site. As a regulator and business partner, it would seek to ensure that<br />

the <strong>Project</strong> is being developed and maintained as per the specifications agreed and that the<br />

objectives behind the development are achieved in the time frame agreed.<br />

Private sector’s role: The private sector’s role would be to ensure that the <strong>Project</strong> is<br />

developed in the most efficient manner. This would include:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Compliance with development standards and operating and maintenance timelines<br />

agreed for the <strong>Project</strong> development<br />

Marketing and sales strategy in the development stage to ensure external financing<br />

requirements do not exceed the optimal capital structure agreed.<br />

38<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


►<br />

Efficient management of operations to ensure the <strong>Project</strong> is commercially viable and is in<br />

compliance with the operating and maintenance standards, particularly with reference to<br />

environmental management.<br />

39<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


9 Development Framework<br />

9.1 Site Analysis<br />

Three sites were analyzed with reference to suitability for the proposed integrated resort<br />

facility i.e the <strong>Project</strong>. Two of these sites were initially identified by the GoS and the third was<br />

identified by Meinhardt, the technical consultants appointed for conceptualizing the<br />

development for GoS.<br />

All three sites were selected because they were lake front land parcels coinciding with<br />

development objectives. Additionally, they were easily accessible from the National Highway,<br />

located within a habitable area. The first two sites were identified by the GoS due to their<br />

proximity to the lake and the National highway. However, the 30 ft high embankment,<br />

developed for flood control, blocked all visual access to the lake and acted as a physical<br />

barrier and hence made the sites unfeasible for resort development.<br />

The site finalized for development purposes was the one identified by Meinhardt as it offered<br />

several advantages. It is located approximately 10 km from the National Highway, spreads<br />

over an approximate area of 750 acres, which is entirely undeveloped and the property of<br />

Government of <strong>Sindh</strong>.<br />

Advantages of the selected site:<br />

► A large and untouched<br />

parcel of land (with no<br />

existing manmade<br />

structures/ facilities)<br />

provides opportunity to<br />

bring in natural<br />

environment to enhance<br />

the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>'s<br />

experience and to address<br />

any issues related to the<br />

eco-sensitivity of the area<br />

while developing and<br />

maintaining the same<br />

► The site is surrounded by<br />

the <strong>Lake</strong> on all three (NW,<br />

N, E/ SE) sides, offering<br />

perfect 270 degree views<br />

of the pristine <strong>Keenjhar</strong><br />

<strong>Lake</strong>.<br />

► The site has great potential for possible future expansions, including the flexibility of any<br />

future developments along its long shoreline.<br />

► Greater safety/ parameter controls as the site is surrounded by the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> on<br />

three sides.<br />

► Direct connection between the site and the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> shoreline.<br />

► The potential of maximizing waterfront development/ activities due to larger shoreline.<br />

► Large site offers greater flexibility for the development of sustainable infrastructures.<br />

► Flat and raised site, suitable for land and infrastructure development.<br />

Challenges for the site:<br />

► Located approximately 10kms away from the National Highway.<br />

► Lack of supporting infrastructure like roads, power etc.<br />

► Lack of existing support facilities in the vicinity of the site.<br />

The GoS is addressing some of the challenges by developing a link road to the <strong>Project</strong> site<br />

and also setting up kiosks for tourists. In addition, several other development projects are<br />

40<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


eing planned, including doubling of lanes on the Karachi-Thatta-Hyderabad section of the<br />

National Highway and making investments in the infrastructure of Thatta city.<br />

9.2 Conceptual Design<br />

As with any project design, the master planners first set out the objectives of the development<br />

project in order to identify the outputs that would need to be identified in the development.<br />

The key elements that were considered were as follows:<br />

► Creation of a gated facility to ensure a secure destination.<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Structuring of design development to maintain the <strong>Project</strong>’s financial viability.<br />

Create a national tourist attraction by promoting public facilities and keeping the<br />

exclusiveness indifferent.<br />

Ensuring efficient utilization of the land bank with key focus being on conservation of<br />

natural habitat.<br />

Effectively apply sewerage, waste water treatment and solid waste management<br />

strategies keeping in mind that <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is a water reservoir and a wetland of<br />

international importance.<br />

To achieve the above, Meinhardt carried out an analysis of several resorts in and around the<br />

region, many of which were Meinhardt projects. In addition, resorts developed at Ramsar<br />

sights in different parts of the world were also examined to draw inferences from.<br />

The key features identified as the main elements that were also incorporated in the<br />

conceptual design were as follows:<br />

► Integration: Different segments of the resort should be linked through a circulation spine<br />

to create a conglomerate whole.<br />

► Tools for Segregation: Golf Course to act as a buffer, separating the residential land<br />

parcels from other components.<br />

► Value Addition: The residential parcel should face either the Golf Course or the Water<br />

Front.<br />

► Security: Single point of entry, leading to limited access of the site.<br />

► Engagement of the Shoreline: Maximized exposure to water through the creation of<br />

water inlets to break the land mass and through isolation of the land.<br />

► Long-term Stay: Long-term stay is encouraged through a high percentage of different<br />

types of residential plots and the provision of amenities and commercial activities.<br />

Based on this analysis and the <strong>Project</strong> objectives, the following conceptual design was<br />

developed, which brought in all the components required in the <strong>Project</strong>. The initial steps<br />

include creation of security check, followed by engagement of the shoreline by maximizing<br />

exposure through creation of water inlets. The image below illustrates the sub-zoning analysis<br />

with key legends.<br />

41<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


The <strong>Project</strong> site is spread over 752 acres, which equals approximately 32 million sq. ft. The<br />

approximated built-up area, exclusive of commercial and recreational components to be<br />

constructed in the next phase, sums to only 1.4 million sq. ft. This area computes an Floor<br />

Area Ratio (the “FAR”) of 1:0.043. Phase I of the <strong>Project</strong> will be spread over 550 acres and<br />

will comprise several components as are indicated in the table below.<br />

Table: Land use percentages<br />

Component %<br />

Serviced Apartments<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> Chalets<br />

Golf Chalets<br />

35%<br />

Walk-up Apartments<br />

Farm Houses<br />

Theme / Water Parks<br />

Shopping Arcades<br />

Cineplex<br />

12%<br />

Boating Club / Restaurant Areas<br />

Museum / Conversation Services<br />

<strong>Resort</strong><br />

Golf Course & Driving Range<br />

24%<br />

Convention / Meeting Facilities<br />

Public Amenities<br />

2%<br />

Utilities<br />

Water bodies / inlets 7%<br />

Other landscaped areas 12%<br />

Roads 8%<br />

Total 100%<br />

42<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


9.3 Visualizations<br />

The picture below exhibits a perception outlook for the developed <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> Eco-Friendly Tourist <strong>Resort</strong>.<br />

43<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


10 Conceptual Master Plan<br />

With key demand generators in view, the <strong>Project</strong> development master plan was prepared<br />

incorporating all key considerations to ensure that the <strong>Project</strong> meets the conceptual parameters of<br />

commercial viability and that it becomes a reality.<br />

Development of the <strong>Project</strong> has been planned in three development phases as shown below:<br />

Development Phase<br />

Infra-structure Development<br />

750 acre<br />

Development Package I<br />

550 acres <strong>Resort</strong> Zone Development<br />

Development Package II<br />

200 acres Recreational Zone Development<br />

Details of Development<br />

Main access road from National Highway<br />

Earthworks for water bodies<br />

Link roads and arteries<br />

Electrical Infrastructure<br />

Solid Waste Management<br />

Sewage Water Treatment<br />

Storm Water and Water Treatment System<br />

Other Infrastructure Developments<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Hotel<br />

Golf Course<br />

Convention Centre<br />

Farm Houses<br />

Chalets<br />

Walk-ups<br />

Serviced Apartments<br />

Hospital and Mosque<br />

Medium Level Hotel/ Lodging Area<br />

Commercial Area – Shopping Mall<br />

Theme Parks<br />

Water Parks<br />

Amusement Park<br />

Amphitheatre<br />

Cineplex, etc.<br />

It is envisaged that the GoS would need to remain engaged with the <strong>Project</strong> during its development<br />

and operations phases for the purposes of ensuring that the <strong>Project</strong> development and its O&M is in<br />

line with the parameters established and agreed. Its role would be to the extent of monitoring whether<br />

the development is being carried out in accordance with the approved plans, which take into<br />

consideration its developmental objectives, with particular reference to environmental management.<br />

In addition, the GoS may need to play a role in providing credit enhancement facilities to the <strong>Project</strong>, if<br />

so required for attracting the private sector in this investment.<br />

As shown in the above table, the development of the <strong>Project</strong> has been planned systematically in three<br />

different phases i.e. Infrastructure, <strong>Resort</strong> Zone and Recreational Zone Development. Infrastructure<br />

and <strong>Resort</strong> Zone are packaged together as Development Package – I (DP-I) while the Recreational<br />

Zone is termed as Development Package – II (DP-II).<br />

44<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


10.1 Infrastructure Development<br />

Infrastructure development (the “ID”) relates to the development of basic infrastructure facilities at the<br />

