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MARCH <strong>2015</strong><br />
Why<br />
is<br />
so<br />
Paramount<br />
Crisis ?<br />
By Aiman El-Ramly,<br />
C.S.O. ZE PowerGroup Inc.<br />
aiman@ze.com<br />
New products and<br />
data sources<br />
Delisting of products<br />
and data sources<br />
Potential impact<br />
on data<br />
Changes to data attributes,<br />
replacement of products<br />
Powered by
Contents<br />
Editorial 5<br />
Nasdaq Adds to the Energy Derivatives Markets and Steps in against CME and ICE 5<br />
Power 7<br />
FERC: Primary Frequency Response Service to Be Traded in the Market 7<br />
EEX Launches Italian/Phelix and Italian/French Financial Power Location-Spread Futures 8<br />
MISO Introduces Extended LMP, DRR, and Other Enhancements 8<br />
Nasdaq to Initiate Power Futures Market 9<br />
EEX Discontinues Power Production Data Provision 10<br />
Summary<br />
Petroleum 11<br />
Platts to Launch Gasoline FOB Mediterranean Crack Swaps 11<br />
Platts to List European/Asian Naphtha Swap Spread Assessments 11<br />
Platts’ Sakhalin Blend Crude Assessments to Replace Vityaz 12<br />
Platts to Publish European Metallocene and LLDPE C6 Assessments 12<br />
Platts Launches Middle East Sulfur Gasoil Assessment 12<br />
Platts Introduces Gulf Coast Supplemental Gasoline Assessments 13<br />
Platts Launches Gulf Coast ULSD and No. 2 Heating Oil Assessments 13<br />
Platts Lists WTI Midland Crude Oil Assessments 14<br />
Argus Adds Asian DeWitt Butadiene Assessments 14<br />
Argus Introduces Two Russian Crude Assessments 15<br />
Argus Adds Fuel Oil Bunker Assessment to Argus Marine Fuels 15<br />
Argus Launches Argus Global Wax 16<br />
Argus Lists WTI Houston Assessments 17<br />
CME to List Singapore Fuel Oil Futures Contracts 17<br />
CME to List Singapore Mogas 92 Unleaded and Brent Crack Spread Futures 19<br />
CME Launches Louisiana Crude Oil Storage Futures 19<br />
CME Lists New York Jet Fuel Futures 21<br />
ICE Introduces European Crude and Refined Oil Options and Futures 22<br />
Nasdaq to Inaugurate Oil Futures Market 25<br />
NCDEX Lists New Currency Exchange Rate for Light Sweet Crude Contract 26<br />
Platts to Discontinue CIF Augusta Kumkol Assessments 26<br />
Platts to Stop Publishing Various North American Crude Yields, Netbacks, and Margins 26<br />
Platts Discontinues Oil and Refined Products Section in Weekly Global Ethanol Report 27<br />
Argus Discontinues Mangyshlak Blend cpt Akzhaiyk Assessment 27<br />
Argus Discontinues WCS-WTI Differential Assessments 27<br />
Argus Amends Ukrainian Gasoil Diesel Assessment Descriptions 28<br />
Argus Changes Descriptions for Bitumen Codes 28<br />
NYMEX Amends Gulf Coast Sour Crude Oil Futures Contract 29<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
2
Natural Gas 30<br />
Argus Launches Hungarian Natural Gas Assessments 30<br />
CME Lists Natural Gas Intercommodity Spreads 31<br />
Nasdaq to Launch Natural Gas Futures Market 32<br />
Platts to Replace Ras Gas with Deodorized Field Condensate Assessments 32<br />
Platts Renames French PEG Sud Gas Assessments 33<br />
Summary<br />
Coal 34<br />
Platts to Launch Metallurgical Coal China Index Series 34<br />
Argus Launches Latin American Coal Assessments 35<br />
Argus Launches Australian Metallurgical Coal Assessments 35<br />
CME Lists Asia Coal Options 36<br />
CME Launches Short-Dated International Coal Calendar Strip Options 37<br />
Softs and Metals 38<br />
SOFTS 38<br />
Platts Launches Weekly Export Premium FOB Antwerp Sugar Assessments 38<br />
Argus Introduces Caribbean Fertilizer Assessment 39<br />
CME Lists European Cocoa Futures 40<br />
ICE Launches European Cocoa Futures and Options 40<br />
CBOT Amends Fertilizer Cleared Swap Contracts 42<br />
Argus Launches Ferrous Scrap and Iron Ore Assessments for Turkey 43<br />
METALS 44<br />
Argus Introduces Minor Metals Report and Data Feed 44<br />
Argus Lists Chinese Gadolinium Oxide Assessment 44<br />
Argus Adds Weekly Chinese Iron Ore Assessments 45<br />
Thomson Reuters Launches Copper Mine Data Service 45<br />
LBMA Launches New Gold Price 46<br />
SGX Launches TSI-based Iron Ore Swap and Futures 47<br />
Platts to Discontinue Chinese Steel Assessments 47<br />
Platts Discontinues East Asian Hot-Dip Galvanized and Merchant Bar CFR Assessments 47<br />
Platts to Discontinue East Asian Wire Rod Prices 48<br />
HKFE Suspends Trading of Gold Futures 48<br />
LME and HKEx Partner with Borsa Istanbul 48<br />
Finance 49<br />
CBOE to Launch MSCI Index Options 49<br />
CBOE Begins Listing Options on FTSE and Russell Indexes 50<br />
Nasdaq Lists Tuttle Tactical Management US Core ETF 50<br />
Thomson Reuters Launches Monthly IPSOS Global Primary Consumer Sentiment Index 50<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
3
Bloomberg Collaborates with the African Development Bank to Launch African Bond Index 51<br />
Eurex to Launch New Options Contracts on Euro Bund Futures 52<br />
ETFs Launched on Xetra Provide Access to US Stocks 52<br />
Source JPX-Nikkei 400 UCITS ETF Launched on Xetra 53<br />
UBS ETF Launched on Xetra Provides Currency-Hedged Access to CMCI Commodity Index 54<br />
UBS ETF Listed on Xetra Provides Currency Hedging to MSCI Canada Index 55<br />
Euronext Launches Private Placement Bonds Initiative 55<br />
CME Group and TAIFEX Sign Letter of Intent for Cross-Border Collaboration 56<br />
TMX Group and Industrial Commercial Bank of China (Canada) Sign MOU 56<br />
Summary<br />
Other 57<br />
EIA Releases New Data Add-In Tool for Excel 57<br />
Bloomberg Professional Service Adds Genscape Proprietary Data for Commodity Markets 57<br />
News from Data Vendors 58<br />
ZEMA Adds Power, Currency, Weather, Metals, and Natural Gas Data Sources in March 58<br />
ZE Introduces DataWatch for iPad 59<br />
PEGAS Successfully Launches NBP Gas Spot and Futures and PSV Gas Future Contracts 60<br />
PEGAS to Offer Straight-Through Processing (STP) Registration Service for all<br />
Gas Derivatives Contracts 61<br />
Argus Launches WTI Houston Assessment 62<br />
OTC Global Holdings and EOXLive to Support Nasdaq’s Energy Derivatives at Launch 64<br />
MDA Introduces New Midday Model Predictor 65<br />
Monthly Market Analysis 66<br />
Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Prompt-Month Contract (NYMEX) 66<br />
Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Forward Curve (NYMEX) 67<br />
Henry Hub Natural Gas Forward Curve 68<br />
Actual Weather (AccuWeather) 69<br />
Electricity: Day-Ahead Prices (ICE) 70<br />
In Depth 71<br />
Why Is Crisis so Paramount? 71<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
4
Nasdaq<br />
Adds to the Energy Derivatives Markets<br />
and Steps in against CME and ICE<br />
Editorial<br />
By Olga Gorstenko,<br />
Editor-In-Chief, DataWatch<br />
olga@ze.com<br />
I admire the valor of Nasdaq – daring to enter the energy derivatives market space that has<br />
been dominated by two giants, CME and ICE. Nasdaq, operating mainly in stock markets,<br />
though with some exposure to European power markets, decided to expand into<br />
North American power, oil, and natural gas futures and options starting summer <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
Even though, unlike CME and ICE, this exchange is not planning to handle any physical but<br />
will instead focus only on cash-settled contracts, the impact from this new entrant might<br />
be noteworthy.<br />
Nasdaq is aiming high and projects to take over 10% of this market in two years. But how will<br />
these ambitions be realized? Trying to find the answer, I took a look at some financial figures<br />
from the commodity exchanges’ most recent annual filings. It was interesting, but not<br />
shocking, to learn that both exchanges did not do perform so well in the energy sector. First of<br />
all, in 2014, ICE reported $3,013 million from transaction and clearing fees, the largest<br />
portion of which came from the interest rate products, which increased almost six-fold<br />
compared to the last year’s results and equities contracts, which grew nine-fold. At the same<br />
time, the combined revenues from natural gas, oil, and power contracts have flattened out. In<br />
2014, the revenue from energy contracts comprised about 25% of the total transaction and<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 5
“Nasdaq is aiming high<br />
and projects to take over<br />
10% of this market in two<br />
years. But how will these<br />
ambitions be realized?”<br />
clearing fees. In 2013, the energy contracts’<br />
share was over 55%.<br />
CME, according to the 2014 annual report,<br />
enjoyed the annual increase in transaction<br />
and clearing fees by 6% to $2,616 million,<br />
which was, however, mainly attributed to<br />
interest rate products. Similar to ICE,<br />
energy contracts have not exactly been<br />
shining stars: their average daily volumes<br />
represented only 12% of the total volume of<br />
trades in 2014, which was a 2% decrease<br />
compared to the previous year’s data.<br />
The not-so-wonderful performance of the<br />
energy contracts in the commodity<br />
exchanges’ portfolios can be explained by<br />
several factors, the most obvious of which is<br />
the market caution regarding the future of oil<br />
markets and a somewhat apathetic outlook<br />
for natural gas.<br />
So what does really attract Nasdaq to<br />
products that are currently not economically<br />
attractive? My bets are on Nasdaq’s intent of<br />
taking over the market share by applying the<br />
low price strategy. In fact, it has been<br />
suggested by some sources that the<br />
exchange is planning to move into the<br />
energy space by lowering the cost of trades<br />
by 50%. At the same time, Nasdaq has been<br />
negotiating bringing on its side such trading<br />
giants as Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan,<br />
Morgan Stanley, and others. The quote by<br />
Hans-Ole Jochumsen, the President of<br />
Nasdaq, in the corporate press release<br />
Editor-In-Chief<br />
Olga Gorstenko<br />
Email: olga@ze.com<br />
ZEMA Inquiries<br />
Bruce Colquhoun. P: 604-790-3299. E: bruce.c@ze.com<br />
Advertising & Vendor Relationships<br />
Bruce Colquhoun. P: 604-790-3299. E: bruce.c@ze.com<br />
Contact DataWatch<br />
E: datawatch@ze.com<br />
Front Desk: 1-866-944-1469<br />
Editorial Department: 778-296-4183<br />
M: ZE PowerGroup Inc. 130-5920 No. 2 Road,<br />
Richmond, BC V7C 4R9<br />
To search our archives: www.datawatch.ze.com<br />
Get real-time data updates @zedatawatch<br />
Subscribe on your iPad today<br />
starts with the statement that Nasdaq’s<br />
“strategy is always to meet demand where<br />
competition is lacking.” It is an absolute<br />
truth: while the market is well developed and<br />
liquid, it is being run by duopoly. And with<br />
Nasdaq specializing in stock trades, which<br />
are usually operating under lower margins<br />
than commodity markets, frugality will not<br />
be a shocker but more of a standard modus<br />
operandi. In the end, entering the markets<br />
when the big guys are already losing and are<br />
unlikely to compete by slashing prices could<br />
have been a well thought-out, tactical move.<br />
As for the rest of us: there is nothing wrong<br />
with lower costs and more alternatives for<br />
those who are shopping around. <<br />
Editorial<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
6
Power<br />
FERC: Primary Frequency Response Service<br />
to Be Traded in the Market<br />
On February 19, <strong>2015</strong>, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) proposed to allow<br />
the sale of primary frequency response service at market-based rates by sellers with<br />
market-based rate authority for energy and capacity. The Notice of Proposed Rulemaking<br />
(NOPR) is intended to promote competition in anticipation of growing demand for the service<br />
as a result of a reliability standard that requires Balancing Authorities to meet a minimum<br />
frequency response obligation.<br />
Primary frequency response involves the autonomous, automatic, and rapid response of a<br />
generator or other resource to change its output to rapidly dampen large changes in<br />
frequency, which must be maintained within predetermined boundaries above and below<br />
60 Hertz to ensure reliable operation of the North American electric system.<br />
Most Balancing Authorities should be able to use their own resources to meet the Frequency<br />
Response and Frequency Bias Setting Reliability Standard (BAL-003-1) approved by FERC in<br />
January 2014. However, the standard does not limit Balancing Authorities in how they meet<br />
the requirements of the standard, and the Commission believes that some may be interested<br />
in voluntary purchases of a primary frequency response product if doing so would be<br />
economically beneficial.<br />
Any entity selling primary frequency response service at either market- or cost-based rates<br />
would be required to report those sales in its Electric Quarterly Report to the Commission.<br />
Comments on the NOPR are due 60 days after publication in the Federal Register.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA, ZE’s data management solution, excels at collecting power market data from ISOs and RTOs and transforming<br />
it into real market intelligence. ZEMA’s Dashboard functionality also helps electricity market participants gain a broad<br />
snapshot of events that may impact pricing. To learn more, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 7
EEX Launches Italian/Phelix and Italian/French Financial Power<br />
Location-Spread Futures<br />
On March 12, <strong>2015</strong>, the European Energy Exchange (EEX) announced that it has extended its<br />
power location spread offering to include Italian power futures. With this product<br />
enhancement, the following two-legged location spreads with guaranteed execution<br />
were introduced:<br />
Power<br />
Leg 1 Leg 2<br />
Italian Power Futures<br />
Phelix Futures<br />
Italian Power Futures<br />
French Financial Power Futures<br />
It is possible to trade the new location spreads via the frontend of the T7 Trad-ing System, EEX<br />
TT Screen and GV Portal as well as other third-party applications.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
MISO Introduces Extended LMP, DRR, and Other Enhancements<br />
As of March 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Mi<strong>dw</strong>est Independent System Operator (MISO) initiated the<br />
following enhancements to the electricity markets:<br />
The establishment of Extended Locational Marginal Pricing (ELMP) allows MISO to better<br />
ensure that the true cost of energy is represented in the market. By incorporating commitment<br />
costs for fast-start resources and emergency demand response, ELMP is able to reflect a more<br />
stable, dependable cost of energy and minimize uplift charges.<br />
Market-to-market coordination involves applying a more targeted, precise approach to<br />
managing congestion along the MISO-SPP border. It allows the two organizations to apply an<br />
economic dispatch in a way that cuts across borders and allows more cost effective<br />
congestion management, no matter which system provides it.<br />
Enhancements to utilizing demand response resources (DRR) include allowing DRR to<br />
provide multi-part offer curves and provide maximum daily regulating reserve and maximum<br />
daily contingency reserve limits. Additionally, the host load zone association is removed for<br />
certain DRR.<br />
An external asynchronous resource (EAR) is a market resource connected to the main MISO<br />
market by a DC tie. A bidirectional EAR allows participants to submit price sensitive bids and<br />
offers and enable dispatch of flexible hydro facilities to help address dynamic changes in<br />
supply and demand in the MISO markets.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
To keep abreast of ISO market trends, leverage ZEMA’s advanced data collection and validation capabilities. ZEMA has<br />
been collecting ISO.TRO data since the advent of power markets deregulation. ZEMA collects all reports for all the<br />
organized markets. To book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
8
The ZEMA graph below shows power futures contracts in the PJM AEP Zone and SPP North<br />
Hub, comparing peak and off-peak power prices between May <strong>2015</strong> and October 2016 (ICE),<br />
by results of trades of PJM and SPP futures on February 16, <strong>2015</strong>. Both PJM AEP Zone and<br />
SPP North Hub’s futures power price trends peak in July and January; the peak hour’s power<br />
price averages about one-third higher than the off-peak power price in both zones. PJM AEP<br />
Zone’s power price, which peaks at $53 USD/MWh, is higher than SPP North Hub with the<br />
highest price peaking at $39 USD/MWh. To learn more about how ZEMA can help with your<br />
data and analysis needs, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration.<br />
Power<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Nasdaq to Initiate Power Futures Market<br />
On March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, Nasdaq announced the establishment of a new energy futures market<br />
with contracts in power, oil, and natural gas to be traded on the Nasdaq Futures Inc. (NFX)<br />
platform. As part of this initiative, Nasdaq is introducing the following US power futures<br />
contracts mid-year:<br />
• NFX CAISO NP-15 Hub Day-Ahead Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX CAISO NP-15 Hub Day-Ahead Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX CAISO SP-15 Hub Day-Ahead Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX CAISO SP-15 Hub Day-Ahead Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX ISO-NE Massachusetts Hub Day-Ahead Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX ISO-NE Massachusetts Hub Day-Ahead Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX MISO Indiana Hub Real-Time Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX MISO Indiana Hub Real-Time Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM AEP Dayton Hub Real-Time Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
9
• NFX PJM AEP Dayton Hub Real-Time Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM Northern Illinois Hub Real-Time Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM Northern Illinois Hub Real-Time Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM Western Hub Day-Ahead Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM Western Hub Day-Ahead Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM Western Hub Real-Time Off-Peak Financial Futures<br />
• NFX PJM Western Hub Real-Time Peak Financial Futures<br />
Power<br />
Nasdaq will offer cash-settled energy derivatives with a transparent fee structure, and the<br />
products will be cleared through The Options Clearing Corporation (OCC).<br />
NFX, the exchange group’s US-based designated contract market (DCM), will leverage the<br />
exchange group’s transformative Genium INET technology, and the platform will be domiciled<br />
in Chicago. The platform provides open and neutral access, and firms will be able to access<br />
the market through proprietary order management systems, broker platforms, and leading<br />
independent software vendors.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
EEX Discontinues Power Production Data Provision<br />
As of March 31, <strong>2015</strong>, EEX, in coordination with the reporting companies,<br />
discontinued the provision for the following data:<br />
• Power production: Available energy<br />
Furthermore, the installed capacity of power production units with a capacity of less than<br />
100 MW, which was provided by the transmission system operators, has also been<br />
discontinued. The historical data remains available on the FTP server infoprodutcs.eex.com<br />
but will not be updated any longer.<br />
The following files are affected:<br />
• YYYY-ExAnteInformationPlannedEnergy- DE_AT-YYYYMMDDhhmmss.csv<br />
