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Impact of initial conditions and model resolution - NOAA

Impact of initial conditions and model resolution - NOAA

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Dynamical Forecasting: from Weather to Climate<br />

Atmospheric<br />

<strong>initial</strong> <strong>conditions</strong><br />

Forecast lead times<br />

L<strong>and</strong> <strong>initial</strong><br />

<strong>conditions</strong><br />

0-14 days 15-90 days 90 days <strong>and</strong> beyond<br />

Synoptic<br />

Subseasonal<br />

Seasonal-to-Interannual<br />

Oceanic <strong>initial</strong><br />

<strong>conditions</strong><br />

Mainly affected<br />

by Atmospheric<br />

I.C.<br />

Affected by all I.C.<br />

Mainly affected by Oceanic I.C.<br />

but also by l<strong>and</strong> I.C. (e.g., snow<br />

cover)<br />

Weather<br />

MJO affecting<br />

weather statistics<br />

ENSO affecting<br />

weather statistics

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