Girma-Eshete-Jenbere-thesis - Ethiopian Wolf Conservation ...
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Mekelle University<br />
CDANR<br />
College of Dryland Agriculture and Natural Resources<br />
Community Management and Status of an Afro-alpine Ecosystem:<br />
The case of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
By<br />
<strong>Girma</strong> <strong>Eshete</strong><br />
A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement for the<br />
Master of Science Degree in Tropical Land Resource Management and<br />
Environmental Protection<br />
Advisors: <strong>Girma</strong>y Tesfay (PhD)<br />
Hans Bauer (PhD)<br />
Zelealem Tefera (PhD)<br />
Jorgelina Marino (PhD)<br />
June, 2010<br />
Mekelle<br />
i
Declaration<br />
This is to certify that this <strong>thesis</strong> entitled “Community Management and Status of an Afro-alpine<br />
Ecosystem: The Case of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> at Mt. Abune Yoseph” submitted in partial<br />
fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of Master of Science, in Tropical<br />
Land Resource Management, to the College of Dryland Agriculture and Natural Resources,<br />
Mekelle University, through the Department of Land Resource Management and Environmental<br />
Protection, done by Mr. <strong>Girma</strong> <strong>Eshete</strong> Genbere, (Id.No. CDANR/PR0004/01) is an authentic<br />
work carried out by him under our guidance. The matter embodied in this project work has not<br />
been submitted earlier for award of any degree or diploma to the best of our knowledge and<br />
belief.<br />
Name of the student <strong>Girma</strong> <strong>Eshete</strong> Genbere Signature & date ______________________<br />
Name of the Supervisors: <strong>Girma</strong>y Tesfay (PhD) Signature & date___________________<br />
Hans Bauer (PhD) Signature & date ____________________<br />
Zelealem Tefera (PhD) Signature & date _________________<br />
Jorgelina Marino (PhD) Signiture & date __________________<br />
ii
Abstract<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph has high biodiversity and endemism which is representative of the Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystems. Our study employed socio-economic and ecological survey as a major<br />
methodological approach. For socio-economic data 120 randomly selected households from<br />
eight villages were interviewed and ecological data were collected from 110 circular sample<br />
plots of 5m radius marked along eight habitat assessment transects laid at 1km apart with 200m<br />
interval using a 1: 50,000 scale map and Global positioning system (GPS). The result of<br />
descriptive statistics showed that 80% households exploit economically important natural<br />
resources to support their livelihoods from Mt. Abune Yoseph and chi-square test indicated the<br />
presence of significant difference (P
Acknowledgements<br />
Above all, let endless thanks be to the Almighty God and his mother for their innumerable gifts,<br />
hold up and allowing me to reach another gesture in my career.<br />
I highly appreciate my supervisors Dr <strong>Girma</strong>y Tesfay and Dr Hans Bauer from Mekelle<br />
University Dr Zelealem Tefera from FZS and Dr Jorgelina Marino from Oxford University for<br />
their unreserved assistance and encouragement. I thank Dr. <strong>Girma</strong>y Tesfay and Dr. Hans Bauer<br />
for their generous and valuable comments on the content and depth of the paper continuously<br />
throughout the study. My special thanks go to Dr. Zelealem Tefera for giving me the opportunity<br />
to work at Mt. Abune Yoseph and organizing the fund for my project. He provided me with all<br />
necessary field materials and facilities. Generally, it was not possible to complete this work<br />
without his valuable support in every aspect. Many thanks go to Dr. Jorgelina Marino; she took a<br />
week time to assist me while I was in the field and trained me on basic ecological data collection<br />
methods. Her guidance and inspiration made this study a reality.<br />
I am grateful to N/Wollo EPLAUD, main sponsor; EWCP and FZS two sister NGOs working for<br />
the conservation of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and Afro-alpine ecosystem sponsored my field study. I<br />
thank Chris Gorden and Anne-Marie Stewart heads of EWCP; Fekadu Lema, Zebiba Ahmed,<br />
Getachew Asefa, Bilemen Melkamu, Desiew Gelaw and Desale Melakie staff of FZS. I<br />
appreciate the material and moral contribution of my friends Getachew Shiferaw, Gessiu<br />
Teshome and all my staff members especially Ato Fentaw Awayehu, Desta Gessesse and Roman<br />
Sisay.<br />
I am thankful to my wife Agerie Debeb for her everlasting help and encouragement. She took<br />
alone the total load of house matters, including taking care of our children during my study.<br />
Without her it was not possible for me to reach this level.<br />
iv
List of Abbreviations and Acronyms<br />
ANRS<br />
ARDD<br />
a.s.l.<br />
BMNP<br />
BoFAED<br />
CBFM<br />
CSG<br />
EMA<br />
EPLAUD<br />
ESP<br />
EWCO<br />
EWCP<br />
EWNHS<br />
FZS<br />
GO<br />
HHs<br />
HHHs<br />
IIED<br />
IUCN<br />
Mt.<br />
NGO<br />
PAs<br />
SMNP<br />
TESFA<br />
U.S.A.<br />
WEPLAUO<br />
Amhara National Regional State<br />
Agriculture and Rural Development Department<br />
above sea level<br />
Bale Mountains National Park<br />
Bureau of Finance and Economic Development<br />
Community Based Forest Management<br />
Canid Specialist Group<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> Mapping Agency<br />
Environmental Protection Land Administration and Use Department<br />
Environment Support Project<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> <strong>Conservation</strong> Organization<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> <strong>Conservation</strong> Program<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> Wildlife and Natural History Society<br />
Frankfurt Zoological Society international NGO<br />
Governmental Organization<br />
Households<br />
Household heads<br />
International Institute for Environment and Development<br />
The World <strong>Conservation</strong> Union<br />
Mountain<br />
Non Governmental Organization<br />
Peasant Associations<br />
Simen Mountains National Park<br />
Tourism in Ethiopia for Sustainable Future Alternative<br />
United States of America<br />
Woreda Environmental Protection Land Administration and Use Office<br />
v
This piece of work is dedicated to the memories of my beloved father, <strong>Eshete</strong> <strong>Jenbere</strong> who took<br />
me out from the darkness of illiteracy to the light of education. Dad may the almighty God rest<br />
your soul in haven.<br />
vi
Table of contents<br />
page<br />
ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................. III<br />
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ....................................................................................................... IV<br />
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ................................................................... V<br />
LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................... X<br />
LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................. XII<br />
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 1<br />
1.1. BACKGROUND ....................................................................................................................... 1<br />
1.2. STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM .............................................................................................. 2<br />
1.3. HYPOTHESIS .......................................................................................................................... 3<br />
1.4. OBJECTIVES .......................................................................................................................... 4<br />
1.4.1. General Objective ......................................................................................................... 4<br />
1.4.2. Specific objectives ......................................................................................................... 4<br />
CHAPTER II: LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................................. 5<br />
2.1. AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM IN ETHIOPIA ................................................................................ 5<br />
2.2. ETHIOPIAN AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM AND ITS ENDEMIC SPECIES ......................................... 7<br />
2.2.1. Afro-alpine fauna .......................................................................................................... 7<br />
2.2.1.1. The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf ................................................................................................... 10<br />
2.2.2. Afro-alpine flora ......................................................................................................... 12<br />
2.3. NORTH WOLLO HIGHLANDS AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM ...................................................... 15<br />
2.4. COMMUNITY PERCEPTION AND ATTITUDE TOWARDS AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM ................. 17<br />
vii
2.5. IMPACT OF THE COMMUNITY ON THE AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM AND ITS WILDLIFE ............ 18<br />
2.6. SOCIO-ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OF AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM .......................................... 20<br />
2.7. SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITY BASED AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM MANAGEMENT .................... 23<br />
CHAPTER III: MATERIALS AND METHODS .................................................................... 25<br />
3.1. STUDY AREA ....................................................................................................................... 25<br />
3.1.1. LOCATION ........................................................................................................................ 25<br />
3.1.2. Topography ................................................................................................................. 27<br />
3.1.3. Climate ........................................................................................................................ 27<br />
3.1.4. Soil .............................................................................................................................. 27<br />
3.1.5. Vegetations and wild animals ..................................................................................... 28<br />
3.1.6. Water resources .......................................................................................................... 28<br />
3.2. METHODS ............................................................................................................................ 29<br />
3.2.1. Interview ..................................................................................................................... 29<br />
3.2.2. Population demography .............................................................................................. 30<br />
3.2.3. Ecological survey ........................................................................................................ 30<br />
3.3. DATA ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................. 31<br />
CHAPTER IV: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ...................................................................... 32<br />
4.1. SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTIC AND ECONOMIC POTENTIAL OF MT. ABUNE YOSEPH .. 32<br />
4.1.1. Household characteristics .......................................................................................... 32<br />
4.1.2. Socio-economic potential of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem ..................... 33<br />
4.2. COMMUNITY PERCEPTION TOWARDS MT. ABUNE YOSEPH AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM........ 38<br />
4.3. COMMUNITY PERCEPTION TOWARDS ETHIOPIAN WOLF ....................................................... 42<br />
viii
4.4. HUMAN-LIVESTOCK INTERFERENCE TO AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM AND THE RESULTING<br />
CONFLICT ................................................................................................................................... 46<br />
4.4.1. Human-livestock interference pressure and its impact ............................................... 46<br />
4.4.2. Human conflict with <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph ......................................... 53<br />
4.5. ECOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT OF MT. ABUNE YOSEPH AFRO-ALPINE ECOSYSTEM .................. 55<br />
4.5.1. Households response on <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf presence/ absence....................................... 55<br />
4.5.2. Determination of wolf distribution by rodent burrow................................................. 58<br />
4.5.3. Determination of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf abundance by sighting at Mt. Abune Yoseph ......... 62<br />
CHAPTER V: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................ 66<br />
5.1. CONCLUSION ....................................................................................................................... 66<br />
5.2. RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................................................... 67<br />
REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................ 70<br />
APPENDIX .................................................................................................................................. 75<br />
ix
List of Tables<br />
Table 1: Composition and diversity of diet from wolves scat analysis at Mt. Abune Yoseph ..... 19<br />
Table 2: Sample HHs characteristics of Mt. Abune Yoseph ....................................................... 32<br />
Table 3: Villages and sample HHs got economic benefit from Mt. Abune Yoseph ................... 33<br />
Table 4: HHs economic resource benefit from Mt. Abune Yoseph with respect to distance ....... 34<br />
Table 5: Type of economic benefits obtained from Mt. Abune Yoseph (n =120) ....................... 35<br />
Table 6: Price of major economic goods and services from Mt. Abune Yoseph in 1year (n =120)<br />
....................................................................................................................................................... 36<br />
Table 7: HHs average estimated birr obtained from Mt. Abune Yoseph in one year ................... 37<br />
Table 8: Distribution of Nominal variables employed in logistic regression ............................... 39<br />
Table 9: Descriptives of continuous variables employed in logistic regression (n=120)............. 39<br />
Table 10: Factors determining the perception of respondents towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afroalpine<br />
ecosystem and its management .......................................................................................... 40<br />
Table 11: Factors determining the perception of respondents towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves ........... 44<br />
Table 12: HHs reason why they perceive wolves good or bad species at Mt. Abune Yoseph ..... 45<br />
Table 13: Human population in woredas that have Afro-alpine ecosystem in North Wollo ........ 46<br />
Table 14: Livestock grazing period at Mt. Abune Yoseph (n =120) ............................................ 47<br />
Table 15: Livestock population growth trend in woredas that have Afro-alpine ecosystem........ 48<br />
Table 16: Reasons for change in wolf number trend at Mt. Abune Yoseph (n=120)................... 49<br />
Table 17: HHs response on whether or not faced wild animal problem ....................................... 51<br />
Table 18: Distribution of sample HHs that faced different problem by wildlife ......................... 52<br />
Table 19: Mean ±SE number of sheep preyed in the last 10 years at Mt. Abune Yoseph (n=120)<br />
....................................................................................................................................................... 53<br />
x
Table 20: HHs response on wolf observation, observation time and trend at Mt. Abune Yoseph 56<br />
