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Destination Europe 2013 - Jones Lang LaSalle

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Paris commands<br />

top international<br />

retailer rents<br />

25<br />

Retail Sales Growth Forecast vs. International Prime Rent<br />

Source: <strong>Jones</strong> <strong>Lang</strong> <strong>LaSalle</strong>, Oxford Economics (Belgrade data unavailable)<br />

Paris, Zurich and London clearly command<br />

the highest international retailer rents<br />

for prime, mainstream retail space,<br />

on the Avenue des Champs-Élysées,<br />

Bahnhofstraße and Oxford Street respectively.<br />

The core cities of Munich and<br />

Milan, as well as the growth powerhouse<br />

market of Moscow, are also commanding<br />

high rents, and lead the following pack.<br />

The graph on the previous page also clearly<br />

identifies the regional clusters, whereby UK<br />

regional, Scandinavian, French regional,<br />

German, Benelux, Eastern <strong>Europe</strong>an and<br />

Southern <strong>Europe</strong>an cities are generally<br />

grouped together. Whilst not surprising,<br />

this illustrates that there are useful reference<br />

points and commonalities between cities in<br />

the same country or region.<br />

The maturity of the retail market clearly<br />

influences prime rental levels. The growth<br />

markets of Istanbul, St Petersburg, Warsaw,<br />

Prague and Kiev are all commanding<br />

relatively low rental levels, relative to their<br />

international retailer presence. These<br />

markets are also forecast to benefit from<br />

some of the strongest medium-term retail<br />

sales growth in <strong>Europe</strong>. Clearly as these<br />

markets mature, retail sales grow, and the<br />

number of international retailers present<br />

increases, rents are likely to rise further.<br />

| 22 | <strong>Jones</strong> <strong>Lang</strong> <strong>LaSalle</strong><br />

20<br />

Bucharest<br />

15<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

Malmõ<br />

Nottingham<br />

Retail Sales Growth Forecast (5 yr %)<br />

Ankara<br />

Stockholm<br />

Seville<br />

Warsaw<br />

Turin<br />

Valencia<br />

Dublin<br />

Bilbao<br />

Kiev<br />

Oslo<br />

Athens<br />

St Petersburg<br />

Edinburgh<br />

Manchester<br />

Istanbul<br />

Madrid<br />

Barcelona<br />

Liverpool<br />

Hamburg<br />

Rome<br />

Milan<br />

Moscow<br />

Gothenburg<br />

Glasgow<br />

10 Luxembourg<br />

Birmingham<br />

Lille<br />

Prague<br />

Helsinki<br />

Cardiff<br />

Budapest<br />

Belfast<br />

Lyon<br />

Cologne<br />

Leeds<br />

Amsterdam<br />

Munich<br />

Bratislava<br />

5<br />

Marseille<br />

Vienna<br />

Copenhagen<br />

Frankfurt<br />

Bordeaux<br />

Zagreb<br />

Antwerp<br />

Brussels<br />

Stuttgart<br />

0<br />

Lisbon<br />

Berlin<br />

Düsseldorf<br />

London<br />

Zurich<br />

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000<br />

Key:<br />

core markets<br />

growth markets<br />

Paris<br />

International Prime Rent (€/sq m/year)

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