FSNAU-Nutrition-Technical-Series-Report-Post-Gu-2011
FSNAU-Nutrition-Technical-Series-Report-Post-Gu-2011
FSNAU-Nutrition-Technical-Series-Report-Post-Gu-2011
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<strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis<br />
<strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
<strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No VI. 41<br />
September 28, <strong>2011</strong><br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
Analysis Unit - Somalia<br />
Information for Better Livelihood<br />
Funding Agencies<br />
Swiss<br />
Swiss<br />
Agency<br />
Agency<br />
for<br />
for<br />
Development<br />
Development<br />
and<br />
and<br />
Cooperation<br />
Cooperation<br />
SDC<br />
SDC<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
ii<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Acknowledgements<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> would like to thank all our 24 partner agencies for their participation and support in the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> seasonal<br />
nutrition assessments and analysis.<br />
From April through August <strong>2011</strong>, a total of 60 nutrition surveys were conducted based on standard SMART<br />
methodology. 15 of the nutrition surveys were conducted in August <strong>2011</strong> in the south, as part of the rolling surveys<br />
to inform on the evolving nutrition situation following the declaration of famine in parts of the south. Additionally,<br />
about 100 health facilities were visited, and 28 rapid assessments conducted with 1,180 children measured in two<br />
rural livelihoods; 3,860 children in 23 urban settlements, and 2800 children measured in two IDP settlements.<br />
Executive Acknowledgement Summary<br />
iii<br />
Without the support and expertise of 8 local NGOs, 3 International NGOs, 3 Local Authorities, 8 line Ministries and<br />
2 UN agencies, this would not have been possible. Special thanks to UNICEF, and the World Food Program, for<br />
financial and/or technical support; and to the nutrition and health cluster coordinators, and the UNOCHA GenCAP<br />
Advisor for contributions to this publication.<br />
A sincere note of appreciation goes to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> nutrition team based in Somalia who work under very difficult<br />
conditions yet continue to produce such high quality professional work. Contributions from the <strong>FSNAU</strong> food security,<br />
data systems and gender advisory teams are also acknowledged.<br />
Participating Partners<br />
United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), World Food Programme (WFP), Ministry of Health (MOH), Ministry of<br />
Health (MOH Somaliland), Ministry of Agriculture (Somaliland), Ministry of Environment and Rural Development,<br />
Ministry of Labour and Family Affairs, and NERAD (Somaliland); Ministry of Health (Puntland), Ministry of Women<br />
Development and Family Affairs (MoWDFA), Ministry of Wildlife, Tourism and Environment (Puntland), Puntland<br />
State of Water and Energy (PSWEN). Intersos, Medair, Muslim Aid – UK; Somalia Red Crescent Society (SRCS),<br />
AFREC, New Ways, Murdo, Zam Zam, Asal, Sorrdo, TRG.<br />
Mahad Sanid<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive Table of Contents<br />
TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
1 Executive Summary 1<br />
2 Cases of Acutely Malnourished Children in somalia 7<br />
3 <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis in Somalia 11<br />
iv<br />
4. REGIONAL NUTRITION ANALYSIS 15<br />
4.1 Gedo Region 15<br />
4.2 MIDDLE and LOWER Juba Regions 21<br />
4.3 Bay and Bakool Regions 26<br />
4.4 Middle and Lower Shabelle Regions 33<br />
4.5 hiran region 41<br />
4.6 Central Somalia: Galgadud and Mudug regions 45<br />
4.7 Northeast Regions 50<br />
4.8 Northwest Regions 63<br />
5 Urban Summary Findings 74<br />
6 Plausibility checks 76<br />
7 APPENDICES 81<br />
7.1 Progression of Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation <strong>Gu</strong>’07 - <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 81<br />
7.2 <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 83<br />
7.3. Mortality Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 88<br />
7.4. IDP <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 89<br />
7.5. Rapid MUAC Assessment Form 93<br />
7.6 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form with Food Security Questions 94<br />
7.7 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form without Food Security Questions 95<br />
7.8 Rapid Data Collection Form 96<br />
7.9 Urban Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 97<br />
7.10: Somalia Livelihood Zones 100<br />
List of Tables<br />
Table 1: Timeline of Activities for <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analysis 2<br />
Table 2: Somalia Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, Population Numbers, Aug - Sep, <strong>2011</strong> 8<br />
Table 3: Cases of Acute Malnutrition in Somalia, by Region, August <strong>2011</strong> 9<br />
Table 4: <strong>Nutrition</strong> key targets August ’11-February ’12 11<br />
Table 5. The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Classification Framework, Draft 7, Jul 2010 13<br />
Table 6: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 1<br />
Table 7: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, Gedo Riverine August, <strong>2011</strong> 19<br />
Table 8: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 24<br />
Table 9: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, August <strong>2011</strong> 25<br />
Table 10: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bakool Region - July &August <strong>2011</strong> 28<br />
Table 11: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bay Regions- July &August <strong>2011</strong> 31<br />
Table 12: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Middle Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong> 35<br />
Table 13: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Lower Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong> 36<br />
Table 14: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Mogadishu Town and IDPs, April -August <strong>2011</strong> 38<br />
Table 15: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region, July-August <strong>2011</strong> 43<br />
Table 16: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region (Agro-pastoral), July-August <strong>2011</strong> 44<br />
Table 17: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions, July <strong>2011</strong> 47<br />
Table 18: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Cowpea Belt Agro-pastoral and Coastal Deeh Livelihood<br />
zones of Central Region, July <strong>2011</strong> 49<br />
Table 19: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast Regions, May - July 53<br />
Table 20: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions, July <strong>2011</strong> 55<br />
Table 21: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast IDPs, May - June <strong>2011</strong> 57<br />
Table 22: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast and Central IDPs, May - June <strong>2011</strong> 59<br />
Table 23: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Sool Plateau, Nugal Valley and West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />
Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 66<br />
Table 24: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, East Golis and Agro-pastoral Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 68<br />
Table 25: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings for Hargeisa, Burao and Berbera IDPs May-June <strong>2011</strong> 71<br />
Table 26: Summary of Urban Findings: North West and East; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, July <strong>2011</strong> 75<br />
Table 27: South and Central Urban MUAC Summary Findings; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, July <strong>2011</strong> 76<br />
Table 28: Plausibility Checks 78<br />
Table 29: Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments, May - July <strong>2011</strong> 79<br />
Table 30: Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments, August <strong>2011</strong> 81<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
List of Maps<br />
Map 1: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, January <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />
Map 2: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, August <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />
Map 3: Somalia Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, August, <strong>2011</strong> 7<br />
Map 4:<br />
Distribution of estimated Cases (%) of Acutely Malnourished Children in Somalia by Region,<br />
based on Prevalence, August <strong>2011</strong> 10<br />
Map 5: Gedo Region Livelihood Systems 15<br />
Map 6: Juba Regions Livelihood Zones 21<br />
Map 7: Bay and Bakool Regions Livelihood Zones 26<br />
Map 8: Shabelle Livelihood Zones 33<br />
Map 9: Hiran Region Livelihood Zones 41<br />
Map 10: Central regions Livelihood Zones 45<br />
Map 11: Northeast Livelihood Zones 50<br />
Map 12: Northwest Livelihood Zones 63<br />
Executive Table of Contents Summary<br />
v<br />
List of Figures<br />
Figure 1: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition, WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or<br />
Oedema <strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) South Somalia 1<br />
Figure 2: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition, WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or<br />
Oedema <strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) North/Central Somalia 3<br />
Figure 3: Crude and Under 5 Death rates in May - August <strong>2011</strong> 3<br />
Figure 4: Trends of AWD and Cholera cases at Banadir Hospital, Mogadishu, WHO September <strong>2011</strong> 4<br />
Figure 5: Median Rates, Median Rates, GAM and SAM (WHO GS) July - August <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />
Figure 6: Median Rates, Stunting, WHO GS, July-August <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />
Figure 7: Proportion of Total Cases of Acutely malnourished children (WHZ
Executive Acronyms<br />
vi<br />
AWD<br />
ARI<br />
AFLC<br />
BFI<br />
CDC<br />
CDR<br />
CHD<br />
CI<br />
COSV<br />
FAO<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong><br />
FEWSNET<br />
GAM<br />
HAZ<br />
HE<br />
HIS<br />
IDP<br />
INGO<br />
LZ<br />
MCH<br />
MOH<br />
MT<br />
MUAC<br />
NCHS<br />
NGO<br />
OTP<br />
OPD<br />
PWA<br />
R<br />
RR<br />
SAM<br />
SC<br />
SC-UK<br />
SRCS<br />
SD<br />
SFP<br />
TFC<br />
TOT<br />
U5DR<br />
UNHCR<br />
UNICEF<br />
WAZ<br />
WHO<br />
WFP<br />
WHZ<br />
WVI<br />
LIST OF ACRONYMS USED<br />
Acute Watery Diarrhea<br />
Acute Respiratory Tract Infections<br />
Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />
borderline Food Insecure<br />
Center for Disease Control<br />
Crude Death Rate<br />
Child Health Days<br />
Confidence Interval<br />
Co-operatione Di Svillupo International<br />
Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit<br />
Famine Early Warning System Network<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition<br />
Height for Age Z Scores<br />
Humanitarian Emergency<br />
Health Information System<br />
Internally Displaced persons<br />
International Nongovernmental Organization<br />
Livelihood Zone<br />
Maternal and Child Health Center<br />
Ministry of Health<br />
Metric Tonne<br />
Mid Upper Arm Circumference<br />
National Center for Health Statistics<br />
Non governmental organisation<br />
Out Patient Therapeutic Programme<br />
Out Patient Department<br />
<strong>Post</strong> War Average<br />
Reliability Score<br />
Relative Risk/Risk Ratio<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition<br />
Stabilization Center<br />
Save the Children - UK<br />
Somalia Red Crescent Societies<br />
Standard Deviation<br />
Selective/Supplementary Feeding Program<br />
Therapeutic Feeding Center<br />
Terms of Trade<br />
Under Five Death Rate<br />
United Nations High Commission for Refugees<br />
United Nations Children’s Fund<br />
Weight-for-Age Z Scores<br />
World Health Organization of the United Nations<br />
World Food Program of the United Nations<br />
Weight for Height Z Scores<br />
World Vision International<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive Forward Summary<br />
vii<br />
Forward<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> report (September <strong>2011</strong>) is the sixth edition<br />
of the bi-annual nutrition situation technical series launched by the Food Security and<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit (<strong>FSNAU</strong>) in February 2009. The publication complements the<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> bi-annual seasonal technical series reports and provides specific focus on<br />
nutrition information for the last 6 months.<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> report will be<br />
released in the coming week, and provides a detailed analysis by region and by sector,<br />
of the integrated food security situation.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
viii<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
1. Executive Summary<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Overview<br />
The complete failure of the October-December 2010 Deyr<br />
rains and the poor performance of the April-June <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Gu</strong><br />
<strong>2011</strong> rains have resulted in the worst annual crop production<br />
in 17 years, reduced labour demand, below-average<br />
livestock prices, and excess animal mortality. The decline<br />
in maize and sorghum availability has subsequently pushed<br />
local cereal prices to record level high and, in combination<br />
with reduced livestock prices and wages, substantially<br />
reduced household purchasing power in all livelihood zones.<br />
Large-scale displacement and significant limitations<br />
on humanitarian access have further exacerbated the<br />
negative food access and health outcomes.<br />
As a result, the food security and nutrition situation is grim<br />
across the country, and particularly in the south where<br />
insecurity hinders humanitarian access to provide the<br />
much needed support. Pure farmers (riverine livelihood<br />
zone) and agro-pastoralists in the south are more inclined<br />
to crop production and therefore sedentary by nature, are<br />
most affected, as are cattle-rearing pastoralists who have<br />
experienced significant livestock losses due to lack of browse<br />
and water. Emergency levels of acute malnutrition and<br />
mortality persist in cross border refugee camps as<br />
well. Conditions are especially dire in the new camps in<br />
southern Ethiopia, where acute malnutrition exceeds 30<br />
percent and death rates have likely surpassed famine<br />
threshold of 2/10,000/day, despite adequate stocks of<br />
food aid.<br />
From April to August <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>FSNAU</strong> and partners conducted 60<br />
representative nutrition surveys in Somalia, covering internally<br />
displaced persons (IDPs), rural, and urban livelihoods zones.<br />
Of these, 18 were done in the Southern population groups,<br />
including 2 in the Afgoye & Mogadishu IDPs in July and<br />
16 in the rural livelihoods , and 16 repeat surveys in the<br />
same groups in August <strong>2011</strong>. Access was not permitted in<br />
Lower Shabelle to repeat the 2 rural surveys there. In north<br />
and central regions, nine surveys were conducted in rural<br />
livelihoods in July <strong>2011</strong>, and 17 in IDPs and urban livelihoods in<br />
May-June <strong>2011</strong>. Mogadishu urban population was assessed<br />
in April <strong>2011</strong>. A summary of key findings are provided in tables<br />
29 and 30.<br />
Analysis of the findings indicates massive deterioration in<br />
the nutrition situation across all population groups in the<br />
south, and considerable decline in the IDP camps and rural<br />
livelihoods in the north since the Deyr 2010/11 (Maps 1 & 2).<br />
Southern Regions<br />
Currently, the global acute malnutrition (GAM) rates indicate<br />
a Very Critical nutrition situation across the south, and are<br />
above 30% in all livelihood zones except for the riverine<br />
(farmers) of Middle Shabelle and Hiran, and pastoralists of<br />
Hiran and Gedo (Figure 1).<br />
The alarming situation in the south necessitated follow<br />
up surveys in the different population groups, in August<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, findings of which indicate a persistent Very Critical<br />
situation with deteriorations in<br />
• Bay agro-pastoralists: GAM rate of 58.3% (52.1-64.2)<br />
and SAM rate of 22.1% (18.2-26.5).<br />
• Mogadishu IDPs: GAM rate of 45.6% (40.5-50.8) and<br />
SAM rate of 23.0% (19.2-27.2)<br />
• Afgoye IDPs: GAM rate of 46.0 (40.8-51.3) and SAM rate<br />
of 24.7% (20.2-29.8).<br />
Besides the alarming levels of acute malnutrition with GAM<br />
rates in excess of 30%, the crude death rates in Bay and<br />
Bakool agro-pastoralists, Lower Shabelle riverine and agropastoralists,<br />
Afgoye and Mogdishu IDPs also exceed the<br />
IPC famine and WHO emergency threshold of 2/10,000/day.<br />
UNFAO/<strong>FSNAU</strong> and Fewsnet in July <strong>2011</strong> and August<br />
<strong>2011</strong> declared famine in these population groups based<br />
on the following core food security, nutrition and<br />
mortality indicators, and in line with the Integrated Phase<br />
Classification (IPC) of food security:<br />
• 20% of population in the affected areas unable to<br />
access food.<br />
• GAM rate of 30% and above findings from nutrition<br />
surveys conducted at the time<br />
• Crude death rate of 2 per 10,000 per day, or above,<br />
which denotes the WHO emergency threshold<br />
A summary of findings in South Somalia are provided in<br />
Figure 1.<br />
Proportion Acutely Malnourished<br />
A girl and her newly born sibling, Mogadishu IDPs,<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Figure 1: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition,<br />
WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or Oedema<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) South Somalia<br />
60<br />
45<br />
30<br />
15<br />
0<br />
Gedo Agropast.<br />
Gedo Riverine<br />
Hiran Agropast.<br />
Hiran Pastoral<br />
Hiran Riverine<br />
L.Shabelle Agropast.<br />
L.Shabelle Riverine<br />
M.Shabelle Agropast.<br />
M.Shabelle Riverine<br />
Bakool Pastoral<br />
Bakool Agropast.<br />
GAM<br />
Juba Pastoral<br />
Juba Agropast.<br />
Juba Riverine<br />
Gedo Pastoral<br />
Bay Agropast.<br />
Mogadishu IDPs<br />
Afgoye IDPs<br />
Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Jul<br />
SAM<br />
Executive Summary<br />
1<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
2<br />
Table 1: Timeline of Activities for <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
Situation Analysis<br />
SNo.<br />
NUTRITION SURVEYS <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
Livelihood Zone/Population Group<br />
PERIOD<br />
April-August <strong>2011</strong><br />
1 Lower Shabelle Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
2 Lower Shabelle Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
3<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hiran Pastoral<br />
4 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
5 Hiran Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
6 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
7<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hiran Agropastoral<br />
8 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
9 Middle Shabelle Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
10 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
11 Middle Shabelle Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
12 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
13 Bay Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
14 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
15 Bakool Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
16 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
17 Bakool Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
18 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
19 Juba Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
20 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
21 Juba Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
22 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
23 Juba Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
24 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
25 Gedo Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
26 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
27 Gedo Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
28 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
29 Gedo Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
30 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
31 Mogadishu IDPs July <strong>2011</strong><br />
32 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
33 Afgoye IDPs July <strong>2011</strong><br />
34 August <strong>2011</strong><br />
35 Agropastoral (Togdheer & Northwest) July <strong>2011</strong><br />
36 West Golis /<strong>Gu</strong>banPastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
37 Sool Plateau (Northwest and Northeast) July <strong>2011</strong><br />
38 Hawd Pastoral (Northwest) July <strong>2011</strong><br />
39<br />
East Golis/Kakaar Pastoral (Northwest<br />
and Northeast)<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
40<br />
Nugal Valley Pastoral (Northwest and<br />
Northeast)<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
41 Coastal Deeh (Northeast) July <strong>2011</strong><br />
42 Hawd Pastoral (Central and Northeast) July <strong>2011</strong><br />
43 Sool Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />
44 Sanaag Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />
45 Bari Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />
46 Nugal Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />
47 North Mudug Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />
48 Hargeisa IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
49 Burao IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
50 Berbera IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
51 Bossaso IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
52 Qardho IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
53 Garowe IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
54 Galkayo IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
55 Margaga IDPs-North Mudug End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
56 Dusamareb IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
57 Awdal Region Uban End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
58 Woq Galbeed Region Urban End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
59 Togdheer Region Urban End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />
60 Mogadishu Urban April <strong>2011</strong><br />
Northern Regions<br />
Analysis of findings from the livelihood based nutrition<br />
surveys in the north indicates a varied situation. (Figure 2).<br />
There is deterioration to Very Critical phase in<br />
• West Golis, where GAM rate is 22.0% (18.9-25.4) and<br />
SAM rate is 5.0% (3.4-7.4); and<br />
• Nugal Valley with GAM rate of 23.2% (18.5-28.1) and<br />
SAM rate of 6.7 (4.4-10.0).<br />
Similarly, the situation has deteriorated to Critical levels<br />
in Sool Plateau with GAM rate of 15.9% (13.6-18.4) and<br />
SAM rate of 4.0% (2.9-5.4). The deterioration is mainly<br />
attributed to poor access to water, milk and milk products<br />
following massive livestock losses in Sool and the coastal<br />
regions, and seasonal out-migration of livestock mainly to<br />
the Hawd (of Hargeisa) which had water and pasture. The<br />
health situation is also poor with outbreaks of acute watery<br />
diarrhea and dengue fever in Wooqoyi Galbeed region, and<br />
measles in Nugal and Bari regions. Poor access to health<br />
care services exacerbated by infrastructural constraints<br />
in Golis and Coastal Deeh are also a limiting factor. The<br />
situation has been mitigated by active social support in terms<br />
of in-kind cash, and child health days.<br />
A Serious situation is sustained in the Northwest agropastoralists,<br />
East Golis and Hawd pastoral livelihood zone<br />
of Central/Northeast regions. There is general improvement<br />
in the nutrition situation in the Hawd of Hargeisa, Togdheer<br />
and Lasanod to Alert phase mainly due to improved milk<br />
access from local livestock and in-migration of livestock<br />
from Nugal Valley and Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban for water and pasture.<br />
Central Regions<br />
The Hawd of Mudug and Galgaduud Regions is in a<br />
sustained Serious nutrition phase with GAM rate of 14.4%<br />
(10.9-18.8) and SAM rate of 3.8% (2.4-6.0). Although suboptimal,<br />
the situation is better compared to the other parts<br />
of Central regions, mainly due to better but limited access to<br />
milk and milk products, and on-going humanitarian food and<br />
health assistance. Addun livelihood zone has deteriorated<br />
to Critical levels, since the Deyr 2010/11, with a GAM rate<br />
of 17.8% (13.3-23.6) and SAM rate of 4.1% (2.5-6.7). This<br />
is likely attributed to poor household food access, and<br />
limited humanitarian assistance due to security reasons.<br />
Additionally, acute watery diarrhea outbreak and cholera are<br />
also reported in Galgaduud and Mudug regions (Figure 2).<br />
Cowpea belt is likely Critical and the Coastal Deeh likely<br />
Very Critical mainly due to food in-access resulting from<br />
total crop failure and massive livestock losses during the<br />
January-March (Jilaal) period.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Figure 2: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition,<br />
WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or Oedema<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) North/Central Somalia<br />
Proportion Acutely Malnourished<br />
60<br />
45<br />
30<br />
15<br />
0<br />
W.Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />
Hawd oF NW<br />
Agrop. NW - Tog<br />
Sool Plateau<br />
Nugal Valley<br />
E. Golis/Karkaar<br />
Coastal Deeh/NE<br />
Hawd of NE/C<br />
GAM<br />
Addun NE/C<br />
SAM<br />
Hargeisa IDPs<br />
Burao IDPs<br />
Berbera IDPs<br />
Qardho IDPs<br />
Garowe IDPs<br />
Galkayo IDPs<br />
Bossaso IDPs<br />
Margaga IDPs<br />
Dhusmareb IDPs<br />
Figure 3: Crude and Under 5 Death rates in May - Aug <strong>2011</strong><br />
Death Rate<br />
22<br />
20<br />
18<br />
16<br />
CDR U5DR<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Riverine<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Riverine<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Afgoye<br />
Mogadishu<br />
Agropastoral-July<br />
Agropastoral-Aug<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Pastoral-July<br />
Pastoral-Aug<br />
Riverine-July<br />
Riverine-Aug<br />
Agropastoral-July<br />
Agropastora-Aug<br />
Pastoral-July<br />
Pastoral-Aug<br />
Riverine<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Pastoral<br />
Riverine<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Pastoral<br />
Hawd Pastoral<br />
Addun Pastoral<br />
Coastal Deeh<br />
West Golis<br />
Bossasso IDPs<br />
Galkayo IDPs<br />
Hargeisa IDPs<br />
Burao IDPs<br />
Berbera IDPs<br />
L. M. IDPS- Bay Bakool M&L Juba Gedo Hiran Central NE/NW NE IDPs NW IDPs<br />
Shabelle Shabelle South<br />
Regions<br />
Executive Summary<br />
3<br />
IDPs<br />
With the exception of Hargeisa and Berbera IDPs in a<br />
sustained Serious phase, the nutrition situation has<br />
deteriorated in all IDP settlements to Critical levels in<br />
Burao in Northwest, and to Very Critical in Bossaso,<br />
Qardho, Garowe, Galkayo, Margaga, and Dusamareb in<br />
the Northeast and Central regions. Bossaso IDP settlement<br />
reports and GAM rate of 24.4% (20.9-28.3) and SAM rate of<br />
4.7% (3.2-7.1). Findings from the other IDP settlements are<br />
illustrated in the Figure 2. Decreased income access for food<br />
purchase, as a result of seasonal port closure, together with<br />
high morbidity levels are the underlying factors.<br />
Death Rates<br />
Findings on the retrospective Crude Death Rates (CDR)<br />
across the country depict a varied scenario. In the rural<br />
and IDP populations in the north and central regions, the<br />
situation is Alert to Serious based on Sphere standards and<br />
the WHO thresholds. Hargeisa and Berbera IDPs are within<br />
acceptable levels with CDR
Executive<br />
4<br />
Cases of Acute Malnutrition<br />
The total cases of acute malnutrition, including those<br />
in severe state has been obtained by extrapolating the<br />
prevalence of global and severe acute malnutrition to the<br />
underfive population for each of the assessed population<br />
groups. At national level, therefore, the cumulative<br />
total is approximately 450,000 acutely malnourished<br />
children, which translates to 30% of the 1.5 million<br />
Somali Children. Of these, 190,000, or 13% of the 1.5<br />
million Somali children are severely malnourished. The<br />
south is worst hit, and currently hosts 336,000 (or 74%)<br />
of all the malnourished children, 160, 800 of whom<br />
(84%) are severely malnourished.<br />
Gender<br />
Statistical analysis both for the July seasonal and August<br />
repeat nutrition survey findings shows no significant<br />
difference between acute malnutrition and sex of the<br />
child, or with sex of household head. Likewise, there are<br />
no statistically significant differences between sex of the<br />
child with morbidity (based on recall), and child feeding<br />
practices. Nevertheless, across all the surveyed population<br />
groups, a higher proportion of boys than girls tended to be<br />
malnourished, necessitating further investigations. Sex<br />
disaggregated data is provided for each of the surveys<br />
conducted.<br />
Median levels of acute malnutrition based on the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
surveys indicate 27.3% in the country, with 34.2% in IDPs<br />
only, and 35.3% in the south. With regard to stunting, the<br />
national median rates are 21.1%, with 28.5% in IDPs, and<br />
23,5% in the south (Figure 5 and 6).<br />
A mother and child, Afgoye IDPs, <strong>FSNAU</strong>-July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Trends of acute watery diarrhoea (AWD)/cholera<br />
(Source: WHO Weekly Highlights 27 Aug – 2 Sept <strong>2011</strong> & 3-9 Sep <strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Poor sanitation conditions, a shortage of safe water,<br />
overcrowding and high malnutrition rates mare the perfect<br />
combination for infectious diseases, such as cholera, to<br />
spread and increase death rates. The cholera transmission<br />
season is ongoing. Some areas have received sporadic<br />
rains, posing a high risk for transmission of waterborne<br />
diseases, such as AWD. Communities tend to use<br />
contaminated water for domestic use, hence the high risk<br />
for sporadic outbreaks. Multiple rumors are currently being<br />
investigated.<br />
Confirmed cholera outbreaks are ongoing in Mogadishu<br />
(Banadir region), the Afgoye corridor. Meanwhile Baidoa<br />
(Bay region), Xarardere, Bursalah, Godldogob, and Hobyo<br />
district (Mudug region), Awdhegle and Wanlaweyne district<br />
(Lower Shabelle region) are under control. Confirmed<br />
measles and dengue fever cases have been identified in<br />
Mogadishu (Banadir region). Dengue fever is confirmed<br />
in Galbeed region of Somaliland.<br />
According to the WHO Somalia Health Response Update,<br />
September 3-9, <strong>2011</strong>, the outbreaks are likely to escalate<br />
with the increased displacements (Figure 4).<br />
A sleeping baby, <strong>FSNAU</strong>-Mogadishu IDPs- August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Figure 4: Trends of AWD and Cholera cases at Banadir<br />
Hospital, Mogadishu<br />
For details, contact wroffice@nbo.emro.who.int, or Dr.<br />
Kamran Mashhadi, mashhadik@nbo.emro.who.int<br />
Source WHO, September <strong>2011</strong><br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
MOGADISHU<br />
Kilometers<br />
MOGADISHU<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JULY 2010<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION<br />
August 16th, <strong>2011</strong><br />
Map 1: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, Jan <strong>2011</strong> Map 2: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, Aug <strong>2011</strong><br />
Calula<br />
BOSSASO<br />
!( !. Qandala<br />
Las Qoray/<br />
Zeylac<br />
Badhan Bossaaso<br />
Lughaye<br />
ERIGABO<br />
AWDAL<br />
!.<br />
Baki<br />
Iskushuban<br />
!(<br />
Borama<br />
Berbera<br />
SANAG<br />
BORAMA<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
BARI<br />
!.<br />
Sheikh<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Ceerigaabo<br />
Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />
!. !<br />
!. !(<br />
Qardho<br />
Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />
Caynabo Xudun<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
Talex<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Burco<br />
SOOL<br />
Laas Caanood Garowe<br />
Buuhoodle !. LAS ANOD GAROWE<br />
!.<br />
Eyl<br />
NUGAL<br />
Burtinle<br />
Calula<br />
BOSSASO<br />
!.<br />
Qandala<br />
Las Qoray/<br />
Zeylac<br />
Badhan Bossaaso<br />
Lughaye<br />
ERIGABO<br />
AWDAL<br />
!.<br />
!<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Baki<br />
Borama<br />
Berbera<br />
SANAG<br />
BORAMA<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
BARI<br />
!.<br />
Sheikh<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Ceerigaabo<br />
Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />
!. !<br />
!<br />
!. !<br />
Qardho<br />
Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />
Caynabo Xudun<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
Talex<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Burco<br />
SOOL<br />
Laas Caanood Garowe<br />
Buuhoodle !. LAS ANOD<br />
!.<br />
GAROWE<br />
NUGAL<br />
Burtinle<br />
Eyl<br />
Executive Summary<br />
5<br />
KENYA<br />
Goldogob<br />
Galkacyo<br />
GALKAYO<br />
!.<br />
Cadaado MUDUG<br />
Hobyo<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
!. DUSAMAREB<br />
!<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
GALGADUD<br />
BELET WEYNE<br />
Harardheere<br />
Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />
BAKOOL<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
Rab- Xudur<br />
Dhuure<br />
!. HUDUR<br />
HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />
Dolo<br />
Luuq<br />
Wajid<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
!.<br />
BAIDOA<br />
Cadale<br />
Garbaharey<br />
!.<br />
Qansax<br />
Jowhar<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Dheere<br />
Wanle Weyne !.<br />
GEDO<br />
BAY<br />
Acceptable<br />
M. SHABELLE<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Balcad<br />
Alert<br />
Dinsor<br />
Afgoye<br />
Baardheere<br />
!<br />
"/ ! BANADIR<br />
Serious<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Sakow<br />
!.<br />
Critical<br />
Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />
M. JUBA BU'AALE<br />
Very Critical<br />
Sablale L. SHABELLE<br />
!.<br />
Bu'aale Brava<br />
Likely Critical<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Likely Very Critical<br />
Afmadow<br />
Jilib<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Jamaame<br />
Critical<br />
KISMAAYO<br />
Very Critical<br />
Kismayo !.<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from June to<br />
July '11: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
Badhadhe<br />
and others<br />
Cadaado MUDUG<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
Hobyo<br />
DUSAMAREB<br />
!.<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
GALGADUD<br />
BELET WEYNE<br />
Harardheere<br />
Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />
BAKOOL<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
Rab- Xudur<br />
Dhuure<br />
!. HUDUR<br />
HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />
Dolo<br />
Luuq<br />
Wajid<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
!.<br />
Cadale<br />
Garbaharey<br />
BAIDOA<br />
!.<br />
Acceptable<br />
Jowhar M. ^<br />
Qansax<br />
SHABELLE<br />
Dheere<br />
Wanle Weyne!.<br />
JOWHAR<br />
Alert<br />
GEDO<br />
BAY<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Balcad<br />
Serious<br />
Dinsor<br />
Afgoye<br />
Baardheere<br />
!( BANADIR<br />
"/<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Critical<br />
Sakow<br />
Kurtun Warrey<br />
Marka !.<br />
Very Critical<br />
M. JUBA BU'AALESablale<br />
!.<br />
L. SHABELLE<br />
Bu'aale Brava<br />
Likely Serious<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Afmadow<br />
Jilib<br />
Likely Critical<br />
Likely Very Critical<br />
Jamaame<br />
KISMAAYO<br />
Hot Spot for Critical<br />
Kismayo !( !.<br />
^<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Projected Trend (July - December 2010)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from April to<br />
Uncertain<br />
July '10: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
and others<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
Tayeglow<br />
Figure 5: Median Rates, Median Rates, GAM and SAM<br />
(WHO GS) July -August <strong>2011</strong> (<strong>Gu</strong> ’11)<br />
Jariiban<br />
Swiss Agency for Development<br />
and Cooperation SDC<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
±<br />
0 37.5 75 150 225 300 375<br />
Tayeglow<br />
Funding Agencies<br />
Galkacyo<br />
Goldogob<br />
!<br />
!.<br />
GALKAYO<br />
Jariiban<br />
Swiss Agency for<br />
Development and<br />
Cooperation SDC<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
Figure 6: Median Rates, Stunting, WHO GS,<br />
July-August <strong>2011</strong> (<strong>Gu</strong> ’11)<br />
Projected Trend (August - December <strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
40.0<br />
35.0<br />
34.2<br />
GAM<br />
SAM<br />
35.3<br />
30.0<br />
28.5<br />
Total Stunting<br />
Severe Stunting<br />
Proportion Acutely Malnourished<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
27.3<br />
9.1<br />
14.2<br />
20.7<br />
5.0<br />
14.4<br />
3.1<br />
16.7 16.1<br />
4.1 4.0<br />
16.3<br />
Proportion Stunted<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
21.1<br />
6.5<br />
10.7<br />
20.5<br />
5.9<br />
10.0<br />
1.4<br />
11.4<br />
2.6<br />
14.8<br />
3.3<br />
23.5<br />
8.7<br />
0.0<br />
ALL (including<br />
IDPs)<br />
IDPs Only<br />
All Excluding<br />
IDPs<br />
NW NE Central (Hawd,<br />
Addun)<br />
South<br />
0.0<br />
ALL (including<br />
IDPs)<br />
IDPs Only<br />
All Excluding<br />
IDPs<br />
NW NE Central<br />
(Haws&Addun)<br />
South<br />
Considerations for the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Outlook<br />
for the next 3 months<br />
The projected trend of the nutrition situation in the coming<br />
three months (September-November <strong>2011</strong>) shows a likely<br />
deterioration across all population groups in southern<br />
regions. This is mainly due to the declining household food<br />
security and health situation (see WHO health update).<br />
Despite imminent large-scale increase in humanitarian<br />
response, evidence suggests that food security in agropastoral<br />
and riverine areas of the south will deteriorate<br />
further over the coming four months. Famine is therefore<br />
considered likely by Dec <strong>2011</strong> in agro-pastoral and riverine<br />
areas of Gedo and Juba, and agro-pastoral areas of Middle<br />
Shabelle and Hiran. Currently, 25-75 percent of poor<br />
agro-pastoral households in Gedo and Juba and pastoral<br />
households in Bakool face famine level of food deficits.<br />
• Concerns persist regarding pastoral populations in<br />
northeast and northwest, agro-pastoralists in the<br />
Cowpea Belt of central, and coastal livelihoods of<br />
central where half of pastoralists have lost all livestock<br />
and are destitute.<br />
• Nevertheless some improvement are expected in<br />
