Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
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Efficiency, “burn-in”, and convergence<br />
• If proposal ldistribution ib i is narrow relative to target distribution ib i ,<br />
will take a long time for random walk to cover the distribution.<br />
– Algorithm will not be efficient: takes too many steps to accumulate<br />
a representative sample.<br />
– Particular problem if initial position of random walk is in region of<br />
target distribution that is flat and low.<br />
• Random walk moves only slowly away from starting position<br />
into denser region.<br />
– Unrepresentative starting gposition can lead to low efficiency even<br />
if proposal distribution isn’t narrow.<br />
• Solution: early steps of random walk are excluded from portion<br />
of Markov chain considered to be representative of target<br />
distribution.<br />
– Excluded initial steps: burn-in period.