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<strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis<br />

<strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

<strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No VI. 41<br />

September 28, <strong>2011</strong><br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

Analysis Unit - Somalia<br />

Information for Better Livelihood<br />

Funding Agencies<br />

Swiss<br />

Swiss<br />

Agency<br />

Agency<br />

for<br />

for<br />

Development<br />

Development<br />

and<br />

and<br />

Cooperation<br />

Cooperation<br />

SDC<br />

SDC<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

ii<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Acknowledgements<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> would like to thank all our 24 partner agencies for their participation and support in the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> seasonal<br />

nutrition assessments and analysis.<br />

From April through August <strong>2011</strong>, a total of 60 nutrition surveys were conducted based on standard SMART<br />

methodology. 15 of the nutrition surveys were conducted in August <strong>2011</strong> in the south, as part of the rolling surveys<br />

to inform on the evolving nutrition situation following the declaration of famine in parts of the south. Additionally,<br />

about 100 health facilities were visited, and 28 rapid assessments conducted with 1,180 children measured in two<br />

rural livelihoods; 3,860 children in 23 urban settlements, and 2800 children measured in two IDP settlements.<br />

Executive Acknowledgement Summary<br />

iii<br />

Without the support and expertise of 8 local NGOs, 3 International NGOs, 3 Local Authorities, 8 line Ministries and<br />

2 UN agencies, this would not have been possible. Special thanks to UNICEF, and the World Food Program, for<br />

financial and/or technical support; and to the nutrition and health cluster coordinators, and the UNOCHA GenCAP<br />

Advisor for contributions to this publication.<br />

A sincere note of appreciation goes to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> nutrition team based in Somalia who work under very difficult<br />

conditions yet continue to produce such high quality professional work. Contributions from the <strong>FSNAU</strong> food security,<br />

data systems and gender advisory teams are also acknowledged.<br />

Participating Partners<br />

United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), World Food Programme (WFP), Ministry of Health (MOH), Ministry of<br />

Health (MOH Somaliland), Ministry of Agriculture (Somaliland), Ministry of Environment and Rural Development,<br />

Ministry of Labour and Family Affairs, and NERAD (Somaliland); Ministry of Health (Puntland), Ministry of Women<br />

Development and Family Affairs (MoWDFA), Ministry of Wildlife, Tourism and Environment (Puntland), Puntland<br />

State of Water and Energy (PSWEN). Intersos, Medair, Muslim Aid – UK; Somalia Red Crescent Society (SRCS),<br />

AFREC, New Ways, Murdo, Zam Zam, Asal, Sorrdo, TRG.<br />

Mahad Sanid<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive Table of Contents<br />

TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

1 Executive Summary 1<br />

2 Cases of Acutely Malnourished Children in somalia 7<br />

3 <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis in Somalia 11<br />

iv<br />

4. REGIONAL NUTRITION ANALYSIS 15<br />

4.1 Gedo Region 15<br />

4.2 MIDDLE and LOWER Juba Regions 21<br />

4.3 Bay and Bakool Regions 26<br />

4.4 Middle and Lower Shabelle Regions 33<br />

4.5 hiran region 41<br />

4.6 Central Somalia: Galgadud and Mudug regions 45<br />

4.7 Northeast Regions 50<br />

4.8 Northwest Regions 63<br />

5 Urban Summary Findings 74<br />

6 Plausibility checks 76<br />

7 APPENDICES 81<br />

7.1 Progression of Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation <strong>Gu</strong>’07 - <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 81<br />

7.2 <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 83<br />

7.3. Mortality Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 88<br />

7.4. IDP <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 89<br />

7.5. Rapid MUAC Assessment Form 93<br />

7.6 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form with Food Security Questions 94<br />

7.7 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form without Food Security Questions 95<br />

7.8 Rapid Data Collection Form 96<br />

7.9 Urban Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> 97<br />

7.10: Somalia Livelihood Zones 100<br />

List of Tables<br />

Table 1: Timeline of Activities for <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analysis 2<br />

Table 2: Somalia Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, Population Numbers, Aug - Sep, <strong>2011</strong> 8<br />

Table 3: Cases of Acute Malnutrition in Somalia, by Region, August <strong>2011</strong> 9<br />

Table 4: <strong>Nutrition</strong> key targets August ’11-February ’12 11<br />

Table 5. The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Classification Framework, Draft 7, Jul 2010 13<br />

Table 6: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 1<br />

Table 7: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, Gedo Riverine August, <strong>2011</strong> 19<br />

Table 8: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 24<br />

Table 9: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, August <strong>2011</strong> 25<br />

Table 10: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bakool Region - July &August <strong>2011</strong> 28<br />

Table 11: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bay Regions- July &August <strong>2011</strong> 31<br />

Table 12: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Middle Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong> 35<br />

Table 13: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Lower Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong> 36<br />

Table 14: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Mogadishu Town and IDPs, April -August <strong>2011</strong> 38<br />

Table 15: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region, July-August <strong>2011</strong> 43<br />

Table 16: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region (Agro-pastoral), July-August <strong>2011</strong> 44<br />

Table 17: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions, July <strong>2011</strong> 47<br />

Table 18: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Cowpea Belt Agro-pastoral and Coastal Deeh Livelihood<br />

zones of Central Region, July <strong>2011</strong> 49<br />

Table 19: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast Regions, May - July 53<br />

Table 20: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions, July <strong>2011</strong> 55<br />

Table 21: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast IDPs, May - June <strong>2011</strong> 57<br />

Table 22: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast and Central IDPs, May - June <strong>2011</strong> 59<br />

Table 23: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Sool Plateau, Nugal Valley and West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />

Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 66<br />

Table 24: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, East Golis and Agro-pastoral Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong> 68<br />

Table 25: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings for Hargeisa, Burao and Berbera IDPs May-June <strong>2011</strong> 71<br />

Table 26: Summary of Urban Findings: North West and East; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, July <strong>2011</strong> 75<br />

Table 27: South and Central Urban MUAC Summary Findings; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, July <strong>2011</strong> 76<br />

Table 28: Plausibility Checks 78<br />

Table 29: Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments, May - July <strong>2011</strong> 79<br />

Table 30: Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments, August <strong>2011</strong> 81<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


List of Maps<br />

Map 1: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, January <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />

Map 2: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, August <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />

Map 3: Somalia Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, August, <strong>2011</strong> 7<br />

Map 4:<br />

Distribution of estimated Cases (%) of Acutely Malnourished Children in Somalia by Region,<br />

based on Prevalence, August <strong>2011</strong> 10<br />

Map 5: Gedo Region Livelihood Systems 15<br />

Map 6: Juba Regions Livelihood Zones 21<br />

Map 7: Bay and Bakool Regions Livelihood Zones 26<br />

Map 8: Shabelle Livelihood Zones 33<br />

Map 9: Hiran Region Livelihood Zones 41<br />

Map 10: Central regions Livelihood Zones 45<br />

Map 11: Northeast Livelihood Zones 50<br />

Map 12: Northwest Livelihood Zones 63<br />

Executive Table of Contents Summary<br />

v<br />

List of Figures<br />

Figure 1: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition, WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or<br />

Oedema <strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) South Somalia 1<br />

Figure 2: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition, WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or<br />

Oedema <strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) North/Central Somalia 3<br />

Figure 3: Crude and Under 5 Death rates in May - August <strong>2011</strong> 3<br />

Figure 4: Trends of AWD and Cholera cases at Banadir Hospital, Mogadishu, WHO September <strong>2011</strong> 4<br />

Figure 5: Median Rates, Median Rates, GAM and SAM (WHO GS) July - August <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />

Figure 6: Median Rates, Stunting, WHO GS, July-August <strong>2011</strong> 5<br />

Figure 7: Proportion of Total Cases of Acutely malnourished children (WHZ


Executive Acronyms<br />

vi<br />

AWD<br />

ARI<br />

AFLC<br />

BFI<br />

CDC<br />

CDR<br />

CHD<br />

CI<br />

COSV<br />

FAO<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong><br />

FEWSNET<br />

GAM<br />

HAZ<br />

HE<br />

HIS<br />

IDP<br />

INGO<br />

LZ<br />

MCH<br />

MOH<br />

MT<br />

MUAC<br />

NCHS<br />

NGO<br />

OTP<br />

OPD<br />

PWA<br />

R<br />

RR<br />

SAM<br />

SC<br />

SC-UK<br />

SRCS<br />

SD<br />

SFP<br />

TFC<br />

TOT<br />

U5DR<br />

UNHCR<br />

UNICEF<br />

WAZ<br />

WHO<br />

WFP<br />

WHZ<br />

WVI<br />

LIST OF ACRONYMS USED<br />

Acute Watery Diarrhea<br />

Acute Respiratory Tract Infections<br />

Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />

borderline Food Insecure<br />

Center for Disease Control<br />

Crude Death Rate<br />

Child Health Days<br />

Confidence Interval<br />

Co-operatione Di Svillupo International<br />

Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit<br />

Famine Early Warning System Network<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition<br />

Height for Age Z Scores<br />

Humanitarian Emergency<br />

Health Information System<br />

Internally Displaced persons<br />

International Nongovernmental Organization<br />

Livelihood Zone<br />

Maternal and Child Health Center<br />

Ministry of Health<br />

Metric Tonne<br />

Mid Upper Arm Circumference<br />

National Center for Health Statistics<br />

Non governmental organisation<br />

Out Patient Therapeutic Programme<br />

Out Patient Department<br />

<strong>Post</strong> War Average<br />

Reliability Score<br />

Relative Risk/Risk Ratio<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition<br />

Stabilization Center<br />

Save the Children - UK<br />

Somalia Red Crescent Societies<br />

Standard Deviation<br />

Selective/Supplementary Feeding Program<br />

Therapeutic Feeding Center<br />

Terms of Trade<br />

Under Five Death Rate<br />

United Nations High Commission for Refugees<br />

United Nations Children’s Fund<br />

Weight-for-Age Z Scores<br />

World Health Organization of the United Nations<br />

World Food Program of the United Nations<br />

Weight for Height Z Scores<br />

World Vision International<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive Forward Summary<br />

vii<br />

Forward<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> report (September <strong>2011</strong>) is the sixth edition<br />

of the bi-annual nutrition situation technical series launched by the Food Security and<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit (<strong>FSNAU</strong>) in February 2009. The publication complements the<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> bi-annual seasonal technical series reports and provides specific focus on<br />

nutrition information for the last 6 months.<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> report will be<br />

released in the coming week, and provides a detailed analysis by region and by sector,<br />

of the integrated food security situation.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

viii<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


1. Executive Summary<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Overview<br />

The complete failure of the October-December 2010 Deyr<br />

rains and the poor performance of the April-June <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Gu</strong><br />

<strong>2011</strong> rains have resulted in the worst annual crop production<br />

in 17 years, reduced labour demand, below-average<br />

livestock prices, and excess animal mortality. The decline<br />

in maize and sorghum availability has subsequently pushed<br />

local cereal prices to record level high and, in combination<br />

with reduced livestock prices and wages, substantially<br />

reduced household purchasing power in all livelihood zones.<br />

Large-scale displacement and significant limitations<br />

on humanitarian access have further exacerbated the<br />

negative food access and health outcomes.<br />

As a result, the food security and nutrition situation is grim<br />

across the country, and particularly in the south where<br />

insecurity hinders humanitarian access to provide the<br />

much needed support. Pure farmers (riverine livelihood<br />

zone) and agro-pastoralists in the south are more inclined<br />

to crop production and therefore sedentary by nature, are<br />

most affected, as are cattle-rearing pastoralists who have<br />

experienced significant livestock losses due to lack of browse<br />

and water. Emergency levels of acute malnutrition and<br />

mortality persist in cross border refugee camps as<br />

well. Conditions are especially dire in the new camps in<br />

southern Ethiopia, where acute malnutrition exceeds 30<br />

percent and death rates have likely surpassed famine<br />

threshold of 2/10,000/day, despite adequate stocks of<br />

food aid.<br />

From April to August <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>FSNAU</strong> and partners conducted 60<br />

representative nutrition surveys in Somalia, covering internally<br />

displaced persons (IDPs), rural, and urban livelihoods zones.<br />

Of these, 18 were done in the Southern population groups,<br />

including 2 in the Afgoye & Mogadishu IDPs in July and<br />

16 in the rural livelihoods , and 16 repeat surveys in the<br />

same groups in August <strong>2011</strong>. Access was not permitted in<br />

Lower Shabelle to repeat the 2 rural surveys there. In north<br />

and central regions, nine surveys were conducted in rural<br />

livelihoods in July <strong>2011</strong>, and 17 in IDPs and urban livelihoods in<br />

May-June <strong>2011</strong>. Mogadishu urban population was assessed<br />

in April <strong>2011</strong>. A summary of key findings are provided in tables<br />

29 and 30.<br />

Analysis of the findings indicates massive deterioration in<br />

the nutrition situation across all population groups in the<br />

south, and considerable decline in the IDP camps and rural<br />

livelihoods in the north since the Deyr 2010/11 (Maps 1 & 2).<br />

Southern Regions<br />

Currently, the global acute malnutrition (GAM) rates indicate<br />

a Very Critical nutrition situation across the south, and are<br />

above 30% in all livelihood zones except for the riverine<br />

(farmers) of Middle Shabelle and Hiran, and pastoralists of<br />

Hiran and Gedo (Figure 1).<br />

The alarming situation in the south necessitated follow<br />

up surveys in the different population groups, in August<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, findings of which indicate a persistent Very Critical<br />

situation with deteriorations in<br />

• Bay agro-pastoralists: GAM rate of 58.3% (52.1-64.2)<br />

and SAM rate of 22.1% (18.2-26.5).<br />

• Mogadishu IDPs: GAM rate of 45.6% (40.5-50.8) and<br />

SAM rate of 23.0% (19.2-27.2)<br />

• Afgoye IDPs: GAM rate of 46.0 (40.8-51.3) and SAM rate<br />

of 24.7% (20.2-29.8).<br />

Besides the alarming levels of acute malnutrition with GAM<br />

rates in excess of 30%, the crude death rates in Bay and<br />

Bakool agro-pastoralists, Lower Shabelle riverine and agropastoralists,<br />

Afgoye and Mogdishu IDPs also exceed the<br />

IPC famine and WHO emergency threshold of 2/10,000/day.<br />

UNFAO/<strong>FSNAU</strong> and Fewsnet in July <strong>2011</strong> and August<br />

<strong>2011</strong> declared famine in these population groups based<br />

on the following core food security, nutrition and<br />

mortality indicators, and in line with the Integrated Phase<br />

Classification (IPC) of food security:<br />

• 20% of population in the affected areas unable to<br />

access food.<br />

• GAM rate of 30% and above findings from nutrition<br />

surveys conducted at the time<br />

• Crude death rate of 2 per 10,000 per day, or above,<br />

which denotes the WHO emergency threshold<br />

A summary of findings in South Somalia are provided in<br />

Figure 1.<br />

Proportion Acutely Malnourished<br />

A girl and her newly born sibling, Mogadishu IDPs,<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Figure 1: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition,<br />

WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or Oedema<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) South Somalia<br />

60<br />

45<br />

30<br />

15<br />

0<br />

Gedo Agropast.<br />

Gedo Riverine<br />

Hiran Agropast.<br />

Hiran Pastoral<br />

Hiran Riverine<br />

L.Shabelle Agropast.<br />

L.Shabelle Riverine<br />

M.Shabelle Agropast.<br />

M.Shabelle Riverine<br />

Bakool Pastoral<br />

Bakool Agropast.<br />

GAM<br />

Juba Pastoral<br />

Juba Agropast.<br />

Juba Riverine<br />

Gedo Pastoral<br />

Bay Agropast.<br />

Mogadishu IDPs<br />

Afgoye IDPs<br />

Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Aug Jul Jul<br />

SAM<br />

Executive Summary<br />

1<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

2<br />

Table 1: Timeline of Activities for <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

Situation Analysis<br />

SNo.<br />

NUTRITION SURVEYS <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Livelihood Zone/Population Group<br />

PERIOD<br />

April-August <strong>2011</strong><br />

1 Lower Shabelle Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

2 Lower Shabelle Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

3<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hiran Pastoral<br />

4 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

5 Hiran Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

6 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

7<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hiran Agropastoral<br />

8 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

9 Middle Shabelle Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

10 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

11 Middle Shabelle Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

12 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

13 Bay Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

14 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

15 Bakool Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

16 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

17 Bakool Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

18 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

19 Juba Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

20 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

21 Juba Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

22 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

23 Juba Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

24 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

25 Gedo Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

26 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

27 Gedo Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

28 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

29 Gedo Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

30 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

31 Mogadishu IDPs July <strong>2011</strong><br />

32 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

33 Afgoye IDPs July <strong>2011</strong><br />

34 August <strong>2011</strong><br />

35 Agropastoral (Togdheer & Northwest) July <strong>2011</strong><br />

36 West Golis /<strong>Gu</strong>banPastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

37 Sool Plateau (Northwest and Northeast) July <strong>2011</strong><br />

38 Hawd Pastoral (Northwest) July <strong>2011</strong><br />

39<br />

East Golis/Kakaar Pastoral (Northwest<br />

and Northeast)<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

40<br />

Nugal Valley Pastoral (Northwest and<br />

Northeast)<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

41 Coastal Deeh (Northeast) July <strong>2011</strong><br />

42 Hawd Pastoral (Central and Northeast) July <strong>2011</strong><br />

43 Sool Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />

44 Sanaag Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />

45 Bari Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />

46 Nugal Region Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />

47 North Mudug Urban July <strong>2011</strong><br />

48 Hargeisa IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

49 Burao IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

50 Berbera IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

51 Bossaso IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

52 Qardho IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

53 Garowe IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

54 Galkayo IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

55 Margaga IDPs-North Mudug End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

56 Dusamareb IDPs End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

57 Awdal Region Uban End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

58 Woq Galbeed Region Urban End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

59 Togdheer Region Urban End of May – June <strong>2011</strong><br />

60 Mogadishu Urban April <strong>2011</strong><br />

Northern Regions<br />

Analysis of findings from the livelihood based nutrition<br />

surveys in the north indicates a varied situation. (Figure 2).<br />

There is deterioration to Very Critical phase in<br />

• West Golis, where GAM rate is 22.0% (18.9-25.4) and<br />

SAM rate is 5.0% (3.4-7.4); and<br />

• Nugal Valley with GAM rate of 23.2% (18.5-28.1) and<br />

SAM rate of 6.7 (4.4-10.0).<br />

Similarly, the situation has deteriorated to Critical levels<br />

in Sool Plateau with GAM rate of 15.9% (13.6-18.4) and<br />

SAM rate of 4.0% (2.9-5.4). The deterioration is mainly<br />

attributed to poor access to water, milk and milk products<br />

following massive livestock losses in Sool and the coastal<br />

regions, and seasonal out-migration of livestock mainly to<br />

the Hawd (of Hargeisa) which had water and pasture. The<br />

health situation is also poor with outbreaks of acute watery<br />

diarrhea and dengue fever in Wooqoyi Galbeed region, and<br />

measles in Nugal and Bari regions. Poor access to health<br />

care services exacerbated by infrastructural constraints<br />

in Golis and Coastal Deeh are also a limiting factor. The<br />

situation has been mitigated by active social support in terms<br />

of in-kind cash, and child health days.<br />

A Serious situation is sustained in the Northwest agropastoralists,<br />

East Golis and Hawd pastoral livelihood zone<br />

of Central/Northeast regions. There is general improvement<br />

in the nutrition situation in the Hawd of Hargeisa, Togdheer<br />

and Lasanod to Alert phase mainly due to improved milk<br />

access from local livestock and in-migration of livestock<br />

from Nugal Valley and Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban for water and pasture.<br />

Central Regions<br />

The Hawd of Mudug and Galgaduud Regions is in a<br />

sustained Serious nutrition phase with GAM rate of 14.4%<br />

(10.9-18.8) and SAM rate of 3.8% (2.4-6.0). Although suboptimal,<br />

the situation is better compared to the other parts<br />

of Central regions, mainly due to better but limited access to<br />

milk and milk products, and on-going humanitarian food and<br />

health assistance. Addun livelihood zone has deteriorated<br />

to Critical levels, since the Deyr 2010/11, with a GAM rate<br />

of 17.8% (13.3-23.6) and SAM rate of 4.1% (2.5-6.7). This<br />

is likely attributed to poor household food access, and<br />

limited humanitarian assistance due to security reasons.<br />

Additionally, acute watery diarrhea outbreak and cholera are<br />

also reported in Galgaduud and Mudug regions (Figure 2).<br />

Cowpea belt is likely Critical and the Coastal Deeh likely<br />

Very Critical mainly due to food in-access resulting from<br />

total crop failure and massive livestock losses during the<br />

January-March (Jilaal) period.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Figure 2: Global Acute and Severe Acute Malnutrition,<br />

WHO GS < -2 WHZ & < -3 WHZ and /or Oedema<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> (June-July <strong>2011</strong>) North/Central Somalia<br />

Proportion Acutely Malnourished<br />

60<br />

45<br />

30<br />

15<br />

0<br />

W.Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />

Hawd oF NW<br />

Agrop. NW - Tog<br />

Sool Plateau<br />

Nugal Valley<br />

E. Golis/Karkaar<br />

Coastal Deeh/NE<br />

Hawd of NE/C<br />

GAM<br />

Addun NE/C<br />

SAM<br />

Hargeisa IDPs<br />

Burao IDPs<br />

Berbera IDPs<br />

Qardho IDPs<br />

Garowe IDPs<br />

Galkayo IDPs<br />

Bossaso IDPs<br />

Margaga IDPs<br />

Dhusmareb IDPs<br />

Figure 3: Crude and Under 5 Death rates in May - Aug <strong>2011</strong><br />

Death Rate<br />

22<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16<br />

CDR U5DR<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

Riverine<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Riverine<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Afgoye<br />

Mogadishu<br />

Agropastoral-July<br />

Agropastoral-Aug<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Pastoral-July<br />

Pastoral-Aug<br />

Riverine-July<br />

Riverine-Aug<br />

Agropastoral-July<br />

Agropastora-Aug<br />

Pastoral-July<br />

Pastoral-Aug<br />

Riverine<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Pastoral<br />

Riverine<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Pastoral<br />

Hawd Pastoral<br />

Addun Pastoral<br />

Coastal Deeh<br />

West Golis<br />

Bossasso IDPs<br />

Galkayo IDPs<br />

Hargeisa IDPs<br />

Burao IDPs<br />

Berbera IDPs<br />

L. M. IDPS- Bay Bakool M&L Juba Gedo Hiran Central NE/NW NE IDPs NW IDPs<br />

Shabelle Shabelle South<br />

Regions<br />

Executive Summary<br />

3<br />

IDPs<br />

With the exception of Hargeisa and Berbera IDPs in a<br />

sustained Serious phase, the nutrition situation has<br />

deteriorated in all IDP settlements to Critical levels in<br />

Burao in Northwest, and to Very Critical in Bossaso,<br />

Qardho, Garowe, Galkayo, Margaga, and Dusamareb in<br />

the Northeast and Central regions. Bossaso IDP settlement<br />

reports and GAM rate of 24.4% (20.9-28.3) and SAM rate of<br />

4.7% (3.2-7.1). Findings from the other IDP settlements are<br />

illustrated in the Figure 2. Decreased income access for food<br />

purchase, as a result of seasonal port closure, together with<br />

high morbidity levels are the underlying factors.<br />

Death Rates<br />

Findings on the retrospective Crude Death Rates (CDR)<br />

across the country depict a varied scenario. In the rural<br />

and IDP populations in the north and central regions, the<br />

situation is Alert to Serious based on Sphere standards and<br />

the WHO thresholds. Hargeisa and Berbera IDPs are within<br />

acceptable levels with CDR


Executive<br />

4<br />

Cases of Acute Malnutrition<br />

The total cases of acute malnutrition, including those<br />

in severe state has been obtained by extrapolating the<br />

prevalence of global and severe acute malnutrition to the<br />

underfive population for each of the assessed population<br />

groups. At national level, therefore, the cumulative<br />

total is approximately 450,000 acutely malnourished<br />

children, which translates to 30% of the 1.5 million<br />

Somali Children. Of these, 190,000, or 13% of the 1.5<br />

million Somali children are severely malnourished. The<br />

south is worst hit, and currently hosts 336,000 (or 74%)<br />

of all the malnourished children, 160, 800 of whom<br />

(84%) are severely malnourished.<br />

Gender<br />

Statistical analysis both for the July seasonal and August<br />

repeat nutrition survey findings shows no significant<br />

difference between acute malnutrition and sex of the<br />

child, or with sex of household head. Likewise, there are<br />

no statistically significant differences between sex of the<br />

child with morbidity (based on recall), and child feeding<br />

practices. Nevertheless, across all the surveyed population<br />

groups, a higher proportion of boys than girls tended to be<br />

malnourished, necessitating further investigations. Sex<br />

disaggregated data is provided for each of the surveys<br />

conducted.<br />

Median levels of acute malnutrition based on the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

surveys indicate 27.3% in the country, with 34.2% in IDPs<br />

only, and 35.3% in the south. With regard to stunting, the<br />

national median rates are 21.1%, with 28.5% in IDPs, and<br />

23,5% in the south (Figure 5 and 6).<br />

A mother and child, Afgoye IDPs, <strong>FSNAU</strong>-July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Trends of acute watery diarrhoea (AWD)/cholera<br />

(Source: WHO Weekly Highlights 27 Aug – 2 Sept <strong>2011</strong> & 3-9 Sep <strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Poor sanitation conditions, a shortage of safe water,<br />

overcrowding and high malnutrition rates mare the perfect<br />

combination for infectious diseases, such as cholera, to<br />

spread and increase death rates. The cholera transmission<br />

season is ongoing. Some areas have received sporadic<br />

rains, posing a high risk for transmission of waterborne<br />

diseases, such as AWD. Communities tend to use<br />

contaminated water for domestic use, hence the high risk<br />

for sporadic outbreaks. Multiple rumors are currently being<br />

investigated.<br />

Confirmed cholera outbreaks are ongoing in Mogadishu<br />

(Banadir region), the Afgoye corridor. Meanwhile Baidoa<br />

(Bay region), Xarardere, Bursalah, Godldogob, and Hobyo<br />

district (Mudug region), Awdhegle and Wanlaweyne district<br />

(Lower Shabelle region) are under control. Confirmed<br />

measles and dengue fever cases have been identified in<br />

Mogadishu (Banadir region). Dengue fever is confirmed<br />

in Galbeed region of Somaliland.<br />

According to the WHO Somalia Health Response Update,<br />

September 3-9, <strong>2011</strong>, the outbreaks are likely to escalate<br />

with the increased displacements (Figure 4).<br />

A sleeping baby, <strong>FSNAU</strong>-Mogadishu IDPs- August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Figure 4: Trends of AWD and Cholera cases at Banadir<br />

Hospital, Mogadishu<br />

For details, contact wroffice@nbo.emro.who.int, or Dr.<br />

Kamran Mashhadi, mashhadik@nbo.emro.who.int<br />

Source WHO, September <strong>2011</strong><br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


MOGADISHU<br />

Kilometers<br />

MOGADISHU<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JULY 2010<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION<br />

August 16th, <strong>2011</strong><br />

Map 1: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, Jan <strong>2011</strong> Map 2: Somalia <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation, Aug <strong>2011</strong><br />

Calula<br />

BOSSASO<br />

!( !. Qandala<br />

Las Qoray/<br />

Zeylac<br />

Badhan Bossaaso<br />

Lughaye<br />

ERIGABO<br />

AWDAL<br />

!.<br />

Baki<br />

Iskushuban<br />

!(<br />

Borama<br />

Berbera<br />

SANAG<br />

BORAMA<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

BARI<br />

!.<br />

Sheikh<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Ceerigaabo<br />

Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />

!. !<br />

!. !(<br />

Qardho<br />

Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />

Caynabo Xudun<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

Talex<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Burco<br />

SOOL<br />

Laas Caanood Garowe<br />

Buuhoodle !. LAS ANOD GAROWE<br />

!.<br />

Eyl<br />

NUGAL<br />

Burtinle<br />

Calula<br />

BOSSASO<br />

!.<br />

Qandala<br />

Las Qoray/<br />

Zeylac<br />

Badhan Bossaaso<br />

Lughaye<br />

ERIGABO<br />

AWDAL<br />

!.<br />

!<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Baki<br />

Borama<br />

Berbera<br />

SANAG<br />

BORAMA<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

BARI<br />

!.<br />

Sheikh<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Ceerigaabo<br />

Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />

!. !<br />

!<br />

!. !<br />

Qardho<br />

Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />

Caynabo Xudun<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

Talex<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Burco<br />

SOOL<br />

Laas Caanood Garowe<br />

Buuhoodle !. LAS ANOD<br />

!.<br />

GAROWE<br />

NUGAL<br />

Burtinle<br />

Eyl<br />

Executive Summary<br />

5<br />

KENYA<br />

Goldogob<br />

Galkacyo<br />

GALKAYO<br />

!.<br />

Cadaado MUDUG<br />

Hobyo<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

!. DUSAMAREB<br />

!<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

GALGADUD<br />

BELET WEYNE<br />

Harardheere<br />

Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />

BAKOOL<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

Rab- Xudur<br />

Dhuure<br />

!. HUDUR<br />

HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />

Dolo<br />

Luuq<br />

Wajid<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

!.<br />

BAIDOA<br />

Cadale<br />

Garbaharey<br />

!.<br />

Qansax<br />

Jowhar<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Dheere<br />

Wanle Weyne !.<br />

GEDO<br />

BAY<br />

Acceptable<br />

M. SHABELLE<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Balcad<br />

Alert<br />

Dinsor<br />

Afgoye<br />

Baardheere<br />

!<br />

"/ ! BANADIR<br />

Serious<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Sakow<br />

!.<br />

Critical<br />

Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />

M. JUBA BU'AALE<br />

Very Critical<br />

Sablale L. SHABELLE<br />

!.<br />

Bu'aale Brava<br />

Likely Critical<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Likely Very Critical<br />

Afmadow<br />

Jilib<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Jamaame<br />

Critical<br />

KISMAAYO<br />

Very Critical<br />

Kismayo !.<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from June to<br />

July '11: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

Badhadhe<br />

and others<br />

Cadaado MUDUG<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

Hobyo<br />

DUSAMAREB<br />

!.<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

GALGADUD<br />

BELET WEYNE<br />

Harardheere<br />

Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />

BAKOOL<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

Rab- Xudur<br />

Dhuure<br />

!. HUDUR<br />

HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />

Dolo<br />

Luuq<br />

Wajid<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

!.<br />

Cadale<br />

Garbaharey<br />

BAIDOA<br />

!.<br />

Acceptable<br />

Jowhar M. ^<br />

Qansax<br />

SHABELLE<br />

Dheere<br />

Wanle Weyne!.<br />

JOWHAR<br />

Alert<br />

GEDO<br />

BAY<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Balcad<br />

Serious<br />

Dinsor<br />

Afgoye<br />

Baardheere<br />

!( BANADIR<br />

"/<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Critical<br />

Sakow<br />

Kurtun Warrey<br />

Marka !.<br />

Very Critical<br />

M. JUBA BU'AALESablale<br />

!.<br />

L. SHABELLE<br />

Bu'aale Brava<br />

Likely Serious<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Afmadow<br />

Jilib<br />

Likely Critical<br />

Likely Very Critical<br />

Jamaame<br />

KISMAAYO<br />

Hot Spot for Critical<br />

Kismayo !( !.<br />

^<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Projected Trend (July - December 2010)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from April to<br />

Uncertain<br />

July '10: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

and others<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

Tayeglow<br />

Figure 5: Median Rates, Median Rates, GAM and SAM<br />

(WHO GS) July -August <strong>2011</strong> (<strong>Gu</strong> ’11)<br />

Jariiban<br />

Swiss Agency for Development<br />

and Cooperation SDC<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

±<br />

0 37.5 75 150 225 300 375<br />

Tayeglow<br />

Funding Agencies<br />

Galkacyo<br />

Goldogob<br />

!<br />

!.<br />

GALKAYO<br />

Jariiban<br />

Swiss Agency for<br />

Development and<br />

Cooperation SDC<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

Figure 6: Median Rates, Stunting, WHO GS,<br />

July-August <strong>2011</strong> (<strong>Gu</strong> ’11)<br />

Projected Trend (August - December <strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

40.0<br />

35.0<br />

34.2<br />

GAM<br />

SAM<br />

35.3<br />

30.0<br />

28.5<br />

Total Stunting<br />

Severe Stunting<br />

Proportion Acutely Malnourished<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

27.3<br />

9.1<br />

14.2<br />

20.7<br />

5.0<br />

14.4<br />

3.1<br />

16.7 16.1<br />

4.1 4.0<br />

16.3<br />

Proportion Stunted<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

21.1<br />

6.5<br />

10.7<br />

20.5<br />

5.9<br />

10.0<br />

1.4<br />

11.4<br />

2.6<br />

14.8<br />

3.3<br />

23.5<br />

8.7<br />

0.0<br />

ALL (including<br />

IDPs)<br />

IDPs Only<br />

All Excluding<br />

IDPs<br />

NW NE Central (Hawd,<br />

Addun)<br />

South<br />

0.0<br />

ALL (including<br />

IDPs)<br />

IDPs Only<br />

All Excluding<br />

IDPs<br />

NW NE Central<br />

(Haws&Addun)<br />

South<br />

Considerations for the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Outlook<br />

for the next 3 months<br />

The projected trend of the nutrition situation in the coming<br />

three months (September-November <strong>2011</strong>) shows a likely<br />

deterioration across all population groups in southern<br />

regions. This is mainly due to the declining household food<br />

security and health situation (see WHO health update).<br />

Despite imminent large-scale increase in humanitarian<br />

response, evidence suggests that food security in agropastoral<br />

and riverine areas of the south will deteriorate<br />

further over the coming four months. Famine is therefore<br />

considered likely by Dec <strong>2011</strong> in agro-pastoral and riverine<br />

areas of Gedo and Juba, and agro-pastoral areas of Middle<br />

Shabelle and Hiran. Currently, 25-75 percent of poor<br />

agro-pastoral households in Gedo and Juba and pastoral<br />

households in Bakool face famine level of food deficits.<br />

• Concerns persist regarding pastoral populations in<br />

northeast and northwest, agro-pastoralists in the<br />

Cowpea Belt of central, and coastal livelihoods of<br />

central where half of pastoralists have lost all livestock<br />

and are destitute.<br />

• Nevertheless some improvement are expected in<br />

the pastoral areas of Gedo, Juba, and Bakool due to<br />

impacts of Deyr 2010 season and the return of camel<br />

herds, and in the Hawd and Addun zones of Central/<br />

Northeast regions due to improved camel conditions.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Food Security Situation Overview<br />

Executive<br />

6<br />

Key Messages<br />

• In total currently 4.0 million people are in crisis nationwide<br />

(Phase 3, 4, 5) with 750,000 people experiencing faminelevel<br />

outcomes. Out of the total number of people currently<br />

in crisis 3.0 million are in the South. Tens of thousands of<br />

people have already died, over half of whom are children.<br />

• Famine persists in five areas of Somalia, which include<br />

the Lower Shabelle region, the Bakool agropastoral<br />

livelihood zone, the agropastoral areas of Middle<br />

Shabelle region (Balcad and Cadale districts), the<br />

Afgoye corridor IDP settlement, and the Mogadishu IDP<br />

community and all livelihoods of Bay region. Famine<br />

declaration in these areas has been done at different<br />

times, with the first declaration made on July 20 th in<br />

Shabelle regions and last declaration made in Bay<br />

region on September 5 th . The famine declaration is<br />

based on the following three criteria: at least 20 percent<br />

of the population has extremely limited access to basic<br />

food requirements, global acute malnutrition exceeds<br />

30 percent, and the death rate exceeds 2/10,000/day for<br />

the entire population.<br />

• In addition to the five areas where famine has already<br />

been declared a total of 50,000 people, or 25-75 percent<br />

of poor agropastoral households in Gedo and Juba and<br />

pastoral households in Bakool also face famine level of<br />

food deficits.<br />

• Measles and Acute Watery Diarrhoea outbreaks continue<br />

in Southern Somalia especially in Mogadishu IDPs where<br />

the nutrition and mortality results indicate deterioration<br />

from the July surveys.<br />

• Despite, a large-scale increase in humanitarian response,<br />

evidence suggests that food security in agropastoral and<br />

riverine areas of the south will deteriorate further over<br />

the coming four months and Famine is considered likely<br />

by Decermber <strong>2011</strong> in agropastoral and riverine areas<br />

of Gedo and Juba, agropastoral of Middle Shabelle and<br />

Hiran and pastoral areas of Bakool region.<br />

Current food security outcomes and classification<br />

• The current crisis in southern Somalia is driven by a<br />

combination of factors. The total failure of the October-<br />

December 2010 Deyr rains (secondary season) and<br />

the poor performance of the April-June <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

rains (primary season) have resulted in the worst annual<br />

crop production in 17 years, reduced labor demand,<br />

below-average livestock prices, and excess animal<br />

mortality. The decline in maize and sorghum availability<br />

has subsequently pushed local cereal prices to record<br />

levels and, in combination with reduced livestock prices<br />

and wages, substantially reduced household purchasing<br />

power in all livelihood zones.<br />

• <strong>Nutrition</strong> survey results indicated the prevalence of acute<br />

malnutrition and the rate of crude mortality surpassing<br />

the Famine thresholds in the above-mentioned faminestricken<br />

areas of Southern Somalia.<br />

• Large scale displacement and significant limitations<br />

on humanitarian access due to persisting insecurity<br />

in southern Somalia have further exacerbated the<br />

constrained food access and health outcomes in the<br />

South.<br />

• In urban areas, sky-rocketing food prices and<br />

significantly eroded purchasing power are the main<br />

contributing factors to the current food security crisis.<br />

585,000 people are estimated in crisis during July-<br />

December <strong>2011</strong> period. This is an increase from<br />

January-June <strong>2011</strong> estimate of 475,000 (23% increase).<br />

• Concerns persist regarding pastoral populations<br />

in northeast and northwest, agropastoralists in the<br />

Cowpea Belt of central, and coastal livelihoods of<br />

central where half of pastoralists have lost all livestock<br />

and are destitute.<br />

• Food security outcomes have improved for camel<br />

pastoralists in Gedo and Juba, and pastoralists in the<br />

Addun and Hawd zones of Central/Northern regions.<br />

• Agropastoral areas of Gedo, Juba, Hiran and Middle<br />

Shabelle, riverine areas of Gedo and Juba, and pastoral<br />

of Bakool are likely to deteriorate to famine before the<br />

end of the year.<br />

For additional information please refer to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />

<strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


SOMALIA INTEGRATED FOOD SECURITY PHASE CLASSIFICATION<br />

Map 3: Somalia Integrated Food Security<br />

Rural and<br />

Phase<br />

Urban<br />

Classification,<br />

Populations:<br />

August,<br />

Aug-Sept<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

Magnitude<br />

Depth<br />

Who<br />

Why<br />

Frequency<br />

Confidence<br />

Defining Attributes of Crisis<br />

Areas in Phase 3, 4 or 5<br />

Population in Phase (Includes High Risk)<br />

0-100,000 101,000-500,000 >500,000<br />

-100%<br />

Percent population<br />

in respective phase<br />

-0%<br />

Criteria for Social Targeting<br />

i Livelihood system<br />

ii Wealth group<br />

iii Gender<br />

Key Immediate Causes<br />

a Drought<br />

b Floods<br />

c Tsunami<br />

d Civil Insecurity<br />

e Market Disruptions<br />

f Disease Outbreaks<br />

g Population Influx<br />

h Inflation<br />

i Water Shortages<br />

Key Underlying Causes<br />

A <strong>Post</strong> State Conflict<br />

B Environmental Degradation<br />

C Social Marginalization<br />

Recurrence of Crisis in Past 10 yrs<br />

Low(1-2yrs), Moderate(3-4), High (>= 5)<br />

Confidence Level of Analysis<br />

* Low * * Medium * * * High<br />

Rural: 135,000<br />

Urban: 40,000<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, e, g, h, i<br />

±<br />

A, C<br />

High<br />

* * *<br />

KENYA<br />

0 15 30 60 90 120 150<br />

Kilometers<br />

Urban<br />

Rural<br />

Total<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Baardheere<br />

Sakow<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Afmadow<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

Dolo<br />

GEDO<br />

#¸<br />

Kismayo<br />

Rural:<br />

610,000<br />

Urban: 120,000<br />

M. JUBA<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, e, f, g, h, i<br />

A, C<br />

High<br />

* * *<br />

Garbaharey<br />

#¸<br />

Luuq<br />

Qansax<br />

Dheere<br />

Dinsor<br />

Zeylac<br />

Lughaye<br />

AWDAL<br />

Baki<br />

Borama<br />

Rab-<br />

Dhuure<br />

Jilib<br />

Gebiley<br />

Wajid<br />

Xudur<br />

#¸<br />

Baydhaba<br />

#¸<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

!<br />

! !<br />

Hargeysa<br />

Ceel Barde<br />

BAKOOL<br />

Sablale<br />

L. SHABELLE<br />

Bu'aale Brava<br />

Jamaame<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

BAY<br />

a, d, e, f, g, h, i<br />

A, C<br />

Moderate<br />

* * * *<br />

Urban<br />

Rural<br />

Rural: 290,000<br />

Urban: 70,000<br />

Rural: 160,000<br />

Urban: 50,000<br />

Total<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Berbera<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Sheikh<br />

Tayeglow<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />

Urban<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, g, i<br />

A, B, C<br />

Moderate<br />

* * *<br />

Rural<br />

Total<br />

Owdweyne<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Burco<br />

#¸<br />

Beled Weyne<br />

HIIRAN<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

#¸<br />

Afgoye<br />

#¸ ! !<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

Caynabo<br />

#¸<br />

Cadale<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

¹<br />

¹ #<br />

Las Qoray/<br />

#<br />

Badhan<br />

SANAG<br />

Ceerigaabo<br />

Xudun<br />

Talex<br />

SOOL<br />

¹ #<br />

Laas Caanood Garowe<br />

!<br />

Cadaado<br />

#¸<br />

Ceel Dheere<br />

Jowhar M. SHABELLE<br />

Wanle Weyne<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Urban<br />

Rural<br />

Total<br />

Rural: 195,000<br />

Urban: 40,000<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, e, g, h, i<br />

A, C<br />

High<br />

* * *<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Urban<br />

Rural<br />

Total<br />

Balcad<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Buuhoodle<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

BANADIR<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

Goldogob<br />

!<br />

Galkacyo<br />

¹ #<br />

NUGAL<br />

Burtinle<br />

MUDUG<br />

Hobyo<br />

GALGADUD<br />

Harardheere<br />

Rural: 80,000<br />

Urban: 85,000<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, e, g, h, i<br />

A, B, C<br />

Low<br />

* * *<br />

Jariiban<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, e, f, g, h<br />

A<br />

Moderate<br />

!<br />

Bossaaso<br />

Qardho<br />

Eyl<br />

Rural:820,000<br />

Urban:120,000<br />

* * *<br />

Urban<br />

Rural<br />

Total<br />

Qandala<br />

Urban<br />

BARI<br />

Rural: 260,000<br />

Urban: 60,000<br />

i, ii, iii<br />

a, d, e, g, h, i<br />

A, B, C<br />

Moderate<br />

* * *<br />

Rural<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Calula<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

Total<br />

Current or Imminent Phase<br />

#<br />

1A Generally Food Secure<br />

1B Generally Food Secure<br />

2 Borderline Food Insecure<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

3 Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />

4 Humanitarian Emergency<br />

5 Famine/Humanitarian Catastrophe<br />

Urban Populations in Humanitarian Emergency<br />

and Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />

NOTES:<br />

For category explanations see http://www.fsnau.org<br />

Urban<br />

Rural<br />

IDP concentrations classified as AFLC, HE and Famine<br />

Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2007, Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998,<br />

Updated: Nov, 2007<br />

Total<br />

-100%<br />

-0%<br />

Executive Summary<br />

7<br />

<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />

Funding Agencies<br />

Swiss Agency for<br />

Development and<br />

Cooperation SDC<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 2: Somalia Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, Population Numbers, Aug - Sep, <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

8<br />

Urban in Acute Rural in Acute Urban in Rural<br />

UNDP UNDP 2005 UNDP<br />

Food and Food and Humanitarian Humanitarian<br />

Region 2005 Total Urban 2005 Rural<br />

Livelihood Livelihood Emergency Emergency<br />

Population Population Population<br />

Crisis (AFLC) Crisis (AFLC) (HE)<br />

(HE)<br />

North<br />

Urban in<br />

Humanitarian<br />

Catastrophy<br />

(Famine)<br />

Rural in<br />

Humanitarian<br />

Catastrophy<br />

(Famine)<br />

Total in AFLC,<br />

HE and Famine<br />

as % of Total<br />

population<br />

Awdal 305,455 110,942 194,513 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Woqooyi<br />

Galbeed<br />

700,345 490,432 209,913 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Togdheer 402,295 123,402 278,893 0 60,000 0 0 0 0 15<br />

Sanaag 270,367 56,079 214,288 25,000 40,000 5,000 30,000 0 0 37<br />

Sool 150,277 39,134 111,143 20,000 20,000 0 15,000 0 0 37<br />

Bari 367,638 179,633 202,737 60,000 55,000 0 5,000 0 0 33<br />

Nugaal 145,341 54,749 75,860 25,000 15,000 0 10,000 0 0 34<br />

Sub-total 2,341,718 1,054,371 1,287,347 130,000 190,000 5,000 60,000 0 0 16<br />

Central 0<br />

Mudug 350,099 94,405 255,694 5,000 60,000 30,000 55,000 0 0 43<br />

Galgaduud 330,057 58,977 271,080 5,000 70,000 20,000 65,000 0 0 48<br />

Sub-total 680,156 153,382 526,774 10,000 130,000 50,000 120,000 0 0 46<br />

South 0<br />

Hiraan 329,811 69,113 260,698 10,000 45,000 30,000 150,000 0 0 71<br />

Shabelle<br />

Dhexe 514,901 95,831 419,070 0 15,000 30,000 240,000 0 75,000 70<br />

(Middle)<br />

Shabelle<br />

Hoose 850,651 172,714 677,937 10,000 70,000 80,000 280,000 0 140,000 68<br />

(Lower)<br />

Bakool 310,627 61,438 249,189 20,000 30,000 25,000 90,000 0 80,000 79<br />

Bay 620,562 126,813 493,749 15,000 0 60,000 255,000 0 155,000 78<br />

Gedo 328,378 81,302 247,076 15,000 50,000 25,000 75,000 0 10,000 53<br />

Juba Dhexe<br />

(Middle)<br />

238,877 54,739 184,138 0 25,000 25,000 90,000 0 15,000 65<br />

Juba Hoose<br />

(Lower)<br />

385,790 124,682 261,108 10,000 55,000 35,000 90,000 0 15,000 53<br />

Sub-total 3,579,597 786,632 2,792,965 80,000 290,000 310,000 1,270,000 0 490,000 68<br />

Banadir 901,183 901,183 - - - - - - 0<br />

Grand<br />

Total<br />

7,502,654 2,895,568 4,607,086 220,000 610,000 365,000 1,450,000 0 490,000 42<br />

Notes:<br />

1 Source: Population Estimates by Region/District, UNDP Somalia, August 1, 2005. <strong>FSNAU</strong> does not round these population estimates as they are the official estimates provided by UNDP<br />

2 Estimated numbers are rounded to the nearest five thousand, based on resident population not considering current or anticipated migration, and are inclusive of population in High<br />

Risk of AFLC or HE for purposes of planning<br />

3 Dan Gorayo is included within Bari Region following precedent set in population data prior to UNDP/WHO 2005<br />

4 Source UN-OCHA/UNHCR: New IDP updated September, 2010 rounded to the nearest 5,000. Total IDP estimates are based on Population Movement Tracking data which is not<br />

designed to collect long-term cummulative IDP data<br />

5 Analysis show that 60% of IDP originates from Mogadishu. To avoid double counting, only IDPs originating from Mogadishu are considered in the overall population in crisis. This is<br />

because <strong>FSNAU</strong> does not conduct assessments in Mogadishu and those IDPs from other regions are already considered in the overall IPC analysis. <strong>FSNAU</strong> does not conduct IDP<br />

specific assessments to classify them either in HE or AFLC<br />

6 Actual figure is 2,390,000 rounded to 2,400,000<br />

7 Percent of total population of Somalia estimated at 7,502,654 (UNDP/WHO 2005)<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


2. Cases of Acutely Malnourished Children in somalia<br />

Between May-August <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>FSNAU</strong> in collaboration with<br />

partners conducted a total of 60 representative nutrition<br />

surveys throughout Somalia. 45 of these were done in<br />

May-July, while 15 were a repeat in the southern regions for<br />

the purpose of monitoring the evolving nutrition situation in<br />

the famine prone population groups. With the exception of<br />

the Coastal Deeh and the Cowpea Belt of Galgaduud and<br />

Mudug regions in Central Somalia, all population groups<br />

in the were assessed during this period. Tables 29 and 30<br />

provide the summary of key findings from these surveys.<br />

Rather than just presenting the prevailing nutrition situation,<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> in collaboration with nutrition cluster partners have,<br />

since 2008, also illustrated the distribution of cases of the<br />

acutely malnourished children in Somalia. The objective is<br />

to highlight to response agencies and donors the needs in<br />

different parts of the countries, rather than just focusing on<br />

the prevailing situation. In this way, the impact of population<br />

density in determining response needs is manifested.<br />

By extrapolating the prevalence rates of acute malnutrition<br />

in each assessed population group to the total under<br />

five population during the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, cases of acutely<br />

malnourished children, based on Weight-for-height Z scores<br />

(WHZ) findings, have been estimated. The cumulative total<br />

cases at regional level has been obtained by summing up<br />

the cases from the assessed livelihood and IDP groups.<br />

For population groups where representative nutrition survey<br />

data for the whole population forms the main reference,<br />

reliability of data is high and is ranked as 1 (R=1). Where<br />

up to date survey data is not available (as in the Coastal<br />

Deeh and Cowpea Belt of central regions where rapid<br />

MUAC assessments were conducted in the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>),<br />

extrapolation has been made surveys findings from similar<br />

livelihood zones. Hence for the coastal deeh of Central, the<br />

results from the coastal deeh of northeast where a survey<br />

was done, have been used, while for the cowpea belt, the<br />

results from Middle Shabelle agro-pastoral has been used.<br />

In this case therefore, the reliability score (R) for the data<br />

used in the estimation of cases is lower, and reflected as 2<br />

(R=2). This implies that <strong>FSNAU</strong> has estimated the current<br />

cases of malnourished children on the basis of 100% of<br />

the population children aged below 5 years in Somalia.<br />

Population figures from the UNDP 2005 settlement survey<br />

are used as the standard reference for Somalia. (Table 3).<br />

The integrated analysis and overall phase classification of<br />

the assessed population is based on the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Classification Framework. (Table 4).<br />

Analysis of the <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> findings indicates a<br />

total of 450,000 children as acutely malnourished.<br />

This translates to 30% of the 1.5 million underfive<br />

population, and implies 3 in 10 Somali children acutely<br />

malnourished. This reflects 87% increase in numbers at<br />

the national level, compared to the deyr 2010/11 when<br />

241,000 children were malnourished. Of these, 336,000,<br />

or 74% are located in the southern regions.<br />

Of the 450,000 children, a total of 190,000 children are<br />

severely malnourished. At national level, this translates<br />

to 13% of all Somali children as severely malnourished.<br />

This reflects 233% increase at the national level,<br />

compared to the deyr 2010/11 when 57,000 children<br />

were malnourished. Of the 190,000 severely malnourished<br />

children, 160,000 are located in the southern regions.<br />

At regional level, these figures are derived by extrapolating<br />

the prevalence rate of acute malnutrition to the total under<br />

five population. (Table 3).<br />

Table 3: Cases of Acute Malnutrition in Somalia, by Region,<br />

August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Region<br />

Total cases of Total cases of Severe<br />

Acute Malnutrition Acute Malnutrition<br />

Shabelle Regions 144700 73500<br />

Bay 66600 36100<br />

Lower Juba 30100 13850<br />

Bakool 29000 10350<br />

Woq-Galbeed 27900 6300<br />

Gedo 24600 9150<br />

Hiran 21900 9150<br />

Middle Juba 19000 8700<br />

Togdheer 16000 3600<br />

Galgadud 12900 3100<br />

Awdal 12150 2750<br />

Sanaag 10750 2400<br />

Bari 8500 1900<br />

South Mudug 8300 2000<br />

Sool 6000 1350<br />

NW IDPs 4000 900<br />

NE IDPs 3300 700<br />

Nugal 3000 700<br />

North Mudug 2750 600<br />

Total 450,000 190,000<br />

Hence, with regard to cases of acute malnutrition:<br />

• Shabelle regions (including Afgoye IDPs and Banadir) are<br />

host to 32% of all the malnourished children in Somalia,<br />

Bay regions host 15% and Juba regions, 11% (Map x).<br />

Hence, Shabelle, Bay and Juba regions are host to 58%<br />

of all malnourished children in Somalia.<br />

• For cases of severe acute malnutrition, Shabelle, Bay and<br />

Juba regions are host to 71% of the 190,000 children in<br />

the country, with Shabelle/Banadir/Afgoye hosting 39%,<br />

Bay 19, and Juba regions 12%.<br />

This illustrates the implication of population density on<br />

caseloads, as Shabelle/Afgoye/Banadir are most densely<br />

Executive Summary<br />

9<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

Map 4: Distribution DISTRIBUTION of estimated OF ESTIMATED Cases CASES (%) of Acutely (%) OF Malnourished ACUTELY MALNOURISHED Children in Somalia CHILDREN by Region, (


Figure 7: Proportion of Total Cases of Acutely<br />

malnourished children (WHZ


3. <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis in Somalia<br />

Executive<br />

12<br />

The April-August (<strong>Gu</strong>) <strong>2011</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analysis<br />

During the April-August <strong>2011</strong> (<strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>) season, <strong>FSNAU</strong> in<br />

collaboration with partners undertook 60 nutrition surveys<br />

aimed at estimating the nutrition situation in the various<br />

population groups in Somalia. Data management of the<br />

nutrition surveys involved the use of the standard two stage<br />

cluster sampling based on SMART recommendations,<br />

quality assurance during data collection and entry, and<br />

validation of data quality by running frequencies and<br />

plausibility checks of core statistical inferences. (Table 5).<br />

ENA software was used in the analysis of anthropometric<br />

and mortality data, and Epiinfo software in cross tabulations<br />

and analysis of non-anthropometric data. (Survey tools are<br />

provided in Annex 7.2 - 7.9).<br />

Consistent with the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analytical Framework,<br />

(July 2010 version), interpretation of findings on specific<br />

indicators, are based on internationally recognized<br />

thresholds, mainly the UNWHO, Sphere, and FANTA/<br />

UNFAO.<br />

• WHO thresholds have been used to determine the<br />

cut-offs, and to interpret findings on acute malnutrition,<br />

stunting, underweight, and death rates. They were also<br />

used to determine the mid upper arm circumference<br />

cutoffs for the under fives.<br />

• SPHERE has been referenced on cut-offs for the<br />

mid upper arm circumference for pregnant and<br />

lactating women that aided in estimating prevalence.<br />

Nevertheless they were limited in providing thresholds<br />

for interpreting the situation.<br />

• FANTA/UNFAO protocols have been referenced on<br />

thresholds on dietary intake, however they are limited<br />

in guiding on interpretation of the situation.<br />

• The mean WHZ, are based on a “Review of <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

and Mortality Indicators for the Integrated Food<br />

Security Phase Classification (IPC) by Young and<br />

Jaspars, 2009.<br />

Where internationally recognized interpretation frameworks<br />

are not available, for example, MUAC thresholds for the<br />

under fives, and the adult non-pregnant women, and the<br />

health information system trends, quartile distributions of<br />

the meta-data that is available at the <strong>FSNAU</strong> from x surveys<br />

has been used. Through the findings from the analyzed<br />

variables therefore, the situation has been categorized into<br />

five different phases: Acceptable, Alert, Serious, Critical<br />

or Very Critical. Where representative nutrition surveys<br />

have been conducted, the global acute malnutrition (GAM),<br />

is the core outcome reference indicator, denoting the<br />

prevalence of acute malnutrition. Nevertheless, a minimum<br />

of 2 anthropometric indicators (for example GAM and SAM),<br />

are required to make an analysis and classification of the<br />

situation into either of the five different phases. Information<br />

from the season in progress only is used. However historical<br />

data has been used for overall contextual and seasonal<br />

trends analysis.<br />

To provide a 3 month outlook, the immediate and driving<br />

factors are analyzed, and the convergence of the evidence<br />

of the projected scenario classified as Stable, Uncertain,<br />

Potential to Deteriorate or Potential to Improve. This<br />

information is presented in the Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Map with arrows defined in a separate legend titled Projected<br />

Trend (September-December <strong>2011</strong> for the post <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong>).<br />

In cartographical presentation, reliability of source of data is<br />

illustrated through solid color (for survey data which is quite<br />

reliable, R=1), or through slash marks (when statistically<br />

representative data is not available, in which case data<br />

reliability is lower and, R=2).<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analytical Framework<br />

The referenced <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Analytical Framework<br />

provides a summary of thresholds used to interpret findings<br />

from the various indicators. (Table x). It forms the basis for<br />

the nutrition situation classification for Somalia, and the<br />

Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation maps, and as indicated, is<br />

based on international thresholds (WHO, Sphere and Fanta)<br />

where available, and contextually relevant analysis where<br />

these are not available. The July 2010 version of the analysis<br />

framework, used in the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> analysis, has three sections:<br />

A. Core Outcome Indicators (mainly anthropometry related<br />

information, and mortality)<br />

B. Immediate Causes<br />

C. Driving/Underlying Factors<br />

D. Twice per year, in line with the seasonal assessments,<br />

post <strong>Gu</strong> (April – July) and post Deyr (October-<br />

December), the nutrition team develops an updated<br />

nutrition situation analysis at livelihood level, by<br />

region and by IDP settlement. The overall analysis<br />

is consolidated into the Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Map. The July 2010 analysis framework below remains<br />

a working document and will be updated and refined<br />

as new information and guidance becomes available.<br />

Although <strong>FSNAU</strong>-led, the framework has been developed<br />

over the years through a consultation process involving the<br />

WHO, UNICEF, WFP, ACF, CONCERN, SCUK, IMC, WV<br />

and more recently, Medair, DIAL and the <strong>Nutrition</strong> Cluster<br />

Support team as well as many nutrition partners in the<br />

region. The purpose is to have a tool that helps describe<br />

the nutrition situation with contextual analysis, rather than<br />

focus on prevalence estimates and thresholds which is<br />

traditionally the case in nutrition analysis. The July 2010<br />

version accommodates current research developments,<br />

and the switch from NCHS 1997 to WHO growth standards.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 5. The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation Classification Framework, Draft 7, Jul 2010<br />

A. CORE OUTCOME INDICATORS (Anthropometry & Death Rates)<br />

Reference Indicators Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition 1<br />

(WHO Reference) Reliability (R) =1<br />

Mean Weight-for-Height Z (WHZ)<br />

scores (R=1)<br />

SAM 2 (WHZ and oedema 3 )<br />

(WHO to advice on thresholds) R=1)<br />

-0.40<br />

5 to 2 yrs<br />

2 and above, or doubling<br />

of rate in preceding<br />

phase. Include main<br />

causes<br />

>/=10 or doubling of rate<br />

in the preceding phase.<br />

Include main causes<br />

>15%, Or where there is<br />

significant increase from<br />

seasonal trends<br />

High and increasing<br />

proportion in the<br />

preceding 3mths relative<br />

to >2yr seasonal trends<br />

Increasing levels with<br />

increasing trend<br />

OVERAL NUTRITION SITUATION Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />

Executive Summary<br />

13<br />

B. IMMEDIATE CAUSES<br />

Reference Indicators Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />

Poor HH Dietary Diversity<br />

2% rural<br />

CFR for AWD >1% urban<br />

AWD – duration exceed >6 wks<br />

TBC<br />

Low proportion<br />

reportedly sick,<br />

from previous<br />

months but<br />

increasing in >2<br />

mnths based on<br />

seasonal trends<br />

TBC<br />

High levels and<br />

stable numbers in<br />

>2 months based on<br />

seasonal trends<br />

TBC<br />

High with significant<br />

Increase in numbers of<br />

sick children, based on<br />

seasonal trends<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

14<br />

C. DRIVING FACTORS<br />

Reference Indicators Acceptable Alert Serious Critical Very Critical<br />

Complementary feeding 15 in addition to<br />

breastfeeding<br />

i. Introduction of complementary<br />

food at 6 mths of age:<br />

≥95% 80-94% 60-79%<br />

0-59%<br />

0-59%<br />

%introduced<br />

≥95% 80-94% 80-94%<br />

0-59%<br />

0-59%<br />

ii. Meeting minimum recommended<br />

≥95% 80-94% 80-94%<br />

0-59%<br />

0-59%<br />

feeding frequency 16<br />

iii. Dietary diversity17 score<br />

Breastfeeding (BF) Practices 1 8<br />

I. Exclusive BF for 6mths<br />

ii).Continued BF at 1 yr<br />

iii)Continued BF at 2yr reference<br />

>90%<br />

>90%<br />

>90%<br />

50-89%<br />

50-89%<br />

50-89%<br />

12-49%<br />

12-49%<br />

12-49%<br />

0-11%<br />

0-11%<br />

0-11%<br />

Measles immunization/Status<br />

Vitamin A Supplementation Coverage 1 9:1<br />

dose in last 6 mths<br />

Population have access i). to a sufficient<br />

quantity of water for drinking, cooking,<br />

personal & domestic hygiene–min 15lts pp/<br />

day<br />

ii).Sanitation facilities<br />

Affected pop with access to formal/informal<br />

services: health services<br />

Selective Feeding 20 Programs Available:<br />

Coverage of TFP /SFP & referral<br />

systems(Sphere04);<br />

-Admissions trends (R=3)<br />

Food Security Situation- current IPC status<br />

Civil Insecurity<br />

3 MONTH NUTRITION SITUATION<br />

OUTLOOK<br />

>95%<br />

>95%<br />

100%<br />

100%<br />

Should not be<br />

necessary<br />

Should not be<br />

necessary<br />

Generally Food<br />

Secure<br />

80-94.9%<br />

80-94.9%<br />

TBC<br />

TBC<br />

Access to<br />

humanitarian<br />

interventions<br />

for most<br />

vulnerable<br />

Access<br />

for most<br />

vulnerable<br />

Borderline<br />

TBC<br />

TBC<br />

Reduced access<br />

to humanitarian<br />

support for most<br />

vulnerable<br />

Acute Food and<br />

Livelihood Crisis<br />


4. REGIONAL NUTRITION ANALYSIS<br />

4.1 Gedo Region<br />

Gedo Region in Southwest Somalia comprises of six<br />

districts: Luuq, Dolo, Belet Hawa, Garbaharey, El Wak,<br />

and Bardera. The region has three main rural livelihood<br />

zones namely: pastoral, agro-pastoral and riverine (Juba<br />

riverine pump irrigation). The pastoral livelihood, further<br />

sub-divided into the Southern Inland and Dawa pastoralists,<br />

is the most predominant group, accounting for about 64%<br />

of the rural population in the region. The Dawa pastoral<br />

livelihood located in northern Gedo is the largest pastoral<br />

group in the region rearing mainly cattle, sheep goats and<br />

camel. The Southern Inland pastoral population is located<br />

in southern Gedo and besides sheep and goats mainly keep<br />

camel that are more resilient to droughts. The agro-pastoral<br />

population is divided into Southern agro-pastoral and Gedo<br />

agro-pastoral high potential (Map 5).<br />

Map 5: Gedo Region Livelihood Systems<br />

Executive Summary<br />

15<br />

Gedo is one of the regions in Somalia that has been<br />

adversely affected for a long time by the cumulative effects<br />

of extended conflict and recurrent natural disasters. This has<br />

resulted in the disruption of livelihood systems, including loss<br />

of livestock and crop failure and culminated in a persistent<br />

emergency situation for a majority of the population.<br />

According to the bi-annual <strong>FSNAU</strong> seasonal food security<br />

and nutrition analysis, northern Gedo has persistently faced<br />

a Humanitarian Emergency (HE) crisis since 2004. The<br />

situation in Northern Gedo has largely been attributed to<br />

climatic factors whereby poor rain performance/drought<br />

has contributed to crop failures and death of livestock,<br />

especially cattle and sheep which are less drought resistant.<br />

The nutrition situation in the region has also remained poor,<br />

with most assessments conducted in the region since 1995<br />

recording Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) rates above the<br />

emergency threshold of 15%. Figure 8 indicates the trends<br />

of acute malnutrition in Gedo region since 2006 (WHO<br />

reference growth standards, 2006).<br />

Figure 8: Trend in Levels of acute Malnutrition (WHZ


Executive<br />

16<br />

riverine populations in Gedo region. The pastoral and<br />

riverine population showed a Very Critical nutrition situation,<br />

a deterioration from the likely Critical levels, while the<br />

agro-pastoral livelihood indicated a sustained Very Critical<br />

nutrition situation since <strong>Gu</strong>’10. The high acute malnutrition<br />

levels in the region were mainly linked to chronic underlying<br />

factors including; poor dietary quality, sub-optimal child care<br />

and feeding practices, and limited access to basic human<br />

services such as safe water, health and sanitation facilities.<br />

Current Situation<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated food security phase<br />

classification, classifies both rural and urban livelihoods<br />

of Gedo region in AFLC and HE although some portion of<br />

the rural population is in famine conditions and has about<br />

174,000 people in crisis (9,000 in Famine, 98,000 in HE<br />

and 67,000 in AFLC), which is a deterioration from Deyr<br />

’10/11. This is a 132% increase from Deyr ’10/11, when only<br />

75,000 people were in crisis. An estimated 9,000 People<br />

in Gedo agro pastoral high potential are in famine, 23,000<br />

southern agro pastoral and 24,000 urban are in HE. Other<br />

livelihoods in crisis include Dawa pastoral and southern<br />

inland pastoral with an estimated population of 13,000 and<br />

4,000 respectively. A significant number of populations in<br />

the above livelihoods have deteriorated to AFLC (23,000 and<br />

9,000 respectively). This drastic deterioration was mainly<br />

due to poor <strong>Gu</strong>’11 rainfall that resulted in crop failure, caused<br />

deterioration in rangeland resources that consequently<br />

contributing to high livestock deaths and significant declines<br />

in livestock market prices. The deteriorating food security<br />

situation was aggravated by a number of factors, poor<br />

rainfall performance, reduction of cereal and cash crop<br />

production in the riverine livelihood, complete crop failure of<br />

agropastoral livelihoods, depletion of cereal stock balances,<br />

decreased livestock production and significant decline of<br />

livestock prices and the subsequently related decrease<br />

income from crop, milk and livestock product sales<br />

situation, while the crude and under five mortality rates are<br />

1.57 (0.76-2.37) and 5.81 (2.66-8.97) respectively indicating<br />

an alert and emergency situation according to the WHO<br />

classification. In addition, a comparison of the current GAM<br />

rates with the previous GAM rates of 26.4% (22.2-31.1) and<br />

26.7% ( 21.5- 32.8) recorded in December ’10 assessments<br />

among the pastoral and riverine populations respectively<br />

indicates a deterioration and Very Critical nutrition situation.<br />

Though in the same phase, this indicates a statistically<br />

significant deterioration among the riverine, with no change<br />

in the pastoral populations. The assessment conducted<br />

among the agro-pastoral population shows an extremely<br />

high GAM rate of 51.9% (41.8-61.9) and a SAM rate of<br />

19.3% (13.9- 26.3) indicating a sustained Very Critical<br />

nutrition situation but with elevated acute malnutrition levels<br />

and while the crude and under five mortality rates are 1.67<br />

(1.14-2.19 ) and 5.29 (3.61-6.96) respectively, indicating an<br />

alert and emergency situation respectively according to<br />

the WHO classification . When compared with the nutrition<br />

assessment conducted in December ’10 when a GAM rate<br />

of 25.6 % (21.5-29.5) and SAM rate of 6.5% (4.6-9.2) were<br />

recorded, the current results show a statistically significant<br />

increase of both the GAM and SAM rates indicating a<br />

significant deterioration. High GAM rates over 30%, and<br />

more than 20% of the populations with acute crisis of food<br />

access in the poor households of the agro-pastoral and<br />

riverine livelihoods in Gedo are are more likely to face<br />

famine. Data from the health facilities in Gedo riverine areas<br />

also indicates high numbers (>30%) and an increasing trend<br />

of acutely malnourished children (Figure 9).<br />

Figure 9: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Gedo Riverine<br />

MCHs - <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />

Proportion of Children Malnourished<br />

50.0<br />

45.0<br />

40.0<br />

35.0<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

<strong>2011</strong> 2010<br />

2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010)<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The integrated analysis of data from nutrition assessments<br />

conducted in Gedo in July <strong>2011</strong>, and health facilities’<br />

data shows a Very Critical nutrition situation among the<br />

populations in the three livelihood groups in the region. The<br />

nutrition assessment conducted in the pastoral population<br />

indicates a GAM rate of 23.8% (20.1-28.0) and SAM rate of<br />

5.9% (4.1-8.5) indicating a sustained Very Critical nutrition<br />

situation since Deyr ‘10/11, while the crude and under five<br />

mortality rates are 1.18 (0.79-1.57 ) and 4.06 (2.47-5.64)<br />

respectively, indicating an alert and emergency situation<br />

according to the WHO classification. An assessment<br />

conducted among the riverine population shows an<br />

extremely high GAM rate of 48.1% (38.7-57.7) and SAM rate<br />

of 25.2% (19.1- 32.6), indicating a Very Critical nutrition<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Data Source: Trocare, SRCS, HIRDA<br />

Overall, the nutrition situation in Gedo region is Very Critical<br />

and demonstrates a significant deterioration in all the three<br />

livelihoods. The concerning nutrition situation is generally<br />

linked to immediate food shortages as well as underlying<br />

chronic factors that include: household food insecurity (poor<br />

dietary quality), inadequate social and care environment<br />

(sub-optimal child care and feeding practices), and poor<br />

public health (limited access to basic human services<br />

such as safe water, health and sanitation facilities), which<br />

exposes communities to high morbidity and subsequently<br />

high levels of acute malnutrition. While the immediate factors<br />

include reduced access to food due to rapid increases in<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


food and milk prices, and outbreaks of disease (acute water<br />

diarrohea- AWD, cholera, malaria, measles and whooping<br />

cough). These immediate factors are caused by the crop<br />

failure and poor livestock production following the poor<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 rainfall performance, which has significantly affected<br />

household access to cereals, milk and income. In order to<br />

contain any further deterioration and to address the rising<br />

rates of malnutrition immediate and long term interventions<br />

such as rehabilitation of acutely malnourished children,<br />

and improving food access will be required in the region.<br />

Preventive measures to improve health service delivery,<br />

access to safe water and sanitation facilities as also crucial.<br />

In addition to that addressing poor child care and feeding<br />

practices are recommended and important for a lasting<br />

solution.<br />

Repeat nutrition and mortality survey conducted in August<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, among the Gedo riverine population shows a Very<br />

Critical situation, that is sustained from July’11 GAM rate<br />

of 48.1% (38.7-57.5) and a SAM rate of 25.2% (19.1-32.6).<br />

The 90 days retrospective crude (CDR) and under five<br />

death rates (U5DR) of 0.97 (0.56-1.37) and 2.16 (1.06-<br />

3.25) respectively indicate Acceptable and Alert situation<br />

according to WHO classification, a decrease from the rates<br />

reported in July ’11.<br />

Gender and nutrition analysis in Gedo Region<br />

The nutrition assessments conducted in the three<br />

livelihoods of Gedo revealed a higher proportions of<br />

acutely malnourished boys than girls were reported in the<br />

pastoral (30.0% vs 17.1%) and agro-pastoral (61.5% vs 41.9)<br />

livelihoods respectively, while the proportions of acutely<br />

malnourished boys and girls are the same in the riverine<br />

livelihoods (47.8% vs 48.4%). In the pastoral livelihood 19.8%<br />

of boys compared to 14.5% of girls were stunted; and 38.4%<br />

of boys as compared to 28.1% of girls were underweight. The<br />

agro-pastoral livelihood 23% of boys compared to18.1% of<br />

girls were stunted; and 57.1% of boys as compared to 43.5%<br />

of girls were underweight. The riverine livelihood 45.2% of<br />

boys compared to 30% of girls were stunted; and 58.1%<br />

of boys as opposed to 52.5% of girls were underweight.<br />

However, there is no significant statistical difference in the<br />

distribution of acute malnutrition between sexes implying<br />

that they were equally affected (p>0.05). Higher proportions<br />

of girls than boys were reportedly ill two weeks prior to the<br />

assessment in the agro-pastoral livelihoods. The gender<br />

disaggregated data by sex of the assessed children is<br />

summarized on Tables 6 and 7.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

17<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 6: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

18<br />

Gedo Pastoral<br />

Gedo Agropastoral<br />

(N=1093, Boys=563, Girls=515) ( N=834, Boys=426, Girls=408)<br />

Gedo Riverine<br />

(N=642, Boys=357, Girls=285)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


Table 7: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Gedo Livelihood Zones, Gedo Riverine August, <strong>2011</strong><br />

(N=1093, Boys=563, Girls=515)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


Executive<br />

20<br />

High levels of acute malnutrition<br />

across the Somalia border<br />

The Horn of Africa has experienced several consecutive seasons of rain failure which has adversely affected the<br />

different livelihood systems. Poor rainfall performance has resulted in severe shortage of water and pasture,<br />

leading to massive deaths of livestock and crop failure. This has constrained household food access in most of<br />

south Somalia, and resulted in alarming levels of acute malnutrition and mortality. Though all countries in the<br />

horn of Africa are affected, the severity varies depending on the governing structures and response mechanism<br />

available in each country. <strong>Nutrition</strong> and mortality assessments conducted between March and August <strong>2011</strong> in<br />

the three (Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia) countries boarder region clearly shows the high level of deterioration in<br />

the border region while at the same time revealing the severity in Somalia. (Source: <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Update,<br />

May-June <strong>2011</strong>).<br />

Between March-April <strong>2011</strong>, two representative nutrition surveys were conducted by UNHCR/MSF in Bokolmayo<br />

and Melkadida refugee camps in Ethiopia, which host Somali refugees fleeing the drought and civil insecurity<br />

in Somalia. The two nutrition surveys reported a GAM rates of 33.4% in Bokolmayo, 33% in Melkadida, and a<br />

SAM rate of 11% in each of the camp, indicating a Very Critical nutrition situation. Further analysis of the data<br />

indicates differences in the nutrition status based on period of residence in the camps, with new arrivals being<br />

more acutely malnourished, with GAM rate of 47% and a SAM rate of 23.6%, while the older refugees are slightly<br />

better, with GAM rate of 29% and a SAM rate of 7.5%. Elevated mortality rates were also reported in Bokolmayo<br />

refugee camp with respective crude and under five mortality rate of 2.26 and 4.04 per 10,000 per day, indicating<br />

an emergency situation based on the WHO classification. In Melkadida, the crude and the under five mortality<br />

rates are 0.78 and 1.47 per 10,000 per day respectively, indicating an alert situation.<br />

