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Concept Note - Rights and Resources Initiative

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does not recognize local people’s rights to the l<strong>and</strong>, violates the human rights, fails to take the consent<br />

of the community is not based on thorough social, environment <strong>and</strong> economic assessment win, win<br />

situations which take into account the risks involved. When the process of this transaction of l<strong>and</strong><br />

between one party <strong>and</strong> another is opaque, is not clear, people don’t underst<strong>and</strong> what the contractual<br />

obligations are <strong>and</strong> the binding commitments are not made <strong>and</strong> there is absence of an independent<br />

effective <strong>and</strong> timely oversight of this process <strong>and</strong> of the conflict resolution mechanism as to where the<br />

aggrieved parties can go to. If these conditions are not met we talk about it as a l<strong>and</strong> grab. Now in the<br />

next three slides I would try to make an assessment what is the environment <strong>and</strong> economic assessment<br />

What is it that is driving this phenomenon of L<strong>and</strong> Grab. Now the chart which is in front of you is<br />

developed by Jeremy Grantham <strong>and</strong> essentially shows the GMO Commodity Index. This is based on the<br />

33 commodities prices <strong>and</strong> it is from almost 1900 to year 2010-2012. Now what this graph shows, we<br />

need to just get into it little more deep in it. What it shows is that from the 1900s till about year 2000 on<br />

an average the commodity prices had<br />

been falling at the rate of 1.2% per<br />

year, except for 3 different occasions<br />

which were big cataclysmic events in<br />

the world. So like there was a hike in<br />

the price of the commodities during<br />

the World War I, there was a hike in<br />

the price of commodities during the<br />

World War II, there was a hike the<br />

price of commodities during the oil<br />

shock of the 70s. But what we are<br />

witnessing since year 2000 without<br />

any global major event the<br />

commodity prices have begun to rise<br />

<strong>and</strong> they are staying there. Now this is a new norm, so this is reversing the trend which the world had<br />

witnessed for the last 90 years, in fact almost last 100 years; <strong>and</strong> now the commodity prices are on the<br />

rise. The secular trend shows that there might be fluctuations seasonally or one year to another, but if<br />

you look at the overall trend the commodity prices are increasing <strong>and</strong> they are going to continue to<br />

increase in the coming years this is the part under the circle in which I am trying to say that the dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for commodities far exceeds the supply of commodities <strong>and</strong> therefore the prices will remain high there<br />

is no choice. Now let’s look at the second set of slides. This is, you might call it a speculation on my part<br />

but let me try to wade through this. Firstly, now it is very clear that the money is not with the<br />

governments. Governments are bankrupt everywhere, whether they are developed country<br />

governments or developing country governments they don’t have the money. Money is with the<br />

investors, money is with the private sector, money is with completely different entities than the<br />

governments. Now the developing world is tired of being poor <strong>and</strong> left behind <strong>and</strong> they have now given<br />

up hope on this Washington consensus, if you behave properly, if you do things as under certain<br />

conditions then you get money from the world bank <strong>and</strong> from the developed countries <strong>and</strong> you would<br />

be able to move on the growth path very quickly. Now that the world has given this up, the developing<br />

country governments now looking to modernize their economies through an old inequitable <strong>and</strong><br />

Page 12

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