Impact of initial conditions and model resolution - NOAA

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There are also good indications that the forecast skill increases with resolution. As an example we show here August 2003 (a wet year) as forecasted by initial conditions in the first half of July (14-member ensemble)
For more details on subseasonal forecasting over the Sahel please visit our poster at the AMMA session on Thursday…
Page 1 and 2: Experiments conducted under NOAA’
Page 3 and 4: Dynamical Forecasting: from Weather
Page 5 and 6: Currently: Weather forecast (GFS) i
Page 7 and 8: Issues : Initialization • Is it b
Page 9 and 10: Retrospective forecast design: May
Page 11 and 12: U200 averaged between 20S-20N: no c
Page 13 and 14: U200 averaged between 20S-20N clima
Page 15 and 16: Impact to more local features • W
Page 17: In fact, the northward shift of the
Page 21 and 22: Mean August Precipitation The mean
Page 23 and 24: OBS T254 T126 Monsoon and SE areas
Page 25 and 26: Forecast of August monthly Precipit
Page 27 and 28: OBS August 2002: weak tropical acti
Page 29 and 30: Some conclusions • The model capt
Page 31: Monthly anomalies over the oceans a

Impact of initial conditions and model resolution - NOAA

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