Another representative nutrition survey conducted between April-June <strong>2011</strong> by UNICEF and partners in the<br />

rural livelihoods of Kenyan districts bordering Somalia indicated a Very Critical nutrition situation and elevated<br />

mortality. In Mandera West, results showed a GAM rate of 32.6% (27.8- 37.8), while in other parts of Mandera<br />

and Wajir districts, the GAM rates are over 20%, and SAM rates are over 4%.<br />

In July <strong>2011</strong>, representative nutrition surveys conducted in Gedo and Juba regions of Somalia by <strong>FSNAU</strong> and<br />

partners are indicating a Very Critical nutrition situation. <strong>Nutrition</strong> surveys in the pastoral, riverine and agropastoral<br />

populations in Gedo Region indicate GAM rate of 23.8% (20.1-28.0), 48.1% (38.7-57.7) and 51.9% (41.8-<br />

61.9) respectively, and SAM rate of 5.9% (4.1-8.5), 25.2% (19.1- 32.6) and 9.3% (13.9- 26.3) respectively. In Juba<br />

Region, the nutrition survey findings in the pastoral, riverine and agro-pastoral populations indicate GAM rate<br />

of 38.9 (34.8- 43.1), 45.9% (38.7-57.7) and 38.9 (34.8- 43.1) respectively and SAM rate of 5.9% (4.1-8.5), 25.2%<br />

(19.1- 32.6) and 9.3% (13.9- 26.3) respectively.<br />

In general, these results depict a very severe nutrition situation across the border, which is largely attributed to poor<br />

household food access. Two consecutive seasons of rain failure have adversely affected the livelihoods systems<br />

in these regions, leading to sky rocket cereal prices, massive deaths of cattle, sheep and goats as a result of lack<br />

of pasture and water, while camels have out-migrated in search of browse, limiting milk access to the remaining<br />

household members. Access to humanitarian health care services, safe water and sanitation facilities in these<br />

areas, and more so in Somalia remains very limited due to insecurity, leaving the population highly vulnerable<br />

to diseases, and acute malnutrition.<br />

A coordinated humanitarian response strategy across the border, coupled with negotiations that will enhance an<br />

access therefore remains crucial to save life, and to reduce the current internal displacements, and mass-migration<br />

of people from Somalia to either Kenya or Ethiopia in search of food.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


4.2 MIDDLE and LOWER Juba Regions<br />

Middle and Lower Juba regions in southern Somalia have<br />

a total of seven districts namely Sakow, Buale and Jilib<br />

in Middle Juba, and Jamame, Afmadow, Kismayo and<br />

Badhadhe in Lower Juba. The two regions have three main<br />

rural livelihood zones namely: the pastoral (the Southern<br />

Inland and Southeast Pastoralists), agro-pastoral (Lower<br />

Juba and Southern Agro-pastoral) and the Riverine<br />

communities who are purely agriculturist. (Map 6).<br />

Map 6: Juba Regions Livelihood Zones<br />

Executive Summary<br />

21<br />

Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11<br />

Food Security<br />

The food security and nutrition situation in the Juba regions<br />

has varied over time and has largely been linked to rainfall<br />

performance and its resultant impacts on the different<br />

livelihood systems. Heavy rainfall in the Juba regions<br />

or in the Ethiopian highlands often results in floods that<br />

devastate crop cultivation, and sanitation facilities in the<br />

riverine areas, however, the riverine communities’ later<br />

benefit from recessional cropping from the Desheks and<br />

fishing opportunities from the flood waters. The agropastoral<br />

communities, who rely on rain-fed agriculture,<br />

are totally dependent on rainfall as are the pastoralists,<br />

whose livelihood is greatly influenced by pasture and water<br />

availability conditions.<br />

The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 integrated analysis showed a generally<br />

very poor rainfall performance in terms of coverage and<br />

intensity in the two Juba regions. This adversely affected<br />

cereal production, then estimated at only 5% and 10%<br />

of PWA in Middle and Lower Juba regions respectively.<br />

Similarly, livestock body conditions and production<br />

significantly declined resulting in reduced access to milk<br />

and income from sales of milk and livestock. The rise in<br />

cereal prices and reduced income earning opportunities also<br />

contributed to the high food insecurity situation experienced<br />

in these regions. The populations in the urban livelihood was<br />

classified as either in HE or AFLC, which constitutes 25,000<br />

in HE and 30,000 in AFLC. The rise in number of people<br />

faced with food insecurity was linked to the poor Deyr’10/11<br />

rainfall performance and the ensuing negative impact on the<br />

livelihood systems.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The nutrition situation in the Juba regions equally varied<br />

across livelihoods over time, the pastoral population showed<br />

more resilience and remained mostly at Serious levels, while<br />

the nutrition situation of the populations in the riverine and<br />

agro-pastoral livelihoods fluctuated between Serious and<br />

Critical levels. The only exception was in 2009 when a Very<br />

Critical nutrition situation was recorded among the pastoral<br />

population both in the <strong>Gu</strong> and Deyr seasons, and among<br />

the agro-pastoral in the <strong>Gu</strong> season largely attributed to an<br />

outbreak of acute watery diarrhoea (Figure 10).<br />

Figure 10: Trend in levels of Acute Malnutrition (WHZ<br />


Executive<br />

22<br />

Current Situation-<strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 food security analysis shows drastic<br />

deterioration and classifies rural (Famine,AFLC & HE) and<br />

urban(AFLC &HE) livelihoods of Juba region in AFLC and<br />

HE although some portion of the rural population is in famine<br />

conditions. Currently, 360,000 people are in crisis (34,000<br />

famine,240,000 in HE and 92,000 in AFLC) which is 100%<br />

increase from last Deyr ’10/11 (180,000 both rural & urban).<br />

In <strong>Gu</strong>’11 rainfall performance was very poor in coverage,<br />

intensity and distribution. Majority ( 80%) of the affected<br />

populations comes from the rural livelihoods due to the poor<br />

performance of <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 seasonal rainfall, that brought about<br />

poor crop harvest in the riverine and agropastoral livelihoods<br />

and eventually caused livestock deaths in the south east<br />

pastoral and agro pastoral livelihoods. The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />

<strong>Gu</strong> ’11 food security analysis shows poor crops harvest as<br />

a result of <strong>Gu</strong>’ <strong>2011</strong> rain failure which is estimated as being<br />

5% of <strong>Gu</strong>’ 2010, 8% of 5 years Average and 6% of PWA<br />

when combined for both regions.<br />

and SAM rates. While the crude and under five mortality<br />

rates are 1.24 (0.82-1.66 ) and 4.25 (2.75-5.75) respectively,<br />

indicating an alert and emergency situation according to the<br />

WHO classification. With high GAM rates over 30%, and<br />

more than 20% of the populations facing an acute food<br />

access crisis, the poor households of the agro-pastoral and<br />

riverine livelihoods in Juba are more likely to face famine.<br />

Data from the health facilities namely Juba riverine MCHs,<br />

indicates high numbers (>30%) and an increasing trend of<br />

acutely malnourished children (Figure 11).<br />

Figure 11: HIS Malnutrition trends in Juba Riverine<br />

MCHs 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />

Proportion of malnourished children<br />

50.0<br />

45.0<br />

40.0<br />

35.0<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

2010 <strong>2011</strong><br />

2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Month<br />

Data Source: Muslim AID UK, MSF and SCRCS<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

The integrated analysis of data from nutrition assessments<br />

conducted in Juba regions in July <strong>2011</strong>, in addition to health<br />

and feeding facilities’ information shows a sustained Very<br />

Critical nutrition situation but with a significant increase in<br />

the GAM and SAM rates recorded among the populations<br />

in the three livelihoods in Juba regions. In the agro-pastoral<br />

livelihood, the nutrition assessment reports a GAM rate<br />

of 38.9 (34.8- 43.1) and a SAM rate of 17.2 (14.0- 20.9)<br />

comparing to the previous nutrition assessment conducted<br />

in December <strong>2011</strong>, where a GAM rate of 26.1% (21.9-30.9)<br />

and a SAM rate of 6.2% (4.6-8.3) were reported. The crude<br />

and under five mortality rates reported in July <strong>2011</strong> are 1.12<br />

(0.8-1.45 ) and 4.11 (2.80-5.43) respectively, indicating<br />

an alert and emergency situation according to the WHO<br />

classification. An assessment among the riverine population<br />

reports a GAM rate of 45.9% (41.5-50.3) and SAM rate of<br />

21.9(18.9-25.2) a major deterioration comparing from the<br />

previous GAM rate of 29.7% (24.5-35.4) and SAM rate of<br />

6.4% (4.6-8.8). The crude and under five mortality rates are<br />

1.18 (0.84-1.52 ) and 4.66 (3.17-6.15) respectively, indicate<br />

an alert and emergency situation according to the WHO<br />

classification.<br />

All the three livelihood populations in Juba were indicating<br />

a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation since <strong>Gu</strong> ’10.<br />

However, the nutrition assessment conducted in the pastoral<br />

population, indicates a GAM rate of 39.5% (35.9-43.2) and<br />

SAM rate of 18.7% (15.8-21.98.5) which when compared<br />

to GAM rate of 30.7% (26.1-35.7) and SAM rate of 7.8%<br />

(5.8-10.5) recorded in December 2010 assessment indicate<br />

similar Very Critical levels but with a slight decline in GAM<br />

A rapid MUAC assessment among the Kismayo IDPs<br />

shows a deterioration from Critical to Very Critical levels<br />

in July <strong>2011</strong> among the assessed 1,122 and 1,018 children<br />

from the old and newly arrived IDPs. The assessment of<br />

the protracted Kismayo IDPs reported a high proportion<br />

of malnourished children MUAC < 12.5 cm of 24.3% and<br />

severely malnourished children MUAC < 11.5 cm of 6.1%,<br />

while the newly arrived IDPs in Kismayo town recorded a<br />

proportion of acutely malnourished children with MUAC <<br />

12.5 cm or oedema of 26.4% and severely malnourished<br />

children MUAC < 11.5 cm or oedema of 11.4%. When<br />

compared with rapid assessment conducted in Dec’10<br />

when MUAC < 12.5 cm of 12.5% and MUAC < 11.5 cm of<br />

0.5% were recorded, these results shows a deterioration<br />

from <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 situation. The deterioration are mainly related<br />

to lack of health services, poor food access, inadequate<br />

sanitation facilities and safe water.<br />

In general the nutrition situation among the three rural<br />

livelihoods in Juba regions and the displaced population in<br />

Kismayo town is Very Critical. The deterioration is mainly<br />

attributed to food security related factors, whereby the<br />

region experienced three consecutive seasonal rainfall<br />

failure which led to poor crop and livestock production and<br />

the resulting high cereal prices, low terms of trade, and<br />

abnormal livestock out-migration. This has contributed to<br />

reduced access to food (cereal and milk). Furthermore, in<br />

the Juba region, high morbidity persists, a major risk factor<br />

to acute malnutrition. The situation is worsened by the gap<br />

in humanitarian space in the area that usually provide health<br />

and nutrition services due to the current civil insecurity in<br />

the area.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


The current precarious nutrition situation in all livelihood<br />

zones in Juba is also attributed to chronic factors such<br />

as: poor child feeding and care practices, inadequate<br />

sanitation facilities and safe water as well as high chronic<br />

morbidity levels due to limited or poor access to health care<br />

services. In the short and long term, urgent interventions<br />

to rehabilitate acutely malnourished children, and enhance<br />

food access are necessary. Preventive measures to<br />

improve and sustain food access, nutrition and health<br />

service delivery, access to safe water and sanitation<br />

facilities as well as addressing poor child care practices<br />

are recommended for a lasting solution.<br />

Repeat nutrition and mortality survey conducted in August<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, among the Juba riverine, agro-pastoral, and pastoral<br />

population indicates a GAM rates of 39.6% (35.4-43.9),<br />

34.4%(29.8-39.2), and 31.2% (26.1-36.7) respectively,<br />

the result is very critical situation, and sustained as<br />

compared to July’11 GAM rates of 45.9% (41.5-50.32), 39<br />

(34.9-43.2), and 39.4 (35.8-43.2) respectively. The 90 days<br />

retrospective crude (CDR) 1.76 (1.2-2.32), 1.82 (1.23-2.41),<br />

and 1.25 (0.77-1.73) respectively and under five death rates<br />

(U5DR) of 4.22 (2.56-5.87), 4.62, (2.87-6.37) and 2.61(1.32-<br />

3.88) respectively indicate Alert and an Emergency<br />

situation a sustained from the reported in July’11.<br />

Gender and nutrition analysis in Juba Region<br />

The nutrition assessments conducted in the three livelihoods<br />

of Juba was recorded a higher proportions of acutely<br />

malnourished boys than girls in the pastoral (45.8% vs<br />

33.2%) and agropastoral (45.7% vs 32.6%) livelihoods<br />

respectively. While high proportions of acutely malnourished<br />

of boys than girls are also observed in the riverine livelihoods<br />

(53.8% vs 38 %). In pastoral livelihood 40.7% of boys<br />

compared to 27.2% of girls were stunted; and 61.8% of<br />

boys as opposed to 41.1% of girls were underweight. In<br />

agropastoral livelihood 50.1% of boys compared to34.5% of<br />

girls were stunted; and 59.3% of boys as opposed to 46.8% of<br />

girls were underweight. The riverine livelihood 51.4% of boys<br />

compared to 37.5% of girls were stunted; and 71.% of boys<br />

as opposed to 49.9% of girls were underweight. However,<br />

there is no significant statistical difference between the<br />

sexes showing that they were equally affected (p>0.05).<br />

Higher proportions of girls than boys were reportedly ill two<br />

weeks prior to the assessment in the pastoral livelihoods<br />

while the proportions of girls and boys were similarly affected<br />

by the acute malnutrition in the agropastoral and riverine<br />

populations(Table ). The gender disaggregated data by sex<br />

of the assessed children is summarized on Table 8 and 9.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

23<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 8: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

24<br />

Juba Pastoral<br />

(N=866, Boys=,428<br />

Girls=440)<br />

Juba Agro pastoral<br />

(N=824, Boys=398,<br />

Girls=426)<br />

Juba Riverine<br />

(N=868, Boys=431,<br />

Girls=437)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


Table 9: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Juba Livelihood Zones, August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Juba Pastoral<br />

(N=523, Boys=,248 Girls=275)<br />

Juba Riverine<br />

Juba Agro pastoral<br />

(N=591, Boys=281,<br />

(N=561, Boys=279, Girls=287)<br />

Girls=310)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


4 .3 Bay and Bakool Regions<br />

Map 7: Bay and Bakool Regions Livelihood Zones<br />

Executive<br />

26<br />

Bay and Bakool regions are located in the southwest of<br />

Somalia. Both regions have two predominant livelihood<br />

systems; the agro-pastoral, found both in Bay and the<br />

southern parts of Bakool, and the pastoral found mainly<br />

in Elberde district of Bakool region (referred herein as<br />

Bakool Pastoralists) (Map 7). Bakool region comprises of<br />

five districts namely Huddur (the regional capital), Wajid,<br />

Tieglow, Rabdure and Elberde. Bay region comprises<br />

of four districts, namely Baidoa, (the regional capital),<br />

Qansahdhere, Dinsor and Burhakaba. The two regions have<br />

a high agricultural potential, with Bay region serving as the<br />

sorghum basket for Somalia.<br />

Bay and Bakool regions are characterized by the recurring<br />

effects of natural and man-made disasters and conflicts. The<br />

negative factors affecting the area are mainly crop failure<br />

and loss of livestock, resulting in a continual emergency<br />

situation for the most of the population. According to the biannual<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> seasonal analysis, Bakool has persistently<br />

faced a Acute Food and livelihood Crisis AFLC) or<br />

Humanitarian Emergency (HE) crisis since Deyr’07/08.<br />

The situation in Bay and Bakool has largely been attributed<br />

to unfavorable climatic factors, poor dietary diversity, poor<br />

water, lack of sanitation facilities and reduced health and<br />

humanitarian services in the region. The nutrition situation<br />

in the region has also generally remained poor, the meta<br />

analysis of data from 2001-2008 in Bay and Bakool regions<br />

indicates that the median acute malnutrition rates are 18%<br />

and 15.9% respectively both above the emergency threshold<br />

of 15%.<br />

Bakool Region<br />

Historical Overview <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’ 10/11 integrated food security phase<br />

classification, indicated that the rural population in Bakool<br />

region was faced with a Humanitarian Emergency (HE) or<br />

Acute Food and livelihood Crisis (AFLC). Approximately,<br />

5,000 people were faced with HE and 90,000 people were in<br />

AFLC in the entire Bakool region. Out of the total in AFLC,<br />

80,000 were agro-pastoralists (45,000 in Bakool agropastoral<br />

LZ and 35,000 in Bay-Bakool agro-pastoral low<br />

potential LZ) while the remaining 15,000 were pastoralists<br />

(Southern Inland Pastoral). In addition, 30,000 of Bakool’s<br />

urban populations were faced with either AFLC (5,000<br />

people) or HE (25,000 people). The Deyr ’10/11 season<br />

cereal production in Bakool region was only 10% of the PWA<br />

and 7% of the five-year average (2005-2009) which was the<br />

second lowest since 1995. These phase classifications were<br />

linked to the cumulative effect of poor rainfall performances<br />

and the resulting negative impact on the crop production,<br />

poor pasture, browsing and water conditions.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

Due to the increased civil insecurity and lack of access to<br />

most of the area in the region, it was not possible during<br />

the Deyr ‘10/11 season to conduct representative nutrition<br />

surveys in any of Bakool’s livelihood zones, however<br />

rapid MUAC assessments were conducted in 11 villages<br />

each among the pastoral and agro-pastoral populations .<br />

Results from the two livelihoods indicated a high proportion<br />

(>20%) of the assessed children with MUAC


Current situation, <strong>Gu</strong>’11<br />

Food security<br />

The current <strong>Gu</strong>’11 Integrated Phase Classification identifies<br />

the rural livelihoods in Bakool region to be in either the<br />

AFLC, HE or Famine. The total rural population in crisis<br />

has increased by over 100% from 95,000 in Deyr’10/11 to<br />

201,000 and 81% of the population are currently faced with<br />

crisis. Of the total rural populations in crisis in the Bakool<br />

region 30,000 are in AFLC, 92,000 in HE and 79,000<br />

in Famine. Similarly an additional urban population of<br />

25,000 and 22,000 are classified are facing HE and AFLC<br />

respectively. The food security situation in all livelihoods<br />

of Bakool region has deteriorated since <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 due to two<br />

seasons of consecutive crop failure as well as loss of<br />

livestock and poor production due to poor pasture, browsing<br />

and water conditions attributed to failed Deyr ’10/11 and <strong>Gu</strong><br />

’11 rainfall.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

The current post <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 integrated analysis of data from<br />

nutrition assessments conducted in Bakool region in July<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, the health facility information and targeted feeding<br />

facilities data indicates a significant deterioration of the<br />

nutrition situation in both the pastoral and the agro-pastoral<br />

population. Though the nutrition situation is sustained<br />

at a Very Critical phase, the GAM rates in the current<br />

assessments are extremely high surpassing the famine<br />

threshold of 30%, especially for the agro-pastoral, the worst<br />

seen in decades.<br />

The nutrition assessment conducted in the Bakool pastoral<br />

population in July <strong>2011</strong> by <strong>FSNAU</strong> and partners indicated<br />

a GAM rate of 55.9% (50.6-61.2) and SAM rate of 20.4%<br />

(15.2-26.7) depicting a sustained Very Critical nutrition<br />

situation, yet a significant deterioration with a considerable<br />

increase in the proportion of acutely malnourished children.<br />

In January <strong>2011</strong>, the nutrition situation was likely Very Critical<br />

bassed on integrated analysis of data from rapid MUAC<br />

assessment conducted in December 2010, and health<br />

facility trends.The 90 days retrospective crude (CDR) and<br />

under five death rates (U5DR) of 1.89 (1.60-2.19) and 5.06<br />

(3.80-6.32) indicate a Critical situations respectively.<br />

The Bakool agro-pastoral livelihood nutrition assessment<br />

reports a GAM rate of 45.9% (42.3-49.6) and SAM rate<br />

of 16.4% (12.9-20.6) indicating a Very Critical nutrition<br />

situation. This is also a significant deterioration, with<br />

extremely high increase in the levels of acute malnutrition,<br />

even when compared to the Deyr‘10/11. The 90 days<br />

retrospective CDR U5DR of 2.2 (1.7-2.7) and 7.0 (5.2-8.8)<br />

respectively indicate a Very Critical situation. The crude<br />

death rate and acute malnutrition has exceeded famine<br />

thresholds in Bakool agro-pastoral.<br />

In August <strong>2011</strong>, repeat nutrition and mortality surveys were<br />

conducted among the Bakool agro-pastoral to monitor<br />

the changing situation. The results reported a GAM rate<br />

of 41.1% (35.1-47.4) and a SAM rate of 13.1% (10.5-16.2)<br />

indicating a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation. The<br />

90 days retrospective crude (CDR) and under five death<br />

rates (U5DR) of 2.11 (1.40-2.83) and 5.18 (3. 06-7.30)<br />

respectively indicating a Very Critical situation, with the<br />

CDR rate still above famine thresholds.Vaccination status<br />

by recall and Vitamin A supplementation are extremely low<br />

due to reduced interventions in the area, this can further<br />

exacerbate the nutrition status of the children in the area .<br />

Data from health facilities in the livelihood zone reported a<br />

high (>50 %) and increasing trend of acutely malnourished<br />

children (Figure 13). There were a unconfirmed outbreak of<br />

whooping cough and measles in Rabdure and Tieglow.<br />

Figure 13: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Bakool Agropastoral<br />

LZ, 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />

Percent<br />

100.0<br />

95.0<br />

90.0<br />

85.0<br />

80.0<br />

75.0<br />

70.0<br />

65.0<br />

60.0<br />

55.0<br />

50.0<br />

45.0<br />

40.0<br />

35.0<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Month<br />

Data Source: RCS, GTZ<br />

2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

In eight of the last nine consecutive seasons, Bakool region<br />

has been in crisis. Both livelihood zones are affected by<br />

prolonged drought, however, the Bakool agro-pastoralists<br />

are the hardest hit. The impact of extremely poor <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11<br />

rainfall performance was manifested by crop failure and<br />

poor livestock production which has significantly affected<br />

household access to cereals, milk and income. Besides poor<br />

food access, the deterioration in the nutrition situation in<br />

Bakool region is also attributed to chronically high morbidity<br />

levels, further aggravated by inadequate access to basic<br />

services such as safe water, health and nutrition outreach.<br />

The situation is worsened by the withdrawal of certain<br />

humanitarian organizations that provided health and<br />

nutrition services in the area due to the prevailing civil<br />

insecurity. The withdrawal of these essential services that<br />

played both a preventive and rehabilitative role in addressing<br />

acute malnutrition in the region partly explains the current<br />

deterioratiion. Immediate large scale food assistance,<br />

rehabilitation of acutely malnourished children and provision<br />

of health services and safe water is required urgently to<br />

prevent the ongoing deaths and livelihoods programs to<br />

increase food access. Close monitoring of the nutrition<br />

situation of this population group remains crucial.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

27<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 10: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bakool Region - July &August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

28<br />

Bakool Pastoral July11<br />

(N=270;boys=146;girls=124)<br />

Bakool agro-pastoral July’11<br />

(N=244;boys=121;girls=123)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />

2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />

2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

55.9 (50.6-61.2)<br />

65.1<br />

45.2<br />

20.4 (15.2-26.7)<br />

21.9<br />

18.5<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

45.9 (42.3-49.6)<br />

57.9<br />

34.1<br />

16.4 (12.9-20.6)<br />

21.5<br />

11.4<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Bakool agro-pastoral August’11)<br />

(N=467;boys=241;girls=226)<br />

41.1 (35.1-47.4)<br />

50.6<br />

31.0<br />

13.1 (10.5-16.2)<br />

17.4<br />

8.4<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.98±0.95 Critical -1.86±0.92 Critical -1.75±0.97 Critical<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 49.3 (44.7-53.9 Very Critical 39.6 (35.1-44.3) Very Critical 37.6 (32.1-43.5) Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 15.6 (11.8-20.2) Very Critical 11.0 ( 8.1-14.8) Very Critical 9.4 ( 7.3-12.0) Very Critical<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Bay Region<br />

Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11<br />

Food security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 integrated food security<br />

analysis classified the rural populations in Bay region in<br />

crisis either in AFLC or HE, indicating deterioration in<br />

the food security situation of the livelihood. In Bay region,<br />

54,000 people who were classified as being Borderline<br />

Food Insecure (BFI) in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 was faced in crisis in the<br />

Deyr’10/11. Of these, 8,000 rural people were faced with<br />

AFLC (Bay-Bakool agro-pastoral low potential LZ) and<br />

46,000 urban populations were either in AFLC (43,000)<br />

or HE (3,000). The rest of the population was classified<br />

as Borderline Food Insecure (BFI). The overall cereal<br />

production in Bay was only 8% of the PWA and 7% of the<br />

five- year average illustrating crop failure. The poor agropastoral<br />

households in the northern parts of Baidoa and<br />

Burhakaba districts (the agro-pastoral low potential LZ) who<br />

were classified as Borderline Food Insecure (BFI) in the <strong>Gu</strong><br />

’10, had deteriorated to Acute Food and Livelihood Crisis<br />

(AFLC) due to the Deyr ’10/11 season crop failure as well<br />

as the low recovery of livestock herd sizes. Consequently,<br />

the overall food security situation in the livelihood had<br />

deteriorated due to crop failure as well as lack of milk<br />

availability and poor water conditions attributed to the failed<br />

Deyr ’10/11 rains this region.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated analysis of data from rapid<br />

MUAC assessments conducted in Bay region in Dec‘10,<br />

with health and feeding facilities information, indicated a<br />

sustained likely Very Critical nutrition situation among the<br />

agro-pastoral population. The vulnerability to high acute<br />

malnutrition levels in the region was largely attributed to<br />

chronic high morbidity levels, further aggravated by reduced<br />

access to humanitarian assistance in terms of safe water,<br />

health, nutrition, and outreach services (Figure 14).<br />

Figure 14: Trend in levels of acute malnutrition<br />

(WHZ< -2 or oedema, WHO 2006) Bay<br />

region, 2002- <strong>2011</strong><br />

65.0<br />

60.0<br />

55.0<br />

50.0<br />

45.0<br />

40.0<br />

Current situation, <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’11<br />

Food security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’11 integrated food security analysis has<br />

classified the agro-pastoral livelihood zone of Bay region in<br />

either Famine or HE indicating a deterioration from AFLC/<br />

HE in post Deyr’10/11 which is as a result of two successive<br />

seasons of crop failure. There is a significant deterioration<br />

in the agro-pastoral (both high potential and low potential)<br />

livelihood where the population in crisis has increased from<br />

8,000 in post Deyr ‘10/11 to the current 410,000 peope..<br />

Ofthe total in crisis, 157,000 are in Famine and 253,000, in<br />

HE. In addition, 70,000 of Bay urban populations are either<br />

in AFLC (16,000 people) or HE (62,000 people). The overall<br />

food security situation in the livelihoods of Bay region has<br />

deteriorated due to crop failure as well as lack of milk and<br />

animal loss attributed to the failed Deyr ’10/11 and <strong>Gu</strong>’11<br />

rainfall performance in this region.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The current <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 integrated analysis of data from<br />

nutrition assessments conducted in Bay region in July<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, health information and targeted feeding facilities<br />

data indicates a Very Critical situation, with a significant<br />

deterioration recorded among the agro-pastoral population<br />

where very high GAM rates (>50%), the worst seen in<br />

decades, have been reported. A rapid MUAC assessment<br />

conducted in the area during the post Deyr ’10/11 season<br />

indicated 18.4% of the assessed children were acutely<br />

malnourished (MUAC 40%) which provides evidence of the sustained<br />

poor nutrition situation among this population.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

29<br />

35.0<br />

% malnourished<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

Mar'07<br />

Qansahdere<br />

District<br />

May'02<br />

Sep'06<br />

Sep'03<br />

Mar'07<br />

May'07<br />

May'07<br />

Berdalle District Dinsor District Burhakaba Burhakaba<br />

Pastoral Agrop<br />

Nov.'07<br />

June 09<br />

Dec-09<br />

Bay Agro-pastoral<br />

July'11<br />

Aug'11<br />

A repeat nutrition and mortality survey conducted in August<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, in the same population shows extremely worrying<br />

results, with GAM rate of 58.3% (52.1-64.2) and SAM rate<br />

of 22.1% (18.2-26.5) recorded. The 90 days retrospective<br />

crude (CDR) and under five death rates (U5DR) of 2.15<br />

(1.50-2.80) and 6.16 (3.91-8.40) respectively are equally<br />

worrying, indicating a Very Critical situation and an increase<br />

from the death rates reported in July’11. The results indicate<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

30<br />

Figure 15: HIS Malnutrition trends in Bay Agro-pastoral<br />

MCHs,2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />

%<br />

70.0<br />

60.0<br />

50.0<br />

40.0<br />

30.0<br />

20.0<br />

10.0<br />

0.0<br />

2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Data Source: SRCS, DMO<br />

that the prevalence of acute malnutrition and the rate of<br />

crude mortality has exceeded Famine thresholds in Bay<br />

Region. Morbidity levels reported in the two weeks prior<br />

to the assessment were high at 61.8% and immunization<br />

status for polio and measles and vitamin A supplementation<br />

is relatively very low 0.05).<br />

300<br />

No of admissions<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

The key reference nutrition evidence indicators of the<br />

analysis on the nutrition phase classification are provided<br />

in Tables 10 and 11.<br />

50<br />

0<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Data Source: COOPI<br />

Month<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 11: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Bay Regions- July &August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Bay agro-pastoral July’11)<br />

(N=456;boys=233;girls=223)<br />

Bay agro-pastoral August’11)<br />

(N=489;boys=263;girls=226)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

55 (45.8-64)<br />

60.9<br />

Very Critical<br />

58.3 (52.1-64.2)<br />

64.6<br />

Very Critical<br />

Girls<br />

48.9<br />

50.9<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

29.8 (22.8-38)<br />

36.5<br />

Very Critical<br />

22.1 (18.2-26.5 )<br />

28.5<br />

Very Critical<br />

Girls<br />

22.9<br />

14.6<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -2.07±1.15 Critical -2.10±1.13 Critical<br />

Executive Summary<br />

31<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 54.8 (44.5-64.7) Very Critical 55.6 (49.6-61.4) Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 21.2(15.6-28.1) Very Critical 12.4 ( 9.5-16.1) Very Critical<br />

36.1 (29.3-43.2)<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Executive<br />

Case study: A family staring famine in the face<br />

– Huddur, Bakool region<br />

32<br />

Maliya, 36, a mother of four children aged five months to six years, is a home-maker. Her husband Omar, is<br />

a farmer and part time housing and land broker in Huddur, Bakool Region. Until six months ago, Maliya’s<br />

family was contented with life as Omar was able to cover their basic needs fairly well. Following the two<br />

recent seasons of crop failure however, and with the restricted access of humanitarian aid into the area, life<br />

has become very hard. Omar’s income base has collapsed due to lack of demand for the services he provides,<br />

leaving the family with neither the income nor food stocks to meet basic needs. The family farm from<br />

which they normally produce sufficient food for own consumption, has not generated anything in the last<br />

two seasons due to the drought. Further, the family lost its 30 sheep and goats which provided milk that<br />

supplemented the family diet, and income through occasional sale of part of the stock.<br />

The aftermaths of the drought have therefore left<br />

Maliya’s family with little coping options.<br />

Initially, the family reduced the number of meals<br />

consumed daily from three to one. However as<br />

time passed by, they were compelled to skip a day<br />

or two without consuming a meal. With Maliya’s<br />

neighbours facing the same predicament, neither<br />

kinship nor social support are available option.<br />

Indeed many families continue to leave Huddur<br />

for refugee camps across the borders of Kenya and<br />

Ethiopia to seek support. About six months ago,<br />

Omar and Maliya considered taking this option, but<br />

were nevertheless constrained by the distance they<br />

needed to cover on foot due to lack of money and<br />

means of transport. For this reason, they resolved to<br />

A mud house done by Maliya to get her meal on the<br />

table, <strong>FSNAU</strong> August <strong>2011</strong>.<br />

split the family into two, with the husband moving to Mogadishu IDP camps with the two older children,<br />

and Maliya remaining in Huddur with the other two.<br />

For the last three months, Omar has stayed in Mogadishu and managed to send back to Maliaya, some money<br />

which he got through casual work in Mogadishu. Unfortunately, during this period, both of his children<br />

with him got infected with measles, and have since succumbed to death. “Even though I am not widowed, I<br />

have felt the pain of being a single mother in the absence of my husband and my lost children,” cries Maliya.<br />

Maliya, with her youngest baby on her back survives on mudding semi-permanent houses (Cariish) at a small<br />

fee, though the income is not adequate for her needs. Although she received some food from the Zakat al<br />

Fitri at the end of the Ramadan, this lasted them only for a couple of days. She also recently received some<br />

assistance from agencies in the area having been identified by the drought committee as a vulnerable person<br />

in her section. However these are one off acts of assistance which have not been sustainable.<br />

Beside the sorrow from the loss of her children, Maliya additionally worries about her husband and the<br />

future of her remaining two children living with her in the current situation, in the event that humanitarian<br />

assistance does not reach them on time .<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


4.4 Middle and Lower Shabelle Regions<br />

Middle and Lower Shabelle regions rural livelihoods<br />

comprise of riverine (or pure farmers) and agro-pastoralists<br />

(Map 8). The riverine population, located within 10 km of<br />

the Shabelle river cultivates maize, sesame and a variety<br />

of vegetables and fruits, with limited livestock holdings as<br />

a result of tsetse fly infestation. The agro-pastoral zone<br />

extends 20-40 km from the Shabelle River and incorporates<br />

both cultivation of crop (maize, cowpeas, sesame and fruit),<br />

and livestock rearing. The agricultural potential, as well as<br />

the labour and income opportunities in the area makes it<br />

a haven for seasonal casual work, and also for vulnerable<br />

populations in when there is a shock. The region has a high<br />

population density, which is further aggravated by a high<br />

number of IDPs as a result of the continuing civil insecurity<br />

in the region.<br />

Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11<br />

Food Security<br />

According to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 analysis, the<br />

food security situation in the Shabelle regions showed<br />

deterioration as a result of failed crop production and<br />

poor livestock all due to the poor Deyr rain performance.<br />

Consequently, in Middle Shabelle, the reported total number<br />

of people in crisis was estimated at 87,000 of which 17,000<br />

were in HE (5,000 from Central Agro-pastoral and 12,000<br />

from Coastal Deeh Pastoral), with an early warning level<br />

of Watch. The remaining 70,000 people were identified in<br />

AFLC (5,000 Central Agro-pastoral 12,000 Coastal Deeh,<br />

11,000 Riverine and 42,000 Southern Agro-pastoral) with an<br />

early warning level of Watch for Coastal Deeh and Moderate<br />

Risk to HE for other livelihoods. Most livelihoods of Lower<br />

Shabelle were in Borderline Food Insecure phase (BFI) with<br />

an early warning level of Moderate Risk to AFLC except for<br />

Map 8: Shabelle Livelihood Zones<br />

Map 11: Shabelle Livelihood Zone Map<br />

Southern Agro-pastoralists (Walaweyn district) which faced a<br />

high risk to AFLC. Similarly the food security situation in the<br />

urban livelihood of both regions also indicated a deterioration<br />

since the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season. Complete rainfall failure and<br />

the resultant poor crop production (46% and 23% of PWA<br />

in Middle and Lower Shabelle respectively), and increased<br />

cereal prices were the primary reasons for the deteriorating<br />

trend in the Shabelle regions. The factors that mitigated<br />

the situation included cash crop production, availability of<br />

cereal stocks in the regions and some job opportunities from<br />

agricultural activities for the poor and middle households.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The post Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition analysis indicated<br />

that the nutrition situation had significantly deteriorated in<br />

both the Lower Shabelle and Middle Shabelle populations<br />

from the previous likely Serious and Alert phases to likely<br />

Critical. The Alert nutrition situation in the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 was<br />

attributed to previous seasons of increased access and<br />

consumption of milk and crops (maize rice, sesame and cow<br />

peas) in the agro-pastoral and riverine areas (Figure 17).<br />

The agro-pastoral and riverine population reported improved<br />

dietary diversity and access of fish, fruits and vegetables<br />

were reported especially among the riverine livelihood<br />

households. However, the nutrition situation in Adale District<br />

remained sustained at Critical levels with associated poor<br />

food security indicators.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

33<br />

Figure 17: Trends in Levels of Acute Malnutrition<br />

(WHZ


Executive<br />

34<br />

The agro-pastoral areas (Cowpea Belt) of Adale District<br />

and the neighbouring Adan Yabal districts, had faced 5-6<br />

consecutive seasonal failures with poor access to milk,<br />

crops and income. During the <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 season,<br />

there was no comprehensive nutrition survey conducted due<br />

to lack of access, therefore there was no conclusive phase<br />

classification for the region. However data from the health<br />

facility surveillance and qualitative information gathered<br />

depicted signs of deterioration, a likely Critical (GAM rates<br />

>15%) nutrition situation. The deterioration in the nutrition<br />

situation of the agro-pastoral and riverine populations<br />

of Middle Shabelle was then attributed to outbreaks of<br />

diseases (AWD, cholera, malaria and whooping cough),<br />

reduced access to food due to high food prices especially<br />

cereals and milk, in addition to the chronic factors including<br />

poor child feeding and health care practices and limited<br />

access to basic services.<br />

In Lower Shabelle region, rapid MUAC assessments<br />

conducted in the agro-pastoral (10 sites N=1100) and<br />

riverine (10 sites N=1100) livelihood zones both indicated<br />

MUAC 10%. HIS data also<br />

indicated a high (>20%) and an increasing trend in the<br />

number of acutely malnourished children. The data depicted<br />

signs of deterioration and the area was classified as likely<br />

Critical. The deterioration was also attributed to the high<br />

morbidity burden, poor dietary diversity to reduced access<br />

to milk and cereals. Limited interventions, social support<br />

and application of coping mechanisms helped to mitigate the<br />

situation. The historical trends in levels of acute malnutrition<br />

from 2007 to July <strong>2011</strong> is found in figure 11.<br />

Current Situation, <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />

Food Security<br />

The current <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 Integrated Phase Classification<br />

identifies the livelihoods in Middle and lower Shabelle<br />

regions are in HE and Famine. The significant food security<br />

deterioration in the Shabelle region is mainly attributed to<br />

severe food availability and access due to almost total crop<br />

failure and loss of livestock which is as a result of poor rain<br />

performance and poor irrigation due to the river level drop.<br />

The population in Middle and Lower Shabelle have been<br />

classified in 3 categories of crisis, Famine, Humanitarian<br />

Emergency and Acute Food and livelihood Crisis (AFLC).<br />

The food security situation of the urban population has<br />

also showed a deterioration from the previous season.<br />

The famine in the region was classified based on the 3<br />

main indicators, 20% of the population not able to access<br />

2,100 kcal per day, GAM rates exceeding 30% and crude<br />

death rate of 2/10,000/day. In Lower Shabelle and Middle<br />

Shabelle, the population had passed these thresholds,<br />

indicating a humanitarian catastrophe.<br />

The drought in the region had led to very poor crop<br />

production and massive livestock deaths, this also led to the<br />

mass movement of populations to Mogadishu. Poor rainfall<br />

performance and the consequent poor crop production (22%<br />

of PWA in Middle Shabelle and 37% of the PWA in Lower<br />

Shabelle) coupled with a high increase in cereal prices,<br />

minimal cereal stocks, and high cost of water and fodder<br />

are the main factors leading to the deterioration. Continued<br />

displacements and market disruptions resulting from the<br />

conflict in Mogadishu, further exacerbate the situation<br />

especially for the purchase-dependent IDPs who remain<br />

more highly susceptible to shocks.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The integrated nutrition situation analysis classified the<br />

nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle in both the agropastoral<br />

and riverine livelihood zones as Very Critical.<br />

Comprehensive nutrition surveys were conducted among<br />

the two livelihood populations in July <strong>2011</strong>, a GAM (WHZ<br />

score 20%) and increasing trend of<br />

acutely malnourished children in both the agro-pastoral and<br />

riverine catchment areas, both in Middle and Lower Shabelle<br />

regions (Figure 18).<br />

Figure 18: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Shabelle<br />

Agropastoral MCHs 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />

Proportion of malnourished children<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

