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COMMODITY NEWSBRIEFS: 24 JULY 2013<br />

Please note that these articles are available in electronic format and can be requested and delivered via e-Mail.<br />

(http://intra.spoornet.co.za)<br />

kgaugelo.Makhura@transnet.net<br />

<strong>TO</strong> <strong>OPEN</strong> <strong>THE</strong> <strong>FULL</strong> <strong>TEXT</strong> <strong>ARTICLE</strong>: <strong>PLEASE</strong> <strong>HOLD</strong> DOWN <strong>THE</strong> Ctrl KEY ON <strong>THE</strong> KEYBOARD AND CLICK<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> LINK (<strong>ARTICLE</strong> TITLE) WITH <strong>THE</strong> MOUSE POINTER<br />

AU<strong>TO</strong>MOTIVE<br />

SA CAR SALES GROWTH <strong>TO</strong> HIT 4-YEAR LOW (Business Report, 23/7/2013)<br />

South African vehicle sales growth will probably ease to the slowest pace since a 2009 recession this year because of a<br />

weaker economy, the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa said. Sales will rise 4.5 percent to<br />

652 000 this year, slower than the 9 percent expansion in 2012, before accelerating to 7.6 percent next year, the<br />

Pretoria-based industry group known as Naamsa, said in a report today.<br />

SA CAR MANUFACTURING JOBS DECLINE (Business Report, 23/7/2013)<br />

The number of people employed in the new vehicle manufacturing industry has declined in the past three months,<br />

Naamsa said on Tuesday. Its latest quarterly business review showed a 1.3 percent decrease in staff between March and<br />

June this year, from 30,299 people to 29,903.<br />

IRON<br />

CASH FLUSH KUMBA GIVES SOME RELIEF <strong>TO</strong> ANGLO (Mining Mix, 24/7/2013)<br />

KUMBA Iron Ore underlined its reputation as one of Anglo American's best assets paying an interim dividend of<br />

R20.10/share (2012 H2: R12.50/share) and contributing an estimated $579m to the UK group's half-year earnings which<br />

are due to be announced on July 26. After the balance sheet woes of Anglo American Platinum which reported a 30%<br />

increase in net debt as part of its interim figures yesterday, the cash generating power of Kumba Iron Ore will come as<br />

great relief to Anglo. The iron ore producer generated enough cash, even in the midst of weaker prices for iron ore, to<br />

record net cash of R2.3bn wiping out some R4.3bn in net debt as of December 31, 2012.<br />

KUMBA IRON ORE TALKS EXPANSION IN SA THIS YEAR (Business Day Live, 24/7/2013)<br />

KUMBA Iron Ore CEO Norman Mbazima hopes to make good progress in firming up the group’s expansion<br />

plans in South Africa over the next six months, but the proposed diversification into West Africa is going to take<br />

longer to finalise, he said on Tuesday. Mr Mbazima was speaking at the release of the mining group’s results for the six<br />

months ended June. Kumba is 70% owned by Anglo American. That delay is despite apparently favourable deal-making<br />

conditions created by the slump in the commodity markets in general, and concerns over the pull-back in the Chinese<br />

economy in particular. According to Kumba estimates, China accounted for 49% of global crude steel production, which<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 1 of 8


totalled 787-million metric tonnes in the first half of 2013. The country imported 72% of global seaborne iron-ore exports,<br />

which totalled 539-million tonnes.<br />

FUEL<br />

W.AFRICA CRUDE UNDER PRESSURE AS NIGERIAN EXPORTS PICK UP (The New Age, 23/7/2013)<br />

West African crude oil differentials were seen under further pressure on Monday, as Nigeria's loading programme for<br />

September came in slightly higher than for August, while Angolan cargoes sold slowly. Differentials for West African oil have<br />

fallen due to lower purchases from Asian buyers and weak demand in Europe. Nigeria is set to export around 1.81 million<br />

barrels of crude oil per day in September on 59 cargoes excluding the Bonny Light grade, shipping lists indicated on Monday.<br />

The programme is above the one set for August when 1.72mn bpd were exported, according to revised programme data.<br />

