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Recent Trends in Extractive Industries and World Bank Response

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<strong>Recent</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Response</strong><br />

Inter-Governmental Forum<br />

Geneva, November 1 to 4, 2010<br />

Gotthard Walser, The <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong>


Overview<br />

<strong>Recent</strong> Developments <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong><br />

Role of Emerg<strong>in</strong>g Players<br />

Flexible Fiscal Regimes<br />

Renegotiation <strong>and</strong> Nationalization<br />

Susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Community Benefits<br />

Regional <strong>and</strong> National Development<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Response</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Group – Oil, Gas <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Division<br />

EITI++/Value Cha<strong>in</strong> approach<br />

Lend<strong>in</strong>g, Non-lend<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>and</strong> Global Partnerships


Part I - <strong>Recent</strong> Developments <strong>in</strong><br />

the <strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong><br />

Commodity prices have gone through the full cycle, but<br />

the mid-term fundamentals rema<strong>in</strong> the same:<br />

Governments rema<strong>in</strong> key players <strong>in</strong> foster<strong>in</strong>g enabl<strong>in</strong>g<br />

environment for susta<strong>in</strong>able development of the sector<br />

Companies struggle to have access to new resources,<br />

but cont<strong>in</strong>ue to value stable <strong>and</strong> transparent countries<br />

Good governance on expenditures is key to maximize<br />

contribution to the economy


What’s New?<br />

Dem<strong>and</strong> from emerg<strong>in</strong>g markets (BRICs) is expected<br />

to rema<strong>in</strong> strong over the medium term<br />

BRIC companies are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries abroad <strong>and</strong> chang<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

traditional play<strong>in</strong>g field<br />

Despite the rise <strong>in</strong> fiscal revenues, many governments<br />

still believe profits aren’t shared equitably <strong>in</strong> high price<br />

period<br />

Resource nationalism rema<strong>in</strong>s high, but sometimes fed<br />

on unrealistic expectations<br />

Avoid<strong>in</strong>g local conflict, particularly around m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

areas, will play an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly important role <strong>in</strong><br />

success of extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries ventures<br />

Climate change agenda puts spotlight on use of fossil<br />

fuels


What’s New?<br />

Last but not least, the importance of<br />

governments geo-data acquisition <strong>and</strong><br />

management is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly recognized to<br />

reduce “knowledge asymetry” <strong>and</strong><br />

promote more equitable sector<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

(ref Prof. Collier’s: underground value of 1<br />

square kilometer represents USD125,000<br />

<strong>in</strong> OECD countries <strong>and</strong> USD25,000 <strong>in</strong><br />

African countries)


Role of Emerg<strong>in</strong>g Players<br />

Important transfer of power from traditional western<br />

companies to firms headquartered <strong>in</strong> BRICs (m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g) <strong>and</strong><br />

national oil companies (petroleum)<br />

Non-traditional companies have different f<strong>in</strong>ancial models <strong>and</strong><br />

perceptions of risk than western firms; former often <strong>in</strong>vest<br />

where latter are reluctant (under new models)<br />

In the long-run, the perception of risk <strong>and</strong> profitability of the<br />

two groups should converge; similarly for corporate behavior<br />

with respect to the environment <strong>and</strong> social responsibility


Governments Want a Better<br />

Upside from Investments<br />

Taxation: predictable flexibility<br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sector saw negotiation of new frameworks to share<br />

revenues dur<strong>in</strong>g good times, e.g., resource rent taxes, w<strong>in</strong>dfall<br />

profits taxes, slid<strong>in</strong>g scale royalties <strong>and</strong> renegotiation of<br />

“unfair” contracts


Risk-Shar<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the Upside & Downside<br />

Countries turned to state-owned equity participation,<br />

nationalization to <strong>in</strong>crease upside<br />

Companies historically bore most risk (except very large<br />

downturns)<br />

Then governments began to share <strong>in</strong> upside ‘risk’ (slid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

royalties; extraord<strong>in</strong>ary profits tax)<br />

Movement to equity stake means more shar<strong>in</strong>g of downside<br />

risk<br />

Decentralization of revenues implies <strong>in</strong>tra-governmental risk<br />

shar<strong>in</strong>g


Susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Community Benefits<br />

Countries call<strong>in</strong>g for more local economic development:<br />

more jobs, <strong>in</strong>creased local content, more <strong>in</strong>tegrated<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure development<br />