<strong>2011</strong> 2010 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Month<br />

Source: COSV/MSF-S<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 12: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Middle Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong><br />

M. Shabelle Riverine (N=746)<br />

(Boys=391 Girls=355)<br />

M. Shabelle Agro-pastoral (N=689)<br />

(Boys=361 Girls=328)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

19.6 (16.4-23.2)<br />

23.6 (16.9-31.9)<br />

14.2 (9.3-21.2)<br />

8.2 (5.7-11.6)<br />

10.1 (5.8-17.0)<br />

6.8 (3.6-12.7)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

35.3 (24.9-47.3)<br />

36.7 (26.2-48.6)<br />

37.1 (25.2-50.8)<br />

17.1(10.3-27.1)<br />

18.3 (10.4-30.3)<br />

20.1 (12.6-30.4)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.63 ±1.39 Serious -1.38 ±1.54 Very Critical<br />

Oedema (N=28)=3.6 (N=8)=1.3<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 21.6 (15.0-30.0) Very Critical 36.7(25.4-49.8) Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 7.4 (4.3-12.3) Very Critical<br />

15.3(9.4-24.0)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Table 13:Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Lower Shabelle Region - July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

36<br />

L. Shabelle Agro-pastoral<br />

(N=799), (Boys=410 Girls=389)<br />

L. Shabelle Riverine<br />

((N=804)Boys=395 Girls=409)<br />

Afgoye IDPs<br />

(N=951; (Boys=476 Girls=475)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />

2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO<br />

2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

40.6 (34.6-46.8)<br />

42.0 (35.3-49.0<br />

39.1 (32.1-46.5)<br />

20.9 (16.2-26.5)<br />

22.0 (16.8-28.2)<br />

19.8 (14.5-26.5)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

28.7 (24.4-33.5)<br />

31.1 (24.7-38.4)<br />

26.4 (21.5-32.0)<br />

14.2 (11.6-17.3)<br />

15.7 (11.4-21.2)<br />

12.7 (9.5-16.8)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

40.7 (34.5-47.2)<br />

42.9 (35.8-50.2)<br />

38.5 (32.1-45.4)<br />

17.7 (13.4-22.9)<br />

21.4 (16.8-26.9)<br />

13.9 (9.7-19.5)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.53 ± 1.40 Very Critical -1.22 ±1.29 Very Critical -1.67 ±1.30 Very Critical<br />

Oedema (N=32)= 4.0 (N=29)=3.6 (N=8)=0.8<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 39.2 (33.1-45.6) Very Critical 29.2(25.2-33.7) Very Critical 38.8 (32.5-45.4 Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 14.0 (10.3-18.7) Very Critical 10.2 ( 8.1-12.9) Very Critical 11.6 (8.1-16.5) Very Critical<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Afgoye IDPs<br />

The nutrition situation of the Afgoye IDPs remained classified<br />

as Very Critical, however a significant deterioration<br />

has been observed. A nutrition assessment conducted<br />

among the IDP populations along the Afgoye corridor in<br />

July <strong>2011</strong> reported a GAM (WHZ score


Table 14:Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Mogadishu Town and IDPs - April - August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

38<br />

Mogadishu Town<br />

April <strong>2011</strong><br />

(N=902; Boys=451 Girls=451)<br />

Mogadishu IDPs<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

(N=870; Boys=430 Girls=440)<br />

Mogadishu IDPs<br />

August <strong>2011</strong><br />

(N=544; Boys=279 Girls =265)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

15.2(10.9-20.7)<br />

15.7 (11.5-21.2)<br />

14.6 (9.6-21.6)<br />

1.7(0.9-3.1)<br />

1.3 (0.6-3.2)<br />

2.0 (0.9-4.4)<br />

Critical<br />

Alert<br />

39.4 (32.4-46.9)<br />

41.6 (33.7-50.0)<br />

37.3 (30.1-45.1)<br />

15.3(11.6-19.8)<br />

17.7 (13.0-23.6)<br />

13.0 (9.5-17.4)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

45.6 (40.5-50.8)<br />

47.3 (40.5-54.2)<br />

43.8 (36.9-50.9)<br />

23.0 (19.2-27.2)<br />

25.4 (19.3-32.7)<br />

20.4 (15.6-26.2)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.77 ±1.12 Critical -1.61 ±1.25 Very Critical -1.90 ± 1.33 Very Critical<br />

Oedema (N=1)=0.1 (N=9)=1.0 (N=2)=0.4<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 13.1(9.3-18.2) Serious 36.3 (28.9-44.4) Very Critical 43.6 (38.3-49.0) Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 0.8 (0.3-2.0) Alert 10.1 (7.0-14.4) Very Critical 13.7 (10.6-17.6) Very Critical<br />

Proportion with MUAC (


The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation of the Rural Shabelle Regions from February 2007 to July <strong>2011</strong><br />

This article looks back at the nutrition situation since February 2007, to better understand the factors leading to the current Very<br />

Critical/ Famine thresholds of nutrition situation, that can be described as a humanitarian catastrophe. Prior to February 2007, the<br />

nutrition situation in the rural livelihoods of the Shabelle regions was not of concern. As a matter of fact, it was perceived to be in the<br />

Alert phase, reflecting one of the best in cases in the entire country. <strong>Nutrition</strong> data collected primarily from health centers and sentinel<br />

sites up to December 2006 indicated low numbers with a stable trend of acutely malnourished children. Currently, the nutrition situation<br />

in the Shabelle region is Very Critical, the worst situation reported in the region, with GAM rates ranging between 19.6%-40.6%, and<br />

appalling SAM rates ranging from 8.2%-20.9%. Additionally, crude death rates reach famine thresholds of >2/10,000/day.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

39<br />

Year/<br />

Season<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

Situation<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> 2007 Deyr ‘07/08 <strong>Gu</strong> 2008 Deyr ‘08/09 <strong>Gu</strong> 2009 Deyr ‘09/10 <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 Deyr ‘10/11 <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Critical<br />

All regions<br />

Critical<br />

Agro-pastoral<br />

Serious<br />

Riverine<br />

Critical<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Serious<br />

Riverine<br />

Serious<br />

All regions<br />

Critical<br />

Agro-pastoral<br />

Serious<br />

Riverine<br />

Serious<br />

Middle<br />

Shabelle<br />

Likely<br />

Serious<br />

Lower<br />

Shabelle<br />

Alert<br />

Middle Shabelle<br />

Adale District<br />

Hot spot Critical<br />

Likely Serious<br />

(Lower Shabelle)<br />

Likely<br />

Critical - Hot<br />

spot for<br />

Concern<br />

Likely<br />

Deterioration<br />

All regions<br />

A look back at available<br />

historical nutrition<br />

data indicates that the<br />

nutrition situation in<br />

Shabelle regions started<br />

deteriorating from<br />

February 2007, and<br />

remains considerably<br />

fluid, except for slight improvement in the <strong>Gu</strong> (April-June) 2010 season. The <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season illustrated positive food security indicators<br />

and fewer disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, by the Deyr (September-December) ‘10/11, the likelihood of a deterioration in the nutrition<br />

situation of the population was imminent. Although slight improvement had been noted in the previous season, inadequate measures<br />

were in place to mitigate the population from possible recurrent shocks, leaving the population highly vulnerable. Subsequent seasons<br />

were characterized by poor household food security due to poor rainfall performance and crop production, high cereal prices and<br />

lack of adequate labor opportunities. Additionally, there were disease outbreaks (measles, AWD, whooping cough and malaria),<br />

and limited humanitarian interventions in the area following withdrawal of some of the aid agencies from the region. This led to the<br />

overall decline of the nutrition situation, erasing all gains made during the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season. The table below illustrates the nutrition<br />

situation in the Shabelle region from <strong>Gu</strong> 2007, to date, what is evident is that the nutrition situation of the Shabelle region has remained<br />

worrying since the <strong>Gu</strong> 2007.<br />

In the Deyr ’06/07 pockets of nutritional concern were reported in Adale and Jowhar<br />

towns and Galigudud, Moiko villages following a rapid MUAC assessment. This was<br />

mainly associated with the effects of the Deyr ‘06/07 floods which exposed the population<br />

to water borne diseases such as AWD, and resulted in loss of crop. In addition, sharp rates<br />

of inflation in food and non food items and disruptions in trade and economic activities,<br />

and a high and increasing concentration of displaced populations fleeing civil conflict in<br />

Mogadishu, resulted in a sudden onset Humanitarian Emergency affecting more than 30%<br />

of the population. By February 2007 the cumulative effects of the failed harvest and the<br />

sudden large displacement of people in the affected areas of Shabelle region exacerbated the<br />

situation. The post <strong>Gu</strong> 2007 integrated nutrition situation analysis, classified the nutrition<br />

Very<br />

Critical<br />

All regions<br />

Did the present major deterioration<br />

of the nutrition situation in the<br />

Shabelle regions occur in just one<br />

or two seasons preceding the <strong>Gu</strong><br />

<strong>2011</strong> season, or was it a progressive<br />

deterioration due to the inability of<br />

the population to handle cumulative<br />

shocks affecting the population since<br />

February 2007<br />

situation of the Shabelle population as Critical with GAM rates of 17.0% and 17.3% and SAM rate- 4.8% and 4.3% among the riverine<br />

and agro-pastoral populations respectively. Data from health facilities at the time indicated low but increasing trends of acutely<br />

malnourished children, as well as increasing incidences of seasonal diseases. In addition to the precarious food security situation at<br />

the time, the worrying nutrition situation was also attributed to the high civil insecurity that resulted in disrupted livelihoods and<br />

limited humanitarian access in addition to disease outbreaks. Rapid MUAC (


Executive<br />

40<br />

• humanitarian interventions which started after the <strong>Gu</strong> 2008 season, and mainly comprised of cash and food distributions<br />

• favorable off season crop harvests.<br />

Nonetheless, the population remained vulnerable because of high morbidity rates and persistent civil insecurity in the region. As<br />

a result, the situation deteriorated the following season. <strong>Nutrition</strong> surveys conducted during the <strong>Gu</strong> 2009 season classified the<br />

Shabelle nutrition situation as Critical (GAM- 19.6% (14.6-29.9 SAM- 8.2 (5.7-11.6) among the agro-pastoral population, whilst the<br />

Riverine population remained in a sustained Serious (GAM- 10.3% (5.4-15.3) SAM- 2.0% (0.1-3.9) nutrition situation. In the following<br />

Deyr ‘09/10 season, <strong>FSNAU</strong> was unable to conduct comprehensive nutrition surveys in Lower Shabelle region because of security<br />

constrains. <strong>Nutrition</strong> surveys were only conducted among the agro-pastoral and riverine populations of Middle Shabelle region. The<br />

results of the surveys indicated a Serious nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle Agro-pastoralists with GAM of 12.5% and SAM of<br />

3.5%, and riverine with GAM of 11.6% and SAM of 4.2%. In Lower Shabelle, integrated analysis of findings from the rapid MUAC<br />

assessments and data from the health facilities depict a likely Serious.<br />

In the <strong>Gu</strong> 2010 season, the nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle improved. <strong>Nutrition</strong> assessments findings indicated an Alert phase<br />

with GAM >6.2% and SAM >1.7% (Pr=0.9). In Adale district however, the situation was Critical based on GAM of 16.8% (12.9-<br />

20.7) and SAM of 2.4% (0.9-3.9). There was still no access to conduct surveys in Lower Shabelle region, however, rapid MUAC<br />

assessments classified the nutrition situation as sustained likely Serious. The improved<br />

nutrition situation in Middle Shabelle was mainly attributed to an improved diet following<br />

increased access to milk and food crops (maize, rice, sesame and cow peas). In addition, no<br />

disease outbreaks were reported at the time. The area had reverted to the general nutrition<br />

situation it was known as before the 2007 civil conflict and subsequent humanitarian<br />

crisis. However, the situation in Adale district was different, a nutrition survey in the<br />

district indicated the nutrition situation had remained Critical, mainly attributed to<br />

negative food security indicators. The 5-6 consecutive seasons of poor rainfall in the<br />

district resulted in reduced access to milk, crops and household income. In Lower Shabelle,<br />

access remained a major challenge, results from rapid MUAC assessments conducted in<br />

addition to data analyzed from health facilities indicating a likely Serious phase.<br />

Security restrictions persisted in the Deyr ‘10/11 season, however according to data from rapid MUAC assessments conducted in<br />

December 2010, indications of an extreme deterioration in the nutrition situation in the Shabelle regions began emerging. The<br />

results indicated a likely Very Critical nutrition situation among all the livelihood populations in the Shabelle regions (MUAC 20%). Data from the health facilities also indicated a high and increasing trend of acutely malnourished children. Although the<br />

reliability of the data was low, insufficient data to make a conclusive classification on the nutrition situation, Shabelle regions was<br />

highlighted as a hotspot for concern, with a high likelihood that the nutrition situation had deteriorated. Consequently in February<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, a rapid MUAC assessment was conducted in the region, and indicated a likely Very Critical nutrition situation with MUAC<br />


4.5 Hiran Region<br />

Hiran region comprises of three main livelihood groups:<br />

the Pastoral (Southern Inland and Hawd pastoral) covering<br />

Mataban and Mahas districts; and the Agro-pastoral and<br />

Riverine livelihood systems, both of which cut across<br />

Beletweyne, Buloburti and Jalalaqsi districts. (Map 9). Like<br />

many other regions in South Central Somalia, Hiran region<br />

has not escaped the effects of high intensity civil conflict,<br />

which has affected people’s means of livelihood. Intermittent<br />

localised civil conflict, as well as the targeting of aid workers<br />

in the region, has continued to hinder humanitarian access.<br />

Map 9: Hiran Region Livelihood Zones<br />

Executive Summary<br />

41<br />

Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11<br />

Food security<br />

The food security situation in Hiran region continued to show<br />

deterioration during the Deyr ‘10/11 season. All livelihoods<br />

were identified to be in Humanitarian Emergency (HE),<br />

with an early level warning of Watch. The post Deyr ‘10/11<br />

food security analysis estimated 195,000 people to be in<br />

crisis, approximately 67 percent were in HE and the rest in<br />

AFLC. The agropastoral livelihood was the worst affected<br />

with 125,000 people in crisis, followed by the riverine with<br />

30,000. The situation in the urban areas also deteriorated<br />

with 35,000 identified to be in crisis (HE and AFLC). The<br />

deteriorating food security situation was mainly attributed<br />

to poor rainfall performance resulting in cereal crop failure<br />

and poor livestock body conditions due to the considerable<br />

deterioration of pasture and browse which consequently<br />

affected the household income and food security. The<br />

reduced levels of social support, high cereal prices,<br />

reduced livestock herd size and widespread civil insecurity<br />

and increasing number of IDPs further aggravated the crisis<br />

in the region.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

In the Deyr ‘10/11 season, <strong>FSNAU</strong> staff were unable<br />

to travel and conduct comprehensive nutrition surveys,<br />

however rapid MUAC assessments conducted in 10 villages<br />

each among the agro-pastoral and riverine populations<br />

respectively reported a high proportion >15% of children<br />

with (MUAC,12.5 cm or oedema) indicating a likely Very<br />

Critical nutrition situation in the region. In the pastoral<br />

population, 14.7% of children reported MUAC levels


Executive<br />

42<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

In the <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong> season, three comprehensive nutrition<br />

surveys were conducted in the Hiran region among the<br />

pastoral, agropastoral and riverine livelihoods, unlike<br />

in previous seasons where they relied on rapid MUAC<br />

assessments. The results of the survey indicate GAM<br />

rates >20% for all the Hiran livelihood zones, the agropastoral<br />

population being the hardest hit with a GAM<br />

of >40%. Data from the HIS facilities in the region also<br />

indicates high numbers (>20%) and increasing trend of<br />

acutely malnourished children. Information from feeding<br />

centres 1 in the area also report an increasing number of<br />

admissions from January to date. This analysis indicates<br />

a sustained Very Critical nutrition situation in the entire<br />

region. The results from the July surveys conducted in <strong>Gu</strong><br />

season indicated a GAM (WHZ Score


Table 15: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region, July - August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hiran Pastoral (N=444)<br />

(Boys=244 Girls=200)<br />

Hiran Pastoral (N=315)<br />

(Boys=169 Girls=146)<br />

Hiran Riverine (N=570)<br />

(Boys=300 Girls=270)<br />

Hiran Riverine (N=401)<br />

(Boys=214 Girls=187)<br />

July <strong>2011</strong> August <strong>2011</strong> July <strong>2011</strong> August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status - - - - - -<br />

Global Acute<br />

27.3(24.2-30.6)<br />

Malnutrition (WHZ


Table 16: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hiran Region (Agro-pastoral) July - August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

Hiran Agro-pastoral (N=535)<br />

(Boys=276 Girls=259)<br />

July <strong>2011</strong> August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hiran Agro-pastoral (N=362)<br />

(Boys=182 Girls=180)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

44<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

) Boys<br />

Girls<br />

43.2 (37.7-48.9)<br />

51.1 (45.0-57.1)<br />

32.5 (25.6-40.3)<br />

Very Critical<br />

44.8 (38.9-50.8)<br />

57.1 (48.4-65.5)<br />

32.2 (25.8-39.4)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006<br />

) Boys<br />

Girls<br />

16.3 (13.4-19.6)<br />

20.3 (16.5-24.7)<br />

11.4 (7.8-16.3)<br />

Very Critical<br />

17.7 (14.1-22.0)<br />

22.5 (17.6-28.4)<br />

12.8 (8.5-18.8)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.66 ±1.08 Very Critical -1.73 ± 1.28 Very Critical<br />

Oedema (N=1)= 0.2 (N=1)=0.3<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 43.6(38.1-49.3) Very Critical 44.6 (38.5-51.0) Very Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 10.5(8.0-13.8) Very Critical<br />

10.2 (7.8-13.2)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition by MUAC (


4.6 Central Somalia: Galgadud and Mudug<br />

regions<br />

Central Somalia comprises of two regions, Galgadud<br />

and South Mudug. There are four main livelihood zones,<br />

namely the purely pastoral Addun and Hawd; the fishing and<br />

pastoral Coastal Deeh and the agro-pastoral Cowpea Belt.<br />

The Hawd and Addun pastoral livelihoods extend across<br />

Galgadud, Mudug and southern Nugal regions, while the<br />

Coastal Deeh extends from the coast of Shabelle through<br />

Galgadud up to Allula, cutting across the South, Central<br />

and Northeast zones (Map 10). This section will discuss<br />

the nutrition situation of the agro-pastoral Cowpea belt and<br />

Coastal Deeh of Central regions. The Hawd and Addun<br />

pastoral livelihood zones will be discussed together with the<br />

other Livelihood zones in the northeast zone.<br />

Historical Overview - <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ’10/11 analysis placed the food<br />

security situation of Central regions of Somalia in<br />

Humanitarian Emergency(HE) for the seventh consecutive<br />

season. The situation deteriorated further in Addun, Coastal<br />

Deeh and Cowpea Belt livelihoods of Central regions due to<br />

significant loss of livestock, increased cereal prices following<br />

poor rainfall performances, in addition to widespread<br />

civil insecurity, limited humanitarian access and trade<br />

disruption. Then, 253,000 people in rural and urban areas<br />

were classified in AFLC, while 131,000 were in HE of whom<br />

25,000 were pastoral destitute. The proportion of people in<br />

HE had increased slightly from 25% of the total population of<br />

Central in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to 28% in Deyr ‘10/11, indicating increased<br />

severity of the crisis in central Somalia. The number of<br />

people in crisis also increased by 16% in urban areas from<br />

43,000 in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to 50,000 in Deyr ‘10/11. Most pastoralists<br />

in central regions experienced severe water shortages and<br />

poor pasture conditions, which resulted in poor livestock<br />

body condition; low conception level and high livestock<br />

deaths especially in Coastal Deeh and Cowpea Belt agropastoral<br />

livelihood zones. For instance, the goat prices<br />

increased by 5% in December,2010 compared to same time<br />

the previous year due to the low market supply, although<br />

the ToT between local goat and rice declined slightly by 5%<br />

due to increase (11%) in rice price in the same period. The<br />

ToT between labour and cereal also declined both for rice<br />

and for sorghum due to declining labour wage rates (7%)<br />

and increased cereal prices then.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition analysis showed<br />

that the nutrition situation of the Addun and Hawd pastoral<br />

population in Central and Northeast regions improved<br />

from the Very Critical and Critical situation respectively in<br />

the <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to a Serious situation, while the Cowpea Belt<br />

Map 10: Central regions Livelihood Zones<br />

agro-pastoral livelihood zone remained in a sustained likely<br />

Critical phase. The apparent improvement then was mainly<br />

attributed to the impacts of the favourable rains the previous<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 in the livelihood and humanitarian interventions.<br />

The nutrition situation of the Coastal Deeh livelihood zone<br />

however, deteriorated from Serious in <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 to Critical.<br />

Current Situation- <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 analysis classifies the Hawd and<br />

most parts of Addun of Central regions of Somalia in AFLC.<br />

The rest of the parts of central regions remain in HE for the<br />

eighth consecutive season. The situation has deteriorated<br />

in Coastal Deeh and Cowpea Belt livelihoods of Central<br />

regions due to significant loss of livestock, increased cereal<br />

prices following poor rainfall performances, poor cowpea<br />

production due to pests, crop diseases and successive<br />

poor rainfall in addition to wide spread civil insecurity,<br />

limited humanitarian access and trade disruption. Currently,<br />

250,000 people in the rural central population are in crisis, of<br />

whom 120,000 are in HE. Additionally, 60,000 people in the<br />

urban Central regions of Mudug and Galgadud are in crisis<br />

(10,000 in AFLC and 50,000 in HE) constituting 47% of the<br />

total Central population in crisis. The Central regions have<br />

experienced increased civil conflict and together with the<br />

effects of drought have led to increased pastoral destitution,<br />

and limited humanitarian access especially in Haradhere,<br />

Eldheer, and Elbur districts.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The current <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated nutrition analysis depicts<br />

either worsening or sustained nutrition situation in all the<br />

livelihood zones compared to the Deyr ‘10/11 season. The<br />

nutrition situation remains stable at Serious for the Hawd<br />

pastoral livelihood. The populations of the Addun and<br />

Coastal Deeh livelihood zones are all classified in Critical<br />

nutrition situation, showing a deterioration from Serious in<br />

the previous season. These deteriorations are predominantly<br />

Executive Summary<br />

45<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

46<br />

linked to the limited access to milk, poor dietary diversity<br />

and disease outbreaks confirmed in these areas, and<br />

the effects of consecutive poor seasonal performance in<br />

most livelihood zones as discussed in sections under the<br />

Northeast livelihoods. The nutrition situation of the cowpea<br />

agro-pastoral livelihood is in a sustained likely Critical phase<br />

while the situation has further deteriorated in Coastal Deeh<br />

of Central regions and is likely Very Critical, from Critical<br />

levels in Deyr ‘10/11 and Serious levels in <strong>Gu</strong> ’10. Dusamareb<br />

IDPs are in a Very Critical nutrition phase.<br />

Gender: In the Hawd and Addun nutrition assessments<br />

conducted in the Galgadud and Mudug regions of<br />

Somalia, a higher proportion of boys than girls are acutely<br />

malnourished, however, there is no statistical significant<br />

(Pr10%) and fluctuating trends<br />

(Jan-July ’11).<br />

In the July <strong>2011</strong> Addun assessment, the GAM rate was 17.8%<br />

(13.3-23.6) and the SAM rate was 4.1% (2.5-6.7) with two<br />

(0.3%) oedema cases reported indicating a Critical nutrition<br />

situation and a deterioration from the respective GAM and<br />

SAM rates of 11% (7.7- 15.5) and 2.5% (1.3- 5.1) recorded in<br />

November 2010. Though not statistically significant, a higher<br />

number of boys (21.3%) than girls (14.5%) were acutely<br />

malnourished. The retrospective CDR and U5DR rates are<br />

0.56 (0.34-0.91) and 1.92 (1.02-3.59) both indicating Alert<br />

levels. The deaths are also reportedly mainly attributed to<br />

diarrhoea and measles, and consistent with the outbreaks<br />

of measles and AWD reported in the area and with high<br />

morbidity reported from the health facilities. Data from health<br />

facilities in the Addun pastoral livelihood zone reported a<br />

high (>15%) and sharply increasing proportion of acutely<br />

malnourished children (Figure 19)<br />

Figure 19: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Shabelle<br />

Agropastoral MCHs 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />

50<br />

45<br />

<strong>2011</strong> 2010 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010)<br />

The detailed results of assessments in all the livelihoods<br />

transcending the Central and NE regions including the Hawd<br />

and Addun are discussed in the in the sections that follow.<br />

The results of the key findings are summarized in Table 17.<br />

Proportion of malnourished children<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

The integrated analysis of data from nutrition assessments<br />

conducted in Hawd and Addun Livelihood zones in the<br />

northeast (Nugal) and central (Mudug and Galgadud)<br />

regions in July <strong>2011</strong>, health and feeding facilities’ information<br />

shows sustained Serious situation, and deterioration to<br />

Critical from the Serious levels in Deyr ’10/11 in the Addun<br />

pastoral livelihood. The nutrition assessment in the Hawd<br />

reported a GAM rate of 14.4% (10.9-18.8) and a SAM rate of<br />

3.8 % (2.4-6.0) including three (0.5%) oedema cases. Boys<br />

(14.6%) and girls (14.2%) were equally affected (Pr


Table 17: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hawd<br />

(N=576: 309 boys; 267 girls)<br />

Addun<br />

(N=583: 286 boys; 297 girls)<br />

Dusamareb IDPs<br />

(N=198: 95 boys; 103 girls)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

14.4 (10.9-18.8)<br />

14.6<br />

14.2<br />

3.8 (2.4-6.0)<br />

4.9<br />

2.6<br />

Serious<br />

Alert<br />

17.8 (13.3-23.6)<br />

21.3<br />

14.5<br />

4.1 (2.5-6.7)<br />

6.3<br />

2.0<br />

Critical<br />

Alert<br />

>34.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Very<br />

>36.9 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Critical<br />

>28.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />

>6.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />

>7.9 (Pr=0.90) Critical<br />

>3.1 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.87±1.11 Serious -0.91±1.20 Serious -1.56±1.19 Critical<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 13.7 (10.4-17.8) Serious 18.0 (13.9-23.1) Serious -<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 2.1 (1.0-4.4) 1.5 (0.7-3.5) -<br />

Proportion with MUAC 21.3 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Very<br />

Boys<br />

6.1<br />

Serious 8.0<br />

Serious >14.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Critical<br />

Girls<br />

5.6<br />

7.4<br />

>24.6 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Proportion with MUAC 1.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Stunting (HAZ30.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Acceptable >29.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />

>27.6 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Alert<br />

>39.9 (Pr=0.90)<br />

>40.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />

>36.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Critical N/A -<br />

Proportion of acutely malnourished registered in SFs 12.0 2.9 N/A<br />

Child Morbidity & Immunization<br />

Outbreak –AWD<br />

and measles<br />

Critical<br />

Infant and Young child feeding N=182 N=209<br />

Proportion still breastfeeding<br />

Boys -<br />

Girls -<br />

Proportion meeting recommended feeding frequencies<br />

Boys -<br />

Girls -<br />

Proportion who reported to have consumed


Executive<br />

48<br />

Dusamareb IDPs<br />

In July <strong>2011</strong>, <strong>FSNAU</strong> conducted a small sample cluster<br />

survey among IDPs in Dusamareb, including <strong>Gu</strong>riel area<br />

who have been displaced from South Somalia or pastoral<br />

destitute from the Central pastoral livelihood zones. The<br />

GAM and SAM rates of >34.0% (Pr=0.90) and >0.6.2%<br />

were reported indicating a Very Critical <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

(Table 12). The 90 days retrospective CDR and U5DR were<br />

1.85 (1.35-2.34) and 6.57 (4.89-8.26) indicating serious and<br />

critical levels respectively, according to <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

Situation Classification Framework. This population<br />

subgroup and many others cropping up in many other<br />

towns in the Central regions are vulnerable to nutrition, food<br />

security and other health problems, and require immediate<br />

interventions.<br />

The Cowpea Belt Agro-pastoral Livelihood Zone<br />

The rapid MUAC assessment conducted in July <strong>2011</strong> among<br />

755 children aged 6-59 months from seven accessible<br />

villages in the cowpea belt reported acute malnutrition<br />

(MUAC


Table 18: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Cowpea Belt Agro-pastoral and Coastal Deeh Livelihood zones<br />

of Central Region July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Cowpea Belt<br />

(N=755: 369 boys; 386 girls)<br />

Coastal Deeh<br />

(N=427: 201 boys; 222 girls)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Executive Summary<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Proportion with MUAC (


4.7 Northeast Regions<br />

Map 11: Northeast Livelihood Zones<br />

Executive<br />

50<br />

The Northeast regions are predominately pastoral with<br />

seven livelihood zones namely; the Hawd, Addun, Coastal<br />

Deeh, East Golis, Kakaar/Dharoor Valley, Nugal Valley<br />

and Sool Plateau. The Hawd and Addun cut across the<br />

Northeast and Central regions and the East Golis, Sool<br />

and Nugal valley livelihoods cut across the NE and NW<br />

regions. (Map 11).<br />

Historical Overview – Deyr’10/11<br />

50<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11 integrated food security<br />

analysis classified the Nugal Valley, East Golis/ Karkaar/<br />

Dharoor Valley and Sool Plateau livelihood zones of Bari<br />

and Nugal regions in sustained AFLC, with high risk to HE,<br />

indicating a deterioration then from AFLC with moderate risk<br />

in the previous <strong>Gu</strong>’10, after experiencing three successive<br />

seasons of poor rainfall. The Hawd and Addun pastoral<br />

livelihoods in Nugal and northern Mudug regions remained<br />

in HE since Deyr ’09/10. There was a significant deterioration<br />

in the Coastal Deeh of Bari, Nugal and north Mudug regions<br />

where the population in crisis more than doubled (233%<br />

increase), with a significant increase of both people in HE<br />

and AFLC as a result of water shortages, poor rangeland<br />

conditions and collapsed fishing activities. East Golis of<br />

Bari region was classified in sustained AFLC with moderate<br />

risk to HE after the area experienced a third consecutive<br />

rain failure and reduced frankincense production. The total<br />

rural population in crisis in Bari, Nugal and northern Mudug<br />

regions then was estimated at 220,000, of which 9,000 were<br />

rural destitute and 90,000 were urban. Of the total population<br />

in crisis then, 190,000 (86%) were in AFLC and 30,000 (14%)<br />

were in Humanitarian Emergency.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition situation analysis<br />

indicated an improved nutrition situation in most of the<br />

livelihood zones compared to the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season. The<br />

nutrition situation remained stable at Alert for the Sool<br />

Plateau and at Serious for the Coastal Deeh livelihood<br />

zone. The populations of the Hawd and Addun livelihood<br />

zones showed an improvement from Critical and Very<br />

Critical respectively to Serious for both livelihoods. The East<br />

Golis/Karkaar/ Dharoor pastoral population also improved<br />

from Critical in the previous <strong>Gu</strong> ’10 season to Serious. A<br />

deterioration was noted then in the Nugal valley livelihood<br />

zone where the situation was classified as Serious compared<br />

to the Alert phase reported in <strong>Gu</strong>’10. The deteriorations were<br />

predominantly linked to the abnormal migration resulting in<br />

family splitting and limited milk availability at the household<br />

level in the area. The nutrition situation of the IDPs from<br />

Bossaso was classified as Critical, which illustrated an<br />

improvement from Very Critical in the <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’10. The<br />

nutrition situation of the IDPs from Garowe remained<br />

unchanged at Serious, while the IDPs from Qardho,<br />

assessed for the first time then, was classified as Serious.<br />

Current Situation<br />

Food Security<br />

The current <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong>’11 integrated food security<br />

analysis has classified the East Golis/ Karkaar/Dharoor<br />

Valley in sustained AFLC. The Sool Plateau and Nugal valley<br />

livelihood zones of Bari and Nugal regions also remain in<br />

AFLC. The Coastal Deeh livelihood zone which showed<br />

deterioration from AFLC in the previous season to HE in Deyr<br />

‘10/11 is classified in a sustained HE. The Hawd and Addun<br />

Figure 22: Trends in levels of acute malnutrition (WHZ


pastoral livelihoods in Nugal and northern Mudug regions<br />

that were classified in HE since Deyr ’09/10 are currently<br />

classified in AFLC, not necessarily due to an improvement<br />

but because of change in methodology that requires at least<br />

20% of the population’s targeted wealth group to fall in a<br />

particular phase. In Addun pastoral livelihood for instance,<br />

the population in crisis has reduced slightly from 41,000<br />

(33,000 in AFLC and 8,000 in HE) in Deyr ‘10/11 to 26,000<br />

(15,000 in AFLC and 11,000 in HE). The Hawd pastoral<br />

livelihood has however shown a significant decrease in the<br />

number of people in crisis from 29,000 (21,000 in AFLC and<br />

8,000 in HE) to 28,000, currently facing AFLC.. Although<br />

the food security outcomes have improved for the camel<br />

pastoralists of Hawd and Addun livelihood zones, there are<br />

persistent deteriorations among the coastal pastoralists<br />

and other small ruminant pastoralists who have lost most of<br />

their livestock. Aggravating factors include reduced fishing<br />

opportunities in the coastal regions, deteriorated rangeland<br />

and water conditions in the Coastal Deeh, East Golis and<br />

parts of Addun that received below normal <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 rains,<br />

increased food prices in all the livelihoods and widespread<br />

livestock losses leading to increased destitution, and<br />

indebtedness. There is however relative peace and easy<br />

humanitarian access, improved frankincense production in<br />

the East Golis livelihood as well as improved livestock body<br />

condition in the Hawd, Sool and parts of Addun that would<br />

have mitigated the food security situation.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 nutrition situation depicts a deteriorated<br />

nutrition situation in most of the livelihood zones compared<br />

to the Deyr ‘10/11 season and a sustained situation in two of<br />

the livelihood zones. The nutrition situation remains stable<br />

at Serious for the East Golis/Karkar and Hawd pastoral<br />

livelihoods but with a potential to deteriorate amidst the<br />

impact of measles, acute watery diarrhoea and cholera<br />

outbreaks as well as deteriorating food security indicators.<br />

The populations of Sool plateau, Addun, and Coastal<br />

Deeh livelihood zones are all classified in Critical nutrition<br />

phase, showing a deterioration from Alert for Sool plateau,<br />

and Serious for both Addun and Coastal Deeh pastoral<br />

population in the previous season. A notable deterioration<br />

is recorded in the Nugal Valley livelihood zone where the<br />

situation is classified as Very Critical compared to the<br />

Serious phase reported in the <strong>Gu</strong>’10. These deteriorations<br />

are predominantly linked to the limited access to milk, and<br />

poor dietary diversity following the effects of consecutive<br />

poor seasonal performance in most livelihood zones.<br />

Additionally, disease outbreaks such as AWD and measles,<br />

were confirmed in these areas by WHO/MOH. The nutrition<br />

situation is Very Critical for all the IDPs in the Northeast<br />

and Central regions.<br />

The nutrition situation among IDPs deteriorated to Critical<br />

in Bossaso and Galkayo from Serious in Qardho, and<br />

Garowe in the <strong>Post</strong> Deyr’10/11. The nutrition situation of<br />

the IDPs from Margaga, assessed for the first time, is also<br />

classified as Very Critical. The results are consistent with<br />

historical data on nutrition surveys conducted among the<br />

IDP population in the northeast region, which highlights the<br />

chronic nutritional vulnerabilities.<br />

Gender: With the exception of Margaga and Garowe IDPs,<br />

where there is statistical significance, analysis of findings<br />

from the nutrition assessments conducted in the northeast<br />

regions of Somalia indicates a higher proportion of boys<br />

than girls as acutely malnourished, however, there is no<br />

statistical significance (Pr


Executive<br />

52<br />

assessment indicate an Alert situation according to WHO<br />

classification and deterioration from the Acceptable levels<br />

of 0.13 (0.05-0.42) and 0.30 (0.51-2.99) of CDR and U5DR<br />

respectively reported in the December 2010 assessment<br />

(Table 19).<br />

Data from the health facilities namely Ufeyn, Waaciye and<br />

Iskushuban indicate a deterioration with high proportion<br />

(>15%) of acutely malnourished children and increasing trend<br />

in four (Mar-Jun ’11) months (Figure 23).<br />

Figure 23: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Golis/ Karkaar<br />