the pastoral areas of Gedo, Juba, and Bakool due to<br />
impacts of Deyr 2010 season and the return of camel<br />
herds, and in the Hawd and Addun zones of Central/<br />
Northeast regions due to improved camel conditions.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Food Security Situation Overview<br />
Executive<br />
6<br />
Key Messages<br />
• In total currently 4.0 million people are in crisis nationwide<br />
(Phase 3, 4, 5) with 750,000 people experiencing faminelevel<br />
outcomes. Out of the total number of people currently<br />
in crisis 3.0 million are in the South. Tens of thousands of<br />
people have already died, over half of whom are children.<br />
• Famine persists in five areas of Somalia, which include<br />
the Lower Shabelle region, the Bakool agropastoral<br />
livelihood zone, the agropastoral areas of Middle<br />
Shabelle region (Balcad and Cadale districts), the<br />
Afgoye corridor IDP settlement, and the Mogadishu IDP<br />
community and all livelihoods of Bay region. Famine<br />
declaration in these areas has been done at different<br />
times, with the first declaration made on July 20 th in<br />
Shabelle regions and last declaration made in Bay<br />
region on September 5 th . The famine declaration is<br />
based on the following three criteria: at least 20 percent<br />
of the population has extremely limited access to basic<br />
food requirements, global acute malnutrition exceeds<br />
30 percent, and the death rate exceeds 2/10,000/day for<br />
the entire population.<br />
• In addition to the five areas where famine has already<br />
been declared a total of 50,000 people, or 25-75 percent<br />
of poor agropastoral households in Gedo and Juba and<br />
pastoral households in Bakool also face famine level of<br />
food deficits.<br />
• Measles and Acute Watery Diarrhoea outbreaks continue<br />
in Southern Somalia especially in Mogadishu IDPs where<br />
the nutrition and mortality results indicate deterioration<br />
from the July surveys.<br />
• Despite, a large-scale increase in humanitarian response,<br />
evidence suggests that food security in agropastoral and<br />
riverine areas of the south will deteriorate further over<br />
the coming four months and Famine is considered likely<br />
by Decermber <strong>2011</strong> in agropastoral and riverine areas<br />
of Gedo and Juba, agropastoral of Middle Shabelle and<br />
Hiran and pastoral areas of Bakool region.<br />
Current food security outcomes and classification<br />
• The current crisis in southern Somalia is driven by a<br />
combination of factors. The total failure of the October-<br />
December 2010 Deyr rains (secondary season) and<br />
the poor performance of the April-June <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
rains (primary season) have resulted in the worst annual<br />
crop production in 17 years, reduced labor demand,<br />
below-average livestock prices, and excess animal<br />
mortality. The decline in maize and sorghum availability<br />
has subsequently pushed local cereal prices to record<br />
levels and, in combination with reduced livestock prices<br />
and wages, substantially reduced household purchasing<br />
power in all livelihood zones.<br />
• <strong>Nutrition</strong> survey results indicated the prevalence of acute<br />
malnutrition and the rate of crude mortality surpassing<br />
the Famine thresholds in the above-mentioned faminestricken<br />
areas of Southern Somalia.<br />
• Large scale displacement and significant limitations<br />
on humanitarian access due to persisting insecurity<br />
in southern Somalia have further exacerbated the<br />
constrained food access and health outcomes in the<br />
South.<br />
• In urban areas, sky-rocketing food prices and<br />
significantly eroded purchasing power are the main<br />
contributing factors to the current food security crisis.<br />
585,000 people are estimated in crisis during July-<br />
December <strong>2011</strong> period. This is an increase from<br />
January-June <strong>2011</strong> estimate of 475,000 (23% increase).<br />
• Concerns persist regarding pastoral populations<br />
in northeast and northwest, agropastoralists in the<br />
Cowpea Belt of central, and coastal livelihoods of<br />
central where half of pastoralists have lost all livestock<br />
and are destitute.<br />
• Food security outcomes have improved for camel<br />
pastoralists in Gedo and Juba, and pastoralists in the<br />
Addun and Hawd zones of Central/Northern regions.<br />
• Agropastoral areas of Gedo, Juba, Hiran and Middle<br />
Shabelle, riverine areas of Gedo and Juba, and pastoral<br />
of Bakool are likely to deteriorate to famine before the<br />
end of the year.<br />
For additional information please refer to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
<strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
SOMALIA INTEGRATED FOOD SECURITY PHASE CLASSIFICATION<br />
Map 3: Somalia Integrated Food Security<br />
Rural and<br />
Phase<br />
Urban<br />
Classification,<br />
Populations:<br />
August,<br />
Aug-Sept<br />
<strong>2011</strong><br />
<strong>2011</strong><br />
Magnitude<br />
Depth<br />
Who<br />
Why<br />
Frequency<br />
Confidence<br />
Defining Attributes of Crisis<br />
Areas in Phase 3, 4 or 5<br />
Population in Phase (Includes High Risk)<br />
0-100,000 101,000-500,000 >500,000<br />
-100%<br />
Percent population<br />
in respective phase<br />
-0%<br />
Criteria for Social Targeting<br />
i Livelihood system<br />
ii Wealth group<br />
iii Gender<br />
Key Immediate Causes<br />
a Drought<br />
b Floods<br />
c Tsunami<br />
d Civil Insecurity<br />
e Market Disruptions<br />
f Disease Outbreaks<br />
g Population Influx<br />
h Inflation<br />
i Water Shortages<br />
Key Underlying Causes<br />
A <strong>Post</strong> State Conflict<br />
B Environmental Degradation<br />
C Social Marginalization<br />
Recurrence of Crisis in Past 10 yrs<br />
Low(1-2yrs), Moderate(3-4), High (>= 5)<br />
Confidence Level of Analysis<br />
* Low * * Medium * * * High<br />
Rural: 135,000<br />
Urban: 40,000<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, e, g, h, i<br />
±<br />
A, C<br />
High<br />
* * *<br />
KENYA<br />
0 15 30 60 90 120 150<br />
Kilometers<br />
Urban<br />
Rural<br />
Total<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Baardheere<br />
Sakow<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Afmadow<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
Dolo<br />
GEDO<br />
#¸<br />
Kismayo<br />
Rural:<br />
610,000<br />
Urban: 120,000<br />
M. JUBA<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, e, f, g, h, i<br />
A, C<br />
High<br />
* * *<br />
Garbaharey<br />
#¸<br />
Luuq<br />
Qansax<br />
Dheere<br />
Dinsor<br />
Zeylac<br />
Lughaye<br />
AWDAL<br />
Baki<br />
Borama<br />
Rab-<br />
Dhuure<br />
Jilib<br />
Gebiley<br />
Wajid<br />
Xudur<br />
#¸<br />
Baydhaba<br />
#¸<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
!<br />
! !<br />
Hargeysa<br />
Ceel Barde<br />
BAKOOL<br />
Sablale<br />
L. SHABELLE<br />
Bu'aale Brava<br />
Jamaame<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
BAY<br />
a, d, e, f, g, h, i<br />
A, C<br />
Moderate<br />
* * * *<br />
Urban<br />
Rural<br />
Rural: 290,000<br />
Urban: 70,000<br />
Rural: 160,000<br />
Urban: 50,000<br />
Total<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Berbera<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Sheikh<br />
Tayeglow<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />
Urban<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, g, i<br />
A, B, C<br />
Moderate<br />
* * *<br />
Rural<br />
Total<br />
Owdweyne<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Burco<br />
#¸<br />
Beled Weyne<br />
HIIRAN<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
#¸<br />
Afgoye<br />
#¸ ! !<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
Caynabo<br />
#¸<br />
Cadale<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
¹<br />
¹ #<br />
Las Qoray/<br />
#<br />
Badhan<br />
SANAG<br />
Ceerigaabo<br />
Xudun<br />
Talex<br />
SOOL<br />
¹ #<br />
Laas Caanood Garowe<br />
!<br />
Cadaado<br />
#¸<br />
Ceel Dheere<br />
Jowhar M. SHABELLE<br />
Wanle Weyne<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Urban<br />
Rural<br />
Total<br />
Rural: 195,000<br />
Urban: 40,000<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, e, g, h, i<br />
A, C<br />
High<br />
* * *<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Urban<br />
Rural<br />
Total<br />
Balcad<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Buuhoodle<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
BANADIR<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
Goldogob<br />
!<br />
Galkacyo<br />
¹ #<br />
NUGAL<br />
Burtinle<br />
MUDUG<br />
Hobyo<br />
GALGADUD<br />
Harardheere<br />
Rural: 80,000<br />
Urban: 85,000<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, e, g, h, i<br />
A, B, C<br />
Low<br />
* * *<br />
Jariiban<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, e, f, g, h<br />
A<br />
Moderate<br />
!<br />
Bossaaso<br />
Qardho<br />
Eyl<br />
Rural:820,000<br />
Urban:120,000<br />
* * *<br />
Urban<br />
Rural<br />
Total<br />
Qandala<br />
Urban<br />
BARI<br />
Rural: 260,000<br />
Urban: 60,000<br />
i, ii, iii<br />
a, d, e, g, h, i<br />
A, B, C<br />
Moderate<br />
* * *<br />
Rural<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Calula<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
Total<br />
Current or Imminent Phase<br />
#<br />
1A Generally Food Secure<br />
1B Generally Food Secure<br />
2 Borderline Food Insecure<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
3 Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />
4 Humanitarian Emergency<br />
5 Famine/Humanitarian Catastrophe<br />
Urban Populations in Humanitarian Emergency<br />
and Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />
NOTES:<br />
For category explanations see http://www.fsnau.org<br />
Urban<br />
Rural<br />
IDP concentrations classified as AFLC, HE and Famine<br />
Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2007, Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998,<br />
Updated: Nov, 2007<br />
Total<br />
-100%<br />
-0%<br />
Executive Summary<br />
7<br />
<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />
Funding Agencies<br />
Swiss Agency for<br />
Development and<br />
Cooperation SDC<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 2: Somalia Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, Population Numbers, Aug - Sep, <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
8<br />
Urban in Acute Rural in Acute Urban in Rural<br />
UNDP UNDP 2005 UNDP<br />
Food and Food and Humanitarian Humanitarian<br />
Region 2005 Total Urban 2005 Rural<br />
Livelihood Livelihood Emergency Emergency<br />
Population Population Population<br />
Crisis (AFLC) Crisis (AFLC) (HE)<br />
(HE)<br />
North<br />
Urban in<br />
Humanitarian<br />
Catastrophy<br />
(Famine)<br />
Rural in<br />
Humanitarian<br />
Catastrophy<br />
(Famine)<br />
Total in AFLC,<br />
HE and Famine<br />
as % of Total<br />
population<br />
Awdal 305,455 110,942 194,513 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
Woqooyi<br />
Galbeed<br />
700,345 490,432 209,913 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
Togdheer 402,295 123,402 278,893 0 60,000 0 0 0 0 15<br />
Sanaag 270,367 56,079 214,288 25,000 40,000 5,000 30,000 0 0 37<br />
Sool 150,277 39,134 111,143 20,000 20,000 0 15,000 0 0 37<br />
Bari 367,638 179,633 202,737 60,000 55,000 0 5,000 0 0 33<br />
Nugaal 145,341 54,749 75,860 25,000 15,000 0 10,000 0 0 34<br />
Sub-total 2,341,718 1,054,371 1,287,347 130,000 190,000 5,000 60,000 0 0 16<br />
Central 0<br />
Mudug 350,099 94,405 255,694 5,000 60,000 30,000 55,000 0 0 43<br />
Galgaduud 330,057 58,977 271,080 5,000 70,000 20,000 65,000 0 0 48<br />
Sub-total 680,156 153,382 526,774 10,000 130,000 50,000 120,000 0 0 46<br />
South 0<br />
Hiraan 329,811 69,113 260,698 10,000 45,000 30,000 150,000 0 0 71<br />
Shabelle<br />
Dhexe 514,901 95,831 419,070 0 15,000 30,000 240,000 0 75,000 70<br />
(Middle)<br />
Shabelle<br />
Hoose 850,651 172,714 677,937 10,000 70,000 80,000 280,000 0 140,000 68<br />
(Lower)<br />
Bakool 310,627 61,438 249,189 20,000 30,000 25,000 90,000 0 80,000 79<br />
Bay 620,562 126,813 493,749 15,000 0 60,000 255,000 0 155,000 78<br />
Gedo 328,378 81,302 247,076 15,000 50,000 25,000 75,000 0 10,000 53<br />
Juba Dhexe<br />
(Middle)<br />
238,877 54,739 184,138 0 25,000 25,000 90,000 0 15,000 65<br />
Juba Hoose<br />
(Lower)<br />
385,790 124,682 261,108 10,000 55,000 35,000 90,000 0 15,000 53<br />
Sub-total 3,579,597 786,632 2,792,965 80,000 290,000 310,000 1,270,000 0 490,000 68<br />
Banadir 901,183 901,183 - - - - - - 0<br />
Grand<br />
Total<br />
7,502,654 2,895,568 4,607,086 220,000 610,000 365,000 1,450,000 0 490,000 42<br />
Notes:<br />
1 Source: Population Estimates by Region/District, UNDP Somalia, August 1, 2005. <strong>FSNAU</strong> does not round these population estimates as they are the official estimates provided by UNDP<br />
2 Estimated numbers are rounded to the nearest five thousand, based on resident population not considering current or anticipated migration, and are inclusive of population in High<br />
Risk of AFLC or HE for purposes of planning<br />
3 Dan Gorayo is included within Bari Region following precedent set in population data prior to UNDP/WHO 2005<br />
4 Source UN-OCHA/UNHCR: New IDP updated September, 2010 rounded to the nearest 5,000. Total IDP estimates are based on Population Movement Tracking data which is not<br />
designed to collect long-term cummulative IDP data<br />
5 Analysis show that 60% of IDP originates from Mogadishu. To avoid double counting, only IDPs originating from Mogadishu are considered in the overall population in crisis. This is<br />
because <strong>FSNAU</strong> does not conduct assessments in Mogadishu and those IDPs from other regions are already considered in the overall IPC analysis. <strong>FSNAU</strong> does not conduct IDP<br />
specific assessments to classify them either in HE or AFLC<br />
6 Actual figure is 2,390,000 rounded to 2,400,000<br />
7 Percent of total population of Somalia estimated at 7,502,654 (UNDP/WHO 2005)<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
2. Cases of Acutely Malnourished Children in somalia<br />
Between May-August <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>FSNAU</strong> in collaboration with<br />
partners conducted a total of 60 representative nutrition<br />
surveys throughout Somalia. 45 of these were done in<br />
May-July, while 15 were a repeat in the southern regions for<br />
the purpose of monitoring the evolving nutrition situation in<br />
the famine prone population groups. With the exception of<br />
the Coastal Deeh and the Cowpea Belt of Galgaduud and<br />
Mudug regions in Central Somalia, all population groups<br />
in the were assessed during this period. Tables 29 and 30<br />
provide the summary of key findings from these surveys.<br />
Rather than just presenting the prevailing nutrition situation,<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> in collaboration with nutrition cluster partners have,<br />
since 2008, also illustrated the distribution of cases of the<br />
acutely malnourished children in Somalia. The objective is<br />
to highlight to response agencies and donors the needs in<br />
different parts of the countries, rather than just focusing on<br />
the prevailing situation. In this way, the impact of population<br />
density in determining response needs is manifested.<br />
By extrapolating the prevalence rates of acute malnutrition<br />
in each assessed population group to the total under<br />
five population during the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, cases of acutely<br />
malnourished children, based on Weight-for-height Z scores<br />
(WHZ) findings, have been estimated. The cumulative total<br />
cases at regional level has been obtained by summing up<br />
the cases from the assessed livelihood and IDP groups.<br />
For population groups where representative nutrition survey<br />
data for the whole population forms the main reference,<br />
reliability of data is high and is ranked as 1 (R=1). Where<br />
up to date survey data is not available (as in the Coastal<br />
Deeh and Cowpea Belt of central regions where rapid<br />
MUAC assessments were conducted in the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>),<br />
extrapolation has been made surveys findings from similar<br />
livelihood zones. Hence for the coastal deeh of Central, the<br />
results from the coastal deeh of northeast where a survey<br />
was done, have been used, while for the cowpea belt, the<br />
results from Middle Shabelle agro-pastoral has been used.<br />
In this case therefore, the reliability score (R) for the data<br />
used in the estimation of cases is lower, and reflected as 2<br />
(R=2). This implies that <strong>FSNAU</strong> has estimated the current<br />
cases of malnourished children on the basis of 100% of<br />
the population children aged below 5 years in Somalia.<br />
Population figures from the UNDP 2005 settlement survey<br />
are used as the standard reference for Somalia. (Table 3).<br />
The integrated analysis and overall phase classification of<br />
the assessed population is based on the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Classification Framework. (Table 4).<br />
Analysis of the <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> findings indicates a<br />
total of 450,000 children as acutely malnourished.<br />
This translates to 30% of the 1.5 million underfive<br />
population, and implies 3 in 10 Somali children acutely<br />
malnourished. This reflects 87% increase in numbers at<br />
the national level, compared to the deyr 2010/11 when<br />
241,000 children were malnourished. Of these, 336,000,<br />
or 74% are located in the southern regions.<br />
Of the 450,000 children, a total of 190,000 children are<br />
severely malnourished. At national level, this translates<br />
to 13% of all Somali children as severely malnourished.<br />
This reflects 233% increase at the national level,<br />
compared to the deyr 2010/11 when 57,000 children<br />
were malnourished. Of the 190,000 severely malnourished<br />
children, 160,000 are located in the southern regions.<br />
At regional level, these figures are derived by extrapolating<br />
the prevalence rate of acute malnutrition to the total under<br />
five population. (Table 3).<br />
Table 3: Cases of Acute Malnutrition in Somalia, by Region,<br />
August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Region<br />
Total cases of Total cases of Severe<br />
Acute Malnutrition Acute Malnutrition<br />
Shabelle Regions 144700 73500<br />
Bay 66600 36100<br />
Lower Juba 30100 13850<br />
Bakool 29000 10350<br />
Woq-Galbeed 27900 6300<br />
Gedo 24600 9150<br />
Hiran 21900 9150<br />
Middle Juba 19000 8700<br />
Togdheer 16000 3600<br />
Galgadud 12900 3100<br />
Awdal 12150 2750<br />
Sanaag 10750 2400<br />
Bari 8500 1900<br />
South Mudug 8300 2000<br />
Sool 6000 1350<br />
NW IDPs 4000 900<br />
NE IDPs 3300 700<br />
Nugal 3000 700<br />
North Mudug 2750 600<br />
Total 450,000 190,000<br />
Hence, with regard to cases of acute malnutrition:<br />
• Shabelle regions (including Afgoye IDPs and Banadir) are<br />
host to 32% of all the malnourished children in Somalia,<br />
Bay regions host 15% and Juba regions, 11% (Map x).<br />
Hence, Shabelle, Bay and Juba regions are host to 58%<br />
of all malnourished children in Somalia.<br />
• For cases of severe acute malnutrition, Shabelle, Bay and<br />
Juba regions are host to 71% of the 190,000 children in<br />
the country, with Shabelle/Banadir/Afgoye hosting 39%,<br />
Bay 19, and Juba regions 12%.<br />
This illustrates the implication of population density on<br />
caseloads, as Shabelle/Afgoye/Banadir are most densely<br />
Executive Summary<br />
9<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
Map 4: Distribution DISTRIBUTION of estimated OF ESTIMATED Cases CASES (%) of Acutely (%) OF Malnourished ACUTELY MALNOURISHED Children in Somalia CHILDREN by Region, (
Figure 7: Proportion of Total Cases of Acutely<br />
malnourished children (WHZ
3. <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis in Somalia<br />
Executive<br />
12<br />
The April-August (<strong>Gu</strong>) <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analysis<br />
During the April-August <strong>2011</strong> (<strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>) season, <strong>FSNAU</strong> in<br />
collaboration with partners undertook 60 nutrition surveys<br />
aimed at estimating the nutrition situation in the various<br />
population groups in Somalia. Data management of the<br />
nutrition surveys involved the use of the standard two stage<br />
cluster sampling based on SMART recommendations,<br />
quality assurance during data collection and entry, and<br />
validation of data quality by running frequencies and<br />
plausibility checks of core statistical inferences. (Table 5).<br />
ENA software was used in the analysis of anthropometric<br />
and mortality data, and Epiinfo software in cross tabulations<br />
and analysis of non-anthropometric data. (Survey tools are<br />
provided in Annex 7.2 - 7.9).<br />
Consistent with the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analytical Framework,<br />
(July 2010 version), interpretation of findings on specific<br />
indicators, are based on internationally recognized<br />
thresholds, mainly the UNWHO, Sphere, and FANTA/<br />
UNFAO.<br />
• WHO thresholds have been used to determine the<br />
cut-offs, and to interpret findings on acute malnutrition,<br />
stunting, underweight, and death rates. They were also<br />
used to determine the mid upper arm circumference<br />
cutoffs for the under fives.<br />
• SPHERE has been referenced on cut-offs for the<br />
mid upper arm circumference for pregnant and<br />
lactating women that aided in estimating prevalence.<br />
Nevertheless they were limited in providing thresholds<br />
for interpreting the situation.<br />
• FANTA/UNFAO protocols have been referenced on<br />
thresholds on dietary intake, however they are limited<br />
in guiding on interpretation of the situation.<br />
• The mean WHZ, are based on a “Review of <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
and Mortality Indicators for the Integrated Food<br />
Security Phase Classification (IPC) by Young and<br />
Jaspars, 2009.<br />
Where internationally recognized interpretation frameworks<br />
are not available, for example, MUAC thresholds for the<br />
under fives, and the adult non-pregnant women, and the<br />
health information system trends, quartile distributions of<br />
the meta-data that is available at the <strong>FSNAU</strong> from x surveys<br />
has been used. Through the findings from the analyzed<br />
variables therefore, the situation has been categorized into<br />
five different phases: Acceptable, Alert, Serious, Critical<br />
or Very Critical. Where representative nutrition surveys<br />
have been conducted, the global acute malnutrition (GAM),<br />
is the core outcome reference indicator, denoting the<br />
prevalence of acute malnutrition. Nevertheless, a minimum<br />
of 2 anthropometric indicators (for example GAM and SAM),<br />
are required to make an analysis and classification of the<br />
situation into either of the five different phases. Information<br />
from the season in progress only is used. However historical<br />
data has been used for overall contextual and seasonal<br />
trends analysis.<br />
To provide a 3 month outlook, the immediate and driving<br />
factors are analyzed, and the convergence of the evidence<br />
of the projected scenario classified as Stable, Uncertain,<br />
Potential to Deteriorate or Potential to Improve. This<br />
information is presented in the Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Map with arrows defined in a separate legend titled Projected<br />
Trend (September-December <strong>2011</strong> for the post <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>).<br />
In cartographical presentation, reliability of source of data is<br />
illustrated through solid color (for survey data which is quite<br />
reliable, R=1), or through slash marks (when statistically<br />
representative data is not available, in which case data<br />
reliability is lower and, R=2).<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analytical Framework<br />
The referenced <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analytical Framework<br />
provides a summary of thresholds used to interpret findings<br />
from the various indicators. (Table x). It forms the basis for<br />
the nutrition situation classification for Somalia, and the<br />
Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation maps, and as indicated, is<br />
based on international thresholds (WHO, Sphere and Fanta)<br />
where available, and contextually relevant analysis where<br />
these are not available. The July 2010 version of the analysis<br />
framework, used in the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> analysis, has three sections:<br />
A. Core Outcome Indicators (mainly anthropometry related<br />
information, and mortality)<br />
B. Immediate Causes<br />
C. Driving/Underlying Factors<br />
D. Twice per year, in line with the seasonal assessments,<br />
post <strong>Gu</strong> (April – July) and post Deyr (October-<br />
December), the nutrition team develops an updated<br />
nutrition situation analysis at livelihood level, by<br />
region and by IDP settlement. The overall analysis<br />
is consolidated into the Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Map. The July 2010 analysis framework below remains<br />
a working document and will be updated and refined<br />
as new information and guidance becomes available.<br />
Although <strong>FSNAU</strong>-led, the framework has been developed<br />
over the years through a consultation process involving the<br />
WHO, UNICEF, WFP, ACF, CONCERN, SCUK, IMC, WV<br />
and more recently, Medair, DIAL and the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Cluster<br />
Support team as well as many nutrition partners in the<br />
region. The purpose is to have a tool that helps describe<br />
the nutrition situation with contextual analysis, rather than<br />
focus on prevalence estimates and thresholds which is<br />
traditionally the case in nutrition analysis. The July 2010<br />
version accommodates current research developments,<br />
and the switch from NCHS 1997 to WHO growth standards.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 5. The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Classification Framework, Draft 7, Jul 2010<br />
A. CORE OUTCOME INDICATORS (Anthropometry & Death Rates)<br />
Reference Indicators Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition 1<br />
(WHO Reference) Reliability (R) =1<br />
Mean Weight-for-Height Z (WHZ)<br />
scores (R=1)<br />
SAM 2 (WHZ and oedema 3 )<br />
(WHO to advice on thresholds) R=1)<br />
-0.40<br />
5 to 2 yrs<br />
2 and above, or doubling<br />
of rate in preceding<br />
phase. Include main<br />
causes<br />
>/=10 or doubling of rate<br />
in the preceding phase.<br />
Include main causes<br />
>15%, Or where there is<br />
significant increase from<br />
seasonal trends<br />
High and increasing<br />
proportion in the<br />
preceding 3mths relative<br />
to >2yr seasonal trends<br />
Increasing levels with<br />
increasing trend<br />
OVERAL NUTRITION SITUATION Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />
Executive Summary<br />
13<br />
B. IMMEDIATE CAUSES<br />
Reference Indicators Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />
Poor HH Dietary Diversity<br />
2% rural<br />
CFR for AWD >1% urban<br />
AWD – duration exceed >6 wks<br />
TBC<br />
Low proportion<br />
reportedly sick,<br />
from previous<br />
months but<br />
increasing in >2<br />
mnths based on<br />
seasonal trends<br />
TBC<br />
High levels and<br />
stable numbers in<br />
>2 months based on<br />
seasonal trends<br />
TBC<br />
High with significant<br />
Increase in numbers of<br />
sick children, based on<br />
seasonal trends<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
14<br />
C. DRIVING FACTORS<br />
Reference Indicators Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />
Complementary feeding 15 in addition to<br />
breastfeeding<br />
i. Introduction of complementary<br />
food at 6 mths of age:<br />
≥95% 80-94% 60-79%<br />
0-59%<br />
0-59%<br />
%introduced<br />
≥95% 80-94% 80-94%<br />
0-59%<br />
0-59%<br />
ii. Meeting minimum recommended<br />
≥95% 80-94% 80-94%<br />
0-59%<br />
0-59%<br />
feeding frequency 16<br />
iii. Dietary diversity17 score<br />
Breastfeeding (BF) Practices 1 8<br />
I. Exclusive BF for 6mths<br />
ii).Continued BF at 1 yr<br />
iii)Continued BF at 2yr reference<br />
>90%<br />
>90%<br />
>90%<br />
50-89%<br />
50-89%<br />
50-89%<br />
12-49%<br />
12-49%<br />
12-49%<br />
0-11%<br />
0-11%<br />
0-11%<br />
Measles immunization/Status<br />
Vitamin A Supplementation Coverage 1 9:1<br />
dose in last 6 mths<br />
Population have access i). to a sufficient<br />
quantity of water for drinking, cooking,<br />
personal & domestic hygiene–min 15lts pp/<br />
day<br />
ii).Sanitation facilities<br />
Affected pop with access to formal/informal<br />
services: health services<br />
Selective Feeding 20 Programs Available:<br />
Coverage of TFP /SFP & referral<br />
systems(Sphere04);<br />
-Admissions trends (R=3)<br />
Food Security Situation- current IPC status<br />
Civil Insecurity<br />
3 MONTH NUTRITION SITUATION<br />
OUTLOOK<br />
>95%<br />
>95%<br />
100%<br />
100%<br />
Should not be<br />
necessary<br />
Should not be<br />
necessary<br />
Generally Food<br />
Secure<br />
80-94.9%<br />
80-94.9%<br />
TBC<br />
TBC<br />
Access to<br />
humanitarian<br />
interventions<br />
for most<br />
vulnerable<br />
Access<br />
for most<br />
vulnerable<br />
Borderline<br />
TBC<br />
TBC<br />
Reduced access<br />
to humanitarian<br />
support for most<br />
vulnerable<br />
Acute Food and<br />
Livelihood Crisis<br />
4. REGIONAL NUTRITION ANALYSIS<br />
4.1 Gedo Region<br />
Gedo Region in Southwest Somalia comprises of six<br />
districts: Luuq, Dolo, Belet Hawa, Garbaharey, El Wak,<br />
and Bardera. The region has three main rural livelihood<br />
zones namely: pastoral, agro-pastoral and riverine (Juba<br />
riverine pump irrigation). The pastoral livelihood, further<br />
sub-divided into the Southern Inland and Dawa pastoralists,<br />
is the most predominant group, accounting for about 64%<br />
of the rural population in the region. The Dawa pastoral<br />
livelihood located in northern Gedo is the largest pastoral<br />
group in the region rearing mainly cattle, sheep goats and<br />
camel. The Southern Inland pastoral population is located<br />
in southern Gedo and besides sheep and goats mainly keep<br />
camel that are more resilient to droughts. The agro-pastoral<br />
population is divided into Southern agro-pastoral and Gedo<br />
agro-pastoral high potential (Map 5).<br />
Map 5: Gedo Region Livelihood Systems<br />
Executive Summary<br />
15<br />
Gedo is one of the regions in Somalia that has been<br />
adversely affected for a long time by the cumulative effects<br />
of extended conflict and recurrent natural disasters. This has<br />
resulted in the disruption of livelihood systems, including loss<br />
of livestock and crop failure and culminated in a persistent<br />
emergency situation for a majority of the population.<br />
According to the bi-annual <strong>FSNAU</strong> seasonal food security<br />
and nutrition analysis, northern Gedo has persistently faced<br />
a Humanitarian Emergency (HE) crisis since 2004. The<br />
situation in Northern Gedo has largely been attributed to<br />
climatic factors whereby poor rain performance/drought<br />
has contributed to crop failures and death of livestock,<br />
especially cattle and sheep which are less drought resistant.<br />
The nutrition situation in the region has also remained poor,<br />
with most assessments conducted in the region since 1995<br />
recording Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) rates above the<br />
emergency threshold of 15%. Figure 8 indicates the trends<br />
of acute malnutrition in Gedo region since 2006 (WHO<br />
reference growth standards, 2006).<br />
Figure 8: Trend in Levels of acute Malnutrition (WHZ
Executive<br />
16<br />
riverine populations in Gedo region. The pastoral and<br />
riverine population showed a Very Critical nutrition situation,<br />
a deterioration from the likely Critical levels, while the<br />
agro-pastoral livelihood indicated a sustained Very Critical<br />
nutrition situation since <strong>Gu</strong>’10. The high acute malnutrition<br />
levels in the region were mainly linked to chronic underlying<br />
factors including; poor dietary quality, sub-optimal child care<br />
and feeding practices, and limited access to basic human<br />
services such as safe water, health and sanitation facilities.<br />
Current Situation<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated food security phase<br />
classification, classifies both rural and urban livelihoods<br />
of Gedo region in AFLC and HE although some portion of<br />
the rural population is in famine conditions and has about<br />
174,000 people in crisis (9,000 in Famine, 98,000 in HE<br />
and 67,000 in AFLC), which is a deterioration from Deyr<br />
’10/11. This is a 132% increase from Deyr ’10/11, when only<br />
75,000 people were in crisis. An estimated 9,000 People<br />
in Gedo agro pastoral high potential are in famine, 23,000<br />
southern agro pastoral and 24,000 urban are in HE. Other<br />
livelihoods in crisis include Dawa pastoral and southern<br />
inland pastoral with an estimated population of 13,000 and<br />
4,000 respectively. A significant number of populations in<br />
the above livelihoods have deteriorated to AFLC (23,000 and<br />
9,000 respectively). This drastic deterioration was mainly<br />
due to poor <strong>Gu</strong>’11 rainfall that resulted in crop failure, caused<br />
deterioration in rangeland resources that consequently<br />
contributing to high livestock deaths and significant declines<br />
in livestock market prices. The deteriorating food security<br />
situation was aggravated by a number of factors, poor<br />
rainfall performance, reduction of cereal and cash crop<br />
production in the riverine livelihood, complete crop failure of<br />
agropastoral livelihoods, depletion of cereal stock balances,<br />
decreased livestock production and significant decline of<br />
livestock prices and the subsequently related decrease<br />
income from crop, milk and livestock product sales<br />
situation, while the crude and under five mortality rates are<br />
1.57 (0.76-2.37) and 5.81 (2.66-8.97) respectively indicating<br />
an alert and emergency situation according to the WHO<br />
classification. In addition, a comparison of the current GAM<br />
rates with the previous GAM rates of 26.4% (22.2-31.1) and<br />
26.7% ( 21.5- 32.8) recorded in December ’10 assessments<br />
among the pastoral and riverine populations respectively<br />
indicates a deterioration and Very Critical nutrition situation.<br />
Though in the same phase, this indicates a statistically<br />
significant deterioration among the riverine, with no change<br />
in the pastoral populations. The assessment conducted<br />
among the agro-pastoral population shows an extremely<br />
high GAM rate of 51.9% (41.8-61.9) and a SAM rate of<br />
19.3% (13.9- 26.3) indicating a sustained Very Critical<br />
nutrition situation but with elevated acute malnutrition levels<br />
and while the crude and under five mortality rates are 1.67<br />
(1.14-2.19 ) and 5.29 (3.61-6.96) respectively, indicating an<br />
alert and emergency situation respectively according to<br />
the WHO classification . When compared with the nutrition<br />
assessment conducted in December ’10 when a GAM rate<br />
of 25.6 % (21.5-29.5) and SAM rate of 6.5% (4.6-9.2) were<br />
recorded, the current results show a statistically significant<br />
increase of both the GAM and SAM rates indicating a<br />
significant deterioration. High GAM rates over 30%, and<br />
more than 20% of the populations with acute crisis of food<br />
access in the poor households of the agro-pastoral and<br />
riverine livelihoods in Gedo are are more likely to face<br />
famine. Data from the health facilities in Gedo riverine areas<br />
also indicates high numbers (>30%) and an increasing trend<br />
of acutely malnourished children (Figure 9).<br />
Figure 9: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Gedo Riverine<br />
MCHs - <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />
Proportion of Children Malnourished<br />
50.0<br />
45.0<br />
40.0<br />
35.0<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 2010<br />
2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010)<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The integrated analysis of data from nutrition assessments<br />
conducted in Gedo in July <strong>2011</strong>, and health facilities’<br />
data shows a Very Critical nutrition situation among the<br />
populations in the three livelihood groups in the region. The<br />
nutrition assessment conducted in the pastoral population<br />
indicates a GAM rate of 23.8% (20.1-28.0) and SAM rate of<br />
5.9% (4.1-8.5) indicating a sustained Very Critical nutrition<br />
situation since Deyr ‘10/11, while the crude and under five<br />
mortality rates are 1.18 (0.79-1.57 ) and 4.06 (2.47-5.64)<br />
respectively, indicating an alert and emergency situation<br />
according to the WHO classification. An assessment<br />
conducted among the riverine population shows an<br />
extremely high GAM rate of 48.1% (38.7-57.7) and SAM rate<br />
of 25.2% (19.1- 32.6), indicating a Very Critical nutrition<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Data Source: Trocare, SRCS, HIRDA<br />
Overall, the nutrition situation in Gedo region is Very Critical<br />
and demonstrates a significant deterioration in all the three<br />
livelihoods. The concerning nutrition situation is generally<br />
linked to immediate food shortages as well as underlying<br />
chronic factors that include: household food insecurity (poor<br />
dietary quality), inadequate social and care environment<br />
(sub-optimal child care and feeding practices), and poor<br />
public health (limited access to basic human services<br />
such as safe water, health and sanitation facilities), which<br />
exposes communities to high morbidity and subsequently<br />
high levels of acute malnutrition. While the immediate factors<br />
include reduced access to food due to rapid increases in<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
food and milk prices, and outbreaks of disease (acute water<br />
diarrohea- AWD, cholera, malaria, measles and whooping<br />
cough). These immediate factors are caused by the crop<br />
failure and poor livestock production following the poor<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 rainfall performance, which has significantly affected<br />
household access to cereals, milk and income. In order to<br />
contain any further deterioration and to address the rising<br />
rates of malnutrition immediate and long term interventions<br />
such as rehabilitation of acutely malnourished children,<br />
and improving food access will be required in the region.<br />
Preventive measures to improve health service delivery,<br />
access to safe water and sanitation facilities as also crucial.<br />
In addition to that addressing poor child care and feeding<br />
practices are recommended and important for a lasting<br />
solution.<br />
Repeat nutrition and mortality survey conducted in August<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, among the Gedo riverine population shows a Very<br />
Critical situation, that is sustained from July’11 GAM rate<br />
of 48.1% (38.7-57.5) and a SAM rate of 25.2% (19.1-32.6).<br />
The 90 days retrospective crude (CDR) and under five<br />
death rates (U5DR) of 0.97 (0.56-1.37) and 2.16 (1.06-<br />
3.25) respectively indicate Acceptable and Alert situation<br />
according to WHO classification, a decrease from the rates<br />
reported in July ’11.<br />
Gender and nutrition analysis in Gedo Region<br />
The nutrition assessments conducted in the three<br />