Viable society/community/environment after closure<br />

Development of alternative livelihoods, diversification of<br />

economy; development of <strong>in</strong>frastructure that will support other<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries<br />

Transferrable skills development<br />

Capacity build<strong>in</strong>g for local governance, environmental<br />

management<br />

Distribution of revenues: how much back to the community?<br />

Some new players lack experience <strong>in</strong> deal<strong>in</strong>g with host<br />

communities <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries


Avoid<strong>in</strong>g the “Paradox of Plenty”<br />

Goes beyond sector policy:<br />

<br />

<br />

National strategy <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated policies<br />

• Role of extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>in</strong> national development strategy<br />

• National level political <strong>in</strong>stitutions - <strong>in</strong>tegrated approach<br />

• Sector policy <strong>and</strong> governance<br />

Prudent macroeconomic policies<br />

• Policies to promote macro stability, with<strong>in</strong> well-def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

medium-term expenditure framework<br />

• National <strong>in</strong>vestment plans - <strong>in</strong>frastructure, social <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

• Development funds - all revenues/expenditures through<br />

Treasury/budget<br />

• No st<strong>and</strong> alone entity with discretionary spend<strong>in</strong>g power


Part II: <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Response</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Group Role: Oil, Gas <strong>and</strong><br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Division<br />

EITI++/Value Cha<strong>in</strong> Approach<br />

Lend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Non-lend<strong>in</strong>g Activities<br />

Global Programs <strong>and</strong> Partnerships


<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Group Role<br />

<strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> Review<br />

Strengthen governance <strong>and</strong> transparency<br />

Ensure that extractive <strong>in</strong>dustry benefits reach poor<br />

people<br />

Mitigate environmental <strong>and</strong> social risks<br />

Protect the rights of people affected by extractive<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>in</strong>vestments


<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Oil, Gas <strong>and</strong><br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Division<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> oil, gas, <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sector expertise housed <strong>in</strong> Oil, Gas<br />

<strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Division<br />

Focus on three strategic areas:<br />

• <strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> Sector Governance<br />

• Climate Change <strong>and</strong> Energy Security<br />

• Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development<br />

Specific emphasis is put on<br />

• Foster<strong>in</strong>g social dimensions <strong>and</strong> partnerships with CSOs<br />

• Ma<strong>in</strong>stream<strong>in</strong>g gender <strong>and</strong> key global programs <strong>in</strong>to operations<br />

• Develop<strong>in</strong>g a bus<strong>in</strong>ess l<strong>in</strong>e on m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g-related <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

‣ EITI++ provides overarch<strong>in</strong>g, guid<strong>in</strong>g pr<strong>in</strong>ciples<br />

‣ Assistance is provided via lend<strong>in</strong>g operations, technical advisory<br />

services, analysis/publications, <strong>and</strong> global programs <strong>and</strong><br />

partnerships


EITI++: Sound Governance<br />

along the Value Cha<strong>in</strong><br />

EITI++, or the value cha<strong>in</strong> approach, is a comprehensive,<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegrated approach to the management of extractive<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry resources, to help resource-rich countries to<br />

leverage natural resource wealth for susta<strong>in</strong>able development<br />

+ EITI +<br />

Nonrenewable<br />

resources<br />

Access to<br />

resources<br />

Monitor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

of EI<br />

operations<br />

Collection<br />

of taxes +<br />

royalties<br />

Revenue<br />

management<br />

+ allocation<br />

Susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />

utilization of<br />

resources<br />

Inclusive &<br />

Susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />

Development<br />

The EITI++ approach has been used successfully by the<br />

Government of DRC to design a TA Project; now be<strong>in</strong>g a[[lied<br />

<strong>in</strong> Cameroon <strong>and</strong> Mauritania


Achiev<strong>in</strong>g Better Governance<br />

along the Value Cha<strong>in</strong><br />

Satisfactory legal, fiscal, <strong>and</strong> regulatory frameworks<br />

Capacity build<strong>in</strong>g to put <strong>in</strong> place modern licens<strong>in</strong>g systems <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutional frameworks, <strong>in</strong>stitutional capabilities to ensure<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestor compliance with applicable laws <strong>and</strong> regulations, <strong>and</strong><br />

to protect <strong>in</strong>vestor contractual rights<br />

Transparent <strong>and</strong> efficient revenue collection capabilities to<br />

maximize the generation of revenues over time<br />

Adequate revenue management for susta<strong>in</strong>able socioeconomic<br />

development<br />

Benefit shar<strong>in</strong>g agreements with regions/communities<br />

Satisfactory environmental <strong>and</strong> social protection framework<br />