LZ (2010-<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Proportion acutely malnourished (%)<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Month<br />

Data Source: MoH; SRCS<br />

Considering these HIS trends, and the measles outbreak,<br />

together with worsening food security indicators, the nutrition<br />

situation among East Golis livelihood population has the<br />

potential to deteriorate. The population remains vulnerable<br />

to natural shocks and require close monitoring and the need<br />

to address the chronic issues affecting the nutrition status<br />

of the population such as inadequate health and sanitation<br />

facilities, poor child feeding and care practices and lack<br />

of adequate safe drinking water, besides the emergency<br />

interventions aimed at rehabilitating the acutely malnourished<br />

children is a priority.<br />

Sool Plateau Livelihood Zone of Northeast<br />

The nutrition situation of the Sool Plateau of Bari and Nugal<br />

regions has deteriorated to Critical from the Alert levels<br />

reported during the post Deyr ‘10/11 integrated nutrition<br />

analysis. Results from the nutrition survey conducted in July<br />

<strong>2011</strong> report a GAM rate of 15.9% (13.6-18.4), and a SAM rate<br />

of 4.0% (2.9-5.4), both rates worsening from the December<br />

2010 GAM and SAM rates of 8.3% (6.0-11.4) and 1.6% (0.8-<br />

3.1) respectively. Significantly more boys (17.8%) than girls<br />

(13.7%) were acutely malnourished, a trend observed in<br />

many assessments in Somalia and the reasons that are yet<br />

to be investigated though likely linked to the WHO growth<br />

standards. Data from health information systems (HIS) in<br />

the area recorded low numbers (


Table 19: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast Regions July <strong>2011</strong><br />

East Golis/Karakaar Livelihood<br />

Zone<br />

(N=727: 373 boys; 353girls)<br />

Sool Plateau Livelihood Zone<br />

(N=629:337 boys; 292 girls)<br />

Nugal Valley Livelihood Zone<br />

(N=582: 307 boys; 275 girls)<br />

Indicator Results (%) Outcome Results (%) Outcome Results (%) Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

12.7 (8.5-16.9)<br />

12.8 (5.6-20.0)<br />

12.5 (5.2-20.2)<br />

1.1 (0.0-2.7)<br />

1.6 (0.0-3.3)<br />

0.5 (0.0-1.3)<br />

Serious<br />

Acceptable<br />

15.9 (13.6-18.4)<br />

17.8 (13.7-22.8)<br />

13.7 (10.4-17.8)<br />

4.0 (2.9-5.4)<br />

4.7 (2.9-7.7)<br />

3.1 (1.5-6.4)<br />

Critical<br />

Alert<br />

23.2 (18.9-28.20<br />

25.1 (19.2-32.1)<br />

21.1(16.2-27.0)<br />

6.7 (4.4-9.6)<br />

8.5(5.5-12.9)<br />

4.7(2.6-8.5)<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.03 Critical -0.73 Serious -1.09±1.18 Alert<br />

Very Critical<br />

Critical<br />

Executive Summary<br />

53<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 12.5 (4.9-20.0) Serious 15.9 (9.1-14.5) Critical 22.2 (18.2-26.7) V. Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 1.7 (0.0-3.7) Acceptable 2.4 (1.5-3.8) Acceptable 4.8 (3.2-7.1) Serious<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Executive<br />

54<br />

A supplementation status, poor water and sanitation and<br />

limited health facilities accessible to the community.<br />

Less than 30% of the households reportedly have access to<br />

sanitation facilities and nearly the entire community (>95%)<br />

do not have safe drinking water. Therefore, the population<br />

groups in this livelihood zone needs urgent nutrition and<br />

livelihood interventions with close monitoring especially in<br />

light of the worsening food security situation in the area.<br />

The key findings for East Golis, Sool and Nugal livelihood<br />

zones are summarized in Table 19.<br />

Coastal Deeh Livelihood Zone of Northeast<br />

The nutrition situation of the Coastal Deeh populations<br />

of the Nugal, Bari and Mudug regions has deteriorated to<br />

Critical levels according to <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 integrated nutrition<br />

analysis from Serious in Deyr ’10/11. High morbidity rates<br />

including measles and AWD outbreak, and a precarious<br />

food security situation with significant livestock deaths, are<br />

the main factors attributed to the poor nutrition situation<br />

affecting the coastal livelihood.<br />

A nutrition survey conducted in July <strong>2011</strong>, reported a GAM<br />

rate of 17.4 %(13.8-21.6) and SAM rate of 4.2% (2.7-6.4),<br />

including two (0.3%) oedema cases and indicating a Critical<br />

nutrition situation. These results are a deterioration from<br />

the levels recorded in November 2010 when a GAM rate<br />

of 12.5 % (10.5-14.9) and SAM rate of 2.8% (1.7-4.6) were<br />

reported indicating a Serious nutrition situation in Deyr<br />

‘10/11. A higher proportion of assessed boys (19.8 %) were<br />

acutely malnourished compared to the girls (15.2%) but<br />

this difference was not statistically significant. A 90-days<br />

retrospective crude (CDR) and under five death rates (U5DR)<br />

of 0.78 (0.57-1.35) and 1.15 (0.58-2.25) respectively were<br />

recorded, indicating Alert levels and a slight deterioration<br />

from the Acceptable situation with respective CDR and<br />

U5DR of 0.38 (0.20-0.70) and 1.01 (0.51-2.0) recorded in the<br />

November 2010 assessment. Data from the health facilities<br />

in the NE coastal areas also indicated a high (>15%) but<br />

decreasing number of acutely malnourished children.<br />

Poor dietary diversity, sanitation and access to health<br />

facilities in the area remain critical, with more than 20%<br />

of the assessed households reportedly taking poorly<br />

diversified diet in the preceding 24 hours of recall; and<br />

only 55.3% having access to sanitation facilities. The<br />

rain failure in the Deyr ‘10/11 and now <strong>Gu</strong> ’11 has led to<br />

a significant deterioration of livestock body condition and<br />

deaths resulting in reduced household income, and meat<br />

and milk consumption. Furthermore, there are low labour<br />

opportunities from fishing activities due to the presence of<br />

sea pirates, strong sea tides, poor infrastructure an market<br />

disruptions, and together with high morbidity, these factors<br />

remain key in instigating the poor nutrition situation in the<br />

area. The findings for Coastal Deeh pastoral livelihoods are<br />

summarized in Table 20.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 20: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, Addun and Coastal Deeh Northeast Regions July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hawd<br />

(N=576: 309 boys; 267 girls)<br />

Addun<br />

(N=583: 286 boys; 297 girls)<br />

Coastal Deeh<br />

(N=599: 283 boys; 316 girls)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

14.4 (10.9-18.8)<br />

14.6<br />

14.2<br />

3.8 (2.4-6.0)<br />

4.9<br />

2.6<br />

Serious<br />

Alert<br />

17.8 (13.3-23.6)<br />

21.3<br />

14.5<br />

4.1 (2.5-6.7)<br />

6.3<br />

2.0<br />

Critical<br />

Alert<br />

17.4 (13.8-21.6)<br />

19.8 (14.5-26.3)<br />

15.2 (11.2-20.3<br />

4.2 (2.7-6.4)<br />

4.6 (2.9-7.2)<br />

3.8 (1.9-7.6)<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -0.87±1.11 Serious -0.91±1.20 Serious -0.91 ±1.17 Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Alert<br />

Executive Summary<br />

55<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 13.7 (10.4-17.8) Serious 18.0 (13.9-23.1) Serious 16.7 (13.0-21.2) Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 2.1 (1.0-4.4) 1.5 (0.7-3.5) 2.7 (1.7-4.1) Acceptable<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Executive<br />

56<br />

IDPs of the Northeast: Galkayo, Garowe and<br />

Bossaso<br />

The nutrition situation of IDPs in the northeast regions,<br />

has deteriorated in all the assessed settlements with Very<br />

critical nutrition levels based on surveys conducted in<br />

June <strong>2011</strong>, as this population continues to be vulnerable to<br />

various shocks including drought in the south, conflict and<br />

unfavourable market forces.<br />

Findings from the Bossaso IDPs assessment record a<br />

GAM rate of 24.4% (20.9-28.3) and SAM rate of 4.7% (3.2<br />

- 7.1), including five (0.8%) oedema cases indicating a Very<br />

Critical nutrition situation, and a significant deterioration<br />

(p26% (Pr.=90%) and SAM rate of >3.3%<br />

(Pr.=90%) were recorded in June 2010. The retrospective<br />

crude and under five death rates of 0.89 (0.58-1.37) and 2.23<br />

(1.20-4.11) indicating Alert and Serious levels respectively<br />

among the Bossaso IDPs according to the <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

Classification Framework. The seasonal deterioration<br />

is associated with reduced access to casual labour at<br />

Bossaso port, out-migration of the better off escaping the<br />

high temperatures, and reduced fishing activities because<br />

of the high tides and winds at the sea. The reduced income,<br />

high cereal prices and interruptions inte hd eleievru of<br />

humanitarian assistance likely contributed to the very critical<br />

nutrition situation. Increased influx of new IDPs from south<br />

Somalia into the urban centres of NE put more pressure on<br />

the host communities with associated problems of shelter<br />

and frequent fire outbreaks. However, the targeted food<br />

distributions for the acutely malnourished and other nutrition<br />

and health services by the humanitarian organizations and<br />

the Puntland authority in the area have played a crucial<br />

mitigating role. The findings of IDPs assessments among<br />

Bossaso, Garowe and Galkayo IDPs are presented in<br />

Table 21.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 21: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast IDPs May - June <strong>2011</strong><br />

Bossaso<br />

(N=611: 306 boys; 305 girls)<br />

Garowe<br />

(N=604: 308 boys; 296 girls)<br />

Galkayo<br />

(N=612: 290 boys; 322 girls)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

24.4 (20.9-28.3)<br />

27.5 (22.4-33.2)<br />

21.3 (16.6-26.9)<br />

4.7 (3.2-7.1)<br />

4.9 ( 2.8- 8.5)<br />

4.6 ( 2.7- 7.7)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Serious<br />

20.5 (17.5- 24.0)<br />

24.4 (19.2-30.3)<br />

16.6 (13.4-20.3)<br />

1.8 (0.9- 3.7)<br />

1.9 (0.7- 5.2)<br />

1.7 (0.6- 4.5)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Acceptable<br />

20.3 (16.1-25.2)<br />

24.1 (18.3-31.1)<br />

16.8 (12.4-22.3)<br />

4.4 (2.9- 6.6)<br />

4.8 (2.8- 8.2)<br />

4.0 (2.4- 6.8)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.17±1.10 Critical -1.18±0.98 Critical -1.13±1.02 Critical<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 22.7 (19.2-26.7) Very Critical 18.7 (15.9-21.9) Critical 19.8 (15.4-25.1) Critical<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) 11.8 ( 0.9- 3.7) Very Critical 0.7 (0.2- 2.3) Acceptable 1.8 ( 1.0- 3.2) Critical<br />

Proportion with MUAC


Executive<br />

58<br />

Figure 26: HIS Malnutrition Trends in Bossaso MCHs<br />

(2010-<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Proportion acutely malnourished (%)<br />

40.0<br />

35.0<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0<br />

2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2 per. Mov. Avg.(2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg.(<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Month<br />

Data Source: MoH/SRCS<br />

Data from health facilities in Bossaso indicated a high<br />

(>20%) and stable trend of acutely malnourished children<br />

(Figure 26).<br />

populations, 18.9% and 12.2% in Bossaso and Garowe IDP<br />

populations respectively consumed poorly diversified diets,<br />

comprising of three or fewer food groups, mainly obtained<br />

through purchase. In the context of rural versus urban<br />

population, a relatively higher proportion of the assessed<br />

households among the IDP settlements have access to<br />

sanitation facilities, with 76.3%, 60.7% and 98.3% of the<br />

assessed households in the Bossaso, Garowe and Galkayo<br />

IDP settlements respectively reporting access to some type of<br />

toilet. Similarly, 69.4%, 53.6% and 99.5% of the households in<br />

Bossaso, Garowe and Galkayo respectively reported having<br />

access to safe drinking water, which remains unsatisfactory.<br />

This may mask the water stress situation as witnessed by<br />

water trucking as the main source of water following the effects<br />

of drought in the region.<br />

IDPs of the Northeast: Qardho and Margaga<br />

Among the Garowe IDP population, a GAM rate of 20.5%<br />

(17.5- 24.0) and a SAM rate of 1.8% (0.9- 3.7), including two<br />

(0.3%) oedema cases and indicating a Very Critical nutrition<br />

situation. A substantially higher proportion of boys (24.4%),<br />

than girls (16.6%) were acutely malnourished (Pr>87.5%).<br />

The results show a significant deterioration from the Serious<br />

levels reported in December 2010 with GAM and SAM<br />

rates of 13.3 % (11.0-15.9) and 2.5 % (1.6-3.9) respectively.<br />

Even then, a significantly higher number of boys (16.6%),<br />

than girls (10.3%) were acutely malnourished (Pr.>87.5%);<br />

this finding therefore needs further investigation. These<br />

are the worst rates recorded among Garowe IDP group,<br />

which have previously reported stable serious levels in<br />

three consecutive seasons, due to the mitigating effects<br />

of interventions including active case finding and referral<br />

of acutely malnourished children byagencies on the<br />

ground. Continued displacements from the south and the<br />

surrounding pastoral destitute have exerted more pressure<br />

on the host communities and together with limited labour<br />

opportunities and high food prices have constrained access<br />

to food and economic resources among the IDPs.<br />

The results for the Galkayo IDP assessment recorded a<br />

GAM rate of 20.3% (16.1-25.2) and a SAM rate of 4.4%<br />

(2.9-6.6) including three (0.5%) oedema cases, indicating<br />

a Very Critical nutrition situation and deterioration from<br />

the Critical levels of 16.3% (13.2-20.0) and 2.9% (1.8-4.5)<br />

for GAM and SAM rates respectively reported in December<br />

2010. Again, the proportion of boys (24.1%) who were<br />

acutely malnourished was higher than that of girls (16.8%),<br />

but the difference was not statistically significant (p>0.05).<br />

The respective crude and under five death rates of 0.89<br />

(0.59-1.36) and 1.01 (0.47-2.17) among Galkayo IDPs were<br />

both indicating the Alert levels according to the <strong>FSNAU</strong><br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Classification Framework. The reported deaths<br />

were suspected to have mainly been caused by diarrhoea.<br />

Dietary diversity and household access to food and to<br />

basic services remain to be the major challenges for most<br />

displaced populations. Among the three assessed IDP<br />

Findings from the surveys conducted among the Margaga<br />

(exhaustive survey) and Qardho (small sample cluster survey)<br />

IDPs in June <strong>2011</strong>, indicate GAM and SAM rates of rates of<br />

22.7% and 2.9% in Margaga and a GAM rate of >23.8%<br />

(Pr=0.90) with a SAM rate of >8.2% (Pr=0.90) in Qardho<br />

(Table 17). The rates depict a Very Critical nutrition situation<br />

in Margaga IDPs centers, and because this is the first nutrition<br />

assessment on this recently displaced population, there is no<br />

data for comparison. The nutrition situation among the Qardho<br />

IDPs is also Very Critical and consistent with rates observed<br />

among a similar population in Bossaso. The rates in Qardho<br />

also show a significant deterioration from the Serious situation<br />

reported in December 2010 when small sample cluster survey<br />

results recorded a GAM rate of >10.6% (Pr=0.90) and a SAM<br />

rate of >2.7% (Pr=0.90)<br />

These findings indicate considerably high morbidity rates<br />

(>27%), which have a direct effect on the nutrition status<br />

of the children. However, for all the five IDP populations,<br />

vaccination status by recall and Vitamin A supplementation<br />

are relatively high, yet slightly below the Sphere (2004)<br />

threshold, with the exception of measles immunization in<br />

Qardho IDP populations at 70% (Table 12). The high coverage<br />

of these health programmes is likely due to the impact of the<br />

child health days (CHDs) carried out by UNICEF and partners<br />

in June/July <strong>2011</strong>.<br />

Figure 27: Trends in Levels of Acute Malnutrition<br />

(WHZ


Table 22: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Northeast and Central IDPs May - June <strong>2011</strong><br />

Qardho IDPs<br />

(N=211: Boys=112, Girls=99)<br />

Margaga IDPs<br />

(N=207: Boys= 109, Girls= 98)<br />

Indicator Results % Outcome Results % Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (WHO 2006)<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

>23.8 (Pr=0.90)<br />

31.3 (22.3-41.9)<br />

26.3 (16.9-38.5)<br />

>8.2 (Pr=0.90)<br />

12.5 ( 7.3-20.5)<br />

10.1 ( 4.6-20.7)<br />

Very Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

22.7<br />

30.3<br />

14.3<br />

2.9<br />

3.7<br />

2.0<br />

Very Critical<br />

Acceptable<br />

Mean WHZ (WHO, 2006) -1.38±1.19 Critical -1.22±1.06 Critical<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (NCHS)<br />

>25.0 (Pr=0.90)<br />

Very Critical 21.3 Very Critical<br />

Executive Summary<br />

59<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (NCHS) >2.3 ( Pr=(0.90) Alert 1.4 Acceptable<br />

Proportion with MUAC 19.8 (Pr=0.90)<br />

24.1 (17.8-31.8)<br />

Very Critical<br />

4.3<br />

3.7<br />

Alert<br />

Girls<br />

22.2 (15.5-30.9)<br />

5.1<br />

Proportion with MUAC4.4 ( Pr=0.90)<br />

Very Critical 0.5 Serious<br />

Stunting (HAZ24.5 (Pr=0.90)<br />

34.8 (27.3-43.2)<br />

Critical<br />

7.7<br />

5.5<br />

Serious<br />

Girls<br />

22.2 (13.4-34.5)<br />

10.2<br />

Underweight (WAZ30.6 (Pr=0.90)<br />

40.5 (31.6-50.2)<br />

Very Critical<br />

15.0<br />

17.4<br />

Critical<br />

Girls<br />

29.6 (20.2-41.0)<br />

29.6<br />

HIS <strong>Nutrition</strong> Trends(Jan-Jun’11) N/A Critical N/A -<br />

Admission trends at TFPs/SFPs (Gedo – Jan-July’10)<br />

High and Stable admissions<br />

Critical<br />

trend<br />

N/A<br />

Proportion of acutely malnourished registered in SFs 0<br />

Child Morbidity & Immunization<br />

Disease trends (seasonally adjusted)<br />

Morbidity refers to the proportion of children reported to be ill<br />

in the 2 weeks prior to the survey<br />

Immunization Status<br />

Outbreak – None<br />

Morbidity-38.4<br />

Boys-<br />

Girls-<br />

Diarrhea -27.5<br />

Pneuonia-28.9<br />

Fever-32.7<br />

Vitamin A –80.1<br />

Boys-77.7<br />

Girls-82.8<br />

Measles – 70.0<br />

Boys-71.8<br />

Girls-68.0<br />

Critical<br />

Infant and Young child feeding N=80 N=65<br />

Proportion still breastfeeding<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

58.8<br />

56.8<br />

61.1<br />

Critical<br />

63.1<br />

65.7<br />

60.0<br />

Proportion meeting recommended feeding frequencies<br />

Boys<br />

Girls<br />

Proportion who reported to have consumed


Executive<br />

60<br />

Overall, the nutrition situation is Very Critical among all<br />

the five IDP populations of Bossaso, Garowe, Qardho,<br />

and Galkayo in which repeat surveys were conducted<br />

and is showing significant deteriorations from either<br />

Serious or Critical levels reported in Deyr ‘10/11, as well<br />

as among the new Margaga IDP population. The reasons<br />

for the deteriorations are multiple and are associated with<br />

deteriorating food security and health related factors. The<br />

reliance of the IDPs on humanitarian assistance that has<br />

been insufficient and limited to a small proportion of targeted<br />

vulnerable households and on the irregular casual labour<br />

for income to buy food and other none food items makes<br />

them susceptible to food insecurity and malnutrition. The<br />

situation is exacerbated by the high food prices and poor<br />

food access resulting from the effects of drought in the<br />

region and inability of the host communities to provide social<br />

support. Interventions to improve and stabilize food access<br />

and provision of health services are crucial in addressing<br />

limited food and in tackling the high morbidity levels, thereby<br />

mitigating the high levels of acute malnutrition. Continued<br />

and concerted efforts are thus needed to rehabilitate acutely<br />

malnourished children and prevent further deterioration.<br />

Gender and nutrition analysis in Northeast Regions<br />

In most of the nutrition assessments conducted in the<br />

NE regions of Somalia, a higher proportion of boys than<br />

girls were acutely malnourished, even though this was not<br />

statistically significant (Pr


A review of five cases of child deaths in Eil,<br />

implicates suspected measles<br />

As Narrated to Mohamed M. Hassan, Fsnau July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Measles is one of the contributing factors of malnutrition<br />

and related deaths in Somalia particularly in very<br />

remote and coastal livelihoods where immunization,<br />

vitamin A supplementation and breastfeeding levels<br />

are very negligible and basic services including health<br />

are insufficient in terms of the capacity of medical<br />

personnel, operational tools and infrastructure.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

61<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> and partners conducted seasonal post <strong>Gu</strong><br />

’<strong>2011</strong> nutrition assessments, which incorporated both<br />

nutrition and deaths in the preceding 90 days. The<br />

purpose was to establish the seasonal malnutrition<br />

trends, and factors associated with malnutrition as<br />

well as mortality. Field observations supported a WHO<br />

report of measles outbreaks in Bari, Nugal and Mudug<br />

regions. Having discussed with key informants and<br />

Fawzia, one of the mothers who lost her children to<br />

suspect of measles in Bedey village – <strong>FSNAU</strong> July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Bedey health community, Mohamed Hassan – the <strong>FSNAU</strong> Field <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analyst, and the survey team that visited<br />

Eil in Coastal Deeh were informed of five recent deaths of children aged below five years in Bedey town -a settlement<br />

for a poor fishing community. The team requested the community elders to lead them into the particular households<br />

who lost their children in order to carry out a discussion so as to understand the probable factors contributing to these<br />

deaths. The following paragraphs summarizes the outcome of the examinations conducted in the five households.<br />

Case 1:<br />

Faduma, 32, the mother of the first case, told us that her child was 12 months when he passed on. She had visited<br />

Bossaso Town in April <strong>2011</strong>, and one of the families she paid a visit in Bossaso had lost their child due to illness<br />

suspected to be jaadeco (measles) 1 . When she returned to Eil, her young child became sick and presented measles<br />

symptoms like cough, red eyes, very high fever, diarrhoea and respiratory infections and eventually died on 5 th June<br />

<strong>2011</strong> after one week of illness. Fadumo is herself not immunized against the tetanus (TT); the mother continued<br />

breastfeeding her late child up to 12 months but she “did not receive measles vaccine nor Vitamin A capsules”, she said.<br />

Case 2:<br />

Fawzia, 23, is mother to the late Halima, who passed on 27 th June <strong>2011</strong>, at 10 months. Fawzia said, Halima had<br />

been taken ill for 18 days before she succumbed to high fever, skin rash and cough – symptoms of measles. “She had<br />

not received vitamin A supplements nor measles vaccine; she was still breastfeeding at the time she passed away”,<br />

she said. Her surviving sibling of two and half years was also infected by the same disease but received treatment<br />

and recovered after the death of Halima. Fawzia completed her 5 doses of TT.<br />

Case 3:<br />

Johra, 36, the mother of the third case, has received 3 doses of TT, but her late son (Abdullahi) who died at the age<br />

of 11 months had not received any of the required immunizations - against polio and measles. Breastfed for the<br />

first four months only, the late Abdullahi died on 18 th June <strong>2011</strong> with measles symptoms of diarrhoea, deep cough<br />

with chest in-drawing, white spots in the mouth, red eyes and fever that went on for 10 days.<br />

Her neighboor, Isha, had three out of her four children (see photo) infected with measles. Two of the children recovered,<br />

after 22 days of severe illness. However one child, Amina, succumbed to death.<br />

Case 4:<br />

Farhia, 30, who had received three doses of TT confirmed that her youngest child, Garad, 10 months, had recently<br />

died on 21 st June <strong>2011</strong> with cough, skin rash, red eyes and high fever that lasted for 16 days. Garad had been breastfed<br />

for only four months before the mother conceived another pregnancy.<br />

1 Measles (Jadeeco): a child with more than three of these signs– fever and, skin rash, runny nose or red eyes, and/or mouth<br />

infection, or chest infection<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

62<br />

Case 5:<br />

Fatuma, 22, the mother of the fifth case, had not been<br />

immunized against TT. She reported that her young<br />

child Ramadan, 9 months, who passed away on 1 st<br />

July, in the same Bedey village had the following<br />

symptoms: very severe cough, diarrhea, very high<br />

fever and unconsciousness. “The child was ill for only<br />

four days, she had been so emaciated and succumbed.”<br />

She explained. Asked, if the child had received any<br />

immunization dosage against measles, the mother said,<br />

No. “He was delivered at home and the health center<br />

is very far away, I did not have money to take him to<br />

hospital.” She said.<br />

Isha of Bedey Village, with three of her children who<br />

reportedly had measles. <strong>FSNAU</strong>, July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Summary:<br />

Based on the information from mothers/care takers of these cases, the children suffered from similar symptoms and<br />

the deaths are likely to have been caused by measles. The cases had not been immunized and measles vaccination<br />

coverage is very low in the area, health infrastructure is weak, community awareness on immunization is very<br />

limited and because of the remoteness the disease surveillance and management is wanting. The nutrition survey<br />

conducted in the Coastal Deeh reported a high rate of acute malnutrition with GAM and SAM rates of 17.4 %<br />

(13.8-21.6) and 4.2% (2.7-6.4), respectively; and a 90-days retrospective crude (CDR) and under five death rates<br />

(U5DR) of 0.78 (0.57-1.35) and 1.15 (0.58-2.25) respectively. The deaths in U5s in this assessment and all the other<br />

livelihood assessments conducted in NE regions were attributed mainly to diarrhoea and measles. The main factors<br />

contributing to the undernutrition and deaths at the coastal people are low access to both food and health services<br />

including immunization, as well to recurrent episodes of communicable diseases.<br />

Measles is a highly contagious disease caused by the measles virus. The measles virus grows in the cells that line the<br />

back of the throat and lungs and caused by a virus in the paramyxovirus. This fatal disease affects both elementary<br />

canal and respiratory system causing poor appetite, impaired health condition, sudden fall of nutrition and immunity<br />

status and eventually death. Therefore any person, who is not immunized against measles or not recovered from<br />

the disease at a point in their lifetime, is at risk of getting the disease with its associated complications. It can<br />

be prevented by the combination MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine (http://www.cdc.gov/measles)<br />

and programs have been designed to eliminate measles globally by 2012 (CDC, 2009). The fourth Millennium<br />

Development Goal (MDG 4) also aims to reduce the under five mortality rate by two thirds between 1990-2015<br />

(WHO, 2009). Given the potential of measles vaccination to reduce child mortality, and recognizing that measles<br />

vaccination coverage is a marker of access to child health services, routine measles vaccination coverage is used as<br />

an indicator of progress towards achieving MDG 4 (WHO, 2009).<br />

References:<br />

CDC (2009). Progress Toward the 2012 Measles Elimination Goal -- Western Pacific Region, 1990-2008. MMWR,<br />

June 26, 58 (24), 669-673.<br />

Soleman, N., Chandramohan, D., & Shibuya, K. (2006). Verbal autopsy: current practices and challenges. Bull<br />

World Health Organ., 84(3), 239-245. Retrieved from http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16583084.<br />

WHO (2009). World Health Organization, Fact sheet # 28.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


4.8 Northwest Regions<br />

The Northwest regions comprise mainly of pastoral<br />

livelihood zones namely: West Golis, <strong>Gu</strong>ban, East Golis/<br />

Gebbi Valley of Sanaag region, the Hawd, Sool Plateau<br />

and the Nugal Valley. In addition, there is an agro-pastoral<br />

livelihood zone that is sub-divided into two, namely, the<br />

Agro-pastoral of Awdal and W. Galbeed regions and<br />

Agro-pastoral of Togdheer region. The livelihood zones<br />

cut across the five administrative regions of Awdal, W.<br />

Galbeed, Togdheer, Sool and Sanaag. (Map 12). The East<br />

Golis, Nugal Valley and Sool plateau also extend to the NE<br />

regions of Bari and Nugal respectively.<br />

Map 12: Northwest Livelihood Zones<br />

Executive Summary<br />

63<br />

Historical Overview <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘11<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 integrated food security<br />

analysis classified the West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban and Agro-pastoral<br />

regions (Togdheer, Awdal and Galbeed) of the northwest<br />

as BFI, indicating a stable food security situation in the<br />

livelihoods compared to the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season. (Figure 28). The<br />

Hawd, Nugal Valley and Togdheer livelihood zones were<br />

also classified as BFI, but with a high risk of deterioration<br />

to AFLC, while the East Golis (of Sanaag region) was<br />

classified as AFLC, with a high risk of deterioration to<br />

Humanitarian Emergency (HE). This indicated a slight<br />

deterioration of the overall food security situation in the<br />

livelihoods that was mainly attributed to the poor rainfall<br />

performance and consequent water and pasture shortage<br />

that led to reduced livestock production and out-migration.<br />

Sool Plateau pastoral livelihood zone, despite showing an<br />

improvement then in the food security indicators following<br />

the favourable <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season and increased humanitarian<br />

interventions in the area, remained in HE as a significant<br />

proportion of the poor population (16,000) remained very<br />

vulnerable. Overall, the estimated rural population in AFLC<br />

was 50,000 people, an increase from the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 estimate<br />

of 18,000 people. The total population in HE was 18,000,<br />

down from 25,000 people in <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10. The population of the<br />

urban poor in AFLC was 37,000, while the number in HE<br />

was 13,000.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 nutrition situation analysis showed a<br />

mixed picture with slight deterioration in some livelihoods,<br />

while other areas remained stable compared to the <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10<br />

season (Figure 29). The slight deterioration was mainly<br />

linked to reduced milk access at the household level<br />

which was as a result of poor livestock production and outmigration<br />

of many livestock from the zones following poor<br />

rainfall performance in the respective zones. The nutrition<br />

situation then remained unchanged at Alert for the Sool<br />

Plateau while the Hawd, West Golis and agro-pastoral<br />

livelihood zones remained at Serious.<br />

The populations of the Nugal Valley and East Golis/ Gebbi<br />

livelihood zones, showed a slight deterioration from Alert<br />

in <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 to Serious. The nutrition situation of the IDPs<br />

from Burao and Berbera was classified as Serious, an<br />

improvement from Critical in the <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10, while for<br />

Hargeisa IDPs the situation remained unchanged at Serious<br />

phase. The major risk factors for the populations in the<br />

region such as inadequate safe drinking water, health and<br />

sanitation facilities, poor child feeding and care practices,<br />

in addition to high morbidity rates and a precarious food<br />

security situation, remain a challenge to the populations in<br />

the entire region and much more among the IDP settlements.<br />

Figure 28: Trends in levels of Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


Executive<br />

64<br />

Current Situation <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11<br />

Food Security<br />

The <strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated food security analysis<br />

indicates the West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban, Agro-pastoral and Hawd<br />

of Hargeisa livelihoods in the northwest as BFI, indicating<br />

a stable food security situation since <strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 season. The<br />

population in Hawd of Togdheer, Nugal Valley and East<br />

Golis (of Sanaag region) livelihoods which were classified<br />

during the <strong>Gu</strong>’10 in BFI phase with a high risk, have shown<br />

deterioration in food security situation and are currently<br />

facing AFLC. The deterioration of the food security situation<br />

in these livelihoods is mainly attributed to the poor rainfall<br />

performance and consequent water and pasture shortage<br />

since the Deyr’10/11, thus affecting livestock production.<br />

Sool Plateau pastoral livelihood zone is in a sustained<br />

HE since <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘09/10. The situation is linked to<br />

consecutive seasons of poor rainfall performances which<br />

have decimated the livestock, the sole livelihood asset for<br />

the population in the area, thereby leaving significant number<br />

of poor population in destitution and highly vulnerable to<br />

food insecurity.<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong><br />

The <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> ‘11 integrated nutrition situation analysis shows<br />

mixed trends in the nutrition situation in Northwest livelihoods<br />

with most livelihoods showing significant deterioration<br />

while others indicate either sustained or improved situation<br />

compared to the Deyr ‘10/11 situation. The nutrition<br />

situation for the West Golis and Nugal Valley livelihoods<br />

has significantly deteriorated from Serious phase in Deyr<br />

‘10/11 to Very Critical levels while that of Sool Plateau<br />

population has declined to Critical levels from the Serious<br />

levels in the previous season. The populations in the agropastoral<br />

and East Golis/Gebbi Valley livelihood zones show<br />

a sustained Serious nutrition situation since Deyr ‘10/11.<br />

The deterioration recorded in the respective livelihoods is<br />

mainly attributed to reduced milk access at the household<br />

level which resulted from abnormal seasonal livestock<br />

out-migration patterns, hence reducing milk availability<br />

and consumption in the area. Elevated morbidity levels,<br />

including the outbreak of measles, acute watery diarrhoea<br />

and dengue fever reported in these livelihoods have also<br />

contributed to the high levels of acute malnutrition. On the<br />

other hand, the population in the Hawd livelihood illustrates<br />

the best nutrition situation in the country having improved<br />

from the Serious levels in Deyr ‘10/11 to the current Alert<br />

phase. This is attributed to improved milk access following<br />

positive rainfall performance in the area. The nutrition<br />

situation of the IDPs from Hargeisa and Berbera towns<br />

indicate a sustained Serious nutrition situation since Deyr<br />

‘10/11, while the nutrition situation among the Burao IDPs<br />

has deteriorated from Serious in Deyr’10/11 to Critical<br />

levels. The deterioration recorded among the Burao IDP is<br />

largely linked to seasonal factors that influence malnutrition<br />

where levels of acute malnutrition peak in the <strong>Gu</strong> season<br />

and improve in the Deyr season as was the case in 2010<br />

seasons. The historical trend of malnutrition in the respective<br />

livelihoods and IDPs populations is shown in figure 29. The<br />

Deyr season is associated with increased casual labour from<br />

the seasonal livestock export boom for annual pilgrimage<br />

to <strong>Gu</strong>lf states where displaced persons get extra income<br />

to supplement food and non-food items. These important<br />

labour opportunities are lacking in <strong>Gu</strong> seasons hence the<br />

worsening nutrition situation. Lack of stable livelihood<br />

systems among the IDPs coupled with irregular access to<br />

basic services continue to expose this population group<br />

to risks of malnutrition, ill health and food insecurity. The<br />

on-going humanitarian assistance should be maintained<br />

while initiating or expanding services to meet the needs of<br />

new arrival from Southern Somalia and pastoral drop-out<br />

destitute.<br />

Gender: The analysis of the nutrition data in the assessed<br />

rural livelihoods as well as the IDPs populations of<br />

the northwest regions, shows no statistical significant<br />

differences in the distribution of (i) malnutrition, and (ii)<br />

morbidity cases, between boys and girls. However, across<br />

all livelihoods and IDP populations, more boys than girls<br />

were acutely malnourished, stunted and underweight. This<br />

will need further research. Additionally, there is no statistical<br />

significant difference between the female and male headed<br />

household in terms of distribution of acute malnutrition,<br />

dietary diversity, and access to health or sanitation services.<br />

Pastoral Livelihood Zones<br />

West Golis, Nugal Valley and Sool Plateau Livelihood<br />

Zones<br />

The current nutrition situation of the West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban and<br />

Nugal Valley pastoral populations is Very Critical, indicating<br />

a significant deterioration from the Serious levels in <strong>Post</strong><br />

Deyr ’10/11. The results of the nutrition surveys conducted<br />

in the areas in July ’11 among West Golis population<br />

indicate a GAM rate of 22% (18.9-25.4) and a SAM rate of<br />

5% (3.4-7.5) indicating a significant deterioration (p


assessment done in the Nugal Valley livelihood indicated a<br />

GAM rate of 23.2% (18.5-28.1) and a SAM rate of 6.7% (4.4-<br />

10.0), showing a significant deterioration compared with a<br />

GAM rate of 10.3% (7.0-14.8), and a SAM rate of 1.0% (0.4-<br />

2.3) reported in the November 2010 assessment (p


Executive<br />

66<br />

Table 23: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Sool Plateau, Nugal Valley and West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban LZ July <strong>2011</strong><br />

