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Incorporating Climate Change into Conservation Planning for the ...

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3/10/2010<br />

Example 2:<br />

Cultivator response to regional warming in Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Peru over 40 years<br />

- Frost limit at ~4,250 m in 1960s with short growing season<br />

- year-round frosts at 4,543 m<br />

Source: Winterhalder and Thomas, 1978<br />

Source: Hole et al., in press 2010<br />

Changing phenomenology of extreme events<br />

Example: Australia/Melbourne area fires in February 2009<br />

Meteorological conditions unprecedented in more than 100 years of<br />

records:<br />

- Highest temperatures ever (48 deg. C)<br />

- Humidity 7%<br />

- Winds gusting to 20 meters per second (40 knots)<br />

Result: Uncontrollable fires, extremely rapid propagation, total<br />

destruction of biota and structures in affected corridors, ~230<br />

fatalities<br />

Bushfire dwarfs a fire-truck at Labertouche, near Pakenham, east of Melbourne. Picture: Alex Coppel<br />

http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/gallery/0,22010,5037339-5006020-163,00.html<br />

4

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