<strong>Project</strong> site.<br />

The work to be accomplished within the ID phase includes the development of a road which allows<br />

access from the National Highway to the <strong>Project</strong> site, constructing a primary and secondary road<br />

infrastructure within the site area, carrying out earthworks for water bodies, installing water and<br />

sewage treatment systems, storm water drainage systems, the electrical and mechanical<br />

infrastructures and piping & equipment for water bodies.<br />

At the initial stages of the ID, it is planned to construct a 40ft wide, 6.5km access road from the<br />

National Highway to the <strong>Project</strong> site.<br />

LandA<br />

Package<br />

lopm Deve<br />

:50 rea<br />

I–<br />

ent<br />

acres<br />

LandA<br />

In<br />

ent lopm Deve<br />

frastructure<br />

Package<br />

lopm Deve<br />

I–<br />

ent<br />

rea :20<br />

acres<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> would require an internal road<br />

infrastructure in order to link the different<br />

components of the facility. This would involve the<br />

development of a 40ft wide, 4km long internal road; a<br />

60ft wide, 9km road; and a 120ft wide, 1km road for<br />

internal road access to different <strong>Project</strong> components<br />

within the <strong>Resort</strong> and Recreational Zone.<br />

Earthworks include creation of water inlets through<br />

shallow water ponds, shoreline extension and<br />

minimum excavation to increase the water experience<br />

on the <strong>Project</strong> site, which would result in the overall<br />

uplift of the <strong>Project</strong>.<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> site perimeter is 8km which is expected to<br />

be enhanced to 19km, as a result of earthworks for<br />

water bodies.<br />

The development of an Electrical Infrastructure<br />

would mean installation of a transmission system or a<br />

distribution network within the site area. The conceptual plan has not envisaged self generation of<br />

electricity for the <strong>Resort</strong>, Golf Course, Convention Centre and Amphitheatre; rather these would be<br />

connected to the electricity lines. However, back-up power generation systems will be in place.<br />

Mechanical, piping and equipment represents work in respect of pumping, piping and recycling of<br />

shallow water bodies. A total of 4 pumping units comprising 3 – 4 pumping machines, and other<br />

associated piping and civil works are included within this component.<br />

The storm water system feature includes installation of the surface storm water network alongside<br />

the road site rip rap. This system is estimated to be 2ft wide having a depth of 1.5ft.<br />

Another component of the <strong>Project</strong> also to be completed within the ID phase of the <strong>Project</strong><br />

development is the sewage treatment and collection system.<br />

The Water system comprises of water supply as well as water treatment systems. The water supply<br />

system represents the cost for the intake system, the pump stations and the distribution system. The<br />

water treatment system/ plant maximum capacity has been estimated at 600,000 gallons per day.<br />

However, the requirement of the recreation zone should be estimated by the developer based on its<br />

own assessment of the requirements once the development components have been finalised and the<br />

actual estimates of the requirements of this component have been determined.<br />

45<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


10.2 Development Package I<br />

The Development Package – I (the “DP-I”), also referred to as <strong>Resort</strong> Zone Development, relates to<br />

the provision of a world class resort facility. DP-I features a resort / hotel with a star category, an 18-<br />

hole golf course, a convention centre, private farmhouses, chalets, serviced apartments and walk-up<br />

apartments. This development parcel is further broken down into Phase I and Phase II.<br />

The resort is estimated to be constructed on a total covered area of 195,000 sq. ft. The resort facility<br />

is expected to include 75 rooms with an average area of 400 sq. ft. per room. The resort facility is<br />

also expected to include 1 speciality restaurant and 2 other restaurants having a capacity of 150 and<br />

300 persons respectively.<br />

As mentioned in the table above, a key feature of DP-I of the <strong>Project</strong> development are the chalets. A<br />

total of 76 chalets are included under the conceptual master plan to be constructed in the resort zone.<br />

Half of the chalets will consist of a single bedroom whilst the other half would consist of two bedrooms.<br />

The covered area of each single bedroom chalet is estimated to be 600 sq ft while the two bedroom<br />

chalet is to be 1000 sq. ft..<br />

Under Phase I of the DP-I, three out of the total two bedroom chalets will be constructed, followed by<br />

an additional 35 chalets under Phase II. Out of the total one bedroom chalets, 7 will be constructed<br />

under Phase I and the remaining 31 shall be added under Phase II.<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> consists of 112 serviced apartments, constructed in lots of 16 and 96 under Phase I and<br />

Phase II respectively at a cost of PKR 4,000 per sq. ft. All serviced apartments are expected to be of<br />

two bedrooms.<br />

The conceptual plan also includes a provision for 200 walk up apartments, which will be evenly<br />

spread across 50 blocks. Out of these walk ups, 100 would provide a single bedroom and the other<br />

100 would be providing a double bedroom facility. The single bedroom walk ups are to measure 1,100<br />

sq. ft. whilst the double bedroom ones would measure 1,300 sq ft. However, the <strong>Project</strong> pre-feasibility<br />

numbers have not taken this into account and flexibility is available to the developer to utilise the land<br />

set aside for other uses, such as hospitality or for other residential components, so long as the<br />

development density is not adversely affected and an effective O&M plan is implemented.<br />

Farmhouses will be developed over 198 acres, comprising 84 units each on half acre, and 156 units<br />

each spread over one acre. The farmhouse owners will be provided complimentary membership of<br />

the Golf Course and each farmhouse will either have a view of the lush green Golf Course or the<br />

scenic <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>. The sale proceeds of these farmhouses will be utilized in the development of<br />

the <strong>Project</strong>. The developer however has the flexibility to use these farmhouses for hospitality rather<br />

than private residential units.<br />

An 18-hole Golf Course spread over an area of 170 acres shall be constructed over a 48 month<br />

period under Phase I. It is estimated that 60% of the golf course development cost would be incurred<br />

in the first 24 months, while the remainder 40% in the balance period.<br />

A single storey convention centre shall be constructed on a cumulative covered area of 30,000 sq. ft.<br />

Under Phase I, 20,000 sq. ft. would be constructed which shall be increased by a further 10,000 sq. ft.<br />

under Phase II.<br />

Main features of the convention centre are expected to include:<br />

►<br />

5 executive meeting rooms having a capacity of 10 person each with a cumulative covered area<br />

of 1,500 sq. ft.;<br />

► 3 meeting rooms having a capacity of 25 persons each with a cumulative covered area of 2,500<br />

sq. ft.;<br />

►<br />

►<br />

1 large ball room having a capacity of 350 persons with a cumulative covered area of 10,500 sq.<br />

ft.; and<br />

1 small ball room having a capacity of 250 persons with a cumulative covered area of 5,000 sq. ft.<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> shall house an amphitheatre, which is to be constructed under Phase II of the DP-I and<br />

shall be spread over an area of 20,000 sq. ft.<br />

Other development includes putting up amenities, such as a Masjid, which is estimated to cover an<br />

area of 12,000 sq ft and a 50 bed hospital with a covered area of 25,000 sq. ft. approximately.<br />

46<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


Apart from the <strong>Resort</strong> component, the convention centre and the golf course, a certain amount of<br />

flexibility will be available to developers to suggest other alternative development mix or use<br />

strategies, which shall be examined for assessment of commercial viability, its impact on the<br />

conceptual master plan and for its environmental impact.<br />

10.3 Development Package II<br />

The Development Package II (the “DP-II”), also referred to as Recreational Zone Development,<br />

relates to the costs for the establishment of integrated commercial and recreational facilities within the<br />

<strong>Project</strong>.<br />

The development to be undertaken in the DP-II includes medium level hotel/ lodging area, retail<br />

complex, theme parks, water parks, amusement parks, amphitheatre, museum, boating club,<br />

Cineplex, etc.<br />

The inclusion of this recreational zone is to provide visitors with activities to undertake when visiting<br />

the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> site. This in turn makes the case for longer stays at the lake and hence increases<br />

the money that visitors are likely to spend, thereby contributing to the <strong>Project</strong>’s commercial viability.<br />

It is envisaged that the <strong>Project</strong> site will only develop once there is reasonable development and<br />

access to roadsand at least partial development of the resort is complete. It may not be feasible to<br />

expect investment in theme parks and amusement zones to be made in a completely undeveloped<br />

area. The developer would therefore have the flexibility to either develop and operate this parcel on<br />

their own, subject to detailed design and a development plan that would be approved by an<br />

independent engineer (the “IE”), or grant a sub-concession or even sub-contract the development of<br />

various components of the recreation zone.<br />

The table below delineates the allotment of the total area for DP-II i.e. 200 acres:<br />

Table: Land area utilized & percentages<br />

Component Area (Acres) %<br />

Amusement Park 21 11%<br />

Amenities – Utilities 12 6%<br />

Theme Park 22 11%<br />

Motel / lodging area 6 3%<br />

Boating club, Restaurant area 7 4%<br />

Cineplex, Retail & Gaming zones 5.5 3%<br />

Water Park 18 9%<br />

Open area / allocable area 108.5 54%<br />

Total 200 100%<br />

The construction of DP-II is planned to be completed during a 36 month period coinciding with the<br />

completion of the DP-I development. Both <strong>Project</strong> phases complement each other in terms of their<br />

commercial viability.<br />

47<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


10.4 Synopsis of DP-I and DP-II<br />

The table below indicates a snapshot of the components to be developed under DP-I and DP-II.<br />

