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Oil and Gas Asset Valuation Decision Analysis Workshop - AIPN

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<strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> <strong>Valuation</strong><br />

<strong>Decision</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> <strong>Workshop</strong><br />

NOVEMBER 1 - 2, 2010<br />

MILLENNIUM HOTEL LONDON KNIGHTSBRIDGE<br />

LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM<br />

2-DAY INTERACTIVE WORKSHOP<br />

This workshop enables legal <strong>and</strong> commercial oil <strong>and</strong> gas professionals to underst<strong>and</strong> the basic principles <strong>and</strong> issues<br />

related to the valuation of upstream oil <strong>and</strong> gas assets. It offers a combination of theoretical knowledge with<br />

h<strong>and</strong>s-on know how of asset valuation <strong>and</strong> decision analysis by utilizing a series of problem solving assignments<br />

<strong>and</strong> case studies. Classroom size is limited to 50 people.<br />

Who Should Attend<br />

The workshop is designed for a broad audience of<br />

upstream oil <strong>and</strong> gas professionals interested in underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

petroleum economics <strong>and</strong> uncertainty<br />

analysis, including but not limited to:<br />

Early Registration Fees<br />

Member: $950 | Non-member: $1,200<br />

Classroom size is limited to 50 people.<br />

Early registration ends September 13, 2010.<br />

After this date, fees will increase by $100.<br />

Geoscientists<br />

Energy Analysts<br />

Planning Analysts<br />

Junior Economists<br />

Petroleum Engineers<br />

Cost Engineers<br />

Controllers<br />

Attorneys<br />

Negotiators<br />

Financial Analysts<br />

Planning Managers<br />

Reservoir Engineers<br />

Accountants<br />

<strong>Workshop</strong> Chairs<br />

Irena Agalliu, IHS CERA<br />

Chris Moore, Moyes & Co.<br />

Millennium Hotel London Knightsbridge<br />

17 Sloane Street, Knightsbridge<br />

London, United Kingdom<br />

A S S O c I A T I O N O f I N T E R N A T I O N A L P E T R O L E U M N E G O T I A T O R S<br />

www.aipn.org


<strong>Workshop</strong> Schedule <strong>and</strong> Program*<br />

Day One - Monday, Nov. 1, 2010<br />

7:30 – 8:30 Coffee <strong>and</strong> Tea<br />

8:30 – 8:45 Introduction & Course Overview<br />

8:45 – 9:30 Fundamentals of Discounted Cash Flow<br />

<strong>Analysis</strong><br />

− After Tax Cash Flow Derivation<br />

− Basic Taxation Principles<br />

9:30 – 10:00 Fundamentals of Discounted Cash Flow<br />

<strong>Analysis</strong><br />

− Time Value of Money<br />

− Exercises<br />

10:00 – 10:15 Coffee Break<br />

10:15 – 11:45 Fundamentals of Discounted Cash Flow<br />

<strong>Analysis</strong><br />

− Common Economic Indicators<br />

− Sunk Costs<br />

− Other Economic Indicators<br />

− Depreciation Methods<br />

− Net Income v. Net Cash Flow<br />

− Loans<br />

− Real v. Nominal Economics<br />

11:45 – 12:30 Simple Model Construction<br />

12:30 – 1:30 Lunch (provided)<br />

1:30 – 2:00 Upstream Fiscal Systems<br />

− Overview of Global Practices<br />

• Government Contracts<br />

• Main Characteristics of the basic<br />

contract types<br />

− Historical Evolution & Current Trends<br />

2:00 – 2:45 Upstream Fiscal Systems – Royalty/Tax<br />

− Key Elements <strong>and</strong> Structure<br />

− Fiscal Components & Cash Flow<br />

Generation<br />

− Basis for Fiscal Levies<br />

2:45 – 3:00 Exercises<br />

3:00 – 3:15 Coffee Break<br />

3:15 – 3:45 Upstream Fiscal Systems – Production<br />

Sharing<br />

− Key Elements <strong>and</strong> Structure<br />

− Fiscal Components & Cash Flow<br />

Generation<br />

− Basis for Fiscal Levies<br />

3:45 – 4:00 Upstream Fiscal Systems – Service<br />

Contract<br />

− Key Elements <strong>and</strong> Structure<br />

− Fiscal Components & Cash Flow<br />

Generation<br />

− Basis for Fiscal Levies<br />

4:00 – 4:30 Upstream Fiscal Systems<br />

− Additional Fiscal Measures<br />

− Quantitative Measurement of Fiscal<br />

Systems<br />

• Government Take<br />

• State Take<br />

4:30 – 4:45 Upstream Fiscal Systems<br />

− Types of Fiscal Regimes<br />

• Progressive<br />

• Regressive<br />

• Neutral<br />

4:45 – 5:30 Simple Model Construction<br />

*<strong>AIPN</strong> reserves the right to change the program <strong>and</strong> speakers unannounced <strong>and</strong> at any time.<br />

