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A Dissertation Proposal Presented to the Faculty of the Heller ...

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ABSTRACT<br />

Efficiency <strong>of</strong> Cardiac Care in US Hospitals<br />

A <strong>Dissertation</strong> <strong>Proposal</strong> <strong>Presented</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Faculty</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Heller</strong> School <strong>of</strong> Social Policy and<br />

Management<br />

Brandeis University, Waltham, Massachusetts<br />

By<br />

Taroon Amin, MPH, MA<br />

A central aim <strong>of</strong> United States health policy is <strong>to</strong> improve health care system efficiency by<br />

simultaneously achieving high quality care while reducing <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> health care cost growth. However,<br />

this policy objective <strong>of</strong> increased US health care efficiency is not a recent phenomenon. US health care<br />

expenditure has been double <strong>the</strong> median expenditure <strong>of</strong> countries in <strong>the</strong> Organization for Economic<br />

Cooperation and Development (OECD) since <strong>the</strong> 1960s (Rosko 2001). The premium paid by Americans<br />

for <strong>the</strong>ir health care has not broadly resulted in higher quality outcomes compared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir international<br />

peers; for instance, <strong>the</strong> US continues <strong>to</strong> achieve below average performance on infant mortality and life<br />

expectancy at birth (Rosko 2001). Increasing pressure <strong>to</strong> restrain <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> health expenditures in <strong>the</strong><br />

US has made <strong>the</strong> ability <strong>to</strong> make meaningful comparisons <strong>of</strong> resource utilization, and ultimately<br />

efficiency between hospitals an urgent priority.<br />

While increased cost pressure is present broadly across <strong>the</strong> health system, cost growth in <strong>the</strong><br />

Medicare program is particularly acute. Increased Medicare spending will continue <strong>to</strong> strain services for<br />

beneficiaries and taxpayers, with increasing pressure <strong>to</strong> crowd-out o<strong>the</strong>r public and private sec<strong>to</strong>r<br />

activities. Per-beneficiary spending in high-spending regions exceeds that in low-spending regions by<br />

one third with no signals <strong>of</strong> higher quality care (Hackbarth, Reischauer et al. 2008).<br />

The <strong>the</strong>ory underlying this study is based in <strong>the</strong> microeconomic <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> efficiency. Pare<strong>to</strong><br />

efficiency claims markets are perfectly competitive and <strong>the</strong> firm (in this case <strong>the</strong> hospital) will always<br />

make optimal decisions on <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> inputs, thus any inefficiency within a market is allocated across<br />

hospitals not within hospitals (Leibenstein 1966). Traditional economic <strong>the</strong>ory posits that any inefficiency<br />

within hospitals is only temporary as hospitals adjust <strong>to</strong>ward optimization. However, existing literature<br />

challenges <strong>the</strong> traditional economic notion that hospitals will seek <strong>to</strong> minimize <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> producing a<br />

healthcare outcome since <strong>the</strong>re is inefficiency in <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> non-random cost and quality variation within<br />

hospitals (Zuckerman, Hadley et al. 1994; Chirikos and Sear 2000; Rosko 2001; McKay and Deily 2005;<br />

McKay and Deily 2008). This study seeks <strong>to</strong> examine this non-random risk-adjusted cost and quality<br />

variation as an indica<strong>to</strong>r <strong>of</strong> systematic inefficiency when paired with patient-level mortality quality<br />

indica<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />

The proposed study will employ a quantitative approach using a retrospective observational<br />

design. The study will consist <strong>of</strong> four study aims which seek <strong>to</strong> examine <strong>the</strong> relationship between<br />

resource use and quality in <strong>the</strong> Medicare program. The first aim seeks <strong>to</strong> validate <strong>the</strong><br />

PACES/Complications measure by examining its relationship <strong>to</strong> AMI mortality. Hospitals will be ranked<br />

in<strong>to</strong> deciles <strong>of</strong> performance based on <strong>the</strong>ir AMI mortality performance <strong>to</strong> examine <strong>the</strong> relationship<br />

between mortality and inpatient complications. The second aim <strong>of</strong> this study will be <strong>to</strong> examine <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> an episode for AMI, PCI and CABG across tiers <strong>of</strong> hospital performance defined by AMI<br />

mortality. The third and fourth aim will explore a more nuanced evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cost <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

episode. The third aim will deconstruct <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cost <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> episodes in<strong>to</strong> only those costs representing<br />

typical or best practice care and examine its relationship across tiers <strong>of</strong> quality performance. The final<br />

aim will deconstruct <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cost <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> episodes in<strong>to</strong> only those costs representing complications and


examine its relationship across tiers <strong>of</strong> quality performance. This dissertation will use <strong>the</strong> Patient-<br />

Centered Episode System (PACES) methodology recently developed for <strong>the</strong> Medicare program <strong>to</strong> define<br />

episodes <strong>of</strong> cardiac care.<br />

This study will generate new knowledge on <strong>the</strong> relationship between resource use and quality for<br />

cardiac care in US hospitals. It will provide insight in<strong>to</strong> how policy can be developed <strong>to</strong> improve quality<br />

while reducing overall costs for cardiac services. This study posits that a trade-<strong>of</strong>f between cost<br />

minimization and quality maximization exists in health care markets, however this trade-<strong>of</strong>f may not be<br />

apparent at all levels <strong>of</strong> cost and quality. At <strong>the</strong> lowest levels <strong>of</strong> quality, investments in quality<br />

improvement may actually reduce overall costs. This analysis will inform value-based purchasing<br />

program development in <strong>the</strong> private and public sec<strong>to</strong>r.<br />

<strong>Dissertation</strong> Committee:<br />

Chris<strong>to</strong>pher Tompkins, PhD, Chair, Brandeis University<br />

Jennifer Perl<strong>of</strong>f, PhD, Brandeis University<br />

John Chapman, PhD, Brandeis University<br />

Helen Burstin, MD, MPH, School <strong>of</strong> Medicine and Public Health, The George Washing<strong>to</strong>n<br />

University School <strong>of</strong> Medicine & Senior Vice President, National Quality Forum (NQF)<br />

<strong>Proposal</strong> Hearing:<br />

Wednesday, April 25, 2012 at 1:00pm – 3:00pm.<br />

<strong>Heller</strong> School<br />

Room G55

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