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measuring the outputs and outcomes of vocational training

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In defining <strong>the</strong> components <strong>of</strong> such a framework, a first step will be to define <strong>the</strong> education<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>training</strong> variables that will form <strong>the</strong> analytical component <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework. The variables<br />

will need to respond to issues that are high on policy agendas (i.e. Council Conclusions<br />

or Commission Communications) <strong>and</strong> where <strong>the</strong> comparative perspective can <strong>of</strong>fer important<br />

added value to what can be achieved through national evaluation exercises. This analysis<br />

should also shed light on national circumstances or constraints that contextualise <strong>the</strong> policy<br />

choices. The association <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> background variables with <strong>the</strong> survey variables have been<br />

successfully used in PISA with <strong>the</strong> help <strong>of</strong> two composites. 5<br />

Beginning <strong>the</strong> process <strong>of</strong> definition at <strong>the</strong> analytical level will also help to identify topics<br />

which are present on <strong>the</strong> political agenda or in key political messages but which have not yet<br />

been (sufficiently) examined or empirically supported; <strong>the</strong> analytical component could be<br />

streng<strong>the</strong>ned with new data or through new combinations <strong>of</strong> existing statistics (i.e. with <strong>the</strong><br />

help <strong>of</strong> indexes). Additional statistical techniques (such as sensitivity analysis) could be <strong>of</strong><br />

help in identifying <strong>the</strong> variables that have been successfully used in <strong>the</strong> analytical work <strong>and</strong><br />

should <strong>the</strong>refore be refined <strong>and</strong> included in <strong>the</strong> new data collection exercises.<br />

Finally, a well-defined analytical dimension would allow for a better choice <strong>of</strong> proxy measures<br />

for <strong>outputs</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>outcomes</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>vocational</strong> <strong>training</strong>. In <strong>the</strong> example <strong>of</strong> educational attainment<br />

level as a proxy for skills, doubts about <strong>the</strong> most appropriate interpretation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> figures<br />

are, to some extent, borne out by <strong>the</strong> PISA results. Four new Member States participated in<br />

IALS between 1994/94 <strong>and</strong> 1998/99 (<strong>the</strong> Czech Republic, Hungary, Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Slovenia) <strong>and</strong><br />

PISA was carried out in four countries (<strong>the</strong> Czech Republic, Hungary, Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Latvia) in<br />

2000. Of <strong>the</strong>se countries, only one participant in both surveys (<strong>the</strong> Czech Republic) had results<br />

close to (<strong>and</strong>, in some skills areas, above) <strong>the</strong> average <strong>of</strong> participating countries. In Hungary,<br />

Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Slovenia very high proportions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> populations aged 16-65 had low functional<br />

literacy skills (at Level 2 or below on a five- point scale) as measured in IALS – especially<br />

for prose <strong>and</strong> document literacy. Similarly, in both Hungary <strong>and</strong> Pol<strong>and</strong> nearly one in<br />

two (<strong>and</strong> in Latvia three in five) <strong>of</strong> all 15-year-olds had low reading literacy skills (at Level 2<br />

or below on a five-point scale) as measured in PISA. Science literacy skills (<strong>and</strong> to a lesser<br />

extent maths literacy) among 15-year-olds <strong>and</strong> quantitative literacy skills among adults aged<br />

16-65 were slightly better (Kennedy <strong>and</strong> Badescu, 2004).<br />

5 The PISA index <strong>of</strong> economic, social <strong>and</strong> cultural status was derived from a set <strong>of</strong> family background<br />

variables such as: <strong>the</strong> highest international socio-economic index <strong>of</strong> occupational status <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

fa<strong>the</strong>r or mo<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> highest level <strong>of</strong> education <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fa<strong>the</strong>r or mo<strong>the</strong>r converted into years <strong>of</strong> schooling,<br />

<strong>the</strong> access to home educational <strong>and</strong> cultural resources (e.g. books, computers, internet connection,<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r learning tools). The PISA index <strong>of</strong> instrumental motivation was derived from <strong>the</strong> frequency<br />

with which students study for <strong>the</strong> following reasons: to increase my job opportunities; to ensure that<br />

my future will financially secure; to get a good job. In a framework on <strong>outcomes</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>vocational</strong> <strong>training</strong><br />

a variable such as <strong>the</strong> social background <strong>of</strong> students should also include, besides <strong>the</strong> socio-economic<br />

index (which could be used as a composite measure <strong>of</strong> parental status). measures <strong>of</strong> antecedents such<br />

as: participation <strong>of</strong> parents in <strong>vocational</strong> <strong>training</strong>, unemployed persons in <strong>the</strong> same family or occupational<br />

career <strong>of</strong> parents.

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