COAL<br />

COAL EXPORTS RISE AS RAIL RESUMES (Zululand Observer, 23/7/2013)<br />

Exports from the Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) recovered to 5.3-million tons in June after dipping to 4.35-million<br />

tons in May. Exports were slightly down from the 5.45-million tons shipped in June last year. Coal was shipped at an<br />

annualised rate of 66.64-million tons in June, figures released earlier this month by the terminal showed. RBCT, which is<br />

owned collectively by SA’s biggest coal producers and is the biggest single terminal of its kind in the world, shipped 68.34<br />

million tons in 2012.<br />

NATCOR SHUTDOWN (Railways Africa, 23/7/2013)<br />

Shutting down important lines for concentrated maintenance over a period of about 10 days is an established practice,<br />

notably on Transnet Freight Rail’s (TFR) iron ore and coal heavy-haul corridors. Unfortunately the key Johannesburg-Durban<br />

main-line, known as Natcor, carries a diversity of goods which means that a complete shutdown for more than two days is<br />

out of the question. Many clients of several TFR business units (such as CAB – containers and automotive business – also<br />

ABL – agriculture & bulk liquids) have limited stockpile capacity and cannot afford lengthy rail service downtime. This year,<br />

train operations will cease late on Friday 26 July and resume on a limited scale three days later. During this time it is<br />

intended to spend more than R126 million on maintenance and upgrading.<br />

FREIGHT RATES DRAW SA COAL <strong>TO</strong> ASIA (FTW, 24/7/2013)<br />

The recent plunge in freight rates has re-opened the price arbitrage for SA coal to move into Asia, sparking renewed interest<br />

from Chinese buyers, trade sources said, according to a Reuters report carried by Hellenic Shipping News. However, industry<br />

sources cautioned China’s demand for coal imports has weakened considerably over the past two months, and that it was<br />

unlikely that there would a mad rush of orders for SA coal that was seen earlier this year.<br />

TRANSNET<br />

GAS LEAK CLOSES DURBAN CONTAINER TERMINAL (DCT) (FTW, 24/7/2013)<br />

Another of what are now frequent gas leaks invading the Port of Durban’s container terminal area temporarily shut down the<br />

Durban container terminal (DCT) Pier 2 for a time yesterday. The types of gas and the source appear not to have been made<br />

public in this or past incidents although Transnet Port Terminals (TPT) and the Durban municipality have been involved. Two<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 2 of 8


incidents in April however, received press coverage. The first was on April 26 when 13-people had to receive medical care,<br />

and one person suffered acid burns after an ammonia gas leak near the fresh produce terminal. But it remained unclear<br />

what led to that incident.<br />

NATURE <strong>TO</strong> MAKE WAY FOR MULTIBILLION-RAND PORT (Legalbrief Today, 23/7/2013)<br />

About 1m dwarf chameleons resident on Durban's dig-out port site must be removed before construction on the planned<br />

multibillion-rand project gets the green light from environment officials, say Transnet authorities, notes a report in The<br />

Mercury<br />

RAIL MARKET PROSPECTS IN SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA (Railways Africa, 23/7/2012)<br />

SCI Verkehr’s new railway market study analyses opportunities and risks in South and Central America. “Dominated by<br />

Brazil, this region will see very high growth rates in the urban transport segment and significant growth in the freight<br />

transport business. The current average market volume for railway technology amounts to approximately €4.6 billion, of<br />

which €2.5 billion is for new business development and rolling stock and €2.1 billion for after-sales services.<br />

DEPUTY MINISTER VISITS SENTRARAND (Railway Africa, 23/7/2013)<br />

On 9 July, South Africa’s deputy transport minister Sindiswe Lydia Chikunga together with senior officials travelled by<br />

inspection trolley from Pretoria to Kaalfontein where they inspected platform interchange facilities. They continued to<br />

Transnet Freight Rail’s (TFR) Sentrarand rail marshalling complex. The party included advisor to the minister Jacinto<br />

