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Your Unique African Study Address<br />

The Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, born from the merger between the University of Port Elizabeth, the Port Elizabeth<br />

The Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, born from the merger between the University of Port Elizabeth, the Port Elizabeth<br />

Technikon and Vista University, offers students the best theory and practice from entry certificate level right through to doctoral<br />

Technikon and Vista University, offers students the best theory and practice from entry certificate level right through to doctoral<br />

research.<br />

research.<br />

NMMU<br />

NMMU<br />

is the<br />

is<br />

biggest<br />

the biggest<br />

tertiary<br />

tertiary<br />

institution<br />

institution<br />

in the<br />

in the<br />

Eastern<br />

Eastern<br />

Cape<br />

Cape<br />

Province,<br />

Province,<br />

with<br />

with<br />

over<br />

over<br />

25<br />

25<br />

000<br />

000<br />

students<br />

students<br />

enrolled<br />

enrolled<br />

on<br />

on<br />

six<br />

six<br />

different<br />

different<br />

campuses.<br />

campuses.<br />

Our Our programmes programmes are recognized are recognized and and accredited accredited by the by the relevant relevant professional professional bodies bodies locally locally and, and, in in many many cases, cases, internationally.<br />

internationally.<br />

The university The university has has already already established established itself itself as a as leader a leader in fields in fields such such as automotive as automotive engineering, engineering, ecology, ecology, marine marine studies, studies,<br />

community community health, health, the built the built environment, environment, art art and and design, design, accounting accounting and and auditing, auditing, education education and and IT, IT, and and offers offers students students an an even even<br />

wider wider choice choice of stimulating of stimulating programmes programmes opening opening up a up variety a variety of career of career opportunities.<br />

opportunities.<br />

Our Our students students can can already already be found be found working working around around the the globe. globe.<br />

international.nmmu.ac.za<br />

.com/NMMUInternationalOffice<br />

.com/NMMUInternational<br />

PO Box PO 77000, Box 77000, Nelson Nelson Mandela Mandela Metropolitan Metropolitan University, University, Port Port Elizabeth, Elizabeth, 6031, 6031, South South Africa Africa | Tel: | Tel: +27 +27 (0) 41 (0) 504 41 504 2161, 2161, Fax: Fax: +27 +27 (0) (0) 41 504 41 504 2771, 2771, E-mail: E-mail: international@nmmu.ac.za<br />

Unique culture:<br />

Unique culture:<br />

Our highest priority is to promote academic excellence<br />

through Our highest varied priority curricula, is to the promote standard academic of teaching excellence throughout<br />

all through faculties, varied and curricula, through innovative the standard and of applied teaching research throughout for<br />

social all faculties, and economic and through development. innovative and applied research for<br />

social and economic development.<br />

Why choose NMMU?<br />

Why choose NMMU?<br />

• The cost of living in Port Elizabeth is significantly lower<br />

• against The cost national of living and in Port international Elizabeth is benchmarks significantly lower<br />

• Quality against education national and that international matches that benchmarks of the UK, USA,<br />

• Canada Quality and education Australia that for matches a third of that the of cost the UK, USA,<br />

• The Canada main and campus Australia is situated for a third on a of nature the cost reserve within<br />

• walking The main distance campus of is the situated beachfront<br />

a nature reserve within<br />

• The walking NMMU distance a fully of comprehensive the beachfront university<br />

•<br />

•<br />

Students<br />

The NMMU<br />

come<br />

is a<br />

to<br />

fully<br />

the<br />

comprehensive<br />

NMMU from 60<br />

university<br />

different countries<br />

•<br />

across<br />

Students<br />

the<br />

come<br />

world,<br />

to<br />

making<br />

the NMMU<br />

it the<br />

from<br />

most<br />

60<br />

diverse<br />

different<br />

university<br />

countries<br />

in<br />

South<br />

across<br />

Africa<br />

the world, making it the most diverse university in<br />

South Africa<br />

• The success of the NMMU’s career-focused programmes<br />

• The success of the NMMU’s career-focused programmes<br />

lies in the hands-on involvement of industry and business<br />

lies in the hands-on involvement of industry and business<br />

experts<br />

experts<br />

Faculties: (7 Faculties and over 130 career fields)<br />

Faculties: (7 Faculties and over 130 career fields)<br />

Faculty of Arts:<br />

Faculty • School of Arts: of Music, Art and Design<br />

• School of Music, Architecture Art and Design<br />

• School of Architecture<br />

Language, Media and Culture<br />

• School of Language, Governmental Media and and Social Culture Sciences<br />

• School of Governmental and Social Sciences<br />

Faculty of <strong>Business</strong> & Economic Sciences:<br />

Faculty • School of <strong>Business</strong> of Accounting & Economic Sciences:<br />

• School of Accounting Economics, Development and Tourism<br />

• School of Economics, Industrial Psychology Development and and Human Tourism Resources<br />

• School of Industrial Management Psychology Sciences and Human Resources<br />

• School <strong>Business</strong> of School Management Sciences<br />

• <strong>Business</strong> George Campus School (Accounting, <strong>Business</strong> Management,<br />

• George Economics, Campus Management,<br />

(Accounting,<br />

Marketing,<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Tourism<br />

Management,<br />

Management)<br />

Economics, Management, Marketing, Tourism Management)<br />

Faculty of Education:<br />

Faculty<br />

• School<br />

of Education:<br />

for Initial Teacher Education<br />

•<br />

School<br />

School<br />

for<br />

for<br />

Initial<br />

Continuing<br />

Teacher<br />

Professional<br />

Education<br />

Development<br />

School for Continuing Professional Development<br />

• School for Education Research and Engagement<br />

• School for Education Research and Engagement<br />

Faculty of Engineering, the Built Environment and<br />

Faculty of Engineering, the Built Environment and<br />

Information Technology:<br />

Information Technology:<br />

• School of Engineering<br />

School of Engineering<br />

• School of the Built Environment<br />

School of the Built Environment<br />

• School of Information and Communication Technology<br />

School of Information and Communication Technology<br />

Faculty of Health Sciences<br />

Faculty of Health Sciences<br />

• School of Behavioural Sciences<br />

School of Behavioural Sciences<br />

• School of Clinical Care Sciences<br />

School of Clinical Care Sciences<br />

• School of Lifestyle Sciences<br />

School of Lifestyle Sciences<br />

• School of Medicinal Sciences<br />

School of Medicinal Sciences<br />

Faculty<br />

Faculty<br />

of<br />

of<br />

Law<br />

Law<br />

•<br />

Department<br />

Department<br />

of<br />

of<br />

Private<br />

Private<br />

Law<br />

Law<br />

• Department Department of of Mercantile Mercantile Law Law<br />

• Department of of Criminal Criminal and and Procedural Procedural Law Law<br />

• Department of of Public Law Law<br />

Faculty of Science<br />

• School of Biomolecular & Chemical Sciences<br />

• School of Computer Science, Mathematics, Physics<br />

and Statistics<br />

• School of Environmental Sciences<br />

• George Campus (School of of Natural Resource Management)


Entrance requirements:<br />

The NMMU actively seeks to enroll international students that<br />

reflect the broad diversity of global cultural, linguistic, racial,<br />

socio-economic and educational backgrounds. To achieve<br />

this, the NMMU seeks to enrich the diversity of its student<br />

body through a process of internationalisation by drawing<br />

students from SADC and other African countries, as well as<br />

from the wider international community.<br />

In reaching a decision on admission, the NMMU makes<br />

use of an admissions process that is fair and transparent,<br />

and employs admissions criteria and measures that are as<br />

appropriate and valid as possible.<br />

For admission criteria please go to the following web links:<br />

Undergraduate:<br />

http://international.nmmu.ac.za/Application-and-Admissions/<br />

Apply-for-Undergraduate-Studies<br />

Postgraduate:<br />

http://international.nmmu.ac.za/Application-and-Admissions/<br />

Apply-for-Postgraduate-Studies<br />

Accommodation:<br />

The University has accommodation especially earmarked for<br />

international students’ on-campus, as well as off-campus.<br />

Study and Work in South Africa<br />

International students are allowed to work part-time for 20<br />

hours a week while studying in South Africa.<br />

Tuition Fees:<br />

NMMU tuition fees starts from $1,900 depending on the<br />

programme of study. This is by far lower than what is<br />

obtainable in other first class universities in Africa, Europe,<br />

Asia and America; offering first class learning, teaching and<br />

accommodation facilities.<br />

Readers Voice<br />

Kenya Needs a Debt Equity Swap<br />

World Bank president Jim Yong Kim<br />

and United Nations secretary-general<br />

Ban Ki-Moon visited the country at a<br />

time when there is growing concern in<br />

Kenya that the ballooning public service<br />

debts are obstacles to development in<br />

most counties. Currently, most Counties<br />

in Kenya spend up to 75 percent of<br />

their revenues in debt repayments leaving<br />

them with little or no cash at all for<br />

productive expenditures on education,<br />

health, water and sanitation, among others.<br />

This scenario replays in East Africa<br />

where most countries are struggling to<br />

unchoke their economies from debt.<br />

Over the years our bilateral debts and<br />

multilateral debts have grown. This is<br />

why Kenya has acknowledged the donations<br />

with the lender of last resort on<br />

cross – conditionality.<br />

According to the United Nations<br />

Charter, service to the common good<br />

and promotion of solidarity is to ensure<br />

promotion of socio-economic justice<br />

through a preferential option for the<br />

poor. I was therefore suprsied the World<br />

Bank gave $8.3 billion in donationsto<br />

be redirected into development sectors.<br />

I had anticipated a refinancing model<br />

that gives debt-holders an equity investment<br />

in exchange of cancellation of<br />

debts. Kenya is in a state where her<br />

Counties are struggling from a grip of<br />

turf of wars amongst legislators. Some<br />

have even proposed amendments do<br />

away with 35 counties. Opposition and<br />

Council of Governors are pushing for<br />

amendment in the name of smooth governance.<br />

The MPs on the other hand want to cut<br />

our the number of nominated county<br />

assemblies (MCAs) and nominated<br />

women MPs. Besides, they suppose<br />

all judges of the Supreme Court should<br />

work on a part-time basis. To belabor,<br />

the national assembly Speaker, Justin<br />

Muturi has delivered the petition for<br />

MPs to begin deliberations.<br />

It is outrageous and defies the logic<br />

of devolution and would take us back<br />

to a consitittuon of old, as opposed<br />

towards decentralization of power, goods<br />

and services to the people of Kenya.<br />

Already, there are fears that the public<br />

service debt could become unsustainable<br />

for Kenya. They endorsed a document<br />

bent on promote democratic and<br />

accountable systems of government, and<br />

demands to be fortified with equitable<br />

distribution of the national resources.<br />

Anything contrary is heedless.<br />

Now, the Council of Governors have<br />

drafted a Bill to push for fresh changes<br />

in the law and are fighting for a 3.4 billion<br />

in kitty, to cement their control in<br />

actualizing the make devolution process.<br />

It means therefore that any sustained<br />

effort either by way of executive or legislative<br />

decree to demean devolution,<br />

will be met by resistance from the governors,<br />

the intelligentsia public and the<br />

who subscribe to devolution principle of<br />

equality.<br />

Does it mean that all public policy analysts<br />

and pundits in government and the<br />

private sector fell short of exploring the<br />

future implications cost of running the<br />

devolved units when the constitutional<br />

amendments was subjected to public<br />

plebiscite?<br />

May be, Yes, or No. If MPs through representative<br />

democracy want to invoke<br />

their delegated authority to amend the<br />

law, they must go back to the very people<br />

who endorsed the legislations. Short<br />

of that, the MPs will court trouble as<br />

people begin to feel the cascading effects<br />

of the devolved units, albeit to minimum<br />

standard.<br />

By Kepher Otieno<br />

The writer kepher43@gmail.com is<br />

a consulting Editor and Bureau Chief,<br />

East African Digest.<br />

Letters<br />

For further enquiries:<br />

Tel: +27 (0) 41 504 2161<br />

E-mail: international@nmmu.ac.za<br />

PO Box 77000, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University,<br />

Port Elizabeth, 6031, South Africa<br />

international.nmmu.ac.za<br />

2 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015<br />

Readers’ Voices<br />

We would like to invite your views and opinions on this edition of <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong>, on the economy, and on business. We are also seeking columnists,<br />

with a view on real business issues as they are lived and experienced. Please send your letters to info@media7groupkenya.com<br />

Hobie Beach, Nelson Mandela Bay - Port Elizabeth (NMMU Main building in far background)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 3


news feature:<br />

BANKING:<br />

guest forum<br />

Safaricom’s next big goldmine<br />

While M-Pesa remains a high priority area for Safaricom, its significance<br />

to Safaricom’s long-term profitability is closely rivaled by data. Industry<br />

statistics show that it controls about 75 percent of the mobile data market.<br />

DECEMBER <strong>2014</strong> - JANUARY 2015, Vol. 09 No 91<br />

• 20<br />

Banks’ profit<br />

machine delivers<br />

despite slight<br />

setback for<br />

some lenders<br />

What Kenyan banks lack in assets, they<br />

compensate for in solid and consistent<br />

• 12 Culture of money vs. Cult of money<br />

returns for investor<br />

• 64<br />

• 52<br />

NEWS<br />

6 Media 7 Publisher/ceo wins Nelson<br />

Mandela award<br />

reader’s forum<br />

8 Africa’s bane: Teething issues have<br />

been identified, forging solutions is<br />

now the focus.<br />

sector report:<br />

Used car dealers have newer challengers<br />

Kenya is following in the footsteps of South Africa and<br />

Morocco, Africa’s two biggest vehicle manufacturers. This<br />

could greatly benefit new car dealers in the country by<br />

allowing them to lower their prices.<br />

• 24<br />

sector report<br />

48 Diaspora remittances sparks a<br />

dramatic uptick in international<br />

cash transfer<br />

52 Kenya’s silent victory in top 100<br />

African banks rankings<br />

56 Price undercutting and fraud take<br />

toll on insurers<br />

guest column<br />

62 Budgeting and Funding your SME<br />

in 2015<br />

NEWS FEATURE<br />

motoring<br />

guest forum<br />

10 Climate smart agriculture<br />

stands us a chance of<br />

achieving food production<br />

to meet global food demands.<br />

12 Banks’ profit machine delivers<br />

despite slight setback for some<br />

lenders<br />

COMMENTARY<br />

16 Africa has been paying a price<br />

and her leadership dancing<br />

naked in the world square<br />

COVER STORY<br />

24 Safaricom’s next big goldmine<br />

NEWS FEATURE<br />

24 Used car dealers are on an<br />

ambitious offensive. They want<br />

to extend their reach beyond<br />

thrifty households.<br />

SECTOR REPORT<br />

SPECIAL REPORT:<br />

The GMO debate is rekindled<br />

In 2012, the Kenyan government imposed<br />

a blanket ban on the importation of<br />

Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs).<br />

This ban was primarily informed by the<br />

findings of a research conducted by French<br />

scientists that linked GMO products to<br />

cancer. The study was however recanted<br />

on grounds that it did not follow the<br />

internationally accepted standards of<br />

undertaking research.<br />

• 42<br />

60 The 2015 Nissan Murano<br />

64 Culture of money vs. Cult of<br />

money<br />

opinion<br />

66 Can chasing a dream ruin a<br />

career?<br />

LAST WORD<br />

68 WRC TV audience rises by 35 per<br />

cent in <strong>2014</strong><br />

30 Why Safaricom’s Sh30 bn<br />

infrastructure overhaul is timely<br />

34 Government monopoly over<br />

foundation seeds should cede,<br />

opened to the private sector.<br />

38 Exploring new sources of<br />

energy beyond rainfall in Kenya<br />

has been magnified.<br />

COUNTRY FOCUS:<br />

Africa’s quest to feed itself lies within<br />

We must set higher targets for ourselves in this quest for Africa<br />

to feed itself. We must not get complacent, for the voices of<br />

millions of malnourished children must spur us to action. No<br />

African child must ever go hungry.<br />

• 34<br />

SUBSCRIPTION OFFER!<br />

Media Seven Group, the publishers of <strong>Monthly</strong> MOTOR, G, HM, HER, BUSINESS <strong>Monthly</strong>, Mum<br />

& Dad and TL magazines invites subscriptions from professionals, international organizations,<br />

individuals and the academia. The subscription is available on an annual basis at the rate of Kshs.<br />

3,400 for 12 issues of <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong>.Checks should be crossed A/C PAYEE ONLY and made<br />

payable to MEDIA SEVEN GROUP (K) LTD. PO BOX 50087, NAIROBI 00200 CITY SQUARE.<br />

