MAY 2013 - Kresna Securities
MAY 2013 - Kresna Securities
MAY 2013 - Kresna Securities
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Monthly Bulletin<br />
<strong>MAY</strong> <strong>2013</strong><br />
• Government of China would alleviate pressure on<br />
its credit policy, given that its economy remains in<br />
recovery<br />
(% YoY)<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
China GDP<br />
7.0<br />
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13<br />
Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />
• China inflation was recorded at 2.1% YoY in<br />
Mar13<br />
(% YoY)<br />
5.0<br />
China Inflation<br />
4.0<br />
3.0<br />
2.0<br />
1.0<br />
Jan-12<br />
Feb-12<br />
Mar-12<br />
Apr-12<br />
May-12<br />
Jun-12<br />
Jul-12<br />
Aug-12<br />
Sep-12<br />
Oct-12<br />
Nov-12<br />
Dec-12<br />
Jan-13<br />
Feb-13<br />
Mar-13<br />
• China manufacturing was recorded at 50.9 in<br />
Mar13 (lower than expectation at 51.2)<br />
54.0<br />
53.0<br />
52.0<br />
51.0<br />
50.0<br />
49.0<br />
China Manufacturing<br />
Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />
Jan-12<br />
Feb-12<br />
Mar-12<br />
Apr-12<br />
May-12<br />
Jun-12<br />
Jul-12<br />
Aug-12<br />
Sep-12<br />
Oct-12<br />
Nov-12<br />
Dec-12<br />
Jan-13<br />
Feb-13<br />
Mar-13<br />
Apr-13<br />
Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />
• EU markets were lifted by speculation that ECB<br />
would lower its reference rate to 0.5% on 2nd of<br />
May.<br />
(%)<br />
2.0<br />
ECB Rate<br />
1.5<br />
1.0<br />
0.5<br />
0.0<br />
Jan-11<br />
Apr-11<br />
Jul-11<br />
Oct-11<br />
Jan-12<br />
Apr-12<br />
Jul-12<br />
Oct-12<br />
Jan-13<br />
Apr-13<br />
Source: Bloomberg, <strong>Kresna</strong> Research<br />
<strong>Kresna</strong> <strong>Securities</strong> may seek to do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should therefore be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest<br />
that could affect objectivity of this report. Hence, this report should form as one of many others factors in making investment decisions. PLEASE SEE ANALYST<br />
CERTIFICATION AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE END OF THIS REPORT<br />
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