Seasonality of the Pacific decadal oscillation - Climate Prediction ...

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Figure Captions Fig. 1. Spatial patterns of SST associated with the first EOF of monthly mean SST over the North Pacific (20 o N–65 o N, 125 o E–100 o W) based on the (a) OISST data during 1982–2010, (b) ERSST during 1861–2010, and (c) the ensemble average of 16 leading EOFs for individual 30-yr segments from the 480-year CFS coupled run, and (d) seasonal distribution of the percentage variance of PC time series with red for the OISST, green for the ERSST, orange for the PDO index (1900–2010; Mantua et al. 1997), light blue for 16 individual 30-yr segments, and black for the 16-member ensemble. The spatial patterns in (a,b,c) are displayed in correlation maps in which the monthly mean SST anomalies at each grid point are correlated with the corresponding PC time series. Fig. 2. PDO-related monthly ocean temperature anomalies (shading, o C) and correlation (contour) with the PDO PC time series at 37 o N across the North Pacific in the CFS. The anomalies are obtained by regressing ocean temperature anomaly vs. the PC time series of the first EOF of North Pacific SST in individual 30-yr segments. The anomalies are based on the ensemble average of 16 members and are associated with one standard deviation fluctuations in the PC time series for months from January to August. The correlation coefficients are also based on the ensemble average of the 16 members. Contours are ±0.3, ±0.5, and ±0.7 with negative contours dashed. Fig. 3. Same as in Fig. 2, but based on 29-yr (1982–2010) ocean temperature from the GODAS and the first EOF of North Pacific SST from the OISST. Fig. 4. Monthly climatology of the mixed layer depth (MLD; m) in the North Pacific derived from the CFS coupled run ensemble averaged over 16 30-yr segments for months from January to August. Fig. 5. Same as in Fig. 4, but based on 29-yr (1982 – 2010) GODAS data. Fig. 6. Regression patterns of 1000-hPa wind (vectors; m s -1 ) and SST (shadings, o C) anomalies in the CFS associated with one standard deviation departures of the PC 23
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Page 3 and 4: ABSTRACT The seasonality of the Pac
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Page 7 and 8: ealizations provides an estimate of
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Page 17 and 18: heat flux. This indicates that shor
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Page 29 and 30: Fig. 3. Same as in Fig. 2, but base
Page 35 and 36: Fig. 9. Seasonal variations of area

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