4 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 5


NEWS<br />

EXCELLENCE RECOGNISED<br />

Media 7 Publisher/ceo<br />

wins Nelson Mandela award<br />

By Xolisa Phillip<br />

The Nelson Mandela Metropolitan<br />

University (NMMU) recently feted<br />

some of its top students and alumni<br />

at a glittering ceremony in Port<br />

Elizabeth, South Africa, writes Xolisa<br />

Phillip for Times Media.<br />

NMMU presented Rising Star, Special and<br />

Achiever awards to an array of graduates in<br />

diverse fields, from architecture and sports, to<br />

business, pharmacy and NGO sector.<br />

Among the award recipients is Kenya’s<br />

magazine publisher and marketing guru, Dr.<br />

Hanningtone Gaya, who received the NMMU<br />

Alumni Special Award for <strong>2014</strong> in recogni-<br />

tion for his outstanding contribution in his<br />

specialized field of study, bridging the discourse<br />

between Marketing of Services and Strategic<br />

Management, by extending the resource-basedview(RBV)<br />

theory, for his distinguished service<br />

to his home country and in recognition of exemplary<br />

work as an NMMU Ambassador.<br />

Those who received the NMMU Alumni<br />

awards in the picture included, from left, Dr.<br />

Amber Andersson, Dr. Hanningtone Gaya,<br />

Nomkhita Mona, Baxolile Mabinya, Nicholas<br />

Hafner, Deon Schoeman, Tracy Cheetham and<br />

Garret Barnwell.<br />

Dr. Hanningtone Gaya is the first and the<br />

only graduate to receive the NMMU award form<br />

outside South Africa.<br />

6 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015


STATE OF AFRICA<br />

Readers Forum<br />

By Kepher Otieno<br />

The recent African Union<br />

(AU) meeting in Nairobi is<br />

a pointer to fresh and sustained<br />

commitment by the<br />

leaders to promote regional<br />

homogeneity. Coming at a time when<br />

many think that African countries<br />

have been collectively subordinated<br />

to a worldwide ‘market totalitarianism,’<br />

there is need to chat new<br />

development cause. Fresh ideas and<br />

relentless pursuit of economic liberalization<br />

would lead to political<br />

liberation and ultimately advance<br />

democratic polity in the region.<br />

The AU leaders should be zealous<br />

to address the socio-economic<br />

and political challenges that impede<br />

the region’s stability. So far, the<br />

teething issues have been identified.<br />

Forging solutions is now the focus.<br />

politics:<br />

It is important that our leaders<br />

direct their energy to improve<br />

our economies. For many years<br />

our economies have been dependant<br />

on Foreign aid. How do we fly<br />

out of this quandary? The solution<br />

lies in the private hands. Arguably,<br />

an economy that places productive<br />

property in private hands invariably<br />

The political elites have<br />

imposed unprecedented<br />

power of a few<br />

awesomely wealthy and<br />

powerful individuals over<br />

the masses, engulfed in<br />

poverty.<br />

Consumptive<br />

Africa’s bane<br />

So far, the teething issues<br />

have been identified. Forging<br />

solutions is now the focus.<br />

confers great wealth and privilege on<br />

owners at the expense of the masses.<br />

Today, economic globalization<br />

has unleashed productive forces<br />

throughout the world leading to<br />

expansion of markets and insertion<br />

of technology in the processes of production.<br />

Now, the people of Africa<br />

want to see a new culture where the<br />

law of nature and wealth meets the<br />

needs of all humanity as opposed to<br />

select few financial oligarchs. This<br />

can only be achieved through a productive<br />

economy where there is an<br />

‘ecological’ balance between productive<br />

and consumptive politics.<br />

It is unfortunate that apart from<br />

a few African countries that have<br />

been making sustained effort to push<br />

for productive economies, others are<br />

still held hostage by consumptive<br />

politics. Each electioneering year,<br />

new political parties that are soon<br />

disbanded after the elections are<br />

formed. It raises suspicion on their<br />

motive. This is making it difficult<br />

to implement some of the long term<br />

visions targeting economic prosperity.<br />

Policy makers are even hard put<br />

to modify political party manifesto<br />

visions each time a new administration<br />

comes in. This is because each<br />

administration wants to act their<br />

way. The sticky situation is to blame<br />

for the delayed implementation of<br />

sound and sustainable macro-economic<br />

policies aimed at improving<br />

the socio-economic living standards<br />

of the African people.<br />

The political elites have imposed<br />

unprecedented power of a few awesomely<br />

wealthy and powerful individuals<br />

over the masses - precisely,<br />

(hoi polloi), engulfed in poverty.<br />

Uneven development long linked<br />

with capitalist expansion is probably<br />

the most discernible trademark<br />

of globalization and regionalization<br />

in its modern-day form. This is not<br />

the way we want to go. We want an<br />

egalitarian civilization. While it may<br />

not be possible to achieve it in the<br />

short run, the processes to achieve<br />

the goal in the long run must be<br />

pursued.<br />

Although, the accelerated globalization<br />

of the world economy has<br />

particularly had a pessimistic impact<br />

on African states, we must begin<br />

to think of the way forward to our<br />

economic autonomy. It is good news<br />

to hear that countries like Kenya,<br />

Uganda and Botswana are emerging<br />

as the next economic frontiers and<br />

are challenging old stereotypes.<br />

Capital, particularly financial<br />

capital, now flows freely across borders<br />

with devastating consequences<br />

for the so-called emerging economies.<br />

Thus states in Africa have<br />

increasingly come under pressure<br />

to conform to the new demands of<br />

the regionalization processes and<br />

cross cultural global homogeneity.<br />

It is important<br />

that our<br />

leaders direct<br />

their energy to<br />

improve our<br />

economies.<br />

Then again, the increasing the new<br />

divisions have been between those<br />

countries and regions which can<br />

adapt to the new way of economic<br />

survival. This has further engendered<br />

competition between the weaker<br />

countries for investments, foreign<br />

direct Investment (FDI) and other<br />

resources especially in East Africa.<br />

But which is the way out? I<br />

looked at some African cartoon,<br />

placed in The African Executive<br />

journal, and I was so amused. The<br />

caption captured it all. It was a<br />

homo sapiens-like image overloaded<br />

with African debts. The homo sapiens<br />

was wondering where to seek<br />

refuge - as a fortress of defence to<br />

save the continent from its bloated<br />

debts. The Cartoon reminded me<br />

that the Brettonwoods institutions<br />

should cancel debts for the Third<br />

World countries.<br />

NGOs like Jubilee 2000 have<br />

been fighting for all the debts choking<br />

African Countries to be written<br />

off. The voice must be loud until we<br />

hear the IMF and World Bank say:<br />

“Africa - we are cancelling 30 percent<br />

of your debts this fiscal year.” It<br />

sounds a tall order! But it can work.<br />

But this should come with tightened<br />

austerity measures to insulate<br />

the financial management from the<br />

pangs of the financial oligarch lest<br />

they take advantage to make fortunes.<br />

All these developments can be<br />

realized if there is improved peace<br />

and conducive atmosphere to do<br />

business. Africa no longer wants to<br />

feel ‘lethargic’ in the supranational<br />

arena.<br />

The writer can be reached on<br />

kepher43@gmail.com<br />

8 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 9


AGRICULTURE<br />

News Feature<br />

It is scientifically well established<br />

that, by and large, we<br />

are what we eat. It is not every<br />

food that is nutritious for the<br />

balanced development of the<br />

human body. As a matter of fact,<br />

obesity levels are increasing worldwide.<br />

This problem led the World<br />

Health Organization (WHO) to formally<br />

recognize it as a global epidemic<br />

in 1997.<br />

In <strong>2014</strong>, a study published<br />

in Lancet, the highly respected<br />

British medical journal, estimated<br />

that the number of overweight adults<br />

in the world was 2.1 billion in 2013,<br />

as compared with 857 million in<br />

1980. Furthermore, it is established<br />

that 2% of the world population<br />

is currently “chronically malnourished”<br />

and that 5 million children die<br />

yearly from “causes related to lack<br />

of nutrition.” Also, today, 2 billion<br />

people are suffering from hidden<br />

hunger i.e. Most get enough calories<br />

from food but not enough vitamins<br />

and minerals. This is why there is<br />

the strong call for nutrition-sensitive<br />

diets. Again, the science is that<br />

without adequate vitamins and<br />

minerals, women risk death during<br />

childbirth, and children risk stunted<br />

development with low IQs.<br />

Unfortunately, in the face of<br />

these challenges to the quality of<br />

the foods we eat, the world is facing<br />

a rapidly-increasing population. The<br />

world population is projected to top<br />

the 9 billion mark by mid-century.<br />

The population of Africa alone is<br />

expected to double to about 2 billion<br />

by 2050. Estimates are that world<br />

food production has to be increased<br />

by 70% over current levels to meet<br />

global food demands by mid-century.<br />

Faced with these daunting challenges,<br />

humanity should use agriculture<br />

and food systems to provide<br />

the nutritious diets needed for<br />

rounded development of the human<br />

body.<br />

Agriculture is both a victim<br />

and a culprit when it comes<br />

Preening our<br />

breadbasket<br />

The world population is projected to top the 9 billion mark by midcentury.<br />

Africa’s population alone is expected to double to about 2<br />

billion by 2050. Estimates are that world food production has to be<br />

increased by 70% over current levels to meet global food demands.<br />

Climate smart agriculture stands us a chance of achieving this.<br />

to Climate Change. It is learnt<br />

that agriculture contributes about<br />

14% of the greenhouse gas emissions<br />

which cause climate change,<br />

and also that the deforestation<br />

and land degradation that are<br />

associated with uninformed agricultural<br />

and other practices, also<br />

cause an additional 17% of the<br />

increased greenhouse gases in the<br />

atmosphere. However, Agriculture<br />

is now under sustained threat from<br />

Climate Change and hence the call<br />

for Climate-Smart Agriculture.<br />

Climate-Smart Agriculture is an<br />

efficient and effective intervention<br />

for achieving food productivity and<br />

security objectives and development<br />

goals at the same time, even<br />

as the world struggles to contain the<br />

effects of Climate Change. It is being<br />

advocated for a number of reasons.<br />

Firstly, it is to ensure that agricultural<br />

production and productivity<br />

are enhanced for food security<br />

and income-sustainability. Secondly,<br />

it is to boost resilience of livelihoods<br />

and ecosystems. And thirdly, it is to<br />

mitigate agriculture’s contribution to<br />

global warming.<br />

In practicing Climate-Smart<br />

Agriculture, the agricultural sector<br />

stands to capture synergies that<br />

exist among activities to develop<br />

more productive food systems, and<br />

improve natural resource management.<br />

However, it must be noted that<br />

achieving the four dimensions of food<br />

security which are: availability of;<br />

and access to food; utilization of<br />

food for adequate nutrition; and<br />

stability of food supply, must be the<br />

overall goal of food production and<br />

distribution systems.<br />

If food is taken to ensure<br />

nourishment, and agriculture is<br />

perceived to provide the food that<br />

humanity needs, then, the fundamental<br />

purpose of agricultural<br />

systems is to ensure proper nutritional<br />

outcomes. Therefore the time<br />

has come for Agriculture not only<br />

to be climate-smart, but also to be<br />

nutrition-smart. A scientist of the<br />

International Food Policy Research<br />

Institute in Washington, D.C. is<br />

quoted to have written recently<br />

that: “Agriculture must become<br />

nutrition-smart.<br />

Nutrition-sensitivity is not<br />

enough. Our basic food systems have<br />

to be optimized to provide the<br />

greatest amount of nutrients per<br />

square foot that can be produced<br />

sustainably, especially in the face of<br />

climate change.” He continues that;<br />

“We need to shift away from excessive<br />

reliance on mono-cropped<br />

calories by also investing in diverse<br />

food systems that integrate staple<br />

cereals and grains with other types<br />

of nourishing food.”<br />

Thus, the agricultural sector and<br />

food systems face a massive double<br />

challenge today:<br />

Our basic<br />

food<br />

systems<br />

have to be<br />

optimized<br />

to provide<br />

the<br />

greatest<br />

amount of<br />

nutrients<br />

per square<br />

foot that<br />

can be<br />

produced.<br />

a) Feeding the world sustainably,<br />

b) Feeding it a healthy and<br />

nutrient-rich diet in the face of<br />

changing climatic conditions.<br />

In Africa, where hunger and malnutrition<br />

levels are highest, recent<br />

research has shown that we can<br />

develop and deliver staple cereals<br />

and root crops that have<br />

both higher yields and higher<br />

levels of micronutrients. With<br />

the help of Science and Technology,<br />

work is underway to improve production<br />

and availability of nutrientrich<br />

legumes, fruits, vegetables, fish<br />

and livestock.<br />

Fortunately, under the auspices<br />

of institutions such as FAO, IFPRI,<br />

CAADP and other research outfits<br />

in various organizations such as<br />

AGRA and universities, research<br />

into plant breeding is being intensified<br />

to produce seeds and tubers<br />

rich in essential nutrients for<br />

farmers to plant. For instance, on<br />

the African continent now, enriched<br />

sweet potato is fast gaining prevalence.<br />

Further, it is reported that<br />

since last year, the first high-yielding<br />

rice varieties in Bangladesh<br />

that are rich in zinc have been made<br />

available to farmers… and that in<br />

the case of zinc rice, there will<br />

soon be varieties that can provide<br />

up to 80 percent of an adult woman’s<br />

or child’s daily zinc needs – 35%<br />

more than ordinary rice varieties.<br />

In pursuit of Nutrition-Smart<br />

Agriculture, policy should be directed<br />

to encourage plant-breeders to<br />

work with nutritionists to determine<br />

the nutrient levels that<br />

must be bred into new seed varieties<br />

to have a measurable impact<br />

on improving nutrition and public<br />

health.<br />

In the face of Climate Change,<br />

Agriculture has to be many steps<br />

ahead of the curve. The conjunction<br />

of Climate-Smart and Nutrition-<br />

Smart Agriculture underpins sustainable<br />

food systems for improved<br />

quality of life of mankind.<br />

Realizing this synergy calls for<br />

purposeful investments which cannot<br />

be realized without sustained<br />

public policy that will empower the<br />

private sector to enhance agriculture<br />

at all levels, including plantationlevel,<br />

commercial and smallholder<br />

agriculture.<br />

This should include policies<br />

on extension advice, enriched<br />

soils, improved seedlings, efficient<br />

irrigation systems, mechanization,<br />

marketing information, credit availability,<br />

the use of ICT, and information<br />

on nutrition science on how to<br />

prepare food so as not to destroy the<br />

nutrients in food.<br />

Given the urgency and importance<br />

of the realization of these<br />

two objectives - Climate-Smart<br />

Agriculture and Nutrition-Smart<br />

Agriculture - sustained communication<br />

to inform and educate the peoples<br />

of the world is crucial, especially<br />

in the developing parts.<br />

By H.E. John Kufuor , Former President<br />

of the Republic of Ghana<br />

10 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 11


BANKING<br />

News Feature<br />

Banks’ profit machine delivers despite<br />

While each bank had its own tale to tell, the common<br />

challenge that they all had to grapple with was the decline in<br />

interest rate margins during the first nine months of the year.<br />

Earning reports for individual<br />

banks in the nine<br />

months ended September<br />

<strong>2014</strong> show that commercial<br />

banks’ profit machine<br />

is faithfully delivering. Kenya<br />

Commercial Bank, Equity Bank<br />

and Co-operative Bank, all of which<br />

had released earnings for the nine<br />

months ended September <strong>2014</strong> by<br />

the time of going to press, posted a<br />

cumulative profit of Sh29.98 billion.<br />

KCB grew its net profit for the<br />

nine months leading to September<br />

by 15.4 percent to Sh12.48 billion,<br />

retaining its position as the most<br />

profitable bank in Kenya. The lender,<br />

which is the biggest bank in East<br />

and Central Africa by assets, grew its<br />

loan book over the nine month period<br />

to Sh264.3 billion from Sh225.7<br />

billion in the year ago period, a 17<br />

percent increase.<br />

Equity Bank, which announced<br />

that it had 9.2 million customers,<br />

also posted a tremendous increase<br />

in net profit during the nine months<br />

leading to September. Equity, which<br />

retained its position as the largest<br />

lender in Kenya by customer base,<br />

announced that its net profit had<br />

increased to Sh11.2 billion during<br />

the period, up 26 percent year-onyear<br />

from Sh8.9 billion in the yearago<br />

period. This uptick in profit not<br />

only fits neatly into Equity Bank’s<br />

iconic growth narrative, but it is<br />

also serves as an indication that the<br />

bank’s threat to KCB’s position as<br />

Kenya’s most profitable bank has<br />

intensified.<br />

Unlike Equity Bank and KCB,<br />

Co-operative Bank did not bring<br />

its investors good tidings during its<br />

earnings release for the nine months<br />

ended September. Co-operative<br />

recorded a 9 percent slip in net profit<br />

during the period. The lender’s net<br />

earnings in the period stood at Sh6.3<br />

billion compared with Sh6.9 billion<br />

in the year-ago quarter. While there<br />

were a range of factors to blame,<br />

Co-operative Bank predominantly<br />

took out the blame on the taxman.<br />

“The single largest contributor to<br />

reduced post-tax earnings is tax”,<br />

Co-op Bank officials told BDAfrica.<br />

com, a business website owned by<br />

Nation Media Group. Co-op Bank’s<br />

tax bill increased from Sh1.97 billion<br />

in September 2013 to Sh2.82<br />

billion in <strong>2014</strong>, a 43 percent jump.<br />

The 43 percent increase in tax was<br />

not attributable to a proportionate<br />

increase in taxable earnings, but<br />

rather an increase in the tax rate.<br />

The bank no longer pays a subsidized<br />

20 percent tax. Co-op Bank<br />

started paying the standard 30 percent<br />

corporate tax rate this financial<br />

year after the expiration of the<br />

bank’s five year tax holiday that had<br />

seen it enjoy subsidized rates of 20<br />

percent after its 2008 IPO.<br />

Falling interest rate margins<br />

While each bank had its own tale<br />

to tell, the common challenge that<br />

they all had to grapple with was the<br />

decline in interest rate margins during<br />

the first nine months of the year.<br />

This decline was largely a result of<br />

two separate developments. First off,<br />

the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)<br />

faithfully maintained its benchmark<br />

lending rate at 8.5 percent dur-<br />

ing the period. And second, policy<br />

makers, including Deputy President<br />

William Ruto, placed unrelenting<br />

pressure on commercial banks to<br />

lower their lending rates.<br />

Average commercial bank lending<br />

rates stood at 16.6 percent in<br />

Unlike Equity<br />

Bank and KCB,<br />

Co-operative Bank<br />

did not bring its<br />

investors good<br />

tidings during its<br />

earnings release<br />

for the nine<br />

months ended<br />

September.<br />

slight setback for some lenders<br />

the nine month period leading to<br />

September, <strong>2014</strong>, down from 17.4<br />

percent over the same period in<br />

2013. This is according to the CBK.<br />

The effect is that commercial lending<br />

rates have reduced against a backdrop<br />

of an unchanged benchmark<br />

rate. This has led to a decline in<br />

interest rate margins.<br />

When the margin between lending<br />

rates and deposit rates falls,<br />

it effectively means that a lender<br />

makes less interest income per unit<br />

loan.<br />

To confront this challenge, KCB<br />

has taken a unique approach. The<br />

lender is broadening the composition<br />

of its earnings mix in order<br />

to reduce dependence on interest<br />

earnings and grow other promising<br />

segments. It has compounded its<br />

efforts in its investment banking<br />

arm, KCB Capital. Similarly, the<br />

lender has also intensified efforts in<br />

KCB Bancassurance, the arm that<br />

allows it to act as a channel for<br />

insurance firms looking to sell their<br />

product offerings through banks.<br />

“Kenya revenue was boosted by new<br />

business, KCB Capital and KCB<br />

Bancassurance,” said KCB Chief<br />

Executive, Joshua Oigara, during<br />

the bank’s earnings release for the<br />

nine month period ended September,<br />

<strong>2014</strong>.<br />

When the margin between<br />

lending rates and deposit rates<br />

falls, it effectively means that a<br />

lender makes less interest income<br />

per unit loan.<br />

Moving into the future, KCB<br />

Bancassurance is expected to feature<br />

more strongly in the bank’s<br />

earnings mix. This is because KCB<br />

Bancassurance is well positioned to<br />

gain tremendously from insurance<br />

companies’ increased use of banks<br />

as their distribution channels. Banks<br />

not only have a wide footprint that<br />

allows insurance companies to better<br />

penetrate the market, but lenders<br />

can easily bundle insurance products<br />

with traditional bank products. As<br />

an example, banks now require borrowers<br />

to take life covers when they<br />

apply for personal loans. Similarly,<br />

they have also stated the need for<br />

borrowers to insure their businesses<br />

as a requisite for the provision of<br />

working capital. This allows insurance<br />

products to ride on the typically<br />

higher demand for bank products<br />

such as loans, leading to higher<br />

sales for insurance firms. With this<br />

in mind, it is highly conceivable that<br />

insurance companies will continue<br />

channeling more of their products<br />

through banks, brightening the prospects<br />

for KCB Bancassurance.<br />

Equity Bank, on the other<br />

hand, has taken a slightly different<br />

approach in mitigating the decline in<br />

interest margins. Although the bank<br />

also has other profitable business<br />

segments away from the loan business,<br />

it is primarily focusing on issuing<br />

a higher volume of loans. This<br />

was clearly apparent in the explosive<br />

growth in the bank’s loan book in<br />

the period ended September. Equity<br />

Bank’s loan book expanded to<br />

Sh206.6 billion in September, <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

from Sh158.5 billion in September,<br />

2013. This high sales volume model<br />

allowed Equity Bank to grow its<br />

overall interest income, despite the<br />

decline in profit margin per unit<br />

loan. The bank’s total interest<br />

12 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 13


BANKING<br />

News Feature<br />

income rose 10.5 percent to Sh26<br />

billion in the nine months to September.<br />

Equity Bank is however not depending<br />

solely on a high sales volume model.<br />

This is plausibly because the model has<br />

its restrictions—the extent to which<br />

you can sell your products is limited<br />

by the size of the market. In view of<br />

this, the bank is aggressively pursuing<br />

means of growing earnings from commission<br />

and fees in the retail banking<br />

segment, an area where it enjoys<br />

the largest presence among its peers.<br />

“Equity’s revenues from other fees and<br />

commissions … appear to be growing<br />

faster than the fees and commissions<br />

income on loans and advances, which<br />

has been a traditional income driver for<br />

commercial banks,” the lender’s CEO<br />

James Mwangi said during the earnings<br />

report.<br />

To realize even more business in<br />

the retail segment, Equity is exploring<br />

means of further deepening its involvement<br />

with SMEs, which form a crucial<br />

component of the retail banking segment.<br />

The bank was able to negotiate<br />

a Sh13.1 billion loan from the African<br />

Development Bank (AfDB) for onward<br />

lending to small and medium sized<br />

enterprises. “It will enhance SME access<br />

to finance, therefore, contributing to<br />

their growth and development and will<br />

contribute to helping Kenya further its<br />

growth and development aspirations,”<br />

AfDB said in a statement. These funds<br />

will not only be crucial in expanding<br />

Equity Bank’s loan book, but they will<br />

also open up more avenues for fees and<br />

commissions income from the huge<br />

number SME customers who will benefit<br />

from the fund.<br />

Equity Bank also has its own set of<br />

unique challenges. The bank is still in the<br />

infancy stages of rolling out a SIM-based<br />

mobile money solution that is poised<br />

to give Safaricom’s M-Pesa a run for its<br />

money.<br />

Individual challenges<br />

Despite the shared challenge of falling<br />

interest margins, each bank seems<br />

to be dealing with its own unique<br />

challenges. Co-operative Bank, as earlier<br />

mentioned, now has to deal with a<br />

higher tax bill. This means that it will<br />

need to explore cost cutting measures<br />

such as new technology or staff restructuring<br />

if it wants to revert to its previous<br />

growth trajectory.<br />

KCB, on the other hand, experienced<br />

difficulty in its regional business<br />

during the nine month period leading<br />

to September. South Sudan in particular<br />

posed more of a headache than<br />

any other regional unit. The protracted<br />

conflict between President Silva Kiir’s<br />

government troops and rebels loyal to<br />

Dr. Riek Machar has greatly strained<br />

KCB’s business in the region. The contribution<br />

of South Sudan to profit was<br />

Sh1.11 billion at the end of September,<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, representing 6.3 percent of the<br />

bank’s overall gross profit. In comparison,<br />

the earnings from the South Sudan<br />

subsidiary stood at Sh1.32 billion, or<br />

8.7 percent of the bank’s total gross<br />

profit in September, <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

While speaking at the earnings<br />

release, KCB’s Oigara pointed out that<br />

political unrest in South Sudan had<br />

caused the closure of three branches<br />

in Marakal, Bentiu and Upper Nile,<br />

adding that the branches would remain<br />

closed for the moment. Despite the continued<br />

conflict in South Sudan, readers<br />

of <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> are well aware that<br />

we have previously keyed out South<br />

Sudan as a potential high growth area<br />

for KCB—once a peace agreement is<br />

inked. This assessment, it appears, is<br />

shared by KCB’s Oigara. “In South<br />

Sudan, we are excited about the peace<br />

agreement that has been signed, and it<br />

should work out positively for our business<br />

going forward,” Mr. Oigara said.<br />

In this respect, KCB softened the blow<br />

of closing three branches in conflict<br />

hit areas of South Sudan by opening<br />

two new ones in Juba on November 5,<br />

<strong>2014</strong>. South Sudan is expected to be<br />

highly profitable for KCB as asset values<br />

and demand for loans are expected<br />

to increase astronomically during peace<br />

time.<br />

Equity Bank also has its own set of<br />

unique challenges. The bank is still in<br />

the infancy stages of rolling out a SIMbased<br />

mobile money solution that is<br />

poised to give Safaricom’s M-Pesa a run<br />

for its money. As historical anecdotes<br />

can attest, the rollout of Equity Bank’s<br />

slim SIM, which can be overlaid on<br />

other SIM cards, has been nothing short<br />

of challenging. While Equity has been<br />

able to circumvent all the challenges,<br />

including drawn out parliamentary<br />

hearings, it remains to be seen how the<br />

bank will position itself in the lucrative<br />

mobile payments segment.<br />

14 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong> 15


AFRICA<br />

Commentary<br />

As a native African, and one who<br />

has lived in US now for more<br />

than 25 years, I have been fortunate<br />

to expose myself to various<br />

aspects of life and believe that<br />

nothing is deficient in the make up or creation<br />

of a black person be they Africans or<br />

African-Americans.<br />

God is not a partial creator, therefore,<br />

anywhere he endowed life, He has<br />

left resources lying in wait, to enable life<br />

and enhance living. We have to allow<br />

necessity to be the driver and mother of<br />

invention. But if the human factor abuses<br />

the resources or inadvertently allows<br />

them to lie in wait, they pay a price.<br />

Africa has been paying a price and her<br />

leadership dancing naked in the world<br />

square as they run around like little boys<br />

Rethinking Africa’s<br />

engagement with the world<br />

Africa has been paying a price and her leadership dancing<br />

naked in the world square as they run around like little boys<br />

and girls, looking for candies in the backyard of others. Why?<br />

and girls, looking for candies in the backyard<br />

of others. Why?<br />

How Africans conduct their business<br />

among themselves and others, is all learnt<br />

and often hoisted as the way to go. The<br />

human being, a competitive animal, once<br />

together will seek to dominate, manipulate<br />

and control anyone they feel they can run<br />

circles around. Therefore, Africans and<br />

their scattered cousins and off-springs<br />

worldwide, should get off SLAVERY and<br />

COLONIALISM aftermaths and behave<br />

like they just found themselves.<br />

I intend to write a book that challenges<br />

Africans and African-Americans. The book<br />

will not be out to blame anyone else for<br />

our situation. My mom warned me in<br />

unmistakable terms that should she<br />

ever see me BEG anyone for what<br />

she knew I am capable of doing or<br />

can do, she would cut off my hands<br />

and take consolation that I have<br />

no hands. According to her, even<br />

a snake, without hands and legs,<br />

moves dangerously and swiftly. It is a<br />

lesson that no four walls of a formal<br />

institution could impact better. That<br />

message has stuck with me forever.<br />

We may not have everything<br />

--that is how God wants it. We are<br />

called by necessity to device means<br />

to collaborate and engage each other<br />

for better outcome. But stooping,<br />

looking inferior or running after<br />

anyone especially persons or ethnicity<br />

that already have preconceived<br />

impressions that Africans are inferior,<br />

is like playing to the hands of<br />

someone ready to crush one. We<br />

must let others know, the paste may<br />

have favoured them, but today, going<br />

forward is ours and is dictated by<br />

desires based on our rules. It is how<br />

the world rolls --set your agenda and<br />

look for partners. If none shows up,<br />

go do it yourself and take all credit.<br />

Be a “Nike” - Just Do It.<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa should<br />

never have devalued its currencies or<br />

agreed to financial conditions that<br />

makes her look weak or inferior.<br />

There is no rule that says Africa has<br />

to be poor or dependent. If there is<br />

one, Africans should reverse it and<br />

say they are entitled to as much as<br />

anyone else – No APOLOGIES.<br />

Put aside annoying degrees<br />

and all that foreign assigned senses<br />

of arrival which do nothing except<br />

make the holder feel good. MBA<br />

can be a Minor <strong>Business</strong> Account or<br />

Major <strong>Business</strong> Account, depending<br />

on the holder. Just like having PhD<br />

without PHD – Passion-Hard-work-<br />

Determination, is more a permanent<br />

head damage than anything<br />

else. Having such degrees does not<br />

make one a great business person<br />

or leader. Of all the US presidents,<br />

George W. Bush #43, is the only one<br />

to have MBA, and he did not become<br />

US president because of that degree.<br />

Africans must step forward, head<br />

high and demand to be respected or<br />

never respect anyone who does not<br />

respect you. It is a golden rule and<br />

should never be lowered for anyone.<br />

When US President Richard<br />

Nixon in the late 60s to early 70s<br />

literally took US out of the bullion<br />

standards which set the Dollar rise<br />

as store of wealth for the world,<br />

Nixon was shooting blanks both<br />

by design and default. The Dollar, a<br />

currency that is less than 200 years<br />

old, surpassed the Pound. It is never<br />

how long one has been around but<br />

how well and determined they want<br />

to exact influence that makes others<br />

take notice. The miracle of the Dollar<br />

is not hidden and it is all man-created.<br />

God did not wire US its money;<br />

it’s earned and printed just like any<br />

other currency. That being the case,<br />

why is it that when sub-Saharan<br />

Africa earn theirs, it is worthless<br />

and when they print theirs, it is like<br />

water under the bridge? My answer:<br />

The leadership is weak and lacks the<br />

determination to defer and decline<br />

Nigeria’s nonoil/gas<br />

trade<br />

as reported<br />

recently, for<br />

first quarter<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, is about<br />

$330m –<br />

N5.5tr, and<br />

assuming that<br />

the number<br />

holds true for<br />

the remaining<br />

3 quarters,<br />

it can only<br />

expect $1.2b.<br />

outside prescriptions that often end<br />

up worsening the situation.<br />

Read ‘Constitution Money’, ‘Den<br />

of Thieves’ to see how money as a<br />

tool of global instrument is used to<br />

run over unsuspecting nations, and<br />

a few people in New York Stock<br />

Exchange can make everyone in the<br />

world have a heart attack as stocks<br />

are manipulated. The Six Functions<br />

of Money does not change with geography.<br />

What changes is the attitude<br />

of the legal tender holder and how<br />

confident they are in making others<br />

believe in their currency. I leave<br />

you with this – ‘were the world to<br />

TRADE in one currency,’ immigration<br />

would almost cease and the<br />

western economies would hit structural<br />

shock that they would never<br />

recover from. That being the case,<br />

they will resist currency harmonization<br />

and equalization. But nations<br />

that feel they have been dealt wrong<br />

hands in trade and investment need<br />

not back down.<br />

Were Nigeria for instance, to<br />

regain the Naira versus Dollar<br />

exchange rate of mid-80s and harmonize<br />

the interest rate on borrowed<br />

money such that it is in the lower<br />

16 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 17


AFRICA<br />

Commentary<br />

single digits, Nigeria’s economy<br />

would rank among 10<br />

Top Economies in the world.<br />

With that comes prestige and influence.<br />

It is long overdue for a successful<br />

black nation in the world,<br />

and Nigeria holds that key given<br />

its size population and a latent<br />

citizenry that is seen/perceived as<br />

‘smart’ and educated but right now,<br />

in doldrums as its domestic leadership<br />

is engulfed running after one<br />

foreign interest or the other. That<br />

ought to stop. But since Nigeria is a<br />

lame giant and a single commodity<br />

nation – literally, depending on what<br />

in economics is called ‘Unearned<br />

Income’ --oil/gas, it is a joke of<br />

the world especially being the most<br />

populous black nation but has no<br />

clout worthy of mention.<br />

Nigeria’s population is half that<br />

of US, but her annual federal government<br />

budget source of spending for<br />

the entire nation is less than $40b, a<br />

figure that most global corporations<br />

make monthly. Altogether, it is hard<br />

to see corresponding budgets from<br />

Nigeria’s corporations that match<br />

this single source. Nigeria’s states<br />

depend on the federal government<br />

budget for up to 75% of their spending,<br />

as majority of them merely<br />

generate small amounts, and as<br />

such are unable to supplement with<br />

internal sources. Money is never<br />

enough-- it is the attitude to money<br />

and its ability to be stretched that<br />

creates impact.<br />

Nigeria’s non-oil/gas trade as<br />

reported recently, for first quarter<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, is about $330m – N5.5tr, and<br />

assuming that the number holds<br />

true for the remaining 3 quarters, it<br />

can only expect $1.2b. Again, this<br />

is nothing to be proud of given a<br />

population of 165m people. As goes<br />

Nigeria’s federal government budget,<br />

so goes the states-- an uncomfortable<br />

constitutional relationship<br />

that strangulates and chokes each<br />

other. Despite Nigeria ‘jumping up<br />

and down’ as the giant of Africa, its<br />

Nigeria annual revenue from oil<br />

is less than $50b and mid-2000<br />

was the first time Nigeria ever<br />

made significant revenue from oil,<br />

reaching about $70b.<br />

annual revenue from oil is less than<br />

$50b and mid-2000 was the first<br />

time Nigeria ever made significant<br />

revenue from oil, reaching about<br />

$70b. I have a record of Nigeria’s oil<br />

revenues since 1975.<br />

When Africa was colonized,<br />

the currency value was the same<br />

in the colonial masters’ home as<br />

well as the colonies. But once independence<br />

was gained, the colonial<br />

masters sought ways to teach the<br />

former colonies lessons. Currency<br />

Devaluation became a tool of international<br />

relations, politics and trade.<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa may want to<br />

