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SOLUTION FOR HOMEWORK 10, STAT 4351 Welcome to your 10th ...

SOLUTION FOR HOMEWORK 10, STAT 4351 Welcome to your 10th ...

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Here o λ (1) → 0 as λ → ∞ is a standard mathematical notation “o-small of 1”, and we get<br />

M Z (t) → e −tλ1/2 +tλ 1/2 +(1/2)t 2 = e t2 /2 , λ → ∞.<br />

Because e t2 /2 is the mgf of a standard normal RV, we proved a remarkable result (a version<br />

of the central limit theorem) that Poisson RV converges <strong>to</strong> Normal RV in distribution as<br />

λ → ∞.<br />

8. Problem 6.45. First of all, let us recall that the exponent in a bivariate normal is<br />

1 x − µ 1 ) 2<br />

−<br />

2(1 − ρ 2[<br />

σ 2 1<br />

− 2ρ x − µ 1 y − µ 2<br />

+ (y − µ 2) 2 ]<br />

.<br />

σ 1 σ 2 σ2<br />

2<br />

Now, for the distribution at hand, the exponent is<br />

−(1/<strong>10</strong>2)[(x + 2) 2 − 2.8(x + 2)(y − 1) + 4(y − 1) 2 ].<br />

(a). We need <strong>to</strong> equate the terms. Plainly we get µ 1 = −2, µ 2 = 1, plus three equations<br />

which we should solve as a system:<br />

1<br />

2(1 − ρ 2 )σ 2 1<br />

= 1/<strong>10</strong>2,<br />

2ρ<br />

2(1 − ρ 2 )σ 1 σ 2<br />

= 2.8<br />

<strong>10</strong>2 ,<br />

1<br />

2(1 − ρ 2 )σ 2 2<br />

= 4/<strong>10</strong>2.<br />

Dividing first on the third we get σ 1 = 2σ 2 . The second one gives us 2(1−ρ 2 )σ2 2 /ρ = <strong>10</strong>2/2.8<br />

and combining it with the third we get ρ = .7. Finally, we get σ 2 = 5 and σ 1 = <strong>10</strong>.<br />

(b) We know that (see Theorem 6.9 on page 221)<br />

E(Y |X = x) = µ 2 + ρσ 2 σ −1<br />

1 (x − µ 1).<br />

Plug-in numbers and get the answer.<br />

Similarly,<br />

V ar(Y |X = x) = σ 2 2 (1 − ρ2 ).<br />

Plug-in numbers and get the answer.<br />

9. Problem 6.55. Here X ∼ Exp(θ = 120).<br />

(a)<br />

∫ 24<br />

P(X ≤ 24) = (120) −1 e −t/120 dt = −e −t/120∣ ∣24<br />

0<br />

0 = 1 − e−24/120 = 1 − e −.2 .<br />

(b)<br />

∫ ∞<br />

P(X > 180) = (120) −1 e −t/120 dt = −e −t/120∣ ∣∞<br />

180<br />

180 = e−3/2 .<br />

3

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