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COMMODITY NEWSBRIEFS: 06 MAY 2013<br />

Please note that these articles are available in electronic format and can be requested and delivered via e-Mail.<br />

(http://intra.spoornet.co.za)<br />

Dipuo.Mkhezwa@transnet.net<br />

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ON <strong>THE</strong> LINK (<strong>ARTICLE</strong> TITLE) WITH <strong>THE</strong> MOUSE POINTER<br />

AU<strong>TO</strong>MOTIVE<br />

VOLKSWAGEN SA BOOST FOR SMALL BUSINESSES (Industry SA, 06/06/2013)<br />

Volkswagen Group South Africa’s (VWSA) multimillion rand project that is aimed at boosting local small businesses is<br />

yielding encouraging results. The Uitenhage based Volkswagen Business Support Centre was established in April 2011 in<br />

partnership with small business incubator company, Raizcorp and has 20 beneficiaries from Nelson Mandela Bay. The<br />

small businesses receiving training and guidance from the centre have, on average, improved their turnover by almost<br />

50% and grown their employee base by more than 30%. VWSA has invested R10 million in the past two years and has<br />

further committed R5-million per annum for the first three years of the centre’s operation. The beneficiaries’ combined<br />

economic contribution stands at almost R35 million per annum. VWSA Managing Director, David Powels said the<br />

success of the project was in keeping with the company’s Corporate Social Investment (CSI) goals. “The key principles<br />

guiding us in deciding which projects to support are that they must be holistic, comprehensive and sustainable,” said<br />

Powels. “The success of the businesses at the centre will have a broader benefit for the Eastern Cape province, which at<br />

the moment has the third highest rate of unemployment in South Africa.” According to the Quarterly Labour Force Survey<br />

released by Statistics South Africa this month, unemployment in the Eastern Cape has risen from 29.8% to 30.2%. The<br />

businesses supported by the centre employ over 140 people. The employees – excluding the business directors – in turn<br />

support nearly 440 dependents.<br />

INDUSTRIAL<br />

INDUSTRY IN SLOWDOWN (Financial Mail, 06/06/2013)<br />

SA's catalytic converter industry, once responsible for 16% of global production, will hit a wall over the next two or three<br />

years when a new EU regulation kicks in. Thousands of jobs may be at stake. Euro 6 is the common name for European<br />

emissions standards coming into effect for passenger cars in the bloc on September 1 2015. But, according to one<br />

insider, the local industry has seen "no upgrades or investments of consequence" to meet this specification. This is an<br />

extraordinary fact but few people will speak on the record. The reason, rumour has it, is that the industry is reaching for<br />

one last lifeline that might save it, and doesn't want government upset by reports in the media. SA has by far the largest<br />

reserves of platinum and palladium, metals crucial to the catalytic converter industry. It is also hard to imagine a better<br />

example of beneficiation, which trade & industry minister Rob Davies has repeatedly said is central to industrialisation.<br />

And, at a time when the motor industry is enjoying huge government support , one would expect the catalytic converter<br />

industry to be propped up too.<br />

FUEL<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 1 of 9


PETROL PRICE SHOCKER ON <strong>THE</strong> CARDS (News24, 06/06/2013)<br />

The petrol price relief could be short-lived and motorists could be paying almost R1 more for fuel, according to Business Day.<br />

The agency reported on Wednesday that the petrol price could again breach the R13/l mark. The under-recovery on 95<br />

octane petrol is currently 86 cents a litre 9 (c/l) and 77c/l on diesel. If this continues by June 28 then motorists will be in for a<br />

surprise. The final over- or under-recovery number is calculated on the last Friday of the month, and the adjustment<br />

implemented from the first Wednesday of each month. The price of petrol might go up by 90c, according to the Automobile<br />

Association (AA). Public affairs director Gary Ronald told the agency that there are three weeks to try to claw back the underrecovery.<br />

He said that for the petrol price to remain unchanged, the rand will need to regain to about R9.20/$, if oil remains at<br />

$100/barrel.<br />

CONSTRUCTION, BUILDING MATERIALS & CEMENT<br />

BUILDING A THREAT <strong>TO</strong> HOME PRICES (Business Report, 06/06/2013)<br />