create monetary and currency zones;<br />

no more than 4, to handle the wild<br />

and wide exchange rates between<br />

nations and the hard currencies of<br />

Pound, Dollar and Euro. If that<br />

happens and they enhance trade<br />

among themselves, which currently<br />

stands at mere 15%, they will see an<br />

increase in the development and stability<br />

of their economies. They need<br />

not borrow from outside sources<br />

except if they have to. Right now,<br />

they borrow excessively. That is why<br />

their foreign reserve is never at level<br />

to stabilize the local currency or<br />

enhance growth. Couple that with<br />

interest rates on borrowed money<br />

that runs in high double digits and<br />

loans that are hardly on amortization<br />

schedule, and one has a recipe<br />

for disastrous and fluid economic<br />

outcome. Again, the Six Functions of<br />

Money, holds true in all geography.<br />

What makes money useful and a<br />

utility for economic development is<br />

the legal environment that creates its<br />

acceptance as a legal tender.<br />

Lome Convention, should be<br />

done away with, so as many other<br />

agreements that Africa naively<br />

signed at heels of independence or<br />

during cold war. These agreements<br />

favor foreign control and dominance<br />

over development in Africa. Why?<br />

By Ejike E. Okpa<br />

Dallas, Texas<br />

eokpa@airmail.net<br />

18 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015


DATA<br />

Cover Story<br />

Safaricom’s next<br />

big goldmine<br />

While M-Pesa remains a high<br />

priority area for Safaricom, its<br />

significance to Safaricom’s longterm<br />

profitability is closely rivaled<br />

by data. Safaricom’s half-year<br />

earnings reports show that<br />

mobile data revenue contributed<br />

Sh6.5 billion to the telco’s top<br />

line, a 52.94 percent increase<br />

from Sh4.25 billion in the yearago<br />

period.<br />

Safaricom posted a record<br />

Sh21.1 billion pre-tax profit<br />

in the six month period<br />

ended September 30, <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

a tremendous 33 percent<br />

increase over what it earned in the first<br />

half of fiscal 2013. Interestingly, the<br />

astronomical increase in Safaricom’s<br />

half-year profits is not nearly as profound<br />

as the telco’s strategic shift to<br />

data. To assess the implications that<br />

this strategic shift to data will have<br />

on Safaricom’s long-term profitability,<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong>’s Lennox Yieke<br />

not only drew inferences from known<br />

cases in developed telecom markets<br />

around the world, but also sought the<br />

views of well placed industry experts.<br />

He compiled this extensive report.<br />

Earnings mix rapidly changing<br />

Although there has been an<br />

invariable increase in Safaricom’s<br />

overall earnings over the past fiscal<br />

periods, the composition of<br />

these earnings has rapidly changed.<br />

Growth in voice revenue, an area that<br />

has historically featured strongly in<br />

Safaricom’s earnings narrative, has<br />

flattened out in recent years. In the<br />

six months leading to September,<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, for instance, Safaricom’s voice<br />

revenue grew marginally to Sh43.67<br />

billion, a 6 percent increase from<br />

Sh41.04 billion in the year-ago period.<br />

In comparison, overall non voice<br />

revenue, which collectively includes<br />

SMS, data and M-Pesa, grew 26.6<br />

percent to Sh31.9 billion over the<br />

same period.<br />

M-Pesa revenue grew 24.72 percent<br />

from Sh12.5 billion in the first<br />

half of fiscal 2013 to Sh15.59 billion<br />

in the period ended September.<br />

This growth is staged against the<br />

backdrop of increased competition<br />

in mobile payments that has been<br />

inspired by the recent wave of new<br />

entries such as Equity Bank. In this<br />

regard, Safaricom has doubled down<br />

its bet on M-Pesa. As an example,<br />

it overhauled its Lipa Na M-Pesa<br />

service to facilitate the issuance of<br />

physical receipts in public service<br />

vehicles, a condition spelled out by<br />

regulators as a requisite for the<br />

participation in the cashless fare<br />

program. Accordingly, Safaricom<br />

received the green light from the<br />

Central Bank of Kenya in September,<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, to act as a cashless fare service<br />

provider. This means that M-Pesa<br />

can now derive more earnings from<br />

the public service vehicles sector.<br />

While M-Pesa remains a high<br />

priority area for Safaricom, its significance<br />

to Safaricom’s long-term<br />

profitability is closely rivaled by<br />

data. Safaricom’s half-year earnings<br />

reports show that mobile data revenue<br />

contributed Sh6.5 billion to<br />

the telco’s top line, a 52.94 percent<br />

increase from Sh4.25 billion in the<br />

year-ago period. The fact that data<br />

is the fastest growing segment in<br />

Safaricom has inspired an informed<br />

change in strategy.<br />

Pillar of future growth<br />

It has now become sufficiently<br />

apparent that Safaricom will continue<br />

to direct an avalanche of resources<br />

and time toward data in coming<br />

years, signaling that the segment<br />

has become a core strategic area for<br />

the firm. While speaking at the halfyear<br />

earnings investor briefing on<br />

November 4 <strong>2014</strong>, Safaricom’s CEO<br />

Bob Collymore, said that mobile<br />

data would continue to be the company’s<br />

“key pillar of future growth.”<br />

Safaricom presently has a gigantic<br />

share of the mobile data market.<br />

Industry statistics as at June <strong>2014</strong><br />

showed that Safaricom controlled<br />

75.60 percent of the mobile data<br />

market. To further corner this fastgrowing<br />

market, Safaricom is actively<br />

upgrading its capacity to present<br />

faster internet speeds to consumers.<br />

This, the telco believes, will serve as<br />

a great appeal to customers, and reel<br />

in more internet subscribers to its<br />

network.<br />

Mr. Collymore observed that<br />

Safaricom would deliver high speed<br />

wireless internet from its fourth<br />

generation network technology in a<br />

year’s time. This move means that<br />

the telecom has backed out of the<br />

government sanctioned national 4G<br />

joint venture network that has been<br />

tabled for the past two years. “We<br />

have decided to go it alone because<br />

we are not seeing the feasibility of a<br />

joint network that the government<br />

has been talking about for the past<br />

two years,” said Bob Collymore.<br />

Safaricom will get additional frequency<br />

as part of the Sh14.9 billion<br />

security communications contract<br />

that it inked with the government.<br />

The firm will use part of this additional<br />

frequency to rollout 4G internet<br />

for its commercial customers,<br />

allowing it to grow data’s contribution<br />

to its earnings mix.<br />

Lucrative opportunities<br />

Industry experts believe that the<br />

opportunity in data is much bigger<br />

than previously imagined. “The<br />

opportunities in data should not be<br />

viewed within the limited context<br />

of mobile data usage,” remarked<br />

Mr. Albert Mukiria, a software specialist<br />

and computer science lecturer<br />

at Egerton University. “There<br />

are many other emerging areas that<br />

present lucrative opportunities in<br />

data,” explained Mukiria, who spoke<br />

exclusively to <strong>Business</strong> monthly. The<br />

Southampton University, UK, alumni<br />

believes that Safaricom can exploit<br />

emerging opportunities in areas such<br />

as telemedicine. Telemedicine is the<br />

use of tools such as video conferencing<br />

and mobile applications to facilitate<br />

access to healthcare services by<br />

patients in remote areas.<br />

Mukiria’s view of telemedicine as<br />

a potential goldmine for Safaricom<br />

is informed by Google’s recent entry<br />

into the segment. Google recently<br />

announced that it was testing<br />

a service which directs users who<br />

check medical symptoms online to<br />

a video call with a doctor. “When<br />

you’re searching for basic health<br />

information — from conditions like<br />

insomnia or food poisoning — our<br />

goal is provide you with the most<br />

helpful information available. We’re<br />

trying this new feature (online video<br />

calls to doctors) to see if it’s useful<br />

to people,” read a statement by<br />

Google published on internationally<br />

renowned tech blog, Gizmodo.<br />

Although Google’s product<br />

Safaricom<br />

presently has<br />

a gigantic<br />

share of<br />

the mobile<br />

data market.<br />

Industry<br />

statistics as<br />

at June <strong>2014</strong><br />

showed that<br />

Safaricom<br />

controlled<br />

75.60 percent<br />

of the mobile<br />

data market.<br />

20 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 21


DATA<br />

Cover Story<br />

trial is currently limited in scope,<br />

covering only California and Massachusetts<br />

(U.S), its success will accelerate the growth<br />

of its ‘Helpouts’ feature, a concept established<br />

in November, 2013, that seeks to<br />

create a marketplace where experts such<br />

as doctors, chefs and teachers can be contacted<br />

by users who want specific concerns<br />

addressed.<br />

The support of Google in telemedicine<br />

through the Helpouts feature will be critical<br />

in the trend’s eventual adoption in markets<br />

such as Africa, Mukiria observed. “A<br />

growing body of anecdotal evidence exists<br />

that strongly links the success of technological<br />

trends in developing markets such<br />

as Africa to the support of (these) trends<br />

by bigwigs such as Google, Microsoft and<br />

Apple,” he ventured.<br />

Safaricom’s lucrative opportunity in<br />

telemedicine will derive from its ability to<br />

provide fast internet that facilitates video<br />

conferencing between patients and doctors,<br />

Mukiria said. “Given that an overwhelming<br />

majority of Kenyans can’t physically<br />

access healthcare, telemedicine could be<br />

an insanely huge opportunity for telecoms<br />

(such as Safaricom) that facilitate<br />

the linkage between patients and medics,”<br />

remarked Mukiria.<br />

Mukiria’s observation couldn’t be<br />

any clearer. Dr. Emily Obwaka of Dactari<br />

Health Ltd. has been advocating for the<br />

use of the firm’s Afya Telemedicine application,<br />

which she believes is the answer<br />

to inaccessible quality healthcare. In a<br />

feature first published on Nation Media<br />

Group’s <strong>Business</strong> Daily, Obwaka said that<br />

telemedicine was the future of medicine.<br />

“Telemedicine is the future of medicine<br />

because it provides you with access to quality<br />

healthcare at a distance with the use of<br />

video conferencing and peripheral diagnostic<br />

tools that a doctor would normally use<br />

in person,” she was quoted to say.<br />

Just like Mukiria, Dr. Obwaka was<br />

quick to note that the success of telemedicine<br />

depended on “a stable internet connection<br />

during video conferencing.” Stable<br />

video conferencing, Mukiria observed, can<br />

be facilitated by fast 4G internet, which<br />

Safaricom is developing. “Safaricom’s early<br />

lead over its competitors in rolling out<br />

4G means that it will be able to feature<br />

strongly in Kenya’s telemedicine revolution,<br />

allowing it to rake in billions in fees<br />

from the medics who will be aggressively<br />

establishing new access channels<br />

with previously inaccessible patients,” he<br />

concluded.<br />

Pairing old routines<br />

Historical case studies point to a strong<br />

tendency for industries to pair old routines<br />

with new technologies. “But when you<br />

pair old routines with new technologies in<br />

today’s digital age, the need to have fast<br />

internet connection always emerges,” said<br />

Mr. Keith White, who <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong><br />

also pressed for views on the story.<br />

Mr. White is an American serial entrepreneur<br />

with a slew of stints in media<br />

and digital marketing, including licensing<br />

movies that were distributed across<br />

top tier stations such as CBS, NBC, ABC<br />

and Fox. White, who has previously been<br />

responsible for the digital marketing of<br />

Sony’s A-list artists, such as Shakira, Marc<br />

Anthony, Jennifer Lopez and others, countrywide<br />

in the Dominican Republic, recently<br />

founded Trak Pay, a mobile payments<br />

firm that deals in e-commerce in Brazil<br />

and the U.S.<br />

Based on his rich experience in digital<br />

marketing, as well as his development of<br />

Trak Pay, White told <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong><br />

that fast internet access “is currently central<br />

to the adoption of most new concepts<br />

in the digital world such as e-commerce”.<br />

“Having fast internet connections is<br />

paramount in almost any digital field<br />

you look at today,” he said. “This means<br />

that the network carrier that is able to<br />

provide the fastest internet connection<br />

speeds is likely to make all the money in<br />

today’s market landscape,” commented Mr.<br />

White. He further gave the example of<br />

Trak Pay to reinforce his argument. “Trak<br />

Pay, for instance, allows merchants to use<br />

short videos and photos to accelerate their<br />

selling efforts over mobile networks. For<br />

this to happen, you need sufficient video<br />

streaming capacity, both for the merchant<br />

and the buyer” explained the Trak Pay<br />

CEO, whose firm received an award in<br />

2013 from the Bill and Melinda Gates<br />

Owing to ICT, the level of human<br />

involvement in the capital market<br />

has greatly decreased over the years,<br />

explained Dr. Onyuma, who is also<br />

the director of finance at private<br />

investment firm, SIAM Investments.<br />

“The image that pops in the mind<br />

of most people when they imagine a<br />

Foundation for its role in strengthening<br />

financial inclusion.<br />

Based on Mr. White’s assessment,<br />

Safaricom’s early lead in the rollout of 4G<br />

internet over its competitors in Kenya is<br />

likely to attract a lot of internet subscriptions<br />

and partnerships, especially from the<br />

growing number of e-commerce firms in<br />

Kenya who are banking on fast internet<br />

connections to improve their offerings.<br />

This could considerably grow data’s contribution<br />

to Safaricom’s earnings.<br />

Value of one millisecond<br />

Despite the seemingly immediate<br />

opportunities in data that areas such as<br />

trading floor is that of a multitude of<br />

traders milling around in conspicuously<br />

color-coded jackets.<br />

Although the picture is dated,<br />

the reality it depicts is quickly fading<br />

into oblivion,” he said in an exclusive<br />

interview with <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong>.<br />

“ICT has greatly reduced the level<br />

e-commerce and health present for<br />

telecom firms, one observer believes<br />

that there is nowhere where the<br />

opportunity in data will be more<br />

profound in the long-term such as<br />

the capital markets.<br />

Dr. Samuel Onyuma, an accounting<br />

and finance lecturer at Laikipia<br />

University who has authored a multitude<br />

of scholarly papers as well as<br />

opinion pieces on reputable publications<br />

such as <strong>Business</strong> Daily, said<br />

that the integration of ICT into the<br />

capital markets is a great opportunity<br />

for telecom firms which can<br />

provide high speed data connections.<br />

Owing to<br />

ICT, the level<br />

of human<br />

involvement<br />

in the capital<br />

market<br />

has greatly<br />

decreased<br />

over the<br />

years.<br />

-Dr. Samuel<br />

Onyuma,<br />

Director of<br />

finance, SIAM<br />

Investments.<br />

of human involvement in the capital<br />

markets,” he explained.<br />

“As ICT’s role in the capital markets<br />

increases, so will brokers’ ability<br />

to make more trades per unit time,”<br />

Dr. Onyuma ventured. This will not<br />

only increase the revenue that brokers<br />

raise from fees, but it will also<br />

increase the overall level of liquidity<br />

in the market, he explained.<br />

Owing to the increased income<br />

derived from faster communication,<br />

brokers will be willing to pay a premium<br />

to the telecommunication firm<br />

that offers the fastest communication,<br />

Dr. Onyuma explained.<br />

This means that Safaricom,<br />

which has taken the lead<br />

in rolling out high speed<br />

4G technology, is likely to<br />

attract a lot of brokers.<br />

“The firm that will be able<br />

to position itself as the preferred<br />

telecommunications<br />

partner in the capital markets<br />

value chain will be in for a<br />

windfall like no other,” explained<br />

Dr. Onyuma.<br />

Dr. Onyuma further explained to<br />

the writer that the pertinence of telcos<br />

in Kenya’s capital markets would<br />

be magnified when Kenya’s plans to<br />

set up a futures market come into<br />

greater focus. This is because the<br />

ability to take advantage of the<br />

price discrepancies between futures<br />

contracts and the present prices of<br />

securities is highly dependent on<br />

the speed with which a trader can<br />

execute their electronic trades. This<br />

speed is determined by the telecommunications<br />

firm providing the data<br />

services.<br />

“The futures market is the<br />

only place where one millisecond<br />

is far more valuable than it is to a<br />

sprinter in a hotly contested 100<br />

meter Olympic race,” remarked<br />

Dr. Onyuma. This figure of speech<br />

couldn’t be any more fitting.<br />

Michael Lewis, a renowned<br />

American financial journalist and<br />

novelist, in his controversial bestseller<br />

Flash Boys explained how futures<br />

traders and arbitragers known as<br />

‘high frequency traders’ used high<br />

speed communications to exploit<br />

the volatility in prices of securities<br />

on Wall Street. Lewis’s book lends<br />

credence to the saying that time is<br />

money as it shows how high speed<br />

communications help traders’ computer<br />

software to detect changes<br />

in prices milliseconds before the<br />

general market does, and how these<br />

software make buy or sell calls to<br />

the benefit of the trader based on<br />

this ‘prior price knowledge advantage’.<br />

Considering the billions of dollars<br />

that Wall Street firms make in<br />

high speed trading, Lewis explained<br />

that it was justifiable for them to<br />

pay a usuriously high premium<br />

to the telecom firm that provided<br />

the fastest data connection speeds.<br />

Some brokerage firms, Lewis illustrated,<br />

even spent more than $300<br />

million boring through mountains<br />

and under rivers to (sh24 billion)<br />

build private communications networks<br />

that were blindingly faster<br />

than what existing telcos could provide.<br />

While Lewis’s book was meant<br />

to question the ethics underlying<br />

high frequency trading, it inadvertently<br />

highlighted the great opportunity<br />

for telecom firms which can<br />

provide high data speeds in the<br />

capital markets.<br />

Even though Kenya’s capital<br />

markets are not as developed when<br />

compared to the U.S., the increasingly<br />

high pace at which the market<br />

is integrating with ICT, as well as<br />

the prospect of a futures market in<br />

the near term, suggests that trading<br />

firms will soon start paying a fat<br />

premium for high speed data connections.<br />

Safaricom’s big head start<br />

in high speed 4G technology, and<br />

the fact that it has made data a central<br />

part of its long-term strategy,<br />

is therefore likely to pay off handsomely<br />

in this regard.<br />

22 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 23


USED CARS<br />

News Feature<br />

Used car dealers<br />

dominate but future<br />

certain to change<br />

New data shows that<br />

Kenya’s total vehicles<br />

sales in the first<br />

six months of <strong>2014</strong><br />

increased to a record<br />

43,360 units, a 23 percent uptick<br />

from 35,246 units in the first half of<br />

2013. The new data further shows<br />

that used cars accounted for 34,445<br />

units (79.4 percent) of overall vehicle<br />

sales in the first half of <strong>2014</strong>, a<br />

19 percent year over year increase.<br />

Interestingly, this didn’t come as a<br />

surprise for sector analysts. Used<br />

car sales generally account for 80<br />

to 90 percent of total vehicle sales<br />

in the Kenyan market, as represented<br />

in historical industry data as<br />

far back as 2009. But as <strong>Business</strong><br />

<strong>Monthly</strong> discovers, this may change;<br />

maybe not now, but in the foreseeable<br />

future.<br />

An overwhelming proportion of<br />

Used car dealers are on an<br />

ambitious offensive. They want to<br />

extend their reach beyond thrifty<br />

households to include cash laden<br />

county governments on their list of<br />

top customers.<br />

order. “The governors as chief executives<br />

of counties are not bound by<br />

policies of national government,” said<br />

Munyori in past media statements.<br />

It remains to be seen whether the<br />

central government can persuade the<br />

autonomous county governments to<br />

adopt similar standards that would<br />

limit them to relatively expensive<br />

new cars. The gaping price differential<br />

between new cars and used<br />

cars may, however, may act as an<br />

incentive for other county governments<br />

to consider the latter in future<br />

car purchases, observers say. This is<br />

because of the increased pressure on<br />

the national government to reduce<br />

nonessential spending. This pressure<br />

is not only coming from the electorate,<br />

which is clamoring for development<br />

projects, but also from the<br />

International Monetary Fund, which<br />

in its recent Africa Pulse report identified<br />

Kenya as one of the key African<br />

governments faced with the challenge<br />

of a rising budget deficit. This<br />

suggests that the resulting austere<br />

policy that will be crafted to reduce<br />

the deficit will encourage counties to<br />

continue striking bargains with used<br />

car dealers. Continued deals between<br />

used car dealers and county governments<br />

will serve to the detriment<br />

of new car dealers, igniting a fierce<br />

turf war.<br />

While free market principles<br />

generally encourage competition,<br />

there are strong signs that<br />

the blistering rivalry between used<br />

car dealers and the new car rivals<br />

has escalated to worrying levels. In<br />

July, <strong>2014</strong>, used car dealers accused<br />

their new car rivals of supplying<br />

the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA)<br />

with inflated CRSPs (current retail<br />

selling price) of models used by the<br />

taxman to compute tax. This, the<br />

used car dealers argued, led to a<br />

higher tax burden for second-hand<br />

car dealers. “The CRSP (current<br />

retail selling price) of some models<br />

are significantly higher than what<br />

one actually pays at local showused<br />

cars sales come from households<br />

and small businesses, industry<br />

data shows. Households and<br />

small enterprises generally prefer<br />

lower prices, explaining why used<br />

car dealers have cornered this market<br />

segment. New car dealers, on the<br />

other hand, mainly target wealthy<br />

individuals, big corporations and the<br />

government, all of whom can pay a<br />

premium. While most used car dealers<br />

specialize with utility vehicles,<br />

new car dealers have in recent years<br />

diversified into the public transport,<br />

trade and construction sectors. This<br />

was reflected in the first half of <strong>2014</strong><br />

when buses and trucks accounted<br />

for more than 90 percent of all units<br />

sold by new dealers.<br />

Used cars dealers have greatly<br />

benefited from the stability in interest<br />

rates over the past year. The<br />

Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) has<br />

held its benchmark lending rate at<br />

8.5 percent since May 2013, leading<br />

to relative stability in commercial<br />

banks’ interest rates. This is important<br />

for used car sales because most<br />

individuals use personal loans to<br />

purchase cars. Loans to households<br />

stood at Sh442.9 billion in June,<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, accounting for a quarter of the<br />