West Golis/<strong>Gu</strong>ban<br />

(N=844: Boys=437; Girls=407)<br />

Nugal Valley<br />

(N=582: Boys=307; Girls=275)<br />

Sool plateau<br />

(N=629: Boys= 337; Girls=292)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


East Golis/Gebbi Valley and Hawd Livelihood Zones<br />

of NW<br />

The integrated nutrition analysis of East Golis/Gebbi Valley<br />

population indicates a sustained Serious nutrition situation<br />

since <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11 but with high likelihood of deterioration.<br />

A nutrition survey conducted in the area reported a GAM rate<br />

of 12.7% (8.5-16.9) and SAM rate of 1.1% (0.0-2.7), showing<br />

similar levels with the December 2010 assessment when<br />

a GAM rate of 11.1% (8.0-15.1), and a SAM rate of 2.1%<br />

(1.2-3.9) were reported. However, the prevalent aggravating<br />

factors including outbreak of measles and acute watery<br />

diarrhoea, high livestock off take and reduced access to milk<br />

and income indicate that the nutrition situation is more likely<br />

to deteriorate in the coming months. On the other hand, the<br />

analysis of the nutrition situation among the Hawd pastoral<br />

population depicts the best case in the country, with the<br />

situation having improved from Serious in <strong>Post</strong> Deyr ‘10/11<br />

to Alert levels in the current season. The results of the July<br />

<strong>2011</strong> assessment reported a GAM rate of 6.2% (4.3-8.8) and<br />

a SAM rate of 0.3% (0.1-1.4) which indicate an improvement<br />

from a similar assessment in December 2010 when a GAM<br />

rate of 10.1% (8.0-12.7) and a SAM rate of 1.8% (1.0-3.5)<br />

were recorded (P10%) and fluctuating proportions of acutely<br />

A Woman breastfeeding her child in Hargeisa,<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> July <strong>2011</strong><br />

malnourished children screened at health facilities. The<br />

retrospective crude and under five death rates of 0.35<br />

(0.19-0.62) and 1.22(0.60-2.44) in Hawd and 0.98 (0.54-1.77)<br />

and 1.44 (0.79-2.61) in East Golis/Bebbi Valley livelihood<br />

respectively, are all within the Acceptable level according<br />

to WHO classification. High morbidity in East Golis/Gebbi<br />

Valley (41.2%) and in Hawd (30.3%) is a key aggravating<br />

factor to acute malnutrition in these livelihoods. The key<br />

nutrition findings in these areas which form the basis of<br />

the analysis in the classification outcome are provided in<br />

Table 24.<br />

The chronic issues affecting the nutrition status of the<br />

population such as poor dietary diversity, inadequate health<br />

and sanitation facilities, poor child feeding and care practices<br />

and lack of adequate safe drinking water, remain a challenge<br />

and require immediate attention, including the expansion of<br />

interventions aimed at rehabilitating malnourished children<br />

and improving the diet quality. Close monitoring of the<br />

nutrition situation remains crucial especially in East Golis/<br />

Gebbi valley livelihood where the situation shows a high<br />

likelihood of deterioration while interventions to prevent the<br />

worsening of the situation are priority.<br />

Agro-pastoral Livelihood Zones: Awdal/Galbeed and<br />

Togdheer Agropastoral<br />

The Northwest Agro-pastoral zones comprises the Agropastoralists<br />

of Togdheer, Awdal and Galbeed Regions who<br />

practice crop farming alongside keeping varied number<br />

and types of livestock. The integrated nutrition situation<br />

analysis of the Northwest agro-pastoral populations indicate<br />

a sustained Serious nutrition situation since <strong>Post</strong> Deyr<br />

‘10/11. The nutrition assessment conducted among the<br />

agro-pastoral population in Northwest regions in July <strong>2011</strong><br />

reported a GAM rate of 11.5%(8.5-15.4) and SAM rate of<br />

0.6% (0.2-1.9) indicating a Serious nutrition situation, similar<br />

to the levels recorded in the December 2010 assessment<br />

when a GAM rate of 10.4%(7.6-14.1) and a SAM rate of 0.8%<br />

(0.3-1.9) were reported. The mortality rates from the current<br />

assessments indicate sustained Acceptable mortality levels<br />

with CDR of 0.23 (0.12-0.45) and U5DR of 0.53 (0.21-1.38)<br />

reported which is within the same levels as the CDR of 0.16<br />

(0.05-0.55) and U5DR of 0.41 (0.10-1.62) reported in the<br />

December 2010 assessment. High morbidity rates, where<br />

19.3% of the children assessed had fallen ill during the two<br />

weeks prior to the survey is the key factor attributing factor<br />

to the poor nutrition situation affecting the agro-pastoral<br />

livelihood in the area. Availability of safe water, sanitation<br />

and health facilities in the area remain limited while child<br />

feeding practices remain sub-optimal. Provisions of safe<br />

drinking water, adequate health and sanitation facilities and<br />

improvement of child care and feeding practices remain<br />

crucial issues that require immediate interventions. The<br />

key nutrition findings in these areas which form the basis<br />

of the analysis in the classification outcome are provided<br />

in Table 24.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

67<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

68<br />

Table 24: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings in Hawd, East Golis and Agro-pastoral LZ July <strong>2011</strong><br />

The Hawd Livelihood Zone<br />

(N=614: Boys=306; Girls=298)<br />

East Golis/Gebbi<br />

(N=726: Boys=373; Girls=353)<br />

Agro-pastoral Zone<br />

(N=684:Boys=306; Girls=337)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


IDPs of the North West: Hargeisa, Burao and Berbera<br />

The integrated nutrition situation analysis of the Northwest<br />

IDPs indicates a sustained Serious phase among the<br />

displaced populations in Hargeisa and Berbera IDP<br />

settlements since Deyr ‘10/11 and a deterioration from<br />

Serious levels in the Deyr ‘10/11 to Critical levels in the Burao<br />

population. Figure xx shows trend of acute malnutrition<br />

2007-<strong>2011</strong>. The results of a nutrition assessment conducted<br />

among the IDPs in Hargeisa Town report a GAM rate of<br />

10.9% (8.1-14.5) and a SAM rate of 2.2% (1.0-5.0) which are<br />

similar to the GAM rate of 10.8% (8.9-13.0), and the SAM<br />

rate of 1.5 % (0.8-2.8), reported in the same population in the<br />

Deyr ’10/11 nutrition assessment. Among the Berbera IDPs,<br />

an exhaustive nutrition assessment in May ’11 recorded<br />

GAM and SAM rates of 14.5% and 3.0% respectively, also<br />

indicating a sustained Serious phase since Deyr’10/11<br />

when a GAM rate of 14.2% (10.9-18.3) and a SAM rate of<br />

2.2%(1.2-4.1) were reported (Table 25).<br />

implementing interventions to cushion the population in the<br />

evidenced hunger period.<br />

In the three IDP populations, both crude and underfive<br />

mortality rates were within the acceptable levels, with the<br />

respective crude and underfive death rates of 0.56 (0.30-<br />

0.91) and 2.02 (1.21-3.34) recorded among Burao IDP, 0.37<br />

(0.19-0.73) and 0.59 (0.22-1.55) among Hargeisa IDPs, and<br />

0.28 (0.15-0.54) and 0.31 (0.09-1.13) reported among the<br />

Berbera IDPs. The only exception was alert under five year<br />

death rate among the Burao IDPs. Morbidity levels are high<br />

in the three IDP populations, with the reported morbidity in<br />

the two weeks prior to the assessment ranging from 25.3%<br />

in Hargeisa to 34.1% in Berbera IDPs. Immunization status<br />

for polio and measles, and vitamin A supplementation is<br />

relatively high but below the Sphere recommended coverage<br />

threshold of 95% . The key nutrition findings in these areas<br />

which form the basis of the analysis in the classification<br />

outcome are provided in Table 24.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

69<br />

Figure 30: Trends in levels of Acute Malnutrition<br />

(WHZ


Executive<br />

70<br />

agro-pastoral livelihoods. These differences will require<br />

further investigations. The distribution of morbidity by<br />

the sex of the children showed mixed pattern with some<br />

assessments such as Sool Plateau showing more boys,<br />

30.5%, than girls, 26.7% to have been ill while in others<br />

like Hawd pastoral indicating more girls (32.9%) than boys<br />

(27.8%) were reportedly ill. The differences were however<br />

not statistically significant (p>0.05). Similarly, there was<br />

no statistical difference in child feeding practices of boys<br />

and girls but mixed trends were observed where in some<br />

livelihoods more boys than girls were well fed and vice<br />

versa in others.<br />

The large majority (>80%) of the households assessed were<br />

male headed with exception of West Golis where a significant<br />

number of households (42.7%) were female headed.<br />

Analysis of the differences of household characteristics<br />

such as consumption of diversified diets, access to basic<br />

services such as safe water and sanitation facilities did not<br />

show a clear pattern where in some livelihoods male headed<br />

households had better access to these services and the<br />

opposite was true for other livelihoods. These differences<br />

were however not statistically significant (P>0.05). Due<br />

to small proportion of the female headed households,<br />

existence/or lack of any difference in access between male<br />

and female headed households may have been obscured.<br />

The sex disaggregated data of the assessed children, and<br />

sex of the household head per livelihood is summarized on<br />

Tables 23, 24 and 25.<br />

A young girl holding her sibling in Hargeisa<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 25: Summary of Key <strong>Nutrition</strong> Findings for Hargeisa, Burao and Berbera IDPs May - June <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hargeisa IDPs<br />

(N= 677:Boys= 354; Girls=323)<br />

Burao IDPs<br />

(N=652: Boys=395; Girls=370)<br />

Berbera IDPs<br />

(N=542: Boys= 317; Girls=345)<br />

Indicator Results Outcome Results Outcome Results Outcome<br />

Child <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (WHZ


Executive<br />

72<br />

Maternal <strong>Nutrition</strong> Status in northwest<br />

In the northwest, the proportion of the total, and the severely malnourished pregnant and/or lactating<br />

women indicates a situation that is likely Acceptable –Serious based on the Sphere MUAC cut-offs of 23.0<br />

cm, and 21.0 cm, and/or bilateral oedema. The nutrition situation in the non-pregnant and non-lactating<br />

women is within acceptable levels, based on MUAC cut off of 18.5cm and/or bilateral oedema.<br />

NW Population Assessed,<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Pregnant and/or Lactating Women<br />

Non – Pregnant/lactating<br />

women<br />

Proportion with<br />

MUAC


The dynamics of protracted and<br />

newly arrived IDPs staying in one camp<br />

As Narrated to FUAAD Hassan, <strong>FSNAU</strong>, August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive Summary<br />

The protracted and newly arrived IDPs though highly vulnerable to food and nutrition insecurity, face varying degrees of<br />

vulnerability depending on their stage of settlement and adaptation. The two case studies presented herein demonstrate<br />

the patterns of adaptation of the displaced people showing various challenges faced by new and protracted IDPs.<br />

73<br />

Case 1: Protracted IDP household<br />

Abdi, 45, and wife, Suuban, 35, together with their six children aged between 2-16 years have been staying in Sheik<br />

Nur IDP camp in Hargeisa since 2002 where they fled Mogadishu. The displacement from Mogadishu was third in<br />

a series of dislocations, with the first being in 2000, from their original home in Bardhere village in Gedo, to Baidoa<br />

Town as a result of insecurity. Here they stayed for few months and then fled to Mogadishu when fighting broke out<br />

in Baidoa. The family remembers with sorrow how their would be seventh child died in 2000 after suffering from<br />

pneumonia and diarrhoea during their six days trek from Baidoa to Mogadishu. “We really faced a hard situation<br />

in our journey; we had no food to eat at all. We could not<br />

get medical help for my 2 year old child who fell sick with<br />

pneumonia and diarrhoea. My child finally passed away<br />

soon after reaching Mogadishu. I really feel sad when I<br />

remember this,” says Abdi Nour. Suubaan is quick to add<br />

that, “After being hosted for about two years by my uncle,<br />

who was a businessman in Mogadishu, and things seemed<br />

fine with us, my uncle was shot dead in a clan revenge<br />

attack.’’ “This forced us to sell all our remaining assets<br />

including beddings and utensils to cater for our transport<br />

cost to Hargeisa. This is how we ended up here,” adds<br />

Abdi.<br />

Settling in the camp was not easy because we had nowhere<br />

to sleep. We therefore crowded in a small shanty made of<br />

old pieces of clothes, to survive. In the camp, we solicited Abdi’s family in Hargeisa IDP camp<br />

for help from old inhabitants and well wishers from<br />

Hargeisa Town who gave us utensils and food. As time progressed, Abdi joined his other colleagues from Southern<br />

Somalia in search of work and luckily got a carpentry job that paid him US$ 30 a month. This is what he used to<br />

put up a small hut and to purchase food. The couple explained that they now feel safer, “we are able to cope with life<br />

through the income from the Abdi’s casual labour. when there is no income we can easily get assistance from other<br />

community members or get food on credit from the regular shopkeepers who know of our ability to repay”. The family<br />

further explains that the current increase in food prices is making life difficult but they are somehow finding ways<br />

to cope. The other challenge the family faces is taking care of the school fees for the children. Amongst their three<br />

children who attained the school going age, only one goes to school. The family can only afford to take one of the other<br />

children to a Koranic school where they pay 10,000 Somaliland Shillings (US$ 1.8). “Paying school fees is the major<br />

challenge we have otherwise we are now proud with our life,” says the mother. The family explains that though their<br />

life is not the best, whenever they see a newly arrived IDP, they often flash back on their suffering before settling in<br />

the camp and they feel compelled to do anything possible to assist. “Sometimes when we have nothing to offer them,<br />

we have to borrow or beg on their behalf,” says Abdi. The family also acknowledges that humanitarian agencies help<br />

to ease the struggle in the camp by providing food, health services and shelter material.<br />

Case study 2: Newly Arrived IDP household<br />

On the other hand, Osman with his wife Iqra together with their four children aged five to ten years arrived in Hargeisa<br />

IDP camp in May <strong>2011</strong> after fleeing from recent fighting in Mogadishu where they were casual labourers. The<br />

family is going through what seems to be the typical pattern of displaced persons before they get means of survival.<br />

The family narrates how they lost their 7- year old daughter from measles. “Because of fighting I could not take my<br />

daughter who had measles to hospital as I feared being caught up in the fighting, I also did not have money to buy<br />

medicine from the chemist and I was giving her water, tea with milk and alittle ghee while keeping her warm with<br />

a blanket. Unfortunately she died after twenty days,” said Iqra. Osman continued by stating that, ”a week after the<br />

death of my daughter, my own brother was hit by a stray bullet while in his house and died; this forced us to sell our<br />

few household items to get transport to come to Hargeisa to save our lives”.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

74<br />

After arriving in Hargeisa the family had nothing left<br />

and they were assisted by Iqra’s sister who had arrived<br />

in Hargeisa more than a year ago. The sister borrowed<br />

old bed sheets and cloths which they used to make a<br />

temporary shelter to start new life. Asked about the life in<br />

Hargeisa, Osman says that although things are still very<br />

difficult, they can manage to sleep without fear of stray<br />

bullets. He further explains that their biggest challenge is<br />

shelter, getting enough food and medical care especially<br />

for one of their children who is epileptic and needs<br />

constant care. “I sometimes manage to get casual labour<br />

and get money to feed my family but most times there is<br />

no work and we survive by either reducing food portion<br />

or skipping meals,” says Osman. Iqra, says that that she<br />

Osman’s Family with Fuaad Hassan, <strong>FSNAU</strong><br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Analyst, August <strong>2011</strong><br />

thanks Allah because of the support they are getting from the IDP community that has been living in Hargeisa for<br />

a longer time, and from her sister, who many a times borrow food on their behalf because they do not know many<br />

people in the camp. One of their children was identified as acutely malnourished with a MUAC measurement of 12.0<br />

cm, which was explained to be as a result of inadequate food. Osman is however optimistic with life and says that<br />

“things will be better for me as we get settled here and my family will be happy one day, Insha Allah”<br />

Conclusion<br />

A review of these case studies shows a typical pattern that displaced people go through when they arrive in IDP camps,<br />

like those in Hargeisa. It reveals that the displaced people come to Hargeisa already traumatised after losing their<br />

loved ones, and/or under abject destitution after selling everything in their procession to get transport to Hargeisa.<br />

The newly arrived IDPs also take time before they can establish proper means of survival in the camps and this<br />

period is crucial for the supporting agencies to implement sufficient measures to meet the dire needs of these people.<br />

The existence of the social support mechanism where protracted IDPs support new IDPs is good in assisting the<br />

new arrivals but nevertheless puts additional strain on the scarce resources among the IDPs in these camps. This<br />

has a potential of putting both the old and new IDP in deficits, for example, where the host IDP have received a<br />

family ration but must share the same ration between two or more families. In such cases all families end up having<br />

inadequate food. In addition, the continued influx of IDPs from Southern Somalia has put a lot of constraints on<br />

the host IDPs that the social support is diminished. Measures to track new IDPs and prompt provision of essential<br />

assistance including food, shelter and psychosocial support therefore remain crucial.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


5. Urban NUTRITION SITUATION<br />

In northwest and northeast regions, regional-based urban<br />

nutrition surveys were conducted in July <strong>2011</strong> and analysis<br />

conducted based on weight for height Z. This was unlike<br />

previously when urban nutrition assessment were based<br />

on rapid MUAC assessment of selected urban centers.<br />

Northwest<br />

Results indicate a Serious nutrition situation in urban<br />

centers in Awdal and Sool region with respective GAM<br />

rate of 13.8% (10.7-17.6) and 12.4% (8.8-16.0) recorded.<br />

In the other three region, results indicate an Alert nutrition<br />

situation with the recorded GAM rates of 7.5%(5.6-14.9) in<br />

W. Galbeed, 9.7% (6.8- 13.5) in Togdheer and 7.1% (5.2-<br />

9.6) in Sanaag urban centers. Morbidity, a key aggravating<br />

factor is high in all urban centers ranging between 8% in<br />

Sanaag to 15% in Togdheer urban centers.<br />

Northeast & Parts of Central<br />

Results indicate a Critical nutrition situation in all the three<br />

regions with respective GAM and SAM rates of 17.7% (14.5-<br />

21.5) and 5.3% (3.5-7.8) in Bari; 15.4% (12.4-19.2) and 2.0%<br />

(1.1-3.4) in Nugal, and 15.5% (12.2-19.4) and 3.7% (1.2-6.2)<br />

in Mudug urban centers. High morbidity aggravated the<br />

nutrition situation with rates ranging from 16.8% in Bari to<br />

20.8% in Mudug of the assessed children reportedly falling<br />

ill within two weeks prior to the surveys. Although a higher<br />

percentage of boys were acutely malnourished than were<br />

girls, the difference was not statistically significant (p>0.05).<br />

Table xx provides a summary of the urban assessment<br />

results.<br />

Gender: In both the northwest and northeast, more boys than<br />

girls were acutely malnourished. However the difference<br />

was not statistically significant (P>0.05). Table xx provides<br />

a summary of the urban results disaggregated by sex.<br />

South<br />

In the urban centers of South and parts of Central regions,<br />

the nutrition situation is likely Very Critical based on rapid<br />

nutrition assessments conducted using mid upper arm<br />

circumference (MUAC) and purposive sampling. Findings<br />

indicate the proportion of children with MUAC < 12.5cm or<br />

oedema as 15% and above. Additionally, household dietary<br />

diversity is Very Critical in Bay and Bakool with 50% or<br />

more of the assessed households reportedly consuming a<br />

diet comprising of less than four food groups and 55-90%<br />

of the assessed households are applying severe coping<br />

strategies, i.e. Skipping entire days without a meal, restricting<br />

consumption by adults in order for small children to eat, or<br />

borrowing food or relying on help from friends or relatives. In<br />

Shabelle, 20% of the assessed urban households consume a<br />

poorly diversified diet of 3 or less meals a day, while 60% and<br />

above are reportedly engaged in severe coping strategies.<br />

A summary of findings on the urban situation in the southern<br />

regions is provided in Table x.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

75<br />

Table 26: Summary of Urban Findings: North West and East; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Population Assessed GAM (WHO GS) SAM (WHO GS) MUAC


Executive<br />

76<br />

Table 27: South and Central Urban Muac Summary Findings; <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Total MUAC


6. Plausibility checks<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>idance for use of the Plausibility checks<br />

Digit preference DP for weight and height: Indicates how<br />

accurately children were weighed and when done correctly<br />

there shouldn’t be any digit preference. This normally occurs<br />

when enumerators round to the nearest cm/kg or half cm/<br />

kg. The signs; +, ++, +++ indicate if there was any DP for a<br />

number and if it was, mild, moderate or severe, respectively.<br />

Digit Preference scores for weight and hight are graded<br />

as; (0-5 Excellent,> 5-10 Good, >10-20 Accept and > 20<br />

Problematic)<br />

Standard Deviation (SD) of WHZ: Indicates whether<br />

there was a substantial random error in measurements. In<br />

a normal distribution the SD is equal to +1, but should lie<br />

between 0.8 and 1.2 Z score. SD increases as the proportion<br />

of erroneous results in the data set increases.<br />

Skewness of WHZ: This is a measure of degree of<br />

asymmetry of the data around the mean. A normal<br />

distribution is symmetrical and has zero skewness and<br />

should lie between +1 or -1. Positive skewness indicates<br />

a long right tail and negative skewness indicates a long<br />

left tail.<br />

Kurtosis of WHZ: This demonstrates the relative<br />

peakedeness or flatness compared to a normal distribution.<br />

The normal distribution has zero kurtosis and surveys<br />

should lie between +1 and -1. Positive kurtosis indicates a<br />

peaked distribution while negative indicates a flat one.<br />

Percent of flag: Flags are measurement that are highly<br />

unlikely to occur in nature and are therefore highlighted by<br />

the software. These incoherent measurements should be<br />

corrected or discarded prior to analysis, 0% flags is ideal but<br />

should be less that 2-3% of children measured.<br />

Age distribution: This allows for a view of the<br />

representativeness of the sample, and should be similar to<br />

the distribution within the population. Age bias is of particular<br />

concern for anthropometry. As younger aged (6-29) children<br />

are more likely to be malnourished than the older age group<br />

(30-59), this means under representation of the younger age<br />

group may give a lower prevalence than the actual one and<br />

vice versa. The age ratio allows a view of this relationship<br />

and should fall between 0.78 and 1.18 with an ideal falling<br />

around 1.0.<br />

Sex ratio: Allows a view of the representativeness of the<br />

sample and should be similar to the distribution within the<br />

population. This should not vary too much from the expected<br />

sex ratio and should fall between 0.8 and 1.2.<br />

Table 28 provides a summary of findings on plausibility<br />

checks for nutrition assessments conducted in the <strong>Gu</strong> ’11.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

77<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

78<br />

Table 28: Plausibility checks<br />

Location<br />

Northeast IDPs<br />

Bossaso IDPs<br />

Garowe IDPs<br />

Criteria<br />

Missing/<br />

Flagged data<br />

Overall sex<br />

ratio<br />

Overall age<br />

distribution<br />

Digit<br />

Preference<br />

score-weight<br />

Digit<br />

Preference<br />

score-Height<br />

SD WHZ<br />

Skewness<br />

WHZ<br />

Kurtosis WHZ<br />

Poisson<br />

Distribution<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Acceptable Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 4 0 4 0 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Problematic Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 10 0 2 0 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Problematic Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Acceptable<br />

Galkayo IDPs<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 10 0 2 0 0 0 3<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Good Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

Margaga IDPs<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Good Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

Qardho<br />

Northwest<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Good<br />

Hargeisa IDPs<br />

11-May Score 0 0 4 0 2 2 0 0 1<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Problematic<br />

Burao IDPs<br />

11-May Score 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 5<br />

11-May Category Excellent Excellent Good Good Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

Berbera IDPs<br />

0 0 2 2 2 2 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Acceptable Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

West Golis<br />

NW Agropastoral<br />

East Golis<br />

Hawd-NW<br />

Sool<br />

Nugal<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 4 0 4 2 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Acceptable Good Excellent Excellent Good<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 0 2 4 2 0 0 1<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 4 2 2 0 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Excellent Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 0 4 4 4 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Excellent Good Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 4 0 2 2 0 0 0<br />

Category Excellent Excellent Acceptable Good Acceptable Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Score 0 0 4 2 4 2 0 0 0<br />

CENTRAL<br />

Score Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Problematic<br />

Addun 11-Jun Category 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5<br />

Score Excellent Good Acceptable Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

Hawd 11-Jun Category 0 2 4 0 2 0 0 0 0<br />

Coastal Deeh Score Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Excellent Excellent Excellent<br />

11-Jun Category 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 29: Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments (May- Jul <strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Region<br />

Lower<br />

Shabelle<br />

Middle<br />

Shabelle<br />

Bay<br />

Bakool<br />

Middle/<br />

Lower Juba<br />

Gedo<br />

Hiran<br />

Livelihood<br />

Riverine<br />

Date of<br />

nutrition and<br />

mortality<br />

survey<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=804<br />

Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=799<br />

Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=746<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Agro pastoral<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=590<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=456<br />

Agro pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=245<br />

Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=270<br />

Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=868<br />

Agropastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=825<br />

Pastoral July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=868<br />

Riverine<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Pastoral<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=642<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=834<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=1078<br />

Riverine July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=570<br />

Agropastoral<br />

Pastoral<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=531<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=444<br />

GAM<br />

Prevalence<br />

28.7%<br />

(24.4-33.5)<br />

40.6%<br />

(34.6-46.8)<br />

19.6%<br />

(16.4-23.2)<br />

35.3%<br />

(24.9-47.3)<br />

55.0%<br />

(45.8-63.9)<br />

>43.6<br />

(Pr= 0.90)<br />

>43.6<br />

(Pr= 0.90)<br />

45.9%<br />

(41.5-50.3)<br />

38.9%<br />

(34.8-43.1)<br />

39.5%<br />

(35.9-43.2)<br />

48.1%<br />

(38.7-57.7)<br />

51.9%<br />

(41.8-61.9)<br />

23.8%<br />

(20.1-28.0)<br />

20.7%<br />

(18.4-23.2)<br />

43.2%<br />

(37.7-49.8)<br />

27.3%<br />

(24.2-30.6)<br />

SAM<br />

Prevalence<br />

14.2%<br />

(11.6-17.3)<br />

3.6% oedema<br />

20.9%<br />

(16.2-26.5)<br />

4.0% oedema<br />

MUAC<br />

14.1<br />

(Pr = 0.90)<br />

>17.3<br />

(Pr= 0.90)<br />

21.9%<br />

(18.9-25.2)<br />

4.0% oedema<br />

17.2%<br />

(14.0-20.9)<br />

3.2% oedema<br />

18.7%<br />

(15.8-21.9)<br />

2.2% oedema<br />

25.2%<br />

(19.1-32.6)<br />

0.2 % oedema<br />

19.3%<br />

(13.9-26.3)<br />

1.8% oedema<br />

5.9%<br />

( 4.1- 8.5)<br />

0.6% oedema<br />

9.1%<br />

(7.2-11.5)<br />

0.2% Oedema<br />

16.3%<br />

(13.4-19.6)<br />

0% Oedema<br />

29.0<br />

(24.3-34.3)<br />

46.0<br />

(33.3-59.3)<br />

12.7<br />

( 9.0-17.5)<br />

18.1<br />

(13.6-23.7)<br />

33.8%<br />

(28.3-39.8)<br />

30.9%<br />

(26.1-36.2)<br />

26.1%<br />

(22.2-30.5)<br />

35.8%<br />

(25.5-47.6)<br />

33.1%<br />

(25.0-42.2)<br />

13.3<br />

(9.2-18.8)<br />

21.0%<br />

(18.5-23.8)<br />

24.2<br />

(19.9-29.1)<br />

12.8%<br />

(10.5-15.6) 22.8<br />

0.2% Oedema (19.5-26.4)<br />

MUAC<br />


Summary of <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessments (May- Jul <strong>2011</strong>) continued<br />

Executive<br />

80<br />

Region<br />

Central<br />

Regions<br />

Livelihood<br />

Date of<br />

nutrition and<br />

mortality<br />

survey<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hawd Pastoral<br />

N=576<br />

Addun<br />

Pastoral<br />

July <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=583<br />

Northern Regions<br />

GAM<br />

Prevalence<br />

14.4%<br />

(10.9-18.8)<br />

17.8%<br />

(13.3-23.6)<br />

SAM<br />

Prevalence<br />

3.8%<br />

(2.4-6.0)<br />

0.5% Oedema<br />

4.1%<br />

(2.5-6.7)<br />

0.3% Oedema<br />

MUAC<br />

8.2<br />

>19.8<br />

(Pr=0.90) (Pr=0.90)<br />

0.9% oedema<br />

14.9<br />

1.8 (0.9- 3.7)<br />

(12.4-17.7)<br />

0.3% oedema<br />

2.3<br />

(1.3-4.2)<br />

1.2<br />

(0.5-1.9)<br />

0.78<br />

(0.57-1.35)<br />

0.98<br />

(0.54-1.77)<br />

1.15<br />

(0.58-2.25)<br />

1.44<br />

(0.79-2.61)<br />

2.0<br />

( 1.0- 3.9)<br />

0.89<br />

0.58-1. 37<br />

2.23<br />

1.20-4.11<br />

>4.4<br />

(Pr=0.90) - -<br />

4.6<br />

(3.1- 6.9)<br />

0.61<br />

0.31-1. 19<br />

1.39<br />

0.47-4.02<br />

June <strong>2011</strong><br />

Margaga IDPs<br />

N=207<br />

Galkayo IDPs<br />

June <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=612<br />

22.7<br />

(Exhaustive)<br />

20.3<br />

(16.1-25.2)<br />

2.9<br />

(Exhaustive)<br />

4.4 ( 2.9- 6.6)<br />

0.5% oedema<br />

4.3<br />

16.2<br />

(12.5-20.6)<br />

0.5 - -<br />

1.6<br />

( 0.9- 3.0)<br />

0.89<br />

0.59-1. 36<br />

1.01<br />

0.47-2.17<br />

May <strong>2011</strong><br />

Hargeisa IDPs<br />

N=677<br />

10.9<br />

(8.1-14.5)<br />

2.2 ( 1.0- 5.0)<br />

0.1% oedema<br />

6.4<br />

(4.3-9.3)<br />

1.6<br />

(0.8-3.3)<br />

0.37<br />

0.19-0. 73<br />

0.59<br />

0.22-1.55<br />

North East<br />

IDPs<br />

Burao IDPs<br />

May <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=652<br />

19.1<br />

(14.6-24.5)<br />

5.6 ( 4.1- 7.7)<br />

1.2% oedema<br />

8.1<br />

(5.5-11.9)<br />

2.5<br />

( 1.4- 4.5)<br />

0.56<br />

0.30-0. 91<br />

2.02<br />

1.21-3.34<br />

Berbera IDPs<br />

May <strong>2011</strong><br />

N=662<br />

14.5<br />

(Exhaustive)<br />

3.0<br />

0.5% oedema<br />

5.9 2.3 0.28<br />

0.15-0. 54<br />

0.31<br />

0.09-1.13<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Table 30: Summary of Findings for Surveys conducted in South Somalia in August <strong>2011</strong><br />

Region Livelihood Date<br />

Bay<br />

Bakool<br />

Agro<br />

pastoral<br />

Agro<br />

pastoral<br />

August<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

N=489<br />

August<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

N=467<br />

GAM<br />

Prevalence<br />

58.3%<br />

(52.1-64.2)<br />

41.1%<br />

(35.1-47.4)<br />

SAM<br />

Prevalence<br />

MUAC<br />


CEEL WA Q<br />

"<br />

BADHAADHE<br />

"<br />

CEEL WAQ<br />

"<br />

BADHAADHE<br />

"<br />

BELET XAAWO<br />

"<br />

DOOLOW<br />

"<br />

BAARDHE ERE<br />

"<br />

AFM ADOW<br />

"<br />

BELET XAAWO<br />

"<br />

DOOLOW<br />

"<br />

LUUQ<br />

"<br />

SAAKOW<br />

"<br />

BAARDHEERE<br />

"<br />

AFMADOW<br />

"<br />

Rab Dhuure<br />

"<br />

QA NSAX DHEE RE<br />

"<br />

DIINSOOR<br />

"<br />

JILIB<br />

"<br />

JAMAAME<br />

"<br />

LUUQ<br />

"<br />

SAAKOW<br />

"<br />

QANSAX DHEERE<br />

"<br />

DIINSOOR<br />

"<br />

JILIB<br />

"<br />

JAMAAME<br />

"<br />

WA AJID<br />

"<br />

Rab Dhuure<br />

"<br />

WAAJID<br />

"<br />

ZEY LAC<br />

"<br />

BAKI<br />

"<br />

GE BILEY<br />

"<br />

CEEL BARDE<br />

"<br />

ZEYLAC<br />

"<br />

BAKI<br />

"<br />

GEBILEY<br />

"<br />

CEEL BARDE<br />

"<br />

LUGHAYE<br />

"<br />

BUUR HA KABA<br />

"<br />

QORYOOLEY<br />

"<br />

KURTUNWA AREY<br />

"<br />

SABLA ALE<br />

"<br />

BARAA WE<br />

"<br />

TAY EEGLOW<br />

"<br />

BERBE RA<br />

"<br />

SHEIKH<br />

"<br />

OWDWEYNE<br />

"<br />

WA NLA WEY N<br />

"<br />

BULO BURTO<br />

"<br />

BALCAD<br />

"<br />

AFGOOYE<br />

"<br />

JALALAQSI<br />

"<br />

CAYNABO<br />

"<br />

BUUHOODLE<br />

"<br />

CABUDWAA Q<br />

"<br />

CADAADO<br />

"<br />

ADAN YABAAL<br />

"<br />

CADALE<br />

"<br />

CEEL BUUR<br />

"<br />

CEEL AFWE YN<br />

"<br />

GA LDOGOB<br />

"<br />

CEEL DHEER<br />

"<br />

XUDUN<br />

"<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fs au.or.ke<br />

tel: 254-20-3745734 fax:254-20-3740598<br />

FSAU is managed by FAO.<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acc eptanc e by the United Nations.<br />

The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

LUGHAYE<br />

"<br />

BUUR HAKABA<br />

"<br />

SABLAALE<br />

"<br />

BARAAWE<br />

"<br />

40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />

Kilometers<br />

TAYEEGLOW<br />

"<br />

QORYOOLEY<br />

"<br />

KURTUNWAAREY<br />

"<br />

BERBERA<br />

"<br />

OWDWEYNE<br />

"<br />

WANLA WEYN<br />

"<br />

SHEIKH<br />

"<br />

AFGOOYE<br />

"<br />

BULO BURTO<br />

"<br />

JALALAQSI<br />

"<br />

BALCAD<br />

"<br />

CAYNABO<br />

"<br />

BUUHOODLE<br />

"<br />

CABUDWAAQ<br />

CADAADO<br />

"<br />

"<br />

ADAN YABAAL<br />

"<br />

CADALE<br />

"<br />

CEEL BUUR<br />

"<br />

CEEL AFWEYN<br />

"<br />

GALDOGOB<br />

"<br />

CEEL DHEER<br />

"<br />

XUDUN<br />

"<br />

BURTINLE<br />

"<br />

XARARDHEERE<br />

"<br />

BURTINLE<br />

"<br />

XARARDHEERE<br />

"<br />

LAASQORAY<br />

"<br />

LAASQORAY<br />

"<br />

TALEEX<br />

"<br />

TALEEX<br />

"<br />

HOBYO<br />

"<br />

HOBYO<br />

"<br />

JARIIBAN<br />

"<br />

JARIIBAN<br />

"<br />

QA RDHO<br />

"<br />

QARDHO<br />

"<br />

QA NDALA<br />

"<br />

EYL<br />

"<br />

QANDALA<br />

"<br />

EYL<br />

"<br />

ISK USHUBA N<br />

"<br />

ISKUSHUBAN<br />

"<br />

CALUULA<br />

"<br />

BANDARB EYLA<br />

"<br />

CALUULA<br />

"<br />

BANDARBEYLA<br />

"<br />

CEEL WA Q<br />

"<br />

BADHAADHE<br />

"<br />

CEEL WAQ<br />

"<br />

BELET XAA WO<br />

"<br />

DOOLOW<br />

"<br />

BAARDHEERE<br />

"<br />

AFM ADOW<br />

"<br />

BADHAADHE<br />

"<br />

LUUQ<br />

"<br />

SAAKOW<br />

"<br />

BELET XAAWO<br />

"<br />

Rab Dhuure<br />

"<br />

QA NSAX DHEE RE<br />

"<br />

DIINSOOR<br />

"<br />

JILIB<br />

"<br />

JAMAAM E<br />

"<br />

DOOLOW<br />

"<br />

BAARDHEERE<br />

"<br />

AFMADOW<br />

"<br />

LUUQ<br />

"<br />

SAAKOW<br />

"<br />

WA AJID<br />

"<br />

ZEY LAC<br />

"<br />

BAKI<br />

"<br />

QANSAX DHEERE<br />

"<br />

DIINSOOR<br />

"<br />

JILIB<br />

"<br />

JAMAAME<br />

"<br />

GE BILEY<br />

"<br />

CEEL BARDE<br />

"<br />

LUGHAYE<br />

"<br />

BUUR HA KABA<br />

"<br />

QORYOOLEY<br />

"<br />

KURTUNWA AREY<br />

"<br />

SABLA ALE<br />

"<br />

BARA AWE<br />

"<br />

TAY EEGLOW<br />

"<br />

BERB ERA<br />

"<br />

SHEIKH<br />

"<br />

OWDWEYNE<br />

"<br />

WA NLA WEY N<br />

"<br />

BULO BURTO<br />

"<br />

BALCAD<br />

"<br />

AFGOOYE<br />

"<br />

JALALAQSI<br />

"<br />

CAYNABO<br />

"<br />

BUUHOODLE<br />

"<br />

CABUDWAA Q<br />

"<br />

CADAADO<br />

"<br />

ADAN YABAAL<br />

"<br />

CADALE<br />

"<br />

CEEL BUUR<br />

"<br />

CEEL AFWE YN<br />

"<br />

GA LDOGOB<br />

"<br />

CEEL DHEER<br />

"<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsau.or.ke<br />

tel: 254-20-3745734 fax:254-20-3740598<br />

FSAU is managed by FAO.<br />

The boundaries and names on thes e maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations .<br />

