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sea salt: Gong et al. (1997) - GEMS

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Emissions in <strong>GEMS</strong><br />

Data on emissions are needed for the 4 sub-systems GHG, GRG, AER and RAQ<br />

<strong>GEMS</strong> Project has dedicated tasks for emissions and surface fluxes param<strong>et</strong>erization<br />

- GHG-Task 1.3<br />

- GRG-Task 2.9<br />

- AER-Task 2<br />

- RAQ-Task 2.4<br />

Consistent data s<strong>et</strong>s (b<strong>et</strong>ween GHG, GRG and AER) are needed for emissions of<br />

common source origin (Anthropogenic, Biomass Burning)<br />

Consistency should <strong>al</strong>so be observed b<strong>et</strong>ween emission inventories used at a glob<strong>al</strong> and<br />

region<strong>al</strong> sc<strong>al</strong>e (b<strong>et</strong>ween GRG-AER and RAQ systems)<br />

Different inventories exist for the same species<br />

Define criteria on tempor<strong>al</strong> and spati<strong>al</strong> resolution but <strong>al</strong>so on the qu<strong>al</strong>ity of the<br />

data s<strong>et</strong>s (accuracy, documentation, accessibility)


Current CO 2<br />

surface fluxes in <strong>GEMS</strong><br />

• Anthropogenic emissions : Fossil Fuel burning, Cement Production and Gas Flaring<br />

Estimates for 1995 (tot<strong>al</strong> 6.17 PgC/year), data base developed by the CDIAC<br />

Based on nation<strong>al</strong> statistics databases, density of population used to distribute the emissions<br />

ref. (Brenkert, 1998 ; Andres <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>., 1996)<br />

• Air-Sea CO2 exchange : Fluxes are based on Takahashi <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>. (2002) climatology<br />

Estimates are based on measurements of pCO2 in surface waters b<strong>et</strong>ween 1960 and 1995<br />

The annu<strong>al</strong> oceanic uptake estimate is about -2.2 PgC/year<br />

• Exchange with terrestri<strong>al</strong> ecosystem : NEP Estimates are taken from Randerson <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>. <strong>1997</strong><br />

using CASA (links remote sensing data, m<strong>et</strong>eorologic<strong>al</strong> data and surface observations)<br />

The N<strong>et</strong> Ecosystem Production NEP = GPP - AR – HR<br />

Photosynthesis<br />

Annu<strong>al</strong>ly b<strong>al</strong>anced terrestri<strong>al</strong> biosphere<br />

NPP<br />

Plant respiration<br />

Soil components<br />

respiration<br />

Biomass burning disturbances are not taken into account (4PgC/year = 7% of annu<strong>al</strong> NPP)<br />

Note : Oxidation of reduced carbon species are taken into account implicitly in some of these<br />

estimations ; they are released at the surface rather than distributed in the atmosphere


Aerosol sources<br />

• For the introduction of aerosol processes in the ECMWF IFS, the initi<strong>al</strong><br />

emission fluxes and sources are taken from:<br />

– <strong>sea</strong> <strong>s<strong>al</strong>t</strong>: <strong>Gong</strong> <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>. (<strong>1997</strong>)<br />

– desert dust: INCA, Schulz <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>. (1998), Guelle <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>. (2000)<br />

– And other constituents from AEROCOM intercomparison data s<strong>et</strong>s<br />

Organic matter: Bond and Stre<strong>et</strong>s (1996)<br />

Black carbon: Bond and Stre<strong>et</strong>s (1996), GFED<br />

Sulfate: IIASA, dGEIA, Guenter <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>. (1994)<br />

• Within <strong>GEMS</strong>-Aerosols, refinement of aerosol emission sources is de<strong>al</strong>t with in<br />

WP_AER2<br />

> update and assimilation of the anthropogenic emission inventories of aerosol and<br />

its precursors<br />

> assimilation of information on wild fires<br />

> quantification of the wind-blown dust emission from desert areas<br />

> quantification of the wind-blown <strong>sea</strong> <strong>s<strong>al</strong>t</strong> emission<br />

> sources of stratospheric aerosols


Emissions for GRG<br />

Many species (VOC)<br />

Different inventories exist at region<strong>al</strong> or glob<strong>al</strong> sc<strong>al</strong>e based on<br />

different m<strong>et</strong>hodologies or statistic<strong>al</strong> data<br />

Inventories may overlap in space and time and may include similar data<br />

s<strong>et</strong>s<br />

A compiled list of glob<strong>al</strong> and region<strong>al</strong> inventories is needed with a<br />

d<strong>et</strong>ailed content, reference years, space and time resolution<br />

starting base : - HALO paper on emissions (J. Flemming)<br />

- Finnish M<strong>et</strong>eorologic<strong>al</strong> Institute initiative<br />

VOC break down ?<br />

Discussion is needed for the datas<strong>et</strong>s to be implemented


Emission inventory for Region<strong>al</strong> Air Qu<strong>al</strong>ity<br />

across Europe<br />

Decide on a common emissions inventory for anthropogenic<br />

emissions, gases and particulate matter<br />

EMEP/CORINAIR inventory will be the basis for yearly tot<strong>al</strong>s and<br />

their historic<strong>al</strong> evolution<br />

- Downsc<strong>al</strong>ing for a resolution of ~ 5 km<br />

-Tempor<strong>al</strong> profiles on the diurn<strong>al</strong>, weekly and <strong>sea</strong>son<strong>al</strong> timesc<strong>al</strong>es


How important are emissions from Biomass Burning?<br />

Only in the two past decades have re<strong>sea</strong>rchers re<strong>al</strong>ized the important<br />

contributions of biomass burning to the glob<strong>al</strong> budg<strong>et</strong>s of many radiatively<br />

and chemic<strong>al</strong>ly active gases, and element<strong>al</strong> carbon particulates<br />

Fossil fuel<br />

6.2 Pg C/yr<br />

Biomass burning 4 Pg C/yr (Andreae and Merl<strong>et</strong> 2001)<br />

N<strong>et</strong> effect uncertain<br />

Estimates vary but biomass burning contributes up to:<br />

10 % of CH 4<br />

38% of tropospheric O 3<br />

42% of BC (Bond <strong>et</strong> <strong>al</strong>., 2004)<br />

74% of OC


Biomass Burning emissions in <strong>GEMS</strong><br />

Biomass burning is a major source for greenhouse gases, reactive<br />

gases and aerosols<br />

Biomass burning can be observed from space<br />

Emissions from biomass burning are subject to high uncertainties,<br />

some investment is required to improve the qu<strong>al</strong>ity of estimations<br />

Time resolution required for GRG and AER sub-projects have to<br />

be considered for the choice of data s<strong>et</strong>s<br />

It is <strong>al</strong>so important to prepare emission data supply for the<br />

operation<strong>al</strong> phase of the assimilation system


Emissions in <strong>GEMS</strong> - Outline<br />

Consistency in emission data s<strong>et</strong>s should be achieved b<strong>et</strong>ween<br />

the 4 sub-systems within <strong>GEMS</strong><br />

A compiled list of emission inventories (present species, time<br />

and space coverage, resolution, qu<strong>al</strong>ity) as a base for decisions<br />

Biomass burning emissions in <strong>GEMS</strong> ?<br />

Tempor<strong>al</strong> resolution for GRG and AER<br />

What else?

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