Sh1.7 trillion banking sector loan<br />

book at the time.<br />

Drawn out battle<br />

Used car dealers are on an ambitious<br />

offensive. They want to extend<br />

their reach beyond thrifty households<br />

to include cash laden county<br />

governments on their list of top customers.<br />

A number of counties led by<br />

Machakos County bought over 400<br />

second hand cars in the first quarter<br />

of <strong>2014</strong>, opening a new chapter<br />

in government vehicle procurement.<br />

This did not sit well with new<br />

car dealers, who view government<br />

customers as their undisputed preserve.<br />

Consequently, new car dealers<br />

expressed strong concerns over the<br />

matter.<br />

Through their industry lobby,<br />

Kenya Motor Industry Association,<br />

new car dealers said that counties<br />

should follow the same procedures<br />

as the central government when buying<br />

cars. The central government and<br />

its agencies only buy vehicles from<br />

a list of pre-qualified dealers who<br />

sell models approved by the State’s<br />

Mechanical Department. Charles<br />

Munyori, the secretary-general for<br />

the used car dealers lobby, Kenya<br />

Auto Bazaar Association, however<br />

said that the county governments’<br />

decision to buy used cars was in<br />

While free market principles<br />

generally encourage competition,<br />

there are strong signs that the<br />

blistering rivalry between used car<br />

dealers and the new car rivals has<br />

escalated to worrying levels.<br />

24 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 25


CARS<br />

News Feature<br />

rooms,” said Charles Munyori<br />

of the used car dealers lobby. “This<br />

is unfair and unnecessarily raises<br />

costs for used car dealers and their<br />

customers,” he added. New car dealers<br />

however denied the allegations.<br />

Notwithstanding, these kinds of allegations<br />

strongly suggest that the<br />

rivalry between the two camps has<br />

the potential to develop into a drawn<br />

out battle, especially considering<br />

that used car dealers have closed in<br />

on new car dealers’ traditional markets<br />

such as government customers.<br />

Fighting back<br />

New car dealers have however<br />

not taken kindly to the increased<br />

prescence of used car dealers in key<br />

market segments such as government<br />

customers. Accordingly, new<br />

car dealers have capitalized on the<br />

government’s new appetite for leasing<br />

as opposed to purchasing. In the<br />

past one year, the government has<br />

moved to lease over 2,000 units in<br />

multi-billion-shilling contracts. This<br />

has greatly served to the benefit of<br />

new car dealers. In fact, one of the<br />

key beneficiaries of the leasing contracts<br />

has been Toyota, which won a<br />

Sh3 billion tender in 2013 to supply<br />

1,100 vehicles to the police service<br />

and another Sh1 billion tender<br />

in September, <strong>2014</strong>, to supply 500<br />

vehicles to the same institution.<br />

As government customers continue<br />

to give leasing contracts priority<br />

over purchases, it is conceivable<br />

that new car dealers will record<br />

modest gains in market share in the<br />

coming years. Data released by the<br />

industry lobby for new car dealers<br />

relating to the first nine months of<br />

the year indicate that the impact<br />

of lease contracts on new car sales<br />

has already kicked in. New cars<br />

sales rose 30 percent year-on-year in<br />

the first nine months of the year to<br />

13,060 units, up from 10,042 units<br />

in 2013. There was no corresponding<br />

data on the sales for used cars for the<br />

first nine months of <strong>2014</strong> by the time<br />

Kenya is<br />

following in<br />

the footsteps<br />

of South Africa<br />

and Morocco,<br />

Africa’s two<br />

biggest vehicle<br />

manufacturers.<br />

of going to press. Notwithstanding,<br />

experts argue that leases will help<br />

new car dealers to post record sales<br />

and gain modest market share relative<br />

to their used car counterparts by<br />

the end of the year. This projection is<br />

informed by the fact that at 13,060<br />

units, new car sales for the first three<br />

quarters of <strong>2014</strong> comprised 90 percent<br />

of overall new vehicle sales for<br />

the whole of 2013.<br />

Silent market forces<br />

Even as the rivalry between new<br />

and used car dealers rages on, there<br />

are some silent yet powerful market<br />

forces acting in the backdrop that<br />

could change Kenya’s auto landscape<br />

immensely in the coming<br />

years. These changes, if not anticipated,<br />

could have serious implications<br />

on used car dealers while turning<br />

the tide in favor of their new car<br />

rivals.<br />

There is a strong possibility that<br />

new car dealers will be able to<br />

lower their prices significantly in the<br />

future, allowing them to price at a<br />

level slightly higher though within<br />

the range of similar used car models.<br />

“Price is used car dealers’ key competitive<br />

advantage over their new car<br />

rivals,” remarked Dr. Hanningtone<br />

Gaya, Media 7 Group publisher and<br />

a veteran motoring columnist. “If<br />

they (used car dealers) lose their<br />

competitive advantage, it is hard<br />

to imagine how they will survive,”<br />

added Dr. Gaya, who is also the first<br />

African fellow of The Institute of The<br />

Motor Industry UK. “There is no<br />

conceivable reason why one would<br />

buy a second hand car while they<br />

can get a new car of the same model<br />

at a reasonably small premium,” he<br />

ventured.<br />

Kenya is following in the footsteps<br />

of South Africa and Morocco,<br />

Africa’s two biggest vehicle manufacturers.<br />

This could greatly benefit<br />

new car dealers in the country by<br />

allowing them to lower their prices.<br />

The core reason why South Africa<br />

and Morocco are notably successful<br />

in domestic vehicle manufacturing<br />

and domestic new vehicle sales is<br />

that besides a strong local market,<br />

they have access to attractive<br />

export markets like Europe. The<br />

high and consistent demand in these<br />

exports markets compel Moroccan<br />

and South African firms to operate<br />

at a level of output that attracts huge<br />

economies of scale. These cost savings<br />

translate into relatively lower<br />

retail prices for new car dealers in<br />

the country, allowing them to compete<br />

more aggressively with used car<br />

dealers.<br />

The core reason why South Africa and Morocco<br />

are notably successful in domestic vehicle<br />

manufacturing and domestic new vehicle sales<br />

is that besides a strong local market, they have<br />

access to attractive export markets like Europe.<br />

For South Africa and Morocco’s<br />

auto industries to be where they<br />

are, the two countries were compelled<br />

to overhaul their port facilities.<br />

Both countries have excellent<br />

port facilities, including dedicated<br />

vehicle terminals at Durban in South<br />

Africa and Tanger Med in Morroco.<br />

The ultramodern port facilities allow<br />

for faster processing of vehicles for<br />

export. Accordingly, a 2012 World<br />

Bank study found that with the<br />

exception of Durban, cargo spent an<br />

average of 20 days in African ports,<br />

compared with three to four days in<br />

most other international ports.<br />

The Moroccan and South African<br />

auto industries also lobby their governments<br />

strongly and successfully.<br />

The Moroccan government, as an<br />

example, offers automotive investors<br />

in the country a corporate tax<br />

exemption for the first five years<br />

plus up to 10 percent of the total<br />

cost of developing manufacturing<br />

capacity. It also provides training<br />

programs for workers in the industry.<br />

26 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 27


CARS<br />

News Feature<br />

Although the Kenyan<br />

auto market isn’t at the same level<br />

as South Africa or Morocco, the<br />

pace at which is heading there is<br />

worth writing home about. To start<br />

with, Kenyan vehicle assemblers<br />

have been able to lobby the government<br />

to present tax incentives for<br />

local assemblers. Consequently, the<br />

25 percent duty on imported cars<br />

does not apply to local assemblers<br />

who import vehicle parts, known<br />

as completely knocked down units.<br />

This has made local assembly much<br />

cheaper than importing new cars,<br />

providing new car dealers who buy<br />

locally assembled units some flexibility<br />

in pricing; though not big<br />

enough to match used car dealer<br />

prices. Notwithstanding, the tax<br />

incentive has increased the level of<br />

local assembly, indicating its positive<br />

impact. Data from the Kenya<br />

National Bureau of Statistics shows<br />

that 52.7 percent of new cars sold<br />

in 2013 were locally assembled, up<br />

from 47.3 percent in 2012.<br />

Kenya is also overhauling its<br />

ports. Presently, the Mombasa Port<br />

is in the process of being expanded<br />

to accommodate higher capacity of<br />

goods. Construction of another Port<br />

in Lamu has also begun. Although<br />

the expansion of ports will take time,<br />

it will be the ultimate game changer<br />

that will allow the local auto industry<br />

to access attractive export markets.<br />

When this happens, local assemblers<br />

will be able to attract reasonable<br />

economies of scale, allowing them to<br />

pass on the savings to new car dealers<br />

in the domestic market.<br />

As far as skills for workers in<br />

the auto industry go, the government<br />

plans to set up 60 vocational<br />

training sectors in all the counties.<br />

Through Uwezo Fund, the government<br />

has also partnered with Toyota<br />

Tsusho, Toyota Kenya’s parent company,<br />

to establish a Nairobi-based<br />

academy where young Kenyans will<br />

be trained on job skills relevant to<br />

the auto industry and other specialized<br />

areas. “The short courses<br />

will include training on earthmoving<br />

machinery, accounting, entrepreneurship<br />

and car maintenance,<br />

among others,” said Toyota Kenya<br />

Chairman, Dennis Awori, during the<br />

launch of the academy in mid <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

New strategies<br />

As things slowly fall into place,<br />

Kenya will become increasingly<br />

attractive to vehicle manufacturers.<br />

The tax incentives, active improvement<br />

of technical skills, cheaper<br />

labor and most importantly, development<br />

of export facilities at the<br />

ports will attract vehicle manufacturers<br />

not only targeting the domestic<br />

market, but other far-off export<br />

markets. Already, General Motors<br />

East Africa, which assembles its<br />

vehicles in Kenya, exports its units<br />

to the broader East African market.<br />

Ultimately, local assemblers in<br />

As things<br />

slowly fall into<br />

place, Kenya<br />

will become<br />

increasingly<br />

attractive<br />

to vehicle<br />

manufacturers.<br />

Kenya will be able to work at<br />

a level of cost efficiency akin to<br />

South Africa and Morocco. This<br />

will greatly change the dynamics<br />

in the market, allowing domestic<br />

new car dealers who source locally<br />

assembled units to compete on a<br />

price basis with their second-hand<br />

rivals.<br />

In light of the impending changes<br />

in Kenya’s auto industry, used car<br />

dealers need to start crafting new<br />

strategies. Their current gigantic<br />

market share should not cloud their<br />

assessment of the future; a future<br />

which new car dealers will be able<br />

to compete on a price basis. There<br />

will probably be a need for used car<br />

dealers to merge in order to achieve<br />

economies of scale. Alternatively,<br />

they can also introduce attractive<br />

financing schemes. Although the<br />

tide of change is still far off, it is not<br />

too early to prepare.<br />

28 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015


SAFARICOM<br />

Company Focus<br />

Although Safaricom’s exercise<br />

will primarily focus on congested<br />

urban areas, efforts will also be<br />

directed toward setting up bases<br />

in the remaining 9 percent of the<br />

country where the firm does not<br />

have coverage.<br />

Why Safaricom’s<br />

Sh30 bn infrastructure<br />

overhaul is timely<br />

Safaricom, which in <strong>2014</strong><br />

displaced East Africa<br />

Breweries Ltd as East<br />

Africa’s biggest firm by<br />

market value, will invest<br />

Sh30 billion in an ongoing infrastructure<br />

expansion program that will<br />

extend into early 2015. Safaricom<br />

chief executive, Mr. Bob Collymore,<br />

said that the fresh capital expenditure<br />

will focus on improving capacity,<br />

especially in congested urban areas.<br />

This, as <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> discovered,<br />

will help the company iron out its<br />

online and talking less to each other<br />

on mobile phones, a mid-year report<br />

by the CA shows. This is reflective of<br />

the increased internet connectivity<br />

in the country, which has increased<br />

stratospherically in recent years. “It is<br />

expected that the data/internet market<br />

will maintain an upward trend in<br />

the coming periods,” read a section of<br />

the CA report.<br />

The CA’s observation on the continued<br />

uptick in internet penetration<br />

is corroborated by internet provider,<br />

Liquid Telecom, in a recently<br />

released report titled “Lifting barriers<br />

to internet development in Africa.”<br />

While making a presentation on the<br />

report, Liquid Telecoms Kenya CEO,<br />

Ben Roberts, said that Kenya had<br />

now joined Johannesburg as one of<br />

Africa’s two regional internet hubs.<br />

“Kenya has achieved a confluence<br />

of infrastructure and provision that<br />

has positioned it with the highest<br />

growth in internet take-up compared<br />

to income per capita in Africa,”<br />

remarked Roberts. Despite Kenya’s<br />

growing prominence in internet connectivity<br />

in Africa, there is still wide<br />

scope for growth. Data from the CA<br />

relating to <strong>2014</strong> shows that internet<br />

connectivity in the country stands at<br />

52.3 percent, signaling the vast room<br />

for future growth.<br />

Being acutely aware of the opporquality<br />

of service issues while at the<br />

same time place it in a unique position<br />

to capitalize on emerging opportunities<br />

in the telecoms sector.<br />

Although Safaricom’s exercise<br />

will primarily focus on congested<br />

urban areas, efforts will also be<br />

directed toward setting up bases<br />

in the remaining 9 percent of the<br />

country where the firm does not have<br />

coverage. This is according to statements<br />

from Bob Collymore, who<br />

added that the aim was to connect<br />

Kenya fully.<br />

Quality concerns<br />

Safaricom’s Sh 30 bn infrastructure<br />

expansion exercise comes<br />

on the heels of the completion of<br />

the YuMobile buyout, which gave<br />

Safaricom ownership and control<br />

of YuMobile’s infrastructure.<br />

Accordingly, Safaricom is now<br />

expected to meet the Communication<br />

Authority of Kenya’s (CA) annually<br />

reviewed quality of service standards,<br />

which it previously failed to<br />

meet due to strained infrastructure.<br />

In 2013, for instance, Safaricom had<br />

a score of 50 percent, which was a<br />

far cry from CA’s required 80 percent<br />

score. The CA’s score is based<br />

on eight indicators, including speech<br />

quality, completed calls, call success<br />

rates and call drop rates.<br />

If it is any consolation for<br />

Safaricom, all the other telcos also<br />

failed to meet the CA’s quality of<br />

service standards in 2013. Airtel<br />

and YuMobile (which had in 2013<br />

not been acquired) both scored 50<br />

percent, just like Safaricom. Telkom<br />

Kenya (Orange) pulled ahead of its<br />

peers with 62.5 percent, which notwithstanding<br />

was still considerably<br />

lower than CA’s 80 percent threshold.<br />

In light of Safaricom’s failure to<br />

meet CA’s quality of service standards<br />

in 2013, as well as the preceding<br />

four years, the telecom firm<br />

came under unprecedented pressure<br />

not just from the regulator, but from<br />

the Consumer Federation of Kenya<br />

(Cofek). As represented in press<br />

statements on its website, Cofek<br />

pressed Safaricom relentlessly on the<br />

quality of service issue, asking the<br />

telecom firm why “drastic consumer<br />

action” should not be taken against<br />

it. In response to this sustained pressure,<br />

Safaricom penned a letter dated<br />

August 7th 2013 to Cofek Secretary<br />

General, Mr. Stephen Mutoro, stating<br />

that it would continue investing<br />

“significant resources” to improve its<br />

quality of service.<br />

Interestingly, Safaricom has kept<br />

its word a year after it wrote a letter<br />

to the consumer lobby group saying<br />

that it would continue allocating<br />

resources to improve its quality of<br />

service. The telecom firm continues<br />

to channel more money than<br />

any of its peers into infrastructure<br />

expansion projects—the Sh30 bn<br />

upgrade and YuMobile buyout are<br />

fitting cases in point. The Sh 30bn<br />

infrastructure upgrade, for instance,<br />

is expected to reduce the number of<br />

dropped calls on the network and<br />

enhance overall quality of service.<br />

New opportunities<br />

While Safaricom’s current infrastructure<br />

upgrades are meant to<br />

improve quality of service for its<br />

customers, they also serve a unique<br />

strategic purpose. Increased capacity<br />

will allow Safaricom to capitalize on<br />

the emerging opportunities in data.<br />

Kenyans are chatting more<br />

The telecom<br />

firm continues<br />

to channel<br />

more money<br />

than any of<br />

its peers into<br />

infrastructure<br />

expansion<br />

projects—<br />

the Sh30 bn<br />

upgrade and<br />

YuMobile<br />

buyout are<br />

fitting cases in<br />

point.<br />

tunities in data, Safaricom has compounded<br />

its efforts in the segment.<br />

As a central part of its Sh30 bn<br />

expansion program, the telecom firm<br />

will convert its 2G base stations to<br />

the much faster 3G base stations.<br />

“Over the last year we have seen a<br />

lot of growth in data and voice traffic,<br />

which necessitates us to better<br />

our infrastructure,” said Safaricom’s<br />

Collymore in statements relating to<br />

the Sh30 bn infrastructure expansion<br />

program. “We need to continually<br />

invigorate the network in<br />

order to meet the changing demands<br />

from our subscribers,” he added.<br />

Safaricom will also improve the 3G<br />

networks in cities and other urban<br />

areas where consumption of data<br />

services is highest. The 3G stations<br />

will form the base on which the telco<br />

can further upgrade to 4G, the next<br />

generation of technology that offers<br />

even faster internet connections.<br />

By focusing on improving data<br />

services, Safaricom will be able to<br />

grow non-voice revenues dramatically<br />

in coming years, allowing it<br />

to preserve and grow its margins in<br />

the face of a continually changing<br />

telecoms landscape.<br />

Spin off benefits<br />

The growing internet access in<br />

Kenya provides strong tailwinds<br />

30 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 31


SAFARICOM<br />

Company Focus<br />

The telecom<br />

firm continues<br />

to channel<br />

more money<br />

than any of<br />

its peers into<br />

infrastructure<br />

expansion<br />

projects—<br />

the Sh30 bn<br />

upgrade and<br />

YuMobile<br />

buyout are<br />

fitting cases in<br />

point.<br />

for the continued expansion of<br />

e-commerce, an area where<br />

Safaricom can derive reasonable<br />

earnings through its M-Pesa payments<br />

platform. This is an attractive<br />

spin off benefit of Safaricom’s infrastructure<br />

expansion plan that the<br />

telco will be characteristically keen<br />

to capitalize on.<br />

The amount of money moved<br />

through online shops was central<br />

in placing Kenya among the three<br />

most aggressive economies in Africa,<br />

after Nigeria and South Africa, a<br />

2013 study by multinational professional<br />

service firm, PwC, shows. This<br />

signals the growth of e-commerce<br />

in the country. Deepened internet<br />

access will continue fanning growth<br />

in e-commerce, explaining why a<br />

host of companies have now joined<br />

the fray. <strong>Business</strong> Daily’s Knowledge<br />

Series, The Edge, in October, 17,<br />

<strong>2014</strong> identified at least sixteen<br />

well established reputable e-commerce<br />

websites that had set shop in<br />

Kenya at the time of the publication.<br />

Among other e-commerce websites,<br />

the Nation Media Group publication<br />

identified OLX, which is owned by<br />

South Africa’s Naspers and Rupu,<br />

which is owned by Ringier, a Swiss<br />

media conglomerate. The prescence<br />

of well established foreign e-commerce<br />

firms in Kenya represents the<br />

bright prospects in the country’s fast<br />

growing e-commerce market.<br />

Although increased internet penetration<br />

has played an instrumental<br />

role in facilitating the growth of<br />

e-commerce in Kenya, there have<br />

been many hurdles that have undermined<br />

growth in the sector. Key<br />

among these hurdles has been delivering<br />

online orders in a country<br />

with strained infrastructure and<br />

poor addressing systems. Despite<br />

this seemingly huge goliath of a<br />

challenge, most e-commerce firms<br />

remain undeterred in their quest<br />

to carve out a slice of the market,<br />

hinting that the profits in the sector<br />

outweigh the cost of circumventing<br />

the mammoth challenges. Online<br />

firm, Kilimall, as an illustration, is<br />

exploring drone delivery services in<br />

Nairobi as a means of circumventing<br />

the issue of poor infrastructure.<br />

Drones are unmanned aerial vehicles<br />

that are controlled either autonomously<br />

by onboard computers or<br />

through remote control by a pilot in<br />

a remote location. “We are currently<br />

engaging the Kenya Civil Aviation<br />

Authority and will also be talking to<br />

the Ministry of Defence,” remarked<br />

Kariuki Maina, Kilimall marketing<br />

manager. Although approval may<br />

still be far-off owing to the intense<br />

safety and security considerations<br />

that generally go into approving<br />

drones, Kilimall’s out of the box<br />

thinking strongly suggests that the<br />

prospects in Kenya’s e-commerce<br />

sector are too bright to ignore. This<br />

intimates that e-commerce’s market<br />

value will witness astronomical<br />

upward revisions in coming years.<br />

The CA estimates that the current<br />

value of e-commerce in Kenya is<br />

Sh4.3 billion, compared with South<br />

Africa’s Sh54 billion, Egypt’s Sh17<br />

billion and Morocco’s Sh9.6 billion.<br />

Although the current total market<br />

value of e-commerce in Kenya pales<br />

in comparison to what Safaricom<br />

derives from its primary market<br />

segments such as voice and SMS,<br />

e-commerce is still a high priority<br />

area for the firm. When the Kenyan<br />

e-commerce market value is viewed<br />

in the context of what advanced<br />

markets such as South Africa are<br />

worth, it is clearly evident that there<br />

is still wide scope for future growth<br />

in the Kenyan market.<br />

Safaricom’s continued infrastructure<br />

expansion to support<br />

increased internet penetration will<br />

therefore not only serve to increase<br />

the firm’s data revenue, but it will<br />

also present a platform for the telco<br />

to pursue greater opportunities in<br />

payments in East Africa include airtime,<br />

which comprises 46 percent of<br />

e-commerce business, mobile phones<br />

and accessories (30 percent), bills<br />

(10 percent), clothing (5 percent)<br />

and food (2 percent). Safaricom<br />

facilitates transactions in all these<br />

areas, especially in airtime and bills<br />

where it users rely on its sim-based<br />

M-Pesa application, and in mobile<br />

phones and accessories sales where<br />

it has a web-based marketplace that<br />

accepts M-Pesa.<br />

This couldn’t be timed any better<br />

in light of the recent entry of formidable<br />

rivals into the payments market<br />

such as Equity Bank. The bank,<br />

which is Kenya’s biggest lender by<br />

customer base, recently rolled out a<br />

SIM-based payments solution that<br />

experts argue will give Safaricom’s<br />

M-Pesa a run for its money.<br />

32 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 33


NIGERIA<br />

Country Focus<br />

Today, seven of the ten fastest<br />

growing economies in<br />

the world are in Africa. But<br />

the growth is not inclusive.<br />

Growth is important, but<br />

nobody eats GDP. Africa’s rural economies<br />

harbour the greatest share of<br />

those being left behind or excluded.<br />

We must ensure that Africa grows in<br />

a way that lifts hundreds of millions<br />

out of poverty. Because the majority<br />

of our people are in the rural areas,<br />

we must make sure that the nature<br />

of the new growth in Africa is one<br />

that opens up the rural economy. A<br />

totally revived rural economy must<br />

become the new economy of Africa.<br />

We must end the era of prodigal<br />

economics, where Africa ignores<br />

its own agricultural potential and<br />

turns itself into a net food importing<br />

region, spending a whopping $35<br />

billion on food imports annually. Yet,<br />

65% of all available arable land to<br />

feed the 9 billion people in the world<br />

by 2050 lies in Africa.<br />

It was this belief that led Kofi<br />

Annan, as United Nations Secretary<br />

General in 2004 to call for a uniquely<br />

African green revolution, which<br />

inspired all of us. He knew that<br />

Africa has potential in agriculture,<br />

and like the visionary late Dr.<br />

Norman Borlaug, he threw a challenge<br />

to all of us right here, in Addis<br />

Ababa on July 5, 2004 to achieve<br />

this green revolution.<br />

Much has been achieved since<br />

we started and the journey is full<br />

of emerging shoots of successes.<br />

From the rolling hills of Rwanda<br />

to the highlands of Ethiopia, the<br />

southern Tanzania, Ghana, Mali,<br />

Mozambique, Matoke fields in<br />

Uganda and the diverse ecologies of<br />

vast lands of Nigeria, fields of hope<br />

with bumper harvests are rising.<br />

I am inspired by the level of partnerships<br />

for change that have been<br />

built over the years – an alliance of<br />

farmers, researchers, political leaders,<br />

private sector and philanthropic<br />

organizations, all with one goal<br />

Africa’s quest to<br />

feed itself lies within<br />

We must set higher targets for ourselves in this quest for Africa to feed itself.<br />

We must not get complacent, for the voices of millions of malnourished children<br />