• YYYY-ExAnteInformationSumInstalledCapacityProductionLT100-DE_AT-YYYYMMD-<br />
Dhhmmss.csv<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
10
Petroleum<br />
Platts to Launch Gasoline FOB Mediterranean Crack Swaps<br />
Effective June 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts intends to launch assessments for Mediterranean<br />
premium unleaded gasoline FOB cargo Brent crack swaps at 16:30 London time. Platts<br />
proposes to add these assessments to enhance its coverage of the gasoline paper market.<br />
The new assessments would reflect the balance month, front month, and second month<br />
swaps values in US dollars per barrel with a conversion rate of 8.33.<br />
Platts expects to publish these new assessments on PFC Europe, with a page and market<br />
database symbols to be announced in due course.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 300 reports on petroleum from Platts alone. To learn more about ZEMA’s extensive data<br />
coverage, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data/.<br />
Platts to List European/Asian Naphtha Swap<br />
Spread Assessments<br />
As of June 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts intends to publish assessments of the east/west Naphtha<br />
swap spreads. The east/west naphtha swap spread would represent the difference between<br />
the comparable month’s Mean of Platts Japan naphtha and the naphtha Northwest Europe<br />
CIF cargo swaps.<br />
Platts would add these assessments to its existing naphtha derivative suite to enhance its<br />
coverage of the naphtha market and better represent the key arbitrage route between Europe<br />
and Asia.<br />
The new price assessments would cover three calendar months forward from the date of<br />
publication. Platts would publish bids, offers, and interest to trade the East/West Naphtha<br />
Spread in the Platts Market on Close assessment process. Platts would publish these<br />
assessments in US dollars per metric tons.<br />
Platts expects to publish these new assessments in PFC Europe, with a page and market<br />
database symbols to be announced in due course.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 11
Platts’ Sakhalin Blend Crude Assessments to Replace Vityaz<br />
Effective May 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts intends to start publishing an assessment reflecting<br />
the price of Russia’s “Sakhalin Blend” crude.<br />
This assessment would be identical to, and published alongside the existing “Vityaz” crude<br />
assessment. Platts proposes to discontinue the existing Vityaz assessment beginning January<br />
2, 2016. The new Sakhalin Blend assessment and associated code would carry the historical<br />
data for the Vityaz assessment.<br />
The change in name would not alter any other aspects of Platts’ assessment of the<br />
Russian crude.<br />
The change would ensure Platts’ assessments and terminology conforms with the latest<br />
market conventions. Platts understands that Sakhalin Energy, the operator of the Sakhalin-2<br />
offshore project in Russia’s Far East, has replaced its Vityaz crude grade with the Sakhalin<br />
Blend starting from December 2014. The official trade name of the crude associated with<br />
production from Sakhalin-2 offshore project and other entities is Sakhalin Blend.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Petroleum<br />
ZEMA collects dozens of reports on crude oil from the Eurasian region. ZEMA can then use this data to create<br />
sophisticated analyses and forward curves. To learn what ZEMA can do for you, book a free demo at<br />
http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
Platts to Publish European Metallocene and<br />
LLDPE C6 Assessments<br />
Effective April 8, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts intends to launch FD NWE basis metallocene and standard<br />
linear low density polyethylene C6 spot price assessments on a weekly basis in order to<br />
capture spot market liquidity.<br />
The spot price assessment would reflect a spot cargo size of 100-300 mt lots. The<br />
specifications reflected would meet standard LLDPE C6 quality defined by: 1-Hexene<br />
comonomer with density between 917-922 kg/m 3 for both cast and blown film and a melt<br />
flow index between 0.9-3.5. This same specification is currently reflected in the contract price<br />
already assessed by Platts and which Platts will continue to publish.<br />
The contract price assessment of C6 can be found in Platts Petrochemical Alert on page<br />
PCA 268 and in Europe and Americas Petrochemicalscan. Specifications for metallocene C6<br />
are: 1-Hexene comonomer based on metallocene catalyst with a density of 912-940 kg/m 3<br />
for both cast and blown film, and a melt flow index between 0.5-4.5.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts Launches Middle East Sulfur Gasoil Assessment<br />
On April 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts launched a Middle East assessment for 10 ppm sulfur gasoil.<br />
This follows the growth in production and trade of the 10 ppm sulfur grade in the region.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
12
In line with Platts’ existing FOB AG gasoil assessments, this new assessment is based on<br />
adding an assessed sulfur differential to Platts’ outright FOB AG Gasoil assessment, which is a<br />
freight netback from Platts’ outright FOB Singapore Gasoil assessment, both of which<br />
represent 500 ppm sulfur gasoil.<br />
Platts will publish a cash differential for the 10 ppm sulfur gasoil grade representing the price<br />
buyers are willing to pay over and above the benchmark FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil assessment<br />
around loading dates.<br />
The new assessments are published in Platts Asia-Pacific/Arab Gulf Marketscan, on Platts<br />
Global Alert pages 2004, 2005, 2404, 2420 and in the Platts price database. Platts will also<br />
publish monthly price averages on Platts Global Alert pages 2405 and 2421.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Petroleum<br />
ZEMA collects several daily sulfur-based reports from Platts alone. To learn more, visit http://www.ze.com/<br />
the-zema-solutions/data/.<br />
Platts Introduces Gulf Coast Supplemental Gasoline Assessments<br />
As of April 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts began simultaneous assessments of Gulf<br />
Coast 87-unleaded conventional gasoline (M), 93-octane conventional gasoline (V), and<br />
CBOB (A) at 7.8 and 9 RVP.<br />
This date reflects the beginning of trade on the 20th cycle for shipping products from<br />
Pasadena, Texas, along the Colonial Pipeline.<br />
Until late summer, M-grade, V-grade, and A-grade will be assessed at 7.8 RVP as part of the<br />
main Gulf Coast assessments.<br />
The date for the end of Gulf Coast supplemental assessments has not been determined.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts Launches Gulf Coast ULSD and No. 2 Heating<br />
Oil Assessments<br />
On March 31, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts began assessing the US Gulf Coast ULSD and no. 2 heating oil<br />
(77-grade) for Colonial Pipeline C18 using the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) May<br />
ULSD futures contract as the basis.<br />
This basis is reflected in C18 eWindow instruments as well. Colonial Pipeline’s C18 for<br />
77-grade will also be assessed against the NYMEX May ULSD futures.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
To learn more about the price of petroleum products in the United States, you can use ZEMA to view records from and the<br />
US Energy Information Administration (EIA). To book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/<br />
book-a-demo/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
13
Platts Lists WTI Midland Crude Oil Assessments<br />
On February 26, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts launched a new assessment for West Texas<br />
Intermediate (WTI) Midland Crude Oil out of the Magellan East Houston Terminal.<br />
This new assessment, called WTI MEH, is part of a suite of evolving assessments designed to<br />
reflect crude oil spot market developments in the Houston, Texas, area.<br />
This new assessment reflects 1,000 b/d of ratable crude, for a minimum of 25,000 barrels<br />
in total, delivered over the course of the prompt pipeline month on a Free In Pipe (FIP) basis.<br />
Platts reflects Midland WTI quality as delivered to the Magellan East Houston Terminal.<br />
This new assessment will be published alongside the existing assessment for Light Houston<br />
Sweet crude, which reflects the value of crude delivered out of three Houston terminals:<br />
Magellan East Houston Terminal, Enterprise Houston Crude Oil (EHCO) Terminal, and the Oil<br />
Tanking Houston Terminal.<br />
The new assessment will be published as a flat price and as a spread.<br />
The spread will reflect the difference in value for physical WTI MEH versus physical WTI in<br />
Cushing, Oklahoma, both for delivery in the prompt pipeline month.<br />
WTI MEH will be published in Crude Oil Marketwire, Oilgram Price Report, North American<br />
Crude and Products Scan, as well as on Platts Global Alert pages 210, 211, 214, and 215.<br />
The assessments will be published in Platts’ price database using the following codes:<br />
Petroleum<br />
Assessment Daily Monthly Average<br />
WTI MEH AAYRG00 AAYRG03<br />
WTI MEH vs. WTI Cushing AAYRH00 AAYRH03<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Argus Adds Asian DeWitt Butadiene Assessments<br />
Effective March 20, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus added the following series to the<br />
Argus DeWitt Butadiene publication and dbutadiene data file in the DATA/DButadiene folder<br />
of ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
PA0016079 0 8 1<br />
Butadiene cfr<br />
China monthly<br />
average month<br />
USD/t<br />
>Petrochemicals><br />
Butadiene><br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0016080 0 8 1<br />
Butadiene FOB<br />
South Korea<br />
monthly average<br />
month<br />
USD/t<br />
>Petrochemicals><br />
Butadiene><br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
Monthly<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
14
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0016081 0 8 1<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
Butadiene cfr<br />
southeast Asia<br />
monthly average<br />
month<br />
USD/t<br />
>Petrochemicals><br />
Butadiene><br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
Monthly<br />
Petroleum<br />
ZEMA collects more than 50 Argus reports on petroleum products. To learn how ZEMA’s massive data library can<br />
enhance your company’s business processes, book a free ZEMA demo at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
Argus Introduces Two Russian Crude Assessments<br />
As of March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus initiated the following Mangyshlak Blend cpt<br />
Akzhaiyk assessments:<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0016055 0 1, 2 0<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Mangyshlak<br />
Blend cpt<br />
Akzhaiyk<br />
(up to 15kt<br />
cargos)<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
- USD/t<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
>Crude><br />
Russia-<br />
Caspian>other<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0016056 0 1, 2 0<br />
Mangyshlak<br />
Blend cpt<br />
Akzhaiyk<br />
(more than<br />
15kt cargos)<br />
- USD/t<br />
>Crude><br />
Russia-<br />
Caspian>other<br />
Monthly<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Argus Adds Fuel Oil Bunker Assessment to Argus Marine Fuels<br />
As of March 2, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus added the following fuel oil bunker code to<br />
Argus Marine Fuels:<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0016057 2 1, 2 0<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Fuel oil<br />
bunker<br />
500 cst<br />
Seattle<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
- USD/t<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
>Products<br />
>Fuel oil>US<br />
west coast<br />
Daily<br />
ZEMA’s massive data library includes numerous daily US petroleum reports from Argus. To learn more about ZEMA’s data<br />
collection capabilities, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
15
Petroleum<br />
Argus Launches Argus Global Wax<br />
Effective February 27, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus introduced Argus Global Wax publication. For<br />
FTP subscribers, the following PA codes appear in the <strong>dw</strong>ax module in the DWax folder<br />
on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
PA0015808 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax paraffin fully-refined<br />
bulk liquid Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015809 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax paraffin fully-refined<br />
bulk liquid 133-144F FOB<br />
US Gulf USC/lb month<br />
USC/lb >Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015810 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax paraffin fully-refined<br />
bulk liquid >144F FOB US<br />
Gulf USC/lb month<br />
USC/lb >Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015811 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax slack bulk liquid 15-<br />
25 pc FOB US Gulf USC/lb<br />
month<br />
USC/lb >Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015812 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax paraffin fully-refined<br />
bulk liquid Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015813 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax paraffin fully-refined<br />
bulk liquid 133-144F FOB<br />
US Gulf Euro/t month<br />
Euro/t<br />
>Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015814 0 1, 2 0<br />
Wax paraffin fully-refined<br />
bulk liquid >144F FOB US<br />
Gulf Euro/t month<br />
Euro/t<br />
>Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
PA0015815 0 1, 2 0<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Wax slack bulk liquid<br />
15-25 pc FOB US Gulf<br />
Euro/t month<br />
Euro/t<br />
>Wax><br />
America<br />
Monthly<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
16
Argus Lists WTI Houston Assessments<br />
On February 26, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus began publishing the following new WTI Houston time<br />
series in the Argus Crude publication and data module. These changes apply to data in the<br />
DHC module in the DCRDEUS folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
PA0016058 2<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
1,2,<br />
6,7<br />
PA0016059 2 4, 49 1<br />
PA0016060 2 49 1<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
1<br />
Description<br />
WTI Houston<br />
month<br />
WTI Houston<br />
weighted<br />
average month<br />
WTI Houston<br />
MTD weighted<br />
average month<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
WTI<br />
WTI<br />
WTI<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
USD/bl<br />
USD/bl<br />
USD/bl<br />
>Crude><br />
North<br />
America><br />
US Gulf coast<br />
>Crude><br />
North<br />
America><br />
US Gulf coast<br />
>Crude><br />
North<br />
America><br />
US Gulf coast<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Petroleum<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA gathers daily settle WTI futures, which can be used to generate valuable analyses and forward curves to<br />
be pushed to downstream systems. To learn more about the complete ZEMA solution, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.<br />
CME to List Singapore Fuel Oil Futures Contracts<br />
Effective April 12, <strong>2015</strong>, the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) will list<br />
the following two petroleum contracts for trading on CME Globex, the NYMEX trading floor, and<br />
for submission for clearing through CME ClearPort.<br />
The contract specifications are provided below:<br />
Contract Name<br />
Commodity Code<br />
Singapore Fuel Oil 180cst (Platts) Brent Crack<br />
Spread (1000mt) Futures<br />
SF1<br />
Chapter 749<br />
Settlement Type<br />
Contract Size<br />
Termination of Trading<br />
Financial<br />
The contract quantity shall be 6350 U.S barrels (1000 metric tons).<br />
Each contract shall be valued as the contract quantity (6350)<br />
multiplied by the settlement price.<br />
Trading shall cease on the last business day of the contract month.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
17
Minimum Price Fluctuation $0.001 per barrel<br />
Final Settlement Price Tick $0.001 per barrel<br />
First Listed and Delivery Month May <strong>2015</strong><br />
Petroleum<br />
Block Trade Minimum<br />
Listing Convention<br />
Contract Name<br />
Commodity Code<br />
5 contracts<br />
CME Globex, CME ClearPort, and NYMEX Trading Floor: forty<br />
eight consecutive months.<br />
Singapore Fuel Oil 380cst (Platts) Brent<br />
Crack Spread (1000mt) Futures<br />
SF3<br />
Chapter 1110<br />
Settlement Type<br />
Contract Size<br />
Termination of Trading<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation<br />
Final Settlement Price Tick<br />
Financial<br />
The contract quantity shall be 6350 U.S barrels (1000 metric tons).<br />
Each contract shall be valued as the contract quantity (6350)<br />
multiplied by the settlement price.<br />
Trading shall cease on the last business day of the contract month.<br />
$0.001 per barrel<br />
$0.001 per barrel<br />
First Listed and Delivery Month May <strong>2015</strong><br />
Block Trade Minimum<br />
Listing Convention<br />
5 contracts<br />
CME Globex, CME ClearPort, and NYMEX Trading Floor:<br />
forty eight consecutive months.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
18
CME to List Singapore Mogas 92 Unleaded and<br />
Brent Crack Spread Futures<br />
Effective April 12, <strong>2015</strong>, NYMEX will expand the listing of contract months for the product<br />
listed below on CME Globex, Open Outcry, and available for submission for clearing on<br />
CME ClearPort.<br />
Petroleum<br />
Code Clearing / Globex<br />
Title<br />
Current Listing<br />
Schedule<br />
New Listing Schedule (as of 12th of April)<br />
CME ClearPort: 1NB<br />
CME Globex: D1N<br />
Singapore<br />
Mogas 92<br />
Unleaded (Platts)<br />
Brent Crack<br />
Spread Futures<br />
12 consecutive<br />
months<br />
Monthly contracts listed for the current<br />
year plus the next calendar year<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 100 regular reports from CME and over a dozen reports related to Brent crude. To learn more<br />
about ZEMA’s extensive data coverage, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data/.<br />
CME Launches Louisiana Crude Oil Storage Futures<br />
Effective March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, the following Crude Oil futures began trading on<br />
CME Globex and for clearing submission on CME ClearPort.<br />
This new contract will provide market participants with an innovative, exchange-traded futures<br />
contract based on crude oil storage capacity at LOOP’s Clovelly Hub in Louisiana, beginning<br />
with the May <strong>2015</strong> contract month. Each futures contract will represent the right to store<br />
1,000 barrels of crude oil at the hub for a specific calendar month.<br />
Contract Name<br />
Commodity Code<br />
LOOP Crude Oil Storage Futures<br />
LPS<br />
Chapter 210<br />
Settlement Type<br />
Contract Size<br />
Termination of Trading<br />
Physical<br />
1,000 barrels<br />
Trading shall cease on the third business day prior to the twenty-fifth<br />
calendar day of the month preceding the delivery month. If the<br />
twenty-fifth calendar day of the month is a non-business day, trading<br />
shall cease on the third business day prior to the last business day<br />
preceding the twenty-fifth calendar day.<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation $0.001<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