Table 21: HHs wolf observation frequency, wolf seen at once and wolf estimation at Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph (n =120) ........................................................................................................................... 56<br />
Table 22: Analysis of rodent burrows by slope and mean comparison using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
....................................................................................................................................................... 59<br />
Table 23: Bivariate fit analysis of rodent burrow by altitude ...................................................... 60<br />
Table 24: Analysis of rodent burrow by vegetation height and mean comparison using Tukey-<br />
Kramer HSD ................................................................................................................................. 61<br />
Table 25: Analysis of rodent burrow by vegetation cover and means of rodent burrow at each<br />
level of vegetation cover ............................................................................................................... 62<br />
Table 26: Bivariate analysis of wolf sighting by altitude ............................................................. 63<br />
Table 27: Analysis of wolf sighting by slope and mean comparisons using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
....................................................................................................................................................... 64<br />
Table 28: Analysis of wolf sighting by vegetation height and mean comparisons using Tukey-<br />
Kramer HSD ................................................................................................................................. 65<br />
xi
List of Figures<br />
Figure 1: From top to bottom: Subordinate female feeding pups and Adult male <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf<br />
....................................................................................................................................................... 11<br />
Figure 2: <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf sighting on flat slope, short and open grassland ................................... 14<br />
Figure 3: The endemic giant lobelia from Mt.AbuneYoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem .................. 15<br />
Figure 4: Location of the study Area ............................................................................................ 26<br />
Figure 5:.Land ownership status and economic benefit from Mt. Abune Yoseph ....................... 36<br />
Figure 6: People selling firewood in the market ........................................................................... 37<br />
Figure 7: Farming inside Afro-alpine ecosystem by clearing lobelia ........................................... 51<br />
Figure 8: HHs response on sheep predators at Mt. Abune Yoseph for the last 10 years ............. 54<br />
Figure 9: One way Analysis of Rodent burrows by Slope .......................................................... 59<br />
Figure 10: One way analysis of rodent burrow by vegetation height ........................................... 60<br />
Figure 11: Short Afro-alpine vegetation (E. pinifolius) with rodent burrow from Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph .......................................................................................................................................... 61<br />
Figure 12: One way analysis of wolf sighting by slope ................................................................ 63<br />
Figure 13: One way analysis of wolf sighting by vegetation height ............................................ 64<br />
xii
xiii
Chapter I: Introduction<br />
1.1. Background<br />
The highlands of Ethiopia are a massif of volcanic origin formed between 70 and 5 million years<br />
ago. The Great Rift Valley divides the massif into a larger northern area and a smaller<br />
southeastern area (Malcom and Ashenafi, 1997). One of the characteristics that distinguish<br />
Ethiopia from all other African countries is the extent of its highland, with 50% of all the lands<br />
above 2,000 m and 80% of all the lands above 3,000 m in Africa (Yalden and Largen, 1992).<br />
These mountains enabled the evolution of an abundance of endemic animal and plant species<br />
confined to the Afro-alpine ecosystem (Yalden, 1983).<br />
In Ethiopia Afro-alpine grasslands and ericaceous heathlands extend above 3,400 m a.s.l,<br />
covering about 5000 km 2 . The entire area of Afro-alpine ecosystem in sub Saharan Africa is<br />
11,887 km 2 , of this 73% is found in Ethiopia. Sixty percent of this habitat occurs in three<br />
mountain ranges (Bale, Arsi and Simen) with the remainder scattered in smaller isolated areas<br />
(Marino, 2003). The Afro-alpine ecosystem and surrounding highland support an exceptionally<br />
high diversity of rare and endemic species, recognized as one of the 34 biodiversity hotspots in<br />
the world. Among the endemic mammals the endangered <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf (Canis simensis),<br />
Gelada baboon (Theropithecus gelada) and Walia Ibex (Capra walia) are the major.<br />
The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf is listed as Critically Endangered by the IUCN (2008) Red List. This<br />
specialized carnivore lives only in Afro-alpine habitats, generally above 3,200 m a.s.l., and feed<br />
mainly on rodents, many of which endemic to the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> highlands.<br />
In the Northern highlands of the Amhara region, <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf populations are smaller and<br />
more fragmented than those South east of the Rift Valley (Marino, 2003). These habitats are also<br />
1
subjected to greater land use pressures. Mt. Abune Yoseph range is one of the main habitats for<br />
wolf populations in Northern Ethiopia, also home to Gelada baboons and many bird species, the<br />
giant Lobelia (Lobelia rhyncopetalum) and short Afro-alpine vegetation. Unless measures are<br />
taken, these species are all vulnerable to extinction.<br />
1.2. Statement of the Problem<br />
According to the U.S. Census Bureau 2006 report, the world‟s population is expected to reach 7<br />
billion in 2012. Providing a long-term food supply for the growing global population without<br />
damaging ecosystems is one of the greatest challenges facing mankind. This is also an acute<br />
problem in the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> highlands where 80% of the country‟s 70 million people live in the<br />
highlands, with significant pressure for agricultural development. Ethiopia also has the largest<br />
national herd of domestic livestock in Africa, increasingly using Afro-alpine areas to graze<br />
leading to overgrazing and erosion. This heightened competition between livestock and wildlife<br />
cause fragmentation and loss of habitat with its endemic species (Hurni, 1986).<br />
The Abune Yoseph massif of North Wollo suffers from diverse levels of human intervention<br />
mainly from agricultural activities and livestock grazing which dramatically modified the natural<br />
landscape. Natural Afro-alpine habitat has contracted over the last decades and currently remains<br />
only above 3,700 m a.s.l. The future survival of wolves in Northern Ethiopia especially in Mt.<br />
Abune Yoseph is in question (Ash, 2000; Marino, 2003). In view of the persistent human impact<br />
on the massif immediate action is required. To design conservation actions research is needed to<br />
investigate the current socio-economic and ecological potential of Mt. Abune Yoseph including<br />
its flagship species, the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf.<br />
2
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves depend on Afro-alpine habitats with enough rodents to survive. According to<br />
Delany (1972), the main factors accounting for the distribution and abundance of rodents are the<br />
nature of vegetation through the food and cover it provides and the extent to which these habitat<br />
components are modified by large mammals and human activity. Previous studies of Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph‟s rodents (Tekilu, 2008) and field survey carried out by EWCP from 1997 to 2000,<br />
identified rodent species and attempted to measure biomass but no research looked in detail at<br />
the vegetation and environmental factors that determine the distribution and abundance of<br />
rodents and <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in this area.<br />
A number of studies Kellert (1985), indicated that people who perceived economic benefits and<br />
enjoy unrestricted access to natural resources usually support ecosystem conservation efforts, but<br />
these did not consider how local communities perceives the Afro-alpine ecosystem and its<br />
endemic wildlife at Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
Therefore, this research was conducted to fill the above mentioned gaps of the area by testing the<br />
following leading hypo<strong>thesis</strong>.<br />
1.3. Hypo<strong>thesis</strong><br />
<br />
Community perception towards common natural resources (Afro-alpine ecosystem and<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf) determines their sustainable utilization.<br />
<br />
Ecologic and anthropogenic factors determine the distribution and abundance of<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf.<br />
3
1.4. Objectives<br />
1.4.1. General Objective<br />
The general objective of the study was to investigate the socio-economic potential and natural<br />
resources assessment of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem for the improvement of local<br />
community livelihoods through sustainable management.<br />
1.4.2. Specific objectives<br />
<br />
To evaluate the socio-economic potential of the Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystem for the improvement of surrounding community livelihoods.<br />
<br />
To assess perception of the local community towards the Afro-alpine ecosystem and<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
<br />
To evaluate the human-livestock interference and the resulting conflict with wolf in Afroalpine<br />
ecosystem at Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
<br />
To determine wolf presence/absence and relative abundance in the ecosystem in relation<br />
to vegetation parameters (height, cover) and environmental factors (slope, altitude and<br />
rodent burrow) at Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
4
Chapter II: Literature Review<br />
2.1. Afro-alpine ecosystem in Ethiopia<br />
Ethiopia‟s unique geology sets it apart from other African countries. In the high mountains of<br />
East Africa the climate determines three broad altitudinal belts: an Afro-alpine zone, subafroalpine<br />
and montane forests or grassland belt (Kingdon, 1990).<br />
The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> massif is characterized by marked altitudinal variations that produce a range of<br />
climates affecting plant and animal distribution and the concentration of people (Yalden and<br />
Largen, 1992). Most people live in the fertile highlands of the Woina Dega (warm temperate)<br />
and Dega (temperate) zones. The Wurch zone (alpine, >3,000m) is colder and less favorable for<br />
agriculture and broadly corresponds with the distribution of habitats suitable for the <strong>Ethiopian</strong><br />
wolf. Within the Wurch, ericaceous heathlands dominated by Phillipia and Erica spp. (Miehe<br />
and Miehe, 1993) are replaced at higher elevations by the Afro-alpine grasslands, scrubs and<br />
meadows above about 3,200m.<br />
The Afro-alpine areas experiences regular night frosts, diurnal temperature fluctuations that far<br />
exceed seasonal ones, and intense irradiation. Marked altitudinal variations characterize the<br />
climate, fauna and flora of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> highlands (Yalden and Largen, 1992) temperature<br />
decreases with altitude and rainfall begins to decrease above 3,850 m (Hillman, 1986; Sillero-<br />
Zubiri, 1994) determining an altitudinal component in the diversity of Afro-alpine plants and<br />
rodents.<br />
The most recent glaciers retreated within the last 10,000 years and as the climate warmed the<br />
Afro-alpine ecosystem became restricted to the highest mountains. The end of the Pleistocene<br />
5
ought a change in the climate, and the extensive <strong>Ethiopian</strong> Afro-alpine steppes shrunk to their<br />
present state, reducing the habitat available to <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves by an order of magnitude<br />
(Gottelli and Sillero-Zubiri, 1992). Global warming during the last 10,000 years progressively<br />
confined the Afro-alpine ecosystem to the highest mountains, and 60% of all <strong>Ethiopian</strong> land<br />
above 3,000m has been converted to farmland.<br />
The central Sanetti Plateau located within the Bale Mountains National Park (BMNP) in<br />
Southwestern Ethiopia is one of the most distinctive of all <strong>Ethiopian</strong> habitats and represents the<br />
type of characteristic Afro-alpine vegetation that would have spread over a wide area of highland<br />
during the peak of the glacial. Apart from Bale and Arsi in Southern highlands, Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystems are located in the Simien Mountain National Park (SMNP) the largest Afro-alpine<br />
range North of the Rift Valley and the third most important in wolf population in Ethiopia. The<br />
other Afro-alpine units are North Wollo (1150 km 2 above 3200 m), South Wollo (1220km 2 ),<br />
Mt.Guna (960 km 2 ), Mt.Choke (500km 2 ) Guassa-Menz (124km 2 ) and Gosh Meda (90km 2 )<br />
(Marino, 2003). The major three primary mountain ranges: Bale, Arsi and Simen receive some<br />
recognition as protected areas under the EWCO. In Northern highlands 680 km 2 of Afro-alpine<br />
and sub-afroalpine habitat in the Simen Mountains (ANRS) only 180 km 2 fall within the SMNP<br />
and the remainder the buffer zone around the park. One area of Afro-alpine habitat in Menz<br />
(ANRS) is managed by a committee of the community (Ashenafi et al., 2005), and all other<br />
including the Mt. Abune Yoseph have no formal protection.<br />
6
2.2. <strong>Ethiopian</strong> Afro-alpine ecosystem and its endemic species<br />
In Ethiopia the altitudinal variation produces varied macro and micro climatic conditions that<br />
affect nature and humans and contribute to the formation of diverse ecosystems. The flora of<br />
Ethiopia is estimated to comprise between 6,500 and 7,000 species, of which about 10% are<br />
considered to be endemic. The fauna is also highly diverse: 277 species of mammals, 861 species<br />
of birds, 201 species of reptiles, 63 species of amphibians, 150 species of fish and 324 species of<br />
butterflies are known from Ethiopia. Among these 31 mammals, 16 birds, 24 amphibians, 9<br />
reptiles and 40 fish are believed to be endemic (Hillman, 1993).<br />
Comparing provinces in Ethiopia Wollo has the lowest Afro-alpine endemic richness, despite<br />
having more than 4000 km 2 of land above 3000 m and three peaks over 4000 m, representing<br />
18% of the total for Ethiopia and Eritrea (Yalden, 1983). According to Saavedra (2009) the<br />
explanation for apparent lower diversity may reside in that the areas has been overlooked by<br />
botanists, including the mountains of Abune Yoseph, Abohoy Gara, Gubalafto, Delanta and<br />
Amba Ferit.<br />
2.2.1. Afro-alpine fauna<br />
The demands posed by an extreme climate and terrain influenced speciation, particularly for the<br />
smaller organisms such as rodents. Rodents are inherently well suited as the dominant herbivores<br />
of the Afro-alpine ecosystem (Marino et al., 1999). In cold conditions at high altitude, small<br />
homoeothermic species benefit from being larger, and indeed the community of Afro-alpine<br />
rodents is characterized by a high proportion of large species (Sillero-Zubiri et al., 1995).<br />
7
The present community of high altitude rodents include four endemic rodents that are confined to<br />
areas of 3,000 m a.s.l (Tachyoryctes macrocephalus, Stenocephalemys albocaudata, Lophuromys<br />
melanonyx and Megadendromus nikolausi); and six other non endemic extend into areas of 3000<br />
m a.s.l (Dendromus lovati, Arvicanthis blicki, Stenocephalemys griseicauda, Praomy salbipes,<br />
Praomys ruppi and Mus mahomet). There are at least a further 16 species of non endemic<br />
rodents, although four of endemic rodents (Tachyoryctes splendens, Otomys typus, Lophuromys<br />