must spur us to action. No African child must ever go hungry.<br />

and one mission: turn Africa into a<br />

breadbasket for the world.<br />

We must set higher targets for<br />

ourselves in this quest for Africa to<br />

feed itself. We must not get complacent,<br />

for the voices of millions of<br />

malnourished children must spur us<br />

to action. No African child must ever<br />

go hungry.<br />

To achieve our goal, we must set<br />

a new vision for agricultural transformation,<br />

inspired by the political<br />

leadership of African leaders and the<br />

African Union. As it was during the<br />

days of apartheid, Africans united<br />

together, our leaders inspired us<br />

and our friends supported us. Africa<br />

must feed itself and all Africans<br />

must arise. This new vision must be<br />

one that sees agriculture as a business<br />

not as a development program.<br />

The new vision must be focused on<br />

governments enabling the private<br />

sector. We must focus sharply on<br />

raising private sector investments in<br />

agriculture.<br />

This new vision for transforming<br />

Africa’s agriculture is what I<br />

Our new rice policy has attracted<br />

$1.6 billion of private sector investments,<br />

and we expect that Nigeria<br />

will become a net exporter of rice,<br />

just like Thailand or India, within<br />

the next four years. Such is the<br />

power of science and technology<br />

when matched with strong supportive<br />

policy support instruments to<br />

drive impacts at scale.<br />

As a result national food production<br />

increased by an additional<br />

21 million MT between 2012 and<br />

<strong>2014</strong>, surpassing the set target of 20<br />

million MT set for 2015. Nigeria met<br />

its MDG Goal One on hunger and<br />

extreme poverty two years ahead<br />

of the 2015 United Nations target.<br />

Nigeria’s food import bill declined<br />

from $6.9 billion in 2009 to $4.35<br />

billion in <strong>December</strong> 2013 and continues<br />

to decline. Such is the power<br />

of agricultural transformations when<br />

there exists strong political will and<br />

supportive policies.<br />

But we need more than bountiful<br />

harvests. We must create markets<br />

for farm produce. Much is being<br />

achieved, as commodity exchanges<br />

are expanding across the continent,<br />

from South Africa, Ethiopia,<br />

Rwanda, Kenya, Nigeria, as well as<br />

warehouse receipt systems.<br />

We must add value to all our<br />

farm produce. There is nothing like<br />

a low value crop. In Nigeria we have<br />

embarked on a major effort to use<br />

cassava flour to substitute for wheat<br />

flour in bread and confectionaries.<br />

Today, 35 bakeries have shifted<br />

to the composite cassava-wheat<br />

flour, including the largest supermarket<br />

chains in Africa; Shop Rite<br />

and Spar. By substituting 20% cassava<br />

flour, Nigeria will save over $<br />

1 billion annually and unlock new<br />

economic opportunities for cassava<br />

farmers and processors.<br />

Nestle is using millet to produce<br />

top end breakfast cereals, while in<br />

Kenya, Uganda and Nigeria sorghum<br />

is used by the brewercall<br />

“government-enabled privatesector<br />

led agricultural transformation<br />

agenda.” Under this new vision,<br />

governments must become innovators<br />

just like the private sector and<br />

develop innovative policies and institutions<br />

that will expand opportunities<br />

for the private sector, especially<br />

farmers who themselves form the<br />

largest private sector.<br />

African governments must boldly<br />

support their farmers. They must<br />

also ensure that input markets work<br />

for farmers. Some may argue that<br />

supporting farmers in Africa via subsidies<br />

is not sustainable. I argue that<br />

poverty is not sustainable. Africa<br />

cannot become a museum of poverty.<br />

Poverty is not tradable and is<br />

not an industry, so Africa must not<br />

grow poverty. What is important is<br />

to develop ways of effectively targeting<br />

support to reach farmers, while<br />

ensuring that the private sector, not<br />

the government, delivers farm inputs<br />

to farmers.<br />

This is what we did in Nigeria.<br />

When I took office as Minister of<br />

Agriculture in 2011, we ended four<br />

decades of fertilizer sector corruption<br />

within 90 days and with it the<br />

era of government buying and distributing<br />

seeds and fertilizers, and<br />

replaced it with a private sectordriven<br />

system.<br />

The role of government shifted<br />

to providing targeted farm support<br />

directly to farmers for seeds<br />

and fertilizers via electronic coupons<br />

on mobile phones or “e-wallets”.<br />

Between 2012 and <strong>2014</strong>, a<br />

total of 14 million farmers received<br />

their subsidized farm inputs using<br />

electronic vouchers on their mobile<br />

phones to directly pay private sector<br />

input retailers.<br />

To enable the private sector seed<br />

companies to develop and thrive, we<br />

ended government monopoly over<br />

foundation seeds and opened it all<br />

up to the private sector. My dear<br />

friend and colleague, Joe Devries<br />

To enable<br />

the private<br />

sector seed<br />

companies<br />

to develop<br />

and thrive,<br />

we ended<br />

government<br />

monopoly<br />

over<br />

foundation<br />

seeds and<br />

opened it<br />

all up to<br />

the private<br />

sector.<br />

and his team at AGRA helped us to<br />

strengthen the capacity of our seed<br />

companies. Spurred by the demand<br />

for seed through the e-wallet system,<br />

the number of seed companies in<br />

Nigeria rose from 5 to 80 within<br />

three years.<br />

One of the local seed companies,<br />

Maslaha Seeds has become a<br />

pride of the nation, increasing its<br />

seed production from 14,800 MT<br />

in 2011 to about 150,000 MT by<br />

2013. I always knew that with me as<br />

Minister in Nigeria and support of<br />

my friend Joe Devries, we could do<br />

amazing things.<br />

Nowhere is the impact of these<br />

policies more evident than in our<br />

drive to become self-sufficient in rice.<br />

Between 2012 and <strong>2014</strong>, 6 million<br />

rice farmers were reached with the<br />

improved rice varieties. Total cumulative<br />

cultivated rice area rose by 2<br />

million hectares. National paddy rice<br />

production rose by an additional 7<br />

million MT.<br />

34 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 35


NIGERIA<br />

Country Focus<br />

ies to replace malt, and in Ghana<br />

and Mozambique cassava beer has become<br />

popular from SAB Miller.<br />

We must unlock new sources of financing<br />

for agriculture. With rapid economic<br />

growth in Africa, the pool of funds in the<br />

private sector is expanding and dwarfs<br />

public funds.<br />

Pension funds, sovereign wealth funds,<br />

equity markets and bond markets all offer<br />

great opportunities to deploy financing for<br />

development of agriculture infrastructure,<br />

roads, rails and ports and irrigation. We<br />

must leverage these to access long term<br />

financing for agriculture. To do so, we must<br />

de-risk the financial value chains.<br />

Africa is succeeding in doing this using<br />

innovative financing tools, AGRA successfully<br />

leveraged banks in Kenya, Tanzania,<br />

Uganda, Ghana and Mozambique to lend<br />

over $100 million to small farmers and<br />

input retailers.<br />

In Nigeria, we designed the risk sharing<br />

facility for the Central Bank of Nigeria,<br />

which leveraged $3.5 billion of lending<br />

from the balance sheets of banks to agriculture<br />

value chains. In all these cases, the<br />

default rates by farmers and agribusinesses<br />

has been less than 2-3%, and in the case of<br />

Africa is succeeding<br />

in doing this using<br />

innovative financing<br />

tools, AGRA successfully<br />

leveraged banks in<br />

Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda,<br />

Ghana and Mozambique<br />

to lend over $100 million<br />

to small farmers and<br />

input retailers.<br />

Nigeria it has been 0% for the past three<br />

years. Farmers should be provided with<br />

affordable single-digit interest rates to further<br />

spur growth across Africa rural areas.<br />

To achieve Africa’s goal of being a<br />

global powerhouse in agriculture, governments<br />

must enable the private sector to<br />

drive mechanization of agriculture. Talk to<br />

anyone about agriculture in Africa and they<br />

will paint a picture of farmers – mainly<br />

women – with hoes and cutlasses. We must<br />

face the fact: hoes and cutlasses are outdated<br />

technologies. They simply connote<br />

suffering. The time has come to rapidly<br />

mechanize Africa’s agriculture.<br />

President Jonathan launched in<br />

November a $340 million farm mechanization<br />

policy to take hoes and cutlasses<br />

into the museums and replace them with<br />

affordable and appropriate modern farm<br />

machinery.<br />

The government will enable the private<br />

sector tractor manufacturers and service<br />

operators to establish 1,200 Agricultural<br />

Equipment Hiring Enterprises across the<br />

country. Government will provide mechanization<br />

grants to farmers on their mobile<br />

phones, which they will use to access<br />

mechanization services from private sector<br />

mechanization service operators.<br />

To reach farmers at scale, major attention<br />

should be put to revamping agriculture<br />

extension systems across the continent. The<br />

use of mobile phones for e-extension and<br />

farmer-help line centres that link researchers<br />

and farmers in real time should be<br />

promoted.<br />

mAdvances in rapid soil testing such<br />

as the Soil Doctors developed at Columbia<br />

University, which allows rapid diagnosis<br />

of soil nutrient problems within minutes,<br />

should be promoted across Africa to support<br />

sustainable agriculture. Young agricul-<br />

ture graduates can become mobile<br />

extension agents servicing the needs<br />

of farmers.<br />

We must address the rapidly<br />

ageing population of farmers in<br />

Africa. With average age of farmers<br />

at 60 years in many countries, and<br />

with the youth migrating into urban<br />

areas, Africa faces the risk of having<br />

no farmers left within 20 years. We<br />

must avoid this “ageing farmer crisis’<br />

and take decisive policy steps to get<br />

the youth into agriculture.<br />

That is why in Nigeria we<br />

have set the deliberate policy to<br />

establish the Youth Employment in<br />

Agriculture Program with the goal<br />

of developing 750,000 new cadres of<br />

young commercial farmers and agribusiness<br />

entrepreneurs over the next<br />

five years. They will be supported<br />

with access to technical and business<br />

skills, access to land and affordable<br />

finance and market development<br />

support systems. We must also make<br />

agriculture exciting for the youth.<br />

The “Do Agric – It pays” initiative<br />

of African musicians, inspired<br />

by the development-focused Irish<br />

Pop Star, Bono, is already getting<br />

the youth to see agriculture as a<br />

viable business. If well supported, I<br />

believe the future young millionaires<br />

of Africa will come out of agriculture.<br />

Yes, Do Agric – It pays!<br />

Many of these should be women,<br />

so we must pay greater attention to<br />

the needs of women farmers, who<br />

form the majority of farmers, but<br />

are marginalized and lack access<br />

to labour saving farm equipment,<br />

extension, finance, and secure land<br />

rights. African women farmers have<br />

waited too long. Now, we must arise<br />

and embark on bold Africa-wide policy<br />

interventions to end this marginalization.<br />

Words will not be enough,<br />

only actions will count.<br />

To start, we must adopt an affirmative<br />

finance action for women<br />

across Africa, requiring that at least<br />

30% of all loans by finance institutions<br />

go to women farmers and<br />

President<br />

Jonathan<br />

launched in<br />

November<br />

a $340<br />

million farm<br />

mechanization<br />

policy to take<br />

hoes and<br />

cutlasses into<br />

the museums<br />

and replace<br />

them with<br />

affordable and<br />

appropriate<br />

modern farm<br />

machinery.<br />

women agribusinesses. Evidence<br />

shows that women rarely default.<br />

Nothing pays better than investing<br />

in women.<br />

But the gains we have made in<br />

the past few years are being challenged<br />

by climate change. Greater<br />

public funding for research will be<br />

needed to develop heat, drought and<br />

flood tolerant crops, forages that can<br />

cope with heat stress, animals with<br />

high stress tolerance levels, as well<br />

as improving adaptation for farmers.<br />

Improved land and water management<br />

will become even more<br />

important, as well as the use of agroecological<br />

approaches. It is imperative<br />

for governments, researchers<br />

and the wider development community<br />

to build resilience into agricultural<br />

value chains. Public policies<br />

should support farmers to take<br />

up crop and livestock insurance, as<br />

these are beyond the reach of many<br />

poor farmers. We must not abandon<br />

farmers in the face of climate change.<br />

Despite gains being made in the<br />

transformation of agriculture, Africa<br />

still faces a huge challenge with malnutrition.<br />

While our cities are getting<br />

face lifts with modern infrastructure,<br />

we are not investing in “grey matter<br />

infrastructure”. The picture is not<br />

pretty as 26% of all malnourished<br />

children in developing countries are<br />

in Africa. We must broaden the green<br />

revolution agenda to include nutrition.<br />

We should aggressively promote<br />

food fortification, bio-fortification,<br />

school feeding programs and<br />

provision of multi-nutrient powers<br />

to mothers.<br />

We must set a new agenda to<br />

develop effective public-private partnerships<br />

that will end malnutrition<br />

in Africa. Today, over 80% of the high<br />

energy foods used in Africa are from<br />

Asia and Europe. But all it takes to<br />

develop these high energy foods are<br />

sorghum, maize and soybeans, all<br />

of which are produced abundantly<br />

now in Africa. To address this, a<br />

Partnership for High Energy Foods<br />

in Africa is being developed, spearheaded<br />

by public and private sector<br />

within Africa.<br />

Today, let us strengthen the<br />

power of partnerships. From the<br />

inspiring work of AGRA, Africa<br />

Union’s New Vision for Agriculture,<br />

Grow Africa, New Alliance for Food<br />

and Nutrition, there is new momentum<br />

behind agriculture in Africa.<br />

We have reached the tipping point.<br />

Now we must ensure that we deliver<br />

greater impacts for African agriculture<br />

through government-enabled<br />

private sector-led agricultural transformation.<br />

I have every confidence that,<br />

together, we will feed Africa. I cast<br />

my mind back to the days of apartheid<br />

struggle, as bold leaders chanted<br />

“Amandla” (power) and the people<br />

responded “Ngawethu” (power to the<br />

people).<br />

Today, as we drive the green revolution<br />

for Africa, the same slogan<br />

applies, except the power now is the<br />

power to innovate, to drive change,<br />

develop and scale up appropriate<br />

technologies, transform institutions<br />

and make Africa the continent of<br />

our dreams: full of prosperity and<br />

inclusive growth for hundreds of<br />

millions of people. You are the leaders<br />

than can make this happen. Then<br />

all of Africa’s farmers will respond<br />

to your shout of “Amandla” with<br />

“Ngawethu”!<br />

By Dr. Akinwumi Adesina, Honourable<br />

Minister of Agriculture of Nigeria<br />

36 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 37


ENERGY<br />

Sector Feature<br />

Olkaria’s new plant to<br />

steam 140mw into the economy<br />

For an extended period<br />

now, Kenyan manufacturers’<br />

appeals for cheaper electricity<br />

have been as consistent<br />

and resounding as the<br />

archetypical African MP’s plea<br />

for a higher salary.<br />

Aa day after jetting in<br />

from a high profile business<br />

summit in Kigali,<br />

Rwanda, President<br />

Uhuru Kenyatta officially<br />

commissioned a new power plant<br />

at the Olkaria IV power plant.<br />

The 52 year old leader was visibly<br />

excited as he toured the Naivashabased<br />

geothermal power plant, his<br />

broad smile expressing his exuberance<br />

more accurately than words<br />

could describe. The president’s contagious<br />

felicity was inspired by the<br />

fact that he had not only commissioned<br />

the world’s biggest geothermal<br />

plant, but that the plant presents<br />

an avalanche of economic benefits<br />

for Kenya. <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong><br />

identified these benefits, describing<br />

how they will help power the country’s<br />

economy.<br />

While commissioning the<br />

140mw plant in Olkaria Naivasha,<br />

President Uhuru Kenyatta said<br />

the cost of power in Kenya would<br />

decline by 30 percent within the<br />

October-November time period.<br />

Costs, he explained, would decline<br />

as a function of increased power<br />

supply. He also added that the<br />

when his government commissions<br />

yet another 140mw plant in<br />

Olkaria in the month of <strong>December</strong>,<br />

costs will decline even further by a<br />

staggering 50 percent. This, he said,<br />

was in line with the goal to increase<br />

power production to 5,000mw by<br />

2017. “We are committed to increasing<br />

power production to 5,000mw<br />

by 2017, and also make sure that<br />

the cost of living comes down,”<br />

remarked a sprightly Kenyatta. The<br />

president’s stance was corroborated<br />

by statements from Energy Cabinet<br />

Secretary, Davis Chir Chir, who also<br />

added that power production had<br />

risen from 1,600mw to 2,350mw<br />

under the Kenyatta Administration.<br />

Manufacturers win<br />

For an extended period now,<br />

Kenyan manufacturers’ appeals for<br />

cheaper electricity have been as consistent<br />

and resounding as the archetypical<br />

African MP’s plea for a higher<br />

salary. The only big disappointment<br />

is that unlike MPs, Kenyan<br />

manufacturers’ pleas have not been<br />

heard fast enough. This has imposed<br />

serious implications on the sector.<br />

Kenya Association of Manufacturers<br />

(KAM) chief executive, Betty Maina,<br />

has expressed concerns over the<br />

high cost of electricity repeatedly in<br />

addresses to the media. “The current<br />

high power tariffs are already having<br />

a negative impact on the country’s<br />

manufacturing sector,” Maina said<br />

in previous media statements. “This<br />

is in turn hurting our competitiveness<br />

in the international market, as<br />

locally produced products are priced<br />

higher than those produced by competing<br />

countries,” added Maina, who<br />

represents over 9,000 manufactures<br />

at the helm of the KAM.<br />

High energy costs have not only<br />

severely constrained Kenyan manufacturer’s<br />

ability to compete, but<br />

have hamstrung Kenya’s progression<br />

on the World Bank’s ease of<br />

doing business survey. Data from<br />

the World Bank’s ease of doing<br />

business report shows that Kenya<br />

scored overall position 106 in the<br />

2010/11 rankings, position 109 in<br />

the 2011/12 rankings, position 121<br />

in 2012/13 rankings and position<br />

129 in 2013/<strong>2014</strong> rankings.<br />

Kenya’s decline in ease of doing<br />

business linked to high cost of energy<br />

While the World Bank reports<br />

identified a number of factors as<br />

contributors to Kenya’s decline for<br />

four years straight in the ease of<br />

doing business survey, the high cost<br />

of energy was repeatedly keyed out<br />

as a notorious contributor. The additional<br />

140mw that Olkaria IV promises<br />

should, however, help address<br />

the problem of high cost of electricity.<br />

This will be welcome news for<br />

manufacturers, who use up close to<br />

60 percent of the energy produced<br />

in the country, according to government<br />

reports.<br />

Year Global Position Number of positions dropped<br />

2010/11 106 —<br />

2011/12 109 3<br />

2012/13 121 12<br />

2013/14 129 8<br />

The decision to broaden Kenya’s<br />

energy mix to include a higher composition<br />

of geothermal sources is<br />

also benefits manufacturers. Kenyan<br />

manufacturers regularly lament that<br />

the issue is not just the cost of electricity,<br />

but the ability to receive it<br />

consistently without outages. “One<br />

would rather have expensive but<br />

consistent and reliable power, than<br />

rationing which will result in massive<br />

losses as a result of non- productivity,”<br />

said KAM’s Maina.<br />

Geothermal sources enable<br />

Kenya to reduce dependence on<br />

hydroelectric power, which is subject<br />

to the vagaries of rain patterns. In<br />

the past, erratic rain patterns have<br />

led to serious shortfalls in electricity<br />

supply, leading to rationing and terrifyingly<br />

high utility bills for manufacturers<br />

and businesses. Worse still,<br />

erratic rain patterns are expected to<br />

persist, if not get worse, according<br />

to a <strong>2014</strong> African Agriculture Status<br />

Report. The report, which was<br />

recently released in Addis Ababa,<br />

Ethiopia, says that the pace and<br />

severity of climate change in Africa<br />

will increase. This observation is<br />

shared by the Intergovernmental<br />

Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),<br />

which expects rainfall in East Africa<br />

over the next several years to be<br />

more erratic and sporadic, despite<br />

a slight increase in overall volume.<br />

With the projected increase<br />

in erratic rain patterns, the need<br />

to explore new sources of energy<br />

beyond rainfall in Kenya will be<br />

magnified. The expansion of geothermal<br />

sources in Olkaria is therefore<br />

welcome news as it will allow<br />

the government to supply energy<br />

consistently even in the face of unexpected<br />

changes in rain patterns that<br />

may affect hydroelectric power generation.<br />

Lingering concern<br />

While manufacturers are generally<br />

elated by the prospect of cheaper<br />

energy, some critics argue that<br />

With the<br />

projected<br />

increase in<br />

erratic rain<br />

patterns,<br />

the need<br />

to explore<br />

new sources<br />

of energy<br />

beyond<br />

rainfall in<br />

Kenya will be<br />

magnified.<br />

38 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 39


ENERGY<br />

Sector Feature<br />

there is a lingering concern that<br />

needs to be addressed. According to<br />

critics, the government is overambitious<br />

in its plan to expand power<br />

production to 5,000mw by 2017.<br />

This capacity, they argue, could leave<br />

the country with more energy than<br />

it needs. This has fanned fears that<br />

the surplus energy could end up<br />

going to waste; a fear that is further<br />

compounded by the fact that KAM<br />

admits that the country’s current<br />

manufacturing base cannot take up<br />

all the new electricity expected to<br />

come on board. “We need new industries<br />

in the country to ensure the<br />

5000MW of energy are utilized,”<br />

ventured KAM’s Betty Maina.<br />

Key stakeholders in the energy<br />

sector have however taken preemptive<br />

measures to ensure that surplus<br />

energy does not go to waste.<br />

The Kenya Electricity Generating<br />

Company (KenGen), Geothermal<br />

Development Company (GDC),<br />

Kenya Power and Lighting Company<br />

(KPLC) and other sector stakeholders<br />

have designed a web portal where<br />

manufacturers and other large and<br />

medium sized consumers can provide<br />

the government with information<br />

relating to their energy needs.<br />

In a press release on the company<br />

website, KPLC managing director,<br />

Dr. Ben Chumo, said the web portal<br />

will help the sector gauge electricity<br />

requirements for medium and large<br />

power consumers who are either<br />

planning to invest or are already<br />

operating in the country. This program<br />

will help the energy sector to<br />

project the level of demand before<br />

it produces electricity, limiting the<br />

possibility of wastage. “The project<br />

(demand forecasting) is important<br />

to ensure that the power generated<br />

does not go to waste,” said Betty<br />

Maina<br />

Based on statements from<br />

President Kenyatta, it appears that<br />

analysts should take comfort rather<br />

than concern in the fact that Kenya’s<br />

energy sector will be able to produce<br />

higher output of power. According<br />

to President Kenyatta, the ability<br />

to produce more power is vital in<br />

increasing Kenya’s appeal as a low<br />

cost destination for investors. An<br />

influx of investors will help reverse<br />

the soaring levels of unemployment,<br />

especially among the youth.<br />

“We expect more investors in the<br />

country and also more job opportunities<br />

for our youths, following<br />

the commissioning of this project,”<br />

remarked President Kenyatta while<br />

in Olkaria, Naivasha. Coupled with<br />

reforms in the judicial sector, as<br />

well as improvements in infrastructure,<br />

cheaper electricity will increase<br />

Kenya’s luster among investors,<br />

attracting them in droves.<br />

Trickle down<br />

The government has already<br />

started preparing the workforce for<br />

the influx of investments in manufacturing.<br />

It is establishing vocational<br />

training facilities to increase the<br />

number of workers with specialized<br />

skills. The Ministry of Education<br />

announced in August, <strong>2014</strong>, that<br />

it had selected 60 constituencies<br />

where new technical institutes would<br />

be built, strongly suggesting that<br />

the government is anticipating and<br />

preparing for increased investments<br />

The benefits<br />

of lower<br />

electricity<br />

costs will also<br />

trickle down<br />

to the folks<br />

of the bottom<br />

of pyramid<br />

through lower<br />

utility bills<br />

and a general<br />

decline in the<br />

cost of living.<br />

in manufacturing brought about by<br />

incentives such as cheaper and reliable<br />

power.<br />

The benefits of lower electricity<br />

costs will also trickle down to<br />

the folks of the bottom of pyramid<br />

through lower utility bills and a<br />

general decline in the cost of living.<br />

The high cost of living notoriously<br />

and consistently features in Kenya’s<br />

list of grievances like a perpetual<br />

troublemaker in a primary school<br />

class prefect’s list of noisemakers.<br />

A slew of polls and reports strongly<br />

corroborate this observation, including<br />

one released by Ipsos Synovate in<br />

March, <strong>2014</strong> where a staggering 50<br />

percent of respondents identified the<br />

high cost of living as their greatest<br />

concern. “Cost of living continues as<br />

the main issue that worries Kenyans<br />

the most with 50 per cent mentioning<br />

it when asked to identify whatever<br />

they feel the most serious issue<br />

is in the country as a whole,” said<br />

Ipsos Synovate while releasing its<br />

poll. The high cost of living in Kenya<br />

is strongly linked to the high cost of<br />

energy. This is because energy costs<br />

account for up to 40 percent of the<br />

production expenses of manufacturers<br />

in Kenya, according to KAM’s<br />

Betty Maina.<br />

As manufacturers and businesses<br />

enjoy lower cost of energy, it is<br />

expected that a portion of the saved<br />

costs will be passed down to consumers<br />

in the form of lower product<br />

prices. This will include a decline<br />

in the price of basics such a maize<br />

flour and sugar, which are usually<br />

inflated by high energy costs during<br />

processing. “Take my word that the<br />

cost of goods will come down and<br />

this will lead to a lower cost of living<br />

for all Kenyans,” said President<br />

Kenyatta while speaking after commissioning<br />

Olkaria IV in Naivasha.<br />

“What you are seeing is not a story,<br />

it is facts that are happening,” added<br />

the Deputy President, William Ruto,<br />

who also talked to the media at the<br />

commissioning of Olkaria IV.<br />

40 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015


FOOD<br />

Special Report<br />

The GMO debate<br />

rolls in again<br />

In 2012, the Kenyan government imposed a blanket ban on the importation of Genetically<br />

Modified Organisms (GMOs). This ban was primarily informed by the findings of a research<br />

conducted by French scientists that linked GMO products to cancer. The study was however<br />

recanted on grounds that it did not follow the internationally accepted standards of<br />

undertaking research. Despite the recantation of the study, the ban has still not been lifted.<br />

This has invited sharp criticism from biotechnology companies. Now, major higher learning<br />

institutions in the country have joined the fray, arguing that biotechnology offers the country<br />

the best way out of malnutrition and hunger. Despite the increased advocacy for lifting the<br />

GMO ban, a formidable cohort of anti-GMO lobbyists are still strongly opposed to GMOs.<br />

Interestingly, both proponents and opponents of GMO present powerfully persuasive<br />

arguments. But who is right? <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong>’s Lennox Yieke reports.<br />

