30.12.2014 Views

5.Roderick Eggert_Exploration and Development.pdf

5.Roderick Eggert_Exploration and Development.pdf

5.Roderick Eggert_Exploration and Development.pdf

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong> Mine<br />

<strong>Development</strong>: Risk <strong>and</strong> Reward<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong><br />

International Conference on Mining,<br />

“Staking a Claim for Cambodia”<br />

Phnom Penh, Cambodia, 26-27 May 2010


Outline for “Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Mine <strong>Development</strong>”<br />

‣ Characteristics<br />

‣ Where they occur<br />

‣ How they are financed<br />

‣ „Best practice‟ in public policy<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 2


Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong> Mine<br />

‣ . . .are investments<br />

<strong>Development</strong>. . .<br />

‣ They compete for funds with other<br />

investment opportunities<br />

‣ The level <strong>and</strong> location of investment are<br />

determined by expected revenues <strong>and</strong><br />

costs, adjusted for time <strong>and</strong> risk<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 3


‣ Geologic<br />

Factors that Determine Expected<br />

Revenues, Costs, <strong>and</strong> Risks<br />

• Does a mineral resource exist, in what quantities <strong>and</strong> grades, of<br />

what metallurgical quality<br />

‣ Technical<br />

• Can a resource be extracted <strong>and</strong> processed, with what<br />

technologies<br />

‣ Environmental, Social, <strong>and</strong> Political<br />

• Can a resource be extracted in ways that are consistent with a<br />

nation‟s preferences for environmental quality <strong>and</strong> impacts on<br />

local communities And in ways that are compatible with public<br />

policies <strong>and</strong> the political environment<br />

‣ Economic<br />

• Overall, can a resource be extracted at a profit<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 4


Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong> Mine<br />

<strong>Development</strong>. . .<br />

‣ . . . together represent a multistage<br />

process of information gathering<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 5


Stages in Mineral Supply<br />

(1) Grassroots <strong>and</strong> advanced exploration identifying <strong>and</strong><br />

evaluating a mineral deposit<br />

(2) Deposit development designing <strong>and</strong> constructing a mine<br />

(3) Mining producing ore & concentrate (or other form of semiprocessed<br />

material)<br />

(4) Metallurgical processing producing refined metal<br />

(5) Fabrication <strong>and</strong> manufacturing transforming refined metal into<br />

finished product<br />

The perspective of mineral deposit: the deposit must be discovered<br />

before it can be mined<br />

The perspective of a company: it can choose to enter the supply chain<br />

at any stage of production<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 6


Company Perspective: Where to Enter the Supply Chain<br />

Grassroots<br />

<strong>Exploration</strong><br />

Advanced<br />

<strong>Exploration</strong><br />

Deposit<br />

<strong>Development</strong><br />

Operating<br />

Mine<br />

Lead time until<br />

mining<br />

Geologic risks<br />

L<strong>and</strong> area<br />

Costs <strong>and</strong><br />

economic risks<br />

Profit potential<br />

Political risks<br />

Longer Shorter<br />

(5-15 years of continuous activity from start of grassroots<br />

exploration)<br />

Higher Lower<br />

Larger Smaller<br />

Lower Higher<br />

Higher Lower<br />

Lower Higher (bargaining power switches to<br />

government once mining begins; exploration is „footloose‟)<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 7