flavopunctatus and Arvicanthis abyssinicus) are found together higher than 3000 m (Hillman<br />
1986; Yalden 1983; Yalden and Largen 1992; Sillero-Zubiri et al., 1995).<br />
L. melanonyx, S. albocaudata and A. blicki are characteristic of the Afro-alpine belt (Sillero-<br />
Zubiri et al. 1995). Yalden (1988) suggested that O. typus might be an Afro-alpine moorland<br />
specialist. L. flavopunctatus and S. griseicauda were characteristic of the montane grasslands. O.<br />
typus, decreased in abundance in trap returns as altitude increased through the ericaceous and<br />
Afro-alpine belts (Sillero-Zubiri et al., 1995).<br />
Within Afro-alpine areas, fine-scale associations were identified between rodents and vegetation<br />
types, largely determined by drainage and soil characteristics in relation to local topography.<br />
Stratified counts and rodent trapping demonstrated some clear habitat association between<br />
species and microhabitat conditions (Sillero-Zubiri et al., 1995). This habitat selection behavior<br />
helped to identify predictors of rodent abundance and distribution, and to interpret species‟<br />
adaptations to survive the harsh Afro-alpine environment.<br />
The giant molerat (T. macrocephalus) is currently confined to the Bale Mountains only (Yalden<br />
and Largen 1992) where it shows clear cut habitat selection between vegetation types, and<br />
between sub-habitats. Giant mole rats feed mainly on grasses with some dicotyledons, but<br />
8
apparently do not favor Helichrysum (Yalden 1983). Lack of suitable food may therefore limit<br />
their abundance in the ericaceous belt, where major plant types are woody Philippia and Erica<br />
species. Indices of giant mole rat biomass for Helichrysum dwarf-scrub and ericaceous belt were<br />
only 1/5 and 1/150, respectively of those in Afro-alpine grasslands (Marino, 2003).<br />
The role of the Afro-alpine rodent community in limiting the distribution of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves<br />
was studied in Bale by looking at the relationship between wolf abundance and the species<br />
composition, relative abundance and activity pattern of the rodent community in various Afroalpine<br />
habitats (Sillero-Zubiri et al., 1995). In Bale mole rats were a vital determinant of wolf<br />
presence but in other Afro-alpine ecosystems small rodents also determine the presence and<br />
distribution of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves (Ashenafi et al., 2005).<br />
The burrowing habits of giant mole rats have a modifying effect on the landscape and the<br />
composition of vegetation communities (Miehe and Miehe, 1994). Mima mounds are the soil<br />
accumulated from burrowing. A correlation between the presence of mima mounds and the<br />
abundance of mole rat signs supports the hypo<strong>thesis</strong> that mole rat abundance could determine<br />
wolf population densities (Marino, 2003).<br />
Birds of prey rely heavily on rodents (in Bale), but their main predator is another species unique<br />
to Ethiopia, the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf (C. simensis) endemic to the Afro-alpine ecosystem of the<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> highlands, its diurnal habits and distinctive coat render this species conspicuous.<br />
Moreover, the rodents‟ distribution and diurnal activity coincide with <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves‟ diurnal<br />
and solitary foraging habits, and their confinement to Afro-alpine habitats over 3,000 m (Marino<br />
et al., 1999).<br />
9
In addition, Afro-alpine ecosystem of Ethiopia is home for several unique populations of<br />
threatened endemic large mammals such as <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf, the walia ibex and the gelada<br />
baboon.<br />
2.2.1.1. The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf<br />
The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf is an Afro-alpine specialist endemic to the highlands of Ethiopia (Marino,<br />
2003). It survives where there is an Afro-alpine vegetation community and an associated rodent<br />
community. Unlike many carnivores, pack members of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves forage and feed alone<br />
on small diurnal rodent prey, which they commonly and actively dig out from their burrows<br />
during the day time. In the Bale Mountains, the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf feeds primarily on the giant mole<br />
rat and other species of Murinae rodents (Sillero-Zubiri et al. 1995). Other food items include<br />
rock hyrax (Procavia capensis), young antelopes and lambs (Sillero-Zuberi and Gottelli, 1995;<br />
Ashenafi, 2001).<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf density, measured both from observation and road counts, correlated positively<br />
with the total biomass index and the biomass index for diurnal species, but not for nocturnal<br />
species. Also a positive correlation was detected between rodent burrows and wolf sign<br />
(droppings or diggings) along habitat assessment transects (Sillero-Zubiri et al., 1995).<br />
The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf is a medium-sized Canid with a reddish coat, distinctive white markings,<br />
long legs and elongated muzzle. Males are significantly larger than females in terms of body<br />
mass. The face, ears and upper parts of the muzzle are red. Ears broad, pointed, and directed<br />
forward. Characteristic facial markings include a white ascending crescent below the eyes, and a<br />
small white spot on the cheeks. The throat, neck, chest and under (ventral) parts is white.<br />
Boundary between the red coat and the white markings is sharp and well defined. The contrast of<br />
10
white markings against the red coat increases with age and social rank in both sexes; the female's<br />
coat is generally paler than the male's. The long, slender legs are reddish outside, with inner<br />
aspect white. Front feet has five toes, hind feet with four. The area around the anus is white. Both<br />
sexes have short tail, becoming a black stripe leading to a thick brush of black-tipped guard hairs<br />
(Sillero-Zubiri et al., 2004).<br />
Figure 1: From top to bottom: Subordinate female feeding pups and Adult male <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf<br />
11
The continued decline of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf's has prompted IUCN Canid Specialist Group<br />
(CSG) to list as critically endangered, in acknowledgment of its extremely high risk of extinction<br />
in the wild.<br />
2.2.2. Afro-alpine flora<br />
The <strong>Ethiopian</strong> Afro-alpine vegetation is dominated by grass and low growing shrubs from which<br />
the peculiar giant lobelias (Lobelia rhyncopetalum) emerge. Hedberg (1964) working on<br />
mountains in East Africa identified five major Afro-alpine vegetation communities,<br />
Dendrosenecio wood lands, Helichrysum scrub, Alchemilla scrub, Tussock grass land, Bogs and<br />
related communities. The last four, but not the first are found on <strong>Ethiopian</strong> mountains. Variation<br />
in moisture and topography determines which species predominates.<br />
Helichrysum scrub (usually the small gray shrub Helichrysum splendidum) covers large areas of<br />
drier (
melanantha, Dianthoseris schimperi, Erigeron alpinum, Haplocarpha rueppellii, Haplosciadium<br />
abyssinicum, Ranunculus oreophytus, and Swertia spp.), others sometimes form colonies of<br />
cushion shape (e.g. Myosotis keniensis, Sagina abyssinica, Sagina afroalpina, and Wahlenbergia<br />
pusilla) or have creeping habits (e.g. Alchemilla microbetula; Cerastium octandrum; Galium<br />
hochstetteri; Geranium arabicum; Polygonum spp.; Satureja kilimandschari; Veronica spp.).<br />
The group of tufted hemichryptophytes includes diverse tussock grasses (e.g. Agrostis<br />
quinqueneseta; Festuca richardii, Helichrysum cymosum herbaceous form; Koeleria capensis;<br />
Pentaschistis pictigluma; Poa leptoclada; Pentaschistis schimperiania; Senecio schultzii).<br />
The different vegetation communities support different rodent densities and as a result different<br />
number of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves (Sillero-Zubri et al., 1995). In Afro-alpine ecosystem the density of<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf related with rodent density and Afro-alpine vegetation height. <strong>Wolf</strong> density is<br />
positively correlated with density of rodent prey and short height Afro-alpine vegetation. Highest<br />
wolf density is found in short Afro-alpine herbaceous communities (1.0-1.2 adults/km 2 ) but<br />
lower densities are found in Helichrysum dwarf scrub (0.2/km 2 ), in Ericaceous heathlands and<br />
barren peaks (0.1/km 2 ). Wolves also present at low density (0.1-0.2/km 2 ) in montane grass lands<br />
at lower altitudes. Generally wolves utilize all Afro-alpine but prefer open areas with short<br />
herbaceous and grass land communities where rodents are most abundant, along flat or gently<br />
sloping areas with deep soils and poor drainage in parts.<br />
13
Figure 2: <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf sighting on flat slope, short and open grassland<br />
The tops of African mountains have environmental conditions that differ dramatically from the<br />
low lands below. Plants and to a lesser degree animals have evolved some peculiar adaptations in<br />
response to the Afro-alpine climate. Plant gigantism is the most striking example. Giant lobelias,<br />
tree heather (Erica arborea) and giant Saint John's wort (Hyphericum revolutum) are important<br />
elements of the high montane flora of Ethiopia. The everlasting flowers (Helichrysum species)<br />
are conspicuous over large areas of the montanae habitat. Their highly reflective silvery leaves<br />
and dry papery flowers allow them to survive in the desiccating winds up to 4,300 m. The most<br />
conspicuous Afro-alpine vegetation is the giant lobelia whose sentinel forms dot the Afro-alpine<br />
landscape.<br />
14
Figure 3: The endemic giant lobelia from Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
2.3. North Wollo highlands Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
The Afro-alpine highlands of North Wollo are the second largest in Northern Ethiopia including<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph (in Lasta woreda), Mt.Abohoy Gara (in Gidan woreda) Mekulet near Kulf<br />
Amba between Gubalafto and Delanta woreda. It covers a total area of 189.18 km 2 (ESP, 2001).<br />
Growing barley and grazing are the major land use practices in the lower altitude but in the upper<br />
zone agriculture is limited by frost and it provides habitat for wildlife such as <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf.<br />
Nowadays due to climate change and population growth these land uses are disturbed in all Afroalpine<br />
ecosystems of the zone.<br />
15
The Afro-alpine habitats in North Wollo are discontinuous. The Abune Yoseph massif is the<br />
largest and highest Afro-alpine area, loosely connected by narrow ridges with the small Abohoy<br />
Gara to the east and the Delanta in the south (Marino, 2003; Ash, 2000). Steep escarpments to<br />
the North of Mt. Abune Yoseph and east of Delanta limit wolf ranges. Elsewhere, overgrazed<br />
meadows and cultivated fields restricted suitable habitat to areas above 3,700-3,800m, or 3,450-<br />
3,500m in Delanta. Sightings and signs of wolves were recorded in all areas, but they were most<br />
abundant in Delanta, where the largest group with 6 individuals, was observed (Marino, 2003).<br />
Research conducted on rodents at Mt. Abune Yoseph (Tekilu, 2008) identified seven species of<br />
which six were endemic to Ethiopia and one insectivore shrew (Crocidura bayileyi) during<br />
survey in wet and dry seasons. The species were A. abyssinicus, S. griseicauda, L.<br />
flavopunctatus, O. typus, Pelomys harringtoni, D. lovati and Mericulus imberbis. These varied in<br />
abundance and density among the different parts of the habitats. Habitats modified by human<br />
activity supported less species diversity and population abundance than those undisturbed or with<br />
better natural vegetation cover. Without adequate management of the habitats supporting small<br />
mammals‟ effective conservation of the endangered <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf will be difficult. At the same<br />
time, conservation of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in the area can not be successful without the keen<br />
involvement of local communities, whose lives are strictly intertwined with the wildlife and their<br />
habitats.<br />
The Afro-alpine vegetation in Mt. Abune Yoseph is characterized mainly by large extensions<br />
Cherenfe (Euryops pinifolius) Senecio shrubs with scattered patches of grasslands and rocky<br />
areas. On the northern slopes, grasslands of the genus Poa, Agrostis, Carex and Festuca<br />
dominate most lands affected by overgrazing. Only areas with very steep slopes and a high<br />
degree of humidity sustain tall grasslands. The moderately steep and large plateau of the Reem<br />
16
Gedel has abundant giant lobelias (800 to 2500) plants per hectare (Saavedra, 2009). The human<br />
impact is lower at the highest altitudes, where as large areas of the middle and lower altitudinal<br />
belts are highly modified.<br />
Studies of vegetation parameters and environmental factors in association with <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf<br />
prey in Mt. Abune Yoseph has multiple purposes, complements previous studies on rodents, help<br />
to sustain food chain among vegetation, rodents and wolf along with attempting to lay<br />
foundation to facilitate the conservation of endemic flora and fauna of this isolated mountain<br />
range considering the various stakeholders involved.<br />
2.4. Community perception and attitude towards Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
In Africa, the attitudes and perceptions of local communities towards wildlife and areas of<br />
important wildlife habitat has been positive historically (Lewis et al., 1990; Newmank et al.,<br />
1993; Siachoono, 1995). A positive attitude among local communities is essential for successful<br />
wildlife conservation programmes, since wildlife provides physical, emotional, intellectual,<br />
economic and spiritual benefit to human development and well being (Kellert, 1985). An<br />
approach that focuses more on protecting resources by disregarding the needs and interests of the<br />
local resource users is bound to fail (Lewis et al., 1990). The most appealing alternative<br />
approach is to establish agreements, co-operation, partnerships and the equitable distribution of<br />
benefits between communities living in areas with valuable natural resources, or areas adjacent<br />
to the protected areas, and the conservation authority (IIED, 1994). In addition negative attitudes<br />
in recent years have been compounded with potential threats posed by wildlife to economically<br />
important livestock, huntable wildlife and to other forms of land use (Kellert et al., 1996; Bauer,<br />
2003).<br />
17
In Afro-alpine ecosystems the life of the local communities depends on ecosystem services such<br />
as grazing and land for barley cultivation which they perceive positively. In North central<br />
highlands of Ethiopia Guassa-Menz natural resources have been managed for the last hundred<br />
years by traditional practices and these communities have positive perception, an example in<br />
Ethiopia in this regard (Ashenafi, 2001). Negative attitudes towards wolves in Afro-alpine areas<br />
in recent years have been connected with depredation of economically important livestock (sheep<br />
and goat) by wolf (Marino, 2003). For the conservation of natural resources to be effective,<br />
attitudes of local communities towards management of the resource to be protected need to be<br />
studied including what communities perceive as needs and aspirations account (Fiallo and<br />
Jacobson, 1995).<br />
2.5. Impact of the community on the Afro-alpine ecosystem and its wildlife<br />
Africa‟s wildlife is under pressure from habitat loss due to forest clearing, agriculture and<br />
livestock herding; hunting for food and profit; pollution from agricultural and industrial sources;<br />
and disturbance by tourists. As spaces for wildlife shrink and corridors linking areas of habitat<br />
are cut, the survival of healthy species population, especially of larger and highly specialized<br />