<strong>and</strong> procedures to make local communities benefit from<br />

operations


Mitigat<strong>in</strong>g Social <strong>and</strong><br />

Environmental Risks<br />

Environmental, health, <strong>and</strong> safety regulations<br />

Environmental Impact Assessments (<strong>in</strong>cl. basel<strong>in</strong>e data),<br />

Environmental Management Plans, M<strong>in</strong>e Closure <strong>and</strong> Oil<br />

Decommission Plans<br />

Social Impact Assessments, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g identification of affected<br />

communities members <strong>and</strong> vulnerable groups (gender, youth)<br />

Generat<strong>in</strong>g community benefits by broaden<strong>in</strong>g economic<br />

opportunities (l<strong>in</strong>kages): Regional Development Plans,<br />

Community Consultation Frameworks, Community<br />

Development Plans<br />

Enhanced Oversight, Monitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>spection capacity<br />

Assistance <strong>in</strong> prudent local government use of revenues<br />

Introduction of more environmentally friendly artisanal m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

techniques


A Strong Focus on Africa<br />

Our Unit provides global expertise <strong>and</strong> operational<br />

support <strong>in</strong> more than 70 countries around the world,<br />

with a strong focus to Africa


Support<strong>in</strong>g the Value Cha<strong>in</strong>:<br />

Lend<strong>in</strong>g Operations<br />

The Oil, Gas <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Unit delivers assistance<br />

<strong>in</strong>ter alia via lend<strong>in</strong>g TA operations - the Unit currently<br />

manages 18 projects, <strong>and</strong> is work<strong>in</strong>g with several countries on<br />

preparation of others<br />

Oil, Gas <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Unit Lend<strong>in</strong>g Operations (<strong>in</strong>cl. Supplemental/Additional F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

Actual<br />

Plan<br />

Zambia Copperbelt (FY03)<br />

Madagascar M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY03)<br />

Mauritania M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY04<br />

Ug<strong>and</strong>a M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY04)<br />

Nigeria M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY05)<br />

Afghanistan Nat. Resources (FY06)<br />

Mauritania Suppl. for Petrol (FY07)<br />

Liberia M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA<br />

Madagascar Suppl. (FY07)<br />

Mongolia M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY08)<br />

PNG M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA II(FY08)<br />

Ug<strong>and</strong>a AF (FY09)<br />

Tanzania M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY09)<br />

Afghanistan AF (FY09)<br />

DRC M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA (FY10)<br />

Lao Hydro Power for M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

Pakistan Thar Coal to Power<br />

Balochistan M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA<br />

Mongolia M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA II<br />

Cameroon M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA<br />

Malawi M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g TA<br />

Africa M<strong>in</strong>eral Governance<br />

(regional project) -<br />

possible countries to be<br />

<strong>in</strong>cluded:<br />

-Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso<br />

-Cote d’Ivoire<br />

-Gu<strong>in</strong>ea<br />

-Sierra Leone<br />

The Unit supports other <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> teams on oil, gas, <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

components of lend<strong>in</strong>g operations: Botswana, Ghana, Kosovo, Mali,<br />

Philipp<strong>in</strong>es, Rep. of Congo, Romania, <strong>and</strong> Sao Tome & Pr<strong>in</strong>cipe


Typical lend<strong>in</strong>g operations are delivered through technical<br />

assistance projects (TA) that support key aspects of the<br />

<strong>Bank</strong>’s Oil <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Sector Reform (EIR) agenda:<br />

Creation of suitable legal <strong>and</strong> regulatory<br />

frameworks<br />

Institutional capacity build<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Support<strong>in</strong>g the Value Cha<strong>in</strong>:<br />

Lend<strong>in</strong>g Operations (2)<br />

Collection of geological data<br />

Susta<strong>in</strong>able development through environmental<br />

management systems <strong>and</strong> social benefits to local<br />

communities <strong>and</strong> economies<br />

Support of artisanal <strong>and</strong> small-scale m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g


Support<strong>in</strong>g the Value Cha<strong>in</strong>: Technical<br />

Advisory Assistance<br />

In addition to lend<strong>in</strong>g operations, the Unit provides technical<br />

advisory assistance to many countries on issues along the<br />

value cha<strong>in</strong>, for <strong>in</strong>stance most recently <strong>in</strong>:<br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g: Angola, Albania, Armenia, CAR, Cameroon,<br />

