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financial statements and management report 2004 commerzbank ag

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Apart from complying with the supervisory<br />

requirements, ZRC ensures risk transparency at all<br />

times <strong>and</strong> provides the Board of Man<strong>ag</strong>ing Directors<br />

as well as the responsible business-line heads with<br />

prompt, reliable <strong>and</strong> clear information on the scale<br />

<strong>and</strong> origin of market risk on the basis of informative<br />

key ratios. Limits for the daily value-at-risk <strong>and</strong> the<br />

stress test, as well as loss-review triggers, are set.<br />

Reflecting the structure of the business line, these<br />

limits are allocated to sub-portfolio levels. Depending<br />

on the level in question, the limits are approved by<br />

either the head of the business line, the Risk Committee<br />

or the Board of Man<strong>ag</strong>ing Directors. For 2005,<br />

Commerzbank has used economic capital <strong>and</strong> RoRaC<br />

for the first time in establishing its market-risk limits<br />

<strong>and</strong> it will take this as a basis for the risk-based steering<br />

of limits.<br />

The extent to which the limits are used at all relevant<br />

portfolio levels is <strong>report</strong>ed daily to the Board of<br />

Man<strong>ag</strong>ing Directors <strong>and</strong> the heads of business lines<br />

in the form of a risk <strong>and</strong> P&L <strong>report</strong>. ZRC also provides<br />

the Risk Committee at two-week intervals with<br />

detailed information through its so-called Market Risk<br />

Hotspots on the development of market risk in the<br />

Bank’s trading <strong>and</strong> banking books. The above-mentioned<br />

data <strong>and</strong> limit utilizations are complemented<br />

here by extensive scenario analyses. These simulate<br />

the impact of specific movements in interest-rate,<br />

equity, currency <strong>and</strong> credit markets.<br />

The Risk Committee is the central body in which<br />

there is intensive discussion on the current marketrisk<br />

position of the Bank <strong>and</strong> the individual business<br />

lines <strong>and</strong> also on the impact of potential market<br />

scenarios. The divisional heads <strong>report</strong> their current<br />

strategy <strong>and</strong> their market expectation to the Risk<br />

Committee. The market-risk limits <strong>and</strong> their utilization<br />

are then regularly reviewed <strong>and</strong> adjusted if necessary.<br />

Market-risk methodology<br />

Key requirements to be met in quantifying market risk<br />

are the compatibility of the risk measures used with<br />

those of other types of risk (for example, credit risk)<br />

<strong>and</strong> also recognition – as far as possible – of all the<br />

positions involving market risk. For complex <strong>financial</strong><br />

innovations in particular, sophisticated methods, procedures<br />

<strong>and</strong> guidelines are needed, which are established<br />

by ZRC <strong>and</strong> constantly reviewed with the goal<br />

of permanently improving them.<br />

RISK REPORT 17<br />

The calculation of market risk is based on the<br />

value-at-risk method. The value-at-risk (VaR) is the<br />

maximum loss in value of a portfolio during a given<br />

holding period with a given degree of probability<br />

(confidence level), assuming that the composition of<br />

the portfolio remains unchanged. VaR at Commerzbank<br />

is worked out for the trading units ZCM <strong>and</strong> ZGT.<br />

In view of the persistent uncertainty in the international<br />

<strong>financial</strong> markets <strong>and</strong> the <strong>man<strong>ag</strong>ement</strong>’s farreaching<br />

strategic decisions, the area of market risk<br />

was characterized by risk reduction in <strong>2004</strong>.<br />

In line with the supervisory requirements, the<br />

monitoring of market risk by ZRC covers the following<br />

categories:<br />

The general market risk represents the risk of loss<br />

to a portfolio through changes in equity prices,<br />

exchange rates, precious-metal/commodity prices<br />

or interest rates of the market as a whole <strong>and</strong> the<br />

respective volatilities. The general market risk of<br />

trading portfolios is calculated by means of historical<br />

simulation. For forecasting the changes in<br />

value of individual portfolios, the observed fluctuations<br />

of market prices, such as equity prices <strong>and</strong><br />

interest rates, over the past 255 trading days are<br />

used. The advant<strong>ag</strong>e is that the individual portfolios<br />

can be easily <strong>ag</strong>gregated <strong>and</strong> the observed<br />

market movements are taken into account.<br />

The specific market risk covers the risk of loss due<br />

to the change in price of individual interest-rate<br />

<strong>and</strong> equity-based <strong>financial</strong> instruments relative to<br />

changes in the respective market indices. A distinction<br />

is made between the specific equity price<br />

risk <strong>and</strong> the specific interest-rate risk. The specific<br />

interest-rate risk is calculated using the variancecovariance<br />

method. Potential losses are forecast<br />

not through changes in the risk factors themselves<br />

but rather through statistical parameters for the<br />

risk factors.<br />

The interest-rate risk is understood as the risk of<br />

adverse effects from changes in market interest<br />

rates on either the capital invested or current<br />

income. Different fixed-interest periods for claims<br />

<strong>and</strong> liabilities in on-balance business <strong>and</strong> derivatives<br />

represent the main source of interest-rate<br />

risk. The interest-rate risk is measured not only<br />

with the market-risk model but also on the basis

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