livelihoods of Gedo revealed a higher proportions of<br />
acutely malnourished boys than girls were reported in the<br />
pastoral (30.0% vs 17.1%) and agro-pastoral (61.5% vs 41.9)<br />
livelihoods respectively, while the proportions of acutely<br />
malnourished boys and girls are the same in the riverine<br />
livelihoods (47.8% vs 48.4%). In the pastoral livelihood 19.8%<br />
of boys compared to 14.5% of girls were stunted; and 38.4%<br />
of boys as compared to 28.1% of girls were underweight. The<br />
agro-pastoral livelihood 23% of boys compared to18.1% of<br />
girls were stunted; and 57.1% of boys as compared to 43.5%<br />
of girls were underweight. The riverine livelihood 45.2% of<br />
boys compared to 30% of girls were stunted; and 58.1%<br />
of boys as opposed to 52.5% of girls were underweight.<br />
However, there is no significant statistical difference in the<br />
distribution of acute malnutrition between sexes implying<br />
that they were equally affected (p>0.05). Higher proportions<br />
of girls than boys were reportedly ill two weeks prior to the<br />
assessment in the agro-pastoral livelihoods. The gender<br />
disaggregated data by sex of the assessed children is<br />
summarized on Tables 6 and 7.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
17<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 6: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
18<br />
Gedo Pastoral<br />
Gedo Agropastoral<br />
(N=1093, Boys=563, Girls=515) ( N=834, Boys=426, Girls=408)<br />
Gedo Riverine<br />
(N=642, Boys=357, Girls=285)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
Table 7: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, Gedo Riverine August, <strong>2011</strong><br />
(N=1093, Boys=563, Girls=515)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
Executive<br />
20<br />
High levels of acute malnutrition<br />
across the Somalia border<br />
The Horn of Africa has experienced several consecutive seasons of rain failure which has adversely affected the<br />
different livelihood systems. Poor rainfall performance has resulted in severe shortage of water and pasture,<br />
leading to massive deaths of livestock and crop failure. This has constrained household food access in most of<br />
south Somalia, and resulted in alarming levels of acute malnutrition and mortality. Though all countries in the<br />
horn of Africa are affected, the severity varies depending on the governing structures and response mechanism<br />
available in each country. <strong>Nutrition</strong> and mortality assessments conducted between March and August <strong>2011</strong> in<br />
the three (Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia) countries boarder region clearly shows the high level of deterioration in<br />
the border region while at the same time revealing the severity in Somalia. (Source: <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Update,<br />
May-June <strong>2011</strong>).<br />
Between March-April <strong>2011</strong>, two representative nutrition surveys were conducted by UNHCR/MSF in Bokolmayo<br />
and Melkadida refugee camps in Ethiopia, which host Somali refugees fleeing the drought and civil insecurity<br />
in Somalia. The two nutrition surveys reported a GAM rates of 33.4% in Bokolmayo, 33% in Melkadida, and a<br />
SAM rate of 11% in each of the camp, indicating a Very Critical nutrition situation. Further analysis of the data<br />
indicates differences in the nutrition status based on period of residence in the camps, with new arrivals being<br />
more acutely malnourished, with GAM rate of 47% and a SAM rate of 23.6%, while the older refugees are slightly<br />
better, with GAM rate of 29% and a SAM rate of 7.5%. Elevated mortality rates were also reported in Bokolmayo<br />
refugee camp with respective crude and under five mortality rate of 2.26 and 4.04 per 10,000 per day, indicating<br />
an emergency situation based on the WHO classification. In Melkadida, the crude and the under five mortality<br />
rates are 0.78 and 1.47 per 10,000 per day respectively, indicating an alert situation.<br />
Another representative nutrition survey conducted between April-June <strong>2011</strong> by UNICEF and partners in the<br />
rural livelihoods of Kenyan districts bordering Somalia indicated a Very Critical nutrition situation and elevated<br />
mortality. In Mandera West, results showed a GAM rate of 32.6% (27.8- 37.8), while in other parts of Mandera<br />
and Wajir districts, the GAM rates are over 20%, and SAM rates are over 4%.<br />
In July <strong>2011</strong>, representative nutrition surveys conducted in Gedo and Juba regions of Somalia by <strong>FSNAU</strong> and<br />
partners are indicating a Very Critical nutrition situation. <strong>Nutrition</strong> surveys in the pastoral, riverine and agropastoral<br />
populations in Gedo Region indicate GAM rate of 23.8% (20.1-28.0), 48.1% (38.7-57.7) and 51.9% (41.8-<br />
61.9) respectively, and SAM rate of 5.9% (4.1-8.5), 25.2% (19.1- 32.6) and 9.3% (13.9- 26.3) respectively. In Juba<br />
Region, the nutrition survey findings in the pastoral, riverine and agro-pastoral populations indicate GAM rate<br />
of 38.9 (34.8- 43.1), 45.9% (38.7-57.7) and 38.9 (34.8- 43.1) respectively and SAM rate of 5.9% (4.1-8.5), 25.2%<br />
(19.1- 32.6) and 9.3% (13.9- 26.3) respectively.<br />
In general, these results depict a very severe nutrition situation across the border, which is largely attributed to poor<br />
household food access. Two consecutive seasons of rain failure have adversely affected the livelihoods systems<br />
in these regions, leading to sky rocket cereal prices, massive deaths of cattle, sheep and goats as a result of lack<br />
of pasture and water, while camels have out-migrated in search of browse, limiting milk access to the remaining<br />
household members. Access to humanitarian health care services, safe water and sanitation facilities in these<br />
areas, and more so in Somalia remains very limited due to insecurity, leaving the population highly vulnerable<br />
to diseases, and acute malnutrition.<br />
A coordinated humanitarian response strategy across the border, coupled with negotiations that will enhance an<br />
access therefore remains crucial to save life, and to reduce the current internal displacements, and mass-migration<br />
of people from Somalia to either Kenya or Ethiopia in search of food.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
4.2 MIDDLE and LOWER Juba Regions<br />
Middle and Lower Juba regions in southern Somalia have<br />
a total of seven districts namely Sakow, Buale and Jilib<br />
in Middle Juba, and Jamame, Afmadow, Kismayo and<br />
Badhadhe in Lower Juba. The two regions have three main<br />
rural livelihood zones namely: the pastoral (the Southern<br />
Inland and Southeast Pastoralists), agro-pastoral (Lower<br />
Juba and Southern Agro-pastoral) and the Riverine<br />
communities who are purely agriculturist. (Map 6).<br />
Map 6: Juba Regions Livelihood Zones<br />
Executive Summary<br />
21<br />
Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11<br />
Food Security<br />
The food security and nutrition situation in the Juba regions<br />
has varied over time and has largely been linked to rainfall<br />
performance and its resultant impacts on the different<br />
livelihood systems. Heavy rainfall in the Juba regions<br />
or in the Ethiopian highlands often results in floods that<br />
devastate crop cultivation, and sanitation facilities in the<br />
riverine areas, however, the riverine communities’ later<br />
benefit from recessional cropping from the Desheks and<br />
fishing opportunities from the flood waters. The agropastoral<br />
communities, who rely on rain-fed agriculture,<br />
are totally dependent on rainfall as are the pastoralists,<br />
whose livelihood is greatly influenced by pasture and water<br />
availability conditions.<br />
The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 integrated analysis showed a generally<br />
very poor rainfall performance in terms of coverage and<br />
intensity in the two Juba regions. This adversely affected<br />
cereal production, then estimated at only 5% and 10%<br />
of PWA in Middle and Lower Juba regions respectively.<br />
Similarly, livestock body conditions and production<br />
significantly declined resulting in reduced access to milk<br />
and income from sales of milk and livestock. The rise in<br />
cereal prices and reduced income earning opportunities also<br />
contributed to the high food insecurity situation experienced<br />
in these regions. The populations in the urban livelihood was<br />
classified as either in HE or AFLC, which constitutes 25,000<br />
in HE and 30,000 in AFLC. The rise in number of people<br />
faced with food insecurity was linked to the poor Deyr’10/11<br />
rainfall performance and the ensuing negative impact on the<br />
livelihood systems.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The nutrition situation in the Juba regions equally varied<br />
across livelihoods over time, the pastoral population showed<br />
more resilience and remained mostly at Serious levels, while<br />
the nutrition situation of the populations in the riverine and<br />
agro-pastoral livelihoods fluctuated between Serious and<br />
Critical levels. The only exception was in 2009 when a Very<br />
Critical nutrition situation was recorded among the pastoral<br />
population both in the <strong>Gu</strong> and Deyr seasons, and among<br />
the agro-pastoral in the <strong>Gu</strong> season largely attributed to an<br />
outbreak of acute watery diarrhoea (Figure 10).<br />
Figure 10: Trend in levels of Acute Malnutrition (WHZ<br />
Executive<br />
22<br />
Current Situation-<strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 food security analysis shows drastic<br />
deterioration and classifies rural (Famine,AFLC & HE) and<br />
urban(AFLC &HE) livelihoods of Juba region in AFLC and<br />
HE although some portion of the rural population is in famine<br />
conditions. Currently, 360,000 people are in crisis (34,000<br />
famine,240,000 in HE and 92,000 in AFLC) which is 100%<br />
increase from last Deyr ’10/11 (180,000 both rural & urban).<br />
In <strong>Gu</strong>’11 rainfall performance was very poor in coverage,<br />
intensity and distribution. Majority ( 80%) of the affected<br />
populations comes from the rural livelihoods due to the poor<br />
performance of <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 seasonal rainfall, that brought about<br />
poor crop harvest in the riverine and agropastoral livelihoods<br />
and eventually caused livestock deaths in the south east<br />
pastoral and agro pastoral livelihoods. The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
<strong>Gu</strong> ’11 food security analysis shows poor crops harvest as<br />
a result of <strong>Gu</strong>’ <strong>2011</strong> rain failure which is estimated as being<br />
5% of <strong>Gu</strong>’ 2010, 8% of 5 years Average and 6% of PWA<br />
when combined for both regions.<br />
and SAM rates. While the crude and under five mortality<br />
rates are 1.24 (0.82-1.66 ) and 4.25 (2.75-5.75) respectively,<br />
indicating an alert and emergency situation according to the<br />
WHO classification. With high GAM rates over 30%, and<br />
more than 20% of the populations facing an acute food<br />
access crisis, the poor households of the agro-pastoral and<br />
riverine livelihoods in Juba are more likely to face famine.<br />
Data from the health facilities namely Juba riverine MCHs,<br />
indicates high numbers (>30%) and an increasing trend of<br />
acutely malnourished children (Figure 11).<br />
Figure 11: HIS Malnutrition trends in Juba Riverine<br />
MCHs 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />
Proportion of malnourished children<br />
50.0<br />
45.0<br />
40.0<br />
35.0<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
2010 <strong>2011</strong><br />
2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Month<br />
Data Source: Muslim AID UK, MSF and SCRCS<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
The integrated analysis of data from nutrition assessments<br />
conducted in Juba regions in July <strong>2011</strong>, in addition to health<br />
and feeding facilities’ information shows a sustained Very<br />
Critical nutrition situation but with a significant increase in<br />
the GAM and SAM rates recorded among the populations<br />
in the three livelihoods in Juba regions. In the agro-pastoral<br />
livelihood, the nutrition assessment reports a GAM rate<br />
of 38.9 (34.8- 43.1) and a SAM rate of 17.2 (14.0- 20.9)<br />
comparing to the previous nutrition assessment conducted<br />
in December <strong>2011</strong>, where a GAM rate of 26.1% (21.9-30.9)<br />
and a SAM rate of 6.2% (4.6-8.3) were reported. The crude<br />
and under five mortality rates reported in July <strong>2011</strong> are 1.12<br />
(0.8-1.45 ) and 4.11 (2.80-5.43) respectively, indicating<br />
an alert and emergency situation according to the WHO<br />
classification. An assessment among the riverine population<br />
reports a GAM rate of 45.9% (41.5-50.3) and SAM rate of<br />
21.9(18.9-25.2) a major deterioration comparing from the<br />
previous GAM rate of 29.7% (24.5-35.4) and SAM rate of<br />
6.4% (4.6-8.8). The crude and under five mortality rates are<br />
1.18 (0.84-1.52 ) and 4.66 (3.17-6.15) respectively, indicate<br />
an alert and emergency situation according to the WHO<br />
classification.<br />
All the three livelihood populations in Juba were indicating<br />
a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation since <strong>Gu</strong> ’10.<br />
However, the nutrition assessment conducted in the pastoral<br />
population, indicates a GAM rate of 39.5% (35.9-43.2) and<br />
SAM rate of 18.7% (15.8-21.98.5) which when compared<br />
to GAM rate of 30.7% (26.1-35.7) and SAM rate of 7.8%<br />
(5.8-10.5) recorded in December 2010 assessment indicate<br />
similar Very Critical levels but with a slight decline in GAM<br />
A rapid MUAC assessment among the Kismayo IDPs<br />
shows a deterioration from Critical to Very Critical levels<br />
in July <strong>2011</strong> among the assessed 1,122 and 1,018 children<br />
from the old and newly arrived IDPs. The assessment of<br />
the protracted Kismayo IDPs reported a high proportion<br />
of malnourished children MUAC < 12.5 cm of 24.3% and<br />
severely malnourished children MUAC < 11.5 cm of 6.1%,<br />
while the newly arrived IDPs in Kismayo town recorded a<br />
proportion of acutely malnourished children with MUAC <<br />
12.5 cm or oedema of 26.4% and severely malnourished<br />
children MUAC < 11.5 cm or oedema of 11.4%. When<br />
compared with rapid assessment conducted in Dec’10<br />
when MUAC < 12.5 cm of 12.5% and MUAC < 11.5 cm of<br />
0.5% were recorded, these results shows a deterioration<br />
from <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 situation. The deterioration are mainly related<br />
to lack of health services, poor food access, inadequate<br />
sanitation facilities and safe water.<br />
In general the nutrition situation among the three rural<br />
livelihoods in Juba regions and the displaced population in<br />
Kismayo town is Very Critical. The deterioration is mainly<br />
attributed to food security related factors, whereby the<br />
region experienced three consecutive seasonal rainfall<br />
failure which led to poor crop and livestock production and<br />
the resulting high cereal prices, low terms of trade, and<br />
abnormal livestock out-migration. This has contributed to<br />
reduced access to food (cereal and milk). Furthermore, in<br />
the Juba region, high morbidity persists, a major risk factor<br />
to acute malnutrition. The situation is worsened by the gap<br />
in humanitarian space in the area that usually provide health<br />
and nutrition services due to the current civil insecurity in<br />
the area.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
The current precarious nutrition situation in all livelihood<br />
zones in Juba is also attributed to chronic factors such<br />
as: poor child feeding and care practices, inadequate<br />
sanitation facilities and safe water as well as high chronic<br />
morbidity levels due to limited or poor access to health care<br />
services. In the short and long term, urgent interventions<br />
to rehabilitate acutely malnourished children, and enhance<br />
food access are necessary. Preventive measures to<br />
improve and sustain food access, nutrition and health<br />
service delivery, access to safe water and sanitation<br />
facilities as well as addressing poor child care practices<br />
are recommended for a lasting solution.<br />
Repeat nutrition and mortality survey conducted in August<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, among the Juba riverine, agro-pastoral, and pastoral<br />
population indicates a GAM rates of 39.6% (35.4-43.9),<br />
34.4%(29.8-39.2), and 31.2% (26.1-36.7) respectively,<br />
the result is very critical situation, and sustained as<br />
compared to July’11 GAM rates of 45.9% (41.5-50.32), 39<br />
(34.9-43.2), and 39.4 (35.8-43.2) respectively. The 90 days<br />
retrospective crude (CDR) 1.76 (1.2-2.32), 1.82 (1.23-2.41),<br />
and 1.25 (0.77-1.73) respectively and under five death rates<br />
(U5DR) of 4.22 (2.56-5.87), 4.62, (2.87-6.37) and 2.61(1.32-<br />
3.88) respectively indicate Alert and an Emergency<br />
situation a sustained from the reported in July’11.<br />
Gender and nutrition analysis in Juba Region<br />
The nutrition assessments conducted in the three livelihoods<br />
of Juba was recorded a higher proportions of acutely<br />
malnourished boys than girls in the pastoral (45.8% vs<br />
33.2%) and agropastoral (45.7% vs 32.6%) livelihoods<br />
respectively. While high proportions of acutely malnourished<br />
of boys than girls are also observed in the riverine livelihoods<br />
(53.8% vs 38 %). In pastoral livelihood 40.7% of boys<br />
compared to 27.2% of girls were stunted; and 61.8% of<br />
boys as opposed to 41.1% of girls were underweight. In<br />
agropastoral livelihood 50.1% of boys compared to34.5% of<br />
girls were stunted; and 59.3% of boys as opposed to 46.8% of<br />
girls were underweight. The riverine livelihood 51.4% of boys<br />
compared to 37.5% of girls were stunted; and 71.% of boys<br />
as opposed to 49.9% of girls were underweight. However,<br />
there is no significant statistical difference between the<br />
sexes showing that they were equally affected (p>0.05).<br />
Higher proportions of girls than boys were reportedly ill two<br />
weeks prior to the assessment in the pastoral livelihoods<br />
while the proportions of girls and boys were similarly affected<br />
by the acute malnutrition in the agropastoral and riverine<br />
populations(Table ). The gender disaggregated data by sex<br />
of the assessed children is summarized on Table 8 and 9.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
23<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 8: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
24<br />
Juba Pastoral<br />
(N=866, Boys=,428<br />
Girls=440)<br />
Juba Agro pastoral<br />
(N=824, Boys=398,<br />
Girls=426)<br />
Juba Riverine<br />
(N=868, Boys=431,<br />
Girls=437)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
Table 9: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Juba Pastoral<br />
(N=523, Boys=,248 Girls=275)<br />
Juba Riverine<br />
Juba Agro pastoral<br />
(N=591, Boys=281,<br />
(N=561, Boys=279, Girls=287)<br />
Girls=310)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
4 .3 Bay and Bakool Regions<br />
Map 7: Bay and Bakool Regions Livelihood Zones<br />
Executive<br />
26<br />
Bay and Bakool regions are located in the southwest of<br />
Somalia. Both regions have two predominant livelihood<br />
systems; the agro-pastoral, found both in Bay and the<br />
southern parts of Bakool, and the pastoral found mainly<br />
in Elberde district of Bakool region (referred herein as<br />
Bakool Pastoralists) (Map 7). Bakool region comprises of<br />
five districts namely Huddur (the regional capital), Wajid,<br />
Tieglow, Rabdure and Elberde. Bay region comprises<br />
of four districts, namely Baidoa, (the regional capital),<br />
Qansahdhere, Dinsor and Burhakaba. The two regions have<br />
a high agricultural potential, with Bay region serving as the<br />
sorghum basket for Somalia.<br />
Bay and Bakool regions are characterized by the recurring<br />
effects of natural and man-made disasters and conflicts. The<br />
negative factors affecting the area are mainly crop failure<br />
and loss of livestock, resulting in a continual emergency<br />
situation for the most of the population. According to the biannual<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> seasonal analysis, Bakool has persistently<br />
faced a Acute Food and livelihood Crisis AFLC) or<br />
Humanitarian Emergency (HE) crisis since Deyr’07/08.<br />
The situation in Bay and Bakool has largely been attributed<br />
to unfavorable climatic factors, poor dietary diversity, poor<br />
water, lack of sanitation facilities and reduced health and<br />
humanitarian services in the region. The nutrition situation<br />
in the region has also generally remained poor, the meta<br />
analysis of data from 2001-2008 in Bay and Bakool regions<br />
indicates that the median acute malnutrition rates are 18%<br />
and 15.9% respectively both above the emergency threshold<br />
of 15%.<br />
Bakool Region<br />
Historical Overview <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’ 10/11 integrated food security phase<br />
classification, indicated that the rural population in Bakool<br />
region was faced with a Humanitarian Emergency (HE) or<br />
Acute Food and livelihood Crisis (AFLC). Approximately,<br />
5,000 people were faced with HE and 90,000 people were in<br />
AFLC in the entire Bakool region. Out of the total in AFLC,<br />
80,000 were agro-pastoralists (45,000 in Bakool agropastoral<br />
LZ and 35,000 in Bay-Bakool agro-pastoral low<br />
potential LZ) while the remaining 15,000 were pastoralists<br />
(Southern Inland Pastoral). In addition, 30,000 of Bakool’s<br />
urban populations were faced with either AFLC (5,000<br />
people) or HE (25,000 people). The Deyr ’10/11 season<br />
cereal production in Bakool region was only 10% of the PWA<br />
and 7% of the five-year average (2005-2009) which was the<br />
second lowest since 1995. These phase classifications were<br />
linked to the cumulative effect of poor rainfall performances<br />
and the resulting negative impact on the crop production,<br />
poor pasture, browsing and water conditions.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
Due to the increased civil insecurity and lack of access to<br />
most of the area in the region, it was not possible during<br />
the Deyr ‘10/11 season to conduct representative nutrition<br />
surveys in any of Bakool’s livelihood zones, however<br />
rapid MUAC assessments were conducted in 11 villages<br />
each among the pastoral and agro-pastoral populations .<br />
Results from the two livelihoods indicated a high proportion<br />
(>20%) of the assessed children with MUAC
Current situation, <strong>Gu</strong>’11<br />
Food security<br />
The current <strong>Gu</strong>’11 Integrated Phase Classification identifies<br />
the rural livelihoods in Bakool region to be in either the<br />
AFLC, HE or Famine. The total rural population in crisis<br />
has increased by over 100% from 95,000 in Deyr’10/11 to<br />
201,000 and 81% of the population are currently faced with<br />
crisis. Of the total rural populations in crisis in the Bakool<br />
region 30,000 are in AFLC, 92,000 in HE and 79,000<br />
in Famine. Similarly an additional urban population of<br />
25,000 and 22,000 are classified are facing HE and AFLC<br />
respectively. The food security situation in all livelihoods<br />
of Bakool region has deteriorated since <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 due to two<br />
seasons of consecutive crop failure as well as loss of<br />
livestock and poor production due to poor pasture, browsing<br />
and water conditions attributed to failed Deyr ’10/11 and <strong>Gu</strong><br />
’11 rainfall.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
The current post <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 integrated analysis of data from<br />
nutrition assessments conducted in Bakool region in July<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, the health facility information and targeted feeding<br />
facilities data indicates a significant deterioration of the<br />
nutrition situation in both the pastoral and the agro-pastoral<br />
population. Though the nutrition situation is sustained<br />
at a Very Critical phase, the GAM rates in the current<br />
assessments are extremely high surpassing the famine<br />
threshold of 30%, especially for the agro-pastoral, the worst<br />
seen in decades.<br />
The nutrition assessment conducted in the Bakool pastoral<br />
population in July <strong>2011</strong> by <strong>FSNAU</strong> and partners indicated<br />
a GAM rate of 55.9% (50.6-61.2) and SAM rate of 20.4%<br />
(15.2-26.7) depicting a sustained Very Critical nutrition<br />
situation, yet a significant deterioration with a considerable<br />
increase in the proportion of acutely malnourished children.<br />
In January <strong>2011</strong>, the nutrition situation was likely Very Critical<br />
bassed on integrated analysis of data from rapid MUAC<br />
assessment conducted in December 2010, and health<br />
facility trends.The 90 days retrospective crude (CDR) and<br />
under five death rates (U5DR) of 1.89 (1.60-2.19) and 5.06<br />
(3.80-6.32) indicate a Critical situations respectively.<br />
The Bakool agro-pastoral livelihood nutrition assessment<br />
reports a GAM rate of 45.9% (42.3-49.6) and SAM rate<br />
of 16.4% (12.9-20.6) indicating a Very Critical nutrition<br />
situation. This is also a significant deterioration, with<br />
extremely high increase in the levels of acute malnutrition,<br />
even when compared to the Deyr‘10/11. The 90 days<br />
retrospective CDR U5DR of 2.2 (1.7-2.7) and 7.0 (5.2-8.8)<br />
respectively indicate a Very Critical situation. The crude<br />
death rate and acute malnutrition has exceeded famine<br />
thresholds in Bakool agro-pastoral.<br />
In August <strong>2011</strong>, repeat nutrition and mortality surveys were<br />
conducted among the Bakool agro-pastoral to monitor<br />
the changing situation. The results reported a GAM rate<br />
of 41.1% (35.1-47.4) and a SAM rate of 13.1% (10.5-16.2)<br />
indicating a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation. The<br />
90 days retrospective crude (CDR) and under five death<br />
rates (U5DR) of 2.11 (1.40-2.83) and 5.18 (3. 06-7.30)<br />
respectively indicating a Very Critical situation, with the<br />
CDR rate still above famine thresholds.Vaccination status<br />
by recall and Vitamin A supplementation are extremely low<br />
due to reduced interventions in the area, this can further<br />
exacerbate the nutrition status of the children in the area .<br />
Data from health facilities in the livelihood zone reported a<br />
high (>50 %) and increasing trend of acutely malnourished<br />
children (Figure 13). There were a unconfirmed outbreak of<br />
whooping cough and measles in Rabdure and Tieglow.<br />
Figure 13: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Bakool Agropastoral<br />
LZ, 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />
Percent<br />
100.0<br />
95.0<br />
90.0<br />
85.0<br />
80.0<br />
75.0<br />
70.0<br />
65.0<br />
60.0<br />
55.0<br />
50.0<br />
45.0<br />
40.0<br />
35.0<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Month<br />
Data Source: RCS, GTZ<br />
2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
In eight of the last nine consecutive seasons, Bakool region<br />
has been in crisis. Both livelihood zones are affected by<br />
prolonged drought, however, the Bakool agro-pastoralists<br />
are the hardest hit. The impact of extremely poor <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11<br />
rainfall performance was manifested by crop failure and<br />
poor livestock production which has significantly affected<br />
household access to cereals, milk and income. Besides poor<br />
food access, the deterioration in the nutrition situation in<br />
Bakool region is also attributed to chronically high morbidity<br />
levels, further aggravated by inadequate access to basic<br />
services such as safe water, health and nutrition outreach.<br />
The situation is worsened by the withdrawal of certain<br />
humanitarian organizations that provided health and<br />
nutrition services in the area due to the prevailing civil<br />
insecurity. The withdrawal of these essential services that<br />
played both a preventive and rehabilitative role in addressing<br />
acute malnutrition in the region partly explains the current<br />
deterioratiion. Immediate large scale food assistance,<br />
rehabilitation of acutely malnourished children and provision<br />
of health services and safe water is required urgently to<br />
prevent the ongoing deaths and livelihoods programs to<br />
increase food access. Close monitoring of the nutrition<br />
situation of this population group remains crucial.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
27<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 10: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bakool Region - July &August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
28<br />
Bakool Pastoral July11<br />
(N=270;boys=146;girls=124)<br />
Bakool agro-pastoral July’11<br />
(N=244;boys=121;girls=123)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />
2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />
2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
55.9 (50.6-61.2)<br />
65.1<br />
45.2<br />
20.4 (15.2-26.7)<br />
21.9<br />
18.5<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
45.9 (42.3-49.6)<br />
57.9<br />
34.1<br />
16.4 (12.9-20.6)<br />
21.5<br />
11.4<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Bakool agro-pastoral August’11)<br />
(N=467;boys=241;girls=226)<br />
41.1 (35.1-47.4)<br />
50.6<br />
31.0<br />
13.1 (10.5-16.2)<br />
17.4<br />
8.4<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.98±0.95 Critical -1.86±0.92 Critical -1.75±0.97 Critical<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 49.3 (44.7-53.9 Very Critical 39.6 (35.1-44.3) Very Critical 37.6 (32.1-43.5) Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 15.6 (11.8-20.2) Very Critical 11.0 ( 8.1-14.8) Very Critical 9.4 ( 7.3-12.0) Very Critical<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Bay Region<br />
Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11<br />
Food security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 integrated food security<br />
analysis classified the rural populations in Bay region in<br />
crisis either in AFLC or HE, indicating deterioration in<br />
the food security situation of the livelihood. In Bay region,<br />
54,000 people who were classified as being Borderline<br />
Food Insecure (BFI) in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 was faced in crisis in the<br />
Deyr’10/11. Of these, 8,000 rural people were faced with<br />
AFLC (Bay-Bakool agro-pastoral low potential LZ) and<br />
46,000 urban populations were either in AFLC (43,000)<br />
or HE (3,000). The rest of the population was classified<br />
as Borderline Food Insecure (BFI). The overall cereal<br />
production in Bay was only 8% of the PWA and 7% of the<br />
five- year average illustrating crop failure. The poor agropastoral<br />
households in the northern parts of Baidoa and<br />
Burhakaba districts (the agro-pastoral low potential LZ) who<br />
were classified as Borderline Food Insecure (BFI) in the <strong>Gu</strong><br />
’10, had deteriorated to Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />
(AFLC) due to the Deyr ’10/11 season crop failure as well<br />
as the low recovery of livestock herd sizes. Consequently,<br />
the overall food security situation in the livelihood had<br />
deteriorated due to crop failure as well as lack of milk<br />
availability and poor water conditions attributed to the failed<br />
Deyr ’10/11 rains this region.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated analysis of data from rapid<br />
MUAC assessments conducted in Bay region in Dec‘10,<br />
with health and feeding facilities information, indicated a<br />
sustained likely Very Critical nutrition situation among the<br />
agro-pastoral population. The vulnerability to high acute<br />
malnutrition levels in the region was largely attributed to<br />
chronic high morbidity levels, further aggravated by reduced<br />
access to humanitarian assistance in terms of safe water,<br />
health, nutrition, and outreach services (Figure 14).<br />
Figure 14: Trend in levels of acute malnutrition<br />
(WHZ< -2 or oedema, WHO 2006) Bay<br />
region, 2002- <strong>2011</strong><br />
65.0<br />
60.0<br />
55.0<br />
50.0<br />
45.0<br />
40.0<br />
Current situation, <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’11<br />
Food security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’11 integrated food security analysis has<br />
classified the agro-pastoral livelihood zone of Bay region in<br />
either Famine or HE indicating a deterioration from AFLC/<br />
HE in post Deyr’10/11 which is as a result of two successive<br />
seasons of crop failure. There is a significant deterioration<br />
in the agro-pastoral (both high potential and low potential)<br />
livelihood where the population in crisis has increased from<br />
8,000 in post Deyr ‘10/11 to the current 410,000 peope..<br />
Ofthe total in crisis, 157,000 are in Famine and 253,000, in<br />
HE. In addition, 70,000 of Bay urban populations are either<br />
in AFLC (16,000 people) or HE (62,000 people). The overall<br />
food security situation in the livelihoods of Bay region has<br />
deteriorated due to crop failure as well as lack of milk and<br />
animal loss attributed to the failed Deyr ’10/11 and <strong>Gu</strong>’11<br />
rainfall performance in this region.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The current <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 integrated analysis of data from<br />
nutrition assessments conducted in Bay region in July<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, health information and targeted feeding facilities<br />
data indicates a Very Critical situation, with a significant<br />
deterioration recorded among the agro-pastoral population<br />
where very high GAM rates (>50%), the worst seen in<br />
decades, have been reported. A rapid MUAC assessment<br />
conducted in the area during the post Deyr ’10/11 season<br />
indicated 18.4% of the assessed children were acutely<br />
malnourished (MUAC 40%) which provides evidence of the sustained<br />
poor nutrition situation among this population.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
29<br />
35.0<br />
% malnourished<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
Mar'07<br />
Qansahdere<br />
District<br />
May'02<br />
Sep'06<br />
Sep'03<br />
Mar'07<br />
May'07<br />
May'07<br />
Berdalle District Dinsor District Burhakaba Burhakaba<br />
Pastoral Agrop<br />
Nov.'07<br />
June 09<br />
Dec-09<br />
Bay Agro-pastoral<br />
July'11<br />
Aug'11<br />
A repeat nutrition and mortality survey conducted in August<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, in the same population shows extremely worrying<br />
results, with GAM rate of 58.3% (52.1-64.2) and SAM rate<br />
of 22.1% (18.2-26.5) recorded. The 90 days retrospective<br />
crude (CDR) and under five death rates (U5DR) of 2.15<br />
(1.50-2.80) and 6.16 (3.91-8.40) respectively are equally<br />
worrying, indicating a Very Critical situation and an increase<br />
from the death rates reported in July’11. The results indicate<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
30<br />
Figure 15: HIS Malnutrition trends in Bay Agro-pastoral<br />
MCHs,2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />
%<br />
70.0<br />
60.0<br />
50.0<br />
40.0<br />
30.0<br />
20.0<br />
10.0<br />
0.0<br />
2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Data Source: SRCS, DMO<br />
that the prevalence of acute malnutrition and the rate of<br />
crude mortality has exceeded Famine thresholds in Bay<br />
Region. Morbidity levels reported in the two weeks prior<br />
to the assessment were high at 61.8% and immunization<br />
status for polio and measles and vitamin A supplementation<br />
is relatively very low 0.05).<br />
300<br />
No of admissions<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
The key reference nutrition evidence indicators of the<br />
analysis on the nutrition phase classification are provided<br />
in Tables 10 and 11.<br />
50<br />
0<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Data Source: COOPI<br />
Month<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 11: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bay Regions- July &August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Bay agro-pastoral July’11)<br />
(N=456;boys=233;girls=223)<br />
Bay agro-pastoral August’11)<br />
(N=489;boys=263;girls=226)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
55 (45.8-64)<br />
60.9<br />
Very Critical<br />
58.3 (52.1-64.2)<br />
64.6<br />
Very Critical<br />
Girls<br />
48.9<br />
50.9<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
29.8 (22.8-38)<br />
36.5<br />
Very Critical<br />
22.1 (18.2-26.5 )<br />
28.5<br />
Very Critical<br />
Girls<br />
22.9<br />
14.6<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -2.07±1.15 Critical -2.10±1.13 Critical<br />
Executive Summary<br />
31<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 54.8 (44.5-64.7) Very Critical 55.6 (49.6-61.4) Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 21.2(15.6-28.1) Very Critical 12.4 ( 9.5-16.1) Very Critical<br />
36.1 (29.3-43.2)<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Executive<br />
Case study: A family staring famine in the face<br />
– Huddur, Bakool region<br />
32<br />
Maliya, 36, a mother of four children aged five months to six years, is a home-maker. Her husband Omar, is<br />
a farmer and part time housing and land broker in Huddur, Bakool Region. Until six months ago, Maliya’s<br />
family was contented with life as Omar was able to cover their basic needs fairly well. Following the two<br />
recent seasons of crop failure however, and with the restricted access of humanitarian aid into the area, life<br />
has become very hard. Omar’s income base has collapsed due to lack of demand for the services he provides,<br />
leaving the family with neither the income nor food stocks to meet basic needs. The family farm from<br />
which they normally produce sufficient food for own consumption, has not generated anything in the last<br />
two seasons due to the drought. Further, the family lost its 30 sheep and goats which provided milk that<br />
supplemented the family diet, and income through occasional sale of part of the stock.<br />
The aftermaths of the drought have therefore left<br />
Maliya’s family with little coping options.<br />
Initially, the family reduced the number of meals<br />
consumed daily from three to one. However as<br />
time passed by, they were compelled to skip a day<br />
or two without consuming a meal. With Maliya’s<br />
neighbours facing the same predicament, neither<br />
kinship nor social support are available option.<br />
Indeed many families continue to leave Huddur<br />
for refugee camps across the borders of Kenya and<br />
Ethiopia to seek support. About six months ago,<br />
Omar and Maliya considered taking this option, but<br />
were nevertheless constrained by the distance they<br />
needed to cover on foot due to lack of money and<br />
means of transport. For this reason, they resolved to<br />
A mud house done by Maliya to get her meal on the<br />
table, <strong>FSNAU</strong> August <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
split the family into two, with the husband moving to Mogadishu IDP camps with the two older children,<br />
and Maliya remaining in Huddur with the other two.<br />
For the last three months, Omar has stayed in Mogadishu and managed to send back to Maliaya, some money<br />
which he got through casual work in Mogadishu. Unfortunately, during this period, both of his children<br />
with him got infected with measles, and have since succumbed to death. “Even though I am not widowed, I<br />