On October 3, <strong>2014</strong>, top<br />

Kenyan scientists from<br />

leading public universities<br />

told a parliamentary<br />

committee that the<br />

controversial ban on importation<br />

and consumption of GM products<br />

needed to be urgently lifted in order<br />

to address food security issues.<br />

The scientists hailed from Egerton<br />

University, Kenyatta University,<br />

University of Nairobi and the Jomo<br />

Kenyatta University of Science<br />

and Technology. Led by Egerton<br />

University vice chancellor, Professor<br />

James Tuitoek, the university dons<br />

said that the methods used to produce<br />

GM crops were safe. “We know<br />

that there have been controversies<br />

surrounding consumption of GM<br />

foods from various pressure groups<br />

but we can assure you that there is<br />

nothing sinister in the work we do,”<br />

remarked Professor Tuitoek.<br />

Besides outlining the GM product<br />

ban’s negative effect on food<br />

security, the team of university scientists<br />

also told legislators that it was<br />

ironical that the same government<br />

that was funding their GM-centered<br />

research projects was limiting the<br />

use of the findings of their research<br />

work. “We were given Sh18 million<br />

to develop new varieties of sweet<br />

potatoes and we are using transgenic<br />

maize and cassava. It is not<br />

right for the same government to<br />

ban the use of the same products,”<br />

remarked Dr. Richard Oduor of<br />

Kenyatta University while addressing<br />

Members of Parliament at the<br />

parliamentary committee.<br />

Despite the apparent endorsement<br />

of GM crops by top university<br />

researchers in the country,<br />

MPs expressed concerns that the<br />

scientists who initially advised then<br />

Public Health Minister, Beth Mugo,<br />

on the ban held a divergent view—<br />

that GMOs were unsafe. “You are all<br />

scientists but you cannot agree on<br />

this very important issue. We cannot<br />

ask the government to lift the ban if<br />

you can’t convince us of the safety<br />

of the GMOs,” said Mumias East<br />

On October 3, <strong>2014</strong>, top Kenyan<br />

scientists from leading public universities<br />

told a parliamentary committee<br />

that the controversial ban<br />

on importation and consumption of<br />

GM products needed to be urgently<br />

lifted in order to address food<br />

security issues. The scientists hailed<br />

from Egerton University, Kenyatta<br />

University, University of Nairobi<br />

and the Jomo Kenyatta University<br />

of Science and Technology. Led by<br />

Egerton University vice chancellor,<br />

Professor James Tuitoek, the university<br />

dons said that the methods<br />

used to produce GM crops were safe.<br />

“We know that there have been controversies<br />

surrounding consumption<br />

of GM foods from various pressure<br />

groups but we can assure you that<br />

there is nothing sinister in the work<br />

we do,” remarked Professor Tuitoek.<br />

Besides outlining the GM product<br />

ban’s negative effect on food<br />

security, the team of university scientists<br />

also told legislators that it was<br />

ironical that the same government<br />

that was funding their GM-centered<br />

research projects was limiting the<br />

use of the findings of their research<br />

work. “We were given Sh18 million<br />

to develop new varieties of sweet<br />

potatoes and we are using transgenic<br />

maize and cassava. It is not<br />

right for the same government to<br />

ban the use of the same products,”<br />

remarked Dr. Richard Oduor of<br />

Kenyatta University while addressing<br />

Members of Parliament at the<br />

parliamentary committee.<br />

Despite the apparent endorsement<br />

of GM crops by top university<br />

researchers in the country,<br />

MPs expressed concerns that the<br />

scientists who initially advised then<br />

Public Health Minister, Beth Mugo,<br />

on the ban held a divergent view—<br />

that GMOs were unsafe. “You are all<br />

scientists but you cannot agree on<br />

this very important issue. We cannot<br />

ask the government to lift the<br />

ban if you can’t convince us of the<br />

safety of the GMOs,” said Mumias<br />

East MP, Benjamin Washiali. The<br />

sharp division between researchers<br />

on the safety of GMO products is not<br />

isolated to Kenya, but is a reflection<br />

of the current pull and push between<br />

GMO supporters and opponents in<br />

the global sphere.<br />

On the global level, leading<br />

biotechnology company, Monsanto,<br />

has routinely dismissed criticism on<br />

the safety of GMO products. Hugh<br />

Grant, CEO of Monsanto, told financial<br />

media outlet, Bloomberg News,<br />

in a 2013 interview that opponents<br />

of genetically-engineered crops<br />

could afford to choose what kind of<br />

food they wanted to buy and weren’t<br />

concerned with the needs of the rest<br />

of the world. Grant’s adver-<br />

On the global<br />

level, leading<br />

biotechnology<br />

company,<br />

Monsanto,<br />

has routinely<br />

dismissed<br />

criticism on the<br />

safety of GMO<br />

products<br />

42 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 43


FOOD<br />

Special Report<br />

sarial tone is clearly indicative<br />

that the GMO debate has become a<br />

bare-knuckle fight, suggesting that<br />

the stakes are probably higher than<br />

publicly understood.<br />

Cash Crop<br />

There is arguably no area that<br />

the GMO debate has fiercely raged<br />

on, both globally and domestically,<br />

such as cotton. The cash crop is a<br />

high stakes area as it is a primary<br />

feedstock for the fashion industry,<br />

an industry estimated at $1.5 trillion<br />

globally. The irresistible financial<br />

incentive of featuring in the<br />

value chain of the lucrative fashion<br />

industry has pushed biotechnology<br />

companies to strongly advocate<br />

for the adoption of GM cotton.<br />

This has perhaps been best represented<br />

in Monsanto’s spirited push<br />

for Bt-cotton in African countries,<br />

including Kenya.<br />

Bt-cotton has been touted by<br />

Monsanto as a good option for farmers<br />

since it has an inbuilt mechanism<br />

to get rid of bollworm, a notorious<br />

pest that unfailingly attacks cotton.<br />

This means that farmers who use<br />

Bt-cotton reduce overuse of pesticides<br />

and in turn lower the economic<br />

and environmental costs of cotton<br />

farming.<br />

Poor quality of seeds and high<br />

costs of pesticides have been repeatedly<br />

identified as leading causes<br />

of the dramatic decline of Kenya’s<br />

cotton sector. This is a view carried<br />

by the Food and Agricultural<br />

Organization (FAO). In a 2012<br />

report, FAO argues that poor quality<br />

seed is partly responsible for<br />

the decline in Kenya’s cotton sector.<br />

FAO’s view is corroborated by<br />

the Cotton Development Authority,<br />

which also identifies high cost of pesticides<br />

as a primary reason for the<br />

decline in the country’s cotton sector.<br />

Reports show that Kenya produced<br />

an excess of 38,000 tons of cotton<br />

in the 1980s. In 2010, however, the<br />

tonnage had declined to just 11,000,<br />

signaling the sharp drop in output<br />

in the sector. The FAO report, titled<br />

Analysis of incentives and disincentives<br />

for cotton in Kenya, shows<br />

that the country has an estimated<br />

384,500 hectares of land available<br />

for cotton production, but only 10<br />

percent is utilized.<br />

Adopting Bt-cotton, which<br />

promises higher seed quality and<br />

lower pesticide use, is thereby seen<br />

as a necessary step to reverse the<br />

troubled fortunes of cotton farmers<br />

in Kenya, at least when viewed<br />

from the perspective of GM crop<br />

supporters.<br />

Populist route<br />

Calls to lift the GMO ban and<br />

introduce Bt-cotton conveniently<br />

play into populist calls for job creation<br />

in Kenya. This is because the<br />

Bt-cotton debate is staged against<br />

the backdrop of the highly possible<br />

extension of the Africa Growth and<br />

Opportunity Act (Agoa), a piece of<br />

legislation in the US that allows<br />

duty free entry of over 6000 categories<br />

of African goods into the<br />

US market, key among them textiles.<br />

Agoa, which is set to expire<br />

in September 30, 2015, may be<br />

extended. At least this is what<br />

policy makers across Africa and<br />

the US expect, including Kenya’s<br />

Adan Mohammed, the Cabinet<br />

Secretary for Industrialization and<br />

Enterprise Development. “In principle,<br />

the extension has been agreed,”<br />

Anti-GMO<br />

activists in<br />

Kenya fear that<br />

if GM cotton<br />

is introduced,<br />

monopolistic<br />

tendencies<br />

among big seed<br />

companies will<br />

brew, leading to<br />

the overpricing<br />

of seeds and<br />

consequent<br />

indebtedness<br />

and misery of<br />

Kenyan cotton<br />

farmers.<br />

remarked Mohammed at the historic<br />

US-Africa Summit that was held in<br />

August, <strong>2014</strong> in Washington D.C.<br />

If Agoa is extended, which is<br />

almost certain, Kenya’s textile sector<br />

will receive a lifeline. This will bring<br />

the cotton sector into greater focus,<br />

making it easier for proponents of<br />

Bt-cotton to argue out their case.<br />

Kenya has already started setting<br />

the stage for a textile city in Athi<br />

River. This initiative, the ministry<br />

of Industrialization and Enterprise<br />

says, will attract at least 100 textile<br />

investment firms and create more<br />

than 200,000 sustainable textile jobs<br />

by <strong>December</strong> 2016. If proponents of<br />

Bt-cotton are able to structure their<br />

arguments along the lines of their<br />

role in making sure that these textile<br />

jobs are created, then they will be<br />

able to present a uniquely strong<br />

case. This is because their advocacy<br />

for lifting the GMO ban will be cleverly<br />

tied into to the nation-wide call<br />

for job creation, allowing the pro-<br />

GMO activists to mobilize sufficient<br />

public support to sway legislatures<br />

into heeding their calls.<br />

Extensive tests have shown that<br />

Bt-cotton is indeed resistant to bollworm,<br />

validating claims that it reduces<br />

the need for pesticides. Charles<br />

Waturu, one of the lead scientists<br />

on Bt Cotton at Kenya Agricultural<br />

Research Institute (Kari), said that if<br />

Bt-Cotton was brought to market it<br />

would reduce the need for pesticides<br />

from about twelve times to three<br />

times. Waturu, who was quoted on<br />

The East African, a Nation Media<br />

Group publication, added that Kari’s<br />

laboratory and field trials for Bt<br />

Cotton were successful and that the<br />

National Biosafety Authority was<br />

impressed with the findings.<br />

While tests, reports and the<br />

existence of convenient populist<br />

arguments such as the potential<br />

for job creation reinforce the<br />

calls of Bt-cotton proponents to lift<br />

the GMO ban, the biggest concern<br />

for Bt-cotton opponents has been<br />

El Salvador<br />

Ecuador<br />

Peru<br />

Bolivia<br />

the monopoly that lifting the ban<br />

will give seed companies. In South<br />

Africa, where Bt-cotton was introduced<br />

in the harvest year spanning<br />

1997 and 1998, concerns over<br />

exorbitant seed prices—the effect<br />

of monopoly—have been repeatedly<br />

raised. A study by the International<br />

Food Policy Research Institute indicates<br />

that South African farmers<br />

increased yields as a result of using<br />

Bt-cotton rather than conventional<br />

seeds. The study also said that the<br />

farmers spent less on insecticides,<br />

arguing that the overall impact<br />

of using Bt-cotton was favorable,<br />

despite it being markedly expensive<br />

than regular seeds.<br />

Debt trap<br />

According to some anti-GMO<br />

activists, the assertion that the<br />

Ireland<br />

France<br />

Spain<br />

Portugal<br />

Switzerland<br />

Slovenia<br />

Italy<br />

Austria<br />

Senegal<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Bosnia & Herzegovina<br />

Cameroon<br />

Slovakia<br />

Brasil<br />

Hungary<br />

Croatia<br />

Greece<br />

Romania<br />

GMO labelling across the world<br />

Lithuana<br />

Poland<br />

Sweden<br />

Germany<br />

Norway<br />

Netherlands<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Belgium<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Iceland<br />

Mali<br />

economic gain derived from using<br />

Bt-cotton offsets the comparatively<br />

higher cost of buying the seeds is<br />

false. This class of anti-GMO lobbyists<br />

sees the seeds as a racket, saying<br />

that once farmers have been hooked<br />

onto the cultivation of GM-cotton,<br />

the seed companies leverage on<br />

their giant monopolies and swiftly<br />

respond by increasing the price of<br />

the seeds unconscionably. Since the<br />

farmers cannot switch seeds, they<br />

pay the high prices. This leads many<br />

cotton farmers into debt, making<br />

GM crop opponents to equate the<br />

seeds to ‘debt traps.’ This criticism<br />

has been notoriously rife in India,<br />

where Bt-cotton varieties predominantly<br />

owned by Monsanto have<br />

been planted since 1998.<br />

Famous Indian environmental<br />

activist, Dr Vandana Shiva, argues<br />

Finland<br />

Estonia<br />

Lativa<br />

Belarus<br />

Ukraine<br />

Turkey<br />

Jordan<br />

Ethiopia<br />

Kenya<br />

Mauritius<br />

South Africa<br />

GMO Labeling required<br />

No GMO Labeling required<br />

India<br />

Saudi Arabia<br />

Kazakhstan<br />

Sri Lanka<br />

Russia<br />

China<br />

Singapore<br />

Thailand<br />

Australia<br />

that before Monsanto’s entry into<br />

the Indian market, local seeds cost<br />

farmers between 5 rupees and 10<br />

rupees (around Ksh7 to Ksh15) a<br />

kilo. Upon entry, however, Monsanto<br />

ensured a monopoly and hiked prices<br />

to 1,600 rupees (around Ksh2325)<br />

for a package of 450 grams, said Dr.<br />

Shiva on her official website.<br />

Japan<br />

South Korea<br />

Taiwan<br />

Vietnam<br />

Indonesia<br />

New Zealand<br />

This class of anti-GMO lobbyists<br />

see the seeds as a racket, saying<br />

that once farmers have been<br />

hooked onto the cultivation of<br />

GM-cotton, they pay high prices<br />

as the seed companies leverage<br />

on their giant monopolies.<br />

44 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 45


ICT<br />

Sector Report<br />

“After Bt-cotton was allowed<br />

into the market, Monsanto started<br />

to strengthen its monopoly through<br />

‘seed replacement,’ in which the company<br />

would swap out farmers’ seeds<br />

with their own,” wrote Dr. Shiva, who<br />

is also a recipient of several awards<br />

including the 1993 United Nations<br />

Environmental Program’s (UNEP)<br />

Global 500 Roll of Honor. The activist<br />

claims that the high cost GM cotton<br />

seeds lead Indian farmers in the<br />

cotton belt into debt, and when they<br />

see no escape, they commit suicide.<br />

Dr. Shiva wrote this in an article that<br />

was published on her official website<br />

on August 26, <strong>2014</strong>. Shiva’s article<br />

challenged an article on The New<br />

Yorker, saying that The New Yorker<br />

journalist made deliberate attempts<br />

to “skew reality” with regard to GM<br />

crops.<br />

Although suicide among farmers<br />

in India has been around for<br />

an extended period, the alarming<br />

increase in suicide rates in the recent<br />

past among farmers in India’s cotton<br />

belt have been strongly linked<br />

to the mountain of debt that they<br />

accrue when buying expensive GM<br />

seeds. This saddening predicament<br />

has inspired a documentary titled,<br />

‘The Cotton Film: Dirty White Gold.’<br />

The documentary, which is directed<br />

by The Guardian’s Leah Borromeo,<br />

113<br />

A US based<br />

organization<br />

that advocates<br />

for safe food,<br />

water and<br />

fish, says<br />

that it found<br />

926 US State<br />

Department<br />

cables from<br />

113 countries<br />

discussing<br />

biotechnology<br />

and GM crops.<br />

captures the anguishing story of<br />

India’s cotton farmers. Borromeo,<br />

a journalist and film maker who<br />

previously worked as deputy foreign<br />

editor at Sky News, reveals that the<br />

average Indian farmer makes £16.20<br />

(Ksh2183) a month and spends<br />

£24.30 (Ksh3491) on inputs such<br />

as seeds. To cover this huge deficit,<br />

Indian farmers, including cotton<br />

farmers, turn to avaricious money<br />

lenders. These Indian money lenders<br />

are portrayed in the documentary<br />

as being so mean that they would<br />

make ‘Shylock’ (a fictional character<br />

in William Shakespeare’s Merchant<br />

of Venice who notoriously took a<br />

pound of flesh as collateral from his<br />

loan defaulters) look like a saint.<br />

The Indian loan sharks pursue their<br />

debts aggressively to a point where<br />

their borrowers see suicide as a<br />

better option. Borromeo’s documentary<br />

estimates that twenty six Indian<br />

farmers commit suicide each day due<br />

to debt.<br />

Even after the borrowers commit<br />

suicide, these moneylenders do<br />

not write off the debt and harass the<br />

deceased farmers’ bereaved widows<br />

and relatives to a point of exhaustion,<br />

Borromeo’s documentary<br />

shows.<br />

Anti-GMO activists in Kenya<br />

fear that if GM cotton is introduced,<br />

monopolistic tendencies among big<br />

seed companies will brew, leading<br />

to the overpricing of seeds and consequent<br />

indebtedness and misery of<br />

Kenyan cotton farmers. This theory<br />

is not farfetched. The existence of<br />

little known about laws in Kenya<br />

that suspiciously safeguard the<br />

monopolies of big seed companies<br />

fan fears that the Indian situation<br />

could be duplicated in Kenya if the<br />

East African country’s GMO ban<br />

is lifted. The Crop Act, which was<br />

passed by the Kenyan parliament<br />

in January 2013, criminalizes traditional<br />

seed production and sharing.<br />

The Act only recognizes registered<br />

seed dealers and gives powers to<br />

crop inspectors to enter people’s<br />

land without a warrant and seize<br />

‘unregistered seeds’. Moreover, any<br />

resistance to inspectors by farmers<br />

warrants a fine of Sh2 million or a<br />

prison term of three years, or both.<br />

The unique advantage that the<br />

Crop Act gives to biotech companies,<br />

while simultaneously meting<br />

out unjustifiably harsh penalties to<br />

dissident farmers, almost suggests<br />

that the Act was put in place to purposely<br />

and selfishly serve the interest<br />

of biotech companies above all<br />

else. Compelling evidence exists indicating<br />

that big biotech companies,<br />

along with foreign governments,<br />

have lobbied African governments<br />

before to pass laws that are progenetic<br />

engineering.<br />

Food &Water Watch, a US based<br />

organization that advocates for safe<br />

food, water and fish, says that it<br />

found 926 US State Department<br />

cables from 113 countries between<br />

2005 and 2009 discussing biotechnology<br />

and GM crops. The campaigns<br />

targeted media, legislators,<br />

farmers, NGOs and the public.<br />

Wikileaks, the notorious online<br />

whistle blowing website, also said<br />

that the US State Department had<br />

previously lobbied African governments<br />

to adopt pro-genetically engineering<br />

policies.<br />

46 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 47


AGRICULTURE<br />

ICT<br />

Sector Report<br />

Leading telecoms firm,<br />

Safaricom, now handles<br />

slightly over 4 percent of<br />

all cash remitted to Kenya<br />

from foreign countries, new<br />

Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) data<br />

shows. The CBK data, which includes<br />

remittances up until August, <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

shows that Safaricom’s M-Pesa<br />

beat 34 commercial banks in terms<br />

of volumes of remittances. This is<br />

undoubtedly a commendable feat,<br />

considering Safaricom ventured into<br />

the cross-border cash remittances<br />

segment barely five years ago.<br />

International M-Pesa cash transfers<br />

totaled $38.03 million (around<br />

Sh3.4 billion) between January and<br />

August <strong>2014</strong>, CBK data shows.<br />

Based on this, M-Pesa is presently<br />

the 11th biggest international<br />

cash transfer platform in Kenya in<br />

terms of market share. Interestingly,<br />

M-Pesa’s increasingly pertinent role<br />

in the international cash transfer<br />

business is staged against the backdrop<br />

of a dramatic uptick in Diaspora<br />

remittances to the motherland. CBK<br />

data indicates that Kenya received<br />

Diaspora remittances worth $128.8<br />

million (around Sh11.4 billion) in<br />

August <strong>2014</strong>, up 20.34 percent<br />

from $107 million (around Sh9.5<br />

billion) from August 2013. This<br />

tremendous year-on-year increase<br />

in remittances in the month of<br />

August strongly reflects the general<br />

trend over the past decade.<br />

Safaricom is thereby<br />

increasing its market share in<br />

the international cash transfer<br />

business at a uniquely opportune<br />

time. This is because telco<br />

firm’s spirited push in the international<br />

cash transfer business puts<br />

it in a position to derive reasonable<br />

earnings from this rapidly expanding<br />

market segment.<br />

Despite the laudable gains in<br />

market share, CBK data shows that<br />

Safaricom has only been receiving<br />

inward remittances from Europe.<br />

This is attributable to the deal<br />

Africa’s mobile money<br />

warms up to intern’l<br />

cash transfers<br />

Diaspora remittances sparks a dramatic uptick, in a market tested<br />

and verfied by mobile transactions across different industries.<br />

Telcos in Kenya are closing in taking position on the a global front.<br />

the telco inked with<br />

Western Union in March<br />

2011. While Europe is<br />

unquestionably a strong market,<br />

Safaricom needs to draw in<br />

remittances from other markets if it<br />

wants to sustain and grow its market<br />

share. Between July and May <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

inflows from Europe into Kenya aver-<br />

aged 27 percent of overall inflows,<br />

CBK data shows. In contrast, inflows<br />

from North America averaged<br />

46percent, while the rest of world<br />

accounted for around 26 percent of<br />

inflows over the same period. Along<br />

with this, Safaricom has taken active<br />

steps to ensure that it taps into to the<br />

colossal volumes of remittances from<br />

North America and other destinations<br />

in the rest of the world such as<br />

India and the Middle East.<br />

Safaricom recently signed partnership<br />

deals with Australia-based<br />

mHITs, British firm SkyForex,<br />

PostFinance of Switzerland,<br />

London-based provider Xendpay<br />

and Mapex to offer direct cash transfers<br />

to M-Pesa customers abroad.<br />

The Westlands-based telecom firm<br />

also has existing deals with Xpress<br />

Money, Skrill and WorldRemit and<br />

has plans to secure a deal with<br />

MoneyGram before the end of the<br />

year. These partnerships will allow<br />

Safaricom to tap into remittances<br />

outside Europe by giving M-Pesa<br />

a presence in North America,<br />

Australia, the Middle East and Asia;<br />

Diversification<br />

Although the income that<br />

Safaricom derives from international<br />

cash transfers pales in comparison<br />

to what it makes domestically, the<br />

telecom firm’s sustained effort in<br />

international cash transfers is part of<br />

its wider bid to diversify its sources<br />

of income. This approach has been<br />

inspired by the increasingly aggressive<br />

competition in the domestic<br />

market, especially in the area of<br />

payments.<br />

Africa has transformed into a<br />

battleground for mobile payments<br />

firms. Both new and existing players<br />

are jostling for position in the continent’s<br />

rapidly expanding mobile<br />

payments segment, multiple reports<br />

show. This, experts say, is a clear representation<br />

of the prospects that the<br />

African mobile money market presents.<br />

“There have been multiple players<br />

entering this space,” said David<br />

Kleiman, a Nepal-based consultant<br />

with PHB Development, as quoted<br />

on the Wall Street Journal. “Many<br />

mobile network operators have tried<br />

to make offerings—Vodafone, MTN,<br />

Orange and Airtel are the big ones—<br />

but increasingly even the mobile<br />

virtual network operators are offering<br />

their own services, competing not<br />

only with the larger operators but<br />

the banks as well,” added Kleiman,<br />

who has over 15 years experience on<br />

mobile payments in Africa and Asia.<br />

Expectedly, most of the interest<br />

in Africa’s mobile money segment<br />

is originating from Kenya. This is<br />

primarily because Kenya is widely<br />

considered to be the first real success<br />

story for mobile money in Africa.<br />

The mobile money concept has not<br />

only been used to facilitate payments<br />

in multiple unrelated industries<br />

across Kenya, but the the number of<br />

transactions in the country is comparatively<br />

higher than other African<br />

Remittances have significantly increased since 2005; Source: CBK website<br />

Expectedly, most of the interest in Africa’s mobile money<br />

segment is originating from Kenya. This is primarily because<br />

Kenya is widely considered to be the first real success story<br />

for mobile money in Africa.<br />

markets. Reports in mid-July from<br />

the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)<br />

indicate that Kenyans are transacting<br />

Sh6.2 billion daily through<br />

mobile phones. This is a commendable<br />

rise from an average of Sh5.2<br />

billion last year.<br />

What is further more attractive<br />

about Kenya is the fact that despite<br />

the apparent deep penetration of<br />

mobile payments, there is still wide<br />

scope for future growth. “There is a<br />

lot of excitement about new competition<br />

coming into the market but<br />

you have to view it in the context<br />

that the market is still 98 percent<br />

cash ( or 2 percent cashless),” said<br />

Safaricom CEO, Bob Collymore,<br />

while addressing investors at the<br />

company’s full year 2013 earnings<br />

report announced in May, <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

All these factors have inspired a<br />

wave of new entries into the Kenyan<br />

mobile payments market. It is now<br />

no longer news that Equity Bank<br />

48 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 49


ICT<br />

Sector Report<br />

has taken a plunge into the mobile<br />

payments and telecoms segment. There are<br />

now clear signs that the bank will successfully<br />

launch its new solution, which uses<br />

specially designed thin SIMs that can be<br />

stuck over existing SIM cards for interoperability.<br />

Equity Bank, which is Kenya’s<br />

biggest bank by customer base, got the<br />

green light from regulators for its thin<br />

SIM cards following a protracted debate<br />

over the cards’ security. Taisys, the Taiwanbased<br />

tech firm charged with supplying<br />

Equity’s thin SIMs, had already delivered<br />

its first batch in early October, indicating<br />

that Equity’s launch is imminent. “The<br />

ultra-thin SIM cards are already delivered<br />

to Kenya but it is up to the bank to<br />

decide when to launch,” Cecilia Cheng, sales<br />

and marketing representative at Taisys,<br />

told Nation Media Group’s <strong>Business</strong> Daily.<br />

“Taisys is bound by a confidentiality clause<br />

so I cannot discuss the number of SIM<br />

cards we sent over,” added the sales and<br />

marketing representative.<br />

These developments, along with the<br />

expressed interest of Vietnam-based Viettel<br />

for a stake in Orange, have compelled<br />

Safaricom to diversify its sources of income.<br />

This is seen as a necessary step in order to<br />

offset any declines in income that may be<br />

prompted by the disruptive effect that new<br />

market entries will have on the current<br />

market share structure. Along with this, it<br />

is highly likely that Safaricom will sustain<br />

its spirited push in the international cash<br />

transfers business.<br />

Ultimate determinant<br />

Safaricom’s growing success in international<br />

cash transfers is a strong representation<br />

of the pervasiveness of the<br />

mobile cash concept. Mobile payments<br />

are now not just being used to facilitate<br />

domestic and international cash transfers,<br />

but also to support various businesses<br />

across the country. The matatu sector, for<br />

instance, is currently in the process of digitizing<br />

fare payments. “Most matatu Saccos<br />

have made progress in acquiring cashlite<br />

systems,” remarked Mr. Lee Kinyanjui,<br />

Chairman of the National Transport and<br />

Safety Authority (NTSA). The opportunity<br />

in the matatu sector has already attracted<br />

As mobile payments<br />

continue to cut across<br />

many more industries<br />

in Kenya, the ultimate<br />

determinant, will be the<br />

ability to manage the<br />

inevitable increase in<br />

volumes of transactions.<br />

Equity Bank, KCB Bank, Cooperative Bank<br />

and mobile money provider, Tangaza Pesa.<br />

As mobile payments continue to cut<br />

across many more industries in Kenya, the<br />

ultimate determinant, not just for Safaricom,<br />

but the market in general, will be the ability<br />

to manage the inevitable increase in volumes<br />

of transactions. The ability to manage these<br />

transactions will largely be pegged on the<br />

capacity of each provider’s existing infrastructure.<br />

Amid all the excitement over new market<br />

entrants, existing market players are<br />

aggressively exploring ways of expanding<br />

their infrastructure to match the projected<br />

increase in volumes of mobile payments<br />

transactions. Safaricom, for instance,<br />

plans to relocate its M-pesa servers from<br />

Germany to Kenya. The servers have been<br />

in Germany for the past 8 years. Hosting<br />

the servers locally is expected to minimize<br />

service outages that occur whenever the<br />

undersea fiber optic cable linking Kenya to<br />

Germany is damaged.<br />

Equity Bank has also booked space to<br />

build a Sh3 billion electronic data center at<br />

Konza Technology City. This is according<br />

to announcements made in late May, <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