Table: Land use percentages<br />

Components Land / Built-up Areas %<br />

Serviced Apartments [2 Bed: 112]<br />

5.5 Acres: BUA 123,200 sq ft<br />

Walk up Apartments [1 Bed: 100; 2 Bed: 100]<br />

12 Acres: BUA 240,000 sq ft<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> Chalets [1Bed: 38; 2 Bed: 38]<br />

21 Acres: BUA 60,800 sq ft<br />

35%<br />

Farm Houses [1/2 Acre: 84; 1 Acre: 156]<br />

200 Acres: BUA 446,400 sq ft<br />

Theme Park<br />

22 Acres<br />

Water Park<br />

18 Acres<br />

Amusement Park<br />

21 Acres<br />

Motel/ Lodging Areas<br />

6 Acres: BUA of 140,000 sq ft<br />

12%<br />

Cineplex, Retail & Gaming Zone<br />

5.5 Acre<br />

Boating Club / Restaurant Areas<br />

7 Acre: BUA 40,000 sq ft<br />

Museum / Conversation Services<br />

12 Acres: BUA 40,000 sq ft<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> [75 keys]<br />

16.5 Acres: BUA 205,000 sq ft<br />

Golf Course & Driving Range [18 holes]<br />

170 Acres: BUA 17,000 sq ft<br />

24%<br />

Convention / Meeting Facilities<br />

4.5 Acres: BUA 30,000 sq ft<br />

Public Amenities [Mosque and Hospital]<br />

Utilities [STP/ WTP]<br />

12 Acres: BUA 47,000 sq ft 2%<br />

Water bodies / inlets [19 km enhanced perimeter] 50 Acres 7%<br />

Other landscaped areas [Open Spaces] 125 Acres 12%<br />

Roads 60 Acres 8%<br />

Total 100%<br />

As indicated above, DP-I is spread over approximately 550 acres, while DP-II i.e. the recreational<br />

zone is spread over 200 acres.<br />

The development strategy is built around ‘lake conservation’ as one of the key objectives. Hence, any<br />

development created would need to have a low density to minimize any adverse environmental<br />

impacts.<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> development master plan has been prepared incorporating all key considerations to<br />

ensure that the <strong>Project</strong> meets the conceptual parameters of commercial viability and that it becomes a<br />

reality.<br />

The resort and other commercial development mix should offer what makes the location a destination<br />

point. This effectively means that the products offered should be such that visitors are encouraged to<br />

stay for a longer duration. Thus, for the commercial viability of the <strong>Project</strong>, a number of products need<br />

to be created to provide visitors with an incentive to stay longer.<br />

48<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


11 Analysis on Commercial Viability<br />

11.1 <strong>Project</strong> aims and objectives<br />

The overriding objective of this <strong>Project</strong> for the GoS is to create an eco-friendly tourist destination that<br />

provides high quality hospitality, leisure, business and recreational facilities, within a secure and ecosensitive<br />

environment. The <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> has been a destination for tourists for decades and now<br />

has visitors to the lake numbering in hundreds of thousands every year. The GoS, recognizing the<br />

potential of the area, now wishes to develop infrastructure at the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> that provides better<br />

facilities for tourism activities while ensuring that adverse ecological impacts from such activities are<br />

better managed.<br />

Briefly, the <strong>Project</strong> objectives can be summarized as follows:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Promotion of Tourism in <strong>Sindh</strong>: Seek to create a world class eco-friendly tourist destination in<br />

<strong>Sindh</strong>. The <strong>Project</strong> shall aim to provide a destination for the people of the province with<br />

entertainment as well as recreational avenues and a place where people can spend quality time<br />

with their families;<br />

Tourism Facilities for the people of <strong>Sindh</strong>: Provide the people of the province with a resort<br />

destination within driving distance from their homes;<br />

Environmental Preservation: Incorporate a development, operations and maintenance<br />

framework that minimizes any adverse impact on existing environment and seeks to reverse<br />

some of the effects of degradation caused by unplanned development and exploitation of the<br />

<strong>Lake</strong>’s surrounding areas. The <strong>Project</strong> in itself shall provide for environmental regeneration<br />

opportunities to mitigate the adverse impact caused already by the uncontrolled exploitation of<br />

the <strong>Lake</strong>;<br />

Social Uplift: Use the <strong>Project</strong> as an economic stimulus for the surrounding area and create<br />

employment opportunities for people locally and around the province. The <strong>Project</strong> would provide<br />

employment opportunities mainly to the local population, which in turn would help in uplifting the<br />

lake surroundings where locals currently live under extreme poverty conditions;<br />

Private sector <strong>Investment</strong>: Search for ways to encourage private sector investment<br />

environment in infrastructure projects; and<br />

Financial Viability: Make the <strong>Project</strong> financially viable for development under the PPP mode in<br />

order to attract private sector investment in the infrastructure development of this <strong>Project</strong>.<br />

11.2 Tourism opportunities at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong><br />

From a historical perspective, Thatta has been the cultural hub as well as the capital of <strong>Sindh</strong> in the<br />

past. It has numerous sites of historical, cultural and archaeological significance in its surrounding<br />

areas, which have received far less attention and promotion than they deserve.<br />

The development of the <strong>Project</strong> at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is expected to give Thatta greater projection as a<br />

tourist destination for local and international tourists. The development of this facility at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong><br />

is expected to encourage local, national and foreign tourists to visit <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> and other adjoining<br />

tourist attractions such as, the Makli graveyard, Bhambore, etc.<br />

A practical approach towards developing the conceptual plan for an eco-friendly resort and recreation<br />

zone at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is being developed while identifying other opportunities for supporting<br />

environmental protection and developing infrastructure to support tourism in the area. It is expected<br />

that the Tourism department shall be able to benefit from this development programme and may,<br />

either with the <strong>Project</strong> developer or in conjunction with other private sector tour operators, develop<br />

programs for tourism activities during the <strong>Project</strong> development period so as the build up the tourism<br />

profile of Thatta.<br />

There are no current statistics with reference to the number of visitors who visit the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>.<br />

However, the <strong>Sindh</strong> Tourism Development Corporation estimates that currently around 16,000 people<br />

visit <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> on a weekly average basis, which translates into daily average visitors of 2,500.<br />

Present conditions in terms of accommodation facilities and recreational avenues at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong><br />

are by no means adequate to cater for the requirements of such a large visitor profile.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


There are no major activities in and around the lake area for the general population. Currently the<br />

visiting population to the lake visits the area for its water experience. <strong>Sindh</strong> Tourism Development<br />

Corporation (STDC) has developed certain<br />

rest houses and a restaurant to cater to the<br />

needs of the visiting population. However<br />

owing to lack of funds and operational<br />

oversight by professionals, these facilities<br />

have fallen into disrepair and require major<br />

renovation to cater to the demands of the<br />

STDC Motel<br />

visiting population. It is also estimated that<br />

apart from the travelling costs, visitors spend on average PKR 100 per head at the lake.<br />

Given the current situation, it can be reasonably estimated that average visitors would increase<br />

multifold as a direct result of this <strong>Project</strong>. Keeping in view that a 200 acre recreational development<br />

zone would be the main focus for general visitors to the<br />

<strong>Project</strong>, overall viability of the recreational zone would<br />

increase accordingly.<br />

The current visitor<br />

profile is largely<br />

represented by a low<br />

to middle income<br />

level group.<br />

However, most of the visitors have the<br />

capacity to spend extra in lieu of additional<br />

services and attractions. In order to attract the visitors for longer<br />

and frequent visits, there exists a need for refurbishment of the<br />

existing facilities provided. Major developments currently at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> include STDC rental<br />

cottages, Government Rest House and a restaurant. Some of the adjacent images provide an idea of<br />

existing facilities.<br />

A mechanism can be worked out that aims towards the conversion of the environmental and<br />

developmental challenges into opportunities. The development of <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> in a structured<br />

manner is in fact a necessity. This is because unplanned tourism activities are an environmental<br />

hazard and do not engage the visitors or the locals in the protection and conservation of the lake. In<br />

this <strong>Project</strong>, the government as well as the Iinvestor / developer can also employ other measures to<br />

increase the flow of income generation for the resort as well as the recreation zone. This may include<br />

profiling of the city of Thatta as a tourist destination, which also boasts of a rich cultural heritage and<br />

is a place of historical importance. The program can also include other archaeological and historical<br />

sites that can be exploited for these purposes, in consultation with STDC.<br />

The governance framework planned by the GoS for oversight of the resort and recreation zone<br />

development under this <strong>Project</strong> is expected to extend to incorporate other environmental and socioeconomic<br />

programs at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong>. For the <strong>Project</strong> to be successful, the developers and the GoS<br />

would need to engage the local villagers and businessmen in the various development programs. This<br />

partnership will be a critical success factor for any development program and will benefit the <strong>Project</strong>,<br />

the developers, investors, local businessmen and local villagers and towns people alike.<br />

11.3 Demand Generators<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> is expected to attract various segments of the population by providing a<br />

wide range of services and facilities. The local population currently enjoys the following leisure and<br />

business avenues:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Overseas holidays: Dubai, Thailand, Malaysia (Europe and America for high income level<br />

groups)<br />

Hill stations of Murree and Nathiagali, Northern Areas and Swat and Kaghan/ Naran Valley<br />

Family holidays to home cities<br />

Day trips to various natural tourism spots, such as beachfronts, lakes, or archaeological sites<br />

