Gangway No.1 Spring 1976 - BlueStarLine.org
Gangway No.1 Spring 1976 - BlueStarLine.org
Gangway No.1 Spring 1976 - BlueStarLine.org
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SUS RED FLAG<br />
difficult period because of a deep trade<br />
recession. Our stake in world cargo liner<br />
trade is bound to be eroded by substantial<br />
concessions to developing countries, and<br />
Bloc fleets already have considerable shares<br />
in many trades. Any further inroads by<br />
such lines will further impair the ability of<br />
established lines in conferences to maintain<br />
the level of their services.<br />
• Rate-slashing, if allowed to continue,<br />
will present an increasingly formidable<br />
challenge : loss of freights, and inability of<br />
conferences [0 maintain rates at adequate<br />
levels because of Eastern Bloc undercutting,<br />
will restrict future investment in<br />
free enterprise shipping, and seafarers' jobs<br />
could be put at risk. Meantime, Russian<br />
and other Eastern Bloc fleets continue to<br />
grow.<br />
• The third danger arises from the<br />
developing nature of the threat. If the<br />
present trend of rate-cutting and fleet<br />
expansion continues unchecked during the<br />
next five years, Eastern Bloc shipping<br />
could attain a dominant position in world<br />
trades. Shippers might then lose the<br />
traditional flexibility, adaptability and<br />
guarantees of regular service, which British<br />
and other lines provide; and there could be<br />
severe and irreparable damage to UK<br />
owned and registered ships which in 1974<br />
contributed a net £789 million to the<br />
balance of payments, plus a gross figure of<br />
£381 million for import savings.<br />
Some examples<br />
Here are a few instances of the degree of<br />
rate-slashing over a number of major<br />
conference trade routes. These are only a<br />
sample.<br />
North Continent/St Lawrence and Great<br />
Lakes and vice-versa-up to 25 per cent.<br />
North Continent/West Coast South<br />
America-up to 30 per cent.<br />
UK/East Africa-up to 30 per cent.<br />
North Continent/Australia-up to 40<br />
per cent undercutting by Polish Ocean<br />
Lines. The Baltic SSCo of Leningrad is a<br />
conference member in this trade, and the<br />
Bloc has the best of both worlds by its<br />
freedom to operate both inside and outside<br />
the conference.<br />
Japan, Hong Kong, Philippines,<br />
Singapore to and from West Coast of the<br />
United States and Canada-up to 40 per<br />
cent .<br />
There have already been serious effects.<br />
For example:<br />
Did you knOW ?<br />
THAT rate-slashing by the Russian Fesco<br />
Line in recent years has disrupted several<br />
trans-Pacific conferences?<br />
THAT trades between Europe and<br />
United States ports are being increasingly<br />
infiltrated by Soviet lines, mostly as nonconference<br />
operators? They already carry<br />
12/ 13 per cent of the large trade both ways<br />
between the Federal Republic of Germany<br />
and the U nited States with relatively<br />
••<br />
inefficient and slow ships.<br />
THAT whilst Eastern Bloc lines have<br />
joined some liner conferences, Russian<br />
shipping in particular operates mainly as<br />
outsiders in world-wide cross-trades and<br />
has 50 :50 bilateral arrangements with a<br />
wide range of countries?<br />
THAT the Russians as outsiders are<br />
making a determined attempt to disrupt<br />
the Europe/East Africa and M ozambique<br />
trades? Their aim is to secure 30 per cent<br />
of the U K outward and homeward traffic<br />
at an early date.<br />
THAT Eastern Bloc shipping companies<br />
on the D anube have driven nearly all<br />
Western shipping lines out by operating<br />
cargo routeing controls, rate-slashing and<br />
a freight rate freeze since 1955?<br />
THAT the Odessa Ocean Line has com e<br />
into operation as an outsider between UK/<br />
North Continental ports and South East<br />
Asia in both directions?<br />
THAT the Europe/Far Eastern Freight<br />
Conference faces two-pronged competition:<br />
from the Odessa Ocean Line and<br />
from the Trans-Siberian Railway?<br />
Together these could undermine the commercial<br />
viability of the whole <strong>org</strong>anised<br />
Western sea-tran sport system between<br />
Western Europe and the Far East.<br />
THAT by 1974 the conference lines in<br />
the Far East/Europe trade both ways had<br />
lost at least 7 per cent of their cargo volume<br />
to the Trans-Siberian Railway?<br />
Over-riding problem<br />
The over-riding problem British and all<br />
Western shipping faces with the Russian<br />
and Eastern Bloc threat is not competition<br />
but the nature an d source of the competition.<br />
No amount of commercial<br />
expertise can alone counter rate cuts on<br />
such a scale.<br />
Unless checked, West European trade<br />
could come to depend increasingly on<br />
Eastern Bloc tran sport within the next<br />
five years.<br />
The threat is not limited to sea transport.<br />
Road haulage companies, railways, coastal<br />
and inland waterway carriers are also<br />
affected to varying degrees, and Bloc<br />
pressures are increasing.<br />
Reduced participation or elimination of<br />
Western transport undertakings in serving<br />
their national and international trades<br />
could have much wider strategic as well as<br />
commercial implications for the West. If<br />
the Eastern Bloc gained a monopoly and<br />
the opportunity to capitalise by raising<br />
rates to whatever levels it chose, there is<br />
little doubt that it would so act.<br />
The way ahead<br />
Satisfactory solutions to the threat could<br />
be achieved by n egotiation. But if commercial<br />
negotiation fails, we believe the<br />
threat could only be averted if-<br />
Western Governments, and other<br />
Governments similarly minded, are prepared<br />
to con sider concerted action against<br />
un commercial Eastern Bloc practices.<br />
and<br />
Shippers sensibly evaluate the immediate<br />
attraction of uSing Soviet cut rates<br />
which will be only short-term and for<br />
which a big longer-term price would have<br />
to be paid.<br />
The time for action is NOW.