The number of flats and townhouses completed last year ballooned by 51.4 percent year on year. This posed a potential<br />

threat to house price growth, Standard Bank warned yesterday. It attributed the strong growth partly to base effects<br />

following four years of declining growth. But Sibusiso Gumbi, a research strategist at Standard Bank, said yesterday that<br />

strong building activity might emerge as an additional source of downside pressure on house prices in the future if these<br />

building trends were not met by adequate demand. Gumbi said the real value of completed residential buildings increased<br />

by 6.6 percent year on year in the first quarter of this year from minus 0.8 percent in the fourth quarter. In addition, 825<br />

houses of 80m² or less were completed in the first quarter, a 20.8 percent improvement on the corresponding quarter last<br />

year. Gumbi said construction of flats and townhouses was also robust, with a 12 percent year-on-year improvement in<br />

the first quarter. In the first quarter, 162 fewer dwellings larger than 80m² were completed, which represented a 5.8<br />

percent year-on-year contraction, he said.<br />

LAFARGE ASSIST IN BUILDING TRANSPORTATION HUB (Industry SA, 05/06/2013)<br />

Bloemfontein CBD’s taxi rank had fallen into disrepair, prompting the Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality to develop a<br />

modern transport hub. Designed to provide commuters with integrated taxi and bus ranks sheltered from the elements,<br />

the double storey building also includes offices, shops and restaurants. Lafarge South Africa supplied a range of building<br />

material solutions for the project, including waterproof ready-mix concrete, durable paving mix with fibers, mortar and<br />

plaster mixes. Lafarge South Africa is the local subsidiary of the international Lafarge Group, a world leader in building<br />

materials. The Group’s unequaled technical strength is employed to develop innovative products and services to help<br />

create better urban environments for people and better connected, more durable cities. A vision of a better city, built with<br />

the help of innovative materials has replaced the traditional kerbside shelters for catching taxis with a desirable place for<br />

commuters to gather. It also provides a more efficient means for taxis to satisfy the transport needs of their customers.<br />

COAL<br />

STRAPPED FOR CASH: JUNIOR COAL MINERS (Financial Mail, 06/06/2013)<br />

Eskom wants to contract more than a billion tons of coal over the next 40 years from black-owned companies, which<br />

ought to stimulate the junior mining sector. There are several examples of listed junior miners who have built up their<br />

businesses partly by selling to Eskom, including Keaton Energy, Wescoal, Continental Coal and Coal of Africa. Grant<br />

Wishart, a technical adviser with diversified consulting group Emerald Green, told the Fossil Fuel Foundation's junior coal<br />

mining ventures conference last week that not only did Eskom favour junior coal miners with high levels of black<br />

empowerment participation, there could even be potential funding from the Development Bank of Southern Africa for<br />

companies that were fully compliant with all requirements. Finding financiers to bankroll BEE coal ventures is a huge<br />

challenge. Wishart said some companies had raised money on stock exchanges but as far as bank financing was<br />

concerned, junior coal miners with small reserves were regarded as high risk. The most common source of funding was<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 2 of 9


advances from coal traders, but this was mainly offered for export quality coal, and tended to be based on good<br />

relationships.<br />

NO DEADLOCKS IN XSTRATA TALKS: AMCU (The New Age, 05/06/2013)<br />

There was no deadlock in talks with Xstrata coal mine management regarding the case of dismissed workers, the<br />

Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union (AMCU) has said. The company dismissed about 1, 000 employees<br />

who downed tools embarking on an illegal strike last week, to show solidarity with an AMCU member who accused a shift<br />

supervisor of assault. The affected sites included Helena, Magareng and Thorncliffe in Limpopo. AMCU national organiser<br />

Dumisani Nkalitshane said they were waiting for management’s response on their position that the workers appeal their<br />

dismissals collectively, through AMCU. The company, however, wanted the workers to appeal individually, said Nkalitshane.<br />

“Now that’s where the problem is. Some of the workers can’t read nor write… They must be represented by a union,” he<br />

said.<br />

Link to McCloskey Coal Fax – Issue 634<br />

Link to McKloskey SA Coal Report – 4 June 2013<br />

Link to McKloskey Coal Report – Issues 311<br />

GRAIN<br />

NORTH WEST FARMERS BATTLING DROUGHT (Sowetan, 06/06/2013)<br />

Farmers in the central part of North West province have suffered damages amounting to almost R2 billion due to the<br />

prevailing drought conditions, Beeld reported. In the western part of the province, farmers were even worse off, Agri North<br />

West CEO Boeta du Toit, said." As the harvest comes in, it's becoming obvious that our farmers are even worse off than<br />

we previously thought. In the central part of the province, farmers have lost more than 50 percent of their maize crop." Du<br />