have felt the pain of being a single mother in the absence of my husband and my lost children,” cries Maliya.<br />
Maliya, with her youngest baby on her back survives on mudding semi-permanent houses (Cariish) at a small<br />
fee, though the income is not adequate for her needs. Although she received some food from the Zakat al<br />
Fitri at the end of the Ramadan, this lasted them only for a couple of days. She also recently received some<br />
assistance from agencies in the area having been identified by the drought committee as a vulnerable person<br />
in her section. However these are one off acts of assistance which have not been sustainable.<br />
Beside the sorrow from the loss of her children, Maliya additionally worries about her husband and the<br />
future of her remaining two children living with her in the current situation, in the event that humanitarian<br />
assistance does not reach them on time .<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
4.4 Middle and Lower Shabelle Regions<br />
Middle and Lower Shabelle regions rural livelihoods<br />
comprise of riverine (or pure farmers) and agro-pastoralists<br />
(Map 8). The riverine population, located within 10 km of<br />
the Shabelle river cultivates maize, sesame and a variety<br />
of vegetables and fruits, with limited livestock holdings as<br />
a result of tsetse fly infestation. The agro-pastoral zone<br />
extends 20-40 km from the Shabelle River and incorporates<br />
both cultivation of crop (maize, cowpeas, sesame and fruit),<br />
and livestock rearing. The agricultural potential, as well as<br />
the labour and income opportunities in the area makes it<br />
a haven for seasonal casual work, and also for vulnerable<br />
populations in when there is a shock. The region has a high<br />
population density, which is further aggravated by a high<br />
number of IDPs as a result of the continuing civil insecurity<br />
in the region.<br />
Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11<br />
Food Security<br />
According to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 analysis, the<br />
food security situation in the Shabelle regions showed<br />
deterioration as a result of failed crop production and<br />
poor livestock all due to the poor Deyr rain performance.<br />
Consequently, in Middle Shabelle, the reported total number<br />
of people in crisis was estimated at 87,000 of which 17,000<br />
were in HE (5,000 from Central Agro-pastoral and 12,000<br />
from Coastal Deeh Pastoral), with an early warning level<br />
of Watch. The remaining 70,000 people were identified in<br />
AFLC (5,000 Central Agro-pastoral 12,000 Coastal Deeh,<br />
11,000 Riverine and 42,000 Southern Agro-pastoral) with an<br />
early warning level of Watch for Coastal Deeh and Moderate<br />
Risk to HE for other livelihoods. Most livelihoods of Lower<br />
Shabelle were in Borderline Food Insecure phase (BFI) with<br />
an early warning level of Moderate Risk to AFLC except for<br />
Map 8: Shabelle Livelihood Zones<br />
Map 11: Shabelle Livelihood Zone Map<br />
Southern Agro-pastoralists (Walaweyn district) which faced a<br />
high risk to AFLC. Similarly the food security situation in the<br />
urban livelihood of both regions also indicated a deterioration<br />
since the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season. Complete rainfall failure and<br />
the resultant poor crop production (46% and 23% of PWA<br />
in Middle and Lower Shabelle respectively), and increased<br />
cereal prices were the primary reasons for the deteriorating<br />
trend in the Shabelle regions. The factors that mitigated<br />
the situation included cash crop production, availability of<br />
cereal stocks in the regions and some job opportunities from<br />
agricultural activities for the poor and middle households.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The post Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition analysis indicated<br />
that the nutrition situation had significantly deteriorated in<br />
both the Lower Shabelle and Middle Shabelle populations<br />
from the previous likely Serious and Alert phases to likely<br />
Critical. The Alert nutrition situation in the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 was<br />
attributed to previous seasons of increased access and<br />
consumption of milk and crops (maize rice, sesame and cow<br />
peas) in the agro-pastoral and riverine areas (Figure 17).<br />
The agro-pastoral and riverine population reported improved<br />
dietary diversity and access of fish, fruits and vegetables<br />
were reported especially among the riverine livelihood<br />
households. However, the nutrition situation in Adale District<br />
remained sustained at Critical levels with associated poor<br />
food security indicators.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
33<br />
Figure 17: Trends in Levels of Acute Malnutrition<br />
(WHZ
Executive<br />
34<br />
The agro-pastoral areas (Cowpea Belt) of Adale District<br />
and the neighbouring Adan Yabal districts, had faced 5-6<br />
consecutive seasonal failures with poor access to milk,<br />
crops and income. During the <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 season,<br />
there was no comprehensive nutrition survey conducted due<br />
to lack of access, therefore there was no conclusive phase<br />
classification for the region. However data from the health<br />
facility surveillance and qualitative information gathered<br />
depicted signs of deterioration, a likely Critical (GAM rates<br />
>15%) nutrition situation. The deterioration in the nutrition<br />
situation of the agro-pastoral and riverine populations<br />
of Middle Shabelle was then attributed to outbreaks of<br />
diseases (AWD, cholera, malaria and whooping cough),<br />
reduced access to food due to high food prices especially<br />
cereals and milk, in addition to the chronic factors including<br />
poor child feeding and health care practices and limited<br />
access to basic services.<br />
In Lower Shabelle region, rapid MUAC assessments<br />
conducted in the agro-pastoral (10 sites N=1100) and<br />
riverine (10 sites N=1100) livelihood zones both indicated<br />
MUAC 10%. HIS data also<br />
indicated a high (>20%) and an increasing trend in the<br />
number of acutely malnourished children. The data depicted<br />
signs of deterioration and the area was classified as likely<br />
Critical. The deterioration was also attributed to the high<br />
morbidity burden, poor dietary diversity to reduced access<br />
to milk and cereals. Limited interventions, social support<br />
and application of coping mechanisms helped to mitigate the<br />
situation. The historical trends in levels of acute malnutrition<br />
from 2007 to July <strong>2011</strong> is found in figure 11.<br />
Current Situation, <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />
Food Security<br />
The current <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 Integrated Phase Classification<br />
identifies the livelihoods in Middle and lower Shabelle<br />
regions are in HE and Famine. The significant food security<br />
deterioration in the Shabelle region is mainly attributed to<br />
severe food availability and access due to almost total crop<br />
failure and loss of livestock which is as a result of poor rain<br />
performance and poor irrigation due to the river level drop.<br />
The population in Middle and Lower Shabelle have been<br />
classified in 3 categories of crisis, Famine, Humanitarian<br />
Emergency and Acute Food and livelihood Crisis (AFLC).<br />
The food security situation of the urban population has<br />
also showed a deterioration from the previous season.<br />
The famine in the region was classified based on the 3<br />
main indicators, 20% of the population not able to access<br />
2,100 kcal per day, GAM rates exceeding 30% and crude<br />
death rate of 2/10,000/day. In Lower Shabelle and Middle<br />
Shabelle, the population had passed these thresholds,<br />
indicating a humanitarian catastrophe.<br />
The drought in the region had led to very poor crop<br />
production and massive livestock deaths, this also led to the<br />
mass movement of populations to Mogadishu. Poor rainfall<br />
performance and the consequent poor crop production (22%<br />
of PWA in Middle Shabelle and 37% of the PWA in Lower<br />
Shabelle) coupled with a high increase in cereal prices,<br />
minimal cereal stocks, and high cost of water and fodder<br />
are the main factors leading to the deterioration. Continued<br />
displacements and market disruptions resulting from the<br />
conflict in Mogadishu, further exacerbate the situation<br />
especially for the purchase-dependent IDPs who remain<br />
more highly susceptible to shocks.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The integrated nutrition situation analysis classified the<br />
nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle in both the agropastoral<br />
and riverine livelihood zones as Very Critical.<br />
Comprehensive nutrition surveys were conducted among<br />
the two livelihood populations in July <strong>2011</strong>, a GAM (WHZ<br />
score 20%) and increasing trend of<br />
acutely malnourished children in both the agro-pastoral and<br />
riverine catchment areas, both in Middle and Lower Shabelle<br />
regions (Figure 18).<br />
Figure 18: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Shabelle<br />
Agropastoral MCHs 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />
Proportion of malnourished children<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 2010 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010)<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Month<br />
Source: COSV/MSF-S<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 12: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Middle Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong><br />
M. Shabelle Riverine (N=746)<br />
(Boys=391 Girls=355)<br />
M. Shabelle Agro-pastoral (N=689)<br />
(Boys=361 Girls=328)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
19.6 (16.4-23.2)<br />
23.6 (16.9-31.9)<br />
14.2 (9.3-21.2)<br />
8.2 (5.7-11.6)<br />
10.1 (5.8-17.0)<br />
6.8 (3.6-12.7)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
35.3 (24.9-47.3)<br />
36.7 (26.2-48.6)<br />
37.1 (25.2-50.8)<br />
17.1(10.3-27.1)<br />
18.3 (10.4-30.3)<br />
20.1 (12.6-30.4)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.63 ±1.39 Serious -1.38 ±1.54 Very Critical<br />
Oedema (N=28)=3.6 (N=8)=1.3<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 21.6 (15.0-30.0) Very Critical 36.7(25.4-49.8) Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 7.4 (4.3-12.3) Very Critical<br />
15.3(9.4-24.0)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Table 13:Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Lower Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
36<br />
L. Shabelle Agro-pastoral<br />
(N=799), (Boys=410 Girls=389)<br />
L. Shabelle Riverine<br />
((N=804)Boys=395 Girls=409)<br />
Afgoye IDPs<br />
(N=951; (Boys=476 Girls=475)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />
2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />
2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
40.6 (34.6-46.8)<br />
42.0 (35.3-49.0<br />
39.1 (32.1-46.5)<br />
20.9 (16.2-26.5)<br />
22.0 (16.8-28.2)<br />
19.8 (14.5-26.5)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
28.7 (24.4-33.5)<br />
31.1 (24.7-38.4)<br />
26.4 (21.5-32.0)<br />
14.2 (11.6-17.3)<br />
15.7 (11.4-21.2)<br />
12.7 (9.5-16.8)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
40.7 (34.5-47.2)<br />
42.9 (35.8-50.2)<br />
38.5 (32.1-45.4)<br />
17.7 (13.4-22.9)<br />
21.4 (16.8-26.9)<br />
13.9 (9.7-19.5)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.53 ± 1.40 Very Critical -1.22 ±1.29 Very Critical -1.67 ±1.30 Very Critical<br />
Oedema (N=32)= 4.0 (N=29)=3.6 (N=8)=0.8<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 39.2 (33.1-45.6) Very Critical 29.2(25.2-33.7) Very Critical 38.8 (32.5-45.4 Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 14.0 (10.3-18.7) Very Critical 10.2 ( 8.1-12.9) Very Critical 11.6 (8.1-16.5) Very Critical<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Afgoye IDPs<br />
The nutrition situation of the Afgoye IDPs remained classified<br />
as Very Critical, however a significant deterioration<br />
has been observed. A nutrition assessment conducted<br />
among the IDP populations along the Afgoye corridor in<br />
July <strong>2011</strong> reported a GAM (WHZ score
Table 14:Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Mogadishu Town and IDPs - April - August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
38<br />
Mogadishu Town<br />
April <strong>2011</strong><br />
(N=902; Boys=451 Girls=451)<br />
Mogadishu IDPs<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
(N=870; Boys=430 Girls=440)<br />
Mogadishu IDPs<br />
August <strong>2011</strong><br />
(N=544; Boys=279 Girls =265)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
15.2(10.9-20.7)<br />
15.7 (11.5-21.2)<br />
14.6 (9.6-21.6)<br />
1.7(0.9-3.1)<br />
1.3 (0.6-3.2)<br />
2.0 (0.9-4.4)<br />
Critical<br />
Alert<br />
39.4 (32.4-46.9)<br />
41.6 (33.7-50.0)<br />
37.3 (30.1-45.1)<br />
15.3(11.6-19.8)<br />
17.7 (13.0-23.6)<br />
13.0 (9.5-17.4)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
45.6 (40.5-50.8)<br />
47.3 (40.5-54.2)<br />
43.8 (36.9-50.9)<br />
23.0 (19.2-27.2)<br />
25.4 (19.3-32.7)<br />
20.4 (15.6-26.2)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.77 ±1.12 Critical -1.61 ±1.25 Very Critical -1.90 ± 1.33 Very Critical<br />
Oedema (N=1)=0.1 (N=9)=1.0 (N=2)=0.4<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 13.1(9.3-18.2) Serious 36.3 (28.9-44.4) Very Critical 43.6 (38.3-49.0) Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 0.8 (0.3-2.0) Alert 10.1 (7.0-14.4) Very Critical 13.7 (10.6-17.6) Very Critical<br />
Proportion with MUAC (
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation of the Rural Shabelle Regions from February 2007 to July <strong>2011</strong><br />
This article looks back at the nutrition situation since February 2007, to better understand the factors leading to the current Very<br />
Critical/ Famine thresholds of nutrition situation, that can be described as a humanitarian catastrophe. Prior to February 2007, the<br />
nutrition situation in the rural livelihoods of the Shabelle regions was not of concern. As a matter of fact, it was perceived to be in the<br />
Alert phase, reflecting one of the best in cases in the entire country. <strong>Nutrition</strong> data collected primarily from health centers and sentinel<br />
sites up to December 2006 indicated low numbers with a stable trend of acutely malnourished children. Currently, the nutrition situation<br />
in the Shabelle region is Very Critical, the worst situation reported in the region, with GAM rates ranging between 19.6%-40.6%, and<br />
appalling SAM rates ranging from 8.2%-20.9%. Additionally, crude death rates reach famine thresholds of >2/10,000/day.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
39<br />
Year/<br />
Season<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
Situation<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> 2007 Deyr ‘07/08 <strong>Gu</strong> 2008 Deyr ‘08/09 <strong>Gu</strong> 2009 Deyr ‘09/10 <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 Deyr ‘10/11 <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
Critical<br />
All regions<br />
Critical<br />
Agro-pastoral<br />
Serious<br />
Riverine<br />
Critical<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Serious<br />
Riverine<br />
Serious<br />
All regions<br />
Critical<br />
Agro-pastoral<br />
Serious<br />
Riverine<br />
Serious<br />
Middle<br />
Shabelle<br />
Likely<br />
Serious<br />
Lower<br />
Shabelle<br />
Alert<br />
Middle Shabelle<br />
Adale District<br />
Hot spot Critical<br />
Likely Serious<br />
(Lower Shabelle)<br />
Likely<br />
Critical - Hot<br />
spot for<br />
Concern<br />
Likely<br />
Deterioration<br />
All regions<br />
A look back at available<br />
historical nutrition<br />
data indicates that the<br />
nutrition situation in<br />
Shabelle regions started<br />
deteriorating from<br />
February 2007, and<br />
remains considerably<br />
fluid, except for slight improvement in the <strong>Gu</strong> (April-June) 2010 season. The <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season illustrated positive food security indicators<br />
and fewer disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, by the Deyr (September-December) ‘10/11, the likelihood of a deterioration in the nutrition<br />
situation of the population was imminent. Although slight improvement had been noted in the previous season, inadequate measures<br />
were in place to mitigate the population from possible recurrent shocks, leaving the population highly vulnerable. Subsequent seasons<br />
were characterized by poor household food security due to poor rainfall performance and crop production, high cereal prices and<br />
lack of adequate labor opportunities. Additionally, there were disease outbreaks (measles, AWD, whooping cough and malaria),<br />
and limited humanitarian interventions in the area following withdrawal of some of the aid agencies from the region. This led to the<br />
overall decline of the nutrition situation, erasing all gains made during the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season. The table below illustrates the nutrition<br />
situation in the Shabelle region from <strong>Gu</strong> 2007, to date, what is evident is that the nutrition situation of the Shabelle region has remained<br />
worrying since the <strong>Gu</strong> 2007.<br />
In the Deyr ’06/07 pockets of nutritional concern were reported in Adale and Jowhar<br />
towns and Galigudud, Moiko villages following a rapid MUAC assessment. This was<br />
mainly associated with the effects of the Deyr ‘06/07 floods which exposed the population<br />
to water borne diseases such as AWD, and resulted in loss of crop. In addition, sharp rates<br />
of inflation in food and non food items and disruptions in trade and economic activities,<br />
and a high and increasing concentration of displaced populations fleeing civil conflict in<br />
Mogadishu, resulted in a sudden onset Humanitarian Emergency affecting more than 30%<br />
of the population. By February 2007 the cumulative effects of the failed harvest and the<br />
sudden large displacement of people in the affected areas of Shabelle region exacerbated the<br />
situation. The post <strong>Gu</strong> 2007 integrated nutrition situation analysis, classified the nutrition<br />
Very<br />
Critical<br />
All regions<br />
Did the present major deterioration<br />
of the nutrition situation in the<br />
Shabelle regions occur in just one<br />
or two seasons preceding the <strong>Gu</strong><br />
<strong>2011</strong> season, or was it a progressive<br />
deterioration due to the inability of<br />
the population to handle cumulative<br />
shocks affecting the population since<br />
February 2007<br />
situation of the Shabelle population as Critical with GAM rates of 17.0% and 17.3% and SAM rate- 4.8% and 4.3% among the riverine<br />
and agro-pastoral populations respectively. Data from health facilities at the time indicated low but increasing trends of acutely<br />
malnourished children, as well as increasing incidences of seasonal diseases. In addition to the precarious food security situation at<br />
the time, the worrying nutrition situation was also attributed to the high civil insecurity that resulted in disrupted livelihoods and<br />
limited humanitarian access in addition to disease outbreaks. Rapid MUAC (
Executive<br />
40<br />
• humanitarian interventions which started after the <strong>Gu</strong> 2008 season, and mainly comprised of cash and food distributions<br />
• favorable off season crop harvests.<br />
Nonetheless, the population remained vulnerable because of high morbidity rates and persistent civil insecurity in the region. As<br />
a result, the situation deteriorated the following season. <strong>Nutrition</strong> surveys conducted during the <strong>Gu</strong> 2009 season classified the<br />
Shabelle nutrition situation as Critical (GAM- 19.6% (14.6-29.9 SAM- 8.2 (5.7-11.6) among the agro-pastoral population, whilst the<br />
Riverine population remained in a sustained Serious (GAM- 10.3% (5.4-15.3) SAM- 2.0% (0.1-3.9) nutrition situation. In the following<br />
Deyr ‘09/10 season, <strong>FSNAU</strong> was unable to conduct comprehensive nutrition surveys in Lower Shabelle region because of security<br />
constrains. <strong>Nutrition</strong> surveys were only conducted among the agro-pastoral and riverine populations of Middle Shabelle region. The<br />
results of the surveys indicated a Serious nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle Agro-pastoralists with GAM of 12.5% and SAM of<br />
3.5%, and riverine with GAM of 11.6% and SAM of 4.2%. In Lower Shabelle, integrated analysis of findings from the rapid MUAC<br />
assessments and data from the health facilities depict a likely Serious.<br />
In the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season, the nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle improved. <strong>Nutrition</strong> assessments findings indicated an Alert phase<br />
with GAM >6.2% and SAM >1.7% (Pr=0.9). In Adale district however, the situation was Critical based on GAM of 16.8% (12.9-<br />
20.7) and SAM of 2.4% (0.9-3.9). There was still no access to conduct surveys in Lower Shabelle region, however, rapid MUAC<br />
assessments classified the nutrition situation as sustained likely Serious. The improved<br />
nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle was mainly attributed to an improved diet following<br />
increased access to milk and food crops (maize, rice, sesame and cow peas). In addition, no<br />
disease outbreaks were reported at the time. The area had reverted to the general nutrition<br />
situation it was known as before the 2007 civil conflict and subsequent humanitarian<br />
crisis. However, the situation in Adale district was different, a nutrition survey in the<br />
district indicated the nutrition situation had remained Critical, mainly attributed to<br />
negative food security indicators. The 5-6 consecutive seasons of poor rainfall in the<br />
district resulted in reduced access to milk, crops and household income. In Lower Shabelle,<br />
access remained a major challenge, results from rapid MUAC assessments conducted in<br />
addition to data analyzed from health facilities indicating a likely Serious phase.<br />
Security restrictions persisted in the Deyr ‘10/11 season, however according to data from rapid MUAC assessments conducted in<br />
December 2010, indications of an extreme deterioration in the nutrition situation in the Shabelle regions began emerging. The<br />
results indicated a likely Very Critical nutrition situation among all the livelihood populations in the Shabelle regions (MUAC 20%). Data from the health facilities also indicated a high and increasing trend of acutely malnourished children. Although the<br />
reliability of the data was low, insufficient data to make a conclusive classification on the nutrition situation, Shabelle regions was<br />
highlighted as a hotspot for concern, with a high likelihood that the nutrition situation had deteriorated. Consequently in February<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, a rapid MUAC assessment was conducted in the region, and indicated a likely Very Critical nutrition situation with MUAC<br />
4.5 Hiran Region<br />
Hiran region comprises of three main livelihood groups:<br />
the Pastoral (Southern Inland and Hawd pastoral) covering<br />
Mataban and Mahas districts; and the Agro-pastoral and<br />
Riverine livelihood systems, both of which cut across<br />
Beletweyne, Buloburti and Jalalaqsi districts. (Map 9). Like<br />
many other regions in South Central Somalia, Hiran region<br />
has not escaped the effects of high intensity civil conflict,<br />
which has affected people’s means of livelihood. Intermittent<br />
localised civil conflict, as well as the targeting of aid workers<br />
in the region, has continued to hinder humanitarian access.<br />
Map 9: Hiran Region Livelihood Zones<br />
Executive Summary<br />
41<br />
Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11<br />
Food security<br />
The food security situation in Hiran region continued to show<br />
deterioration during the Deyr ‘10/11 season. All livelihoods<br />
were identified to be in Humanitarian Emergency (HE),<br />
with an early level warning of Watch. The post Deyr ‘10/11<br />
food security analysis estimated 195,000 people to be in<br />
crisis, approximately 67 percent were in HE and the rest in<br />
AFLC. The agropastoral livelihood was the worst affected<br />
with 125,000 people in crisis, followed by the riverine with<br />
30,000. The situation in the urban areas also deteriorated<br />
with 35,000 identified to be in crisis (HE and AFLC). The<br />
deteriorating food security situation was mainly attributed<br />
to poor rainfall performance resulting in cereal crop failure<br />
and poor livestock body conditions due to the considerable<br />
deterioration of pasture and browse which consequently<br />
affected the household income and food security. The<br />
reduced levels of social support, high cereal prices,<br />
reduced livestock herd size and widespread civil insecurity<br />
and increasing number of IDPs further aggravated the crisis<br />
in the region.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
In the Deyr ‘10/11 season, <strong>FSNAU</strong> staff were unable<br />
to travel and conduct comprehensive nutrition surveys,<br />
however rapid MUAC assessments conducted in 10 villages<br />
each among the agro-pastoral and riverine populations<br />
respectively reported a high proportion >15% of children<br />
with (MUAC,12.5 cm or oedema) indicating a likely Very<br />
Critical nutrition situation in the region. In the pastoral<br />
population, 14.7% of children reported MUAC levels
Executive<br />
42<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
In the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> season, three comprehensive nutrition<br />
surveys were conducted in the Hiran region among the<br />
pastoral, agropastoral and riverine livelihoods, unlike<br />
in previous seasons where they relied on rapid MUAC<br />
assessments. The results of the survey indicate GAM<br />
rates >20% for all the Hiran livelihood zones, the agropastoral<br />
population being the hardest hit with a GAM<br />
of >40%. Data from the HIS facilities in the region also<br />
indicates high numbers (>20%) and increasing trend of<br />
acutely malnourished children. Information from feeding<br />
centres 1 in the area also report an increasing number of<br />
admissions from January to date. This analysis indicates<br />
a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation in the entire<br />
region. The results from the July surveys conducted in <strong>Gu</strong><br />
season indicated a GAM (WHZ Score
Table 15: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region, July - August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hiran Pastoral (N=444)<br />
(Boys=244 Girls=200)<br />
Hiran Pastoral (N=315)<br />
(Boys=169 Girls=146)<br />
Hiran Riverine (N=570)<br />
(Boys=300 Girls=270)<br />
Hiran Riverine (N=401)<br />
(Boys=214 Girls=187)<br />
July <strong>2011</strong> August <strong>2011</strong> July <strong>2011</strong> August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status - - - - - -<br />
Global Acute<br />
27.3(24.2-30.6)<br />
Malnutrition (WHZ
Table 16: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region (Agro-pastoral) July - August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
Hiran Agro-pastoral (N=535)<br />
(Boys=276 Girls=259)<br />
July <strong>2011</strong> August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hiran Agro-pastoral (N=362)<br />
(Boys=182 Girls=180)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
44<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
) Boys<br />
Girls<br />
43.2 (37.7-48.9)<br />
51.1 (45.0-57.1)<br />
32.5 (25.6-40.3)<br />
Very Critical<br />
44.8 (38.9-50.8)<br />
57.1 (48.4-65.5)<br />
32.2 (25.8-39.4)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006<br />
) Boys<br />
Girls<br />
16.3 (13.4-19.6)<br />
20.3 (16.5-24.7)<br />
11.4 (7.8-16.3)<br />
Very Critical<br />
17.7 (14.1-22.0)<br />
22.5 (17.6-28.4)<br />
12.8 (8.5-18.8)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.66 ±1.08 Very Critical -1.73 ± 1.28 Very Critical<br />
Oedema (N=1)= 0.2 (N=1)=0.3<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 43.6(38.1-49.3) Very Critical 44.6 (38.5-51.0) Very Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 10.5(8.0-13.8) Very Critical<br />
10.2 (7.8-13.2)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition by MUAC (
4.6 Central Somalia: Galgadud and Mudug<br />
regions<br />
Central Somalia comprises of two regions, Galgadud<br />
and South Mudug. There are four main livelihood zones,<br />
namely the purely pastoral Addun and Hawd; the fishing and<br />
pastoral Coastal Deeh and the agro-pastoral Cowpea Belt.<br />
The Hawd and Addun pastoral livelihoods extend across<br />
Galgadud, Mudug and southern Nugal regions, while the<br />
Coastal Deeh extends from the coast of Shabelle through<br />
Galgadud up to Allula, cutting across the South, Central<br />
and Northeast zones (Map 10). This section will discuss<br />
the nutrition situation of the agro-pastoral Cowpea belt and<br />
Coastal Deeh of Central regions. The Hawd and Addun<br />
pastoral livelihood zones will be discussed together with the<br />
other Livelihood zones in the northeast zone.<br />
Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 analysis placed the food<br />
security situation of Central regions of Somalia in<br />
Humanitarian Emergency(HE) for the seventh consecutive<br />
season. The situation deteriorated further in Addun, Coastal<br />
Deeh and Cowpea Belt livelihoods of Central regions due to<br />
significant loss of livestock, increased cereal prices following<br />
poor rainfall performances, in addition to widespread<br />
civil insecurity, limited humanitarian access and trade<br />
disruption. Then, 253,000 people in rural and urban areas<br />
were classified in AFLC, while 131,000 were in HE of whom<br />
25,000 were pastoral destitute. The proportion of people in<br />
HE had increased slightly from 25% of the total population of<br />
Central in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to 28% in Deyr ‘10/11, indicating increased<br />
severity of the crisis in central Somalia. The number of<br />
people in crisis also increased by 16% in urban areas from<br />
43,000 in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to 50,000 in Deyr ‘10/11. Most pastoralists<br />
in central regions experienced severe water shortages and<br />
poor pasture conditions, which resulted in poor livestock<br />
body condition; low conception level and high livestock<br />
deaths especially in Coastal Deeh and Cowpea Belt agropastoral<br />
livelihood zones. For instance, the goat prices<br />
increased by 5% in December,2010 compared to same time<br />
the previous year due to the low market supply, although<br />
the ToT between local goat and rice declined slightly by 5%<br />
due to increase (11%) in rice price in the same period. The<br />
ToT between labour and cereal also declined both for rice<br />
and for sorghum due to declining labour wage rates (7%)<br />
and increased cereal prices then.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition analysis showed<br />
that the nutrition situation of the Addun and Hawd pastoral<br />
population in Central and Northeast regions improved<br />
from the Very Critical and Critical situation respectively in<br />
the <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to a Serious situation, while the Cowpea Belt<br />
Map 10: Central regions Livelihood Zones<br />
agro-pastoral livelihood zone remained in a sustained likely<br />
Critical phase. The apparent improvement then was mainly<br />
attributed to the impacts of the favourable rains the previous<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 in the livelihood and humanitarian interventions.<br />
The nutrition situation of the Coastal Deeh livelihood zone<br />
however, deteriorated from Serious in <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to Critical.<br />
Current Situation- <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 analysis classifies the Hawd and<br />
most parts of Addun of Central regions of Somalia in AFLC.<br />
The rest of the parts of central regions remain in HE for the<br />
eighth consecutive season. The situation has deteriorated<br />
in Coastal Deeh and Cowpea Belt livelihoods of Central<br />
regions due to significant loss of livestock, increased cereal<br />
prices following poor rainfall performances, poor cowpea<br />
production due to pests, crop diseases and successive<br />
poor rainfall in addition to wide spread civil insecurity,<br />
limited humanitarian access and trade disruption. Currently,<br />
250,000 people in the rural central population are in crisis, of<br />
whom 120,000 are in HE. Additionally, 60,000 people in the<br />
urban Central regions of Mudug and Galgadud are in crisis<br />
(10,000 in AFLC and 50,000 in HE) constituting 47% of the<br />
total Central population in crisis. The Central regions have<br />
experienced increased civil conflict and together with the<br />
effects of drought have led to increased pastoral destitution,<br />
and limited humanitarian access especially in Haradhere,<br />
Eldheer, and Elbur districts.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The current <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated nutrition analysis depicts<br />
either worsening or sustained nutrition situation in all the<br />
livelihood zones compared to the Deyr ‘10/11 season. The<br />
nutrition situation remains stable at Serious for the Hawd<br />
pastoral livelihood. The populations of the Addun and<br />
Coastal Deeh livelihood zones are all classified in Critical<br />
nutrition situation, showing a deterioration from Serious in<br />
the previous season. These deteriorations are predominantly<br />
Executive Summary<br />
45<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
46<br />
linked to the limited access to milk, poor dietary diversity<br />
and disease outbreaks confirmed in these areas, and<br />
the effects of consecutive poor seasonal performance in<br />
most livelihood zones as discussed in sections under the<br />
Northeast livelihoods. The nutrition situation of the cowpea<br />
agro-pastoral livelihood is in a sustained likely Critical phase<br />
while the situation has further deteriorated in Coastal Deeh<br />
of Central regions and is likely Very Critical, from Critical<br />
levels in Deyr ‘10/11 and Serious levels in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10. Dusamareb<br />
IDPs are in a Very Critical nutrition phase.<br />
Gender: In the Hawd and Addun nutrition assessments<br />
conducted in the Galgadud and Mudug regions of<br />
Somalia, a higher proportion of boys than girls are acutely<br />
malnourished, however, there is no statistical significant<br />
(Pr10%) and fluctuating trends<br />
(Jan-July ’11).<br />
In the July <strong>2011</strong> Addun assessment, the GAM rate was 17.8%<br />
(13.3-23.6) and the SAM rate was 4.1% (2.5-6.7) with two<br />
(0.3%) oedema cases reported indicating a Critical nutrition<br />
situation and a deterioration from the respective GAM and<br />
SAM rates of 11% (7.7- 15.5) and 2.5% (1.3- 5.1) recorded in<br />
November 2010. Though not statistically significant, a higher<br />
number of boys (21.3%) than girls (14.5%) were acutely<br />
malnourished. The retrospective CDR and U5DR rates are<br />
0.56 (0.34-0.91) and 1.92 (1.02-3.59) both indicating Alert<br />
levels. The deaths are also reportedly mainly attributed to<br />
diarrhoea and measles, and consistent with the outbreaks<br />
of measles and AWD reported in the area and with high<br />
morbidity reported from the health facilities. Data from health<br />
facilities in the Addun pastoral livelihood zone reported a<br />
high (>15%) and sharply increasing proportion of acutely<br />
malnourished children (Figure 19)<br />
Figure 19: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Shabelle<br />
Agropastoral MCHs 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />
50<br />
45<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 2010 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010)<br />
The detailed results of assessments in all the livelihoods<br />
transcending the Central and NE regions including the Hawd<br />
and Addun are discussed in the in the sections that follow.<br />
The results of the key findings are summarized in Table 17.<br />
Proportion of malnourished children<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
The integrated analysis of data from nutrition assessments<br />
conducted in Hawd and Addun Livelihood zones in the<br />
northeast (Nugal) and central (Mudug and Galgadud)<br />
regions in July <strong>2011</strong>, health and feeding facilities’ information<br />
shows sustained Serious situation, and deterioration to<br />
Critical from the Serious levels in Deyr ’10/11 in the Addun<br />
pastoral livelihood. The nutrition assessment in the Hawd<br />
reported a GAM rate of 14.4% (10.9-18.8) and a SAM rate of<br />
3.8 % (2.4-6.0) including three (0.5%) oedema cases. Boys<br />
(14.6%) and girls (14.2%) were equally affected (Pr
Table 17: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hawd<br />
(N=576: 309 boys; 267 girls)<br />
Addun<br />
(N=583: 286 boys; 297 girls)<br />
Dusamareb IDPs<br />
(N=198: 95 boys; 103 girls)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
14.4 (10.9-18.8)<br />
14.6<br />
14.2<br />
3.8 (2.4-6.0)<br />
4.9<br />
2.6<br />
Serious<br />
Alert<br />
17.8 (13.3-23.6)<br />
21.3<br />
14.5<br />
4.1 (2.5-6.7)<br />
6.3<br />
2.0<br />
Critical<br />
Alert<br />
>34.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Very<br />
>36.9 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Critical<br />
>28.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />
>6.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />
>7.9 (Pr=0.90) Critical<br />
>3.1 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.87±1.11 Serious -0.91±1.20 Serious -1.56±1.19 Critical<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 13.7 (10.4-17.8) Serious 18.0 (13.9-23.1) Serious -<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 2.1 (1.0-4.4) 1.5 (0.7-3.5) -<br />
Proportion with MUAC 21.3 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Very<br />
Boys<br />
6.1<br />
Serious 8.0<br />
Serious >14.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Critical<br />
Girls<br />
5.6<br />
7.4<br />
>24.6 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Proportion with MUAC 1.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Stunting (HAZ30.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Acceptable >29.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />
>27.6 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Alert<br />
>39.9 (Pr=0.90)<br />
>40.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />
>36.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Critical N/A -<br />
Proportion of acutely malnourished registered in SFs 12.0 2.9 N/A<br />
Child Morbidity & Immunization<br />
Outbreak –AWD<br />
and measles<br />
Critical<br />
Infant and Young child feeding N=182 N=209<br />
Proportion still breastfeeding<br />
Boys -<br />
Girls -<br />
Proportion meeting recommended feeding frequencies<br />
Boys -<br />
Girls -<br />
Proportion who reported to have consumed
Executive<br />
48<br />
Dusamareb IDPs<br />
In July <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>FSNAU</strong> conducted a small sample cluster<br />
survey among IDPs in Dusamareb, including <strong>Gu</strong>riel area<br />
who have been displaced from South Somalia or pastoral<br />
destitute from the Central pastoral livelihood zones. The<br />
GAM and SAM rates of >34.0% (Pr=0.90) and >0.6.2%<br />
were reported indicating a Very Critical <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
(Table 12). The 90 days retrospective CDR and U5DR were<br />
1.85 (1.35-2.34) and 6.57 (4.89-8.26) indicating serious and<br />