19
Final Settlement Price Tick $0.001<br />
First Listed and Delivery<br />
Month<br />
Listing Convention<br />
May <strong>2015</strong><br />
Twelve (12) consecutive months<br />
Petroleum<br />
CME Match Algorithm<br />
First In First Out (F)<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
The graph below shows the futures contract based on crude oil storage capacity at LOOP’s<br />
Clovelly Hub in Louisiana, beginning with the April <strong>2015</strong> contract month (CME data). The<br />
futures contract represents the right to store 1,000 barrels of crude oil at the hub for a specific<br />
calendar month. The graph shows that future settlement increases monotonically with time,<br />
from 50 $/bbl in April <strong>2015</strong> to 62 $/bbl as of March 2018, which is about a 24% increase in<br />
2.5 years. The yearly averages for <strong>2015</strong>, 2016, and 2017 are about 52 $/bbl, 56 $/bbl, and<br />
60 $/bbl, respectively. Analysis like this is easy to customize in ZEMA due to the solution’s<br />
enhanced visualization functionalities. To learn more about ZEMA suite, please book a<br />
complimentary demonstration.<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
20
Petroleum<br />
CME Lists New York Jet Fuel Futures<br />
Effective March 23, <strong>2015</strong>, the following NY Jet Fuel futures began trading on<br />
CME Globex, open outcry, and clearing submission via CME ClearPort:<br />
Codes<br />
JET<br />
BUC<br />
Contract Name<br />
NY Buckeye Jet Fuel<br />
(Platts) vs. NY Harbor<br />
ULSD Futures<br />
NY Buckeye Jet Fuel<br />
(Platts) Futures<br />
Rule<br />
Chapter<br />
997<br />
996<br />
Listing<br />
Schedule<br />
Current year<br />
plus three<br />
consecutive<br />
years<br />
Current year<br />
plus three<br />
consecutive<br />
years<br />
Block<br />
Trade<br />
Minimum<br />
Threshold<br />
10<br />
10<br />
First<br />
Listed<br />
Contract<br />
April<br />
<strong>2015</strong><br />
April<br />
<strong>2015</strong><br />
CME Match<br />
Algorithm<br />
First In First Out<br />
First In First Out<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Using ZEMA’s advanced data collection and analytic capabilities, market participants can easily keep track of the new<br />
data that will be generated by CME. To learn more, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.<br />
The ZEMA graph below shows New York jet fuel vs. New York Harbor ULSD (ultra low sulfur<br />
diesel) futures prices for the last 365 days. New York Harbor ULSD price data is taken from<br />
NYMEX, and New York jet fuel prices are determined by adding the NY jet fuel vs. NY Harbor<br />
ULSD futures (published by CME) and the New York Harbor ULSD prices. The difference in<br />
price between the two commodities is represented by the yellow area, which can be easily<br />
applied as one of Market Analyzer’s many visualization options, and graphs can be viewed<br />
instantly as the analytics are built. To learn more, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration.<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
21
ICE Introduces European Crude and Refined Oil Options<br />
and Futures<br />
As of March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) introduced a European heating oil vs.<br />
low sulfur gasoil option and a fuel oil 1% FOB average price option:<br />
Heating Oil Diff – EU-Style Heating Oil vs. Low Sulfur Gasoil Option<br />
Petroleum<br />
Description<br />
Contract Symbol<br />
Hedge Instrument<br />
Contract Size<br />
The Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Average Price Option is based on<br />
the underlying Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Future (CAR) and will<br />
automatically exercise into the settlement price of the Future on the day of<br />
expiry of the options contract.<br />
CAR<br />
The delta hedge for the Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Average Price<br />
Option is the Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Mini Future (CAT).<br />
1,000 metric tons<br />
Unit of Trading<br />
Any multiple of 1,000 metric tons<br />
Currency<br />
US Dollars and cents<br />
Trading Price Quotation<br />
One cent ($0.01) per metric ton<br />
Settlement Price Quotation<br />
One tenth of one cent ($0.001) per metric ton<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation<br />
One tenth of one cent ($0.001) per metric ton<br />
Last Trading Day<br />
Last Trading Day of the contract month<br />
Contract Series<br />
Up to 60 consecutive months<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
22
Fuel Oil Outright – Fuel Oil 1% FOB NEW Cargos (Platts) Average Price Option<br />
Description<br />
Contract Symbol<br />
The Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Average Price Option is based<br />
on the underlying Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Future (CAR) and<br />
will automatically exercise into the settlement price of the Future on the<br />
day of expiry of the options contract.<br />
CAR<br />
Petroleum<br />
Hedge Instrument<br />
Contract Size<br />
Unit of Trading<br />
Currency<br />
Trading Price Quotation<br />
Settlement Price Quotation<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation<br />
Last Trading Day<br />
Contract Series<br />
The delta hedge for the Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Average<br />
Price Option is the Fuel Oil 1% FOB NWE Cargos (Platts) Mini Future<br />
(CAT).<br />
1,000 metric ton<br />
Any multiple of 1,000 metric ton<br />
US Dollars and cents<br />
One cent ($0.01) per metric ton<br />
One tenth of one cent ($0.001) per metric ton<br />
One tenth of one cent ($0.001) per metric ton<br />
Last Trading Day of the contract month<br />
Up to 60 consecutive months<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Also on March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, ICE listed the following crude and refined oil futures contracts:<br />
Gasoline Diff – RBOB Gasoline 1 st Line vs. Argus Eurobob Oxy FOB Rotterdam<br />
Barge Future<br />
Description<br />
Contract Symbol<br />
Contract Size<br />
Unit of Trading<br />
Currency<br />
Trading Price Quotation<br />
A monthly cash settled future based on the difference between the<br />
ICE daily settlement price for RBOB Gasoline 1st Line Future and the<br />
Argus daily assessment price for Eurobob Oxy FOB Rotterdam Barges.<br />
GDO<br />
1,000 metric ton (349,860 gallons)<br />
Any multiple of 1,000 metric ton<br />
US Dollars and cents<br />
One hundredth of one cent (¢0.01) per gallon<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
23
Settlement Price Quotation<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation<br />
Last Trading Day<br />
Contract Series<br />
One thousandth of one cent (¢0.001) per gallon<br />
One thousandth of one cent (¢0.001) per gallon<br />
Last Trading Day of the contract month<br />
Up to 48 consecutive months<br />
Petroleum<br />
Gasoline Diff – RBOB Gasoline 1 st Line vs. Argus Eurobob Oxy FOB Rotterdam<br />
Barges Mini Future<br />
Description<br />
Contract Symbol<br />
Contract Size<br />
Unit of Trading<br />
Currency<br />
Trading Price Quotation<br />
Settlement Price Quotation<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation<br />
Last Trading Day<br />
Contract Series<br />
A monthly cash settled mini future based on the difference<br />
between the ICE daily settlement price for RBOB Gasoline<br />
1st Line Future and the Argus daily assessment price for<br />
Eurobob Oxy FOB Rotterdam Barges.<br />
GDQ<br />
100 metric ton (34,986 gallons)<br />
Any multiple of 100 metric ton<br />
US Dollars and cents<br />
One hundredth of one cent (¢0.01) per gallon<br />
One thousandth of one cent (¢0.001) per gallon<br />
One thousandth of one cent (¢0.001) per gallon<br />
Last Trading Day of the contract month<br />
Up to 48 consecutive months<br />
Gasoline Diff – RBOB Gasoline 1st Line vs. Argus Eurobob Oxy FOB Rotterdam Barges<br />
Balmo Mini Future<br />
Description<br />
A balance of the month cash settled mini future based on the<br />
difference between the ICE daily settlement price for RBOB Gasoline<br />
1st Line Future and the Argus daily assessment price for Eurobob<br />
Oxy FOB Rotterdam Barges.<br />
Contract Symbol 140-14U<br />
Contract Size<br />
Unit of Trading<br />
Currency<br />
100 metric ton (34,986 gallons)<br />
Any multiple of 100 metric ton<br />
US Dollars and cents<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
24
Trading Price Quotation<br />
Settlement Price Quotation<br />
Minimum Price Fluctuation<br />
Last Trading Day<br />
Contract Series<br />
One hundredth of one cent (¢0.01) per gallon<br />
One thousandth of one cent (¢0.001) per gallon<br />
One thousandth of one cent (¢0.001) per gallon<br />
Last Trading Day of the contract month<br />
Up to 2 consecutive months<br />
Petroleum<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Nasdaq to Inaugurate Oil Futures Market<br />
On March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, Nasdaq announced the establishment of a new energy<br />
futures market with contracts in power, oil, and natural gas to be traded on the Nasdaq<br />
Futures Inc. (NFX) platform. As part of this initiative, Nasdaq is introducing the following US oil<br />
futures contracts mid-year:<br />
• NFX Brent Crude Financial Futures<br />
• NFX Heating Oil Financial Futures<br />
• NFX Low Sulphur Gasoil Financial Futures<br />
• NFX Option on NFX Brent Crude Financial Futures<br />
• NFX Option on NFX WTI Crude Financial Futures<br />
• NFX RBOB Gasoline Financial Futures<br />
• NFX WTI Crude Financial Futures<br />
Nasdaq will offer cash-settled energy derivatives with a transparent fee structure, and the<br />
products will be cleared through The Options Clearing Corporation (OCC).<br />
NFX, the exchange group’s US-based designated contract market (DCM), will leverage the<br />
exchange group’s transformative Genium INET technology, and the platform will be domiciled<br />
in Chicago. The platform provides open and neutral access, and firms will be able to access<br />
the market through proprietary order management systems, broker platforms, and leading<br />
independent software vendors.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
25
NCDEX Lists New Currency Exchange Rate for<br />
Light Sweet Crude Contract<br />
As of March 20, <strong>2015</strong>, National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) issued<br />
a new currency exchange rate (which will be fixed for the entire tenure of the contract) for the<br />
Light Sweet Crude Oil contract, expiring in June <strong>2015</strong>:<br />
Symbol<br />
Currency Exchange rate (INR/USD)<br />
CRUDEOIL 63.855<br />
Petroleum<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects well over 1,000 regular reports on petroleum products and other liquids, including hundreds of records on<br />
crude oil specifically. To find out how you can leverage ZEMA’s massive petroleum database for your company, book a<br />
free demo at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
Platts to Discontinue CIF Augusta Kumkol Assessments<br />
Effective October 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts proposes to discontinue its CIF Augusta Kumkol<br />
outright and differential assessments. Platts is making this proposal for the discontinuation of<br />
these assessments due to the conclusion of Kumkol exports out of the Black Sea.<br />
Platts currently assesses CIF Augusta Kumkol on a daily basis, reflecting cargos of between<br />
30,000-100,000 mt loading out of the Black Sea and delivered into the Mediterranean.<br />
Currently, Platts publishes both a CIF Augusta Kumkol differential assessment (AALOW00)<br />
and an outright assessment (AAHMP00). These assessments appear on Platts Global Alert<br />
page MH1220 and in the Platts Crude Oil Marketwire.<br />
Kumkol, which is produced in Kazakhstan, was previously delivered via rail to the Black Sea<br />
port of Batumi, where it was then loaded for export. Loadings of the grade once averaged<br />
some 170,000 mt/month, but volumes have been gradually declining over the last several<br />
years and have been averaging below 30,000 mt/month for more than a year. Exports of the<br />
grade are expected to halt completely early in <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts to Stop Publishing Various North American Crude Yields,<br />
Netbacks, and Margins<br />
Effective September 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts proposes to discontinue multiple daily, weekly, and<br />
monthly crude yields, netbacks, and margins. Platts proposes to discontinue these prices as<br />
they no longer accurately reflect the crude grades refined in their respective regions.<br />
These prices are published on Platts Global Alert pages 802, 804, 806, 810, 812, 814, 830,<br />
832, 834, 820, 822, and 824. The daily prices are also published in the Crude Oil<br />
Marketwire, and the weekly and monthly prices in Oilgram Price Report. The prices are also<br />
published in Platts Market Data under the listed codes.<br />
Numerous crack and coking assessments have been discontinued from the following<br />
publications: Caribbean Daily, Caribbean Weekly, Caribbean Monthly, US Gulf Coast Daily,<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
26
US Gulf Coast Weekly, US Gulf Coast Monthly, US Atlantic Coast Daily, US Atlantic Coast<br />
Weekly, US Atlantic Coast Monthly, US Mi<strong>dw</strong>est Daily, US Mi<strong>dw</strong>est Weekly, and<br />
US Mi<strong>dw</strong>est Monthly.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts Discontinues Oil and Refined Products Section in<br />
Weekly Global Ethanol Report<br />
Effective March 17, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts discontinued publishing the Mineral Oil and Refined<br />
Products section of its Weekly Global Ethanol Report. This change has been made to align the<br />
content with the Weekly Global Biodiesel Report and to better position the content to reflect<br />
the central focus of the publication.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Petroleum<br />
Argus Discontinues Mangyshlak Blend cpt Akzhaiyk Assessment<br />
Effective March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus has stopped publishing its Mangyshlak Blend<br />
cpt Akzhaiyk assessment. The code will be stopped in the DARK file of the DARK folder, on ftp.<br />
argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0013232 0 1, 2 0<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Mangyshlak<br />
Blend cpt<br />
Akzhaiyk<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
- USD/t<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
>Crude><br />
Russia-<br />
Caspian><br />
other<br />
Monthly<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Argus Discontinues WCS-WTI Differential Assessments<br />
On February 26, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus stopped the following price series in the Argus Crude<br />
publication and data module. This change applies to data in the DHC module in the DCRDEUS<br />
folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
WCS<br />
1, 2,<br />
PA0010773 2<br />
6, 7 1 Cushing diff<br />
to WTI month<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
WTI<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
USD/bl<br />
>Crude>North<br />
America>US<br />
Midcontinent<br />
Daily<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
27
Petroleum<br />
Argus Amends Ukrainian Gasoil Diesel<br />
Assessment Descriptions<br />
Effective March 23, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus renamed the following daily assessment in Argus<br />
Моторное топливо Украины (Argus Ukrainian Motor Fuels):<br />
PA-code Old description New description<br />
PA0012999<br />
Gasoil diesel summer 10ppm fca Kharkov/<br />
fca Donetsk<br />
Gasoil diesel summer 10ppm fca Kharkov<br />
Gasoil diesel winter 10ppm fca Kharkov/<br />
PA0013000<br />
fca Donetsk<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Gasoil diesel winter 10ppm fca Kharkov<br />
Argus Changes Descriptions for Bitumen Codes<br />
Effective March 6, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus modified descriptions for the following<br />
codes belonging to Dbitumen. The current and previous descriptions are noted below.<br />
PA-code<br />
PA0000626 0<br />
PA0000627 0<br />
PA0000716 0<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
1, 2,<br />
8<br />
1, 2,<br />
8<br />
1, 2,<br />
8<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
Old Description<br />
Asphalt (bitumen)<br />
FOB Bandar<br />
Abbas drums $/t<br />
Asphalt (bitumen)<br />
FOB Bandar<br />
Abbas $/t<br />
Asphalt (bitumen)<br />
pen 60/70 FOB<br />
Rayong $/t<br />
New<br />
Description<br />
Asphalt<br />
(bitumen)<br />
FOB Iran<br />
drums $/t<br />
Asphalt<br />
(bitumen)<br />
FOB Iran<br />
$/t<br />
Asphalt<br />
(bitumen)<br />
pen 60/70<br />
FOB<br />
Thailand<br />
$/t<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
>Asphalt><br />
Mideast Gulf<br />
>Asphalt><br />
Mideast Gulf<br />
>Asphalt><br />
Asia-<br />
Pacific<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
28
PA-code<br />
PA0000717 0<br />
PA0009626 0<br />
PA0009627 0<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
1, 2,<br />
8<br />
1, 2,<br />
8<br />
1, 2,<br />
8<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
Old Description<br />
Asphalt (bitumen)<br />
pen 60/70 FOB<br />
Rayong Baht/t<br />
Asphalt (bitumen)<br />
class 170 FOB<br />
Rayong<br />
Asphalt (bitumen)<br />
class 320 FOB<br />
Rayong<br />
New<br />
Description<br />
Asphalt<br />
(bitumen)<br />
pen 60/70<br />
FOB<br />
Thailand<br />
Baht/t<br />
Asphalt<br />
(bitumen)<br />
class 170<br />
FOB<br />
Thailand<br />
Asphalt<br />
(bitumen)<br />
class 320<br />
FOB<br />
Thailand<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
THB/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
>Asphalt><br />
Asia-<br />
Pacific<br />
>Asphalt><br />
Asia-<br />
Pacific<br />
>Asphalt><br />
Asia-<br />
Pacific<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Petroleum<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
NYMEX Amends Gulf Coast Sour Crude Oil Futures Contract<br />
Effective March 23, <strong>2015</strong>, NYMEX amended the terms and conditions of the<br />
Gulf Coast Sour Crude Oil Futures contract.<br />
Name<br />
Commodity Code<br />
NYMEX Rulebook<br />
Chapter<br />
Venues<br />
Gulf Coast Sour Crude<br />
Oil Futures<br />
MB 506<br />
CME Globex, CME ClearPort, NYMEX<br />
Trading Floor<br />
Specifically, the contract was re-named “LOOP Gulf Coast Sour Crude Oil Futures” and the<br />
rules have been amended such that fungible blends of Poseidon and Mars blend type crude<br />
oil streams are deliverable under the contract. There is no open interest in this contract.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
29
Natural Gas<br />
Argus Launches Hungarian Natural Gas Assessments<br />
Effective April 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus introduced the following codes to Argus European<br />
Natural Gas. The following PA code details will appear in the DNG module in the DENG folder<br />
on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
PA0016235 6 1, 2 0<br />
Natural gas Hungary<br />
MGP day-ahead<br />
Euro/<br />
MWh<br />
>Natural gas><br />
Europe><br />
Hungary MGP<br />
Daily<br />
PA0016077 6 8 0<br />
Natural gas Hungary<br />
MGP-NCG Basis<br />
day-ahead<br />
Euro/<br />
MWh<br />
>Natural gas><br />
Europe><br />
Hungary MGP<br />
Daily<br />
PA0016078 6 8 0, 1<br />
Natural gas<br />
Hungary MGP-Austria<br />
VTP Basis day-ahead<br />
Euro/<br />
MWh<br />
>Natural gas><br />
Europe><br />
Hungary MGP<br />
Daily<br />
PA0016239 6 4 1<br />
Natural gas Hungary<br />
MGP index month<br />
Euro/<br />
MWh<br />
>Natural gas><br />
Europe><br />
Hungary MGP<br />