Toit said damage to the province's sunflower crop was about the same, and in the western parts, many livestock farmers<br />

had been forced to reduce their herds at lower prices. "In addition to the situation with poor or no crops, farmers' input costs<br />

over the past year increased by 19 percent, not including the more than 50 percent increase in the minimum wages of farm<br />

workers.<br />

MINERAL MINING<br />

PWC: MINING FACES GLOBAL CRISIS (IOL, 05/06/2013)<br />

The global mining industry is facing a market confidence crisis, a PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) report has found.<br />

“While 2012 saw mining stocks fall slightly, they fell nearly 20 percent in the first four months of 2013,” PwC said in a<br />

statement on Wednesday. “According to (the)...report, the industry faces a confidence crisis. Confidence over whether<br />

costs can be controlled, return on capital will improve and commodity prices will not collapse, among others.” The report<br />

analysed 40 of the largest listed mining companies in major economies, including the United Kingdom, the United States,<br />

Canada, Australia, China, Russia, India, Brazil, Poland, Mexico and South Africa. It found that global mining revenues<br />

levelled at US$731 billion, and net profits were down by 49 percent, to US$68bn. With regards to “total market<br />

capitalisation” gold miners in the top 40 lost US$29bn in 2012, while in the first four months of 2013, they lost a further<br />

US$58bn in value. It found that since April 2012, half of the chief executive offices had been replaced at the largest 10<br />

mining companies.<br />

SOUTH AFRICA CAN’T GET AWAY WITH JUST 'DIGGING DIRT' – PAUL JOURDAN (Mining Weekly, 05/06/2013)<br />

While Australia could get away with mining minerals and exporting them without paying attention to local value addition,<br />

South Africa could not, independent South African mineral policy analyst Paul Jourdan told the International Mining and<br />

Metals third African Iron Ore conference here. With its far larger population and far fewer square kilometres, South Africa<br />

had no option but to concern itself with mineral beneficiation, which he defined as the total domestic value addition<br />

embodied in the final exports, excluding all imported inputs. “Australia can dig dirt for the next 200 to 300 years, and they’ll<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 3 of 9


e fine,” he said. But South Africa, at one-sixth of Australia’s size and with nearly three times its population, was<br />

compelled to introduce ore beneficiation strategies for mineral value chains and resource-based industrialisation.<br />

TRANSNET<br />

MARITIME SCHOOL OF EXCELLENCE FOR DURBAN (IOL, 05/06/2013)<br />

The terminal buildings of the old Durban International Airport are being transformed into a Maritime School of Excellence.<br />

Transnet group chief executive Brian Molefe said the plan was to develop critical maritime skills locally and in the<br />

southern African region before developments such as the Durban dig-out port. Transnet bought the site from the Airports<br />

Company of South Africa in a R1.8 billion deal last year. The dig-out port will take up much of the prime site. Molefe spoke<br />

to The Mercury after Transnet National Ports Authority chief executive Tau Morwe cited the project at the recent African<br />

Renaissance conference in Durban. The initiative was part of government strategy for South Africa to leverage off its long<br />

coastline and many ports to develop the country into a global player in the maritime industry.<br />

BID FOR A BIGGER BITE (Financial Mail, 06/06/2013)<br />

Minister of public enterprises Malusi Gigaba is spearheading a campaign to ramp up economic reform by boosting the<br />

preferential access black-owned businesses have to government contracts, especially those associated with the state's<br />

R827bn infrastructure drive. The state-owned companies (SOC), which Gigaba oversees, will spend the bulk of this<br />

budget over the next three years. They will be investing R113bn in infrastructure in the coming financial year. Gigaba is<br />

pushing for national treasury to change its preferential procurement regulations so black-owned firms are further<br />

advantaged by even higher empowerment weightings. He also wants SOCs to be allowed to build "set-asides" into<br />

tenders, which would mean only black-owned firms could bid for specific parts of the contract. Treasury believes that setasides<br />

are unconstitutional and, in 2006, issued a practice note prohibiting them. But Gigaba disagrees, and has the<br />

powerful backing of black business. His campaign has been bolstered by the findings of President Jacob Zuma's review of<br />

SOCs.<br />

FOLLOWING FLOP, TRANSNET PLANS INFLATION-LINKED BONDS (MoneyWeb, 5/6/2013)<br />

Transnet SOC, South Africa’s state-owned rail and ports operator is considering a sale of long-term inflation-linked debt to<br />

match the lifespan of some of its assets. “We will like to further match our assets and liabilities,” Transnet Chief Financial<br />