animals becomes more threatened. Addressing these problems is a very complex issue, especially<br />
because indigenous peoples have diverse needs for, and claims to, these resources. Thus, the<br />
need for protected spaces for wildlife often seems at odds with human needs (Newmark, 1993).<br />
In North Ethiopia, heavy human pressure impacts on natural resources and biodiversity of the<br />
SMNP including agriculture, livestock grazing, collection of wood for fuel and timber, poaching<br />
and construction of road inside the National Park. Soil erosion, strongly affect the vegetation‟s<br />
potential for regeneration and wildlife habitats for Walia ibex and <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf (Keiner, 1999).<br />
18
Contacts and conflicts between wolves and humans are bound to increase with increasing human<br />
density and habitat fragmentation. Moreover, the highlands of Ethiopia are among Africa‟s most<br />
highly dense agricultural areas and the resulting human, agricultural, and wolf conflict has been<br />
devastating to the wolf population.<br />
In the heavily populated Northern highlands for example, livestock graze on high altitude<br />
pastures all year round. Circumstantial evidence also suggests that overgrazing in the densely<br />
populated highlands of the North may have negatively impacted upon the highland rodent fauna<br />
(Nievergelt et al., 1998) and that wolves may predate more frequently on livestock (lambs) or<br />
become nocturnal when human interference is severe (Yalden and Largen 1992). To prove this<br />
11 scat samples (fecal samples) collected from Mt. Abune Yoseph and analyzed by EWCP<br />
between February 1998 and February 1999 clearly revealed composition and diversity of the<br />
wolves diet in the area. Analysis of prey remains in 11 wolf scats (fecal samples), representing<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph wolf populations (Table 1), confirmed that wolves are specialized hunters of<br />
diurnal rodents and rarely smaller livestock (lambs) across their distribution (Marino, 2003).<br />
Table 1: Composition and diversity of diet from wolves scat analysis at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
Prey items<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
Otomys typus 36%<br />
Arvicanthis spp 23%<br />
Lophuromys spp 14%<br />
Stenocephalemys albocaudata 14%<br />
Praomys albipes 9%<br />
Livestock 5%<br />
(Source: Marino, 2003)<br />
19
In Northern highlands the livestock predation by wolves has resulted in negative attitudes<br />
amongst the local people, and sporadic killings, at least in South Wollo (Sillero-Zubiri et al.,<br />
1996; Ashenafi, 2001).<br />
In recent time, degradation of Afro-alpine ecosystem by grazing and high-altitude subsistence<br />
agriculture make wolf populations susceptible to extinction hazard due to human persecution,<br />
inbreeding, disease and natural catastrophes (Gottelli and Sillero-Zubiri, 1992; Sillero-Zubiri and<br />
Macdonald, 1997). Therefore, habitat protection to prevent or reduce further habitat loss would<br />
have to be given great attention to reduce the risk of extinction in particular of those populations<br />
in small areas.<br />
2.6. Socio-economic significance of Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
The poor and hungry, to a greater extent than others, are directly dependent on functioning<br />
ecosystems and those services that the local ecosystems supply for their survival. Humans<br />
depend on biological resources for their existence. Communities engaged in subsistence<br />
agriculture as a way of life attempt to optimize their production systems by using resources taken<br />
from natural ecosystems (Kothari, 1997). Therefore, biodiversity is critically important to<br />
people‟s livelihoods because it provides diverse subsistence requirements for rural community<br />
including: fodder; fuel; housing; farming and household implements; and spiritual sustenance<br />
(Haverkort and Miller, 1994).<br />
Afro-alpine mountains due to their harsh climatic condition they are not serving as a settlement<br />
area or not occupied as individual property by rural dwellers rather they are managed as<br />
communal resource of adjacent subsistent farmers. In developing countries in general and in<br />
Ethiopia in particular rural communities depend primarily on common property resources for<br />
20
irrigation water, construction material, fuel wood, and grazing land (Berhanu and Scott, 2001;<br />
Hurni, 1986). Similarly, Afro-alpine ecosystems and their resources were exploited under<br />
unrestricted access by their surrounding community for millennia<br />
According to Malcom and Ashenafi (1997), Ethiopia‟s Afro-alpine ecosystem islands are<br />
immensely important with their diverse array of resources present in them for the livelihood of<br />
local communities who used the resources. Resources of Afro-alpine ecosystem that have<br />
significant socio-economic value for the surrounding communities are:<br />
Wild species: the plant and animal species endemic to the ecosystem have immediate economic<br />
value for the society. Grass of the Genus Festuca is used for thatch and basket making and there<br />
are species used for medicine, food and drinking that are harvested by people living around the<br />
ecosystem and sold. So the harvested resources are particularly important for the lower group of<br />
community as a cash crop and a coping mechanism, during severe draught season.<br />
Agricultural resources: even though mostly ended with failed result, the Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
is used for barley cultivation by subsistence farmers below 3300 m a.s.l. depending on soils,<br />
slope and frost. The domestic animals use for grazing the entire alpine habitat. The area is also<br />
used as a refuge for far adjacent livestock herd during severe draught.<br />
Firewood: the ericaceous heathlands are important sources of firewood. There are Afro-alpine<br />
areas where firewood is gathered on commercial scale. Cherenfe (Euryops pinifolius), Asta<br />
(Erica arborea), Gebera (Lobelia rhynchopetalum), Amija (Hyphericum revolutum), Ashendye<br />
(Kniphopia foliosa) and Tinjut (Helychrisum splendidium) are the dominant shrubs being<br />
collected for household firewood consumption from the ecosystem. Firewood collection usually<br />
21
takes place in the dry season and a large volume is required due to its low calorific value. Cattle<br />
dung is burnt concurrently with these woods.<br />
Tourist values: the Afro-alpine habitats and escarpment provide both spectacular scenery and<br />
natural values with unusual animal life offer great opportunities for tourism. The endemic and<br />
rare species of the ecosystems and the diversified culture and heritage of the highlanders have<br />
potential for tourism. Generally the Afro-alpine ecosystems provide many attractions such as the<br />
scenery, wildlife and a wilderness appeal to potential visitors. In Ethiopia the BMNP and the<br />
SMNP are the two Afro-alpine national parks serve as a tourist destination for wildlife and<br />
highland visitors. Recently, nature based eco-tourism guided by local communities are emerged<br />
around Guassa and Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystems as a potential method of<br />
livelihood diversification and income generation for supporting the conservation management of<br />
the areas. Such type of community based tourisms is growing especially around Afro-alpine<br />
areas of Mt. Abune Yoseph by TESFA an <strong>Ethiopian</strong> NGO working with local community for the<br />
improvement of community livelihood through environmental friendly tourism. The Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystems also served as an area of sport hunting for tourists.<br />
Water resources: the high ground in the mountains catches more rain than the surrounding low<br />
lands. This is marked in simen where the low lands less than 35 km east of the peaks receive<br />
only one third of rain fall (Hurni, 1986). Afro-alpine ecosystems of Ethiopia form the watershed<br />
for the low lands of north-east Africa, providing water for millions of people and also used as a<br />
sources of mineral springs.<br />
22
2.7. Sustainable community based Afro-alpine ecosystem management<br />
As the human population grows, demands on natural resources have increased causing<br />
environmental degradation and fragmentation leading to a massive extinction of species (Myers,<br />
1979). To counteract this situation many developing countries design Environmental<br />
conservation policy characterized by a top-down approach that includes the establishment of<br />
state owned biodiversity protected areas. This approach reflects the suspicion of governments<br />
that local communities are incapable of managing their own resources (Ashenafi and N.Leader,<br />
2005). However, conservationists have been searching viable and sustainable alternative solution<br />
in the last 20 years, the approach that involve local communities in the process of resource<br />
management and decision making known as community-based conservation (IIED, 1994).<br />
Decentralization of resource management from the central authority to local communities is<br />
considered a first step forward for successful community-based program. Hence, local people<br />
have become involved more actively in the generation and distribution of benefits. It also<br />
promotes the legal and sustainable use of the wildlife and other natural resources.<br />
Sustainable development is multi-objective process whose goal is to satisfy real human needs ad<br />
infinitum while ensuring the protection of environmental quality, biodiversity and ecosystem<br />
resilience by integrating conservation and management with social and economic objectives at<br />
various social and spatial scales (Okigbo, 1996). For community-based conservation to be<br />
successful, it needs to be flexible enough to cope with a countryside inhabited by a growing<br />
number of extremely poor people who depend on a subsistence existence and whose greatest<br />
goal is to gain economic security (Alcorn, 1997).<br />
23
In Ethiopia the history of resource management reveals, overall, an increasing trend towards<br />
state control, and participatory resource management largely remains something that is talked<br />
about rather than implemented (Alula, 2001). But in contrast to this in Afro-alpine areas, there<br />
are traditional resource management systems practiced by local communities for century that are<br />
essential to the people‟s livelihoods and also to the persistence of biodiversity. For this the<br />
indigenous common property resource management system in the Guassa area of Menz, in the<br />
Central Highlands of Ethiopia, play a great role for the last hundred years in conserving the<br />
threatened Afro-alpine ecosystem biodiversity, including an important population of the<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf (Ashenafi, 2001; Ashenafi et al., 2005). Therefore, common property<br />
management institutions (traditional resource management systems, bylaws, etc.) are crucial for<br />
sustainable resource use and development. Above all, they are a reflection of the existing socioeconomic,<br />
political and cultural situation of the community (Ostrom, 1991). Institutional<br />
arrangements, such as rules and conventions, are clearly important elements in resource<br />
conservation (Murphree, 1993).<br />
In recent time community based protected areas are commonly established to conserve<br />
biodiversity, protected ecosystems, and maintain ecological processes. Many community<br />
protected areas also expected to contribute to sustainable development and poverty reduction<br />
(Nabin et al., 2008).<br />
24
Chapter III: Materials and Methods<br />
3.1. Study area<br />
3.1.1. Location<br />
The study was conducted at Mt. Abune Yoseph above 3700 m a.s.l in Lasta woreda, North Wollo<br />
administrative zone of Amhara National Regional State (ANRS). The administrative center of<br />
North Wollo zone is Woldia. It has mostly rural population of 1.5 million people living in 13<br />
woredas. Lasta Woreda is one district of North Wollo with its administrative center Lalibela.<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph lies between 12 0 8‟ 7” N and 39 0 15‟ 7” E. It is one of the long isolated<br />
mountains in the Northern massif with a total area of 50 km 2 (EWCP, 2003) and the highest peak<br />
of North Wollo 4286 m a.s.l and the second peak of ANRS next to Ras Dashen 4620 m a.s.l<br />
(ESP, 2001). The massif is limited to the East by the fault escarpment of the Rift valley<br />
depression and separated from the Tigrean Plateau to the North and from the Simen Mountains<br />
(4,600 m of height) to the West by a chain of lower mountain systems (1500-2000 m a.s.l). In<br />
this study, the socio economic survey was conducted on user community of eight villages<br />
selected from four peasant Associations (PAs) found at the foothill and the ecologic survey was<br />
conducted on the mountain plateau above 3700 m a.s.l where the short afro-alpine vegetations<br />
and the wolf range is restricted due to agriculture of subsistent farmers.<br />
25
Lasta Woreda<br />
Figure 4: Location of the study Area<br />
26
3.1.2. Topography<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph has rugged topography. It is a large peak surrounded by gorges and very<br />
steep slopes, where rocky blocks and stones are scattered all over. Three other high peaks<br />
surround the area: the Big Zigit (4,080 m), the Small Zigit (4,035 m) and the Reem Gedel (4,284<br />
m) a.s.l, providing impressive views over the Afro-alpine plateau and they are fabulously scenic<br />
although their value for tourism is undeveloped.<br />
3.1.3. Climate<br />
The climate of Mt. Abune Yoseph is characterized by a wet season from June to early<br />
September, and a dry season from mid-September to May. Annual rainfall averages 2,000 mm,<br />
mostly falling between July and September. Short rains might fall in any month of the year, but<br />
particularly in March. Generally the area has bi-modal rainfall known as „Meher‟ (long rainfall<br />
period: from June to September) and „Belg‟ (short rainfall period: from February to May). The<br />
mean annual temperature ranges from 7.5 o C to 11 o C which is characterized by moist and very<br />
cold conditions (ESP, 2001).<br />
3.1.4. Soil<br />
The effect of slope on Mt. Abune Yoseph peak is marked in its influence on the run-off, drainage<br />
and consequently upon the depth of the soil. So mountain areas that have steep slopes are liable<br />
to soil erosion and increased surface run-off, which will remove nutrients from the surface<br />
during high rainfall. Most parts of Mt. Abune Yoseph have rocky and shallow soils. The<br />
depression and flat plains are covered by deep black soils. Degraded landscapes are covered by<br />
shallow and stony soils (litho sols). Generally, in Mt. Abune Yoseph the distribution and type of<br />
27
soil differ from place to place based on the geology, physiographic variations and climate which<br />
are clearly observed on vegetation growth of the area.<br />
3.1.5. Vegetations and wild animals<br />
The Abune Yoseph massif shows a complex mosaic of ecosystems, where bush lands,<br />
woodlands, and Afro-alpine grasslands were represented. Remnant natural forests of Erica<br />
arborea patches are seen around the church compounds and at boundaries between mountain and<br />
farmland. Its Afro-alpine vegetations are characterized by giant lobelia, guassa grass and<br />
Euryops spp. which is locally known as „chifra‟ and „kirshiba‟. Grasslands mostly occur in<br />
association with the Euryops shrub. Its relatively steep slopes are covered by a mosaic of barley<br />
cultures and scattered patches of medium sized Afro-alpine grass meadows, shrubs, bushes and<br />
the endemic giant lobelias.<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph has 43 species of mammals, from 19 families and nine orders (Saavedra,<br />
2009) and 221 bird species, belonging to 48 families and 16 orders (Lepage, 2006). From the 31<br />
endemic species of mammals known for Ethiopia and Eritrea 7 (22%) and from 16 endemic<br />
species of birds found in Ethiopia 6 (35%) have been found in the massif. Following the data of<br />
the Important Bird Areas of Ethiopia work (EWNHS, 1996) the Abune Yoseph massif could be<br />
considered to be the second most important bird area in the country (Saavedra, 2009).<br />
3.1.6. Water resources<br />