Grassroots <strong>Exploration</strong><br />

Activities<br />

Typical L<strong>and</strong> Area<br />

(1,000 square<br />

km)<br />

Typical<br />

Expenditure<br />

(million US$)<br />

Possible<br />

Outcomes or<br />

Studies<br />

Desk studies, area selection, l<strong>and</strong> acquisition,<br />

regional studies (geology, geochemistry,<br />

geophysics), preliminary community engagement<br />

100-1000<br />

Up to 10s<br />

Target identification for subsequent detailed<br />

analysis<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 8


Advanced <strong>Exploration</strong><br />

Activities<br />

Typical L<strong>and</strong> Area<br />

(1000 sq km)<br />

Typical<br />

Expenditure<br />

(million US$)<br />

Possible<br />

Outcomes or<br />

Studies<br />

Detailed target evaluation (geology, geochemistry,<br />

geophysics), drilling, trenching, deposit delineation,<br />

preliminary metallurgy, collection of environmental &<br />

social baseline data, community engagement<br />

1-10<br />

Up to 100s<br />

- Scoping study (resource estimate, order-of-magnitude<br />

cost estimate)<br />

- Prefeasibility study (revised resource estimates,<br />

preliminary mine design & engineering, preliminary<br />

cost estimates)<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 9


Deposit <strong>Development</strong><br />

Typical<br />

Activities<br />

Typical L<strong>and</strong><br />

Area (1000 sq<br />

km)<br />

Typical<br />

Expenditure<br />

Possible<br />

Outcomes or<br />

Studies<br />

Detailed drilling, mine planning, metallurgical testing,<br />

continued environmental assessment, continued<br />

community engagement<br />

1<br />

Varies, can be > US$1 billion<br />

- Applications for required permits & approvals<br />

- Feasibility study (reserve estimates, mine & plant<br />

design, detailed cost estimates, full technical &<br />

economic assessment, financing)<br />

- “Go/no go” decision<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 10


Environmental <strong>and</strong> Social Impacts<br />

Grassroots<br />

<strong>Exploration</strong><br />

- Usually minimal effects from airborne geophysical<br />

surveys <strong>and</strong> regional reconnaissance<br />

Advanced<br />

<strong>Exploration</strong><br />

Deposit<br />

<strong>Development</strong> &<br />

Mining<br />

- More significant but still moderate effects<br />

- Road building, traffic, drilling, trenching, etc., can<br />

affect air, flora, fauna, l<strong>and</strong>, water<br />

- Most effects can be mitigated at a cost with<br />

helicopters, remediation after drilling, other activities<br />

- Potentially more significant effects<br />

- Environmental: construction, mining, processing,<br />

waste disposal <strong>and</strong> tailings affect air, flora, fauna,<br />

l<strong>and</strong>, water<br />

- Social: potential influx of people <strong>and</strong> significant<br />

community change represent challenges<br />

- Many effects can be minimized & controlled but<br />

some change is inevitable <strong>and</strong> permanent<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 11


Outline: Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Mine <strong>Development</strong><br />

‣ Characteristics<br />

‣ Where they occur. . .<br />

• . . . Depends on (a) geologic potential <strong>and</strong> (b)<br />

the investment climate<br />

‣ How they are financed<br />

‣ „Best practice‟ in public policy<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 12


Perceptions of Geologic Potential<br />

‣ Perceptions based on:<br />

• Geologic knowledge from non-mining activities (e.g., road<br />

building, assessment of geologic hazards, etc.)<br />

• Past <strong>and</strong> present exploration <strong>and</strong> mining<br />

• Research <strong>and</strong> geoscientific information from public geologicalsurvey<br />

organizations<br />

• Geoscientific information as a public good<br />

• A catalyst (advertising, signaling)<br />

‣ <strong>Exploration</strong> of an area is never done „once <strong>and</strong> for all‟<br />

• Different explorers interpret the same data differently<br />

• Over time, scientific underst<strong>and</strong>ing of mineral deposits improves,<br />

technologies change, economic & political conditions change<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 13


The Investment Climate <strong>and</strong> Governments<br />

‣ General considerations (macroeconomic <strong>and</strong> political<br />

stability, legal & banking systems, fiscal rules, etc.)<br />

‣ Mineral policies<br />

• Role of the state<br />

• Access to l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> mineral resources<br />

