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PAD 5701 Quantitative Analysis Fall 2012 Thursday, 5:30-8:15 PM ...

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<strong>PAD</strong> <strong>5701</strong> <strong>Quantitative</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

<strong>Fall</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

<strong>Thursday</strong>, 5:<strong>30</strong>-8:<strong>15</strong> <strong>PM</strong><br />

314 HCB<br />

Dr. Jayce L. Farmer<br />

Office Hours: Tuesday & <strong>Thursday</strong> 3:00 – 5:00 or by appointment<br />

Office: 650 Bellamy<br />

Phone: 645-1914<br />

E-Mail: jfarmer@fsu.edu<br />

All course materials and instructional changes will be posted on the course’s Blackboard site.<br />

All students must obtain an FSU e-mail account in order to receive messages from the<br />

Blackboard system. FSU’s Blackboard address is http://campus.fsu.edu/webapps/login.<br />

Students not familiar with Blackboard can visit its resource website at<br />

http://resources.blackboard.com/scholar/general/pages/ictraining/. Students may also contact<br />

the computer lab or computing services for help.<br />

Course Description and Learning Objectives<br />

This course is the second of the 5700-<strong>5701</strong> sequence of introductory statistics courses. While<br />

the first stresses research design issues, this one concentrates on the utilization and<br />

appropriateness of statistical techniques in the assessment of collected data. Statistics is a<br />

valuable tool that can be used to help public and non-profit managers, or any other<br />

professionals make sound decisions based on the given evidence of data. It contributes to<br />

students’ analytical understanding of such subjects as program evaluation, performance<br />

management, impact assessment, and policy analysis. Upon taking this class, students will be<br />

able to:<br />

• Manage collected data appropriate to a research design<br />

• Present descriptive information of data graphically<br />

• Understand the logic of statistical inference and hypothesis testing<br />

• Know how to use data to improve managerial decisions<br />

• Conduct basic statistical tests such as the T-test, One-Way ANOVA, and linear<br />

regression<br />

• Develop interpretative skills for various statistical tests<br />

• Develop basic computer skills in analyzing statistical data.<br />

Prerequisites and Assumptions<br />

• A “B-“ or better in <strong>PAD</strong> 5700<br />

• College-level algebra skills<br />

Required Textbook<br />

Meir, Brudney, & Bohte. Applied Statistics for Public & Nonprofit Administration, 8 th ed. (4 th<br />

edition or higher is acceptable). Boston Duxbury Press. Earlier editions may have different<br />

chapter sequences and slightly different content.<br />

The book can be found at the FSU Bookstore, Bill’s Bookstore, www.amazon.com, or<br />

www.bestbookbuys.com.


Additional materials may be posted on the course’s blackboard website.<br />

Required Instruments<br />

• Calculator: Bring a calculator for each class, as occasionally one will be need. A simple<br />

calculator with basic functions will suffice.<br />

• SPSS: Access to SPSS is required. The student version or more sophisticated full<br />

version can be obtained from the bookstores or online. However, the software is<br />

available on several computers located in many computer labs throughout campus,<br />

including our school’s lab located on the 6 th floor of the Bellamy building. Students are<br />

allowed to obtain assistance from lab assistants, doctoral students, or any other sources<br />

regarding the use of SPSS (as long as it is not directly related to graded assignments).<br />

If there are any computers in our department lab that does not have SPSS, please let<br />

me know immediately.<br />

• Excel: Access to Excel is required.<br />

Course Evaluation<br />

Grades will be assessed only by the following, which means no extra credit will be given:<br />

• Homework assignments (three) – <strong>15</strong>%<br />

• Midterm (open notes) - <strong>30</strong>% (November 1)<br />

• <strong>Quantitative</strong> research paper – 25%<br />

• Final exam (open book, open notes) – <strong>30</strong>% (December 13)<br />

Letter grades will be assigned as follows: A=93 or higher; A-=90 to 92.99; B+=87.5 to 89.99;<br />

B=82.5 to 87.49; B-=79.5 to 82.49 (anything less than a B- is considered as failing this course,<br />

thus resulting in the student having to re-take in a future semester); C+=77.5 to 79.49; C=72.5<br />

to 77.49; C-=69.5 to 72.49; D+=67.5 to 69.49; D=62.5 to 67.49; D-=59.5 to 62.49; F= anything<br />

less than 59.5.<br />

No grade adjustments will be made after the final exam<br />

Incomplete: A grade of incomplete (“I”) will be given if unforeseeable circumstances keep you<br />

from completing the course requirements within the normal semester. If you request an “I,”<br />

please submit the necessary documentation to prove the “circumstances” (either work or<br />

personal related). Please do not ask the instructor whether you need to bring documentation to<br />

prove – you must.<br />

Late Assignments:<br />

• No late homework will be accepted, as the answers will be discussed in class.<br />