The North Wollo highlands including Mt. Abune Yoseph are the watersheds for the tributaries of<br />
three main river basins of Ethiopia, the Tekeze basin, the Awash basin and the Abay basin.<br />
Several streams intersect the area and feed the Tekeze River.<br />
28
3.2. Methods<br />
3.2.1. Interview<br />
Before formal household interview a preliminary survey aided with check list was conducted to<br />
gather background information about the ecosystem, the natural resources within the ecosystem<br />
and to have an understanding of the relationship between the ecosystem, wildlife, humans and<br />
domestic livestock and it also provide opportunity to contact with key informants present in the<br />
study area. Key informants were nominated from the four PAs surrounding Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
They were WEPLAUO experts, development agents, community leaders, elders and Para-<br />
Ecolologists from FZS and ordinary farmers who had lived in the area for long time and had<br />
historic background of the area. Then informal survey together with the key informants was<br />
conducted at the identified PAs. During the survey simple participatory survey techniques (focus<br />
group discussion, transect walk, etc.) that encourage dialogue and initiate informal discussions<br />
between farmers and researcher was selected as a tool. After we made long discussion with the<br />
key informants, based on informal survey results, we select eight villages that were used for<br />
household interview from the four PAs. These eight villages are found at the immediate<br />
proximity of Mt. Abune Yoseph at different distance and they bounded the mountain in all<br />
direction. These villages were Eyebelay and Korit from Wodebye PA, Shegla and Ybaro from<br />
Telfetit PA, Latgie and AbuneYoseph from AbuneYoseph PA, Kassegne and Enjafat from<br />
Enjafat PA.<br />
Finally using the checklist recorded at the preliminary study and the result of informal survey<br />
workable questionnaire for formal interview was developed and pre-tested by selecting two<br />
farmers from each village to check its accuracy and efficiency in eliciting the required data.<br />
29
Based on results of the pre-test, after some questions were revised and modified, it was<br />
administered to a sample of 120 households (6% of the total user households) selected randomly<br />
from the total 2014 households found in the eight villages of the four PAs who frequently visited<br />
the Afro-alpine area, either to herd their livestock, collect grass and firewood, or en route to local<br />
markets.<br />
The aim of the household interview was to generate and verify qualitative and quantitative data<br />
about the socio-economic potential of Mt. Abune Yoseph, and to assess the perception of the<br />
household heads towards the Afro-alpine ecosystem and its wildlife particularly <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf<br />
moreover, to evaluate human- wolf conflict in the study area.<br />
3.2.2. Population demography<br />
To get indicator data about human-livestock pressure or interferences on Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
different years Government statistics (secondary data) on human and livestock population were<br />
collected from Afro-alpine ecosystems surrounding woredas of North Wollo.<br />
3.2.3. Ecological survey<br />
To study the presence/absence and abundance of wolf in the ecosystem, standard EWCP<br />
questionnaires, interviews, and sighting report were employed (Fanshawe et al., 1997; Sillero-<br />
Zubri et al., 2004). Presence /absence and distribution of rodents in relation to vegetation<br />
parameters and environmental factors were recorded along Habitat Assessment Transect (HAT)<br />
laid 1 km apart with the help of Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) gridlines on a map of<br />
1:50,000 scale that include the study area (EMA, Lalibela, 1999) and Global Positioning System<br />
(GPS) (Burnham et al., 1979; Buckland et al., 1993 and Ashenafi et al., 2005). Measurements<br />
30
were taken within a circular sample plot measuring 5 m radius marked at 200 m interval along<br />
eight transects with a total distance of 22km and 110 sample plots 75 plots at above 3700-4000<br />
m and 35 plots above 4000 m a.s.l. At each sample plot data was recorded on slope, altitude,<br />
habitat type, dominant vegetation species, height and cover of plants, rodent holes, livestock<br />
dung and wolf droppings.<br />
3.3. Data Analysis<br />
All socio-economic and ecologic data were analyzed using the statistical packages SPSS (version<br />
13) and SAS-JMP 5 software. Data collected by interview: to determine wolf presence/absence<br />
and relative abundance, data on socio economic potential obtained from Mt. Abune Yoseph and<br />
data on human-wolf conflict were analyzed using descriptive statistics and the significance was<br />
tested by cross tabulation and chi-square test at (P
Chapter IV: Results and Discussion<br />
4.1. Socio-economic characteristic and economic potential of Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph<br />
4.1.1. Household characteristics<br />
The characteristics of households 1<br />
(HHs) in the study area were analyzed with descriptive<br />
statistics (Table 2). Of sample household heads 2 (HHHs) 85.2% were male and 14.8% were<br />
females. From the HHHs 85.2% were married and 14.8% were unmarried. The age of<br />
respondents ranged from 18 to 80 years with a mean age of 47.7 years. The family size of the<br />
respondents ranged from a minimum of 1 to a maximum of 10 with a mean of 5.7. Of the HH<br />
respondents 52.5% were illiterate but 47.5% HHs were literate that can only write and read.<br />
From the sample HHs 86.7% had agricultural land holding with mean size of 0.7 ha and the rest<br />
13.3% were landless. Each sample HHs had a minimum of 0 and a maximum of 78 livestock<br />
with the mean number of 13 and standard deviation of 10. The sample HH respondents live<br />
within the range between 1km and 15 km away from Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
Table 2: Sample HHs characteristics of Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
Sex N Marital status N Educational<br />
status<br />
N Land<br />
holding<br />
N Year of residence in<br />
their current location<br />
Male 103 Married 103 Illiterate 63 Landless 16 Min 6<br />
Female 17 Unmarried 71 Literate 57 Land 104 Max 80<br />
holder Mean 42<br />
SD 15.7<br />
1 Households are extended family living under one roof.<br />
2 Household heads are either male or female that are the central decision maker of the household.<br />
32
4.1.2. Socio-economic potential of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
The major economic activity of the people living around Mt. Abune Yoseph is subsistence<br />
agriculture, which include crop farming and animal husbandry. They support their livelihood by<br />
exploiting diversified goods and environmental services from the ecosystem. Most HHs (64.2%)<br />
use Mt. Abune Yoseph for 3 months to graze their livestock during the wet season and 61.7%<br />
HHs graze for 9 months during the dry season. From the respondents, 96 (80%) explained they<br />
got economic benefit from Mt. Abune Yoseph. According to the chi-square test there was a<br />
significant difference (p
Communities living closer to Mt. Abune Yoseph exploit effectively the natural resources<br />
throughout the year than those communities living at far distance (Table 4). Therefore, distance<br />
of the households from Mt. Abune Yoseph has a significant (P
(Table 5). The income generating degrees of these environmental goods and services as well as<br />
the HHs involvement vary in Mt. Abune Yoseph depending on some factors.<br />
Table 5: Type of economic benefits obtained from Mt. Abune Yoseph (n =120)<br />
No Benefit from Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
Response<br />
yes % No %<br />
Firewood 89 74.2 31 25.8<br />
Thatching grass 76 63.3 44 36.7<br />
Hay grass 66 55 54 45<br />
Income from tourism 35 29.2 85 70.8<br />
Other benefit 92 76.7 28 23.3<br />
In cross tabulation analysis a chi-square test showed natural resource utilization from Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph differ (X 2 =4.62, df =1, P0.05) in economic resource utilization between HHs<br />
based on HHs age, marital status, family size, sex, educational status, livestock number and farm<br />
size.<br />
35
Figure 5:.Land ownership status and economic benefit from Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
In addition to self consumption and livestock grazing cost each HH got a direct economic benefit<br />
(Table 6) of 20.00 birr per load from firewood selling (Figure 6) and a maximum of 3000.00 birr<br />
from tourism, generated through guiding tourists, renting pack animals and selling locally made<br />
items in 12 months. Generally, 29.2% HHs which distributed across 8 villages got economic<br />
benefit from tourism (Table 5).<br />
Table 6: Price of major economic goods and services from Mt. Abune Yoseph in 1year (n =120)<br />
Item Range Mean Standard Error<br />
Firewood market price in birr per load 0-20 7.06 0.507<br />
Thatching grass market price in birr per load 0-50 19.54 1.639<br />
Hay grass market price in birr per load 0-50 15.25 1.482<br />
Birr obtained from tourism 0-3000 192.25 42.188<br />
36
Figure 6: People selling firewood in the market<br />
HHs also estimated the average economic benefit they got in terms of money including the cost<br />
of grazing and other all ecosystem goods and services (firewood, thatching grass, hay grass,<br />
tourism, construction material etc) from Mt. Abune Yoseph a range of 0 to 20,000 birr with<br />
mean of 1627±207 birr in one year (Table 7).<br />
Table 7: HHs average estimated birr obtained from Mt. Abune Yoseph in one year<br />
N Range Mean ± SE<br />
Average estimated birr per year 120 0-20,000 1627.46± 206.914<br />
37
Even though the pattern of resource utilization differ between HHs, the result of this study has<br />
shown clearly that the community in Mt. Abune Yoseph consider the Afro-alpine ecosystem of<br />
the area to be important for their livelihoods and on many occasions described as it improving<br />
their livelihood. Similar study on ecosystem showed Communities engaged in subsistence<br />
agriculture as a way of life attempt to optimize their production systems by using a diversity of<br />
crop-livestock systems, supplemented by resources taken from natural ecosystems (Kothari,<br />
1997). Therefore, biodiversity from the ecosystem is critically important to people‟s livelihoods.<br />
4.2. Community perception towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
The perception of HHs towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem was assessed and<br />
analyzed with logistic regression by taking the HHs response on need to protect Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph dependent variable. The dependent variable was taken as dummy: 0 if the response on<br />
need to protect Mt. Abune Yoseph was negative and 1 if the response was positive. The<br />
explanatory variables examined during the logistic regression were age; sex; length of residence<br />
in the area; educational status; marital status; family size; distance from Mt. Abune Yoseph, land<br />
access and livestock number. In addition the use or nonuse of natural resources such as firewood,<br />
thatching grass, hay grass and the presence/absence of wild animal danger at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
were taken as explanatory variables.<br />
38
Table 8: Distribution of Nominal variables employed in logistic regression<br />
Nominal Variables<br />
Number Percent<br />
Sex Male 103 85.8<br />
Female 17 14.2<br />
Marital status Married 103 85.8<br />
Single 17 14.2<br />
Educational status Illiterate 63 52.5<br />
Literate 57 47.5<br />
Land access Yes 104 86.7<br />
No 16 13.3<br />
Firewood Yes 89 74.2<br />
No 31 25.8<br />
Thatch grass yes 76 63.3<br />
No 44 36.7<br />
Hay grass yes 66 55<br />
No 54 45<br />
Wild animal danger at Mt. Abune Yoseph Yes 108 90<br />
No 12 10<br />
Need to protect Mt. Abune Yoseph Yes 85 70.8<br />
No 35 29.2<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf-human existence relation Yes 78 65<br />
No 42 35<br />
Local attitude towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf Positive 79 65.8<br />
Negative 41 34.2<br />
Table 9: Descriptives of continuous variables employed in logistic regression (n=120)<br />
Continuous Variable<br />
Min Max Mean Std Deviation<br />
Age of sample HH 18 80 47.5 12.268<br />
Family size of the HH 1 10 5.7 1.827<br />
Distance of HH from AY 2 15 7.72 4.199<br />
Livestock possession of the HH 0 78 13.69 10.509<br />
39
Table 10: Factors determining the perception of respondents towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afroalpine<br />
ecosystem and its management<br />
Explanatory variable Estimate Std Error Chi-Square P-value<br />
Intercept 1.683332 1.560696 1.16 0.2808<br />
Age 0.007933 0.0346202 0.05 0.8188<br />
Sex[female] 0.36493 0.5590733 0.43 0.5139<br />
Marital status[married] 0.414794 0.5574251 0.55 0.4568<br />
Family size -0.23529 0.1752716 1.8 0.1795<br />
Educational status[illiterate] 1.38216 0.3684552 14.07 0.0002<br />
Living length at Mt. Abune Yoseph -0.01641 0.0243986 0.45 0.5011<br />
Distance from Mt. Abune Yoseph -0.24994 0.0959698 6.78 0.0092<br />
Land access [NO] 1.308343 0.4655066 7.9 0.0049<br />
Livestock number 0.085859 0.0366595 5.49 0.0192<br />
Firewood[NO] 0.043504 0.4976789 0.01 0.9303<br />
Thatching grass[NO] 0.096351 0.4358704 0.05 0.825<br />
Hay[NO] 0.216391 0.3881591 0.31 0.5772<br />
Wild animal danger at Mt. Abune Yoseph[NO] -0.37451 0.4248673 0.78 0.3781<br />
R Square (U) 0.317<br />
Observations (or Sum Wgts) 120<br />
The community support the protection of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem for various<br />
reasons but the perception towards the need to protect its natural resources differ between<br />
communities based on different socio-economic characteristic and pattern of environmental<br />
goods and services harvested from the ecosystem and wild animal danger occurred in the area<br />
(Table 10).<br />
There was a significant difference (P
the habitat when compared with illiterate households. The support of literate households might<br />
be due to the concept they got on conservation of natural resources from formal and informal<br />
education during their stay at school. Therefore, non educated HHs had negative perception<br />
towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem and they did not also support its sustainable<br />
management when compared with educated HHs of the area. Study conducted on Masindi<br />
District CBFM by (Kugonza et al., 2009) in Uganda showed the same result, i.e. higher<br />
percentage of illiterate respondents were unwilling to participate in CBFM mainly because they<br />
miss out necessary information and training on sustainable tree conservation.<br />
Similarly, there was a significant difference (P
management (Table 10). This means that landless HHs did not show positive perception for the<br />
conservation of the ecosystem. This might be associated with their interest to get private<br />
farmland from the ecosystem and as well as to exploit the resources of the ecosystem freely for<br />
their basic needs. Study in Masindi District confirmed, farmers that have secured private land<br />
ownership showed participation in CBFM than farmers using government land or land not<br />
claimed secured private ownership (Kugonza et al., 2009).<br />
In Mt. Abune Yoseph besides farming, livestock rearing is the other economic activity that<br />
supports crop cultivation and HH‟s economy. The major livestock kept by the community in the<br />
area are cattle, sheep, donkey, horse and mules. In the area cattle are responsible for ploughing<br />
and threshing harvested crops. They are also important for providing meat, milk and milk<br />
products.<br />
Logistic regression results, showed the presence of significant difference (P< 0.05) between HHs<br />
by livestock number in their perception towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
conservation (Table 10). So HHs that has more heard size support or have positive perception<br />
towards Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem and its conservation management than those<br />
had less and none livestock number. Based on informal survey and discussion made with key<br />
informants, since HHs with more heard size did not have enough private grazing land, if<br />