Daily<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects Argus natural gas data, including data from the Argus International LPG record and the Argus LNG Daily<br />
record. To learn more about ZEMA, book a free demonstration today at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
30
CME Lists Natural Gas Intercommodity Spreads<br />
Effective March 23, <strong>2015</strong>, the listing cycle for following natural gas intercommodity<br />
spreads has been expanded to list an additional 48 maturities on CME Globex. With this<br />
change, there is a total of 60 maturities listed starting with the April <strong>2015</strong> to March 2020.<br />
Intercommodity Spreads<br />
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)<br />
Penultimate financial futures vs.<br />
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Last-day<br />
financial futures<br />
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)<br />
Penultimate financial futures vs.<br />
Henry Hub Natural Gas futures<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink:<br />
tag 1151-Security<br />
Group MDP 3.0: tag<br />
6937-Asset<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink: tag<br />
55-Symbol<br />
MDP 3.0 tag 1151 -<br />
Security Group<br />
HP NG IS<br />
HP NG IS<br />
tag 762-Security-<br />
SubType<br />
Natural Gas<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
The ZEMA graph below shows the futures for California SoCal-City Gate and Colorado<br />
Interstate natural gas trading prices from <strong>2015</strong> to 2020 (NYMEX). In <strong>2015</strong>, the price starts at<br />
around 2.4 USD/MMBtu in California and 2.8 USD/MMBtu in Colorado and slowly increases<br />
to a high of nearly 4 USD/MMBtu in Colorado by 2020. We can also see that California’s<br />
natural gas price is generally lower than that of Colorado. To learn more, book a<br />
complimentary ZEMA demonstration.<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
31
Natural Gas<br />
Nasdaq to Launch Natural Gas Futures Market<br />
On March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, Nasdaq announced the establishment of a new energy futures market<br />
with contracts in power, oil, and natural gas to be traded on the Nasdaq Futures Inc. (NFX)<br />
platform. As part of this initiative, Nasdaq is introducing the following US natural gas futures<br />
contracts mid-year:<br />
• NFX Henry Hub Natural Gas Financial Futures - 10,000<br />
• NFX Henry Hub Natural Gas Financial Futures - 2,500<br />
• NFX Henry Hub Natural Gas Penultimate Financial Futures - 2,500<br />
• NFX Henry Hub Natural Gas Penultimate Financial Futures - 10,000<br />
• NFX Option on NFX Henry Hub Penultimate Financial Future - 10,000<br />
NFX, the exchange group’s US-based designated contract market (DCM), will leverage the<br />
exchange group’s transformative Genium INET technology, and the platform will be domiciled<br />
in Chicago. The platform provides open and neutral access, and firms will be able to access<br />
the market through proprietary order management systems, broker platforms, and leading<br />
independent software vendors.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA contains advanced display functionalities that enable users to easily align news updates from organizations such<br />
as Nasdaq next to market data, giving users an enhanced market perspective. For further information, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/dashboard/.<br />
Platts to Replace Ras Gas with Deodorized Field Condensate<br />
Assessments<br />
Effective May 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts intends to start publishing an assessment reflecting the price of<br />
Qatari condensate under the name Deodorized Field Condensate (DFC).<br />
This assessment would be identical to, and published alongside, the existing Ras Gas<br />
condensate assessment. Platts proposes to discontinue the existing Ras Gas assessment<br />
starting January 2, 2016. The new DFC assessment and associated code would carry the<br />
historical data for the Ras Gas assessment.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
32
The change in name would not alter any other aspects of Platts assessment of Qatari<br />
condensate. The change would ensure Platts’ assessments and terminology conforms with<br />
the latest market conventions. Platts understands that Qatar International Petroleum<br />
Marketing Co., or Tasweeq no longer sells any condensate with the trade name Ras Gas. The<br />
official trade name of the field condensate associated with LNG production from Ras Gas and<br />
other entities is DFC.<br />
Natural Gas<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts Renames French PEG Sud Gas Assessments<br />
Effective April 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts aligned its naming convention for the French<br />
PEG Sud natural gas market to reflect an industry-wide trading framework change, in line with<br />
announcements made by the French Commission de Regulation de l’energie (CRE).<br />
On April 1, <strong>2015</strong>, the PEG TIGF and PEG Sud hubs merged to form a single gas hub to be<br />
named Trading Region South (TRS).<br />
As a result the following Platts assessments (symbols) have undergone a name change:<br />
Effective Date: April 1, <strong>2015</strong>:<br />
• PEG Sud Day-ahead/GPSTD00: French PEG Sud DA Eur/MWh to French TRS DA Eur/MWh<br />
• PEG Sud Weekend/GPSTT00: French PEG Sud TDt Weekend Eur/MWh to French TRS TDt<br />
Weekend Eur/MWh<br />
Effective March 2, <strong>2015</strong>:<br />
• PEG Sud Month-Ahead/GPSTM00: French PEG Sud MA Eur/MWh to French<br />
TRS MA Eur/MWh<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
33
Coal<br />
Platts to Launch Metallurgical Coal China Index Series<br />
On April 13, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts will launch of Metallurgical Coal China Index (MCCI) price<br />
assessment series. The new series will include five spot metallurgical coal assessments in the<br />
Chinese domestic spot market. The proposed assessments are designed to reflect the daily<br />
tradable values of a range of coal specifications in the Chinese domestic spot market.<br />
The assessments are MCCI Shanxi Premium Low Vol, MCCI Shanxi High Sulfur Premium Low<br />
Vol, MCCI North China Fat Coal, MCCI Shanxi PCI, and MCCI Shandong Semi Soft.<br />
The assessments will be assessed in yuan per metric ton on either an ex-washplant, free on<br />
rail, or delivered duty paid Tangshan basis, wherever applicable. Platts and Fenwei will also<br />
assess four domestic logistic routes, including both rail and truck freight from Shanxi to<br />
Tangshan and Shandong.<br />
The assessments will be published in SBB Steel Markets Daily, Coal Trader International,<br />
Metals Market Data category MC, Platts Metals Alert (pg. 1050), and Global Coal Alert<br />
(pg. 1050).<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 600 Platts records, many of which contain coal market data. To learn more about ZEMA’s vast<br />
data library, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 34
Coal<br />
Argus Launches Latin American Coal Assessments<br />
Effective March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus added new series to Argus Coal Daily. These<br />
changes apply to the dcu files in the DCDR folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0016203 0 20 0<br />
PA0016204 0 20 0<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Coal panamax<br />
size 70-75kt<br />
Puerto Bolivar<br />
- Pecem<br />
Coal handy<br />
size 40-50kt<br />
Puerto Bolivar<br />
- Itaqui<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
- USD/t<br />
- USD/t<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
>Freight<br />
>Coal><br />
Latin<br />
America<br />
>Freight<br />
>Coal><br />
Latin<br />
America<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Argus Launches Australian Metallurgical Coal Assessments<br />
Effective March 2, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus launched a new price series to the Argus Steel<br />
Feedstocks publication and in the data module. The following PA code details will appear in<br />
the DSteelFeedstocks module in the DATA/DSteelFeedstocks folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0015806 0 17 1<br />
PA0015807 0 17 1<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
Metallurgical Coal<br />
premium hard FOB<br />
Australia (low-vol) within<br />
90 days average month<br />
Metallurgical Coal hard<br />
FOB Australia (mid-vol)<br />
within 90 days average<br />
month<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
>Coal><br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
>Coal><br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
Monthly<br />
Monthly<br />
ZEMA collects more than a dozen data reports on coal from Argus alone, along with over a hundred more from other<br />
sources. To learn more, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
35
Coal<br />
CME Lists Asia Coal Options<br />
Effective March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, Asia Coal options began trading on CME Globex,<br />
open outcry, and clearing submission via CME ClearPort.<br />
Product<br />
Coal (API 8) cfr South<br />
China (Argus/<br />
McCloskey) Average<br />
Price Option<br />
Coal (API 8) cfr South<br />
China (Argus/<br />
McCloskey) Option on<br />
Quarterly Futures Strip<br />
Coal (API 8) cfr South<br />
China (Argus/<br />
McCloskey) Option on<br />
Calendar Futures Strip<br />
Indonesian Coal<br />
(McCloskey subbituminous)<br />
Average<br />
Price Option<br />
Indonesian Coal<br />
(McCloskey subbituminous)<br />
Option on<br />
Quarterly Futures Strip<br />
Indonesian Coal<br />
(McCloskey subbituminous)<br />
Option on<br />
Calendar Futures Strip<br />
FIX/FAST<br />
and iLink: tag<br />
1151-Security<br />
Group<br />
MDP 3.0: tag<br />
6937-Asset<br />
FIX/FAST<br />
and iLink: tag<br />
55-Symbol<br />
MDP 3.0 tag<br />
1151 - Security<br />
Group<br />
(Outrights)<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink:<br />
tag 55-Symbol MDP<br />
3.0 tag 1151 -<br />
Security Group<br />
(UDS)<br />
Chapter<br />
A8A EF EX 1120<br />
A84 EF EX 1121<br />
AC8 EF EX 1123<br />
ICA EF EX 1124<br />
IC4 EF EX 1132<br />
ICC EF EX 1133<br />
Contract Size<br />
1,000<br />
metric tons<br />
3,000<br />
metric tons<br />
12,000<br />
metric tons<br />
1,000<br />
metric tons<br />
3,000<br />
metric tons<br />
12,000<br />
metric tons<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
36
CME Launches Short-Dated International Coal Calendar<br />
Strip Options<br />
Effective March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, Short-Dated International Coal Calendar Strip options began<br />
trading on CME Globex, open outcry, and clearing submission via CME ClearPort.<br />
Product<br />
Coal (API 2) cif ARA (Argus/McCloskey)<br />
Short-Dated Option on Calendar Futures Strip<br />
Coal (API 4) FOB Richards Bay (Argus/<br />
McCloskey) Short-Dated Option on Calendar<br />
Futures Strip<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink:<br />
tag 1151-Security<br />
Group MDP 3.0: tag<br />
6937-Asset<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink:<br />
tag 55- Symbol<br />
MDP 3.0 tag 1151 -<br />
Security Group<br />
(Outrights)<br />
MTC EF EX<br />
MFY EF EX<br />
FIX/FAST and<br />
iLink: tag 55-<br />
Symbol MDP<br />
3.0 tag 1151 -<br />
Security Group<br />
(UDS)<br />
Coal<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 100 records from CME, several of which are on coal. To learn how the ZEMA solution can<br />
enhance your company’s market awareness, book a complimentary demo at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
The ZEMA graph below shows the coal option trading history for October <strong>2015</strong> contract at strike<br />
prices $7,000 (API2) and $7,100(API4). We can see that both of the option prices went up in<br />
mid-February and early March. When we check the underlying asset price (indicated by the blue<br />
bars) for the same period, we can see a clear increase in coal price around the same time. We<br />
can also see that the coal price dropped towards the end of February, and the options showed a<br />
steeper decline. This demonstrates that options prices are closely related with underlying asset<br />
prices, and options prices can be more volatile compared to the underlying asset. Creating<br />
customized analysis like this is easy to perform in ZEMA. To learn more, book a complimentary<br />
ZEMA demo.<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
37
Softs and Metals<br />
SOFTS<br />
Platts Launches Weekly Export Premium FOB Antwerp<br />
Sugar Assessments<br />
Effective April 3, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts began assessing its Export (Premium to Ldn 5) - FOB Antwerp<br />
sugar assessment on a weekly basis. It was previously assessed on a monthly basis.<br />
This assessment is established as an indicator of out-of-quota white sugar exported on a FOB<br />
basis from Antwerp. Price assessments reflect EU 45 ICUMSA white sugar of standard quality<br />
and a maximum ICUMSA of 45 and meeting EEC No 2. The assessment is published as a<br />
premium to the ICE White Sugar Futures front-month contract.<br />
This follows the launch of the EU Sugar Weekly, a new publication providing pricing and news<br />
information on the regional sugar market. This assessment appears on Platts Agriculture Alert<br />
service Page PA1512, and will continue to be found in the Platts price database under symbol<br />
code SGBCB00.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects several sugar-based reports from Platts and IHS. To learn more about ZEMA’s data coverage, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 38
Argus Introduces Caribbean Fertilizer Assessment<br />
Effective March 5, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus added the following time series to<br />
Argus FMB North American Fertilizer:<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0009360 0 1, 2, 8 0<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Ammonia<br />
FOB<br />
Caribbean<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
- USD/t<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
>Fertilizer>Ammonia<br />
Weekly<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
The ZEMA graph below shows the average monthly DAP fertilizer clearing futures prices for<br />
New Orleans and Tampa, as well as the average monthly urea fertilizer clearing futures prices<br />
in New Orleans from March <strong>2015</strong> to January 2016 (LCH Clearnet data). In March <strong>2015</strong>, New<br />
Orleans DAP, Tampa DAP, and New Orleans urea fertilizer clearing futures prices reached<br />
highs of $430, $480, and $290 respectively. New Orleans and Tampa DAP fertilizer clearing<br />
futures prices are projected to remain relatively stable from May <strong>2015</strong> through to the end<br />
of the year, eclipsing their March <strong>2015</strong> highs in January 2016 with New Orleans DAP hitting<br />
$440 while Tampa DAP reaches $482.50. New Orleans urea clearing futures prices follow<br />
suit in terms of stability, in this case from June <strong>2015</strong> through to the end of the year, again<br />
rebounding in January 2016 at a price of $285 USD. A combination of data from Argus,<br />
FertilizerWEEK, and FERTECON allow these reference prices to be calculated, giving fertilizer<br />
traders, producers, and end-users enhanced price and risk management opportunities. To<br />
learn more, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration.<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
39
Softs and Metals<br />
CME Lists European Cocoa Futures<br />
Effective March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, CME Europe listed the following Cocoa futures for trading<br />
on CME Globex and for clearing submission via CME ClearPort:<br />
Product<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink: tag 1151-<br />
Security Group MDP 3.0: tag 6937-Asset<br />
FIX/FAST and iLink: tag 55-Symbol<br />
MDP 3.0 tag 1151 - Security Group<br />
Cocoa Future CCP JX<br />
Cocoa NY (ICE) Future CCC JX<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA regularly collects more than 100 data reports on softs. To learn more about ZEMA’s extensive data coverage, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
ICE Launches European Cocoa Futures and Options<br />
As of March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) introduced Euro Cocoa<br />
futures and options contracts.<br />
ICE introduced the new Euro Cocoa contracts, which operates in parallel with the existing<br />
pound-sterling London Cocoa contract. Excluding currency, the new Euro Cocoa contracts<br />
specification mirrors the London cocoa contract including physical settlement and will trade<br />
and clear at ICE Futures Europe and ICE Clear Europe. Customers are therefore able to benefit<br />
from cross margin offsets with the London Cocoa contract.<br />
Euro Cocoa Futures Contract<br />
Description<br />
Contract Symbol<br />
Contract Months<br />
Contract Size<br />
Currency<br />
A physically settled futures contract on cocoa.<br />
EC<br />
March, May, July, September, December, such that ten delivery months<br />
are available for trading<br />
10 tons<br />
Euro<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
40
Settlement<br />
Deliverable Growths<br />
Physical Delivery: Standard Delivery Unit (SDU) – bagged cocoa with a nominal<br />
net weight of ten tons. Large Delivery Unit (LDU) – bagged cocoa with a nominal<br />
net weight of 100 tons. Bulk Delivery Unit (BDU) – loose cocoa with a nominal net<br />
weight of 1000 tons<br />
Côte d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo (formerly known as Zaire), Equatorial<br />
Guinea, Ghana, Grenada Fine Estates, Jamaica, Nigeria, Republic of Cameroon,<br />
Republic of Sierra Leone, Togo, Trinidad and Tobago Plantation, Western Samoa<br />
at contract price. All other origins tenderable at set discounts<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
Trading Tick Size<br />
1 EUR per ton (10 EUR)<br />
Options on Euro Cocoa Contract<br />
Description<br />
Option on Euro Cocoa futures contract<br />
Contract Symbol<br />
Contract Months<br />
Expiration Date<br />
Contract Size<br />
EC<br />
March, May, July, September, December, such that ten expiry months are<br />
available for trading, subject to the option expiring before the underlying future<br />
12:00 on the last trading day in the calendar month preceding the<br />
expiry month<br />
One Euro Cocoa Futures Contract<br />
Currency<br />
Euros<br />
Trading Price Quotation<br />
Euros per metric ton<br />
Trading Tick Size<br />
1 EUR per ton (10 EUR)<br />
Strike Price Intervals<br />
25 EUR per ton<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
The ZEMA graph below shows the price change of cocoa futures from CME and ICE data from<br />
April 2014 to June 2016. The green bar indicates the price of ICE cocoa futures, in which we<br />
take the promptness future price as a proxy for historical price, and take the last available<br />
day (August 15, 2014) as the effective day of futures. The amber bar represents the price of<br />
CME cocoa futures, using the same method for historical value and taking the most recent<br />
available date as the effective date. As we can see, the CME futures price drops dramatically<br />
in September 2014 and remains low until June 2016. The gap between those two futures has<br />
remained stable thus far. To learn more about how to create similar analyses using CME and<br />
ICE data, book a complimentary ZEMA demo.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
41
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
CBOT Amends Fertilizer Cleared Swap Contracts<br />
Effective March 30, <strong>2015</strong>, The Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. (CBOT)<br />
amended the last trade date for all December contract months for the CBOT fertilizer swap<br />