The regional & District boundaries reflec t those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

Rab Dhuure<br />

"<br />

WAAJID<br />

"<br />

ZEYLAC<br />

"<br />

BAKI<br />

"<br />

GEBILEY<br />

"<br />

CEEL BARDE<br />

"<br />

40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />

Kilometers<br />

LUGHAYE<br />

"<br />

BUUR HAKABA<br />

"<br />

SABLAALE<br />

"<br />

BARAAWE<br />

"<br />

TAYEEGLOW<br />

"<br />

QORYOOLEY<br />

"<br />

KURTUNWAAREY<br />

"<br />

BERBERA<br />

"<br />

OWDWEYNE<br />

"<br />

WANLA WEYN<br />

"<br />

SHEIKH<br />

"<br />

AFGOOYE<br />

"<br />

BULO BURTO<br />

"<br />

JALALAQSI<br />

"<br />

BALCAD<br />

"<br />

CAYNABO<br />

"<br />

BUUHOODLE<br />

"<br />

CABUDWAAQ<br />

CADAADO "<br />

"<br />

ADAN YABAAL<br />

"<br />

CADALE<br />

"<br />

CEEL BUUR<br />

"<br />

CEEL AFWEYN<br />

"<br />

GALDOGOB<br />

"<br />

CEEL DHEER<br />

"<br />

XUDUN<br />

"<br />

BURTINLE<br />

"<br />

XARA RDHEERE<br />

"<br />

XUDUN<br />

"<br />

BURTINLE<br />

"<br />

XARARDHEERE<br />

"<br />

LAASQORAY<br />

"<br />

LAASQORAY<br />

"<br />

TALEEX<br />

"<br />

TALEEX<br />

"<br />

HOBYO<br />

"<br />

HOBYO<br />

"<br />

JARIIBAN<br />

"<br />

JARIIBAN<br />

"<br />

QA RDHO<br />

"<br />

QARDHO<br />

"<br />

QA NDALA<br />

"<br />

QANDALA<br />

"<br />

EYL<br />

"<br />

EYL<br />

"<br />

ISK USHUBA N<br />

"<br />

ISKUSHUBAN<br />

"<br />

CALUULA<br />

"<br />

BANDARBEYLA<br />

"<br />

CALUULA<br />

"<br />

BANDARBEYLA<br />

"<br />

7. APPENDICES<br />

Executive<br />

82<br />

7.1 Progression of Estimated <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation <strong>Gu</strong>’07 - <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED <strong>Gu</strong> NUTRITION ‘08 SITUATION AUGUST 2008<br />

12°0'0"N<br />

9°0'0"N<br />

6°0'0"N<br />

3°0'0"N<br />

El Waq<br />

Afmadow<br />

0°0'0"<br />

Gedo<br />

Bardera<br />

Sakow<br />

L. Juba<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Dolo<br />

Zeylac<br />

DJIBOUTI<br />

Awdal<br />

M. Juba<br />

Kismayo<br />

Luuq<br />

Belet Hawa<br />

Garbahare<br />

!(<br />

43°0'0"E<br />

Dinsor<br />

Buale<br />

Borama<br />

Qansah Dere<br />

Rab-Dhuure<br />

Jilib<br />

Jamame<br />

43°0'0"E<br />

!(<br />

Woq. Galbeed<br />

Sheikh<br />

Gabiley<br />

Hargeisa !( !(<br />

Odweine Burco<br />

Togdheer<br />

Wajid<br />

!(<br />

Bay<br />

Sablale<br />

Lughaye<br />

Baki<br />

Bakol<br />

Baidoa<br />

El Barde<br />

Hudur<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Kurtun Warrey<br />

Tieglo<br />

Berbera<br />

Belet Weyne<br />

Hiran<br />

Bulo Burti<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

Wanle Weyne Jowhar<br />

Balad<br />

Afgoye<br />

M. Shabelle<br />

!(<br />

L. Shabelle<br />

Banadir !(<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Marka !(<br />

Brava<br />

±<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />

ETHIOPIA<br />

46°0'0"E<br />

40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />

46°0'0"E<br />

Kilometers<br />

El Afwein<br />

Caynaba<br />

Abudwaq<br />

Buhodle<br />

Dusa Mareb<br />

Galgadud<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

Adale<br />

El Bur<br />

El Der<br />

Sanag<br />

Xudun<br />

Goldogob<br />

Adado<br />

!(<br />

Erigavo<br />

Sool<br />

Lasanod<br />

Projected Trend (July - December '08)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsausomali.org<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> ‘09<br />

Hobyo<br />

Galkayo<br />

Haradhere<br />

Taleh<br />

Mudug<br />

Badhan<br />

!(<br />

Garowe<br />

!(<br />

Nugal<br />

Burtinle<br />

49°0'0"E<br />

Jariban<br />

Bosaso<br />

Bari<br />

Gardo<br />

Eyl<br />

Kandala<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bender Beila<br />

Indian Ocean<br />

Alula<br />

12°0'0"N<br />

9°0'0"N<br />

6°0'0"N<br />

LEGEND<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

No data<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be critical<br />

Alert<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of<br />

nutrition indicators from direct and indirect sources<br />

from July to Dec '08: nutritional surveys, sentinel sites,<br />

health facility data, rapid MUAC assesments, selective<br />

feeding centre data, health reports and others<br />

"<br />

District Capital<br />

Coastline<br />

International Boundary<br />

Regional Boundary<br />

District Boundary<br />

River<br />

49°0'0"E<br />

Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2006<br />

Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JULY 2009<br />

3°0'0"N<br />

0°0'0"<br />

12°0'0"N<br />

9°0'0"N<br />

" District Capital<br />

6°0'0"N<br />

3°0'0"N<br />

El Waq<br />

Afmadow<br />

0°0'0"<br />

Coastline<br />

Belet Hawa<br />

Gedo<br />

Bardera<br />

Sakow<br />

L. Juba<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Dolo<br />

M. Juba<br />

Kismayo<br />

Zeylac<br />

DJIBOUTI<br />

Awdal<br />

!(<br />

Luuq<br />

Garbahare<br />

43°0'0"E<br />

Dinsor<br />

Buale<br />

Borama<br />

Qansah Dere<br />

Rab-Dhuure<br />

Jilib<br />

Jamame<br />

43°0'0"E<br />

Woq. Galbeed<br />

Gabiley<br />

Hargeisa !<br />

Wajid<br />

!(<br />

Bay<br />

Sablale<br />

Lughaye<br />

Bakol<br />

Baidoa<br />

Baki<br />

El Barde<br />

Hudur<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Kurtun Warrey<br />

Tieglo<br />

!(<br />

Odweine<br />

Deyr ‘08/09<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JANUARY 2009<br />

International Boundary<br />

Regional Boundary<br />

District Boundary<br />

River<br />

ETHIOPIA<br />

Berbera<br />

Sheikh<br />

!(<br />

Togdheer<br />

Afgoye<br />

Belet Weyne<br />

Hiran<br />

Bulo Burti<br />

Burco<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

M. Shabelle<br />

Jowhar<br />

Balad<br />

!<br />

L. Shabelle<br />

Banadir !(<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Marka !<br />

Brava<br />

±<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />

Wanle Weyne<br />

46°0'0"E<br />

40 20 0 40 80 120 160<br />

46°0'0"E<br />

Kilometers<br />

Adale<br />

El Afwein<br />

Caynaba<br />

Abudwaq<br />

Buhodle<br />

Dusa Mareb<br />

Galgadud<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

El Bur<br />

Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsausomali.org<br />

El Der<br />

Deyr ‘09/10<br />

Sanag<br />

Xudun<br />

Goldogob<br />

Adado<br />

!(<br />

Projected Trend (January - July '09)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

Erigavo<br />

Sool<br />

Lasanod<br />

Hobyo<br />

Galkayo<br />

Haradhere<br />

Taleh<br />

Mudug<br />

Badhan<br />

!(<br />

Garowe<br />

!(<br />

Nugal<br />

Burtinle<br />

LEGEND<br />

49°0'0"E<br />

Jariban<br />

Bosaso<br />

Bari<br />

Gardo<br />

Eyl<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Acceptable<br />

Alert<br />

Kandala<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bender Beila<br />

Indian Ocean<br />

Alula<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be Alert<br />

Serious<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be Very Critical<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

12°0'0"N<br />

9°0'0"N<br />

6°0'0"N<br />

3°0'0"N<br />

0°0'0"<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from July to Dec '08:<br />

nutritional surveys (Oct-Dec '08), health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

and others<br />

49°0'0"E<br />

Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2006<br />

Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JANUARY 2010<br />

Alula<br />

" District Capital<br />

El Waq<br />

Afmadow<br />

Belet Hawa<br />

Gedo<br />

Bardera<br />

Sakow<br />

L. Juba<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Major Road<br />

Coastline<br />

Dolo<br />

M. Juba<br />

Kismayo<br />

Zeylac<br />

DJIBOUTI<br />

Awdal<br />

International Boundary<br />

Regional Boundary<br />

District Boundary<br />

River<br />

!(<br />

Luuq<br />

Garbahare<br />

Dinsor<br />

Buale<br />

Borama<br />

Qansah Dere<br />

Rab-Dhuure<br />

Jilib<br />

Jamame<br />

±<br />

Woq. Galbeed<br />

Wajid<br />

!(<br />

Bay<br />

Sablale<br />

Lughaye<br />

Gabiley<br />

Hargeisa<br />

Bakol<br />

Baidoa<br />

Baki<br />

ETHIOPIA<br />

El Barde<br />

Hudur<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Kurtun Warrey<br />

Tieglo<br />

!(<br />

Berbera<br />

Sheikh<br />

!(<br />

Odweine Burco<br />

Togdheer<br />

^<br />

Afgoye<br />

Belet Weyne<br />

Hiran<br />

Bulo Burti<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

M. Shabelle<br />

Jowhar<br />

Balad<br />

L. Shabelle<br />

Banadir !(<br />

Brava<br />

Wanle Weyne<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Marka<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />

Adale<br />

El Afwein<br />

Caynaba<br />

Abudwaq<br />

Buhodle<br />

Dusa Mareb<br />

Sanag<br />

!(<br />

Galgadud<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

El Bur<br />

Goldogob<br />

Adado<br />

El Der<br />

Xudun<br />

Projected Trend (July - December'09)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

Sool<br />

Lasanod<br />

Hobyo<br />

Erigavo<br />

Galkayo<br />

Haradhere<br />

Taleh<br />

Mudug<br />

Badhan<br />

!(<br />

Garowe<br />

!(<br />

Nugal<br />

Burtinle<br />

LEGEND<br />

Jariban<br />

Bosaso<br />

Bari<br />

!(<br />

Gardo<br />

Eyl<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

^<br />

Acceptable<br />

Alert<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Kandala<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bender Beila<br />

Indian Ocean<br />

Hot Spot for Very Critical<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from Jan to July '09:<br />

nutritional surveys (Apr-July'09), health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

and others<br />

" District Capital<br />

Major Road<br />

Coastline<br />

Afmadow<br />

Belet Hawa<br />

El Waq<br />

Gedo<br />

Bardera<br />

L. Juba<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Sakow<br />

DJIBOUTI<br />

International Boundary<br />

Regional Boundary<br />

District Boundary<br />

River<br />

Dolo<br />

Kismayo<br />

Luuq<br />

Garbahare<br />

Dinsor<br />

M. Juba<br />

Buale<br />

Zeylac<br />

Awdal<br />

Borama<br />

Jilib<br />

!(<br />

Woq. Galbeed<br />

Gabiley<br />

Hargeisa !<br />

Rab-Dhuure<br />

Qansah Dere<br />

±<br />

Jamame<br />

Wajid<br />

Bay<br />

Sablale<br />

Lughaye<br />

Bakol<br />

Baidoa<br />

Baki<br />

ETHIOPIA<br />

El Barde<br />

Hudur<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Tieglo<br />

Odweine<br />

Berbera<br />

Sheikh<br />

!<br />

Burco<br />

Togdheer<br />

Belet Weyne<br />

Hiran<br />

Bulo Burti<br />

M. Shabelle<br />

Balad<br />

Afgoye<br />

L. Shabelle Banadir !(<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />

Brava<br />

Wanle WeyneJowhar<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

Mogadishu<br />

Abudwaq<br />

Adale<br />

El Afwein<br />

Caynaba<br />

Buhodle<br />

Dusa Mareb<br />

Sanag<br />

!(<br />

Galgadud<br />

El Bur<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

El Der<br />

Xudun<br />

Goldogob<br />

Adado<br />

Projected Trend (January - July 2010)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

Erigavo<br />

Sool<br />

Lasanod<br />

Hobyo<br />

Galkayo<br />

Haradhere<br />

Burtinle<br />

!<br />

Mudug<br />

Badhan<br />

Taleh<br />

Garowe<br />

LEGEND<br />

!(<br />

Nugal<br />

Jariban<br />

Bosaso<br />

Gardo<br />

Eyl<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Kandala<br />

Bari<br />

Acceptable<br />

Alert<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bender Beila<br />

Alula<br />

Indian Ocean<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be Serious<br />

Insufficient data but likely<br />

to be Very Critical<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from July to<br />

December '09: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

and others<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org<br />

tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-5000555<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO.<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.<br />

The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.<br />

The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


MOGADISHU<br />

MOGADISHU<br />

MOGADISHU<br />

KENYA<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JULY 2010<br />

GEDO<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

Baardheere<br />

Sakow<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Afmadow<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

Dolo<br />

GARBAHAREY<br />

!.<br />

Garbaharey<br />

M. JUBA<br />

Kismayo<br />

Luuq<br />

Qansax<br />

Dheere<br />

Dinsor<br />

Zeylac<br />

Lughaye<br />

AWDAL<br />

Baki !(<br />

Borama<br />

Berbera<br />

BORAMA<br />

!.<br />

Sheikh<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />

!. !<br />

!. !(<br />

Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Burco<br />

Ceel Barde<br />

BAKOOL<br />

Xudur<br />

!. HUDUR<br />

Baydhaba<br />

BAIDOA<br />

!.<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Afgoye<br />

!(<br />

"/<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Kurtun Warrey<br />

Marka !.<br />

BU'AALESablale<br />

!.<br />

L. SHABELLE<br />

Bu'aale Brava<br />

Jilib<br />

Jamaame<br />

Wajid<br />

KISMAAYO<br />

!( !.<br />

BAY<br />

Tayeglow<br />

<strong>Gu</strong> ‘10 Deyr ‘10/11<br />

BELET WEYNE<br />

Beled !. Weyne<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

DUSAMAREB<br />

!.<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

HIIRAN<br />

Balcad<br />

BANADIR<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

Caynabo<br />

Buuhoodle<br />

ERIGABO<br />

!.<br />

SOOL<br />

SANAG<br />

Ceerigaabo<br />

Laas Caanood<br />

!. LAS ANOD<br />

Goldogob<br />

Galkacyo<br />

GALKAYO<br />

!.<br />

Cadaado<br />

MUDUG<br />

GALGADUD<br />

Harardheere<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

Ceel Dheere<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

Cadale<br />

Jowhar M. ^SHABELLE<br />

Wanle Weyne!.<br />

JOWHAR<br />

Projected Trend (July - December 2010)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

Xudun<br />

Garowe<br />

GAROWE<br />

!.<br />

NUGAL<br />

Burtinle<br />

Hobyo<br />

Las Qoray/<br />

Badhan<br />

Talex<br />

Jariiban<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Alert<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

BOSSASO<br />

!( !. Qandala<br />

Bossaaso<br />

Qardho<br />

Eyl<br />

Acceptable<br />

Very Critical<br />

Likely Serious<br />

Likely Critical<br />

BARI<br />

Likely Very Critical<br />

Hot Spot for Critical<br />

^<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Calula<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from April to<br />

July '10: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

and others<br />

KENYA<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION JANUARY <strong>2011</strong><br />

Zeylac<br />

Lughaye<br />

AWDAL<br />

Baki !<br />

Borama<br />

Berbera<br />

BORAMA<br />

!.<br />

Sheikh<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />

!. !<br />

!. !<br />

Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Burco<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

Caynabo<br />

DUSAMAREB!.<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

ERIGABO<br />

!.<br />

SOOL<br />

SANAG<br />

Ceerigaabo<br />

Laas Caanood<br />

!. LAS ANOD<br />

Goldogob<br />

Galkacyo<br />

!( !. GALKAYO<br />

Cadaado<br />

MUDUG<br />

Garowe<br />

!.<br />

GAROWE<br />

NUGAL<br />

Burtinle<br />

BOSSASO<br />

!( !. Qandala<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

Tayeglow<br />

Buuhoodle<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

Xudun<br />

Hobyo<br />

Las Qoray/<br />

Badhan<br />

Talex<br />

Jariiban<br />

Bossaaso<br />

Qardho<br />

Eyl<br />

BARI<br />

Calula<br />

Iskushuban<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

Executive Summary<br />

83<br />

<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />

Funding Agencies<br />

Swiss Agency for Development<br />

and Cooperation SDC<br />

Swiss Agency for<br />

Development and<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

Cooperation SDC<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

SOMALIA - ESTIMATED NUTRITION SITUATION<br />

August 16th, <strong>2011</strong><br />

<strong>Gu</strong> ‘11<br />

Zeylac<br />

Lughaye<br />

AWDAL<br />

Baki !<br />

Borama<br />

Berbera<br />

BORAMA<br />

!.<br />

Sheikh<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Gebiley HARGEYSA BURAO<br />

!. !<br />

!. !<br />

Hargeysa Owdweyne<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Burco<br />

Calula<br />

BOSSASO<br />

!.<br />

Qandala<br />

Las Qoray/<br />

Badhan Bossaaso<br />

ERIGABO<br />

!.<br />

Iskushuban<br />

SANAG<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

BARI<br />

Ceerigaabo<br />

!<br />

Qardho<br />

Caynabo Xudun<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

Talex<br />

SOOL<br />

Buuhoodle<br />

Laas Caanood Garowe<br />

!. LAS ANOD<br />

!.<br />

GAROWE<br />

NUGAL<br />

Burtinle<br />

Eyl<br />

Galkacyo<br />

Goldogob<br />

!<br />

!.<br />

GALKAYO<br />

Jariiban<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

!.<br />

BAIDOA<br />

Cadale<br />

Garbaharey<br />

!.<br />

Qansax<br />

Jowhar<br />

Dheere<br />

Wanle Weyne !.<br />

GEDO<br />

BAY<br />

M. SHABELLE<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Balcad<br />

Dinsor<br />

Afgoye<br />

Baardheere<br />

!<br />

"/ ! BANADIR<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Sakow<br />

Kurtun Warrey Marka !.<br />

M. JUBA BU'AALESablale<br />

L. SHABELLE<br />

!.<br />

Bu'aale Brava<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

Rab-<br />

Dhuure<br />

GALGADUD<br />

BELET WEYNE<br />

Harardheere<br />

Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />

BAKOOL<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

Rab- Xudur<br />

Dhuure<br />

!. HUDUR<br />

HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />

Dolo<br />

Luuq<br />

Wajid<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

^Aden Yabal <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

GARBAHAREY Baydhaba<br />

!.<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

Cadale<br />

Garbaharey<br />

BAIDOA<br />

Acceptable<br />

!.<br />

Qansax<br />

Jowhar<br />

Alert<br />

Dheere<br />

Wanle Weyne!.<br />

GEDO<br />

BAY<br />

M. SHABELLE<br />

Serious<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Balcad<br />

Dinsor<br />

Afgoye<br />

Baardheere<br />

!(<br />

"/ !( BANADIR<br />

Critical<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Sakow<br />

Kurtun Warrey<br />

Marka !.<br />

Very Critical<br />

M. JUBA BU'AALESablale<br />

L. SHABELLE<br />

Likely Critical<br />

^<br />

!.<br />

Bu'aale Brava<br />

Likely Very Critical<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Afmadow<br />

Jilib<br />

Not classified due to<br />

insufficient data<br />

Jamaame<br />

Hotspot for Concern/ Likely<br />

^<br />

KISMAAYO<br />

Deterioration<br />

Kismayo !( !.<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Projected Trend (January - June <strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from October to<br />

Uncertain<br />

December '10: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

and others<br />

Cadaado MUDUG<br />

Hobyo<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

!.<br />

DUSAMAREB<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

GALGADUD<br />

BELET WEYNE<br />

Harardheere<br />

Ceel Barde Beled !. Weyne<br />

BAKOOL<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

Rab- Xudur<br />

Dhuure<br />

!. HUDUR<br />

HIIRAN Ceel Dheere<br />

Dolo<br />

Luuq<br />

Wajid<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Afmadow<br />

Jilib<br />

Jamaame<br />

KISMAAYO<br />

Kismayo !.<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Tayeglow<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation<br />

Acceptable<br />

Alert<br />

Serious<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

Likely Critical<br />

IDP Phase<br />

Serious<br />

Likely Very Critical<br />

Critical<br />

Very Critical<br />

The <strong>Nutrition</strong> Situation is analysed using a range of nutrition<br />

indicators from direct and indirect sources from June to<br />

July '11: nutritional surveys, health facility data, rapid<br />

MUAC assesments, selective feeding centre data, health reports<br />

and others<br />

±<br />

0 37.5 75 150 225 300 375<br />

Projected Trend (August - December <strong>2011</strong>)<br />

Potential to Improve<br />

Uncertain<br />

Potential to Deteriorate<br />

Kilometers<br />

<strong>Technical</strong> Partner<br />

Funding Agencies<br />

Swiss Agency for<br />

Development and<br />

Cooperation SDC<br />

Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsnau.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsnau.org tel: 254-20-4000000 fax:254-20-4000555 <strong>FSNAU</strong> is managed by FAO<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


7.2 <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Tools <strong>Post</strong> <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Executive<br />

<strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

NUTRITION ASSESSMENT HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

QNO:<br />

84<br />

Household Number ______ Date_______________ Team Number ______ Cluster Number ________ Cluster<br />

Name _______________________ District: __________<br />

Q1-7 Characteristics of Household<br />

Q1. Household size 1 __________ Q2. Number of children less than 5 years (0-59 months) ________<br />

Q3a. Household head 1=Male 2=Female Q3b. Highest level of mother’s/caregiver’s education: 0=None<br />

1= Primary 2= Secondary 3= Tertiary (college/university)<br />

Q4a .How long has this household lived in this locality 1= Resident 2= IDP6 months 4=Returnee (within the<br />

last 6 months) 5=Refugee 6=Migrant<br />

b. Are you hosting any recently (in the last 6 months) internally displaced persons 0= No 1= Yes<br />

c. If yes, Number of persons ________<br />

Q5. How many mosquito nets does the household have 0=none 1=one 2=two<br />

3=three<br />

4= 4 or more<br />

Q6. What was the source of the net 1= NGO 2=Health Centre 3= Purchase<br />

Q7. What is the household’s main source of income 1= Animal & animal product sales 2= Crop sales/farming 3= Trade<br />

4= Casual labor<br />

5= Salaried/wage employment 6= Remittances 7=Self-Employment (Bush products/handicraft)<br />

8=gifts/ zakat 9= Others, specify ________________<br />

Q8-15 Feeding and immunization status of children aged 6 – 59 months in the household.<br />

First Date of<br />

Name Birth<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

-- /-- /--<br />

Q8<br />

Child Age<br />

(months)<br />

(if child is<br />

more than<br />

24 months<br />

old, skip to<br />

Q11)<br />

Q9<br />

Are you<br />

breastfeeding<br />

1<br />

the child<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q11<br />

Q10<br />

How many times did you<br />

feed the child in the last<br />

24 hours (besides breast<br />

milk)<br />

0=Zero times<br />

1= 1 time<br />

2=2 times<br />

3 = 3 times<br />

4=-4 times<br />

5= 5 or more times<br />

How many times did<br />

you feed the child<br />

with milk in the last<br />

24 hours (besides<br />

breast milk)<br />

0=None<br />

1= 1 time<br />

2=2 times<br />

3=-3 times<br />

4= 4 times<br />

5= 5 times or more<br />

Q 12<br />

Has child<br />

been provided<br />

with Vitamin<br />

A in the last 6<br />

months<br />

(show sample)<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q13<br />

Has child<br />

been<br />

Vaccinated<br />

against<br />

measles<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q14<br />

No of doses of<br />

polio vaccine<br />

given to the<br />

child orally<br />

0=none<br />

1=one<br />

2=two<br />

3=three or<br />

more<br />

Q15<br />

Does<br />

child have<br />

immunization<br />

card<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q16-27 Anthropometry and morbidity for children aged 6 – 59 months in the household<br />

Q16a<br />

First<br />

Name Age<br />

(month)<br />

Q16b<br />

Sex<br />

Q17<br />

Oedema<br />

1=Male 0= No<br />

2=Female 1=yes<br />

Q18<br />

Height<br />

(cm)<br />

To the<br />

nearest<br />

tenth of<br />

a cm<br />

Q19<br />

Weight<br />

(kg)<br />

To the<br />

nearest<br />

tenth of<br />

a kg<br />

Q20<br />

MUAC<br />

(cm)<br />

To the<br />

nearest<br />

tenth of<br />

a cm<br />

(≥6 mo)<br />

Q21<br />

Diarrhea 2<br />

in last two<br />

weeks<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q22<br />

Pneumonia<br />

(oof<br />

wareen/<br />

wareento) 3<br />

in the last<br />

two weeks<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q23<br />

Fever 4<br />

in the<br />

last<br />

two<br />

weeks<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q24<br />

Suspected<br />

Measles 5<br />

in last one<br />

month<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q25<br />

Did the<br />

child<br />

sleep<br />

under a<br />

mosquito<br />

net last<br />

night<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q26<br />

Where did you seek<br />

healthcare assistance<br />

when child was sick (If<br />

yes in Q21 – 24)<br />

0=No assistance sought<br />

1=Own medication<br />

2=Traditional healer<br />

3=Sheikh/Prayers<br />

4=Private clinic/<br />

Pharmacy<br />

5= Public health facility<br />

Q27<br />

Is the child<br />

currently<br />

registered<br />

in any<br />

feeding<br />

centres<br />

0= none<br />

1= SFP<br />

2= TFC/SC<br />

3= OTP<br />

4= Other<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

1 Number of persons who live together and eat from the same pot at the time of assessment<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


28a. Anthropometry (MUAC) for adult women of childbearing age (15-49 years) present at the household<br />

Sno Name<br />

1 Mother:<br />

Age<br />

(years)<br />

No of doses<br />

of Tetanus<br />

vaccine<br />

received<br />

0= None<br />

1= One<br />

2= Two<br />

3=three<br />

MUAC<br />

(cm)<br />

Physiological<br />

status<br />

1=Pregnant<br />

2=Lactating<br />

(infant


Breakfast Snack Lunch Snack Dinner Snack<br />

Executive<br />

86<br />

When the respondent 8 recall is complete, fill in the food groups based on the information recorded above. For any food groups<br />

not mentioned, ask the respondent if a food item from this group was consumed.<br />

1. Cereals and cereal products (maize, ground maize, wheat, white wheat, wholemeal wheat, millet, rice, white grain<br />

sorghum, red sorghum , spaghetti, bread, chapatti , macaroni, canjera)<br />

2. Milk and milk products (Fresh/fermented/powdered sheep, goat, cow or camel milk, Cheese (sour milk), condensed<br />

milk, yoghurt)<br />

3. Vitamin A rich vegetables and tubers (yellow fleshed pumpkins, carrots, orange sweet potatoes, yellow cassava)<br />

4. Dark green leafy vegetables (amaranth, kale, spinach, , onion leaf, pumpkin leaves, cassava leaves, dark green<br />

lettuce)<br />

5. Other vegetables (tomato, onion, squash, bell pepper, cabbage ,light green lettuce, white radish )<br />

6. Vitamin A rich fruits (ripe mangoes, pawpaw, wild fruits such as gob, hobob, berde, isbandlays, kabla, coasta, red<br />

cactus frui,)<br />

7. Other fruit (banana, orange, apple, coconut, custard apple, dates, unripe mangoes, grapes, guava, wild fruits and<br />

100% fruit juices)<br />

8. Organ meat (liver, kidney, heart or other organ meat)<br />

9. Meat and Poultry (beef, lamb, goat, camel, wild game, such as Dik Dik, chicken, duck, other birds such as guinea fowl<br />

and francolin)<br />

10. Eggs (eggs of chicken, eggs of duck or eggs of other fowl)<br />

11. Fish (fresh or dried) and other seafood (shellfish)<br />

Any household<br />

member 9<br />

0=No 1= Yes<br />

12. Legumes, nuts and seeds (cowpeas, beans, lentils , peanut, pumpkin seed, lentil seed, sunflower seed, wild nuts)<br />

13. White roots and tubers (white potatoes, cassava, arrowroot, white sweet potatoes, or foods made from roots)<br />

14. Oils and Fats (cooking fat or oil, ghee, butter, sesame oil, margarine)<br />

15. Sweets (sugar, honey, sweetened soda and fruit drinks, chocolate biscuit, cakes,, candies, cookies, Sugar cane and<br />

sweet sorghum)<br />

16. Coffee, tea and Spices (coffee, tea, spices such as black pepper, cardamoms, cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, cloves, salt.<br />

Condiments such as ketchup, soy sauce, chilli sauce)<br />

Q 30b. Total number of food groups consumed<br />

Q 30c. Did you or anyone in your household eat anything (meal or snack) OUTSIDE of the home yesterday<br />

Q31 a.<br />

ii) milk<br />

In the last three months, what is the main source in the household of: i) staple cereal ______________<br />

_______________ (Use codes below)<br />

1= Own production 2= Purchasing 3=Community Gifts/Donations 4= Food aid 5= Bartering<br />

6= Borrowing 7= Gathering<br />

Q31b. How many times did you receive cereal food aid in the last 6 months 0=never 1= once 2= twice 3= three<br />

times 4= fourth 5= five times 6= six times or more<br />

Q32 How many meals 3 has the household had in the last 24 hours (from this time yesterday to now) 0= none 1= One<br />

2=Two 3= Three 4=Four +<br />

FOOD SECURITY QUESTIONS<br />

Q33a. What is your current livestock holding and what was it six months ago Please indicate the number of livestock species in respective<br />

columns:<br />

1. Currently<br />

2. Six months ago<br />

a. Camel b. Cattle c. Sheep/Goat<br />

Q33b. If your household experienced any livestock death since January this year, please specify how many of your livestock died Please indicate‘0”<br />

for the species with no death cases.<br />

1. camel ______ 2. cattle ______ 3. sheep/goat _______<br />

Q33c. Please indicate the reason for livestock death: 1= Lack of fodder<br />

2=Lack of water 3=Diseases 4=Other (specify) ______________________<br />

Coping Strategies<br />

Q 33d. In the past 30 days, if there have been times when people did not have enough food or money to buy food, which of the following coping<br />

strategies did they use (Select based on relevant livelihood system)<br />

Pastoralist Livelihood: Indicate type of Pastoralism practiced : 1= Nomadic/mobile 2= Sedentary/settled<br />

3 A meal refers to food served and eaten at one time (excluding snacks) and includes one of the three commonly known: - breakfast, lunch and supper/dinner<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


In the past 30 days, if there have been times when you did not have enough food or money<br />

to buy food, how often has your household had to:<br />

a. Reduce home milk consumption and sell more of milk produced<br />

b. Consume less preferred cereals<br />

c. Borrow food on credit from another household (Aamah)<br />

d. Reduce number of meals per day<br />

e. Reduce the portion size/quantity consumed at meal times (Beekhaamis)<br />

f. Rely on food donations (gifts) from the clan/community (Kaalmo)<br />

g. Consume weak un-saleable animals (caateysi)<br />

h. Send household members to eat (for food) elsewhere<br />

0=Never (zero times/week)<br />

1=Hardly at all (


Executive<br />

Q35a If the household has no access to protected water sources (if the answer to Q34a is 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12), what is the main reason<br />

0 = Not Available 1 = Distance too far 2= Security Concerns 3 = Cannot afford 4 = Queuing time is too long<br />

5 = Other reasons (specify)<br />

Q35b<br />

If you get your water from a protected water source (if the answer to Q34a is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or 7), How many days in the last year month<br />

were you NOT able to get water from the protected source 1= None 2 = 1-5 days 3 = >5 days<br />

88<br />

Q35c What was reason for not getting water 1 = couldn’t afford 2 = source dried up 3 = machine broke down 4 = others<br />

Q36 What is the average time taken per TRIP to and from the main water source (including waiting and collecting time)<br />

1 = Less than 30 minutes 2 = 30 to 60 minutes 3 = More than 1 hour<br />

Q37b<br />

Most days (on average) how much water do you collect for the household<br />

Jerican (20 liter) Jerican (5 liter) Drum (200liters)<br />

Haan (local container with<br />

capacity of about 12.5 liters)<br />

Other container<br />

(specify)<br />

Total No. of Liters<br />

No. of containers<br />

Q38 Is the water for drinking treated and/or chlorinated 4 at the Household level 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />

Q39<br />

sun<br />

If Yes, what is the method of treatment (select more than 1 option if applicable)<br />

1 = Boiling 2 = Chlorination 3 = Straining/filtering 4 = Decanting/letting it stand and settle 5 = Leaving the water out in the<br />

6 = Other (specify)<br />

Q40 Does the family pay for drinking water 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />

Q41-43 Sanitation and Hygiene (access and quality)<br />

Q41a What type of toilet is used by most members of the household<br />

0 = No toilet is available (an open pit/open ground is used) 1 = Household latrine 2 =<br />

Communal/Public latrine<br />

3 = Flush toilet<br />

Q41b If the answer to Q41a is 0, what is the main reason<br />

1 = Pastoral/ frequent movements 2 = Lack resources to construct 3 = Lack of space to construct 4 = Don’t see the need<br />

9 = Don’t know<br />

Q41c If the answer to Q41a is 1,2 or 3 , how many households share/use the same toilet 1= One 2= 2 to 3 3= 4 to 9 4= 10 or<br />

more 9 = Don’t know<br />

Q42 When you wash your hands, what substance do you use for hand washing<br />

0= None (only with water) 1= Soap/Shampoo 2= Sand 3= Ash 4= Plant<br />

extracts<br />

Q43 Have you been exposed to information on correct personal hygiene and sanitation practices in the last 3 months (select more than 1 option<br />

if applicable)<br />

0= No 1= Yes via mass media 2= Yes via printed media 3 = Ye s v i a i n t e r p e r s o n a l<br />

communication 4= Yes via group meetings<br />

Supervisor Checked ____________________________<br />

(Footnotes)<br />

1 Child having received breast milk either directly from the mothers or surrogate mother breast within the last 12 hours<br />

2 Diarrhea is defined for a child having three or more loose or watery stools per day<br />

3 ARI asked as oof wareen or wareento. The three signs asked for are chest in-drawing, cough, rapid breathing/nasal flaring and fever<br />

4 Fever – The three signs to be looked for are periodic chills/shivering, fever, sweating and convulsions<br />

5 Measles (Jadeeco): a child with more than three of these signs– fever and, skin rash, runny nose or red eyes, and/or mouth infection, or chest<br />

infection<br />

6 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />

7 WHO, 2008. Indicators for assessing infant and young child feeding practices: Conclusion of a consensus meeting held 6-8 November 2007 in<br />

Washington D.C., USA ;FANTA 2002 Summary Indicators for Infant and Child Feeding Practices;<br />

8 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />

9 8 FAO Household Dietary Diversity Tool<br />

4 Chlorinated water should have a characteristic taste and smell<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


7.3. Mortality Questionnaire, June <strong>2011</strong><br />

Household No: _____ Date: _______ Team No: ____ Cluster No: ____ Enumerator’s Name: ____________<br />

2: Sex (1=M; 3: Age 4: Born since<br />

No. 1: First Name<br />

2=F)<br />

(yrs) __ / 3/ <strong>2011</strong><br />

a) How many members are present in this household now List them.<br />

5: Arrived since<br />

__ / 3/ <strong>2011</strong><br />

6: Reason for<br />

leaving<br />

QNO:<br />

7: Cause of<br />

death<br />

Executive Summary<br />

89<br />

b) How many members have left this household (out migrants) since Mar __, <strong>2011</strong> List them<br />

c) Do you have any member of the household who has died since mar __, <strong>2011</strong> List them<br />

Codes<br />

Reason for migration<br />

1= Civil Insecurity 6= Hospitalised<br />

2= Food Insecurity 7= In boarding school<br />

3= Employment 8= Grazing/herding<br />

4=Divorce/ Married away 9= Other, specify<br />

5=Visiting<br />

1= Diarrhoeal diseases<br />

2= ARI<br />

3= Measles<br />

4= Malaria<br />

5= STD/ HIV/AIDS<br />

Cause of death<br />

6= Anaemia<br />

7= Pregnancy/Birth complications<br />

8= Accident/ killed/ physical injuries<br />

9= Hunger/starvation<br />

10= Other, specify (e.g. still birth)<br />

Summary*<br />

Current HH Members<br />

Arrivals during the Recall period<br />

Number who have left during Recall period<br />

Births during recall<br />

Deaths during recall period<br />

Total<br />

U5<br />

* For Supervisor Only<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

90<br />

7.4. IDP NUTRITION ASSESSMENT HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

HHNO:<br />

Household Number ______ Date_______________ Team Number ______ Cluster Number ________ Cluster<br />