Rocha, Rail Safety Regulator chief executive Nkululeko Poya and Advocate Brenda Madumise, who chairs the board. TFR’s<br />

agriculture & bulk liquids business unit (ABL) hosted the visit to Sentrarand. Presentations were made by ABL general<br />

manager Ulrico Davids and TFR executive manager corporate safety Themba Mahenye, following which the group<br />

proceeded to the Rail Safety Regulator’s offices for further discussions.<br />

GENERAL<br />

SOUTH AFRICAN S<strong>TO</strong>CKS BOOK HIGHEST CLOSE SINCE LATE May (Money Web, 24/7/2013)<br />

After news China would step up investment in commodity-intensive projects. South African stocks booked their<br />

highest close in nearly two months on Tuesday, after news China would step up investment in commodity-intensive<br />

projects lifted resources companies such as African Rainbow Minerals (JSE:ARI). South Africa's benchmark Top-40 index<br />

climbed 0.71 percent to 36,652.71, its highest close since May 31. The broader All-Share index was 0.69 percent higher<br />

to 41,176.57, also its highest finish since May 31. Diversified mineral producers African Rainbow Minerals and Exxaro<br />

Resources (JSE:EXX) both added more than 3 percent, while Impala Platinum rose 3.8 percent to 94.63 rand.<br />

RAND STEADIES AGAINST <strong>THE</strong> DOLLAR (Business Report, 23/7/2013)<br />

South Africa's rand steadied against the dollar early on Tuesday, keeping a firmer bias on a greenback pressured by soft<br />

economic data that suggested the U.S. Federal Reserve may delay its withdrawal of stimulus. The rand was at 9.7960 to<br />

the dollar at 0638 GMT, on the firmer side of its 9.8010 close in New York on Monday. The currency is trading within<br />

Monday's range and looks set for a third day of gains against the dollar<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 3 of 8


SA YIELDS ON 2-WEEK HIGH, RAND SLIPS (Business Report, 23/7/2013)<br />

South African bonds fell, driving yields to the highest in almost two weeks, before a report that may show inflation in the<br />

country accelerated in June. The rand weakened, erasing an earlier gain. The consumer price index rose 5.8 percent last<br />

month, compared with a 5.6 percent increase in May, a report tomorrow may show, according to the median estimate of<br />

19 economists in Bloomberg survey.<br />

CURRENCIES AND PRICES<br />

MARKETS AND INDICA<strong>TO</strong>RS<br />

JSE<br />

Alsi 23/07 41,177 + 282.52 + 0.69%<br />

Financials 23/07 30,805 + 387.66 + 1.27%<br />

Industrials 23/07 41,394 + 469.68 + 1.15%<br />

FOREX<br />

Rand/Dollar 07:29 9.6895 - 0.12 - 1.21%<br />

Rand/Pound 07:30 14.8598 - 0.17 - 1.13%<br />

Rand/Euro 07:30 12.8034 - 0.13 - 0.99%<br />

COMMODITIES<br />

Gold (usd/oz) 07:29 1,340.10 + 3.90 + 0.29%<br />

Platinum (usd/oz) 07:24 1,438.00 + 14.00 + 0.98%<br />

Brent (usd/barrel) 07:16 108.24 + 0.09 + 0.08%<br />

World Markets<br />

Wall St (DJIA) 23/07 15,568 + 22.19 + 0.14%<br />

Germany (DAX) 23/07 8,314 - 17.34 - 0.21%<br />

Japan (Nikkei) 07:28 14,682 - 96.22 - 0.65%<br />

(Business Report, 24/7/2013)<br />

(Business Report, 24/7/2013)<br />

COPPER A – SETTLEMENT PRICE – 6961<br />

FORWARD RATES - Dollar/rand 4pm close: R9, 8138<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 4 of 8


Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 5 of 8


Petrol/ Diesel Price<br />

02-Jan-<br />

06-Feb-<br />

06-Mar-<br />

03-Apr-<br />

01-May-<br />

05-Jun-<br />

03-Jul-<br />

07-Aug-<br />

04-Sep-<br />

02-Oct-<br />

06-Nov-<br />

04-Dec-<br />

YR2013<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

COASTAL<br />

95 LRP (c/l) 1151.00 1192.00 1273.00 1283.00 1210.00 1202.00 1286.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1151.00 1192.00 1273.00 1283.00 1210.00 1202.00 1286.00<br />

Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1086.67 1104.47 1162.85 1170.01 1114.45 1110.47 1188.67<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1091.07 1108.87 1167.25 1175.41 1118.85 1114.87 1193.07<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 807.128 833.128 890.128 860.328 802.328 803.328 878.328<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 2047.00 2120.00 2238.00 2183.00 2102.00 2107.00 2236.00<br />

GAUTENG<br />

93 LRP (c/l) 1165.00 1206.00 1287.00 1297.00 1224.00 1216.00 1300.00<br />

93 ULP (c/l) 1165.00 1206.00 1287.00 1297.00 1224.00 1216.00 1300.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1186.00 1227.00 1308.00 1320.00 1247.00 1239.00 1323.00<br />

Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1111.37 1129.17 1187.55 1196.61 1141.05 1137.07 1215.27<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1115.77 1133.57 1191.95 1202.01 1145.45 1141.47 1219.67<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 849.028 875.028 932.028 906.228 848.228 849.228 924.228<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 2229.00 2302.00 2420.00 2365.00 2284.00 2289.00 2418.00<br />

03-Jan-<br />

01-Feb-<br />

07-Mar-<br />

04-Apr-<br />

02-May-<br />

06-Jun-<br />

04-Jul-<br />

01-Aug-<br />

05-Sep-<br />

03-Oct-<br />

07-Nov-<br />

05-Dec-<br />

YR2012<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

COASTAL<br />

95 LRP (c/l) 1031.00 1065.00 1093.00 1159.00 1187.00 1132.00 1047.00 1069.00 1162.00 1185.00 1175.00 1166.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1031.00 1065.00 1093.00 1159.00 1187.00 1132.00 1047.00 1069.00 1162.00 1185.00 1175.00 1166.00<br />

Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1007.29 1006.29 1016.67 1064.27 1073.67 1048.85 986.270 1000.89 1069.89 1109.05 1119.25 1114.25<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1012.69 1010.69 1020.07 1069.67 1078.07 1053.25 991.670 1007.29 1076.29 1116.45 1125.65 1119.65<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 752.528 749.528 753.528 774.128 783.128 762.128 704.128 719.128 792.128 825.128 828.128 824.128<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 1939.00 1989.00 2025.00 2093.00 2124.00 2025.00 1912.00 1964.00 2093.00 2090.00 2091.00 2056.00<br />

GAUTENG<br />

93 LRP (c/l) 1043.00 1077.00 1105.00 1177.00 1205.00 1150.00 1061.00 1083.00 1176.00 1197.00 1187.00 1178.00<br />

93 ULP (c/l) 1043.00 1077.00 1105.00 1177.00 1205.00 1150.00 1061.00 1083.00 1176.00 1197.00 1187.00 1178.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1061.00 1095.00 1123.00 1194.00 1222.00 1167.00 1082.00 1104.00 1197.00 1220.00 1210.00 1201.00<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 6 of 8


Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1027.69 1026.69 1037.07 1088.00 1098.37 1073.55 1010.97 1025.59 1094.59 1133.75 1143.95 1138.95<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1033.09 1031.09 1040.47 1094.37 1102.77 1077.95 1016.37 1031.99 1100.99 1141.15 1150.00 1144.35<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 788.428 785.428 789.428 816.028 825.028 804.028 746.028 761.028 834.028 867.028 870.028 866.028<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 2121.00 2171.00 2207.00 2275.00 2306.00 2207.00 2094.00 2146.00 2275.00 2272.00 2273.00 2238.00<br />

(SAPIA online)<br />

Click to access LME table: LONDON METAL EXCHANGE, 24/7/2013<br />

NOTE: Your attention is drawn to the following:<br />

1. USE<br />

This Newsbrief is intended for the use of Transnet employees only. It is not to be disclosed or disseminated to outside<br />

parties, without the consent of a Transnet Freight Rail Manager who is authorised to communicate with external parties.<br />

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