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Introduction, Contents, Foreword, From the Editorial Desk ... - MCX

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market CoMMENTARY<br />

ward Contracts (Regulation) Act,<br />

1952, an Act enacted in <strong>the</strong> backdrop<br />

of wartime shortages. Evidently, a<br />

market which has grown by nearly<br />

40% in <strong>the</strong> past four years to become<br />

one of <strong>the</strong> largest in <strong>the</strong> world<br />

(implying its enormous importance<br />

for <strong>the</strong> economy) and its products<br />

are reckoned as an investible asset<br />

class in <strong>the</strong> league of stocks and<br />

fixed income instruments, needs<br />

to function under <strong>the</strong> ambit of a<br />

market-enabling regime than this<br />

Act allows. The intended amendment<br />

to <strong>the</strong> Act is yet to see <strong>the</strong><br />

light of day, despite being at various<br />

stages of review by legislators for<br />

close to four years. As a result, not<br />

only is market development, incommensurate<br />

to <strong>the</strong> level of economic<br />

requirement being impossible to be<br />

taken up under <strong>the</strong> existing law but<br />

also that integration of <strong>the</strong> commodity<br />

futures market with <strong>the</strong><br />

physical ecosystem has been left<br />

incomplete. The reluctance of both<br />

capital and money market regulators<br />

to let <strong>the</strong>ir regulated entities<br />

enter <strong>the</strong> commodity futures market<br />

appears to be for two broad reasons:<br />

<strong>the</strong> lack of clear policy guidelines<br />

and <strong>the</strong> absence of an autonomous<br />

regulator for this market. Similarly,<br />

denying products such as options<br />

and intangibles, which could fulfil<br />

<strong>the</strong> hedging demand of a very large<br />

number of stakeholders – not <strong>the</strong><br />

least of who are from <strong>the</strong> farming<br />

community – is tantamount to<br />

keeping <strong>the</strong>se stakeholders away<br />

from an effective risk-mitigating<br />

device.<br />

That economic stakeholders are<br />

more prone to commodity price<br />

risks under effect of global forces<br />

has been well recognized by now.<br />

This has been <strong>the</strong> biggest contributor<br />

to <strong>the</strong> creation of <strong>the</strong> demand<br />

side of <strong>the</strong> commodities derivatives<br />

market. What has been less appreciated<br />

is <strong>the</strong> tremendous potential<br />

that a fast-growing large economy<br />

like India holds in <strong>the</strong> world of<br />

commodities market to get back<br />

its ancient price-setting power.<br />

Given <strong>the</strong> size of its population and<br />

nature and growth potential of its<br />

economy, India is one of <strong>the</strong> largest<br />

producers and/or consumers of<br />

most commodities. With liberalised<br />

markets – both physical and futures<br />

- and an accommodative policy<br />

regime that promotes new products<br />

and market participation from India<br />

and abroad, <strong>the</strong> commodity derivatives<br />

market in India can set global<br />

benchmarks not only in terms of<br />

prices discovered in its markets<br />

but also in terms of products and<br />

practices. Already, despite being<br />

under a relatively restrictive market,<br />

<strong>the</strong> country’s largest commodity<br />

futures exchange is <strong>the</strong> sixth largest<br />

in <strong>the</strong> world, occupying <strong>the</strong> top<br />

position in silver and second position<br />

in gold and natural gas. With<br />

an accommodative policy, India<br />

can definitely be <strong>the</strong> price-maker<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than a passive price-taker<br />

for most commodities in <strong>the</strong> world<br />

market, especially <strong>the</strong> ones that <strong>the</strong><br />

stakeholders actively trade in. Such<br />

policies would not only include<br />

Courage is not<br />

<strong>the</strong> absence of<br />

fear, but ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

<strong>the</strong> judgment<br />

that something<br />

else is more<br />

important<br />

than fear<br />

Ambrose Redmoon<br />

those that promote futures trading<br />

in commodities but also remove <strong>the</strong><br />

hurdles on <strong>the</strong> way towards formation<br />

of a pan-India physical market<br />

for commodities setting up a solid<br />

platform for national commodity<br />

derivative markets.<br />

Today, as we stand at <strong>the</strong> cusp of<br />

history and a generation witnesses<br />

<strong>the</strong> transition of India from a<br />

poverty-stricken country to one<br />

of prosperity and economic might,<br />

<strong>the</strong> visages of control that inhibit<br />

this transition have to be identified<br />

and removed. Cynics argue against<br />

liberalising commodity markets for<br />

a range of imaginary fears, ranging<br />

from stoking fires of inflation to<br />

securing supplies of key intermediaries.<br />

But as our experience<br />

with liberalisation (toge<strong>the</strong>r with<br />

similar actions of <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r emerging<br />

superpower, China) has clearly<br />

demonstrated, <strong>the</strong>re is much more<br />

to gain through liberalisation of<br />

markets and economy than to give<br />

into what <strong>the</strong> phantoms of imagination<br />

would lead us to believe.<br />

After all, <strong>the</strong> Indian economy has<br />

proven to be robust enough to<br />

withstand and emerge successfully<br />

from transitions and crises; and<br />

markets, under leadership-providing<br />

regulators, mature enough to<br />

unlock values for <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

stakeholders. What is needed now<br />

is only an enabling environment,<br />

created by an imaginative and bold<br />

policy agenda, so that <strong>the</strong>se values<br />

are reaped by all stakeholders to<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir fullest extent. As American<br />

writer Ambrose Redmoon once<br />

famously said, “Courage is not<br />

<strong>the</strong> absence of fear, but ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

judgment that something else is<br />

more important than fear”, only<br />

some boldness in policymaking and<br />

a commitment towards fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

liberalisation of economic forces<br />

can catapult us to <strong>the</strong> next level<br />

of growth<br />

14 | Commodity Insights Yearbook 2010

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