Government of Nepal Ministry of Local Development ... - raidp
Government of Nepal Ministry of Local Development ... - raidp
Government of Nepal Ministry of Local Development ... - raidp
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<strong>Government</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong><br />
<strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />
Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and<br />
Agricultural Roads (DoLIDAR)<br />
Rural Access Improvement and Decentralization Project<br />
(RAIDP)<br />
Prepared by<br />
Dr. Binod Pokharel<br />
(Individual Consultant-Impact Study)<br />
March 2012
ABBREVIATION AND ACRONYMS<br />
ADB Asian <strong>Development</strong> Bank LRUCs <strong>Local</strong> Road User Committees<br />
CBA Cost-Benefit Analysis MOLD <strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Government</strong><br />
CBAS Capacity Building and Advisory MTR Mid Term Review<br />
Services<br />
CBMP Community Based Performance PAF Project Affected Family<br />
Monitoring<br />
CEA Cost-Effective Analysis PCT Project Coordination Team<br />
DDC District <strong>Development</strong> Committee PCU Project Coordination Unit<br />
DDF District <strong>Development</strong> Fund PPMO Public Procurement Monitoring<br />
Office<br />
DFID Department <strong>of</strong> International<br />
<strong>Development</strong><br />
RAIDP Rural Access Improvement and<br />
Decentralization Project<br />
DOLIDAR Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong><br />
RED Road Economic Decision Model<br />
Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and<br />
Agricultural Roads<br />
DOR Department <strong>of</strong> Road RTI Rural Transport Infrastructure<br />
DPT District Participation Framework<br />
DRILP Decentralization Rural<br />
RTIA Right to Information Act<br />
Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and<br />
Livelihood Project<br />
DTMP District Transport Master Plan SDC Swiss Agency for <strong>Development</strong> and<br />
Cooperation<br />
DTO District Technical Office SNV Netherlands Social <strong>Development</strong><br />
and Cooperation<br />
EOP End <strong>of</strong> Project SPAF Severely Project Affected Family<br />
ESMF Environment and Social<br />
SRN Strategic Road Network<br />
Management Framework<br />
GAAP Governance and Accountability SWAP Sector Wide Approach<br />
Action Plan<br />
GON <strong>Government</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> VCDP Vulnerable Communities<br />
<strong>Development</strong> Framework<br />
GTZ Gernam Technical Cooperation VDC Village <strong>Development</strong> Committee<br />
HDM-4 Highway <strong>Development</strong> and<br />
Management Plan<br />
VRCC Village Road Coordination<br />
Committee<br />
IDA International <strong>Development</strong> WFP World Food Program<br />
Association<br />
ILO International Labor Organization ZOI Zone <strong>of</strong> Influence<br />
IME International Money Exchange<br />
IRAP Integrated Rural Accessibility<br />
Planning<br />
ISAP Institutional Strengthening Action<br />
Plan<br />
JT<br />
Junior technician<br />
JTA Junior Technician Assistance<br />
LID <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong>
SUMMARY OF THE PROGRAM<br />
Project Period August 15, 2005 to June30, 2010<br />
Executing Agency<br />
Implementing Agencies<br />
Geographical Coverage<br />
Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure<br />
<strong>Development</strong> and Agricultural Roads<br />
(DoLIDAR), MLD<br />
<strong>Local</strong> Bodies (District <strong>Development</strong><br />
Committees)<br />
30 Districts (20 old & 10 new)<br />
<strong>Development</strong> Partners World Bank<br />
Swiss Agency for <strong>Development</strong> and<br />
Co-operation (SDC),<br />
Asian <strong>Development</strong> Bank<br />
International Labor Organization<br />
(ILO)<br />
UK Department for International<br />
<strong>Development</strong> (DFID),<br />
The German Technical<br />
Financial Resources US$m 32.00<br />
Program Components<br />
(a) Rural Transport Infrastructures (RTI)<br />
improvement in participating districts<br />
and<br />
(b) Capacity Building and Advisory<br />
Services (CBAS).<br />
The RTI Component:<br />
(a) rehabilitation and upgrading <strong>of</strong> about<br />
800 km <strong>of</strong> existing dry-season rural<br />
roads to all season standard;<br />
(b) upgrading <strong>of</strong> about 200 km <strong>of</strong> existing<br />
rural trails and tracks<br />
(c) maintenance <strong>of</strong> about 500 km <strong>of</strong> rural<br />
roads, covering routine and recurrent<br />
maintenance;<br />
(d) construction <strong>of</strong> 350 short-span trail<br />
bridges; and<br />
(e) development <strong>of</strong> small, community<br />
infrastructure, including rehabilitation<br />
(R&R) <strong>of</strong> people affected by the project;<br />
and implementation <strong>of</strong> a pilot rural<br />
transport services scheme
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT<br />
First <strong>of</strong> all, I would like to thank the Rural Access Improvement and Decentralization<br />
Project (RAIDP), Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and Agricultural<br />
Roads (DoLIDAR), <strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Development</strong> for assigning me to undertake this<br />
impact study <strong>of</strong> rural road projects. My special thanks go to Mr. Asok Kumar Jha, Cocoordinator,<br />
RAIDP for his kind cooperation for the completion <strong>of</strong> this impact study. I<br />
would like to express my gratitude to Mr. Shekhar Pokharel, Project Engineer <strong>of</strong> RAIDP<br />
and Dr. Shambhu Kattel, Social <strong>Development</strong> Expert <strong>of</strong> RAIDP for their helpful<br />
comments and feedback that allowed me to finalize the report. I would also like to<br />
express my gratitude to Silva Shrestha, World Bank, for her insightful comments and<br />
suggestions in different stages <strong>of</strong> impact study. I am also obliged to the participants <strong>of</strong><br />
draft report dissemination workshop including Director General <strong>of</strong> DoLIDAR, Mr.<br />
Bhupendra Basnet for their valuable comments and feedback on draft report <strong>of</strong> the<br />
present study.<br />
Special thanks are due to Mr. Deepak Gyawali, Mr. Krishna Gyawali, Mr<br />
Baikuntha Aryal, Rabindra Adhikari, Ms. Susma Kandu and Padam Adhikari from RAIDP<br />
for their prompt logistical support and cooperation during the impact study period. I<br />
would like to thank to Mr. Umesh Kumar Mandal, who was also research consultant <strong>of</strong><br />
baseline survey <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads, for his input in research tool preparation and friendship<br />
during my consultancy services.<br />
I am also obliged to all local development <strong>of</strong>ficers, divisional engineers, SSDCs,<br />
SDCs, PDEs <strong>of</strong> the sample districts for their kind cooperation and generous support<br />
during the field work. My special thanks go to enumerators Mr. Ram Bharose Chaudhari<br />
(Kailali), Mr. Durga Nath Tripathi (Bardiya), Ms. Garima Adhikari (Banke), Mr. Nim Thapa<br />
(Salyan and Dhading), Mr. Dinesh Acharya (Kapilbastu), Mr. Amrit Bashyal (Palpa),<br />
Sirjana Aryal (Nawalparasi), Anita Tiwari (Rupandehi), Mr. Jitendra Chaudhari<br />
(Rautahat), Mr. Binod Kumar Mandal (Siraha), Mr. Dharmendra Kumar Jha (Dhanusa),<br />
Mr. Tek Nath Tiwari (Rasuwa and Nuwakot), Ms. Babita Chaudhari (Udayapur), Mr. Bal<br />
Krishna Paudel (Kaski), Dipesh Ghimire (Makawanpur), Prakash Ahdhikari (Syangja),<br />
Mr. Ram Babu Paswan (Mahottari) and Tej Narayan Chaudhari (Sarlahi) for conducting<br />
household survey, focus group discussion and traffic survey. I also thanks to statisticians<br />
Mr. Shekhar Devkota and Mr. Risi Rijal for coding, editing and data entry <strong>of</strong> household<br />
questionnaire and traffic survey data.<br />
Finally, I indebted to the respondents <strong>of</strong> the surveyed districts for giving me accurate<br />
information and hospitality through out the duration <strong>of</strong> fieldwork<br />
Dr. Binod Pokharel<br />
Individual Consultant <strong>of</strong> Impact Study <strong>of</strong> RAIDP Roads
Executive Summary<br />
Impact Study <strong>of</strong> RAIDP Road Sub- Projects<br />
Rural Access Improvement and Decentralization Project (RAIDP) has been<br />
implementing with the financial assistance <strong>of</strong> the World Bank in 20 districts since 2005.<br />
Since 2010, program has extended into ten new districts. The executing agency is the<br />
Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and Agricultural Roads (DoLIDAR)<br />
under the <strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Development</strong> (MLD) through RAIDP coordination <strong>of</strong>fice. The<br />
project aims to improve the existing rural roads, construct trail bridges and support for<br />
some Community Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> to enhance the access <strong>of</strong> rural road<br />
improvement, the project also includes the construction <strong>of</strong> three dry season rural roads.<br />
The RAIDP program is designed to support efforts to promote poverty reduction in rural<br />
areas by promoting economic development and providing access to basic services that<br />
can increase the quality <strong>of</strong> life <strong>of</strong> the poor.<br />
This impact evaluation is designed to estimate the counterfactual- namely, what would<br />
have happened in the absence <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP intervention. To be carried out in two<br />
phases, the overall objective <strong>of</strong> the impact study is to assess:<br />
<br />
<br />
the magnitude and distribution <strong>of</strong> the direct and indirect socioeconomic impacts <strong>of</strong><br />
RAIDP on target populations, individuals, households, and<br />
to determine the extent to which interventions under the RAIDP cause changes in<br />
the well being <strong>of</strong> targeted population by examining how they change over time in<br />
communities that have RAIDP projects (project groups) compared with those that<br />
do not (comparison groups)<br />
The project development objective (PDO) is to assist for residents <strong>of</strong> participating<br />
districts <strong>of</strong> the recipient to utilize improved rural transport infrastructure and services in<br />
order to have enhanced access to social services and economic opportunities. The PDO<br />
will be monitored with the following indicators:<br />
a) 20 percent increase in motorize and non-motorized trips by beneficiaries by the<br />
end <strong>of</strong> the Project (EOP), and<br />
b) 20 percent reduction in travel time by beneficiaries by EOP,<br />
c) 30 percent increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT) with the project<br />
districts in the categories bus, truck, micro bus and jeep.<br />
Participating Districts<br />
There are altogether 34 rural roads in original 20 districts <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP. Of the total<br />
roads 12 are laid in Tarai districts and remaining are in Hill districts. Eight Tarai districts<br />
have two road projects. Broadly, project Districts can be grouped into four clusters. They<br />
are:<br />
Cluster I: Kailali, Bardiya, Banke, and Salyan<br />
Cluster II: Kapilvastu, Rupandehi, Nawalparasi and Palpa<br />
Cluster III: Rasuwa, Kaski, Syangja, Dhading, Nuwakot and Makawanpur<br />
Cluster IV: Rautahat, Sarlahi, Mahottari, Dhanusa, Siraha and Udayapur<br />
There are 226,309 households with 133, 2,602 populations, 248 VDCs with 1326<br />
settlements under the zone <strong>of</strong> influence (project area) <strong>of</strong> rural road projects. Total length<br />
<strong>of</strong> the roads is more than 907 km under the RAIDP original districts. Of the total roads 21<br />
(nearly 62%) roads lies in Tarai districts 13 roads (38%) in the hill districts. Of the total
length <strong>of</strong> the roads, 520 km (nearly 58%) lies in Tarai districts 397 km (nearly 42%) in<br />
the hill.<br />
2. Impact Study Methodology<br />
Impact evaluation has used both "with/without" and before and after - data. The impact<br />
was compared between the project and control areas over time in settlement level. This<br />
measure is a double difference, first measure change over time in the treatment group<br />
and in the control group (using baseline and end line data), and then comparing the<br />
relative difference in change.<br />
The sampling method was based on a quasi-randomized design. Altogether 300<br />
households from project area and 100 HHs from control area were selected for the<br />
impact study. Multi- Stage Quasi- randomized design was adopted for the impact study<br />
Structured questionnaire, FGD and traffic flow survey were major tools <strong>of</strong> data collection.<br />
The quantitative data collected through the survey questionnaires were computerized by<br />
statisticians using SPSS.<br />
Limitation <strong>of</strong> Impact Study<br />
There are several methodological flaws in baseline data (original survey) such as lack<br />
<strong>of</strong> location <strong>of</strong> original respondents and places, lack <strong>of</strong> comparable data both treatment<br />
and control groups, lacking <strong>of</strong> defined PSU. Despite the limitation <strong>of</strong> the baseline data,<br />
this impact study has tried to use them for comparison as far as possible.<br />
Due to limitations <strong>of</strong> baseline data this study has focused more on cross sectional<br />
data. In some cases, longitudinal data have been used collected from focus group<br />
discussion and DDCs and RAIDP <strong>of</strong>fice records.<br />
RAIDP has been scaled up with the additional financing. Present impact study is only<br />
for the roads/ districts cover under the original financing.<br />
3. General Information <strong>of</strong> Survey Roads<br />
Demography<br />
Except Bardiya, Kapilvastu and Mahottari, in all sample districts, average<br />
household size has decreased than baseline survey, 2006/07.<br />
The highest population in project area is hill high caste (29.81%) followed by hill<br />
Janajati(25.32%), Tarai Dalit (17.47%), Tarai caste (12.93%), Musalman (7.48%),<br />
Tarai Janajati (4.17) and hill Dalit 2.83%) respectively. In control villages, the<br />
largest population was hill Janajati followed by Tarai Dalit, hill high caste, Tarai<br />
caste, Musalman, hill Dalit and Tarai Janajati respectively.<br />
4. Major Findings<br />
Traffic Count and Transportation Indicators<br />
Between 2006/07 and 2011 number <strong>of</strong> all types <strong>of</strong> vehicles has increased.<br />
Overall growth <strong>of</strong> motorized vehicles is 37 percent. Similarly, 33 percent<br />
increment is seen <strong>of</strong> non-motorized vehicles during the same period. Increase<br />
rate <strong>of</strong> vehicles is varied by districts. Among the vehicles, jeep/car/taxi is<br />
increased by 52 percent followed by truck (44%), motorcycle (42%), bus (35%)<br />
and tractor (20%) respectively.<br />
2
Travel cost in all RAIDP remained relatively upward due to increased price <strong>of</strong> fuel<br />
internationally. Travel time has come down 20-50 percent in the period <strong>of</strong> five<br />
years. Average bus fare per kilometer was Rs. 3.6. Average length <strong>of</strong> sampled<br />
road is 9.3 km.<br />
Traffic volume is seen higher in Janakpur and lowest in Rasuwa. Average traffic<br />
volume unit <strong>of</strong> RAIDP road is 180.<br />
Travel Frequency to Market<br />
Between 2006/2007 and 2011, the percent <strong>of</strong> going market on foot has come<br />
down into zero percent in project area. Number <strong>of</strong> motorcycle users for marketing<br />
has increased both project and control areas. Interestingly, jeep user has<br />
increased by six percent in project area and two percent in control area.<br />
Traveling time for market centre, hospitals and higher education centre has<br />
reduced by 46%, 50%, and 50% respectively in project area. Travel time has<br />
decreased by 81% in Rautahat and 79% in Salyan. There is no change on travel<br />
time in Kailali and Mahottari.<br />
More than 71 percent vehicles owned by the respondents are non-motorized in<br />
type. Of the motorized vehicles, number <strong>of</strong> motorcycles is highest followed by<br />
truck, tractor, bus and minibus.<br />
Distance and Travel Time to the Nearest Roads and Bus stops<br />
People in the participating hill districts that live within four hours <strong>of</strong> walking to all<br />
season roads has increased by 100 percent in Tarai districts and 18 to 100<br />
percent in the hill districts.<br />
Average distance <strong>of</strong> road and bus stop from the sample households <strong>of</strong> project<br />
area was 4.14 km for the residents <strong>of</strong> project area. Similarly; trip per month to<br />
nearest road and nearest bus stop is 12.22 and 12.10 by project area sample<br />
households. Minimum and maximum trip to market have in the range <strong>of</strong> 2 to<br />
28.46 in a month. 73 percent from project area and 10 percent from control<br />
villages' households are located 0 to 5 kilometer distance from nearest road.<br />
Agriculture and Transportation<br />
Bus is common means <strong>of</strong> transportation for getting farm inputs in project area.<br />
The transport cost for improved seed and fertilizer is 0.85 and 0.81 paisa per kg<br />
respectively. Meanwhile control villages have to pay Rs 1.36 per kg while<br />
transporting chemical fertilizer to their farm land.<br />
Transportation facilities through RAIDP road have increased total trips to go<br />
market and transport cost <strong>of</strong> farm input has reduced by more than 37 percent.<br />
Percentage <strong>of</strong> chemical fertilizer and average consumption <strong>of</strong> fertilizer and<br />
improved seeds is slightly higher in project area than control villages. Agricultural<br />
households use improved seeds for paddy, wheat and vegetables.<br />
Trucks and tractors are very common means <strong>of</strong> transportation for agricultural<br />
inputs in project area and bullock cart was found popular among the control<br />
villages <strong>of</strong> Tarai.<br />
The average cost was around 2 to 10 percent <strong>of</strong> the final sale price is consumed<br />
by transport cost.<br />
<br />
<br />
Prices <strong>of</strong> all agricultural commodities are higher in farm gate <strong>of</strong> project area than<br />
control villages.<br />
Almost 69 percent <strong>of</strong> 300 households kept some number <strong>of</strong> livestock and poultry<br />
in project area. Altogether 367 poultry farm in project area and three in control<br />
3
villages. Almost poultry farms in project area were established after RAIDP road<br />
intervention<br />
Of the total economically active population in project area and control villages 36.03<br />
percent and 46.80 percent were in agriculture respectively. Remaining nearly 64<br />
percent from project area and 53 from control villages were in non-agricultural works.<br />
Agriculture Production<br />
<br />
Average production <strong>of</strong> paddy, wheat and maize has increased 4 to 5 times more<br />
than baseline study (2006/07). Causes <strong>of</strong> production increased may be several<br />
such as timely monsoon, easy access to agricultural inputs and market access<br />
through RAIDP road connection.<br />
Residents <strong>of</strong> project area have grown more crops for market than control<br />
villages. Market network and transportation facilities have encouraged the<br />
residents to grow more for market.<br />
Nearly 44 percent <strong>of</strong> the sample households have irrigated land in project area.<br />
Irrigation data <strong>of</strong> pre-project are not available. Therefore, it is difficult to<br />
speculate how much irrigated land increased in post-project period.<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> Farm Equipment<br />
Tractor and thresher machine are one <strong>of</strong> major farm technologies in Tarai<br />
districts. Percentage <strong>of</strong> deep tube well, tractor and thresher were slightly higher<br />
in project area than control villages.<br />
Transport and agriculture Extension<br />
38 percent households were found taking the services <strong>of</strong> veterinary extension.<br />
Nearly 15 percent households were visited veterinary extension service center at<br />
least one time in a year.<br />
Major source <strong>of</strong> transportation for visiting the service centers is bus followed by<br />
bicycles in project area.<br />
Between 2006/07 and 2011, privately owned extension service centers have<br />
increased in project area.<br />
Non-Agricultural Activities<br />
Between 2006/2007 and 2011, number <strong>of</strong> households operating non-farm<br />
enterprises has increased. Many shops and enterprises were recently established<br />
along the RAIDP roads.<br />
3760 people in project area and 319 in control villages were working local level<br />
business centers. Non-farm activities include wage labor, foreign labor,<br />
government service, shop-keeping, school teacher, driving, etc.<br />
Overall growth <strong>of</strong> social amenities has increased by more than 12 percent in<br />
project area. Road connectivity has made possible to establish many social<br />
institutions in the project area. Financial institutions have increased by 3.4 times<br />
in the study area.<br />
4
Income, Expenditure, and Entrepreneurship<br />
Expenditure Indicators<br />
<br />
Average consumption in food in project and control area is Rs 51296 and Rs<br />
45518 respectively. Clothing and schooling fee and fuel consumption is also seen<br />
higher in Project Area compared to control villages.<br />
Expenditure on medical treatment, rituals and cigarettes, alcoholic beverage is<br />
higher in control villages.<br />
Productive sector expenditure is higher in all items in project area (mean<br />
expenditure Rs. 106041 for project area and Rs 78730 for control villages).<br />
Income composition<br />
Average income from crop farming is slightly higher in control villages than<br />
project area.<br />
In other sectors such as cash crop, livestock, small cottage industry, government<br />
services, and remittances incomes in project area are relatively higher than<br />
control villages.<br />
Income pattern in project area concentrates to non-agriculture activities than<br />
control villages.<br />
Mean income <strong>of</strong> project area and control villages has increased by more than four<br />
times than baseline period (see Baseline Report, 2007 pp 35-37).<br />
Employment<br />
3760 people are employed in local level business centers. The total number <strong>of</strong><br />
locally employed in control villages is 317.<br />
<strong>Local</strong> level employment includes working in rice mills, saw mills, store house,<br />
construction work, brick factory, grocery shops, poultry farming, milk collection<br />
centers, etc.<br />
There are 96 market centers along with the 20 sample roads <strong>of</strong> RAIDP. There<br />
are at least five shops in each market center. Agriculture goods, dry goods,<br />
textiles and garments, fruits and vegetable shops, are the major group <strong>of</strong><br />
commodities in the markets.<br />
Price <strong>of</strong> land<br />
Residential land price is increased by 3.24 times in program area and 2.74 times<br />
in control villages. RAIDP intervention on rural road is the possible reason for<br />
increasing the land value in project area.<br />
Land tenure by gender<br />
26% <strong>of</strong> sample households in program area and 27 percent in control villages<br />
have land under the ownership <strong>of</strong> women. This may be the cause <strong>of</strong> government<br />
incentive policy for exemption <strong>of</strong> land registration fee for women owed land.<br />
Access to credit by gender<br />
Bank (32.22%), cooperatives (41.11%) and local money lenders (21.11%) are<br />
major institution lending money in RAIDP project area. Of the loan takers 60<br />
percent were female in the project area.<br />
5
Road transportation has made easier to collect remittance sent by family<br />
members from abroad. Most <strong>of</strong> the project area households reach to nearest<br />
market centers within one to one and half hours to collect remittance.<br />
Education, Health, Food Security and Social Safe Guard Indicators<br />
Total literacy rate <strong>of</strong> the surveyed area was 82.03 percent. Literacy rate <strong>of</strong> project<br />
area and control villages was 83.52 and 77.81 respectively.<br />
Primary school enrolment percent in program and control villages is 95.25<br />
percent and 93.94 percent respectively. Male female student ratio is 107:100 and<br />
113:100 in program and control villages. There is 10 to 20 percent drop out in<br />
lower secondary level. Similarly, absence from class and drop out ratio in primary<br />
level has decreased between 2006/2007 and 2011.<br />
Drop out ratio at primary level is low in all RAIDP roads. Drop out ratio has<br />
gradually increased in lower secondary and secondary level. Higher drop out was<br />
reported among Tarai and hill Dalit and Muslim compared to other groups. Drop<br />
out due to poor accessibility has decreased in project area.<br />
Nearly 85 percent students <strong>of</strong> program area have access to primary school within<br />
five km distance while 54.05 percent students <strong>of</strong> control villages have access to<br />
primary school within five km distance.<br />
60 percent school going students have access to transportation in project area.<br />
Rate <strong>of</strong> absenteeism <strong>of</strong> teacher was low in surveyed roads. Absenteeism <strong>of</strong><br />
students and teachers due to bad road has decreased in the survey roads.<br />
Health Indicators<br />
Hundred percent immunization rates were reported in both control and project<br />
area. There is no report <strong>of</strong> death causality due to untimely getting treatment. In<br />
Tarai, there were cases <strong>of</strong> death <strong>of</strong> snake bites in the past. However, at present<br />
there is no report <strong>of</strong> death caused by snake bites. In the hill districts, road access<br />
has made possible to call on doctor in the village in the time <strong>of</strong> emergency.<br />
<br />
<br />
Majority <strong>of</strong> the respondents use public bus and bicycle in project area. Unlike to<br />
project area, nearly 50 percent populations from control area go health post on<br />
foot.<br />
80 percent people have used bus service while going to hospital in project area.<br />
Transport and food Security<br />
Of the total households, nearly 20 percent from project area and 24 percent from<br />
control villages were food surplus households from their own agriculture<br />
production. More than 30 percent in project area and 27 percent households in<br />
control villages have ascertained that they meet their households' food<br />
