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Shea & Company Annual Software Market Review - 2007

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Trading Multiples by Segment<br />

($ millions)<br />

Share Price <strong>Market</strong> Enterprise Projected Revenue [a] EV / Revenue Projected EPS [a] P/E Multiple<br />

<strong>Company</strong> (12/31/07) Value Value CY07E CY08E Growth % CY07E CY08E CY07E CY08E Growth % CY07E CY08E<br />

Global Diversified<br />

Microsoft $ 34.53 $ 326,390 $ 295,109 $ 57,468 $ 62,445 8.7% 5.1 x 4.7 x $ 1.79 $ 1.91 6.7% 19.3 x 18.1 x<br />

Cisco Systems 33.01 208,185 190,219 37,657 43,233 14.8% 5.1 4.4 1.48 1.69 14.2% 22.3 19.5<br />

IBM 108.86 152,933 174,431 97,718 102,370 4.8% 1.8 1.7 6.97 7.98 14.5% 15.6 13.6<br />

Hewlett Packard 51.84 138,819 135,557 106,805 113,461 6.2% 1.3 1.2 3.08 3.48 13.0% 16.8 14.9<br />

Oracle 20.51 108,001 105,807 19,966 22,577 13.1% 5.3 4.7 1.11 1.30 17.1% 18.5 15.8<br />

SAP AG 51.47 64,698 60,832 14,540 16,431 13.0% 4.2 3.7 2.25 2.60 15.6% 22.9 19.8<br />

EMC 21.37 50,890 43,537 13,071 14,768 13.0% 3.3 2.9 0.69 0.84 21.7% 31.0 25.4<br />

Mean $ 49,604 $ 53,612 10.5% 3.7 x 3.3 x $ 2.48 $ 2.83 14.7% 20.9 x 18.2 x<br />

Median 37,657 43,233 13.0% 4.2 3.7 1.79 1.91 14.5% 19.3 18.1<br />

Business Intelligence<br />

Business Objects $ 61.37 $ 6,050 $ 5,759 $ 1,500 $ 1,691 12.7% 3.8 x 3.4 x $ 1.95 $ 2.35 20.5% 31.5 x 26.1 x<br />

Cognos 57.28 4,916 4,769 1,057 1,240 17.2% 4.5 3.8 1.96 2.40 22.4% 29.2 23.9<br />

Omniture 29.49 1,932 1,769 143 219 53.5% 12.4 8.1 0.20 0.41 105.0% nm 71.9<br />

Informatica 16.87 1,575 1,357 387 445 15.1% 3.5 3.1 0.72 0.74 2.8% 23.4 22.8<br />

MicroStrategy 102.31 1,295 1,219 358 399 11.7% 3.4 3.1 4.84 5.88 21.5% 21.1 17.4<br />

Fair Isaac 25.70 1,293 1,619 813 840 3.3% 2.0 1.9 1.66 1.89 13.9% 15.5 13.6<br />

SPSS 43.13 867 720 287 312 8.9% 2.5 2.3 1.54 1.86 20.8% 28.0 23.2<br />

Visual Sciences 15.38 331 321 82 91 12.0% 3.9 3.5 0.59 0.75 27.1% 26.1 20.5<br />

Keynote Systems 14.48 268 160 70 80 15.0% 2.3 2.0 (0.28) 0.13 nm nm nm<br />

Mean $ 522 $ 591 16.6% 4.3 x 3.5 x $ 1.46 $ 1.82 29.2% 25.0 x 27.4 x<br />

Median 358 399 12.7% 3.5 3.1 1.54 1.86 21.1% 26.1 23.0<br />

Notes:<br />

Enterprise value equals equity value, plus debt, less cash<br />

P/E multiples in excess of 100x are considered to be not meaningful<br />

[a] Wall Street consensus estimates<br />

Source: <strong>Company</strong> releases, Wall Street research, <strong>Shea</strong> & <strong>Company</strong><br />

proprietary & confidential<br />

21

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