• Late research papers will be deducted one letter grade.<br />

• A make-up mid-term exam may be given if you bring documentation proving any<br />

unforeseen circumstances (such as work or personal related). Please keep in mind that<br />

the instructor reserves the right to not accept any documented excuses.<br />

• No make-up final exam will be given.<br />

Group Assignments: Over the course of the semester, the instructor will require students to<br />

work together in groups for homework assignments. All groups and group members will be<br />

organized and chosen by the students. Consequently, it is the students’ responsibility to ensure<br />

that all group participants complete their portions of the assignments, as well as complete them<br />

on time. Good public and non-profit managers often have to put aside their differences to<br />

organize and work with others in order to get things accomplished.


Other Policies<br />

Syllabus Changes: The instructor reserves the right to alter the syllabus as deemed necessary.<br />

Students will be notified of syllabus changes via the class Blackboard site or by e-mail.<br />

Academic Honesty: Borrowing and building upon others’ ideas is acceptable, but presenting<br />

those ideas as our own without acknowledging it is not. All written work should have a<br />

bibliography (or references section) using a standard format (APA style preferred).<br />

To avoid plagiarism, you are advised that:<br />

1. If you take material that is not yours, from any source whatsoever, and copy it into<br />

assignments for this class, you must provide a footnote, endnote, or parenthetical reference<br />

to the source of the material.<br />

2. Any material which quotes verbatim from other sources must be enclosed in quotation<br />

marks and its source attributed as noted in rule #1 above.<br />

3. Material not taken verbatim from a text but paraphrased must be attributed as in rule #1.<br />

4. Violations of these rules in any assignment may be subject to a minimum penalty of a grade<br />

of zero for the assignment and may result in a grade of “F” for the course.<br />

You are expected to uphold the Academic Honor Code published tin the Florida State University<br />

Bulletin and the Student Handbook. The Academic Honor Policy outlines the University’s<br />

expectations for the integrity of students’ academic work, the procedures for resolving alleged<br />

violations, and the rights and responsibilities of students and faculty members throughout the<br />

process. Students are responsible for reading the policy and living up to their pledge as can be<br />

found at http://dof.fsu.edu/honorpolicy.htm. Violations to these rules in any assignment may be<br />

subject to a minimum penalty of failing grade for the assignment and could result in a grade of<br />

“F” for the course.<br />

Accommodations for Students with Disabilities: Students with disabilities needing academic<br />

accommodation should: 1) register with and provide documentation to the Student Disability<br />

Resource Center (SDRC); and 2) bring a letter from the SDRC to the instructor indicating the<br />

need for accommodation and what type. This should be done during the first week of class.<br />

This syllabus and other class materials are available in alternative format upon request. For<br />

more information about services available to FSU students with disabilities, contact:<br />

SDRC at (850) 644-9566 (voice); (850) 644-8504 (TDD); e-mail: sdrc@admin.fsu.edu;<br />

http://www.disabilitycenter.fsu.edu/<br />

<strong>Quantitative</strong> Research Paper<br />

Students will be required to write and submit a research paper that displays your ability to<br />

conduct a quantitative analysis of some topic in public or nonprofit administration (APA style,<br />

Double-spaced, 12 point font written in Times New Roman, Arial, Courier, Cambria or Calibri.<br />

Page parameters are up to you, but please do not exceed 25 pages). Unlike the research<br />

proposal paper that you should have done in <strong>PAD</strong> 5700, this paper will require you to conduct<br />

an actual analysis and present/analyze empirical findings. This paper will require you to use<br />

any method of statistical analysis that you have learned in class. Thus, your paper should be a<br />

quantitative research paper, and not qualitative. Keep in mind that quantitative research


equires analysts to use standardized measures that fit diverse phenomena into predetermined<br />

categories. These phenomena are then analyzed using some form of statistical analysis. On<br />

the other hand qualitative research permit analysts to study a small number of selected issues,<br />

cases, or events in depth and in detail. Here, data are not constrained to fixed categories and<br />

are normally not analyzed using numerical measurements.<br />

Your paper will consist of a research question, hypotheses surrounding that research question<br />

and methods of analysis that analyze your hypotheses. The following highlight the full<br />

requirements of the paper:<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

Title page<br />

Executive summary or Abstract<br />

Introduction that presents the problem to be analyzed and your research<br />

question (AKA your problem statement)<br />

Review of literature that highlights the issues or prior research regarding your<br />

research question (the literature review develops your conceptual framework and<br />

should give support to your hypotheses)<br />

Hypotheses (these can be included in the literature review section, given their<br />

own section that highlights your conceptual framework or included in the<br />

description of your methods. This depends on the flow of your paper)<br />

Methods<br />

§ Data description, use of data and origin<br />

§ Variable description and operation<br />

§ Brief description of statistical method<br />

§ Descriptive statistics<br />

Findings (This section will describe the results of your statistical analysis and<br />

present any tables, charts or visuals that illustrate your findings.)<br />

Discussion (This section will elaborate your findings within the context of your<br />

conceptual framework. Did the results support or refute your hypotheses Do<br />

your results contribute to or contest the conceptual framework Why or why not<br />