requirement for 10-12 months from their own agricultural production. Altogether<br />
13.5 percent households have food sufficiency below three months.<br />
<br />
Food supply in the project area has increased due to road transportation. Food<br />
stores have established along the RAIDP road in the Tarai.<br />
After the improvement <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP roads some effects are seen in the<br />
livelihood. Respondents were asked to prioritize the impacts <strong>of</strong> road in terms <strong>of</strong><br />
comparative advantages. Almost households gave top priority to easy access<br />
followed by increase in going hospital frequency. Similarly, respondents have<br />
given top second priority to decreased transportation cost followed by increasing<br />
income generation resource and increase in market going frequency.<br />
6
RAIDP Road Condition and Quality<br />
There were some complaints from the respondents RAIDP roads are too narrow that<br />
is not suitable for bus and trucks and they suggested to widening the road.<br />
In the hill district community efforts were reported to open the road after the<br />
landslides.<br />
In Tarai, couples <strong>of</strong> week roads are closed due to floods. Rules <strong>of</strong> operating less than<br />
ten tons truck in RAIDP roads in Tarai were not followed. <strong>Local</strong> demand <strong>of</strong><br />
construction bridges across roads was repeatedly asked.<br />
Poor quality <strong>of</strong> gravel and otta seal road was severely damaged in Kailali district just<br />
after the completion <strong>of</strong> road.<br />
In Rajapur ring road, big boulders were placed for graveling than regular size that<br />
caused boulder flickers and hit pedestrian.<br />
Landslides and floods, strikes, accidents and others are major reasons for closing<br />
down RAIDP road for couple <strong>of</strong> the days in a year. Of the total sample districts,<br />
14 districts were experienced flood and landslides in RAIDP road.<br />
Social Safe Guards<br />
35 percent sample households were affected by RAIDP roads. They were<br />
affected due to land donation, damage <strong>of</strong> main structure and damage <strong>of</strong> minor<br />
structures and loss <strong>of</strong> other structure.<br />
<br />
Nearly 85 percent were affected giving land to project. Of the total affected family<br />
36.29 percent got assistance from the project.<br />
Among the assistance receiver most <strong>of</strong> them use their money for household<br />
expenses and only three family were used their money for house repaired<br />
Conclusion and Recommendation<br />
Given the fact that the upgrading <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads has begun demonstrating its<br />
impacts through the reduction <strong>of</strong> travel time to reach the nearest town and social<br />
amenities. Similarly, travel behavior <strong>of</strong> the beneficiaries has changed due to easier<br />
access to work place and nearest town. People in the participating districts that live<br />
within four hours <strong>of</strong> walking to all season roads has increased by 100 percent in Tarai<br />
districts and 18 to 100 percent in the hill districts.<br />
This impact study is limited to Rural Transport Infrastructure (RTI) (roads only)<br />
improvement in participating districts. Therefore, it is suggested to conduct full<br />
fledged impact <strong>of</strong> RAIDP incorporating all components in future.<br />
7
TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
Abbreviation and Acronyms...................................................................................................................... I<br />
Summary <strong>of</strong> the Program ......................................................................................................................... II<br />
Table <strong>of</strong> Contents ....................................................................................................................................III<br />
List <strong>of</strong> Tables...........................................................................................................................................IV<br />
CHAPTER I............................................................................................................................ 1<br />
1. INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................ 1<br />
1.1 RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE ....................................................................................... 1<br />
1.2 DESCRIPTION OF THE PROJECT.................................................................................... 2<br />
CHAPTER II........................................................................................................................... 5<br />
2. IMPACT STUDY METHODOLOGY.................................................................................. 5<br />
2.1 THE PROJECT AND CONTROL AREA ............................................................................. 5<br />
2.1.1 PROJECT AREA............................................................................................................. 5<br />
2.1.2 CONTROL AREA ........................................................................................................... 5<br />
2.2 EVALUATION DESIGN .................................................................................................. 5<br />
2.2.2 QUALITATIVE SURVEY ................................................................................................ 6<br />
2.3 THE SAMPLE DESIGN ................................................................................................... 6<br />
2.4 DATA SOURCES............................................................................................................ 6<br />
2.5 DATA MANAGEMENT................................................................................................... 7<br />
2.2.1 LIMITATION OF IMPACT STUDY................................................................................... 8<br />
CHAPTER III.......................................................................................................................... 9<br />
3. GENERAL INFORMATION OF SURVEY ROADS.............................................................. 9<br />
3.1 DEMOGRAPHY ............................................................................................................. 9<br />
3.2 CASTE AND ETHNICITY.............................................................................................. 10<br />
CHAPTER IV ....................................................................................................................... 12<br />
4. MAJOR FINDINGS ....................................................................................................... 12<br />
4. 1 TRAFFIC COUNT AND TRANSPORTATION INDICATORS ............................................. 12<br />
4.1.1 MOTORIZED AND NON-MOTORIZED VEHICLES IN RAIDP ROADS .............................. 12<br />
4.2 LOCAL FARE BY VEHICLES ........................................................................................ 14<br />
4.3 ROAD WISE TRAVEL TIME BEFORE AND AFTER PROJECT.......................................... 15<br />
4.3 OWNERSHIP OF VEHICLES.......................................................................................... 16<br />
4.4 DISTANCE AND TRAVEL TIME TO THE NEAREST ALL SEASON ROADS...................... 18<br />
CHAPTER V......................................................................................................................... 20<br />
5.1 AGRICULTURE AND TRANSPORTATION..................................................................... 20<br />
5.1.2 TRANSPORTATION FOR FARM INPUTS....................................................................... 20<br />
5.2 AGRICULTURE PRODUCTIVITY INDICATORS ............................................................. 21<br />
5.3 AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION ..................................................................................... 21<br />
5.4 MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION FOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS ............................... 23<br />
5.5 PRICES OF MAJOR CROPS IN FARM GATE................................................................... 25<br />
5.6 TRANSPORT AND AGRICULTURE EXTENSION............................................................ 26<br />
5. 7 NON-AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES.............................................................................. 27<br />
CHAPTER VI ....................................................................................................................... 29<br />
6. INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP .................................................. 29<br />
6.1 EXPENDITURE INDICATORS ....................................................................................... 29<br />
6.2 INCOME COMPOSITION .............................................................................................. 29<br />
6.3 EMPLOYMENT SITUATION IN PROJECT AREA AND CONTROL AREA.......................... 30<br />
6.3.1 PRICE OF LAND .......................................................................................................... 31<br />
6.3.2 LAND TENURE BY GENDER........................................................................................ 32<br />
6.3.3 ACCESS TO CREDIT BY GENDER ................................................................................ 32
CHAPTER VII ...................................................................................................................... 34<br />
7. EDUCATION, HEALTH, FOOD SECURITY AND SOCIAL SAFE GUARD .......................... 34<br />
7.1 EDUCATION INDICATORS........................................................................................... 34<br />
7.2 NUMBER OF PRIMARY SCHOOL IN THE VILLAGE....................................................... 34<br />
7.2.1 DISTANCE TO NEAREST PRIMARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOL.................................. 34<br />
7.3 HEALTH INDICATORS................................................................................................. 36<br />
7.3.1 DISTANCE AND FREQUENCY OF VISIT TO HEALTH CENTER...................................... 36<br />
7. 4 TRANSPORT AND FOOD SECURITY ............................................................................ 37<br />
7.7 SOCIAL SAFE GUARDS ............................................................................................... 39<br />
8. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATION................................................................... 39<br />
8.1 CONCLUSION.............................................................................................................. 39<br />
References<br />
Annexes<br />
Terms <strong>of</strong> References
CHAPTER I<br />
1. INTRODUCTION<br />
1.1 Rationale and Objective<br />
In recent years, rural roads and other infrastructure are being promoted by the<br />
government and several donor agencies as rural development and economic growth in<br />
<strong>Nepal</strong>. Very few studies however, have thoroughly examined the causal link between<br />
rural roads and final welfare outcomes such as income, consumption, health and<br />
education. Little is known for instance, about the extent and distribution <strong>of</strong> impacts <strong>of</strong><br />
rural road investment. It is argued that rural roads are key to raising living standards in<br />
poor rural areas. By reducing transport cost, roads are expected to generate market<br />
activity, affect input and output prices, and foster economic linkages that enhance<br />
agricultural production, alter land use, crop intensity and other production decisions,<br />
stimulate <strong>of</strong>f-farm diversification and other income generating opportunities, and<br />
encourage migration (Van de Walle 2008 p. 1). One study (Jacoby, 2000 cited in<br />
Blöndal, 2007 p. 12) looks at the distributional effects <strong>of</strong> rural roads in <strong>Nepal</strong>. Using the<br />
data from the <strong>Nepal</strong> Living Standard Survey covering 4,600 households, the study finds<br />
that road access to markets bring substantial social welfare benefits including cheaper<br />
transport to and from agricultural markets, better access to schools and health facilities<br />
and greater variety <strong>of</strong> consumer goods.<br />
The empirical evidence at the macroeconomic level <strong>of</strong> the positive correlation between<br />
road improvements and GDP per capita growth is extensive. Yet, the distributional<br />
impact <strong>of</strong> road projects, especially the impact on the poor, is less known. Previous efforts<br />
at assessing the impact <strong>of</strong> rural roads have typically been limited because <strong>of</strong> lack <strong>of</strong><br />
available baseline data and control or comparison groups, making it difficult to<br />
disentangle the effects from the road improvements from those <strong>of</strong> other interventions and<br />
overall development <strong>of</strong> the economy.<br />
This impact evaluation is designed to estimate the counterfactual- namely, what would<br />
have happened in the absence <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP intervention. To be carried out in two<br />
phases, the overall objective <strong>of</strong> the proposed study is to assess:<br />
<br />
<br />
the magnitude and distribution <strong>of</strong> the direct and indirect socioeconomic impacts <strong>of</strong><br />
RAIDP on target populations, individuals, households, and<br />
to determine the extent to which interventions under the RAIDP cause changes in<br />
the well being <strong>of</strong> targeted population by examining how they change over time in<br />
communities that have RAIDP projects (project groups) compared with those that<br />
do not (comparison groups) (See TOR )<br />
Rural Access Improvement and Decentralization Project (RAIDP) has been<br />
implementing with the financial assistance <strong>of</strong> the World Bank in 20 districts since 2005.<br />
Since 2010, program has extended into ten new districts. The executing agency is the<br />
Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and Agricultural Roads (DoLIDAR)<br />
under the <strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Development</strong> (MLD) through RAIDP coordination <strong>of</strong>fice. The<br />
project aims to improve the existing rural roads, construct trail bridges and support for<br />
some Community infrastructure development to enhance the access <strong>of</strong> rural road<br />
improvement, the project also includes the construction <strong>of</strong> three dry season rural roads.<br />
The RAIDP program is designed to support efforts to promote poverty reduction in rural<br />
areas by promoting economic development and providing access to basic services that<br />
can increase the quality <strong>of</strong> life <strong>of</strong> the poor. It is believed that eliminating the isolation <strong>of</strong><br />
populated areas with previously limited accessibility can provide the population greater<br />
(1)
and stable access to critical goods as well as essential social services, such as medical<br />
facilities, schools, visit by concerned <strong>of</strong>ficer, and health care. It also creates the<br />
opportunity for development <strong>of</strong> these services in their localities. Improved access to jobs<br />
provides opportunities for the poor to participate in the economy and thus they reap more<br />
benefits <strong>of</strong> growth. Transport access, by increasing the ability <strong>of</strong> the poor to agriculture<br />
inputs and resources such as capital and formal or informal trading links, reduced prices<br />
<strong>of</strong> goods and agriculture inputs, all <strong>of</strong> which can spur rural development efforts. Rural<br />
road improvements are also undertaken to promote agricultural development by<br />
increasing the production and marketing <strong>of</strong> agricultural products as well as shift in<br />
agriculture pattern to cash crops, particularly where lack <strong>of</strong> access had chocked<br />
agricultural output or marketing facility. By alleviating constraints in the movement <strong>of</strong><br />
agricultural products, farmers revenues can increase and agricultural and non-farm rural<br />
employment can also increase, contributing to a decline in poverty.<br />
This report covers only the roads covered under the 20 districts financed under the<br />
original financing for RAIDP and roads completed up to June 2010. It is primarily based<br />
on follow up survey <strong>of</strong> the original/ baseline survey <strong>of</strong> the selected areas conducted in<br />
2006/2007. This impact survey has included 20 rural roads <strong>of</strong> the 20 RAIDP districts by<br />
comparing the relative change over time and space between the program (project area)<br />
and control villages measuring a double difference, first by measuring change overtime<br />
in the program villages and in the control villages (using baseline and end line data), and<br />
then comparing the relative difference/change before and after project in program area.<br />
1.2 Description <strong>of</strong> the Project<br />
The project development objective (PDO) is to assist for residents <strong>of</strong> participating<br />
districts <strong>of</strong> the recipient to utilize improved rural transport infrastructure and services in<br />
order to have enhanced access to social services and economic opportunities. The PDO<br />
will be monitored with the following indicators:<br />
a) 20 percent increase in motorize and non-motorized trips by beneficiaries by the<br />
end <strong>of</strong> the Project (EOP), and<br />
b) 20 percent reduction in travel time by beneficiaries by EOP,<br />
c) 30 percent increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT) with the project<br />
districts in the categories bus, truck, micro bus and jeep.<br />
Project Components:<br />
The project components are: (a) Rural Transport Infrastructures (RTI) improvement in<br />
participating districts and (b) Capacity Building and Advisory Services (CBAS) (c) Trail<br />
bridge component. The RTI Component comprises (a) rehabilitation and upgrading <strong>of</strong><br />
about 800 km <strong>of</strong> existing dry-season rural roads to all-season standard; (b) upgrading <strong>of</strong><br />
about 200 km <strong>of</strong> existing rural trails and tracks to dry season standard in remote hill<br />
districts; (c) maintenance <strong>of</strong> about 3500 km <strong>of</strong> rural roads, covering routine and recurrent<br />
maintenance; (d) construction <strong>of</strong> 350 short-span trail bridges; and (e) development <strong>of</strong><br />
small, community infrastructure, including rehabilitation (R&R) <strong>of</strong> people affected by the<br />
project; and implementation <strong>of</strong> a pilot rural transport services scheme.<br />
The CBAS component comprises: (a) implementation <strong>of</strong> training related activities,<br />
including preparation <strong>of</strong> training course materials, training <strong>of</strong> trainers and provision <strong>of</strong><br />
extensive training and certification on major aspects <strong>of</strong> rural infrastructure development<br />
and management.<br />
Provision <strong>of</strong> technical assistance and advisory services: (i) to participating DDCs to<br />
support the implementation <strong>of</strong> their programs, subprojects, and associated local<br />
(2)
initiatives, including financial management and accounting, project development and<br />
implementation, design and supervision <strong>of</strong> works, environmental management, social<br />
mobilization and community participation and monitoring; and (ii) to DoLIDAR for the<br />
implementation <strong>of</strong> its Institutional Strengthening Action Plan (ISAP), capacity-building<br />
priorities and long term functional and organizational change goals set by GON for the<br />
rural transport sector, and for project coordination and implementation activities; (c) (i)<br />
preparation <strong>of</strong> a GIS-based transport master plan, development <strong>of</strong> a spatial pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong><br />
population/settlements that are or are not connected to an all season road and<br />
undertaking <strong>of</strong> a hazard assessment and needs assessment to determine the investment<br />
requirements for connecting settlements; (ii) preparation and updating <strong>of</strong> District<br />
Transport Master Plans (DTMP); and (iii) identification and preparation <strong>of</strong> a follow-up<br />
operation in the rural transport needs and travel patterns <strong>of</strong> the rural transport<br />
infrastructure sector; (d) undertaking <strong>of</strong> a study to assess the mobility and transport<br />
service providers and to formulate a pilot scheme and a rural transport policy <strong>of</strong> the<br />
recipient; (e)Undertaking <strong>of</strong> a study to assess the magnitude and distribution <strong>of</strong> the direct<br />
and indirect socioeconomic impacts <strong>of</strong> rural access transport interventions and to<br />
determine the extent to which interventions under the project cause changes in the well<br />
being <strong>of</strong> target population; (f) provision <strong>of</strong> project implementation support, including<br />
logistics and operations cost, to the DoLIDAR and the DDCs.<br />
Output Indicators:<br />
The project has following output indicators: (a) 15% increase in the number <strong>of</strong> people in<br />
participating hill districts that live within four hours <strong>of</strong> walking to an all-season road, (b)<br />
10% increase in the number <strong>of</strong> people in participating Tarai districts that live within two<br />
hours <strong>of</strong> walking to an all-season road; (c) DoLIDAR and participating DDCs receive<br />
favorable evaluation from independent reviews on their performance to execute the<br />
project and manage the sector in a decentralized governance structure; (d) 30 districts<br />
have updated DTMPs and use it for investment and maintenance prioritization and<br />
budgeting; (e) GIS-based plan and sector outcome is developed and guides donor<br />
support in the sector; (f) conducive regularity and institutional framework for rural<br />
transport service provision is adopted in districts.<br />
Participating Districts:<br />
There are altogether 34 rural roads in original 20 districts <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP. Of the total<br />
roads 12 are laid in Tarai districts and remaining are in Hill districts. Eight Tarai districts<br />
have two road projects. Broadly, project Districts can be grouped into four clusters. They<br />
are:<br />
Cluster I: Kailali, Bardiya, Banke, and Salyan<br />
Cluster II: Kapilvastu, Rupandehi, Nawalparasi and Palpa<br />
Cluster III: Rasuwa, Kaski, Syangja, Dhading, Nuwakot and Makawanpur<br />
Cluster IV: Rautahat, Sarlahi, Mahottari, Dhanusa, Siraha and Udayapur<br />
According to social screening reports <strong>of</strong> RAIDP project districts; there are 226,309<br />
households with 133, 2,602 populations, 248 VDCs with 1326 settlements under the<br />
zone <strong>of</strong> influence (project area) <strong>of</strong> rural road projects. Total length <strong>of</strong> the roads is more<br />
than 907 km under the project area. Of the total roads 21 (nearly 62%) roads lies in Tarai<br />
districts 13 roads (38%) in the hill districts. Total length <strong>of</strong> the roads in the original<br />
RAIDP districts is approximately 916 km. Of the total length <strong>of</strong> the roads, 520 km (nearly<br />
58%) lies in Tarai and 397 km (nearly 42%) in the hill districts. Of the total beneficiaries<br />
more than 71 percent are from Tarai and 29 percent from the hills. Table 1.1 presents<br />
distribution <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads by regions.<br />
(3)
Table 1.1 Distribution <strong>of</strong> RAIDP road by regions<br />
S.N. Districts Cluster Total Roads<br />
Total<br />
Beneficiaries<br />
Tarai Region<br />
1 Kailali 1 1 19370<br />
2 Bardiya 1 1 82440<br />
3 Banke 1 1 24660<br />
4 Kapilbastu 2 2 76161<br />
5 Rupandehi 2 2 12482<br />
6 Nawalparasi 2 2 34658<br />
7 Rautahat 4 2 145088<br />
8 Sarlahi 4 2 139722<br />
9 Mahottari 4 2 141979<br />
10 Dhanusa 4 2 47136<br />
11 Siraha 4 2 81750<br />
12 Udayapur 4 2 141630<br />
Total 21 947076<br />
Hill Region<br />
1. Salyan 1 1 13169<br />
2 Palpa 2 2 94288<br />
3 Syanja 3 2 35968<br />
4 Kaski 3 2 36226<br />
5 Rasuwa 3 1 5533<br />
6 Dhading 3 2 115292<br />
7 Nuwakot 3 1 15644<br />
8 Makawanpur 3 2 69406<br />
Total 13 385526<br />
Source: Social Screening Reports, RAIDP, 2011.<br />
(4)
CHAPTER II<br />
2. IMPACT STUDY METHODOLOGY<br />
2.1 The Project and Control Area<br />
2.1.1 Project area<br />
Generally, project area is defined as the village that the road passes through. An<br />
alternative that is sometimes followed is to set maximum distance on either side <strong>of</strong> the<br />
road link- and confine the search for impacts to this area (Van de Walle 2008). For this<br />
study, the project area is that area where rural access program is operated/implemented<br />
to encourage the location, linkage, population activity and market (for definition see<br />
table-2.1). Internationally, zone <strong>of</strong> influence is defined in terms <strong>of</strong> walking distance from<br />
the road. Project areas are classified into four groups based on its influence. Definition <strong>of</strong><br />
zone <strong>of</strong> influence is presented below.<br />
Table- 2.1 Definition <strong>of</strong> Zone <strong>of</strong> Influence<br />
Hill<br />
Tarai<br />
Z0= is the zone lying at walking distance <strong>of</strong> 0- Z0= is the zone lying at walking distance <strong>of</strong> 0-<br />
30 minutes from the road<br />
10 minutes from the road<br />
Z1= is the zone lying at walking distance <strong>of</strong> Z1= is the zone lying at walking distance <strong>of</strong> 10-<br />
30mins-1hr from the road<br />
30 minutes from the road<br />
Z2= is the zone lying at the walking distance <strong>of</strong> Z2= is the zone lying at the walking distance <strong>of</strong><br />
1hr-2 hrs from the road<br />
30minutes-1hrs from the road<br />
Z3= is the zone lying at walking distance <strong>of</strong> 2 Z3= is the zone lying at walking distance <strong>of</strong> 1<br />
hrs-4 hrs from the road<br />
hrs-2 hrs from the road<br />
Source: ESMF, RAIDP, 2005<br />
2.1.2 Control Area<br />
The control area is defined as the far long area from the project area. There is no<br />
intervention from RAIDP. The logic behind control area comparison with project area is<br />
that the linkage effect <strong>of</strong> access may influence the social and economic activities in<br />
control sub-region due to the multiplier effects <strong>of</strong> the project area economy.<br />