• Security of tenure<br />

• Local communities<br />

• Environmental protection (operational, post closure)<br />

• Commercial considerations (e.g., downstream processing<br />

requirements, marketing, foreign exchange, repatriation of<br />

profits, transferability of rights)<br />

• Mining taxation<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 14


Mining Taxation<br />

‣ Possible reasons for taxing mining differently<br />

than other activities<br />

• Government owns subsurface mineral resource<br />

• Mining generates differential rents or surpluses<br />

• Gift of nature, ability to pay, redistribute income, alleviate<br />

poverty<br />

• Mining depletes a nonrenewable resource<br />

• Sustain the benefits of mining after mining ends<br />

• Invest in other forms of sustainable capital<br />

• Human health<br />

• Education<br />

• Public infrastructure<br />

• Other industries<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 15


Mining Taxation (continued)<br />

‣ Types<br />

• Unit of production (based on weight)<br />

• Gross value<br />

• Net income<br />

• Upfront bonus payment<br />

‣ Differences among types of taxes:<br />

• Incentives for exploration <strong>and</strong> mining investment<br />

• Risk sharing between company <strong>and</strong> government<br />

• Timing, stability, predictability of government<br />

revenues<br />

• Ease & costs of implementation<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 16


Outline: Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Mine <strong>Development</strong><br />

‣ Characteristics<br />

‣ Where they occur<br />

‣ How they are financed<br />

‣ „Best practice‟ in public policy<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 17


General Points<br />

‣ Sources of finance<br />

• Internal funds<br />

• Equity<br />

• Debt<br />

‣ Most mineral exploration<br />

• Internal funds (companies with operating mines)<br />

• Equity (junior exploration companies)<br />

‣ Most mine development<br />

• mix of equity <strong>and</strong> debt<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 18


Equity<br />

‣ Off Market<br />

• Venture capital<br />

• Private placements<br />

• Joint ventures (e.g.,<br />

mining company funds<br />

activities of junior<br />

exploration company<br />

in exchange for partial<br />

ownership)<br />

• Royalty-based<br />

financing<br />

‣ Market<br />

• Initial public offerings<br />

(IPOs)<br />

• Subsequent issuing of<br />

equity rights<br />

Source: Guj (2006)<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 19


Debt<br />

‣ Corporate debt: loans to company as a<br />

whole<br />

‣ Project finance: loans to project, no<br />

recourse to other assets of the company<br />

Source: Guj (2006)<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 20


Outline: Mineral <strong>Exploration</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Mine <strong>Development</strong><br />

‣ Characteristics<br />

‣ Where they occur<br />

‣ How they are financed<br />

‣ ‘Best practice’ in public policy<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 21


„Best Practice‟ in Mineral<br />

Public Policy<br />

‣ Provision of basic up-to-date geoscientific information<br />

‣ Optimal allocation of l<strong>and</strong>, incorporating economic,<br />

social, environmental issues<br />

‣ Clear, efficient, transparent licensing<br />

‣ Security of tenure<br />

‣ Internationally competitive tax regimes<br />

‣ Adequate supply of qualified professionals<br />

‣ Appropriate <strong>and</strong> consistent environmental rules<br />

‣ Effective stakeholder engagement<br />

‣ Optimal distribution of benefits<br />

Source: ABARE (2007)<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 22


„Best Practice‟ in Economic<br />

Governance<br />

‣ Consistency, accountability <strong>and</strong> administrative<br />

capacity across all sectors of the economy<br />

‣ Competitive neutrality across all sectors<br />

‣ Facilitation of flexible business structures<br />

‣ A non-restrictive foreign investment environment<br />

‣ A market free from barriers to trade<br />

‣ Unrestricted access to domestic <strong>and</strong> global<br />

capital markets<br />

‣ Adequate investment in infrastructure<br />

Source: ABARE (2007)<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 23


Contact information:<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong><br />

Professor <strong>and</strong> Division Director<br />

Division of Economics <strong>and</strong> Business<br />

Colorado School of Mines<br />

Golden, Colorado<br />

USA 80401<br />

Phone: +1 303 273 3981<br />

E-mail: reggert@mines.edu<br />

Roderick G. <strong>Eggert</strong>, May 26, 2010 24

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!