Colombia, Ethiopia, India, Niger, Solomon Isl<strong>and</strong>s, Philipp<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

Saudi Arabia, Yemen<br />

Petroleum: Bangladesh, Bolivia, Cambodia, Rep. of<br />

Congo, Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Palau, Peru, Sudan, Vietnam,<br />

West <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>and</strong> Gaza


Analytical Work/Publications<br />

The Unit also has an active program of knowledge<br />

management, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g most recently <strong>in</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g areas:<br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g: M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Together, M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Cadastres, F<strong>in</strong>ancial Surety for<br />

M<strong>in</strong>e Closure, West <strong>and</strong> Central Africa Alum<strong>in</strong>um Study,<br />

Experience with M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Foundations, Local Economic<br />

Development, Country-specific M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Sector Reviews<br />

Petroleum: Higher Oil Prices <strong>and</strong> the Poor, Survey of<br />

Petroleum Environmental Management, Downstream Petroleum<br />

Markets <strong>in</strong> SSA, Oil Ref<strong>in</strong>eries <strong>in</strong> SSA, Allocation of Petroleum<br />

E&P Rights, National Oil Companies, Gas for the Poor, Countryspecific<br />

Petroleum Sector Analysis<br />

Global: EITI++/Value Cha<strong>in</strong> Approach, Decommission<strong>in</strong>g of Oil,<br />

Gas <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Operations, Petroleum <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Fiscal<br />

Regimes, Engagement with Civil Society <strong>in</strong> <strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong>


Global Programs <strong>and</strong> Partnerships<br />

The <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Oil, Gas <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Policy Unit manages 5 Global<br />

Programs <strong>and</strong> Partnerships:<br />

<strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> Transparency Initiative (EITI)<br />

<strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> Technical Advisory Facility (EI-TAF)<br />

Global Gas Flar<strong>in</strong>g Reduction Partnership (GGFR)<br />

Communities <strong>and</strong> Small-scale M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Partnership (CASM)<br />

Petroleum Governance Initiative (PGI)


<strong>Extractive</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> Technical Advisory<br />

Facility (EI-TAF)<br />

New multi-donor trust fund, EI-TAF objectives <strong>in</strong>clude to:<br />

<br />

<br />

Address country dem<strong>and</strong> for “rapid-response” advisory<br />

services <strong>in</strong> the oil, gas, <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sectors, particularly to<br />

address issues <strong>in</strong> the ‘upstream’ portion of the value cha<strong>in</strong>;<br />

Contribute to global knowledge management <strong>in</strong> extractive<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries sector governance through the gather<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />

dissem<strong>in</strong>ation of good practices <strong>in</strong> EI sector governance<br />

EI-TAF assistance aims to level the play<strong>in</strong>g field between client<br />

countries <strong>and</strong> EI firms <strong>and</strong> help to ensure that resource-rich<br />

develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, <strong>and</strong> ultimately their citizens, benefit from<br />

the exploitation of their extractive resources


Communities <strong>and</strong> Small-scale<br />

M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Partnership (CASM)<br />

CASM’s objective is to reduce poverty by improv<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

environmental, social, <strong>and</strong> economic performance of artisanal<br />

<strong>and</strong> small-scale m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries<br />

Is a network, coord<strong>in</strong>ation, <strong>and</strong> knowledge clear<strong>in</strong>g house<br />

facility<br />

After 10 years of successful activities, CASM is now <strong>in</strong> the<br />

process of re-<strong>in</strong>vent<strong>in</strong>g itself to adjust to the realities of the<br />

second decade of the century<br />

Follow up on www.artisanalm<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g.org


Conclusion: Some of the WB Present Key Focus<br />

of Attention:<br />

Implement the EITI++ value cha<strong>in</strong> approach to design<br />

m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g policy <strong>and</strong> implementation <strong>in</strong> client countries<br />

Contract <strong>and</strong> community agreement model<br />

Integration of gender issues <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

Rapid support to governments regard<strong>in</strong>g contracts<br />

negotiations <strong>and</strong> policy implementation(EI-TAF)<br />

Revenues distribution mechanisms <strong>and</strong> capacity at<br />

local level<br />

Political economy analyses <strong>and</strong> economic governance<br />

guidance <strong>in</strong> EI sector<br />

Geo-data acquisition <strong>and</strong> management


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