2.2 Evaluation Design<br />
Impact evaluation has used both "with/without" and before and after - data. The impact<br />
was compared between the project and control areas over time in settlement level. This<br />
measure is a double difference, first measure change over time in the treatment group<br />
and in the control group (using baseline and end line data), and then comparing the<br />
relative difference in change.<br />
1. Single difference comparisons: Single difference comparisons can be either<br />
reflexive (before and after) comparisons that track gains solely in project areas, or with<br />
and without comparisons that take single differences in mean outcomes between<br />
participants and non-participants using cross sectional data. Baseline data and cross<br />
sectional data were the source <strong>of</strong> comparison.<br />
2. Double difference: Double difference (DD) (difference in difference) a first difference<br />
is taken between outcomes in the project areas after the program and before it.<br />
Indicators<br />
This study has concentrated on the analysis <strong>of</strong> 60 indicators suggested in TOR. These<br />
indicators are categorized into five major groups <strong>of</strong> indicators such as transport<br />
(5)
indicators; non-agriculture activities indicator, income and expenditure indicators, and<br />
entrepreneurship indicator; education indicators and health indicators. (See attached<br />
TOR).<br />
2.2.2 Qualitative Survey<br />
Qualitative survey includes focus group discussion (FGD) that was conducted in each<br />
sampled villages to gain additional insights and to verify/augment quantitative survey<br />
groups. This technique provided habitation level information including the information <strong>of</strong><br />
road placement. Both cross sectional and longitudinal data <strong>of</strong> socio-economic condition<br />
volume <strong>of</strong> traffic in a normal day, people's view towards RAIDP roads were also asked to<br />
people to substitute the limitation <strong>of</strong> baseline data.<br />
2.3 The Sample Design<br />
The sample was designed to facilitate comparative study between project areas<br />
(treatment) and control villages. The aim <strong>of</strong> this study is to assess the impact <strong>of</strong> RAIDP<br />
road projects in the household and community level. Theoretically, comparison <strong>of</strong> with or<br />
without project in similar social condition is significant. Variations in social settings do not<br />
provide sufficient ground for comparability. Therefore, this survey has utilized the method<br />
<strong>of</strong> segregating the total respondents into two groups: people <strong>of</strong> the project area and<br />
people <strong>of</strong> the control area (See Annex-1).<br />
Sample size<br />
The sampling method was based on a quasi-randomized design. Multi-staged sampling<br />
was employed within the sampled districts and there were two sets <strong>of</strong> primary sample<br />
units (PSUs): treatment PSUs and control PSUs. This impact study was conducted in the<br />
same settlement <strong>of</strong> baseline survey. Original households were not found out, and then<br />
alternative households from the same settlement were selected representing all<br />
caste/ethnic groups and economic classes.<br />
Multi- Stage Quasi- randomized design<br />
Stage 1: Selecting one road from each district containing 20 roads from 34 roads in 20<br />
RAIDP districts<br />
Stage 2: Total 40 PSUs, 2 PSUs from each road for project and control areas<br />
separately.<br />
Stage 3: 20 sampled households, 15 for project and 5 for control area<br />
2.4 Data Sources<br />
Various pre-existing data sources such as baseline study reports, remedial action plan,<br />
previous social screening reports, local and district level archrivals were used for impact<br />
study. The following survey tools were employed to gather the primary data:<br />
1. Structured Questionnaire<br />
A structured questionnaire was administered, which includes the following issues: i)<br />
socio-demographic including health and education status <strong>of</strong> the surveyed households; ii)<br />
transportation indicators iii) non-agricultural activities iv) income, expenditure, and<br />
entrepreneurship indicator v). Survey questionnaire <strong>of</strong> baseline survey could not used<br />
as it is. Baseline questionnaire seems like dummy table or they were not in the form <strong>of</strong><br />
questions. Therefore, the earlier questionnaire was modified without losing the content <strong>of</strong><br />
baseline questionnaire.<br />
(6)
2. FGD with the community people<br />
Focus group discussions were organized in each survey zone. <strong>Local</strong> road executive<br />
members, personnel from local transportation, shop keepers, staff <strong>of</strong> health institution,<br />
school teacher and other from different sector were the participants <strong>of</strong> the focus group<br />
discussion.<br />
3. Accessibility and Traffic Flow Survey<br />
Consultant conducted traffic counts along the sample road. These traffic counts provided<br />
a measure <strong>of</strong> the volume and composition <strong>of</strong> traffic passing on the roads. Traffic counts<br />
entail directional count <strong>of</strong> passenger vehicles (car, buses, micro bus, etc) and freight<br />
vehicle (truck) including non-motorized vehicles. Traffic count was held for twelve hours.<br />
Supplementary information was also gathered from local syndicates and FGD.<br />
2.5 Data Management<br />
Once the completed questionnaires were brought back to the <strong>of</strong>fice <strong>of</strong> RAIDP, welltrained<br />
statistician edited all filled-in questionnaires, and assigned coding categories as<br />
required before the data were computerized. Then, the quantitative data collected<br />
through the survey questionnaires were computerized by statistician using SPSS.<br />
Barring an exception to a few, the general quality <strong>of</strong> the survey responses was found to<br />
be good. Data cleaning was done by meticulously looking at inconsistencies in the<br />
responses. Simple statistical tools such as frequency distributions mean and<br />
percentages have been used to organize or summarize the quantitative data.<br />
Qualitative data were analyzed by the consultant himself. He did it using thematic<br />
classification system.<br />
Research Process<br />
This study has properly investigated the transport indicators and identified the possible<br />
impacts, in the field <strong>of</strong> non-agriculture activities, income, expenditure and<br />
entrepreneurship indicator, education indicators, health indicators (See TOR).<br />
Relevant project documents were reviewed in the earlier stage <strong>of</strong> the research. Two<br />
meetings were carried out with RAIDP personnel and World Bank representative in<br />
research designing phase. First meeting was held in July 29, 2011 and next one was<br />
carried out in August 19, 2011. Former meeting decided sample size and PSU and were<br />
discussed the shortcoming <strong>of</strong> baseline survey conducted in 2006/07. Second meeting<br />
had exclusively discussed on research tools prepared by consultant. Research tools<br />
prepared for impact study were presented and discussed during the meeting and<br />
participants commented and gave feedback on it. Research tools were revised according<br />
to feedback made by participants. After the designing the full-fledged research tools and<br />
evaluation methodology a pilot survey was conducted in Nuwakot district (Trisuli-<br />
Deurali-Meghang Road) taking a small sample size where research tools (Household<br />
questionnaire, checklist <strong>of</strong> focus group discussion, traffic survey checklist) were tested.<br />
On the basis <strong>of</strong> pilot survey research tools were modified and a brief report was prepared<br />
and submitted to RAIDP. Four orientation programs for enumerators and SDCs/SSDCs<br />
were organized in RAIDP clusters in different dates <strong>of</strong> October and November, 2011<br />
(See Annex-2). All enumerators were hired from respective district. After the completion<br />
<strong>of</strong> orientations for enumerators, they were deputed to respective district for data<br />
collection. Fieldwork for impact evaluation was held from 17 October, 2011 to 30<br />
November 2011.<br />
The study result sharing workshop was held in March 1, 2012 after the submission <strong>of</strong><br />
final draft report. Participants <strong>of</strong> the workshop were from <strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> development,<br />
DoLIDAR, RAIDP, District <strong>Development</strong> Officers and Divisional Engineers from the<br />
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selected district. Comments and suggestions come from the workshop were also<br />
incorporated in the final report.<br />
2.2.1 Limitation <strong>of</strong> Impact Study<br />
There are several methodological flaws in baseline data (original survey) such as lack<br />
<strong>of</strong> location <strong>of</strong> original respondents and places, lack <strong>of</strong> comparable data both treatment<br />
and control groups, lacking <strong>of</strong> defined PSU. Despite the limitation <strong>of</strong> the baseline data,<br />
this impact study has tried to use them for comparison as far as possible.<br />
The original baseline study was based on the highly influential area <strong>of</strong> the roads<br />
without considering the zone <strong>of</strong> influences; therefore, this impact study has followed<br />
the same place where baseline was conducted.<br />
Control villages were also selected without considering level <strong>of</strong> accessibility to main<br />
road network, basic economic and social facilities. Some <strong>of</strong> the control villages <strong>of</strong><br />
baseline survey were located closed to main high way. This hindered to compare<br />
control and program area socio-economic conditions. In such cases, alternative<br />
control villages were selected in few places.<br />
Due to limitations <strong>of</strong> baseline data this study has focused on cross sectional data. In<br />
some cases, longitudinal data have been used collected from focus group discussion<br />
and DDCs and RAIDP <strong>of</strong>fice records.<br />
Some modification and readjustment are made on baseline questionnaire in order to<br />
incorporate output indicators <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads.<br />
RAIDP has been scaled up with the additional financing. Present impact study is only<br />
for the roads/ districts cover under the original financing. It has not covered other<br />
components <strong>of</strong> RAIDP except rural roads<br />
In Mahottari, improvement <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads did not happen due to local level disputes<br />
and security reason. However, a road from Mahottari was selected for this study to<br />
represent all RAIDP district under the impact study.<br />
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CHAPTER III<br />
3. GENERAL INFORMATION OF SURVEY ROADS<br />
3.1 Demography<br />
This impact study survey was conducted in 20 roads from 20 RAIDP original districts. Of<br />
the 2523 sample population, men constitute more than 4.74% (52.37) followed by<br />
women (47.63%) (See table 3.1). Male population is seen higher both program and<br />
control area.<br />
Average household size in project area and control villages was 6.24 and 6.6<br />
respectively which is higher than national level household size (5.2). Between 2006/07<br />
and 2011, average family size <strong>of</strong> project area has slightly decreased (See table 3.1).<br />
Except Bardiya, Kapilvastu and Mahottari, in all sample districts, average household size<br />
has decreased than baseline survey, 2006/07.<br />
Table 3.1 Average household size <strong>of</strong> the project area<br />
S. N. District Roads Before After<br />
1 Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 9.15 8.46<br />
2 Bardiya Rajapur Ring Road 5.55 5.93<br />
3 Banke Titeriya-Sonpur 10.7 6.06<br />
4 Salyan Khalanga-Hospital-Simkharka 7.2 5.73<br />
5 Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labni-Lakhanchok 7.6 8.26<br />
6 Rupandehi Madhauliya-Bhutaha 6.45 6<br />
7 Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 10.25 5.4<br />
8 Palpa Bastari-Jhadewa 6.8 4.93<br />
9 Syangja Biruwa-Rangkhola 7.25 5.8<br />
10 Kaski Rakhi-Mujure 7.05 5.33<br />
11 Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 10.6 5.53<br />
12 Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidanda 7 5.13<br />
13 Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Mehang 11.6 6.93<br />
14 Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 7.47 6.06<br />
15 Rautahat Auraiya- Himalibas 8.6 5<br />
16 Sarlahi Karmaiya-Hathiwol 10.45 6.53<br />
17 Mahottari Matihani_pipra 7.25 7.66<br />
18 Dhanusa Janakpur-Khairahani 5.75 6.86<br />
19 Siraha Mirchaya-Siraha 7.85 7.13<br />
20 Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 6.85 6<br />
Total 7.2 6.24<br />
Source: Baseline Survey, 2007 and Field Survey, 2011<br />
Table 3.1 shows that average household size in Bardiya, Makawanpur, Banke, Sarlahi<br />
and Nawalparasi has significantly decreased during the period <strong>of</strong> 2006/07 and 2011. In<br />
Kailali and Kapilbastu average family size is seen higher than other districts due to joint<br />
family system among the Rana Tharu and Muslim respectively. Declining household size<br />
may be due to urbanization process accelerated by the RAIDP interventions and other<br />
factors.<br />
Sex composition <strong>of</strong> a population has multiple socio-economic implications for the<br />
development <strong>of</strong> a region. The table 3.2 presents sex composition <strong>of</strong> sample households.<br />
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Table 3.2 Sex composition by project area and control villages<br />
Sex<br />
Zone <strong>of</strong> influence<br />
Project area Control area<br />
Total population<br />
Male<br />
Population 984 342 1326<br />
% 52.56 51.82 52.37<br />
Female<br />
Population 888 318 1206<br />
% 47.44 48.18 47.63<br />
Total<br />
Population 1872 660 2532<br />
% 100.00 100.00 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011.<br />
Population <strong>of</strong> the sample households has been classified into four broader age groups<br />
namely non-school going age, school going age, economically active population and old<br />
age population. Among the broader age groups, one sees that 65.92 percent <strong>of</strong><br />
population is in 15-59 age groups. The population distribution by age is presented in<br />
table 3.3.<br />
Table 3.3 Age composition by project areas and control villages<br />
Zone <strong>of</strong> influence<br />
Age interval<br />
Program Control Total popn.<br />
area area<br />
Below 5 years<br />
Population 104 31 135<br />
% 5.56 4.70 5.33<br />
5 - 14<br />
Population 400 132 532<br />
% 21.37 20.00 21.01<br />
15 - 59<br />
Population 1222 447 1669<br />
% 65.28 67.73 65.92<br />
60 and above<br />
Population 146 50 196<br />
% 7.80 7.58 7.74<br />
Total<br />
Population 1872 660 2532<br />
% 100.00 100.00 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
3.2 Caste and Ethnicity<br />
This study has made attempt to include the respondents from different caste and ethnic<br />
groups with a view to represent them in sample. However, the proportion <strong>of</strong> the sample<br />
does not actually represent the proportion at national level because <strong>of</strong> the predominance<br />
<strong>of</strong> particular caste and ethnic groups at the local level sample sites <strong>of</strong> the study.<br />
The population <strong>of</strong> the sample area has classified into seven broader categories based on<br />
caste and ethnicity. Table 3.4 shows that the highest population in project area villages is<br />
hill high caste followed by hill Janajati, Tarai Dalit, Tarai caste, Musalman, Tarai Janajati<br />
and hill Dalit respectively. In control villages, the largest population was hill Janajati<br />
followed by Tarai Dalit, hill high caste, Tarai caste, Musalman, hill Dalit and Tarai<br />
Janajati respectively.<br />
(10)
Table 3.4: Population distribution by caste/ethnicity in sample area<br />
Caste/Ethnic Groups Project area Control Area Total<br />
No % No % No %<br />
High hill caste 558 29.81 119 18.03 677 26.74<br />
Hill Janajati 474 25.32 218 33.03 692 27.33<br />
Tarai Dalit 327 17.47 133 20.15 460 18.17<br />
Tarai caste 242 12.93 80 12.12 322 12.72<br />
Musalman 140 7.48 54 8.18 194 7.66<br />
Tarai Janajati 78 4.17 21 3.18 99 3.91<br />
Hill Dalits 53 2.83 35 5.30 88 3.48<br />
Total 1872 100.00 660 100.00 2532 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
In hill districts, hill high caste is major groups <strong>of</strong> beneficiary (54%) followed by hill<br />
Janajati (40%) and hill dalit (6%) respectively. However, <strong>of</strong> the total sample household<br />
population Tarai dalit is seen largest population (30%) in Tarai followed by Tarai caste<br />
group (22%), hill Janajati (15%), hill high caste (13%), Musalman (13%), Tarai Janajati<br />
(7%) and hill dalit less than one percent respectively. This indicates that all social groups<br />
<strong>of</strong> the sample households <strong>of</strong> project area have transportation access to go to nearest<br />
markets and other social institutions. Access <strong>of</strong> sample households to roads by caste<br />
and ethnicity in terms <strong>of</strong> region has been presented in 5.5 (See Annex 3).<br />
Table 5.5 Population distributions <strong>of</strong> sample households by caste and ethnicity<br />
in project area<br />
Program area -Tarai Districts<br />
Program area- Hill Districts<br />
Groups Population % Population %<br />
Hill high Caste 141 12.82 417 54<br />
Hill Dalits 7 0.63 46 6<br />
Hill Janajati 165 15 309 40<br />
Terai caste 242 22 0 0<br />
Terai Dalit 327 29.73 0 0<br />
Terai Janajati 78 7.1 0 0<br />
Musalman 140 12.72 0 0<br />
Total 1100 100 772 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
(11)
CHAPTER IV<br />
4. MAJOR FINDINGS<br />
4. 1 Traffic Count and Transportation Indicators<br />
Number and Type <strong>of</strong> Vehicles<br />
The traffic counts have provided the study team with a measure <strong>of</strong> the volume and<br />
composition <strong>of</strong> traffic passing on the RAIDP roads, and provided important background<br />
information for understanding the impacts in terms <strong>of</strong> cost savings from decreasing travel<br />
times and travel costs. Traffic counts were undertaken along RAIDP road one day<br />
period, 12 hours counts from six in the morning until six in the evening. Counts were<br />
taken at the starting point <strong>of</strong> the road. It was reported in the focus group discussion no<br />
vehicles were operating on the project at night in the hill districts except in emergency.<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> two wheelers and bicycles has increased in all RAIDP roads. Next to<br />
motorcycle the use <strong>of</strong> non-motorized bicycle in the Tarai is popular. Average number <strong>of</strong><br />
vehicles run over the RAIDP roads is 159 per day. Table 4.1 provides a summary view<br />
<strong>of</strong> daily traffic volumes at survey points.<br />
Table 4.1 Number <strong>of</strong> vehicles by types<br />
Types <strong>of</strong> Vehicles<br />
Total vehicles per<br />
day<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> sample roads<br />
Average<br />
Jeep/Sumo 43 10 4.3<br />
Motorbicycles 890 19 46.8<br />
Bus/minibus/micro 109 18 6.1<br />
Truck/Minitruck/Triper 190 19 10.0<br />
Tractor 392 18 21.8<br />
Bicycle 1323 14 94.5<br />
Tanga/Carriage 2 2 1.0<br />
Rickshaw 3 2 1.5<br />
Car 16 4 4.0<br />
Cart 198 12 16.5<br />
Taxi 5 1 5.0<br />
Ambulance 1 1 1.0<br />
Total 3172 20 158.6<br />
Note: Traffic survey was conducted in starting point <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads it was held on different dates<br />
<strong>of</strong> the months <strong>of</strong> October and November, 2011 from 6 am to 6 pm.<br />
4.1.1 Motorized and Non-motorized Vehicles in RAIDP Roads<br />
Between 2006/07 and 2011 number <strong>of</strong> all types <strong>of</strong> vehicles has increased. Overall<br />
growth <strong>of</strong> motorized vehicles is 37 percent. Similarly, 33 percent increment is seen <strong>of</strong><br />
non-motorized vehicles during the same period. Increase rate <strong>of</strong> vehicles is varied by<br />
districts. Table 4.2 shows that motorized vehicles are augmented by 63 percent in<br />
Nuwakot district while number <strong>of</strong> vehicles is decreased in Mahottari district because <strong>of</strong><br />
not upgrading RAIDP road. According to FGD, factional politics at local level and<br />
insecurity were the major causes <strong>of</strong> not implementation <strong>of</strong> RAIDP road in Mahottari.<br />
Among the vehicles, jeep/car/taxi is increased by 52 percent followed by truck (44%),<br />
motorcycle (42%), bus (35%) and tractor (20%) respectively (See Annex 4). Of the total<br />
upgraded sample RAIDP roads, high traffic volume is seen in Kailali district (Khutiya-<br />
Matiyari road) and lowest in Rasuwa district (See table 4.2). Of the non-motorized<br />
vehicles, bicycles share more than 86 percent <strong>of</strong> the total.<br />
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Table 4.2 Number <strong>of</strong> vehicles before and after RAIDP Road<br />
District<br />
Motorized vehicle Non-motorized Increased percent<br />
vehicles<br />
Before After Before After Motorized<br />
Nonmotorized<br />
Kailali 80 193 70 111 59 37<br />
Bardiya 74 138 96 128 46 25<br />
Banke 69 97 67 87 29 23<br />
Salyan 37 42 0 0 12 0<br />
Kapilvastu 72 88 80 79 18 0<br />
Rupandehi 114 146 64 90 22 29<br />
Nawalparasi 63 111 59 93 43 37<br />
Palpa 65 86 4 0 24 0<br />
Rasuwa 9 9 0 0 0 0<br />
Kaski 66 89 2 1 26 0<br />
Syangja 16 31 0 0 48 0<br />
Dhading 32 82 0 6 61 100<br />
Nuwakot 44 118 0 0 63 0<br />
Makawanpur 28 50 0 0 44 0<br />
Rautahat 64 80 100 116 20 14<br />
Sarlahi 26 39 103 197 33 48<br />
Mahottari* 20 3 82 44 0 -86<br />
Dhanusa 113 167 110 333 32 70<br />
Siraha 30 49 117 152 39 23<br />
Udayapur 18 28 66 89 35 26<br />
1040 1646 1020 1526 37 33<br />
Source: Districts Records, RAIDP Office Records, 2011, Traffic Survey and FGD, 2011<br />
Note: Non-motorized Vehicles includes bicycle, animal cart, rickshaw<br />
* RAIDP road upgrading was not held due to security and local dispute reasons in Mahottari<br />
Traffic Unit<br />
Various traffic volumes have been quantified in terms <strong>of</strong> a standard traffic unit transport<br />
unit (TU) or passenger car unit (PCU). Traffic volume is seen higher in Janakpur followed<br />
by Rupandehi and Nawal parasi districts (See Table 4.3). Lowest volume <strong>of</strong> traffic is<br />
seen in Rasuwa district. Traffic volume is higher in Tarai districts than hill districts.<br />
Average traffic volume unit <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads is 180. Volume <strong>of</strong> traffic by its type and roads<br />
has presented in Annex 4a.<br />
Table 4.3 Traffic units by districts<br />
Districts Roads Traffic units<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 227.5<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ring Road 310<br />
Banke Titihiriy-Sonapur 231<br />
Salyan Khalangga 43.5<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labni-Lakhanchok 251<br />
Rupandehi Madhauliya-Bhutaha 337.5<br />
Nawalparasi Daldle-Dhauwadi 276.5<br />
Palpa Banstari-Jhadewa 89.5<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 10<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mujure 86.5<br />
Syangya Rangkhola-Biruwa 64<br />
(13)
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidanda 115.5<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Mehang 83<br />
Makwanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 37.5<br />
Rautahat Auriya-Himalibas 214.5<br />
Sarlahi Karmaiya-Hathiol 195<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipara 213.5<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Khairahani 404<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 293<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Beltar 123.5<br />
Total 3606.5<br />
Source field Survey: 2011<br />
4.2 <strong>Local</strong> Fare by Vehicles<br />
Travel time, according to FGD, has come down 20-50 percent in the period <strong>of</strong> five years.<br />
Travel cost was varied according to type <strong>of</strong> vehicles. Average bus fare per kilometer was<br />
Rs. 3.6. Average length <strong>of</strong> sampled road is 9.3 km.<br />
Table 4.4 Mean Transportation fare by vehicles and distance<br />
Fare for<br />
Distance in KM<br />
Per km<br />
Types <strong>of</strong> Vehicles<br />
Passenger<br />
fare (Rs)<br />
No Mean No Mean<br />
Jeep/Sumo 43 14.4 43 89.2 6<br />
Bus/Minibus 109 13.8 109 49.4 3.6<br />
Truck/minitruck 190 14.2 4 67.5 4.75<br />
Tanga/carriage 2 6.6 2 32.5 4.9<br />
Rickshaw 3 4 3 26.7 7<br />
Bullock cart 198 12.9 1 300 23<br />
Taxi 5 5 5 740 150<br />
Ambulance 1 5 1 4500 900<br />
Total 551 9.3 168<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Bus fare has slightly increased than baseline survey. Per kilometer bus fare was 2.86<br />
rupees in 2006/07 (Baseline Report, 2007) and now it has reached 3.6 rupees per<br />
kilometer in 2011. This fare is more or less the same as fixed by the government <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>Nepal</strong> for rural roads. Jeep/sumo fare is 40 percent expensive than bus (see table 4.4).<br />
Travel cost in all RAIDP remained relatively upward due to increased price <strong>of</strong> fuel<br />
internationally.<br />
Total 775 motorized and non-motorized vehicles were operated in the sample RAIDP<br />
roads carrying goods. Average weight carried by vehicles was 1875.5 kg. Many<br />
residents <strong>of</strong> RAIDP road in Tarai use bicycles to import and export small amount <strong>of</strong><br />
commodity.<br />
(14)
Table 4.5 Mean number <strong>of</strong> weight <strong>of</strong> goods carried by vehicles<br />
Quantity <strong>of</strong><br />
Types <strong>of</strong> vehicle Number goods (KG) Distance<br />
Mean<br />
Truck/Minitruck/Triper 186 3809.1<br />
14.3<br />
Tractor 392 1854.1<br />
12.0<br />
Cart 197 92.4<br />
12.9<br />
Total 775 1875.5 12.8<br />
Source: Traffic Survey, 2011<br />
Travel Frequency to Market<br />
Between 2006/2007 and 2011, the percent <strong>of</strong> going market on foot has come down into<br />
zero percent in project area. However, at the same time the percent <strong>of</strong> going to market<br />
on foot in control village has increased. Number <strong>of</strong> motorcycle users for marketing has<br />
increased both project and control areas. Interestingly, jeep user has increased by six<br />
percent in project area and two percent in control area (See Table 4.6).<br />
Table 4.6 Average travel frequency by mode <strong>of</strong> transport<br />
Project area<br />
Control Area<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Transport<br />