conserved they could compensate their livestock feed shortage by cut and carry system.<br />
4.3. Community perception towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf<br />
To analyze the perception of community towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf, logistic regression was used to<br />
model responses, as it provided a convenient way to undertake categorical data analysis. In<br />
practice the analysis and interpretation are quite similar to the well-known procedure of multiple<br />
42
egressions (Freeman, 1987). To find out how the community perceives the rare and critically<br />
endangered wildlife of the area, a dummy of the respondent‟s attitude, 0 if the local community<br />
attitude response towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf was negative and 1 if the response was positive taken<br />
as dependent variable. The explanatory variables age, sex, marital status, family size, educational<br />
status, distance from Mt. Abune Yoseph, land access, livestock number, response on wildlife<br />
danger and <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf human coexistence relation at Mt. Abune Yoseph were related to the<br />
perception response to the wolf (Table 8 and 9).<br />
The respondents‟ distance from the Mt. Abune Yoseph associated with different (P
Table 11: Factors determining the perception of respondents towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves<br />
Explanatory variable Estimate Std Error Chi-Square P-value<br />
Intercept -2.49328 1.3014543 3.67 0.0554<br />
Age 0.007224 0.0243306 0.09 0.7665<br />
Sex[female] -0.77332 0.4805182 2.59 0.1075<br />
Marital status[married] -0.59374 0.4760479 1.56 0.2123<br />
Family size 0.258119 0.1512715 2.91 0.0879<br />
Educational status[illiterate] 0.381671 0.2883903 1.75 0.1857<br />
Distance from Mt. Abune Yoseph -0.14242 0.0580992 6.01 0.0142<br />
Land access [NO] 0.103772 0.4061492 0.07 0.7983<br />
Livestock number 0.134623 0.0445717 9.12 0.0025<br />
Wild animal danger at Mt. Abune Yoseph[NO] -1.19366 0.3766712 10.04 0.0015<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf -human existence Relation[No] 0.103766 0.2356485 0.19 0.6597<br />
R Square (U) 0.2335<br />
Observations (or Sum Wgts) 120<br />
Among the people who thought the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf was a bad species, most gave sheep predation<br />
by the wolf as their main reason (Table 12). Carnivores commonly generate negative attitude<br />
among the rural residents in many regions of the world since they prey upon domestic animals<br />
(Bauer, 2003; Woodroffe, 2000). On the other hand, respondents that considered <strong>Ethiopian</strong><br />
wolves a good species mentions various reasons including their potential to attract tourism,<br />
entertainment, endemic and heritage value and their utilitarian value in controlling rodents<br />
(Table 12). According to Ashenafi (2001), large number of residents from Guassa area knew that<br />
the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf is an endemic species. In addition, as reported by Deresse (2003), the<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf has the potential to attract tourists and bring income to their respective areas. A<br />
study in Minnesota, U.S.A. showed that there was strong positive attitude towards timber wolf<br />
44
(Canis lupus) and agreed that timber wolf was symbolic of nature‟s wonder and beauty (Kellert,<br />
1985).<br />
Table 12: HHs reason why they perceive wolves good or bad species at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
snoRaeR Number Percent<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf is not good species due to sheep predation 35 29.2<br />
Since means of tourism income 22 18.3<br />
Since endemic, heritage, and visited by tourists for entertainment 49 40.8<br />
Since rodent hunter protect crop damage 14 11.7<br />
Total 120 100.0<br />
The perception towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf also associated with livestock number of HHs. There was<br />
a significant difference (P
indicated in Table 8 than the study time of (Marino, 2003) in which (90%) of people reported<br />
negative attitude towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in North Wollo highlands. The decrease of local<br />
community negative attitude towards <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf might be associated with the education and<br />
awareness raising done by EWCP and still by FZS in partner with GOs for the last decades<br />
through out the country in general and in Afro-alpine ecosystems in particular.<br />
4.4. Human-livestock interference to Afro-alpine ecosystem and the resulting<br />
conflict<br />
4.4.1. Human-livestock interference pressure and its impact<br />
The trend of human and livestock population has increased continuously in and around the Afroalpine<br />
ecosystem of North Wollo highlands (Table13). At present the human population density<br />
in and around Afro-alpine ecosystem of North Wollo woredas on average is greater than 120<br />
people per km 2 .<br />
Table 13: Human population in woredas that have Afro-alpine ecosystem in North Wollo<br />
Woreda<br />
Area Population Per Year And Density Per Km 2<br />
Inkm 2 2000 Density 2002 Density 2004 density 2007 density<br />
Lasta* 2844 185395 65.2 191938 67.5 196468 69 201653 70.9<br />
Delanta* 1529 165717 108.4 171300 112 178448 116.7 203385 133<br />
Gidan 1236 158602 128.3 158602 128.3 160558 129.9 172537 139.6<br />
G/laftu 1037 144506 139.4 160357 154.7 167446 161.5 170289 164<br />
Lasta* includes the new Bugna woreda<br />
(Source: ANRS BoFAED different years Statistical Bulletins)<br />
Delanta* includes the new Dawnt woreda<br />
In Africa, the major problem facing protected areas today is the increase in human settlement of<br />
adjacent lands and the unauthorized harvesting of resources within the protected areas<br />
46
(Newmark, et al., 1993). This high number of human population has its own impact on the<br />
wildlife population and their ecosystem. As the number of human population increases,<br />
encroachment increases; then the extent of resource exploitation also increases.<br />
This can easily be observed by increase livestock grazing in Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystem. The mean period of utilization of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem as a<br />
grazing land was 8.11 ± 3 months in the year and 2.34 ± 1 months during wet season and the<br />
overall range of grazing period in the ecosystem was 0 -11 months (Table 14).<br />
Table 14: Livestock grazing period at Mt. Abune Yoseph (n =120)<br />
Grazing Period Range Mean ± SD<br />
Grazing months in the year 0-11 8.11± 3.092<br />
Wet season grazing months 0-3 2.34 ± 1.017<br />
47
Table 15: Livestock population growth trend in woredas that have Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
Woreda Area/ Km 2 / Livestock 2000 2002 2004 2007<br />
Lasta* 2844 Cattle 136924 153875 166197 187381<br />
Sheep and goat 137321 144186 165600 205539<br />
Pack animal 13001 20918 24819 31618<br />
Total livestock 287246 318979 356616 424538<br />
Density /km 2 101 112.2 125.4 149.3<br />
Delanta* 1529 Cattle 93141 108283 114173 123335<br />
Sheep and goat 130280 182648 188719 196636<br />
Pack animal 16709 26392 27639 44480<br />
Total livestock 240130 317322 330531 364451<br />
Density /km 2 157 207.5 216.2 238.4<br />
Gidan 1236 Cattle 72287 82341 85422 87500<br />
Sheep and goat 157149 161900 171430 225639<br />
Pack animal 13861 21471 22316 25321<br />
Total livestock 243297 265712 279168 338460<br />
Density /km 2 196.8 215 225.9 273.8<br />
Gubalaftu 1037 Cattle 81260 99134 105020 115025<br />
Sheep and goat 93888 114404 116579 139619<br />
Pack animal 12198 13693 18293 19862<br />
Total livestock 187346 227231 239892 247506<br />
Density /km 2 180.7 219 231.3 238.7<br />
Lasta* includes the new Bugna woreda Delanta* includes the new Dawnt woreda<br />
(Source: North Wollo zone ARDD)<br />
The year to year abrupt increase of human and livestock population in North Wollo especially in<br />
woredas that have Afro-alpine ecosystem resulted in increase in settlement and encroachment of<br />
livestock and dogs that poses serious threats to the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf within the ecosystem. Similar<br />
study in BMNP by Stephens et al. (2001) proved that the abrupt increasing of settlement and<br />
livestock number around protected area has to be given major concern for three reasons. First for<br />
the erosive effect of livestock and its detrimental effect on natural flora and fauna of the<br />
ecosystem, second the presence of large number of domestic stock in the area impaired and has<br />
negative visual impact on tourist activities. Third, result in interference competition with<br />
wildlife, such as dogs compete with wolves for prey, spread disease and hybridize with wolves<br />
(Sillero-Zubiri, 1994). Therefore, the rapid increase of human (Table 13) and livestock<br />
48
population (Table 15) in Afro-alpine woredas of North Wollo in general and around Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph in particular indicate a clear anthropogenic threat on wildlife. In addition to this, the<br />
cattle and human population continuously devastated the habitat of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf. As a<br />
result, according to 75% of sample HHs report the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf number at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
decreased (Table 20).<br />
The reason forwarded (Table 16) by the sample HHs for wolf decrease in Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
were migration of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf to the areas where the human activity is less, human-livestock<br />
encroachment to the ecosystem, drought due to deforestation and the competition between the<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and common jackal have shown clearly the human livestock interference impact<br />
on the ecosystem and the resulted conflict with wildlife.<br />
Table 16: Reasons for change in wolf number trend at Mt. Abune Yoseph (n=120)<br />
snoRaeR Number %<br />
Increased since protected 16 13.3<br />
Increased since personal or dog disturbance is forbidden 14 11.7<br />
Decreased by draught due to deforestation 21 17.5<br />
Decreased due to migration 26 21.7<br />
Decreased due to encroachment 22 18.5<br />
Decreased due to competition with common jackal 37 7121<br />
Total 120 100<br />
In Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem grazing competition between livestock and gelada<br />
baboon which leads to overgrazing is also a common phenomenon (personal observation).<br />
49
Fire wood collection was another type of community activity which has a detrimental impact in<br />
the study area. The community living around the Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem used<br />
different types of Afro-alpine plant species from the ecosystem for firewood (Figure 6). Fifty<br />
seven percent sample HHs report Cherenfe (Euryphos pinifolius), Asta (Erica arborea) and<br />
Amija (Hyphericum revolutum) were dominant species used for firewood in the area while the<br />
rest 43% respondents reported Cherenfe, Asta and Gebera (Lobelia rhynchopetalum) were the<br />
most common. Similarly, many (64.5%) respondents indicated that they collect shrubby<br />
vegetation in Menz-Guassa for firewood. The most commonly collected plant species in Guassa<br />
was Cherenfe (E. pinifolius). Other species including: Erica or Asta, (E. arborea); Nechilo (H.<br />
splendidum); St.John‟s wort or Ameja (H. revolutum); and, dry giant Lobelia or Gebera (L.<br />
rhynchopetalum) are also collected (Ashenafi, 2001). In our study Most (63.3%) of the<br />
respondents mentioned the reason why these plant species preferred was, since these were the<br />
only growing plant species in the area where as 36.7% explained these species since they are the<br />
highly flammable firewood species in the ecosystem. Such uncontrolled firewood exploitation<br />
throughout the year had a great impact on the quality of habitats for rodent species, which are the<br />
prime diet of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf.<br />
In addition, from discussion with key informants, this firewood collection activity has resulted in<br />
ecosystem degradation due to extreme erosion and gully formation. In turn due to erosion, the<br />
land fertility around the ecosystem has been decreasing gradually from year to year, the crop<br />
production in the area decreasing from time to time and finally framers surrounding the<br />
ecosystem obliged to push their farm in to the ecosystem to cultivate more land. As a result,<br />
there were more farmlands inside the Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem and its<br />
50
surrounding. This has resulted in continuous land clearing leading to habitat fragmentation and<br />
loss of biodiversity (Figure 7).<br />
Figure 7: Farming inside Afro-alpine ecosystem by clearing lobelia<br />
From the community living at the hill foot of Mt. Abune Yoseph 90% of sample HHs report as<br />
they faced conflict with wildlife (Table 17). Almost similar findings were observed from the<br />
study conducted in Tanzania on the conflict between wildlife and local people living adjacent to<br />
protected areas. Over 71% of local people surveyed, reported conflict with wildlife (Newmark et<br />
al., 1994).<br />
Table 17: HHs response on whether or not faced wild animal problem<br />
snRoaeRn Number Percent<br />
Not faced problem 12 10.0<br />
Faced problem 108 90.0<br />
Total 120 100.0<br />
51
The conflict between wildlife and local people in and around the Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystem involved livestock predation and crop damage. From those sample HHs who reported<br />
causes of conflict to wildlife 30.8% reported livestock predation, 9.2% reported crop damage,<br />
while 50% reported both livestock predation and crop damage (Table 18).<br />
Based on descriptive statistics and chi-square test the problem caused by wildlife differed<br />
(P
4.4.2. Human conflict with <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
In Mt. Abune Yoseph <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf (C. simenesis) and common jackal (Canis aureus) was the<br />
most common sheep predators singled out by the sample HHs. Leopard (Panthera pardus) and<br />
spotted hyena (Crocuta crocuta) were also predating sheep in the area (Table 19).<br />
Table 19: Mean ±SE number of sheep preyed in the last 10 years at Mt. Abune Yoseph (n=120)<br />
Range Mean ± SE<br />
Sheep preyed by <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in 10 years 0-10 4.26±0.357<br />
Sheep preyed by Common jackal in 10 years 0-15 5.14±0.539<br />
Sheep preyed by Leopard in 10 years 0-4 0.83±0.137<br />
Sheep preyed by Spotted hyena in 10 years 0-7 1.15±0.21<br />
Comparing the most sheep predators of the area 25.8% HHs responded sheep loss due to the<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf, 15% lost due to the common jackals, 36.7% lost sheep due to both the <strong>Ethiopian</strong><br />
wolf and/or common jackal and the rest 22.5% HHs reported no sheep loss due to these two<br />
predators in the last 10 years (Figure 8). Therefore, according to the HHs response both<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and Common jackal are the main sheep predator of the area.<br />
53
Sheep predators<br />
Figure 8: HHs response on sheep predators at Mt. Abune Yoseph for the last 10 years<br />
Most HHs responded <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf was the main sheep predator of the area when compared<br />
with Common jackal in the last 10 years (Figure 8). The same result was reported by (Marino,<br />
2003) in that since the communities have lost many animals, they perceived <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves as<br />
the main predators of livestock in North Wollo highlands. Even though more HHs blamed<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf as a major sheep predator in their response illustrated in Figure 8, the number of<br />
sheep killed in the indicated years showed more sheep was preyed by Common jackal than<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf (Table 19). This is due to <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf attack less sheep number from most<br />
HHs where as Common jackal killed more sheep number from less HHs. Similar result was<br />
observed by (Marino, 2003) in SMNP, cases of livestock losses to <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves were<br />