critical levels respectively, according to <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
Situation Classification Framework. This population<br />
subgroup and many others cropping up in many other<br />
towns in the Central regions are vulnerable to nutrition, food<br />
security and other health problems, and require immediate<br />
interventions.<br />
The Cowpea Belt Agro-pastoral Livelihood Zone<br />
The rapid MUAC assessment conducted in July <strong>2011</strong> among<br />
755 children aged 6-59 months from seven accessible<br />
villages in the cowpea belt reported acute malnutrition<br />
(MUAC
Table 18: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Cowpea Belt Agro-pastoral and Coastal Deeh Livelihood zones<br />
of Central Region July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Cowpea Belt<br />
(N=755: 369 boys; 386 girls)<br />
Coastal Deeh<br />
(N=427: 201 boys; 222 girls)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Executive Summary<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Proportion with MUAC (
4.7 Northeast Regions<br />
Map 11: Northeast Livelihood Zones<br />
Executive<br />
50<br />
The Northeast regions are predominately pastoral with<br />
seven livelihood zones namely; the Hawd, Addun, Coastal<br />
Deeh, East Golis, Kakaar/Dharoor Valley, Nugal Valley<br />
and Sool Plateau. The Hawd and Addun cut across the<br />
Northeast and Central regions and the East Golis, Sool<br />
and Nugal valley livelihoods cut across the NE and NW<br />
regions. (Map 11).<br />
Historical Overview – Deyr’10/11<br />
50<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11 integrated food security<br />
analysis classified the Nugal Valley, East Golis/ Karkaar/<br />
Dharoor Valley and Sool Plateau livelihood zones of Bari<br />
and Nugal regions in sustained AFLC, with high risk to HE,<br />
indicating a deterioration then from AFLC with moderate risk<br />
in the previous <strong>Gu</strong>’10, after experiencing three successive<br />
seasons of poor rainfall. The Hawd and Addun pastoral<br />
livelihoods in Nugal and northern Mudug regions remained<br />
in HE since Deyr ’09/10. There was a significant deterioration<br />
in the Coastal Deeh of Bari, Nugal and north Mudug regions<br />
where the population in crisis more than doubled (233%<br />
increase), with a significant increase of both people in HE<br />
and AFLC as a result of water shortages, poor rangeland<br />
conditions and collapsed fishing activities. East Golis of<br />
Bari region was classified in sustained AFLC with moderate<br />
risk to HE after the area experienced a third consecutive<br />
rain failure and reduced frankincense production. The total<br />
rural population in crisis in Bari, Nugal and northern Mudug<br />
regions then was estimated at 220,000, of which 9,000 were<br />
rural destitute and 90,000 were urban. Of the total population<br />
in crisis then, 190,000 (86%) were in AFLC and 30,000 (14%)<br />
were in Humanitarian Emergency.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition situation analysis<br />
indicated an improved nutrition situation in most of the<br />
livelihood zones compared to the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season. The<br />
nutrition situation remained stable at Alert for the Sool<br />
Plateau and at Serious for the Coastal Deeh livelihood<br />
zone. The populations of the Hawd and Addun livelihood<br />
zones showed an improvement from Critical and Very<br />
Critical respectively to Serious for both livelihoods. The East<br />
Golis/Karkaar/ Dharoor pastoral population also improved<br />
from Critical in the previous <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 season to Serious. A<br />
deterioration was noted then in the Nugal valley livelihood<br />
zone where the situation was classified as Serious compared<br />
to the Alert phase reported in <strong>Gu</strong>’10. The deteriorations were<br />
predominantly linked to the abnormal migration resulting in<br />
family splitting and limited milk availability at the household<br />
level in the area. The nutrition situation of the IDPs from<br />
Bossaso was classified as Critical, which illustrated an<br />
improvement from Very Critical in the <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’10. The<br />
nutrition situation of the IDPs from Garowe remained<br />
unchanged at Serious, while the IDPs from Qardho,<br />
assessed for the first time then, was classified as Serious.<br />
Current Situation<br />
Food Security<br />
The current <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’11 integrated food security<br />
analysis has classified the East Golis/ Karkaar/Dharoor<br />
Valley in sustained AFLC. The Sool Plateau and Nugal valley<br />
livelihood zones of Bari and Nugal regions also remain in<br />
AFLC. The Coastal Deeh livelihood zone which showed<br />
deterioration from AFLC in the previous season to HE in Deyr<br />
‘10/11 is classified in a sustained HE. The Hawd and Addun<br />
Figure 22: Trends in levels of acute malnutrition (WHZ
pastoral livelihoods in Nugal and northern Mudug regions<br />
that were classified in HE since Deyr ’09/10 are currently<br />
classified in AFLC, not necessarily due to an improvement<br />
but because of change in methodology that requires at least<br />
20% of the population’s targeted wealth group to fall in a<br />
particular phase. In Addun pastoral livelihood for instance,<br />
the population in crisis has reduced slightly from 41,000<br />
(33,000 in AFLC and 8,000 in HE) in Deyr ‘10/11 to 26,000<br />
(15,000 in AFLC and 11,000 in HE). The Hawd pastoral<br />
livelihood has however shown a significant decrease in the<br />
number of people in crisis from 29,000 (21,000 in AFLC and<br />
8,000 in HE) to 28,000, currently facing AFLC.. Although<br />
the food security outcomes have improved for the camel<br />
pastoralists of Hawd and Addun livelihood zones, there are<br />
persistent deteriorations among the coastal pastoralists<br />
and other small ruminant pastoralists who have lost most of<br />
their livestock. Aggravating factors include reduced fishing<br />
opportunities in the coastal regions, deteriorated rangeland<br />
and water conditions in the Coastal Deeh, East Golis and<br />
parts of Addun that received below normal <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 rains,<br />
increased food prices in all the livelihoods and widespread<br />
livestock losses leading to increased destitution, and<br />
indebtedness. There is however relative peace and easy<br />
humanitarian access, improved frankincense production in<br />
the East Golis livelihood as well as improved livestock body<br />
condition in the Hawd, Sool and parts of Addun that would<br />
have mitigated the food security situation.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 nutrition situation depicts a deteriorated<br />
nutrition situation in most of the livelihood zones compared<br />
to the Deyr ‘10/11 season and a sustained situation in two of<br />
the livelihood zones. The nutrition situation remains stable<br />
at Serious for the East Golis/Karkar and Hawd pastoral<br />
livelihoods but with a potential to deteriorate amidst the<br />
impact of measles, acute watery diarrhoea and cholera<br />
outbreaks as well as deteriorating food security indicators.<br />
The populations of Sool plateau, Addun, and Coastal<br />
Deeh livelihood zones are all classified in Critical nutrition<br />
phase, showing a deterioration from Alert for Sool plateau,<br />
and Serious for both Addun and Coastal Deeh pastoral<br />
population in the previous season. A notable deterioration<br />
is recorded in the Nugal Valley livelihood zone where the<br />
situation is classified as Very Critical compared to the<br />
Serious phase reported in the <strong>Gu</strong>’10. These deteriorations<br />
are predominantly linked to the limited access to milk, and<br />
poor dietary diversity following the effects of consecutive<br />
poor seasonal performance in most livelihood zones.<br />
Additionally, disease outbreaks such as AWD and measles,<br />
were confirmed in these areas by WHO/MOH. The nutrition<br />
situation is Very Critical for all the IDPs in the Northeast<br />
and Central regions.<br />
The nutrition situation among IDPs deteriorated to Critical<br />
in Bossaso and Galkayo from Serious in Qardho, and<br />
Garowe in the <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11. The nutrition situation of<br />
the IDPs from Margaga, assessed for the first time, is also<br />
classified as Very Critical. The results are consistent with<br />
historical data on nutrition surveys conducted among the<br />
IDP population in the northeast region, which highlights the<br />
chronic nutritional vulnerabilities.<br />
Gender: With the exception of Margaga and Garowe IDPs,<br />
where there is statistical significance, analysis of findings<br />
from the nutrition assessments conducted in the northeast<br />
regions of Somalia indicates a higher proportion of boys<br />
than girls as acutely malnourished, however, there is no<br />
statistical significance (Pr
Executive<br />
52<br />
assessment indicate an Alert situation according to WHO<br />
classification and deterioration from the Acceptable levels<br />
of 0.13 (0.05-0.42) and 0.30 (0.51-2.99) of CDR and U5DR<br />
respectively reported in the December 2010 assessment<br />
(Table 19).<br />
Data from the health facilities namely Ufeyn, Waaciye and<br />
Iskushuban indicate a deterioration with high proportion<br />
(>15%) of acutely malnourished children and increasing trend<br />
in four (Mar-Jun ’11) months (Figure 23).<br />
Figure 23: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Golis/ Karkaar<br />
LZ (2010-<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Proportion acutely malnourished (%)<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Month<br />
Data Source: MoH; SRCS<br />
Considering these HIS trends, and the measles outbreak,<br />
together with worsening food security indicators, the nutrition<br />
situation among East Golis livelihood population has the<br />
potential to deteriorate. The population remains vulnerable<br />
to natural shocks and require close monitoring and the need<br />
to address the chronic issues affecting the nutrition status<br />
of the population such as inadequate health and sanitation<br />
facilities, poor child feeding and care practices and lack<br />
of adequate safe drinking water, besides the emergency<br />
interventions aimed at rehabilitating the acutely malnourished<br />
children is a priority.<br />
Sool Plateau Livelihood Zone of Northeast<br />
The nutrition situation of the Sool Plateau of Bari and Nugal<br />
regions has deteriorated to Critical from the Alert levels<br />
reported during the post Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition<br />
analysis. Results from the nutrition survey conducted in July<br />
<strong>2011</strong> report a GAM rate of 15.9% (13.6-18.4), and a SAM rate<br />
of 4.0% (2.9-5.4), both rates worsening from the December<br />
2010 GAM and SAM rates of 8.3% (6.0-11.4) and 1.6% (0.8-<br />
3.1) respectively. Significantly more boys (17.8%) than girls<br />
(13.7%) were acutely malnourished, a trend observed in<br />
many assessments in Somalia and the reasons that are yet<br />
to be investigated though likely linked to the WHO growth<br />
standards. Data from health information systems (HIS) in<br />
the area recorded low numbers (
Table 19: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast Regions July <strong>2011</strong><br />
East Golis/Karakaar Livelihood<br />
Zone<br />
(N=727: 373 boys; 353girls)<br />
Sool Plateau Livelihood Zone<br />
(N=629:337 boys; 292 girls)<br />
Nugal Valley Livelihood Zone<br />
(N=582: 307 boys; 275 girls)<br />
Indicator Results (%) Outcome Results (%) Outcome Results (%) Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
12.7 (8.5-16.9)<br />
12.8 (5.6-20.0)<br />
12.5 (5.2-20.2)<br />
1.1 (0.0-2.7)<br />
1.6 (0.0-3.3)<br />
0.5 (0.0-1.3)<br />
Serious<br />
Acceptable<br />
15.9 (13.6-18.4)<br />
17.8 (13.7-22.8)<br />
13.7 (10.4-17.8)<br />
4.0 (2.9-5.4)<br />
4.7 (2.9-7.7)<br />
3.1 (1.5-6.4)<br />
Critical<br />
Alert<br />
23.2 (18.9-28.20<br />
25.1 (19.2-32.1)<br />
21.1(16.2-27.0)<br />
6.7 (4.4-9.6)<br />
8.5(5.5-12.9)<br />
4.7(2.6-8.5)<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.03 Critical -0.73 Serious -1.09±1.18 Alert<br />
Very Critical<br />
Critical<br />
Executive Summary<br />
53<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 12.5 (4.9-20.0) Serious 15.9 (9.1-14.5) Critical 22.2 (18.2-26.7) V. Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 1.7 (0.0-3.7) Acceptable 2.4 (1.5-3.8) Acceptable 4.8 (3.2-7.1) Serious<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Executive<br />
54<br />
A supplementation status, poor water and sanitation and<br />
limited health facilities accessible to the community.<br />
Less than 30% of the households reportedly have access to<br />
sanitation facilities and nearly the entire community (>95%)<br />
do not have safe drinking water. Therefore, the population<br />
groups in this livelihood zone needs urgent nutrition and<br />
livelihood interventions with close monitoring especially in<br />
light of the worsening food security situation in the area.<br />
The key findings for East Golis, Sool and Nugal livelihood<br />
zones are summarized in Table 19.<br />
Coastal Deeh Livelihood Zone of Northeast<br />
The nutrition situation of the Coastal Deeh populations<br />
of the Nugal, Bari and Mudug regions has deteriorated to<br />
Critical levels according to <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 integrated nutrition<br />
analysis from Serious in Deyr ’10/11. High morbidity rates<br />
including measles and AWD outbreak, and a precarious<br />
food security situation with significant livestock deaths, are<br />
the main factors attributed to the poor nutrition situation<br />
affecting the coastal livelihood.<br />
A nutrition survey conducted in July <strong>2011</strong>, reported a GAM<br />
rate of 17.4 %(13.8-21.6) and SAM rate of 4.2% (2.7-6.4),<br />
including two (0.3%) oedema cases and indicating a Critical<br />
nutrition situation. These results are a deterioration from<br />
the levels recorded in November 2010 when a GAM rate<br />
of 12.5 % (10.5-14.9) and SAM rate of 2.8% (1.7-4.6) were<br />
reported indicating a Serious nutrition situation in Deyr<br />
‘10/11. A higher proportion of assessed boys (19.8 %) were<br />
acutely malnourished compared to the girls (15.2%) but<br />
this difference was not statistically significant. A 90-days<br />
retrospective crude (CDR) and under five death rates (U5DR)<br />
of 0.78 (0.57-1.35) and 1.15 (0.58-2.25) respectively were<br />
recorded, indicating Alert levels and a slight deterioration<br />
from the Acceptable situation with respective CDR and<br />
U5DR of 0.38 (0.20-0.70) and 1.01 (0.51-2.0) recorded in the<br />
November 2010 assessment. Data from the health facilities<br />
in the NE coastal areas also indicated a high (>15%) but<br />
decreasing number of acutely malnourished children.<br />
Poor dietary diversity, sanitation and access to health<br />
facilities in the area remain critical, with more than 20%<br />
of the assessed households reportedly taking poorly<br />
diversified diet in the preceding 24 hours of recall; and<br />
only 55.3% having access to sanitation facilities. The<br />
rain failure in the Deyr ‘10/11 and now <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 has led to<br />
a significant deterioration of livestock body condition and<br />
deaths resulting in reduced household income, and meat<br />
and milk consumption. Furthermore, there are low labour<br />
opportunities from fishing activities due to the presence of<br />
sea pirates, strong sea tides, poor infrastructure an market<br />
disruptions, and together with high morbidity, these factors<br />
remain key in instigating the poor nutrition situation in the<br />
area. The findings for Coastal Deeh pastoral livelihoods are<br />
summarized in Table 20.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 20: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hawd<br />
(N=576: 309 boys; 267 girls)<br />
Addun<br />
(N=583: 286 boys; 297 girls)<br />
Coastal Deeh<br />
(N=599: 283 boys; 316 girls)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
14.4 (10.9-18.8)<br />
14.6<br />
14.2<br />
3.8 (2.4-6.0)<br />
4.9<br />
2.6<br />
Serious<br />
Alert<br />
17.8 (13.3-23.6)<br />
21.3<br />
14.5<br />
4.1 (2.5-6.7)<br />
6.3<br />
2.0<br />
Critical<br />
Alert<br />
17.4 (13.8-21.6)<br />
19.8 (14.5-26.3)<br />
15.2 (11.2-20.3<br />
4.2 (2.7-6.4)<br />
4.6 (2.9-7.2)<br />
3.8 (1.9-7.6)<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.87±1.11 Serious -0.91±1.20 Serious -0.91 ±1.17 Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Alert<br />
Executive Summary<br />
55<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 13.7 (10.4-17.8) Serious 18.0 (13.9-23.1) Serious 16.7 (13.0-21.2) Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 2.1 (1.0-4.4) 1.5 (0.7-3.5) 2.7 (1.7-4.1) Acceptable<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Executive<br />
56<br />
IDPs of the Northeast: Galkayo, Garowe and<br />
Bossaso<br />
The nutrition situation of IDPs in the northeast regions,<br />
has deteriorated in all the assessed settlements with Very<br />
critical nutrition levels based on surveys conducted in<br />
June <strong>2011</strong>, as this population continues to be vulnerable to<br />
various shocks including drought in the south, conflict and<br />
unfavourable market forces.<br />
Findings from the Bossaso IDPs assessment record a<br />
GAM rate of 24.4% (20.9-28.3) and SAM rate of 4.7% (3.2<br />
- 7.1), including five (0.8%) oedema cases indicating a Very<br />
Critical nutrition situation, and a significant deterioration<br />
(p26% (Pr.=90%) and SAM rate of >3.3%<br />
(Pr.=90%) were recorded in June 2010. The retrospective<br />
crude and under five death rates of 0.89 (0.58-1.37) and 2.23<br />
(1.20-4.11) indicating Alert and Serious levels respectively<br />
among the Bossaso IDPs according to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
Classification Framework. The seasonal deterioration<br />
is associated with reduced access to casual labour at<br />
Bossaso port, out-migration of the better off escaping the<br />
high temperatures, and reduced fishing activities because<br />
of the high tides and winds at the sea. The reduced income,<br />
high cereal prices and interruptions inte hd eleievru of<br />
humanitarian assistance likely contributed to the very critical<br />
nutrition situation. Increased influx of new IDPs from south<br />
Somalia into the urban centres of NE put more pressure on<br />
the host communities with associated problems of shelter<br />
and frequent fire outbreaks. However, the targeted food<br />
distributions for the acutely malnourished and other nutrition<br />
and health services by the humanitarian organizations and<br />
the Puntland authority in the area have played a crucial<br />
mitigating role. The findings of IDPs assessments among<br />
Bossaso, Garowe and Galkayo IDPs are presented in<br />
Table 21.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 21: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast IDPs May - June <strong>2011</strong><br />
Bossaso<br />
(N=611: 306 boys; 305 girls)<br />
Garowe<br />
(N=604: 308 boys; 296 girls)<br />
Galkayo<br />
(N=612: 290 boys; 322 girls)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
24.4 (20.9-28.3)<br />
27.5 (22.4-33.2)<br />
21.3 (16.6-26.9)<br />
4.7 (3.2-7.1)<br />
4.9 ( 2.8- 8.5)<br />
4.6 ( 2.7- 7.7)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Serious<br />
20.5 (17.5- 24.0)<br />
24.4 (19.2-30.3)<br />
16.6 (13.4-20.3)<br />
1.8 (0.9- 3.7)<br />
1.9 (0.7- 5.2)<br />
1.7 (0.6- 4.5)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Acceptable<br />
20.3 (16.1-25.2)<br />
24.1 (18.3-31.1)<br />
16.8 (12.4-22.3)<br />
4.4 (2.9- 6.6)<br />
4.8 (2.8- 8.2)<br />
4.0 (2.4- 6.8)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.17±1.10 Critical -1.18±0.98 Critical -1.13±1.02 Critical<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 22.7 (19.2-26.7) Very Critical 18.7 (15.9-21.9) Critical 19.8 (15.4-25.1) Critical<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 11.8 ( 0.9- 3.7) Very Critical 0.7 (0.2- 2.3) Acceptable 1.8 ( 1.0- 3.2) Critical<br />
Proportion with MUAC
Executive<br />
58<br />
Figure 26: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Bossaso MCHs<br />
(2010-<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Proportion acutely malnourished (%)<br />
40.0<br />
35.0<br />
30.0<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
0.0<br />
2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />
Month<br />
Data Source: MoH/SRCS<br />
Data from health facilities in Bossaso indicated a high<br />
(>20%) and stable trend of acutely malnourished children<br />
(Figure 26).<br />
populations, 18.9% and 12.2% in Bossaso and Garowe IDP<br />
populations respectively consumed poorly diversified diets,<br />
comprising of three or fewer food groups, mainly obtained<br />
through purchase. In the context of rural versus urban<br />
population, a relatively higher proportion of the assessed<br />
households among the IDP settlements have access to<br />
sanitation facilities, with 76.3%, 60.7% and 98.3% of the<br />
assessed households in the Bossaso, Garowe and Galkayo<br />
IDP settlements respectively reporting access to some type of<br />
toilet. Similarly, 69.4%, 53.6% and 99.5% of the households in<br />
Bossaso, Garowe and Galkayo respectively reported having<br />
access to safe drinking water, which remains unsatisfactory.<br />
This may mask the water stress situation as witnessed by<br />
water trucking as the main source of water following the effects<br />
of drought in the region.<br />
IDPs of the Northeast: Qardho and Margaga<br />
Among the Garowe IDP population, a GAM rate of 20.5%<br />
(17.5- 24.0) and a SAM rate of 1.8% (0.9- 3.7), including two<br />
(0.3%) oedema cases and indicating a Very Critical nutrition<br />
situation. A substantially higher proportion of boys (24.4%),<br />
than girls (16.6%) were acutely malnourished (Pr>87.5%).<br />
The results show a significant deterioration from the Serious<br />
levels reported in December 2010 with GAM and SAM<br />
rates of 13.3 % (11.0-15.9) and 2.5 % (1.6-3.9) respectively.<br />
Even then, a significantly higher number of boys (16.6%),<br />
than girls (10.3%) were acutely malnourished (Pr.>87.5%);<br />
this finding therefore needs further investigation. These<br />
are the worst rates recorded among Garowe IDP group,<br />
which have previously reported stable serious levels in<br />
three consecutive seasons, due to the mitigating effects<br />
of interventions including active case finding and referral<br />
of acutely malnourished children byagencies on the<br />
ground. Continued displacements from the south and the<br />
surrounding pastoral destitute have exerted more pressure<br />
on the host communities and together with limited labour<br />
opportunities and high food prices have constrained access<br />
to food and economic resources among the IDPs.<br />
The results for the Galkayo IDP assessment recorded a<br />
GAM rate of 20.3% (16.1-25.2) and a SAM rate of 4.4%<br />
(2.9-6.6) including three (0.5%) oedema cases, indicating<br />
a Very Critical nutrition situation and deterioration from<br />
the Critical levels of 16.3% (13.2-20.0) and 2.9% (1.8-4.5)<br />
for GAM and SAM rates respectively reported in December<br />
2010. Again, the proportion of boys (24.1%) who were<br />
acutely malnourished was higher than that of girls (16.8%),<br />
but the difference was not statistically significant (p>0.05).<br />
The respective crude and under five death rates of 0.89<br />
(0.59-1.36) and 1.01 (0.47-2.17) among Galkayo IDPs were<br />
both indicating the Alert levels according to the <strong>FSNAU</strong><br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Classification Framework. The reported deaths<br />
were suspected to have mainly been caused by diarrhoea.<br />
Dietary diversity and household access to food and to<br />
basic services remain to be the major challenges for most<br />
displaced populations. Among the three assessed IDP<br />
Findings from the surveys conducted among the Margaga<br />
(exhaustive survey) and Qardho (small sample cluster survey)<br />
IDPs in June <strong>2011</strong>, indicate GAM and SAM rates of rates of<br />
22.7% and 2.9% in Margaga and a GAM rate of >23.8%<br />
(Pr=0.90) with a SAM rate of >8.2% (Pr=0.90) in Qardho<br />
(Table 17). The rates depict a Very Critical nutrition situation<br />
in Margaga IDPs centers, and because this is the first nutrition<br />
assessment on this recently displaced population, there is no<br />
data for comparison. The nutrition situation among the Qardho<br />
IDPs is also Very Critical and consistent with rates observed<br />
among a similar population in Bossaso. The rates in Qardho<br />
also show a significant deterioration from the Serious situation<br />
reported in December 2010 when small sample cluster survey<br />
results recorded a GAM rate of >10.6% (Pr=0.90) and a SAM<br />
rate of >2.7% (Pr=0.90)<br />
These findings indicate considerably high morbidity rates<br />
(>27%), which have a direct effect on the nutrition status<br />
of the children. However, for all the five IDP populations,<br />
vaccination status by recall and Vitamin A supplementation<br />
are relatively high, yet slightly below the Sphere (2004)<br />
threshold, with the exception of measles immunization in<br />
Qardho IDP populations at 70% (Table 12). The high coverage<br />
of these health programmes is likely due to the impact of the<br />
child health days (CHDs) carried out by UNICEF and partners<br />
in June/July <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Figure 27: Trends in Levels of Acute Malnutrition<br />
(WHZ
Table 22: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast and Central IDPs May - June <strong>2011</strong><br />
Qardho IDPs<br />
(N=211: Boys=112, Girls=99)<br />
Margaga IDPs<br />
(N=207: Boys= 109, Girls= 98)<br />
Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
>23.8 (Pr=0.90)<br />
31.3 (22.3-41.9)<br />
26.3 (16.9-38.5)<br />
>8.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />
12.5 ( 7.3-20.5)<br />
10.1 ( 4.6-20.7)<br />
Very Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
22.7<br />
30.3<br />
14.3<br />
2.9<br />
3.7<br />
2.0<br />
Very Critical<br />
Acceptable<br />
Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.38±1.19 Critical -1.22±1.06 Critical<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS)<br />
>25.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />
Very Critical 21.3 Very Critical<br />
Executive Summary<br />
59<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) >2.3 ( Pr=(0.90) Alert 1.4 Acceptable<br />
Proportion with MUAC 19.8 (Pr=0.90)<br />
24.1 (17.8-31.8)<br />
Very Critical<br />
4.3<br />
3.7<br />
Alert<br />
Girls<br />
22.2 (15.5-30.9)<br />
5.1<br />
Proportion with MUAC4.4 ( Pr=0.90)<br />
Very Critical 0.5 Serious<br />
Stunting (HAZ24.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />
34.8 (27.3-43.2)<br />
Critical<br />
7.7<br />
5.5<br />
Serious<br />
Girls<br />
22.2 (13.4-34.5)<br />
10.2<br />
Underweight (WAZ30.6 (Pr=0.90)<br />
40.5 (31.6-50.2)<br />
Very Critical<br />
15.0<br />
17.4<br />
Critical<br />
Girls<br />
29.6 (20.2-41.0)<br />
29.6<br />
HIS <strong>Nutrition</strong> Trends(Jan-Jun’11) N/A Critical N/A -<br />
Admission trends at TFPs/SFPs (Gedo – Jan-July’10)<br />
High and Stable admissions<br />
Critical<br />
trend<br />
N/A<br />
Proportion of acutely malnourished registered in SFs 0<br />
Child Morbidity & Immunization<br />
Disease trends (seasonally adjusted)<br />
Morbidity refers to the proportion of children reported to be ill<br />
in the 2 weeks prior to the survey<br />
Immunization Status<br />
Outbreak – None<br />
Morbidity-38.4<br />
Boys-<br />
Girls-<br />
Diarrhea -27.5<br />
Pneuonia-28.9<br />
Fever-32.7<br />
Vitamin A –80.1<br />
Boys-77.7<br />
Girls-82.8<br />
Measles – 70.0<br />
Boys-71.8<br />
Girls-68.0<br />
Critical<br />
Infant and Young child feeding N=80 N=65<br />
Proportion still breastfeeding<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
58.8<br />
56.8<br />
61.1<br />
Critical<br />
63.1<br />
65.7<br />
60.0<br />
Proportion meeting recommended feeding frequencies<br />
Boys<br />
Girls<br />
Proportion who reported to have consumed
Executive<br />
60<br />
Overall, the nutrition situation is Very Critical among all<br />
the five IDP populations of Bossaso, Garowe, Qardho,<br />
and Galkayo in which repeat surveys were conducted<br />
and is showing significant deteriorations from either<br />
Serious or Critical levels reported in Deyr ‘10/11, as well<br />
as among the new Margaga IDP population. The reasons<br />
for the deteriorations are multiple and are associated with<br />
deteriorating food security and health related factors. The<br />
reliance of the IDPs on humanitarian assistance that has<br />
been insufficient and limited to a small proportion of targeted<br />
vulnerable households and on the irregular casual labour<br />
for income to buy food and other none food items makes<br />
them susceptible to food insecurity and malnutrition. The<br />
situation is exacerbated by the high food prices and poor<br />
food access resulting from the effects of drought in the<br />
region and inability of the host communities to provide social<br />
support. Interventions to improve and stabilize food access<br />
and provision of health services are crucial in addressing<br />
limited food and in tackling the high morbidity levels, thereby<br />
mitigating the high levels of acute malnutrition. Continued<br />
and concerted efforts are thus needed to rehabilitate acutely<br />
malnourished children and prevent further deterioration.<br />
Gender and nutrition analysis in Northeast Regions<br />
In most of the nutrition assessments conducted in the<br />
NE regions of Somalia, a higher proportion of boys than<br />
girls were acutely malnourished, even though this was not<br />
statistically significant (Pr
A review of five cases of child deaths in Eil,<br />
implicates suspected measles<br />
As Narrated to Mohamed M. Hassan, Fsnau July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Measles is one of the contributing factors of malnutrition<br />
and related deaths in Somalia particularly in very<br />
remote and coastal livelihoods where immunization,<br />
vitamin A supplementation and breastfeeding levels<br />
are very negligible and basic services including health<br />
are insufficient in terms of the capacity of medical<br />
personnel, operational tools and infrastructure.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
61<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> and partners conducted seasonal post <strong>Gu</strong><br />
’<strong>2011</strong> nutrition assessments, which incorporated both<br />
nutrition and deaths in the preceding 90 days. The<br />
purpose was to establish the seasonal malnutrition<br />
trends, and factors associated with malnutrition as<br />
well as mortality. Field observations supported a WHO<br />
report of measles outbreaks in Bari, Nugal and Mudug<br />
regions. Having discussed with key informants and<br />
Fawzia, one of the mothers who lost her children to<br />
suspect of measles in Bedey village – <strong>FSNAU</strong> July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Bedey health community, Mohamed Hassan – the <strong>FSNAU</strong> Field <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analyst, and the survey team that visited<br />
Eil in Coastal Deeh were informed of five recent deaths of children aged below five years in Bedey town -a settlement<br />
for a poor fishing community. The team requested the community elders to lead them into the particular households<br />
who lost their children in order to carry out a discussion so as to understand the probable factors contributing to these<br />
deaths. The following paragraphs summarizes the outcome of the examinations conducted in the five households.<br />
Case 1:<br />
Faduma, 32, the mother of the first case, told us that her child was 12 months when he passed on. She had visited<br />
Bossaso Town in April <strong>2011</strong>, and one of the families she paid a visit in Bossaso had lost their child due to illness<br />
suspected to be jaadeco (measles) 1 . When she returned to Eil, her young child became sick and presented measles<br />
symptoms like cough, red eyes, very high fever, diarrhoea and respiratory infections and eventually died on 5 th June<br />
<strong>2011</strong> after one week of illness. Fadumo is herself not immunized against the tetanus (TT); the mother continued<br />
breastfeeding her late child up to 12 months but she “did not receive measles vaccine nor Vitamin A capsules”, she said.<br />
Case 2:<br />
Fawzia, 23, is mother to the late Halima, who passed on 27 th June <strong>2011</strong>, at 10 months. Fawzia said, Halima had<br />
been taken ill for 18 days before she succumbed to high fever, skin rash and cough – symptoms of measles. “She had<br />
not received vitamin A supplements nor measles vaccine; she was still breastfeeding at the time she passed away”,<br />
she said. Her surviving sibling of two and half years was also infected by the same disease but received treatment<br />
and recovered after the death of Halima. Fawzia completed her 5 doses of TT.<br />
Case 3:<br />
Johra, 36, the mother of the third case, has received 3 doses of TT, but her late son (Abdullahi) who died at the age<br />
of 11 months had not received any of the required immunizations - against polio and measles. Breastfed for the<br />
first four months only, the late Abdullahi died on 18 th June <strong>2011</strong> with measles symptoms of diarrhoea, deep cough<br />
with chest in-drawing, white spots in the mouth, red eyes and fever that went on for 10 days.<br />
Her neighboor, Isha, had three out of her four children (see photo) infected with measles. Two of the children recovered,<br />
after 22 days of severe illness. However one child, Amina, succumbed to death.<br />
Case 4:<br />
Farhia, 30, who had received three doses of TT confirmed that her youngest child, Garad, 10 months, had recently<br />
died on 21 st June <strong>2011</strong> with cough, skin rash, red eyes and high fever that lasted for 16 days. Garad had been breastfed<br />
for only four months before the mother conceived another pregnancy.<br />
1 Measles (Jadeeco): a child with more than three of these signs– fever and, skin rash, runny nose or red eyes, and/or mouth<br />
infection, or chest infection<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
62<br />
Case 5:<br />
Fatuma, 22, the mother of the fifth case, had not been<br />
immunized against TT. She reported that her young<br />
child Ramadan, 9 months, who passed away on 1 st<br />
July, in the same Bedey village had the following<br />
symptoms: very severe cough, diarrhea, very high<br />
fever and unconsciousness. “The child was ill for only<br />
four days, she had been so emaciated and succumbed.”<br />
She explained. Asked, if the child had received any<br />
immunization dosage against measles, the mother said,<br />
No. “He was delivered at home and the health center<br />
is very far away, I did not have money to take him to<br />
hospital.” She said.<br />
Isha of Bedey Village, with three of her children who<br />
reportedly had measles. <strong>FSNAU</strong>, July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Summary:<br />
Based on the information from mothers/care takers of these cases, the children suffered from similar symptoms and<br />
the deaths are likely to have been caused by measles. The cases had not been immunized and measles vaccination<br />
coverage is very low in the area, health infrastructure is weak, community awareness on immunization is very<br />
limited and because of the remoteness the disease surveillance and management is wanting. The nutrition survey<br />
conducted in the Coastal Deeh reported a high rate of acute malnutrition with GAM and SAM rates of 17.4 %<br />
(13.8-21.6) and 4.2% (2.7-6.4), respectively; and a 90-days retrospective crude (CDR) and under five death rates<br />
(U5DR) of 0.78 (0.57-1.35) and 1.15 (0.58-2.25) respectively. The deaths in U5s in this assessment and all the other<br />
livelihood assessments conducted in NE regions were attributed mainly to diarrhoea and measles. The main factors<br />
contributing to the undernutrition and deaths at the coastal people are low access to both food and health services<br />
including immunization, as well to recurrent episodes of communicable diseases.<br />
Measles is a highly contagious disease caused by the measles virus. The measles virus grows in the cells that line the<br />
back of the throat and lungs and caused by a virus in the paramyxovirus. This fatal disease affects both elementary<br />
canal and respiratory system causing poor appetite, impaired health condition, sudden fall of nutrition and immunity<br />
status and eventually death. Therefore any person, who is not immunized against measles or not recovered from<br />
the disease at a point in their lifetime, is at risk of getting the disease with its associated complications. It can<br />
be prevented by the combination MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine (http://www.cdc.gov/measles)<br />
and programs have been designed to eliminate measles globally by 2012 (CDC, 2009). The fourth Millennium<br />
Development Goal (MDG 4) also aims to reduce the under five mortality rate by two thirds between 1990-2015<br />
(WHO, 2009). Given the potential of measles vaccination to reduce child mortality, and recognizing that measles<br />
vaccination coverage is a marker of access to child health services, routine measles vaccination coverage is used as<br />
an indicator of progress towards achieving MDG 4 (WHO, 2009).<br />
References:<br />
CDC (2009). Progress Toward the 2012 Measles Elimination Goal -- Western Pacific Region, 1990-2008. MMWR,<br />
June 26, 58 (24), 669-673.<br />
Soleman, N., Chandramohan, D., & Shibuya, K. (2006). Verbal autopsy: current practices and challenges. Bull<br />
World Health Organ., 84(3), 239-245. Retrieved from http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16583084.<br />
WHO (2009). World Health Organization, Fact sheet # 28.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
4.8 Northwest Regions<br />
The Northwest regions comprise mainly of pastoral<br />
livelihood zones namely: West Golis, <strong>Gu</strong>ban, East Golis/<br />
Gebbi Valley of Sanaag region, the Hawd, Sool Plateau<br />
and the Nugal Valley. In addition, there is an agro-pastoral<br />
livelihood zone that is sub-divided into two, namely, the<br />
Agro-pastoral of Awdal and W. Galbeed regions and<br />
Agro-pastoral of Togdheer region. The livelihood zones<br />
cut across the five administrative regions of Awdal, W.<br />
Galbeed, Togdheer, Sool and Sanaag. (Map 12). The East<br />
Golis, Nugal Valley and Sool plateau also extend to the NE<br />
regions of Bari and Nugal respectively.<br />
Map 12: Northwest Livelihood Zones<br />
Executive Summary<br />
63<br />
Historical Overview <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘11<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated food security<br />
analysis classified the West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban and Agro-pastoral<br />
regions (Togdheer, Awdal and Galbeed) of the northwest<br />
as BFI, indicating a stable food security situation in the<br />
livelihoods compared to the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season. (Figure 28). The<br />
Hawd, Nugal Valley and Togdheer livelihood zones were<br />
also classified as BFI, but with a high risk of deterioration<br />
to AFLC, while the East Golis (of Sanaag region) was<br />
classified as AFLC, with a high risk of deterioration to<br />
Humanitarian Emergency (HE). This indicated a slight<br />
deterioration of the overall food security situation in the<br />
livelihoods that was mainly attributed to the poor rainfall<br />
performance and consequent water and pasture shortage<br />
that led to reduced livestock production and out-migration.<br />
Sool Plateau pastoral livelihood zone, despite showing an<br />
improvement then in the food security indicators following<br />