Weekend or overnight stays at farmhouses around the perimeter of the city.<br />

Choices for local and multinational corporate entities for conventions and seminars:<br />

50<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Overseas<br />

Local hotels and out of city locations<br />

Golf and Country Clubs<br />

This creates demand for well developed tourist destinations in the proximity of this major population<br />

centre.<br />

In addition to the above, the following alternative local recreational avenues are considered within the<br />

100kms radius:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Restaurants and open-air street diners<br />

Beachfronts<br />

Historic and archaeological sites<br />

Cinemas/ Cineplex, Shopping Centres<br />

Adventure Parks, Theme Parks and Water Parks<br />

Farmhouses<br />

Clubs and Golf Courses<br />

Preference to such locations is based on accessibility from residence, secured environment and<br />

disposable incomes. However, with an increasing middle income population in Karachi, the demand<br />

for recreational activities far outweighs the supply. With the increase in cost of travel to destinations<br />

in the north of the country limited and more recently the security situation in these areas, the demandsupply<br />

gap for reasonably priced recreational activities has widened significantly.<br />

The table below delineates general recreational avenues and alternative options available to the<br />

population of the major surrounding cities.<br />

Recreational Avenues<br />

Alternate Options<br />

Dine Outs<br />

Recreational Parks<br />

Beaches and harbor<br />

Site seeing<br />

Movies and Shopping<br />

Social Clubs<br />

Farmhouses<br />

2 to 5 star hotels, local and international fast food chains, highway<br />

restaurants, food courts and street side eateries.<br />

Adventure, theme, amusement, water parks and public parks<br />

Picnics, fishing and water sports<br />

Monumental, historical, archaeological sites, etc.<br />

Cinemas, shopping malls, high street shopping, etc.<br />

Social and Country Clubs, Golf Clubs, etc.<br />

Private-owned farmhouses, gated farmhouses, chalets, etc<br />

Leisure and tourism activities vary significantly between the various income groups. These activities<br />

also vary during the peak and off-peak seasons, further segmented into weekdays and weekends.<br />

Peak season generally falls during the months of May to August, mainly on account of vacations of<br />

educational institutions.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


The adjacent table presents a conservative<br />

estimate of the number of people in Karachi and<br />

other major cities near <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> that visit<br />

recreational ventures on a daily basis. Out of the<br />

total population stated in the table, even if 3% of<br />

the visitors visit <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> for recreational<br />

purposes, the number of visitors can range from<br />

3,500 – 5,500 persons per day. This does not<br />

include corporate visitors, who are likely to utilize<br />

the facility for corporate meetings, planning events,<br />

training, seminars and staff outings.<br />

Recreational Avenue<br />

Total Visitor Range<br />

The above analysis is a broad indicator for the<br />

potential of a well developed tourism facility.<br />

Investors may however carry out their own analysis<br />

Total 114,250 172,500<br />

and assessment of the potential demand, which may in fact be different. It must however be<br />

emphasized that purpose built facilities with infrastructure support from local government are few and<br />

far in between and the needs are still largely unfulfilled.<br />

Min<br />

Max<br />

Recreational Parks 100,000 150,000<br />

Farmhouses 1,000 3,000<br />

Site seeing 250 500<br />

Social Clubs 8,000 12,000<br />

Beachfront 5,000 7,000<br />

11.4 Survey of Recreational spots near Karachi<br />

A field survey was conducted to identify areas where farmhouses, resorts and water parks are<br />

located. The purpose of this survey was to highlight the number, facilities and rates of farmhouses,<br />

resorts and water parks in the surveyed area. The survey mainly covered Malir, Super Highway,<br />

Gadap and Gharo, which are the major water / amusement parks and farmhouses currently in<br />

existence.<br />

Our market survey covered approximately 73%, 67% and 80% of the farmhouses, resorts and water<br />

parks respectively.<br />

Farm Houses<br />

It was found that there were more<br />

private farmhouses as compared<br />

to commercial farmhouses in<br />

Karachi. Currently Palm Village is<br />

the biggest Farmhouse<br />

Development <strong>Project</strong> and<br />

comprises 117 farmhouses.<br />

The adjacent table illustrates the<br />

price range of privately owned<br />

farmhouses during the year 2009.<br />

The table below illustrates the market prices of farmhouses existing at the time of our survey in mid<br />

2009:<br />

Area<br />

<strong>Project</strong> Name Unit size Pricing (millions)<br />

Palm Village 2,200 sq yds PKR 10-12 per unit<br />

Lavish Garden 2,200 sq yds PKR 8-9 per unit<br />

Millennium <strong>Resort</strong>s 2,200 sq yds<br />

Land value per acre<br />

33 yrs lease 99 yrs lease<br />

Gadap PKR 1.2 – 1.5 million n/a<br />

Super Highway PKR 1.2 – 1.3 million PKR 2.0 – 6.5 million<br />

Malir PKR 1.2 – 1.5 million PKR 2.0 – 2.5 million<br />

Gharo PKR 2.0 – 2.5 million PKR 6.0 – 6.5 million<br />

PKR 6-9 per unit<br />

Gohar-e-Nayab 2,200 sq yds PKR 8-10 per unit<br />

Palm Dreams 2,000 to 6,000 sq yds PKR 9-22 per unit<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


Commercial and Private farmhouses possess several salient features commonly including cottage /<br />

hut, park / garden, indoor games, outdoor sports, swimming pool, water slides, zoological area /<br />

birdhouse, artificial pond, barbeque area, car parking, backup power and play area. The following<br />

chart illustrates the average rates of farmhouses area wise.<br />

25,000<br />

22,500<br />

20,000<br />

19,733<br />

PKR<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

14,200<br />

10,611<br />

14,778<br />

14,250 13,500<br />

15,000<br />

5,000<br />

-<br />

Gadap Super Highway Malir Gharo<br />

Weekdays<br />

Weekends<br />

The average rental rates for weekends are comparatively higher than those charged over weekdays<br />

as the demand for such farmhouses is naturally higher over weekends. However, rental rates in Malir<br />

are relatively higher compared to other areas due to its close proximity to the city and it being far more<br />

developed than the other farmhouse localities.<br />

The demand in peak season, which starts from May and lasts until August, remains around 80% with<br />

off-peak season demand falling as low as 20%.<br />

<strong>Resort</strong>s<br />

The resorts offer a wide range of services which are stated below:<br />

Golf facilities Convention center Eateries Backup power<br />

Accommodation Medical area Indoor games Security<br />

Swimming pool Park / Garden Outdoor games Prayer area<br />

Boating Kids area Gymnasium Lockers<br />

Cinema Concert area Spa Parking<br />

Four major resorts are currently operating in and around Karachi, these include:<br />

► Countryside Chalet is located near Super<br />

Highway and is constructed on 350 acres. There<br />

18,796<br />

are 110 chalets and various facilities for its<br />

visitors.<br />

► Dreamworld <strong>Resort</strong> offers numerous facilities<br />

for its members / visitors. The resort is<br />

constructed on 150 acres of land and has<br />

8,890<br />

recently added chalets with 24/7 service.<br />

4,826<br />

5,500<br />

► Arabian Sea Country Club is located 40kms<br />

4,500 4,500<br />

from Karachi and is constructed on 200 acres. It<br />

accommodates 65 units of serviced apartments<br />

for its members.<br />

► DHA Country & Golf Club is constructed on Dreamworld <strong>Resort</strong>s Arabian Sea Country Club<br />

approximately 200 acres in DHA Phase VIII.<br />

Along with other attractive facilities, the club has<br />

20 luxurious chalets for its members.<br />

Members Non-members Corporate<br />

Dreamworld <strong>Resort</strong>s and Arabian Sea Country Club cater to members, non-members and corporate<br />

customers. The adjacent graph illustrates the average accommodation charges per day.<br />

Most resort operators offer complimentary services to its occupants. DHA Country & Golf Club only<br />

provides its chalets to its members and average charges range from PKR 9,000 per day on weekdays<br />

to PKR 25,000 per day on weekends. On the other hand, Countryside Chalets who provide their<br />

chalets without any restrictions charge PKR 15,000 to PKR 18,000 per day on weekdays and<br />

weekends respectively.<br />

53<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


<strong>Resort</strong> operators providing membership facilities charge monthly subscription charges. Dreamworld<br />

<strong>Resort</strong>s, Arabian Sea Country Club and DHA Country & Golf Club charge monthly subscriptions of<br />

PKR 1,450, PKR 1,500 and PKR 2,000 respectively. According to our research, a member family on<br />

average spends PKR 5,000 per month against the use of all facilities excluding accommodation.<br />

The demand for <strong>Resort</strong> Chalets remains fairly high from December to August reaching as high as<br />

90% in the months from June to August. The minimum demand at any time during the year does not<br />

fall below 50%, whereas estimated average demand during the year equates to 70%.<br />

The above mentioned resorts comprise a golf course and other ancillary services. However, <strong>Keenjhar</strong><br />

<strong>Lake</strong> has the added advantage of the lake view and several other recreational facilities annexed close<br />

to the resort. Several companies, including multinationals, regularly arrange for their sales force and<br />

customer symposiums meetings and conferences at places like Murree and Bhurban. <strong>Keenjhar</strong> would<br />

be a very viable alternative for such type of corporate events.<br />

Water / Amusement Parks<br />

Karachi currently has water / amusement parks located in Gadap, Gulshan-e-Iqbal, Gharo, Malir and<br />