Before (%) After (%) Before (%) After (%)<br />
On foot 5 0 13 28<br />
Bus 62 58 56 46<br />
Motorcycle 3 14 3 6<br />
Bicycle 24 22 18 18<br />
Jeep 0 6 0 2<br />
Missing 6 0 10 0<br />
Total 100 100 100 100<br />
Source: Baseline Survey, 2006/07 pp 5 &6, Impact Survey, 2011<br />
Table 4.6 indicates that mode <strong>of</strong> transport for market town has increased in project area.<br />
However, the situation in control area has declined compared to baseline survey.<br />
4.3 Road wise travel time before and after project<br />
Travel time has significantly decreased in most <strong>of</strong> the surveyed roads after the RAIDP<br />
intervention. Table 4.5 shows that traveling time for market centre, hospitals and higher<br />
education centre has reduced by 46%, 50%, and 50% respectively. Travel time has<br />
decreased by 81% in Rautahat and 79% in Salyan. There is no change on travel time in<br />
Kailali and Mahottari (See Table 4.7).<br />
(15)
Name <strong>of</strong><br />
Districts<br />
Table 4.7 Road wise travel time and time to key facilities before<br />
and after RAIDP road upgrading<br />
Name <strong>of</strong> Roads<br />
Travel Time<br />
(hrs)<br />
Time for<br />
market center<br />
(hrs)<br />
Time for<br />
hospital (hrs)<br />
Time for<br />
higher<br />
education<br />
(hrs)<br />
Before After Before After Before After Before After<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.3<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ring Road 2.2 1 0.7 0.3 3.1 1.8 3.1 1.8<br />
Banke Titiriya MRM 1.1 0.5 1.8 0.7 1.6 0.8 1.6 0.8<br />
Salyan Khalanga-Simkharka 2.4 0.5 0.9 0.4 3.3 1.8 3.3 1.8<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchok 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 1 0.4 1 0.4<br />
Palpa Banstari-Jhadewa 1.5 1 1.5 1 0.75 0.8 1.5 1<br />
Rupandehi Madhauliya-Bhutaha 1 0.4 1 0.4 1 0.4 1 0.4<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dawadi 3 1.5 2 1 2 1 2 1<br />
Syanja Rangkhola-Biruwa 1.5 1 1.5 1 1.5 1 1.5 1<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mujure 3.2 1 1.2 0.7 1.7 0.9 1.2 0.7<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjayang 0.75 0.5 2 1.3 2 1.5 2 1.5<br />
Dhadding Bhimdhunga-Lamidanda 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 3 1.5 3 1.5 3 1.5 3 1.5<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 2 1 2.5 2 1 0.6 1 0.6<br />
Rautahat Himalibas-Auriya 2.7 0.5 1.3 0.7 3 1.4 3 1.4<br />
Sarlahi Karmaiya-Hathol 4 2 1.5 0.75 2 1 2 1<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Khariyani 2 0.75 2 0.75 2 0.8 2 0.75<br />
Siraha Siraha-Mirchaiya 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.9<br />
Mahottari Matiyani-Piparara-Brahmapur 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Beltar-Chatara 1.8 0.7 1 0.5 1.7 0.8 1.7 0.8<br />
Average hours for travel 2 0.8 1.4 0.76 1.8 0.9 1.8 0.93<br />
% <strong>of</strong> travel time reduction 60 46 50 50<br />
Source: RAIDP Records and Field Survey, 2011.<br />
Reduction <strong>of</strong> travel time and time to key facilities is made possible by RAIDP<br />
interventions. Fifty percent reduction <strong>of</strong> travel time is more than estimated in PDO and<br />
outcome indicators <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads. This also indicates that accessibility <strong>of</strong> residents to<br />
health and education institution has enhanced due to RAIDP road enhancement.<br />
4.3 Ownership <strong>of</strong> Vehicles<br />
Table 4.8 shows that more than 71 percent vehicles owned by the respondents are nonmotorized<br />
in type. Of the motorized vehicles, number <strong>of</strong> motorcycles is highest followed<br />
by truck, tractor, bus and minibus. If we divide the vehicles among the sample<br />
households, there would be more than one vehicle (both motorized and non-motorized)<br />
to each household.<br />
(16)
Type <strong>of</strong><br />
Vehicle<br />
Table 4.8 Vehicle Ownership across sample households<br />
and utilization pattern in project area<br />
Purpose<br />
Used in<br />
Total<br />
No.<br />
Domestic Commercial Both<br />
Within<br />
project<br />
area<br />
Outside<br />
project<br />
area<br />
Both<br />
Average per<br />
day trip in<br />
project area<br />
Non-motorized<br />
transport* 233 193 4 38 86 31 118 4<br />
Motorcycles 63 45 9 9 30 8 25 3<br />
Bus 4 2 1 1 3 1 0 2<br />
Tractor 10 3 5 2 7 2 1 4<br />
Truck 15 3 10 2 8 4 3 8<br />
Minibus 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1<br />
Total 328 247 29 52 135 46 147 4<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
*Bicycle and bullock cart<br />
There is no data <strong>of</strong> baseline survey (2006/07) regarding the vehicle ownership by the<br />
respondents. However, participants <strong>of</strong> FGDs reported that number <strong>of</strong> motorcycle owners<br />
has increased after the upgrading <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads. After the upgrading <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP<br />
roads some residents <strong>of</strong> project area were encouraged to invest motorized vehicles. For<br />
example, 14 residents <strong>of</strong> Trisuli-Mehang-Deurali road (Nuwakot) have bought trucks<br />
which are operated in the project area for transporting goods and passengers.<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Transportation for the residents<br />
Residents <strong>of</strong> the sample roads go to various destinations using different means <strong>of</strong><br />
transportation. As reported in the field, both male female from different social groups<br />
used public bus to go to nearest towns, health centre and hospitals. However, only<br />
males were found going to government <strong>of</strong>fice and work place. Similarly, bicycles or<br />
walking is common for the visiting <strong>of</strong> rural market. Average travel distance in project area<br />
was 13.3 km (See Table 4.9). Travels have made for various purposes such as<br />
marketing, job, business studying and treatment.<br />
Table 4.9 Number <strong>of</strong> family member going outside for work and<br />
vehicle type used for travel in project area<br />
Travel<br />
Total<br />
Destination Mode <strong>of</strong> transportation Frequency Traveled by<br />
distance<br />
trips<br />
(km)<br />
Travel<br />
time<br />
(hrs)<br />
Purpose<br />
Nearest Town Bus/bicycle/byke/jeep Male/Female 816 19.6 1.2 Marketing<br />
Rural Market Foot/bicycles/byke/bus/jeep 66 Male/Female 1285 1.4 0.26 Marketing<br />
Gov Office Foot/bus/ibicycle 8 Male 200 2.2 0.41 Job<br />
Work place Foot/bicycle/byke/bus 21 Male 535 98.7 3.4 Business<br />
School Foot/bicycle/byke/bus 183 Male/Female 3094 1.9 0.45 Study<br />
College Foot/Bicycles/bus/byke 17 MaleFemale 423 3 0.8 Study<br />
Health centre Foot/Bus/bicycle/byke 47 Male/female 281 11.7 0.6 Treatment<br />
Hospital Foot/Bus 41 Male/Female 173 13.3 0.85 Treatment<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Unlike to project area, residents <strong>of</strong> control villages have spent more time to travel from<br />
their house. They go to nearest road on foot and then they get public transportation.<br />
Travel frequency, total travel trips in control villages is low compared to project area.<br />
(17)
Table 4.10 Number <strong>of</strong> family member going outside for work<br />
and vehicle type used for travel in control villages<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong><br />
Total Travel Travel<br />
Destination<br />
Frequency Traveled by<br />
Purpose<br />
transportation<br />
trips distance (km) time (hrs)<br />
Nearest Town Foot/Bus 23 Male 253 19.13 1.5 Buying<br />
Rural Market Foot 32 Both 722 2.2 0.48 Other<br />
Gov Office Foot/Bus 7 Both 121 24.4 2.7 Job<br />
Work place Foot 5 Male 210 3.9 0.75 Labor work<br />
School Foot 49 Male/Female 975 2.8 0.75 Study<br />
College Foot/Bus 7 Female/male 132 27.9 1.5 Study<br />
Health centre Foot 18 Female/male 70 2.8 0.61 Treatment<br />
Hospital Foot/Bus 10 Male/female 38 22.9 2.3 Treatment<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011.<br />
Tables 4.9 and 4.10 show travel time and travel distance in project and control areas.<br />
Having no baseline data <strong>of</strong> travel time, it is difficult to say precisely how much travel time<br />
has declined in project area. Participants <strong>of</strong> FGDs reported that travel time has<br />
significantly declined after the upgrading the roads. According to them, travel time has<br />
declined 20 to 50 percent in Project area. As reported in the field survey, with the decline<br />
<strong>of</strong> travel time frequency <strong>of</strong> travel trips has increased.<br />
4.4 Distance and Travel Time to the nearest all Season Roads<br />
Average distance <strong>of</strong> road from the project area has classified on the basis <strong>of</strong> walking<br />
time such as 0-30 minutes, 31 minutes to 2 hours, 2-4 hours, more than 4 hours. The<br />
distance <strong>of</strong> respondents' households to nearest all season roads is in the range <strong>of</strong> 0 to<br />
more than four hours. Forty-three percent households are located in the distance <strong>of</strong> 31<br />
minutes to 2 hours from the all season roads. Similarly, 29 percent households have<br />
reached the nearest all season roads within 0 -30 minutes. Households having access<br />
to 2- 4 hours to arrive at nearest all season roads is 23 percent. Five percent households<br />
have got to nearest all season roads more than four hours (See Table 4.11).<br />
Table 4.11 Average distance to road<br />
Districts 0-30 m 31 m to 2 hrs 2-4 hrs More than 4 hrs<br />
Kailali 33 67 0 0<br />
Bardiya 100 0 0 0<br />
Banke 33 67 0 0<br />
Salyan 40 25 10 25<br />
Kapilbastu 0 0 100 0<br />
Nawalparasi 47 53 0 0<br />
Rupandehi 0 73 27 0<br />
Palpa 0 20 80 0<br />
Kaski 13 54 20 13<br />
Syangja 7 66 20 7<br />
Dhading 80 0 20 0<br />
Makawanpur 7 27 33 33<br />
Rasuwa 93 0 7 0<br />
Nuwakot 47 26 27 0<br />
Rautahat 0 100 0 0<br />
Sarlahi 53 47 0 0<br />
Mahottari 20 67 13 0<br />
Dhanusa 0 100 0 0<br />
Siraha 7 27 66 0<br />
Udayapur 0 40 40 20<br />
Total % 29 43 23 5<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
(18)
People living within four hours <strong>of</strong> walking distance to all season roads have increased by<br />
cent percent in eleven Tarai districts and four in hill districts. Percent <strong>of</strong> increment in<br />
Salyan, Syangja and Udyapur is 19%, 18%, and 14% respectively. However,<br />
accessibility <strong>of</strong> people living within four hours walking distance to all season roads in<br />
Kaski and Makawanpur has decreased (See Table 4.12)<br />
Table 4.12 Accessibility <strong>of</strong> people living within four hours walking<br />
distance to all season roads<br />
S.N. Districts Before (2006) (%) After (2011) (%) Increased %<br />
1 Kailali 5 0 100<br />
2 Bardiya 4 0 100<br />
3 Banke 0 0 100<br />
4 Salyan 43.6 25 19<br />
5 Kapilbastu 0 0 100<br />
6 Nawalparasi 9 0 100<br />
7 Rupandehi 1.8 0 100<br />
8 Palpa 8 0 100<br />
9 Kaski 9.28 13 -4<br />
10 Syangja 25 7 18<br />
11 Dhading 36 0 100<br />
12 Makawanpur 5 33 -28<br />
13 Rasuwa 23 0 100<br />
14 Nuwakot 32.9 0 100<br />
15 Rautahat 6 0 100<br />
16 Sarlahi 6.03 0 100<br />
17 Mahottari 6.03 0 100<br />
18 Dhanusa 0 0 100<br />
19 Siraha 0 0 100<br />
20 Udayapur 33.65 20 13.65<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011 and Preliminary Accessibility Pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> Districts <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong>, 2006.<br />
Trip per month to nearest road and nearest bus stop is 12.22 and 12.10 by project area<br />
sample households (See Annex 5 & 6). Minimum and maximum trip to market have in<br />
the range <strong>of</strong> 2 to 28.46 in a month.<br />
Ninety percent residents <strong>of</strong> the control area spend substantial amount <strong>of</strong> time to get the<br />
nearest road from their settlements. In project area, spatial mobility <strong>of</strong> residents has<br />
increased after the RAIDP intervention because <strong>of</strong> knowledge enhanced about the<br />
market opportunities, employment and so on.<br />
(19)
CHAPTER V<br />
5.1 AGRICULTURE AND TRANSPORTATION<br />
5.1.2 Transportation for Farm Inputs<br />
Bus is common means <strong>of</strong> transportation for getting farm inputs in project area. The<br />
transport cost for improved seed and fertilizer is 0.85 and 0.81 paisa per kg respectively.<br />
Urea, DAP and potash were major type <strong>of</strong> chemical fertilizers applied by the sample<br />
households. Generally, vehicles do not charge for pesticides transportation being a small<br />
bottle, therefore travel cost <strong>of</strong> passenger is added as pesticide transportation fare (See<br />
Table 5.1). According to respondents, transportation cost for farm input has decreased<br />
by 15 to 20 percent in project area. Transportation cost <strong>of</strong> chemical fertilizer has<br />
decreased by 75% in Nuwakot. As discussed in FGD transportation cost <strong>of</strong> a sack <strong>of</strong><br />
fertilizer (50 kg) was 200 rupees. Now the transportation cost has declined in 50 rupees<br />
per sack.<br />
Table 5.1 Mode <strong>of</strong> transport used for getting farm inputs in project area villages<br />
No <strong>of</strong><br />
Farm input<br />
trips<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong><br />
transport<br />
Market<br />
distance(km)<br />
Travel time<br />
one way(hrs)<br />
Per unit<br />
transport<br />
cost<br />
Improve<br />
seeds Bus 16.48 1.13 80 0.85<br />
Fertilizers Bus 15.89 1.09 159 0.81<br />
insecticides Bus 12.68 0.89 36 32.17<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Data presented in table 5.1 came from household survey. General trend is that residents<br />
<strong>of</strong> the project area have brought one or two sacks <strong>of</strong> fertilizer, some kilograms <strong>of</strong><br />
improved seeds and small bottles <strong>of</strong> pesticides at a time while traveling to nearest town.<br />
In such a situation they bring agricultural inputs along with passenger bus. However, as<br />
observed in the field and reported in the FGD residents also use other means <strong>of</strong><br />
transportation such as truck, tractor, bullock cart if they need huge quantity <strong>of</strong> fertilizer. In<br />
some cases bicycle is used to transport chemical fertilizer.<br />
In control villages, transportation cost for farm input is relatively dearer. Sample<br />
households from control villages have to pay Rs 1.36 per kg while transporting chemical<br />
fertilizer to their farm land (See Table 5.2). In the hill districts <strong>of</strong> control villages, farm<br />
inputs are transported by men. However, bicycle and bullock cart are means <strong>of</strong> transport<br />
in control villages <strong>of</strong> Tarai.<br />
Table 5.2 Mode <strong>of</strong> transport used for getting farm inputs in Control villages<br />
Travel time No <strong>of</strong><br />
Farm input<br />
Market<br />
Per unit<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> transport<br />
one trips<br />
distance(km)<br />
transport cost<br />
way(hrs)<br />
Improve<br />
seeds Bicycle 4.92 0.65 16 0<br />
Fertilizers<br />
Man/bicycles/bullock<br />
cart 5.33 1.55 32 1.36<br />
insecticides Bicycle 12.68 1.25 4 0<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
(20)
Table 5.1 and 5.2 clearly show that transportation facilities through RAIDP road has<br />
increased total trips to go market and transport cost <strong>of</strong> farm input has reduced by more<br />
than 37 percent.<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> Purchased Inputs<br />
Percentage <strong>of</strong> chemical fertilizer and average consumption <strong>of</strong> fertilizer and improved<br />
seeds is slightly higher in project area than control villages. Agricultural households have<br />
used improved seeds in selected crops such as paddy, wheat and vegetables.<br />
Table 5.3 Use <strong>of</strong> purchased inputs in the project and control areas<br />
Project area<br />
Control Area<br />
Input<br />
Percent <strong>of</strong> Average<br />
Average<br />
Percent <strong>of</strong> HH<br />
HH consumption (kg)<br />
consumption (kg)<br />
Fertilizer 74 109 66 101<br />
Pesticide 21 13<br />
Seeds 34 40 31 24<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011.<br />
5.2 Agriculture Productivity Indicators<br />
A majority <strong>of</strong> respondents (96% in project area and 94% in control villages) have<br />
operational landholding. Landholding size in this study broadly classified into four<br />
categories i.e. landless, .01 to .49 hectare, .50 to .99 hectares and one and above<br />
hectors. Nearly 80 percent households <strong>of</strong> project area and 71 percent in control villages<br />
owned land in the range <strong>of</strong> .01 to .99 hectares. Seventeen percent in program area and<br />
23 percent in control villages have owned land one hectares and above. The average<br />
size <strong>of</strong> agricultural land area in the project area and control villages is 0.57 hectare and<br />
0.75 hectare respectively (See Annex 7). These are slightly lower than <strong>Nepal</strong> average<br />
landholding size (0.83 hectare, NLSS, 2004). The average landholding size has<br />
decreased both in the project area and control villages than the period <strong>of</strong> baseline survey<br />
to present (See Baseline Report, 2007 p.3). The relatively small size <strong>of</strong> the operational<br />
landholding is the result <strong>of</strong> the sample households from the semi-urban areas where<br />
most have homesteads only. There is tendency <strong>of</strong> Migration from control and other parts<br />
<strong>of</strong> the country into project area, shift from agriculture to non-agricultural activities may<br />
also the cause <strong>of</strong> small landholding size in the study area. With the improvement <strong>of</strong><br />
RAIDP roads some <strong>of</strong> the households have constructed house in project area <strong>of</strong> various<br />
districts for trade and business purposes.<br />
5.3 Agriculture Production<br />
Paddy, maize, wheat, millet, potato, oil seeds, pulses and different kinds <strong>of</strong> vegetables<br />
are major crops and cash crops grown in the survey villages. Annex tables (7-14) show<br />
the percent <strong>of</strong> the agricultural households cultivating selected crops. The proportion <strong>of</strong><br />
households cultivating paddy is 76%, wheat 41 %, maize 55%, millet 20%, potato 27%,<br />
oil seeds 31.%, pluses 21% and vegetables 93%. Paddy, maize, wheat, millet, potato,<br />
pluses, oil seeds oil and vegetables were grown in 143.49 ha, 54.94 ha, 52.22 ha, 14.84<br />
ha, 6.47 ha, 41.54 ha, 23.44 ha and 10.31 ha respectively in project area (See Annex 8<br />
to 15).<br />
Production <strong>of</strong> main crops has enormously increased than baseline study to present both<br />
in control and project area. Table 5.4 presents the average production <strong>of</strong> major crops<br />
before project and after project.<br />
(21)
Table 5.4 Mean production <strong>of</strong> major cereal crops before and after project (kg)<br />
Crops<br />
Mean value project area<br />
Mean Value Control Villages<br />
Before After Before After<br />
Paddy 339 1834 327 2154<br />
HH 280 229 247 81<br />
Maize 113 646 105 646<br />
HH 50 165 60 49<br />
Wheat 192 826 191 955<br />
No 162 122 153 54<br />
Source: Baseline Study; 2006/07 pp 4-5 and Impact study, 2011.<br />
Table 5.4 shows that average production <strong>of</strong> paddy, wheat and maize have increased 4 to<br />
5 times more than baseline study (2006/07). Reasons <strong>of</strong> production increased may be<br />
several such as timely monsoon, easy access to agricultural inputs and market access<br />
through RAIDP road connection, improvement <strong>of</strong> irrigation facilities, etc.<br />
Much <strong>of</strong> the production <strong>of</strong> food staples in the study area is produced both for domestic<br />
use and for market. Small quantities <strong>of</strong> cereal crops are sold even by the food deficient<br />
household during harvesting time to arrange the household expenses. Marketed crops<br />
such as potato, oil seeds, pulses, fruits and vegetables are clearly important sources <strong>of</strong><br />
income for farm household. More than 96 percent <strong>of</strong> the sample households from project<br />
area were found growing more or less vegetable crops in their garden. Vegetable<br />
farming (both seasonal and <strong>of</strong>f seasonal) is very common in all project area. More<br />
specifically, residents <strong>of</strong> Makawanpur, Dhading, Rautahat and Kailali districts have<br />
grown more vegetables for market than other districts. Residents under the Auriya-<br />
Himalibas road <strong>of</strong> Rautahat have grown the vegetables targeting to the market <strong>of</strong><br />
Kathmandu valley. As mentioned in the FGD, whole sellers from Kalimati (Kathmandu)<br />
vegetable market directly collect the vegetables from farm gate <strong>of</strong> sample households in<br />
Rautahat. Similarly, oil seeds from Bardiya and potato from Rasuwa are also grown for<br />
targeting the Kathmandu market as well as domestic consumption. As reported in<br />
Syangja and Palpa, ginger and citrus are exported in large amount from Rankhola -<br />
Biruwa and Banstari-Jhadewa roads. In the group discussion, it was informed that<br />
around NRs 50 million citrus and ginger exported by local farmers. Commonly grown<br />
crops frequency, disposition and yield estimates from survey household for the study<br />
area is reported in Tables 5.5 and 5.6.<br />
Table 5.5 Dispensation <strong>of</strong> crops grown in project area villages<br />
Crops<br />
No <strong>of</strong> HH consumption<br />
Agricultural output<br />
Grown for sale (%)<br />
HH (% <strong>of</strong> growing crops)<br />
sold/HH (kg)<br />
Paddy 229 58.43 41.57 2312.00<br />
Maize 165 81.12 18.88 719.00<br />
Wheat 122 72.61 27.39 790.00<br />
Millet 60 68.73 31.27 407.00<br />
Potato 81 35.21 64.79 1108.00<br />
Mustard 94 86.67 13.33 229.00<br />
Pulses 62 75.60 24.40 165.00<br />
Vegetables 288 58.17 41.83 597.00<br />
Fruits 9 27.28 72.72 2043.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
(22)
Table 5.6 Dispensation <strong>of</strong> crops grown in control villages<br />
Crops No <strong>of</strong> HH<br />
HH consumption Grown for sale Agricultural output<br />
(% <strong>of</strong> growing crops) (%)<br />
sold/HH (kg)<br />
Paddy 71 64.94 35.06 1981.00<br />
Maize 49 84.48 15.52 615.00<br />
Wheat 54 59.88 40.12 1294.00<br />
Millet 26 79.13 20.87 289.00<br />
Potato 26 43.18 56.82 1125.00<br />
Mustard 32 79.52 20.48 143.00<br />
Pulses 20 62.80 37.20 186.00<br />
Vegetables 94 74.69 25.31 410.00<br />
Fruits 1 0.00 100.00 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Tables 5.5 and 5.6 clearly show that residents <strong>of</strong> project area have grown more crops for<br />
market than control villages. Market network and transportation facilities, according to<br />
FGDs, have encouraged the residents to grow more for market in the project area.<br />
Irrigation<br />
Nearly 44 percent <strong>of</strong> the sample households have irrigated land in project area. Irrigation<br />
data <strong>of</strong> pre-project are not available. Therefore, it is difficult to speculate how much<br />
irrigated land increased in post-project period. However, as reported from FGDs<br />
indicates that installers <strong>of</strong> deep tube well have increased in some Tarai districts for last<br />
five years.<br />
Table 5.7 Share <strong>of</strong> irrigated land in project area and control area<br />
Sector Total land (ha) Irrigated land (ha) Percent<br />
Project area 171.52 74.77 43.59<br />
Control area 75.04 21.41 28.53<br />
Total 246.56 96.17 39.01<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> Farm Equipment<br />
Farming practices were mixed up with respect to technology. Tractor and thresher<br />
machine are one <strong>of</strong> major farm technologies in Tarai districts. Percentage <strong>of</strong> deep tube<br />
well, tractor and thresher were slightly higher in project area than control villages.<br />
However, sample households in the hills were found using hand tools, plough and oxen<br />
power as farm technology.<br />
Table 5.8 Farming practice with respect to technology used<br />
by farmers in the project area<br />
Sample using Deep Tube Well Tractor Thresher<br />
Project Control Project Control Project Control<br />
Farmers using 74 20 104 30 102 29<br />
Percent <strong>of</strong><br />
sample 24.66 20 34.67 30 34 29<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
5.4 Means <strong>of</strong> Transportation for Agricultural Products<br />
Trucks and tractors are very common means <strong>of</strong> transportation for agricultural products in<br />
project area and bullock cart was found popular among the control villages <strong>of</strong> Tarai.<br />
Bicycles and motorcycles were not only use for day today travel but also use for<br />
transporting petty agriculture and market commodities from one place to another.<br />
(23)
Respondents reported that on the improvement <strong>of</strong> road, tractors have increasingly<br />
available in project area and many tractor owners have rented out their services to<br />
farmers for a fee. Table 5.9 below reports the mode <strong>of</strong> transportation for supply<br />
agricultural commodities in the village.<br />
Table 5.9 Mode <strong>of</strong> Transport for selling agricultural products in project area<br />
Major crops Mode <strong>of</strong><br />
transport<br />
Market mean<br />
distance(km)<br />
Travel<br />
time(hrs)<br />
Total<br />
trips<br />
Transportation<br />
cost/ per quintal<br />
Food grain Truck/tractors 4.97 1.5 90 56.11<br />
Pulses Truck/tractors 5.5 1.5 17 56.36<br />
Potato Truck 13.92 1 46 135.75<br />
Oilseeds Truck 4.33 1.83 4 46.67<br />
Cash crop Bus 14.33 0.9 42 150.00<br />
Fruits Bus 14 0.86 27 50.00<br />
Vegetables Home market 0 0 28 0.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Travel time and travel costs data were taken from household survey and FGD. As<br />
reported in various places <strong>of</strong> project area 20-50 percent <strong>of</strong> transportation cost for<br />
supplying agricultural commodities has declined after the improvement <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads.<br />
Travel cost and traveling time is not the same for all roads <strong>of</strong> RAIDP. Fare <strong>of</strong><br />
trucks/tractors varied from one season to another and one district to another in the hill<br />
districts. In bound and out bound <strong>of</strong> truck fare is also different in Palpa district. For<br />
example, trucks charge full fare if the trucks are booked timely while transporting from<br />
Butwal to Bastari-Jhadewa road. If empty trucks are going down or if truck was already<br />
booked, and if still remained surplus capacity, then one could bargain, and thus the rate<br />
might fall for the additional capacity. A truck driver in Banstari-Jhadewa road says that<br />