Conclusion (Tie the summary of your findings in with your research question.<br />

What are the implications of your answer to the research question How does<br />

your answer to the research question address the problem you stated at the<br />

beginning Basically, what should we have learned from your research Finally,<br />

how does your research contribute to the literature or how can it assist policy<br />

makers in their decisions Can further research be done on this topic If so,<br />

how)<br />

Appendices (if applicable)<br />

References (The reference list should consist of at least 10 references, of which<br />

the majority should come from reputable books (found in the library), academic<br />

journals or government documents)


Course Outline<br />

Keep in mind that the following schedule may change during the term based upon class<br />

progress.<br />

Week 1: Introduction 8/<strong>30</strong><br />

Discussing syllabus, Blackboard, SPSS, and other requirements<br />

Go to lab and play with SPSS<br />

Week 2: Foundations of a Research Design 9/6<br />

Read text: Chap 2 & 3<br />

• Understand the basic components of a research design<br />

• Know what is to be expected in the quantitative research paper<br />

Think about topic for research paper (have topic ready to present to class on 9/13)<br />

Week 3: Frequency Distributions 9/13 (meet in department lab if available)<br />

Read text: Chap 4<br />

• Choose an appropriate graph to present data in a research paper<br />

• Draw a histogram, bar chart, and a frequency polygon using SPSS and Excel<br />

to produce graphs<br />

Be ready to present research paper topic<br />

Week 4: Measures of Central Tendency and Dispersion 9/20<br />

Read text: Chap 5 & 6<br />

Calculate the mean, median and mode<br />

• Choose the appropriate measure of central tendency for a given question<br />

• Present the meaning of standard deviation<br />

Homework assignment 1 available on Blackboard site after class (due 10/4)<br />

Week 5: Probability and Normal Probability Distribution 9/27 (meet in department lab)<br />

Read text: Chap 7 & 8<br />

• Summarize the features of a normal distribution<br />

• Calculate the Z score and use the Z score table<br />

Week 6: Inferential Statistics 10/4<br />

Homework 1 due at beginning of class<br />

Read text: Chap 11 & 13<br />

• Know the meaning of the t distribution<br />

• Know the meaning of the standard error and t value and how to calculate<br />

• Calculate confidence limit for proportions & percentages<br />

Be ready to present an update on research paper progress<br />

Homework assignment 2 available on Blackboard (due 10/18)<br />

Week 7: Hypothesis Testing 10/11 (meet in department lab)<br />

Read text: Chap 12<br />

• Formulate a null and working hypothesis<br />

• Conduct one and two-tailed tests<br />

• Understand type I and type II errors<br />

• Determine sample size


Week 8: Testing the Difference between Groups 10/18 (meet in department lab if available)<br />

Homework 2 due at the beginning of class<br />

Read text: Chap 14<br />

• Use two sample t-test<br />

• Use SPSS for two group sample t-test<br />

• Interpret SPSS results<br />

Week 9: <strong>Analysis</strong> of Nominal and Ordinal data 10/25<br />

Read text: Chap <strong>15</strong><br />

• Be able to use contingency table<br />

• Discussion of parametric and non-parametric tests<br />

• Introduction to One-Way ANOVA<br />

Be ready to present a short update on research paper progress (data collection)<br />

Week 10: Midterm Exam 11/1<br />

Week 11: Statistical Significance of Contingency tables 11/8<br />

Read text: Chap 16<br />

• Use Chi-square test<br />

• Use other measures of association<br />

Week 12 Introduction to Regression <strong>Analysis</strong> 11/<strong>15</strong> (meet in department lab if available)<br />

Read text: Chap 18, 19 & 21<br />

• Understanding B.L.U.E.<br />

• Understanding the linear & multiple regression processes and assumptions<br />

• Running regressions in SPSS<br />

Homework 3 Available on BB<br />

Week 13: No class Thanksgiving Day 11/22<br />

Week 14: Introduction to Regression <strong>Analysis</strong> (continued) 11/29<br />

Homework 3 due<br />

• Understanding the coefficient and determination<br />

• Interpreting regression results<br />

Week <strong>15</strong> <strong>Quantitative</strong> Research Papers Due 12/6<br />

Students give a short presentation on research paper, briefly discuss:<br />

• Research question and importance<br />

• Data collection and methods<br />

• Findings<br />

Week 16: Final Exam 12/13 (Regular class time)

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