the favourable <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season and increased humanitarian<br />
interventions in the area, remained in HE as a significant<br />
proportion of the poor population (16,000) remained very<br />
vulnerable. Overall, the estimated rural population in AFLC<br />
was 50,000 people, an increase from the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 estimate<br />
of 18,000 people. The total population in HE was 18,000,<br />
down from 25,000 people in <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10. The population of the<br />
urban poor in AFLC was 37,000, while the number in HE<br />
was 13,000.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 nutrition situation analysis showed a<br />
mixed picture with slight deterioration in some livelihoods,<br />
while other areas remained stable compared to the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10<br />
season (Figure 29). The slight deterioration was mainly<br />
linked to reduced milk access at the household level<br />
which was as a result of poor livestock production and outmigration<br />
of many livestock from the zones following poor<br />
rainfall performance in the respective zones. The nutrition<br />
situation then remained unchanged at Alert for the Sool<br />
Plateau while the Hawd, West Golis and agro-pastoral<br />
livelihood zones remained at Serious.<br />
The populations of the Nugal Valley and East Golis/ Gebbi<br />
livelihood zones, showed a slight deterioration from Alert<br />
in <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 to Serious. The nutrition situation of the IDPs<br />
from Burao and Berbera was classified as Serious, an<br />
improvement from Critical in the <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10, while for<br />
Hargeisa IDPs the situation remained unchanged at Serious<br />
phase. The major risk factors for the populations in the<br />
region such as inadequate safe drinking water, health and<br />
sanitation facilities, poor child feeding and care practices,<br />
in addition to high morbidity rates and a precarious food<br />
security situation, remain a challenge to the populations in<br />
the entire region and much more among the IDP settlements.<br />
Figure 28: Trends in levels of Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
Executive<br />
64<br />
Current Situation <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11<br />
Food Security<br />
The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated food security analysis<br />
indicates the West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban, Agro-pastoral and Hawd<br />
of Hargeisa livelihoods in the northwest as BFI, indicating<br />
a stable food security situation since <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season. The<br />
population in Hawd of Togdheer, Nugal Valley and East<br />
Golis (of Sanaag region) livelihoods which were classified<br />
during the <strong>Gu</strong>’10 in BFI phase with a high risk, have shown<br />
deterioration in food security situation and are currently<br />
facing AFLC. The deterioration of the food security situation<br />
in these livelihoods is mainly attributed to the poor rainfall<br />
performance and consequent water and pasture shortage<br />
since the Deyr’10/11, thus affecting livestock production.<br />
Sool Plateau pastoral livelihood zone is in a sustained<br />
HE since <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘09/10. The situation is linked to<br />
consecutive seasons of poor rainfall performances which<br />
have decimated the livestock, the sole livelihood asset for<br />
the population in the area, thereby leaving significant number<br />
of poor population in destitution and highly vulnerable to<br />
food insecurity.<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />
The <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated nutrition situation analysis shows<br />
mixed trends in the nutrition situation in Northwest livelihoods<br />
with most livelihoods showing significant deterioration<br />
while others indicate either sustained or improved situation<br />
compared to the Deyr ‘10/11 situation. The nutrition<br />
situation for the West Golis and Nugal Valley livelihoods<br />
has significantly deteriorated from Serious phase in Deyr<br />
‘10/11 to Very Critical levels while that of Sool Plateau<br />
population has declined to Critical levels from the Serious<br />
levels in the previous season. The populations in the agropastoral<br />
and East Golis/Gebbi Valley livelihood zones show<br />
a sustained Serious nutrition situation since Deyr ‘10/11.<br />
The deterioration recorded in the respective livelihoods is<br />
mainly attributed to reduced milk access at the household<br />
level which resulted from abnormal seasonal livestock<br />
out-migration patterns, hence reducing milk availability<br />
and consumption in the area. Elevated morbidity levels,<br />
including the outbreak of measles, acute watery diarrhoea<br />
and dengue fever reported in these livelihoods have also<br />
contributed to the high levels of acute malnutrition. On the<br />
other hand, the population in the Hawd livelihood illustrates<br />
the best nutrition situation in the country having improved<br />
from the Serious levels in Deyr ‘10/11 to the current Alert<br />
phase. This is attributed to improved milk access following<br />
positive rainfall performance in the area. The nutrition<br />
situation of the IDPs from Hargeisa and Berbera towns<br />
indicate a sustained Serious nutrition situation since Deyr<br />
‘10/11, while the nutrition situation among the Burao IDPs<br />
has deteriorated from Serious in Deyr’10/11 to Critical<br />
levels. The deterioration recorded among the Burao IDP is<br />
largely linked to seasonal factors that influence malnutrition<br />
where levels of acute malnutrition peak in the <strong>Gu</strong> season<br />
and improve in the Deyr season as was the case in 2010<br />
seasons. The historical trend of malnutrition in the respective<br />
livelihoods and IDPs populations is shown in figure 29. The<br />
Deyr season is associated with increased casual labour from<br />
the seasonal livestock export boom for annual pilgrimage<br />
to <strong>Gu</strong>lf states where displaced persons get extra income<br />
to supplement food and non-food items. These important<br />
labour opportunities are lacking in <strong>Gu</strong> seasons hence the<br />
worsening nutrition situation. Lack of stable livelihood<br />
systems among the IDPs coupled with irregular access to<br />
basic services continue to expose this population group<br />
to risks of malnutrition, ill health and food insecurity. The<br />
on-going humanitarian assistance should be maintained<br />
while initiating or expanding services to meet the needs of<br />
new arrival from Southern Somalia and pastoral drop-out<br />
destitute.<br />
Gender: The analysis of the nutrition data in the assessed<br />
rural livelihoods as well as the IDPs populations of<br />
the northwest regions, shows no statistical significant<br />
differences in the distribution of (i) malnutrition, and (ii)<br />
morbidity cases, between boys and girls. However, across<br />
all livelihoods and IDP populations, more boys than girls<br />
were acutely malnourished, stunted and underweight. This<br />
will need further research. Additionally, there is no statistical<br />
significant difference between the female and male headed<br />
household in terms of distribution of acute malnutrition,<br />
dietary diversity, and access to health or sanitation services.<br />
Pastoral Livelihood Zones<br />
West Golis, Nugal Valley and Sool Plateau Livelihood<br />
Zones<br />
The current nutrition situation of the West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban and<br />
Nugal Valley pastoral populations is Very Critical, indicating<br />
a significant deterioration from the Serious levels in <strong>Post</strong><br />
Deyr ’10/11. The results of the nutrition surveys conducted<br />
in the areas in July ’11 among West Golis population<br />
indicate a GAM rate of 22% (18.9-25.4) and a SAM rate of<br />
5% (3.4-7.5) indicating a significant deterioration (p
assessment done in the Nugal Valley livelihood indicated a<br />
GAM rate of 23.2% (18.5-28.1) and a SAM rate of 6.7% (4.4-<br />
10.0), showing a significant deterioration compared with a<br />
GAM rate of 10.3% (7.0-14.8), and a SAM rate of 1.0% (0.4-<br />
2.3) reported in the November 2010 assessment (p
Executive<br />
66<br />
Table 23: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Sool Plateau, Nugal Valley and West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban LZ July <strong>2011</strong><br />
West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />
(N=844: Boys=437; Girls=407)<br />
Nugal Valley<br />
(N=582: Boys=307; Girls=275)<br />
Sool plateau<br />
(N=629: Boys= 337; Girls=292)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
East Golis/Gebbi Valley and Hawd Livelihood Zones<br />
of NW<br />
The integrated nutrition analysis of East Golis/Gebbi Valley<br />
population indicates a sustained Serious nutrition situation<br />
since <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 but with high likelihood of deterioration.<br />
A nutrition survey conducted in the area reported a GAM rate<br />
of 12.7% (8.5-16.9) and SAM rate of 1.1% (0.0-2.7), showing<br />
similar levels with the December 2010 assessment when<br />
a GAM rate of 11.1% (8.0-15.1), and a SAM rate of 2.1%<br />
(1.2-3.9) were reported. However, the prevalent aggravating<br />
factors including outbreak of measles and acute watery<br />
diarrhoea, high livestock off take and reduced access to milk<br />
and income indicate that the nutrition situation is more likely<br />
to deteriorate in the coming months. On the other hand, the<br />
analysis of the nutrition situation among the Hawd pastoral<br />
population depicts the best case in the country, with the<br />
situation having improved from Serious in <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11<br />
to Alert levels in the current season. The results of the July<br />
<strong>2011</strong> assessment reported a GAM rate of 6.2% (4.3-8.8) and<br />
a SAM rate of 0.3% (0.1-1.4) which indicate an improvement<br />
from a similar assessment in December 2010 when a GAM<br />
rate of 10.1% (8.0-12.7) and a SAM rate of 1.8% (1.0-3.5)<br />
were recorded (P10%) and fluctuating proportions of acutely<br />
A Woman breastfeeding her child in Hargeisa,<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> July <strong>2011</strong><br />
malnourished children screened at health facilities. The<br />
retrospective crude and under five death rates of 0.35<br />
(0.19-0.62) and 1.22(0.60-2.44) in Hawd and 0.98 (0.54-1.77)<br />
and 1.44 (0.79-2.61) in East Golis/Bebbi Valley livelihood<br />
respectively, are all within the Acceptable level according<br />
to WHO classification. High morbidity in East Golis/Gebbi<br />
Valley (41.2%) and in Hawd (30.3%) is a key aggravating<br />
factor to acute malnutrition in these livelihoods. The key<br />
nutrition findings in these areas which form the basis of<br />
the analysis in the classification outcome are provided in<br />
Table 24.<br />
The chronic issues affecting the nutrition status of the<br />
population such as poor dietary diversity, inadequate health<br />
and sanitation facilities, poor child feeding and care practices<br />
and lack of adequate safe drinking water, remain a challenge<br />
and require immediate attention, including the expansion of<br />
interventions aimed at rehabilitating malnourished children<br />
and improving the diet quality. Close monitoring of the<br />
nutrition situation remains crucial especially in East Golis/<br />
Gebbi valley livelihood where the situation shows a high<br />
likelihood of deterioration while interventions to prevent the<br />
worsening of the situation are priority.<br />
Agro-pastoral Livelihood Zones: Awdal/Galbeed and<br />
Togdheer Agropastoral<br />
The Northwest Agro-pastoral zones comprises the Agropastoralists<br />
of Togdheer, Awdal and Galbeed Regions who<br />
practice crop farming alongside keeping varied number<br />
and types of livestock. The integrated nutrition situation<br />
analysis of the Northwest agro-pastoral populations indicate<br />
a sustained Serious nutrition situation since <strong>Post</strong> Deyr<br />
‘10/11. The nutrition assessment conducted among the<br />
agro-pastoral population in Northwest regions in July <strong>2011</strong><br />
reported a GAM rate of 11.5%(8.5-15.4) and SAM rate of<br />
0.6% (0.2-1.9) indicating a Serious nutrition situation, similar<br />
to the levels recorded in the December 2010 assessment<br />
when a GAM rate of 10.4%(7.6-14.1) and a SAM rate of 0.8%<br />
(0.3-1.9) were reported. The mortality rates from the current<br />
assessments indicate sustained Acceptable mortality levels<br />
with CDR of 0.23 (0.12-0.45) and U5DR of 0.53 (0.21-1.38)<br />
reported which is within the same levels as the CDR of 0.16<br />
(0.05-0.55) and U5DR of 0.41 (0.10-1.62) reported in the<br />
December 2010 assessment. High morbidity rates, where<br />
19.3% of the children assessed had fallen ill during the two<br />
weeks prior to the survey is the key factor attributing factor<br />
to the poor nutrition situation affecting the agro-pastoral<br />
livelihood in the area. Availability of safe water, sanitation<br />
and health facilities in the area remain limited while child<br />
feeding practices remain sub-optimal. Provisions of safe<br />
drinking water, adequate health and sanitation facilities and<br />
improvement of child care and feeding practices remain<br />
crucial issues that require immediate interventions. The<br />
key nutrition findings in these areas which form the basis<br />
of the analysis in the classification outcome are provided<br />
in Table 24.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
67<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
68<br />
Table 24: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, East Golis and Agro-pastoral LZ July <strong>2011</strong><br />
The Hawd Livelihood Zone<br />
(N=614: Boys=306; Girls=298)<br />
East Golis/Gebbi<br />
(N=726: Boys=373; Girls=353)<br />
Agro-pastoral Zone<br />
(N=684:Boys=306; Girls=337)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
IDPs of the North West: Hargeisa, Burao and Berbera<br />
The integrated nutrition situation analysis of the Northwest<br />
IDPs indicates a sustained Serious phase among the<br />
displaced populations in Hargeisa and Berbera IDP<br />
settlements since Deyr ‘10/11 and a deterioration from<br />
Serious levels in the Deyr ‘10/11 to Critical levels in the Burao<br />
population. Figure xx shows trend of acute malnutrition<br />
2007-<strong>2011</strong>. The results of a nutrition assessment conducted<br />
among the IDPs in Hargeisa Town report a GAM rate of<br />
10.9% (8.1-14.5) and a SAM rate of 2.2% (1.0-5.0) which are<br />
similar to the GAM rate of 10.8% (8.9-13.0), and the SAM<br />
rate of 1.5 % (0.8-2.8), reported in the same population in the<br />
Deyr ’10/11 nutrition assessment. Among the Berbera IDPs,<br />
an exhaustive nutrition assessment in May ’11 recorded<br />
GAM and SAM rates of 14.5% and 3.0% respectively, also<br />
indicating a sustained Serious phase since Deyr’10/11<br />
when a GAM rate of 14.2% (10.9-18.3) and a SAM rate of<br />
2.2%(1.2-4.1) were reported (Table 25).<br />
implementing interventions to cushion the population in the<br />
evidenced hunger period.<br />
In the three IDP populations, both crude and underfive<br />
mortality rates were within the acceptable levels, with the<br />
respective crude and underfive death rates of 0.56 (0.30-<br />
0.91) and 2.02 (1.21-3.34) recorded among Burao IDP, 0.37<br />
(0.19-0.73) and 0.59 (0.22-1.55) among Hargeisa IDPs, and<br />
0.28 (0.15-0.54) and 0.31 (0.09-1.13) reported among the<br />
Berbera IDPs. The only exception was alert under five year<br />
death rate among the Burao IDPs. Morbidity levels are high<br />
in the three IDP populations, with the reported morbidity in<br />
the two weeks prior to the assessment ranging from 25.3%<br />
in Hargeisa to 34.1% in Berbera IDPs. Immunization status<br />
for polio and measles, and vitamin A supplementation is<br />
relatively high but below the Sphere recommended coverage<br />
threshold of 95% . The key nutrition findings in these areas<br />
which form the basis of the analysis in the classification<br />
outcome are provided in Table 24.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
69<br />
Figure 30: Trends in levels of Acute Malnutrition<br />
(WHZ
Executive<br />
70<br />
agro-pastoral livelihoods. These differences will require<br />
further investigations. The distribution of morbidity by<br />
the sex of the children showed mixed pattern with some<br />
assessments such as Sool Plateau showing more boys,<br />
30.5%, than girls, 26.7% to have been ill while in others<br />
like Hawd pastoral indicating more girls (32.9%) than boys<br />
(27.8%) were reportedly ill. The differences were however<br />
not statistically significant (p>0.05). Similarly, there was<br />
no statistical difference in child feeding practices of boys<br />
and girls but mixed trends were observed where in some<br />
livelihoods more boys than girls were well fed and vice<br />
versa in others.<br />
The large majority (>80%) of the households assessed were<br />
male headed with exception of West Golis where a significant<br />
number of households (42.7%) were female headed.<br />
Analysis of the differences of household characteristics<br />
such as consumption of diversified diets, access to basic<br />
services such as safe water and sanitation facilities did not<br />
show a clear pattern where in some livelihoods male headed<br />
households had better access to these services and the<br />
opposite was true for other livelihoods. These differences<br />
were however not statistically significant (P>0.05). Due<br />
to small proportion of the female headed households,<br />
existence/or lack of any difference in access between male<br />
and female headed households may have been obscured.<br />
The sex disaggregated data of the assessed children, and<br />
sex of the household head per livelihood is summarized on<br />
Tables 23, 24 and 25.<br />
A young girl holding her sibling in Hargeisa<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 25: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings for Hargeisa, Burao and Berbera IDPs May - June <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hargeisa IDPs<br />
(N= 677:Boys= 354; Girls=323)<br />
Burao IDPs<br />
(N=652: Boys=395; Girls=370)<br />
Berbera IDPs<br />
(N=542: Boys= 317; Girls=345)<br />
Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />
Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ
Executive<br />
72<br />
Maternal <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status in northwest<br />
In the northwest, the proportion of the total, and the severely malnourished pregnant and/or lactating<br />
women indicates a situation that is likely Acceptable –Serious based on the Sphere MUAC cut-offs of 23.0<br />
cm, and 21.0 cm, and/or bilateral oedema. The nutrition situation in the non-pregnant and non-lactating<br />
women is within acceptable levels, based on MUAC cut off of 18.5cm and/or bilateral oedema.<br />
NW Population Assessed,<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Pregnant and/or Lactating Women<br />
Non – Pregnant/lactating<br />
women<br />
Proportion with<br />
MUAC
The dynamics of protracted and<br />
newly arrived IDPs staying in one camp<br />
As Narrated to FUAAD Hassan, <strong>FSNAU</strong>, August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive Summary<br />
The protracted and newly arrived IDPs though highly vulnerable to food and nutrition insecurity, face varying degrees of<br />
vulnerability depending on their stage of settlement and adaptation. The two case studies presented herein demonstrate<br />
the patterns of adaptation of the displaced people showing various challenges faced by new and protracted IDPs.<br />
73<br />
Case 1: Protracted IDP household<br />
Abdi, 45, and wife, Suuban, 35, together with their six children aged between 2-16 years have been staying in Sheik<br />
Nur IDP camp in Hargeisa since 2002 where they fled Mogadishu. The displacement from Mogadishu was third in<br />
a series of dislocations, with the first being in 2000, from their original home in Bardhere village in Gedo, to Baidoa<br />
Town as a result of insecurity. Here they stayed for few months and then fled to Mogadishu when fighting broke out<br />
in Baidoa. The family remembers with sorrow how their would be seventh child died in 2000 after suffering from<br />
pneumonia and diarrhoea during their six days trek from Baidoa to Mogadishu. “We really faced a hard situation<br />
in our journey; we had no food to eat at all. We could not<br />
get medical help for my 2 year old child who fell sick with<br />
pneumonia and diarrhoea. My child finally passed away<br />
soon after reaching Mogadishu. I really feel sad when I<br />
remember this,” says Abdi Nour. Suubaan is quick to add<br />
that, “After being hosted for about two years by my uncle,<br />
who was a businessman in Mogadishu, and things seemed<br />
fine with us, my uncle was shot dead in a clan revenge<br />
attack.’’ “This forced us to sell all our remaining assets<br />
including beddings and utensils to cater for our transport<br />
cost to Hargeisa. This is how we ended up here,” adds<br />
Abdi.<br />
Settling in the camp was not easy because we had nowhere<br />
to sleep. We therefore crowded in a small shanty made of<br />
old pieces of clothes, to survive. In the camp, we solicited Abdi’s family in Hargeisa IDP camp<br />
for help from old inhabitants and well wishers from<br />
Hargeisa Town who gave us utensils and food. As time progressed, Abdi joined his other colleagues from Southern<br />
Somalia in search of work and luckily got a carpentry job that paid him US$ 30 a month. This is what he used to<br />
put up a small hut and to purchase food. The couple explained that they now feel safer, “we are able to cope with life<br />
through the income from the Abdi’s casual labour. when there is no income we can easily get assistance from other<br />
community members or get food on credit from the regular shopkeepers who know of our ability to repay”. The family<br />
further explains that the current increase in food prices is making life difficult but they are somehow finding ways<br />
to cope. The other challenge the family faces is taking care of the school fees for the children. Amongst their three<br />
children who attained the school going age, only one goes to school. The family can only afford to take one of the other<br />
children to a Koranic school where they pay 10,000 Somaliland Shillings (US$ 1.8). “Paying school fees is the major<br />
challenge we have otherwise we are now proud with our life,” says the mother. The family explains that though their<br />
life is not the best, whenever they see a newly arrived IDP, they often flash back on their suffering before settling in<br />
the camp and they feel compelled to do anything possible to assist. “Sometimes when we have nothing to offer them,<br />
we have to borrow or beg on their behalf,” says Abdi. The family also acknowledges that humanitarian agencies help<br />
to ease the struggle in the camp by providing food, health services and shelter material.<br />
Case study 2: Newly Arrived IDP household<br />
On the other hand, Osman with his wife Iqra together with their four children aged five to ten years arrived in Hargeisa<br />
IDP camp in May <strong>2011</strong> after fleeing from recent fighting in Mogadishu where they were casual labourers. The<br />
family is going through what seems to be the typical pattern of displaced persons before they get means of survival.<br />
The family narrates how they lost their 7- year old daughter from measles. “Because of fighting I could not take my<br />
daughter who had measles to hospital as I feared being caught up in the fighting, I also did not have money to buy<br />
medicine from the chemist and I was giving her water, tea with milk and alittle ghee while keeping her warm with<br />
a blanket. Unfortunately she died after twenty days,” said Iqra. Osman continued by stating that, ”a week after the<br />
death of my daughter, my own brother was hit by a stray bullet while in his house and died; this forced us to sell our<br />
few household items to get transport to come to Hargeisa to save our lives”.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
74<br />
After arriving in Hargeisa the family had nothing left<br />
and they were assisted by Iqra’s sister who had arrived<br />
in Hargeisa more than a year ago. The sister borrowed<br />
old bed sheets and cloths which they used to make a<br />
temporary shelter to start new life. Asked about the life in<br />
Hargeisa, Osman says that although things are still very<br />
difficult, they can manage to sleep without fear of stray<br />
bullets. He further explains that their biggest challenge is<br />
shelter, getting enough food and medical care especially<br />
for one of their children who is epileptic and needs<br />
constant care. “I sometimes manage to get casual labour<br />
and get money to feed my family but most times there is<br />
no work and we survive by either reducing food portion<br />
or skipping meals,” says Osman. Iqra, says that that she<br />
Osman’s Family with Fuaad Hassan, <strong>FSNAU</strong><br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Analyst, August <strong>2011</strong><br />
thanks Allah because of the support they are getting from the IDP community that has been living in Hargeisa for<br />
a longer time, and from her sister, who many a times borrow food on their behalf because they do not know many<br />
people in the camp. One of their children was identified as acutely malnourished with a MUAC measurement of 12.0<br />
cm, which was explained to be as a result of inadequate food. Osman is however optimistic with life and says that<br />
“things will be better for me as we get settled here and my family will be happy one day, Insha Allah”<br />
Conclusion<br />
A review of these case studies shows a typical pattern that displaced people go through when they arrive in IDP camps,<br />
like those in Hargeisa. It reveals that the displaced people come to Hargeisa already traumatised after losing their<br />
loved ones, and/or under abject destitution after selling everything in their procession to get transport to Hargeisa.<br />
The newly arrived IDPs also take time before they can establish proper means of survival in the camps and this<br />
period is crucial for the supporting agencies to implement sufficient measures to meet the dire needs of these people.<br />
The existence of the social support mechanism where protracted IDPs support new IDPs is good in assisting the<br />
new arrivals but nevertheless puts additional strain on the scarce resources among the IDPs in these camps. This<br />
has a potential of putting both the old and new IDP in deficits, for example, where the host IDP have received a<br />
family ration but must share the same ration between two or more families. In such cases all families end up having<br />
inadequate food. In addition, the continued influx of IDPs from Southern Somalia has put a lot of constraints on<br />
the host IDPs that the social support is diminished. Measures to track new IDPs and prompt provision of essential<br />
assistance including food, shelter and psychosocial support therefore remain crucial.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
5. Urban NUTRITION SITUATION<br />
In northwest and northeast regions, regional-based urban<br />
nutrition surveys were conducted in July <strong>2011</strong> and analysis<br />
conducted based on weight for height Z. This was unlike<br />
previously when urban nutrition assessment were based<br />
on rapid MUAC assessment of selected urban centers.<br />
Northwest<br />
Results indicate a Serious nutrition situation in urban<br />
centers in Awdal and Sool region with respective GAM<br />
rate of 13.8% (10.7-17.6) and 12.4% (8.8-16.0) recorded.<br />
In the other three region, results indicate an Alert nutrition<br />
situation with the recorded GAM rates of 7.5%(5.6-14.9) in<br />
W. Galbeed, 9.7% (6.8- 13.5) in Togdheer and 7.1% (5.2-<br />
9.6) in Sanaag urban centers. Morbidity, a key aggravating<br />
factor is high in all urban centers ranging between 8% in<br />
Sanaag to 15% in Togdheer urban centers.<br />
Northeast & Parts of Central<br />
Results indicate a Critical nutrition situation in all the three<br />
regions with respective GAM and SAM rates of 17.7% (14.5-<br />
21.5) and 5.3% (3.5-7.8) in Bari; 15.4% (12.4-19.2) and 2.0%<br />
(1.1-3.4) in Nugal, and 15.5% (12.2-19.4) and 3.7% (1.2-6.2)<br />
in Mudug urban centers. High morbidity aggravated the<br />
nutrition situation with rates ranging from 16.8% in Bari to<br />
20.8% in Mudug of the assessed children reportedly falling<br />
ill within two weeks prior to the surveys. Although a higher<br />
percentage of boys were acutely malnourished than were<br />
girls, the difference was not statistically significant (p>0.05).<br />
Table xx provides a summary of the urban assessment<br />
results.<br />
Gender: In both the northwest and northeast, more boys than<br />
girls were acutely malnourished. However the difference<br />
was not statistically significant (P>0.05). Table xx provides<br />
a summary of the urban results disaggregated by sex.<br />
South<br />
In the urban centers of South and parts of Central regions,<br />
the nutrition situation is likely Very Critical based on rapid<br />
nutrition assessments conducted using mid upper arm<br />
circumference (MUAC) and purposive sampling. Findings<br />
indicate the proportion of children with MUAC < 12.5cm or<br />
oedema as 15% and above. Additionally, household dietary<br />
diversity is Very Critical in Bay and Bakool with 50% or<br />
more of the assessed households reportedly consuming a<br />
diet comprising of less than four food groups and 55-90%<br />
of the assessed households are applying severe coping<br />
strategies, i.e. Skipping entire days without a meal, restricting<br />
consumption by adults in order for small children to eat, or<br />
borrowing food or relying on help from friends or relatives. In<br />
Shabelle, 20% of the assessed urban households consume a<br />
poorly diversified diet of 3 or less meals a day, while 60% and<br />
above are reportedly engaged in severe coping strategies.<br />
A summary of findings on the urban situation in the southern<br />
regions is provided in Table x.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
75<br />
Table 26: Summary of Urban Findings: North West and East; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
Population Assessed GAM (WHO GS) SAM (WHO GS) MUAC
Executive<br />
76<br />
Table 27: South and Central Urban Muac Summary Findings; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
Total MUAC
6. Plausibility checks<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>idance for use of the Plausibility checks<br />
Digit preference DP for weight and height: Indicates how<br />
accurately children were weighed and when done correctly<br />
there shouldn’t be any digit preference. This normally occurs<br />
when enumerators round to the nearest cm/kg or half cm/<br />
kg. The signs; +, ++, +++ indicate if there was any DP for a<br />
number and if it was, mild, moderate or severe, respectively.<br />
Digit Preference scores for weight and hight are graded<br />
as; (0-5 Excellent,> 5-10 Good, >10-20 Accept and > 20<br />
Problematic)<br />
Standard Deviation (SD) of WHZ: Indicates whether<br />
there was a substantial random error in measurements. In<br />
a normal distribution the SD is equal to +1, but should lie<br />
between 0.8 and 1.2 Z score. SD increases as the proportion<br />
of erroneous results in the data set increases.<br />
Skewness of WHZ: This is a measure of degree of<br />
asymmetry of the data around the mean. A normal<br />
distribution is symmetrical and has zero skewness and<br />
should lie between +1 or -1. Positive skewness indicates<br />
a long right tail and negative skewness indicates a long<br />
left tail.<br />
Kurtosis of WHZ: This demonstrates the relative<br />
peakedeness or flatness compared to a normal distribution.<br />
The normal distribution has zero kurtosis and surveys<br />
should lie between +1 and -1. Positive kurtosis indicates a<br />
peaked distribution while negative indicates a flat one.<br />
Percent of flag: Flags are measurement that are highly<br />
unlikely to occur in nature and are therefore highlighted by<br />
the software. These incoherent measurements should be<br />
corrected or discarded prior to analysis, 0% flags is ideal but<br />
should be less that 2-3% of children measured.<br />
Age distribution: This allows for a view of the<br />
representativeness of the sample, and should be similar to<br />
the distribution within the population. Age bias is of particular<br />
concern for anthropometry. As younger aged (6-29) children<br />
are more likely to be malnourished than the older age group<br />
(30-59), this means under representation of the younger age<br />
group may give a lower prevalence than the actual one and<br />
vice versa. The age ratio allows a view of this relationship<br />
and should fall between 0.78 and 1.18 with an ideal falling<br />
around 1.0.<br />
Sex ratio: Allows a view of the representativeness of the<br />
sample and should be similar to the distribution within the<br />
population. This should not vary too much from the expected<br />
sex ratio and should fall between 0.8 and 1.2.<br />
Table 28 provides a summary of findings on plausibility<br />
checks for nutrition assessments conducted in the <strong>Gu</strong> ’11.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
77<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
78<br />
Table 28: Plausibility checks<br />
Location<br />
Northeast IDPs<br />
Bossaso IDPs<br />
Garowe IDPs<br />
Criteria<br />
Missing/<br />
Flagged data<br />
Overall sex<br />
ratio<br />
Overall age<br />
distribution<br />
Digit<br />
Preference<br />
score-weight<br />
Digit<br />
Preference<br />
score-Height<br />
SD WHZ<br />
Skewness<br />
WHZ<br />
Kurtosis WHZ<br />
Poisson<br />
Distribution<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Acceptable Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 4 0 4 0 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Problematic Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 10 0 2 0 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Problematic Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Acceptable<br />
Galkayo IDPs<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 10 0 2 0 0 0 3<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Good Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
Margaga IDPs<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Good Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
Qardho<br />
Northwest<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Good<br />
Hargeisa IDPs<br />
11-May Score 0 0 4 0 2 2 0 0 1<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Problematic<br />
Burao IDPs<br />
11-May Score 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 5<br />
11-May Category Excellent Excellent Good Good Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
Berbera IDPs<br />
0 0 2 2 2 2 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Acceptable Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
West Golis<br />
NW Agropastoral<br />
East Golis<br />
Hawd-NW<br />
Sool<br />
Nugal<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 4 0 4 2 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Acceptable Good Excellent Excellent Good<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 0 2 4 2 0 0 1<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 4 2 2 0 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Excellent Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 0 4 4 4 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 4 0 2 2 0 0 0<br />
Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Good Acceptable Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Score 0 0 4 2 4 2 0 0 0<br />
CENTRAL<br />
Score Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Problematic<br />
Addun 11-Jun Category 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5<br />
Score Excellent Good Acceptable Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
Hawd 11-Jun Category 0 2 4 0 2 0 0 0 0<br />
Coastal Deeh Score Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />
11-Jun Category 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 29: Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments (May- Jul <strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Region<br />
Lower<br />
Shabelle<br />
Middle<br />
Shabelle<br />
Bay<br />
Bakool<br />
Middle/<br />
Lower Juba<br />
Gedo<br />
Hiran<br />
Livelihood<br />
Riverine<br />
Date of<br />
nutrition and<br />
mortality<br />
survey<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=804<br />
Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=799<br />
Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=746<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Agro pastoral<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=590<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=456<br />
Agro pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=245<br />
Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=270<br />
Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=868<br />
Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=825<br />
Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=868<br />
Riverine<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Pastoral<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=642<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=834<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=1078<br />
Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=570<br />
Agropastoral<br />
Pastoral<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=531<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=444<br />
GAM<br />
Prevalence<br />
28.7%<br />
(24.4-33.5)<br />
40.6%<br />
(34.6-46.8)<br />
19.6%<br />
(16.4-23.2)<br />
35.3%<br />
(24.9-47.3)<br />
55.0%<br />
(45.8-63.9)<br />
>43.6<br />
(Pr= 0.90)<br />
>43.6<br />
(Pr= 0.90)<br />
45.9%<br />
(41.5-50.3)<br />
38.9%<br />
(34.8-43.1)<br />
39.5%<br />
(35.9-43.2)<br />
48.1%<br />
(38.7-57.7)<br />
51.9%<br />
(41.8-61.9)<br />
23.8%<br />
(20.1-28.0)<br />
20.7%<br />
(18.4-23.2)<br />
43.2%<br />
(37.7-49.8)<br />
27.3%<br />
(24.2-30.6)<br />
SAM<br />
Prevalence<br />
14.2%<br />
(11.6-17.3)<br />
3.6% oedema<br />
20.9%<br />
(16.2-26.5)<br />
4.0% oedema<br />
MUAC<br />
14.1<br />
(Pr = 0.90)<br />
>17.3<br />
(Pr= 0.90)<br />
21.9%<br />
(18.9-25.2)<br />
4.0% oedema<br />
17.2%<br />
(14.0-20.9)<br />
3.2% oedema<br />
18.7%<br />
(15.8-21.9)<br />
2.2% oedema<br />
25.2%<br />
(19.1-32.6)<br />
0.2 % oedema<br />
19.3%<br />
(13.9-26.3)<br />
1.8% oedema<br />
5.9%<br />
( 4.1- 8.5)<br />
0.6% oedema<br />
9.1%<br />
(7.2-11.5)<br />
0.2% Oedema<br />
16.3%<br />
(13.4-19.6)<br />
0% Oedema<br />
29.0<br />
(24.3-34.3)<br />
46.0<br />
(33.3-59.3)<br />
12.7<br />
( 9.0-17.5)<br />
18.1<br />
(13.6-23.7)<br />
33.8%<br />
(28.3-39.8)<br />
30.9%<br />
(26.1-36.2)<br />
26.1%<br />
(22.2-30.5)<br />
35.8%<br />
(25.5-47.6)<br />
33.1%<br />
(25.0-42.2)<br />
13.3<br />
(9.2-18.8)<br />
21.0%<br />
(18.5-23.8)<br />
24.2<br />
(19.9-29.1)<br />
12.8%<br />
(10.5-15.6) 22.8<br />
0.2% Oedema (19.5-26.4)<br />
MUAC<br />
Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments (May- Jul <strong>2011</strong>) continued<br />
Executive<br />
80<br />
Region<br />
Central<br />
Regions<br />
Livelihood<br />
Date of<br />
nutrition and<br />
mortality<br />
survey<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hawd Pastoral<br />
N=576<br />
Addun<br />
Pastoral<br />
July <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=583<br />
Northern Regions<br />
GAM<br />
Prevalence<br />
14.4%<br />
(10.9-18.8)<br />
17.8%<br />
(13.3-23.6)<br />
SAM<br />
Prevalence<br />
3.8%<br />
(2.4-6.0)<br />
0.5% Oedema<br />
4.1%<br />
(2.5-6.7)<br />