they transport fifty percent below fare rate if the truck is not booked and it is out bounded<br />
for own destination. According to a driver, running empty truck is better than taking fifty<br />
percent below fare.<br />
In control villages <strong>of</strong> the hill districts, most <strong>of</strong> the goods are carried out by men up to<br />
nearest roads while control villages <strong>of</strong> Tarai use bullock cart and bicycles to transport the<br />
agricultural commodities.<br />
Syangja and Palpa district export ginger and citrus fruits. According to a local estimate,<br />
about 40 million worth <strong>of</strong> citrus are exported from Syangja district via Rang-Khola Biruwa<br />
Road. A sharp decline <strong>of</strong> travel fare was reported in Syangja. A participant <strong>of</strong> FGD told<br />
"British and India armies when they came back home in their vacation used to pay Rs<br />
800 to porters for carrying their goods to reach Biruwa from Rangkhola, now they pay<br />
only 120 rupees for the same destination by bus".<br />
With respect to transport cost, respondents were asked what percentage <strong>of</strong> their final<br />
sale price was consumed by transport costs. Of farmers who provided a response to this<br />
question, some said that transport costs were zero as they carry their products by their<br />
own bullock cart or bicycles. The average cost among the non-zero responses was<br />
around 2 to 10 percent.<br />
(24)
Table 5.10 Mode <strong>of</strong> transport for selling agricultural products in control villages<br />
Major crops<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Market Travel Total Transportation<br />
transport distance(km) time(minute) trips cost/ per quintal<br />
Foodgrain Bullock cart 9.31 105 78 61.56<br />
Pulses Bullock cart 9.43 116 9 54.29<br />
Potato Bullock cart 10.5 120 6 66.67<br />
Oilseeds Bullock cart 11 140 3 48.33<br />
Cash crop Man 6.67 105 10 100<br />
Fruits Man 5 120 10 100<br />
Vegetables Bullock cart 13 120 14 80<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
5.5 Prices <strong>of</strong> Major Crops in Farm Gate<br />
Table 3.15 shows that prices <strong>of</strong> all agricultural commodities are higher in farm gate <strong>of</strong><br />
project area than control villages. Residents <strong>of</strong> control village get lower price for their<br />
agricultural products. According to FGD, middlemen have to transport commodity from<br />
control village to nearest road head using local porters and bullock cart. Therefore,<br />
generally middlemen bargain for lower price in the farm gate <strong>of</strong> control villages. Cereal<br />
crops such as paddy, wheat, maize and millet are produced for both domestic and<br />
market consumption. On the other hand, marketed crops such as oil seeds, pulses,<br />
vegetables, ginger and sugarcane were clearly important sources <strong>of</strong> income for farm<br />
households. Potatoes were grown almost all the farms for household use and market<br />
product. Average price <strong>of</strong> agricultural products in farm gate <strong>of</strong> project area and control<br />
villages have presented in Table 5.11.<br />
Table 5.11 Farm gate prices <strong>of</strong> key crops (kg)<br />
Crops Farm gate price Middlemen price Market<br />
Prices<br />
Project Area Control Project Area Control<br />
Paddy 16.92 15 18.89 17 21.14<br />
Maize 20.87 18 22.95 20 25<br />
Wheat 16.75 16 18.5 18 20.87<br />
Millet 13 12 15.5 14 17.5<br />
Mustard 54.4 50 62 60 72<br />
Pulses 37.67 35 40.33 40 44<br />
Potato 9.33 8 11 10 12.83<br />
Tomato 35 25 40 30 55<br />
Ginger 23.25 20 27 25 32.5<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011.<br />
In addition to cropping questions, households were asked to report on the number <strong>of</strong><br />
poultry and livestock they had. Almost 69 percent <strong>of</strong> 300 households kept some number<br />
<strong>of</strong> livestock and poultry in project area (See Table 5.12). According to FGD discussions,<br />
poultry farming has tremendously increased in the project area. There were altogether<br />
367 poultry farm in project area and three in control villages. As informed that this was<br />
happened just after the road improvement (See Annex table 16) in project area. Of the<br />
total poultry farms 150 were in project area <strong>of</strong> Palpa district.<br />
(25)
Table 5.12 Livestock and Poultry Enterprise <strong>of</strong> the sample Households<br />
in project area & control area<br />
Goat and<br />
Cattle<br />
Item<br />
sheep<br />
Poultry<br />
Pigs<br />
Project Control Project Control Project control Project Control<br />
Average Number <strong>of</strong><br />
5<br />
3<br />
13<br />
1<br />
Flock/Herd 3<br />
5<br />
60<br />
2.69<br />
Numbers <strong>of</strong> Farmer<br />
76<br />
68<br />
47<br />
14<br />
keeping 208<br />
190<br />
96<br />
16<br />
Percent <strong>of</strong> total 69 76 63 68 32 47 5 14<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Except cattle, average livestock holding seems higher in project area than control areas.<br />
Increase <strong>of</strong> poultry farming is directly associated with RAIDP road improvement.<br />
According to field survey, residents <strong>of</strong> project area started keeping poultry farm for<br />
market when their access enhanced to transportation facilities.<br />
Wage Rate<br />
Wage rate for agriculture, construction and skill labor has varied from one district to<br />
another. There is similar wage rate for male and female for agricultural works in 14<br />
project area out <strong>of</strong> 20. In six districts, female wage rate is lower than male. Daily wage<br />
rate for agricultural labor is in the range <strong>of</strong> 150 -300 rupees (see Annex table 17).<br />
According to field survey lowest wage for agricultural labor is in Banke and highest in<br />
Dhading district.<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> people working on farm<br />
A remarkable change seen in wage employment in the last five years is probably the<br />
shift in shares <strong>of</strong> agriculture and non-agriculture sectors. According to FGD discussions,<br />
percent share <strong>of</strong> agriculture has decreased than before project situation. However, we<br />
can not say exactly how much percent <strong>of</strong> non- agriculture occupation has increased in<br />
project area due to lack <strong>of</strong> data <strong>of</strong> occupational distribution in original survey, 2006/07.<br />
Of the total economically active population in project area and control villages 36.03<br />
percent and 46.80 percent were in agriculture respectively. Remaining nearly 64 percent<br />
from project area and 53 from control villages were in non-agricultural works.<br />
Table 5.13 Number <strong>of</strong> people working in agriculture and non-agriculture<br />
Main occupation<br />
Zone <strong>of</strong> influence<br />
Program area Control area<br />
Total<br />
Agriculture<br />
No 382 161 515<br />
% 36.04 46.80 39.25<br />
Non-agriculture No 678 183 797<br />
% 63.96 53.20 60.75<br />
Total<br />
No 968 344 1312<br />
% 100.00 100.00 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
5.6 Transport and agriculture Extension<br />
Of the total household, 38 percent households were found taking the services <strong>of</strong><br />
veterinary extension. Table 5.15 shows that 26 percent households were visited<br />
agriculture extension service center at least once a year. Most <strong>of</strong> the veterinary and<br />
agricultural extension centers are located within one hour distance. Major means <strong>of</strong><br />
transportation for visiting the veterinary service centers is bus followed by bicycles in<br />
project area (See table 5.14). However, 71 percent household in control area go<br />
(26)
veterinary center on foot (See Table 5.14). Unlike to veterinary service center, major<br />
means <strong>of</strong> transportation going to agricultural center is bicycle followed by bus (Table<br />
5.15) in project area.<br />
Table 5.14 Mode <strong>of</strong> transport for visiting to veterinary extension<br />
Project area<br />
Control area<br />
Types <strong>of</strong> Transport<br />
No % No %<br />
Bus 44 38 1 2<br />
Bicycle 35 31 12 27<br />
Motorcycle 1 1 0 0<br />
On Foot 30 26 32 71<br />
Truck 1 1 0 0<br />
Bullock cart 1 1 0 0<br />
Jeep 2 2 0 0<br />
Total 114 100 45 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Table 5. 15 Mode <strong>of</strong> transport for visiting to agricultural extension<br />
Project area<br />
Control area<br />
Types <strong>of</strong> transport<br />
No % No %<br />
Bus 24 31 5 16<br />
Cycle 28 36 10 31<br />
MotorCycle 4 5 1 3<br />
Bullock cart 12 15 0 0<br />
Microbus 9 12 2 6<br />
Jeep 1 1 0 0<br />
On foot 0 0 14 44<br />
Total 78 100 32 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Frequency <strong>of</strong> JT visiting in the villages <strong>of</strong> project area and control was very low. Respondents<br />
say that they use to go to private agro-vet <strong>of</strong>fice while getting the service. They reported that<br />
government agriculture and veterinary experts were visited rarely in the villages. Like in<br />
baseline survey, the condition <strong>of</strong> government extension services is poor. The JTs and JTAs<br />
<strong>of</strong> agriculture and veterinary extension worked only sporadically in few Tarai districts.<br />
Services <strong>of</strong> extension were reported to be low in hill districts. Between 2006/07 and 2011,<br />
privately owned extension service centers increased in project area villages.<br />
5. 7 Non-Agricultural Activities<br />
Between 2006/2007 and 2011, number <strong>of</strong> households operating non-farm enterprises has<br />
increased. Similarly, access has increased almost across all type <strong>of</strong> facilities (See Table<br />
5.16). There are 1479 shops and 564 small enterprises in project area. The number <strong>of</strong> shops<br />
and enterprises in control villages were 158 and 50 respectively. Many shops and enterprises<br />
were recently established along the RAIDP roads (See Annex 18). According to FGDs, there<br />
are 3760 people in project area and 319 in control villages working local level business<br />
centers (See Annex 19). Non-farm activities include wage labor, foreign labor, government<br />
service, shop-keeping, school teacher, driving, etc.<br />
Many social amenities have increased in project area after the improvement <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads<br />
in sample districts. Number <strong>of</strong> schools, health institutions, financial institutions and market<br />
centers has increased in all sample roads. Financial institutions have increased by 3.4 times<br />
in the study area (see Table 5.16).<br />
(27)
Table 5.16 Name and number <strong>of</strong> social amenities<br />
Health<br />
Financial<br />
S.<br />
School<br />
Market centre<br />
District<br />
Institutions institutions<br />
N.<br />
Before After Before After Before After Before After<br />
1 Kailai 8 9 3 5 6 8 4 4<br />
2 Bardia 18 20 8 10 1 4 5 7<br />
3 Banke 5 7 5 5 5 5 4 5<br />
4 Salyan 10 11 2 2 2 5 5 5<br />
5 Palpa 13 13 14 14 0 4 10 10<br />
6 Rupandehi 6 7 3 4 0 1 3 3<br />
7 Kapilbastu 24 24 7 8 0 1 2 2<br />
8 Nawalparasi 24 24 10 10 0 10 4 4<br />
9 Syangja 8 9 2 2 1 5 6 6<br />
10 Kaski 19 20 3 3 0 3 6 6<br />
11 Makawanpur 16 16 2 2 0 3 2 2<br />
12 Dhading 36 40 5 5 0 6 3 4<br />
13 Rasuwa 4 15 1 2 1 2 2 2<br />
14 Nuwakot 18 18 5 5 0 4 7 7<br />
15 Rautahat 6 9 5 5 0 2 4 5<br />
16 Sarlahi 14 15 13 15 0 8 5 5<br />
17 Siraha 39 40 9 12 5 5 5 5<br />
18 Mahottari 15 15 4 5 1 1 4 4<br />
19 Dhanusa 15 16 4 6 1 3 4 4<br />
20 Udayapur 19 19 9 11 2 5 4 6<br />
Total 344 347 114 125 25 85 89 96<br />
Source: Baseline Survey, 2006 and Field Survey, 2011.<br />
Overall growth <strong>of</strong> social amenities has increased by more than 12 percent in project area.<br />
Road connectivity has made possible to establish many social institutions in the project area.<br />
(28)
CHAPTER VI<br />
6. INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP<br />
6.1 Expenditure Indicators<br />
In nominal terms, per capita average consumption in food, clothing, and schooling fee<br />
and fuel consumption is seen higher in Project Area compared to control villages. Food<br />
consumption includes own farm production and market commodities. However,<br />
expenditure on medical treatment, rituals and cigarettes, alcoholic beverage is higher in<br />
control villages. Productive sector expenditure is higher in all items in project area. Table<br />
6.1 compares the mean expenditure <strong>of</strong> project area and control villages by items.<br />
Table 6.1 Annual expenditure by items in project and control areas<br />
(mean value in Rs)<br />
Project area<br />
Control area<br />
Items<br />
Annual<br />
Annual<br />
HHs<br />
HHs<br />
expenditure<br />
expenditure<br />
Food 300 51296 100 45518<br />
Clothing 300 18936 100 16671<br />
School's fee, book, stationary 242 16573 85 16049<br />
Medical treatment 262 11853 88 12951<br />
Fuel 284 4634 79 4112<br />
Rituals 209 6997 67 10383<br />
Cigarettes, alcoholic beverages 140 2954 49 3840<br />
Tax, levy, Fines 167 725 59 977<br />
Others 53 1946 23 2770<br />
Productive Expenditure<br />
Gold, Silver ornaments 30 20850 14 10320<br />
Income generation 50 50899 26 45000<br />
Purchase land 13 18923 5 11300<br />
Housing cost 82 14363 27 11120<br />
Others 7 1006 6 990<br />
Total 106041 78730<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
6.2 Income composition<br />
Average income from crop farming is slightly higher in control villages than project area.<br />
However, in other sectors such as cash crop, livestock, small cottage industry,<br />
government services, and remittances incomes in project area are relatively higher than<br />
control villages. Income pattern in project area concentrates to non-agriculture activities<br />
than control villages. However, some spill over impacts <strong>of</strong> income also seen in control<br />
villages. Mean income <strong>of</strong> project area and control villages has increased by more than<br />
four times than baseline period (see Baseline Report, 2007 pp 35-37). Crop farming<br />
income is common to all sample households both in project area and control villages.<br />
The second largest category <strong>of</strong> income group is livestock. As mentioned earlier, poultry<br />
faming is new sector <strong>of</strong> business in project area and milk selling business is also<br />
emerged in the area under study. Table 6.2 presents major area <strong>of</strong> sources <strong>of</strong> income in<br />
project area and control villages <strong>of</strong> RAIDP.<br />
(29)
Table 6.2 Annual incomes by item in project area (mean value in Rs)<br />
Project Area<br />
Control Area<br />
Items<br />
HHs Annual income HHs Annual Income<br />
Crop Farming 300 47059 100 49320<br />
Vegetable and cash crops 86 8305 31 6745<br />
Fruits 10 610 2 300<br />
Livestock 134 10557 41 10011<br />
Small cottage 6 2763 1 1200<br />
<strong>Government</strong> Service 39 26500 16 23990<br />
Pension 18 4906 4 8200<br />
Remittance 74 90400 29 83350<br />
Agricultural wage 64 4766 16 4430<br />
Construction wage 49 4873 16 5140<br />
Non-agricultural wage 73 16627 19 15300<br />
Trade 77 29483 14 23300<br />
Tender commission 10 3283 2 3450<br />
Others 26 5430 8 10846<br />
Total 255562 245582<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
6.3 Employment Situation in Project Area and Control Area<br />
According to FGD information, 3760 people are employed in local level business centers.<br />
The total number <strong>of</strong> locally employed in control villages is 317 (See Table 6.3). <strong>Local</strong> level<br />
employment includes working in rice mills, saw mills, store house, construction work, brick<br />
factory, grocery shops, poultry farming, milk collection centers, etc. As reported in Kailali 400<br />
people from project area <strong>of</strong> Khutiya –Matiyari road go to Dhangadi Bazar each day for work.<br />
Similarly, people <strong>of</strong> project area in Janakpur go to Birgunj, Narayanghat, Biratnagar for<br />
working in factory and wholesales shops using RAIDP road.<br />
Similarly a large number <strong>of</strong> people in the project area and control villages were working<br />
within and outside <strong>Nepal</strong>. According to FGDs, there were 6197 people from the project area<br />
villages working in foreign countries (Mostly in India and Gulf countries). Table 6.3 presents<br />
employment situation <strong>of</strong> project area and control villages <strong>of</strong> sample roads.<br />
Table 6.3 Number <strong>of</strong> people working outside the village<br />
District<br />
Within <strong>Nepal</strong><br />
Outside <strong>Nepal</strong><br />
Project Control Project Control<br />
Dhanusa 300 400 1000 300<br />
Palpa 100 20 200 30<br />
Makawanpur 120 3 20 7<br />
Dhading 50 40 150 100<br />
Kailali 40 23 212 45<br />
Rupandehi 7 5 15 15<br />
Kapilbastu 100 60 800 300<br />
Udayapur 20 5 90 20<br />
Kaski 40 20 500 80<br />
Mahottari 50 21 130 120<br />
Syangja 40 20 220 100<br />
Salyan 50 100 200 100<br />
Bardiya 50 10 220 20<br />
Banke 40 20 300 40<br />
Nawalparasi 50 20 100 30<br />
Rasuwa 120 15 120 20<br />
Rautahat 300 150 500 100<br />
Siraha 400 200 1000 400<br />
Sarlahi 80 20 300 30<br />
Nuwakot 40 5 120 4<br />
Total 1997 1157 6197 1861<br />
Source: Field Survey (FGD), 2011<br />
(30)
Rural Markets<br />
The average service area for the shops is 2.5 km for rural markets. Total 96 market<br />
centers are recorded along with the 20 sample roads <strong>of</strong> RAIDP. There are at least five<br />
shops in each market center. Agriculture goods, dry goods, textiles and garments, fruits<br />
and vegetable shops, are the major group <strong>of</strong> commodities in the markets. Most <strong>of</strong> the<br />
markets in RAIDP roads had 1-2 pharmaceutical shops, one or two agro-vet centers.<br />
Unlike to project area, few rural shops are located in control areas.<br />
Prices <strong>of</strong> key traded commodities<br />
Prices <strong>of</strong> the traded commodities are seen slightly higher in control area compare to<br />
program area. The prices for the goods listed varied somewhat, as might be expected in<br />
control villages where there was little competition and substantial transportation costs.<br />
Table 6.4 Prices <strong>of</strong> key food staples in the markets <strong>of</strong> the project area<br />
and control villages (per kg)<br />
Item<br />
Average price Min and max price Modal Value<br />
Program Control Program Control Program Control<br />
Paddy 14 15.37 11-16 12-22 12 14<br />
Maize 14.50 19.87 10-20 12-35 13 15<br />
Wheat 15.90 17.22 10-20 15-18 14 16<br />
Millet 10.50 18.50 10-11 11-20 11 14<br />
Potato 8.80 14.33 5-13 8-25 9 12<br />
Oil seeds 39.83 43.33 32-90 32-60 50 50<br />
Pulses 37.85 37.37 35-45 28-46 40 35<br />
Vegetables 22.80 27.50 5-40 20-35 25 25<br />
Fruit 28.33 25 4-40 4-25 20 25<br />
Source: Field Survey (FGD), 2011<br />
6.3.1 Price <strong>of</strong> land<br />
Residential land and agricultural land price has increased both program and control area<br />
after the RAIDP intervention. However, residential land price is increased by 3.24 times<br />
in project area and 2.74 times in control villages. Table 6.5 shows that a price <strong>of</strong><br />
agricultural land has increased by 4 and 2.29 times in project and control villages<br />
respectively. Table 6.5 below shows the prices <strong>of</strong> land value mean with range <strong>of</strong><br />
minimum and maximum prices.<br />
Table 6.5 Residential land Price in project area and control villages (ha)<br />
Program Area (price in Rs) Control Area (price in Rs)<br />
Before After Before After<br />
Mean 11778106.51 38053063.56 3967885.093 10869536.17<br />
Sum 235562130.2 761061271.2 79357701.85 217390723.4<br />
Minimum 322580.6452 1479289.941 295857.9882 483870.9677<br />
Maximum 96774193.55 161290322.6 23668639.05 32258064.52<br />
Range 96451612.9 159811032.6 23372781.07 31774193.55<br />
Source: Field Survey (FGD), 2011.<br />
After the improvement <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP roads, not only the prices <strong>of</strong> residential land has<br />
increased but also increased agricultural land prices. As reported in almost places in<br />
migration has increased in project area <strong>of</strong> roads. As reported in all places, there is a<br />
trend <strong>of</strong> migration in road head side <strong>of</strong> RAIDP road. As discussed in Palpa, twenty to<br />
twenty-five houses have been constructed in Banstari Jhadewa road annually. Out<br />
migration has declined, according to FGDs, in various RAIDP districts particularly Kaski<br />
and Syangja districts.<br />
(31)
Table 6.6 Agriculture land value before and after project<br />
Project area (Price in Rupees) Control Area(Price in Rupees)<br />
Before After Before After<br />
Mean 1345207 5393759 699276.1 1606839<br />
Minimum 221565.7 443131.5 118168.4 147710.5<br />
Maximum 6000000 32000000 2000000 4000000<br />
Range 5778434 31556869 1881832 3852290<br />
Source: Field survey (FGD), 2011<br />
RAIDP intervention on rural road is the possible reason for increasing the land value in<br />
project area.<br />
6.3.2 Land tenure by gender<br />
The survey has revealed that 26 percent <strong>of</strong> sample households in project villages and 27<br />
percent in control villages have land under the ownership <strong>of</strong> women. This may be the<br />
cause <strong>of</strong> government incentive policy for exemption <strong>of</strong> land registration fee for women<br />
owed land.<br />
Table 6.7 Land ownership status <strong>of</strong> women<br />
Ownership<br />
Villages<br />
Yes<br />
No<br />
HH % HH %<br />
Project area 78 26 222 75.25<br />
Control area 27 27 73 24.75<br />
Total 105 100.00 295 100.00<br />
Source: Field survey (FGD), 2011<br />
6.3.3 Access to credit by gender<br />
Bank, cooperatives and local money lenders are major institution lending money in<br />
RAIDP project area. Of the loan takers 60 percent were female in the project area.<br />
Generally, such loans are small and use for small scale income generating and<br />
household expenditure.<br />
Table 6.8 Major Institution <strong>of</strong> loan taking in project and control area<br />
Institutions<br />
No <strong>of</strong> HH in Project<br />
area<br />
No <strong>of</strong> HH in Control<br />
area<br />
No % No %<br />
Bank 29 32.22 11 40.74<br />
Co-operative 37 41.11 10 37.04<br />
Money lenders 19 21.11 6 22.22<br />
Both <strong>of</strong> Bank & cooperative 5 5.56 0 00<br />
Total loan browers HH 90 100 27 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Of the total loan borrowers sixty percent were from female members <strong>of</strong> the project area<br />
sample households. As mentioned in the FGDs, more women are members <strong>of</strong> the local<br />
cooperative than men in project area. Therefore, women have easy access to cooperatives<br />
to take loan in the time <strong>of</strong> emergency. Nearly, 24 percent <strong>of</strong> the total survey<br />
households have to credit access in project area villages. Between 2006/2007 and 2011,<br />
percent <strong>of</strong> households having access to credit has increased from 5 percent to 24<br />
percent (See Baseline Report, 2007).<br />
(32)
Road transportation has made easier to collect remittance sent by family members from<br />
abroad. Most <strong>of</strong> the project area households reach to nearest market centers within one<br />
to one and half hours to collect remittance. In Rajapur Ring Road, IME has recently<br />
established within project area.<br />
Table 6.9 Loan borrowed by gender in project area & control village<br />
Gender<br />
project area<br />
control villages<br />
No Percent No Percent<br />
Male 34 37.78 5 18.52<br />
Female 54 60.00 22 81.48<br />
Both male & female 2 2.22 0 0.00<br />
Total HH 90 100.00 27 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Loan borrowing from formal institutions has increased in project area. As reported in<br />
FGDs, in the past loans were exclusively borrowed for household expenditure and<br />
medical treatment, but now loan is also borrowed for starting small enterprises such as<br />
small grocery, poultry, animal husbandry, etc. Of the total loan borrowers more than 56<br />
percent form project area and 20 percent from control area has used bus while going to<br />
financial institutions to take loan (See Annex 20).<br />
(33)
CHAPTER VII<br />
7. EDUCATION, HEALTH, FOOD SECURITY AND SOCIAL SAFE GUARD<br />
INDICATORS<br />
7.1 Education Indicators<br />
Total literacy rate <strong>of</strong> the surveyed area was 82.03 percent. Literacy rate <strong>of</strong> project area<br />
and control villages was 83.52 and 77.81 respectively. These figures are higher than<br />
national level literacy rate. Number <strong>of</strong> schools establishment in project area and control<br />
villages, government/non-government agencies non-formal education programs over the<br />
year might be the cause <strong>of</strong> higher literacy in the project area. Recently established<br />
privately owned schools in project area have also accelerated the literacy rate <strong>of</strong> the<br />
residents.<br />
7.2 Number <strong>of</strong> primary school in the village<br />
Primary schools are seen both project area and control villages within one hour distance.<br />
However, private schools are established in project area recently. In some RAIDP roads<br />
such as Kailali and Banke private school buses run to pick up and drop out the children<br />
in each day from project area villages. Number <strong>of</strong> school has increased in 14 districts<br />
between 2006/2007 and 2011 (See Table 5.16).<br />
Primary school enrolment rate by gender<br />
Primary school enrolment percent in project and control villages is 95.25 percent and<br />
93.94 percent respectively. Male female student ratio is 107:100 and 113:100 in project<br />
and control villages. As reported in FGDs, 10 to 20 percent drop out in lower secondary<br />
level. Similarly, absence from class and drop out ratio in primary level has decreased<br />
between 2006/2007 and 2011.<br />
Table 7.1 Literacy rate <strong>of</strong> Household members and access <strong>of</strong> children to School<br />
Survey Villages<br />
Literate<br />
Members<br />
Literacy<br />
Rate<br />
% <strong>of</strong> Children<br />
enrolled<br />
Female-Male<br />
student<br />
Project area<br />
Villages 1465 83.52 95.25 197/184<br />
Control Villages 484 77.81 93.94 66/58<br />
Total 1949 82.03 94.92 263/242<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Primary school drop out rate by gender<br />
Drop out ratio at primary level is low in all RAIDP roads. As reported in focus group<br />
discussion drop out ratio has gradually increased in lower secondary and secondary<br />
level. Higher drop out was reported among Tarai and hill Dalit and Muslim compared to<br />
other groups. Drop out due to poor accessibility has decreased in project area.<br />
7.2.1 Distance to nearest primary and secondary school<br />
