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Advantage Ratio as a Tool in Post-Communist Electoral Reforms ...

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mixed electoral system, the hypothesis be<strong>in</strong>g confirmed by the growth <strong>in</strong> the proportion<br />

of list tier <strong>as</strong> a sphere where the competition between political parties is preferred; (3a)<br />

changed the rules with<strong>in</strong> the proportional component of mixed electoral systems, or<br />

(3b.) changed the rules with<strong>in</strong> a list proportional electoral system. Of these changes,<br />

follow<strong>in</strong>g are considered relevant: (1.) changes <strong>in</strong> the electoral threshold – the<br />

hypothesis be<strong>in</strong>g confirmed by the grow<strong>in</strong>g threshold, because the higher the threshold,<br />

the bigger the obstacle placed <strong>in</strong> the way for smaller parties; (2.) modifications to the<br />

threshold or nom<strong>in</strong>ation rules for the coalitions – the hypothesis be<strong>in</strong>g confirmed by the<br />

penalization or exclusion of coalition candidacy, because this h<strong>in</strong>ders or excludes one of<br />

possible strategies that could allow representation of small parties; (3.) effective<br />

changes <strong>in</strong> the number of electoral districts magnitude – effective changes <strong>in</strong> the<br />

number of electoral districts don’t <strong>in</strong>clude marg<strong>in</strong>al shifts where no relevant <strong>in</strong>fluence<br />

can be expected. Changes <strong>in</strong> the number of electoral districts are particularly<br />

disregarded if distribution <strong>in</strong> the second tier is b<strong>as</strong>ed on the logic of compensatory<br />

seats. The hypothesis is confirmed by the growth <strong>in</strong> the number of districts, because<br />

this limits the chances of smaller parties to ga<strong>in</strong> seats. (4.) changes <strong>in</strong> the translation of<br />

votes <strong>in</strong>to seats – the hypothesis be<strong>in</strong>g confirmed if the new translation formula is less<br />

advantageous to small parties; (5.) change <strong>in</strong> threshold sett<strong>in</strong>g – the hypothesis be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

confirmed if national threshold is <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong>stead of regional. Our analysis doesn’t<br />

cover factors of electoral competition related to the translation of votes <strong>in</strong>to seats only<br />

remotely (access to the media, f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g of campaigns etc.), without deny<strong>in</strong>g their<br />

importance.<br />

With regard to how the hypothesis is formulated, we don’t dist<strong>in</strong>guish between<br />

“big” and “small” changes (cf. Smyth 2005). We also th<strong>in</strong>k that such division h<strong>as</strong><br />

absolutely <strong>in</strong>evitably only a nom<strong>in</strong>al character and its heuristic capacity is limited. It is<br />

namely possible even with<strong>in</strong> one category of electoral systems to e<strong>as</strong>ily identify electoral<br />

reforms whose effects are quite comparable to the change of the electoral system type.<br />

For the study electoral dynamics <strong>in</strong> the postcommunist countries, not only vot<strong>in</strong>g<br />

rules but also the actual votes must be taken <strong>in</strong> consideration (Taagepera – Shugart<br />

1993). It w<strong>as</strong> a current politics that each time <strong>in</strong>fluenced vote distribution and helped to<br />

3

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