0.3% Oedema<br />
MUAC<br />
8.2<br />
>19.8<br />
(Pr=0.90) (Pr=0.90)<br />
0.9% oedema<br />
14.9<br />
1.8 (0.9- 3.7)<br />
(12.4-17.7)<br />
0.3% oedema<br />
2.3<br />
(1.3-4.2)<br />
1.2<br />
(0.5-1.9)<br />
0.78<br />
(0.57-1.35)<br />
0.98<br />
(0.54-1.77)<br />
1.15<br />
(0.58-2.25)<br />
1.44<br />
(0.79-2.61)<br />
2.0<br />
( 1.0- 3.9)<br />
0.89<br />
0.58-1. 37<br />
2.23<br />
1.20-4.11<br />
>4.4<br />
(Pr=0.90) - -<br />
4.6<br />
(3.1- 6.9)<br />
0.61<br />
0.31-1. 19<br />
1.39<br />
0.47-4.02<br />
June <strong>2011</strong><br />
Margaga IDPs<br />
N=207<br />
Galkayo IDPs<br />
June <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=612<br />
22.7<br />
(Exhaustive)<br />
20.3<br />
(16.1-25.2)<br />
2.9<br />
(Exhaustive)<br />
4.4 ( 2.9- 6.6)<br />
0.5% oedema<br />
4.3<br />
16.2<br />
(12.5-20.6)<br />
0.5 - -<br />
1.6<br />
( 0.9- 3.0)<br />
0.89<br />
0.59-1. 36<br />
1.01<br />
0.47-2.17<br />
May <strong>2011</strong><br />
Hargeisa IDPs<br />
N=677<br />
10.9<br />
(8.1-14.5)<br />
2.2 ( 1.0- 5.0)<br />
0.1% oedema<br />
6.4<br />
(4.3-9.3)<br />
1.6<br />
(0.8-3.3)<br />
0.37<br />
0.19-0. 73<br />
0.59<br />
0.22-1.55<br />
North East<br />
IDPs<br />
Burao IDPs<br />
May <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=652<br />
19.1<br />
(14.6-24.5)<br />
5.6 ( 4.1- 7.7)<br />
1.2% oedema<br />
8.1<br />
(5.5-11.9)<br />
2.5<br />
( 1.4- 4.5)<br />
0.56<br />
0.30-0. 91<br />
2.02<br />
1.21-3.34<br />
Berbera IDPs<br />
May <strong>2011</strong><br />
N=662<br />
14.5<br />
(Exhaustive)<br />
3.0<br />
0.5% oedema<br />
5.9 2.3 0.28<br />
0.15-0. 54<br />
0.31<br />
0.09-1.13<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Table 30: Summary of Findings for Surveys conducted in South Somalia in August <strong>2011</strong><br />
Region Livelihood Date<br />
Bay<br />
Bakool<br />
Agro<br />
pastoral<br />
Agro<br />
pastoral<br />
August<br />
<strong>2011</strong><br />
N=489<br />
August<br />
<strong>2011</strong><br />
N=467<br />
GAM<br />
Prevalence<br />
58.3%<br />
(52.1-64.2)<br />
41.1%<br />
(35.1-47.4)<br />
SAM<br />
Prevalence<br />
MUAC<br />
CEEL WA Q<br />
"<br />
BADHAADHE<br />
"<br />
CEEL WAQ<br />
"<br />
BADHAADHE<br />
"<br />
BELET XAAWO<br />
"<br />
DOOLOW<br />
"<br />
BAARDHE ERE<br />
"<br />
AFM ADOW<br />
"<br />
BELET XAAWO<br />
"<br />
DOOLOW<br />
"<br />
LUUQ<br />
"<br />
SAAKOW<br />
"<br />
BAARDHEERE<br />
"<br />
AFMADOW<br />
"<br />
Rab Dhuure<br />
"<br />
QA NSAX DHEE RE<br />
"<br />
DIINSOOR<br />
"<br />
JILIB<br />
"<br />
JAMAAME<br />
"<br />
LUUQ<br />
"<br />
SAAKOW<br />
"<br />
QANSAX DHEERE<br />
"<br />
DIINSOOR<br />
"<br />
JILIB<br />
"<br />
JAMAAME<br />
"<br />
WA AJID<br />
"<br />
Rab Dhuure<br />
"<br />
WAAJID<br />
"<br />
ZEY LAC<br />
"<br />
BAKI<br />
"<br />
GE BILEY<br />
"<br />
CEEL BARDE<br />
"<br />
ZEYLAC<br />
"<br />
BAKI<br />
"<br />
GEBILEY<br />
"<br />
CEEL BARDE<br />
"<br />
LUGHAYE<br />
"<br />
BUUR HA KABA<br />
"<br />
QORYOOLEY<br />
"<br />
KURTUNWA AREY<br />
"<br />
SABLA ALE<br />
"<br />
BARAA WE<br />
"<br />
TAY EEGLOW<br />
"<br />
BERBE RA<br />
"<br />
SHEIKH<br />
"<br />
OWDWEYNE<br />
"<br />
WA NLA WEY N<br />
"<br />
BULO BURTO<br />
"<br />
BALCAD<br />
"<br />
AFGOOYE<br />
"<br />
JALALAQSI<br />
"<br />
CAYNABO<br />
"<br />
BUUHOODLE<br />
"<br />
CABUDWAA Q<br />
"<br />
CADAADO<br />
"<br />
ADAN YABAAL<br />
"<br />
CADALE<br />
"<br />
CEEL BUUR<br />
"<br />
CEEL AFWE YN<br />
"<br />
GA LDOGOB<br />
"<br />
CEEL DHEER<br />
"<br />
XUDUN<br />
"<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fs au.or.ke<br />
tel: 254-20-3745734 fax:254-20-3740598<br />
FSAU is managed by FAO.<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acc eptanc e by the United Nations.<br />
The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
LUGHAYE<br />
"<br />
BUUR HAKABA<br />
"<br />
SABLAALE<br />
"<br />
BARAAWE<br />
"<br />
40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />
Kilometers<br />
TAYEEGLOW<br />
"<br />
QORYOOLEY<br />
"<br />
KURTUNWAAREY<br />
"<br />
BERBERA<br />
"<br />
OWDWEYNE<br />
"<br />
WANLA WEYN<br />
"<br />
SHEIKH<br />
"<br />
AFGOOYE<br />
"<br />
BULO BURTO<br />
"<br />
JALALAQSI<br />
"<br />
BALCAD<br />
"<br />
CAYNABO<br />
"<br />
BUUHOODLE<br />
"<br />
CABUDWAAQ<br />
CADAADO<br />
"<br />
"<br />
ADAN YABAAL<br />
"<br />
CADALE<br />
"<br />
CEEL BUUR<br />
"<br />
CEEL AFWEYN<br />
"<br />
GALDOGOB<br />
"<br />
CEEL DHEER<br />
"<br />
XUDUN<br />
"<br />
BURTINLE<br />
"<br />
XARARDHEERE<br />
"<br />
BURTINLE<br />
"<br />
XARARDHEERE<br />
"<br />
LAASQORAY<br />
"<br />
LAASQORAY<br />
"<br />
TALEEX<br />
"<br />
TALEEX<br />
"<br />
HOBYO<br />
"<br />
HOBYO<br />
"<br />
JARIIBAN<br />
"<br />
JARIIBAN<br />
"<br />
QA RDHO<br />
"<br />
QARDHO<br />
"<br />
QA NDALA<br />
"<br />
EYL<br />
"<br />
QANDALA<br />
"<br />
EYL<br />
"<br />
ISK USHUBA N<br />
"<br />
ISKUSHUBAN<br />
"<br />
CALUULA<br />
"<br />
BANDARB EYLA<br />
"<br />
CALUULA<br />
"<br />
BANDARBEYLA<br />
"<br />
CEEL WA Q<br />
"<br />
BADHAADHE<br />
"<br />
CEEL WAQ<br />
"<br />
BELET XAA WO<br />
"<br />
DOOLOW<br />
"<br />
BAARDHEERE<br />
"<br />
AFM ADOW<br />
"<br />
BADHAADHE<br />
"<br />
LUUQ<br />
"<br />
SAAKOW<br />
"<br />
BELET XAAWO<br />
"<br />
Rab Dhuure<br />
"<br />
QA NSAX DHEE RE<br />
"<br />
DIINSOOR<br />
"<br />
JILIB<br />
"<br />
JAMAAM E<br />
"<br />
DOOLOW<br />
"<br />
BAARDHEERE<br />
"<br />
AFMADOW<br />
"<br />
LUUQ<br />
"<br />
SAAKOW<br />
"<br />
WA AJID<br />
"<br />
ZEY LAC<br />
"<br />
BAKI<br />
"<br />
QANSAX DHEERE<br />
"<br />
DIINSOOR<br />
"<br />
JILIB<br />
"<br />
JAMAAME<br />
"<br />
GE BILEY<br />
"<br />
CEEL BARDE<br />
"<br />
LUGHAYE<br />
"<br />
BUUR HA KABA<br />
"<br />
QORYOOLEY<br />
"<br />
KURTUNWA AREY<br />
"<br />
SABLA ALE<br />
"<br />
BARA AWE<br />
"<br />
TAY EEGLOW<br />
"<br />
BERB ERA<br />
"<br />
SHEIKH<br />
"<br />
OWDWEYNE<br />
"<br />
WA NLA WEY N<br />
"<br />
BULO BURTO<br />
"<br />
BALCAD<br />
"<br />
AFGOOYE<br />
"<br />
JALALAQSI<br />
"<br />
CAYNABO<br />
"<br />
BUUHOODLE<br />
"<br />
CABUDWAA Q<br />
"<br />
CADAADO<br />
"<br />
ADAN YABAAL<br />
"<br />
CADALE<br />
"<br />
CEEL BUUR<br />
"<br />
CEEL AFWE YN<br />
"<br />
GA LDOGOB<br />
"<br />
CEEL DHEER<br />
"<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsau.or.ke<br />
tel: 254-20-3745734 fax:254-20-3740598<br />
FSAU is managed by FAO.<br />
The boundaries and names on thes e maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations .<br />
The regional & District boundaries reflec t those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
Rab Dhuure<br />
"<br />
WAAJID<br />
"<br />
ZEYLAC<br />
"<br />
BAKI<br />
"<br />
GEBILEY<br />
"<br />
CEEL BARDE<br />
"<br />
40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />
Kilometers<br />
LUGHAYE<br />
"<br />
BUUR HAKABA<br />
"<br />
SABLAALE<br />
"<br />
BARAAWE<br />
"<br />
TAYEEGLOW<br />
"<br />
QORYOOLEY<br />
"<br />
KURTUNWAAREY<br />
"<br />
BERBERA<br />
"<br />
OWDWEYNE<br />
"<br />
WANLA WEYN<br />
"<br />
SHEIKH<br />
"<br />
AFGOOYE<br />
"<br />
BULO BURTO<br />
"<br />
JALALAQSI<br />
"<br />
BALCAD<br />
"<br />
CAYNABO<br />
"<br />
BUUHOODLE<br />
"<br />
CABUDWAAQ<br />
CADAADO "<br />
"<br />
ADAN YABAAL<br />
"<br />
CADALE<br />
"<br />
CEEL BUUR<br />
"<br />
CEEL AFWEYN<br />
"<br />
GALDOGOB<br />
"<br />
CEEL DHEER<br />
"<br />
XUDUN<br />
"<br />
BURTINLE<br />
"<br />
XARA RDHEERE<br />
"<br />
XUDUN<br />
"<br />
BURTINLE<br />
"<br />
XARARDHEERE<br />
"<br />
LAASQORAY<br />
"<br />
LAASQORAY<br />
"<br />
TALEEX<br />
"<br />
TALEEX<br />
"<br />
HOBYO<br />
"<br />
HOBYO<br />
"<br />
JARIIBAN<br />
"<br />
JARIIBAN<br />
"<br />
QA RDHO<br />
"<br />
QARDHO<br />
"<br />
QA NDALA<br />
"<br />
QANDALA<br />
"<br />
EYL<br />
"<br />
EYL<br />
"<br />
ISK USHUBA N<br />
"<br />
ISKUSHUBAN<br />
"<br />
CALUULA<br />
"<br />
BANDARBEYLA<br />
"<br />
CALUULA<br />
"<br />
BANDARBEYLA<br />
"<br />
7. APPENDICES<br />
Executive<br />
82<br />
7.1 Progression of Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation <strong>Gu</strong>’07 - <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED <strong>Gu</strong> NUTRITION ‘08 SITUATION AUGUST 2008<br />
12°0'0"N<br />
9°0'0"N<br />
6°0'0"N<br />
3°0'0"N<br />
El Waq<br />
Afmadow<br />
0°0'0"<br />
Gedo<br />
Bardera<br />
Sakow<br />
L. Juba<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Dolo<br />
Zeylac<br />
DJIBOUTI<br />
Awdal<br />
M. Juba<br />
Kismayo<br />
Luuq<br />
Belet Hawa<br />
Garbahare<br />
!(<br />
43°0'0"E<br />
Dinsor<br />
Buale<br />
Borama<br />
Qansah Dere<br />
Rab-Dhuure<br />
Jilib<br />
Jamame<br />
43°0'0"E<br />
!(<br />
Woq. Galbeed<br />
Sheikh<br />
Gabiley<br />
Hargeisa !( !(<br />
Odweine Burco<br />
Togdheer<br />
Wajid<br />
!(<br />
Bay<br />
Sablale<br />
Lughaye<br />
Baki<br />
Bakol<br />
Baidoa<br />
El Barde<br />
Hudur<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Kurtun Warrey<br />
Tieglo<br />
Berbera<br />
Belet Weyne<br />
Hiran<br />
Bulo Burti<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
Wanle Weyne Jowhar<br />
Balad<br />
Afgoye<br />
M. Shabelle<br />
!(<br />
L. Shabelle<br />
Banadir !(<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Marka !(<br />
Brava<br />
±<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />
ETHIOPIA<br />
46°0'0"E<br />
40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />
46°0'0"E<br />
Kilometers<br />
El Afwein<br />
Caynaba<br />
Abudwaq<br />
Buhodle<br />
Dusa Mareb<br />
Galgadud<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
Adale<br />
El Bur<br />
El Der<br />
Sanag<br />
Xudun<br />
Goldogob<br />
Adado<br />
!(<br />
Erigavo<br />
Sool<br />
Lasanod<br />
Projected Trend (July - December '08)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsausomali.org<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> ‘09<br />
Hobyo<br />
Galkayo<br />
Haradhere<br />
Taleh<br />
Mudug<br />
Badhan<br />
!(<br />
Garowe<br />
!(<br />
Nugal<br />
Burtinle<br />
49°0'0"E<br />
Jariban<br />
Bosaso<br />
Bari<br />
Gardo<br />
Eyl<br />
Kandala<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bender Beila<br />
Indian Ocean<br />
Alula<br />
12°0'0"N<br />
9°0'0"N<br />
6°0'0"N<br />
LEGEND<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
No data<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be critical<br />
Alert<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of<br />
nutrition indicators from direct and indirect sources<br />
from July to Dec '08: nutritional surveys, sentinel sites,<br />
health facility data, rapid MUAC assesments, selective<br />
feeding centre data, health reports and others<br />
"<br />
District Capital<br />
Coastline<br />
International Boundary<br />
Regional Boundary<br />
District Boundary<br />
River<br />
49°0'0"E<br />
Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2006<br />
Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JULY 2009<br />
3°0'0"N<br />
0°0'0"<br />
12°0'0"N<br />
9°0'0"N<br />
" District Capital<br />
6°0'0"N<br />
3°0'0"N<br />
El Waq<br />
Afmadow<br />
0°0'0"<br />
Coastline<br />
Belet Hawa<br />
Gedo<br />
Bardera<br />
Sakow<br />
L. Juba<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Dolo<br />
M. Juba<br />
Kismayo<br />
Zeylac<br />
DJIBOUTI<br />
Awdal<br />
!(<br />
Luuq<br />
Garbahare<br />
43°0'0"E<br />
Dinsor<br />
Buale<br />
Borama<br />
Qansah Dere<br />
Rab-Dhuure<br />
Jilib<br />
Jamame<br />
43°0'0"E<br />
Woq. Galbeed<br />
Gabiley<br />
Hargeisa !<br />
Wajid<br />
!(<br />
Bay<br />
Sablale<br />
Lughaye<br />
Bakol<br />
Baidoa<br />
Baki<br />
El Barde<br />
Hudur<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Kurtun Warrey<br />
Tieglo<br />
!(<br />
Odweine<br />
Deyr ‘08/09<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JANUARY 2009<br />
International Boundary<br />
Regional Boundary<br />
District Boundary<br />
River<br />
ETHIOPIA<br />
Berbera<br />
Sheikh<br />
!(<br />
Togdheer<br />
Afgoye<br />
Belet Weyne<br />
Hiran<br />
Bulo Burti<br />
Burco<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
M. Shabelle<br />
Jowhar<br />
Balad<br />
!<br />
L. Shabelle<br />
Banadir !(<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Marka !<br />
Brava<br />
±<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />
Wanle Weyne<br />
46°0'0"E<br />
40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />
46°0'0"E<br />
Kilometers<br />
Adale<br />
El Afwein<br />
Caynaba<br />
Abudwaq<br />
Buhodle<br />
Dusa Mareb<br />
Galgadud<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
El Bur<br />
Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsausomali.org<br />
El Der<br />
Deyr ‘09/10<br />
Sanag<br />
Xudun<br />
Goldogob<br />
Adado<br />
!(<br />
Projected Trend (January - July '09)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
Erigavo<br />
Sool<br />
Lasanod<br />
Hobyo<br />
Galkayo<br />
Haradhere<br />
Taleh<br />
Mudug<br />
Badhan<br />
!(<br />
Garowe<br />
!(<br />
Nugal<br />
Burtinle<br />
LEGEND<br />
49°0'0"E<br />
Jariban<br />
Bosaso<br />
Bari<br />
Gardo<br />
Eyl<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Acceptable<br />
Alert<br />
Kandala<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bender Beila<br />
Indian Ocean<br />
Alula<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be Alert<br />
Serious<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be Very Critical<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
12°0'0"N<br />
9°0'0"N<br />
6°0'0"N<br />
3°0'0"N<br />
0°0'0"<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from July to Dec '08:<br />
nutritional surveys (Oct-Dec '08), health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
and others<br />
49°0'0"E<br />
Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2006<br />
Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JANUARY 2010<br />
Alula<br />
" District Capital<br />
El Waq<br />
Afmadow<br />
Belet Hawa<br />
Gedo<br />
Bardera<br />
Sakow<br />
L. Juba<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Major Road<br />
Coastline<br />
Dolo<br />
M. Juba<br />
Kismayo<br />
Zeylac<br />
DJIBOUTI<br />
Awdal<br />
International Boundary<br />
Regional Boundary<br />
District Boundary<br />
River<br />
!(<br />
Luuq<br />
Garbahare<br />
Dinsor<br />
Buale<br />
Borama<br />
Qansah Dere<br />
Rab-Dhuure<br />
Jilib<br />
Jamame<br />
±<br />
Woq. Galbeed<br />
Wajid<br />
!(<br />
Bay<br />
Sablale<br />
Lughaye<br />
Gabiley<br />
Hargeisa<br />
Bakol<br />
Baidoa<br />
Baki<br />
ETHIOPIA<br />
El Barde<br />
Hudur<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Kurtun Warrey<br />
Tieglo<br />
!(<br />
Berbera<br />
Sheikh<br />
!(<br />
Odweine Burco<br />
Togdheer<br />
^<br />
Afgoye<br />
Belet Weyne<br />
Hiran<br />
Bulo Burti<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
M. Shabelle<br />
Jowhar<br />
Balad<br />
L. Shabelle<br />
Banadir !(<br />
Brava<br />
Wanle Weyne<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Marka<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />
Adale<br />
El Afwein<br />
Caynaba<br />
Abudwaq<br />
Buhodle<br />
Dusa Mareb<br />
Sanag<br />
!(<br />
Galgadud<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
El Bur<br />
Goldogob<br />
Adado<br />
El Der<br />
Xudun<br />
Projected Trend (July - December'09)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
Sool<br />
Lasanod<br />
Hobyo<br />
Erigavo<br />
Galkayo<br />
Haradhere<br />
Taleh<br />
Mudug<br />
Badhan<br />
!(<br />
Garowe<br />
!(<br />
Nugal<br />
Burtinle<br />
LEGEND<br />
Jariban<br />
Bosaso<br />
Bari<br />
!(<br />
Gardo<br />
Eyl<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
^<br />
Acceptable<br />
Alert<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Kandala<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bender Beila<br />
Indian Ocean<br />
Hot Spot for Very Critical<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from Jan to July '09:<br />
nutritional surveys (Apr-July'09), health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
and others<br />
" District Capital<br />
Major Road<br />
Coastline<br />
Afmadow<br />
Belet Hawa<br />
El Waq<br />
Gedo<br />
Bardera<br />
L. Juba<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Sakow<br />
DJIBOUTI<br />
International Boundary<br />
Regional Boundary<br />
District Boundary<br />
River<br />
Dolo<br />
Kismayo<br />
Luuq<br />
Garbahare<br />
Dinsor<br />
M. Juba<br />
Buale<br />
Zeylac<br />
Awdal<br />
Borama<br />
Jilib<br />
!(<br />
Woq. Galbeed<br />
Gabiley<br />
Hargeisa !<br />
Rab-Dhuure<br />
Qansah Dere<br />
±<br />
Jamame<br />
Wajid<br />
Bay<br />
Sablale<br />
Lughaye<br />
Bakol<br />
Baidoa<br />
Baki<br />
ETHIOPIA<br />
El Barde<br />
Hudur<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Tieglo<br />
Odweine<br />
Berbera<br />
Sheikh<br />
!<br />
Burco<br />
Togdheer<br />
Belet Weyne<br />
Hiran<br />
Bulo Burti<br />
M. Shabelle<br />
Balad<br />
Afgoye<br />
L. Shabelle Banadir !(<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />
Brava<br />
Wanle WeyneJowhar<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
Mogadishu<br />
Abudwaq<br />
Adale<br />
El Afwein<br />
Caynaba<br />
Buhodle<br />
Dusa Mareb<br />
Sanag<br />
!(<br />
Galgadud<br />
El Bur<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
El Der<br />
Xudun<br />
Goldogob<br />
Adado<br />
Projected Trend (January - July 2010)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
Erigavo<br />
Sool<br />
Lasanod<br />
Hobyo<br />
Galkayo<br />
Haradhere<br />
Burtinle<br />
!<br />
Mudug<br />
Badhan<br />
Taleh<br />
Garowe<br />
LEGEND<br />
!(<br />
Nugal<br />
Jariban<br />
Bosaso<br />
Gardo<br />
Eyl<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Kandala<br />
Bari<br />
Acceptable<br />
Alert<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bender Beila<br />
Alula<br />
Indian Ocean<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be Serious<br />
Insufficient data but likely<br />
to be Very Critical<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from July to<br />
December '09: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
and others<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org<br />
tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-5000555<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO.<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.<br />
The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.<br />
The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
MOGADISHU<br />
MOGADISHU<br />
MOGADISHU<br />
KENYA<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JULY 2010<br />
GEDO<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
Baardheere<br />
Sakow<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Afmadow<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
Dolo<br />
GARBAHAREY<br />
!.<br />
Garbaharey<br />
M. JUBA<br />
Kismayo<br />
Luuq<br />
Qansax<br />
Dheere<br />
Dinsor<br />
Zeylac<br />
Lughaye<br />
AWDAL<br />
Baki !(<br />
Borama<br />
Berbera<br />
BORAMA<br />
!.<br />
Sheikh<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />
!. !<br />
!. !(<br />
Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Burco<br />
Ceel Barde<br />
BAKOOL<br />
Xudur<br />
!. HUDUR<br />
Baydhaba<br />
BAIDOA<br />
!.<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Afgoye<br />
!(<br />
"/<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Kurtun Warrey<br />
Marka !.<br />
BU'AALESablale<br />
!.<br />
L. SHABELLE<br />
Bu'aale Brava<br />
Jilib<br />
Jamaame<br />
Wajid<br />
KISMAAYO<br />
!( !.<br />
BAY<br />
Tayeglow<br />
<strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 Deyr ‘10/11<br />
BELET WEYNE<br />
Beled !. Weyne<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
DUSAMAREB<br />
!.<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
HIIRAN<br />
Balcad<br />
BANADIR<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
Caynabo<br />
Buuhoodle<br />
ERIGABO<br />
!.<br />
SOOL<br />
SANAG<br />
Ceerigaabo<br />
Laas Caanood<br />
!. LAS ANOD<br />
Goldogob<br />
Galkacyo<br />
GALKAYO<br />
!.<br />
Cadaado<br />
MUDUG<br />
GALGADUD<br />
Harardheere<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
Ceel Dheere<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
Cadale<br />
Jowhar M. ^SHABELLE<br />
Wanle Weyne!.<br />
JOWHAR<br />
Projected Trend (July - December 2010)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
Xudun<br />
Garowe<br />
GAROWE<br />
!.<br />
NUGAL<br />
Burtinle<br />
Hobyo<br />
Las Qoray/<br />
Badhan<br />
Talex<br />
Jariiban<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Alert<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
BOSSASO<br />
!( !. Qandala<br />
Bossaaso<br />
Qardho<br />
Eyl<br />
Acceptable<br />
Very Critical<br />
Likely Serious<br />
Likely Critical<br />
BARI<br />
Likely Very Critical<br />
Hot Spot for Critical<br />
^<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Calula<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from April to<br />
July '10: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
and others<br />
KENYA<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JANUARY <strong>2011</strong><br />
Zeylac<br />
Lughaye<br />
AWDAL<br />
Baki !<br />
Borama<br />
Berbera<br />
BORAMA<br />
!.<br />
Sheikh<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />
!. !<br />
!. !<br />
Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Burco<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
Caynabo<br />
DUSAMAREB!.<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
ERIGABO<br />
!.<br />
SOOL<br />
SANAG<br />
Ceerigaabo<br />
Laas Caanood<br />
!. LAS ANOD<br />
Goldogob<br />
Galkacyo<br />
!( !. GALKAYO<br />
Cadaado<br />
MUDUG<br />
Garowe<br />
!.<br />
GAROWE<br />
NUGAL<br />
Burtinle<br />
BOSSASO<br />
!( !. Qandala<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
Tayeglow<br />
Buuhoodle<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
Xudun<br />
Hobyo<br />
Las Qoray/<br />
Badhan<br />
Talex<br />
Jariiban<br />
Bossaaso<br />
Qardho<br />
Eyl<br />
BARI<br />
Calula<br />
Iskushuban<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
Executive Summary<br />
83<br />
<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />
Funding Agencies<br />
Swiss Agency for Development<br />
and Cooperation SDC<br />
Swiss Agency for<br />
Development and<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
Cooperation SDC<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION<br />
August 16th, <strong>2011</strong><br />
<strong>Gu</strong> ‘11<br />
Zeylac<br />
Lughaye<br />
AWDAL<br />
Baki !<br />
Borama<br />
Berbera<br />
BORAMA<br />
!.<br />
Sheikh<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />
!. !<br />
!. !<br />
Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Burco<br />
Calula<br />
BOSSASO<br />
!.<br />
Qandala<br />
Las Qoray/<br />
Badhan Bossaaso<br />
ERIGABO<br />
!.<br />
Iskushuban<br />
SANAG<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
BARI<br />
Ceerigaabo<br />
!<br />
Qardho<br />
Caynabo Xudun<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
Talex<br />
SOOL<br />
Buuhoodle<br />
Laas Caanood Garowe<br />
!. LAS ANOD<br />
!.<br />
GAROWE<br />
NUGAL<br />
Burtinle<br />
Eyl<br />
Galkacyo<br />
Goldogob<br />
!<br />
!.<br />
GALKAYO<br />
Jariiban<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
!.<br />
BAIDOA<br />
Cadale<br />
Garbaharey<br />
!.<br />
Qansax<br />
Jowhar<br />
Dheere<br />
Wanle Weyne !.<br />
GEDO<br />
BAY<br />
M. SHABELLE<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Balcad<br />
Dinsor<br />
Afgoye<br />
Baardheere<br />
!<br />
"/ ! BANADIR<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Sakow<br />
Kurtun Warrey Marka !.<br />
M. JUBA BU'AALESablale<br />
L. SHABELLE<br />
!.<br />
Bu'aale Brava<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
Rab-<br />
Dhuure<br />
GALGADUD<br />
BELET WEYNE<br />
Harardheere<br />
Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />
BAKOOL<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
Rab- Xudur<br />
Dhuure<br />
!. HUDUR<br />
HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />
Dolo<br />
Luuq<br />
Wajid<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
^Aden Yabal <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />
!.<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
Cadale<br />
Garbaharey<br />
BAIDOA<br />
Acceptable<br />
!.<br />
Qansax<br />
Jowhar<br />
Alert<br />
Dheere<br />
Wanle Weyne!.<br />
GEDO<br />
BAY<br />
M. SHABELLE<br />
Serious<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Balcad<br />
Dinsor<br />
Afgoye<br />
Baardheere<br />
!(<br />
"/ !( BANADIR<br />
Critical<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Sakow<br />
Kurtun Warrey<br />
Marka !.<br />
Very Critical<br />
M. JUBA BU'AALESablale<br />
L. SHABELLE<br />
Likely Critical<br />
^<br />
!.<br />
Bu'aale Brava<br />
Likely Very Critical<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Afmadow<br />
Jilib<br />
Not classified due to<br />
insufficient data<br />
Jamaame<br />
Hotspot for Concern/ Likely<br />
^<br />
KISMAAYO<br />
Deterioration<br />
Kismayo !( !.<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Projected Trend (January - June <strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from October to<br />
Uncertain<br />
December '10: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
and others<br />
Cadaado MUDUG<br />
Hobyo<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
!.<br />
DUSAMAREB<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
GALGADUD<br />
BELET WEYNE<br />
Harardheere<br />
Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />
BAKOOL<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
Rab- Xudur<br />
Dhuure<br />
!. HUDUR<br />
HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />
Dolo<br />
Luuq<br />
Wajid<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Afmadow<br />
Jilib<br />
Jamaame<br />
KISMAAYO<br />
Kismayo !.<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Tayeglow<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />
Acceptable<br />
Alert<br />
Serious<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
Likely Critical<br />
IDP Phase<br />
Serious<br />
Likely Very Critical<br />
Critical<br />
Very Critical<br />
The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />
indicators from direct and indirect sources from June to<br />
July '11: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />
MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />
and others<br />
±<br />
0 37.5 75 150 225 300 375<br />
Projected Trend (August - December <strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Potential to Improve<br />
Uncertain<br />
Potential to Deteriorate<br />
Kilometers<br />
<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />
Funding Agencies<br />
Swiss Agency for<br />
Development and<br />
Cooperation SDC<br />
Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
7.2 <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Tools <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
Executive<br />
<strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
NUTRITION ASSESSMENT HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
QNO:<br />
84<br />
Household Number ______ Date_______________ Team Number ______ Cluster Number ________ Cluster<br />
Name _______________________ District: __________<br />
Q1-7 Characteristics of Household<br />
Q1. Household size 1 __________ Q2. Number of children less than 5 years (0-59 months) ________<br />
Q3a. Household head 1=Male 2=Female Q3b. Highest level of mother’s/caregiver’s education: 0=None<br />
1= Primary 2= Secondary 3= Tertiary (college/university)<br />
Q4a .How long has this household lived in this locality 1= Resident 2= IDP6 months 4=Returnee (within the<br />
last 6 months) 5=Refugee 6=Migrant<br />
b. Are you hosting any recently (in the last 6 months) internally displaced persons 0= No 1= Yes<br />
c. If yes, Number of persons ________<br />
Q5. How many mosquito nets does the household have 0=none 1=one 2=two<br />
3=three<br />
4= 4 or more<br />
Q6. What was the source of the net 1= NGO 2=Health Centre 3= Purchase<br />
Q7. What is the household’s main source of income 1= Animal & animal product sales 2= Crop sales/farming 3= Trade<br />
4= Casual labor<br />
5= Salaried/wage employment 6= Remittances 7=Self-Employment (Bush products/handicraft)<br />
8=gifts/ zakat 9= Others, specify ________________<br />
Q8-15 Feeding and immunization status of children aged 6 – 59 months in the household.<br />
First Date of<br />
Name Birth<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
-- /-- /--<br />
Q8<br />
Child Age<br />
(months)<br />
(if child is<br />
more than<br />
24 months<br />
old, skip to<br />
Q11)<br />
Q9<br />
Are you<br />
breastfeeding<br />
1<br />
the child<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q11<br />
Q10<br />
How many times did you<br />
feed the child in the last<br />
24 hours (besides breast<br />
milk)<br />
0=Zero times<br />
1= 1 time<br />
2=2 times<br />
3 = 3 times<br />
4=-4 times<br />
5= 5 or more times<br />
How many times did<br />
you feed the child<br />
with milk in the last<br />
24 hours (besides<br />
breast milk)<br />
0=None<br />
1= 1 time<br />
2=2 times<br />
3=-3 times<br />
4= 4 times<br />
5= 5 times or more<br />
Q 12<br />
Has child<br />
been provided<br />
with Vitamin<br />
A in the last 6<br />
months<br />
(show sample)<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q13<br />
Has child<br />
been<br />
Vaccinated<br />
against<br />
measles<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q14<br />
No of doses of<br />
polio vaccine<br />
given to the<br />
child orally<br />
0=none<br />
1=one<br />
2=two<br />
3=three or<br />
more<br />
Q15<br />
Does<br />
child have<br />
immunization<br />
card<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q16-27 Anthropometry and morbidity for children aged 6 – 59 months in the household<br />
Q16a<br />
First<br />
Name Age<br />
(month)<br />
Q16b<br />
Sex<br />
Q17<br />
Oedema<br />
1=Male 0= No<br />
2=Female 1=yes<br />
Q18<br />
Height<br />
(cm)<br />
To the<br />
nearest<br />
tenth of<br />
a cm<br />
Q19<br />
Weight<br />
(kg)<br />
To the<br />
nearest<br />
tenth of<br />
a kg<br />
Q20<br />
MUAC<br />
(cm)<br />
To the<br />
nearest<br />
tenth of<br />
a cm<br />
(≥6 mo)<br />
Q21<br />
Diarrhea 2<br />
in last two<br />
weeks<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q22<br />
Pneumonia<br />
(oof<br />
wareen/<br />
wareento) 3<br />
in the last<br />
two weeks<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q23<br />
Fever 4<br />
in the<br />
last<br />
two<br />
weeks<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q24<br />
Suspected<br />
Measles 5<br />
in last one<br />
month<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q25<br />
Did the<br />
child<br />
sleep<br />
under a<br />
mosquito<br />
net last<br />
night<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q26<br />
Where did you seek<br />
healthcare assistance<br />
when child was sick (If<br />
yes in Q21 – 24)<br />
0=No assistance sought<br />
1=Own medication<br />
2=Traditional healer<br />
3=Sheikh/Prayers<br />
4=Private clinic/<br />
Pharmacy<br />
5= Public health facility<br />
Q27<br />
Is the child<br />
currently<br />
registered<br />
in any<br />
feeding<br />
centres<br />
0= none<br />
1= SFP<br />
2= TFC/SC<br />
3= OTP<br />
4= Other<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
1 Number of persons who live together and eat from the same pot at the time of assessment<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
28a. Anthropometry (MUAC) for adult women of childbearing age (15-49 years) present at the household<br />
Sno Name<br />
1 Mother:<br />
Age<br />
(years)<br />
No of doses<br />
of Tetanus<br />
vaccine<br />
received<br />
0= None<br />
1= One<br />
2= Two<br />
3=three<br />
MUAC<br />
(cm)<br />
Physiological<br />
status<br />
1=Pregnant<br />
2=Lactating<br />
(infant
Breakfast Snack Lunch Snack Dinner Snack<br />
Executive<br />
86<br />
When the respondent 8 recall is complete, fill in the food groups based on the information recorded above. For any food groups<br />
not mentioned, ask the respondent if a food item from this group was consumed.<br />
1. Cereals and cereal products (maize, ground maize, wheat, white wheat, wholemeal wheat, millet, rice, white grain<br />
sorghum, red sorghum , spaghetti, bread, chapatti , macaroni, canjera)<br />
2. Milk and milk products (Fresh/fermented/powdered sheep, goat, cow or camel milk, Cheese (sour milk), condensed<br />
milk, yoghurt)<br />
3. Vitamin A rich vegetables and tubers (yellow fleshed pumpkins, carrots, orange sweet potatoes, yellow cassava)<br />
4. Dark green leafy vegetables (amaranth, kale, spinach, , onion leaf, pumpkin leaves, cassava leaves, dark green<br />
lettuce)<br />
5. Other vegetables (tomato, onion, squash, bell pepper, cabbage ,light green lettuce, white radish )<br />
6. Vitamin A rich fruits (ripe mangoes, pawpaw, wild fruits such as gob, hobob, berde, isbandlays, kabla, coasta, red<br />
cactus frui,)<br />
7. Other fruit (banana, orange, apple, coconut, custard apple, dates, unripe mangoes, grapes, guava, wild fruits and<br />
100% fruit juices)<br />
8. Organ meat (liver, kidney, heart or other organ meat)<br />
9. Meat and Poultry (beef, lamb, goat, camel, wild game, such as Dik Dik, chicken, duck, other birds such as guinea fowl<br />
and francolin)<br />
10. Eggs (eggs of chicken, eggs of duck or eggs of other fowl)<br />
11. Fish (fresh or dried) and other seafood (shellfish)<br />
Any household<br />
member 9<br />
0=No 1= Yes<br />
12. Legumes, nuts and seeds (cowpeas, beans, lentils , peanut, pumpkin seed, lentil seed, sunflower seed, wild nuts)<br />
13. White roots and tubers (white potatoes, cassava, arrowroot, white sweet potatoes, or foods made from roots)<br />
14. Oils and Fats (cooking fat or oil, ghee, butter, sesame oil, margarine)<br />
15. Sweets (sugar, honey, sweetened soda and fruit drinks, chocolate biscuit, cakes,, candies, cookies, Sugar cane and<br />
sweet sorghum)<br />
16. Coffee, tea and Spices (coffee, tea, spices such as black pepper, cardamoms, cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, cloves, salt.<br />
Condiments such as ketchup, soy sauce, chilli sauce)<br />
Q 30b. Total number of food groups consumed<br />
Q 30c. Did you or anyone in your household eat anything (meal or snack) OUTSIDE of the home yesterday<br />
Q31 a.<br />
ii) milk<br />
In the last three months, what is the main source in the household of: i) staple cereal ______________<br />
_______________ (Use codes below)<br />
1= Own production 2= Purchasing 3=Community Gifts/Donations 4= Food aid 5= Bartering<br />
6= Borrowing 7= Gathering<br />
Q31b. How many times did you receive cereal food aid in the last 6 months 0=never 1= once 2= twice 3= three<br />
times 4= fourth 5= five times 6= six times or more<br />
Q32 How many meals 3 has the household had in the last 24 hours (from this time yesterday to now) 0= none 1= One<br />
2=Two 3= Three 4=Four +<br />
FOOD SECURITY QUESTIONS<br />
Q33a. What is your current livestock holding and what was it six months ago Please indicate the number of livestock species in respective<br />
columns:<br />
1. Currently<br />
2. Six months ago<br />
a. Camel b. Cattle c. Sheep/Goat<br />
Q33b. If your household experienced any livestock death since January this year, please specify how many of your livestock died Please indicate‘0”<br />
for the species with no death cases.<br />
1. camel ______ 2. cattle ______ 3. sheep/goat _______<br />
Q33c. Please indicate the reason for livestock death: 1= Lack of fodder<br />
2=Lack of water 3=Diseases 4=Other (specify) ______________________<br />
Coping Strategies<br />
Q 33d. In the past 30 days, if there have been times when people did not have enough food or money to buy food, which of the following coping<br />
strategies did they use (Select based on relevant livelihood system)<br />
Pastoralist Livelihood: Indicate type of Pastoralism practiced : 1= Nomadic/mobile 2= Sedentary/settled<br />
3 A meal refers to food served and eaten at one time (excluding snacks) and includes one of the three commonly known: - breakfast, lunch and supper/dinner<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
In the past 30 days, if there have been times when you did not have enough food or money<br />
to buy food, how often has your household had to:<br />
a. Reduce home milk consumption and sell more of milk produced<br />
b. Consume less preferred cereals<br />
c. Borrow food on credit from another household (Aamah)<br />
d. Reduce number of meals per day<br />
e. Reduce the portion size/quantity consumed at meal times (Beekhaamis)<br />
f. Rely on food donations (gifts) from the clan/community (Kaalmo)<br />
g. Consume weak un-saleable animals (caateysi)<br />
h. Send household members to eat (for food) elsewhere<br />
0=Never (zero times/week)<br />
1=Hardly at all (
Executive<br />
Q35a If the household has no access to protected water sources (if the answer to Q34a is 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12), what is the main reason<br />
0 = Not Available 1 = Distance too far 2= Security Concerns 3 = Cannot afford 4 = Queuing time is too long<br />
5 = Other reasons (specify)<br />
Q35b<br />
If you get your water from a protected water source (if the answer to Q34a is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or 7), How many days in the last year month<br />
were you NOT able to get water from the protected source 1= None 2 = 1-5 days 3 = >5 days<br />
88<br />
Q35c What was reason for not getting water 1 = couldn’t afford 2 = source dried up 3 = machine broke down 4 = others<br />
Q36 What is the average time taken per TRIP to and from the main water source (including waiting and collecting time)<br />
1 = Less than 30 minutes 2 = 30 to 60 minutes 3 = More than 1 hour<br />
Q37b<br />
Most days (on average) how much water do you collect for the household<br />
Jerican (20 liter) Jerican (5 liter) Drum (200liters)<br />
Haan (local container with<br />
capacity of about 12.5 liters)<br />
Other container<br />
(specify)<br />
Total No. of Liters<br />
No. of containers<br />
Q38 Is the water for drinking treated and/or chlorinated 4 at the Household level 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />
Q39<br />
sun<br />
If Yes, what is the method of treatment (select more than 1 option if applicable)<br />
1 = Boiling 2 = Chlorination 3 = Straining/filtering 4 = Decanting/letting it stand and settle 5 = Leaving the water out in the<br />
6 = Other (specify)<br />
Q40 Does the family pay for drinking water 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />
Q41-43 Sanitation and Hygiene (access and quality)<br />
Q41a What type of toilet is used by most members of the household<br />
0 = No toilet is available (an open pit/open ground is used) 1 = Household latrine 2 =<br />
Communal/Public latrine<br />
3 = Flush toilet<br />
Q41b If the answer to Q41a is 0, what is the main reason<br />
1 = Pastoral/ frequent movements 2 = Lack resources to construct 3 = Lack of space to construct 4 = Don’t see the need<br />
9 = Don’t know<br />
Q41c If the answer to Q41a is 1,2 or 3 , how many households share/use the same toilet 1= One 2= 2 to 3 3= 4 to 9 4= 10 or<br />
more 9 = Don’t know<br />
Q42 When you wash your hands, what substance do you use for hand washing<br />
0= None (only with water) 1= Soap/Shampoo 2= Sand 3= Ash 4= Plant<br />
extracts<br />
Q43 Have you been exposed to information on correct personal hygiene and sanitation practices in the last 3 months (select more than 1 option<br />
if applicable)<br />
0= No 1= Yes via mass media 2= Yes via printed media 3 = Ye s v i a i n t e r p e r s o n a l<br />
communication 4= Yes via group meetings<br />
Supervisor Checked ____________________________<br />
(Footnotes)<br />
1 Child having received breast milk either directly from the mothers or surrogate mother breast within the last 12 hours<br />
2 Diarrhea is defined for a child having three or more loose or watery stools per day<br />
3 ARI asked as oof wareen or wareento. The three signs asked for are chest in-drawing, cough, rapid breathing/nasal flaring and fever<br />
4 Fever – The three signs to be looked for are periodic chills/shivering, fever, sweating and convulsions<br />
5 Measles (Jadeeco): a child with more than three of these signs– fever and, skin rash, runny nose or red eyes, and/or mouth infection, or chest<br />