reported, but common jackal (C. aureus) were indicated to be the main predator.<br />
54
Based on HHs response, on predation rate of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf, Common jackal and both, the<br />
present finding differ from previous works conducted in Menz by Ashenafi (2001) and around<br />
SMNP by Messele (2006). According to Ashenafi‟s finding only 14.5% of Menz-Guassa sample<br />
community reported sheep loss to the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and 40.3% to Common jackal. Where as<br />
according to Messele‟s study only 18.3% of Simen sample community reported sheep loss to the<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and 8% to both the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and Common jackal. But in present study<br />
most sample HHs from Mt. Abune Yoseph explained as they lost more sheep by both (<strong>Ethiopian</strong><br />
wolf and Common jackal) and <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf alone respectively (Figure 8). This difference<br />
might be associated with lack of comparing the degree of sheep loss within 10 years at Mt.<br />
Abune Yoseph by sample HHs between common sheep predator or due to minimized livestock<br />
encroachment to the wolf habitats in Simen (protected as National Park) and Guassa protected<br />
for more than hundred years by Qero system of Menz community and still managed by<br />
committee of community (Ashenafi, 2001, and Ashenafi et al., 2005). In the same study Messele<br />
(2006) mentioned the reason for the less number of sheep loss to the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in SMNP is<br />
that the distribution of the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf is very limited in contrast to the Common jackal. At<br />
the same time, its habitat is far from the human settlement area. However, Messele also reported<br />
in his finding humans attack the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in some parts of the study area.<br />
4.5. Ecological assessment of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
4.5.1. Households response on <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf presence/ absence<br />
All HHs (100%) without any difference responded as they observed wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
before and had enough knowledge about it (Table 20).<br />
55
Table 20: HHs response on wolf observation, observation time and trend at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
Response Number %<br />
HHs seen wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph 120 100<br />
<strong>Wolf</strong> observation time at Mt. Abune Yoseph Dawn 49 40.8<br />
Dawn & dusk 71 59.2<br />
<strong>Wolf</strong> trend at Mt. Abune Yoseph Increasing 30 25<br />
Decreasing 90 75<br />
Each sample HH had seen <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in a mean number of 6 ± 0.7 times in the last 12<br />
months and 13 ±1.7 times in the last 5 years (Table 21). Most 59.2% of respondents observed<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at dawn and dusk while 40.8% of sample HHs observed only during dawn time at<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph (Table 20). The large mean number of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves seen at once in Mt.<br />
Abune Yoseph by respondents was 4±0.2 (Table 21).<br />
Table 21: HHs wolf observation frequency, wolf seen at once and wolf estimation at Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph (n =120)<br />
Range Mean ±SE<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf observation frequency in the last 12 months 0-60 6.01±0.670<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf observation frequency in the last 5 years 1-150 12.96±1.703<br />
Large number of wolf seen by HHs at once in Abune Yoseph 1-12 4.20±0.209<br />
HHs estimate number of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at Abune Yoseph 1-60 18.93±1.225<br />
Most (75%) HHs reported the wolf number was decreased in comparison with the past times; in<br />
the contrary 25 % HHs reported as the wolf number increased in Mt. Abune Yoseph (Table 20).<br />
Opposite result was reported by (Marino, 2003) many respondents (80%) at that time believed<br />
that wolves were recovering from past persecution in North Wollo highlands. This might be<br />
considered from persecution to wolves by dog and local community rather than relating the trend<br />
with its habitat loss, because in our study the few respondents that supported the increasing trend<br />
56
of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf in Mt. Abune Yoseph gave absence of wolf persecution from local people and<br />
dogs as reason, i.e. protection of the ecosystem by the guard and the restriction law by the local<br />
authority on farmers and herders not to let in with dogs into the ecosystem were mentioned for<br />
wolf increasing trend as reason (Table 16).<br />
Based on sample HH‟s estimate the current time <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf number at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
was analyzed with descriptive statistics and gave mean number of 18.9 ±1.3 wolves (Table 21).<br />
These numbers are consistent with recent estimations (Sillero-Zubri et al., 2000; Marino, 2003)<br />
that suggest an amount of wolves ranging between 19 and 23 for the three massifs of North<br />
Wollo with wolf‟s presence (Mt. Abune Yoseph, Mt.Abohoy Gara and Delanta) totaling 140 km 2<br />
of available habitat.<br />
In descriptive statistics with cross tabulation chi-square test indicated the presence of significant<br />
difference(X 2 =33.5, df =21, P
time on wolf number enabled the HHs to estimate the nearest wolf number during the interview.<br />
There was also a difference (X 2 =773.9, df =714, P0.05) between HHs based on sample villages, age, marital<br />
status, length of living years, distance, land ownership status and land size in wolf number<br />
estimation between HHs at Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
4.5.2. Determination of wolf distribution by rodent burrow<br />
In this study one way analysis of variance showed slope has significant effect (P
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
Rodent burrow<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
flat moderate steep<br />
S<br />
All Pairs<br />
Tukey-Kramer<br />
0.05<br />
Figure 9: One way Analysis of Rodent burrows by Slope<br />
Table 22: Analysis of rodent burrows by slope and mean comparison using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
Source DF Sum of<br />
Squares<br />
Mean<br />
Square<br />
F Ratio P-value Comparisons for all pairs<br />
using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
Levels*<br />
Mean<br />
Slope 2 162.62 81.31 3.2244 0.0437 Flat A 4241<br />
Error 107 2698.15 25.22 eafneoon A B 3223<br />
C. Total 109 2860.76 steep B 7274<br />
*Levels not connected by the same letter are significantly different<br />
There was a significant linear association (P
Table 23: Bivariate fit analysis of rodent burrow by altitude<br />
Factor Estimate Std Error t Ratio P-value<br />
Intercept -97.82648 19.36096 -5.05 0.0001<br />
Alt 0.0253655 0.00489 5.19 0.0001<br />
R Square 0.199464<br />
Observations ( Sum Wgts) 771<br />
Afro-alpine plant height showed significant effect (P
Table 24: Analysis of rodent burrow by vegetation height and mean comparison using Tukey-<br />
Kramer HSD<br />
Source DF Sum of<br />
Squares<br />
Mean<br />
Square<br />
F Ratio P-value Comparisons for all pairs<br />
using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
lnvnl *<br />
enoe<br />
Vegetation 3 390.8559 130.285 5.5914 0.0013 0-10 cm A 5.00<br />
height<br />
Error 106 2469.9078 23.301 11-30 cm A B 1.47<br />
C. Total 109 2860.7636 31-50 cm B 1.31<br />
>50 cm B 0.58<br />
*Levels not connected by the same letter are significantly different<br />
Figure 11: Short Afro-alpine vegetation (E. pinifolius) with rodent burrow from Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph<br />
Afro-alpine vegetation cover did not show significant effect (P> 0.05) in determining rodent<br />
burrow distribution at Mt. Abune Yoseph (Table 25). This is different from the literature section<br />
61
in 2.2.2; this difference could be due to different rodent communities from other Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystem such as from Bale or due to high impact by livestock at Mt. Abune Yoseph.<br />
Table 25: Analysis of rodent burrow by vegetation cover and means of rodent burrow at each<br />
level of vegetation cover<br />
Source DF Sum of Mean F P-value Mean for one way ANOVA<br />
Squares Square Ratio<br />
Level* N Mean SDerror<br />
Vegetation cover 3 38.86 12.95 0.4866 0.6923 26-50% 17 2.53 1.2514<br />
Error 106 2821.90 26.62 5-25% 11 3.91 1.5557<br />
C. Total 109 2860.76 51-75% 45 2.00 0.7692<br />
76-100% 37 2.92 0.8482<br />
4.5.3. Determination of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf abundance by sighting at Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph<br />
The one month sighting of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph was used to estimate the current<br />
status of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf and also proved the result of habitat assessment transect with similar<br />
analysis using one way ANOVA and bivariate analysis with the same explanatory variable<br />
Altitude, slope, vegetation height.<br />
Bivariate analysis showed the presence of significant linear relation (P
observed in the Afro-alpine belt on 13 different days during the visits to this habitat from 1998 to<br />
2002. On November 30 th 2002 they counted four different individuals, three in the Reem Gedel<br />
plateau and another one in a valley east of Reem Gedel. They were seen walking and resting in<br />
open moorlands and grasslands of the massif, mainly in the Reem Gedel plateau (between 3,950<br />
and 4,150 m a.s.l.).<br />
Table 26: Bivariate analysis of wolf sighting by altitude<br />
Term Estimate SDError t Ratio P-value<br />
Intercept -18.14916 6.529746 -2.78 0.0096<br />
Altitude 0.0048631 0.001638 2.97 0.0061<br />
R square 0.239464<br />
Observations ( Sum Wgts) 21<br />
There was also a significant difference (P
Table 27: Analysis of wolf sighting by slope and mean comparisons using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
Source<br />
DF<br />
Sum of<br />
Squares<br />
Mean<br />
Square<br />
F Ratio P-value Comparisons for all<br />
pairs using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
Levels*<br />
Mean<br />
Slope 2 5.966667 2.98333 3.7640 0.0361 flat A 1.53<br />
Error 27 21.400000 0.79259 moderate A B 1.17<br />
C. Total 29 27.366667 steep B 0.00<br />
*Levels not connected by the same letter are significantly different<br />
Afro-alpine vegetation height also showed significant effect (P50 cm<br />
vegetation Height<br />
All Pairs<br />
Tukey-Kramer<br />
0.05<br />
Figure 13: One way analysis of wolf sighting by vegetation height<br />
64
Table 28: Analysis of wolf sighting by vegetation height and mean comparisons using Tukey-<br />
Kramer HSD<br />
Source DF Sum of<br />
Squares<br />
Mean<br />
Square<br />
F<br />
Ratio<br />
P-value Comparisons for all pairs<br />
using Tukey-Kramer HSD<br />
lnvnl *<br />
Mean<br />
Vegetation height 3 8.816667 2.93889 4.1192 0.0162 0-10 cm A 1.90<br />
Error 26 18.550000 0.71346 11-30 cm A B 1.10<br />
C. Total 29 27.366667 31-50 cm B 1.00<br />
>50 cm B 0.25<br />
*Levels not connected by the same letter are significantly different<br />
In this study similar parameters altitude, slope and vegetation height determined rodent burrow<br />
distribution and actual wolf sighting across Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem.<br />
65
Chapter V: Conclusion and Recommendations<br />
5.1. Conclusion<br />
This study was designed to develop an understanding of the existing community management and<br />
status of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem by taking <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf as a flagship species<br />
of the ecosystem. Accordingly, efforts have been made to explore socio-economic and natural<br />
resources assessment of the mountain for the improvement of user community livelihood, their<br />
perception towards its management and its endemic wild (<strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf) as well as tried to show<br />
the human- livestock interference impact and the resulting conflict with wolf in the ecosystem.<br />
The methods employed, which consist of socio-economic interview, ecologic survey and discussions<br />
with key informants were useful in addressing the aims and leading to the following conclusions.<br />
The results of this study clearly showed Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem provide essential<br />
ecosystem economic goods and services vitally important for the livelihoods of local communities<br />
within the limit of sustainability. Due to this fact, majority of the local community had positive<br />
perception towards the ecosystem and its flagship species the <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf. A good or positive<br />
perception towards communal Afro-alpine ecosystem helps to protect or conserve its resources<br />
from the increased human and livestock interference impact by designing sustainable ecosystem<br />
management together with community which can avoid the existing human-wildlife conflict<br />
particularly human-wolf conflict in the area.<br />
Currently, tremendous pressure of the swelling human and livestock population expressed<br />
through unsustainable resource exploitation from the ecosystem in the form of long time grazing,<br />
frequent firewood collection and agricultural encroachment leads to erosion, gulley formation<br />
66
and low productivity that ends in resource depletion and habitat fragmentation causing<br />
decreasing trend of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolf at Mt. Abune Yoseph. However, the presence of 19 wolves<br />
according to local community estimation and well distribution of rodent burrow observed in<br />
habitat assessment transect along with good opportunity of seeing up to 3 wolves at once during<br />
wolf sighting as well as an exhausted natural resources exploitation from the ecosystem indicate<br />
the existing status and socio economic potential of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem.<br />
5.2. Recommendations<br />
Global warming and the increased human and livestock population pose their pressure on Afroalpine<br />
ecosystems during the last decades and result in the confinement of this ecosystem to the<br />
highest mountain above 3200 m a.s.l. But nowadays in Ethiopia land above 3000 m a.s.l. has<br />
been converted rapidly to farmland. Areas previously considered too cold for agriculture and too<br />
inhospitable for habituation even though ends in failure today all are farmlands and settlement<br />
areas.<br />
In Mt. Abune Yoseph, cereals are cultivated even higher, with land ploughed above 3,600 m.<br />
Much of the Afro-alpine habitat has already disappeared. Nowadays, the line of 3,700 m a.s.l.<br />
contains the overall Afro-alpine ecosystem of the Abune Yoseph massif, and only a few small<br />
degraded patches of this ecosystem remain below this altitude.<br />
As the results of this study indicated the most exceptional resource values of this ecosystem<br />
which together give the area its conservation significance, the rare, endemic and endangered<br />
species of flora and fauna as well as the cultural and economic benefits fetched by the local and<br />
downstream users from the ecosystem are in a great danger of extinction. To cut this scenario the<br />
following recommendations are given based on the research findings.<br />
67
Since the attitude and action of human towards something can be shaped by<br />
understanding and knowledge great attention should have to be given for education and<br />
awareness creation starting from the local farmers, school children up to local, regional,<br />
and national leaders in order to discharge their conservation responsibility for Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph Afro-alpine ecosystem protection.<br />
According to this study poor HHs that are landless, proximate to the ecosystem and none<br />
or less number livestock owners showed negative attitude towards Mt.AbuneYoseph<br />
Afro-alpine ecosystem conservation due to economic reason to exploit the resource of the<br />
ecosystem freely in unsustainable way. So in order to reduce the pressure on natural<br />