Super Highway. Our market research concluded that Sunway Lagoon and Aladin Amusement &<br />

Water Park are the most popular amongst the public since an average of 4 to 5 million people visit<br />

these parks annually.<br />

These water / amusement parks mostly provide the following features:<br />

Huts Zoological area Kids area<br />

Medical Area Changing rooms Lockers<br />

Water slides Snack bar / restaurant Accessories purchase / rental<br />

Swimming pool<br />

Car parking<br />

The chart below illustrates the entry charges of several water / amusement parks:<br />

400<br />

PKR<br />

150<br />

100<br />

100 100<br />

50 50<br />

250<br />

250 250<br />

175<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Cosy<br />

waterpark<br />

Chandna<br />

waterpark<br />

Samzoo Zoological<br />

& waterpark<br />

Sunway Lagoon<br />

waterpark<br />

Adults<br />

Aladin<br />

waterpark<br />

Waterworld<br />

waterpark<br />

Fiesta<br />

Waterpark<br />

Aladin Water Park was opened approximately 15 years ago and is still reasonably well<br />

maintained compared to other older water parks.<br />

Samzoo has a main attraction, by virtue of its zoological garden which is almost 30 years old.<br />

However, the water park was constructed around 5-6 years back, in order to attract new market<br />

and more visitors.<br />

Sunway Lagoon’s charges are the highest and it is the newest of them all. It offers the latest<br />

facilities and certain unique features, such as the provision of overnight accommodation facilities<br />

for its visitors.<br />

Demand for water parks is at its peak from June through August, due to the warm weather during<br />

summer. Water parks cease to operate during the winters due to an obvious fall in demand. This time<br />

period is used by the owners to carry out necessary maintenance of their offerings and any other<br />

related improvements.<br />

Even though most of the above renowned parks provide a cluster of activities, <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> would<br />

be a differentiating factor by virtue of its location, golf course, farmhouses, resorts, water park,<br />

amusement park, boating club / ride among other attractions.<br />

Kids<br />

54<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


12 Development Parameters<br />

The development parcels, i.e. the <strong>Resort</strong> (hospitality and residential zone) and the Recreation<br />

(commercial and entertainment zone) are being offered to the developer as a combined parcel. The<br />

developer shall have the flexibility to modify the develop plan on the basis of which this <strong>Project</strong>’s<br />

feasibility has been prepared. The objective of this is to allow the private developer to introduce its<br />

own ideas into the <strong>Project</strong> while keeping the overall theme intact. This is expected to bring the value<br />

addition to the development through ideas and innovation as well as development and operating<br />

efficiencies that are expected from the private sector.<br />

To enable the private developer to raise capital and enhance his profitability and a number of avenues<br />

have been left open for the private partner for modification to the development plan. However, certain<br />

aspects of the development are the core elements of the development and developer’s modifications<br />

to the conceptual plan through value addition ideas shall only be accepted if these prime parameters<br />

and objectives remain unaltered in the development plans.<br />

12.1 Development parameters<br />

A conceptual plan (see above) for the development has already been prepared for the GoS by<br />

Meinhardt (Pakistan) Private Limited, and two parcels of land, measuring approximately 550 acres<br />

and 200 acres (together 750 acres or thereabout) have been identified for the development of the<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Recreation zones respectively.<br />

The development components identified in each of these development parcels are also outlined<br />

above and identified in detail in the Request for Proposal (the “RFP”) document, the Concession<br />

Agreement (the “Concession Agreement”) and the Guidelines for Development Parameters provided<br />

as part of the RFP package. These documents also set out the quality of developments and<br />

architectural design influences that are expected to be incorporated in the design, without restricting<br />

the use of modern designs.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


<strong>Resort</strong> zone<br />

While details are provided in the above referred RFP and supporting documents, the following<br />

elements of the resort zone are mandatory:<br />

1. <strong>Resort</strong> Hotel, Serviced apartments and Chalets<br />

2. Convention Centre<br />

3. 18 hole Golf Course<br />

4. Utilities infrastructure, including STP, Water Treatment Plant and Solid Waste Management<br />

In addition to the above, the following areas have been identified in the development mix for which<br />

developers shall have the flexibility on development. These are all residential components that were<br />

added to the development mix in order to provide avenues to the developers to raise funds for the<br />

<strong>Project</strong>. However, developers may utilize this space for hospitality components to add to the ones<br />

already indicated above:<br />

► Walk-up apartments: These may be utilized for further hospitality components such as<br />

additional hotels, serviced apartments or Chalets. Developer may choose to utilize this area for<br />

additional farmhouses. Developers may also choose to develop this component after completion<br />

of the mandatory components described above and the farmhouse components described below<br />

(first phase of development). However, the nature of development and timelines for the<br />

development must be agreed in advance at the time of signing the development agreement with<br />

Government of <strong>Sindh</strong>.<br />

In no event should the resort be seen to be a construction site for an extended period of time and<br />

therefore significantly greater preference shall be given to proposals that complete the<br />

development of this component in the first phase. Regardless, utilities infrastructure must be put<br />

in place in the first phase of development.<br />

► Private Residential Farmhouses: This is the key real estate component of the development<br />

mix and was introduced as the component that may be utilized to raise a significant part of<br />

project finance. The commercial success of this element is critical for the <strong>Project</strong>, if the developer<br />

opts to adopt this component as the real estate component in the development mix that can be<br />

sold on long term lease. A possible commercial strategy in this regard was developed for the<br />

purposes of the <strong>Project</strong> feasibility and is outlined later in this section of the Information<br />

Memorandum.<br />

Developers have the option of not selling any or only selling part of this component of the<br />

development mix. Various options in this regard are available, including operating these as an<br />

extension to the hospitality component, offering these on short term leases or introducing the<br />

concept of time share. Where however, this element is being sold on a long term lease to private<br />

individuals or corporate entities, such individuals or entities shall not be permitted to offer these<br />

premises to third party for short letting, other than through the <strong>Resort</strong> operator. This is necessary<br />

to ensure that the security and maintenance requirements, including environmental standard, are<br />

not compromised.<br />

The utilities and amenities are a very important element of the development and should keep into<br />

consideration the requirements of the entire development. Hence the water treatment plant, sewage<br />

treatment plant and waste management system should cater to the need of the entire development.<br />

Development of a Museum and a Mosque is a requirement of the development. Museum may be<br />

operated in a formal arrangement with the Archaeological department. In addition, a hospital / health<br />

centre for primary health services and medical emergencies, such as accidents, burns and snake<br />

bites, should be maintained.<br />

56<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


Recreation zone<br />

The developer has significant flexibility with regard to this development package. The area shall only<br />

be used for commercial activities, i.e. no farmhouses or residential component shall be included. The<br />

following development components have been identified in this development, but additional elements<br />

are permitted if the developer/resort operator deems appropriate:<br />

Entertainment zone:<br />

1. Theme Park<br />

2. Amusement Park<br />

3. Water Park<br />

4. Food Court<br />

5. <strong>Lake</strong>side pier, with boating, sailing and other eco-friendly water sports in a limited lake area<br />

annexed to this zone<br />

6. Indoor games (bowling, gaming zone, etc.)<br />

7. Museum<br />

8. Other entertainment facilities deemed appropriate<br />

Commercial District<br />

1. Medium cost hotels/motels/<br />

2. Shopping malls, with food courts, and Cineplex<br />

3. High street with shops for local souvenirs and handicrafts<br />

4. Indoor Restaurants<br />

5. <strong>Lake</strong> side pier, with provisions for managing waste disposal so as to ensure that the lake is<br />

not polluted.<br />

Master planning and development plan<br />

The developer shall be expected to have a detailed design and feasibility report for this development<br />

within six months of signing the Concession Agreement and shall submit its business plan, indicating<br />

the components in the entertainment zone, to the GoS through a special purpose vehicle company to<br />

be established by the GoS for the <strong>Project</strong> (the “<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company”). Master planners<br />

specialising in the development of theme parks should be selected for development of the master<br />

plans for this <strong>Project</strong> to ensue that matters relating to international safety, health and environmental<br />

standards are complied with and kept in the design philosophy. In case a resort operator of<br />

international repute is brought in as a development partner, their master plan for the development<br />

would be acceptable if they have qualified professionals for this task in-house and can provide<br />

examples of how this has worked in other locations in which they are operating. However, the same<br />

standards of safety and environmental standards would be expected.<br />

Options to Sub-lease<br />

The Developer would have the flexibility to sub-lease the different components of this recreation zone<br />

to different developers, however the Developer will continue to remain responsible for the overall<br />

operations and maintenance and may recover charges for this from his sub-lessees. However, the<br />

sub-lease and developing and operating agreements for components to be sub-leased would be<br />

subject to approval by the GoS through the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company.<br />

Standardized agreements and sub-lease documentation are required to be developed and their<br />

contents agreed with <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company in advance. The purpose of this is to ensure that the<br />

principle elements of the sub-lease and development agreements are approved and subsequent<br />

variations that are subject to negotiations with parties are kept to a bare minimum.<br />