Name _______________________ District: __________<br />

Q1-7 Characteristics of Household<br />

Q1. Household size 1 __________ Q2. Number of children less than 5 years (0-59 months) ________<br />

Q3a. Household head 1=Male 2=Female Q3b. Highest level of mother’s/caregiver’s education: 0=None<br />

1= Primary 2= Secondary 3= Tertiary (college/university)<br />

Q4a .How long has this household lived in this locality 1= Resident 2= IDP6 months 4=Returnee (within<br />

the last 6 months) 5=Refugee 6=Migrant<br />

b. Are you hosting any recently (in the last 6 months) internally displaced persons 0= No 1= Yes<br />

c. If yes, Number of persons ________<br />

Q5. How many mosquito nets does the household have 0=none 1=one 2=two<br />

3=three<br />

4= 4 or more<br />

Q6. What was the source of the net 1= NGO 2=Health Centre 3= Purchase<br />

Q7. What is the household’s main source of income 1= Animal & animal product sales 2= Crop sales/farming 3= Trade<br />

4= Casual labor<br />

5= Salaried/wage employment 6= Remittances 7=Self-Employment (Bush products/handicraft)<br />

8=gifts/ zakat 9= Others, specify ________________<br />

Q8-15 Feeding and immunization status of children aged 6 – 59 months in the household.<br />

First<br />

Name<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

Date of<br />

Birth<br />

-- /-- /--<br />

Q8<br />

Child Age<br />

(months)<br />

(if child is<br />

more than 24<br />

months old,<br />

skip to Q11)<br />

Q9<br />

Are you<br />

breastfeeding<br />

1<br />

the child<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q10<br />

How many times did<br />

you feed the child<br />

in the last 24 hours<br />

(besides breast milk)<br />

0=Zero times<br />

1= 1 time<br />

2=2 times<br />

3 = 3 times<br />

4=-4 times<br />

5= 5 or more times<br />

Q11<br />

How many times<br />

did you feed the<br />

child with milk in<br />

the last 24 hours<br />

(besides breast<br />

milk)<br />

0=None<br />

1= 1 time<br />

2=2 times<br />

3=-3 times<br />

4= 4 times<br />

5= 5 times or more<br />

Q 12<br />

Has child<br />

been provided<br />

with Vitamin<br />

A in the last 6<br />

months<br />

(show sample)<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q13<br />

Has child<br />

been<br />

Vaccinated<br />

against<br />

measles<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q14<br />

No of doses<br />

of polio<br />

vaccine given<br />

to the child<br />

orally<br />

0=none<br />

1=one<br />

2=two<br />

3=three or<br />

more<br />

Q15<br />

Does<br />

child have<br />

immunization<br />

card<br />

0= No<br />

1=Yes<br />

Q16-27 Anthropometry and morbidity for children aged 6 – 59 months in the household<br />

First<br />

Name<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

Q17<br />

Q16b<br />

Q16a<br />

Sex<br />

Age<br />

1=Male<br />

(month)<br />

2=Female<br />

Oedema<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q18<br />

Height<br />

(cm)<br />

To the<br />

nearest<br />

tenth of<br />

a cm<br />

Q19<br />

Weight<br />

(kg)<br />

To the<br />

nearest<br />

tenth of<br />

a kg<br />

Q20<br />

MUAC<br />

(cm)<br />

To the<br />

nearest<br />

tenth of<br />

a cm<br />

(≥6 mo)<br />

Q21<br />

Diarrhea 2<br />

in last<br />

two<br />

weeks<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q22<br />

Pneumonia Q23<br />

(oof<br />

wareen/<br />

wareento) 3<br />

in the last<br />

two weeks<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Fever 4<br />

in the<br />

last two<br />

weeks<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q24<br />

Suspected<br />

Measles 5<br />

in last one<br />

month<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q25<br />

Did the<br />

child sleep<br />

under a<br />

mosquito<br />

net last<br />

night<br />

0= No<br />

1=yes<br />

Q26<br />

Where did you<br />

seek healthcare<br />

assistance when<br />

child was sick (If<br />

yes in Q21 – 24)<br />

0=No assistance<br />

sought<br />

1=Own<br />

medication<br />

2=Traditional<br />

healer<br />

3=Sheikh/<br />

Prayers<br />

4=Private clinic/<br />

Pharmacy<br />

5= Public health<br />

facility<br />

Q27<br />

Is the child<br />

currently<br />

registered in<br />

any feeding<br />

centres<br />

0= none<br />

1= SFP<br />

2= TFC/SC<br />

3= OTP<br />

4= Other<br />

1 Number of persons who live together and eat from the same pot at the time of assessment<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


28a. Anthropometry (MUAC) for adult women of childbearing age (15-49 years) present at the household<br />

Sno Name<br />

1 Mother:<br />

Age<br />

(years)<br />

No of doses<br />

of Tetanus<br />

vaccine<br />

received<br />

0= None<br />

1= One<br />

2= Two<br />

3=three<br />

MUAC<br />

(cm)<br />

Physiological<br />

status<br />

1=Pregnant<br />

2=Lactating<br />

(infant


Executive<br />

92<br />

When the respondent 8 recall is complete, fill in the food groups based on the information recorded above. For any food groups<br />

not mentioned, ask the respondent if a food item from this group was consumed.<br />

1. Cereals and cereal products (maize, ground maize, wheat, white wheat, wholemeal wheat, millet, rice, white grain<br />

sorghum, red sorghum , spaghetti, bread, chapatti , macaroni, canjera)<br />

2. Milk and milk products (Fresh/fermented/powdered sheep, goat, cow or camel milk, Cheese (sour milk), condensed<br />

milk, yoghurt)<br />

3. Vitamin A rich vegetables and tubers (yellow fleshed pumpkins, carrots, orange sweet potatoes, yellow cassava)<br />

4. Dark green leafy vegetables (amaranth, kale, spinach, , onion leaf, pumpkin leaves, cassava leaves, dark green<br />

lettuce)<br />

5. Other vegetables (tomato, onion, squash, bell pepper, cabbage ,light green lettuce, white radish )<br />

6. Vitamin A rich fruits (ripe mangoes, pawpaw, wild fruits such as gob, hobob, berde, isbandlays, kabla, coasta, red<br />

cactus frui,)<br />

7. Other fruit (banana, orange, apple, coconut, custard apple, dates, unripe mangoes, grapes, guava, wild fruits and<br />

100% fruit juices)<br />

8. Organ meat (liver, kidney, heart or other organ meat)<br />

9. Meat and Poultry (beef, lamb, goat, camel, wild game, such as Dik Dik, chicken, duck, other birds such as guinea<br />

fowl and francolin)<br />

10. Eggs (eggs of chicken, eggs of duck or eggs of other fowl)<br />

11. Fish (fresh or dried) and other seafood (shellfish)<br />

Any household member 9<br />

0=No 1= Yes<br />

12. Legumes, nuts and seeds (cowpeas, beans, lentils , peanut, pumpkin seed, lentil seed, sunflower seed, wild nuts)<br />

13. White roots and tubers (white potatoes, cassava, arrowroot, white sweet potatoes, or foods made from roots)<br />

14. Oils and Fats (cooking fat or oil, ghee, butter, sesame oil, margarine)<br />

15. Sweets (sugar, honey, sweetened soda and fruit drinks, chocolate biscuit, cakes,, candies, cookies, Sugar cane and<br />

sweet sorghum)<br />

16. Coffee, tea and Spices (coffee, tea, spices such as black pepper, cardamoms, cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, cloves,<br />

salt. Condiments such as ketchup, soy sauce, chilli sauce)<br />

Q 30b. Total number of food groups consumed<br />

Q 30c. Did you or anyone in your household eat anything (meal or snack) OUTSIDE of the home yesterday<br />

Q31 a.<br />

ii) milk<br />

In the last three months, what is the main source in the household of: i) staple cereal ______________<br />

_______________ (Use codes below)<br />

1= Own production 2= Purchasing 3=Community Gifts/Donations 4= Food aid 5= Bartering<br />

6= Borrowing 7= Gathering<br />

Q31b. How many times did you receive cereal food aid in the last 6 months 0=never 1= once 2= twice 3= three<br />

times 4= fourth 5= five times 6= six times or more<br />

Q32 How many meals 3 has the household had in the last 24 hours (from this time yesterday to now) 0= none 1= One<br />

Coping Strategies<br />

2=Two 3= Three 4=Four +<br />

Q 33. In the past 30 days, if there have been times when people did not have enough food or money to buy food, which of the following coping<br />

strategies did they use (Select based on relevant livelihood system)<br />

Urban/IDPs Livelihood Group<br />

In the past 30 days, if there have been times when you did not have enough food or money<br />

to buy food, how often has your household had to:<br />

a. Shift to less preferred (low quality, less expensive) foods (from osolo to obo)<br />

b. Limit the portion/quantity consumed in a meal (Beekhaamis)<br />

c. Take fewer numbers of meals in a day<br />

0=Never (zero times/week)<br />

1=Hardly at all (


WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE<br />

Q34-40 Access to water (quality and quantity)<br />

Q34a What is the household’s main source of drinking water<br />

Protected sources: 1 = Household connection<br />

2 = Standpipe (Kiosk/Public tap/Taps connected to a storage<br />

tank) 3 = Protected Shallow well (covered with hand pump/motorized pump) 4 = Tanker 5 = Spring<br />

6 = Bottled water 7 = Rooftop rainwater<br />

Unprotected sources 8 = Berkads 9 = River/stream 10 = Dam/Pond (Balley) 11 = Open Shallow<br />

well 12 = other (specify) …<br />

Q35a If the household has no access to protected water sources (if the answer to Q34a is 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12), what is the main reason<br />

0 = Not Available 1 = Distance too far 2= Security Concerns 3 = Cannot afford 4 = Queuing time is too long<br />

5 = Other reasons (specify)<br />

Executive Summary<br />

93<br />

Q35b<br />

If you get your water from a protected water source (if the answer to Q34a is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or 7), How many days in the last year month<br />

were you NOT able to get water from the protected source 1= None 2 = 1-5 days 3 = >5<br />

days<br />

Q35c What was reason for not getting water 1 = couldn’t afford 2 = source dried up 3 = machine broke down 4 = others<br />

Q36 What is the average time taken per TRIP to and from the main water source (including waiting and collecting time)<br />

1 = Less than 30 minutes 2 = 30 to 60 minutes 3 = More than 1 hour<br />

Q37b<br />

Most days (on average) how much water do you collect for the household<br />

Jerican (20 liter) Jerican (5 liter) Drum (200liters)<br />

Haan (local container with<br />

Other container<br />

capacity of about 12.5<br />

(specify)<br />

liters)<br />

Total No. of Liters<br />

No. of containers<br />

Q38 Is the water for drinking treated and/or chlorinated 4 at the Household level 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />

Q39<br />

sun<br />

If Yes, what is the method of treatment (select more than 1 option if applicable)<br />

1 = Boiling 2 = Chlorination 3 = Straining/filtering 4 = Decanting/letting it stand and settle 5 = Leaving the water out in the<br />

6 = Other (specify)<br />

Q40 Does the family pay for drinking water 0 = No 1 = Yes<br />

Q41-43 Sanitation and Hygiene (access and quality)<br />

Q41a What type of toilet is used by most members of the household<br />

0 = No toilet is available (an open pit/open ground is used) 1 = Household latrine 2 =<br />

Communal/Public latrine<br />

3 = Flush toilet<br />

Q41b If the answer to Q41a is 0, what is the main reason<br />

1 = Pastoral/ frequent movements 2 = Lack resources to construct 3 = Lack of space to construct 4 = Don’t see the<br />

need 9 = Don’t know<br />

Q41c If the answer to Q41a is 1,2 or 3 , how many households share/use the same toilet 1= One 2= 2 to 3 3= 4 to 9 4= 10 or<br />

more 9 = Don’t know<br />

Q42 When you wash your hands, what substance do you use for hand washing<br />

0= None (only with water) 1= Soap/Shampoo 2= Sand 3= Ash 4= Plant<br />

extracts<br />

Q43 Have you been exposed to information on correct personal hygiene and sanitation practices in the last 3 months (select more than 1 option<br />

if applicable)<br />

0= No 1= Yes via mass media 2= Yes via printed media 3 = Yes via inter personal<br />

communication 4= Yes via group meetings<br />

Supervisor Checked ____________________________<br />

(Footnotes)<br />

1 Child having received breast milk either directly from the mothers or surrogate mother breast within the last 12 hours<br />

2 Diarrhea is defined for a child having three or more loose or watery stools per day<br />

3 ARI asked as oof wareen or wareento. The three signs asked for are chest in-drawing, cough, rapid breathing/nasal flaring and fever<br />

4 Fever – The three signs to be looked for are periodic chills/shivering, fever, sweating and convulsions<br />

5 Measles (Jadeeco): a child with more than three of these signs– fever and, skin rash, runny nose or red eyes, and/or mouth infection, or chest<br />

infection<br />

6 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />

7 WHO, 2008. Indicators for assessing infant and young child feeding practices: Conclusion of a consensus meeting held 6-8 November 2007<br />

in Washington D.C., USA ;FANTA 2002 Summary Indicators for Infant and Child Feeding Practices;<br />

8 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />

9 8 FAO Household Dietary Diversity Tool<br />

4 Chlorinated water should have a characteristic taste and smell<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


7.5. Rapid MUAC Assessment Form<br />

Executive<br />

94<br />

Sno<br />

Sex:<br />

1=Male<br />

2=Female<br />

Age<br />

(Months)<br />

Oedema<br />

1= Yes<br />

2=No<br />

MUAC<br />

cm (1 dp)<br />

Illness in past 14 days<br />

No = 0<br />

If Yes ,specify*<br />

1=Diarrhoea<br />

2=Pneumonia<br />

3=Fever<br />

4= Measles<br />

Illness in past 14 days<br />

Sno<br />

Sex:<br />

1=Male<br />

2=Female<br />

Age<br />

(Months)<br />

Oedema<br />

1= Yes<br />

2=No<br />

MUAC<br />

cm (1 dp)<br />

No = 0<br />

If Yes ,specify*<br />

1=Diarrhoea<br />

2=Pneumonia<br />

3=Fever<br />

4= Measles<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


7.6 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form with Food Security Questions<br />

Executive Summary<br />

Weight and Height Measurement Record Sheet for Children aged 6-59 months<br />

95<br />

Region______________<br />

Cluster number/Name----------------------<br />

Household<br />

Number<br />

Current<br />

total<br />

Number of<br />

Household<br />

members<br />

Death in the last 90<br />

days<br />

>5yrs 0-11 12-59<br />

months<br />

Current Livestock<br />

holdings (please<br />

indicate total number<br />

by species)<br />

livestock death<br />

from Jan ’11 up to<br />

Now (please indicate<br />

number by species)<br />

Sex:<br />

months Camel Cattle Shoats Camel Cattle Shoats 1=Male<br />

2=Female<br />

Children aged 6-59 months<br />

Age Oedema<br />

(Months) 1= Yes Weight Height MUAC<br />

2=No<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

96<br />

7.7 Rapid <strong>Nutrition</strong> Assessment Form without Food Security Questions<br />

Weight and Height Measurement Record Sheet for Children aged 6-59 months<br />

Region______________<br />

cluster number/Name----------------------<br />

Household<br />

Number<br />

Current total<br />

Number of<br />

Household<br />

members<br />

Death in the last 90 days<br />

>5yrs<br />

0-11<br />

months<br />

12-59 months<br />

Sex: 1=Male<br />

2=Female<br />

Age<br />

(Months)<br />

Children aged 6-59 months<br />

Oedema<br />

1= Yes<br />

2=No<br />

Weight Height MUAC<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


7.8 Rapid Data Collection Form<br />

Date<br />

Name of theCluster<br />

Name of medical person of the team<br />

Cluster No<br />

Data collection form for Malaria<br />

Household No.<br />

Lat<br />

Long<br />

GPS Coordinates<br />

Executive Summary<br />

97<br />

Age<br />

Sex<br />

Did you have<br />

fever in the<br />

last two<br />

weeks<br />

Do you own a<br />

net<br />

Do you use the<br />

net on a<br />

regular basis<br />

Slept<br />

under net<br />

last night<br />

Is the net<br />

treated with<br />

insecticide<br />

RDT result<br />

No<br />

Name<br />

In MONTHS if <<br />

1 year (indicate<br />

'mths') 1 = Male<br />

In YEARS if ≥ 1 2 =<br />

year Female 1=Yes 2=NO 1=Yes 2=NO 1=Yes 2=NO<br />

1=Yes<br />

2=NO<br />

1=Yes 2=NO<br />

1=POSITIVE<br />

2=NEGATIVE<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

98<br />

7.9 Urban Assessment Household Questionnaire, <strong>Gu</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Household Size __________ Date__________________ Enumerator: ______________________ Name of Urban Center<br />

_______________ Section: ______________<br />

Q 1 Food Consumption & Dietary Diversity<br />

Twenty four-hour recall for food consumption in the households: The interviewers should establish whether the previous day and night was<br />

usual or normal for the households. If unusual- feasts, funerals or most members absent, then another day should be selected.<br />

Q1a Household Food Consumption & Dietary Diversity: Please describe the foods (meals and snacks) that members of your household<br />

ate or drank yesterday during the day and night at home 1 . Start with the first food or drink of the morning. Include wild foods e.g. game meat, honey,<br />

fruits, vegetables, leaves.<br />

Write down all foods and drink mentioned. When composite dishes are mentioned, ask for the list of ingredients. The interviewers should<br />

establish whether the previous day and night was usual or normal for the households. If unusual- feasts, funerals or most members absent, then<br />

another day should be selected.<br />

Breakfast Snack Lunch Snack Dinner Snack<br />

When the respondent 1 recall is complete, fill in the food groups based on the information recorded above. For any food<br />

groups not mentioned, ask the respondent if a food item from this group was consumed.<br />

1. Cereals and cereal products (maize, ground maize, wheat, white wheat, wholemeal wheat, millet, rice, white<br />

grain sorghum, red sorghum , spaghetti, bread, chapatti , macaroni, canjera)<br />

2. Milk and milk products (Fresh/fermented/powdered sheep, goat, cow or camel milk, Cheese (sour milk),<br />

condensed milk, yoghurt)<br />

3. Vitamin A rich vegetables and tubers (yellow fleshed pumpkins, carrots, orange sweet potatoes, yellow cassava)<br />

4. Dark green leafy vegetables (amaranth, kale, spinach, , onion leaf, pumpkin leaves, cassava leaves, dark green<br />

lettuce)<br />

5. Other vegetables (tomato, onion, squash, bell pepper, cabbage ,light green lettuce, white radish )<br />

6. Vitamin A rich fruits (ripe mangoes, pawpaw, wild fruits such as gob, hobob, berde, isbandlays, kabla, coasta,<br />

red cactus frui,)<br />

7. Other fruit (banana, orange, apple, coconut, custard apple, dates, unripe mangoes, grapes, guava, wild fruits and<br />

100% fruit juices)<br />

8. Organ meat (liver, kidney, heart or other organ meat)<br />

9. Meat and Poultry (beef, lamb, goat, camel, wild game, such as Dik Dik, chicken, duck, other birds such as guinea<br />

fowl and francolin)<br />

10. Eggs (eggs of chicken, eggs of duck or eggs of other fowl)<br />

11. Fish (fresh or dried) and other seafood (shellfish)<br />

12. Legumes, nuts and seeds (cowpeas, beans, lentils , peanut, pumpkin seed, lentil seed, sunflower seed, wild<br />

nuts)<br />

13. White roots and tubers (white potatoes, cassava, arrowroot, white sweet potatoes, or foods made from roots)<br />

14. Oils and Fats (cooking fat or oil, ghee, butter, sesame oil, margarine)<br />

15. Sweets (sugar, honey, sweetened soda and fruit drinks, chocolate biscuit, cakes,, candies, cookies, Sugar cane<br />

and sweet sorghum)<br />

16. Coffee, tea & Spices (coffee, tea, spices such as black pepper, cardamoms, cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, cloves,<br />

salt. Condiments such as ketchup, soy, chilli sauce<br />

Q1b. Total number of food groups consumed<br />

Q 1c. Did you or anyone in your household eat anything (meal or snack) OUTSIDE of the home yesterday<br />

Any household member 2<br />

0=No 1= Yes<br />

Q31d. How many meals 2 has the household had in the last 24 hours (from this time yesterday to now) 0= none 1= One<br />

2=Two 3= Three 4=Four +<br />

Q 2. In the past 30 days, if there have been times when people did not have enough food or money to buy food, which of the following coping<br />

strategies did they use<br />

1 Include foods prepared inside the home but consumed outside the home<br />

2 A meal refers to food served and eaten at one time (excluding snacks) and includes one of the three commonly known: - breakfast, lunch and<br />

supper/dinner<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Urban Livelihood/IDPs Groups<br />

In the past 30 days, if there have been times when you did not have enough food or money to buy<br />

food, how often has your household had to:<br />

a. Shift to less preferred (low quality, less expensive) foods (from osolo to obo)<br />

b. Limit the portion/quantity consumed in a meal (Beekhaamis)<br />

c. Take fewer numbers of meals in a day<br />

0=Never (zero times/week)<br />

1=Hardly at all (


Executive<br />

100<br />

Sno<br />

Sex:<br />

1=Male<br />

2=Female<br />

Age<br />

(Months)<br />

Oedema<br />

1= Yes<br />

2=No<br />

MUAC<br />

cm (1 dp)<br />

Illness in past 14 days<br />

No = 0<br />

If Yes ,specify*<br />

1=Diarrhoea<br />

2=Pneumonia<br />

3=Fever<br />

4= Measles<br />

(Footnotes)<br />

1 Respondent refers to the person responsible for food preparation on the recall day. For the child, refer to the mother or caregiver<br />

2 8 FAO Household Dietary Diversity Tool<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


7.10: Somalia Livelihood Zones<br />

DJIBOUTI<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>lf of Aden<br />

Zeylac<br />

Lughaye<br />

AWDAL<br />

Borama<br />

Gebiley<br />

SOMALIA: LIVELIHOOD ZONES<br />

Baki<br />

Berbera<br />

W. GALBEED<br />

Ceel Afweyne<br />

Sheikh<br />

Bossaaso<br />

Ceerigaabo Las Qoray/Badhan<br />

Iskushuban<br />

SANAG<br />

Calula<br />

Qandala<br />

BARI<br />

Executive Summary<br />

101<br />

Hargeysa<br />

Owdweyne<br />

Burco<br />

TOGDHEER<br />

Caynabo<br />

Xudun<br />

SOOL<br />

Talex<br />

Qardho<br />

Bandar Beyla<br />

Buuhoodle<br />

Laas Caanood<br />

Garowe<br />

Burtinle<br />

NUGAL<br />

Eyl<br />

ETHIOPIA<br />

Cabudwaaq<br />

Goldogob<br />

Cadaado<br />

Jariiban<br />

Galkacyo<br />

MUDUG<br />

Hobyo<br />

Indian Ocean<br />

Dhusa Mareeb<br />

KENYA<br />

GEDO<br />

Ceel Waq<br />

Baardheere<br />

Sakow<br />

Hagar<br />

Afmadow<br />

M. JUBA<br />

BAY<br />

BAKOOL<br />

HIIRAN<br />

Rab-Dhuure<br />

Xudur<br />

Dolo<br />

Bulo Barde<br />

Luuq Wajid Tayeglow<br />

Beled Hawa<br />

Garbaharey<br />

Baydhaba<br />

Qansax Dheere<br />

Bur Hakaba<br />

Balcad<br />

Afgoye<br />

Dinsor<br />

"/<br />

Qoryoley<br />

Kurtun Warrey Marka<br />

Sablale<br />

Bu'aale<br />

Brava<br />

Jilib<br />

Ceel Barde<br />

L. SHABELLE<br />

MOGADISHU<br />

GALGADUD<br />

Beled Weyne<br />

Ceel Bur<br />

Jalalaqsi<br />

Jowhar<br />

Wanle Weyne<br />

Ceel Dheere<br />

Aden Yabal<br />

Cadale<br />

M. SHABELLE<br />

BANADIR<br />

Harardheere<br />

Livelihood zones<br />

Addun Pastoral: Mixed sheep & goats, camel<br />

Awdal border & coastal towns: Petty trading, fishing, salt mining<br />

Central regions Agro-Pastoral: Cowpea, sheep & goats, camel, cattle<br />

Coastal Deeh: Sheep<br />

Dawo Pastoral: Shoats, cattle, camel<br />

East Golis Pastoral: Frankinncense<br />

Fishing<br />

Gagaab Pastoral: Frankincense<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>ban Pastoral: Sheep, goats & camel<br />

Hawd Pastoral: Camel, sheep & goats<br />

Hiran Agro-Pastoral<br />

Hiran riverine: Sorghum, maize, cattle & shoats<br />

Juba pump irrigation: Tobacco, onions, maize<br />

Kakaar-Dharor Pastoral: Sheep, goats, camel<br />

L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral Irrigated: Maize/Sorghum & cattle<br />

L. & M. Shabelle Agro-Pastoral rain-fed: Maize,cowpeas, sesame & cattle<br />

Lower Juba Agro-Pastoral: Maize & cattle<br />

North-West Agro-Pastoral: Sorghum, cattle<br />

North-West Valley Agro-Pastoral: Irrigated vegetables, shoats<br />

Nugal Valley Pastoral: Sheep & camel<br />

Potato zone & vegetables<br />

Shabelle riverine: Maize, fruits & vegetables<br />

Sool-Sanag Plateau Pastoral: Camel, sheep & goats<br />

L. JUBA<br />

Badhadhe<br />

Kismayo<br />

Jamaame<br />

±<br />

0 20 40 80 120 160 200<br />

South-East Pastoral: Cattle, sheep & goats<br />

Southern Agro-Pastoral: Camel, cattle, sorghum<br />

Southern Juba riverine: Maize, sesame, fruits & vegetables<br />

Southern coastal pastoral: Goats, cattle<br />

Togdheer Agro-Pastoral: Sheep, goats & vegetables<br />

Urban<br />

West Golis Pastoral: Goats, camel, sheep<br />

Kilometers<br />

Bay-Bakool Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />

Bakool Agro-pastoral Low Potential<br />

Bay Agro-pastoral High Potential<br />

Southern Inland Pastoral: Camel, Sheep & Goats<br />

Datum: WGS84, Data Source: FSAU, 2009,<br />

Admin. layers: UNDP, 1998<br />

Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia http://www.fsausomali.org<br />

P.O. Box 1230 Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya Email: fsauinfo@fsau.or.ke<br />

tel: 254-20-3745734 fax:254-20-3740598<br />

FSAU is managed by FAO.<br />

The boundaries and names on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.<br />

The regional & District boundaries reflect those endorsed by the Government of the Republic of Somalia in 1986.<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

102<br />

8. Glossary of Terms<br />

Anthropometry The technique that deals with the<br />

measurements of the size, height, weight, and proportions<br />

of the human body.<br />

Baseline data Baseline data represent the situation before<br />

or at the beginning of a program or intervention. Survey<br />

data may be compared to baseline data if defined criteria<br />

for comparison are met (e.g., similar methods and coverage)<br />

Bias Anything other than sampling error which causes the<br />

survey result to differ from the actual population prevalence<br />

or rate.<br />

Chronic Malnutrition Chronic malnutrition is an indicator<br />

of nutritional status over time. Chronically malnourished<br />

children are shorter (stunted) than their comparable age<br />

group.<br />

Cluster Sampling Cluster sampling requires the division of<br />

the population into smaller geographical units, e.g. villages<br />

or neighbourhoods. In a first step, survey organizers select<br />

a defined number of units among all geographical units. In a<br />

second and sometimes third step, households are selected<br />

within the units using simple random sampling, systematic<br />

random sampling, or the modified EPI method.<br />

Confidence interval When sampling is used, any figure<br />

derived from the data is an estimate of the actual value and<br />

is subject to sampling errors, i.e., there is a risk that the<br />

result obtained is not exactly equal to the actual value. The<br />

estimated prevalence coming out of a sample is therefore<br />

accompanied by a confidence interval, a range of values<br />

within which the actual value of the entire population is likely<br />

to be included. This value is generally 95% in nutrition and<br />

mortality surveys. This means that we can be 95% confident<br />

that the true prevalence lies within the given range.<br />

Crude mortality rate (CMR) Mortality rate from all causes of<br />

death for a population (Number of deaths during a specified<br />

period /number of persons at risk of dying during that period)<br />

X time period.<br />

Cut-off points The point on a nutritional index used to<br />

classify or screen individuals’ anthropometric status.<br />

Design Effect (DE) Cluster sampling results in greater<br />

statistical variance (see definition below) than simple<br />

random sampling because health outcomes tend to be<br />

more similar within than between geographical units (see<br />

cluster sampling). To compensate for the resulting loss in<br />

precision, the sample size calculated for simple random<br />

sampling must be multiplied by a factor called “design<br />

effect”; A measure of how evenly or unevenly the outcome<br />

(for example wasting, stunting, or mortality) is distributed in<br />

the population being sampled.<br />

Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) GAM includes all<br />

children suffering from moderate and severe acute<br />

malnutrition; percent of children under 5 who have low<br />

weight-for-height measured by -2 z-scores and with or<br />

without oedema.<br />

Growth Monitoring Observation of a child growth over<br />

time by periodic assessment of his/her weight-for-height<br />

or weight-for-age.<br />

Household A group of persons who live together and eat<br />

from the same pot (i.e. the Household Economy Approach).<br />

Kwashiorkor Sign of severe malnutrition characterized by<br />

bilateral oedema.<br />

Malnutrition State in which the physical function of an<br />

individual is impaired to the point where he or she can no<br />

longer maintain adequate bodily performance process such<br />

as growth, pregnancy, lactation, physical work, and resisting<br />

and recovering from disease.<br />

Morbidity A condition related to a disease or illness.<br />

Oedema An accumulation of excessive extra cellular fluid in<br />

the body; a distinguishing characteristic of kwashiorkor when<br />

bilateral. All children with nutritional oedema are classified<br />

as severely malnourished.<br />

Outcome Wasting and mortality are examples of outcomes<br />

measured in surveys.<br />

Prevalence Proportion of a population with a disease or<br />

condition of interest at a designated time.<br />

P-value If you want to know whether there is a significant<br />

difference between two survey estimates, frequently a<br />

statistical test is applied and a P value calculated. The P<br />

value is the probability that the two estimates differ by chance<br />

or sampling error.<br />

Recall period A defined period in the past used to<br />

calculate estimated mortality and/or morbidity rates.<br />

Reference Population The NCHS (1977) and WHO (2006)<br />

reference values are based on two large surveys of healthy<br />

children, whose measurements represent an international<br />

reference for deriving an individual’s anthropometric status.<br />

Sample A subset of the total population that should be<br />

selected at random to guarantee a representation of the<br />

total population.<br />

Sample size The size of the sample calculated based on<br />

objectives of the survey and statistical considerations.<br />

Sampling error Sampling error is the degree to which a<br />

sample might differ from the whole target population, e.g.,<br />

how well it represents a target population or total population.<br />

Sampling error can be quantified (e.g., in a confidence<br />

interval).<br />

Sampling frame The list of all the ultimate sampling units<br />

from which the sample is selected.<br />

Sampling interval The sampling interval is the total number<br />

of sampling units in the population divided by the desired<br />

sample size.<br />

Sampling unit The unit that is selected during the process of<br />

sampling; depending on the sampling process the sampling<br />

unit can be a person, household, cluster, district, etc.<br />

Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM) SAM includes<br />

all children suffering from severe malnutrition; percent of<br />

children under 5 who have low weight-for-height measured<br />

by -3 z-scores and with or without oedema.<br />

Simple Random Sampling The process in which each<br />

sampling unit is selected at random one at a time from a list<br />

of all the sampling units in the population.<br />

Stunting (chronic malnutrition) Growth failure in a child<br />

that occurs over a slow cumulative process as a result of<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


inadequate nutrition and/or repeated infections; stunted<br />

children are short for their age and may look younger<br />

than their actual age; it is not possible to reverse stunting;<br />

measured by the height-for-age index.<br />

Systematic Random Sampling (SRS) A methodology<br />

which selects a sampling unit at random, then selects every<br />

n th household thereafter, where ‘n’ equals the sampling<br />

interval.<br />

Underweight Percentage of children under the age of<br />

five with weight-for-age below -2SD from median weightfor-age<br />

of reference population.<br />

Urban town/center (based on UNDP definition/Pre-War<br />

definition): The regional capital and all the district capitals.<br />

These urban areas had most of the social amenities such<br />

as schools, mosques, district hospitals, markets, etc.<br />

Moreover, there was a greater prospect of the visible<br />

presence of some sort of local government or administrative<br />

structures in the regional and district capitals.<br />

Wasting (1) Growth failure as a result of recent rapid weight<br />

loss or failure to gain weight; wasted children are extremely<br />

thin; readily reversible once condition improve; wasting is<br />

measured by the weight-for-height index.<br />

Wasting (2) Percentage of children under the age of five<br />

suffering from moderate or severe wasting (below minus<br />

two standard deviations from median weight-for-height of<br />

reference population). Wasting differs from acute malnutrition<br />

because it does not take into consideration the presence/<br />

absence of oedema.<br />

Z-score Score expressed as a deviation from the mean<br />

value in terms of standard deviation units; the term is used in<br />

analyzing continuous variables such as heights and weights<br />

of a sample.<br />

Executive Summary<br />

103<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive<br />

104<br />

<strong>Report</strong> compiled by:<br />

Abdikarim Ducale<br />

Abdillahi Warsame<br />

Fuad Hassan<br />

Mohamed M. Hassan<br />

Abukar Yusuf<br />

Ahono Busili<br />

Elijah Odundo<br />

Joseph Waweru<br />

Louise Masese-Mwirigi<br />

Mohamed Borle<br />

Tom Oguta<br />

Special Contributions:<br />

Grainne Moloney<br />

Tamara Nanitashvilli<br />

Ahono Busili<br />

Design and Layout<br />

Barasa Sindani<br />

Catherine Kimani<br />

Acknowledgements:<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Nutrition</strong> Field Team<br />

Osman Warsame<br />

Khalif Nouh<br />

Zainab Jama<br />

IASC Somalia<br />

Leo Matunga<br />

UNICEF/<strong>Nutrition</strong> Cluster<br />

Dr. Kamran Mashhadi<br />

WHO/Health Cluster<br />

<strong>Gu</strong>charan Virdee - GenCAP Advisor<br />

UNOCHA<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>


Executive Summary<br />

The Information Management Process<br />

105<br />

Gathering & processing<br />

• <strong>FSNAU</strong> has a unique network of 32 specialists all over Somalia, who assess the nutrition and food security situation<br />

regularly and 120 enumerators throughout the country, who provide a rich source of information to ensure a good<br />

coverage of data.<br />

• <strong>Nutrition</strong> data is processed and analyzed using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS), EPInfo/ENA and<br />

STATA software for meta-analysis.<br />

• <strong>FSNAU</strong> developed the Integrated Phase Classification (IPC), a set of protocols for consolidating and summarizing<br />

situational analysis. The mapping tool provides a common classification system for food security that draws from the<br />

strengths of existing classification systems and integrates them with supporting tools for analysis and communication<br />

of food insecurity.<br />

• Food security information is gathered through rapid assessments as well as monthly monitoring of market prices,<br />

climate, crop and livestock situations.<br />

• Baseline livelihood analysis is conducted using an expanded Household Economy Approach (HEA).<br />

• The Integrated Database System (IDS), an online repository on <strong>FSNAU</strong>’s official website www.fsnau.org, provides<br />

a web-based user interface for data query, data import and export facilities from and into MS Excel, graphing,<br />

spreadsheet management and edit functions.<br />

Validation of Analysis<br />

• Quality control of nutrition data is done using the automated plausibility checks function in ENA software. The<br />

parameters tested include; missing/flagged data, age distribution, kurtosis, digit preference, skewness and overall<br />

sex ratio.<br />

• Quality control of food security data is done through exploratory and trend analysis of the different variables<br />

including checks for completeness/missing data, market price consistency, seasonal and pattern trends, ground<br />

truthing and triangulation of data with staff and other partner agencies, and secondary data such as satelitte imagery,<br />

international market prices, <strong>FSNAU</strong> baseline data, etc.<br />

• Before the launch of the biannual seasonal assessment results (<strong>Gu</strong> and Deyr), two separate day-long vetting meetings<br />

are held comprising of major technical organizations and agencies in Somalia’s Food Security and <strong>Nutrition</strong> clusters.<br />

The team critically reviews the analysis presented by <strong>FSNAU</strong> and challenges the overall analysis where necessary. This<br />

is an opportunity to share the detailed analysis, which is often not possible during shorter presentations or in the<br />

briefs.<br />

Products and Dissemination<br />

• A broad range of <strong>FSNAU</strong> information products include, monthly, quarterly and biannual reports on food and<br />

livelihood insecurity, markets, climate and nutrition, which are distributed both in print and digital formats including<br />

PowerPoint presentations and downloadable file available on the <strong>FSNAU</strong> site.<br />

• Feedback meetings with key audiences enable us to evaluate the effectiveness of our information products. We<br />

constantly refine our information to make sure it is easily understandable to our different audiences.<br />

• <strong>FSNAU</strong> has also developed a three year integrated communication strategy to ensure that its information products<br />

are made available in ways appropriate to different audiences including, donors, aid and development agencies, the<br />

media, Somalia authorities and the general public.<br />

United Nations Somalia, Ngecha Road Campus<br />

Box 1230, Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya<br />

Tel: +254-(0)20-4000000/500, Cell: +254-(0)722202146 / (0)733-616881<br />

Fax: +254-20-4000555<br />

Email: info@fsnau.org<br />

Website: www.fsnau.org<br />

<strong>FSNAU</strong> <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Series</strong> <strong>Report</strong> No. VI 41<br />

Issued September 28, <strong>2011</strong>

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