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Probability - Home

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L E S S O N<br />

Describing Probabilities<br />

In a legend, a knight is given two sacks.<br />

Each sack contains all gold nuggets,<br />

all rocks, or a mixture of the two.<br />

The knight can keep one of the sacks.<br />

Ten times for each sack, the knight may<br />

take an object, look at it, and return it.<br />

How can this help the knight choose the<br />

sack with more gold?<br />

In Explore, you will model this situation<br />

using paper bags and counters.<br />

Your teacher will give you 2 paper bags, marked A and B.<br />

Each bag contains 10 counters.<br />

Each bag may contain all yellow counters, all blue counters,<br />

or some counters of each colour.<br />

The yellow counters represent gold nuggets.<br />

The blue counters represent rocks.<br />

➤ Draw a counter from bag A.<br />

Record its colour and replace it.<br />

Do this a total of 10 times.<br />

Based on your results, use a word and a fraction to describe<br />

how likely you are to draw a yellow counter from bag A.<br />

➤ Repeat these steps for bag B.<br />

➤ Based on your experiment, which bag would you choose? Why?<br />

➤ Open the bags.<br />

Did you make the correct choice? Explain.<br />

364 LESSON FOCUS Use words and fractions to describe probabilities.

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