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13 <strong>Project</strong> Development Strategy<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> feasibility is based on a certain development mix, as already outlined in the preceding<br />

chapter. In order to select the different development components, the master planners carried out<br />

benchmarking analysis of various resorts in different parts of the world and analysed the needs and<br />

objectives of this <strong>Project</strong>. The resort and convention centre would be the business and leisure<br />

components, while the walk-up apartments and the farmhouses would be the residential components<br />

of the development mix. It is envisaged that the golf-course would create value addition and would<br />

act as a tool for segregation between these two development components, as well as between the<br />

overall resort and recreation zones.<br />

The residential component of the development mix provides the developer with the ability to raise<br />

finance for the <strong>Project</strong> through sale of the real estate component. The sale of this component is<br />

critical to <strong>Project</strong> success if this source of revenue is to be applied for raising part of the <strong>Project</strong><br />

financing. Accordingly, a commercial strategy was developed for this component as part of the<br />

business plan for the resort zone.<br />

13.1 Marketing strategy for Farmhouses<br />

Effective marketing and sales strategy for the sale of this component is critical to the success of the<br />

project, since significant cash can be generated from the sale of farmhouses. However, this rests on a<br />

sound commercial strategy that demonstrates value creation and is effectively able to monetize that<br />

through effective sales.<br />

Product <strong>Of</strong>fering<br />

The first phase of the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> is also its most exclusive. The development offers a<br />

highly exclusive parcel of 240 farm houses as follows:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

84 small farmhouses on ½ acre<br />

156 large farmhouses on one acre plots<br />

The farmhouses will be developed combining rustic charm with modern facilities, set in manicured<br />

gardens set off by the lush green hues of indigenous flora to offer the best of both worlds. With<br />

facades and interiors inspired by the local architectural and aesthetic styles of Thatta, Hala,<br />

Hyderabad and surrounding towns, the resort farmhouses offer their owners complete peace of mind<br />

and ease of ownership with a centralized facilities management system.<br />

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For infrequent users and investors, the development offers a<br />

designated package with the option of short-let accommodation<br />

whereby farmhouses are managed and let out on behalf of the owners<br />

making this a self sustaining, income generating investment<br />

proposition.<br />

<strong>Of</strong> the 156 one-acre farmhouses, parcels of exclusive farmhouses<br />

overlooking the lake have been set aside for specified target markets<br />

such as corporate buyers, and high net worth individuals. These<br />

parcels will be enclosed in a restricted access, high security perimeter<br />

with round the clock security patrols, surveillance, back-up power and<br />

centralized maintenance facilities. The community also benefits from<br />

catering services from the eateries within the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong>.<br />

In order to organise the sales process and balance the pricing mechanism, the farmhouse component<br />

has been split into 3 parcels. The suggestive product parcels and associated target markets are as<br />

follows:<br />

The concept behind splitting the farmhouse proposition into parcels is to group together products<br />

which are aimed at the same target market, namely general buyers and investors, high net worth<br />

individuals and corporate entities. It is however important to note that the parcels are not mutually<br />

exclusive and a degree of overlap will be encouraged in the sales of the general category parcels.<br />

Further parcels subdivisions such as those focused exclusively on corporate entities and high net<br />

worth individuals take into account the specific target market requirements such as homogeneity of<br />

ownership, security, exclusivity and controlled access.<br />

Each parcel has been priced separately taking into account its location, proximity to demand<br />

generators such as the recreational / theme park area, golf course, lake vistas and convention centre.<br />

The exclusivity of this offering is further enhanced by a select buyer profile, which may be targeted<br />

through the sales strategy as set out.<br />

While farmhouse sales for all 3 parcels would take place simultaneously for the corresponding target<br />

markets, the marketing activities to support the process have been broken up into 3 Phases to allow<br />

for pricing escalations and to bundle together various unit locations within the area allocated to<br />

farmhouses. The phasing process should be designed to create a sense of urgency and to control the<br />

flood of farmhouses creating a supply – demand imbalance in the market.<br />

Sales Strategy<br />

The proposed price ranges applied in the feasibility study for the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> was selected<br />

after having extensively benchmarked the various types of farmhouses currently available in the<br />

region and assuming that general land prices would have inflated by the time the resort is announced.<br />

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► 84 half acre plots PKR 7.7m to 10.5m per plot<br />

►<br />

156 one acre plots PKR 16.5m to 22m per plot<br />

The sales support phases have been sequenced taking into account the level of visual development<br />

on the site. Our market research has negated the option of commencement of sales when the<br />

development is a virgin site due to lack of buyer interest at this stage. A degree of development needs<br />

to have been initiated to give the <strong>Project</strong> credibility. This credibility would be the driver for a<br />

transactions surge.<br />

Prior to the commencement of sales, the sales agent and developer should strongly consider<br />

developing a model farmhouse or, in the least, developing a farmhouse lot with an artificial structure<br />

and conducive landscaping to give the buyer a taste of the lifestyle being sold. Discussions and<br />

meetings during site visits would be conducted on the model plot and assist the process.<br />

The concept of using three phases for the sales support activities is to take the buyers on a journey<br />

through a process of conversion from prospective to actual buyers. Additionally, in order to retain<br />

converted prospects, these phases will serve to pacify buyers that they have made the right decision<br />

by purchasing a farmhouse at the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> and facilitate sales referrals. The<br />

chronological sequencing for these phases is as follows:<br />

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14 Financial Analysis<br />

This section sets out the financial analysis of the <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> at <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> and presents its underlying assumptions. There are no<br />

assurances whatsoever that such events, as stated in the estimates or projections, will occur and should not be relied upon under any<br />

circumstances. It is reasserted that the developers, investors and interested parties should carry out their independent investigations and analyses<br />

for determination of estimates, projections and other matters relating to the <strong>Project</strong>. For reliance on the business model applied and the assumptions<br />

made, please refer to the Disclaimer page.<br />

14.1 <strong>Project</strong> Cash Flows<br />

Currency: PKR '000s Jun-2011 Jun-2012 Jun-2013 Jun-2014 Jun-2015 Jun-2016 Jun-2017 Jun-2018 Jun-2019 Jun-2020<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10<br />

CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES<br />

Profit / Loss before taxation - - (84,786) (11,234) 3,267,780 308,245 449,469 581,135 845,734 999,320<br />

Adjustment for non- cash charges<br />

Depreciation - - - - 268,125 254,719 241,983 229,884 218,390 207,470<br />

Financial charges/ Interest Costs - - 84,786 11,234 248,795 170,094 127,571 85,047 42,524 -<br />

- - - - 3,784,700 733,059 819,024 896,066 1,106,648 1,206,790<br />

Increase/ decrease in current assets (722,955) - (187,539) (184,812) 989,780 81,937 (2,734) (2,433) (5,808) (3,249)<br />

Increase/ decrease in current liabilities 50,176 423,052 1,024,691 2,254,319 (3,732,424) 2,505 2,536 2,231 3,991 3,115<br />

Taxes paid (64,252) (198,468) (263,678) (343,599) (4,746) (5,897) (6,581) (7,189) (106,569) (366,963)<br />

(737,032) 224,584 573,475 1,725,908 1,037,310 811,604 812,245 888,675 998,261 839,694<br />

CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVTIES<br />

Capital expenditures (1,586,654) (1,325,903) (1,332,705) (1,331,608) - - - - - -<br />

(1,586,654) (1,325,903) (1,332,705) (1,331,608) - - - - - -<br />

CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVTIES<br />

Share Capital 1,190,658 510,282 - - - - - - - -<br />

Sub-ordinated loans 319,440 - - - (319,440) - - - - -<br />

GoS Loan (Interest Rate Payable) 25,555 25,555 25,555 25,555 (102,221) - - - - -<br />

Long term financing 1,190,658 340,188 170,094 - (283,490) (283,490) (283,490) (283,490) (283,490) (283,490)<br />

Financial charges paid - - (84,786) (11,234) (248,795) (170,094) (127,571) (85,047) (42,524) -<br />

2,726,311 876,025 110,863 14,321 (953,946) (453,584) (411,061) (368,537) (326,014) (283,490)<br />

Total Cash Flow During the year 402,625 (225,294) (648,366) 408,621 83,364 358,020 401,184 520,138 672,247 556,204<br />

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The cash flows presented above covers the following phases:<br />

1. Development Phase:<br />

The development Phase relates to a 4 years period whereby the <strong>Project</strong> is envisaged to be<br />

completed, including both the <strong>Resort</strong> and Recreational Zones. The Golf Course, <strong>Resort</strong> and<br />

Convention Centre are envisaged to be the prime development components – the same being<br />

mainly for corporate consumers.<br />

2. Operational Phase:<br />

The Operational Phase relates to the operations and maintenance phase of the <strong>Project</strong><br />

following the completion of the <strong>Project</strong>. For the purposes of financial analysis, 5 year<br />

projections for the operational period are presented.<br />

14.2 Development Period Cash Flows<br />

Figures in PKR Millions<br />

Development Period<br />

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Total<br />

Land and Infrastructure 1,203 - 299 294 1,795<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Hospitality Segment 545 794 795 783 2,916<br />