contracts listed in the table below from the last Thursday in the month to the Thursday<br />
preceding December 26. These contracts are available for clearing via CME ClearPort.<br />
The last trade date will remain unchanged as the last Thursday of the month for all other<br />
contract months.<br />
The affected CBOT fertilizer swap contracts are as follows:<br />
Contract Title Clearing Code CBOT Rulebook Chapter<br />
Urea (Granular) FOB US Gulf Swap UFN 45<br />
UAN FOB NOLA Swap UFU 46<br />
DAP FOB Tampa Swap DFT 47<br />
DAP FOB NOLA Swap DFL 48<br />
Urea (Prilled Bulk) FOB Yuzhny Swap UFZ 49<br />
Urea (Granular) FOB Egypt Swap UFG 50<br />
This proposed amendments change clarify the schedule of price information published<br />
by the price providers used for final settlement during the Christmas Day and New Year’s<br />
Day holiday.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
42
METALS<br />
Argus Launches Ferrous Scrap and Iron Ore Assessments<br />
for Turkey<br />
Effective March 6, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus introduced the following new price series to the Argus Steel<br />
Feedstocks publication and data module. The following PA code details will appear in the<br />
DSteelFeedstocks module in the DATA/DSteelFeedstocks folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
Historical data is available on request from datahelp@argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0016026 6 3 0<br />
PA0016027 6 3 0<br />
PA0016028 6 3 0<br />
PA0016029 6 3 0<br />
PA0016030 6 3 0<br />
PA0016031 6 3 0<br />
PA0016032 6 3 0<br />
PA0016033 6 3 0<br />
PA0016034 6 3 0<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
P&S differential<br />
cfr Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS1<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
75/25<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
85/15<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
90/10<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
Bonus<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
Bundles<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
Shredded<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
Bushelling<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Daily<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
43
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0016035 6 3 0<br />
PA0016061 6 8 0<br />
PA0016062 6 8 0<br />
PA0016063 6 8 0<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
New cutting<br />
differential cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Iron Ore<br />
ViU 1% Fe<br />
Iron Ore<br />
ViU 1% Si<br />
Iron Ore<br />
ViU 1% Al<br />
Differential<br />
basis<br />
Ferrous scrap<br />
HMS 1-2<br />
80/20 cfr<br />
Turkey<br />
Unit Category Frequency<br />
USD/t<br />
- USD/t<br />
- USD/t<br />
- USD/t<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Scrap<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
Daily<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 200 reports on various metals from around the world. This data can then be used to create<br />
advanced analyses and forward curves before being pushed to downstream systems. To learn what ZEMA can do for your<br />
business, book a free demo at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
Argus Introduces Minor Metals Report and Data Feed<br />
Effective March 5, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus introduced a new Argus Minor Metals report<br />
and associated data feed. The following data series has become available as DMinorMetals<br />
data module in /DMinorMetals folder on ftp.argusmedia.com. The scheduled data file will be<br />
produced daily at 7 p.m. EST.<br />
Three new categories have been created to accommodate this change:<br />
>Metals - Non-ferrous>Minor and Speciality>Europe<br />
>Metals - Non-ferrous>Minor and Speciality>America<br />
>Metals - Non-ferrous>Minor and Speciality>Asia-Pacific<br />
The new report covers: antimony, arsenic, bismuth, cadmium, chromium, cobalt, gallium,<br />
germanium, indium, magnesium, manganese flake, mercury, molybdenum oxide,<br />
rhenium, selenium, silicon, tantalite, tantalum, tellurium, titanium, tungsten APT, and<br />
vanadium pentoxide.<br />
Historical data is available upon request.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Argus Lists Chinese Gadolinium Oxide Assessment<br />
Effective March 3, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus introduced a new Gadolinium oxide assessment<br />
to Argus Rare Earths report and associated data feed. The following data series is available in<br />
DRareEarths data module in /DRareEarths folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
44
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0015714 0 1, 2 0<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
Gadolinium<br />
oxide min<br />
99.999%<br />
FOB China<br />
USD/t<br />
>Metals -<br />
Non-ferrous><br />
Rare Earths><br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
ZEMA collects more than 100 records from Argus, most of which are published daily. To learn more about the ZEMA<br />
solution, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.<br />
Daily<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
Argus Adds Weekly Chinese Iron Ore Assessments<br />
On March 3, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus began publishing the following new price series to<br />
the Argus Steel Feedstocks publication and data module. The following PA code details will<br />
appear in the DSteelFeedstocks module in the DATA/DSteelFeedstocks folder on<br />
ftp.argusmedia.com.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0015712 8 8 0<br />
PA0015713 8 8 0<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
Iron ore fines cfr Qingdao<br />
portside – PB 61%<br />
Fe<br />
Iron ore fines cfr Qingdao<br />
portside – Yandi<br />
57.3% Fe<br />
CNY/t<br />
CNY/t<br />
>Metals<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
>Metals<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
Weekly<br />
Weekly<br />
Additionally, on March 2, <strong>2015</strong>, Argus introduced the following new price series also to the<br />
Argus Steel Feedstocks publication and data module.<br />
PA-code<br />
Time<br />
stamp<br />
Price<br />
type<br />
PA0015803 0 17 1<br />
PA0015804 0 17 1<br />
PA0015805 0 17 1<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Continuous<br />
forward<br />
Description Unit Category Frequency<br />
Iron ore fines cfr<br />
Qingdao 2-6 weeks -<br />
58% Fe average month<br />
Iron ore fines cfr<br />
Qingdao 2-6 weeks -<br />
62% Fe average month<br />
Iron ore fines cfr<br />
Qingdao 2-6 weeks -<br />
65% Fe average month<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
USD/t<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
>Metals -<br />
Ferrous><br />
Iron Ore<br />
Thomson Reuters Launches Copper Mine Data Service<br />
On March 12, <strong>2015</strong>, Thomson Reuters announced the release of a detailed<br />
mine-by-mine analysis of the world’s copper production to users of its flagship<br />
desktop, Eikon.<br />
Monthly<br />
Monthly<br />
Monthly<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
45
GFMS Mine Economics (Copper) gathers up-to-date data from individual copper mining<br />
companies on their activity. It also includes the new Copper Cost service, which provides<br />
comprehensive global copper industry cost data. The service, now part of the GFMS Mine<br />
Economics Package, combines analysis plus in-depth company information on global<br />
copper, sourced by the GFMS base metals research team using current operating and cost<br />
data, sourced direct from each company.<br />
GFMS Mine Economics data currently covers 26 of the largest copper producing companies,<br />
controlling 87 copper mines across 23 countries: just over two-thirds of global copper<br />
production. Content includes: quarterly production trends, cash costs and total costs by<br />
region, an analysis of supply curve quartiles and margins, company rankings based on<br />
attributable production, and company pages with mine-by-mine production and cost data.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
ZEMA collects hundreds of metals data records from all over the world. To learn how ZEMA can enhance your company’s<br />
business processes, book a free demo at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
LBMA Launches New Gold Price<br />
On March 20, <strong>2015</strong>, the new London Bullion Market (LBMA) Gold Price, which<br />
replaces the long established London Gold Fix, will be launched. As previously announced,<br />
ICE Benchmark Administration (IBA) are the new administrators of the LBMA Gold Price. The<br />
intellectual property rights will be held by Precious Metals Prices Limited, a newly established<br />
subsidiary company of the LBMA.<br />
As the administrator of the LBMA Gold Price, IBA will operate a physically settled, electronic<br />
and tradeable auction process. The price formation will be in dollars, and prices will continue<br />
to be set twice daily at 10:30 a.m. and 3 p.m. (London time) in three currencies: USD, EUR,<br />
and GBP. Within the process, aggregated gold bids and offers will be updated in real-time<br />
with the imbalance calculated and the price updated every 30 seconds until the buy and sell<br />
orders are matched. Participants, as well as sponsored clients, will be able to manage their<br />
orders in the auction in real time via their desktops. The LBMA Gold Price will continue to be<br />
available on the LBMA website as well from a variety of major data vendors. The current<br />
instrument codes and tickers will remain unchanged.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 200 metal records, many of which contain data about gold specifically. To learn more about<br />
ZEMA’s data coverage, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
46
SGX Launches TSI-based Iron Ore Swap and Futures<br />
On March 9, <strong>2015</strong>, the Singapore Exchange (SGX) new iron ore swap and futures<br />
contracts, utilizing The Steel Index (TSI) daily iron ore price index published by Platts.<br />
Softs and Metals<br />
The SGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (58% Fe Fines) Index Futures and SGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China<br />
(58% Fe Fines) Swap will both reflect the value of “58% Fe fines” or fine ore powder containing<br />
58% iron content, as delivered to China’s Qingdao port on a cost and freight (CFR) basis.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts to Discontinue Chinese Steel Assessments<br />
On June 26, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts intends to discontinue the following four China<br />
domestic steel assessments:<br />
• SB01150 HRC Q235 5.5MM China Dom Prod Guangdong Lecong Weekly<br />
• SB01259 Rebar HRB400 18-25MM China Dom Prod Shanghai Weekly<br />
• SB01219 Seamless Pipe 219x6MM Grd8163 China Dom Prod Shanghai Weekly<br />
• SB01113 H-Beams China Dom Prod Shanghai Monthly<br />
The discontinuations will allow Platts to focus its market reporting on its remaining domestic<br />
price assessments and export price assessments for China.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Platts Discontinues East Asian Hot-Dip Galvanized and Merchant<br />
Bar CFR Assessments<br />
Effective June 1, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts will discontinue publication of the monthly price assessment of<br />
Hot-Dip Galvanized (HDG) CFR East Asia (SB01120).<br />
China has emerged as a major exporter for HDG to the region in recent years. Platts is seeking<br />
to refocus its market reporting on FOB China price assessments for this product.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
As well, effective the same date, Platts will also discontinue publication of the monthly price<br />
assessment of Merchant Bar CFR East Asia (SB01165).<br />
As Platts reported, wide product specifications, low liquidity, and local pricing have made<br />
these pan regional assessments difficult to maintain as a reflection of regional value. Market<br />
participants have provided feedback that the price is no longer representative and does not<br />
serve a purpose as an industry reference.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
47
Softs and Metals<br />
Platts to Discontinue East Asian Wire Rod Prices<br />
Effective April 27, <strong>2015</strong>, Platts discontinued publication of its monthly price<br />
assessment of Wire Rod Mesh Quality CFR East Asia (SB01245).<br />
China has emerged as a major exporter wire rod to the region in recent years and Platts has<br />
refocused its market reporting on FOB China price assessments for this steel product.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
HKFE Suspends Trading of Gold Futures<br />
Effective March 20, <strong>2015</strong>, Hong Kong Futures Exchange Ltd. (HKFE), a subsidiary<br />
of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEx), suspended trading of its gold futures.<br />
The decision was made after a recent review of the product, in view of a change in the London<br />
gold pricing mechanism.<br />
HKEx will review its precious metals strategy from a group perspective and redesigned gold<br />
futures contracts may be added to the HKEx Group’s product list in the future.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
LME and HKEx Partner with Borsa Istanbul<br />
On March 18, <strong>2015</strong>, the London Metal Exchange (LME) announced that it is entering<br />
into two agreements with Borsa İstanbul A.S., under which Borsa İstanbul will acquire the<br />
LME’s stake in clearing house LCH.Clearnet, and Borsa İstanbul, the LME, and the LME’s<br />
parent company HKEx will partner on the dissemination of market data.<br />
Under the terms of the agreements, the LME will license LME steel billet settlement data to<br />
Borsa İstanbul, and will work with the Turkish exchange to develop future products and<br />
services for the steel market. Borsa İstanbul will also have the right to disseminate real-time<br />
pricing data from the LME and HKEx.<br />
Following this transaction, the LME has disposed of its entire remaining stake in its former<br />
clearing provider, LCH.Clearnet.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
48
CBOE to Launch MSCI Index Options<br />
On April 21, <strong>2015</strong>, CBOE Holdings, Inc. plans to list options on the MSCI Emerging<br />
Markets Index (EEM) and the MSCI EAFE Index (EAFE).<br />
Options on the EEM and EAFE Indexes are the first of six MSCI Indexes planned to launch in<br />
<strong>2015</strong>. Later this year, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) also plans to offer options<br />
on the MSCI ACWI Index, MSCI USA Index, MSCI World Index, and the MSCI ACWI<br />
ex-USA Index.<br />
Trading in options on other MSCI Indexes also offers new opportunities to hedge a variety of<br />
different exposures.<br />
• The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM) captures large- and mid-cap representation<br />
across 23 emerging-market countries. With over 800 constituents, the index covers<br />
approximately 85% of the free-float-adjusted market capitalization in each country.<br />
• The MSCI EAFE Index (EAFE) is recognized as the pre-eminent benchmark in the United<br />
States to measure international equity performance. It comprises MSCI country indexes<br />
that represent developed markets outside of North America: Europe, Australasia and the<br />
Far East. The MSCI EAFE Index is calculated in US dollars on a real-time basis, and its<br />
values are disseminated every 60 seconds during market trading hours.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Finance<br />
ZEMA excels at displaying time-series data in charts, graphs, forward curves, and more. ZEMA also collects financial<br />
derivatives data from a wide range of sources. For more information, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/.<br />
The graph below shows a year-to-year comparison of US dollars to Singapore dollars based<br />
on daily exchange rates from the Federal Reserve. The years 2012-2013 show a<br />
similar cycle of seasonal fluctuation, but as the global economic recovery strengthened and<br />
the US dollar weakened, there is a noticeable reversal of that pattern in 2014. To learn more<br />
about how ZEMA analyzes real-time financial data, book a complimentary demo.<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 49
CBOE Begins Listing Options on FTSE and Russell Indexes<br />
On February 26, <strong>2015</strong>, CBOE Holdings, Inc. announced that it has entered into<br />
a licensing agreement with London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), to develop and list options<br />
based on more than two dozen FTSE and Russell indexes. Under the agreement, cash-settled<br />
options on these indexes will now be available to trade in the United States on CBOE. In<br />
addition, as part of the agreement, CBOE and LSEG will collaborate on new index options<br />
products and investor education globally. The trading in FTSE and Russell index-based<br />
options on the CBOE will begin in the coming months.<br />
The deal includes the bellwether FTSE and Russell indexes: the FTSE GEIS (Global Equity Index<br />
Series), which covers 98%of the world’s investable market capitalization; FTSE EPRA/NAREIT;<br />
FTSE China 50; the Russell 2000 Index, which measures performance of the small-cap<br />
segment of the US equity market; the Russell 1000 Index, which comprises a broad large-cap<br />
equity segment; the Russell 1000 Value Index, which measures the large-cap equities with<br />
lower price-to-book ratios and expected growth values; and the Russell 1000 Growth Index,<br />
which measures large-cap stocks with higher price-to-book ratios and anticipated growth.<br />
The partnership with LSEG not only seeks to extend the range of these indexes but to introduce<br />
new options for US investors. CBOE intends to launch a significant new co-branded product<br />
every year for the full duration of the agreement, including the opportunity to list cash-settled<br />
index options. CBOE intends to develop options based on other FTSE and Russell index<br />
products globally as well.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Finance<br />
Nasdaq Lists Tuttle Tactical Management US Core ETF<br />
On February 25, <strong>2015</strong>, Nasdaq began trading a new exchange-traded product (ETP),<br />
Tuttle Tactical Management US Core ETF (Symbol: TUTT).<br />
The tactical nature of TUTT’s objective is a pre-determined, active strategy that responds to<br />
market indicators rather than attempts to use them as predictors of market direction. Under<br />
normal market conditions, TUTT will invest no less than 80% of its total assets in shares of<br />
ETPs listed on US exchanges. The total annual fund operating expenses will be 1.34%. Tuttle<br />
Tactical Management, LLC, the Fund’s investment sub-adviser, manages the assets using a<br />
tactical approach.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Thomson Reuters Launches Monthly IPSOS Global Primary<br />
Consumer Sentiment Index<br />
On March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, Thomson Reuters announced the launch of the Thomson Reuters/Ipsos<br />
Monthly Global Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI). The Thomson Reuters/Ipsos PCSI,<br />
measures 11 key indicators of consumer confidence and outlook as perceived by<br />
consumers in 24 countries. In depth analysis will be available for 12 countries including the<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
50
United States, Canada, Great Britain, China, Russia, Brazil, Japan, Mexico, France, Germany,<br />
Italy, and Australia.<br />
The PCSI is the only dataset providing an aggregated global consumer sentiment series across<br />
24 countries. The PCSI represents a composite index of 11 questions that have been running<br />
