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The Challenge of Non-Communicable Diseases and Road Traffic ...

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2 <strong>The</strong> <strong>Challenge</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Non</strong>-communicable <strong>Diseases</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Road</strong> <strong>Traffic</strong> Injuries in Sub-Saharan Africa<br />

NCDs will become the leading cause <strong>of</strong> death by<br />

2030. <strong>The</strong> burden from cancer alone is expected to<br />

more than double between 2008 <strong>and</strong> 2030. By 2015,<br />

RTIs are expected to be the number one killer <strong>of</strong><br />

children aged 5-15 in Africa. Yet, although funding<br />

to developing countries for NCDs grew sixfold from<br />

2001 to 2008, it still comprised less than 3 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> overall global development assistance for health.<br />

NCDs <strong>and</strong> RTIs are preventable causes <strong>of</strong> premature<br />

mortality <strong>and</strong> morbidity. <strong>The</strong>y reduce productivity<br />

<strong>and</strong> consume resources that could otherwise<br />

be used for social <strong>and</strong> economic development.<br />

Health-care needs for chronic conditions <strong>and</strong> disabilities<br />

resulting from NCDs <strong>and</strong> RTIs increase<br />

pressure on existing fragile health systems, <strong>and</strong> impose<br />

large health <strong>and</strong> social care costs. NCDs can inflict<br />

substantial financial <strong>and</strong> psychosocial burdens<br />

on individuals <strong>and</strong> their families, particularly where<br />

treatment costs are mostly paid out-<strong>of</strong>-pocket <strong>and</strong><br />

are lifelong.<br />

NCDs <strong>and</strong> RTIs also have consequences for sustainable<br />

development. Some <strong>of</strong> the changes in lifestyle<br />

practices that increase NCDs <strong>and</strong> RTIs, such<br />

as increased car use, are also linked to greenhouse<br />

emissions <strong>and</strong> climate change.<br />

Drivers, Determinants <strong>and</strong><br />

Commonalities<br />

<strong>Communicable</strong> diseases have long been the leading<br />

causes <strong>of</strong> death <strong>and</strong> the disease burden in SSA – <strong>and</strong><br />

in many countries still are – but rising incomes, population<br />

growth <strong>and</strong> ageing, globalization, rapid urbanization<br />

<strong>and</strong> changing lifestyle practices are shifting<br />

the disease pattern. In particular:<br />

• Africa’s population is growing rapidly enough to<br />

double within a generation. <strong>The</strong> high proportions<br />

<strong>of</strong> young people, in combination with the relatively<br />

early age at which some chronic conditions<br />

manifest themselves, exacerbates the situation.<br />

<strong>The</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> elderly persons is projected to<br />

double in many African countries between 2000<br />

<strong>and</strong> 2030, accounting for a substantial proportion<br />

<strong>of</strong> the projected increase in cancer.<br />

• SSA is urbanizing faster than any other region.<br />

Living in an urban environment is associated with<br />

decreased physical activity <strong>and</strong> increased cardiovascular<br />

risk, while air pollution is an emerging<br />

issue. <strong>The</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> crashes <strong>and</strong> injury increases with<br />

a poorly regulated transport sector, the lack or non<br />

-use <strong>of</strong> seat belts, hazardous road environments,<br />

poor maintenance <strong>of</strong> vehicles <strong>and</strong> roads, <strong>and</strong> deficient<br />

monitoring <strong>and</strong> enforcement.<br />

• Over the last 20 years, SSA has seen a shift in the<br />

attributable burden <strong>of</strong> disease <strong>of</strong> risk factors away<br />

from risks for communicable diseases in children<br />

towards those for NCDs in adults. A nutrition<br />

transition is underway, with an increase in female<br />

obesity in some population groups; <strong>and</strong> lifestyles<br />

practices are changing. Tobacco use among young<br />

people has increased, particularly <strong>of</strong> products<br />

other than cigarettes. Harmful alcohol consumption<br />

is a common risk factor for both NCDs <strong>and</strong><br />

RTIs (a well as for intimate partner violence <strong>and</strong><br />

HIV), <strong>and</strong> is expected to increase with further<br />

economic development – Africa already has the<br />

highest prevalence <strong>of</strong> heavy episodic drinking <strong>of</strong><br />

any region.<br />

Close relationships exist in cause, course <strong>and</strong> outcome<br />

between NCDs, communicable diseases, <strong>and</strong><br />

maternal, perinatal, <strong>and</strong> nutritional conditions.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are common underlying social conditions,<br />

such as poverty <strong>and</strong> unhealthy environments, <strong>and</strong><br />

commonalities across disease groups in causation,<br />

co-morbidity, <strong>and</strong> care needs. Frequently, both communicable<br />

diseases <strong>and</strong> NCDs co-exist in the same<br />

individual, <strong>and</strong> one can increase the risk or impact<br />

<strong>of</strong> the other, as happens for example with diabetes<br />

<strong>and</strong> tuberculosis. Maternal health <strong>and</strong> practices,<br />

the intra-uterine environment <strong>and</strong> low birth weight<br />

may have long-term consequences for developing<br />

chronic diseases. Interventions to improve maternal<br />

<strong>and</strong> child health – such as reducing malnutrition <strong>and</strong><br />

exposure to smoke – are also integral components <strong>of</strong><br />

a continuum <strong>of</strong> preventive measures for NCDs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Rationale for Public Intervention<br />

From an economic perspective, government intervention<br />

is justified as a means to achieve a net improvement<br />

in social welfare. That is, it is justified<br />

when private markets fail to function efficiently<br />

or when the social objectives <strong>of</strong> equity in access to

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