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Risk Analysis: Advancing Analysis - The Society for Risk Analysis

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10:30 AM - Noon<br />

Pacific Concourse H<br />

M2-F Symposium:<br />

Challenges Associated<br />

with Using Human<br />

Surveillance Data <strong>for</strong><br />

Foodbourne Illness<br />

Source Attribution<br />

Co-Chairs: Dana Cole,<br />

Michael Batz<br />

10:30 am M2-F.1<br />

A jungle of surveillance numbers,<br />

attribution methods, and<br />

uncertainties<br />

Cole D<br />

Centers <strong>for</strong> Disease Control and Prevention<br />

10:50 am M2-F.2<br />

<strong>The</strong> 400 pound gorilla: missing<br />

data and bias<br />

Hoekstra M<br />

Centers <strong>for</strong> Disease Control and Prevention<br />

11:10 am M2-F.3<br />

Estimating the lion’s share: novel<br />

methods <strong>for</strong> attributing sporadic<br />

foodborne illnesses<br />

Gu W<br />

Atlanta Research and Education<br />

Foundation<br />

11:30 am M2-F.4<br />

Cutting through the thicket:<br />

evaluating the applicability of<br />

outbreak-based attribution<br />

Batz MB, Hoffmann SA, Morris<br />

JG<br />

University of Florida<br />

10:30 AM - Noon<br />

Pacific Concourse I<br />

M2-G Estimating<br />

Terrorism <strong>Risk</strong> &<br />

Economic Impacts<br />

Chair: Adam Rose<br />

10:30 am M2-G.1<br />

Incorporating socio-cultural dynamics<br />

in estimating small area<br />

populations at risk<br />

Stewart RN, Urban M<br />

Oak Ridge National Laboratory<br />

10:50 am M2-G.2<br />

Terrorism risk: the need to reassess<br />

our assessments<br />

Decker DK<br />

Booz Allen Hamilton<br />

11:10 am M2-G.3<br />

Quantifying uncertainty in direct<br />

consequences and economic<br />

impacts of terrorism events<br />

Chatterjee S, Avetisyan M*, Salazar<br />

DE<br />

University of Southern Cali<strong>for</strong>nia<br />

11:30 am M2-G.4<br />

A framework <strong>for</strong> analyzing urban<br />

security-commerce tradeoffs<br />

Rose A, Avetysian M, Chaterjee S<br />

University of Southern Cali<strong>for</strong>nia<br />

10:30 AM - Noon<br />

Pacific Concourse L<br />

M2-H Symposium: New<br />

Concepts in Security <strong>Risk</strong>:<br />

Warnings and<br />

Comparative Assessment<br />

Chair: Henry Willis<br />

10:30 am M2-H.1<br />

Indicators and warnings <strong>for</strong><br />

biological events: managing<br />

homeland security risk through<br />

biosurveillance<br />

Bennett SP, Quitugua TN<br />

National Biosurveillance Integration<br />

Center, US Department of Homeland<br />

Security<br />

10:50 am M2-H.2<br />

A probabilistic framework <strong>for</strong><br />

tactical warning: inferring localized<br />

drug violence<br />

Blum D, Pate-Cornell E<br />

Stan<strong>for</strong>d University<br />

11:10 am M2-H.3<br />

Belief network sharing <strong>for</strong> uncertainty<br />

assessment in the intelligence<br />

community<br />

Olson KC, Karvetski CW, Gantz<br />

DT<br />

George Mason University<br />

11:30 am M2-H.4<br />

Reflecting public values in national<br />

risk assessments<br />

Willis HH, Potoglou D, Lundberg<br />

R, Bruine de Bruin W<br />

RAND Corporation, RAND Europe,<br />

Carnegie Mellon University<br />

Monday<br />

10:30 AM - Noon<br />

Pacific Concourse M<br />

M2-I Network<br />

Representations of<br />

Critical Infrastructure<br />

Systems <strong>for</strong> Reliability<br />

Assessment<br />

Co-Chairs: Roshanak Natghi,<br />

Francis Royce<br />

10:30 am M2-I.1<br />

Topological per<strong>for</strong>mance measures<br />

as surrogates <strong>for</strong> physical<br />

flow models <strong>for</strong> electric power<br />

systems<br />

LaRocca S, Johansson J, Hassel H,<br />

Guikema S<br />

Johns Hopkins University, Lund<br />

University<br />

10:50 am M2-I.2<br />

Towards risk, resilience, and recovery<br />

analysis of complex systems<br />

with critical infrastructures<br />

exposed to multiple hazards<br />

Salazar DE, Chatterjee S<br />

University of Southern Cali<strong>for</strong>nia<br />

11:10 am M2-I.3<br />

Differential syntax and semantics<br />

<strong>for</strong> equivalent bayesian network<br />

representations of engineered<br />

systems<br />

Sentz K, Henson KM<br />

Los Alamos National Laboratory<br />

11:30 am M2-I.4<br />

A stochastic inventory inputoutput<br />

model <strong>for</strong> enhancing<br />

economic resilience in extremeevent<br />

situations<br />

Resurreccion JZ, Santos JR<br />

<strong>The</strong> George Washington University<br />

10:30 AM - Noon<br />

Pacific Concourse N<br />

M2-J Symposium:<br />

Technocracy and<br />

Democracy in <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Governance<br />

Chair: Seth Baum<br />

10:30 am M2-J.1<br />

Voice and democraticity in electoral<br />

and technocratic environmental<br />

decision procedures<br />

Baum S<br />

Global Catastrophic <strong>Risk</strong> Institute<br />

10:50 am M2-J.2<br />

A middle-ground in risk governance:<br />

strong objectivity, critical<br />

realism, and post-normal science<br />

applied to the case of genetically<br />

engineered mosquitos<br />

Kuzma J<br />

University of Minnesota<br />

11:10 am M2-J.3<br />

Regulation by number: using<br />

numeracy to in<strong>for</strong>m democratic<br />

risk governance<br />

Rowell A<br />

University of Illinois College of Law<br />

11:30 am M2-J.4<br />

Nanotechnology risk governance:<br />

the politics of disclosure<br />

Snir R<br />

Bar Ilan University<br />

10:30 AM - Noon<br />

Pacific Concourse O<br />

M2-K Symposium:<br />

Wildfire <strong>Risk</strong> Perceptions<br />

and Attitudes &<br />

Implications <strong>for</strong> Wildfire<br />

Management<br />

Chair: Matthew Thompson<br />

10:30 am M2-K.1<br />

Human dimensions of wildfire<br />

risk management<br />

Thompson MP<br />

US Forest Service<br />

10:50 am M2-K.2<br />

Approaches and challenges to<br />

quantify homeowner wildfire<br />

risk perceptions<br />

Venn TJ, Stetler KM, O’Donnell D<br />

<strong>The</strong> University of Montana<br />

11:10 am M2-K.3<br />

Salient factors influencing fire<br />

manager decisions and outcomes<br />

Hand MS<br />

US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain<br />

Research Station<br />

11:30 am M2-K.4<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>-risk tradeoffs in wildfire<br />

management: suppression utilization<br />

versus firefighter safety<br />

Calkin DE, Presented by Thomspon<br />

MP<br />

US Forest Service<br />

19

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