Golf Course 209 329 195 207 940<br />

<strong>Project</strong> Development Costs 1,957 1,123 1,289 1,284 5,651<br />

Interest During Construction 353 203 233 232 1,021<br />

Estimated <strong>Project</strong> Costs 2,310 1,326 1,520 1,516 6,672<br />

Financed Through:<br />

Farmhouse Sales<br />

Advances received 50 423 1,025 2,254 3,752<br />

Taxes paid (64) (198) (293) (348) (904)<br />

Net proceeds (14) 225 731 1,907 2,849<br />

GoS – deferred payment facility* 345 26 26 26 422<br />

Equity 1,191 510 - - 1,701<br />

Debt 1,191 340 170 - 1,701<br />

Total funds generated 2,712 1,101 927 1,932 6,672<br />

Excess/ (shortfall) within the year 403 (225) (593) 416 -<br />

* Based on notional value of land of PKR 399 million.<br />

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14.2.1 Estimated <strong>Project</strong> Costs – <strong>Resort</strong> Zone<br />

Total estimated <strong>Project</strong> costs for the <strong>Resort</strong> Zone during the 4 year development phase is estimated at<br />

PKR 6,672 million (US$ 78.5 million). Breakdown of <strong>Project</strong> costs is as under:<br />

Figures in Millions<br />

In PKR<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> Zone<br />

In USD<br />

Land and Infrastructure 1,795 21.12<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Hospitality Segment 2,916 34.31<br />

Golf Course 940 11.06<br />

<strong>Project</strong> Development Costs 5,651 66.49<br />

Interest During Construction 1,021 12.01<br />

Estimated <strong>Project</strong> Costs 6,672 78.50<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> development costs (amounting to PKR 5,651 million) include the effects of the following:<br />

1. Escalation costs over the 4 year development phase applied over base <strong>Project</strong> costs @ 6.5%<br />

p.a.<br />

2. Soft costs over <strong>Project</strong> base costs adjusted for escalation. These further include:<br />

a. <strong>Project</strong> Consultancy Costs: 2.5%<br />

b. <strong>Project</strong> Administration Costs: 3%<br />

c. <strong>Project</strong> Management: 4%<br />

3. Land price included in the infrastructure cost representing a notional value of PKR 399 million.<br />

14.2.2 <strong>Project</strong> Development Timelines<br />

As indicated in the graph above, the <strong>Project</strong> development period is estimated to be 4 years during<br />

which the development works in respect of the <strong>Resort</strong> Zone (including the Infrastructure works) and the<br />

Recreational Zone are expected to be completed.<br />

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14.2.3 Development Outlays<br />

In respect of the <strong>Resort</strong> Zone, development outlays for Year 1 are expected to be spent on the<br />

infrastructure development and land costs, comprising 35% of the total development costs.<br />

Development outlays in the subsequent years of <strong>Project</strong> development are estimated to be incurred<br />

almost equally. Component wise development outlays are presented in the graph below.<br />

Development Outlays during the 4 year Development Period<br />

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%<br />

Land Cost<br />

Infrastructure<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Hospitality<br />

Golf Course<br />

IDC<br />

2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

14.2.4 <strong>Project</strong> Financing Assumptions<br />

The <strong>Project</strong> is envisaged to be funded through the following forms of financing:<br />

► Funds generated through sale of farmhouses;<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

GoS deferred payment facility in respect of <strong>Project</strong> land;<br />

Commercial debt contribution by the <strong>Project</strong> lenders; and<br />

Equity contributions by the developer.<br />

<strong>Project</strong> Funding Structure (Figures in PKR millions)<br />

PP Equity<br />

1,701<br />

26%<br />

FH<br />

Proceeds<br />

2,849<br />

43%<br />

GoS<br />

Deferred<br />

Payment<br />

Facility<br />

Comm. 422<br />

Debt 6%<br />

1,701<br />

25%<br />

14.2.4.1 Sale of Farmhouses<br />

Farmhouses are the only residential component that would be sold on an upfront basis to raise<br />

substantial <strong>Project</strong> funding during the <strong>Project</strong> development period. As elicited in the graph above,<br />

farmhouses are expected to generate 43% of the <strong>Project</strong> finance requirements. The sale of farmhouses<br />

also includes the sale of 500 golf club memberships during the last 6 months of the <strong>Project</strong><br />

development at PKR 1.3 million per membership.<br />

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Composition<br />

Total number of farmhouses is 240, spread over an approximate area of 200 acres. These farmhouses<br />

are further bifurcated into the following:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

1/2 Acre: 84 units; and<br />

1 Acre: 156 units.<br />

Sales plan<br />

From the view point of achieving sales to potentially fund a larger portion of the <strong>Project</strong> development<br />

costs, a robust sales strategy has been developed alongside the <strong>Project</strong> feasibility of the resort zone to<br />

assist the potential developers.<br />

The strategy is aimed at achieving sales at prices that are attractive enough for the end consumers as<br />

well as enabling the potential developers to market the development components, especially the<br />

farmhouses to achieve sales bookings within the <strong>Project</strong> development phase.<br />

Salient features of the sales strategy are:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

The primary target consumers for these farmhouses are:<br />

„ Corporate clients; and<br />

„ High net worth individuals, including investors.<br />

Sale of farmhouses to start from the expiry of 9 months from the commencement of development<br />

work.<br />

Sale of farmhouses is expected to be launched in three phases, aligned with the development<br />

works.<br />

10% will be payable upfront, while the remainder to be paid in equal quarterly installments.<br />

It is assumed that the farmhouses will be sold out during the construction period in the following<br />

manner and at the following prices:<br />

Year<br />

1 Acre 1 Acre 1/2 Acre 1/2 Acre<br />

Units<br />

PKR<br />

Price/unit*^<br />

Units<br />

PKR<br />

Price/unit*^<br />

2011 20 14,475,000 16 8,970,000<br />

2012 50 16,549,750 43 9,933,663<br />

2013 42 18,817,500 25 11,407,500<br />

2014 44 20,769,432 0 13,689,000<br />

* Prices reflected above includes prices for golf club memberships valued at PKR 1.0m.<br />

^<br />

These exclude farmhouse construction costs to be recovered from the end consumers and<br />

applicable marketing commissions payable.<br />

14.2.4.2 GoS deferred payment facility<br />

The GoS is offering the <strong>Project</strong> land on a long term lease for the purposes of this <strong>Project</strong> under the<br />

deferred payment mechanism. The developers are expected to pay 20% of the Quoted Bid Amount (the<br />

“QBA”) upfront, while the remainder is on a deferred payment basis. The QBA includes a fixed land<br />

price (currently valued at a notional amount of PKR 399 million) plus premium on <strong>Project</strong> land.<br />

The GoS will charge a concessional interest rate of @ 8% per annum on the remaining balance which<br />

is required to be paid by the developer in full or in installments, no later than the completion of<br />

development works, i.e. 4 years.<br />

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14.2.4.3 Commercial Debt & Equity<br />

The balance finance for the <strong>Project</strong> is expected to be funded in equal proportions through the<br />

commercial debt and developer’s equity, i.e. 50:50.<br />

The commercial debt is envisaged to be raised @ the interest rate of 15% per annum for 10 years<br />

period, with a grace period of 4 years, i.e. the development phase. The land would be available for<br />

mortgage to secure funding from the commercial lenders while all the receipts and payments in respect<br />

of the development will be routed through a payment security mechanism, i.e. Escrow Account.<br />

It is expected that the total external funding in the form of commercial debt would include:<br />

► Long term debt for PKR 1,701m; and<br />

► Short term borrowing with a limit of PKR 500m.<br />

14.3 Operational Period Cash Flows<br />

Figures in PKR Millions<br />

Operational Period<br />

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5<br />

Operating Inflows<br />

Farmhouse proceeds – residual 574.8 - - - -<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Hospitality 845.4 934.9 1,060.0 1,169.1 1,309.4<br />

Convention Centre 79.1 84.7 90.6 96.9 105.8<br />

Golf Course 24.8 159.9 165.5 171.8 313.0<br />

1,524.1 1,179.5 1,316.1 1,437.8 1,728.2<br />

Operating Outflows<br />

Maintenance costs (43.3) (46.7) (50.5) (54.5) (58.9)<br />

Operating costs (353.0) (399.7) (446.6) (487.2) (562.7)<br />

Income taxes (4.7) (5.9) (6.6) (7.2) (106.6)<br />

(401.0) (452.3) (503.7) (548.9) (728.1)<br />

Other Inflows/ (Outflows)<br />

Working capital (85.7) 84.4 (0.2) (0.2) (1.8)<br />

Loan repayments (248.8) (170.1) (127.6) (85.0) (42.5)<br />

Financial charges (283.5) (283.5) (283.5) (283.5) (283.5)<br />

GoS deferred payment facility (421.7) - - - -<br />

(1,039.7) (369.1) (411.3) (368.7) (327.8)<br />

Cash flow for the year 83.4 358.0 401.2 520.1 p 672.2<br />

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14.3.1 Revenue Assumptions<br />

Except otherwise indicated, these charges are expected to grow annually at 7% per annum. Rates<br />

indicated in the assumptions below are exclusive of any applicable taxes and levies.<br />

14.3.1.1 <strong>Resort</strong> and Hospitality<br />

As indicated under section 10.4, the resort and hospitality segment includes the following <strong>Project</strong><br />

components under the <strong>Resort</strong> Zone:<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Chalets: 2-bed; 38 chalets and 1-bed; 38 chalets.<br />

Serviced Apartments: 2-bed; 112 apartments.<br />

3 to 4 star category 75 room resort with 1 specialty restaurant and 2 normal restaurants.<br />