October 15, 2010 – <strong>Valuation</strong> <strong>Workshop</strong> Program


<strong>Workshop</strong> Schedule <strong>and</strong> Program<br />

(Continued)<br />

Day Two - Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2010<br />

7:30 – 8:30 Coffee <strong>and</strong> Tea<br />

8:30 – 9:15 Uncertainty <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

− Risk Tolerance<br />

− Risk Neutrality<br />

9:15 – 10:00 Choosing the Right Statistic<br />

− Measures of Central Tendency<br />

− Pros <strong>and</strong> Cons<br />

10:00 – 10:30 Coffee Break<br />

10:30 – 11:00 Assessing the Value of Information<br />

− The value of flexibility<br />

− Uncertainty in project scheduling<br />

11: 00 – 12:30 Interactive workshop<br />

12:30 – 1:30 Lunch (provided)<br />

1:30 – 3:00 Exploration Prospect <strong>Valuation</strong><br />

− Competitive Bid Round, Onshore<br />

Petrolia<br />

• Set up, Guidance, Bid Group<br />

Meetings, Submission of Bids<br />

3:00 – 3:30 Coffee Break<br />

3:30 – 4:30 Exploration Prospect <strong>Valuation</strong><br />

− <strong>Decision</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

• Petrolia Bid Round Results <strong>and</strong><br />

Commentary<br />

• MMS Deepwater Gulf of Mexico<br />

Central Planning Area Bid<br />

<strong>Analysis</strong>, 2003-2009<br />

• Issues <strong>and</strong> Pitfalls in Upstream<br />

<strong>Valuation</strong>s<br />

4:30 – 5:00 Review <strong>and</strong> Conclusion<br />

*<strong>AIPN</strong> reserves the right to change the program <strong>and</strong> speakers unannounced <strong>and</strong> at any time.<br />

October 15, 2010 – <strong>Valuation</strong> <strong>Workshop</strong> Program


A s s o c i a t i o n o f I n t e r n a t i o n a l P e t r o l e u m N e g o t i a t o r s<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> <strong>Valuation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Decision</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> <strong>Workshop</strong><br />

Millennium Hotel London Knightsbridge | London, United Kingdom| November 1 - 2, 2010<br />

R E G I S T R AT I O N F O R M<br />

Registration Information - Send your completed registration form with payment information by fax: +1 281-558-7073, e-mail:<br />

aipnevents@aipn.org or mail: <strong>AIPN</strong>, 11767 Katy Freeway, Suite 412, Houston, TX 77079, USA. PLEASE USE CAPITAL LETTERS ON THIS FORM.<br />

Please indicate:<br />

Mr. Mrs. Ms. Dr. Prof.<br />

First Name:<br />

Last name:<br />

Preferred Name (to appear on name badge):<br />

Company:<br />

Address:<br />

Job title:<br />

City:<br />

State/Province:<br />

Postal Code:<br />

Country:<br />

E-mail address:<br />

Telephone (including country code):<br />

Fax number (including country code):<br />

Please indicate if your job is legal or commercial oriented: legal commercial<br />

<strong>Workshop</strong> Fees - Your registration includes workshop materials, lunch <strong>and</strong> coffee breaks. Your registration does not include hotel <strong>and</strong> travel<br />

accommodations. All prices listed are in US dollars.<br />

Registration Type by September 13, 2010 after September 13, 2010 Total<br />

<strong>AIPN</strong> Member<br />

Non-member<br />

Student<br />

$950<br />

$1,200<br />

Sold out<br />

$1,050<br />

$1,300<br />

Sold out<br />

<strong>Workshop</strong> Fee Total $<br />

Payment Details - Payment can be made by credit card, check (US funds drawn on a US bank only) or wire transfer. Please make checks<br />

payable to <strong>AIPN</strong>, Houston, USA. Contact the <strong>AIPN</strong> office for wire transfer information: accounting@aipn.org, additional fees will apply.<br />

I will pay by Credit Card. I will pay by Check. #: I will pay by Wire Transfer.<br />

American Express Master Card Visa<br />

Name (as it appears on card):<br />

Credit Card Number:<br />

Expiration date:<br />

Cardholder’s signature:<br />

Special Needs - Please indicate any special needs below.<br />

Dietary:<br />

Vegetarian<br />

Kosher<br />

Food Allergy (please specify):<br />

Other special needs:<br />

Wheelchair Assistance<br />

Cancellation/Refund Policy: Registration fees are refundable until September 13, 2010 with a $250 administrative charge. After that date, fees are<br />

non-refundable. Timely delegate substitutions will be permitted. Please note: Total amount must be paid in full for registration to be processed.<br />

Please note that by registering for this event you agree to have your contact information printed in the attendee materials; you may have your<br />

photo taken <strong>and</strong> your likeness may be used in future <strong>AIPN</strong> promotional materials.

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