by the Konza Technopolis Development<br />

Authority (KOTDA), which is spearheading<br />

the development of Konza city. Equity<br />

Bank currently stores its electronic information<br />

at its data centers in Upper Hill.<br />

It has also leased back-up space at East<br />

African Data Center along Mombasa Road.<br />

Equity Bank’s planned Sh3 billion electronic<br />

data center at Konza City will give<br />

the bank the extra capacity to handle the<br />

new body of transactions created by its<br />

mobile money solution. Equity Bank has<br />

also leased some of Airtel’s unused network<br />

infrastructure under the mobile virtual<br />

network operator (MVNO) agreement. This<br />

will allow the bank to support the initial<br />

roll out of its mobile payments, voice and<br />

data services.<br />

50 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015


BANKING<br />

Sector Report<br />

Kenya’s silent<br />

victory in top<br />

100 African<br />

banks rankings<br />

What Kenyan banks lack in assets, they<br />

compensate for in solid and consistent returns<br />

for investors.<br />

African <strong>Business</strong>, an IC<br />

publication, released its<br />

iconic annual rankings for<br />

Africa’s top 100 banks for<br />

<strong>2014</strong> in October. The list<br />

of top lenders was largely dominated<br />

by South African, Nigerian and<br />

North African banks, reflecting the<br />

uneven economic landscape in the<br />

continent. Only seven of Kenya’s 43<br />

commercial banks made it to the list.<br />

But as further investigation reveals,<br />

Kenya was a bigger, albeit silent,<br />

winner, despite its low representation<br />

in the top 100 list. The country’s<br />

banking sector has the continent’s<br />

crown jewels, as far as investors are<br />

concerned.<br />

African <strong>Business</strong>’s rankings were<br />

based on metrics such as tier 1 capital<br />

and assets. The pan-African busi-<br />

ness magazine reported that South<br />

Africa’s Standard Bank Group was<br />

the largest bank in the continent<br />

with assets valued at a mindboggling<br />

$161.5 billion. Collectively, South<br />

African banks bagged five spots out<br />

of the top ten, leaving one position<br />

to a Nigerian bank and the other<br />

four to North African banks. Kenya<br />

Commercial Bank (KCB), the largest<br />

bank in Kenya by assets, came in<br />

at position 44 overall, a slight drop<br />

from position 43 in the 2013 African<br />

<strong>Business</strong> rankings. The Kenyan bank<br />

that followed KCB was Equity Bank,<br />

which maintained position 54 as<br />

compared with 2013.<br />

Investor’s paradise<br />

What Kenyan banks lack in<br />

assets, they compensate for in solid<br />

and consistent returns for investors.<br />

High profit margins in the Kenyan<br />

banking sector, revealed by CBK<br />

mid-year data at Sh71 billion in the<br />

first six months of the year alone, are<br />

giving investors strong returns. The<br />

Financial Times’ (FT) latest listing of<br />

the world’s top 1,000 banks shows<br />

that Equity Bank is Africa’s lender<br />

with the highest return on assets.<br />

“For the second year running,<br />

Kenya’s Equity Bank made the highest<br />

return on assets in the continent,<br />

generating a rate of 6.84 per cent,”<br />

read the FT report. KCB came in<br />

third overall in Africa, generating a<br />

rate of return of 5.14 percent. Return<br />

on assets is an indication of how well<br />

a firm’s management is utilizing its<br />

assets to generate the highest possible<br />

level of income.<br />

We have raised Sh4<br />

billion but we also<br />

have debt partners<br />

such as the European<br />

Investment Bank, the<br />

International Finance<br />

Corporation and<br />

other international<br />

lenders who have<br />

been supporting us<br />

over the years -<br />

Mr. John Mwara.<br />

Faulu Kenya<br />

managing director<br />

AB <strong>2014</strong> AB 2013 Bank<br />

Capital Assets<br />

Rank Rank<br />

($M) ($M)<br />

44 43 KCB 567 4,521<br />

54 54 Equity Bank 443 3,213<br />

68 69 Cooperative Bank of Kenya 312 2,675<br />

69 67 Standard Chartered Bank of Kenya 312 2,549<br />

75 73 Barclays Bank of Kenya 286 2,391<br />

87 New I &M Bank Limited 223 1,635<br />

88 86 Diamond Trust Bank Kenya 220 1,926<br />

Data Source: African <strong>Business</strong> Magazine<br />

The thrilling rates of return in<br />

Kenya’s banking sector are largely<br />

a function of the tremendous leap in<br />

access to banking. Sustained efforts<br />

by banks to broaden the channels<br />

of accessing retail customers have<br />

greatly increased financial access in<br />

Kenya, allowing banks to increase<br />

the size of their addressable markets.<br />

The development of new channels<br />

in Kenya’s banking sector has been<br />

facilitated by the use of technological<br />

platforms such as mobiles and<br />

internet.<br />

Accenture, a New York Stock<br />

Exchange listed multinational management<br />

consulting firm, observed in<br />

a previous report that Equity Bank<br />

used mobile branches in rural communities<br />

to enhance inclusion. “Bank<br />

representatives go to the community,<br />

setting up booths in markets and<br />

similar locations, delivering group<br />

discussions and financial training,”<br />

read a section of Accenture’s report,<br />

titled; “At the tipping point: Financial<br />

services in Africa comes of age”<br />

Besides using mobile branches<br />

and technological platforms, Kenyan<br />

banks are now courting the concept<br />

of agency banking. Agency banking<br />

not only allows services to reach the<br />

grass roots, but it presents opportunities<br />

for members of the community<br />

to gain economically by acting<br />

as agents. Major commercial banks,<br />

including KCB, Equity Bank and<br />

Cooperative, currently embrace the<br />

agency model. Microfinance banks<br />

have also espoused the model, signaling<br />

its effectiveness in mobilizing<br />

deposits. Faulu Kenya, a deposit taking<br />

microfinance institution recently<br />

raised Sh4 billion for its expansion<br />

programming, which will partly<br />

be achieved through the introduction<br />

of an agency system. “We have<br />

raised Sh4 billion but we also have<br />

debt partners such as the European<br />

Investment Bank, the International<br />

Finance Corporation and other international<br />

lenders who have been supporting<br />

us over the years,” said Faulu<br />

Kenya managing director Mr. John<br />

Mwara.<br />

Fanning into the region<br />

The upside of increased retail<br />

banking penetration in Kenya is<br />

that more Kenyans now have access<br />

to financial services such as credit<br />

and advice. On the flipside, however,<br />

banks have had to grapple<br />

with increased competition. The<br />

increase in the addressable market<br />

in Kenya’s banking sector has<br />

naturally prompted a corresponding<br />

outburst in competition between<br />

commercial banks.<br />

To effectively handle the increasingly<br />

heated competition, a growing<br />

body of Kenyan banks have<br />

52 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 53


BANKING<br />

Sector Report<br />

The growing importance<br />

of the real estate sector<br />

to the broader economy<br />

is not only captured by<br />

the growing tide of firms<br />

pursuing real estate<br />

projects, but by moves<br />

made by the country’s<br />

top deal makers.<br />

fanned out across the region and<br />

established outfits in neighboring countries.<br />

KCB, as an example, has branches<br />

in Juba, South Sudan, among other<br />

neighboring countries. The Kenyan lender<br />

has performed surprisingly well in South<br />

Sudan, despite the atrocious conflict that<br />

has dragged on for almost a year in the<br />

young nation. “Today, KCB South Sudan<br />

enjoys 50 percent of the market share and<br />

we are very optimistic going forward that<br />

South Sudan will flourish and thrive economically,”<br />

said KCB in a statement during<br />

its half-year earnings report. KCB’s South<br />

Sudanese subsidiary accounted for 7.1 percent<br />

of the bank’s overall earnings in the<br />

first six months of the year.<br />

Equity Bank also has a regional presence,<br />

including a branch in Juba and<br />

Kampala, Uganda. Despite recent challenges<br />

in Uganda, Equity Bank’s cross<br />

border investments persist. Diamond Trust<br />

Bank, which has grown tremendously in<br />

the past several years, also raised Sh3.63<br />

billion in July to finance its regional expansion<br />

plan which may see establish a presence<br />

in either Madagascar, South Sudan<br />

or Democratic Republic of Congo. “In the<br />

next two to three years, we are going to be<br />

in one of those countries. The determining<br />

factor of where we are going to be will be<br />

determined by what makes economic sense<br />

to the peoples of those countries,” remarked<br />

Abdul Samji, Diamond Trust chairman, in<br />

media statements.<br />

Perhaps the greatest indication of<br />

how Kenyan banks are using cross-border<br />

investments to guard against the uncertainties<br />

of heightened competition in the<br />

domestic market is Cooperative Bank’s<br />

plans to set up shop in Ethiopia. Unlike<br />

other markets in the region, Ethiopia places<br />

characteristically strict restrictions on<br />

foreign investment in its financial sector.<br />

In an interview with The East African,<br />

adviser to the State Minister for Industry<br />

in Ethiopia, Mr. Ahmed Nuru, said that<br />

Ethiopia’s financial sector was only open<br />

to domestic investors. “In view of the past<br />

global financial crisis, I think we are taking<br />

the right path, being cautious on how to<br />

open up this sector,” remarked Mr. Nuru,<br />

strongly suggesting that the future prospect<br />

of foreign participation in the country’s<br />

financial sector would be accompanied by<br />

heavy regulation. Despite this obvious disincentive,<br />

Cooperative Bank remains firmly<br />

steadfast in its bid for Ethiopia. “Our South<br />

Sudan subsidiary, which started operations<br />

in September, 2013, is on the verge of breaking<br />

even and contributing positively to our<br />

profitability this year. Ethiopia and Uganda<br />

remain our new frontiers,” Gideon Muriuki,<br />

Co-op Kenya’s managing director, said in a<br />

statement.<br />

Chasing new opportunities<br />

The interesting observation is that the<br />

quest for stronger growth by Kenyan banks<br />

is not just reflected in the regional expansion<br />

drive, but the search for new opportunities<br />

within the Kenyan market. Real<br />

estate has emerged as a key opportunity<br />

for banks. After the Kenya National Bureau<br />

of Statistics (KNBS) updated the base year<br />

used in calculating the country’s GDP from<br />

the previous 2001 to 2009 (rebasing), it<br />

was revealed that real estate’s contribution<br />

to the overall economy had dramatically<br />

increased. The updated accounts indicate<br />

that the real estate sector now accounts for<br />

10.6 percent of the economy, up from 4.9<br />

percent under previous estimates.<br />

The growing importance of the<br />

real estate sector to the broader<br />

economy is not only captured by<br />

the growing tide of firms pursuing<br />

real estate projects, but by moves<br />

made by the country’s top deal makers.<br />

Billionaire investor, Naushad<br />

Merali, recently made headlines after<br />

it emerged that he was divesting<br />

some of his long-held interests in his<br />

vast business empire. What however<br />

stood out was the conspicuous omission<br />

of real estate interests in his<br />

divestments. In Sameer Africa, where<br />

Merali owns a 72.15 percent stake,<br />

the real estate arm has been left out<br />

of the recent proposed buyout deal<br />

where Merali will cede50 percent of<br />

Sameer’s tire division to a strategic<br />

partner from Asia. This move speaks<br />

volumes about the billionaire’s confidence<br />

in the ability of the real estate<br />

sector to deliver solid returns.<br />

It is not just the country’s top<br />

deal makers that have issued a vote<br />

of confidence in the real estate sector.<br />

Banks that previously avoided<br />

participation in real estate have now<br />

joined the party, indicating that there<br />

is tidy sum to be made by lenders in<br />

the sector. Barclays Bank will now<br />

start participating in the sector after<br />

years of avoiding it over perceived<br />

risks. Besides real estate, there are<br />

other promising sectors that will<br />

define future activity for Barclays<br />

Bank and the broader banking sector.<br />

The nascent oil and gas sector,<br />

where Barclays Bank said it will be<br />

seeking lending opportunities, also<br />

offers opportunities for the banking<br />

sector.<br />

Although lucrative financing<br />

opportunities in Kenya’s oil and<br />

gas sector will probably avail themselves<br />

further down the road, recent<br />

developments strongly suggest that<br />

this will happen sooner rather than<br />

later. Tullow Oil, the firm that discovered<br />

oil in Turkana, is upbeat<br />

about the future. “Continued success<br />

in appraisal of the Ngamia and<br />

Amosing fields reinforces our belief<br />

that the South Lokichar basin holds<br />

very considerable potential which<br />

we hope to replicate in additional<br />

basins,” remarked Angus McCoss,<br />

the firm’s exploration director, in<br />

media statements.<br />

The CBK is<br />

however<br />

mulling over<br />

increasing<br />

bank’s<br />

minimum<br />

share<br />

requirements<br />

past the<br />

current Sh1<br />

billion.<br />

Regulatory change<br />

In as much as the oil and gas sector<br />

presents opportunities for Kenyan<br />

banks, there will be need for regulatory<br />

adjustments before local banks<br />

can fully enjoy the spoils of the sector.<br />

The size of a loan taken out by<br />

a single borrower in the oil and gas<br />

sector typically ranges in the billions<br />

of shillings.<br />

CBK stipulations however do not<br />

allow banks to lend more than 25<br />

percent of their core capital to a single<br />

borrower. To put this into perspective,<br />

KCB, the biggest bank by capital, has<br />

a core capital of Sh52 billion. KCB<br />

(and by logic no other Kenyan bank)<br />

can therefore not lend more than<br />

Sh13 billion to a single borrower.<br />

The CBK is however mulling over<br />

increasing bank’s minimum share<br />

requirements past the current Sh1<br />

billion. This will not only allow local<br />

banks to participate in the oil and<br />

gas sector, but allow them to snap<br />

up financing opportunities in other<br />

capital intensive sectors such as infrastructure<br />

and energy. “The sh1 billion<br />

minimum capital requirements may<br />

actually constrain financing potential<br />

of some large banks.<br />

The CBK may consider raising<br />

this minimum capital requirement to<br />

make the industry move to the level<br />

of Egypt, Angola, Nigeria and South<br />

Africa,” read a section of the Financial<br />

Sector Stability Report released by<br />

the CBK in September, <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

If the CBK makes a policy change<br />

and upwardly adjusts minimum capital<br />

requirements, financing opportunities<br />

in lucrative capital intensive<br />

segments such as oil and gas, energy<br />

and infrastructure will be easier to<br />

access for local banks—but only for<br />

banks that can convince shareholders<br />

to inject extra capital. Banks that cannot<br />

solicit extra funds from investors<br />

may be compelled to merge or remain<br />

locked out of key opportunities. This<br />

prospect sets the stage for a lot of<br />

interesting developments in the country’s<br />

banking sector going forward.<br />

54 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 55


INSURANCE<br />

Sector Report<br />

Recently released data<br />

from the Insurance<br />

Regulatory Authority<br />

(IRA) shows that 14<br />

general insurance firms<br />

made a collective underwriting loss<br />

of Sh480.2 million in the first six<br />

months of <strong>2014</strong>. The IRA observed<br />

that the loss making general insurers,<br />

which included bigwigs such<br />

as Resolution, CIC and AAR, were<br />

afflicted by increased cases of price<br />

undercutting and fraud.<br />

Although the IRA did not provide<br />

data for the 14 firms for a<br />

comparative period in 2013, the<br />

Sh480.2 million losses reported in<br />

the first half of <strong>2014</strong> accurately<br />

highlighted the challenges in the<br />

insurance sector. “One of the challenges<br />

is that products must be<br />

priced adequately, failure to which<br />

claims outstrip incomes and you<br />

end up with a loss,” said Mr. Justus<br />

Mutiga, the Association of Kenya<br />

Insurance (AKI) chairman. Mr.<br />

Mutiga, who was speaking at the<br />

AKI offices in an October 29, <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

Price undercutting and<br />

fraud take toll on insurers<br />

Medical insurance hahas slipped back into a coma, after<br />

reemerging as the segments most vulnerable to fraud. A<br />

report by the Insurance Regulatory Authority (IRA) also<br />

shows that 14 general insurance firms made a collective<br />

underwriting loss of Sh480.2 million in the first half of<br />

this year.<br />

press conference, also added that<br />

insurers had to contend with “payment<br />

and management of claims to<br />

ensure they (claims) are genuine and<br />

not inflated.”<br />

Back into a coma<br />

The AKI 2013 report showed<br />

that medical insurance returned a<br />

profit of Sh119 million in 2013<br />

after continually making underwriting<br />

losses attributable to fraud since<br />

records started being kept five years<br />

ago. Despite the slight recovery in<br />

2013, medical insurance has slipped<br />

back into a coma, figuratively speaking.<br />

In its report relating to the first<br />

half of <strong>2014</strong>, the IRA observed that<br />

medical insurance had reemerged<br />

as one of the segments most vulnerable<br />

to fraud, reversing the slight<br />

improvements in 2013.<br />

Resolution, which mainly offers<br />

medical insurance, posted the largest<br />

underwriting loss of Sh116.3 million<br />

during the first six months of <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

signaling the hazardous impact of<br />

fraud on insurers exposed to medical<br />

insurance. AAR, which also has sizeable<br />

interests in medical insurance,<br />

incurred a sh48.4 million loss. CIC<br />

Insurance was also not spared. The<br />

Nairobi Securities Exchange listed<br />

firm slipped Sh75.8 million into<br />

the red largely due to difficulties in<br />

medical insurance.<br />

The notoriously stubborn problem<br />

of fraudulent claims in medical<br />

insurance has compelled some insurers<br />

to adopt biometric identification<br />

cards to bar impersonators. This<br />

has been accompanied by a tighter<br />

control on services accessed by policyholders<br />

at certain hospitals.<br />

The increase in fraudulent<br />

claims in medical insurance is staged<br />

against the backdrop of persistent<br />

appeals by insurers urging the IRA<br />

to rein in fraud. Accordingly, the IRA<br />

partnered with the Kenya Police in<br />

2012 to launch the Insurance Fraud<br />

Investigation Unit, a body charged<br />

with investigating fraud within the<br />

industry.<br />

Although the Insurance Fraud<br />

Investigation Unit has achieved several<br />

milestones, including unearthing<br />

a fraudulent scheme involving fake<br />

insurance stickers by public service<br />

vehicles, it still has a lot more to do.<br />

Industry records as recent as 2012<br />

show that an estimated 40 percent<br />

of all claims paid by insurance companies<br />

in Kenya are fraudulent. A fitting<br />

example that contextualizes the<br />

relationship between these damning<br />

statistics and the saddening reality<br />

on the ground is the peculiar case of<br />

one Ezekiel Ochieng.<br />

In an elaborate racket to fraudulently<br />

relieve Pan-African Insurance<br />

of Sh1 million in life insurance, Mr.<br />

Ochieng was accused by Pan African<br />

Insurance of faking his own death on<br />

September 24th 2013. The suspect<br />

allegedly forged police documents<br />

to show that he had died in a road<br />

accident along the Kisumu Highway.<br />

Before he could get away with it,<br />

Pan African Insurance was able to<br />

zero in on him through independent<br />

investigations. As portrayed in<br />

NTV’s Sheila Sendeyo’s video report<br />

detailing the court proceedings of<br />

the case, a besieged Mr. Ochieng<br />

desperately tried to cover his face<br />

from the piercing glares of cameras,<br />

a foible that is depressingly typical of<br />

most apprehended suspects.<br />

Advanced measures<br />

Just like Pan African Insurance,<br />

which sanctioned independent investigations<br />

to locate Mr. Ochieng, other<br />

insurers, too, have resolved to internal<br />

measures to curb fraud. CIC<br />

Insurance, as an example, has hired<br />

a team of medical personnel to probe<br />

fraudulent claims in medical insurance.<br />

Earlier in <strong>2014</strong>, CIC Insurance<br />

hired Dr Edward Rukwaro, a former<br />

CEO of the Mediheal Group<br />

of Hospitals, to help turnaround<br />

the insurer’s medical division, which<br />

Although the<br />

Insurance Fraud<br />

Investigation<br />

Unit has<br />

achieved<br />

several<br />

milestones,<br />

including<br />

unearthing<br />

a fraudulent<br />

scheme<br />

involving fake<br />

insurance<br />

stickers by<br />

public service<br />

vehicles, it still<br />

has a lot more<br />

to do.<br />

in 2013 made a loss of Sh293.8<br />

million. “The company is bleeding<br />

heavily because of fraudulent claims<br />

and we believe Dr Rukwaro, who<br />

has experience in both the medical<br />

and insurance fields, will help<br />

oversee a quick turnaround in this<br />

business,” said Mr. Nelson Kuria,<br />

chief executive of CIC Insurance. Dr.<br />

Rukwaro will also be backed by a<br />

team of nurses who will help scrutinize<br />

patient’s claims.<br />

CIC Insurance’s need to involve<br />

qualified medics in assessing claims<br />

is informed by the fact that fraud in<br />

medical insurance is not only emanating<br />

from the insured, but also<br />

from hospitals. “Some hospitals take<br />

patients through unnecessary expensive<br />

procedures once they go for<br />

simple check-ups,” said Mr. Kuria.<br />

Dr. Rukwaro’s team, being acutely<br />

aware of the ins and outs of hospital<br />

operations, will be able to pinpoint<br />

these unnecessarily long procedures,<br />

saving costs for CIC Insurance. “At<br />

times, it takes a medical doctor<br />

to understand the language used<br />

in claims and even detect fraudulent<br />

cases,” said CIC’s Mr. Kuria.<br />

The move by CIC Insurance to hire<br />

medics was lauded by Association<br />

of Kenya Insurance chief executive,<br />

Tom Gichuhi, who remarked that<br />

CIC Insurance was set to benefit<br />

from having a medical doctor check<br />

claims. “It is not common for insurers<br />

to hire medical doctors to head<br />

their medical departments,” Mr.<br />

Gichuhi ventured. “Doctors would,<br />

for instance, better understand<br />

invoices containing medicine they<br />

have knowledge of,” he added.<br />

Warnings<br />

Besides fraud, price undercutting<br />

is also emerging as a serious<br />

problem for Kenyan insurers. This<br />

predicament is reflected in the huge<br />

reduction in the industry’s overall<br />

profits (excluding life insurers) during<br />

the first half of <strong>2014</strong>. The IRA<br />

report shows that the overall<br />

56 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 57


INSURANCE<br />

Sector Report<br />

industry, excluding<br />

life insurers, posted<br />

an underwriting profit of<br />

Sh1.2 billion in the first six<br />

months of <strong>2014</strong>, down significantly<br />

from Sh2.1 billion in the<br />

same period a year earlier.<br />

The decline in insurers’ <strong>2014</strong><br />

half year profits as compared with<br />

2013 reflects the shrinking profitability<br />

of firms due to price undercutting.<br />

Some of the firms which<br />

made a loss during the <strong>2014</strong> half<br />

year period include Phoenix East<br />

Africa Assurance at Sh61.1 million,<br />

Gateway (Sh40.5 million), First<br />

Assurance (Sh38.7 million), Cannon<br />

(Sh36.4 million), Takaful (Sh21.2<br />

million), Directline (Sh13.1 million)<br />

and Saham Assurance (Sh5.5 million).<br />

In this regard, insurers have<br />

placed sustained pressure on the<br />

IRA to address the matter of price<br />

undercutting. Consequently, the<br />

regulator has issued stern warnings<br />

to insurers accused of price<br />

undercutting. The IRA in August<br />

directed Corporate Insurance, First<br />

Assurance and Monarch Insurance<br />

to stop charging lower than the<br />

approved minimum premiums for<br />

insurance policies, warning that failure<br />

to adhere to the directive would<br />

attract disciplinary action.<br />

Although it remains to be seen<br />

whether the law’s precise stroke of<br />

retribution will befall firms suspected<br />

of instigating price wars, industry<br />

observers are positive that the situation<br />

will correct itself in the longrun.<br />

This outlook is informed by the<br />

Insurance Amendment Bill, 2013,<br />

which among other things, calls for<br />

higher capitalization of insurance<br />

firms. The requirement for higher<br />

capitalization will naturally compel<br />

smaller insurers who have weaker<br />

Although the Insurance Fraud<br />

Investigation Unit has cracked the<br />

whip and unearthed a fraudulent<br />

scheme involving fake insurance<br />

stickers by public service vehicles,<br />

it still has a lot more to do.<br />

financial bases to capitulate to takeover<br />

demands by their larger counterparts.<br />

The Kenyan insurance scene has<br />

seen a wave expansion by insurers<br />

eager to meet capital requirements<br />

and increase market share in readiness<br />

of the Insurance Amendment<br />

Bill 2013. UAP and CIC Insurance,<br />

for instance, have both turned to<br />

the NSE this year to solicit funds<br />

for their ambitious expansion plans.<br />

Market leader, Jubilee Insurance,<br />

is also courting various expansion<br />

strategies. Although Jubilee has not<br />

disclosed the specifics of its expansion<br />

plans, it maintained in its annual<br />

general meeting that it was actively<br />

seeking mergers and acquisitions.<br />

“We are looking for mergers and<br />

acquisitions and are already in talks<br />

with several companies. We want<br />

quality companies not just in Kenya,<br />

but in East Africa and internationally.<br />

Jubilee has<br />

funding for this,”<br />

said Nizar Juma,<br />

Jubilee Holdings<br />

Chairman, during<br />

the firm’s annual<br />

general meeting.<br />

As insurance<br />

firms try to adjust to<br />

higher capital requirements,<br />

the need to merge will<br />

become more profound, reducing<br />

the number of firms in the industry.<br />

This will naturally be accompanied<br />

by a reduction in price undercutting<br />

owing to firms’ ability to leverage<br />

on their huge capital bases to adopt<br />

stable pricing regimes.<br />

Some industry observers like former<br />

Ecobank CEO, Arnold Ekpe,<br />

believe that stakeholders should<br />

lobby for what he described as<br />

‘arranged marriages’ between insurers.<br />

“There is a definite need for<br />

‘arranged marriages’ to facilitate the<br />

mergers and acquisitions in order<br />

to build scale within the insurance<br />

industry,” said Mr. Ekpe.<br />

Despite the seemingly myriad<br />

challenges, Kenya’s insurance sector<br />

is still growing satisfactorily. The<br />

AKI observes that in 2013, the country’s<br />

insurance sector grew at the<br />

second fastest rate globally after<br />

Jordan. Kenya’s insurance penetration—a<br />

ratio of premiums collected<br />

against a country’s GDP—stood at<br />

3.4 percent in 2013, up from 3.1<br />

percent in 2012, the AKI report<br />

shows. In comparison, developed<br />

markets such as UK and Japan had<br />

penetrations of 11.5 percent each<br />

in 2013. The US had 7.5 percent<br />

penetration over the same period.<br />

If the Kenyan insurance sector can<br />

address challenges such as fraud and<br />

price undercutting, it can sustain its<br />

high growth rate and achieve higher<br />

insurance penetration rates, sector<br />

analysts say.<br />

58 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | OCTOBER <strong>2014</strong> 59