infection<br />
6 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />
7 WHO, 2008. Indicators for assessing infant and young child feeding practices: Conclusion of a consensus meeting held 6-8 November 2007 in<br />
Washington D.C., USA ;FANTA 2002 Summary Indicators for Infant and Child Feeding Practices;<br />
8 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />
9 8 FAO Household Dietary Diversity Tool<br />
4 Chlorinated water should have a characteristic taste and smell<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
7.3. Mortality Questionnaire, June <strong>2011</strong><br />
Household No: _____ Date: _______ Team No: ____ Cluster No: ____ Enumerator’s Name: ____________<br />
2: Sex (1=M; 3: Age 4: Born since<br />
No. 1: First Name<br />
2=F)<br />
(yrs) __ / 3/ <strong>2011</strong><br />
a) How many members are present in this household now List them.<br />
5: Arrived since<br />
__ / 3/ <strong>2011</strong><br />
6: Reason for<br />
leaving<br />
QNO:<br />
7: Cause of<br />
death<br />
Executive Summary<br />
89<br />
b) How many members have left this household (out migrants) since Mar __, <strong>2011</strong> List them<br />
c) Do you have any member of the household who has died since mar __, <strong>2011</strong> List them<br />
Codes<br />
Reason for migration<br />
1= Civil Insecurity 6= Hospitalised<br />
2= Food Insecurity 7= In boarding school<br />
3= Employment 8= Grazing/herding<br />
4=Divorce/ Married away 9= Other, specify<br />
5=Visiting<br />
1= Diarrhoeal diseases<br />
2= ARI<br />
3= Measles<br />
4= Malaria<br />
5= STD/ HIV/AIDS<br />
Cause of death<br />
6= Anaemia<br />
7= Pregnancy/Birth complications<br />
8= Accident/ killed/ physical injuries<br />
9= Hunger/starvation<br />
10= Other, specify (e.g. still birth)<br />
Summary*<br />
Current HH Members<br />
Arrivals during the Recall period<br />
Number who have left during Recall period<br />
Births during recall<br />
Deaths during recall period<br />
Total<br />
U5<br />
* For Supervisor Only<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
90<br />
7.4. IDP NUTRITION ASSESSMENT HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
HHNO:<br />
Household Number ______ Date_______________ Team Number ______ Cluster Number ________ Cluster<br />
Name _______________________ District: __________<br />
Q1-7 Characteristics of Household<br />
Q1. Household size 1 __________ Q2. Number of children less than 5 years (0-59 months) ________<br />
Q3a. Household head 1=Male 2=Female Q3b. Highest level of mother’s/caregiver’s education: 0=None<br />
1= Primary 2= Secondary 3= Tertiary (college/university)<br />
Q4a .How long has this household lived in this locality 1= Resident 2= IDP6 months 4=Returnee (within<br />
the last 6 months) 5=Refugee 6=Migrant<br />
b. Are you hosting any recently (in the last 6 months) internally displaced persons 0= No 1= Yes<br />
c. If yes, Number of persons ________<br />
Q5. How many mosquito nets does the household have 0=none 1=one 2=two<br />
3=three<br />
4= 4 or more<br />
Q6. What was the source of the net 1= NGO 2=Health Centre 3= Purchase<br />
Q7. What is the household’s main source of income 1= Animal & animal product sales 2= Crop sales/farming 3= Trade<br />
4= Casual labor<br />
5= Salaried/wage employment 6= Remittances 7=Self-Employment (Bush products/handicraft)<br />
8=gifts/ zakat 9= Others, specify ________________<br />
Q8-15 Feeding and immunization status of children aged 6 – 59 months in the household.<br />
First<br />
Name<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
Date of<br />
Birth<br />
-- /-- /--<br />
Q8<br />
Child Age<br />
(months)<br />
(if child is<br />
more than 24<br />
months old,<br />
skip to Q11)<br />
Q9<br />
Are you<br />
breastfeeding<br />
1<br />
the child<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q10<br />
How many times did<br />
you feed the child<br />
in the last 24 hours<br />
(besides breast milk)<br />
0=Zero times<br />
1= 1 time<br />
2=2 times<br />
3 = 3 times<br />
4=-4 times<br />
5= 5 or more times<br />
Q11<br />
How many times<br />
did you feed the<br />
child with milk in<br />
the last 24 hours<br />
(besides breast<br />
milk)<br />
0=None<br />
1= 1 time<br />
2=2 times<br />
3=-3 times<br />
4= 4 times<br />
5= 5 times or more<br />
Q 12<br />
Has child<br />
been provided<br />
with Vitamin<br />
A in the last 6<br />
months<br />
(show sample)<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q13<br />
Has child<br />
been<br />
Vaccinated<br />
against<br />
measles<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q14<br />
No of doses<br />
of polio<br />
vaccine given<br />
to the child<br />
orally<br />
0=none<br />
1=one<br />
2=two<br />
3=three or<br />
more<br />
Q15<br />
Does<br />
child have<br />
immunization<br />
card<br />
0= No<br />
1=Yes<br />
Q16-27 Anthropometry and morbidity for children aged 6 – 59 months in the household<br />
First<br />
Name<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
Q17<br />
Q16b<br />
Q16a<br />
Sex<br />
Age<br />
1=Male<br />
(month)<br />
2=Female<br />
Oedema<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q18<br />
Height<br />
(cm)<br />
To the<br />
nearest<br />
tenth of<br />
a cm<br />
Q19<br />
Weight<br />
(kg)<br />
To the<br />
nearest<br />
tenth of<br />
a kg<br />
Q20<br />
MUAC<br />
(cm)<br />
To the<br />
nearest<br />
tenth of<br />
a cm<br />
(≥6 mo)<br />
Q21<br />
Diarrhea 2<br />
in last<br />
two<br />
weeks<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q22<br />
Pneumonia Q23<br />
(oof<br />
wareen/<br />
wareento) 3<br />
in the last<br />
two weeks<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Fever 4<br />
in the<br />
last two<br />
weeks<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q24<br />
Suspected<br />
Measles 5<br />
in last one<br />
month<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q25<br />
Did the<br />
child sleep<br />
under a<br />
mosquito<br />
net last<br />
night<br />
0= No<br />
1=yes<br />
Q26<br />
Where did you<br />
seek healthcare<br />
assistance when<br />
child was sick (If<br />
yes in Q21 – 24)<br />
0=No assistance<br />
sought<br />
1=Own<br />
medication<br />
2=Traditional<br />
healer<br />
3=Sheikh/<br />
Prayers<br />
4=Private clinic/<br />
Pharmacy<br />
5= Public health<br />
facility<br />
Q27<br />
Is the child<br />
currently<br />
registered in<br />
any feeding<br />
centres<br />
0= none<br />
1= SFP<br />
2= TFC/SC<br />
3= OTP<br />
4= Other<br />
1 Number of persons who live together and eat from the same pot at the time of assessment<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
28a. Anthropometry (MUAC) for adult women of childbearing age (15-49 years) present at the household<br />
Sno Name<br />
1 Mother:<br />
Age<br />
(years)<br />
No of doses<br />
of Tetanus<br />
vaccine<br />
received<br />
0= None<br />
1= One<br />
2= Two<br />
3=three<br />
MUAC<br />
(cm)<br />
Physiological<br />
status<br />
1=Pregnant<br />
2=Lactating<br />
(infant
Executive<br />
92<br />
When the respondent 8 recall is complete, fill in the food groups based on the information recorded above. For any food groups<br />
not mentioned, ask the respondent if a food item from this group was consumed.<br />
1. Cereals and cereal products (maize, ground maize, wheat, white wheat, wholemeal wheat, millet, rice, white grain<br />
sorghum, red sorghum , spaghetti, bread, chapatti , macaroni, canjera)<br />
2. Milk and milk products (Fresh/fermented/powdered sheep, goat, cow or camel milk, Cheese (sour milk), condensed<br />
milk, yoghurt)<br />
3. Vitamin A rich vegetables and tubers (yellow fleshed pumpkins, carrots, orange sweet potatoes, yellow cassava)<br />
4. Dark green leafy vegetables (amaranth, kale, spinach, , onion leaf, pumpkin leaves, cassava leaves, dark green<br />
lettuce)<br />
5. Other vegetables (tomato, onion, squash, bell pepper, cabbage ,light green lettuce, white radish )<br />
6. Vitamin A rich fruits (ripe mangoes, pawpaw, wild fruits such as gob, hobob, berde, isbandlays, kabla, coasta, red<br />
cactus frui,)<br />
7. Other fruit (banana, orange, apple, coconut, custard apple, dates, unripe mangoes, grapes, guava, wild fruits and<br />
100% fruit juices)<br />
8. Organ meat (liver, kidney, heart or other organ meat)<br />
9. Meat and Poultry (beef, lamb, goat, camel, wild game, such as Dik Dik, chicken, duck, other birds such as guinea<br />
fowl and francolin)<br />
10. Eggs (eggs of chicken, eggs of duck or eggs of other fowl)<br />
11. Fish (fresh or dried) and other seafood (shellfish)<br />
Any household member 9<br />
0=No 1= Yes<br />
12. Legumes, nuts and seeds (cowpeas, beans, lentils , peanut, pumpkin seed, lentil seed, sunflower seed, wild nuts)<br />
13. White roots and tubers (white potatoes, cassava, arrowroot, white sweet potatoes, or foods made from roots)<br />
14. Oils and Fats (cooking fat or oil, ghee, butter, sesame oil, margarine)<br />
15. Sweets (sugar, honey, sweetened soda and fruit drinks, chocolate biscuit, cakes,, candies, cookies, Sugar cane and<br />
sweet sorghum)<br />
16. Coffee, tea and Spices (coffee, tea, spices such as black pepper, cardamoms, cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, cloves,<br />
salt. Condiments such as ketchup, soy sauce, chilli sauce)<br />
Q 30b. Total number of food groups consumed<br />
Q 30c. Did you or anyone in your household eat anything (meal or snack) OUTSIDE of the home yesterday<br />
Q31 a.<br />
ii) milk<br />
In the last three months, what is the main source in the household of: i) staple cereal ______________<br />
_______________ (Use codes below)<br />
1= Own production 2= Purchasing 3=Community Gifts/Donations 4= Food aid 5= Bartering<br />
6= Borrowing 7= Gathering<br />
Q31b. How many times did you receive cereal food aid in the last 6 months 0=never 1= once 2= twice 3= three<br />
times 4= fourth 5= five times 6= six times or more<br />
Q32 How many meals 3 has the household had in the last 24 hours (from this time yesterday to now) 0= none 1= One<br />
Coping Strategies<br />
2=Two 3= Three 4=Four +<br />
Q 33. In the past 30 days, if there have been times when people did not have enough food or money to buy food, which of the following coping<br />
strategies did they use (Select based on relevant livelihood system)<br />
Urban/IDPs Livelihood Group<br />
In the past 30 days, if there have been times when you did not have enough food or money<br />
to buy food, how often has your household had to:<br />
a. Shift to less preferred (low quality, less expensive) foods (from osolo to obo)<br />
b. Limit the portion/quantity consumed in a meal (Beekhaamis)<br />
c. Take fewer numbers of meals in a day<br />
0=Never (zero times/week)<br />
1=Hardly at all (
WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE<br />
Q34-40 Access to water (quality and quantity)<br />
Q34a What is the household’s main source of drinking water<br />
Protected sources: 1 = Household connection<br />
2 = Standpipe (Kiosk/Public tap/Taps connected to a storage<br />
tank) 3 = Protected Shallow well (covered with hand pump/motorized pump) 4 = Tanker 5 = Spring<br />
6 = Bottled water 7 = Rooftop rainwater<br />
Unprotected sources 8 = Berkads 9 = River/stream 10 = Dam/Pond (Balley) 11 = Open Shallow<br />
well 12 = other (specify) …<br />
Q35a If the household has no access to protected water sources (if the answer to Q34a is 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12), what is the main reason<br />
0 = Not Available 1 = Distance too far 2= Security Concerns 3 = Cannot afford 4 = Queuing time is too long<br />
5 = Other reasons (specify)<br />
Executive Summary<br />
93<br />
Q35b<br />
If you get your water from a protected water source (if the answer to Q34a is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or 7), How many days in the last year month<br />
were you NOT able to get water from the protected source 1= None 2 = 1-5 days 3 = >5<br />
days<br />
Q35c What was reason for not getting water 1 = couldn’t afford 2 = source dried up 3 = machine broke down 4 = others<br />
Q36 What is the average time taken per TRIP to and from the main water source (including waiting and collecting time)<br />
1 = Less than 30 minutes 2 = 30 to 60 minutes 3 = More than 1 hour<br />
Q37b<br />
Most days (on average) how much water do you collect for the household<br />
Jerican (20 liter) Jerican (5 liter) Drum (200liters)<br />
Haan (local container with<br />
Other container<br />
capacity of about 12.5<br />
(specify)<br />
liters)<br />
Total No. of Liters<br />
No. of containers<br />
Q38 Is the water for drinking treated and/or chlorinated 4 at the Household level 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />
Q39<br />
sun<br />
If Yes, what is the method of treatment (select more than 1 option if applicable)<br />
1 = Boiling 2 = Chlorination 3 = Straining/filtering 4 = Decanting/letting it stand and settle 5 = Leaving the water out in the<br />
6 = Other (specify)<br />
Q40 Does the family pay for drinking water 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />
Q41-43 Sanitation and Hygiene (access and quality)<br />
Q41a What type of toilet is used by most members of the household<br />
0 = No toilet is available (an open pit/open ground is used) 1 = Household latrine 2 =<br />
Communal/Public latrine<br />
3 = Flush toilet<br />
Q41b If the answer to Q41a is 0, what is the main reason<br />
1 = Pastoral/ frequent movements 2 = Lack resources to construct 3 = Lack of space to construct 4 = Don’t see the<br />
need 9 = Don’t know<br />
Q41c If the answer to Q41a is 1,2 or 3 , how many households share/use the same toilet 1= One 2= 2 to 3 3= 4 to 9 4= 10 or<br />
more 9 = Don’t know<br />
Q42 When you wash your hands, what substance do you use for hand washing<br />
0= None (only with water) 1= Soap/Shampoo 2= Sand 3= Ash 4= Plant<br />
extracts<br />
Q43 Have you been exposed to information on correct personal hygiene and sanitation practices in the last 3 months (select more than 1 option<br />
if applicable)<br />
0= No 1= Yes via mass media 2= Yes via printed media 3 = Yes via inter personal<br />
communication 4= Yes via group meetings<br />
Supervisor Checked ____________________________<br />
(Footnotes)<br />
1 Child having received breast milk either directly from the mothers or surrogate mother breast within the last 12 hours<br />
2 Diarrhea is defined for a child having three or more loose or watery stools per day<br />
3 ARI asked as oof wareen or wareento. The three signs asked for are chest in-drawing, cough, rapid breathing/nasal flaring and fever<br />
4 Fever – The three signs to be looked for are periodic chills/shivering, fever, sweating and convulsions<br />
5 Measles (Jadeeco): a child with more than three of these signs– fever and, skin rash, runny nose or red eyes, and/or mouth infection, or chest<br />
infection<br />
6 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />
7 WHO, 2008. Indicators for assessing infant and young child feeding practices: Conclusion of a consensus meeting held 6-8 November 2007<br />
in Washington D.C., USA ;FANTA 2002 Summary Indicators for Infant and Child Feeding Practices;<br />
8 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />
9 8 FAO Household Dietary Diversity Tool<br />
4 Chlorinated water should have a characteristic taste and smell<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
7.5. Rapid MUAC Assessment Form<br />
Executive<br />
94<br />
Sno<br />
Sex:<br />
1=Male<br />
2=Female<br />
Age<br />
(Months)<br />
Oedema<br />
1= Yes<br />
2=No<br />
MUAC<br />
cm (1 dp)<br />
Illness in past 14 days<br />
No = 0<br />
If Yes ,specify*<br />
1=Diarrhoea<br />
2=Pneumonia<br />
3=Fever<br />
4= Measles<br />
Illness in past 14 days<br />
Sno<br />
Sex:<br />
1=Male<br />
2=Female<br />
Age<br />
(Months)<br />
Oedema<br />
1= Yes<br />
2=No<br />
MUAC<br />
cm (1 dp)<br />
No = 0<br />
If Yes ,specify*<br />
1=Diarrhoea<br />
2=Pneumonia<br />
3=Fever<br />
4= Measles<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
7.6 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form with Food Security Questions<br />
Executive Summary<br />
Weight and Height Measurement Record Sheet for Children aged 6-59 months<br />
95<br />
Region______________<br />
Cluster number/Name----------------------<br />
Household<br />
Number<br />
Current<br />
total<br />
Number of<br />
Household<br />
members<br />
Death in the last 90<br />
days<br />
>5yrs 0-11 12-59<br />
months<br />
Current Livestock<br />
holdings (please<br />
indicate total number<br />
by species)<br />
livestock death<br />
from Jan ’11 up to<br />
Now (please indicate<br />
number by species)<br />
Sex:<br />
months Camel Cattle Shoats Camel Cattle Shoats 1=Male<br />
2=Female<br />
Children aged 6-59 months<br />
Age Oedema<br />
(Months) 1= Yes Weight Height MUAC<br />
2=No<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
96<br />
7.7 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form without Food Security Questions<br />
Weight and Height Measurement Record Sheet for Children aged 6-59 months<br />
Region______________<br />
cluster number/Name----------------------<br />
Household<br />
Number<br />
Current total<br />
Number of<br />
Household<br />
members<br />
Death in the last 90 days<br />
>5yrs<br />
0-11<br />
months<br />
12-59 months<br />
Sex: 1=Male<br />
2=Female<br />
Age<br />
(Months)<br />
Children aged 6-59 months<br />
Oedema<br />
1= Yes<br />
2=No<br />
Weight Height MUAC<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
7.8 Rapid Data Collection Form<br />
Date<br />
Name of theCluster<br />
Name of medical person of the team<br />
Cluster No<br />
Data collection form for Malaria<br />
Household No.<br />
Lat<br />
Long<br />
GPS Coordinates<br />
Executive Summary<br />
97<br />
Age<br />
Sex<br />
Did you have<br />
fever in the<br />
last two<br />
weeks<br />
Do you own a<br />
net<br />
Do you use the<br />
net on a<br />
regular basis<br />
Slept<br />
under net<br />
last night<br />
Is the net<br />
treated with<br />
insecticide<br />
RDT result<br />
No<br />
Name<br />
In MONTHS if <<br />
1 year (indicate<br />
'mths') 1 = Male<br />
In YEARS if ≥ 1 2 =<br />
year Female 1=Yes 2=NO 1=Yes 2=NO 1=Yes 2=NO<br />
1=Yes<br />
2=NO<br />
1=Yes 2=NO<br />
1=POSITIVE<br />
2=NEGATIVE<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
98<br />
7.9 Urban Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />
Household Size __________ Date__________________ Enumerator: ______________________ Name of Urban Center<br />
_______________ Section: ______________<br />
Q 1 Food Consumption & Dietary Diversity<br />
Twenty four-hour recall for food consumption in the households: The interviewers should establish whether the previous day and night was<br />
usual or normal for the households. If unusual- feasts, funerals or most members absent, then another day should be selected.<br />
Q1a Household Food Consumption & Dietary Diversity: Please describe the foods (meals and snacks) that members of your household<br />
ate or drank yesterday during the day and night at home 1 . Start with the first food or drink of the morning. Include wild foods e.g. game meat, honey,<br />
fruits, vegetables, leaves.<br />
Write down all foods and drink mentioned. When composite dishes are mentioned, ask for the list of ingredients. The interviewers should<br />
establish whether the previous day and night was usual or normal for the households. If unusual- feasts, funerals or most members absent, then<br />
another day should be selected.<br />
Breakfast Snack Lunch Snack Dinner Snack<br />
When the respondent 1 recall is complete, fill in the food groups based on the information recorded above. For any food<br />
groups not mentioned, ask the respondent if a food item from this group was consumed.<br />
1. Cereals and cereal products (maize, ground maize, wheat, white wheat, wholemeal wheat, millet, rice, white<br />
grain sorghum, red sorghum , spaghetti, bread, chapatti , macaroni, canjera)<br />
2. Milk and milk products (Fresh/fermented/powdered sheep, goat, cow or camel milk, Cheese (sour milk),<br />
condensed milk, yoghurt)<br />
3. Vitamin A rich vegetables and tubers (yellow fleshed pumpkins, carrots, orange sweet potatoes, yellow cassava)<br />
4. Dark green leafy vegetables (amaranth, kale, spinach, , onion leaf, pumpkin leaves, cassava leaves, dark green<br />
lettuce)<br />
5. Other vegetables (tomato, onion, squash, bell pepper, cabbage ,light green lettuce, white radish )<br />
6. Vitamin A rich fruits (ripe mangoes, pawpaw, wild fruits such as gob, hobob, berde, isbandlays, kabla, coasta,<br />
red cactus frui,)<br />
7. Other fruit (banana, orange, apple, coconut, custard apple, dates, unripe mangoes, grapes, guava, wild fruits and<br />
100% fruit juices)<br />
8. Organ meat (liver, kidney, heart or other organ meat)<br />
9. Meat and Poultry (beef, lamb, goat, camel, wild game, such as Dik Dik, chicken, duck, other birds such as guinea<br />
fowl and francolin)<br />
10. Eggs (eggs of chicken, eggs of duck or eggs of other fowl)<br />
11. Fish (fresh or dried) and other seafood (shellfish)<br />
12. Legumes, nuts and seeds (cowpeas, beans, lentils , peanut, pumpkin seed, lentil seed, sunflower seed, wild<br />
nuts)<br />
13. White roots and tubers (white potatoes, cassava, arrowroot, white sweet potatoes, or foods made from roots)<br />
14. Oils and Fats (cooking fat or oil, ghee, butter, sesame oil, margarine)<br />
15. Sweets (sugar, honey, sweetened soda and fruit drinks, chocolate biscuit, cakes,, candies, cookies, Sugar cane<br />
and sweet sorghum)<br />
16. Coffee, tea & Spices (coffee, tea, spices such as black pepper, cardamoms, cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, cloves,<br />
salt. Condiments such as ketchup, soy, chilli sauce<br />
Q1b. Total number of food groups consumed<br />
Q 1c. Did you or anyone in your household eat anything (meal or snack) OUTSIDE of the home yesterday<br />
Any household member 2<br />
0=No 1= Yes<br />
Q31d. How many meals 2 has the household had in the last 24 hours (from this time yesterday to now) 0= none 1= One<br />
2=Two 3= Three 4=Four +<br />
Q 2. In the past 30 days, if there have been times when people did not have enough food or money to buy food, which of the following coping<br />
strategies did they use<br />
1 Include foods prepared inside the home but consumed outside the home<br />
2 A meal refers to food served and eaten at one time (excluding snacks) and includes one of the three commonly known: - breakfast, lunch and<br />
supper/dinner<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Urban Livelihood/IDPs Groups<br />
In the past 30 days, if there have been times when you did not have enough food or money to buy<br />
food, how often has your household had to:<br />
a. Shift to less preferred (low quality, less expensive) foods (from osolo to obo)<br />
b. Limit the portion/quantity consumed in a meal (Beekhaamis)<br />
c. Take fewer numbers of meals in a day<br />
0=Never (zero times/week)<br />
1=Hardly at all (
Executive<br />
100<br />
Sno<br />
Sex:<br />
1=Male<br />
2=Female<br />
Age<br />
(Months)<br />
Oedema<br />
1= Yes<br />
2=No<br />
MUAC<br />
cm (1 dp)<br />
Illness in past 14 days<br />
No = 0<br />
If Yes ,specify*<br />
1=Diarrhoea<br />
2=Pneumonia<br />
3=Fever<br />
4= Measles<br />
(Footnotes)<br />
1 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />
2 8 FAO Household Dietary Diversity Tool<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
7.10: Somalia Livelihood Zones<br />
DJIBOUTI<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />
Zeylac<br />
Lughaye<br />
AWDAL<br />
Borama<br />
Gebiley<br />
SOMALIA: LIVELIHOOD ZONES<br />
Baki<br />
Berbera<br />
W. GALBEED<br />
Ceel Afweyne<br />
Sheikh<br />
Bossaaso<br />
Ceerigaabo Las Qoray/Badhan<br />
Iskushuban<br />
SANAG<br />
Calula<br />
Qandala<br />
BARI<br />
Executive Summary<br />
101<br />
Hargeysa<br />
Owdweyne<br />
Burco<br />
TOGDHEER<br />
Caynabo<br />
Xudun<br />
SOOL<br />
Talex<br />
Qardho<br />
Bandar Beyla<br />
Buuhoodle<br />
Laas Caanood<br />
Garowe<br />
Burtinle<br />
NUGAL<br />
Eyl<br />
ETHIOPIA<br />
Cabudwaaq<br />
Goldogob<br />
Cadaado<br />
Jariiban<br />
Galkacyo<br />
MUDUG<br />
Hobyo<br />
Indian Ocean<br />
Dhusa Mareeb<br />
KENYA<br />
GEDO<br />
Ceel Waq<br />
Baardheere<br />
Sakow<br />
Hagar<br />
Afmadow<br />
M. JUBA<br />
BAY<br />
BAKOOL<br />
HIIRAN<br />
Rab-Dhuure<br />
Xudur<br />
Dolo<br />
Bulo Barde<br />
Luuq Wajid Tayeglow<br />
Beled Hawa<br />
Garbaharey<br />
Baydhaba<br />
Qansax Dheere<br />
Bur Hakaba<br />
Balcad<br />
Afgoye<br />
Dinsor<br />
"/<br />
Qoryoley<br />
Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />
Sablale<br />
Bu'aale<br />
Brava<br />
Jilib<br />
Ceel Barde<br />
L. SHABELLE<br />
MOGADISHU<br />
GALGADUD<br />
Beled Weyne<br />
Ceel Bur<br />
Jalalaqsi<br />
Jowhar<br />
Wanle Weyne<br />
Ceel Dheere<br />
Aden Yabal<br />
Cadale<br />
M. SHABELLE<br />
BANADIR<br />
Harardheere<br />
Livelihood zones<br />
Addun Pastoral: Mixed sheep & goats, camel<br />
Awdal border & coastal towns: Petty trading, fishing, salt mining<br />
Central regions Agro-Pastoral: Cowpea, sheep & goats, camel, cattle<br />
Coastal Deeh: Sheep<br />
Dawo Pastoral: Shoats, cattle, camel<br />
East Golis Pastoral: Frankinncense<br />
Fishing<br />
Gagaab Pastoral: Frankincense<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>ban Pastoral: Sheep, goats & camel<br />
Hawd Pastoral: Camel, sheep & goats<br />
Hiran Agro-Pastoral<br />
Hiran riverine: Sorghum, maize, cattle & shoats<br />
Juba pump irrigation: Tobacco, onions, maize<br />
Kakaar-Dharor Pastoral: Sheep, goats, camel<br />
L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral Irrigated: Maize/Sorghum & cattle<br />
L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral rain-fed: Maize,cowpeas, sesame & cattle<br />
Lower Juba Agro-Pastoral: Maize & cattle<br />
North-West Agro-Pastoral: Sorghum, cattle<br />
North-West Valley Agro-Pastoral: Irrigated vegetables, shoats<br />
Nugal Valley Pastoral: Sheep & camel<br />
Potato zone & vegetables<br />
Shabelle riverine: Maize, fruits & vegetables<br />
Sool-Sanag Plateau Pastoral: Camel, sheep & goats<br />
L. JUBA<br />
Badhadhe<br />
Kismayo<br />
Jamaame<br />
±<br />
0 20 40 80 120 160 200<br />
South-East Pastoral: Cattle, sheep & goats<br />
Southern Agro-Pastoral: Camel, cattle, sorghum<br />
Southern Juba riverine: Maize, sesame, fruits & vegetables<br />
Southern coastal pastoral: Goats, cattle<br />
Togdheer Agro-Pastoral: Sheep, goats & vegetables<br />
Urban<br />
West Golis Pastoral: Goats, camel, sheep<br />
Kilometers<br />
Bay-Bakool Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />
Bakool Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />
Bay Agro-pastoral High Potential<br />
Southern Inland Pastoral: Camel, Sheep & Goats<br />
Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2009,<br />
Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998<br />
Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsausomali.org<br />
P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsau.or.ke<br />
tel: 254-20-3745734 fax:254-20-3740598<br />
FSAU is managed by FAO.<br />
The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.<br />
The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />
Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>
Executive<br />
102<br />
8. Glossary of Terms<br />
Anthropometry The technique that deals with the<br />
measurements of the size, height, weight, and proportions<br />
of the human body.<br />
Baseline data Baseline data represent the situation before<br />
or at the beginning of a program or intervention. Survey<br />
data may be compared to baseline data if defined criteria<br />
for comparison are met (e.g., similar methods and coverage)<br />
Bias Anything other than sampling error which causes the<br />
survey result to differ from the actual population prevalence<br />
or rate.<br />
Chronic Malnutrition Chronic malnutrition is an indicator<br />
of nutritional status over time. Chronically malnourished<br />
children are shorter (stunted) than their comparable age<br />
group.<br />
Cluster Sampling Cluster sampling requires the division of<br />
the population into smaller geographical units, e.g. villages<br />
or neighbourhoods. In a first step, survey organizers select<br />
a defined number of units among all geographical units. In a<br />
second and sometimes third step, households are selected<br />
within the units using simple random sampling, systematic<br />
random sampling, or the modified EPI method.<br />
Confidence interval When sampling is used, any figure<br />
derived from the data is an estimate of the actual value and<br />
is subject to sampling errors, i.e., there is a risk that the<br />
result obtained is not exactly equal to the actual value. The<br />
estimated prevalence coming out of a sample is therefore<br />
accompanied by a confidence interval, a range of values<br />
within which the actual value of the entire population is likely<br />
to be included. This value is generally 95% in nutrition and<br />
mortality surveys. This means that we can be 95% confident<br />
that the true prevalence lies within the given range.<br />
Crude mortality rate (CMR) Mortality rate from all causes of<br />
death for a population (Number of deaths during a specified<br />
period /number of persons at risk of dying during that period)<br />
X time period.<br />
Cut-off points The point on a nutritional index used to<br />
classify or screen individuals’ anthropometric status.<br />
Design Effect (DE) Cluster sampling results in greater<br />
statistical variance (see definition below) than simple<br />
random sampling because health outcomes tend to be<br />
more similar within than between geographical units (see<br />
cluster sampling). To compensate for the resulting loss in<br />
precision, the sample size calculated for simple random<br />
sampling must be multiplied by a factor called “design<br />
effect”; A measure of how evenly or unevenly the outcome<br />
(for example wasting, stunting, or mortality) is distributed in<br />
the population being sampled.<br />
Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) GAM includes all<br />
children suffering from moderate and severe acute<br />
malnutrition; percent of children under 5 who have low<br />
weight-for-height measured by -2 z-scores and with or<br />
without oedema.<br />
Growth Monitoring Observation of a child growth over<br />
time by periodic assessment of his/her weight-for-height<br />
or weight-for-age.<br />
Household A group of persons who live together and eat<br />
from the same pot (i.e. the Household Economy Approach).<br />
Kwashiorkor Sign of severe malnutrition characterized by<br />
bilateral oedema.<br />
Malnutrition State in which the physical function of an<br />
individual is impaired to the point where he or she can no<br />
longer maintain adequate bodily performance process such<br />
as growth, pregnancy, lactation, physical work, and resisting<br />
and recovering from disease.<br />
Morbidity A condition related to a disease or illness.<br />
Oedema An accumulation of excessive extra cellular fluid in<br />
the body; a distinguishing characteristic of kwashiorkor when<br />
bilateral. All children with nutritional oedema are classified<br />
as severely malnourished.<br />
Outcome Wasting and mortality are examples of outcomes<br />
measured in surveys.<br />
Prevalence Proportion of a population with a disease or<br />
condition of interest at a designated time.<br />
P-value If you want to know whether there is a significant<br />
difference between two survey estimates, frequently a<br />
statistical test is applied and a P value calculated. The P<br />
value is the probability that the two estimates differ by chance<br />
or sampling error.<br />
Recall period A defined period in the past used to<br />
calculate estimated mortality and/or morbidity rates.<br />
Reference Population The NCHS (1977) and WHO (2006)<br />
reference values are based on two large surveys of healthy<br />
children, whose measurements represent an international<br />
reference for deriving an individual’s anthropometric status.<br />
Sample A subset of the total population that should be<br />
selected at random to guarantee a representation of the<br />
total population.<br />
Sample size The size of the sample calculated based on<br />
objectives of the survey and statistical considerations.<br />
Sampling error Sampling error is the degree to which a<br />
sample might differ from the whole target population, e.g.,<br />
how well it represents a target population or total population.<br />
Sampling error can be quantified (e.g., in a confidence<br />
interval).<br />
Sampling frame The list of all the ultimate sampling units<br />
from which the sample is selected.<br />
Sampling interval The sampling interval is the total number<br />
of sampling units in the population divided by the desired<br />
sample size.<br />
Sampling unit The unit that is selected during the process of<br />
sampling; depending on the sampling process the sampling<br />
unit can be a person, household, cluster, district, etc.<br />
Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM) SAM includes<br />
all children suffering from severe malnutrition; percent of<br />
children under 5 who have low weight-for-height measured<br />
by -3 z-scores and with or without oedema.<br />
Simple Random Sampling The process in which each<br />
sampling unit is selected at random one at a time from a list<br />
of all the sampling units in the population.<br />
Stunting (chronic malnutrition) Growth failure in a child<br />
that occurs over a slow cumulative process as a result of<br />
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inadequate nutrition and/or repeated infections; stunted<br />
children are short for their age and may look younger<br />
than their actual age; it is not possible to reverse stunting;<br />
measured by the height-for-age index.<br />
Systematic Random Sampling (SRS) A methodology<br />
which selects a sampling unit at random, then selects every<br />
n th household thereafter, where ‘n’ equals the sampling<br />
interval.<br />
Underweight Percentage of children under the age of<br />
five with weight-for-age below -2SD from median weightfor-age<br />
of reference population.<br />
Urban town/center (based on UNDP definition/Pre-War<br />
definition): The regional capital and all the district capitals.<br />
These urban areas had most of the social amenities such<br />
as schools, mosques, district hospitals, markets, etc.<br />
Moreover, there was a greater prospect of the visible<br />
presence of some sort of local government or administrative<br />
structures in the regional and district capitals.<br />
Wasting (1) Growth failure as a result of recent rapid weight<br />
loss or failure to gain weight; wasted children are extremely<br />
thin; readily reversible once condition improve; wasting is<br />
measured by the weight-for-height index.<br />
Wasting (2) Percentage of children under the age of five<br />
suffering from moderate or severe wasting (below minus<br />
two standard deviations from median weight-for-height of<br />
reference population). Wasting differs from acute malnutrition<br />
because it does not take into consideration the presence/<br />
absence of oedema.<br />
Z-score Score expressed as a deviation from the mean<br />
value in terms of standard deviation units; the term is used in<br />
analyzing continuous variables such as heights and weights<br />
of a sample.<br />
Executive Summary<br />
103<br />
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Executive<br />
104<br />
<strong>Report</strong> compiled by:<br />
Abdikarim Ducale<br />
Abdillahi Warsame<br />
Fuad Hassan<br />
Mohamed M. Hassan<br />
Abukar Yusuf<br />
Ahono Busili<br />
Elijah Odundo<br />
Joseph Waweru<br />
Louise Masese-Mwirigi<br />
Mohamed Borle<br />
Tom Oguta<br />
Special Contributions:<br />
Grainne Moloney<br />
Tamara Nanitashvilli<br />
Ahono Busili<br />
Design and Layout<br />
Barasa Sindani<br />
Catherine Kimani<br />
Acknowledgements:<br />
<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Field Team<br />
Osman Warsame<br />
Khalif Nouh<br />
Zainab Jama<br />
IASC Somalia<br />
Leo Matunga<br />
UNICEF/<strong>Nutrition</strong> Cluster<br />
Dr. Kamran Mashhadi<br />
WHO/Health Cluster<br />
<strong>Gu</strong>charan Virdee - GenCAP Advisor<br />
UNOCHA<br />
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Executive Summary<br />
The Information Management Process<br />
105<br />
Gathering & processing<br />
• <strong>FSNAU</strong> has a unique network of 32 specialists all over Somalia, who assess the nutrition and food security situation<br />
regularly and 120 enumerators throughout the country, who provide a rich source of information to ensure a good<br />
coverage of data.<br />
• <strong>Nutrition</strong> data is processed and analyzed using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS), EPInfo/ENA and<br />
STATA software for meta-analysis.<br />
• <strong>FSNAU</strong> developed the Integrated Phase Classification (IPC), a set of protocols for consolidating and summarizing<br />
situational analysis. The mapping tool provides a common classification system for food security that draws from the<br />
strengths of existing classification systems and integrates them with supporting tools for analysis and communication<br />
of food insecurity.<br />
• Food security information is gathered through rapid assessments as well as monthly monitoring of market prices,<br />
climate, crop and livestock situations.<br />
• Baseline livelihood analysis is conducted using an expanded Household Economy Approach (HEA).<br />
• The Integrated Database System (IDS), an online repository on <strong>FSNAU</strong>’s official website www.fsnau.org, provides<br />
a web-based user interface for data query, data import and export facilities from and into MS Excel, graphing,<br />
spreadsheet management and edit functions.<br />
Validation of Analysis<br />
• Quality control of nutrition data is done using the automated plausibility checks function in ENA software. The<br />
parameters tested include; missing/flagged data, age distribution, kurtosis, digit preference, skewness and overall<br />
sex ratio.<br />
• Quality control of food security data is done through exploratory and trend analysis of the different variables<br />
including checks for completeness/missing data, market price consistency, seasonal and pattern trends, ground<br />
truthing and triangulation of data with staff and other partner agencies, and secondary data such as satelitte imagery,<br />
international market prices, <strong>FSNAU</strong> baseline data, etc.<br />
• Before the launch of the biannual seasonal assessment results (<strong>Gu</strong> and Deyr), two separate day-long vetting meetings<br />
are held comprising of major technical organizations and agencies in Somalia’s Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> clusters.<br />
The team critically reviews the analysis presented by <strong>FSNAU</strong> and challenges the overall analysis where necessary. This<br />
is an opportunity to share the detailed analysis, which is often not possible during shorter presentations or in the<br />
briefs.<br />
Products and Dissemination<br />
• A broad range of <strong>FSNAU</strong> information products include, monthly, quarterly and biannual reports on food and<br />
livelihood insecurity, markets, climate and nutrition, which are distributed both in print and digital formats including<br />
PowerPoint presentations and downloadable file available on the <strong>FSNAU</strong> site.<br />
• Feedback meetings with key audiences enable us to evaluate the effectiveness of our information products. We<br />
constantly refine our information to make sure it is easily understandable to our different audiences.<br />
• <strong>FSNAU</strong> has also developed a three year integrated communication strategy to ensure that its information products<br />
are made available in ways appropriate to different audiences including, donors, aid and development agencies, the<br />
media, Somalia authorities and the general public.<br />
United Nations Somalia, Ngecha Road Campus<br />
Box 1230, Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya<br />
Tel: +254-(0)20-4000000/500, Cell: +254-(0)722202146 / (0)733-616881<br />
Fax: +254-20-4000555<br />
Email: info@fsnau.org<br />
Website: www.fsnau.org<br />
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