The percentage <strong>of</strong> children enrolled in primary schools was the highest in project area<br />
and control villages (see table 7.2). Nearly 85 percent students <strong>of</strong> program villages have<br />
access to primary school within five km distance while 54.05 percent students <strong>of</strong> control<br />
(34)
villages have access to primary school within five km distance. As observed both project<br />
and control area primary schools are located in walking distance.<br />
Table 7.2 Distance to nearest Primary School from sample household<br />
in project area and Control Villages<br />
Range <strong>of</strong> No <strong>of</strong> Households No <strong>of</strong> Households<br />
Distance (km) Project Area Percent Control area Percent<br />
Up to 1 30 16 5 13<br />
1 to 3 85 47 4 11<br />
3 to 5 40 22 9 24<br />
5 to 10 24 13 10 27<br />
Above 10 4 2 9 24<br />
Total 183 100 37 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Table 7.2 shows that 85 percent households have access to primary school within five<br />
kilometer distance in project area. Only 2 percent were found more than 10 km distance<br />
from the project area.<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Transportation for Schooling<br />
Bus, bicycles, motorcycles are means <strong>of</strong> transport for school going children both in<br />
project and control area. Eighty two percent children in control area and 40 percent in<br />
project area go to school on foot.<br />
Table 7.3 Number <strong>of</strong> students going to schools and vehicle types used<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> transport Project area<br />
Control Area<br />
Project % Control %<br />
On foot 73 40 40 82<br />
Bicycle 47 26 6 12<br />
Motorcycle 7 4 1 2<br />
Bus 54 30 2 4<br />
Total 181 100 49 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011.<br />
Table 7.3 shows that 60 percent school going students have access to transportation in<br />
project area. A large number <strong>of</strong> students (40%) have still gone to school on foot due to<br />
close proximity. According to settlement level discussions, access <strong>of</strong> school going<br />
students have increased after the RAIDP road upgrading. However, we cannot say<br />
accurately how much percent <strong>of</strong> students have increased access from baseline survey<br />
(2006/07) on transportation having no comparable data <strong>of</strong> school accessibility.<br />
Like school going children, bicycle, bus and motor, bicycles are popular means <strong>of</strong><br />
transportation among the campus going students. 63 percent from project area and 74<br />
percent from control area use at least one means <strong>of</strong> transportation while going to<br />
college. However, unlike to project area students <strong>of</strong> control area, according to focus<br />
group discussion, have to walk a substantial amount <strong>of</strong> time to get public transportation.<br />
Table 7.4 presents modes <strong>of</strong> transportation for campus going student.<br />
(35)
Table 7.4 Number <strong>of</strong> students going to campus and vehicle types used<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Transportation Project Area<br />
Control Area<br />
Project % Control %<br />
On foot 17 37 4 27<br />
Bicycle 13 28 3 20<br />
Bike 4 9 1 7<br />
Bus 12 26 7 47<br />
Total 46 100 15 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011.<br />
Qualification <strong>of</strong> teachers<br />
In project area and control villages, all teachers were reported qualified according to<br />
requirements <strong>of</strong> teaching. No report <strong>of</strong> teachers' absent was found in project area<br />
villages. The teachers are relatively qualified in survey villages.<br />
Rate <strong>of</strong> absenteeism <strong>of</strong> teacher was low in surveyed roads. As reported in the focus<br />
group discussion, "teacher used to absent during monsoon, flood and landslides, now<br />
there is no such problems". Absenteeism <strong>of</strong> students and teachers, according to<br />
settlement survey, due to bad road has decreased in the survey roads.<br />
7.3 Health Indicators<br />
7.3.1 Distance and Frequency <strong>of</strong> Visit to Health Center<br />
As reported in all places, distance <strong>of</strong> heath centers and hospitals has decreased due to<br />
upgrading <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads. Number <strong>of</strong> health institutions has increased in ten districts<br />
(See Table 5.16). Frequency <strong>of</strong> visit to health centre by male, female and children were<br />
higher in project area than control villages. According to settlement level survey, number<br />
<strong>of</strong> women visiting to health center during prenatal and post natal period <strong>of</strong> pregnancy has<br />
increased after the improvement <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads. Most <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP roads have an<br />
ambulance service that is availed in the time <strong>of</strong> emergency. Participants <strong>of</strong> FGD have<br />
expressed that travel time has decreased with the improvement <strong>of</strong> the roads. More than<br />
62 percent residents <strong>of</strong> the project area have access to health centers within 5 km.<br />
Distance <strong>of</strong> health centers from control villages is longer than project area (See Table<br />
7.5). In project area, private clinical services are established. There is a tendency to go<br />
private clinics and pharmacy for treatment in project area.<br />
Hundred percent immunization rates were reported in both control and project area.<br />
There is no report <strong>of</strong> death causality due to untimely getting treatment. In Tarai, there<br />
were cases <strong>of</strong> death <strong>of</strong> snake bites in the past. However, at present there is no report <strong>of</strong><br />
death caused by snake bites in the project area. In the hill districts, road access has<br />
made possible to call on doctor in the village in the time <strong>of</strong> emergency.<br />
Table 7.5 Distance to Health Care Centre from the sample households<br />
in project area and control villages<br />
Range <strong>of</strong> Distance (km)<br />
Project area<br />
Control area<br />
HHs % No %l<br />
Up to 1 14 8.86 4 10.81<br />
1 to 3 30 18.99 10 27.02<br />
3 to 5 54 34.18 7 18.92<br />
5 to 10 24 15.18 3 8.11<br />
Above 10 36 22.79 13 35.13<br />
Total 158 100 37 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
(36)
Qualifications <strong>of</strong> medical personnel as reported in the settlement level survey are<br />
reasonable and absent <strong>of</strong> such personnel was not reported in project area. At least one<br />
trained health assistant is availed in the project area. There are records <strong>of</strong> hospital in<br />
sample roads. However, access to hospital was noticeable in within one to two hours<br />
travel distance.<br />
Health treatment and means <strong>of</strong> Transport<br />
Of the total visitors in health post majority <strong>of</strong> the respondents use public bus and bicycle<br />
in project area. Unlike to project area, nearly 50 percent populations from control area go<br />
to health post on foot.<br />
Table 7.6 Vehicle types used for going health center<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Transport Project Area<br />
Control Area<br />
No % No %<br />
On foot 47 30 18 49<br />
Bicycle 49 31 12 32<br />
Bus 62 39 7 19<br />
Total 158 100 37 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
RAIDP intervention on road has made significant contribution for going hospital. Table<br />
7.7 shows that 80 percent people have used bus service while going to hospital in<br />
project area.<br />
Table 7.7 Vehicle types used for going hospitals<br />
Mode <strong>of</strong> Transport Project Area Control Area<br />
No % No %<br />
On foot 4 8 7 39<br />
Bicycle 4 8 0 0<br />
Motorcycle 1 2 1 5<br />
Bus 41 80 10 56<br />
Jeep 1 2 0 0<br />
Total 51 100 18 100<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Accessibility on health institutions has increased in project area compared to control with<br />
the enhancement <strong>of</strong> road by RAIDP.<br />
7. 4 Transport and food Security<br />
Of the total households, nearly 20 percent from project area and 24 percent from control<br />
villages were food surplus households from their own agriculture production. More than<br />
30 percent in project area and 27 percent households in control villages have<br />
ascertained that they meet their households' food requirement for 10-12 months from<br />
their own agricultural production. Altogether 13.5 percent households have food<br />
sufficiency below three months.<br />
(37)
Table 7.8 Number <strong>of</strong> month <strong>of</strong> food sufficiency<br />
Project area Control area Total<br />
Months<br />
No % No % No %<br />
Surplus (well-<strong>of</strong>f) 59 19.67 24 24.00 91 22.75<br />
10 to 12 Months 91 30.33 27 27.00 110 25.00<br />
6 to 9 Months 59 19.67 27 27.00 86 21.50<br />
3 to 5 Months 51 17.00 8 8.00 59 14.75<br />
Below 3 Months 40 13.33 14 14.00 54 13.5<br />
Total 300 100 100 100.00 400 100.00<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Food supply in the project area has increased due to road transportation. As observed in<br />
the survey villages food stores were established along the RAIDP road in the Tarai.<br />
7.5 Rural Road Improvement and Livelihood<br />
After the improvement <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP roads some effects are seen in the livelihood.<br />
Respondents were asked to prioritize the impacts <strong>of</strong> road in terms <strong>of</strong> comparative<br />
advantages. Almost households gave top priority to easy access followed by increase in<br />
going hospital frequency (See Table 7.9). Similarly, respondents have given top second<br />
priority to decreased transportation cost followed by increasing income generation<br />
resource and increase in market going frequency. Table 7.9 presents respondents'<br />
prioritization according to their judgment.<br />
Table 7.9 Livelihood priority in different sector in project area<br />
Priority<br />
Sector<br />
1 2 3<br />
Easy for access 259 21 20<br />
Increase in going hospital 156 91 53<br />
Increase in market frequency 112 117 71<br />
Increase selling items in market 99 106 95<br />
Increase in income generation resource 75 127 98<br />
Employment opportunity 74 107 119<br />
Decrease transportation cost 61 152 87<br />
Total 837 723 546<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Table 7.9 shows that there are many impacts <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads in village level.<br />
Accessibility on various social amenities has helped to reduce poverty to some extend.<br />
7.6 RAIDP Road Condition and Quality<br />
RAIDP has improved the rural roads based on the demand and DTMP prioritization. The<br />
road improvement has enhanced the access <strong>of</strong> locals to market centers, physical facilities<br />
and district and national roads. However, there were some complaints from the respondents<br />
RAIDP roads are too narrow that is not suitable for bus and trucks and they suggested to<br />
widening the road. In Nawalparasi and Rupandehi, as reported in FGD, more accidents were<br />
occurred due to narrow road. In the hill district community efforts were reported to open the<br />
road after the landslides. In Tarai, couples <strong>of</strong> week roads are closed due to floods. Rules <strong>of</strong><br />
operating less than ten tons truck in RAIDP roads in Tarai were not followed. <strong>Local</strong> demand<br />
<strong>of</strong> construction bridges across roads was repeatedly asked.<br />
Poor quality <strong>of</strong> gravel and otta seal road was severely damaged in Kailali district just after the<br />
completion <strong>of</strong> road. In Rajapur ring road, big boulders were placed for graveling than regular<br />
size that caused boulder flickers and hit pedestrian.<br />
(38)
Landslides and floods, strikes, accidents and others are major reasons for closing down<br />
RAIDP road for couple <strong>of</strong> the days in a year. Of the total sample districts, 14 districts were<br />
experienced flood and landslides in RAIDP road. There was no report <strong>of</strong> road closing down in<br />
Palpa, Rupandehi and Kapilbastu in any reason. In Salyan, road was blocked due to strikes<br />
and accidents while road was closed down other reasons in Kailali district. Figure 1 presents<br />
the causes <strong>of</strong> road blocked with frequency.<br />
Couses <strong>of</strong> Road Block<br />
20<br />
18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
Cause 10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Bar Nu Rau Mak Ban Sir Sar Sal Nab Rasu Syan Uday Kaski Maho Rup Kapil Dhad Kail Pal Dhanu<br />
District<br />
Landslides & Floods<br />
Strikes<br />
Accidents<br />
Others<br />
Figure 7.1- Causes <strong>of</strong> Road blocked in RAIDP Districts<br />
7.7 Social Safe Guards<br />
Of the total sample households, 35 percent were affected by RAIDP roads. They were<br />
affected due to land donation, damage <strong>of</strong> main structure and damage <strong>of</strong> minor structures<br />
and loss <strong>of</strong> other structure. Of the total affected households, nearly 85 percent were<br />
affected giving land to project. Of the total affected family 36.29 percent got assistance<br />
from the project. Among the assistance receiver most <strong>of</strong> them use their money for<br />
household expenses and only three family were used their money for house repaired<br />
(see annex tables 21 & 24). Category <strong>of</strong> land giving household told that they give land<br />
for widening the road and soil providing to fill up the road. In various places people were<br />
found to give more land to road if its width is extended.<br />
8. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATION<br />
8.1 Conclusion<br />
Based on the findings <strong>of</strong> the study, a few conclusions have been drawn and presented<br />
hereunder:<br />
1. Given the fact that the upgrading <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads has begun demonstrating its<br />
impacts through the reduction <strong>of</strong> travel time to reach the nearest town and social<br />
amenities. Similarly, travel behavior <strong>of</strong> the beneficiaries has changed due to<br />
easier access to work place and nearest town. People in the participating districts<br />
that live within four hours <strong>of</strong> walking to all season roads has increased by 100<br />
percent in Tarai districts and 18 to 100 percent in the hill districts.<br />
2. Traffic volume is higher in almost RAIDP sample roads compare to baseline<br />
condition. Overall growth <strong>of</strong> motorized and non-motorized vehicles is 37 and 33<br />
percent respectively due to up grading <strong>of</strong> the roads. These figures are more than<br />
PDO target <strong>of</strong> 20% increment <strong>of</strong> vehicle at the end <strong>of</strong> the project.<br />
3. Transportation cost <strong>of</strong> goods has slightly decreased in the hill districts compared<br />
to the past. However, passenger fare <strong>of</strong> bus and jeep has increased due to<br />
augment <strong>of</strong> fuel price internationally.<br />
4. It is seen that accessibility <strong>of</strong> beneficiaries to private (e.g. bicycles, motorcycles)<br />
and public means (bus, jeep) <strong>of</strong> transport has increased along the RAIDP road.<br />
(39)
There is impact <strong>of</strong> roads on social sector outcomes mostly in health and<br />
education sectors. For example, number <strong>of</strong> health institutions and schools has<br />
increased along the upgrading <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP road. Overall growth <strong>of</strong> social<br />
amenities in the project area is 12 percent. Due to RAIDP roads upgrading,<br />
people have timely got treatment in the time <strong>of</strong> the emergency.<br />
5. Some impacts <strong>of</strong> RAIDP roads are seen on agriculture sector <strong>of</strong> the project<br />
districts. Due to improvement <strong>of</strong> the roads, farmers <strong>of</strong> project districts have<br />
started to produce traded commodities such as vegetables, fruits, poultry, etc.<br />
Bus, truck, bicycle, motorcycles and tractors are major means <strong>of</strong> transportation<br />
for agriculture inputs and agriculture production. Production <strong>of</strong> main crops has<br />
enormously increased than baseline study to present both in control and project<br />
areas. Reasons <strong>of</strong> production increased may be several such as timely monsoon,<br />
easy access to agricultural inputs and market access through RAIDP road<br />
connection, improvement <strong>of</strong> irrigation facilities, etc.<br />
6. Despite the fact that RAIDP districts are overwhelmingly based on agriculture,<br />
there are some new trends <strong>of</strong> shifting towards non-agricultural activities in the<br />
project areas. With the improvement <strong>of</strong> roads, migration in search <strong>of</strong> work has<br />
increasedd in various districts <strong>of</strong> Tarai. Employment opportunities through new<br />
business sector i.e. grocery shops, store houses, poultry farming, etc have<br />
recently started in the project area.<br />
8.2 Recommendations<br />
Present impact study is limited to RAIDP road sub projects. In order to know the full<br />
effect <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP, the study comes up with following recommendations.<br />
1. This impact study is limited to Rural Transport Infrastructure (RTI) (roads only)<br />
improvement in participating districts. Therefore, it is suggested to conduct full<br />
fledged impact <strong>of</strong> RAIDP in future.<br />
2. RAIDP has given various types <strong>of</strong> trainings and constructed income generating<br />
buildings to project affected households under the social safeguards component.<br />
Therefore, it is suggested to incorporate such activities under the scope <strong>of</strong> impact<br />
study in future.<br />
3. Present study is largely based on the sample survey. It is recommended to adopt<br />
mixed up method (Qualitative and quantitative techniques) while to understand<br />
the impacts <strong>of</strong> road in individual level. People's experiences, case studies and life<br />
history would also enhance our understanding on impact brought by RAIDP road<br />
project.<br />
4. Present endeavor has not covered the sustainability <strong>of</strong> roads-maintenance cost;<br />
therefore, it is suggested to incorporate such issue under impact study in future.<br />
5. This impact study has covered the livelihood aspect <strong>of</strong> the people <strong>of</strong> participating<br />
districts in general. In future, it is suggested to examine linkage <strong>of</strong> rural road and<br />
livelihood <strong>of</strong> people living in the project area rigorously.<br />
6. RAIDP has been contributing for rural accessibility enhancement and poverty<br />
reduction, therefore, it is recommended to continue the project for further<br />
accessibility <strong>of</strong> rural population to social amenities and market town.<br />
(40)
REFERENCES<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Bista, Raghab (2006). Preliminary Accessibility Pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> Districts <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong>,<br />
RAIDP/DoLIDAR, Jawalakhel, Lalitpur<br />
Blöndal, Nina (2007). Evaluating the Impact <strong>of</strong> Rural Roads in Nicaragua. <strong>Ministry</strong><br />
<strong>of</strong> Foreign Affairs <strong>of</strong> Denmark, Danida<br />
CBS (2004). <strong>Nepal</strong> Living Standards Survey 2003/04. Statistical Report, Volume I<br />
& II, Kathmandu: Central Bureau <strong>of</strong> Statistics<br />
<strong>Development</strong> Grant Agreement between Kingdom <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> and International<br />
<strong>Development</strong> Association, 2005<br />
DoLIDAR/RAIDP (2009). Environmental and Social Management Framework.<br />
Kathmandu: DoLIDAR/RAIDP<br />
Khana, S.K. and Justo, C.E.G. (1984). Highway Engineering. India: New Chand<br />
Bros<br />
Pokharel, Binod (2011) Pilot Survey <strong>of</strong> Trisuli- Deurali-Meghang RAIDP Road,<br />
Nuwakot (Project Report), DoLIDAR/RAIDP, Jawalakhel, Lalitpur<br />
RAIDP (2009) Remedial Action Plan for the Project Affected People, RAIDP,<br />
Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and Agricultural Roads,<br />
<strong>Government</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong><br />
Sharma, Vallabha (2007). Final Report on Baseline Study <strong>of</strong> Twenty RAIDP-<br />
Districts <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> (Project Report), DoLIDAR/RAIDP, Jawalakhel, Lalitpur<br />
The World Bank (2005). Project Appraisal Document<br />
The World Bank (2009) Aid Memo<br />
The World Bank (2009). Project Paper on a Proposed Additional Credit and<br />
Proposed Additional Grant<br />
The World Bank (2010) Aid Memo<br />
The World Bank (November 20, 2009). Project Paper on a proposed additional<br />
credit, Sustainable <strong>Development</strong> Unit, <strong>Nepal</strong> Country Unit, South Asia region, The<br />
World Bank<br />
Van de Walle, Dominique (2008). Impact Evaluation <strong>of</strong> Rural Road Projects, World<br />
Bank 1818 HST, NW Washington, DC<br />
(41)
TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
Abbreviation and Acronyms ............................................................................................................. I<br />
Summary <strong>of</strong> the Program ................................................................................................................II<br />
Table <strong>of</strong> Contents............................................................................................................................III<br />
List <strong>of</strong> Tables ..................................................................................................................................IV<br />
CHAPTER I ............................................................................................................................1<br />
1. Introduction.....................................................................................................................1<br />
1.1 RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE........................................................................................1<br />
1.2 DESCRIPTION OF THE PROJECT ....................................................................................2<br />
CHAPTER II ...........................................................................................................................5<br />
2. Impact Study Methodology.................................................................................................5<br />
2.1 THE PROJECT AND CONTROL AREA .............................................................................5<br />
2.1.1 PROJECT AREA .............................................................................................................5<br />
2.1.2 CONTROL AREA............................................................................................................5<br />
2.2 EVALUATION DESIGN...................................................................................................5<br />
2.2.2 QUALITATIVE SURVEY.................................................................................................6<br />
2.3 THE SAMPLE DESIGN....................................................................................................6<br />
2.4 DATA SOURCES ............................................................................................................6<br />
2.5 DATA MANAGEMENT ...................................................................................................7<br />
2.2.1 LIMITATION OF IMPACT STUDY ...................................................................................8<br />
CHAPTER III ..........................................................................................................................9<br />
3. General Information <strong>of</strong> Survey Roads ...................................................................................9<br />
3.1 DEMOGRAPHY..............................................................................................................9<br />
3.2 CASTE AND ETHNICITY ..............................................................................................10<br />
CHAPTER IV........................................................................................................................12<br />
4. Major Findings...............................................................................................................12<br />
4. 1 TRAFFIC COUNT AND TRANSPORTATION INDICATORS..............................................12<br />
4.1.1 MOTORIZED AND NON-MOTORIZED VEHICLES IN RAIDP ROADS...............................12<br />
4.2 LOCAL FARE BY VEHICLES.........................................................................................14<br />
4.3 ROAD WISE TRAVEL TIME BEFORE AND AFTER PROJECT ..........................................15<br />
4.3 OWNERSHIP OF VEHICLES..........................................................................................16<br />
4.4 DISTANCE AND TRAVEL TIME TO THE NEAREST ALL SEASON ROADS ......................18<br />
CHAPTER V.........................................................................................................................20<br />
5.1 Agriculture and Transportation..........................................................................................20<br />
5.1.2 TRANSPORTATION FOR FARM INPUTS........................................................................20<br />
5.2 AGRICULTURE PRODUCTIVITY INDICATORS .............................................................21<br />
5.3 AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION......................................................................................21<br />
5.4 MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION FOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS................................23<br />
5.5 PRICES OF MAJOR CROPS IN FARM GATE ...................................................................25<br />
5.6 TRANSPORT AND AGRICULTURE EXTENSION ............................................................26<br />
5. 7 NON-AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES..............................................................................27<br />
CHAPTER VI........................................................................................................................29<br />
6. Income, Expenditure, and Entrepreneurship .........................................................................29<br />
6.1 EXPENDITURE INDICATORS .......................................................................................29<br />