resources by this part of the community, it has paramount importance to create an activity<br />
that diversifies the livelihood of the local poor community. In this regard using the<br />
location advantage of Mt. Abune Yoseph existing near to Lalibela, the city that holds one<br />
of Ethiopia‟s top attractions: the rock-hewn churches which are considered the greatest<br />
historical sites of the Christian world, development of eco-tourism for Mt.AbuneYoseph<br />
will be a good opportunity. According to the city tourism office, in Lalibela tourism is<br />
already developed and visited by 10,000-20,000 tourists yearly by using the comfortable<br />
plane of <strong>Ethiopian</strong> air lines and car trip that give chance to see large part of the country.<br />
Therefore in Mt. Abune Yoseph using its rare and endemic flag ship species <strong>Ethiopian</strong><br />
wolf, Gelada baboon and birds as well as the scenic attraction of the Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystem as a comparative advantage nature based tourism is recommended to support<br />
the ecosystem protection as well as to improve the livelihood of the local poor<br />
community.<br />
68
The Lasta woreda administration should have to take the front line with other GO and<br />
NGO,s to implement conservation based development that consider Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
and Lalibela the natural and cultural heritage as a good opportunity by proposing<br />
development link between the two hotspots. According to this research finding to reduce<br />
the livestock and firewood collection burden on the ecosystem and to avoid humanlivestock<br />
and wildlife conflict happen due to resource competition alternative livestock<br />
fodder system that avoid free grazing and encourage zero-grazing technology as well as<br />
ecologically sound, socially acceptable and economically affordable fuel sources such as<br />
bio-fuel and solar technology side by side planting well identified tree species in terms of<br />
the area context must be promoted by mobilizing the local community.<br />
It is also advisable if the future management of Mt. Abune Yoseph Afro-alpine<br />
ecosystem will be legally recognized community based protected area, in which its<br />
boundary is clearly known and that has resource management plan developed by the<br />
involvement of the local community, in order to include their long time custom and<br />
tradition of sustainable resource protection and utilization and also to encourage the<br />
development of their own by-law which go hand in hand with the regional land and<br />
biodiversity management strategy.<br />
69
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74
Appendix<br />
1: Interview questionnaire<br />
Part-1 Questionnaire on socio-Economic survey<br />
Date of interview ______________________ Enumerator's Name________________________<br />
1. Name of household head_______________________________________________________<br />
Region________Zone_________Wereda________kebele_________Village ____________<br />
2. Age _______<br />
3. Sex: Male _______Female_______<br />
4. Educational status:<br />
1. Can‟t read and write 2. Elementary school<br />
3. High school 4.Vocational<br />
5. Marital status: 1. Married 2. Single 3. Divorced 4.Widow<br />
6. Family size____________<br />
7. How long have you lived at your current Got (Months/years) ______<br />
8. How far is your residence from Mt. Abune Yoseph (in km) _________<br />
9. Do you have access to land 1.Yes 2. No<br />
10. If yes to question 9,what is the size of your land holding by land use type(in timad)<br />
N0 Land use type Size in Timad *Equivalent size in ha.<br />
1 Farm land<br />
2 Woodlot<br />
3 Grazing land<br />
4 homested<br />
5 Other<br />
Total<br />
* 1ha.=4 Timad<br />
11. How many livestock do you own at this time oxen______ cows_____ sheep_______<br />
goats_____mules _____horses______donkeys_______ hens‟ _____ Beehives _____<br />
12. For how long do you graze at Mt. Abune Yoseph (AY) during dry and wet season<br />
During dry season for ___________ months.<br />
75
During wet season for ___________ months.<br />
13. Does AY bring economic benefits to your household 1. Yes 2. No<br />
14. Based on question 13, which type of benefit<br />
1. Household firewood 1.Yes 2. No, if yes, how many loads of fire wood do you collect<br />
in the last 12months _____________________<br />
Market price of firewood per load__________<br />
2. Thatching grass 1.Yes 2. No if yes, how many loads of thatching grass do you cut<br />
in the last 12months _______________________<br />
Market price of thatching grass per load________<br />
3. Hay 1.Yes 2. No if yes how many loads of hay do you harvest<br />
in the last 12 months ______________________<br />
Market price of hay per load_________________<br />
4. Income from tourists 1. Yes 2. No if yes in what type of tourist activity did you<br />
involved and how much birr did you get from tourism in past years _____ ETB.<br />
5. Others __________________________________________________________<br />
15. What estimated benefits have you made in birr from mt. AY on average in a year _______<br />
Part-2 Perception towards Afro-alpine Ecosystem, Wildlife and Wildlife conflict<br />
16. Is there a need to protect the natural resources of AY Afro-alpine ecosystem 1. Yes 2. No<br />
17. Who do you think is responsible for the protection of AY Afro-alpine ecosystem<br />
1. Government 2. Local community 3. NGO<br />
18. What changes have you observed in the vegetation of AY in the last 20 years Intact /<br />
improving / degrading / no idea, Why do you think so __________________________<br />
19. Are populations of wild animals in AY stable/ increasing/ decreasing / no idea in the last 20<br />
years Why do you think so ______________________________________________<br />
20. Is the conservation of wild animals and plants a good thing 1. Yes 2. No<br />
Why do you think so ____________________________________________<br />
76
21. How do you know the concept of Natural resource conservation<br />
1. Form training given on NR of AY<br />
2. through extension education given by DA<br />
3. By own experience<br />
4. from formal school<br />
5. Other sources (specify) __________________________________<br />
22. Do you think that the presence of bylaw is important and helped the conservation of<br />
Mt. AY<br />
1. Yes 2. No if yes how ____________________________________<br />
23. Name wild animals that you know at AY __________________________________<br />
____________________________________________________________________<br />
24. Do you face problems because of wildlife in your area 1. Yes 2. No<br />
25. If yes, to question number 24, what are the problems you face<br />
_________________________________________________________________________<br />
_________________________________________________________________________<br />
26. Which wild animals are the most problematic in terms of livestock predation at AY<br />
No Predator Prey Extent (No of animals killed from your herd)<br />
Last year In last 5 years In last 10 years<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
27. What is the trend of livestock predation by wildlife 1. Stable 2. Increasing 3.decreasing<br />
28. Which wild animals are most problematic in terms of crop damage<br />
77
No Wild animal Type of crop damaged Extent of damage in the last 12 months<br />
(H*, M*, L*)<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
* H=heavy, M=medium, L=light<br />
29. What is the tendency of crop damage by wildlife 1. Stable 2. Increasing 3.decreasing<br />
30. Describe techniques you use to minimize the impacts of livestock predation and crop damage<br />
______________________________________________________________________________<br />
______________________________________________________________________________<br />
31. Have you personally seen <strong>Ethiopian</strong> wolves (EW) in AY 1. Yes 2. No<br />
32. How many times have you seen EW in the last 12 month‟s ______and past 5 years ______<br />
33. What times of the day you are more likely to see EW ______________________<br />
34. What is the largest group of EW you have seen in AY ____________<br />
35. What do you think about the number of EW in AY 1. Stable 2. Increasing 3. Decreasing<br />
Explain the reasons for thinking so: ___________________________________________<br />
36. How many wolves do you think are present at AY currently ________________________<br />
37. Do you think the presence of EW in AY bad for people and their animals 1. Yes 2. No if<br />
no why ____________________________________________________________<br />
38. In your opinion, can wolves live harmoniously in the same area with people 1. Yes 2. No<br />
39. What is the attitude of local people towards wolves 1. Positive 2. Indifferent 3.negative<br />
40. Have you ever seen wolves taking any livestock other than sheep and goat 1. Yes 2. No<br />
Part-3 Sustainable Natural resource utilization and Management<br />
41. List the dominant tree/ shrub species you use as a fire wood from mt. AY in order of<br />
importance 1._________________ 2._________________ 3._______________<br />
42. Why do you prefer to use the tree/ shrub species mentioned in Q.41<br />
_____________________________________________________________________<br />
43. Do you experience the shortage of fuel wood 1. Yes 2. No<br />
78
44. If yes to question 43, what mechanism do you use to solve the shortage<br />
1. Using energy saving stove 2. Using livestock dung 3. Other specify_______<br />
45. Do you have your own tree planted at your homestead 1. Yes 2. No<br />
46. Is there any traditional system established by the community to manage AY 1. Yes 2. No<br />
if yes, name it _________________________________________________________<br />
47. Is there any local bylaw that binds your activity at AY 1. Yes 2. No<br />
48. Do you know soil and water conservation activities constructed by local community in AY<br />
1. Yes 2. No if yes, which type 1. Different terraces 2. Planting seedlings<br />
3. Gully treatment 4. Other specify _____<br />
49. Which would be your future choice of management option for natural resources in AY<br />
Why<br />
1. If managed as community protected area 2. If divided amongst users<br />
3. If managed as closure area 4. If managed under investors<br />
5. if managed as public reserve/ state national park/<br />
______________________________________________________________________________<br />
______________________________________________________________________________<br />
50. Are there any problems in sharing the resources at AY 1. Yes<br />
2. No if yes, what are those problems<br />
___________________________________________________________________________<br />
___________________________________________________________________________<br />
79
2: Contingency tables<br />
Table 1: Chi-square test of HHs land ownership status and economic resource utilization from<br />
Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
HHs land ownership<br />
status<br />
sample HH got economic benefit from Mt.<br />
Abune Yoseph<br />
not benefited<br />
Total<br />
benefited<br />
0 16 16<br />
not own farmland<br />
own farm land 24 80 104<br />
Total 24 96 120<br />
Chi-Square Tests<br />
Value df<br />
Asymp. Sig. (2-<br />
sided)<br />
Exact Sig.<br />
(2-sided)<br />
Exact Sig.<br />
(1-sided)<br />
Pearson Chi-Square 4.615(b) 1 .032<br />
Continuity Correction(a) 3.286 1 .070<br />
Likelihood Ratio 7.734 1 .005<br />
Fisher's Exact Test .039 .021<br />
Linear-by-Linear<br />
Association<br />
4.577 1 .032<br />
N of Valid Cases 120<br />
Table 2: Chi-square test of HHs sex for wolf number estimation at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> estimate number at Mt. Abune Yoseph by sample HHs Total<br />
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 20 25 30 35 40 50 60<br />
sex male 1 0 1 3 4 3 1 5 0 18 1 2 11 4 2 7 8 18 1 4 8 1 103<br />
female 0 1 2 2 1 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 17<br />
Total 1 1 3 5 5 5 1 5 1 23 1 2 12 4 2 8 8 19 1 4 8 1 120<br />
Chi-Square Tests<br />
Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)<br />
Pearson Chi-Square 33.495(a) 21 .041<br />
Likelihood Ratio 30.799 21 .077<br />
Linear-by-Linear Association 10.329 1 .001<br />
N of Valid Cases<br />
120<br />
80
Table 3: Chi-square test of HHs family size to estimate wolf number at Mt. Abune Yoseph<br />
family <strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> estimate number at Mt. Abune Yoseph by sample HHs Total<br />
size 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 20 25 30 35 40 50 60<br />
1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3<br />
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 0 11<br />
4 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 18<br />
5 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 3 0 1 1 1 19<br />
6 1 1 1 2 0 2 1 0 0 6 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 4 0 1 3 0 28<br />
7 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 5 0 0 1 0 18<br />
8 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 17<br />
9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3<br />
10 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2<br />
Total 1 1 3 5 5 5 1 5 1 23 1 2 12 4 2 8 8 19 1 4 8 1 120<br />
Chi-Square Tests<br />
Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)<br />
Pearson Chi-Square 222.280(a) 189 .049<br />
Likelihood Ratio 132.744 189 .999<br />
Linear-by-Linear Association .037 1 .847<br />
N of Valid Cases<br />
120<br />
Table 4: Chi-square test of HHs educational status to estimate wolf number at Mt. Abune<br />
Yoseph<br />
Educational <strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> estimate number at Mt. Abune Yoseph by sample HHs Total<br />
status of<br />
HHs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 20 25 30 35 40 50 60<br />
illiterate 1 1 3 5 5 4 1 4 1 15 0 0 5 3 0 2 2 7 0 1 3 0 63<br />
literate 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 8 1 2 7 1 2 6 6 12 1 3 5 1 57<br />
Total 1 1 3 5 5 5 1 5 1 23 1 2 12 4 2 8 8 19 1 4 8 1 120<br />
Chi-Square Tests<br />
Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)<br />
Pearson Chi-Square 37.674(a) 21 .014<br />
Likelihood Ratio 47.441 21 .001<br />
Linear-by-Linear Association 16.736 1 .000<br />
N of Valid Cases<br />
120<br />
81
Table 5: Chi-square test of HHs based on livestock number to estimate wolf number at Mt.<br />
Abune Yoseph<br />
HHs<br />
livestock<br />
<strong>Ethiopian</strong> <strong>Wolf</strong> estimate number at Mt. Abune Yoseph by sample HHs Total<br />
number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 20 25 30 35 40 50 60<br />
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6<br />
4 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6<br />
5 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 8<br />
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 7<br />
7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 9<br />
8 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 5<br />
9 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 10<br />
10 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 5<br />
11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 5<br />
12 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 4<br />
13 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 5<br />
14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 5<br />
15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2<br />
16 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 7<br />
17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2<br />
19 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 6<br />
20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2<br />
21 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 6<br />
22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2<br />
24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1<br />
26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3<br />
27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1<br />
28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1<br />
34 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1<br />
78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1<br />
Total 1 1 3 5 5 5 1 5 1 23 1 2 12 4 2 8 8 19 1 4 8 1 120<br />
82
Chi-Square Tests<br />
Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)<br />
Pearson Chi-Square 773.891(a) 714 .059<br />
Likelihood Ratio 322.989 714 1.000<br />
Linear-by-Linear Association 2.374 1 .123<br />
N of Valid Cases<br />
120<br />
83