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Towards Sustainable Population Management - Waza

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WAZA magazine Vol 12/2011<br />

Jonathan D. Ballou 1 * & Kathy Traylor-Holzer 2<br />

Captive <strong>Population</strong>s<br />

and Genetic Sustainability<br />

Introduction<br />

Conservation biologists have long<br />

been interested in the questions of<br />

population viability and sustainability.<br />

The concept of Minimum Viable<br />

<strong>Population</strong> (MVP) size was first developed<br />

to answer the question of how<br />

large a population needs to be to survive.<br />

Quantitatively, MVP is usually<br />

expressed as: “How large does this<br />

population need to be to have 95%<br />

(or some similar percentage) chance<br />

of surviving for 100 years (or some<br />

moderately extended timeframe)?”<br />

Computer modelling (population viability<br />

analysis [PVA]) is typically used<br />

to answer this question, the reliability<br />

of which critically depends on the<br />

amount of detailed data available for<br />

the population. PVA has now become<br />

a standard tool for use in wildlife<br />

conservation.<br />

1 Smithsonian Conservation<br />

Biology Institute,<br />

Washington, DC, USA<br />

2 IUCN/SSC Conservation<br />

Breeding Specialist Group,<br />

Apple Valley, MN, USA<br />

* E-mail for correspondence:<br />

ballouj@si.edu<br />

Soon after the development of<br />

organised captive breeding programmes<br />

in the early 1980s (e.g.<br />

the European Endangered Species<br />

Programme [EEP] of the European<br />

Association of Zoos and Aquaria<br />

[EAZA] and the Species Survival<br />

Plan [SSP] of the Association of<br />

Zoos and Aquariums [AZA] in North<br />

America), zoo biologists also began<br />

wondering about MVPs for captive<br />

populations. How large should our<br />

captive populations be? We asked<br />

a number of prominent conservation,<br />

wildlife and zoo biologists to address<br />

this question at a workshop hosted<br />

by the Smithsonian National Zoo’s<br />

Conservation and Research Center<br />

in 1986. Their recommendation was:<br />

large enough to maintain 90% of the<br />

source population’s genetic diversity<br />

for 200 years (Soulé et al. 1986). The<br />

authors clearly recognised that these<br />

metrics were somewhat arbitrary,<br />

but nevertheless felt that they were<br />

in the right ballpark. Ninety percent<br />

because this represents “the zone<br />

between a potentially damaging and<br />

a tolerable loss of heterozygosity”.<br />

Potentially damaging because a loss<br />

of 10% of the genetic diversity is<br />

roughly equivalent to an increase in<br />

the average inbreeding coefficient in<br />

the population of 10% and approaches<br />

the level at which individuals are as<br />

related as half siblings, and we know<br />

that inbreeding decreases the health<br />

of populations (Frankham et al. 2010).<br />

200 years because it “is a reasonably<br />

conservative temporal horizon…<br />

A longer time ignores the exponential<br />

rate of progress in biological technology”.<br />

The reference to biotechnology<br />

being the benefits of realised<br />

and expected future advances in the<br />

science of storing and regenerating<br />

embryonic cells, and hence a lesser<br />

need for living captive populations to<br />

act as genetic reservoirs for threatened<br />

species. The authors allowed<br />

for disagreement with these metrics<br />

and proposed them as a first step in<br />

the process of determining MVPs<br />

for captive populations. Additionally,<br />

while the metrics are genetic, it was<br />

assumed that genetic criteria for viability<br />

would be stricter than demographic<br />

criteria, and any population<br />

that satisfies the genetic goals would<br />

very likely satisfy any demographic<br />

goals as well (such as those above for<br />

MVPs).<br />

19<br />

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