6.2 INCOME COMPOSITION...............................................................................................29<br />
6.3 EMPLOYMENT SITUATION IN PROJECT AREA AND CONTROL AREA..........................30<br />
6.3.1 PRICE OF LAND...........................................................................................................31<br />
6.3.2 LAND TENURE BY GENDER ........................................................................................32<br />
6.3.3 ACCESS TO CREDIT BY GENDER.................................................................................32<br />
(42)
CHAPTER VII.......................................................................................................................34<br />
7. Education, Health, Food Security and Social Safe Guard ........................................................34<br />
7.1 EDUCATION INDICATORS...........................................................................................34<br />
7.2 NUMBER OF PRIMARY SCHOOL IN THE VILLAGE.......................................................34<br />
7.2.1 DISTANCE TO NEAREST PRIMARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOL ..................................34<br />
7.3 HEALTH INDICATORS .................................................................................................36<br />
7.3.1 DISTANCE AND FREQUENCY OF VISIT TO HEALTH CENTER ......................................36<br />
7. 4 TRANSPORT AND FOOD SECURITY.............................................................................37<br />
7.7 SOCIAL SAFE GUARDS................................................................................................39<br />
8. Conclusions and Recommendation.....................................................................................39<br />
8.1 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................39<br />
References<br />
Annexes<br />
Terms <strong>of</strong> References<br />
(43)
REFERENCES<br />
(44)
ANNEXES<br />
(45)
ANNEXES<br />
Annex-1 Name <strong>of</strong> Sample Roads <strong>of</strong> Baseline Survey and Impact Study <strong>of</strong> RAIDP, 2006/07<br />
and 2011<br />
SN District Name <strong>of</strong> Road Original place <strong>of</strong> sample Control VDC<br />
(VDC)<br />
1 Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidanda Chhatre Deurali Khari<br />
2 Kaski Rakhi-Mijure Road Kalika Sardikhola<br />
3 Syangja Rangkhola-Biruwa Rangbang Kitchnas<br />
4 Rasuwa Kalikasthan- Dhunge Bhorle Dhaibung<br />
5 Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang Tupche Kalyanpur<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani- Humanebhanjayang Kulekhani Chhatiwan<br />
7 Palpa Banstari Jhadewa Chitrungdhara Foksingkot<br />
8 Nawalparasi Daldale-Dawadi Pragatinagar Jahada<br />
9 Rupandehi Madhauliya-Bhutaha Gangoliya Gajedi<br />
10 Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk Patariya Patna<br />
11 Rautahat Himalibas-Auriya Auraiya Mathiya<br />
12 Sarlahi Karmaiya-Hathiol Hajariya Sundarpur<br />
13 Mahottari Matihani-Pipara-Brahmapur Matihani Suga Bhawani<br />
14 Siraha Siraha-Mirchaiya Sarshwor Sikron<br />
15 Dhanusa Janakpur-Khariyani Mansinghpatti Benga<br />
16 Udayapur Ghaighat-Beltar-Chatara Beltar Rauta<br />
17 Kailali Kutiya-Matiyari Beladevipur Urma<br />
18 Bardiya Rajapur Ring road Dhadhawar Daulatpur<br />
19 Banke MRM-Tirthiya Sonpur Titihiriya Sonapur<br />
20 Salyan Khanga Hospital -Simkharka Khalanga Karagithi<br />
Annex -2 Orientations Program for Baseline and Impact Study<br />
SN Cluster Cluster districts<br />
Venue for Date <strong>of</strong> Orientation<br />
No<br />
Orientation<br />
1 1 Kailali, Kanchanpur, Banke, Bardiya,<br />
Salyan, Dang, Surkhet<br />
<strong>Nepal</strong>gunj 17 October, 2011<br />
(2068/6/30)<br />
2 4 Rautahat, Sarlahi, Mahottari, Dhanusa,<br />
Siraha, Udayapur, Bara, Parsa, Saptari<br />
Bardibas 30 October, 2011<br />
(2068/7/13)<br />
3 3 Rasuwa, Kaski, Makawanpur, Nuwakot,<br />
Syangja, Dhading Tanahu<br />
Hetauda 3 November, 2011<br />
(2068/7/17)<br />
2 2 Kapilvastu, Rupandehi, Nawalparasi, Palpa,<br />
Pyuthan, Arghanchi, Gulmi<br />
Palpa 8 November, 2011<br />
(2068/7/22)<br />
Persons to be participated in orientations<br />
1. All SDCs <strong>of</strong> the respective cluster<br />
2. SSDC <strong>of</strong> the respective cluster<br />
3. <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Development</strong> Officer from orientation organizing district<br />
4. Mr. Shambhu Prasad Kattel, SDE, RAIDP<br />
i
5. Dr. Binod Pokharel, Impact Study Consultant, RAIDP<br />
6. Mr. Umesh Kumar Mandal, Baseline Survey Consultant, RAIDP<br />
7. Enumerators two from each district<br />
Annex-3 Population distribution by caste and ethnicity <strong>of</strong> sample households<br />
Hill<br />
Tarai Districts<br />
Districts<br />
Groups Pop % Pop %<br />
Project Area High Caste hill 141 13 417 54<br />
Hill Dalits 7 1 46 6<br />
Hill Janajati 165 15 309 40<br />
Terai 242 22 0 0<br />
Terai Dalit 327 30 0 0<br />
Terai Janajati 78 7 0 0<br />
Musalman 140 12 0 0<br />
1100 100 772 100<br />
Control area<br />
Hill high caste 48 12 71 27<br />
Hill Dalits 3 1 32 12<br />
Hill Janajati 64 16 154 59<br />
Terai 80 20 0 0<br />
Terai Dalit 127 32 6 2<br />
Terai Janajati 21 5 0 0<br />
Musalman 54 14 0 0<br />
397 100 263 100<br />
Annex 4 No <strong>of</strong> Vehicles before and after the RAIDP Road<br />
District<br />
Roads<br />
Jeep/car/<br />
Taxi<br />
Bus/minibus<br />
ii<br />
Trucks/minitrucks<br />
Tractors Motorcycles<br />
Nonmotorized<br />
vehicles<br />
Before After Before After Before After Before After Before After Before After<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 3 3 1 2 2 5 4 8 70 175 70 111<br />
Rajapur Ring<br />
Bardiya Road 0 0 9 12 7 14 48 61 10 51 96 128<br />
Banke Titihiriy-Sonapur 0 3 5 9 8 11 39 51 17 23 67 87<br />
Salyan Khalangga 1 2 2 4 1 2 13 9 20 25 0 0<br />
Kapilvastu<br />
Sibalawa-Labni-<br />
Lakhanchok 2 0 2 2 8 11 35 43 25 32 80 79<br />
Rupandehi<br />
Madhauliya-<br />
Bhutaha 2 3 6 10 12 14 54 65 40 54 64 90<br />
Nawalparasi Daldle-Dhauwadi 2 21 7 10 1 2 19 38 34 40 59 93<br />
Palpa Banstari-Jhadewa 4 10 6 11 6 8 8 6 41 51 4 0<br />
Rasuwa<br />
Kalikasthan-<br />
Dhunge 0 0 1 1 2 3 0 0 6 5 0 0<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mujure 2 1 2 2 12 22 14 20 36 44 2 1<br />
Syangja Rangkhola-Biruwa 0 4 3 6 10 13 1 1 2 7 0 0<br />
Dhading<br />
Bhimdhunga-<br />
Lamidanda 4 5 6 10 2 37 0 4 20 26 0 6<br />
Nuwakot<br />
Trisuli-Deurali-<br />
Mehang 1 0 2 4 10 14 1 0 30 100 0 0
Makawanpur<br />
Kulekhani-<br />
Humanebhanjyang 2 7 3 0 5 5 5 4 13 34 0 0<br />
Rautahat Auriya-Himalibas 1 1 0 1 5 7 18 20 40 50 100 116<br />
Sarlahi Karmaiya-Hathiol 0 0 5 7 4 6 10 12 7 14 103 197<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipara 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 1 11 1 82 44<br />
Dhanusa<br />
Janakpur-<br />
Khairahani 3 0 6 7 4 8 33 35 67 117 110 333<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 0 0 3 7 3 6 4 12 20 24 117 152<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Beltar 4 3 2 4 2 2 2 2 8 17 66 89<br />
Total 31 64 71 109 106 190 315 392 517 890 1020 1526<br />
increase % 52 35 44 20 42 33<br />
Source: Districts Records, RAIDP Office Records, 2011, Traffic Survey and FGD, 2011<br />
Note: Non-motorized Vehicles includes bicycle,animal cart, Rickhaw.<br />
Annex 4a Traffic Unit by Roads<br />
Types <strong>of</strong> Traffic<br />
Districts<br />
Kailali<br />
Bardiya<br />
Banke<br />
Salyan<br />
Kapilbastu<br />
Rupandehi<br />
Nawalparas<br />
i<br />
Palpa<br />
Rasuwa<br />
Kaski<br />
Syangya<br />
Dhading<br />
Nuwakot<br />
Makwanpur<br />
Rautahat<br />
Sarlahi<br />
Mahottari<br />
Dhanusa<br />
Siraha<br />
Udayapur<br />
Roads<br />
Jeep<br />
Motorcycle<br />
Bus/<br />
Minibus<br />
Light<br />
truck<br />
Trucks<br />
upto 10<br />
tonnnes<br />
Tractor<br />
Bicycle<br />
Tanga/<br />
Carriage<br />
Rickshaw<br />
N N N N N N N N N N<br />
Khutiya-<br />
Matiyari 3 87.5 6 6 3 12 50 0 0 60 227.5<br />
Rajapur Ring<br />
Road 0 25 36 18 6 90 57 0 0 78 310<br />
Titihiriy-<br />
Sonapur 3 12 24 15 3 75 38 0 1 60 231<br />
Khalangga 2 13 12 3 0 13.5 0 0 0 0 43.5<br />
Sibalawa-<br />
Labni-<br />
Lakhanchok 0 16 6 15 0 64.5 29.5 0 0 120 251<br />
Madhauliya-<br />
Bhutaha 3 27 30 18 6 97.5 34 0 2 120 337.5<br />
Daldle-<br />
Dhauwadi 21 20 30 3 0 57 37.5 0 0 108 276.5<br />
Banstari-<br />
Jhadewa 10 25.5 33 12 0 9 0 0 0 0 89.5<br />
Kalikasthan-<br />
Dhunge 0 2.5 3 4.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10<br />
Rakhi-Mujure 1 22 6 30 0 27 0.5 0 0 0 86.5<br />
Rangkhola-<br />
Biruwa 4 21 18 19.5 0 1.5 0 0 0 0 64<br />
Bhimdhunga-<br />
Lamidanda 11 13 30 55.5 0 6 0 0 0 0 115.5<br />
Trisuli-Deurali-<br />
Mehang 0 50 12 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 83<br />
Kulekhani-<br />
Humanebhanjy<br />
ang 7 17 0 7.5 0 6 0 0 0 0 37.5<br />
Auriya-<br />
Himalibas 2 25 3 10.5 0 30 24 6 0 114 214.5<br />
Karmaiya-<br />
Hathiol 0 7 21 6 6 18 95 0 0 42 195<br />
Matihani-<br />
Pipara 0 3 0 0 0 1.5 5 6 0 198 213.5<br />
Janakpur-<br />
Khairahani 0 88.5 21 9 6 52.5 161 0 0 66 404<br />
Mirchaiya-<br />
Siraha 0 12 21 6 6 18 62 0 0 168 293<br />
Gaighat-Beltar 3 8.5 12 3 0 3 40 0 0 54 123.5<br />
Total 70 495.5 324 262.5 36 582 633.5 12 3 1188<br />
Source:Trafic Survey, 2011 and FGD, 2011<br />
Cart<br />
iii
Annex Table 5 Nearest all season road distance from the sample HHs in project area<br />
(mean)<br />
District<br />
Name <strong>of</strong> Road<br />
Distance<br />
(km)<br />
Trips in<br />
months<br />
Travel time per<br />
trip (hrs)<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 1.69 9.80 0.39<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 0.53 20.67 0.10<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 2.07 23.87 0.37<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 1.58 23.20 0.27<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 13.60 5.07 1<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 4.20 6.67 0.95<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 1.59 15.80 0.28<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 4.60 7.53 0.83<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 0.89 28.47 0.21<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 5.27 5.93 1.25<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 4.02 14.47 0.75<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 1.16 24.00 0.24<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 2.77 10.07 0.41<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 7.08 8.87 1.16<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 2.00 9.20 0.44<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 1.61 11.40 0.35<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 3.12 11.60 0.5<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 4.00 2.00 1<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 11.43 2.87 1<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 9.53 3.00 0.95<br />
Total Average 4.14 12.31 0.62<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Annex Table 6 Nearest bus stop distance from the sample HHs in project area (mean)<br />
District Name <strong>of</strong> Road Distance Trips in months Travel time per trip<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 4.87 2.40 0.92<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 0.53 20.67 0.1<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 2.90 15.87 0.57<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 2.48 21.20 0.41<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 13.93 5.07 1<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 5.33 6.47 0.92<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 0.46 23.67 0.1<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 4.60 7.53 0.83<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 9.97 12.07 1<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 5.40 5.80 1.05<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 0.69 26.53 0.12<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 0.19 24.00 0.03<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 2.59 11.53 0.52<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 1.77 16.20 0.33<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 5.00 9.20 1<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 1.27 14.73 0.25<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 4.40 2.93 0.80<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 4.93 5.40 0.88<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 1.40 8.00 0.25<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 10.20 2.80 0.95<br />
Total average 4.1 12.1 0.6<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
iv
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5<br />
6<br />
7<br />
8<br />
9<br />
10<br />
11<br />
12<br />
13<br />
14<br />
15<br />
16<br />
17<br />
18<br />
19<br />
20<br />
Annex: 7 Distribution <strong>of</strong> land by household and road<br />
Name <strong>of</strong> Road Landless .01 to .49 .50 to .99 1 and above HH<br />
Khutiya-Matiyari 3 7 10 20<br />
Rajapur Ringroad 8 7 5 20<br />
Titiriya-Soanpur 1 7 10 2 20<br />
Hospital-Simkharka 13 6 1 20<br />
Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 2 9 1 8 20<br />
Madhauliya-Bhutaha 13 6 1 20<br />
Daldale-Dhobidi 12 6 2 20<br />
Bastari-Jhadeba 2 13 3 2 20<br />
Kalikasthan-Dhunge 8 8 4 20<br />
Rakhi-Mijure 13 5 2 20<br />
Biruwa-Rankhola 2 9 5 4 20<br />
Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 17 3 20<br />
Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 8 5 7 20<br />
Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 16 4 20<br />
Auriya-Himalibas 6 9 3 2 20<br />
Karmiya-Hathiwon 11 4 5 20<br />
Matihani-Pipra 5 9 4 2 20<br />
Janakpur-Kharihani 13 3 4 20<br />
Mirchaiya-Siraha 8 2 10 20<br />
Gaighat-Chatara 10 7 3 20<br />
Total 18 209 99 74 400<br />
Source: Field Survey, 2011<br />
Annex: 8 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Paddy<br />
Surveyed Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
district<br />
Production<br />
Production<br />
Area (ha) HH (quintal) Area (ha) HH (quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 17.81 12 350.00 4.23 4 109.00<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 4.75 14 169.30 1.85 4 50.00<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 4.14 10 174.00 1.79 2 76.00<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 0.00 0 0.00 1.95 5 43.00<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 7.61 14 302.00 2.15 4 98.00<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 10.30 13 312.00 8.13 5 324.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 3.51 11 171.00 1.40 5 40.50<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 1.45 7 19.50 0.20 1 4.00<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 6.37 11 236.00 1.30 4 47.50<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 5.45 15 145.50 1.95 4 31.50<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 1.20 8 38.50 2.60 4 53.00<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 5.75 14 161.50 2.02 4 70.00<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 4.75 14 122.00 1.75 4 27.50<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 8.94 14 217.20 2.02 4 37.60<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 10.76 15 227.00 3.09 5 100.00<br />
Kapilbastu<br />
Sibalawa-Labani-<br />
Lakhanchowk 14.95 14 677.00 5.23 5 238.00<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 1.38 6 25.50 0.90 5 16.50<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 20.41 15 595.00 5.75 4 291.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 5.75 12 181.50 1.50 5 41.50<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 8.22 10 74.40 7.09 3 46.40<br />
Total 143.49 229 4198.90 56.87 81 1745.00<br />
v
Annex: 9 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Maize<br />
Surveyed district Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
Area<br />
(ha) HH<br />
Production<br />
(quintal)<br />
Area<br />
(ha) HH<br />
Production<br />
(quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 1.69 4 13.50 0.16 1 1.00<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 9.85 15 190.40 2.18 5 36.00<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 0.46 4 24.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 3.50 15 86.00 1.92 5 38.00<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 1.38 9 11.55 0.36 2 6.00<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 7.28 14 243.00 2.60 4 48.00<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 4.30 15 65.10 2.05 5 38.44<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 1.69 6 26.04 0.81 3 4.34<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 8.00 15 126.48 3.85 5 37.82<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 3.75 15 50.50 3.60 4 35.00<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 5.10 14 109.74 1.30 4 30.38<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 1.08 15 15.81 0.40 4 7.44<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 2.50 13 45.88 1.75 5 29.14<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 4.35 11 57.66 0.55 2 4.96<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Total 54.92 165 1065.66 21.53 49 316.52<br />
Annex: 10 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Wheat<br />
Surveyed Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
district<br />
Production<br />
Production<br />
Area (ha) HH (quintal) Area (ha) HH (quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 6.50 8 95.00 2.44 4 35.00<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 3.49 10 156.00 1.79 2 78.00<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 2.89 8 50.00 0.55 3 14.00<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 6.86 13 157.50 5.36 5 156.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 0.88 2 18.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 3.50 14 28.14 1.35 5 6.70<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 1.40 9 26.80 1.01 4 11.39<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 0.45 3 10.39 0.40 4 4.02<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 0.20 1 4.00 2.15 4 23.50<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 0.20 2 4.69 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 5.79 13 83.60 0.91 4 14.40<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 1.76 10 33.00 0.72 5 17.00<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 0.70 3 5.36 0.35 2 2.35<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 13.98 15 286.00 3.32 5 118.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 1.30 5 15.41 0.60 2 4.02<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 2.34 6 34.40 2.18 5 31.20<br />
Total 52.22 122 1008.29 23.12 54 515.58<br />
vi
Annex: 11 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Millet<br />
Surveyed Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
district<br />
Production Area<br />
Production<br />
Area (ha) HH (quintal) (ha) HH (quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 6.75 14 94.20 1.68 5 36.00<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 0.15 2 2.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 0.50 1 2.88 0.05 1 0.43<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 2.90 12 52.56 1.20 4 13.68<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 3.00 12 34.30 1.35 3 15.00<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 0.16 2 1.73 1.66 3 5.04<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 0.58 10 10.08 0.40 5 8.28<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 0.80 7 9.79 0.70 5 6.48<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Total 14.84 60 207.54 7.03 26 84.91<br />
Annex: 12 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Potato<br />
Surveyed district Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
Area (ha) HH<br />
Production<br />
(quintal)<br />
Area<br />
(ha) HH<br />
Production<br />
(quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 0.03 1 7.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 0.65 7 69.60 0.36 2 22.00<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 0.00 0 0.00 0.26 1 100.00<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 0.54 10 30.75 0.14 3 20.00<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 0.97 11 68.00 0.65 4 33.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 0.03 1 5.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 2.10 12 245.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 0.03 1 4.00 0.01 1 2.00<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 0.23 3 22.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 0.39 6 34.80 0.05 2 6.00<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 0.39 11 13.50 0.26 4 3.30<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 0.00 0 0.00 0.01 1 0.30<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 0.59 7 45.00 0.70 4 18.00<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 0.46 8 31.50 0.20 2 26.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 0.06 3 6.50 0.08 2 7.00<br />
Total 6.47 81 582.65 2.72 26 237.60<br />
vii
Annex: 13 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Mustard<br />
Surveyed Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
district<br />
Area<br />
Production Area<br />
Production<br />
(ha) HH (quintal) (ha) HH (quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 2.80 10 10.05 0.56 3 1.45<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 1.55 3 3.90 0.43 1 0.80<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 0.91 5 3.10 0.25 1 0.40<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 0.00 0 0.00 0.40 2 0.80<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 1.67 11 8.80 0.46 2 3.00<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 1.66 11 14.15 2.54 4 11.20<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 0.54 3 2.10 0.50 3 1.40<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 0.35 3 1.50 0.25 1 2.00<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 2.93 11 26.20 0.36 3 2.40<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 1.00 3 4.55 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 0.15 1 0.60 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 1.01 5 3.10 0.15 1 0.30<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 1.14 9 11.50 0.41 3 5.00<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 1.94 5 8.80 0.26 1 0.40<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 0.10 1 1.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 3.64 9 14.30 1.14 5 9.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 1.20 2 2.50 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 0.87 2 4.00 0.80 2 3.50<br />
Total 23.44 94 120.15 8.50 32 41.65<br />
Annex: 14 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Pulses<br />
Surveyed Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
district<br />
Production Area<br />
Production<br />
Area (ha) HH (quintal) (ha) HH (quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 2.10 2 7.50 2.00 3 3.00<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 3.00 1 1.50 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 2.75 6 17.20 0.75 2 6.00<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 1.00 1 2.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 8.50 13 41.00 0.57 2 7.25<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 1.35 2 4.40 1.10 2 3.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 2.35 3 7.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 4.30 8 18.50 0.55 3 1.90<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 3.00 2 0.70 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 2.50 2 1.30 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 0.25 1 1.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 0.72 1 0.70 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 0.05 1 1.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kapilbastu Sibalawa-Labani-Lakhanchowk 0.50 2 2.50 0.35 1 0.60<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 6.60 11 23.50 2.40 5 19.00<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 2.57 6 19.60 0.60 2 10.00<br />
Total 41.54 62 149.40 8.32 20 50.75<br />
viii
Annex: 15 Area and Production <strong>of</strong> Vegetables<br />
Surveyed<br />
district<br />
Name <strong>of</strong> road<br />
Project Area villages<br />
Control villages<br />
Area<br />
(ha) HH<br />
Production<br />
(quintal) Area (ha) HH<br />
Production<br />
(quintal)<br />
Bardiya Rajapur Ringroad 0.37 15 19.88 0.11 5 6.05<br />
Nuwakot Trisuli-Deurali-Meghang 0.43 15 26.55 0.09 5 5.06<br />
Rautahat Aouriya-Himalibas 0.17 12 14.65 0.06 2 3.42<br />
Makawanpur Kulekhani-Humanebhanjyang 1.85 15 93.00 0.09 5 4.74<br />
Banke Titiriya-Soanpur 0.36 14 11.88 0.69 5 9.32<br />
Siraha Mirchaiya-Siraha 0.94 13 38.05 1.05 5 36.00<br />
Sarlahi Karmiya-Hathiwon 0.23 14 12.60 0.12 5 6.42<br />
Salyan Hospital-Simkharka 0.34 15 28.10 0.06 5 3.32<br />
Nawalparasi Daldale-Dhobidi 0.41 14 26.44 0.23 5 9.05<br />
Rasuwa Kalikasthan-Dhunge 0.41 15 24.13 0.22 5 12.48<br />
Syangja Biruwa-Rankhola 0.36 13 8.20 0.40 5 11.63<br />
Udayapur Gaighat-Chatara 0.22 15 17.07 0.10 5 5.71<br />
Kaski Rakhi-Mijure 0.64 15 77.44 0.16 5 6.20<br />
Mahottari Matihani-Pipra 0.55 10 20.88 0.08 4 3.68<br />
Rupendehi Madhauliya-Bhuthawa 0.19 15 10.42 0.07 5 3.95<br />
Kapilbastu<br />
Sibalawa-Labani-<br />
Lakhanchowk 0.46 14 24.96 0.07 4 3.77<br />
Dhading Bhimdhunga-Lamidada 1.14 14 116.03 0.19 5 7.47<br />
Kailali Khutiya-Matiyari 0.60 15 32.92 0.21 5 10.12<br />
Palpa Bastari-Jhadeba 0.19 14 10.45 0.05 4 2.67<br />
Dhanusa Janakpur-Kharihani 0.44 12 14.52 0.20 5 10.53<br />
Total 10.31 279 628.16 4.26 94 161.61<br />
Annex Table 16 Number <strong>of</strong> Poultry farms in project Area and control areas<br />
District Program Villages Control Villages<br />
Kailai 60<br />
Bardia 0<br />
Banke 0<br />
Salyan 0<br />
Palpa 150<br />
Rupandehi 10 3<br />
Kapilbastu 0<br />
Nawalparasi 0<br />
Syangja 2<br />
Kaski 3<br />
Makawanpur 2<br />
Dhading 45<br />
Rasuwa 55<br />
Nuwakot 10<br />
Rautahat 4<br />
Sarlahi 6<br />
Siraha 0<br />
Mahottari 0<br />
Dhanusa 0<br />
Udayapur 20<br />
367<br />
ix
Annex: 17 <strong>Local</strong> wage rate for various works by gender<br />
District<br />
Type <strong>of</strong> labor<br />
Wage rate Program<br />
Wage rate control<br />
Male Female Male Female<br />
Danusa Agriculture labor 250 250 300 300<br />
Construction labor 300 300 300 300<br />
Skilled labor 600 - 500<br />
Palpa Agricultural labor 300 150 250 125<br />
Construction labor 250 225 150 300<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 400 -<br />
Makawanpur Agriculture labor 200 200 200 150<br />
Construction labor 400 400 300 200<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 400 -<br />
Porter Rs. 2 per kg Rs. 2 per kg - -<br />
Dhading Agri. Labor 400 300 150 100<br />
Construction labor 400 300 350 100<br />
Skilled labor 600 - 500 -<br />
Kailai Agri labor 200 200 160 160<br />
Construction labor 250 250 200 200<br />
Brick factory 200 200 180 180<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 400 -<br />
Rupandehi Agri labor 200 200 200 250<br />
Construction labor 500 250 300 250<br />
Skilled labor 600 - 500 -<br />
Trade labor - - 200 150<br />
Kapilbastu Agri. Labor 200 200 200 200<br />
Construction labor 450 250 450 250<br />
Skilled labor 600 - 600 -<br />
Industrial labor - - 300 300<br />
Udayapur Agri. Labor 300 150 250 150<br />
Construction labor 350 350 250 200<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 500 -<br />
