Untitled - kmutt

.0877$QQXDO5HVHDUFK$EVWUDFWV
3UHVHQWHG7KH-RLQW,QWHUQDWLRQDO&RQIHUHQFH
RQ6XVWDLQDEOH(QHUJ\DQG
(QYLURQPHQW6(('HFHPEHU
+XD+LQ7KDLODQGSS
0RVW RI WKH KHDY\ UDLQIDOO LQ 7KDLODQG LV
SURGXFHG E\ FRQYHFWLYH FORXGV ZKLFK PXVW EH
SDUDPHWHUL]HG LQ QXPHULFDO ZHDWKHU SUHGLFWLRQ
1:3 PRGHOV EHFDXVH WKH\ DUH WRR VPDOO WR EH
GLUHFWO\ UHVROYHG 7KLV UHVHDUFK LV DQ DWWHPSW WR
ILQG WKH EHVW PHWKRG RI SUHGLFWLQJ KHDY\ UDLQIDOO
E\ 1:3 PRGHOV LQ 7KDLODQG 7KUHH FRQYHFWLYH
SDUDPHWHUL]DWLRQVFKHPHVQDPHO\%HWWV0LOOHU
*UHOO DQG .DLQ)ULWVFK VFKHPHV ZHUH H[DPLQHG
ZLWK JULG UHVROXWLRQ NP XVLQJ WKH 3HQQ
6WDWH1&$5 QRQK\GURVWDWLF PHVRVFDOH PRGHO
00 6L[ GD\V ZHUH VHOHFWHG DV FDVH VWXGLHV
IRXU RI WKH GD\V ZHUH FDVHV RI KHDY\ UDLQ LQ WKH
VXPPHU UDLQ\ DQG FROG VHDVRQV DQG GXULQJ WKH
WURSLFDO VWRUP /HZLV UHVSHFWLYHO\ DQG WZR GU\
GD\VLQWKHVXPPHUDQGFROGVHDVRQVUHVSHFWLYHO\
ZHUHLQFOXGHGWRPDNHVXUHWKDWWKHPRGHOVGLGQRW
SUHGLFWUDLQZKHQWKHUHZDVQRQH
5HVXOWV VKRZ WKDW DOO WKH VFKHPHV
SUHGLFWHG UDLQ SDWWHUQV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK SDWWHUQV
GHULYHG IURP REVHUYDWLRQVEXWWKHSRVLWLRQ RIWKH
KHDY\ UDLQIDOO DUHDV LQ WKH PRGHOV ZHUH VKLIWHG
IURPWKHREVHUYHGSRVLWLRQV7KH*UHOODQG.DLQ
)ULWVFKVFKHPHV ZHUH HTXDOO\ JRRG H[FHSW LQ WKH
FROG VHDVRQ 7KH %HWWV0LOOHU VFKHPH ZDV WKH
EHVW LQ SUHGLFWLQJ KHDY\ UDLQ LQ WKH FROG VHDVRQ
EXW LW IDLOHG WR SUHGLFW KHDY\ UDLQ LQ WKH RWKHU
VHDVRQV 7KH .DLQ)ULWVFK VFKHPH ZDV JRRG DW
SUHGLFWLQJ PRGHUDWH UDLQ DQG KHDY\ UDLQ LQ DOO
FDVHV
7KH PRGHOLQJ DVVXPSWLRQV DQG
PDWKHPDWLFDOIRUPXODWLRQVRIWKHVHWKUHHVFKHPHV
DUHUHYLHZHGLQRUGHUWRLQYHVWLJDWHWKHUHDVRQVIRU
WKHVH UHVXOWV ,GHDV IRU WKH FUHDWLRQ RI D QHZ
VFKHPHGHVLJQHGIRU7KDLODQGDQGWKHVXUURXQGLQJ
UHJLRQDUHGLVFXVVHG
,&67$7,67,&$/'(6&5,37,212)
/2&$/(0,66,21,17(16,7