monthly in 22 countries since March 2010, in Brazil since 2005, and in the United States<br />
since 2002. The 24 country indexes will be included free of charge to users of Eikon and<br />
Datastream.<br />
For an additional fee, users will get access to the detailed questions used in the PCSI survey.<br />
These questions are focused on areas such as individual’s appraisal of their homeland’s<br />
current economic status, their own personal economic status, and their future expectations<br />
for the local economy. Additional questions focus on consumer confidence, job security, and<br />
investments in the future.<br />
The monthly data output is derived from a balanced online sample that is weighed to the<br />
latest Census information of the general population in each country. The sample is aged<br />
18-64 in the US and Canada, and age 16-64 in all other countries. Of the 24 countries<br />
surveyed 15 are representative of the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium,<br />
Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden,<br />
United Kingdom, and United States, while the remaining nine of Brazil, China, India, Israel,<br />
Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and Turkey comprise more urban, educated, and<br />
higher income respondents referred to as “Upper Deck Consumers” relative to their country<br />
general population.<br />
Data will be released at 11 a.m. EST the second Wednesday of every month, and will be<br />
accompanied by a series of reports providing commentary at the country level, starting with a<br />
subset of the 24 countries.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Finance<br />
ZEMA, ZE’s best-in-class data management solution, collects more than 75 records from Thomson Reuters on a daily<br />
basis. ZEMA can collect, display, and analyze data for market participants in any sector. For further information, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.<br />
Bloomberg Collaborates with the African Development Bank<br />
to Launch African Bond Index<br />
On February 19, <strong>2015</strong>, the African Development Bank (AfDB) through the African Financial<br />
Markets Initiative (AFMI) launched its AFMISM Bloomberg African Bond Index. Calculated by<br />
Bloomberg Indexes, this composite index is comprised of the Bloomberg South Africa, Egypt,<br />
Nigeria, and Kenya local currency sovereign indexes.<br />
The current index includes an African sovereign bond index comprised of the four most liquid<br />
bonds in Africa and three sub-indexes for different maturity ranges. To be included in the<br />
index, a security must have at least one year remaining to maturity and withstand price<br />
stability tests. Further liquid markets are expected to be added to the index this year.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
51
The composite index is available to Bloomberg Professional service subscribers via {BADB<br />
Index}, which includes the Bloomberg South Africa {BSAFR Index}, Bloomberg Egypt {BEGYP<br />
Index}, Bloomberg Nigeria {BNGRI Index}, and Bloomberg Kenya {BKEN Index} indexes.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Finance<br />
ZEMA collects Bloomberg financial records—records which contain key data on North American equities, indexes, and<br />
currency. To learn more about ZEMA’s data coverage, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
Eurex to Launch New Options Contracts on Euro Bund Futures<br />
As of April 20, <strong>2015</strong>, Eurex Exchange, a subsidiary of Deutsche Börse Group, is<br />
launching new options contracts on the Euro Bund futures with weekly expiration dates<br />
(weekly options). Contracts with expiration dates on the five following Fridays will be offered<br />
in addition to the existing options on the Euro Bund Futures. This expanded range of options<br />
further diversifies Eurex Exchange’s offering of euro-denominated interest rate derivatives.<br />
Eurex Exchange will offer a special market-making incentive program at the market launch.<br />
A large number of participants, particularly the institutions currently quoting Euro Bund<br />
options, have signaled great interest in market making.<br />
The new options will have similar product specifications to the existing Bund options: the<br />
contracts will be physically settled and denominated in euros with a minimum price change of<br />
one tick (= 10 euros). Trading hours will be from 8 a.m. to 5:15 p.m. CET.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ETFs Launched on Xetra Provide Access to US Stocks<br />
Effective March 23, <strong>2015</strong>, three new db x-trackers ETFs from the product family<br />
section of Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management have been tradable in Deutsche Börse’s XTF<br />
segment on Xetra:<br />
Name<br />
Asset class<br />
ISIN<br />
db x-trackers S&P 500 UCITS ETF (Prospective DR)<br />
Equity index ETF<br />
IE00BM67HW99<br />
Ongoing charges 0.30%<br />
Distribution policy<br />
accumulating<br />
Benchmark<br />
S&P 500 EUR Hedged Index<br />
The db x-trackers S&P 500 UCITS ETF (Prospective DR) tracks the performance of<br />
500 large-cap companies, representing all major US industries. A company’s weighting in the<br />
reference index is based on its market capitalization. Investors benefit from a monthly<br />
currency hedge to reduce the impact of euro-dollar exchange rate fluctuations on the value of<br />
their investment.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
52
Name<br />
Asset class<br />
ISIN<br />
db x-trackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF (Prospective DR)<br />
Equity index ETF<br />
IE00BJZ2DD79<br />
Finance<br />
Ongoing charges 0.45%<br />
Distribution policy<br />
accumulating<br />
Benchmark<br />
Russell 2000 Index<br />
The db x-trackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF (Prospective DR) measures the performance of the<br />
small-cap segment of the US equity universe, representing approximately 10 percent of the<br />
total market capitalization of Russell 3000. The reference index is calculated on a total return<br />
net basis which means that all dividends and distributions by the companies are reinvested in<br />
the shares after tax.<br />
Name<br />
Asset class<br />
ISIN<br />
db x-trackers Russell Midcap UCITS ETF (Prospective DR)<br />
Equity index ETF<br />
IE00BJZ2DC62<br />
Ongoing charges 0.35%<br />
Distribution policy<br />
accumulating<br />
Benchmark<br />
Russell Midcap Index<br />
The db x-trackers Russell Midcap UCITS ETF (Prospective DR) provides investors with access<br />
to the performance of mid-cap stocks of the US equity universe. The fund tracks the smallest<br />
800 companies by market capitalization of the Russell 1000 Index (which follows the<br />
1000 largest capitalization corporations in the United States). The reference index is<br />
calculated on a total return net basis, which means that all dividends and distributions by the<br />
companies are reinvested in the shares after tax.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA lets users stay up to date on a wide range of financial developments. ZEMA enables users to easily visualize data,<br />
news, and analytics in one screen, ensuring that users gain a global market snapshot. To learn more, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/dashboard/.<br />
Source JPX-Nikkei 400 UCITS ETF Launched on Xetra<br />
Effective March 16, <strong>2015</strong>, a new equity index fund from the ETF offering issued by<br />
Source has been tradable on Xetra in Deutsche Börse’s XTF segment.<br />
ETF name<br />
Asset class<br />
Source JPX-Nikkei 400 UCITS ETF (EUR hedged)<br />
equity ETF<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
53
ISIN<br />
IE00BVGC6645<br />
Ongoing charges 0.20%<br />
Distribution policy<br />
accumulating<br />
Finance<br />
Benchmark<br />
JPX-Nikkei 400 Net Total Return Euro Hedged Index<br />
The Source JPX-Nikkei 400 UCITS ETF (EUR hedged) enables investors to participate in the<br />
performance of the JPX-Nikkei 400 Index while hedged against exchange-rate risks to the<br />
euro. The reference index comprises small to large-cap stock corporations along with growth<br />
and innovation stocks.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
UBS ETF Launched on Xetra Provides Currency-Hedged Access<br />
to CMCI Commodity Index<br />
Effective March 9, <strong>2015</strong>, a new exchange-listed commodity index fund from the UBS Global<br />
Asset Management product range has been tradable in Deutsche Börse’s XTF segment:<br />
ETF name<br />
Asset class<br />
ISIN<br />
UBS ETFs plc – CMCI Composite SF UCITS ETF (GBP) A-acc<br />
commodity index ETF<br />
IE00B50XJX92<br />
Ongoing charges 0.45%<br />
Distribution policy<br />
Benchmark<br />
accumulating<br />
UBS Bloomberg CMCI hedged to GBP TR Index<br />
Trading currency<br />
British pound<br />
The new UBS ETF from the Constant Maturity Commodity Index (CMCI) index series enables<br />
investors to participate in the performance of 28 commodity contracts with up to seven<br />
different maturities while also benefiting from a hedge against fluctuations in the GBP/USD<br />
exchange rate. This covers the entire yield curve and minimizes negative roll effects.<br />
The weighting of the five commodities sectors included in the CMCI – energy, precious and<br />
industrial metals, agriculture, and livestock – is based two-thirds on economic factors (rate<br />
of inflation as well as GDP of the US, EU, and Japan) and one-third on liquidity (open interest<br />
and market volume).<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 300 financial records from many different sources including Deutsche Börse. To stay<br />
informed on the latest financial developments, try ZEMA now by booking a free demonstration at<br />
http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
54
Finance<br />
UBS ETF Listed on Xetra Provides Currency Hedging to MSCI<br />
Canada Index<br />
As of March 6, <strong>2015</strong>, a new equity index fund from the UBS Global Asset Management<br />
product family has been tradable on Xetra in Deutsche Börse’s XTF segment:<br />
ETF name<br />
Asset class<br />
ISIN<br />
UBS ETF – MSCI Canada UCITS ETF (hedged to EUR) A-acc<br />
equity index ETF<br />
LU1130155606<br />
Ongoing charges 0.43%<br />
Distribution policy<br />
accumulating<br />
Benchmark<br />
MSCI Canada 100% hedged to EUR TRN<br />
The new UBS ETF enables investors to participate in the performance of the MSCI Canada<br />
index and also to benefit from hedging against exchange rate fluctuations between the euro<br />
and the Canadian dollar. The underlying reference index of the MSCI index family is weighted<br />
according to free float market capitalization and tracks the performance of the Canadian<br />
equity market. The exchange rate risk is hedged via derivatives.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
Euronext Launches Private Placement Bonds Initiative<br />
Effective March 13, <strong>2015</strong>, Euronext announced the launch of Euronext Private<br />
Placement Bonds (EPPB). A pan-European initiative, this new product rounds out Euronext’s<br />
existing private placement bond range by extending it to Alternext. It gives issuers of private<br />
placement bonds—Euro PP[1], High Yield[2], mutualized bonds or securitization vehicles —<br />
easier access to Euronext markets in France, Belgium, and Portugal, thus expanding their<br />
investor base.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 25 NYSE Euronext data reports. This data can be viewed in conjunction with data from<br />
many other financial, commodity, or industry sources. To learn more about ZEMA’s analytical capabilities, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/analytics/.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
55
Finance<br />
CME Group and TAIFEX Sign Letter of Intent for<br />
Cross-Border Collaboration<br />
Effective March 10, <strong>2015</strong>, CME Group and the Taiwan Futures Exchange (TAIFEX) signed a<br />
Letter of Intent (LOI) regarding the potential listing on TAIFEX of US equity index-based<br />
contracts, and the exploration of cross-border collaboration opportunities and models, and<br />
forge greater collaboration between both exchanges.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
TMX Group and Industrial Commercial Bank of China (Canada)<br />
Sign MOU<br />
On March 25, <strong>2015</strong>, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Canada) (ICBK), a Canadian<br />
Subsidiary of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited (ICBC), and TMX Group<br />
announced the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to enhance their<br />
understanding of each other’s businesses and explore the possibilities of cooperation.<br />
Under the MOU, TMX Group and ICBK will endeavor to set a framework for communicating on<br />
a regular basis to evaluate business opportunities, including joint product development in<br />
multiple asset classes, establishing clearing, settlement, and risk management mechanisms.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
56
Other<br />
EIA Releases New Data Add-In Tool for Excel<br />
On March 18, <strong>2015</strong>, The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced<br />
the release of a new data add-in for Microsoft Excel for Windows builds on the well-known<br />
Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) add-in from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The<br />
tool allows users to update their saved spreadsheets to include the most recent data.<br />
The add-in creates an EIA tab in Excel, allowing researchers to find and download energy time<br />
series data from EIA as well as economic data series from the St. Louis Federal Reserve<br />
directly into a spreadsheet:<br />
The add-in enables users to browse categories or search on keywords to find and download<br />
the series information and data. Once they have fetched the data, all of Excel’s functionality is<br />
available to create analyses and graphics.<br />
The EIA and the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank add-ins are powered by application<br />
programming interfaces (APIs), which, along with the add-ins, are offered free of charge.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
ZEMA collects more than 350 records from the EIA, covering petroleum products, natural gas, coal, power, and finance.<br />
To learn more about ZEMA’s vast data library, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
Bloomberg Professional Service Adds Genscape Proprietary<br />
Data for Commodity Markets<br />
On February 24, <strong>2015</strong>, Genscape and Bloomberg announced that the two companies will<br />
work together to include a selection of the proprietary, real-time Genscape commodity data<br />
through the Bloomberg Professional service.<br />
Users of the Bloomberg Professional service will be able to access a variety of Genscape’s oil,<br />
power, natural gas, and maritime freight data to incorporate real-time fundamentals in the<br />
analysis process.<br />
Genscape routinely accesses tens of thousands of sensors on land and sea – and near-Earth<br />
orbiting satellites – to provide an accurate portrait of global commodity supply chains and<br />
commodity and energy markets.<br />
See the original announcement.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
57
ZEMA Adds Power, Currency, Weather, Metals, and Natural Gas Data<br />
Sources in March<br />
For 20 years, ZE PowerGroup Inc. (ZE) has consistently kept up to date on the latest in energy<br />
and commodity data changes. ZE collects data from vendors spanning oil, natural gas,<br />
electricity, weather, agriculture, and finance, including Platts, Argus, the Chicago Mercantile<br />
Exchange, the New York Mercantile Exchange, the Intercontinental Exchange, and OPEC.<br />
ZE then provides its clients with access to both public (free subscription) and private data<br />
reports, including reports that are collected based on clients’ specific needs.<br />
Since the last issue of DataWatch, ZE has added many data reports, including reports<br />
published by EEX, Environment Canada, EPEX, ICAP, Pattern Recognition Technology (PRT),<br />
Reuters, and SGX. The EEX reports cover price data on Italian and Spanish power futures. The<br />
Reuters reports include currency data on FX rate and yield futures and spots. Two PRT reports<br />
cover a 15-day ERCOT regional load forecast and a 15-day ERCOT total system load forecast.<br />
As well, a new Environment Canada report provides conditions data for the past 24 hours.<br />
All of these reports, along with other expansions of ZE’s data collection within the last month,<br />
have been implemented in response to a need for greater data coverage in strategic areas of<br />
the petrochemical, metals, coal, oil, and natural gas markets.<br />
For further information on these reports, visit:<br />
https://www.eex.com/en/market-data#/market-data<br />
https://weather.gc.ca/business/index_e.html<br />
http://www.epexspot.com/en/market-data<br />
http://www.icap.com/what-we-do/post-trade-risk-and-information-services/<br />
data-and-information-services.aspx<br />
http://www.prt-inc.com/forecast/ercotzonal.htm<br />
http://www.reuters.com/finance/global-market-data<br />
http://sgx.com/marketdata<br />
To see the full list of ZEMA data providers, visit<br />
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 58
ZE Introduces DataWatch for iPad<br />
ZE PowerGroup Inc. (ZE), the developer of ZEMA, an award-winning enterprise data<br />
management solution for energy and commodities industries, has introduced a new way to<br />
stay current on the latest market data reports. By offering its monthly DataWatch magazine<br />
through Apple’s App Store and Newsstand apps, ZE now allows readers to subscribe to<br />
DataWatch on their iPads and have newly released issues automatically downloaded to their<br />
tablets in a simple, intuitive format. Like the web and PDF versions, DataWatch for iPad is<br />
entirely free of charge.<br />
iPad users can subscribe to DataWatch by clicking here via their iPads or by searching<br />
“DataWatch” in the iTunes, App Store or Newsstand apps. Subscribers will then have monthly<br />
issues of DataWatch automatically downloaded to their devices. DataWatch readers without<br />
iPads can still access the magazine online or by subscribing to the monthly DataWatch<br />
newsletter. For more information on the ZEMA software solution, click here.<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
59
PEGAS Successfully Launches NBP Gas Spot and Futures and PSV Gas<br />
Future Contracts<br />
Leipzig, Paris, March 27, <strong>2015</strong> – PEGAS, the pan-European gas trading platform operated<br />
by Powernext, announces the successful launch of products for the British and Italian gas<br />
hubs on 26 March <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
On the UK’s National Balancing Point (NBP), PEGAS launched physically settled Spot<br />
contracts, available for 24/7 trading, and Futures contracts. On Italy’s Punto di Scambio<br />
Virtuale (PSV), financially settled Futures (ICIS Heren) are offered for trading. Yesterday, on the<br />
first day of trading, transactions were concluded for both new market areas.<br />
When the market opened, 13 trading members were already set up for trading on NBP with<br />
more members, currently in the process of being admitted. The first transaction was<br />
concluded at 08:44 am CET on NBP Spot Within-Day at 48.00 pence per therm with a volume<br />
of 100,000 therms between E.ON Global Commodities and Delta Energy BV. In total, a<br />
volume of 250,000 therms was traded on the first trading day.<br />
“The successful launch was possible thanks to the great support we have received from the<br />
UK gas trading community, including the British authorities. We look forward to the upcoming<br />
launch of the first location spread between the Zeebrugge and NBP hubs later in April,”<br />