Kaski Agri. Labor 200 200 200 200<br />
Construction labor 400 200 200 200<br />
Skilled labor 700 - 400 -<br />
Mahottari Agri. Labor 200 200 200 200<br />
Construction labor 300 300 300 300<br />
Skilled labor 600 - 500 -<br />
Syangja Agri.labor 200 150 300 150<br />
Construction labor 250 150 300 300<br />
Skilled labor 400 - 600 -<br />
Trade labor 500 300<br />
Salyan Agri. Labor 300 200 300 300<br />
Construction labor 300 250 300 300<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 450 -<br />
Bardiya Agri. Labor 200 200 150 150<br />
Construction labor 200 200 250 300<br />
Skilled labor 400 - 400 -<br />
Banke Agri. Labor 150 150 150 150<br />
Construction labor 200 200 200 200<br />
Skilled labor 400 - 400 -<br />
Nawalparasi Agri. Labor 300 250 280 300<br />
Construction labor 350 400 350 400<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 500 -<br />
Trade & industry labor 500 400 500 400<br />
Rasuwa Agri. Labor 250 250 150 150<br />
Construction labor 250 500 250 300<br />
Skilled labor 600 - 400 -<br />
Rautahat Agri labor 100 100 100 100<br />
Construction labor 200 - 200 -<br />
Skilled labor 400 - 400 -<br />
Road labor 250 - - -<br />
Siraha Agri labor 250 250 250 250<br />
Construction labor 300 300 300 300<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 500 -<br />
Sarlahi Agri labor 200 200 350 350<br />
Construction labor 300 300 350 350<br />
Skilled labor 500 - 400 -<br />
Industrial labor 500 450 - -<br />
Nuwakot Agri labor 200 200 200 200<br />
Construction labor 300 300 250 250<br />
Skilled labor 500 500 500 500<br />
x
Annex Table 18 Type and Number <strong>of</strong> Business Centres small scale enterprise<br />
Districts Project Area Control Area<br />
Shops Small enterprise Shops Small enterprise<br />
Dhanusa 20 5 18 6<br />
Palpa 200 188 4 0<br />
Makawanpur 22 2 0 0<br />
Dhading 25 53 3 0<br />
Kailai 210 67 39 0<br />
Rupandehi 20 13 15 5<br />
Kapilbastu 15 1 5 0<br />
Udayapur 90 40 7 2<br />
Kaski 23 3 2 0<br />
Mahottari 130 10 9 0<br />
Syangja 10 2 6 1<br />
Salyan 141 3 1 0<br />
Bardiya 200 20 3 0<br />
Banke 112 9 6 2<br />
Nawalparasi 26 5 7 6<br />
Rasuwa 6 57 5 0<br />
Rautahat 85 16 8 5<br />
Siraha 82 60 15 20<br />
Sarlahi 37 6 2 0<br />
Nuwakot 25 4 3 3<br />
Annex 19 Number <strong>of</strong> people employed in local level business centers<br />
District Project area Control area<br />
Dhanusa 48 35<br />
Palpa 800 0<br />
Makawanpur 49 0<br />
Dhading 156 6<br />
Kailali 535 35<br />
Rupandehi 66 39<br />
Kapilbastu 25 5<br />
Udayapur 260 10<br />
Kaski 39 2<br />
Mahottari 180 10<br />
Syangja 24 14<br />
Salyan 51 1<br />
Bardiya 515 3<br />
Banke 180 10<br />
Nawalparasi 153 28<br />
Rasuwa 78 10<br />
Rautahat 181 20<br />
Siraha 274 75<br />
Sarlahi 88 4<br />
Nuwakot 58 12<br />
Total 3760 319<br />
xi
Annex 20 Number <strong>of</strong> visit to loan taking institution<br />
Trips Project Area Control Area<br />
No % No %<br />
1 time 10 62.5 3 60<br />
2 Times 4 25 0 0<br />
3Times 0 0 1 20<br />
4 times 0 0 1 20<br />
More than four 2 12.5 0 0<br />
Total 16 100 5 100<br />
Annex 21 Number <strong>of</strong> Project Affected Family<br />
HHs<br />
Percent<br />
yes 105 35.00<br />
No 195 65.00<br />
Total 300 100.00<br />
Annex 22 Type <strong>of</strong> Effects<br />
HHs<br />
Percent<br />
Giving land 89 84.76<br />
Damage main structure 3 2.86<br />
Damage minor structure 11 10.48<br />
Other asset loss 2 1.90<br />
Total 105 100.00<br />
Annex 23 Compensation received or not <br />
No<br />
Percent<br />
yes 36 34.29<br />
No 69 65.71<br />
Total 105 100.00<br />
Annex 24 Use <strong>of</strong> support<br />
No<br />
Percent<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> economic support<br />
Home expense 33 91.67<br />
House mentainance 3 8.33<br />
Total 36 100.00<br />
xii
TERMS OF REFERENCES<br />
(46)
<strong>Government</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong><br />
<strong>Ministry</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />
Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Local</strong> Infrastructure <strong>Development</strong> and Agricultural Roads<br />
(DoLIDAR)<br />
RURAL ACCESS IMPROVEMENT AND DECENTRALIZATION PROJECT<br />
(RAIDP)<br />
Terms <strong>of</strong> References<br />
For<br />
Consultancy Services for Impact Study<br />
1.0 INTRODUCTION<br />
1.1 <strong>Government</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> (G0N) has received development grant and credit <strong>of</strong> 45 million U.S. $ to<br />
implement the Rural Access Improvement and Decentralization Project (RAIDP), with<br />
additional financial assistance from the International <strong>Development</strong> Association (IDA). A Part <strong>of</strong><br />
this additional financial assistance is to be used for consultancy services for hiring individual<br />
consultant for baseline survey to monitor the socio-economic impact in participating districts.<br />
1.2 The RAIDP- Additional Finance (AF) is a continuation to the Rural Access Improvement and<br />
Decentralization Project (RAIDP) started at 2005 and aims to support the completion <strong>of</strong><br />
remaining works in the existing twenty (20) project districts and scale up the project to ten (10)<br />
additional districts. It also aims the good practices and positive lessons learned from<br />
implementation <strong>of</strong> the prevailing RAIDP. The primary objective <strong>of</strong> RAIDP-AF is to provide<br />
beneficiary rural communities with improved and sustainable physical access to economic<br />
opportunities and social services. The project comprises <strong>of</strong>:<br />
a<br />
b<br />
Rural Transport Infrastructure (RTI) Improvement Components :Sub-components are:<br />
(i) All season rural roads; (ii) Dry season rural roads (iii) Rural roads maintenance, (iv)<br />
Trail bridges construction at national level, (v) Demand-driven community<br />
Infrastructure and Support (vi) River Crossing Structures.<br />
Capacity Building and Advisory Services (CBAS) Component :Sub-components are: (i)<br />
Training/Workshops (ii) Institutional Strengthening (iii) Planning (iv) Baseline survey &<br />
Socioeconomic Impact Monitoring Study (v) Implementation Support.<br />
1.3 The participating districts grouped in four clusters are as follows<br />
Cluster I: Kanchanpur, Kailali, Bardiya, Banke, Salyan, Surkhet and Dang;<br />
ClusterII: Puthan, KapiIvastu, Rupandehi, Nawalparasi, Palpa, Gulmi and<br />
Arghakhanchi;<br />
Cluster III: Rasuwa, Kaski, Syanga, Tanhun, Dhading, Nuwakot and Makwanpur;<br />
Cluster IV: Parsa, Bara, Rautahat, Sarlahi, Mahottari, Dhanusa, Siraha, Saptari and<br />
Udyapur.<br />
2. RATIONALE AND CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK<br />
2.1 The RAIDP program is designed to support efforts to promote poverty reduction in rural areas<br />
by promoting economic development and providing access to basic services that can increase<br />
the quality <strong>of</strong> life for the poor. It is believed that eliminating the isolation <strong>of</strong> populated areas<br />
with previously limited accessibility can provide the population greater and stable access to<br />
critical goods, as well as essential social services, such as medical facilities, schools, visit by<br />
0
concerned <strong>of</strong>ficer, and health care. It also creates the opportunity for development <strong>of</strong> these<br />
services in their localities. Improved access to jobs provides opportunities for the poor to<br />
participate in the economy and thus they reap more benefits <strong>of</strong> growth. Transport access, by<br />
increasing the ability <strong>of</strong> the poor to travel to financial and urban centers, and reduced<br />
transport costs facilitates the access <strong>of</strong> the poor to agriculture inputs and resources such as<br />
capital and formal or informal trading links, reduced prices <strong>of</strong> goods and agriculture inputs, all<br />
<strong>of</strong> which can spur rural development efforts. Rural road improvements are also undertaken to<br />
promote agricultural development by increasing the production and marketing <strong>of</strong> agricultural<br />
products as well as shift in agriculture pattern to cash crops, particularly where lack <strong>of</strong> access<br />
had choked agricultural output or marketing facility. By alleviating constraints in the movement<br />
<strong>of</strong> agricultural products, farmers’ revenues can increase and agricultural and non-farm rural<br />
employment can also increase, contributing to a decline in poverty.<br />
2.2 The empirical evidence at the macroeconomic level <strong>of</strong> the positive correlation between road<br />
improvements and GDP per capita growth is extensive 1 . Yet, the distributional impact <strong>of</strong> road<br />
projects, especially the impact on the poor, is less known. Previous efforts at assessing the<br />
impact <strong>of</strong> rural roads have typically been limited because <strong>of</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> available baseline data<br />
and control or comparison groups, making it difficult to disentangle the effects from the road<br />
improvements from those <strong>of</strong> other interventions and overall development <strong>of</strong> the economy 2 .<br />
2.3 The proposed impact evaluation will be designed to estimate the counterfactual – namely,<br />
what would have happened in the absence <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP intervention. To be carried out in<br />
two phases, the overall objective <strong>of</strong> the proposed study is to assess (i) the magnitude and<br />
distribution <strong>of</strong> the direct and indirect socioeconomic impacts <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP on target<br />
populations , individuals, households, and (ii) to determine the extent to which interventions<br />
under the RAIDP cause changes in the well being <strong>of</strong> targeted populations by examining how<br />
they change over time in communities that have RAIDP projects (project groups) compared<br />
with those that do not (comparison groups).<br />
2.4 The impact assessment phase <strong>of</strong> this study will comprise <strong>of</strong> the following steps:<br />
Review the project documents including baseline study undertaken previously under<br />
original RAIDP.<br />
Revisit survey instruments.<br />
<strong>Development</strong> <strong>of</strong> evaluation methodology<br />
<br />
<br />
Undertaking <strong>of</strong> the impact survey<br />
Carrying out the descriptive and statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> the surveyed data in comparison<br />
with the base line information.<br />
Organizing Workshops/Seminars for consultations with different governmental and<br />
non-governmental stakeholders and experts.<br />
2.5 The DoLIDAR/RAIDP-PCU now wish to hire an expert consultant to undertake the following<br />
terms <strong>of</strong> reference relating to the implementation <strong>of</strong> the impact survey assessment study road<br />
sub-projects and community infrastructure projects completed in following twenty (20) districts<br />
groped in cluster as below:.<br />
Cluster I: Kailali, Bardiya, Banke, and Salyan<br />
ClusterII: KapiIvastu, Rupandehi, Nawalparas and, Palpa<br />
Cluster III:Rasuwa, Kaski, Syanga, , Dhading, Nuwakot and Mmakwanpur<br />
Cluster IV:Rautahat, Sarlahi, Mahottari, Dhanusa, Siraha, and Udyapur.<br />
1 See, for example, Fan, Shenggen, Peter Hazell, and Sukhadeo Thorat, (1999) Linkages between <strong>Government</strong> Spending, Growth, and<br />
Poverty in Rural India, Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute.<br />
2 See, for discussion, Baker, Judy (2000) Evaluating the Impacts <strong>of</strong> <strong>Development</strong> Projects on Poverty: A Handbook for Practitioners.<br />
Washington, D.C.: The Word Bank., and De Walle and Cratty (2002) “Impact Evaluation <strong>of</strong> Rural Road Rehabilitation Project.” Mimeo,<br />
World Bank.<br />
1
3. OBJECTIVES OF THE CONSULTANCY SERVICES<br />
3.1 General<br />
The general objectives <strong>of</strong> this consultancy service are to:<br />
Determine possible socioeconomic benefits <strong>of</strong> the RAIDP. This will in future help to,<br />
(i) adapt policy overtime as result <strong>of</strong> the evidence from the impact assessment, and<br />
(ii) support future funding request for rural access improvement<br />
3.2 Specific<br />
. The specific objectives <strong>of</strong> this consultancy services are to:<br />
(i) develop a scientific evaluation methodology and survey design to conduct<br />
statistical analysis to determine the magnitude and distribution <strong>of</strong> the direct and<br />
indirect socioeconomic impacts <strong>of</strong> rural roads improvement, and the extent to which<br />
RAIDP interventions cause changes in the well being <strong>of</strong> targeted populations<br />
overtime compared to those without project intervention;<br />
(ii) conduct impact survey <strong>of</strong> a sample <strong>of</strong> individuals and households in areas that<br />
received RAIDP support (Project Areas), and on a small sample <strong>of</strong> households not<br />
receiving any kind <strong>of</strong> rural road improvement support from RAIDP or other sources<br />
(Control/Comparison Areas). The survey will be repeated with the same respondentsindividuals<br />
and households –who had responded in the original baseline survey; and<br />
(iii) conduct descriptive statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> the impact by comparing the baseline<br />
information with the results from this follow-up survey.<br />
4. SCOPE OF WORK<br />
Task 1: Review <strong>of</strong> the related documents<br />
The consultant will review the related documents <strong>of</strong> the projects including baseline study<br />
reports, remedial action plan and other related documents for the development <strong>of</strong><br />
methodology to be adopted in impact survey.<br />
Task 2: <strong>Development</strong> <strong>of</strong> Study Methodology and Piloting<br />
2.1 The Consultant will develop a detailed survey design and evaluation methodology. The<br />
methodology should be rigorous enough to ensure a sound statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> impact<br />
assessment, and draw statistically valid inference on the impact <strong>of</strong> rural roads on socioeconomic<br />
benefits to the communities.<br />
2.2 The Consultant will visit the Project Areas and Control Areas as defined in the original<br />
baseline survey and refine survey questionnaires, if necessary. This will include ways <strong>of</strong><br />
organizing and tabulating the information collected in electronic format.<br />
2.3 Detailed indicators used for baseline and proposed for follow up surveys, as well as impact<br />
evaluation are provided in Annex 1.<br />
2.4 The consultant shall prepare a detailed report on its survey design and evaluation<br />
methodology as described above. The report should include, but not limited to:<br />
I. Detailed description <strong>of</strong> the Project and Control Areas to be surveyed<br />
II. Description <strong>of</strong> performance indicators to be used.<br />
III. Draft survey questionnaire to be used.<br />
2.5 Pilot the survey design and evaluation methodology developed for both the impact<br />
assessment study and road user satisfaction survey in a small sample <strong>of</strong> households and<br />
habitations with a view <strong>of</strong> refining them both before finalization and use in the main survey<br />
stage. A short report on the outcome <strong>of</strong> this pilot and the changes necessary shall be<br />
prepared.<br />
2
Task3: Conducting follow-up Survey<br />
3.1 Once the methodology is developed, tested, and accepted by the client, the Consultant shall<br />
conduct a full-scale impact survey on selected Project and Control villages.<br />
3.2 Undertake qualitative survey (e.g. focus group meetings) in a subset <strong>of</strong> the habitations to<br />
gain additional insights and to verify/augment quantitative survey.<br />
3.3 The impact survey should include a detailed survey <strong>of</strong> transportation, economic/income, and<br />
social variables on both the project and comparison groups<br />
3.3.1 Transportation variables should include accessibility index, transportation costs and times,<br />
modal choice, a detailed survey <strong>of</strong> transport needs, preferences, and demands <strong>of</strong> the rural<br />
communities and household (See Annex 1.<br />
3.3.2 Economic/Income Variables should include a detailed survey <strong>of</strong> economic activities in<br />
habitations, measuring agriculture productivity and non-agriculture employment, as well as<br />
prices <strong>of</strong> major commodities, income and expenditure <strong>of</strong> households (see Annex 1)<br />
3.3.3 Social variables should include survey <strong>of</strong> availability and access <strong>of</strong> education and health<br />
facilities. .<br />
3.4 The consultant shall submit in electronic form <strong>of</strong> the impact survey data. The data collected<br />
should be classified into habitation-level, household-level, and project-level database. The<br />
database should be easily searchable and accessible enough to conduct statistical analysis<br />
by the user. This should be in format compatible with the baseline survey data.<br />
Task 4: Impact Evaluation<br />
The Consultant shall carry out a descriptive statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> the impact survey. This<br />
will include the following.<br />
4.1 Compare the changes in both project and comparison groups how they rank with respect to<br />
the indicators in Annex 1.<br />
4.2 Conduct statistical correlation between selected socioeconomic variables on the one hand<br />
and the level <strong>of</strong> current accessibility to motorized transport on the other. This will include a<br />
quantitative analysis <strong>of</strong> how limitations in accessibility contribute to rural poverty.<br />
4.3 Prepare a report (maximum 30 pages including Annexes) detailing the findings <strong>of</strong> the analysis<br />
<strong>of</strong> the baseline and impact survey data to determine the true impact <strong>of</strong> the project<br />
interventions and draw lessons.<br />
5 OUTPUTS AND REPORTS<br />
The consultant will deliver the following outputs.<br />
Item No Due Date Remarks<br />
5 (draft) 20 (Twenty) days<br />
10 (final) from the effective<br />
Inception Report, including work<br />
plan, detailed survey design and<br />
evaluation <strong>of</strong> methodology<br />
Report on the pilot <strong>of</strong> the impact<br />
survey<br />
5 (draft)<br />
10(final)<br />
date <strong>of</strong> the contract<br />
40(Forty) days from<br />
the effective date <strong>of</strong><br />
the contract<br />
Impact Survey( Draft Report) 5 120(Hundred<br />
twenty) days from<br />
the effective date <strong>of</strong><br />
the contract<br />
Impact Evaluations Report (Final<br />
Report)<br />
5 (draft)<br />
10 (final)<br />
180(hundred and<br />
eighty days) days<br />
from the effective<br />
date <strong>of</strong> the contract<br />
Detailed<br />
methodology and<br />
work plan<br />
Including<br />
electronic copy<br />
Including<br />
electronic copy<br />
3
6 DURATION OF CONSULTANCY SERVICE<br />
The consulting services for the proposed work shall be <strong>of</strong> Six (6) months period effective<br />
from date <strong>of</strong> contract<br />
7 LOGISTICS<br />
The individual expert will be provided with an <strong>of</strong>fice space within the premises <strong>of</strong> RAIDP PCU<br />
<strong>of</strong>fice during data analysis period.<br />
8 TAXATION<br />
The consultant is fully responsible for all taxes imposed by the relevant laws <strong>of</strong> <strong>Government</strong><br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong>.<br />
9 AGREEMENT<br />
The Consultant will be required to enter into an agreement with the RAIDP based on a<br />
Lump-Sum Contract for Consultant's Services and both parties before the commencement<br />
<strong>of</strong> the work shall sign such agreement. The consultant will be required to register in VAT after<br />
the signing <strong>of</strong> contract agreement.<br />
10. PAYMENT SCHEDULE<br />
The consultant shall be paid as per following payment schedule:<br />
i. 15 percent <strong>of</strong> the contract amount after signing the contract.<br />
ii. 15 percent <strong>of</strong> the contract amount after submission <strong>of</strong> inception report and<br />
accepted by the client<br />
iii. 10 percent <strong>of</strong> the contract amount after submission <strong>of</strong> the report on pilot <strong>of</strong> the<br />
impact survey and accepted by the client.<br />
iv. 25 percent <strong>of</strong> the contract amount after submission <strong>of</strong> the draft report and<br />
accepted by the client.<br />
v. 35 percent <strong>of</strong> the contract amount after submission <strong>of</strong> the Final report and<br />
accepted by the client.<br />
11. REQUIRED QUALIFICATION OF THE CONSULTANT<br />
10.1 The individual consultant will be short listed with reference to the following<br />
minimum qualifications:<br />
(i) Bachelor Degree in social sciences. The social sciences shall include Economics,<br />
<strong>Development</strong> Studies, Population Studies, Rural <strong>Development</strong>,<br />
Sociology/Anthropology, Geography and Human Geography. Master's degree in<br />
Sociology /Anthropology/ Transportation Engineering/Transportation<br />
Management/Transportation Economics will be preferable.<br />
(ii) At least 7 years <strong>of</strong> work experience in the related field<br />
(iii) Completed at least one such similar nature <strong>of</strong> work<br />
10.2 The consultant obtaining the highest score with reference to the evaluation criteria<br />
approved by the DoLIDAR ; shall be selected among the short listed consultants.<br />
10.3 The number <strong>of</strong> points to be assigned to the assigned services shall be determined<br />
considering the following two sub criteria :<br />
(a) Qualifications and relevant trainings – 30 Points<br />
(b) Experience in the related assignment– 70 Points<br />
________________<br />
Total = 100 Points<br />
4
ANNEX 1<br />
SURVEY INDICATORS<br />
Below are suggested indicators to be used by the consultant in carrying out the habitation and<br />
household surveys. The Consultant is free to suggest its own list <strong>of</strong> indicators.<br />
1.1 Transport Indicators<br />
(i) Number <strong>of</strong> trips taken outside village disaggregated by gender, income, and social<br />
status to various destination-- colleges/schools, hospitals/health centers, markets,<br />
government service <strong>of</strong>fice, and nearest city<br />
(ii) Purpose <strong>of</strong> trips taken -- work, business,<br />
(iii) Time required to reach selected destinations (nearest city, market, school, health<br />
center, work)<br />
(iv) Distance (and travel time) to the nearest all season road<br />
(v) Distance (and travel time) to nearest bus stop<br />
(vi) Passability Index – Number <strong>of</strong> weeks/months road is closed for motorized access.<br />
(vii) Vehicles per day (by type <strong>of</strong> vehicle)<br />
(viii)<br />
(ix)<br />
(x)<br />
(xi)<br />
(xii)<br />
(xiii)<br />
(xiv)<br />
(xv)<br />
(xvi)<br />
(xvii)<br />
(xviii)<br />
(xix)<br />
(xx)<br />
(xxi)<br />
(xxii)<br />
(xxiii)<br />
(xxiv)<br />
(xxv)<br />
(xxvi)<br />
(xxvii)<br />
(xxviii)<br />
(xxix)<br />
(xxx)<br />
Frequency <strong>of</strong> bus service<br />
Frequency <strong>of</strong> auto rickshaws<br />
Passenger fares (by mode <strong>of</strong> transport)<br />
Rate <strong>of</strong> truck-load <strong>of</strong> merchandize over a given distance<br />
Transport cost <strong>of</strong> farming inputs (seeds, fertilizers)<br />
Transport cost <strong>of</strong> agriculture products<br />
Ownership <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles and non-motorized vehicles<br />
Agriculture Productivity Indicator<br />
Produced quantities <strong>of</strong> crops<br />
Output <strong>of</strong> key crops per unit <strong>of</strong> cultivated land<br />
Amount <strong>of</strong> harvest sold in markets<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> fertilizers<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> herbicides<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> pesticides<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> improved seeds<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> farm equipment (tractors, machines)<br />
Farm-gate prices <strong>of</strong> key crops<br />
<strong>Local</strong> market prices <strong>of</strong> key crops<br />
Unit price <strong>of</strong> farm inputs<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> people working on farm<br />
Agricultural day wage<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> yearly visits <strong>of</strong> agricultural extension agent<br />
Livestock ownership<br />
1.2 Non-agriculture Activities Indicator<br />
(i) Number <strong>of</strong> stores in village<br />
(ii) Ownership <strong>of</strong> non-agricultural household enterprise (by type)<br />
(iii) Number <strong>of</strong> days worked outside farm<br />
1.2 Income, expenditure, and entrepreneurship Indicator<br />
(i) Level and source <strong>of</strong> income (by gender)<br />
(ii) Expenditure composition<br />
(iii) Distance to markets<br />
(iv) Number <strong>of</strong> sellers/shops in nearest market<br />
5
(v)<br />
(vi)<br />
(vii)<br />
(viii)<br />
(ix)<br />
(x)<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> products available at market<br />
Price <strong>of</strong> key traded commodities<br />
Price <strong>of</strong> land<br />
Price <strong>of</strong> housing<br />
Land tenure (by gender)<br />
Access to credit (by gender)<br />
1.3 Education Indicators<br />
(i) Number <strong>of</strong> primary schools in village<br />
(ii) Primary school enrollment rate (by gender)<br />
(iii) Secondary school enrollment rate (by gender)<br />
(iv) Primary school dropout rate (by gender)<br />
(v) Distance to nearest primary/secondary school<br />
(vi) Qualification <strong>of</strong> teachers<br />
(vii) Rate <strong>of</strong> absenteeism <strong>of</strong> teachers<br />
(viii) Availability <strong>of</strong> school supplies<br />
1.4 Health Indicators<br />
(i) Distance to nearest health center/hospital<br />
(ii) Number <strong>of</strong> visits to health facilities (by age/gender)<br />
(iii) Days <strong>of</strong> work lost due to illness<br />
(iv) Immunization rate <strong>of</strong> children<br />
(v) Pregnant women receiving prenatal care<br />
(vi) Qualifications <strong>of</strong> medical staff<br />
(vii) Number <strong>of</strong> days present<br />
(viii) Availability <strong>of</strong> drugs and medical supplies<br />
(ix) Available hospital beds<br />
(x) Number <strong>of</strong> qualified doctors/health expert within the village<br />
6
Photographs<br />
Trisuli Meghang Road, Nuwakot<br />
Focus Groups in Banke
Titiriya road in Banke<br />
Orientation in Palpa
Khutiya Matiyani, Kailali<br />
Khutiya Matiyani, Kailali