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Soybean Pipeline - American Palm Oil Council

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<strong>Soybean</strong> <strong>Pipeline</strong>:<br />

Moving Beyond A Commodity<br />

Mark Winkle, Ph.D.<br />

Senior Director of Domestic Programs,<br />

United <strong>Soybean</strong> Board


Outline<br />

• QUALISOY<br />

• Status of the current U.S. soybean oil market<br />

• Marketplace opportunities and challenges<br />

• <strong>Pipeline</strong> of new traits – meeting the needs of<br />

industry


QUALISOY Industry Coalition


QUALISOY Board<br />

Involves all members of the soybean value chain


Why QUALISOY?<br />

QUALISOY as a persuasive business platform:<br />

• Broad-based U.S. industry coalition<br />

• Help initiate market pull-through<br />

• Expedite the identification of key traits<br />

• Accelerate trait commercialization<br />

• Enable sharing of trait discoveries to promote<br />

widespread acceptance<br />

• Promote market acceptance of traits


Current Status of the U.S.<br />

<strong>Soybean</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> Market


North <strong>American</strong> <strong>Oil</strong>seeds<br />

2008 Acreage <strong>Oil</strong> Production (billion lbs.)<br />

USDA , StatsCanada and Galloway & Associates


Soy <strong>Oil</strong> Use in the U.S.<br />

USE PERCENT BILLIONS OF<br />

POUNDS<br />

Salad/Cooking <strong>Oil</strong> 66 10.3<br />

Baking/Frying 28 4.4<br />

Margarines/Spreads 5 .8<br />

Other Edible 1 .2<br />

TOTAL 100 15.7<br />

Source: Census Bureau, USDA 2008


U.S. Edible <strong>Oil</strong> Usage<br />

(ooo)<br />

(ooo)<br />

Left Axis<br />

Right Axis<br />

Source: Census Bureau, USDA 2008


The <strong>Soybean</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> Value Pie<br />

(000) lbs. oil<br />

Galloway & Associates, 2009


Marketplace Opportunities<br />

and Challenges


Food Industry Viewpoint<br />

• <strong>Soybean</strong> oil a food industry favorite<br />

– Favorable price structure<br />

– Wide range of functionality<br />

– Familiar, predictable flavor characteristics<br />

• Soy does not camouflage or overpower food flavors<br />

– Abundant availability<br />

• Large number of potential suppliers<br />

– Secure supply from crop year to crop year<br />

– Short pipeline from production to usage


Macroeconomic Analysis<br />

U.S. Edible<br />

Fats & <strong>Oil</strong>s<br />

Consumption<br />

(million lbs.)<br />

• Vegetable oil usage is down<br />

--Recession<br />

--Health/dietary concerns<br />

Source: US Census Bureau & USDA


Food Industry Trans Solutions<br />

• Naturally Stable <strong>Oil</strong>s<br />

• Blends<br />

– Mix 5-10% hard stock (no trans fats), 90-95% unhydrogenated<br />

oils<br />

– Interesterify to customize desirable melt points<br />

• Modification of Processing Techniques<br />

– i.e. modifying hydrogenation process<br />

• Catalyst, time, temperature, pressure<br />

• Trait-Enhanced <strong>Oil</strong>s<br />

– High-oleic canola, low-linolenic soy<br />

• Gels, Emulsifiers and Other Texture-Building Agents


Trans Fat Replacement <strong>Oil</strong>s<br />

Trans-Fat Replacement <strong>Oil</strong>s<br />

Low-Linolenic Soy<br />

High-Oleic Canola<br />

<strong>Palm</strong><br />

Other Stable <strong>Oil</strong>s<br />

TOTAL Estimated Supply<br />

Lbs. of <strong>Oil</strong><br />

1 billion lbs.<br />

600 million lbs.<br />

1 billion lbs.<br />

1 billion lbs.<br />

3.6 billion lbs.<br />

2008 estimates from fats and oils industry


New Traits to Meet<br />

Marketplace Needs


Current Solution for Food<br />

Industry<br />

Low-Linolenic Acid <strong>Soybean</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />

• Maximum 3% linolenic vs. 7% in traditional<br />

soybean oil<br />

• Provided a soy-based solution to stability<br />

without trans-fats<br />

– One billion lbs. are being utilized annually<br />

– Adequate oxidative stability in a broad range of<br />

applications<br />

– Appealing end product flavor<br />

– Excellent shelf life characteristics


Next Innovations<br />

• High-oleic soy ~ 2010/11<br />

– 78-85% oleic<br />

• High-stearate soy ~2012<br />

– 18-25% stearic acid content<br />

• High omega-3 soy ~2012<br />

– 21–24% omega-3 content – 10x current content<br />

• Mid-oleic/low-saturate soy ~ 2012/13<br />

– 60%+ oleic/7% saturates


<strong>Soybean</strong> Industry has its Eye<br />

on the Future


<strong>Soybean</strong> Industry Portfolio<br />

Omega‐3<br />

(Monsanto;<br />

Bt/RR2Y<br />

Steandonic Acid)<br />

(Monsanto)<br />

RR2Y<br />

(Monsanto)<br />

High<br />

Stearate<br />

(Monsanto;<br />

DuPont)<br />

High Beta‐<br />

Conglycinin<br />

(Monsanto;<br />

DuPont)<br />

Low‐<br />

Phytate<br />

(DuPont)<br />

Low‐Sat<br />

(Monsanto)<br />

Dicamba Tolerant<br />

(Monsanto)<br />

Feed: High Protein<br />

<strong>Soybean</strong><br />

(Monsanto; DuPont)<br />

Omega‐3<br />

(EPA/DHA)<br />

DuPont<br />

Rust<br />

(Monsanto;<br />

Pioneer<br />

Yield<br />

(Monsanto;<br />

Pioneer)<br />

Agronomic<br />

Quality/Food<br />

Nematode<br />

Resistance<br />

(Syngenta)<br />

Antibody ‐<br />

containing<br />

(against E. coli<br />

0157:H)<br />

2010 2012<br />

2020<br />

Liberty<br />

Link<br />

(Bayer)<br />

High‐Oleic<br />

(DuPont)<br />

Imidazolinone<br />

tolerant<br />

(BASF/Embrapa Brazil)<br />

GAT/Glyphosate‐<br />

ALS soybean<br />

(DuPont/Pioneer)<br />

Industry Inputs May 2009<br />

Low‐linolenic<br />

(Syngenta)<br />

Mid‐Oleic /<br />

Low‐Sat<br />

(Monsanto)<br />

Glyphosate &<br />

isoxaflutole<br />

tol.<br />

(Bayer)*<br />

Modified 7S<br />

Protein FF<br />

(Dupont)<br />

Processing: High<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> Soy<br />

(Monsanto)<br />

High‐Oleic,<br />

Stearate<br />

(DuPont)<br />

HPPD<br />

Toleran<br />

t<br />

(Syngenta<br />

)<br />

Herbicide tol.: 2,4‐D<br />

and “fop”/ aryloxyphenoxy<br />

propionate herbicides (Dow)<br />

SCN<br />

Monsanto; Pioneer<br />

Disease<br />

(Monsanto;<br />

Pioneer)<br />

Disease<br />

(Syngenta)


Solutions Available in Short-Term<br />

Low-Linolenic Soy<br />

Mid-Oleic/Low-Sat Soy<br />

High-Oleic Soy<br />

High<br />

Omega-3<br />

Soy<br />

High-<br />

Stearic<br />

Soy


<strong>Soybean</strong>’s Future Looks Bright<br />

• Many soybean varieties with beneficial traits in the<br />

pipeline<br />

– Trans fat elimination<br />

– Improved functionality<br />

– Healthfulness<br />

• Future crop plantings anticipated to be good<br />

• QUALISOY positioned to help pave the way for a<br />

healthy soybean industry

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