MURANO<br />

Motoring<br />

Over the years, Nissan has bounced from<br />

radically weird (Juke) to very conservative<br />

(Sentra), to outright dull (Versa) to<br />

outrageous (GT-R), lacking a unifying theme<br />

to identify the brand other than the logo).<br />

Paul Williams reviews their latest model,<br />

designed to look like a concept car,<br />

The 2015 Nissan Murano<br />

The 2T015 Nissan Murano<br />

isn’t some kind of concept<br />

SUV. It is the production<br />

version of the 2015 Nissan<br />

Murano, which Nissan<br />

executives say is designed to look<br />

like a concept vehicle put into production.<br />

Okay, then. Mission accomplished!<br />

Indications are that this design<br />

will inspire future Nissan vehicles<br />

– or at least, the cars and CUVs<br />

– which is especially interesting<br />

because for quite a while, it’s been<br />

hard to pin down exactly what a<br />

Nissan looks like. Over the years,<br />

Nissan has bounced from radically<br />

weird (Juke) to very conservative<br />

(Sentra), to outright dull (Versa) to<br />

outrageous (GT-R), lacking a unifying<br />

theme to identify the brand<br />

(other than the logo). Nissan executives<br />

explained that this was actually<br />

strength, enabling Nissan to offer<br />

a range of very distinctive vehicles<br />

appealing to different buyers with<br />

different needs. That the Juke was<br />

completely unlike the Sentra, for<br />

instance, was therefore seen as a<br />

positive attribute.<br />

Lately, attitudes have changed,<br />

and with the all-new 2015 Nissan<br />

Murano we’re told that its distinctive<br />

design will indeed be a precursor<br />

of future Nissan vehicles. The<br />

third generation Murano revealed<br />

at the New York Show, therefore,<br />

“expresses a new Nissan design<br />

direction – including its ‘V-motion’<br />

front end, LED boomerang lights<br />

originally introduced on the Nissan<br />

370Z and the unique ‘floating’ roof,”<br />

according to Nissan. It’s the shape<br />

of things to come, a good tagline,<br />

nonetheless.<br />

The Murano is the right vehicle<br />

to get this ball rolling. When first<br />

introduced it created something of<br />

a stir in the SUV and nascent CUV<br />

segments, arguably influencing other<br />

manufacturers to move away from<br />

traditional boxy SUV styling and<br />

into more aerodynamic and appealing<br />

forms.<br />

While the original Murano –<br />

introduced in 2002 as a 2003 model<br />

– used elegant Italian glass as a<br />

design theme along with Spanish<br />

styling flourishes, the 2015 Murano<br />

is about futuristic transportation,<br />

according to Nissan. The shapely<br />

exterior, influenced by the company’s<br />

Resonance Concept, is carried<br />

through to the interior, which<br />

is designed to create “an engaging<br />

social lounge feel,” that features a<br />

lower-height instrument panel, wide<br />

centre console and Zero Gravity<br />

front and outboard rear seating,” the<br />

latter inspired by NASA.<br />

An important difference between<br />

Canadian and US Murano models<br />

is that for Canada, an eight-inch<br />

colour display with multi-touch control,<br />

NissanConnect, navigation and<br />

mobile apps are standard equipment.<br />

While some other companies<br />

are moving to four-cylinder power,<br />

Murano remains a V6 vehicle, it’s<br />

3.5-litre DOHC engine mated to<br />

a CVT “automatic” transmission.<br />

Optimized for fuel efficiency, and<br />

boasting a 0.31 coefficient of drag,<br />

Murano features a lower grille shutter,<br />

front and rear spoilers, rear tire<br />

deflectors, rear suspension fairings<br />

and an optimized fuel tank design.<br />

The drivetrain in combination with<br />

the aerodynamic exterior is expected<br />

to reduce fuel consumption by up to<br />

20 percent. For 2015, front-wheel<br />

drive returns to the Murano as an<br />

option to the all-wheel-drive system.<br />

Rear cargo area dimensions are<br />

increased by approximately 84 millimetres<br />

in width and 50 mm in<br />

length, while the rear lift gate is<br />

reshaped to more easily permit loading<br />

and unloading cargo. In combination,<br />

these modifications add<br />

113 L of cargo capacity to Murano.<br />

Usefully, the split rear seat can be<br />

controlled from the cargo area for<br />

added convenience.<br />

Safety technologies continue to<br />

be a strong suit of the Nissan brand,<br />

with many advanced systems both<br />

standard and available. The new<br />

Murano uses up to four on-board<br />

cameras and three radar systems to<br />

inform a range of safety technologies<br />

such as Moving Object Detection<br />

(MOD), Blind Spot Warning (BSW),<br />

Predictive Forward Collision Warning<br />

(PFCW) and Forward Emergency<br />

Braking. The new Cross Traffic Alert<br />

(CTA) system utilizes radar to detect<br />

a moving vehicle behind the Murano<br />

approaching from either side of<br />

the parking space. This enables the<br />

driver to better see curbs, shopping<br />

carts and strollers, for example, via<br />

COMPETITORS<br />

Ford Edge<br />

Jeep G. Cherokee<br />

VW Touareg<br />

onscreen images, visual notification<br />

and warning chimes.<br />

Available convenience features<br />

include the Around View Monitor,<br />

eight-way power driver’s seat with<br />

power lumbar support, SiriusXM<br />

Radio (SiriusXM required, sold<br />

separately), Nissan Intelligent Key<br />

with Push Button Ignition, iPod<br />

interface, 11-speaker Bose premium<br />

audio system, and Bluetooth handsfree<br />

phone system. A heated steering<br />

wheel is also available.<br />

Available audio systems include<br />

an advanced Bose design with 11<br />

speakers (including dual subwoofers),<br />

and SiriusXM Satellite Radio.<br />

Other interior features include: standard<br />

dual-zone automatic temperature<br />

control and Nissan Intelligent<br />

Key with push-button ignition, along<br />

with available leather-appointed<br />

seating, heated steering wheel, steering<br />

wheel position memory, driver’s<br />

seat and outside mirror memory,<br />

power folding rear seats and remote<br />

engine start with intelligent climate<br />

control.<br />

The panoramic moonroof has a<br />

40 percent longer sliding length and<br />

a 29 percent larger opening than the<br />

previous generation design. Nissan<br />

suggests it will be among the largest<br />

moonroofs in the segment.<br />

It is indeed a striking vehicle,<br />

and will be easily recognizable on<br />

the road. According to Nissan, the<br />

Murano “symbolizes Nissan’s designled<br />

product and brand renaissance.”<br />

“In the past three years, Nissan<br />

has completely transformed its product<br />

portfolio, grown global volume<br />

by more than one million units,<br />

strengthened the brand to being the<br />

fastest-growing automaker on the<br />

Interbrand Top 100, resulting in the<br />

shake-up of entire auto industry segments,”<br />

said Andy Palmer, Nissan’s<br />

Chief Planning Officer and Executive<br />

Vice President. “Murano helped create<br />

a new segment, and the latest<br />

version, debuting today, redefines<br />

that segment.”<br />

60 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 61


FUNDING<br />

Guest Column<br />

Budgeting and Funding<br />

your SME in 2015<br />

It is important that your business should be in the right place at the<br />

marketplace. In addition, growing the customer base as quickly as possible<br />

and maintaining momentum are crucial.<br />

Last month, I had an interesting<br />

conversation with<br />

a group of consultants in<br />

Strategy and Finance. It<br />

was not a surprise that most<br />

of them have had to change their tact<br />

because the market dynamics are<br />

changing.<br />

Less than a month is left before<br />

the end of the year. As most SMEs<br />

budget for next year, top on their<br />

budgeting agenda will be meeting<br />

the funding gap. If you cannot manage<br />

your operations with what you<br />

have, you need someone to walk you<br />

through the fundraising process. If<br />

you don’t want to walk with a consultant,<br />

I challenge you to run the<br />

business with your reserves.<br />

Think about it. You’ve built a<br />

perfect operation, you are making<br />

money, and you know how much<br />

you need. Having all that is just<br />

part of what you need. Even important,<br />

putting all this into perspective<br />

counts more especially if you have<br />

seek a financier. While pondering<br />

over this, note that the investor you<br />

are presenting your ideas to have<br />

more investment choices and wants<br />

to invest in solid ideas. Yours is just<br />

one of them.<br />

It is important that your business<br />

should be in the right place at<br />

the marketplace. In addition, growing<br />

the customer base as quickly as<br />

possible and maintaining momentum<br />

are crucial. Considering the<br />

scarcity of capital, anything beyond<br />

these two is waste of time unless it’s<br />

a capital expenditure.<br />

Consultants come at a cost, and<br />

it is very unlikely that anyone will<br />

work for you before a down payment.<br />

Consultants are worth the<br />

money in terms of developing the<br />

right framework and market entry<br />

strategy. A killer to your funding<br />

request will be requesting heavy<br />

salaries for the founder. The entrepreneur<br />

should be prepared to put in<br />

time to show commitment for which<br />

they get the reward from future cash<br />

flows; and not using the investor’s<br />

funds to line their pockets.<br />

While acquiring customers is a<br />

costly affair, it still remains a critical<br />

consideration by investors. If the<br />

strategy is just to spend money for<br />

the sake of spending, it might be<br />

the time to revisit your strategy.<br />

Estimate how much return you will<br />

make from your marketing budget.<br />

It earns you more confidence if you<br />

can demonstrate your critical thinking<br />

and your understanding of the<br />

marketing and advertising budget<br />

While<br />

acquiring<br />

customers is<br />

a costly affair,<br />

it still remains<br />

a critical<br />

consideration<br />

by investors.<br />

you have set aside.<br />

I warned a client against using<br />

TV for a media campaign on a new<br />

product he had launched in the<br />

market. Adamantly, the client spent<br />

over Kshs. 18 million on a campaign<br />

that lasted close to a month.<br />

The 30 second clip was funny and<br />

got people talking. The marketing<br />

interns did not slow down on their<br />

distribution of product flyers on the<br />

road side. Sales did not gradually<br />

increase; but one could easily tell<br />

from the sales numbers that any<br />

increase was almost proportionate<br />

to the few people who could read the<br />

flyers and make a phone call to the<br />

office. The flyers had only cost a few<br />

hundred thousand Kenya shillings<br />

as opposed to the TV campaign that<br />

cost Kshs. 18million.<br />

I have learnt it the hard way<br />

that an office, furniture, coffee bars<br />

and other overheads are the least<br />

important consideration for an SME.<br />

If you have many years of operation<br />

with an attractive retainer from<br />

key clients that is guaranteed to go<br />

on for many years, then you might<br />

need all these. Otherwise, you are<br />

better off without them. A modest<br />

operation on a modest budget does<br />

best. Priority should be getting your<br />

product to the market, and gaining<br />

traction to sustain revenues for as<br />

long as possible.<br />

Once all these things are checked<br />

in your budget for next year, you<br />

need to counter-check everything<br />

else from legal to accounting to the<br />

mere basics like janitorial and utilities.<br />

You don’t want to be the CEO<br />

headmaster in your own company, or<br />

the CEO who has to fight too many<br />

legal battles.<br />

I have met entrepreneurs who<br />

have wild dreams about great websites,<br />

leather seats, latest laptops<br />

and phones they wish to buy. I insist<br />

that what entrepreneurs need most<br />

is the drive and persistence to make<br />

it happen.<br />

As you finalize your budget for<br />

2015, make sure that it focuses on<br />

the key revenue drivers. Depending<br />

on the sector you are operating in, it<br />

may not be a very good year due to<br />

systemic challenges that could keep<br />

our growth at minimum. Minimize<br />

the spending on items that the company<br />

may carry-forward.<br />

The writer Michael Musau is an<br />

independent consultant and can be<br />

reached at michaelmusau@gmail.com<br />

62 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 63


MONEY<br />

Guest Forum<br />

Culture of money vs. Cult of money<br />

There is the Culture of<br />

Money and there is the Cult<br />

of Money. In the former,<br />

there is jubilation and celebration<br />

while in the latter,<br />

there is influence, wealth and power<br />

to decide who gets what, when and<br />

where. Many Black folks are caught<br />

up in the Culture of Money. That is<br />

why many of them struggle and state<br />

that they want to be ‘Millionaires’<br />

before a certain age.<br />

Many people in their lifetime<br />

are millionaires. If one has consistently<br />

earned $40,000 annually,<br />

over 25 years, they are millionaires<br />

without knowing it. So what about<br />

millionaires? It is never about the<br />

amount of money but the attitude<br />

to MONEY.<br />

On October 17 this year, Dennis<br />

Kimbro, a professor at Clark Atlanta<br />

University, was Keynote speaker<br />

at the Dallas Black Chamber of<br />

Commerce 88th Gala. Kimbro rolled<br />

out stats on black millionaires – that<br />

there are about 35,000 of them<br />

or so in US. Out of the US black<br />

population of nearly 42 million; do<br />

the maths: it stands at a ratio 1 to<br />

1,200 black folks. That does not<br />

really tell anything as many of the<br />

so called millionaires do not have a<br />

payroll of the people they employ or<br />

pay regularly. So the impact is negligible.<br />

He did not connect on how to<br />

build and nurture wealth except the<br />

usual who has what and how they<br />

made it, including pastors. I threw<br />

up listening.<br />

Any time a people associate<br />

their preachers, pastors and priests<br />

as Millionaires (black folks inadvertently<br />

and unconsciously do this)<br />

they are victims of undue fleecing<br />

and exploitation. True men and<br />

women of God must influence people<br />

to rise from their bondage. The clergies<br />

reward must be in heaven but<br />

Church<br />

buildings<br />

are never<br />

accounted for<br />

in measure<br />

of taxable<br />

asset that<br />

yield revenue<br />

to enhance<br />

an economic<br />

case.<br />

64 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015<br />

for us Black folks with undue sense<br />

of depravation, we want it here and<br />

now, and if selling hope makes it,<br />

why not.<br />

In Economic 101, assuming<br />

many read and understood that,<br />

there is never mention of churches<br />

and pastors and priests as role model<br />

for wealth building or building block<br />

to sustain an economic base. Church<br />

buildings are never accounted for<br />

in measure of taxable asset that<br />

yield revenue to enhance an economic<br />

case. It is a passive asset. But<br />

that is where black folks celebrate<br />

their arrival and collective investment.<br />

Why black folks equate and<br />

celebrate their elected and pastoral<br />

class with money, beats me cold.<br />

In my years associating with<br />

DBCC, the oldest African-American<br />

Chamber of Commerce in US, no<br />

Black millionaire or business has<br />

stepped up to underwrite the chamber’s<br />

annual luncheon or gala or<br />

endow its Educational foundation.<br />

When St. Philip’s Community<br />

School, Dallas located at 1600<br />

Pennsylvania Ave had a recognition<br />

event last month, a white couple<br />

were honoured for their outstanding<br />

contribution to the school. My ques-<br />

tion with all the noise about Black<br />

millionaires, the measure of community<br />

service and presence still elude<br />

our community in areas of:<br />

No black owned bank in US<br />

1. has deposit base of $1b<br />

In Dallas DFW where some of<br />

2. the mega churches exist with<br />

pastors associated with their millions<br />

instead of spiritual content,<br />

none of the churches were built by<br />

black contractors<br />

No grocery story worthy of<br />

3. mention and reputation is<br />

owned by black business<br />

No retail or shopping centre<br />

4. in black neighbourhood can<br />

stand and attract Grade A class asset<br />

valuation to be funded by pension<br />

fund, especially municipal employees<br />

backed and supported fund, majority<br />

of its subscribers – black employees<br />

No company and corporation<br />

5. in US owned by black has solid<br />

500 employees with majority being<br />

blacks<br />

Dallas Paul Quinn College<br />

6. struggling in both enrolment<br />

and finances is saved by white Dallas<br />

folks who give money<br />

You can add to the list. You<br />

got the picture. So where are the<br />

black millionaires and their generosity?<br />

If others are rescuing us and<br />

our institutions, should we celebrate<br />

ours whose only disposition is nice<br />

house in the suburb and depreciating<br />

investments in automobiles?<br />

In summary, we must get away<br />

from the Culture of Money mentality<br />

- often Consumer Wealth - that<br />

affords the present holder a nice<br />

home and cars but can hardly survive<br />

a generation once the holder<br />

passes on. I welcome seasoned counter<br />

and challenge.<br />

The Ejik E. Okpa II<br />

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CAREER<br />

Opinion<br />

ends and became part of every weekend<br />

escapade. I worked hard with<br />

the reports, got a promotion and<br />

worked even longer hours. I enjoyed<br />

every bit of it.<br />

Towards the end of the third<br />

year, reality checked in; I was making<br />

money but wasn’t living my<br />

dream. I was chasing someone else’s<br />

dream instead. Disappointed, I felt<br />

as if I was letting the lecturers who<br />

had taught me that I should take<br />

risks down. I had been taught to<br />

dream big and do big things. I<br />

wanted to own the bank, make it<br />

bigger and make lots of money. On<br />

paper it was possible and I wanted<br />

to venture out.<br />

As ambition would have it, I<br />

resigned and opted to start my own<br />

company. That’s where the drama<br />

began. I found a sexy name for<br />

my company and luckily, recruiting<br />

clientele was quite easy; riding on<br />

a bubble at the backdrop of a recovering<br />

economy; just after President<br />

Moi lost an election after 24 years<br />

in power. I did great analyst reports<br />

The pains of being a<br />

young entrepreneur in the<br />

limelight bit harder. Friends<br />

thought I was doing well<br />

because I had big clients--<br />

but ‘good clients’ don’t<br />

always pay well.<br />

Can chasing a dream<br />

ruin a career?<br />

and articles for major newspapers.<br />

The more they got published, the<br />

more clients I got. My business grew<br />

fast and I hired a big team of advisers,<br />

a large office and consultants to<br />

keep my house in order.<br />

While I was making money,<br />

spending it and ‘getting famous,’ the<br />

global financial crisis struck suddenly.<br />

This came hot on the heels<br />

of Kenya’s elections that went bad<br />

in 2008. I had no savings at all but<br />

I was credit worthy. I borrowed<br />

without keeping tabs on how much<br />

until it fell out of place. The crisis bit<br />

harder. I sent my employees, including<br />

myself home.<br />

Being a good entrepreneur, persistence<br />

had taught me to ‘hang-in<br />

there’ as long as possible. Two years<br />

later, I rebounded and learnt to do<br />

While I was making money,<br />

spending it and ‘getting famous,’<br />

the global financial crisis struck<br />

suddenly.<br />

things differently. While it worked<br />

out just fine, I had ignored the fact<br />

that in as much as the economy<br />

had improved, the corporate finance<br />

sector had changed. The investment<br />

banks had swallowed all the clients,<br />

and the ordinary Kenyan, who had<br />

started having an appeal for third<br />

party opinion before investing had<br />

developed cold feet and reverted<br />

back to traditional investments<br />

(land, property, etc.)<br />

The pains of being a young<br />

entrepreneur in the limelight bit<br />

harder. Friends thought I was doing<br />

well because I had big clients-- but<br />

‘good clients’ don’t always pay well.<br />

I started pulling out of the social<br />

scene because more time was spent<br />

either working on the deals or looking<br />

for more deals.I stopped showing<br />

up for functions to avoid being made<br />

to feel great while I was struggling.<br />

“Oh, we saw you in the papers,<br />

great job,” Someone would say.<br />

“Mr. X told us the great<br />

job you did for him,”<br />

another person<br />

would say.<br />

Such was<br />

the common<br />

talk<br />

that I<br />

chose to<br />

run away<br />

from. Once<br />

in a while,<br />

one good client<br />

could show<br />

up and pay well.<br />

The following weeks<br />

or months would elapse<br />

without such clients. In the<br />

end, I concluded that consulting<br />

business wasn’t easy and I<br />

needed people with the energy<br />

to ‘walk with me’ through the<br />

operations.<br />

I was lucky to have found<br />

the partners that I was looking<br />

When we are growing<br />

up, our parents teach<br />

us to ‘work hard, get<br />

good grades, graduate<br />

with first class, and<br />

find a well-paying job.’ I was a good<br />

student, straight from high school to<br />

university and that qualified me for<br />

all the above. Three plus years at the<br />

university and I graduated. Like most<br />

middle class families in Kenya do, my<br />

parents came for my Finance degree<br />

graduation, cheered when I received<br />

my ‘powers to read and write’ and<br />

invited all their friends over for the<br />

after-party.<br />

Just before I graduated, I had<br />

secured a job with a bank. I was<br />

excited by the fact that I was spending<br />

12 hours punching numbers<br />

in Excel sheets, trying models and<br />

different formulas; drawing graphs<br />

and using all the finance jargon I<br />

had learnt in school. Just like the<br />

creation story, I’d always look at<br />

everything and feel satisfied that ‘it<br />

was good.’<br />

I loved the challenge, enjoyed<br />

time with friends, had fun all weekfor<br />

but the perceived blessing turned<br />

out to be the worst nightmare of<br />

my life. Due to ownership battles, I<br />

chose to let go of my 7 years of hard<br />

work and ‘move on.’ Fortunately,<br />

‘moving on’ had become a political<br />

cliché after the 2013 elections.<br />

Laughable as it may seem, I handed<br />

in a resignation and left my company<br />

and landed a good job at the World<br />

Bank.<br />

I did not want to go back to<br />

consulting but another blunder during<br />

the transition got me pairing up<br />

with another entrepreneur; another<br />

situation gone bad, luckily too soon<br />

to pick up the pieces and ‘keep moving<br />

on.’ I have arbitration issues to<br />

deal with that though unnecessary,<br />

are just a common thing that most<br />

entrepreneurs ignore every day.<br />

Before quitting that job to chase<br />

your dream, please ensure that you<br />

have stayed<br />

long enough to secure<br />

business from your employer.<br />

That requires you to have won<br />

the confidence of the board<br />

who can easily vouch that big<br />

account for you.<br />

Even with a good amount of<br />

savings, I am convinced that had I<br />

worked longer (at least 5 years), I’d<br />

have made more sound decisions<br />

relating to my career and dreams.<br />

Some people argue that with good<br />

savings, it is possible to survive<br />

through turbulent times and emerge<br />

strong. It is true but shouldn’t a<br />

good business model survive such<br />

turbulence? If there was a wise decision<br />

I should have made, it would<br />

be walking out when the markets<br />

were a mess and starting a different<br />

operation.<br />

Family support comes in handy.<br />

But you should not be the pain in<br />

the family because of your struggling<br />

enterprise. Chances are that<br />

they need you more than you need<br />

them. If it’s not working, then you’re<br />

better off not dragging them into the<br />

trouble.<br />

On a more consoling note,<br />

we all peg success on<br />

Young entrepreneurs<br />

out there, not<br />

everyone is meant to<br />

be on the Forbes<br />

list. What we see<br />

glittering out<br />

there is not<br />

necessarily<br />

gold. If it<br />

is not<br />

worki<br />

n g<br />

out as you’d<br />

wish, it probably<br />

won’t ever<br />

work. Get rid of it,<br />

dust off and move<br />

on to something else<br />

that works- perhaps that<br />

salary at the end of the<br />

month.<br />

The writer Michael Musau is an<br />

independent consultant and can be<br />

reached at michaelmusau@gmail.com<br />

Being a good<br />

entrepreneur,<br />

persistence<br />

had taught<br />

me to ‘hangin<br />

there’<br />

as long as<br />

possible.<br />

66 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015 67


XXXXXXXXXXX<br />

RALLY AUDIENCE<br />

Xxxxxxxxxx<br />

WRC TV audience rises<br />

by 35 per cent in <strong>2014</strong><br />

New figures issued<br />

by sports marketing<br />

research company<br />

Repucom for the first 10<br />

rounds of the championship,<br />

up to and including Coates Hire<br />

Rally Australia, show a large rise in<br />

both audience and broadcast time<br />

compared with 2013.<br />

Total audience across the 10<br />

rallies rose by 35 per cent to 581.81<br />

million viewers, while broadcast<br />

time increased by 70 per cent to<br />

7275 hours.<br />

Most regions saw notable audience<br />

increases in comparison to<br />

2013, including Central and South<br />

America (+ 155 per cent) and<br />

Europe (+ 34 per cent).<br />

Rallye Monte-Carlo netted the<br />

largest audience to date with 86.75<br />

million viewers tuning in, while<br />

Neste Oil Rally Finland achieved<br />

the highest broadcast time with 880<br />

hours.<br />

In the third quarter, Neste Oil<br />

Rally Finland was watched on TV<br />

by an additional 30 million fans<br />

compared with 2013, ADAC Rallye<br />

Deutschland gained an extra 22 million<br />

viewers and Coates Hire Rally<br />

Australia brought in 18 million more<br />

people than last year.<br />

WRC Promoter managing director<br />

Oliver Ciesla said the upward<br />

trend was ‘hugely encouraging’ and<br />

maintained the excellent progress<br />

in growing WRC’s media audience<br />

across all platforms.<br />

“Increased broadcast hours confirm<br />

broadcasters’ appreciation of<br />

the WRC programmes we produce<br />

and demonstrate we’re meeting the<br />

demand for live sport in HD format,”<br />

he said.<br />

“The figures show our emphasis<br />

to deliver live stages at regular times,<br />

such as the Power Stage at midday<br />

on a Sunday and Thursday evening<br />

city stages, are welcomed by viewers<br />

and attract new fans,” he added.<br />

About WRC Promoter GmbH<br />

WRC Promoter GmbH is a joint company of<br />

Red Bull Media House and the sportsman<br />

media holding. It is responsible for all<br />

commercial aspects of the FIA World Rally<br />

Championship, including broadcast formats,<br />

TV production and the marketing of global<br />

media and sponsorship rights. The Promoter<br />

also has responsibility to increase the field of<br />

participants and to propose the venues that<br />

form the FIA WRC calendar.<br />

The World Rally Championship is the FIA’s<br />

premium rally series. WRC showcases<br />

authentic motorsport, high performance<br />

cars and the world’s best drivers competing<br />

in dramatic surroundings ranging from the<br />

ice and snow of Scandinavia to the stifling<br />

heat of Sardinia. Established in its current<br />

format in 1973, WRC participants battle for<br />

the drivers’ and manufacturers’ world titles<br />

at rallies spanning 13 countries and four<br />

continents. More information can be found at<br />

www.wrc.com and www.wrcplus.com.<br />

“ In my business, long-term<br />

commitment is a must”<br />

– Tabitha Karanja, CEO of Keroche Breweries<br />

With <strong>Business</strong> Banking you have a partner who<br />

understands your needs to help your business<br />

to prosper.<br />

When it comes to growing your business, you need a partner who is as committed<br />

as you. So when we provide asset financing, we’re making a commitment to help<br />

ensure your plans are fulfilled, right to the very end. Because we realise that when<br />

your business succeeds, our business succeeds.<br />

Call us on 020 390 0000 to have a <strong>Business</strong> Relationship Manager come and<br />

meet with you.<br />

68 <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Monthly</strong> | december <strong>2014</strong>-JANUARY 2015<br />

Barclays Bank of Kenya is regulated by Central Bank of Kenya


Hobie Beach, Nelson Mandela Bay - Port Elizabeth (NMMU Main building in far background)

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