Chalets<br />

► Occupancy: 2 bed chalets – 34%; 1 bed chalets – 36%.<br />

► Occupancy levels are weighted on average occupancies applied throughout the year, using<br />

different occupancy levels for peak seasons and for off-peak seasons.<br />

► Occupancy levels are projected to grow @ 2% per annum subject to a maximum weighted<br />

occupancy of 45% on an overall basis.<br />

► Charges: 2 bed chalets – PKR 17,500 per stay; 1 bed chalets – PKR 13,500 per stay.<br />

Serviced Apartments<br />

► Occupancy: 2 bed apartments – 34%.<br />

► Occupancy levels are weighted average occupancies applied throughout the year, using different<br />

occupancy levels for the peak seasons and the off-peak seasons.<br />

► Occupancy levels are projected to grow @ 2% per annum subject to a maximum weighted<br />

occupancy of 45% on an overall basis.<br />

► Charges: PKR 16,000 per stay.<br />

<strong>Resort</strong><br />

►<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> assumptions are summarized below:<br />

Category Units Capacity<br />

Charges<br />

in PKR<br />

Basis<br />

Occupancy*<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> Rooms 75 n/a 10,000 Per night 30% - 35%<br />

Restaurant 1 – Specialty 1 150 1,000 Per Person 40% - 45%<br />

Restaurant 2 & 3 – Normal 2 300 500 Per Person 50% - 55%<br />

* Occupancy levels indicated for first 6 years of operations only.<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Table turnover for Restaurant 1 is assumed at 1.5x and for Restaurant 2 & 3 the turnover is<br />

assumed at 2.0x.<br />

Food and Beverage charges for <strong>Resort</strong> rooms is estimated at PKR 1,000 and other facilities such<br />

as swimming pool, gym, track, telephone, laundry etc is assumed to be 20% of room rent plus F&B<br />

revenues.<br />

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14.3.1.2 Convention Centre<br />

►<br />

Convention centre assumptions are summarized below:<br />

Category<br />

Units<br />

Capacity<br />

(Persons)<br />

Charges<br />

in PKR<br />

Basis<br />

Occupancy*<br />

Executive Meeting Room 5 10 6,000 Per booking 40%<br />

Meeting Room 3 25 10,000 Per booking 45% - 50%<br />

Large Ball Room 1 350 400 Per Person 20%<br />

Small Ball Room 1 200 300 Per Person 25%<br />

* Occupancy levels indicated for the first 6 years of operations only.<br />

►<br />

Food and Beverage charges:<br />

„ Executive meetings rooms estimated at PKR 1,000 per person.<br />

„ Others estimated at PKR 500 per person.<br />

14.3.1.3 Golf Course<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

It is assumed that a total of 2,000 memberships will be sold over a period of 10 years commencing<br />

after expiration of 1 year of the commencement of commercial operations.<br />

One time membership fee of PKR 1.3m will be charged followed by a monthly subscription of PKR<br />

2,000 per membership.<br />

Facility usage is assumed at 1,200 persons every year, which is expected to grow at 5% per<br />

annum.<br />

The usage ratio for the club is assumed at 70% for weekends and 30% for weekdays.<br />

Course fee and range fee would be PKR 800 and PKR 150 for weekends and PKR 500 and PKR<br />

100 for weekdays respectively.<br />

14.3.2 Cost Assumptions<br />

14.3.2.1 Operating Costs<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Operating costs include staff salaries, wages, insurance promotions etc.<br />

While an accurate determination of such expenses at the Pre-Feasibility stage is not possible, an<br />

effort has been made to factor these expenses into the feasibility on the basis of a share in<br />

revenues.<br />

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►<br />

The table below summarizes the various operating expenses and their respective shares in<br />

different revenue streams for the first year of operations only.<br />

Component<br />

Percentage of<br />

Revenues<br />

<strong>Resort</strong> and Hospitality<br />

1. Chalets 25%<br />

2. Serviced Apartments 25%<br />

3. <strong>Resort</strong> Rooms 40%<br />

4. Restaurants 65%<br />

Convention Centre 50%<br />

Golf Course 40%<br />

Overall 37%<br />

14.3.2.2 Maintenance Costs<br />

►<br />

►<br />

►<br />

Maintenance expenses are estimated to amount to 0.5% of the total <strong>Project</strong> development cost<br />

every year for general upkeep and maintenance of the facilities.<br />

Major maintenance expenditures are estimated @ 2% of the <strong>Project</strong> development costs after every<br />

7 years. These expenses are capitalized under the fixed assets.<br />

All maintenance expenses are adjusted for inflation.<br />

14.3.2.3 Depreciation<br />

►<br />

Accounting depreciation is assumed @ 5% per annum on the written down value.<br />

14.3.2.4 Finance Costs<br />

►<br />

Financial charges on short term borrowings are estimated @18% per annum for borrowings<br />

availed in any year during the operational period.<br />

14.3.2.5 Working Capital<br />

►<br />

During the operational period, working capital is assumed as follows:<br />

„ Receivables: 2% of the total revenues.<br />

„ Payables / Accruals: 5% of the operating expenses excluding depreciation.<br />

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14.4 <strong>Investment</strong> Analysis<br />

Based on the financial assumptions described above, the <strong>Project</strong> yields a <strong>Project</strong> IRR of 17.7% and<br />

Equity IRR of 22.8%. Simple payback is estimated to be achieved by 9 th year, i.e. 5 th year of operational<br />

period which is very healthy when compared with regional benchmarks on tourism projects followed by<br />

reduced upfront investment.<br />

14.4.1 Upside Potential<br />

The following factors are expected to contribute towards enhancing project returns over the base lines<br />

estimates presented above:<br />

1. Reduced upfront payment against Quoted Bid Amount (QBA): The transaction structure<br />

being envisaged proposes a low cost deferred payment facility option whereby initial payment<br />

by selected bidder to be limited to only 20% of QBA.<br />

2. Exit Options: Exit options are available from start of the project, subject to certain conditions<br />

relating to maximum dilution levels.<br />

3. Modification of development outlays: Development outlays can be further reduced in the<br />

initial phase of development since the initial phase would focus on Infrastructure Development,<br />

which is expected to have significant lower cost/ outlays than those required in the finishing<br />

stages of the project.<br />

4. Recreation zone: Flexibility is available on the design and development of 200 acre Recreation<br />

Zone component with an added option for the developer to enter into sub-concession or subcontract<br />

arrangement(s) with the third parties.<br />

5. Option to modify non-essential facilities: Developer shall have the option to modify the nonessential<br />

components such as Walk-up apartments and farmhouse villas into hospitality<br />

components and may be able award sub-concessions for those components, as long as such<br />

modifications do not contradict the overall theme of the Conceptual Master Plan.<br />

6. Walkup- Apartment: Cash flows from walk-up apartments have not been factored into the<br />

baseline project returns.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum


15 <strong>Project</strong> Implementation Framework<br />

15.1 Implementation Structure<br />

The GoS intends to develop this <strong>Project</strong> under the PPP mode. The <strong>Project</strong> is to be implemented<br />

through a project special purpose vehicle (the “<strong>Project</strong> SPV”) which shall be responsible for the entire<br />

development and operations of the <strong>Project</strong>. The <strong>Project</strong> SPV shall be controlled by the developer (the<br />

“Developer”) who would be selected through a competitive bidding process to enter into a Concession<br />

Agreement with the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company to design, build finance, market, operate and maintain<br />

the <strong>Project</strong> on long term lease basis.<br />

15.2 Role of the Developer<br />

The role of the Developer would be to undertake planning, design, construction, commissioning,<br />

marketing, operation and maintenance of the project facilities including the Minimum Development<br />

Obligations (“the Essential Facilities”). The Developer would be encouraged to use innovative<br />

technology and design for creation and expansion of the other <strong>Project</strong> facilities as per the market<br />

demand and subject to the design fulfilling the requirements and performance criteria, as stipulated in<br />

the Concession Agreement.<br />

15.3 Role of the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company, proposed to be a wholly owned GoS entity, shall be the <strong>Project</strong><br />

implementation entity responsible to give land on lease with clear title, free of encumbrances, to the<br />

Developer for developing the <strong>Project</strong>. The land shall be offered on a long term lease basis to the <strong>Project</strong><br />

SPV as per the terms of the Concession Agreement.<br />

15.4 Concession Agreement<br />

<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company will enter into a Concession Agreement with the <strong>Project</strong> SPV, thereby<br />

allowing the requisite rights for construction, operation and maintenance of the project facilities<br />

throughout the concession period. The responsibility for regulating as per the Concession Agreement<br />

will rest with the <strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Project</strong> Company, who will appoint an Independent Engineer and/or<br />

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Independent Auditor, as required to provide professional support for the purposes of regulating the<br />

<strong>Project</strong> development.<br />

15.5 Concession Period<br />

The Concession Period would be on a long term basis, for a period of __ years (including 4 years<br />

construction/ development period).<br />

15.6 Payment Security Mechanism<br />

<strong>Investment</strong> under the <strong>Project</strong> to be safeguarded through a proper Payment Security Mechanism (PSM),<br />

i.e. Escrow Account to be operated to ensure that proceeds from saleable components are first utilized<br />

for the project development.<br />

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<strong>Keenjhar</strong> <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Resort</strong> <strong>Project</strong> - <strong>Project</strong> Information Memorandum

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