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Peacebuilding: Lessons for Afghanistan? - CMI

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Until Afghan priorities <strong>for</strong> reconstructing the state and economy are authoritatively<br />

clarified, whatever aid is given must be distributed equitably among the parties. As<br />

four men representing the country's main ethnic groups (Pashtun, Hazara, Tajik,<br />

Uzbek) told a reporter recently: "If you give us four loaves of bread, we will all eat in<br />

peace. But if you give a loaf to just one of us, then the other three will fight to get<br />

it." 26<br />

Realistic expectations about conflict and the future Afghan state<br />

While the US-led offensive is drawing to an end without, so far, provoking a military<br />

response from Pashtun groups, small-scale violence among Afghans is likely to be a<br />

continuous facet of the political process. Low-intensity conflict of this kind is not<br />

necessarily a threat to the state. Violence between local groups may build on the<br />

traditions of the tribal feud, and is governed by codes regarding legitimate reasons <strong>for</strong><br />

taking up arms as well as the methods of warfare.<br />

The state in <strong>Afghanistan</strong> has, historically speaking, survived only in a delicate modus<br />

vivendi with strong social <strong>for</strong>ces, such as those represented by tribal or religious<br />

networks, or by local communities. Successful peace-building hinges on realistic<br />

assumptions concerning the future role of the state as an integrating <strong>for</strong>ce. This<br />

probably lies somewhere in the middle of the minimalist-modernist spectrum noted at<br />

the outset: that is, an agent capable of offering a framework <strong>for</strong> security, facilitating<br />

access to basic welfare services, and providing rules <strong>for</strong> aggregating interests and<br />

setting policy priorities on a national basis.<br />

26 "Afghan Leaders' Limited Goal: Proving They Can Cooperate", Washington Post, 30 December<br />

2001.<br />

14

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