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Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> Modelling System<br />

for the Philippines<br />

27 May 2010<br />

UNDP Conference Room, Makati City, Philippines<br />

NONG C. RANGASA<br />

CIRCA Executive Director<br />

Project Manager, JP UN MDG-F1656 ALBAY DEMO<br />

Partners: Asia Pacific Network (APN)<br />

University of Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Australia/<strong>CLIM</strong> Limited<br />

University of the Philippines Los Banos


History and Overview<br />

• <strong>CLIM</strong>system in collaboration with the<br />

Provincial Government of <strong>Albay</strong>- Centre for<br />

Initiatives and Research on Climate<br />

Adaptation (CIRCA), UPLB and University of<br />

Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Australia has<br />

initiated the first application of the world<br />

leading Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> technology in the<br />

Philippines


Who is Sim<strong>CLIM</strong><br />

• Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> is a computer model system for<br />

examining the effects of climate variability and<br />

change over time and space;<br />

• Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> is an “open framework” modelling<br />

system which allows users to customise the<br />

model for their own geographical area and<br />

spatial resolution and to attach models; and<br />

• It has the capacity to assess baseline climates<br />

and current variability and extremes.


Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> can also be used<br />

• Assess present and future risks<br />

• Investigate present and future adaptation<br />

• Create scenarios of climate and sea level<br />

change<br />

• Conduct sensitivity analyses<br />

• Project sectoral impacts of climate and sea<br />

level change<br />

• Examine risks and uncertainties; and<br />

• Facilitate integrated impacts analyses.


Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> is designed for bridging the gap<br />

between science and policy/planning, particularly<br />

to support decision making and climate proofing<br />

in a wide range of situations where climate and<br />

climate change pose risk and uncertainty; and<br />

Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> and its functionality could be applied in<br />

the work programmes of several agencies in the<br />

country.


Variables that can be included in this<br />

customised Sim<strong>CLIM</strong><br />

• Temperature<br />

• Precipitation<br />

• Solar radiation<br />

• Relative Humidity<br />

• Wind Speed<br />

• Sea surface temperatures<br />

• Sea level Rise


Methods for development of a<br />

Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> for the Philippines:<br />

• Statistical downscaled GCM precipitation<br />

and Temperature change pattern;<br />

• The New GEV analysis method<br />

• Climate variables other than precipitation<br />

and temperature<br />

• Sea surface temperature patterns<br />

• Study Areas<br />

• Applications


Other Considerations:<br />

• The standard <strong>CLIM</strong>systems impact models<br />

will be included with the Philippines <strong>CLIM</strong><br />

package:<br />

• Data Browser<br />

• Extreme Event Analysis<br />

• Sea Level Rise Scenario Generator<br />

• Map Calculator<br />

• Degree day Model; and<br />

• Coastal erosion model


Other Considerations:<br />

• Additional capacity to interface with the<br />

Decision Support System for Agrotechnology<br />

Transfer (DSSAT) and Danish Hydrological<br />

Institute (DHI) Water and Environment MIKE<br />

Series software products can also be<br />

provided as an integral part of Philippines<br />

<strong>CLIM</strong>


DIOS MABALOS<br />

Sim<strong>CLIM</strong> / <strong>Albay</strong><strong>CLIM</strong>

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