comments Dr. Egbert Laege, Executive Director Gas Markets of EEX Group.<br />
The launch of the Zeebrugge Spot and Futures is scheduled for 17 April <strong>2015</strong>, as well as the<br />
location spread ZEE/NBP which will be available for trading the first time on an exchange.<br />
On the PSV hub, the first transaction was completed at 08:35 AM CET for April <strong>2015</strong> delivery<br />
between Axpo Italia and GDF Suez Trading for a price of 23.00 Euro/MWh and a volume of<br />
21,600 MWh. The total volume in PSV contracts amounted to 28,800 MWh on the first<br />
trading day. Also 13 members were ready for trading, further members are in the<br />
admission process.<br />
Jean-François Conil-Lacoste, CEO of Powernext, adds: “The successful launch of the PSV<br />
Futures serves the needs of the Italian trading community and represents an integral part of<br />
PEGAS’ development. We are also happy to announce that PEGAS will launch physical futures<br />
contracts on PSV by the end of the second quarter <strong>2015</strong>.”<br />
The physical Futures will be launched alongside the financially-settled Futures, with spread<br />
products between the two segments, as well as a physical PSV/TTF spread.<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
60
PEGAS to Offer Straight-Through Processing (STP) Registration Service<br />
for all Gas Derivatives Contracts<br />
Leipzig, Paris, March 5, <strong>2015</strong> – As of 19 March <strong>2015</strong>, Powernext members will have the<br />
opportunity, through all major gas brokers, to directly register their over-the-counter (OTC)<br />
transactions as exchange transactions for subsequent clearing with European Commodity<br />
Clearing (ECC). For this, customers can use either Trayport © Clearing Link or EFETnet eXRP<br />
Straight-Through Processing automated solutions.<br />
Jean-François Conil-Lacoste, Chief Executive Officer of Powernext, comments: “This new and<br />
straight-forward solution for clearing over-the-counter transactions will answer the need of<br />
market participants for automated and riskless processes. Through this mechanism, it will be<br />
possible to automatically route transactions submitted by a broker through the exchange into<br />
the trading participant’s account at ECC, eliminating all manual interventions by the brokers<br />
and trading participants.”<br />
Dr. Thomas Siegl, Chief Risk Officer of EEX Group, adds: “We are glad to roll-out our Straight<br />
Through Processing (STP)-solutions to Powernext. With Powernext the second partner<br />
exchange of ECC is using the STP service that was recently enhanced to make the trade<br />
registration process fully automatic.”<br />
Dr. Egbert Laege, Executive Director Gas Markets of EEX Group, says: “This new offering will<br />
benefit from the strong STP experience and broker connectivity of EEX and ECC in the power<br />
derivatives market. This will serve the ambition of PEGAS to deliver state-of-the-art service for<br />
the gas derivatives markets.”<br />
All of the derivatives products currently offered for trading on the PEGAS platform (TTF, NCG,<br />
Gaspool, PEG Nord, PEG Sud and ZTP, as well as associated spreads) will be available<br />
through the STP solutions. On 26 March, new derivatives contracts launched on PEGAS (NBP,<br />
Zeebrugge and PSV) will also become available, as well as the new market area TRS on<br />
31 March.<br />
The PEGAS STP registration service will be offered by the following seven energy brokers: GFI,<br />
Griffin Markets, ICAP, Marex-Spectron, OTCex, TFS and Tullet Prebon. No additional fee will be<br />
charged to the trading participants for this service.<br />
About PEGAS:<br />
PEGAS is the central gas trading platform of EEX Group operated by Powernext. PEGAS<br />
provides its members with access to all products on one single platform and allows them to<br />
trade natural gas contracts in the Belgian, Dutch, French and German market areas. The<br />
product range of PEGAS covers spot and derivatives contracts for the major European gas<br />
hubs as well as trading in location spread products between these market areas. This setup<br />
enables market harmonisation and forms the leading pan-European natural gas market. For<br />
more information: www.pegas-trading.com<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
61
About ECC:<br />
European Commodity Clearing (ECC) is the central clearing house for energy and related<br />
products in Europe. In its capacity as the central counterparty ECC assumes clearing as well<br />
as physical and financial settlement of transactions concluded on CEGH Gas Exchange of the<br />
Vienna Stock Exchange, EEX, EPEX SPOT, HUPX, Powernext and PXE, or registered for clearing<br />
on these exchanges. Furthermore, ECC will start clearing services for the Norwegian<br />
NOREXECO soon. www.ecc.de<br />
About Powernext:<br />
Powernext is a regulated market operating under AMF supervision. Powernext manages the<br />
natural gas activities of the EEX Group under the PEGAS brand throughout Europe, and<br />
operates the National Registry for electricity guarantees of origin in France. Powernext owns<br />
50% in EPEX SPOT, 20% in EEX Power Derivatives and 1.5% in ECC. For more information:<br />
www.powernext.com<br />
About EEX Group:<br />
EEX Group provides the central market platform for energy, energy related and commodity<br />
products and enables access to a network of over 350 trading participants. The offering of the<br />
group comprises contracts for Energy, Environmentals, Freight, Metals and Agriculturals listed<br />
at the European Energy Exchange, EPEX SPOT, Powernext, Cleartrade and Gaspoint Nordic.<br />
Clearing and settlement of transactions concluded or registered on the exchanges is provided<br />
by the central clearing house European Commodity Clearing. EEX is part of Deutsche Börse<br />
Group. For more information: www.eex.com<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
Argus Launches WTI Houston Assessment<br />
Houston, February 26, <strong>2015</strong> - Global energy and commodity news and price reporting<br />
agency Argus today launches its much-anticipated assessment for West Texas Intermediate<br />
(WTI) crude oil delivered to Houston.<br />
The new price assessment, based at Magellan’s East Houston terminal, marks a milestone in<br />
the development of light sweet crude markets at the US Gulf coast.<br />
“A new spot market has emerged in the oil capital of the US,” said Euan Craik, Argus CEO<br />
Americas. “We have consulted widely and constructed the WTI Houston price in a way that<br />
reflects actual trade of a well-defined crude stream.”<br />
Rising production in west Texas is flooding Houston with WTI, but traders of the light sweet<br />
crude have been forced to value it with distant benchmarks, like Louisiana’s LLS or Midland<br />
WTI, both also published by Argus. The new Argus WTI Houston assessment removes the basis<br />
risk inherent in using a more distant price benchmark.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
62
The new assessment will be set by a volume-weighted average of all trades done during the<br />
day at Magellan’s East Houston terminal. This mirrors the methodology used for other Gulf<br />
coast crude prices published by Argus.<br />
Nearly 500,000 b/d of WTI from west Texas arrives at Magellan East Houston, where the<br />
terminal operator puts it into segregated tankage and makes spot trade possible within those<br />
tanks. Blended “domestic sweet” crude is not allowed into those tanks, so the trades there<br />
reflect a very specific quality of crude.<br />
Today’s launch of Argus Houston WTI complements widely-used Argus price indexes for LLS<br />
at St James and WTI Midland, giving each region of the US Gulf coast a local and liquid light<br />
sweet crude price benchmark. Traders of other sweet crude and condensate in the Houston<br />
area will now be able to refer to values set in the WTI market at Magellan East Houston as a<br />
clear signal of value.<br />
Magellan’s East Houston terminal currently has 4.5mn bl of crude oil storage capacity and the<br />
company is considering adding up to 5mn bl of additional storage capacity.<br />
Argus WTI Houston will be published in the daily Argus Americas Crude and Argus Crude<br />
reports, and will be available through Argus Direct, the company’s online platform.<br />
Notes to editors<br />
WTI refers to West Texas Intermediate crude, a light low-sulphur crude oil. Domestic sweet<br />
crude is also light and low in sulphur, but is often the result of blending of several crude<br />
grades, some of which have high levels of nickel, vanadium and acids known as TAN. Further<br />
details can be found at www.argusmedia.com/methodology.<br />
Request more information on the Argus Houston WTI and other Argus crude price<br />
assessments:<br />
Houston Gabriela Alcocer, + 1 713 968 0000, gabriela.alcocer@argusmedia.com<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
63
OTC Global Holdings and EOXLive to Support Nasdaq’s Energy Derivatives<br />
at Launch<br />
Boca Raton, FL, March 11, <strong>2015</strong> – OTC Global Holdings LP (OTCGH), the leading independent<br />
commodities interdealer broker, today announced that it will provide brokerage services and<br />
integration to its EOXLive active markets platform for the launch of energy derivatives<br />
contracts on Nasdaq.<br />
“As part of OTC Global Holdings’ continued expansion of the EOXLive platform, we will provide<br />
our customers with pre-trade price transparency and straight-through-processing for Nasdaq<br />
energy products at the exchange launch date” said Javier Loya, chairman and CEO of<br />
interdealer broker OTC Global Holdings LP. “We have been very impressed with Nasdaq’s<br />
people and technology, which build on their existing platforms and global energy products.<br />
Our investment in this integration is part of our vision to provide the deepest liquidity and<br />
make it easier for more firms to trade and hedge commodities futures and options.”<br />
The project undertaken with Nasdaq is central to OTCGH’s mission to provide unmatched<br />
customer service and liquidity to its customers. For more information or to receive free access<br />
to EOXLive, visit http://www.otcgh.com/eox or contact EOXLive via<br />
email:operations@eoxlive.com, AIM: eoxops or phone: 877-737- 8511.<br />
About EOX Holdings LLC<br />
EOX Holdings LLC (EOX) is registered as an Introducing Broker with the National Futures<br />
Association (NFA). EOX delivers the EOXLive platform and services, as well as unique and<br />
comprehensive market data and introducing broker (IB) services. EOX Holdings LLC is a wholly<br />
owned subsidiary of OTC Global Holdings. For more information or to receive free access to<br />
EOXLive, visit http://www.otcgh.com/eox or contact EOXLive via email:<br />
operations@eoxlive.com, AIM: eoxops or phone: 877-737- 8511.<br />
About OTC Global Holdings<br />
Formed in 2007, OTC Global Holdings has become the world’s largest independent<br />
institutional broker of commodities, covering financial and physical instruments from offices<br />
in Chicago, Geneva, Houston, New Jersey, London, Louisville and New York. The company is a<br />
leading liquidity provider on CBOT, ICE and NYMEX, ranking number one amongst its peers in<br />
numerous derivatives contracts across biofuels, emissions, commodity index products, crude<br />
oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), metals, petrochemicals and refined products,<br />
power, proppants, soft commodities, and weather derivatives. The company serves more than<br />
450 institutional clients, including over 70 members of the Global Fortune 500, and transacts<br />
in hundreds of different commodity delivery points in Asia, Europe and the Americas.<br />
To learn more about the company, please visit www.otcgh.com, @OTCGH or go to<br />
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5Ohwr7h3tE.<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
64
MDA Introduces New Midday Model Predictor<br />
MDA Weather Services offers a variety of data and reports used throughout the energy,<br />
agriculture, and weather markets. In addition to providing the basic data products (historical<br />
and forecast temperatures, precipitation, etc.) used by traders in these industries worl<strong>dw</strong>ide,<br />
MDA goes beyond the numbers to provide unique datasets tailored for traders in each<br />
industry. New product offerings include:<br />
Midday Model Predictor (MMP)<br />
• By leveraging relationships to current and historical observed weather data both at the<br />
surface and upper levels of the atmosphere, as well as the lagged relationships to other<br />
weather models, MDA is able to skillfully indicate, or forecast, where the next model<br />
forecast is headed.<br />
• ‘Forecasting the forecast’ is a skill that can produce great benefits when trying to project<br />
the direction of a market that is dependent on weather – especially with the market moving<br />
12z GFS Operational and 12z ECMWF Operational weather models. The Midday Model<br />
Predictor (MMP) is a tool that does just that. With both maps and city specific tabular data,<br />
the MMP delivers critical insight on how the respective models will trend. For example,<br />
during the winter, if the 12z GFS Operational model was released showing much stronger<br />
cold than compared to the 00z GFS Operational model, the market would likely see a<br />
notable uptick in Natural Gas prices. Through the use of the MMP, users get an early insight<br />
into this market driver and can position themselves accordingly.<br />
• In addition to maps (below), quantitative MMP data can also be provided for hundreds of<br />
locations across the US and Canada. This is a unique input for pricing models – whether it<br />
be for natural gas, power, etc. - that has worked for many when projecting market trends to<br />
a respective weather model run. Furthermore, historical forecast information is available for<br />
verification to back test any models that run internally or through ZEMA.<br />
News from Data Vendors<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
65
Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Prompt-Month Contract (NYMEX)<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Monthly Market Analysis<br />
Analysis<br />
According to data from NYMEX, crude oil prices for Brent and WTI have seesawed since they<br />
found their bottom in January <strong>2015</strong>. The prices of WTI and Brent had both dropped by 8% and<br />
3%, respectively, since February <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
Crude oil prices recovered since January <strong>2015</strong> to over 60 USD/Bbl a barrel, but have fallen<br />
again in March following a bigger than expected crude stock build in the United States that<br />
fueled concerns of an oversupply in the world’s largest oil consumer.<br />
Prompt-month WTI contracts settled at 48 USD/Bbl on March 18, <strong>2015</strong>. Meanwhile, the<br />
prompt-month contract prices for Brent dipped slightly by 2 USD/Bbl from the previous month<br />
to settle at 59 USD/Bbl. The last 12-month averages for WTI and Brent on NYMEX dropped to<br />
82 USD/Bbl and 88 USD/Bbl, respectively.<br />
The spread between WTI and Brent (represented by the purple area in the graph above) has<br />
widened sharply since January <strong>2015</strong>, and sat at 10 USD/Bbl in March <strong>2015</strong>, which is<br />
4 USD/Bbl above the last 12-month average of 6 USD/Bbl.<br />
Monthly<br />
Market<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> 66
Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Forward Curve (NYMEX)<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Monthly Market Analysis<br />
The average NYMEX Brent forward prices for delivery until March 2017 (represented by the<br />
blue line in the graph above) decreased by 6 USD/Bbl to 60 USD/Bbl, while WTI (the red line)<br />
fell by 4 USD/Bbl to an average of 56 USD/Bbl in the first three weeks of March <strong>2015</strong> for the<br />
next 24 months when compared to the same period in February <strong>2015</strong>. The Brent-WTI spread<br />
also dropped by 2 USD/Bbl to 4 USD/Bbl (the purple area) on average for the next<br />
24 months.<br />
According to EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report, ending March 20th, <strong>2015</strong>, an 11th<br />
straight weekly build brought US stockpiles to 466.7 million barrels, the highest level for in at<br />
least the last 80 years. (EIA) With declining US crude oil imports, the supply surplus seems to<br />
be the most dominant factor in sliding crude oil prices. On top of the unprecedented US crude<br />
output and tepid global demand, Saudi Arabia has been pumping at a near all-time high of<br />
around 10 million barrels of crude oil per day, close to an all-time record. (Reuters) The<br />
current bearish market condition is set to favor the refineries as their input would be a lot<br />
cheaper than expected, and markets do not expect this trend to change.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
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Henry Hub Natural Gas Forward Curve<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Monthly Market Analysis<br />
On NYMEX, the average price of Henry Hub natural gas contracts in the first three weeks of<br />
March <strong>2015</strong> for delivery in the next 12 months (represented above by the orange line) went<br />
down by 5% as temperatures moderate to average at $3.14 USD/MMbtu when compared to<br />
the same contracts period in March <strong>2015</strong> (represented by the blue line).<br />
Data from NYMEX suggests the spread between March 2014 to April 2016 contracts<br />
(represented by the purple bar) averaged at -0.05 USD/MMbtu for the next 12 months. As the<br />
purple bars show, the spread has a trend of slowly <strong>dw</strong>indling for the next two years.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
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Actual Weather (AccuWeather)<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Monthly Market Analysis<br />
1. Monthly Temperature (AccuWeather)<br />
In March <strong>2015</strong>, the temperature started to reflect the height of spring in San Diego and San<br />
Antonio as temperatures averaged between 13 and 19 degrees Celsius (C) throughout the<br />
month. New York and Chicago, on the other hand, are only emerging from the winter cold. The<br />
average temperature in Chicago is about 4C warmer this March compared to March 2014,<br />
and New York remained the same.<br />
In comparison to the past two-year average of March temperatures, this year’s March <strong>2015</strong><br />
felt warmer by 1C in San Diego and 2C colder in San Antonio. Chicago was 3C above the<br />
two-year average, and New York remained unchanged. Also, Chicago experienced the largest<br />
weather fluctuations among all observed cities this month, as the temperature dipped to<br />
-14C on March 5 and 6, and climbed to 13C on March 16.<br />
2. Daily Temperature (AccuWeather)<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
69
Electricity: Day-Ahead Prices (ICE)<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Monthly Market Analysis<br />
On the ICE, March <strong>2015</strong> day-ahead peak electricity prices in eastern United States began to<br />
ebb as of March 11, <strong>2015</strong>, in PJM, represented by APS Zone and NYISO, as represented by<br />
Zone A prices. PJM APS Zone prices rose from 42 USD/MWh on March 4 to 48 USD/MWh on<br />
March 6, with prices averaging at 45 USD/MWh throughout the rest of March.<br />
Prices at NYISO Zone A also averaged at 38 USD/MWh throughout the month. Similarly,<br />
CAISO prices remained relatively flat throughout the month, hovering at 33 USD/MWh. On the<br />
other hand, prices slightly increased in ERCOT North 345KV from 28 USD/MWh on March 4<br />