Officer Anoj Singh said. “Our assets are very long dated, lasting 60 years for example.” Transnet plans to raise R15.6<br />

billion in the fiscal year ending March 2014 to invest in new infrastructure, Singh said. The company plans to tap the<br />

domestic market for 60% of the amount and the difference from foreign sources.<br />

GENERAL<br />

BUILDING A THREAT <strong>TO</strong> HOME PRICES (Business Day, 06/06/2013)<br />

South Africa has achieved the highest economic integration score among 11 sub-Saharan African countries, according to<br />

an index compiled by Visa, but this reflects its links to the rest of the world rather than the continent. The Visa African<br />

Integration index launched on Wednesday showed the region was lagging the world in terms of economic integration,<br />

which is seen as a powerful driver of a sustained and more inclusive improvement in growth. South Africa scored 63.3<br />

against a global median of 100, up from 61.1 two years ago and well ahead of the other 10 countries covered by the<br />

index, which were Mozambique, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Angola, Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and Tanzania.<br />

ON EDGE: ECONOMIC OUTLOOK (Financial Mail, 07/06/2013)<br />

From the opening days of 2013 it was clear that this was going to be a watershed year for the SA economy. Either SA<br />

was going to take real strides towards delivering faster economic growth through decisive policies or leadership or it would<br />

continue its downward slide. Earlier this year, (Cover Story March 1-6) the FM asked whether SA was on a slippery slope<br />

to becoming a sub-investment grade country. We concluded that though it would take deterioration over several years for<br />

SA to move from investment grade to speculative grade, unless SA found a way to accelerate growth and make it more<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 4 of 9


labour-intensive, the country faced a slow, grinding descent from mediocrity to marginalisation - or worse. But though we<br />

were decidedly bearish, we didn't expect things to unravel this quickly.<br />

CURRENCIES AND PRICES<br />

MARKETS AND INDICA<strong>TO</strong>RS<br />

JSE<br />

Alsi 09:10 40,725 - 68.43 - 0.17%<br />

Financials 09:10 30,278 - 121.18 - 0.40%<br />

Industrials 09:10 41,011 - 304.02 - 0.74%<br />

FOREX<br />

Rand/Dollar 09:09 10.0352 + 0.21 + 2.14%<br />

Rand/Pound 09:10 15.4598 + 0.44 + 2.93%<br />

Rand/Euro 09:10 13.1652 + 0.31 + 2.41%<br />

COMMODITIES<br />

Gold (usd/oz) 09:08 1,392.80 - 8.20 - 0.59%<br />

Platinum (usd/oz) 09:09 1,501.50 - 1.50 - 0.10%<br />

Brent (usd/barrel) 09:08 103.11 - 0.13 - 0.13%<br />

World Markets<br />

Wall St (DJIA) 5/06 14,961 - 216.95 - 1.43%<br />

Germany (DAX) 09:08 8,204 - 91.96 - 1.11%<br />

Japan (Nikkei) 08:28 12,904 - 110.85 - 0.85%<br />

(Business Report, 06/06/2013)<br />

ALL SHARE INDEX<br />

(Business Report, 06/06/2013)<br />

COPPER A – SETTLEMENT PRICE – 7421, 5<br />

FORWARD RATES - Dollar/rand 4pm close: R9, 8921<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 5 of 9


Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 6 of 9


Petrol/ Diesel Price<br />

02-Jan-<br />

06-Feb-<br />

06-Mar-<br />

03-Apr-<br />

01-May-<br />

05-Jun-<br />

03-Jul-<br />

07-Aug-<br />

04-Sep-<br />

02-Oct-<br />

06-Nov-<br />

04-Dec-<br />

YR2013<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

13<br />

COASTAL<br />

95 LRP (c/l) 1151.00 1192.00 1273.00 1283.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1151.00 1192.00 1273.00 1283.00<br />

Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1086.67 1104.47 1162.85 1170.01<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1091.07 1108.87 1167.25 1175.41<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 807.128 833.128 890.128 860.328<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 2047.00 2120.00 2238.00 2183.00<br />

GAUTENG<br />

93 LRP (c/l) 1165.00 1206.00 1287.00 1297.00<br />

93 ULP (c/l) 1165.00 1206.00 1287.00 1297.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1186.00 1227.00 1308.00 1320.00<br />

Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1111.37 1129.17 1187.55 1196.61<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1115.77 1133.57 1191.95 1202.01<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 849.028 875.028 932.028 906.228<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 2229.00 2302.00 2420.00 2365.00<br />

03-Jan-<br />

01-Feb-<br />

07-Mar-<br />

04-Apr-<br />

02-May-<br />

06-Jun-<br />

04-Jul-<br />

01-Aug-<br />

05-Sep-<br />

03-Oct-<br />

07-Nov-<br />

05-Dec-<br />

YR2012<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

12<br />

COASTAL<br />

95 LRP (c/l) 1031.00 1065.00 1093.00 1159.00 1187.00 1132.00 1047.00 1069.00 1162.00 1185.00 1175.00 1166.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1031.00 1065.00 1093.00 1159.00 1187.00 1132.00 1047.00 1069.00 1162.00 1185.00 1175.00 1166.00<br />

Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1007.29 1006.29 1016.67 1064.27 1073.67 1048.85 986.270 1000.89 1069.89 1109.05 1119.25 1114.25<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1012.69 1010.69 1020.07 1069.67 1078.07 1053.25 991.670 1007.29 1076.29 1116.45 1125.65 1119.65<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 752.528 749.528 753.528 774.128 783.128 762.128 704.128 719.128 792.128 825.128 828.128 824.128<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 1939.00 1989.00 2025.00 2093.00 2124.00 2025.00 1912.00 1964.00 2093.00 2090.00 2091.00 2056.00<br />

GAUTENG<br />

93 LRP (c/l) 1043.00 1077.00 1105.00 1177.00 1205.00 1150.00 1061.00 1083.00 1176.00 1197.00 1187.00 1178.00<br />

93 ULP (c/l) 1043.00 1077.00 1105.00 1177.00 1205.00 1150.00 1061.00 1083.00 1176.00 1197.00 1187.00 1178.00<br />

95 ULP (c/l) 1061.00 1095.00 1123.00 1194.00 1222.00 1167.00 1082.00 1104.00 1197.00 1220.00 1210.00 1201.00<br />

Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 7 of 9


Diesel 0.05% (c/l) 1027.69 1026.69 1037.07 1088.00 1098.37 1073.55 1010.97 1025.59 1094.59 1133.75 1143.95 1138.95<br />

Diesel 0.005% (c/l) 1033.09 1031.09 1040.47 1094.37 1102.77 1077.95 1016.37 1031.99 1100.99 1141.15 1150.00 1144.35<br />

Illuminating Paraffin (c/l) 788.428 785.428 789.428 816.028 825.028 804.028 746.028 761.028 834.028 867.028 870.028 866.028<br />

Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

(c/kg) 2121.00 2171.00 2207.00 2275.00 2306.00 2207.00 2094.00 2146.00 2275.00 2272.00 2273.00 2238.00<br />

(SAPIA online)<br />

Daily prices for 05/06/2013<br />

LME Official Prices, US$ per tonne<br />

Contract Aluminium Alloy Aluminium Copper Lead Nickel Tin Zinc NASAAC<br />

Cash Buyer 1820.00 1938.50 7421.002246.0015250.0021075.001924.501870.00<br />

Cash Seller & Settlement 1830.00 1939.00 7421.502246.5015255.0021100.001925.001871.00<br />

3-months Buyer 1850.00 1966.50 7460.002244.0015335.0021095.001957.501900.00<br />

3-months Seller 1860.00 1967.50 7460.502244.5015340.0021100.001958.001905.00<br />

15-months Buyer 21145.00<br />

15-months Seller 21195.00<br />

Dec 1 Buyer 1940.00 2083.00 7560.002265.0015610.00 2057.002035.00<br />

Dec 1 Seller 1950.00 2088.00 7570.002270.0015710.00 2062.002045.00<br />

Dec 2 Buyer 2165.00 7630.002305.0015850.00 2115.00<br />

Dec 2 Seller 2170.00 7640.002310.0015950.00 2120.00<br />

Dec 3 Buyer 2253.00 7695.002345.0016025.00 2125.00<br />

Dec 3 Seller 2258.00 7705.002350.0016125.00 2130.00<br />

(London Metal Exchange, 06/6/2013)<br />

NOTE: Your attention is drawn to the following:<br />

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This Newsbrief is intended for the use of Transnet employees only. It is not to be disclosed or disseminated to outside<br />

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Transnet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 8 of 9


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