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<strong>Problems</strong><br />

1. If two fair dice are rolled 10 times, what is the probability of at least one 6 (on either die) in exactly<br />

five of these 10 rolls<br />

2. On a random day, the number of vacant rooms of a big hotel in New York City is 35, on average. What<br />

is the probability that next Saturday this hotel has at least 30 vacant rooms<br />

3. Suppose that X is a Poisson random variable with P (X = 1) = P (X = 3). Find the P (X = 5).<br />

4. An absentminded professor does not remember which of his 12 keys will open his office door. If he<br />

tries them at random and with replacement:<br />

a. On average, how many keys should he try before his door opens<br />

b. What is the probability that he opens his office door after only three tries<br />

5. Suppose that 20% of a group of people have hazel eyes. What is the probability that the eighth<br />

passenger boarding a plane is the third one having hazel eyes Assume that passengers boarding the<br />

plane form a randomly chosen group.<br />

6. From a panel of prospective jurors, 12 are selected at random. If there are 200 men and 160 women<br />

on the panel, what is the probability that more than half of the jury selected are women<br />

7. It takes a professor a random time between 20 and 27 minutes to walk from his <strong>home</strong> to school every<br />

day. If he has class at 9:00 A.M. and he leaves <strong>home</strong> at 8:37 A.M., find the probability that he reaches<br />

his class on time.<br />

8. Suppose that a Scottish soldier’s chest size is normally distributed with mean 39.8 and standard<br />

deviation 2.05 inches, respectively. What is the probability that of 20 randomly selected Scottish<br />

soldiers, five have a chest of at least 40 inches<br />

9. Suppose that lifetimes of light bulbs produced by a certain company are normal random variables with<br />

mean 1000 hours and standard deviation 100 hours. Is this company correct when it claims that 95%<br />

of its light bulbs last at least 900 hours<br />

10. The lifetime of a TV tube (in years) is an exponential random variable with mean 10. If Jim bought<br />

his TV set 10 years ago, what is the probability that its tube will last another 10 years<br />

11. In a hospital, babies are born at a Poisson rate of 12 per day. What is the probability that it takes at<br />

least seven hours before the next three babies are born<br />

12. The grades of students in a calculus-based probability course are normal with a mean of 72 and standard<br />

deviation 7. If 90, 80, 70, and 60 are the respective lowest, A, B, C, and D, what percent of students<br />

in this course get A’s, B’s, C’s, D’s, and F’s<br />

13. Alan and Susie play a series of backgammon games until one of them wins five games. Suppose that<br />

the games are independent and the probability that Susie wins is 0.58.<br />

a. Find the probability that the series ends in seven games.<br />

b. If the series ends in seven games, what is the probability that Susie wins<br />

1


14. A certain basketball player makes a foul shot with probability 0.45. Determine for what value of k the<br />

probability of k baskets in 10 shots is maximized, and find this maximized probability.<br />

15. A restaurant serves eight fish entrées, 12 beef, and 12 poultry. If customers select from these entrées<br />

randomly, what is the expected number of fish entrées ordered by the next four customers<br />

16. Suppose that a certain bank returns bad checks at a Poisson rate of three per day. What is the<br />

probability that this bank returns at most four bad checks during the next two days<br />

17. When a certain car breaks down, the time that it takes to fix it (in hours) is a random variable with<br />

the density function f(x) = ce −3x if 0 ≤ x < inf and 0 otherwise.<br />

a. Calculate the value of c.<br />

b. Find the probability that when this car breaks down, it takes at most 30 minutes to fix it.<br />

18. The breaking strength of a certain type of yarn produced by a certain vendor is normal with mean 95<br />

and standard deviation 11. What is the probability that, in a random sample of size 10 from the stock<br />

of this vendor, the breaking strength of at least two are over 100<br />

19. If X is the number of 6’s which appear when 72 dice are thrown, what is the expected value of X 2 <br />

20. The moment generating function of a random variable X is e 4(et −1) . Show that P (µ − 2σ < X <<br />

µ + 2σ) = 0.931.<br />

21. Accidents occur at an intersection at a rate of three per day. What is the probability that during<br />

January there are exactly three days (not necessarily consecutive) without any accidents<br />

22. The time it takes for a student to finish an aptitude test (in hours) has a density function of the form<br />

f(x) = c(x − 1)(2 − x) if 1 < x < 2 and 0 elsewhere.<br />

a. Determine the constant c.<br />

b. What is the probability that a student will finish the aptitude test in less than 75 minutes Between<br />

1.5 and 2 hours<br />

23. The amount of cereal in a box is normal with mean 16.5 ounces. If the packager is required to fill at<br />

least 90% of the cereal boxes with 16 or more ounces of cereal, what is the largest standard deviation<br />

for the amount of cereal in a box<br />

24. Customers arrive at a restaurant at a Poisson rate of 12 per hour. If the restaurant makes a profit<br />

only after 30 customers have arrived, what is the expected length of time until the restaurant starts to<br />

make a profit<br />

25. The moment generating function of a random variable X is ( 2 3 + 1 3 et ) 9 . Show that<br />

P (µ − 2σ < X < µ + 2σ) =<br />

5∑<br />

i=1<br />

( 9<br />

x)<br />

( 1 3 )x ( 2 3 )9−x<br />

2

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