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MAY 2013 - Kresna Securities

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Monthly Bulletin<br />

<strong>MAY</strong> <strong>2013</strong><br />

• Government of China would alleviate pressure on<br />

its credit policy, given that its economy remains in<br />

recovery<br />

(% YoY)<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

China GDP<br />

7.0<br />

1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13<br />

Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />

• China inflation was recorded at 2.1% YoY in<br />

Mar13<br />

(% YoY)<br />

5.0<br />

China Inflation<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

Jan-12<br />

Feb-12<br />

Mar-12<br />

Apr-12<br />

May-12<br />

Jun-12<br />

Jul-12<br />

Aug-12<br />

Sep-12<br />

Oct-12<br />

Nov-12<br />

Dec-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

Feb-13<br />

Mar-13<br />

• China manufacturing was recorded at 50.9 in<br />

Mar13 (lower than expectation at 51.2)<br />

54.0<br />

53.0<br />

52.0<br />

51.0<br />

50.0<br />

49.0<br />

China Manufacturing<br />

Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />

Jan-12<br />

Feb-12<br />

Mar-12<br />

Apr-12<br />

May-12<br />

Jun-12<br />

Jul-12<br />

Aug-12<br />

Sep-12<br />

Oct-12<br />

Nov-12<br />

Dec-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

Feb-13<br />

Mar-13<br />

Apr-13<br />

Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />

• EU markets were lifted by speculation that ECB<br />

would lower its reference rate to 0.5% on 2nd of<br />

May.<br />

(%)<br />

2.0<br />

ECB Rate<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

Jan-11<br />

Apr-11<br />

Jul-11<br />

Oct-11<br />

Jan-12<br />

Apr-12<br />

Jul-12<br />

Oct-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

Apr-13<br />

Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />

<strong>Kresna</strong> <strong>Securities</strong> may seek to do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should therefore be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest<br />

that could affect objectivity of this report. Hence, this report should form as one of many others factors in making investment decisions. PLEASE SEE ANALYST<br />

CERTIFICATION AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE END OF THIS REPORT<br />

3

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