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Practice problems for exam 2. - John Fricks

Practice problems for exam 2. - John Fricks

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Stat 416, <strong>Practice</strong> Problems<br />

1. Customers arrive at a shipping office at times of a Poisson process with<br />

rate 3 per hour. The office was supposed to open at 8 AM but the<br />

clerk Oscar overslept and came in at 10 AM.<br />

(a) What is the probability that no customer came in the two hours<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e Oscar arrived?<br />

(b) If one customer did arrive between 8 and 10, what is the expected<br />

value of his wait <strong>for</strong> Oscar?<br />

(c) If no customer arrived be<strong>for</strong>e 10, what is the distribution of the<br />

time that Oscar must wait <strong>for</strong> the arrival of the first customer?<br />

(d) What is the variance of the time until the fifth customer arrives<br />

after 10 AM?<br />

<strong>2.</strong> Traffic on a particular road follows a Poisson process with rate 6 cars<br />

per minute. A deer runs out of the woods, and it takes the deer 5<br />

seconds to cross the road.<br />

(a) What is the probability the deer will get hit?<br />

(b) If the deer can cross in two seconds, what is the probability the<br />

deer will get hit?<br />

(c) If a car passes some time in the 10 seconds after the deer starts<br />

across the road and it takes the deer 5 seconds to get across, what<br />

is the probability that the deer will be hit?<br />

3. Suppose that the number of calls per hour to an answering service<br />

follows a Poisson process with rate 4.<br />

(a) What is the probability that fewer than two calls came in the<br />

first hour?<br />

(b) Suppose that six calls arrive in the first two hours, what is the<br />

probability exactly two arrived in the first hour and four in the<br />

second hour.<br />

1


(c) Suppose that the operator gets to take a break after she has answered<br />

ten calls. How long are her average work periods?<br />

Now, suppose that 3/4 of the calls are made by men and 1/4 by<br />

women.<br />

(d) Given that 3 men call in one hour, what is the probability that 2<br />

women call in that hour?<br />

(e) What is the probability that in one hour exactly 2 men and 3<br />

women will call the answering service?<br />

(f) What is the average time be<strong>for</strong>e 3 women call?<br />

4. Edwin catches fish at time that correspond to a Poisson process with<br />

rate 3 per hour. Suppose 40% of the fish are salmon and 60% are trout.<br />

The trout weigh an average of 4 pounds with a standard deviation of<br />

2 pounds. Find the mean and standard deviation of the total weight<br />

of trout he catches in two hours.<br />

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