to 32 USD/MWh on March 9, stabilizing to 31 USD/MWh for the rest of the month. Warmer<br />
weather in all observed regions put downward pressure on prices this month.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
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In Depth<br />
Why<br />
is<br />
so<br />
Paramount<br />
Crisis ?<br />
By Aiman El-Ramly,<br />
C.S.O. ZE PowerGroup Inc.<br />
aiman@ze.com<br />
As the first quarter of <strong>2015</strong> draws to a close, we are beginning to get used to the concept of<br />
cheap oil. The question on everyone’s minds, of course, is how long it will last. March has seen<br />
the lowest oil prices since the SemGroup implosion of 2008, dipping to $45/barrel. While<br />
<strong>2015</strong> has seen highs as great as $55 for WTI, prices for the majority of year have been below<br />
$50. And every day, there is a new voice added to the oil price forecast. On March 30,<br />
Barclays called for $39 WTI in the second quarter. Still, the first quarter’s $10 (20%) swing<br />
indicates a huge amount of volatility and reflects the dissonance the global energy markets<br />
are experiencing. This problem goes well beyond a commodity price issue. Really, the<br />
collapse in the price of oil calls into question the stability of global markets generally, and<br />
challenges the interplay between commodity prices and greater global stability.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
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© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
In Depth<br />
Figure 1 - US Total Crude Production 2010-2014<br />
Nuclear talks in Iran, potentially resulting in the lifting of oil embargos, would allow another<br />
million barrels of oil per day onto the market, putting further substantial downward pressure<br />
on oil. The downward pressure may or may not be reversed by other hot spots in the Middle<br />
East, such as Saudi Arabia and Yemen, or by the continued activities of ISIS in Iraq and Syria.<br />
Certainly, there is limited stability in the OPEC nations.<br />
While, yes, it is important that Iran start participating meaningfully in the world economy, that<br />
is another million barrels over and above the current bumper crop. In 2014 the United States<br />
had the largest oil production increase in 100 years, according to the EIA. However, at half<br />
price oil, all that increased production was better served staying in the ground. With no<br />
coordinated planning of supply, the individual pursuit of the marginal barrel just means every<br />
barrel is worth less. OPEC is not playing nice, and oil producing nations are not doing<br />
themselves favors by having their most productive years in history.<br />
Looking at the forward price view from August 2014, before the most recent price collapse, we<br />
see prices north of $90 for WTI (red line in Figure 2) and north of $100 for Brent (dark blue line<br />
in Figure 3). However, just six months later, in February <strong>2015</strong>, we see the forward curves down<br />
by more than 40% for both benchmarks (orange line in Figure 2 and light blue line in Figure 3).<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
72
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
In Depth<br />
Figure 2 - August 2014 vs. February <strong>2015</strong> forward price view for WTI<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Figure 3 – August 2014 vs. February <strong>2015</strong> forward price view for Brent<br />
“the collapse in the price of oil calls<br />
into question the stability of global<br />
markets generally”<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
73
What is unusual is that the curves from August 2014 and February <strong>2015</strong> do not converge. This<br />
means that the change in outlook is not merely that of a temporal market anomaly, like a war,<br />
but a sustained fundamental change in the way the global market considers energy as a<br />
commodity. If that is the case, why did it take a total market collapse for people to internalize<br />
the true impacts of the shale gas revolution, the supply dynamics of OPEC, or the global<br />
economic effects of recession?<br />
And to be clear, this is not just about oil; one can see a similar disconnect in natural gas and<br />
power markets, though maybe not as dramatic. Natural gas was misjudged by more than<br />
$1 (Figure 4) and power by $5 (Figure 5), which are still massive risk exposures if you are on<br />
the wrong side of the price curve.<br />
In Depth<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Figure 3 – August 2014 vs. February <strong>2015</strong> forward price view for natural gas<br />
© Graph created with ZEMA<br />
Figure 4 – August 2014 vs. February <strong>2015</strong> forward price view for MISO<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
74
One still has to ask, in this age of unlimited data, when there is universal real-time sharing of<br />
global events and multi-million dollar energy and commodity trade and risk systems, how can<br />
the market be off by so much? How can millions of traders around the globe all miss the<br />
market collectively? Is there really no shared wisdom?<br />
In Depth<br />
Are Ideologies Really to Blame?<br />
If you were inclined to simple answers, you would say that this breakdown is the fault of<br />
Western style capitalism – the pursuit of economic freedoms and the wealth of nations at any<br />
cost (or more accurately, anybody else’s cost). Long live the memory of Adam Smith and his<br />
bourgeoisie (impelling the burgeoning corporate world). However, if you lived in the East<br />
(including East Berlin), you may say that the fault belongs to communism and an errant<br />
manifesto – the utopian ideal of releasing the masses from the class struggle fails to<br />
recognize economic realities of running a nation. Long live the memories of Karl Marx and<br />
Friedrich Engels. Thus, we observe in 1776, and later in 1947, the philosophical underpinning<br />
for war, both hot and cold, as each nation pursues Pax in the manner most befitting its<br />
philosophical bent.<br />
In the West, we see technological innovators that drive personal wealth, massive<br />
infrastructure, and ideological change eventually forcing government reaction. In the<br />
United States, these forces included the founding father, Benjamin Franklin, who became a<br />
wealthy publisher and was perhaps the most influential person in shaping the modern<br />
Western state and the ideals of freedom from imperial oppression. Thereafter, we have the<br />
“the change in outlook is not<br />
merely that of a temporal market<br />
anomaly, like a war, but a<br />
sustained fundamental change in<br />
the way the global market<br />
considers energy as a commodity.”<br />
energy pioneers such as Rockefeller and Edison whose technologically revolutionary<br />
achievements transformed the nation and produced unbelievable wealth. This wealth<br />
stretched railroads westward, put cars on highways, sent oil east on tankers, fueled airplanes<br />
and tanks, and spurred the growth of the most powerful nation in the world. The indefinite<br />
pursuit of $100/barrel oil while in no way restraining supply was, in hindsight, pure folly. It is<br />
as if the economic concept of supply and demand does not exist.<br />
But when the power of the wealthy infringes on the masses, when corruption becomes the<br />
norm and not the exception, when markets fail, and when the people go hungry, the regulator<br />
finally steps in. The regulator is thus the one to free the people from corporate oppression. In<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
75
the words of historian James Truslow Adam on the American dream: “Life should be better and<br />
richer and fuller for everyone, with opportunity for each according to ability or achievement<br />
regardless of social class or circumstances of birth.” Sounds a lot like Marx and Engels: “In<br />
place of the old bourgeois society, with its classes and class antagonisms, we shall have an<br />
association in which the free development of each is the condition for the free development<br />
of all.”<br />
And, as is the wont of the regulator, the reaction is often overbearing and under-thought.<br />
Rockefeller was forced to heed the regulator. He had captured the ire of the first Roosevelt,<br />
who chased Rockefeller across the country in his efforts to subpoena him and apply the<br />
Sherman Antitrust Act of 1890, which was enacted to regulate competition in the new<br />
US market economy. Teddy was committed to breaking up the trusts and dismantling the<br />
world’s first monopoly, the Standard Oil Company. Ironically, though, Rockefeller quintupled<br />
his wealth as his monopolistic Standard Oil was broken up.<br />
In Depth<br />
Energizing a Nation<br />
It was not until after Edison’s death that the holding companies that had taken over and<br />
corrupted the electricity industry were confronted by the second President Roosevelt,<br />
Franklin D. Roosevelt. I think his mind must have been divided between the views of<br />
Samuel Adams and James Adam. On one hand, he needed to confront the corruption of the<br />
holding companies, and on the other, bring the country out of recession. He enacted the<br />
Public Utility Holding Company Act (PUCHA, 1935) to break up electric holding companies<br />
into state utilities, much the same way that Teddy had broken up Standard Oil. Today, there<br />
still exist many Edison companies: Commonwealth, Consolidated, and so forth. Probably the<br />
most famous involves the merger of Edison General Electric with Thomson-Houston Electric<br />
“this is not just about oil; one can<br />
see a similar disconnect in natural<br />
gas and power markets”<br />
Company to form General Electric (GE). Franklin D. Roosevelt also electrified the nation and<br />
invigorated the US economy. His New Deal included a vision of massive infrastructure<br />
development. He built the highways and the dams that connected a nation and powered the<br />
future. The establishing of the Bonneville and Tennessee Valley Power Authorities contributed<br />
to the federalization and ruralification of energy through cheap and abundant hydro power.<br />
But before he addressed the energy sector, Franklin D. Roosevelt stabilized banking by putting<br />
in place the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), suspended the gold standard to<br />
support monetary reforms, passed the Gold Reserve Act to contain the economy, put in place<br />
the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to regulate the stock market and prevent<br />
corporate abuses, and a host of other activities to bolster the proletariat and free the capital<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
76
machine. By the time the United States was to enter World War II, the country was fully<br />
energized: flush with money, replete with oil, fully electrified, and gainfully employed.<br />
The United States reached full employment after entering World War II in December 1941. The<br />
Gross Domestic Product doubled immediately in the all-out effort to supply the war machine.<br />
The United States was the most domestically isolated, best equipped, and best supplied force<br />
in the world. Coming out of the War, the United States was the clear winner and the<br />
preeminent super power. Post war, the GI Bill (Servicemen’s Readjustment Act of 1944)<br />
ensured that 16 million returning veterans were housed and ready to serve in their new role of<br />
expanding the American middle class.<br />
Indeed, The US post-war era featured an economic boom, the long boom, and a sustained<br />
period of relative peace. Within a day of the end of WWII, the gas rationing that had existed<br />
to support the war effort was over, though little thought or concern was given as to where that<br />
supply would come from. And it is at this euphoric point in US history that a new age begins,<br />
leading to unprecedented prosperity for the United States, and ironically for Germany and<br />
Japan under the Marshall Plan. Britain and Russia would not fare as well. The greatest lesson<br />
arising from the war was that energy makes nations. Oil wins wars. And oil was too valuable for<br />
the management of it to be left to business men. The American Pax was now fully in play –<br />
energy security at any cost.<br />
In Depth<br />
“The greatest lesson arising from<br />
the war was that energy makes<br />
nations. Oil wins wars.”<br />
The Unpredictable Consequences of Innovation<br />
In this heyday of capitalism, prosperity and innovation reigned, as did cheap and abundant<br />
energy to fuel the boom. In fact, post war, there was an oil bonanza. The issue was not supply<br />
but how to ensure that oil would not become worthless. But coordinating supply and demand<br />
from the top is a tricky business – one that has never been mastered. There are just too many<br />
pieces, too many conflicting interesting, and too much money at stake. Oil had become the<br />
lynchpin to global economic development and security. The American Pax had secured cheap,<br />
reliable energy from the Middle East, and the legacy of the New Deal ensured a fully electrified<br />
and interconnected nation. This prosperity would last until the collapse of the Bretton Woods<br />
system in 1971 and the 1973 Oil Crisis. Again, gold and black gold colluded to turn the<br />
markets on their heads.<br />
The Oil Crisis of 1973 put the United States fully on its head with respect to oil policy. The<br />
United States began to spin, much like it spun in the first and second oil crises a century<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
77
earlier and in every major crisis thereafter. The spin may have come from a lack of confidence<br />
and the fervor of Pax as the United States tried once again to ensure its energy and security.<br />
This security became tied to the pursuit of freedom. Energy equated to strength: economic<br />
strength, political strength, and strength in the war. In the absence of abundant and easy to<br />
access cheap energy, there was a perceived vulnerability. The United States believed this, as<br />
did the Russians.<br />
Both countries were already deep in a cold war and an armament race. The nuclear age was in<br />
full swing, and both countries were determined to beat the other in the number of times they<br />
could theoretically blow up the world. The question at the time was: who had enough<br />
money to beat the other in the contest of mutually assured destruction?In the United States,<br />
the military industrial complex was fully released. It had emerged during WWII, and it was in<br />
overdrive in the 1980s and ’90s. The Cold War effort indirectly led to commercial unbridling,<br />
the Internet, and the rise of both the technology play and the commoditization of everything<br />
for everyone. The baby boomers could trade stocks on America Online, buy their books on<br />
Amazon, then turn to Event Horizons BBS (bulletin board service) to watch their adult-only<br />
content on their PC Clone or Apple Macintosh Classic. In 1993, Event Horizons made<br />
$3.2 million gross. Amazon, on the other hand, did not turn a profit until 2001. This just goes<br />
to show that the downstream effects of technological innovation, market occurrences, and<br />
political exchanges are almost impossible to predict. Just like how video killed the radio star,<br />
the Internet killed the bookstore. In like fashion, errant policies and regulation can kill a<br />
market or destroy a foreign nation or group of nations.<br />
In Depth<br />
The Certainty of Uncertainty<br />
“There is no consensus on oil or<br />
natural gas prices today; the<br />
implied consensus at market<br />
closing is fictitious and temporal.”<br />
While Obama may not be a warmongering president, his term is nearly up. The next president<br />
may be of a different sentiment, especially with ISIS on the rise. However, it is clear to see that<br />
the last ill-thought war on terror only had the effect of taking terror out of the newsroom<br />
basement and making it primetime 24/7. In the efforts to stabilize in the name of freedom,<br />
personal freedoms were sacrificed, as well as countries, and a new form of global uncertainty<br />
was unleashed. The socio-economic mess the globe is in today is certainly the result of<br />
single-variable thinking in conflict resolution. The question is, what is driving us today? Is it a<br />
corporate/business objective or a government policy objective?<br />
While the US industrial military machine may be still sated from Iraq, if another nation leads<br />
the trade war with Asia, long run economics may come into play. The big alliance plays are<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
78
happening now. Whether Brazil stands a chance in this game is doubtful. The same goes for<br />
any of the other lesser 80 or so oil suppliers. But Russia does have a serious opportunity. And<br />
they have shown they can make their mark on this market, as testified by their recent natural<br />
gas play with China. Given the current price of oil, maybe the gas was not discounted after all.<br />
In the end, we still have more questions than answers. There is no consensus on oil or natural<br />
gas prices today; the implied consensus at market closing is fictitious and temporal. There is<br />
no consensus or potential resolution to Middle East conflict. There is no clear way through the<br />
impasse over Crimea. There is no reasonable expectation that the Eurozone is going to climb<br />
out of its economic mess into the foreseeable future. So, all that being true, we all have to<br />
ask ourselves, what does $50/barrel oil really mean, and can we use this as a mechanism to<br />
move ourselves forward? Or, if the basis for energy pricing is being rewritten, what else should<br />
be rewritten at the same time?v<br />
In Depth<br />
About ZE PowerGroup Inc.:<br />
ZE is an experienced software and strategic consulting firm that combines energy industry expertise with advanced<br />
software development capabilities. ZE is the developer of ZEMA, a sophisticated enterprise data management and<br />
analysis solution built to meet the challenges of participants in energy and commodities markets.<br />
About ZEMA:<br />
ZEMA is an enterprise data management software designed for collecting data and performing complex analysis.<br />
ZEMA replaces fragmented data management processes with a sophisticated, unified, and automated system. Each<br />
ZEMA component is modular and scalable, giving clients greater flexibility when integrating it into their organizations.<br />
The solution is easy to use and backed by ZE’s support team around the clock. It has been ranked first in the Energy<br />
Risk Awards “Data Management House of the Year” category for five years in a row. In Energy Risk’s annual software<br />
survey and rankings, it is also consistently rated by end users as first in the “Preferred System,” “Ease of System<br />
Integration,” and “Customer Service” categories.<br />
Disclaimer:<br />
ZE DataWatch is a report comprised of data updates and expectations for energy and commodities markets, powered<br />
by ZEMA. The news contained in ZE DataWatch is for information purposes only. Although ZE PowerGroup believes<br />
the information in this report to be correct, the organization does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of it.<br />
Information in this report is not intended to provide financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice and should not be relied<br />
upon in that regard. ZE PowerGroup is not responsible in any manner whatsoever for direct, indirect, special, or<br />
consequential damages, howsoever caused, arising out of the use of this report.<br />
March <strong>2015</strong><br />
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